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RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved. CONTACT US www.emis.com FOLLOW US
ABBREVIATIONS AHML Agency for Housing Mortgage Lending CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate FDI Foreign Direct Investment GDP Gross Domestic Product GLA Gross Leasable Area GLA Gross Leasable Area GDR Global Depository Receipt MBS Mortgage-Backed Securities RUB Russian Rouble Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved.
FOREWORD CONTENTS 01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Sector in Numbers Sector Overview p.5 p.6 Sector Snapshot Sector Outlook Driving Forces Restraining Forces 02 SECTOR IN FOCUS p.14 Focus Point - Construction Works Value by Region Main Economic Indicators Main Sector Indicators Construction Activity Number of Buildings Completed Number of Enterprises Global Positioning Foreign Investments Employment and Wages 03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE p.25 Timeline - Russia Real Estate and Construction Highlights Construction Market Real Estate Market Top M&A Deals M&A Activity 04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS p.32 Mostotrest LSR Group Etalon Group Velesstroy Mosinzhproekt
05 REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT CONTENTS Main Regulatory Bodies Government Policy Mortgage Subsidy Program p.44 06 RESIDENTIAL SECTOR p.48 Focus Point - Residential Housing Stock Highlights Main Events Construction Activity Number of Buildings Completed Construction in Progress Residential Stock Apartment Stock Apartment Prices 07 NON-RESIDENTIAL SECTOR p.58 Highlights Main Events Number of Buildings Completed Real Estate Investments Retail Market Office Market Rental Rates 08 INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR p.68 Highlights Main Events Government Expenditure Infrastructure Projects Investment Programme, 2016-2020
RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report Foreword In 2018, the Russian construction and real estate sector received a boost from infrastructure development projects, but even the FIFA World Cup event in 2018 did not manage to turn around the negative momentum in the residential and non-residential segments, which both saw reduced activity during the year. Krasimir Yordanov, Research Analyst, EMEA In the construction sector, the infrastructure segment alone experienced positive growth in 2018, driven by rising government expenditure on infrastructure facilities in connection with the FIFA World Cup and the long-term commitments of the authorities to invest in infrastructure projects. The government’s programmes for transport and energy infrastructure investment – worth some RUB 11.5tn for the period 2016-2020 – will continue to support overall sector growth. 2018 was a tough year for Russian residential and non-residential real estate developers as the overall number of buildings completed shrank by 4.8% y/y. The reduced supply stems from subdued demand caused by the shrinking real disposable income of the population and the reduced real capital expenditures by Russian companies. The slump could have been even greater were it not for lower interest rates and the state programme for subsidising interest rates for mortgage loans. Increased urbanisation, improving investment yields, better access to finance and improved living standards will be among the main factors driving the construction and real estate sector in the years to come. Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved.
RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report CONTENTS 01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved. 6
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Sector in Numbers 13.6% No. 3 in USD of GDP Europe 2.4bn Commercial Real Estate & Residential Real Estate Construction Construction Investments Sector Market RUB 8.39tn 260,000 70 m² Construction Buildings Average Size of Works Value Completed Apartments Built USD RUB 389mn 5.1mn 1.6tn Net FDI in Real Construction Sector Expenditure Estate Activities Employees on Road Infrastructure Note: Data for 2018. Source: Federal Treasury, Statistics Office, Colliers International, CEIC, MarketLine RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 7 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Sector Overview Russia’s construction sector emerged from recession in 2018, with the value of construction works rising for the first time in five years. Growth was driven entirely by large-scale infrastructure projects and works related to the FIFA World Cup the country hosted in the summer of 2018. The expanding construction sector provided a strong boost to Russia’s economy, which grew by 2.3% in 2018, the fastest pace in six years. That said, the residential building segment continued to decline in 2018 as real disposable incomes fell for a fifth year in a row. Short-term prospects for the residential building segment remain subdued, leaving the civil engineering segment to drive growth in the sector in the next few years. Entry Modes The best way to enter the sector is through acquisition of existing players and minority stake purchases since the Russian construction and real estate market is highly competitive and fragmented. Moreover, the crisis in the sector in recent years has allowed the acquisition of distressed assets in the sector. Another way to enter the real estate and construction space is through collaboration with domestic developers, which have the most experience of the local regulatory requirements and business environment. Foreigners can acquire and rent property in Russia, but there are some legal limitations; for example, foreign citizens and legal entities cannot possess land plots in border areas. Segment Opportunities Historically, Moscow and St Petersburg have offered the best opportunities for growth in construction and real estate development because of their high levels of urbanisation. However, with increasing investment in infrastructure development in suburban and remote areas, the economic growth in those regions will expand, increasing demand for new residential and non-residential buildings. Unlike the utility infrastructure segment, transport infrastructure is likely to outperform on the back of rising government investments. Gazprombank estimates that the government will allocate RUB 8.8tn for transport infrastructure over 2016-2020, up from RUB 7.7tn in 2011-2015. Road infrastructure spending will witness the strongest increase, of 11%, for the stated period. Government Policy The infrastructure segment of the construction sector is supported by RUB 11tn of investment, set aside for transport and energy infrastructure for the period 2016-2020. The government is also supporting the real estate and construction sector through a state-backed mortgage lending programme, providing households and families with reduced interest rates on mortgage lending. Source: MarketLine, Statistics Office, CEIC, Gazprombank RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 8 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Sector Snapshot Russia Real Estate & Construction Sector REAL ESTATE SECTOR GVA: RUB 8,569bn CONSTRUCTION SECTOR GVA: RUB 5,563bn RESIDENTIAL NON-RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE CONSTRUCTION CONSTRUCTION INVESTMENTS: USD 2.4bn Number of Residential Number of Buildings Buildings Completed: Completed: 17,452 Retail Market: Retail Space 242,053 Floor Area of Buildings USD 1,056bn Stock: 27.6mn m2 Floor Area of Residential Completed: 28.7mn m2 Office Market: Office Space Buildings Completed: USD840mn Stock: 18.3mn m2 100.6mn m2 Industrial Market: USD 384mn CONSTRUCTION KEY REAL ESTATE KEY PLAYERS REVENUES PLAYERS REVENUES 1. Stroygazmontazh: RUB 362bn 1. RGS Assets: RUB 54bn 2. Stroygazconsulting: RUB 154bn 2. Gazpromnefti-BM: RUB 27bn 3. Stroytransgaz: RUB 153bn 3. Iks 5 Nedvizhimosti: RUB 18bn 4. Mostotrest: RUB 148bn 4. PIK-Group AO: RUB 17bn 5. Mosinzhproekt: RUB 137bn 5. Gzhf Pri Prezidente RT: RUB 16bn Note: Data for 2018 unless otherwise stated. Source: Statistics Office, CEIC, EMIS Company Database, Colliers, Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 9 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Sector Snapshot Russia Real Estate & Construction Russia’s real estate and construction sector generated a combined gross value added (GVA) of RUB 14.2tn in 2018, equal to 13.6% of the country’s GDP. In 2018, the value of construction works increased by 10.5% y/y to RUB 8.4tn. What’s more important is the fact that, in real terms, the value of construction works increased by 5.9% y/y in 2018, registering the first rise in five years. The overall number of buildings completed decreased by 4.8% y/y to 259,505 units. The non-residential sector led the decline, with 17,452 new buildings completed, down 7.2% y/y. The aggregate number of residential buildings completed decreased by 4.6% y/y to 242,053 units. In terms of floor area, residential developers completed a total of 100.6mn m², 2.9% less y/y. The non-residential sector experienced a fall of 12.4% y/y to 28.7mn m². Construction activity in the housing segment continued to shrink in 2018. A residential housing area of 75mn m² was completed in 2018, a decrease of 4mn m² compared to 2017. In 2018, the total leasable area in opened shopping centres amounted to 576,000m², down 26% y/y, according to Colliers International. Total Russian shopping centre stock increased to 27.6mn m² and retail stock per 1,000 capita increased to 189m², compared to 184m² per 1,000 inhabitants in 2017. The office segment of the real estate market in St Petersburg saw an increased volume of completions in 2018. A total area of 202,000m² of office completions were made, up from 116,100m² in 2017, according to Colliers International. In 2018, the completed office space in Moscow was the lowest in the last 15 years, amounting to 125,400m². The top players in Russia’s construction sector are those engaged in oil and gas industry-related projects. Privately-owned Stroygazmontazh, mainly involved in the construction of trunk pipelines, onshore and offshore facilities, and other oil and gas infrastructure, was the sector’s largest company with revenues of RUB 362bn. Stroygazconsulting, with revenues of RUB 154bn, ranked second, ahead of Stroytransgaz, which generated RUB 153bn in revenue. Stroygazconsulting’s main business lines include construction of oil, gas and condensate fields, compressor stations, trunk pipelines, motor roads, bridges, railways and metros (underground rapid-transit urban railways). Stroytransgaz is one of the largest Russian contractors offering a full range of construction and engineering services in the construction of facilities of the power, oil and gas and petrochemical industries, transport and civil infrastructure. Source: Statistics Office, CEIC, EMIS Company Database, Colliers, Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 10 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Sector Outlook Comments Residential and non-residential building and the oil and gas pipeline sectors will drive solid headline construction sector growth in Russia, according to BMI Research. Moreover, an acceleration in economic growth is likely to support investment levels more broadly, while Chinese investors are also likely to continue funding infrastructure projects in Russia in line with the Belt & Road initiative. The construction industry is estimated to grow by an average of 4.2% per year in real terms between 2018 and 2025. The residential and non-residential segment is expected to outperform Russia's broader construction industry with an annualised average growth rate of 5%. Rising purchasing power will lead to greater demand for mortgages, while accelerated economic activity will boost investments in commercial and industrial infrastructure. For 2018-2025, the overall infrastructure industry will likely grow by a real 2.7% on average per year. According to BMI Research, Russia's advantageous geographical position, spanning the Eurasian continent, will ensure that investment continues to flow into its transport sector, fuelling outperformance in the country's rail sector in particular on the back of elevated levels of Chinese investment. Sector Forecasts 2018f 2019f 2020f 2021f 2022f 2023f 2024f Construction Industry Value, RUB bn 5,629 5,983 6,476 6,995 7,555 8,229 8,945 Construction Industry Value, Real Growth, y/y change 4.5% 2.1% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 4.8% Infrastructure Industry Value, RUB bn 3,355 3,576 3,834 4,108 4,369 4,646 4,936 Infrastructure Industry Value Real Growth, y/y change 3.8% 2.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% Gross Construction Output, nominal, RUB bn 13,508 15,087 16,228 17,299 18,406 19,573 20,793 Gross Consumption Output, real growth rate, y/y change -1.0% 3.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% Source: BMI Research, Oxford Economics RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 11 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Driving Forces Government programmes for infrastructure development were the main driving force behind sector development in 2018. Oil and gas revenues are key to the fiscal budget, which finances about 70% of the country’s infrastructure investments. Thus, the recovery of energy prices on world markets will increase spending on infrastructure projects and boost construction companies in the country. As long as the economy keeps growing, developers will revive stalled projects and invest in new ones, moving the market. Moreover, urbanisation, rising investment yields, access to finance and improving living standards will be among the main factors driving construction and the real estate sector in the years to come. External Recognising the long-term strategic importance of infrastructure investments for the economy, the Russian government has set aside ab increasing share of its government expenditure on infrastructure development. This creates demand for construction activities in the segment and indirectly contributes to construction and real estate development in the residential and non- residential segments as infrastructure investments lead to economic growth and social welfare. Preparations for the 2018 FIFA World Cup stimulated new spending on infrastructure and the construction of stadiums, roads, airports and railways. Russia’s urbanisation rates have been increasing steadily, creating opportunities for real estate developers and construction companies, especially in the country’s bigger cities. In 2002, 73% of the population resided in urban areas – a share that had risen to 74.1% by 2016. The construction and real estate sector is highly sensitive to the economic cycle and the Russian economy accelerated its growth rate to 2.3% y/y in 2018, up from a real 1.6% in 2017. Internal Russia is home to some 146.8mn people, making it one of the most populated countries in the world. This, coupled with rapid urbanisation trends, creates natural demand for real estate development and construction services. In fact, Russia’s real estate and construction market is Europe’s third largest, making it attractive for foreign players. Russia is one of the world’s top countries in respect of oil and gas reserves and is a major oil and gas supplier for the global economy, which is a major internal driving factor for the development of pipeline infrastructure. According to Statistics Office data, in nominal terms, construction costs for apartments have risen more slowly on average than the average price of a standard apartment across the country. In 2017, the difference between the average apartment price and the average construction cost was RUB 14,900 per m²; this differential expanded to almost RUB 19,200 per m² on average in 2018, creating a strong incentive for construction companies to increase the number of residential projects. Source: Statistics Office, CEIC, MarketLine RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 12 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
01 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY CONTENTS Restraining Forces Western sanctions have reduced the available options for financing key infrastructure investment projects and made it more difficult and less attractive for foreign investors to enter the property market. The opportunities for growth are to a large extent confined to large cities such as Moscow and St Petersburg. The fact that the residential and non-residential segments continued to shrink in 2018 whilst the economy gathered steam implies structural problems for the real estate and construction sector. The international sanctions imposed on Russia over its annexation of Crimea in 2014 are creating an uncertain environment for both domestic and foreign investors, which, coupled with currency volatility, further discourages sector investment. External Russia’s ongoing political isolation due to the annexation of Crimea in 2014, and the sanctions imposed by the West, are weighing on foreign investor sentiment and challenging the funding capabilities of existing players. Moreover, according to BMI Research, there is a high degree of corruption in government administration, making it difficult for foreign companies to compete for tenders against domestic Russian firms. Despite the fact that the economy returned to growth mode in 2017 and 2018, activity in the sector, especially in the residential and non-residential segment, remains subdued. The exception is infrastructure construction, which continues to drive sector growth, but the volatility of the oil and gas price is causing uncertainty for future funding availability. In addition, the US imposed sanctions in 2018 specifically targeting the country's oil and gas sector, which is a key source of Russian infrastructure investment. Internal The different degree of economic development between regions concentrates investments in the larger cities such as Moscow and St Petersburg, while the smaller towns suffer from a surplus of building stock. Domestic state-owned players dominate the infrastructure segment, with little penetration by foreign companies. In the coming years, unfavourable demographic factors could weigh on demand for new residential houses and apartments. The number of potential buyers is expected to have fallen by 20% by 2020 and is forecast to continue dropping in the years after that, according to Construction.ru. Foreign restrictions and an entrenched bureaucratic environment will reduce demand for commercial property. Source: Construction.ru, BMI Research, EMIS Insights RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 13 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report CONTENTS 02 SECTOR IN FOCUS Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved. 14
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS FOCUS POINT Construction Works Value by Region, 2018, RUB bn RUB 1,360bn Urals RUB 1,212bn Northwestern RUB 712bn Siberian RUB 537bn Far Eastern RUB 2,065bn Central RUB 713bn Southern RUB 1,283bn Volga RUB 345bn North Caucasian Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 15 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Main Economic Indicators 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 GDP, Current Prices, RUB bn 68,164 73,134 79,058 83,094 86,014 92,101 103,876 GDP, Current Prices, USD bn 2,191 2,294 2,075 1,368 1,295 1,579 1,654 Real GDP Growth, % 3.5 1.3 0.7 -2.3 0.3 1.6 2.3 Construction Sector GVA, Current Prices, RUB bn 4,524 4,475 4,677 4,722 4,977 5,056 5,563 Construction Sector GVA, % of GDP 6.6 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.4 Real Estate Sector GVA, Current Prices, RUB bn 10,195 11,384 7,287 7,577 7,851 8,231 8,569 Real Estate Sector GVA, % of GDP 15.0 15.6 9.2 9.1 9.1 8.9 8.2 CPI, y/y change, % 6.6 6.5 11.4 12.9 5.4 2.5 4.3 Construction Sector PPI, y/y change, % 6.9 4.9 7.2 10.3 3.2 3.1 7.3 USD/RUB Exchange Rate, period-end 30.4 32.7 56.3 72.9 60.7 57.6 69.5 Monetary Policy Rate, period-end, % 8.25 5.50 17.00 11.00 10.00 7.75 7.75 Population, mn 143.3 143.7 146.3 146.5 146.8 146.9 146.8 Unemployment Rate, % 5.1 5.6 5.3 5.8 5.3 5.1 4.9 Trade Balance, USD bn 191.7 180.6 200.1 203.8 144.5 120.5 167.9 Trade Balance, % of GDP 8.7 7.9 9.6 14.9 11.2 7.6 10.2 Net FDI in Construction Sector, USD mn 3,928 2,895 2,718 -1,051 -342 2,072 -214 Net FDI in Real Estate Activities, USD mn 1,984 1,728 -830 339 399 1,402 389 Source: Statistics Office, Central Bank, Ministry of Finance, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 16 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Main Sector Indicators 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Construction Works Value, RUB bn 6,020 6,125 7,010 7,214 7,573 8,386 Construction Works Value, real y/y change, % 0.6 -2.7 -4.0 -2.4 -0.2 5.9 Number of Buildings Completed, units 258,119 304,194 306,391 278,295 272,615 259,505 Area of Buildings Completed, thou m³ 526,670 617,791 622,763 608,499 599,393 570,011 Floor Area of Buildings Completed, mn m² 118 139 139 136 137 129 Number of Apartments Completed, thou units 929 1,124 1,195 1,167 1,139 1,076 Average Floor Area of Apartments Completed, m² 76 75 71 69 70 70 Residential Housing Stock Area, mn m² 3,359 3,465 3,581 3,653 3,708 n/a Residential Housing Stock, Number of Apartments, mn 61 63 64 65 66 n/a units Average Construction Price, Apartments, RUB/m² 36,267 37,786 39,142 40,636 40,066 41,490 Monthly Nominal Wage in Construction, RUB 27,701 29,354 29,960 32,332 34,450 38,119 Monthly Nominal Wage in Construction, % of Country 93 90 88 88 88 88 Average Monthly Nominal Wage in Real Estate, Renting and 33,846 37,559 39,815 29,531 31,417 32,908 Business Activities, RUB Monthly Nominal Wage in Real Estate, Renting and 114 116 117 80 80 76 Business Activities, % of Country Average Employment in Construction Sector, period-average, 5,712 5,664 5,652 5,535 5,263 5,129 thou people Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 17 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Construction Activity Comments The value of construction works in Russia increased by 5.9% y/y in real terms in 2018, registering the first rise in five years. In nominal terms, growth stood at 11% y/y, driven by rising inflation pressure during the year and an expanding infrastructure segment. Inflation in the sector, measured by the change of the construction producer price index, accelerated to 7.3% y/y in 2018 from 3.1% y/y in 2017. Infrastructure was the only segment of the construction sector to experience positive growth in 2018, driven by rising government expenditure related to the FIFA World Cup and the long-term commitment of the authorities for investment in infrastructure projects. On the other hand, both the residential and the non-residential segments of the real estate market saw the number of new buildings completed shrinking, highlighting the weakness of those two segments. The commercial real estate segment in Russia saw a 50% plunge in investments in 2018 as high volatility on currency markets, escalation of geopolitical tensions and instability of debt financing weighed on investor sentiment and project economics. Construction Works Value, RUB bn Real Growth in Construction Works, y/y 8,386 7,573 7,213 5.9% 6,019 6,125 6,148 4.2% 5,714 5,140 3.3% 0.6% -0.2% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 -2.4% -2.7% -4.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 18 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Number of Buildings Completed Comments The aggregate number of buildings completed across segments decreased for a third year in a row in 2018. The crisis in the construction sector began in early 2014, after the economy was hit by Western sanctions over Russia’s annexation of Crimea. The situation deteriorated further with a plunge in oil and natural gas prices during 2014-2015, as the Russian economy is highly dependent on exports of these energy commodities. Not only did the number of buildings completed continue to fall in 2018, the rate of decline deepened to 4.8% y/y from 2% y/y in 2017. In 2018, developers completed a total of 242,053 residential and 17,452 non-residential buildings; a decrease of 4.6% y/y and 7.2% y/y, respectively. The only exception was the administrative segment, which saw a rise of 3.2% y/y in the number of completed new buildings. In volume terms, residential buildings completed declined by 5.6% y/y to 379mn m³, while non- residential buildings completed shrank by 3.6% y/y to 191mn m³. Number of Buildings Completed Buildings Completed by Type, 2018, units 304,194 306,391 278,295 272,615 259,505 258,119 17.9% 241,424 Residential 6.2% 6.9% 242,053 0.7% -2.0% -4.8% Non- -9.2% Residential 17,452 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Number of Buildings Completed, units y/y change Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 19 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Number of Enterprises Comments Number of Construction Enterprises, units The number of construction enterprises in Russia 279,496 271,604 has increased in recent years, rising from over 209,000 in 2011 to a little more than 279,000 in 232,154 226,838 217,961 2017, according to the latest data from the 209,185 205,075 country’s statistics office. More than 99% of the enterprises in the sector are privately-owned. The number of companies owned by the federal and regional governments stood at 1,201 in 2017, down from 1,733 in 2010. This decline was the result of the privatisation of state-owned companies. Eleven privatisation deals were completed during the 2017-2019 period, according to the EMIS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 DealWatch database. The total value of these deals was USD 344mn. Private Construction Enterprises, units State and Municipal Enterprises, units 276,944 269,548 1,607 229,943 223,022 1,399 214,055 205,416 1,282 1,293 201,273 1,213 1,204 1,201 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 20 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Global Positioning Europe Construction Industry Value by Country, 2017 Russia USD 59.6bn USD 1,226bn (4.9%) Total Germany UK USD 135bn USD 177bn (11%) (16.2%) France USD 140.7bn (11.5%) 7. Rest of Europe USD 475bn (37%) Italy Spain USD 119.5bn USD 119.2bn (9.7%) (9.7%) Note: USD 177bn – Construction Industry Value; 14.4% – Share of Total Source: MarketLine RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2018/2019 21 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Global Positioning (cont’d) Europe Real Estate Market Value by Country, 2017 Russia USD 52.3bn USD 967.6bn (5.4%) Total Germany UK USD 248.9bn USD 151.9bn (25.7%) (15.7%) France USD 128.8bn (13.3%) Rest of Europe USD 272.2bn (28.1%) Italy Spain USD 72.6bn USD 40.9bn (7.5%) (4.2%) Note: USD 177bn – Real Estate Market Value; 14.4% – Share of Total Source: MarketLine RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2018/2019 22 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Foreign Investments Net FDI in Construction Sector, USD mn Net FDI in Real Estate Activities, USD mn 2,478 3,771 3,928 1,984 2,895 2,718 1,728 1,402 2,072 339 615 399 -342 -234 -1,051 -830 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Sep 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Sep 2018 2018 Comments In 2017, ahead of the FIFA World Cup, the Russian real estate and construction sector attracted the largest amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) since the economic crisis. The construction sector saw net inflows of FDI of USD 2bn, after net outflows of USD 342mn in 2016. The real estate segment attracted USD 1.4bn of net inflows, up from USD 399mn in 2016. After the West imposed economic sanctions on Russia, and oil and gas prices plunged in 2014 and 2015, the Russian construction and real estate market became less attractive for foreign investors. The rouble depreciated by about half in value against the US dollar between 2013 and 2015, leading to a dearth of foreign investment in the country. In the wake of the crisis, foreign investors removed around USD 1.3bn from the construction sector and roughly USD 830mn from the real estate market. In the nine months of 2018, investor sentiment once again became gloomy as foreign investors pulled out USD 234mn from the construction sector on a net basis. On the other hand, the real estate sector attracted USD 615mn over the same period, up 25% y/y. Source: Central Bank RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 23 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
02 SECTOR IN FOCUS CONTENTS Employment and Wages Comments Construction Sector Employees, thou people Wages in the construction and real estate sector have been trending higher as rising inflation in the country has prompted employees to seek higher levels of pay. In 2011-2018, the monthly average nominal wage in the construction sector increased by 60% cumulatively to reach RUB 38,119, or about 90% of the country’s average 5,712 5,664 5,652 5,642 wage. In the real estate sector, the average 5,535 5,474 monthly wage increased by a cumulative 16% 5,263 between 2011 and 2018, reaching RUB 32,908 – 5,129 20% higher than the average monthly wage in Russia in 2018. There were 5.1mn people employed in the construction sector as of end- 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018, down from 5.7mn in 2013. Construction Sector Wages Real Estate Sector Wages 10.6% 11.0% 9.5% 9.4% 9.6% 6.0% 6.4% 4.7% 7.9% 6.7% 6.6% 29,960 6.0% 39,815 38,119 37,559 29,531 34,450 33,846 32,908 32,332 31,417 30,926 29,354 27,701 25,951 2.1% -25.8% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Monthly Nominal Wage in Construction, RUB Monthly Nominal Wage in Real Estate, RUB y/y change y/y change Source: Statistics Office, CEIC RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 24 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report CONTENTS 03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved. 25
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS Timeline Russia Real Estate 1930 & Construction Market Players Mostotrest, a leading infrastructure construction company, is established. 1991 Development Milestones The government launches the housing privatisation programme. 1993 Market Players LSR Group, Russia’s second-biggest homebuilder, is established. 1994 Development Milestones The government launches the housing allowance programme, which provides housing subsidies for poor households. 1996 Market Players Russian oil and gas construction company Stroygazconsulting is founded. 2005 Development Milestones Russia enacts the new Housing Code aiming to develop a well-functioning housing market offering affordable housing for the middle class and to provide social housing for the poor. 2006 Development Milestones Russia enacts the Summer Cottage Amnesty, legalising houses built in the past without building permits. 2012 Market Players Mostotrest expands the geographic scope of its business with a number of acquisitions. 2015 Development Milestones Russia enacts the State-Backed Mortgage Lending Programme. 2017 Development Milestones The government extends the mortgage subsidy program to include families with second and third child. 2018 Market Players LSR Group sells its factory in Moscow in a strategic move to shift its focus to the real estate development segment. Source: RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 26 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS Highlights Overview With close to 280,000 construction and more than 334,000 real estate companies, the Russian real estate and construction market is highly competitive and fragmented. The private sector dominates the market across all segments but many are key providers of construction services for large state- owned companies, such as gas giant Gazprom. The bulk of the companies from the sector operate in the regions of Moscow and St Petersburg, where urbanisation rates are the highest in Russia. According to the EMIS Company Database, the largest 20 construction companies accounted for 19% of overall sector revenues in 2017, while the 20 largest real estate companies had a combined share in total sector revenues of 10%. Main Players The main players in the construction sector are engaged in projects for the oil and gas industry, the backbone of Russia’s economy. Privately-owned Stroygazmontazh, engaged in the construction of oil and gas pipelines, was Russia’s largest construction company by revenue in 2017. RGS Assets, also privately-owned, is the largest player in the real estate segment. In Moscow, the largest company by number of residential projects offered is the private company Etalon Group. Established in 1987, it is one of the leading real estate development and construction companies in Russia. Other notable names include Mostotrest, a leading player in the Russian infrastructure construction market, as well as Velesstroy – one of the leading companies implementing oil and gas and electric power projects. Entry Modes As Russia’s relations with the West remain tense, foreign investors are reluctant to invest in the Russian real estate and construction market. Moreover, there are some legal limitations, according to the Land Act, as foreign citizens and foreign legal entities cannot acquire land plots located in the border territories. Restrictions also apply to the acquisition of land parcels that have previously been federal or municipal property. There are no restrictions on the acquisition of buildings unless they are situated in border areas or are listed as secret. Over the 2017-2019 period, about 90% of all M&A deals were with Russian investors, and buyers on just three deals were US-based. Investors, coming from EU, signed a total of ten deals for the same period. The best way to gain exposure to the sector is through minority stake purchases. Source: EMIS Company Database, EMIS DealWatch, Land Act RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 27 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS Construction Market Top 10 Companies by Sales Revenues, Construction Sector, 2017 1. Stroygazmontazh 2. Stroygasconsulting (Moscow) (Saint-Petersburg) RUB 361.9bn RUB 153.8bn Market Share: 3.6% Market Share: 1.5% 4. Mostotrest 3. Stroytransgaz RUB 147.8bn RUB 153.2bn Market Share: 1.5% Market Share: 1.5% 5. Mosinzhproekt 6. Atomstroieksport RUB 136.6bn RUB 125.4bn Market Share: 1.4% Market Share: 1.2% 8. Glavnoe Upravlenie Obustroistva Voisk 7. Rzdstroy RUB 80.6bn RUB 119.9bn Market Share: 0.8% Market Share: 1.2% 9. Uk Orla 10. Velesstroy RUB 79.0bn RUB 73.8bn Market Share: 0.8% Market Share: 0.7% Close to 280,000 companies operate in Russia’s construction sector. The largest 20 enterprises controlled about 19% of total sector revenues in 2017, according to EMIS Company Database. The largest player in terms of revenues is Stroygazmontazh. Its main areas of activity include trunk pipeline construction, onshore facilities construction, offshore construction and gasification. In 2017, it generated revenues of RUB 362bn, or 3.6% of the total revenues of the construction sector. Privately-owned Stroygazconsulting ranked second, with revenues of RUB 153.8bn in 2017. Stroygazmontazh and Stroygazconsulting are the main contractors of Gazprom, Russia’s gas monopoly. The construction sector is dominated by privately-owned enterprises that represented 99.1% of the total number of construction companies operating in the country as of 2017. Source: EMIS Company Database RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 28 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS Real Estate Market Top 10 Companies by Sales Revenue, Real Estate Sector, 2017 1. RGS Assets 2. Gazpromnefti-BM RUB 53.9bn RUB 26.9bn Market Share: 2.0% 3. IKS 5 Market Share: 1.0% Nedvizhimosti RUB 17.5bn Market Share: 0.7% 4. PIK-Region RUB 17.0bn Market Share: 0.6% 5. PIK-Region RUB 17.0bn Market Share: 0.6% 7. M AO RUB 13.5bn 6. Ladiya-Finans Market Share: 0.5% RUB 15.0bn Market Share: 0.6% 9. Main Administration For Service To The Diplomatic RUB 11.3bn 8. Rem GUP Market Share: 0.4% RUB 13.3bn 10. 7-i Tmp Market Share: 0.5% RUB 10.3bn Market Share: 0.4% As of end-2017 there were 334,400 registered enterprises in the Russian real estate sector, down from 348,200 units registered a year earlier. The decline comes in light of the shrinking real estate market due to subdued business activity and real disposable incomes. The market structure of the segment is also highly fragmented with revenues widely dispersed among companies. The ten largest real estate developers had a combined share of 10% of total revenues in 2017 with the largest – the privately- owned RGS Assets – contributing 2% of the total, according to EMIS Company Database. Second- ranked PIK Group is mainly involved in developing large-scale residential projects within the Moscow Metropolitan Area and in selected Russian cities. As of end-2017, PIK Group was the largest developer in Russia in terms of volume of ongoing construction works, with 4.1mn m², according to data from the National Association of Housing Developers (NOZA). Source: EMIS Company Database, NOZA RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 29 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS Top M&A Deals Top 20 M&A and ECM Deals in Russia’s Real Estate and Construction Sector, 2017 – April 2019 Deal Value, Date Target Company Deal Type Buyer Country of Buyer Stake, % USD mn Nov-2018 Suvorov Plaza Acquisition Sberbank Russia 828 100 Feb-2019 Lider-Invest Acquisition Etalon Group Ltd Russia 229.14 51 Feb-2019 Etalon Group Ltd Minority Stake Sistema PJSFC Russia 226.6 25 PPF Real Estate Holding BV; PPF Czech Republic; Oct-2018 Nevsky Centre Acquisition 197.9 100 Group NV Netherlands 54 former telephone Biznes-Nedvizhimost; Sistema Feb-2019 Acquisition Russia 197.15 100 exchange buildings PJSFC 157.69 Jul-2018 Gorkapstroy-Garant Acquisition Artur Markaryan – private investor Russia 100 (EMIS est.) Otkritie Financial Corporation Oct-2018 Legion I Business Centre Acquisition Russia 150.87 100 Bank Warehouse area at Sever Estate; Raven Property United Kingdom; Jul-2018 Acquisition 123.56 100 Logistics Park Sever Group Ltd Russia Institutional investor(s); Private Apr-2019 LSR Group SPO n/a 88.59 9.7 investor(s) Real estate project near Aug-2018 Acquisition Sergey Gordeev – private investor Russia 86.95 100 Paveletsky Railway Station MC Manezhnaya Aug-2018 Minority Stake Sberbank Investments; Sberbank Russia 84.85 9.9 Ploshchad Nov-2018 Murmansk Mall Acquisition Kiprey Russia 71.51 100 Jul-2018 Glavstroy-SPb Minority Stake Yury Chechikhin – private investor Russia 63.2 9 Oct-2018 Dekart Business Centre Acquisition Mobile TeleSystems OJSC Russia 62.72 100 KomsoMall shopping and Jul-2018 Acquisition Inprom Estate Russia 48.19 100 entertainment centre Jul-2018 Avion Business Centre Acquisition Alfa-Bank Russia 43.45 100 Warehouse complex in Dec-2018 Acquisition Raven Property Group Ltd United Kingdom 41.81 100 Nizhny Novgorod Beskudnikovo development Jul-2018 Acquisition Seven Suns Development Russia 35.09 100 project Aug-2018 FM Logistic Industrial Park Acquisition FM Logistic Corporate SAS France 33.73 100 Biznesprof; Tatyana Pimenova – Jul-2018 Sinop Business Centre Acquisition Russia 32.2 100 private investor Source: EMIS DealWatch RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 30 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
03 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE CONTENTS M&A Activity, 2017 – April 2019 Number and Value of Deals Number of Deals by Deal Value, USD 29 50.1-100mn; 100.1- 26 9.2% 500mn; 23 10.8% 22 22 20 18 500.1-1000; 5,113 12 13 1.5% 4,261 1,570 1,476 Undisclosed; 927 615 1,045 887 823 18.5% 0-50mn; Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Jan-Apr 60.0% 2017 2018 2019 Value of Deals, USD mn Number of Deals Number of Deals by Deal Type Number of Deals by Region of Investors Minority stake purchase 16.8% Russia EU 5.5% Privatisation 89.5% Acquisition 5.9% 74.1% Share buy-back Asia 3.3% 1.6% United States 1.7% SPO 1.6% Source: EMIS DealWatch RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 31 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 An EMIS Insights Industry Report CONTENTS 04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2019 EMIS, all rights reserved. 32
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Mostotrest Highlights Consolidated Income Statement, RUB bn Mostotrest, founded in 1930, is a leading player in the Russian infrastructure construction market. 10.3% Its main activities include the construction of roads and bridges, railway infrastructure, airfields and airports, seaports and waterway 7.2% infrastructure. 6.5% 207.8 206.3 The company also performs toll-road operation 175.2 activities and is the concession holder for the toll section of the M-11 Moscow–St Petersburg 18.1 15.0 13.5 highway between Kilometre 15 and Kilometre 58. 5.0 3.0 1.7 JSC TFK-Finance, controlled by Arkady Rotenberg, owns 94.2% of the share capital of Mostotrest. 2016 2017 2018 Net Revenues EBITDA Mostotrest’s net profits in 2018 nearly halved Net Pr ofit EBITDA Margin from the previous year. The company attributed the fall to a significant increase in financial expenses associated with the large amount of Consolidated Balance Sheet, RUB mn debt Mostotrest raised to co-finance long-term investment contracts and finance working capital 1.05 for a number of large-scale projects with accelerated rates of completion work. Mostotrest was involved in the construction of the Kerch Strait bridge linking Russia with the 158.6 146.1 0.45 Crimean Peninsula. The 19km Kerch Strait bridge 158.8 was opened for cars and buses in May. It contains 26.6 24.8 24.1 15.8 a four-lane highway and two lines of railway 0.16 6.1 2.9 tracks that are still under construction. The USD 3bn Russian construction project began in 2016. 2016 2017 2018 In July 2018, the European Commission decided to Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA add Mostotrest to its sanctions list, along with five other Russian companies that were involved in the project. Source: Company Data, Radio Free Europe RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 33 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Mostotrest (cont’d) Backlog by Business Segment, end-2018 Key Backlog Additions in 2018 Services Value, Project 41% RUB bn Moscow Underground Sokolnicheskaya Line Salaryevo – 34.5 Stolbovo section Northwest Throughway: Nizhniye Mnevniki Street – Marshall Construction of 23.2 Zhukov Avenue Road Construction of Airports and Bridges and Airfields 5% Northwest Throughway: Nizhniye Mnevniki Street – Marshall Highways 53% 9.4 Construction of Zhukov Avenue Road Other Facilities 1% Construction of Traffic Interchange at MRR/Volokolamskoye 5.1 Avenue Intersection Backlog by Customer Type, end-2018 Backlog by Geography, end-2018 Regional and Municipal Authorities 24% Southern Federal District 7% Central Far Eastern Federal State Federal Federal District Agencies 17% District 77% 4% Private State Customers 6% Other 12% Corporations 53% Comments In 2018, Mostotrest expanded its backlog in the construction segment, with projects totalling RUB 102.1bn, mostly driven by large-scale projects in Moscow. New projects in the service segment totalled RUB 90.1bn. With a 53% share, road and bridge construction projects continue to prevail in the Group’s backlog. At the same time, due to completion of construction and entry into the operational stage of several projects under long-term investment agreements (LTIAs), the share of the service segment increased from 13% in 2017 to 41% in 2018. At the end of 2018, Mostotrest’s key operating region was the Central Federal District of Russia, which accounted for 77% of the backlog. Due to the final stage of construction of the Kerch Bridge, the share of the Southern Federal District in the Group’s backlog decreased to 7% at the end of 2018. Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 34 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Mostotrest (cont’d) Key Commissioned Projects in 2018 In 2018, Mostotrest completed and commissioned a total of RUB 127.3bn 11 projects with a total length of constructed, reconstructed M-11 “Moscow — St. and repaired roads and bridges of 323.1 km, as well as Petersburg” Highway Section 6 (km 334 – km 543) 0.4mn m2 of pavement built at airports. construction RUB 63.1bn RUB 122.5bn Kerch Bridge M-11 “Moscow — Construction St. Petersburg” Highway (Road Part) RUB 55.4bn Section 1 (km 58 – km 97) Construction of 4th Moscow construction Ring Road (Entuziastov Avenue — Izmailovskoye Avenue) RUB 20.8bn Construction Of M-11 “Moscow — St. Petersburg” Highway Festivalnaya Street — Dmitrovskoye Avenue Section (Northern Throughway) Revenue Structure, RUB bn 12.7 14.8 11.4 2.6 12.1 18.6 19.2 13.0 10.6 4.1 18.8 9.9 162.5 168.7 115.6 130.6 2015 2016 2017 2018 Construction of Br idges and Highways Construction of Airfields and Airports Other Facilities Maintenance and Repair of Roads Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 35 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS LSR Group Highlights Consolidated Income Statement, RUB bn LSR Group was established in 1993 and is 18.7% currently one of the main players in the sector. Its business areas include the production of building materials, real estate development and construction activity. The company’s shares are 17.2% listed in Moscow and London but the largest 138.5 146.4 shareholder is the Russian businessman Andrei Molchanov with a 60% stake. 16.0% 98.1 27.4 22.1 LSR Group owns pre-fabricated concrete factories 16.9 16.2 15.9 9.2 in the cities of St Petersburg and Yekaterinburg. It claims to be the largest producer of reinforced concrete, sand and ceramic bricks in Russia. In 2016 2017 2018 April 2018, LSR sold its concrete factory in Net Revenues EBITDA Net Pr ofit EBITDA Margin Moscow for an undisclosed amount. In 2018, the group’s sales rose by 5.7% y/y to RUB 146.4bn as new contract sales went up by 44% y/y Consolidated Balance Sheet, RUB bn to 1.0mn m², translating into RUB 93bn. According to the company, contract sales were also underpinned by record low mortgage rates in the 1.93 first half of the year, as well as consumer 1.69 expectations for future price increases in light of recent regulatory changes. 251.9 251.6 1.06 259.5 A consolidated EBITDA margin improved to 18.7% of sales, from 16% in 2017. In value terms, EBITDA 42.7 28.5 29.0 rose by 24% y/y to RUB 27.4bn. However, net 84.4 77.7 68.5 profit increased by a mere 2.3% y/y to RUB 16.2bn. 2016 2017 2018 Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 36 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS LSR Group (cont’d) Sales Volume, Building Materials 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sand, thou m3 8,396 8,144 8,742 7,564 10,699 Crushed Granite, thou m3 7,270 5,374 6,312 5,975 7,538 Ready-mix Concrete, thou m3 1,612 1,027 879 1,052 1,135 Brick, mln units 334 348 317 290 300 Aerated Concrete, thou m3 1,355 1,304 1,385 1,509 1418 Reinforced Concrete, thou m3 319 283 256 234 160 Area Transferred to Customers, thou m² Real Estate Development, New Contract Sales 925 924 1,008 881 90.0 85.3 154 137 920 140 70.6 179 211 182 611 65.3 681 528 640 54.9 129 19 562 560 605 380 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 St. Peter sburg Moscow Ekaterinbur g Total Volume, thou m² Value, RUB bn Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 37 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Etalon Group Highlights Consolidated Income Statement, RUB bn Etalon Group is one of the leading real estate development and construction companies in the 21.0% country. Founded in 1987, the group is mainly engaged in housing projects in and around Moscow and St Petersburg. 14.9% 72.3 Etalon focuses on middle class residential real 70.6 estate in Moscow and St Petersburg. The 7.9% 49.0 company claims to be the largest real estate 14.8 developer by number of projects offered on the 7.9 7.3 5.7 4.9 Moscow market and the third largest on the St 0.04 Petersburg market. Etalon is also the second largest company in Moscow in terms of volumes 2016 2017 2018 under construction and the third largest in St Net Revenues EBITDA Net Pr ofit EBITDA Margin Petersburg. Viacheslav Zarenkov and Galina Zarenkova hold 30.7% of the company’s shares, and Baring Vostok Consolidated Balance Sheet, RUB bn Funds 5.7%, while the company’s free-float as of 2018 was 61.9%. Etalon Group Limited’s GDRs 1.07 have been traded on the main market of the London Stock Exchange since 2011. 0.66 The group’s new contract sales came in at 134.8 130.6 114.1 628,000m² in 2018, up from 512,000m² in 2017. The average sale price went up by 11.5% y/y to 62.8 60.1 58.2 9.7 7.8 RUB 109,400 per m². In 2018, total consolidated -0.39 revenues increased by 2.3% y/y to RUB 72.3bn but -2.2 the company’s EBITDA margin shrank to 7.9% 2016 2017 2018 from 21% in 2017. Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 38 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Etalon Group (cont’d) New Residential Sales Average Price, RUB/m² 109,400 68.7 95,650 98,094 91,057 50.2 47.4 628 35.1 512 496 385 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 New sales, thou m² New sales, RUB bn Number of Signed New Contracts Shareholding Structure, 2018 12,312 Sistema PJSFC 25.0% 9,916 9,590 7,841 Baring Vostok 5.7% Free Float 61.9% Zarenkov family 5.7% Management 1.7% 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 39 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Velesstroy Highlights Income Statement, RUB bn Velesstroy is one of the leading companies implementing oil and gas and electric power sector projects, as well as industrial and civil 5.0% works. The majority shareholder in the company is Cyprus-based Waveform Investments Ltd, holding a 99% stake. 2.9% Velesstroy was established in 1996, when the 75.1 73.8 88.2 company’s main business related to full-scale 2.0% corrosion protection treatment of structural steel. In 2001, the company started to engage in 3.7 2.6 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.1 installation and welding work in oil pipeline construction. 2015 2016 2017 Net Revenues EBIT The company participated in the first and second Net Pr ofit EBIT Margin phases (ESPO-1 and ESPO-2) of the construction of the Eastern Siberia-Pacific Ocean (ESPO) oil pipeline. It also took part in both Phase 1 and Balance Sheet, RUB bn Phase 2 of the Baltic Pipeline System project. Other projects include the Zapolyarie-Purpe 3.60 Pipeline System; the CPC Expansion Project (a follow-up to the Caspian Pipeline Consortium project); and construction of the LNG Plant and of LNG Tanks within the framework of the YAMAL 55.0 LNG Project. In April 2019, the company 58.7 58.5 announced that works at the Yamal LNG had been conducted ahead of schedule. In July 2017, the 0.81 0.68 company signed a contract for the construction 4.6 5.4 2.1 8.5 2.5 6.8 and installation of cryogenic gas-separation units at the Amur Gas Processing Plant (GPP) in the 2015 2016 2017 Total Assets Shareholders' Equity town of Svobodny in Russia’s Far East. The new Net Debt Net Debt/EBIT GPP will become one of the world's largest natural-gas processing plants, according to the company. Source: Company Data, EMIS Company Database RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 40 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
04 COMPANIES IN FOCUS CONTENTS Velesstroy (cont’d) Major Projects Project Status Description Oil pipeline system, intended to be used for Russian regions of Far East and Asian-Pacific Region supply. It includes construction of a Pipeline System ESPO-1 Completed pipeline from Tayshet to Skovorodino, passing through the Amurskaya and Irkutskaya regions including Yakutiya. The mainline length is almost 2,700 km and its capacity is 30mn tonnes a year. Installation of 2,000km of oil pipeline in Khabarovsk and Primorsk Krai, Amur and Evreyskaya autonomous region with the aim of Pipeline system ESPO-2 Under Construction increasing crude oil export to Japan and South Korea by 30mn tonnes a year. A network of pipelines with a total length of nearly 1,200 km, Baltic Pipeline System I and II Completed connecting the Druzhba oil pipeline and seaports on the Russian coast of the Baltic Sea. Consortium and a pipeline to transport Caspian oil from the Tengiz Caspian Pipeline Consortium Completed field to the Novorossiysk-2 Marine Terminal on Russia's Black Sea coast. VES ESPO Power Station Completed Part of the ESPO Pipeline project. The LNG plant has a capacity of 16.5mn tonnes of LNG per year South Tambey LNG Plant Under Construction and is based at the South Tambey field on the shores of the Gulf of Ob. Among the largest projects that Velesstroy has been awarded is the construction of the ESPO-2 oil pipeline. The company worked on the construction of pumping stations (PSs) related to ESPO-2, as well as on infrastructure development, installation of power-generation facilities – including power equipment and fire protection systems – sewer and process pipelines and general site improvement works. Velesstroy also participated in the Baltic Pipeline System Phase 1 (BPS-1) project, being involved in the expansion of loading capacity and storage tank capacity of SMNP – the Primorsk Specialised Oil Port – as well as the construction of treatment facilities for it. In 2014, Velesstroy was awarded a contract by the South Tambey LNG consortium (comprising Technip, JGC, and Chiyoda, as well as Velesstroy itself) for construction of one of the biggest LNG plants in the world. With an annual capacity of about 16.5mn tonnes, this is based directly in the South Tambey field on the shores of the Gulf of Ob. Source: Company Data RUSSIA REAL ESTATE & CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2019/2020 41 An EMIS Insights Industry Report
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