WORLD OPINION ON GLOBALIZATION AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN 2021
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WORLD OPINION ON GLOBALIZATION AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN 2021 Ipsos Global Advisor 25-Country Survey for the World Economic Forum August 2021 For more information, go to https://www.ipsos.com/en/sentiment-about-globalization-cooler-pandemic-across-world © 2021 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos’ confidential and proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
KEY FINDINGS MOST SUPPORT EXPANDING OPPOSITION TO TRADE, BUT MANY ESPOUSE SENTIMENT ABOUT GLOBALIZATION FOREIGN INVESTMENT PROTECTIONIST VIEWS IS MIXED AND DECLINING IS MARGINAL Most adults in each of 25 countries On average globally, only 48% agree that globalization Despite polarization and recently surveyed agree that is a good thing for their country. ambivalence about expanding trade is a good thing (an globalization, no more than average of 75% per country). Positive views of globalization are down in every 15% in any country disagree country (most of all in Latin America) by an average of that investment by global Yet in most countries, more agree 10 points since 2019, pre-COVID and vary widely companies in their country than disagree that there should be across countries (from 72% in Malaysia to 27% in is essential for its growth more trade barriers to limit imports France). and expansion. of foreign goods and services: on average across the 25 countries, About as many agree as disagree that globalization 37% agree, 27% disagree and 36% prevents their country’s government from are neutral or don’t have an implementing effective economic policies and opinion. democracy in their country from functioning properly, but more are neutral or unsure. 2 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
GLOBALIZATION – AGREEMENT WITH STATEMENTS Global Country Average United States Great Britain South Korea South Africa Netherlands Argentina Colombia Germany Australia Malaysia Hungary Belgium Sweden Canada Mexico Poland France Russia Turkey Japan Spain Brazil Chile Peru Italy Expanding trade is a good thing 75% 86% 73% 63% 82% 68% 86% 85% 51% 55% 78% 78% 70% 59% 86% 85% 71% 87% 82% 86% 83% 73% 67% 68% 83% 70% Investment by global companies in [country] is essential for our growth and 63% 73% 57% 58% 74% 59% 65% 71% 53% 48% 65% 61% 54% 49% 87% 68% 54% 73% 54% 51% 81% 72% 59% 50% 74% 54% expansion Overall, globalization is a good thing for 48% 48% 45% 35% 62% 46% 55% 54% 27% 46% 45% 46% 40% 50% 72% 46% 42% 63% 42% 34% 64% 61% 44% 48% 55% 42% my country There should be more trade barriers to limit imports of foreign goods and 37% 35% 49% 36% 38% 31% 31% 55% 49% 24% 25% 35% 46% 22% 47% 32% 23% 46% 27% 39% 55% 24% 36% 25% 56% 39% services in [country] Globalization prevents the [country’s] government from implementing effective 31% 22% 35% 36% 33% 28% 34% 37% 48% 26% 23% 21% 41% 21% 38% 29% 30% 35% 25% 34% 37% 19% 29% 24% 34% 29% economic policies Globalization prevents democracy in 28% 23% 32% 30% 31% 20% 27% 32% 41% 23% 22% 20% 38% 17% 38% 28% 30% 28% 28% 26% 36% 14% 24% 26% 39% 27% [country] from functioning well Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 countries Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average result for all the countries where the survey was conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result 3 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
EXPANDING TRADE IS A GOOD THING Global Country Average 75% 16% 4% 5% Peru 87% 8% 1%3% Majorities in all 25 countries agree that Malaysia 86% 10% 3%1% expanding trade is a good thing, Russia 86% 10% 1%3% averaging at 75% with only 5% Argentina 86% 7% 4% 3% disagreeing. Chile 86% 9% 2% 4% Mexico 85% 8% 2% 4% Agreement is highest in Peru (87%), Colombia 85% 9% 2% 4% Malaysia, Russia, Argentina and Chile South Africa 83% 10% 1% 6% (all 86%) while it is lowest in France Turkey 83% 10% 3% 5% (51%) and Germany (55%). Brazil 82% 11% 3% 4% Poland 82% 13% 2% 4% Great Britain 78% 14% 5% 3% Hungary 78% 14% 5% 4% South Korea 73% 19% 3% 4% Australia 73% 17% 3% 7% Netherlands 71% 17% 4% 7% United States 70% 21% 5% 5% Italy 70% 20% 6% 5% Canada 68% 20% 6% 6% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 Sweden 68% 17% 6% 9% countries Spain 67% 20% 7% 7% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Belgium 63% 23% 4% 10% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Japan 59% 31% 5% 5% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Germany 55% 32% 4% 9% result for all the countries where the survey was France 51% 32% 9% 9% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 4 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
INVESTMENT BY GLOBAL COMPANIES IN [COUNTRY] IS ESSENTIAL FOR OUR GROWTH AND EXPANSION Global Country Average 63% 24% 5% 9% Malaysia 87% 9% 2%2% An average of 63% globally agree that South Africa 81% 12% 1% 7% investment by global companies in Turkey 74% 16% 5% 6% their country is essential for its growth Brazil 74% 15% 4% 7% and expansion while just 9% disagree. Argentina 73% 15% 5% 7% Peru 73% 19% 1% 8% Agreement is highest in Malaysia South Korea 72% 21% 2% 5% (87%) and South Africa (81%) and Colombia 71% 17% 2% 10% lowest in Germany (48%) and Japan Mexico 68% 19% 3% 9% (49%). Great Britain 65% 22% 7% 6% Chile 65% 22% 3% 10% Hungary 61% 23% 10% 6% Canada 59% 26% 7% 8% Spain 59% 28% 7% 7% Belgium 58% 28% 6% 8% Australia 57% 25% 4% 14% United States 54% 26% 7% 12% Netherlands 54% 27% 6% 13% Italy 54% 26% 8% 12% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 Poland 54% 34% 6% 7% countries France 53% 30% 9% 8% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Russia 51% 29% 5% 15% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Sweden 50% 25% 11% 14% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Japan 49% 38% 7% 5% result for all the countries where the survey was Germany 48% 36% 6% 9% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 5 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
OVERALL, GLOBALIZATION IS A GOOD THING FOR MY COUNTRY Global Country Average 48% 31% 7% 13% Malaysia 72% 20% 4% 4% An average of 48% globally agree South Africa 64% 23% 3% 10% that globalization is a good thing for Peru 63% 24% 3% 9% their country while just 13% disagree Brazil 62% 25% 5% 8% and the rest are neutral or unsure. South Korea 61% 29% 2% 8% Chile 55% 28% 8% 9% Majorities in 9 countries have a Turkey 55% 27% 7% 12% positive assessment of globalization Colombia 54% 28% 6% 12% with the largest in Malaysia (72%), Japan 50% 36% 6% 8% South Africa (64%), Peru (63%), Argentina 48% 33% 11% 9% Brazil (62%) and South Korea (61%). Sweden 48% 21% 11% 20% Mexico 46% 36% 7% 11% Countries with the lowest levels of Canada 46% 31% 9% 14% agreement that globalization is a Hungary 46% 29% 13% 13% good thing for them are France Germany 46% 34% 6% 15% (27%), Russia (34%) and Belgium Australia 45% 34% 6% 15% (35%). Great Britain 45% 35% 11% 10% Spain 44% 35% 10% 11% Netherlands 42% 35% 9% 14% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 United States 42% 33% 9% 16% countries Poland 42% 41% 7% 11% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Italy 40% 33% 9% 19% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Belgium 35% 35% 6% 24% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Russia 34% 45% 9% 12% result for all the countries where the survey was France 27% 38% 8% 27% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 6 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
OVERALL, GLOBALIZATION IS A GOOD THING FOR MY COUNTRY Change since 2019 Global Country Average 48% -10 Malaysia 72% n/a In every country, fewer agree that South Africa 64% -4 globalization is a good thing for their Peru 63% -17 country than did in 2019. Brazil 62% -12 South Korea 61% -6 The average drop across the 23 Chile 55% -17 countries where the question surveyed Turkey 55% -5 in 2019 is 10 points. It is steepest in Colombia 54% -20 Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Peru. Japan 50% -1 Argentina 48% -10 Sweden 48% -6 Mexico 46% -22 Canada 46% -6 Hungary 46% n/a Germany 46% -8 Australia 45% -7 Great Britain 45% -7 Spain 44% -5 Netherlands 42% -4 Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 United States 42% -4 countries Poland 42% -8 Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Italy 40% -4 to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Belgium 35% -10 general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Russia 34% -7 result for all the countries where the survey was France 27% -7 conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree 7 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
THERE SHOULD BE MORE TRADE BARRIERS TO LIMIT IMPORTS OF FOREIGN GOODS AND SERVICES IN [COUNTRY] Global Country Average 37% 31% 5% 27% Turkey 56% 23% 5% 17% Globally, an average of 37% agree Colombia 55% 24% 2% 20% there should be more trade barriers South Africa 55% 23% 1% 21% to limit imports of foreign goods and France 49% 29% 8% 14% services in their country vs. 27% who Australia 49% 26% 4% 21% disagree. Malaysia 47% 29% 3% 22% Italy 46% 24% 7% 23% Majorities in 3 countries (Turkey, Peru 46% 28% 2% 24% Colombia and South Africa) and United States 39% 31% 6% 24% pluralities in 10 countries agree. Russia 39% 25% 6% 30% Brazil 38% 27% 6% 30% Pluralities in 4 countries (South Spain 36% 39% 7% 19% Korea, Sweden, Great Britain and Belgium 36% 35% 6% 23% Germany) disagree. Hungary 35% 29% 5% 30% Argentina 35% 27% 9% 30% The prevailing opinion in 8 other Mexico 32% 35% 5% 28% countries is neutral. Canada 31% 33% 8% 28% Chile 31% 33% 5% 32% Poland 27% 35% 4% 34% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 Great Britain 25% 30% 8% 36% countries Sweden 25% 27% 9% 39% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend South Korea 24% 33% 3% 40% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Germany 24% 36% 5% 36% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Netherlands 23% 37% 7% 33% result for all the countries where the survey was Japan 22% 46% 7% 24% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 8 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
GLOBALIZATION PREVENTS THE [COUNTRY’S] GOVERNMENT FROM IMPLEMENTING EFFECTIVE ECONOMIC POLICIES Global Country Average 31% 33% 9% 28% France 48% 26% 10% 16% Globally and in most countries, public Italy 41% 28% 8% 22% opinion is divided or neutral on Malaysia 38% 29% 5% 29% whether globalization prevents their South Africa 37% 32% 5% 27% country’s government from Colombia 37% 32% 7% 25% implementing effective economic Belgium 36% 36% 10% 18% policies: on average, 31% agree, Australia 35% 32% 8% 25% 28% disagree, and 33% neither Peru 35% 31% 5% 30% agree nor disagree. Turkey 34% 26% 5% 35% Russia 34% 33% 12% 21% No country shows a majority Chile 34% 28% 10% 28% agreeing or a majority disagreeing. Brazil 33% 27% 7% 33% Netherlands 30% 36% 10% 24% Agreement is most prevalent in Mexico 29% 37% 8% 26% France (48%) and Italy (41%) and Spain 29% 37% 11% 23% disagreement in South Korea (48%). United States 29% 35% 10% 26% Canada 28% 36% 13% 23% Germany 26% 36% 8% 31% Poland 25% 38% 7% 31% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 Sweden 24% 31% 21% 23% countries Great Britain 23% 35% 14% 28% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Argentina 22% 28% 13% 38% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Hungary 21% 29% 12% 38% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Japan 21% 45% 9% 25% result for all the countries where the survey was South Korea 19% 31% 3% 48% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 9 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
GLOBALIZATION PREVENTS DEMOCRACY IN [COUNTRY] FROM FUNCTIONING WELL Global Country Average 28% 32% 8% 32% France 41% 31% 8% 20% An average of 28% across all 25 Turkey 39% 21% 5% 35% countries agree that globalization Italy 38% 30% 8% 25% prevents democracy in their country Malaysia 38% 31% 5% 27% from functioning well while more South Africa 36% 31% 4% 29% disagree (32%) or are neutral (also Colombia 32% 35% 4% 29% 32%). Australia 32% 34% 7% 27% Brazil 31% 28% 6% 36% Agreement is highest in France Netherlands 30% 35% 9% 26% (41%), Turkey (39%), Italy (38%) and Belgium 30% 35% 10% 25% Malaysia (38%). Mexico 28% 36% 7% 28% Peru 28% 33% 4% 35% South Korea is the only country with Poland 28% 35% 6% 31% a majority disagreeing (56%). United States 27% 34% 9% 30% Chile 27% 29% 9% 36% Russia 26% 44% 10% 20% Sweden 26% 28% 13% 34% Spain 24% 34% 9% 33% Argentina 23% 22% 12% 43% Base: 19,017 online adults aged 16-74 across 25 Germany 23% 31% 8% 38% countries Great Britain 22% 33% 13% 31% Online samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey tend Canada 20% 37% 13% 30% to be more urban, educated, and/or affluent than the Hungary 20% 27% 12% 41% general population The “Global Country Average” reflects the average Japan 17% 45% 9% 29% result for all the countries where the survey was South Korea 14% 27% 3% 56% conducted; it has not been adjusted to the population size of each country and is not intended to suggest a total result Agree Neither agree nor disagree Don't know Disagree 10 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
METHODOLOGY These are the results of a 25-country survey conducted by Ipsos on its Global The data is weighted so that each country’s sample composition best reflects Advisor online platform. Ipsos interviewed a total of 19,017 adults aged 18-74 the demographic profile of the adult population according to the most recent in the United States, Canada, Malaysia, South Africa, and Turkey, and 16-74 in census data. 20 other markets between March 26 and April 9, 2021. Where results do not sum to 100 or the ‘difference’ appears to be +/-1 The sample consists of approximately 1,000 individuals in each of Australia, more/less than the actual, this may be due to rounding, multiple responses, or Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain, the exclusion of don't know or not stated responses. and the U.S., and 500 individuals in each of Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Hungary, Malaysia, Mexico, the Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Russia, South The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with Africa, South Korea, Sweden, and Turkey. a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 4.8 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’s use of credibility The samples in Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, intervals, please visit the Ipsos website. Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and the U.S. can be taken as representative of these The publication of these findings abides by local rules and regulations. countries’ general adult population under the age of 75. The samples in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey are more urban, more educated, and/or more affluent than the general population. The survey results for these countries should be viewed as reflecting the views of the more “connected” segment of their population. 11 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
ABOUT IPSOS GAME CHANGERS Ipsos is the third largest market research company in the In our world of rapid change, the need for reliable information world, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 to make confident decisions has never been greater. people. At Ipsos we believe our clients need more than a data Our research professionals, analysts and scientists have built supplier, they need a partner who can produce accurate and unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide powerful relevant information and turn it into actionable truth. insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. Our 75 This is why our passionately curious experts not only provide business solutions are based on primary data coming from our the most precise measurement, but shape it to provide True surveys, social media monitoring, and qualitative or Understanding of Society, Markets and People. observational techniques. To do this we use the best of science, technology “Game Changers” – our tagline – summarises our ambition to and know-how and apply the principles of security, simplicity, help our 5,000 clients to navigate more easily our deeply speed and substance to everything we do. changing world. So that our clients can act faster, smarter and bolder. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Ultimately, success comes down to a simple truth: Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF You act better when you are sure. 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD). ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP www.ipsos.com 12 ‒ © Ipsos | World Opinion on Globalization and International Trade in 2021
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