2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
2014

ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN – TODAY & THE
WAY FORWARD

                            Muhammad Arsalan

                            4/23/2014
2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
Contents
3                                                                         CONTENTS

4                                                                  LIST OF TABLES

4                                                                    LIST OF BOXES

5                                                                          GLOSSARY

6                                                      LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

7                                                          EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

9                                                                  INTRODUCTION

9                                                      GROWTH STORY INTACT

10                      OMAN BANKING SECTOR–DYNAMICS & DRIVERS

11   ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN – FORECASTS, OUTLOOK AND REALITIES

12                          ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN: START-TO-DATE

14                                                    Reviewing Deposits Side-Products-

14                Income Determination & Profit Distribution Practices- Market Discipline

15                                                              Reviewing the Asset Side

17                                                     STRATEGIC DIMENSIONS

17                                                    Is it more than a Three Horse Race?

17                                                    The Sacrosanct Shariah Compliance

18                              Principled Stand – Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework

18                                                      Trade Based Products Structures

19                              Islamic Banking Windows: Efficiencies or Cannibalization?

20                            The 60-40 Strategy – Islamic Banks to Benchmark the Scales

21                                   The Big opportunity In the Small Enterprise Segment

22                                                                    Earnings Dynamics

22                                                                 Optimizing the Capital

23                                                                     CONCLUSION

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
List of Tables
................................
              .........
                  11                                 Projections on the Islamic Banking Industry Size quantified in terms of Assets

                   13
                   ....    Bank – wise details of Assets, Equity, Deposits, Financing, Profitability and Deposit Rates Disclosures

           ...........
                 16                Retail or corporate financing side products along with their underlying Islamic Finance Contract

                   20 A review of convention banks, Segment-wise breakup of asset and deposit, yields and capital adequacy

                                                                                                          List of Boxes

               1 …………………………………………………………………….……………………………….…Recent Regulatory Directives – CBO
               2 ………………………………………………………………………..……………………….……………………….Meehaq, the Maverick!
               3………………………….………………………………………………………….Dispersion of Product Weights- Does it Matter?

               4……………………………..……..………..…….…….Investment Deposits Accounts –Distributing Net or Gross Profit?

               5………………………………….……………….…….………………………………..Maisarah – Breaking the Murabaha Mould

               6…………………………………..............Shariah Compliance for Murabaha – Trade Transaction in Letter & Spirit

               7……………………………………..……….….….………………………………………….Non Existent Salam & Istisna Products

               8……………………………………………..……..….…………….Capital Adequacy Standards: Tailored to Islamic Banks

               4
2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
Glossary

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
List of Abbreviations

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
Executive Summary

The fledgling yet vibrant Islamic Banking industry in Oman, has lately been attracting a lot of attention for
its vigorous legislative, regulatory and market developments. Right from the time, when in 2011 a Royal
Decree was issued to incorporate Islamic Financial System, which paved way for the promulgation of
regulatory framework, and subsequent realization of 2 Independent Banks and Six window operations
operating in the Monarchy - a lot has been written on the prospects and the promise that Islamic Banking
in Oman has got to offer. Presently, almost all of the eight Islamic Banking Institutions (IBIs) in Oman have
completed an year of operation, and account for a signifcant 3.24% (OMR 745 Bn) of the overall Banking
Assets in the country. This stipulates the need to factually assess the performance of IBI’s against the
visualized goals, to identify prospects, gaps, challenges and impediments and align the strategy to address
them.

“Islamic Banking in Oman: Present State & The Way Forward ” (the paper) take a descriptive and
exploratory approach to encompass the progress of Islamic Banking in Oman in the backdrop of the
dynamics of local economy and the overall Banking Industry. An objective, as well as a strategic review of
the Banking Industry is carried out to identify the the opportunity pockets and challenges for the nascent
faith based format of Banking.

In the first section, the paper describes the overall economic scene and its growth dynamics. The following
section, presents an illustrustation to define the structure of Omani Banking Industry with a thorough
segment wise breakup of asset and liabilities, advance to deposit ratio, leverage, capital adequacy,
spreads and efficiencies. In its effort to relate the expectations and realities, a cross-section interpretive
analysis of the future projections by Moody’s, Ernst & Young and Arqaam Capital is carried out, to develop
their grounding in the present facts. In a later section titled ‘The Sixty-Forty Strategy’, an insightful
discussion on strategic implications and recommendation, based on the circuitous and interdependent
relationship of deposit and asset mix, Capital Adequacy and the overall efficiency of a bank is also
presented. The benchmarks of the existing conventional banking industry, would enable Islamic Banks to
sway their strategic goals, while they follow their respective organic growth. As an indicative yardstick, it
can serve as an overarching frame to avoid any major deviations in shape costly deposit mix or lower-
than-the-optimum credit portfolio.

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
The value of the paper is driven by the comprehensive and exhaustive presentation of Financial
information, product analysis, profit rates, balance sheet and revenue structures, followed by intuitive
analysis to elaborate the strategic and operational dimension of all the eight IBI’s operating in Oman. A
detailed ‘compare and contrast’ commentary, on the deposit and financing side products being offered,
their underlying shariah contracts is being presented. In all its rigor, the paper not only explores the
progress of overall Islamic Banking industry, but also highlights the performance and distinctive features
of Individual IBI. “Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework” (IBRF) issued by the Central Bank, is maintained
as a pivotal reference through out the paper, to examine the operations and offerings of the IBIs and
underscore the key driver of performance, innovations and probable limitations.

In the conclusive section of “Strategic Dimensions”, the paper seeks to outline strategic insights (and
perhaps future directions) based on competitive positioning, success drivers, product innovations,
operational limitations for the manager of Omani IBIs. In its intuitive pursuit, the study also portends
practical intricacies in Shariah Compliance, Deposit Pool Management and asset liability management,
that IBIs in Oman would come across. The strategic dimensions presented are backed by cases,
constructs, propositions and artifacts driven from domestic banking industry or Islamic Banking
experience in other jurisdiction. The paper in its pragmatic approach, quotes and elaborate the anomalous
growth and the daring business model of Meethaq, the principled stance of the regulator, the product
innovation of Maisarah, the opportunity in the SME segment, Shariah Compliant structures to exploit
trade intensive and specially non-oil trade in Oman’s economy. Shortly, the reader would surely find this
paper useful in developing a perspective of Islamic Banking Industry in its independent capacity, as well as
a subset of the broader Financial Intermediation scene in Oman.

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
Introduction
Oman has been one of recent entrants into Islamic Banking and Finance scene, with a well established
regulatory framework roll out and a nascent industry players comprising of two Independent Islamic Bank
(IIB) and 5 Islamic Banking (IBW). Ever since the Royal Decree adjusting the banking law to allow the
shariah compliant format of banking was announced, competition has been seen tough among the local
banks themselves. Apart from the two fully integrated Islamic banks -- Bank Nizwa and Al izz bank -- the
country's biggest commercial banks have also set up their own Islamic banking windows which iclude Bank
Muscat’s         Meethaq,          National          Bank         of         Oman’s           -       Muzn.
Bank of Sohar’s - Sohar Islamic, BankDhofar’s Maisarah, Ahlibank – Hilal Islamic and Oman Arab Bank’s -
Yusr have been announced. A lot has been written on the prospects, potential and promise of Islamic
Banking in this GCC Country, with analysts generally optimistic on the overall growth of the industry both
in terms absolute Islamic Assets as well as market share.
Oman has been classified as an oil-rich economy, heavily dependent on the dwindling oil resources, which
sourced around 80% of its revenue in 2012 (S&P, Dec 2013). Thus, aligned with its regional peers Oman's
economy and external position stands exposed to commodity prices. However the government has been
framing all sorts of initiatives to diversify into non-oil economy (tourism and mining primarily) by means of
high investment supported by higher public and private consumption.
Oman is a youthful Muslim monarchy with strong faith driven population as benchmarked by World Banks
realist index of 97%. The official numbers for the population is 2.78 Mn (World Bank, 2011)

                                                                       Growth Story Intact
The Sultanate’ favorable demographics (60 % of the population is between the age of 15 to 45 years)
coupled with a pro growth and employment backdrop, augur well for the fortunes of the financial sector.
The GDP growth during 2000 to 2012 has averaged around 5.6%. Recent government regulations raising
minimum wages and expanding employment amongst the masses have also been supportive of
consumption and the deposit base of the nation’s banks. This has also translated positively into a 10% YOY
growth in banking Assets to surpass OMR 23 Bn mark.
In recent years, a recovery in the prices of crude oil and production coincided to enable supportive
government expenditure and an accommodative monetary policy portending well for growth in the
country and its banks. Expectations of a continuing expansionary fiscal policy to sustain the current
momentum in growth, provide an optimistic outlook for the medium term future. Obvious risks include a

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2014 ISLAMIC BANKING IN OMAN - TODAY & THE WAY FORWARD - Muhammad Arsalan 4/23/2014
substantial fall in oil prices. However, years of fiscal prudence have yielded adequate reserves to ensure
continued pro-growth initiatives remain unhampered, even in the event of a mild fiscal deficit.
The Eighth Five-Year Development Plan (2011-15) emphasizes a large public investment program. Non-oil
activities are expected to grow by an annual rate of 6 percent at constant prices, according to the CBO,
and private sector involvement through domestic and foreign private investment is expected to
complement government spending. With estimates for the future dwarfing the past activity, USD 50
billion is projected to be spent over the next 10 years, of which USD 28 billion is expected to be awarded
between 2013 and 2015 driving growth and the resultant credit off-take in the nation.

                                Oman Banking Sector–Dynamics & Drivers
Prima facie, Oman has a thriving, efficient and stable financial intermediation system, with a high Advance
to deposit ratio and is deeply rooted into private retail and corporate sector. Around 63% of the deposit is
raised from the private sector, which is re-channeled to the private sector to an even higher level of 84%
in shape of credit outlay. The illustration below describes the breakup and distribution of the nation’s
Banking Industry.

Structure of Oman Banking Industry – Equity, Leverage, Breakup of Financing and Deposit Activity & Efficiency
[Data is sourced from CBO’s Annual Report 2012 and Monthly Report February 2014]

The total Banking assets in Oman are around OMR 23.20 Bn with a breakup of an equity of OMR 2.67 and
deposits of OMR 16.47 Bn(CBO Annual Report 2012 & Monthly Report February 2014). Total credit of
OMR Rs 15.38 Bn turns it into 93% Advance to Deposit Ratio (ADR) banking sector. More encouraging is
the fact that OMR 13Bn (out of OMR 15 Bn) is channeled into private sector. Albiet a small population,
households (despite being a small population) contribute heavily on both on the deposits and asset side.

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Box-1
                                                                                       Recent Regulatory Directives – CBO
A lot of useful insights can be drawn to identify opportunity                          The central bank has been actively tweaking the
                                                                                       reigns of the Banking industry, to ensure stability
pockets, potential challenges and discrepancies by modeling it                         and efficiency of the financial system. A summary of
against the existing banking industry’s norms.                                         directives by Central Bank of Oman (CBO) are as
                                                                                       follows:

                Islamic Banking in Oman –                                           Action/Directives                  Detail
                                                                                    Ceiling on Personal Loan           Decreased        from
                                                                                    Pricing                            8.5% to 7%
 Forecasts, Outlook and Realities                                                   Minimum SME Lending for
                                                                                    banks set at
                                                                                                                       5%

                                                                                    Overall Portfolio Capping on       Decreased to 35%
A lot has been touted and perhaps speculated about the                              Personal Loan                      from 40%

Islamic Banking and markets appetite based on regional                              Capping on Housing Portfolio       Increased to 15%
                                                                                    Relaxed                            from 10%
market growth stories             (e.g. Qatar, KSA, UAE etc). These
projections are broadly, based on cognitive reveries, heuristics and optimism driven by broad
generalizations and the growth stories from the past - Without much reference to the dynamics of the
local banking industry, regulatory paradigm and balance sheet structures.
To quote a few, Moody’s reports are optimistic for Islamic Banking in the Oman making a ballpark
projection in its ability to grab six to eight per cent share of system assets within the next three to five
years. Quantifying this verdict by Moody’s, Islamic Banking assets should reach around OMR 3 Bn mark,
assuming 10% YOY growth of overall Banking assets, 8% penetration of Islamic Banking in a period of 5
years. Ernst & Young’s on the other hand settles-in with a conservative stance, and see it surmounting
USD 6.00 Bn (OMR 2.3 Bn) in a matter of few years. Arqaam Capital Research, which is a Dubai based
outfit foresee turns out with the most optimistic, professing that by 2017 IBI would generate around 15
per cent of all loans by 2017.
Table 1: Projections on the Islamic Banking Industry Size quantified in terms of Assets
Research Origin      Claimed Estimates – Projection *                                                          IB Industry Asset size
                                                                                                               (Bn OMR)
Ernst and Young      Islamic Banking to reach USD 6 Bn in next few years. [Assuming 5 years i.e. 2018]         2.3
Moodys               IBI to grab six to eight per cent share of system assets within the next three to         3.00
                     five years i.e 2018. [Assuming 8% share in 5 years]
Arqaam Capital       Islamic financial institutions as a whole will generate around 15 per cent of all loans   IB Credit = 3.35
                     by 2017.                                                                                  IB Total Assets = 5.05
* The quantification of the broad estimates by various research companies has been based on Oman Banking Industry-wide norms such as
Leverage of 8x, ADR of 93%, YOY growth of 10% etc.

A careful factual review of the footings and projected growth of Islamic Banking Industry based on ground
fact, Industry dynamics and consumer profile appears to be non-existant. This study reviews the present

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Box-2
Meethaq, the Maverick!
                                                                       state of Islamic Banks (mostly operational for 1 to 4
Bank Muscat’s window Meethaq (with a meager capital of
20.00 Mn) has been very quick to inflate its balance sheet to          quarters), tries to model the growth and progress against
leverage over 10X against the overall industry norm of 8X
                                                                       the industry benchmarks, with due weightage to the
leverage. Interestingly, this steep growth is primarily
attributed to its inherited musharaka (retail housing)                 Islamic Banking specifities.
portfolio amounting to OMR 168 Mn which later has grown
up to a level of OMR 280.66 Mn as of Dec 2013. The asset side                   Islamic Banking in Oman:
is dominated by long-term musharaka portfolio (referred
above), on the other hand the unusual growth in deposit built
up on the balance sheet is mainly comprising of deposits from                                           Start-to-Date
Banks and Financial Institutions which contribute OMR 134
Mn whereas the remaining OMR 66 Mn have been driven from               Oman Islamic Banking industry, with an initial equity
the government sector. With over 7 branches, the bank has
not been able to mobilize any significant retail or private
                                                                       base of OMR 348.5 Bn and a branch network of 32
sector deposits till Dec 2013.                                         Branches representing two Independent Islamic Bank
This idiosyncratic and perhaps artificial balance sheet
                                                                       and Six Islamic Banking windows has managed to grab a
structure makes it a difficult situation for the asset-liability
maturity profile to manage, wherein 65% of the assets are              noticable 3.24% share of the overall Banking assets.
over 5 years maturity, which is alarmingly funded by a very
                                                                       Interestingly, the Islamic Banking industry is operating at
low maturity deposit. This eventually leads to Asset Liability
mismatches, as reported on their balance sheets.                       an Advance-to-Deposit ration of over 129%, which is well
However, given the monopolistic penetration and legacy that            above the overall banking industry average of 93%.
its parent bank enjoys with over 38% of the market share,
shouldn’t be posing much of a trouble to tweak the matter.             These advances, predominantly are retail and real estate
Moreover, the high yield (6.3%) that this retail musharaka
                                                                       centric, but would hopefully rationalize as the Industry
asset, keep its affordable for the bank to manage its liquidity
even through interbank markets wherein it can engage                   takes on the momentum. The progress should be viewed
relatively low cost liquidity, while keeping its spreads intact.
                                                                       in the backdrop of the embryonic phase, that Oman
The uniqueness of Meethaq doesn’t ends here, when the bank
being smart enough, recognized the troubles ahead and                  Banking industry is going through.
unveiled it’s yet another out-of-the-box strategy. Instead of          The Islamic Asset base of OMR 745 Mn is largely
going for aggressive deposit mobilization to rationalize its
deposit mix, the bank opted for an altogether distinctive route.       dominated by Meethaq (IBW of Bank Muscat) with 40%
In an extra-ordinary Board meeting held recently, the board
                                                                       share. But this may not come as a surprise as Bank
announced the setup of OMR 500 Mn SUKUK program for
Meethaq. This can be viewed as an innovative business Model,           Muscat happens to claim equally dominant share (38%)
where the bank instead maintaining saving and term deposit
accounts can use a flexible sukuk structure to fund its assets.        of the overall banking assets as well. As of December
                                                                       2014, not much can be seen on the core banking
Albeit, all of its break through innovation, the Bank is not
losing sight of the core banking business lines. The bank              activities in shape of    retail deposits mobilization or
intends to expand its branch network to 15 branches to
                                                                       private sector lending. Nevertheless, the stage is all set
ensure its outreach to consumer base
                                                                       for the get-set-go thrust, with all sorts products
      launched, branches functioning, IT infrastructure and Human resource in place. The table below , takes a
      micro view of the bank-wise core activity, by presenting financial statements data on equity, deposits &
      financing breakup and number of branches as measure of physical outreach. Additionally, this table also

      12
elaborate on the deposit profit management practices by presenting profit-sharing ratio, absolute profit
rates offered, deposit product weights assigned and most interestingly %age dispersion of the weights
across various deposit product.
          Table 2: Bank-wise details of Assets, Equity, Deposits, Financing, Profitability and Deposit Rates Disclosures
                          NIZWA     ALIZZ     MEETHAQ         SOHAR       MUZN              HILAL          Al Yusr      MAISARAH        Total

 NATURE                   Independent         Window
 Bank                                         Bank            Sohar       National          Al     Ahli    Oman         Bank
                                              Muscat          Bank        Bank     of       Islamic        Arab         Dhofar
                                                                          Oman              Bank           Bank
 Equity (OMR - Mn)        150       100       26              10          15                25             10           12.5            348.5

 Initiated on             Dec '13   Sept13    Jan '13         Apr '13     Jan '13           Dec 13         Jul '13      March '13

 Deposit Base (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole numbers
 As of                    Dec ‘13   Dec‘13    Dec ‘13         Dec ‘13     Sept ‘13          Dec ‘13        Sept ‘13     Sept ‘13

 Current                  13        0.5       4.6             3.7         1.4               5.5            NA           1.968           30.668
 Savings/Timed            6.9       0.6       Saving: 10.4    15.6        15.1              4.0            NA                           264.6

                                              Term: 212.0

 Financing Assets (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole numbers

 Consumer                 12.0      0.5       275.61          9.5         8.3               36             0.2          10.092          352.202
 Commercial                                   3.703                       5.1               20.4                                        29.203

 Total Assets (OMR in Mn) rounded for whole number * (assumed as sum of equity and deposits, incase of data unavailibility)

                          170       100       298.3           52          25.1              75.2           10*          14.4*           745
 Profits (OMR in Mn) rounded to one decimal place
                          (2.405)   (3.232)   6.2             (0.65)      (0.6)             (0.3)          (0.5)        (1.3)           (2.787)

 Profit sharing Ratio Bank:Depositor

                          50:50     NA        80:20           70:30       NA                NA             NA           NA
 Number of Branches
                          7         2         7               3           2                 7              2            2               32

 Product Participation Weights [1 Month to 12 Month ]
 a) 1M                    45        NA        0.3             0.14        NA                NA             NA           NA              NA
 b) 12M                   70        NA        2.0             0.21        NA                NA             NA           NA              NA

 Absolute Rates Offered
 *1M                      0.42      NA        0.15            NA          NA                NA             NA           NA              -
 12M                      0.95      NA        1               NA          NA                NA             NA           NA              -
 % Dispersion = (b-a)/a x100

                          56%       NA        567%            50%         -                 -              -            -               -
                          *For simplification 1M versus 12M weightages have been taken, ignoring the volume based categorization. Table - 2

13
Reviewing Deposits Side-Products-
Most of the innovation has been seen on the deposit side, and very rightly so as it takes deposits for banks
to lend and earn profits. Almost all of the IBBs and windows have well defined call, timed, remunerative
and non-remunerative deposit products, bundled with
other benefits aligned to the targeted customer base.                                                              Box-3
                                                                   Dispersion of Product Weights- Does it
Broadly, deposits are mobilized on the underlying contract
                                                                   matter?
of Qardh (for Current Account) and Mudaraba (for savings
                                                                   The product-wise weights is a bank’s management
and terms deposits).                                               discretionary tool, and can be craftfully used to tune
                                                                   in the deposit profit rate profile. As a thumb rule
Income Determination & Profit                                      higher tenor/volume deposit classes gets the
                                                                   higher weightages, translating in to higher profit
Distribution Practices- Market                                     rates. In effect, the spread of the weights from the
                                                                   normal saving account vis-à-vis higher term/volume
Discipline                                                         account, can be indicative of the bank’s inclination
                                                                   for longer term/higher volume depositor. However,
Meethaq and Nizwa have taken the lead, with well                   irrationally high dispersion leads to a
                                                                   disadvantaged commoner which is somewhat
articulated and properly disclosed Profit sharing ratio,
                                                                   viewed to be incoherent to the Shariah Ideals.
product wise weightages and respective yields across               Similar instances of unreasonable weightages have
                                                                   been addressed in Pakistan by the Central Bank
various time-volume based slabs. Nizwa Bank and Meethaq            directive which says “The maximum weightage to
presentation   and     disclosure   of   profit   distribution     the Mudaraba based deposit of any nature, tenor
                                                                   and amount shall not exceed 3 times of the
management has been extremely transparent and regularly                                                          1
                                                                   weightages assigned to saving deposits” . It is
                                                                   worth highlighting here that for Meethaq this
updated, with monthly disclosures along with the reporting
                                                                   spread multiple is as high as 6.7x. The dispersion of
of profit sharing ratio (PSR). In terms of PSR, Meethaq seeks      weights (as presented in the table above) of 567%
                                                                   against its peers (Sohar Islamic and Nizwa Bank)
the highest Mudarib’s share i.e. up to 80% of the income.          average of 50%, might cause some concern to the
Commendably, Meethaq took a step further towards the               bank and its depositor. This is evident from the
                                                                   uncompetitive profit rate of 0.15% offered by
transparency by publishing the participation weightages            Meethaq being hugely dwarfed by Nizwa Bank in the
                                                                   1 Month Term Deposit category.
assigned to the banks equity contributed to the Mudaraba
Pool along with balances in Profit Equalization Reserves. Except of Nizwa, Meethaq and Sohar, none of the
Islamic banking operations have had formal disclosures of deposit products related disclosure on their
website, not even the basic profit sharing ratio, despite of the fact that almost all of them have mobilized
mudaraba based deposits as reflected on their balance sheets.
In contrast to many regional jurisdictions, and in compliance with AAOIFI and CBO’s IBRF, the Investors
Account Holder Equity has been reported separately between the liabilities and shareholder equity,
instead of being reported as a mere liability, considering its Profit Loss sharing of the underlying mudaraba
contract.

14
Box-4
Investment Deposits Accounts –Distributing
Net or Gross Profit?                       Tieing up with Takaful Services to bundle Bancatakaful

CBO’s IBRF has adapted Gross income method as a standard            products and provide Takaful coverage for consumer
for income determination and profit distribution to Investment      base has also been picking up lately in Oman Islamic
Account holder. However, there is another (AAOIFI defined)
income distribution method called Net income method,                Banking scene. Meethaq, being the first Islamic Banking
wherein the net income including the fee based income,
                                                                    Operation in the sultanate which packaged a
adjusted for management overheads is subjected to profit
distribution to depositor. This method may have been a viable       Bancatakful product suite on its offerings. Recently,
choice, especially for an emerging market, like that of Oman
with scarce liquidity management venues and a developing            Maisarah has also announced its collaboration with Al-
lending book. Both the methods come with their own inherent         Madina Takaful to offer Bancatakaful services.
trade-offs. Nevertheless, this option might have added to the
sustainability and stability of the nascent Islamic Banking         Reviewing the Asset Side
Industry in the region. As a trade-off, Displaced commercial
risk, could have been a concern, which arises when the bank         Broadly, the asset side products have been design for
isn’t able to offer market competitive returns.
                                                                    retail and SME/Corporate clientele, wherein Vehicle
Implications
Trade-offs of including fee based income versus                     Finance, Home Finance, Credit Cards, Personal Finance
Management Overheads is a strategic balance to strike,              are offered for the retail segment. Corporate/SME
however the method of ‘Gross income method’ has been
prevalent across all major Islamic Banking Jurisdiction, and        segment on the other hand, comprises of trade,
                                 rationalizes the choice of CBO.
                                                                    working capital and term/project finance. A deeper
Nevertheless, it is important to note here that the generally in-
loss Islamic Banks/windows in Oman, with almost no fee              analysis of the product offerings reveals that the
based income streams and relatively higher overheads on
their Profit and Loss Statement. This situation turns in to a
                                                                    overall industry seems to have general consensus over
relatively disadvantaged equity shareholder with negative           the product structures and their respective underlying
EPS, in comparison to an earning Investment Account
Holder. Further, it would be based on a fairness principle on       shariah contract; i.e. Murabaha for Vehicle Finance &
the depositor as well as the Banks.
                                                                    Working Capital Finance & Ijarah for term financing to
                                                                    the corporates. Conversely, the case of Home finance is
   somewhat diversified with Banks employing Murabaha, Ijarah, Diminishing Musharaka, Istisna and even
   Sale - Lease Back. Interestingly, Personal Financing has only been                                                           Box-5

   on the shelves of Nizwa Bank and Alizz Islamic Bank offered on                        Maisarah – Breaking the
                                                                                         Murabaha Mould
   the basis Murabaha and Ijarah. It is only Meethaq and Alizz which
                                                                                         Bank Dhofar’s Maisarah, though haven’t been
   are offering Credit Cards, on the basis of Ujrah and Murabaha,
                                                                                         on top of it, in terms of numbers with 2
   claiming it to be interest component, but with not much details                       branches and equity of OMR 12.5 Mn,
                                                                                         nevertheless have been amongst the few, not
   of the product processflows. Meethaq Bank retained its                                only in Oman but across the world, who have
   eccentricity by offerings Home Financing solution, with an                            been able to break the Murabaha Mould.
                                                                                         Maisarah, boasting of its inclination for the
   underlying contract based on Diminishing Musharaka, against the                       ideals of Islamic Finance has launched
                                                                                         Mudarabah (equity based profit loss sharing
                                                                                         model) based Working capital financing
                                                                                         solution for its commercial banking product
                                                                                         suite.

   15
prevalent norm of employing Ijarah/Forward Ijarah for housing finance as adapted by the rest of the
Industry players.
The table below would present an overview of retail or corporate financing side products, on the
showcase of all the Islamic Banking operations in Oman.

             Retail Finance Products                                          SME / Corporate Financing Products
             Car            Home            Personal          Credit          Working           Infrastru   Long Term      Treasury
             Finance        Finance         Financing/        Card            Capital           cture       – Project
                                                                              Financing         Finance     Finance
NIZWA                       Ijarah/         Ijarah/Muraba     NO*             NO                NO          NO             NO
                            Murabaha        ha

             Murabaha
ALIZZ        Murabaha       Ijarah          Services          Murabaha        Murabaha          IMB/Forw    Sale & Lease   Waad-
                                            Ijaraha/                          /IMB              Ijarah      Back /DM       Forward
                                            Murabaha                                                                       Contract
Meethaq      Murabaha       Diminishing     NO                Ujrah           Murabaha          Ijarah      DM             ND
                            Musharaka
Maisarah     NWA***         NWA             NWA               NWA             Musharaka*        NWA         NWA            NWA
                                                                              (Press release)
Sohar        ND             Ijarah/          NWA              NO              NWA               NWA         NWA            NWA
                            Murabaha
                            [Press
                            Release]
Yusr         Murabaha/      DM               NO               NO              Murabaha          Ijarah      NO             NO
             Ijarah
Al-Ahli      Murabaha       Murabaha/I       NO               NO              ND                ND          ND             ND
                            MB/DM/Istis
                            na
Muzn         Murabaha       IMB/    Sale    NO                NO              Murabaha          IMB     /
                            and Lease                                                           Forward
                            Back     for                                                        Ijarah/
                            Conversion                                                          Sale-
                                                                                                Leaseback
Table 3: Retail or corporate financing side products along with their underlying Islamic Finance Contract
*NO - Product Not Offered
** ND - Product offered on the Bank’s Website/press, but underlying Shariah contract Not Disclosed
*** NWA - No website available
DM- Diminishing Musharaka , IMB – Ijarah Muntahia Bi Tamlik

16
Strategic Dimensions
Now, that the stage is all set for the almost all of the eight Islamic Banking players, the next few years are
going to be critical in shaping up the industry scene. There are a lot of strategic dimension to it including
the legacy of the existing banks (operating through windows), regulatory stance, product innovation,
targeting of niche segments, cross selling or Banking the unbanked and most importantly the Shariah
governance and assurance.
Would it be Windows or the Independent Banks that are going to thrive? Varying opinion prevail on this,
with some weighing more to windows having the inherent advantage of infrastructure, penetration and
scale efficiencies. Whereas, others perceive it to be a three horse race, with Nizwa, Alizz and Meethaq
leading the market share.

Is it more than a Three Horse Race?
Dubai-based Arqaam Capital Research predicts that Bank Muscat will have 36 per cent of the country’s
Islamic banking market by 2017, followed by Nizwa with 33 per cent and Alizz with 23 per cent. This is
an interesting claim on the face of it, as Meethaq has the lowest equity of OMR 26 Mn against OMR 150
Mn of Nizwa and OMR 100 Mn of Alizz. However the present state of affair, validates the lofty assertions
on Meethaq made by the research company. Arqaam further suggested that remaining 8 percent shall be
shared by Sohar, Maisarah and Muzn, with no mention of Oman Arab Bank’s Yusr. It would be premature
to drive any generalization about the market shares of the Eight
                                                                                                                    Box-6
players, given the vigor and enthusiasm that have been exhibited           Shariah Compliance for Murabaha –
by them. However, in the longer term it would be the shariah               Trade Transaction in Letter & Spirit

compliance, product innovation and the service level that would            CBO’s IBRF stipulates that the invoice issued
                                                                           by the supplier will be in the name of the
create the difference.                                                     Licensee i.e. Islamic Bank, as the commodity
                                                                           would be purchased by an agent on behalf of
The Sacrosanct Shariah Compliance                                          the Licensee"

Islamic Banking is a fresh endeavor in Oman, creating its early            The compliance of this clause may not be
                                                                           difficult in case house hold financing (car,
impressions on the consumer base. The regulator has taken a                house etc), however this is going to be a
stringent, yet principled instance on Shariah Compliance (most             challenge in case of SME and Commercial
                                                                           Lending, wherein mass procurement of raw
prominent being the use of tawaruq and commodity murabaha),                material is being financed by the bank. As a
                                                                           matter of recurring business practice, invoices
and now is the turn of Industry to follow. It would be the first
                                                                           are usually raised in the name of the customer
mover, in the right direction that is going to turn the tables. A          (eventual buyer) and are practically not
                                                                           possible to be raised in favor of the bank (The
review of prior research, establishes the fact that ‘Shariah               same challenge was faced by Pakistan, while
                                                                           its compliance drive for AAOIFI and has been
                                                                           documented as an exception).

17
Compliance’ is one of the key purchase reasons of Islamic Banks consumer base. Islamic Banks should
   ensure a meticulous Shariah governance framework vis-à-vis brand image and ensure income cleansing to
   charity funds with all its due presentation as stipulated by AAOIFI and CBO’s IBRF.

   Principled Stand – Islamic Banking Regulatory Framework
   CBO’s IBRF commendably is a comprehensive and a principled framework, which has integrated the best
   practices and standards from AAOIFI and IFSB etc. A review of the regional regulatory frameworks that
   have been in the business for decades, would further endorse IBRF’s fullness. Paying full heed to Shariah
   governance, has recently announced formation of National Shariah Board serving as a supervisor and
   point of reference, to the boards of individual Islamic banks.
   Despite of all hue and cry and concerted lobbying efforts, the regulator stood firm by its fundamental
   stance against the alleged use of commodity murabaha and tawaruq for Short Term Liquidity
   management. However, the Central Bank being cognizant of the dearth of liquidity management venues
   (except for Interbank Wakalah arrangement) has relaxed ceilings of foreign placements to the Islamic
   banks. Besides, the Central Bank is also keen to issue Government Sukuks which may also add up to the
   options for liquidity management for the local Islamic Banks. Islamic Banks and windows have somewhat
   sorted out the matter of liquidity management by domestic and offshore interbank wakalah
   arrangements as reflected on the balance sheets as well.

   Trade Based Products Structures
   Oman is a thriving trade economy with overall trade accounting for 103% of the GDP. Export account for
   OMR 20.05 Bn, whereas Imports amounts to OMR 11.01 Bn. It is worth noting here that, around 30% of
   the total exports comprises of Non-oil (OMR 3.6 Bn) and re-exports (OMR 2.5 Bn). Besides the large Oil
   portion, Oman exports comprises of Mineral (OMR 422 Mn), Base Metals (OMR 671 Mn) and interestingly
                                         Box-7    OMR 175 Mn was from live cattle.
                                                  In addition to the mainstream Oil based Trade, Islamic Bank can
Non Existent Salam & Istisna
Products                                          strike in to the Non-oil trade and re-export segment. Islamic
                                                  Financing contracts inherently are suited to be applied on trade
 Surprisingly, none of the Islamic Lenders in     transaction. Oman with its huge volumes of documented trade ,
Oman have offered Corporate Financing
products based on Salam or Istisna. It is worth   posses an opportunity for Islamic Banks to structure trade financing
mentioning here that Salam and Istisna            transaction on the basis of Murabaha, Salam and Istisna.
Financing is a widely adapted debt based
financing contract across various Islamic         Re-exports transaction can also be structured either on the basis of
Banking Jurisdictions, and has been authorized
                                                  Murabaha finance to the trader, or back to back Murabaha for the
by the CBO’s IBRF.

   18
buy side and salam/Istisna for processing and export transaction. Parallel Salam and Istisna may also be
structured where the Islamic Bank can capitalize on its independent role as a buyer and seller.
Rather then sticking only to the basic Murabaha, a whole suite of shariah compliant trade financing
solutions, to cater the needs of Packing, Pre and Post shipment Export Financing and even bill
discounting, can be effectively commissioned - In the most compliant manner, and in complete coherence
with the covenants of documentary credits. Further, forward covers to hedge currency risk can also be
offered to the customer on Waad contract.
Wholesale and Retail Trade segment which contributes around OMR 2.2 Bn or 7.3% of the GDP is another
potential sector, that Islamic Banks can delve in to is. With sale based product structures Islamic Banks are
fully poised to penetrate in to this segment, by offering supply chain financing solution to this segment.
It is worth highlighting here that, majority of the trade is sourced in or destined to the neighbouring
countries such as India, China, KSA, UAE, with GCC countries accounting for a major share of the trade.
Thus, it can be trade sector which can potentially integrate and magnify Oman’s Islamic Banking Scene in
to the wider ambit of a Halal Economy.

Islamic Banking Windows: Efficiencies or Cannibalization?
While, it is generally believed that Islamic windows of existing conve ntional banks will likely be well
placed to capture market share, given their ability to leverage much of the existing infrastructure,
employees, partly common back office and the brand of the parent franchise – In my personal experience,
windows virtually have a limited playfield, with the existing large scale corporates and even the High
networth individuals being earmarked as a NO-GO area, if they are already working with their
conventional parent bank. Window's endeavors to bid a competitive proposition to penetrate in to the
market, is viewed as invasive and tantamounts to cannibalization.
There appears to be tacit agreement amongst the C-level management to not to compete from within.
For example, one can foresee Bank Muscat's Meetaq experiencing a very limited market, as its parent
Bank being the market leader with 38% of the overall market share. It must have been on board with
almost all of the large accounts, and might have been graded as a strategic bank by most of the Large
scale business enterprises them, owing to its penetration, access, services and scale. This would leave its
window ‘Meethaq” with a limited market to dwell-in and may hamper its progress. On the brighter side, it
may also turn in to a blessing-in-disguise, with windows pursuing the unbanked and underbanked
segments, thus complementing the financial inclusion and broader diversification objectives of the
sultanate.

19
The 60-40 Strategy – Islamic Banks to Benchmark the Scales
Interestingly, an unweighted mean of the major industry players approximates a 60:40 CASA: Term
deposit breakup to be a prevalent norm. Similarly, a 60:40 on the Corporate: Retail Credit portfolio mix
has also been observed in the industry. The table below furnishes a sector-wise breakup of asset and
deposit in addition to yield and capital adequacy measures.
Table 4:A review of convention banks, Segment-wise breakup of asset and deposit, yields and capital adequacy
                                       Industry            Bank           Bank          Bank       National Bank of   Al-Ahli
                                       Averages            Muscat         Dhofar        Sohar      Oman               Bank
                                       (Unweighted)
Deposit              CASA (% of              42.0               64            39            38           46              23
Distribution         total)
(% of total)
                     Term (% of              58.0               36            61            62           54              77
                     total)
Loan Distribution    Corporate               58.2               61            59            67           51              53

                     Retail                  41.8               39            41            33           49              47

Returns              ROE %                   14.5              14.3          13.7           14.7         13.9           15.8
                     ROA %                    1.7              1.8            1.7           1.5          1.5             2.1
Assets:Equity                                 8.2              7.14           7.3           9.6          9.3             7.7

RWA:Asset %                                 100.2%              93           101            95           109             103
Fee Income: Net Income %                     51.4               59            36            45           72              45

*Stats sourced from Oman Arab Bank Investment Management Group Report as of October 2013.

The variables in the table above are highly interdependent; the deposit mix versus the credit mix defines
the spread, which subsequently sets the yield. The credit mix along with the overall leverage drives the
capital adequacy, which eventually lay down the overall risk appetite of the bank. As apparent in the
example of National Bank of Oman (NBO) wherein the Risk Weighted assets (RWA) is significantly higher
than the industry averages, probably due to greater share of the retail lending on the asset side.

The 60-40 benchmark may enable Islamic Banks to sway their strategic goals, while they follow their
respective organic growth. As an indicative yardstick, it can be an overarching frame to avoid any major
deviations in shape costly deposit mix or lower-than-the-optimum credit portfolio.
Moreover, the overall industry is leveraged around 8 times the equity, which can be used to make a
ballpark estimate of the future industry size to be around OMR 2,700 Mn at the present equity levels of
OMR 334 Mn. The size of around OMR 3 Bn (or 8% of the Banking Assets share in 5 years) is also coherent
with the earlier estimates made on the basis of Moody’s and E&Y expectations.

20
The Big opportunity In the Small Enterprise Segment
Around 91,000 SMEs are known to operate in Oman contributing 13.8% to the GDP. The regulator
recognizing the significance of has directed to lend to SME for at least 5% of their aggregate Advances.

On the conventional banking front, Bank Muscat apparently has the most established, well-staffed and
branded as “Al-Wathbah-” product suite on offer for SME including working capital, equipment, Point-of-
sale receivables, contract and Trade Financing products.                                                            Box-8
                                                                           MoCI’s SME Loan Guarantee
Meethaq, with its legacy of SME/ Transaction banking, and with its         Program – Does it Work for Islamic
                                                                           Banks?
fast growing deposit base, it is apparently very well positioned to
                                                                           Ministry of Commerce and Industry (MOCI) is
exploit the SME potential on the Shariah compliant modes as well.          operating a Loan-Guarantee program with
                                                                           Oman Arab Bank and Bank Muscat as its
For an emergent Islamic Banking, SME segment is especially                 channel partners, wherein 50% of loan
                                                                           amount is guaranteed and bank’s earn 6% on
suitable as it offers smaller per party risk exposures topped by
                                                                           the remainder 50% of the loan, turning it in to
higher yield, and thus furnishes a well diversified and fragmented         a 3% subsidized loan to SME obligor. Shariah
                                                                           Compliant products can be structured for
portfolio.
                                                                           such subsidized financing by Islamic Banks in
                                                                           Oman (as has been rolled-out in other
Moreover, Islamic Banking can provide a reasonable thrust to the           jurisdiction, for example Islamic Export
                                                                           Refinance Scheme is offered in Pakistan to
Country’s vision towards a lower oil dependency and diversification        extend subsidized funding to preferred Export
                                                                           sector. This is achieved by means of
towards non-oil GDP. With Private sector Credit almost half the
                                                                           Musharaka Pool between the State Bank of
GDP, 96% Muslim population - Islamic Banking is fully poised to            Pakistan and the channel Bank, which
                                                                           subsequently extend the financing to the
mobilize financial inclusion of the faith driven SME segments, and         borrower through Shariah Compliant mode of
subsequent growth of the unorthodox and perhaps ignored                    Murabaha, Istisna or Salam.       This would
                                                                           enable Islamic Bank to penetrate swiftly in to
business sectors such fisheries and agriculture.                           a large base of SME segments, by offering
                                                                           partly guaranteed financing on a very
                                                                           attractive pricing.
The SME's segment generally is graded as relatively more faith
driven and have been considered sizably unbanked in Oman (Bank Muscat, SME Presentation 2012).
Furthermore, the purpose driven and asset backed nature of Shariah compliant products, makes it good fit
for Islamic Banks to penetrate in to this segment. For the Islamic Lender, the trade based nature of
working capital financing, provides an opportunity of referral marketing. The bank through its existing
clientele tends to get introduced to either its Supplier (Murabaha) or Buyer (Salam/Istisna). Besides, this
segment also offers cross sell opportunities including, payroll accounts, personal financing bundled for
the staffing etc.

21
Earnings Dynamics
Banking Sector in Oman reportedly enjoy a handsome spread of around 4.2% with weighted average cost
of deposits of 1.177 and whereas the corresponding lending yields 5.4%. The higher spread may be
attributable of to a lucrative deposit distribution, with one third of zero cost deposit and a similar fraction
in low cost saving account. On the asset side, over 45% of the credit flows to the highly rewarding
household portfolio. Though the regulator has been careful on rationalizing the household credit portfolio
by capping the consumer portfolio overall pricing and diverting the
flow to House loan from general personal lending products.                                                              Box-9
                                                                            Capital Adequacy Standards:
It is evident that Oman’s banking industry is heavily reliant on the
                                                                            Tailored to Islamic Banks
fee based income averaging around 50% of the net income.
                                                                            The IBRF underscores the Central Bank's
Despite of all its peculiarities, the existing tried and tested             creditable recognition of the unique risk
structural norms of the conventional counterpart, offers a lot to           profile of Islamic Bank, and its directives for
                                                                            Capital Adequacy tailored to be consistent
learn for the Islamic Banks.                                                with Basel as well as IFSB's guidelines. The
                                                                            IFSB’s pragmatic approach to incorporate the
In view of the above, Islamic Banks should be targeting fee based           Profit loss sharing nature of the Investment
                                                                            account holder funds, with a certain degree of
income, by pushing cross sell initiatives, customer oriented service        Displaced Commercial Risk (as measured by
                                                                            the variable 'Alpha'), would ease out the
levels to route highest ancillary business through its counters.
                                                                            capital adequacy requirement (CAR). The
Technology services and conventional commission and processing              'Alpha' is supposedly set on supervisory
                                                                            discretion and Oman's IBRF has taken a
fee based income as apparently is going to be a critical factor in          moderate path (as compared to regional
the overall efficiency of IB industry in Oman.                              jurisdiction) by fixing it to 0.3). It is pertinent
                                                                            to mention here that Alpha oscillate in
Optimizing the Capital                                                      between 0 to 1 range with Alpha=1 implying
                                                                            an Investment Deposits to behave like a fixed
A critical review of the risk weighted assets (RWA) as a percentage         return and capital guaranteed deposit and
                                                                            Alpha=0 refers to a perfect Profit Loss sharing
of the actual assets reveals that higher credit portfolio outlay to
                                                                            Mudaraba based investment.
the retail segment leads to greater RWA and thus pressures the
                                                                            Implications
capital adequacy of the Bank. It is the same reason that makes              As referred earlier, the easing out of the CAR,
bigger Banks like Bank Muscat and Bank Sohar with retail                    would supposedly have direct and positive
                                                                            impact on the overall efficiency of the Islamic
portfolio in 30 to 40% band enjoy relaxed capital adequacy ratio            Banks, as it enable better allocation of the
                                                                            expensive capital in to profitable venues.
owing to lesser RWA. On a broad-brush basis, IBs in Oman should
                                                                            Central Banks of Oman (CBO) posed Alpha of
be capping retail/house hold lending to 40 to 45% levels to                 30% optimizes/relaxes its capital adequacy
                                                                            (with a floor requirement of 12% as set out in
optimize their risk adjusted yield and overall risk appetite.               IBRF), and thus better risk adjusted returns
                                                                            and risk appetite.

                                                                            In the backdrop of such balanced CAR
                                                                            regulations, IB’s managements are expected
                                                                            to carry out smart and efficient allocation of
                                                                            the capital for an optimum risk adjusted
22                                                                          return on the overall portfolio.
Conclusion

With eight IBIs and their 32 branches, as asset base of OMR 745.00 Mn, Equity of 349.00 Mn, Deposits of
295.00 Mn and Advances of 381.00 Mn in their very first year of operation, it would be safe to claim that
Islamic Banking Industry has taken off, and taken off well. The journey from here onwards would surely
depend much on IBIs striking the right balance, based on many factors including niche marketing, product
innovation, market segment identification, capital and yield optimization, regulatory and Shariah
governance. This paper has envisaged a pragmatic and action-oriented outlook of Islamic Banking
Industry in Oman, with a solid grounding in facts. An individual as well cross sectional examination of the
IBIs is presented, to review its convergence with the overall financial scene, and derive strategic
imperatives. This study features the ideas for product innovation for SME and trade segments, trends and
gaps in financing products, anomalies in investment deposit profit management, and implications of
regulatory directives pertinent to IBIs in Oman. Moreover, prevailing industry norms, products, deposit
and financing mix, profitability drivers have also been deliberated. Indeed it is going to be the right move,
in the right direction that would certainly take Omani Banking Industry to newer heights.

23
Islamic Banking
in Oman
Today and the Way Forward

                            A SPECIAL REPORT
OMAN

Above: Mosaic detailing in the Sultan Qaboos Grand Mosque, Muscat, Oman (Philip Lange). Cover: Entrance to the Sultan Qaboos Grand Mosque (Ivan Pavlov).

     In this first of a two-part special, Muhammad                                           Omani banking law to allow the Shari’ah-compliant
                                                                                             format of banking was announced, competition has
    Arsalan Aqeeq reviews the progress of Islamic                                            been seen tough among the local banks.
             finance in Oman since inception in 2011.                                            Apart from the two fully integrated Islamic
                                                                                             banks – Bank Nizwa and al izz bank – the country’s

                              I
                                                                                             leading commercial banks have also set up their
                                    n 2011 a Royal Decree was issued to establish            own Islamic banking windows, including:
                                    an Islamic financial system, which paved the             • alhilal Islamic ahlibank
                                    way for the promulgation of a regulatory                 • Maisarah          Bank Dhofar
                                    framework, and the subsequent establishment              • Meethaq           Bank Muscat
                              of two independent banks and six window operations             • Muzn		            National Bank of Oman
                              in the Sultanate.                                              • Sohar Islamic Bank Sohar
                                  The Sultanate of Oman is one of the recent                 • Yusr		            Oman Arab Bank
                              entrants into the Islamic banking and finance scene,               Much has been written on the prospects, potential
                              with a well-established regulatory framework roll-             and promise of Islamic Banking in this GCC country,
                              out and nascent industry players comprising of two             with analysts generally optimistic on the prospects
                              independent Islamic banks and six Islamic banking              for the overall growth of the industry both in terms
                              windows. Since the Royal Decree adjusting the                  of absolute Islamic assets as well as market share.
                                                                                                                                           cont. overleaf

www.cpifinancial.net                                                                                  ISSUE 85 | Islamic Business & Finance                 21
OMAN

     cont. from pg 21

                                                                                      oil prices. However, years of fiscal prudence have
                                                                                      yielded adequate reserves to ensure continued pro-
            The fledgling yet vibrant Islamic banking industry in Oman has been       growth initiatives remain unhampered, even in the
         attracting a lot of attention for its vigorous legislative, regulatory and   event of a mild fiscal deficit.
         market developments. Presently, almost all of the eight Islamic banking          The Eighth Five-Year Development Plan (2011-
         institutions (IBIs) in Oman have completed a year of operations, and         15) emphasises a large public investment programme.
         account for a significant 3.24 per cent (OMR 745 billion) of the overall     Non-oil activities are expected to grow by an annual
         banking assets in the country.
                                                                                      rate of six per cent at constant prices, according to
            This two-part research paper takes a descriptive and exploratory
                                                                                      the Central Bank of Oman (CBO), and private sector
         approach to encompass the progress of Islamic banking in Oman
         against the backdrop of the dynamics of the local economy and the            involvement through domestic and foreign private
         overall banking industry. An objective, as well as a strategic review of     investment is expected to complement government
         the banking industry is carried out to identify the opportunities and        spending. With estimates for the future dwarfing past
         challenges facing the nascent faith-based format of banking.                 activity, $50 billion is projected to be spent over the
                                                                                      next 10 years, of which $28 billion is expected to be
                                                                                      awarded between 2013 and 2015, driving growth
         Oman has been classified as an oil-rich economy,                             and the resultant credit off-take in the nation.
     heavily dependent on dwindling oil resources,
     which were responsible for around 80 per cent of                                 BANKING SECTOR DYNAMICS & DRIVER
     its revenue in 2012 (S&P, December 2013). Thus,                                  Prima facie, Oman has a thriving, efficient and
     aligned with its regional peers, Oman’s economy
     and external position are exposed to commodity
                                                             $50 billion              stable financial intermediation system, with a high
                                                                                      advance-to-deposit ratio and is deeply rooted into
     prices. However, the Government has been framing        is projected             the private retail and corporate sectors. Around
     a variety of initiatives to diversify the non-oil       to be spent              63 per cent of deposits are raised from the private
     economy (tourism and mining primarily) by means
     of high investment supported by higher public and
                                                             over the next            sector, which is re-channelled to the private sector
                                                                                      to an even higher level of 84 per cent in shape of
     private consumption.                                    10 years, of             credit outlay.
         Oman is a youthful Muslim monarchy with             which $28                    Total banking assets in Oman are around OMR
     a faith-driven population of some 2.78 million
     (World Bank, 2011).
                                                             billion is               23.20 billion with a breakup of equity of OMR 2.67
                                                                                      billion and deposits of OMR 16.47 billion. Total
                                                             expected to              credit of OMR 15.38 billion turns it into a 93 per cent
     GROWTH STORY INTACT                                     be awarded               advances-to-deposits ratio (ADR) for the banking sector.
     The Sultanate’s favourable demographics (60
     per cent of the population is between the ages of
                                                             between                  More encouraging is the fact that OMR 13 billion (out
                                                                                      of OMR 15 billion) is channelled into private sector.
     15 to 45 years) coupled with a pro-growth and           2013 and                 Albeit a small population, households contribute heavily
     employment backdrop, augur well for the fortunes        2015, driving            on both on the deposits and asset side.
     of the financial sector. Oman’s GDP growth during
     2000-2012 averaged around 5.6 per cent. Recent
                                                             growth and                   A number of useful insights may be drawn to
                                                                                      identify opportunity pockets, potential challenges
     government regulations raising minimum wages and        the resultant            and discrepancies by modelling against the existing
     expanding employment have also been supportive          credit off-              banking industry’s norms.
     of consumption and the deposit base of the nation’s
     banks. This has also translated positively into a 10
                                                             take in the              ISLAMIC BANKING – FORECASTS AND REALITIES
     per cent year-on-year growth in banking assets to       nation                   A lot has been touted about Islamic banking and
     surpass the OMR 23 billion mark.                                                 the Omani market’s appetite based on growth
         In recent years, the strength of the crude oil                               stories elsewhere in the GCC (e.g. Qatar, KSA,
     price and rising production have coincided to                                    UAE etc.). These projections are, broadly, based
     enable supportive government expenditure and                                     on cognitive reveries, heuristics and optimism
     an accommodative monetary policy portending                                      driven by broad generalisations with but little
     well for growth in the country and of its banks.                                 reference to the dynamics of the local banking
     Expectations of a continuing expansionary fiscal                                 industry, regulatory paradigm and balance
     policy to sustain the current momentum in growth                                 sheet structures.
     provide an optimistic outlook for the medium-term                                   To quote a few, Moody’s reports are optimistic
     future. Obvious risks include a substantial fall in                              for Islamic Banking in Oman, making a ballpark

22   Islamic Business & Finance | ISSUE 85                                                                             www.cpifinancial.net
OMAN

FIGURE 1: Structure of Oman’s Banking Industry: Equity, Leverage, Financing and Deposit Activity

                                                                                                                                           Free Based Income OMR 60 m
                                                                                                                   Net earnings                20% of Net Earnings
                                                                                                                   OMR 305 m
                                                                                Net Spread 4.237%
          Saving -33%
                                    Time
                                    -33%
         Demand -33%
                                                         Weighted Average Cost of                    Weighted Average Lending            Public Sector Enterprise OMR 2.00 bn
                                                           Deposits 1.116%                               Yield 5.353%
                Deposits - Private Sector
                          63%
                                                                                    Advance: Deposits
       Household 48%                                                                    93.4%                           Total Credit (TC) OMR 15.38 bn
                                       Total Deposits (TD) OMR 16.47 bn
             Non Financial
            Corporates 29%                                                                                                 Private Sector Credit OMR 13.00 bn

                                                                                     Total Banking Assets                                                Household Credit 45%
          Deposits - Government &                                                       OMR 23.20 bn
           Public Sector - 35.2%                                                                                            Non Financial Corporates
                                                                                                                                     47%

                                                 Equity Capital OMR 2.67 bn

                              Deposits: Equity                                      Total Assets: Equity
                                  5.7%                                                     7.8%

                                                                                                            Data Sources: CBO Annual Report 2012, Monthly Report February 2014

projection in its ability to grab six to eight per cent                   RECENT REGULATORY DIRECTIVES
share of system assets within the next three to five
years. Quantifying this verdict by Moody’s, Islamic                           The CBO has been actively tweaking the reins of the banking industry to
                                                                              ensure stability and the efficiency of the financial system. A summary of
banking assets should reach around OMR 3 billion,
                                                                              recent CBO directives shows:
assuming 10 per cent YOY growth of overall banking
assets, eight per cent penetration of Islamic banking                         Action/Directive                                                 Detail
in a period of five years. EY (previously Ernst &
Young) holds to a more conservative stance, and                                                                                                cut from 8.5 per cent to seven
                                                                              Ceiling on Personal Loan Pricing
sees Islamic banking surmounting $6.00 billion                                                                                                 per cent
(OMR 2.3 billion) in a matter of few years. Arqaam                            Minimum SME lending for banks set at:                            five per cent
Capital, a Dubai-based investment bank, offers the
most optimistic forecast, suggesting that by 2017                                                                                              cut from 40 per cent to
                                                                              Overall portfolio cap on Personal Loans
Islamic banking in Oman would account for around                                                                                               35 per cent
15 per cent of all loans by 2017.
                                                                                                                                               increased to 15 per cent from
    A careful factual review of the foundation and                            Cap on Housing portfolio relaxed
                                                                                                                                               10 per cent
projected growth of Islamic Banking Industry
based on industry dynamics and consumer profiles
appears to be non-existent. This study reviews
Oman’s Islamic banks (mostly operational for                                                   Islamic banking assets should reach
one to four quarters) and endeavours to model                                                  around OMR 3 billion, assuming
growth and progress against established industry
benchmarks, with due weighting to the specifics
                                                                                               10 per cent YOY growth of overall
of Islamic banking.                                                                            banking assets
                                                                                                                                                                           cont. on pg 24
                                                                                                                                                                            cont. overleaf

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