Using radar to assess and mitigate collision risk to birds on wind farms - an example of good practice - Wind Farm & Wildlife Impact Workshop ...
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Using radar to assess and mitigate collision risk to birds on wind farms - an example of good practice Wind Farm & Wildlife Impact Workshop, Helsinki Date: 19th September 2018 Presenter: Pawel Plonczkier 1
Presentation agenda Part 1 Part 2 Principles of radar monitoring An example of good practice 19/09/2018 This presentation consists of two parts. The first part outlines basic principles of designing a radar monitoring campaign, from planning and study design to execution and interpretation of results. The second part shows the practical implementation of these principles based on the recent Natural Power’s radar study conducted in the western Scotland to assess the collision risk for white-fronted geese at a proposed onshore wind farm. 2
Principles of using radar for bird monitoring Identify the risks Formulate the monitoring and mitigation aims Evaluate the need for using radar Choose the right tool for the job Design a monitoring protocol to answer key questions Analyse data and contextualise information 19/09/2018 Here are six steps which help to guide the process of designing a radar study. Although it may be not an exhaustive list, it highlights the important questions that need to be answered before a decision on using radar is made, and also, it provides clues on how to use radar effectively. 3
1. Identify the risks • Single species or groups • Resident, migratory (spring and autumn), wintering • Conservation status Key species • Sensitivity, abundance • Collisions with turbines resulting in mortality • Displacement resulting in mortality or sub-lethal effects • Barrier effect resulting in increased energy expenditure Key impacts • Lighting causing disorientation at night • Key seasons Key periods • Protected sites (SPA, Ramsar, Nature Reserves) and areas 19/09/2018 The first step when considering the use of radar in mitigation is to identify key risks: (1) what are the key species of interest; (2) what are the key impacts on those species; and (3) where and when may those species be affected. Important aspects to consider when identifying key species is how easy or difficult they will be to detect by radar. When describing risks associated with a wind farm development, two or more types of impact can be identified depending on the key species. Finally, birds’ biology and ecology as well as geographical aspects of a site (proximity to roosting, foraging or protected sites) will define temporal and spatial boundaries of the risks. 4
2. Formulate the monitoring and mitigation aims Seasonality Flux of birds Abundance Foraging Flight height patterns MONITORING AIMS? Wind farm Migration or turbine timing avoidance Species Habitat loss composition 19/09/2018 Having identified all the risks, the next step is to define the monitoring aims. Often ecologists are interested in all aspects of birds’ behaviour and by employing sophisticated tools such as radar, the tendency is to gather as much information as possible. However, such an approach can easily backfire as not a single monitoring method is suitable to provide information needed to answer multiple monitoring aims. The more specific the monitoring aims can be, the easier it will be to find a method suitable for providing the information required. 5
3. Evaluate the need for using radar Be aware of both strengths and limitations of radar technology Unlike other techniques that use visual, infrared or acoustic sensors, avian radar can: Provide unbiased and automatic data collection 24/7 Track multiple targets simultaneously Cover large spatial scales Operate in reduced visibility conditions (night, fog, light rain) Limitations of radar technology: Cannot detect stationary targets Cannot reliably detect low-flying targets (ground and wave clutter) Limited capabilities to identify birds to species Prone to interference from other radars Difficult to operate in remote and harsh conditions Not a substitute for human observations 19/09/2018 Would radar be a suitable monitoring method to answer the monitoring aim as defined during the preceding step? Radar is a very sophisticated tool but it may not be the best tool for the job. There could be other monitoring techniques that are cheaper or better suited for specific tasks. There is no denying that radar technology offers some unique capabilities that other methods cannot. For detecting and tracking multiple targets over large scales during the hours of darkness - radar is the only tool able to achieve this. Conversely, in some situations radar will be an inappropriate tool to use because of the limitations that are inherently associated with this technology. For example, for continuous and uninterrupted tracking of single targets (e.g. large birds of prey), it may be better to use some kind of tagging technology (radio or satellite tagging). For assessing the abundance of waterfowl congregating on large areas of water, boat or aerial surveys will be best. Last thing to mention here is that radar is never going to replace ornithologists on the ground. This is of course not a limitation of radar technology however it is often perceived as one. Radar is yet another tool in the arsenal of ornithologists, not their substitute. 6
4. Choose the right tool for the job Types of avian radars Surveillance radars OPERATION MODE: Scanning the airspace throughout a 360° field of view DATA TYPE: 2D information on bird activity over a wide area (position and velocity) PURPOSE: Spatial and temporal distribution, patterns of behaviour, abundance studies Staring radars OPERATION MODE: Fixed antenna orientated in azimuth and elevation DATA TYPE: Altitudinal profile over a limited sector PURPOSE: Passage rates, flock density and height measurements, group/species ID Tracking radars OPERATION MODE: Following individual targets over a shorter range DATA TYPE: 3D information on individual targets, including wingbeat frequency PURPOSE: Species ID, accurate speed measurements, behavioural studies 19/09/2018 There are different types of radars being used for bird monitoring. Radars can differ in antenna design, transmitter technology, frequency of electromagnetic signal, operation mode, detection range, target resolution, etc. The implications of this is that different types of radars provide different type of information. In simple terms, there are three main types of radars used for bird monitoring: surveillance, staring and tracking radars. Surveillance radars scan the airspace in 360 view and provide 2D information on targets position, trajectory and speed. Staring radars can be fixed in azimuth and elevation, and provide accurate height information on targets passing through a limited sector. Tracking radars can follow individual targets and provide 3D information on single targets, including wing beat frequency. 7
4. Choose the right tool for the job Each radar type is suitable for addressing specific research questions Distribution and abundance studies? Quantification Species of flight identification? activity? 19/09/2018 Depending on the monitoring aims, the type of radar that is designed to provide certain type of information shall be used . If the monitoring aim is to assess the flux of birds passing over a proposed wind farm site, then staring radar should be used as this type of radar provides altitudinal profile over a selected viewshed. If the monitoring aim is to map the flight paths of wintering geese commuting between feeding and roosting sites, then surveillance radar should be employed as this type of radar provides information on spatial distribution over a larger range. It often happens that some studies require multidisciplinary approach and multiple sensors. For this reason some avian radar manufacturers combine two radar sensors into one radar system – to collect many types of data to answer multiple monitoring aims. 8
5. Design a monitoring protocol to answer key questions Survey • Sampling period (timing and duration) • Data ground-truthing (radar ornithologists) design • Integration of other methods (sensors) Radar • Sampling area (radar siting, multiple locations, clutter modelling, probability of detection) calibration • Testing (initial data collection, review of radar target data) • Automated reporting procedures 19/09/2018 There are many practical aspects to be considered when designing a monitoring protocol for radar monitoring so not all can be listed here, however the following considerations are necessary to be included in the planning process: • The study should be long enough to be able to detect patterns of behaviour; • The study timing should be tailored to the birds’ ecology (and phenology); • Radar ornithologists have a crucial role to play - to verify radar recording and provide ecological context to the radar output; and • Radar monitoring could be integrated with other sensors (cameras). Logistics of radar operation in the field depend on local topography, ground cover, road access, network and power connections. Often, the operation of radar is subject to a site-specific frequency clearance issued by local civil aviation authorities. A lot of effort should go into selecting the optimum location for the radar which provides sufficient viewshed and range for data collection. It is important to allow time (and resources) to carry out field tests, to check the quality of recorded data and to make necessary amendments if needed (radar location, recording parameters). 9
6. Analyse data and contextualise information Data Information 19/09/2018 Radar produces terabytes of data but raw data is worthless unless properly analysed and interpreted. It’s a radar ornithologist’s task to sift through the dataset, select and analyse the relevant data, and provide ecological context so data becomes information. The radar data reports that are often automatically produced by radar software rarely give satisfying answers - it’s more of a tool to ensure that data acquisition process goes interrupted or to highlight some behaviours that are out of ordinary. 10
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 1. Identify the risks • Greenland white-fronted goose Anser albifrons flavirostris • Wintering • High conservation status (Endangered, Annex 1, Red-listed) Key species • Global population in 2017 - 20,556 individuals • Collisions with turbines resulting in mortality • Barrier effect resulting in increased energy expenditure Key impacts • Key seasons - winter Key periods • Protected sites - goose designated SPA and areas 19/09/2018 This is a recent (2016-2017) example of Natural Power’s project using radar technology to assess collision risk for Greenland white-fronted geese (GWFG) at a proposed wind farm site in western Scotland. Due to its limited geographic range and relatively small population size, GFWG is a species on Birds of Conservation Concern Red List, classified as Endangered under IUCN Red Data List criteria and listed on Annex 1 of the EC Bird Directive. The proposed development lies in close proximity to a Special Protection Area which regularly supports an internationally important wintering population of GWFG. GWFG had been known to transit over the proposed site between the hill lochs (roosting sites) and their day-time foraging areas, during morning and evening commute, potentially risking collision with turbines. 11
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 2. Formulate the monitoring aims Foraging sites Roosting sites Seasonality Flux of Abundance birds Dawn and dusk commuting Flight Foraging height MONITORING patterns Nocturnal flight activity AIMS Wind farm Migration or turbine timing avoidance Species Habitat composition loss 19/09/2018 Given the proximity of the proposed development to the SPA, the foraging patterns of GWFG needed to be assessed. The purpose of radar monitoring at the proposed development was two-fold: • To assess the GWFG activity over the proposed development, especially during dawn and dusk commute; and • To determine the levels of goose nocturnal flight activity. 12
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 3. Evaluate the need for using radar Unbiased and automatic data collection 24/7 Simultaneous tracking of multiple targets Large spatial coverage Ability to operate in reduced visibility conditions 19/09/2018 To answer the monitoring aims (describing the foraging patterns of geese), continuous tracking of multiple targets over large areas (up to 10 km in radius), including night-time periods, was required. Only radar technology offers such capabilities, therefore avian radar was used for this study. 13
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 4. Choose the right tool for the job Surveillance S-band radar Scanning the airspace throughout a 360° field of view 2D information on bird activity over a wide area (position and velocity) Spatial and temporal distribution, patterns of behaviour No height information needed – no need for X-band radar 19/09/2018 A surveillance S-band radar was chosen to provide information on geese flight activity, including position, flight trajectory and speed. As the monitoring aims did not require investigating the flight height, no X-band radar was used for this study (flight height was investigated during previous radar studies on this site). 14
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 5. Design a monitoring protocol to answer key questions • Sampling period - four 10-day deployments in winter season Surveillance S-band radar • Data ground-truthing - dawn and dusk goose watches • Day-time goose census • Integration of other methods - night-time auditory goose surveys Survey design Radar • Sampling area – single radar location calibration • Testing - radar track comparison in four control areas • Automated reporting procedures – radar output review 19/09/2018 GWFG are present in the UK only in winter and the radar monitoring programme was designed to collect data at each key phase of the goose wintering season (post-arrival, mid-winter and pre-departure). Four radar deployments were carried out in total, each including ten days (240 hours) of continuous radar monitoring. Ornithological observations were conducted in tandem with radar monitoring to complement radar recordings and visually confirm goose flocks. This consisted of: • Dawn and dusk goose watches to provide information on goose distribution and utilisation of roosting sites; • Night-time auditory surveys to confirm goose presence/absence at key areas; and • Day-time goose census at coastal foraging sites to monitor the wintering population size. A single radar location was used for all four deployments. The radar detected bird flight activity in real time and saved all bird targets in a PostgreSQL database as vector flight paths (tracks). These tracks were displayed on the radar screen in real time; they were also available to view remotely on external laptop. Typically, a radar operator would inform a field ornithologist of any relevant flight activity observed on a radar display so visual confirmation of the radar target could be made by the ornithologist. By using the laptop in the field, an ornithologist is able to positively identify bird targets onto the laptop and store information on bird species and numbers directly to the radar database. The statistical comparison of radar tracks in four control areas was carried out to test whether the radar was detecting, tracking and recording birds correctly, and also that the site coverage and bird detection rates were adequate for the purpose of the study. 15
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – radar data analysis (1) 1. Radar track classification based on eight size classes detected over the entirety of the radar detection range during ten-day monitoring period (red line marks the height of the sun in relation to the horizon) Surveillance S-band radar Radar tracks representing all size classes Radar tracks representing large flocks of birds 19/09/2018 As type of the radar used for this study is not capable of species recognition, the geese related information needed to be extracted from the radar dataset during post- processing. The first step of this process was classification of radar tracks into size classes which allowed the analysis of temporal distribution of different size birds. To be able to match radar tracks with the corresponding bird groups, a ‘trained dataset’ was used to reference the radar data (i.e. to build a set of recognisers for bird size classes). The trained dataset was created by matching visually identified bird records collected during various field observations with the radar recordings. For the referenced group of radar tracks, the relationship between the average mass of a species and the so-called corrected mass parameter was investigated. This ratio is expressed as the difference (decrease) in the reflective power of the radar beam from the object compared to the power of the emitted beam [dB]. Based on the corrected mass parameters, eight bird size classes were identified and used in the analysis. The top plot shows tracks of all sizes recorded during a 10-day deployment, the bottom plot shows only large flocks during the same period, which gives clear indication of key periods when the goose flocks were flying. 16
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – radar data analysis (2) 2. Goose track identification Goose reference dataset - visually observed goose flocks were matched with radar Surveillance tracks S-band radarand statistically analysed to identify the “goose classifiers” Parametric verification of radar data - entire radar dataset was verified using “goose classifiers” Visual analysis of radar output – cross-examination of data based on tracks’ trajectory, location, the place of origin, timing and repetitiveness of occurrence; track stitching to represent factual number of goose flocks 70 200 60 180 5% 160 50 140 40 120 Flocks Dawn Flocks 30 100 Outwith wind farm Day 39% 80 20 Within wind farm Dusk 52% 60 10 Night 40 0 20 0 4% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Date Hour 19/09/2018 The second step was the goose track identification and it comprised three stages: • Creation of the ‘goose reference dataset’; • Parametric verification of radar data; and • Visual analysis of radar video files. GWFG field records collected during dawn and dusk watches were matched with the corresponding flight tracks recorded by the radar. Using verified radar tracks (‘goose reference dataset’), certain radar parameters were statistically analysed to identify the ‘goose classifiers’, i.e. groups of parameters that are always characteristic to goose flock tracks. These ‘goose classifiers’ were used during parametric verification of the whole radar dataset to identify goose-like tracks. These were then analysed visually using the videos from the radar display. Finally, based on timing and trajectory, all identified goose tracks were linked together to represent the factual number of goose flocks (one goose flock can be represented on radar by several intermittent tracks). This approach allowed to reliably extract goose tracks from the radar dataset and use this information to describe patterns of goose flight behaviour. These sample plots show how this information can be presented and used in assessing the collision risk. 17
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – results (1) Surveillance Post-arrival S-band radar 19/09/2018 The results of the radar track identification analysis can be also shown on flight activity maps. This is a 10-day composite image of radar tracks representing goose flight activity recorded in November (post-arrival period). The majority of goose flight activity occurred over the land - 78% of flocks were recorded heading to or from roosting sites to the east of the proposed site. The remaining flocks were commuting between the mainland and the nearby islands to the west. There was no distinct flight corridor between the foraging sites located along the coastline and the roosting sites to the east, as geese were using different flyways each day. A quarter of all flights occurred over the proposed development. 18
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – results (2) Surveillance Mid-winter 1 S-band radar 19/09/2018 This is a 10-day composite image of radar tracks representing goose flight activity recorded in December (mid-winter 1 period). The majority of goose flight activity occurred between the mainland and the nearby islands to the west, and there was no distinct pattern of movements towards the roosting sites to the east. The GWFG were also found roosting near foraging sites close to the coast. The majority of flights recorded in the vicinity of the proposed development occurred during one night only (as a result of disturbance at the roost). 19
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – results (3) Surveillance Mid-winter 2 S-band radar 19/09/2018 This is a 10-day composite image of radar tracks representing goose flight activity recorded in February (mid-winter 2 period). The majority of goose flight activity occurred between the mainland and the nearby islands, and there was no distinct pattern of movements towards the roosting sites to the east. The vast majority of flights occurred outwith the proposed development; only 12 flocks were recorded transiting over the proposed site during this period. 20
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – results (4) Surveillance S-band radar Pre-departure 19/09/2018 This is a 10-day composite image of radar tracks representing goose flight activity recorded in March (pre-departure period). The majority of goose flight activity occurred between the mainland and the nearby islands, with only a handful of flight towards the roosting lochs to the east. No flights were detected over the proposed development. 21
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – main findings (1) Monitoring aim: to quantify goose activity over the proposed development Surveillance S-band radar A total of 122 goose flocks were recorded transiting over the proposed development 80% of flights were recorded during post- arrival period 93% of flight activity was concentrated around dawn and dusk periods 19/09/2018 One of the monitoring aims of this radar study was to quantify the goose flight activity over the proposed wind farm development. The main findings were: • A clear commuting pattern was discernible during all stages of the wintering season; • The majority of GWFG movements over the site occurred during post-arrival period (80%), and during dawn and dusk (93%); and • In November, 98 GWFG flocks transited over the site. In both December and February, 12 flocks transited over the site, in March no flocks were recorded flying over or near the site. 22
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – main findings (2) Monitoring aim: to quantify levels of nocturnal goose activity Surveillance S-band radar A quarter of all flight activity was recorded during hours of darkness Three-quarters of night-time activity occurred in mid-winter 97.42% of night-time activity was associated with movements outwith the proposed development 19/09/2018 The second monitoring aim was to quantify the levels of nocturnal goose activity. These are the main findings: • Nocturnal goose activity constituted 26% of all flights recorded; • The vast majority of the nocturnal activity (97.42%) was associated with movements outwith the proposed development; largely with geese commuting between the mainland and the nearby islands; • The peak in the nocturnal goose activity occurred in the first hour after dusk and could be associated with regular commuting between the foraging and roosting sites; and • No flights over the site were recorded during the core night hours (between 23:00 and 06:00 hours) or during the day (between dawn and dusk periods). 23
Radar monitoring to assess collision risk – an example of good practice 6. Analyse data and contextualise information – conclusions Surveillance S-band radar The results of the radar study will be used in collision risk and population viability modelling to quantify the impact to the goose population Adaptive operational management plans should be investigated as potential mitigation measures 19/09/2018 The information collected during this radar study can be used to evaluate the collision risk for GWFG in the planning phase of development. A collision model based on goose avoidance behaviour should be carried out and considered in the context of the GWFG population model. The possibility of undertaking a potential biological removal (PBR) analysis to determine the maximum allowable mortality whilst maintaining a sustainable GWFG population can be also considered for this site. 24
EIA Quality Mark Surveillance S-band radar 19/09/2018 25
Our successes Clients 19/09/2018 26
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