YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
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The Market • Business recovery drives YoY in May to 40% • MoM of 14% exceeds MoM of 5.7% in May 2019 • Comparing to the rank of 7 YiTrackers in May 2019, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Beverage, and Baby Food are gainers • Growth momentum in April and May is stronger than pre-COVID-19 YoY in Nov and December
Comparing to YiTrackers ranking in May 2019, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Beverage, and Baby Food are gainers Data Source: Tmall Data and Yimian Analysis ©YIMIAN DATA 3
Tmall GMV in May followed the seasonal rise of prior years with a stronger momentum; April-May YoY growth exceeds that of the two months before COVID-19 Seasonal Pattern of Tmall GMV Year-Over-Year GMV 300 Growth Rate(%) 250 200 CNY BILLION 150 35 31 100 50 8 0 Nov-Dec Jan-Feb Apr-May 2020 2019 2020 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2019 2020 Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 4
April-May YoY rates of Beverage, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Baby Food, Snacks, and Electronics all exceed pre-COVID-19 levels; Personal Care & Cosmetics and Pet Food also regained most of their pre- COVID-19 YoY growth Change of YoY Growth vs. Pre-COVID-19 GMV YoY Growth Change During COVID-19 and Recovery YoY Growth(%) 98 72 49 68 56 55 46 53 59 33 38 40 29 36 31 34 35 19 34 12 7 Beverage Safety, Cleaning Baby Food Snacks Electronics Personal Care & Pet Food & Health Cosmetics Nov-Dec 2019 Jan-Feb 2020 Apr-May 2020 Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 5
In May, the market overall achieves 40% year-over-year and 14% month-over-month growth. Snack is the only YiTracker with below-market YoY. Personal Care & Cosmetics beats market in MoM growth. Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 6
Baby Food • Nature’s Way leverages top live-streaming KOL Viva Huang to drive DHA/Walnut Oil growth • BIOSTIME markets its LPN ingredient to boost infant immune system and enters top 10 • MEILING and BAIYUE cater to recent rising interest in goat milk and achieve strong growth
Baby food beats the market Baby Food YiTracker (1/7) annual growth in May, although with a 10% decline over April. Mellin is a stronger driver of Juice/Beverage, growing by 4.5x MoM in May. Thanks to live-streaming top KOL Viva Huang, Nature's Way's DHA/Walnut Oil sales explodes. Nestle, Abbott, Nutricia, and Infatrini are the few dominant players in premature infant formula, taking more than 90% of share. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 8
9 of April top 10 brands stay, Baby Food YiTracker (1/7) except Yili replaced by Biostime. Domestic brand Biostime partners with French companies and source milk from Europe, strengthening its "import" image. Biostime's Paixing brand markets its LPN (Lactopontin) ingredient to boost infant immune system, offers bulk package, and achieves strong sales in recent months. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 9
The fastest-growing brands Baby Food YiTracker (1/7) grow by ~15x/year and ~5x/month in May, which are moderate comparing to fast growers in some other categories. COVID-19 impacted supply chain and consumer trust of overseas milk. Happy Prince offers free trials and large order discounts to grow sales. Meiling and Baiyue cater to recent rising consumer interest in goat milk and achieve strong growth. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 10
Beverage • "Line-and-crowd skipping" self-serve coffee products and "0-additive, high-calcium, freshly- milked" goat milk continue to grow above average • WANGWANG innovates with "milk-frozen-into- ice-cream" • NONGFU attracts athletes with "single-hand- opening, non-spill" bottles • VOSS and GEXISHI get boost from KOLs including Dwayne Johnson and Viva Huang
Beverage beats market in Beverage YiTracker (2/7) annual growth and sustains its April sales level. Self-serve coffee products, including Coffee Liquid Concentrate, Drip Cofee, and Capsule Coffee, help consumers to avoid lines and crowds in coffee shops and continue strong growth in May. Goat milk is marketed as the animal milk most resembling human milk. The best-selling keywords include "no additives", "high calcium", and "freshly milked". Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 12
WANGWANG enters Top 10; NESTLE and SOYMILK lose ranks; MENGNIU Beverage YiTracker (2/7) is the only brand with MoM decline. WANGWANG innovates with DONGCHI product line to "free a cup of milk into ice-cream". NONGFU Spring, the maker of popular sport drink JIANJIAO, now sells bottled water packaged especially for sport activities with convenient features such as "single- hand cap opening" and "falling without spilling". Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 13
The fastest-growing brands grow by ~62x/year and ~16x/month in May, Beverage YiTracker (2/7) painting a volatile segment. "Health" theme is strengthened by COVID-19. VOSS contracted Hollywood celebrity Dwayne Johnson in 2019, and inserted placements in popular online TV show "The Best Partner", both of which helped its growth. GEXISHI focuses on wild pueraria instant drink, which is healthy for hot summer days. The brand contracted Viva Huang, the recent Top KOL in live-streaming, to drive online traffic. GOLD KANO drives growth mainly with its best-selling Enzyme Fruit Tea with "0 fat" to attract health- conscious consumers, marketing its products as "delicious drink without calorie concerns". Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 14
Electronics • "Lazy cleaning" trend drives the growth of ultrasonic cleaners and window-cleaning or floor- sweeping robots • "Air safety" concerns help sales of forced-air ventilation and anti-mildew disinfection air conditioners • "Healthy & natural" preference is met by home water filtration and integrated ceiling fan-and- light • "Business restart" pulls more commercial water dispenser sales
Electronics grows at rates on par with the market. “Get Lazy" and Electronics YiTracker (3/7) "Prevent Infection" are the top needs. Ultrasonic Cleaners help consumers clean hard-to-machine wash underwear without moving a finger. Window Cleaning Robots and Sweeping Robots help busy commuters to reduce the housework load. "Air Safety" in a world shared with COVID-19 drives the sales of Household Forced Ventilation Systems, not only to block smog, but also to prevent virus infection. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 16
The top 10 brands are the same as April. BEAR loses places. Electronics YiTracker (3/7) In May, after the issuance of New National Standards for Energy Efficiency of Air Conditioners, CHIGO launches the healthier inverter air conditioners. Its intelligent anti- mildew, intelligent cloud technology and effective sterilization are addressing consumers "air safety" concerns amid COVID-19, boosting its rank to No.7. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 17
The fastest-growing brands grow by ~88x/year and ~20x/month in May, Electronics YiTracker (3/7) painting a volatile segment. LINWON focuses on integrated ceiling fan and light for consumers seeking "natural, healthy, and comfortable" lifestyles. Canature built-in water purifiers make drinking water available, eliminating cumbersome water jugs and reducing risks of infection. SPRING WATER achieves high YoY and MoM growth with its commercial drinking water dispensers, as schools, kindergartens, and factories resume operations. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 18
Personal Care & Cosmetics • "Summer essentials" address hair removal, sunblock, and sweat control needs • "Occasional mask removal" stimulates makeup, lipsticks and acne-control products • SK-II refurbishes its 2020 Tokyo Olympic campaign to "Spring Doll" • "Cross-category brand copy" helps Rimula Men's Cosmetics free-ride on the traffic of a more famous men's apparel brand with an identical Chinese name.
Personal Care & Cosmetics is on par Personal Care & Cosmetics YiTracker (4/7) with the market for year-over-year growth; it beats the market for month-over-month growth. Seasonal "summer days" demand drives the sales of Women's Hair Removers, Sunscreen, Anti- perspirant, and Refreshing Ointment. As COVID-19 comes under control, mask-wearing occasionally becomes optional. Make-up and Oral Cavity Beauty & Care gradually recover at higher YoY and MoM growth than the overall Personal Care & Cosmetics. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 20
YAMAN, SK-II, and YSL replaced VENZEN, OKADY, and BOTEX in Top Personal Care & Cosmetics YiTracker (4/7) 10, in which all brands grow both annually and monthly. YAMAN comes from Japan, focusing on beauty apparatuses. YAMAN contracts KOL Faye Yu in May to drive sales of its ACE-line of Radio Frequency Beauty-care Instrument. SK-II's facial treatment essence turns the original 2020 Tokyo Olympic campaign into a revised Spring-Doll campaign, an "Adaptive Marketing" story. The cute Japanese dolls help SK-II enter the Top 10 list. YSL rides the consumers urge to remove masks whenever possible now with COVID-19 under control and grows its sales of lipsticks and liquid foundation. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 21
The fastest-growing brands Personal Care & Cosmetics YiTracker (4/7) expand by ~307x/year and ~60x/month in May with dramatic re-shuffles. QuadHA is a sub-brand of BIOHYALUX, the creator of popular Forbidden City Lipsticks. It mainly sells Anti-Acne 5D Hyaluronic Acid Concentrate Against Acne, the demand of which is on the rise as consumers find more occasions to take off masks. Rimula, a niche brand focusing on Men’s cosmetics, is different from K- Boxing. Rimula's Chinese brand, "Jinba", is identical to established men's apparel brand K-Boxing. It borrows the fame of K-Boxing to target the same target customers across categories and to achieve fast growth. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 22
Safety, Cleaning & Health • As virus risks of hospital visits dwindle, orders of HPV vaccine reservation skyrocket • "More time out of home" warms up laundry products • COFOE and RONGSHENG position post-cosmetic- surgery facial masks as remedy for respirator mask discomfort • HONGXIN differentiates with portable moxibustion boxes • GONGFUBENSE stands out with low-priced bamboo-pulp tissues
In May, Safety, Cleaning & Safety, Cleaning & Health YiTracker (5/7) Health continue to beat market overall YoY growth. Masks, Sterilization for clothes and HPV Vaccine Reservation services show significant rebound. As COVID-19 comes under control, people become more comfortable going to hospitals to get vaccine shots. HPV (Cervical Cancer) Vaccine Reservation services grow significantly. Laundry products, such as Clothes Sterilization, Laundry Beads, Refresher Beads and Color-Fast Bleach, help with virus prevention post-pandemic and achieve, high YoY and MoM growth. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 24
Walch rises to No.3; Safety, Cleaning & Health YiTracker (5/7) RONGSHENG is back to Top 10, replacing Yuwell. Tissue brands decline MoM for the 2nd month. Sterilization needs go beyond hands to underwear, clothes and household appliances post pandemic, propelling the growth of Walch. Cofoe and RONGSHENG market their post-cosmetic-surgery facial masks as alleviation of mask- wearing discomfort. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 25
The fastest-growing brands of Safety, Cleaning & Health YiTracker (5/7) Safety, Cleaning & Health explode by ~334x/year and ~14x/month in May. Upon reports of potential COVID-19 spread through human excrement, consumers pay more attention to toilet hygiene. Bref grows fast by promoting its disinfection performance and cleaning results. HONGXIN mainly sells moxibustion instruments and wormwood-leaf foot bath. Its portable household moxibustion box sells well, helping, HONGXIN enter the top MoM growth list. GONGFUBENSE, specialized in bamboo pulp tissues, achieves a high MoM growth mainly by offering very competitive unit price . Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 26
Snacks • "Craving office workers" prefer individual-serve snack packages • Jay Chou and Viva Huang feed Oreo "nostalgia traffic" by bringing back childhood memories • BAOJUYUAN vacuum-pack ready-to-eat meats make meat enjoyment convenient and safe beyond meals • As a "chat snack", SHALAODA's sunflower seeds grow rapidly as social gatherings are coming back
Snacks in May declines from Snacks YiTracker (6/7) April, with a below-market- average YoY growth rate. The category MoM growth of Pudding is boosted by an internet- popular item MOCAKING. Kumquat Products top the MoM growth driven by LINGSHISECAI’s dried kumquat with crystal sugar and TIANXI’s dried kumquat. Snacks with small packages for individual serves become popular as businesses are re-opening, driven by the demand of "office snack" and "afternoon tea breaks". Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 28
Oreo and YITAO enter top Snacks YiTracker (6/7) brands list, replacing QIMIAO and PANPAN. ZHOU HEI YA rises to No.4 with a steady growth. To many, “Twist, Lick, and Dip” of Oreo cookies is a sweet childhood memory. Oreo signed with Jay Chou and Viya Huang on a nostalgia campaign, helping its strong sales. YITAO focuses on nuts and offers cyber-hot “Daily Nuts” gift packs targeting the young crowd. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 29
The fastest-growing brands Snacks YiTracker (6/7) explode by ~47x/year and ~22x/month in May, with brands frequently shuffle and intensive competition in Snacks. BAOJUYUAN mainly make vacuum ready-to-eat meat, including donkey meat, beef, pork, and chicken, etc. It is convenient for consumers to enjoy safe meat beyond meals. LISHIYOUPIN focuses on Egg-yolk puff and yogurt drinks. The exposure at Guangxi Educational TV Channel boosts its growth, a similar success story to "A Bite of China" TV show. SHALAODA from Xinjiang mainly sells sunflower seeds with multiple flavors. It's a popular "chat snack" for gradually resumed social gatherings. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 30
Pet Food • The growth of cat foods continues to beat that of dog foods • The growth of wet foods continues to exceed that of dry foods • The top 10 brand list is stable with majority of brands showing both annual and monthly growth except CRAZY DOG and KERES • Fast-growing brands resort to content marketing or competitive pricing
The YoY growth of Pet Food in Pet Food YiTracker (7/7) May is on par with the market, with a moderate MoM growth rate. Sales of Pet Food bounce back, with all sub-categories growing positively YoY and MoM. The growth of cat food continues to beat that of dog food, and the growth of wet food continues to exceed that of dry food. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 32
All top 10 brands grow month Pet Food YiTracker (7/7) over month. The list of brands is stable. It's about time to replenish the home inventory of pet food, commonly stockpiled during the pandemic. Most top 10 brands grow both YoY and MoM, except Keres and Crazy dog showing a year over year decline. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 33
The fastest-growing brands Pet Food YiTracker (7/7) expand by ~5x/year and ~2.4x/month in May, showing the least volatility among all YiTrackers. BENEFITS-COUNTRYSIDE is a domestic brand strong in content marketing through its official Bai Jiahao account. They published articles on how to keep healthy pets, closely engaging with pet owners. QIAOMANYAO and ZHENZHILE, domestic brands that compete on price to attract price-sensitive consumers, achieving strong YoY and MoM growth. Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool ©YIMIAN DATA 34
What are YiTrackers? YiTrackers capture trends of consumer needs. Based on Yimian's client serving experience, each YiTracker includes a number of online product categories that address a common theme of consumer needs. • Each YiTracker defines Jan 2019 GMV as the baseline at 100 points • Our data support deep-dive analyses into each YiTracker, down to SKU level with high resolution data on brands, stores, and product attributes • Three key charts are selected to highlight the dynamics of each YiTracker • Category size and growth • Top Brands by market share • Top brands by year-over-year and month-over-month growth ©YIMIAN DATA 35
Overview of 7 YiTrackers Theme of YiTrackers # of Categories Monthly GMV Scale (CNY) Baby Food 34 Billions Beverage 71 Billions Electronics 310 Billions Personal Care & Cosmetics 284 Tens of Billions Safety, Cleaning & Health (“COVID-19”) 335 Billions Snacks 133 Billions Pet Food 6 Billions Source: Yimian By Ascential ©YIMIAN DATA 36
Contact Us Yimian by Ascential E: data@yimian.com.cn T: +86-755-86503625 A: 47/F China Energy Storage Building, No.3099 KeYuan South Road, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong, P.R. China
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