2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
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Contents 3 CONTENTS 4 LIST OF TABLES 4 LIST OF BOXES 5 GLOSSARY 6 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 9 INTRODUCTION 9 GROWTH STORY INTACT 10 OMAN BANKING SECTOR–DYNAMICS & DRIVERS 11 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN – FORECASTS, OUTLOOK AND REALITIES 12 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN: START-TO-DATE 14 Reviewing Deposits Side-Products- 14 Income Determination & Profit Distribution Practices- Market Discipline 15 Reviewing the Asset Side 17 STRATEGIC DIMENSIONS 17 Is it more than a Three Horse Race? 17 The Sacrosanct Shariah Compliance 18 Principled Stand – Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework 18 Trade Based Products Structures 19 Islamic Banking Windows: Efficiencies or Cannibalization? 20 The 60-40 Strategy – Islamic Banks to Benchmark the Scales 21 The Big opportunity In the Small Enterprise Segment 22 Earnings Dynamics 22 Optimizing the Capital 23 CONCLUSION 3
List of Tables ................................ ......... 11 Projections on the Islamic Banking Industry Size quantified in terms of Assets 13 .... Bank – wise details of Assets, Equity, Deposits, Financing, Profitability and Deposit Rates Disclosures ........... 16 Retail or corporate financing side products along with their underlying Islamic Finance Contract 20 A review of convention banks, Segment-wise breakup of asset and deposit, yields and capital adequacy List of Boxes 1 …………………………………………………………………….……………………………….…Recent Regulatory Directives – CBO 2 ………………………………………………………………………..……………………….……………………….Meehaq, the Maverick! 3………………………….………………………………………………………….Dispersion of Product Weights- Does it Matter? 4……………………………..……..………..…….…….Investment Deposits Accounts –Distributing Net or Gross Profit? 5………………………………….……………….…….………………………………..Maisarah – Breaking the Murabaha Mould 6…………………………………..............Shariah Compliance for Murabaha – Trade Transaction in Letter & Spirit 7……………………………………..……….….….………………………………………….Non Existent Salam & Istisna Products 8……………………………………………..……..….…………….Capital Adequacy Standards: Tailored to Islamic Banks 4
Executive Summary The fledgling yet vibrant Islamic Banking industry in Oman, has lately been attracting a lot of attention for its vigorous legislative, regulatory and market developments. Right from the time, when in 2011 a Royal Decree was issued to incorporate Islamic Financial System, which paved way for the promulgation of regulatory framework, and subsequent realization of 2 Independent Banks and Six window operations operating in the Monarchy - a lot has been written on the prospects and the promise that Islamic Banking in Oman has got to offer. Presently, almost all of the eight Islamic Banking Institutions (IBIs) in Oman have completed an year of operation, and account for a signifcant 3.24% (OMR 745 Bn) of the overall Banking Assets in the country. This stipulates the need to factually assess the performance of IBI’s against the visualized goals, to identify prospects, gaps, challenges and impediments and align the strategy to address them. “Islamic Banking in Oman: Present State & The Way Forward ” (the paper) take a descriptive and exploratory approach to encompass the progress of Islamic Banking in Oman in the backdrop of the dynamics of local economy and the overall Banking Industry. An objective, as well as a strategic review of the Banking Industry is carried out to identify the the opportunity pockets and challenges for the nascent faith based format of Banking. In the first section, the paper describes the overall economic scene and its growth dynamics. The following section, presents an illustrustation to define the structure of Omani Banking Industry with a thorough segment wise breakup of asset and liabilities, advance to deposit ratio, leverage, capital adequacy, spreads and efficiencies. In its effort to relate the expectations and realities, a cross-section interpretive analysis of the future projections by Moody’s, Ernst & Young and Arqaam Capital is carried out, to develop their grounding in the present facts. In a later section titled ‘The Sixty-Forty Strategy’, an insightful discussion on strategic implications and recommendation, based on the circuitous and interdependent relationship of deposit and asset mix, Capital Adequacy and the overall efficiency of a bank is also presented. The benchmarks of the existing conventional banking industry, would enable Islamic Banks to sway their strategic goals, while they follow their respective organic growth. As an indicative yardstick, it can serve as an overarching frame to avoid any major deviations in shape costly deposit mix or lower- than-the-optimum credit portfolio. 7
The value of the paper is driven by the comprehensive and exhaustive presentation of Financial information, product analysis, profit rates, balance sheet and revenue structures, followed by intuitive analysis to elaborate the strategic and operational dimension of all the eight IBI’s operating in Oman. A detailed ‘compare and contrast’ commentary, on the deposit and financing side products being offered, their underlying shariah contracts is being presented. In all its rigor, the paper not only explores the progress of overall Islamic Banking industry, but also highlights the performance and distinctive features of Individual IBI. “Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework” (IBRF) issued by the Central Bank, is maintained as a pivotal reference through out the paper, to examine the operations and offerings of the IBIs and underscore the key driver of performance, innovations and probable limitations. In the conclusive section of “Strategic Dimensions”, the paper seeks to outline strategic insights (and perhaps future directions) based on competitive positioning, success drivers, product innovations, operational limitations for the manager of Omani IBIs. In its intuitive pursuit, the study also portends practical intricacies in Shariah Compliance, Deposit Pool Management and asset liability management, that IBIs in Oman would come across. The strategic dimensions presented are backed by cases, constructs, propositions and artifacts driven from domestic banking industry or Islamic Banking experience in other jurisdiction. The paper in its pragmatic approach, quotes and elaborate the anomalous growth and the daring business model of Meethaq, the principled stance of the regulator, the product innovation of Maisarah, the opportunity in the SME segment, Shariah Compliant structures to exploit trade intensive and specially non-oil trade in Oman’s economy. Shortly, the reader would surely find this paper useful in developing a perspective of Islamic Banking Industry in its independent capacity, as well as a subset of the broader Financial Intermediation scene in Oman. 8
Introduction Oman has been one of recent entrants into Islamic Banking and Finance scene, with a well established regulatory framework roll out and a nascent industry players comprising of two Independent Islamic Bank (IIB) and 5 Islamic Banking (IBW). Ever since the Royal Decree adjusting the banking law to allow the shariah compliant format of banking was announced, competition has been seen tough among the local banks themselves. Apart from the two fully integrated Islamic banks -- Bank Nizwa and Al izz bank -- the country's biggest commercial banks have also set up their own Islamic banking windows which iclude Bank Muscat’s Meethaq, National Bank of Oman’s - Muzn. Bank of Sohar’s - Sohar Islamic, BankDhofar’s Maisarah, Ahlibank – Hilal Islamic and Oman Arab Bank’s - Yusr have been announced. A lot has been written on the prospects, potential and promise of Islamic Banking in this GCC Country, with analysts generally optimistic on the overall growth of the industry both in terms absolute Islamic Assets as well as market share. Oman has been classified as an oil-rich economy, heavily dependent on the dwindling oil resources, which sourced around 80% of its revenue in 2012 (S&P, Dec 2013). Thus, aligned with its regional peers Oman's economy and external position stands exposed to commodity prices. However the government has been framing all sorts of initiatives to diversify into non-oil economy (tourism and mining primarily) by means of high investment supported by higher public and private consumption. Oman is a youthful Muslim monarchy with strong faith driven population as benchmarked by World Banks realist index of 97%. The official numbers for the population is 2.78 Mn (World Bank, 2011) Growth Story Intact The Sultanate’ favorable demographics (60 % of the population is between the age of 15 to 45 years) coupled with a pro growth and employment backdrop, augur well for the fortunes of the financial sector. The GDP growth during 2000 to 2012 has averaged around 5.6%. Recent government regulations raising minimum wages and expanding employment amongst the masses have also been supportive of consumption and the deposit base of the nation’s banks. This has also translated positively into a 10% YOY growth in banking Assets to surpass OMR 23 Bn mark. In recent years, a recovery in the prices of crude oil and production coincided to enable supportive government expenditure and an accommodative monetary policy portending well for growth in the country and its banks. Expectations of a continuing expansionary fiscal policy to sustain the current momentum in growth, provide an optimistic outlook for the medium term future. Obvious risks include a 9
substantial fall in oil prices. However, years of fiscal prudence have yielded adequate reserves to ensure continued pro-growth initiatives remain unhampered, even in the event of a mild fiscal deficit. The Eighth Five-Year Development Plan (2011-15) emphasizes a large public investment program. Non-oil activities are expected to grow by an annual rate of 6 percent at constant prices, according to the CBO, and private sector involvement through domestic and foreign private investment is expected to complement government spending. With estimates for the future dwarfing the past activity, USD 50 billion is projected to be spent over the next 10 years, of which USD 28 billion is expected to be awarded between 2013 and 2015 driving growth and the resultant credit off-take in the nation. Oman Banking Sector–Dynamics & Drivers Prima facie, Oman has a thriving, efficient and stable financial intermediation system, with a high Advance to deposit ratio and is deeply rooted into private retail and corporate sector. Around 63% of the deposit is raised from the private sector, which is re-channeled to the private sector to an even higher level of 84% in shape of credit outlay. The illustration below describes the breakup and distribution of the nation’s Banking Industry. Structure of Oman Banking Industry – Equity, Leverage, Breakup of Financing and Deposit Activity & Efficiency [Data is sourced from CBO’s Annual Report 2012 and Monthly Report February 2014] The total Banking assets in Oman are around OMR 23.20 Bn with a breakup of an equity of OMR 2.67 and deposits of OMR 16.47 Bn(CBO Annual Report 2012 & Monthly Report February 2014). Total credit of OMR Rs 15.38 Bn turns it into 93% Advance to Deposit Ratio (ADR) banking sector. More encouraging is the fact that OMR 13Bn (out of OMR 15 Bn) is channeled into private sector. Albiet a small population, households (despite being a small population) contribute heavily on both on the deposits and asset side. 10
Box-1 Recent Regulatory Directives – CBO A lot of useful insights can be drawn to identify opportunity The central bank has been actively tweaking the reigns of the Banking industry, to ensure stability pockets, potential challenges and discrepancies by modeling it and efficiency of the financial system. A summary of against the existing banking industry’s norms. directives by Central Bank of Oman (CBO) are as follows: Islamic Banking in Oman – Action/Directives Detail Ceiling on Personal Loan Decreased from Pricing 8.5% to 7% Forecasts, Outlook and Realities Minimum SME Lending for banks set at 5% Overall Portfolio Capping on Decreased to 35% A lot has been touted and perhaps speculated about the Personal Loan from 40% Islamic Banking and markets appetite based on regional Capping on Housing Portfolio Increased to 15% Relaxed from 10% market growth stories (e.g. Qatar, KSA, UAE etc). These projections are broadly, based on cognitive reveries, heuristics and optimism driven by broad generalizations and the growth stories from the past - Without much reference to the dynamics of the local banking industry, regulatory paradigm and balance sheet structures. To quote a few, Moody’s reports are optimistic for Islamic Banking in the Oman making a ballpark projection in its ability to grab six to eight per cent share of system assets within the next three to five years. Quantifying this verdict by Moody’s, Islamic Banking assets should reach around OMR 3 Bn mark, assuming 10% YOY growth of overall Banking assets, 8% penetration of Islamic Banking in a period of 5 years. Ernst & Young’s on the other hand settles-in with a conservative stance, and see it surmounting USD 6.00 Bn (OMR 2.3 Bn) in a matter of few years. Arqaam Capital Research, which is a Dubai based outfit foresee turns out with the most optimistic, professing that by 2017 IBI would generate around 15 per cent of all loans by 2017. Table 1: Projections on the Islamic Banking Industry Size quantified in terms of Assets Research Origin Claimed Estimates – Projection * IB Industry Asset size (Bn OMR) Ernst and Young Islamic Banking to reach USD 6 Bn in next few years. [Assuming 5 years i.e. 2018] 2.3 Moodys IBI to grab six to eight per cent share of system assets within the next three to 3.00 five years i.e 2018. [Assuming 8% share in 5 years] Arqaam Capital Islamic financial institutions as a whole will generate around 15 per cent of all loans IB Credit = 3.35 by 2017. IB Total Assets = 5.05 * The quantification of the broad estimates by various research companies has been based on Oman Banking Industry-wide norms such as Leverage of 8x, ADR of 93%, YOY growth of 10% etc. A careful factual review of the footings and projected growth of Islamic Banking Industry based on ground fact, Industry dynamics and consumer profile appears to be non-existant. This study reviews the present 11
Box-2 Meethaq, the Maverick! state of Islamic Banks (mostly operational for 1 to 4 Bank Muscat’s window Meethaq (with a meager capital of 20.00 Mn) has been very quick to inflate its balance sheet to quarters), tries to model the growth and progress against leverage over 10X against the overall industry norm of 8X the industry benchmarks, with due weightage to the leverage. Interestingly, this steep growth is primarily attributed to its inherited musharaka (retail housing) Islamic Banking specifities. portfolio amounting to OMR 168 Mn which later has grown up to a level of OMR 280.66 Mn as of Dec 2013. The asset side Islamic Banking in Oman: is dominated by long-term musharaka portfolio (referred above), on the other hand the unusual growth in deposit built up on the balance sheet is mainly comprising of deposits from Start-to-Date Banks and Financial Institutions which contribute OMR 134 Mn whereas the remaining OMR 66 Mn have been driven from Oman Islamic Banking industry, with an initial equity the government sector. With over 7 branches, the bank has not been able to mobilize any significant retail or private base of OMR 348.5 Bn and a branch network of 32 sector deposits till Dec 2013. Branches representing two Independent Islamic Bank This idiosyncratic and perhaps artificial balance sheet and Six Islamic Banking windows has managed to grab a structure makes it a difficult situation for the asset-liability maturity profile to manage, wherein 65% of the assets are noticable 3.24% share of the overall Banking assets. over 5 years maturity, which is alarmingly funded by a very Interestingly, the Islamic Banking industry is operating at low maturity deposit. This eventually leads to Asset Liability mismatches, as reported on their balance sheets. an Advance-to-Deposit ration of over 129%, which is well However, given the monopolistic penetration and legacy that above the overall banking industry average of 93%. its parent bank enjoys with over 38% of the market share, shouldn’t be posing much of a trouble to tweak the matter. These advances, predominantly are retail and real estate Moreover, the high yield (6.3%) that this retail musharaka centric, but would hopefully rationalize as the Industry asset, keep its affordable for the bank to manage its liquidity even through interbank markets wherein it can engage takes on the momentum. The progress should be viewed relatively low cost liquidity, while keeping its spreads intact. in the backdrop of the embryonic phase, that Oman The uniqueness of Meethaq doesn’t ends here, when the bank being smart enough, recognized the troubles ahead and Banking industry is going through. unveiled it’s yet another out-of-the-box strategy. Instead of The Islamic Asset base of OMR 745 Mn is largely going for aggressive deposit mobilization to rationalize its deposit mix, the bank opted for an altogether distinctive route. dominated by Meethaq (IBW of Bank Muscat) with 40% In an extra-ordinary Board meeting held recently, the board share. But this may not come as a surprise as Bank announced the setup of OMR 500 Mn SUKUK program for Meethaq. This can be viewed as an innovative business Model, Muscat happens to claim equally dominant share (38%) where the bank instead maintaining saving and term deposit accounts can use a flexible sukuk structure to fund its assets. of the overall banking assets as well. As of December 2014, not much can be seen on the core banking Albeit, all of its break through innovation, the Bank is not losing sight of the core banking business lines. The bank activities in shape of retail deposits mobilization or intends to expand its branch network to 15 branches to private sector lending. Nevertheless, the stage is all set ensure its outreach to consumer base for the get-set-go thrust, with all sorts products launched, branches functioning, IT infrastructure and Human resource in place. The table below , takes a micro view of the bank-wise core activity, by presenting financial statements data on equity, deposits & financing breakup and number of branches as measure of physical outreach. Additionally, this table also 12
elaborate on the deposit profit management practices by presenting profit-sharing ratio, absolute profit rates offered, deposit product weights assigned and most interestingly %age dispersion of the weights across various deposit product. Table 2: Bank-wise details of Assets, Equity, Deposits, Financing, Profitability and Deposit Rates Disclosures NIZWA ALIZZ MEETHAQ SOHAR MUZN HILAL Al Yusr MAISARAH Total NATURE Independent Window Bank Bank Sohar National Al Ahli Oman Bank Muscat Bank Bank of Islamic Arab Dhofar Oman Bank Bank Equity (OMR - Mn) 150 100 26 10 15 25 10 12.5 348.5 Initiated on Dec '13 Sept13 Jan '13 Apr '13 Jan '13 Dec 13 Jul '13 March '13 Deposit Base (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole numbers As of Dec ‘13 Dec‘13 Dec ‘13 Dec ‘13 Sept ‘13 Dec ‘13 Sept ‘13 Sept ‘13 Current 13 0.5 4.6 3.7 1.4 5.5 NA 1.968 30.668 Savings/Timed 6.9 0.6 Saving: 10.4 15.6 15.1 4.0 NA 264.6 Term: 212.0 Financing Assets (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole numbers Consumer 12.0 0.5 275.61 9.5 8.3 36 0.2 10.092 352.202 Commercial 3.703 5.1 20.4 29.203 Total Assets (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole number * (assumed as sum of equity and deposits, incase of data unavailibility) 170 100 298.3 52 25.1 75.2 10* 14.4* 745 Profits (OMR in Mn) rounded to one decimal place (2.405) (3.232) 6.2 (0.65) (0.6) (0.3) (0.5) (1.3) (2.787) Profit sharing Ratio Bank:Depositor 50:50 NA 80:20 70:30 NA NA NA NA Number of Branches 7 2 7 3 2 7 2 2 32 Product Participation Weights [1 Month to 12 Month ] a) 1M 45 NA 0.3 0.14 NA NA NA NA NA b) 12M 70 NA 2.0 0.21 NA NA NA NA NA Absolute Rates Offered *1M 0.42 NA 0.15 NA NA NA NA NA - 12M 0.95 NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA - % Dispersion = (b-a)/a x100 56% NA 567% 50% - - - - - *For simplification 1M versus 12M weightages have been taken, ignoring the volume based categorization. Table - 2 13
Reviewing Deposits Side-Products- Most of the innovation has been seen on the deposit side, and very rightly so as it takes deposits for banks to lend and earn profits. Almost all of the IBBs and windows have well defined call, timed, remunerative and non-remunerative deposit products, bundled with other benefits aligned to the targeted customer base. Box-3 Dispersion of Product Weights- Does it Broadly, deposits are mobilized on the underlying contract matter? of Qardh (for Current Account) and Mudaraba (for savings The product-wise weights is a bank’s management and terms deposits). discretionary tool, and can be craftfully used to tune in the deposit profit rate profile. As a thumb rule Income Determination & Profit higher tenor/volume deposit classes gets the higher weightages, translating in to higher profit Distribution Practices- Market rates. In effect, the spread of the weights from the normal saving account vis-à-vis higher term/volume Discipline account, can be indicative of the bank’s inclination for longer term/higher volume depositor. However, Meethaq and Nizwa have taken the lead, with well irrationally high dispersion leads to a disadvantaged commoner which is somewhat articulated and properly disclosed Profit sharing ratio, viewed to be incoherent to the Shariah Ideals. product wise weightages and respective yields across Similar instances of unreasonable weightages have been addressed in Pakistan by the Central Bank various time-volume based slabs. Nizwa Bank and Meethaq directive which says “The maximum weightage to presentation and disclosure of profit distribution the Mudaraba based deposit of any nature, tenor and amount shall not exceed 3 times of the management has been extremely transparent and regularly 1 weightages assigned to saving deposits” . It is worth highlighting here that for Meethaq this updated, with monthly disclosures along with the reporting spread multiple is as high as 6.7x. The dispersion of of profit sharing ratio (PSR). In terms of PSR, Meethaq seeks weights (as presented in the table above) of 567% against its peers (Sohar Islamic and Nizwa Bank) the highest Mudarib’s share i.e. up to 80% of the income. average of 50%, might cause some concern to the Commendably, Meethaq took a step further towards the bank and its depositor. This is evident from the uncompetitive profit rate of 0.15% offered by transparency by publishing the participation weightages Meethaq being hugely dwarfed by Nizwa Bank in the 1 Month Term Deposit category. assigned to the banks equity contributed to the Mudaraba Pool along with balances in Profit Equalization Reserves. Except of Nizwa, Meethaq and Sohar, none of the Islamic banking operations have had formal disclosures of deposit products related disclosure on their website, not even the basic profit sharing ratio, despite of the fact that almost all of them have mobilized mudaraba based deposits as reflected on their balance sheets. In contrast to many regional jurisdictions, and in compliance with AAOIFI and CBO’s IBRF, the Investors Account Holder Equity has been reported separately between the liabilities and shareholder equity, instead of being reported as a mere liability, considering its Profit Loss sharing of the underlying mudaraba contract. 14
Box-4 Investment Deposits Accounts –Distributing Net or Gross Profit? Tieing up with Takaful Services to bundle Bancatakaful CBO’s IBRF has adapted Gross income method as a standard products and provide Takaful coverage for consumer for income determination and profit distribution to Investment base has also been picking up lately in Oman Islamic Account holder. However, there is another (AAOIFI defined) income distribution method called Net income method, Banking scene. Meethaq, being the first Islamic Banking wherein the net income including the fee based income, Operation in the sultanate which packaged a adjusted for management overheads is subjected to profit distribution to depositor. This method may have been a viable Bancatakful product suite on its offerings. Recently, choice, especially for an emerging market, like that of Oman with scarce liquidity management venues and a developing Maisarah has also announced its collaboration with Al- lending book. Both the methods come with their own inherent Madina Takaful to offer Bancatakaful services. trade-offs. Nevertheless, this option might have added to the sustainability and stability of the nascent Islamic Banking Reviewing the Asset Side Industry in the region. As a trade-off, Displaced commercial risk, could have been a concern, which arises when the bank Broadly, the asset side products have been design for isn’t able to offer market competitive returns. retail and SME/Corporate clientele, wherein Vehicle Implications Trade-offs of including fee based income versus Finance, Home Finance, Credit Cards, Personal Finance Management Overheads is a strategic balance to strike, are offered for the retail segment. Corporate/SME however the method of ‘Gross income method’ has been prevalent across all major Islamic Banking Jurisdiction, and segment on the other hand, comprises of trade, rationalizes the choice of CBO. working capital and term/project finance. A deeper Nevertheless, it is important to note here that the generally in- loss Islamic Banks/windows in Oman, with almost no fee analysis of the product offerings reveals that the based income streams and relatively higher overheads on their Profit and Loss Statement. This situation turns in to a overall industry seems to have general consensus over relatively disadvantaged equity shareholder with negative the product structures and their respective underlying EPS, in comparison to an earning Investment Account Holder. Further, it would be based on a fairness principle on shariah contract; i.e. Murabaha for Vehicle Finance & the depositor as well as the Banks. Working Capital Finance & Ijarah for term financing to the corporates. Conversely, the case of Home finance is somewhat diversified with Banks employing Murabaha, Ijarah, Diminishing Musharaka, Istisna and even Sale - Lease Back. Interestingly, Personal Financing has only been Box-5 on the shelves of Nizwa Bank and Alizz Islamic Bank offered on Maisarah – Breaking the Murabaha Mould the basis Murabaha and Ijarah. It is only Meethaq and Alizz which Bank Dhofar’s Maisarah, though haven’t been are offering Credit Cards, on the basis of Ujrah and Murabaha, on top of it, in terms of numbers with 2 claiming it to be interest component, but with not much details branches and equity of OMR 12.5 Mn, nevertheless have been amongst the few, not of the product processflows. Meethaq Bank retained its only in Oman but across the world, who have eccentricity by offerings Home Financing solution, with an been able to break the Murabaha Mould. Maisarah, boasting of its inclination for the underlying contract based on Diminishing Musharaka, against the ideals of Islamic Finance has launched Mudarabah (equity based profit loss sharing model) based Working capital financing solution for its commercial banking product suite. 15
prevalent norm of employing Ijarah/Forward Ijarah for housing finance as adapted by the rest of the Industry players. The table below would present an overview of retail or corporate financing side products, on the showcase of all the Islamic Banking operations in Oman. Retail Finance Products SME / Corporate Financing Products Car Home Personal Credit Working Infrastru Long Term Treasury Finance Finance Financing/ Card Capital cture – Project Financing Finance Finance NIZWA Ijarah/ Ijarah/Muraba NO* NO NO NO NO Murabaha ha Murabaha ALIZZ Murabaha Ijarah Services Murabaha Murabaha IMB/Forw Sale & Lease Waad- Ijaraha/ /IMB Ijarah Back /DM Forward Murabaha Contract Meethaq Murabaha Diminishing NO Ujrah Murabaha Ijarah DM ND Musharaka Maisarah NWA*** NWA NWA NWA Musharaka* NWA NWA NWA (Press release) Sohar ND Ijarah/ NWA NO NWA NWA NWA NWA Murabaha [Press Release] Yusr Murabaha/ DM NO NO Murabaha Ijarah NO NO Ijarah Al-Ahli Murabaha Murabaha/I NO NO ND ND ND ND MB/DM/Istis na Muzn Murabaha IMB/ Sale NO NO Murabaha IMB / and Lease Forward Back for Ijarah/ Conversion Sale- Leaseback Table 3: Retail or corporate financing side products along with their underlying Islamic Finance Contract *NO - Product Not Offered ** ND - Product offered on the Bank’s Website/press, but underlying Shariah contract Not Disclosed *** NWA - No website available DM- Diminishing Musharaka , IMB – Ijarah Muntahia Bi Tamlik 16
Strategic Dimensions Now, that the stage is all set for the almost all of the eight Islamic Banking players, the next few years are going to be critical in shaping up the industry scene. There are a lot of strategic dimension to it including the legacy of the existing banks (operating through windows), regulatory stance, product innovation, targeting of niche segments, cross selling or Banking the unbanked and most importantly the Shariah governance and assurance. Would it be Windows or the Independent Banks that are going to thrive? Varying opinion prevail on this, with some weighing more to windows having the inherent advantage of infrastructure, penetration and scale efficiencies. Whereas, others perceive it to be a three horse race, with Nizwa, Alizz and Meethaq leading the market share. Is it more than a Three Horse Race? Dubai-based Arqaam Capital Research predicts that Bank Muscat will have 36 per cent of the country’s Islamic banking market by 2017, followed by Nizwa with 33 per cent and Alizz with 23 per cent. This is an interesting claim on the face of it, as Meethaq has the lowest equity of OMR 26 Mn against OMR 150 Mn of Nizwa and OMR 100 Mn of Alizz. However the present state of affair, validates the lofty assertions on Meethaq made by the research company. Arqaam further suggested that remaining 8 percent shall be shared by Sohar, Maisarah and Muzn, with no mention of Oman Arab Bank’s Yusr. It would be premature to drive any generalization about the market shares of the Eight Box-6 players, given the vigor and enthusiasm that have been exhibited Shariah Compliance for Murabaha – by them. However, in the longer term it would be the shariah Trade Transaction in Letter & Spirit compliance, product innovation and the service level that would CBO’s IBRF stipulates that the invoice issued by the supplier will be in the name of the create the difference. Licensee i.e. Islamic Bank, as the commodity would be purchased by an agent on behalf of The Sacrosanct Shariah Compliance the Licensee" Islamic Banking is a fresh endeavor in Oman, creating its early The compliance of this clause may not be difficult in case house hold financing (car, impressions on the consumer base. The regulator has taken a house etc), however this is going to be a stringent, yet principled instance on Shariah Compliance (most challenge in case of SME and Commercial Lending, wherein mass procurement of raw prominent being the use of tawaruq and commodity murabaha), material is being financed by the bank. As a matter of recurring business practice, invoices and now is the turn of Industry to follow. It would be the first are usually raised in the name of the customer mover, in the right direction that is going to turn the tables. A (eventual buyer) and are practically not possible to be raised in favor of the bank (The review of prior research, establishes the fact that ‘Shariah same challenge was faced by Pakistan, while its compliance drive for AAOIFI and has been documented as an exception). 17
Compliance’ is one of the key purchase reasons of Islamic Banks consumer base. Islamic Banks should ensure a meticulous Shariah governance framework vis-à-vis brand image and ensure income cleansing to charity funds with all its due presentation as stipulated by AAOIFI and CBO’s IBRF. Principled Stand – Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework CBO’s IBRF commendably is a comprehensive and a principled framework, which has integrated the best practices and standards from AAOIFI and IFSB etc. A review of the regional regulatory frameworks that have been in the business for decades, would further endorse IBRF’s fullness. Paying full heed to Shariah governance, has recently announced formation of National Shariah Board serving as a supervisor and point of reference, to the boards of individual Islamic banks. Despite of all hue and cry and concerted lobbying efforts, the regulator stood firm by its fundamental stance against the alleged use of commodity murabaha and tawaruq for Short Term Liquidity management. However, the Central Bank being cognizant of the dearth of liquidity management venues (except for Interbank Wakalah arrangement) has relaxed ceilings of foreign placements to the Islamic banks. Besides, the Central Bank is also keen to issue Government Sukuks which may also add up to the options for liquidity management for the local Islamic Banks. Islamic Banks and windows have somewhat sorted out the matter of liquidity management by domestic and offshore interbank wakalah arrangements as reflected on the balance sheets as well. Trade Based Products Structures Oman is a thriving trade economy with overall trade accounting for 103% of the GDP. Export account for OMR 20.05 Bn, whereas Imports amounts to OMR 11.01 Bn. It is worth noting here that, around 30% of the total exports comprises of Non-oil (OMR 3.6 Bn) and re-exports (OMR 2.5 Bn). Besides the large Oil portion, Oman exports comprises of Mineral (OMR 422 Mn), Base Metals (OMR 671 Mn) and interestingly Box-7 OMR 175 Mn was from live cattle. In addition to the mainstream Oil based Trade, Islamic Bank can Non Existent Salam & Istisna Products strike in to the Non-oil trade and re-export segment. Islamic Financing contracts inherently are suited to be applied on trade Surprisingly, none of the Islamic Lenders in transaction. Oman with its huge volumes of documented trade , Oman have offered Corporate Financing products based on Salam or Istisna. It is worth posses an opportunity for Islamic Banks to structure trade financing mentioning here that Salam and Istisna transaction on the basis of Murabaha, Salam and Istisna. Financing is a widely adapted debt based financing contract across various Islamic Re-exports transaction can also be structured either on the basis of Banking Jurisdictions, and has been authorized Murabaha finance to the trader, or back to back Murabaha for the by the CBO’s IBRF. 18
buy side and salam/Istisna for processing and export transaction. Parallel Salam and Istisna may also be structured where the Islamic Bank can capitalize on its independent role as a buyer and seller. Rather then sticking only to the basic Murabaha, a whole suite of shariah compliant trade financing solutions, to cater the needs of Packing, Pre and Post shipment Export Financing and even bill discounting, can be effectively commissioned - In the most compliant manner, and in complete coherence with the covenants of documentary credits. Further, forward covers to hedge currency risk can also be offered to the customer on Waad contract. Wholesale and Retail Trade segment which contributes around OMR 2.2 Bn or 7.3% of the GDP is another potential sector, that Islamic Banks can delve in to is. With sale based product structures Islamic Banks are fully poised to penetrate in to this segment, by offering supply chain financing solution to this segment. It is worth highlighting here that, majority of the trade is sourced in or destined to the neighbouring countries such as India, China, KSA, UAE, with GCC countries accounting for a major share of the trade. Thus, it can be trade sector which can potentially integrate and magnify Oman’s Islamic Banking Scene in to the wider ambit of a Halal Economy. Islamic Banking Windows: Efficiencies or Cannibalization? While, it is generally believed that Islamic windows of existing conve ntional banks will likely be well placed to capture market share, given their ability to leverage much of the existing infrastructure, employees, partly common back office and the brand of the parent franchise – In my personal experience, windows virtually have a limited playfield, with the existing large scale corporates and even the High networth individuals being earmarked as a NO-GO area, if they are already working with their conventional parent bank. Window's endeavors to bid a competitive proposition to penetrate in to the market, is viewed as invasive and tantamounts to cannibalization. There appears to be tacit agreement amongst the C-level management to not to compete from within. For example, one can foresee Bank Muscat's Meetaq experiencing a very limited market, as its parent Bank being the market leader with 38% of the overall market share. It must have been on board with almost all of the large accounts, and might have been graded as a strategic bank by most of the Large scale business enterprises them, owing to its penetration, access, services and scale. This would leave its window ‘Meethaq” with a limited market to dwell-in and may hamper its progress. On the brighter side, it may also turn in to a blessing-in-disguise, with windows pursuing the unbanked and underbanked segments, thus complementing the financial inclusion and broader diversification objectives of the sultanate. 19
The 60-40 Strategy – Islamic Banks to Benchmark the Scales Interestingly, an unweighted mean of the major industry players approximates a 60:40 CASA: Term deposit breakup to be a prevalent norm. Similarly, a 60:40 on the Corporate: Retail Credit portfolio mix has also been observed in the industry. The table below furnishes a sector-wise breakup of asset and deposit in addition to yield and capital adequacy measures. Table 4:A review of convention banks, Segment-wise breakup of asset and deposit, yields and capital adequacy Industry Bank Bank Bank National Bank of Al-Ahli Averages Muscat Dhofar Sohar Oman Bank (Unweighted) Deposit CASA (% of 42.0 64 39 38 46 23 Distribution total) (% of total) Term (% of 58.0 36 61 62 54 77 total) Loan Distribution Corporate 58.2 61 59 67 51 53 Retail 41.8 39 41 33 49 47 Returns ROE % 14.5 14.3 13.7 14.7 13.9 15.8 ROA % 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 2.1 Assets:Equity 8.2 7.14 7.3 9.6 9.3 7.7 RWA:Asset % 100.2% 93 101 95 109 103 Fee Income: Net Income % 51.4 59 36 45 72 45 *Stats sourced from Oman Arab Bank Investment Management Group Report as of October 2013. The variables in the table above are highly interdependent; the deposit mix versus the credit mix defines the spread, which subsequently sets the yield. The credit mix along with the overall leverage drives the capital adequacy, which eventually lay down the overall risk appetite of the bank. As apparent in the example of National Bank of Oman (NBO) wherein the Risk Weighted assets (RWA) is significantly higher than the industry averages, probably due to greater share of the retail lending on the asset side. The 60-40 benchmark may enable Islamic Banks to sway their strategic goals, while they follow their respective organic growth. As an indicative yardstick, it can be an overarching frame to avoid any major deviations in shape costly deposit mix or lower-than-the-optimum credit portfolio. Moreover, the overall industry is leveraged around 8 times the equity, which can be used to make a ballpark estimate of the future industry size to be around OMR 2,700 Mn at the present equity levels of OMR 334 Mn. The size of around OMR 3 Bn (or 8% of the Banking Assets share in 5 years) is also coherent with the earlier estimates made on the basis of Moody’s and E&Y expectations. 20
The Big opportunity In the Small Enterprise Segment Around 91,000 SMEs are known to operate in Oman contributing 13.8% to the GDP. The regulator recognizing the significance of has directed to lend to SME for at least 5% of their aggregate Advances. On the conventional banking front, Bank Muscat apparently has the most established, well-staffed and branded as “Al-Wathbah-” product suite on offer for SME including working capital, equipment, Point-of- sale receivables, contract and Trade Financing products. Box-8 MoCI’s SME Loan Guarantee Meethaq, with its legacy of SME/ Transaction banking, and with its Program – Does it Work for Islamic Banks? fast growing deposit base, it is apparently very well positioned to Ministry of Commerce and Industry (MOCI) is exploit the SME potential on the Shariah compliant modes as well. operating a Loan-Guarantee program with Oman Arab Bank and Bank Muscat as its For an emergent Islamic Banking, SME segment is especially channel partners, wherein 50% of loan amount is guaranteed and bank’s earn 6% on suitable as it offers smaller per party risk exposures topped by the remainder 50% of the loan, turning it in to higher yield, and thus furnishes a well diversified and fragmented a 3% subsidized loan to SME obligor. Shariah Compliant products can be structured for portfolio. such subsidized financing by Islamic Banks in Oman (as has been rolled-out in other Moreover, Islamic Banking can provide a reasonable thrust to the jurisdiction, for example Islamic Export Refinance Scheme is offered in Pakistan to Country’s vision towards a lower oil dependency and diversification extend subsidized funding to preferred Export sector. This is achieved by means of towards non-oil GDP. With Private sector Credit almost half the Musharaka Pool between the State Bank of GDP, 96% Muslim population - Islamic Banking is fully poised to Pakistan and the channel Bank, which subsequently extend the financing to the mobilize financial inclusion of the faith driven SME segments, and borrower through Shariah Compliant mode of subsequent growth of the unorthodox and perhaps ignored Murabaha, Istisna or Salam. This would enable Islamic Bank to penetrate swiftly in to business sectors such fisheries and agriculture. a large base of SME segments, by offering partly guaranteed financing on a very attractive pricing. The SME's segment generally is graded as relatively more faith driven and have been considered sizably unbanked in Oman (Bank Muscat, SME Presentation 2012). Furthermore, the purpose driven and asset backed nature of Shariah compliant products, makes it good fit for Islamic Banks to penetrate in to this segment. For the Islamic Lender, the trade based nature of working capital financing, provides an opportunity of referral marketing. The bank through its existing clientele tends to get introduced to either its Supplier (Murabaha) or Buyer (Salam/Istisna). Besides, this segment also offers cross sell opportunities including, payroll accounts, personal financing bundled for the staffing etc. 21
Earnings Dynamics Banking Sector in Oman reportedly enjoy a handsome spread of around 4.2% with weighted average cost of deposits of 1.177 and whereas the corresponding lending yields 5.4%. The higher spread may be attributable of to a lucrative deposit distribution, with one third of zero cost deposit and a similar fraction in low cost saving account. On the asset side, over 45% of the credit flows to the highly rewarding household portfolio. Though the regulator has been careful on rationalizing the household credit portfolio by capping the consumer portfolio overall pricing and diverting the flow to House loan from general personal lending products. Box-9 Capital Adequacy Standards: It is evident that Oman’s banking industry is heavily reliant on the Tailored to Islamic Banks fee based income averaging around 50% of the net income. The IBRF underscores the Central Bank's Despite of all its peculiarities, the existing tried and tested creditable recognition of the unique risk structural norms of the conventional counterpart, offers a lot to profile of Islamic Bank, and its directives for Capital Adequacy tailored to be consistent learn for the Islamic Banks. with Basel as well as IFSB's guidelines. The IFSB’s pragmatic approach to incorporate the In view of the above, Islamic Banks should be targeting fee based Profit loss sharing nature of the Investment account holder funds, with a certain degree of income, by pushing cross sell initiatives, customer oriented service Displaced Commercial Risk (as measured by the variable 'Alpha'), would ease out the levels to route highest ancillary business through its counters. capital adequacy requirement (CAR). The Technology services and conventional commission and processing 'Alpha' is supposedly set on supervisory discretion and Oman's IBRF has taken a fee based income as apparently is going to be a critical factor in moderate path (as compared to regional the overall efficiency of IB industry in Oman. jurisdiction) by fixing it to 0.3). It is pertinent to mention here that Alpha oscillate in Optimizing the Capital between 0 to 1 range with Alpha=1 implying an Investment Deposits to behave like a fixed A critical review of the risk weighted assets (RWA) as a percentage return and capital guaranteed deposit and Alpha=0 refers to a perfect Profit Loss sharing of the actual assets reveals that higher credit portfolio outlay to Mudaraba based investment. the retail segment leads to greater RWA and thus pressures the Implications capital adequacy of the Bank. It is the same reason that makes As referred earlier, the easing out of the CAR, bigger Banks like Bank Muscat and Bank Sohar with retail would supposedly have direct and positive impact on the overall efficiency of the Islamic portfolio in 30 to 40% band enjoy relaxed capital adequacy ratio Banks, as it enable better allocation of the expensive capital in to profitable venues. owing to lesser RWA. On a broad-brush basis, IBs in Oman should Central Banks of Oman (CBO) posed Alpha of be capping retail/house hold lending to 40 to 45% levels to 30% optimizes/relaxes its capital adequacy (with a floor requirement of 12% as set out in optimize their risk adjusted yield and overall risk appetite. IBRF), and thus better risk adjusted returns and risk appetite. In the backdrop of such balanced CAR regulations, IB’s managements are expected to carry out smart and efficient allocation of the capital for an optimum risk adjusted 22 return on the overall portfolio.
Conclusion With eight IBIs and their 32 branches, as asset base of OMR 745.00 Mn, Equity of 349.00 Mn, Deposits of 295.00 Mn and Advances of 381.00 Mn in their very first year of operation, it would be safe to claim that Islamic Banking Industry has taken off, and taken off well. The journey from here onwards would surely depend much on IBIs striking the right balance, based on many factors including niche marketing, product innovation, market segment identification, capital and yield optimization, regulatory and Shariah governance. This paper has envisaged a pragmatic and action-oriented outlook of Islamic Banking Industry in Oman, with a solid grounding in facts. An individual as well cross sectional examination of the IBIs is presented, to review its convergence with the overall financial scene, and derive strategic imperatives. This study features the ideas for product innovation for SME and trade segments, trends and gaps in financing products, anomalies in investment deposit profit management, and implications of regulatory directives pertinent to IBIs in Oman. Moreover, prevailing industry norms, products, deposit and financing mix, profitability drivers have also been deliberated. Indeed it is going to be the right move, in the right direction that would certainly take Omani Banking Industry to newer heights. 23
Islamic Banking in Oman Today and the Way Forward A SPECIAL REPORT
OMAN Above: Mosaic detailing in the Sultan Qaboos Grand Mosque, Muscat, Oman (Philip Lange). Cover: Entrance to the Sultan Qaboos Grand Mosque (Ivan Pavlov). In this first of a two-part special, Muhammad Omani banking law to allow the Shari’ah-compliant format of banking was announced, competition has Arsalan Aqeeq reviews the progress of Islamic been seen tough among the local banks. finance in Oman since inception in 2011. Apart from the two fully integrated Islamic banks – Bank Nizwa and al izz bank – the country’s I leading commercial banks have also set up their n 2011 a Royal Decree was issued to establish own Islamic banking windows, including: an Islamic financial system, which paved the • alhilal Islamic ahlibank way for the promulgation of a regulatory • Maisarah Bank Dhofar framework, and the subsequent establishment • Meethaq Bank Muscat of two independent banks and six window operations • Muzn National Bank of Oman in the Sultanate. • Sohar Islamic Bank Sohar The Sultanate of Oman is one of the recent • Yusr Oman Arab Bank entrants into the Islamic banking and finance scene, Much has been written on the prospects, potential with a well-established regulatory framework roll- and promise of Islamic Banking in this GCC country, out and nascent industry players comprising of two with analysts generally optimistic on the prospects independent Islamic banks and six Islamic banking for the overall growth of the industry both in terms windows. Since the Royal Decree adjusting the of absolute Islamic assets as well as market share. cont. overleaf www.cpifinancial.net ISSUE 85 | Islamic Business & Finance 21
OMAN cont. from pg 21 oil prices. However, years of fiscal prudence have yielded adequate reserves to ensure continued pro- The fledgling yet vibrant Islamic banking industry in Oman has been growth initiatives remain unhampered, even in the attracting a lot of attention for its vigorous legislative, regulatory and event of a mild fiscal deficit. market developments. Presently, almost all of the eight Islamic banking The Eighth Five-Year Development Plan (2011- institutions (IBIs) in Oman have completed a year of operations, and 15) emphasises a large public investment programme. account for a significant 3.24 per cent (OMR 745 billion) of the overall Non-oil activities are expected to grow by an annual banking assets in the country. rate of six per cent at constant prices, according to This two-part research paper takes a descriptive and exploratory the Central Bank of Oman (CBO), and private sector approach to encompass the progress of Islamic banking in Oman against the backdrop of the dynamics of the local economy and the involvement through domestic and foreign private overall banking industry. An objective, as well as a strategic review of investment is expected to complement government the banking industry is carried out to identify the opportunities and spending. With estimates for the future dwarfing past challenges facing the nascent faith-based format of banking. activity, $50 billion is projected to be spent over the next 10 years, of which $28 billion is expected to be awarded between 2013 and 2015, driving growth Oman has been classified as an oil-rich economy, and the resultant credit off-take in the nation. heavily dependent on dwindling oil resources, which were responsible for around 80 per cent of BANKING SECTOR DYNAMICS & DRIVER its revenue in 2012 (S&P, December 2013). Thus, Prima facie, Oman has a thriving, efficient and aligned with its regional peers, Oman’s economy and external position are exposed to commodity $50 billion stable financial intermediation system, with a high advance-to-deposit ratio and is deeply rooted into prices. However, the Government has been framing is projected the private retail and corporate sectors. Around a variety of initiatives to diversify the non-oil to be spent 63 per cent of deposits are raised from the private economy (tourism and mining primarily) by means of high investment supported by higher public and over the next sector, which is re-channelled to the private sector to an even higher level of 84 per cent in shape of private consumption. 10 years, of credit outlay. Oman is a youthful Muslim monarchy with which $28 Total banking assets in Oman are around OMR a faith-driven population of some 2.78 million (World Bank, 2011). billion is 23.20 billion with a breakup of equity of OMR 2.67 billion and deposits of OMR 16.47 billion. Total expected to credit of OMR 15.38 billion turns it into a 93 per cent GROWTH STORY INTACT be awarded advances-to-deposits ratio (ADR) for the banking sector. The Sultanate’s favourable demographics (60 per cent of the population is between the ages of between More encouraging is the fact that OMR 13 billion (out of OMR 15 billion) is channelled into private sector. 15 to 45 years) coupled with a pro-growth and 2013 and Albeit a small population, households contribute heavily employment backdrop, augur well for the fortunes 2015, driving on both on the deposits and asset side. of the financial sector. Oman’s GDP growth during 2000-2012 averaged around 5.6 per cent. Recent growth and A number of useful insights may be drawn to identify opportunity pockets, potential challenges government regulations raising minimum wages and the resultant and discrepancies by modelling against the existing expanding employment have also been supportive credit off- banking industry’s norms. of consumption and the deposit base of the nation’s banks. This has also translated positively into a 10 take in the ISLAMIC BANKING – FORECASTS AND REALITIES per cent year-on-year growth in banking assets to nation A lot has been touted about Islamic banking and surpass the OMR 23 billion mark. the Omani market’s appetite based on growth In recent years, the strength of the crude oil stories elsewhere in the GCC (e.g. Qatar, KSA, price and rising production have coincided to UAE etc.). These projections are, broadly, based enable supportive government expenditure and on cognitive reveries, heuristics and optimism an accommodative monetary policy portending driven by broad generalisations with but little well for growth in the country and of its banks. reference to the dynamics of the local banking Expectations of a continuing expansionary fiscal industry, regulatory paradigm and balance policy to sustain the current momentum in growth sheet structures. provide an optimistic outlook for the medium-term To quote a few, Moody’s reports are optimistic future. Obvious risks include a substantial fall in for Islamic Banking in Oman, making a ballpark 22 Islamic Business & Finance | ISSUE 85 www.cpifinancial.net
OMAN FIGURE 1: Structure of Oman’s Banking Industry: Equity, Leverage, Financing and Deposit Activity Free Based Income OMR 60 m Net earnings 20% of Net Earnings OMR 305 m Net Spread 4.237% Saving -33% Time -33% Demand -33% Weighted Average Cost of Weighted Average Lending Public Sector Enterprise OMR 2.00 bn Deposits 1.116% Yield 5.353% Deposits - Private Sector 63% Advance: Deposits Household 48% 93.4% Total Credit (TC) OMR 15.38 bn Total Deposits (TD) OMR 16.47 bn Non Financial Corporates 29% Private Sector Credit OMR 13.00 bn Total Banking Assets Household Credit 45% Deposits - Government & OMR 23.20 bn Public Sector - 35.2% Non Financial Corporates 47% Equity Capital OMR 2.67 bn Deposits: Equity Total Assets: Equity 5.7% 7.8% Data Sources: CBO Annual Report 2012, Monthly Report February 2014 projection in its ability to grab six to eight per cent RECENT REGULATORY DIRECTIVES share of system assets within the next three to five years. Quantifying this verdict by Moody’s, Islamic The CBO has been actively tweaking the reins of the banking industry to ensure stability and the efficiency of the financial system. A summary of banking assets should reach around OMR 3 billion, recent CBO directives shows: assuming 10 per cent YOY growth of overall banking assets, eight per cent penetration of Islamic banking Action/Directive Detail in a period of five years. EY (previously Ernst & Young) holds to a more conservative stance, and cut from 8.5 per cent to seven Ceiling on Personal Loan Pricing sees Islamic banking surmounting $6.00 billion per cent (OMR 2.3 billion) in a matter of few years. Arqaam Minimum SME lending for banks set at: five per cent Capital, a Dubai-based investment bank, offers the most optimistic forecast, suggesting that by 2017 cut from 40 per cent to Overall portfolio cap on Personal Loans Islamic banking in Oman would account for around 35 per cent 15 per cent of all loans by 2017. increased to 15 per cent from A careful factual review of the foundation and Cap on Housing portfolio relaxed 10 per cent projected growth of Islamic Banking Industry based on industry dynamics and consumer profiles appears to be non-existent. This study reviews Oman’s Islamic banks (mostly operational for Islamic banking assets should reach one to four quarters) and endeavours to model around OMR 3 billion, assuming growth and progress against established industry benchmarks, with due weighting to the specifics 10 per cent YOY growth of overall of Islamic banking. banking assets cont. on pg 24 cont. overleaf www.cpifinancial.net ISSUE 85 | Islamic Business & Finance 23
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