2018 Half Year Earnings Release - Heineken N.V - Jean-François van Boxmeer, CEO Laurence Debroux, CFO - The HEINEKEN Company
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Heineken N.V. 2018 Half Year Earnings Release Jean-François van Boxmeer, CEO Laurence Debroux, CFO Amsterdam | July 30, 2018 | Heineken N.V. 1
Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements with regard to the financial position and results of HEINEKEN’s activities. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond HEINEKEN’s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behaviour of other market participants, changes in consumer preferences, the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies, costs of raw materials, interest rate and foreign exchange fluctuations, change in tax rates, changes in law, changes in pension costs, the actions of government regulators and weather conditions. These and other risk factors are detailed in HEINEKEN’s publicly filed annual reports. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. HEINEKEN does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials. 2
2018 HY Key Highlights Organic net revenue +5.6% with net revenue per hectolitre +1.1% Consolidated beer volume +4.5% Heineken® volume +7.5% Operating profit (beia) organic growth +1.3% and operating profit margin -118 bps (-76 bps excluding Kirin) Net profit (beia) of €1,076 million, up 8.9% organically Diluted EPS (beia) of €1.89 (2017: €1.82) up 3.8% In the second half, we expect a continuation of our revenue growth and an acceleration of our operating profit growth on an organic basis We now expect the operating profit margin to decrease by approximately 20 bps for the full year 3
Regional Review 2018 HY Organic Growth % AFRICA, MIDDLE EAST HEINEKEN NV AMERICAS ASIA PACIFIC EUROPE & EASTERN EUROPE Consolidated beer volume 4.5 5.6 6.1 13.0 -0.1 Net revenue per hl 1.1 5.2 1.7 -4.4 1.4 Net revenue 5.6 12.2 8.6 8.1 1.1 Operating profit (beia) 1.3 4.3 8.1 2.7 -6.5 4
Heineken ® volume +7.5% Positive momentum in all regions particularly in AMEE and the Americas Double digit growth in Brazil, South Africa, Russia, UK, Nigeria, Mexico, Poland and Romania Heineken® 0.0 is now available in 33 markets and performing strongly Continued benefit from global sponsorship platforms such as UEFA Champions League® and Formula 1® 5
Strong top line growth Developing our international brands Building Craft & Variety Leading Low- and no-alcohol innovations Portfolio grew high single digit Craft & Variety volume was up Double digit growth in Poland, Volume up double digit for Tiger, double digit. Strong performance of Netherlands, Hungary, Ethiopia and Krušovice and Desperados international and local propositions Russia Shaping the cider category Innovating in draught Experimenting in e-commerce The Sub is available in 11 European initiatives Continue to invest in B2B and B2C Double digit growth, particularly strong in South Africa, Vietnam markets, the USA and China platforms which gain traction across and Poland The Blade is available in 12 markets markets 6 to increase penetration into small outlets
Brewing a Better World Launched a new global Heineken® campaign “When You Drive, Never Drink” Focus on social pressure around drinking and driving Empowering people to make the right decisions “Drop the C” program ambition to grow renewable energy usage to 70% by 2030 Initiated several projects to source wind, solar and biomass energy For example, in the Netherlands we will install 21,800 solar panels on our breweries in the next two years Mexico started operations in the Meoqui brewery, our largest greenfield and our most advanced in circular economy 7
Financial Overview Key Financials 2018 HY 2017 HY Total Change (%) Organic Change (%) €m unless otherwise stated (RESTATED) Net revenue 10,777 10,342 4.2 5.6 Operating profit (beia) 1,754 1,805 -2.9 1.3 Operating profit (beia) margin 16.3% 17.5% -118bps Net profit (beia) 1,076 1,036 3.8 8.9 Net profit 950 871 9.1 Diluted EPS (beia) in € 1.89 1.82 3.8 Free operating cash flow 909 746 21.8 Net Debt/EBITDA (beia) ratio 2.5x 2.5x 8
Net Revenue: +5.6% Organic Growth Organic growth +5.6% +5.1% +1.1% €m +4.4% €m -6.6% 10,777 10,342 2017 HY Net Revenue Consolidation impact Currency translation Total volume Rev/hl 2018 HY Net Revenue restated 9
Operating Profit (beia): +1.3% Organic Growth +2.9% €m +1.3% €m -7.1% 1,805 1,754 2017 HY Operating profit Consolidation impact Currency translation Organic growth 2018 HY Operating profit (beia) (beia) 10
HY2018 Operating Profit (beia) margin -118 bps Main drivers of variation -42 bps Consolidation of Kirin Brasil with stronger 17.5% growth than expected -76 bps 16.3% Input costs per hl increase +3.0% organically, mainly due to adverse transactional currency movements impacting packaging costs Negative translational mix impact from 2017 HY Consolidation Other 2018 HY currencies restated Brasil Kirin 11
FY2018 Operating Profit (beia) Margin update -20 bps Revenue growth is expected to continue and operating profit growth to accelerate in the +25 bps second half on an organic basis Strong performance in Brazil with two effects: In the first five months, the dilutive impact of the consolidation of Kirin Brasil was higher than expected, and for the remainder of the year, the 17.65% 17.4% 17.2% marked acceleration of our combined operations with an operating margin still below group average plays negatively on the mix 2017 FY 2018 FY 2018 FY Negative translational mix impact from restated Expectation Expectation currencies (Feb 2018) (Jul 2018) 12
Diluted EPS (beia) €1.89, +3.8% +3.8% €0.04 +€0.16 €1.89 €1.82 -€0.14 2017 HY Diluted EPS (beia) Consolidation impact Currency translation Organic growth 2018 HY Diluted EPS (beia) 13
Full Year Outlook Economic conditions are expected to remain volatile and we assume a negative impact from currency comparable to 2017 Revenue growth is expected to continue and operating profit growth to accelerate in the second half on an organic basis We are updating our operating profit margin guidance for the full year to a decrease of approximately 20 bps We expect an average interest rate (beia) broadly in line with 2017 (2017: 3.0%), and an effective tax rate (beia) of around 28% (2017: 27.6%). Capital expenditure related to property, plant and equipment should be slightly above €2 billion (2017: €1.7 billion). 14
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