WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings

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WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
WMO: Reforms, status of climate

 Prof. Petteri Taalas
 Secretary General
 WMO
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
WMO Reforms 2019-21
1.       Rationalization of technical commissions, from 8 silos to 2 holistic
     •      Earth System Infrastructures (weather, climate, water & oceans)
     •      Services (weather, climate, hydrology, marine, transport, energy, health)

2.       Wider engagement of private & academic sector
     •      Scientific Advisory Panel & Research Board
     •      Public-private engagement office

3.       Secretariat Reforms
     •      Alignment of the Secretariat structures with the new constituent bodies
     •      Selection of new directors through a competitive process
     •      Modernization of staff structure through early retirement, voluntary separation and competitive processes
     •      Reallocation of resources to hire (young) experts to regional, technical and scientific activities

4.       Communication of climate science: annual State of Climate & United in Science reports

5.       Less and more action oriented meetings with shorter & more strategic documents

6.       Active partnerships: UNSG (Climate), UNFCCC (Climate), FAO & WFP (Food security), UNESCO (Oceans,
         hydrology), ICAO (Aviation services), IMO (Marine Services), UNEP (Climate) & WHO (Air pollution)

7.       Record amount of external resources for capacity development: ~120 MCHF portfolio

8.       Management training programme 2021- to enhance the leadership skills and efficiency

9.       Regional activity reform 2021-22 to enhance the impact of WMO activities at regional/national level

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WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
The constituent bodies of WMO
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Successful delivery and use of weather and
climate services depends on all elements in
     the value chain working properly

 Activities underpinning
     all weather and                                               Global numerical
                            Weather and         International
     climate-related                                               weather predition
                              climate           exchange of
   activities; this can                                           (NWP) for weather
                            observations        observations
 ONLY be implemented                                                 and climate
         globally

                                     All links in the chain must operate
                                     effectively in order to yield success
      Activities
                                                                   Weather forecasts,
  implemented and              Effective         Dissemination
                                                                  early warnings and
     undertaken            decision-making      and outreach to
                                                                    climate products
                           based on climate       people and
    primarily at a             services              sectors
                                                                     and services to
                                                                         users
    national level

                                                                                        4
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
New WMO Unified Data Policy Resolution
          Key changes with respect to Resolution 40 (Cg-XI, 1995)

Resolution 40; 1995                      Draft recommendation 3.1(4)/1
1. Covers weather data only;             1. Covers all WMO Earth system data:
2. Two main categories of data:             weather, climate, hydrology, ...
                                         2. Two main categories of data:
-  Essential (shall be exchanged);
                                         - Core (shall be exchanged);
-  Additional (should be
                                         - Recommended; (should be
   exchanged);                              exchanged);
3. Specific “essential” datasets         3. Specifics on core and recommended
   listed directly in Annex I to the        data referred to Technical
   resolution (with some                    Regulations, primarily Manuals on
   reference also to RBSN);                 WIGOS, GDPFS;
4. “Free and unrestricted”               4. “Free and unrestricted” exchange
   exchange (term not defined in            (term defined directly in the
   the Resolution);                         Resolution, literal interpretation);
5. Covers exchange of data               5. Addressed to Members, but covers
   between NMHSs                            exchange of data between all
                                            partners, inclucing private sector,
                                            academia, etc.
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Systematic Observations Financing Facility (SOFF)
 - the basic structural problem of data exchange
    WMO Convention and Paris Agreement implicitly assume that observations is solely a national responsibility

•     Ability to observe (left panel): Observing systems in countries depicted in red fail to meet minimum observations
      requirements for weather and climate analysis and prediction
•     Ability to pay (right panel): Affordability of observing responsibility (GDP/km2 of surface area) of countries in   6
      yellow up to ten million times higher than for countries in dark blue
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Disaster Risk Reduction : Multi Hazard Early
                 Warning Systems
Not all members are fully equipped with capacities to deliver authoritative warnings
on a variety of hazards at relevant time and geographical scales

Green shows countries where at least ONE CAP feed TC Eloise landfall; Mozambique, 23 Jan 2021   Source : Jason Ferguson
is available
     WMO GMAS Framework aims at :
     • providing support to members in developing their capacities in warning services
     • enabling early action to mitigate impacts of various different hazardous event
     • Increasing visibility and recognition of members with their authoritative
       service delivery
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Capacity Development
• Increased support for NMHS to develop
  Legislation and National Strategic Plans
• Intensified technical/management
  training events & fellowships awards;
• 112 M CHF projects for enhancing
  regional & national capacities
• Plan to announce SOFF @UNFCCC COP,
  launch First Alliance Hydromet Gap
  report;
• Strategic engagement for updating CPDB
  as an analytical tool to understand
  members needs
• Support to increase uptake of key
  initiatives such as GMAS, GBON/SOFF,
  GFCS, Hydrology…….
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Temperature & CO2 -> 2020

                                            2020 was extremely warm over
                                                      the Arctic

2011-2020 is the warmest decade on record
                                             Concentrations of the major
                                             greenhouse gases increased

                                                                      9
WMO: Reforms, status of climate - Prof. Petteri Taalas Secretary General WMO - Meetings
Ocean heat, sea level & pH

                                              The rate of sea-level rise is
                                                      increasing

Record high ocean heat, at various depths

                                            Ocean acidification is increasing

                                                                         10
Cryosphere

                                                   Vast areas of open ocean were
                                                        observed in the Arctic

Arctic sea-ice extent has declined in all months

                                                      Glaciers, Greenland and
                                                      Antarctica are losing ice
                                                                              11
Drought, heat, floods, cyclones and wildfires
           impacted countries around the globe 2020

• Drought affected USA,
  Argentina, Paraguay, and parts
  of Brazil

• Extreme heat: 38.0 °C Arctic
  circle, 54.4 °C Death Valley,
  48.9 °C Sydney, and 51.8 °C in
  Baghdad

• Extreme flooding in China and
  East Africa, and record active
  Atlantic Hurricane Season

• Largest fires on record for
  California and Colorado. Many
  fires in Pantanal wetlands of
  Brazil

                                                          12
Water stress is a global challenge
UN Water-climate accelerator for SDG 6 implementation

      Initial Partners in the Water and Climate Coalition
Establishment of
            WMO Hydrological Centres
                         Hydro &
                         Climate
                         Forums
            Existing
            Global/
            Regional
            Centres

Global/
                                              Users
Regional
 Hydro                   NMHS                   &
Centres                                      Agencies

                                                                       Requirements
             Basin
           Authorities                                                 Data and info
                               Other                                   Products
                            institutions
                                           Integration across scales from local to global
Carbon emissions-temperature
Fossil/other energy use by source
Energy consumption by fuel source from 2000 to 2019, with growth rates
         indicated for the more recent period of 2014 to 2019

           This figure shows “primary energy” using the BP substitution method
  (non-fossil sources are scaled up by an assumed fossil efficiency of approximately 0.38)
              Source: BP 2020; Jackson et al 2019; Global Carbon Budget 2020
Emissions vs. warming
Actual WMO issues
•   Secretariat reform: up to 29 new posts will be advertised to strengthen services for Members:
    stronger regional, technical, socioeconomic, media and scientific expertise during latter half of
    2021

•   Regional reform: more focus on concrete action to fill data gaps, enhance the quality of EWSs
    and improve impact based multi-hazard weather, climate and water services

•   Update of WMO data policy: enhancement of free real-time data availability

•   Enhanced willingness of countries to deliver observational data and financial support for
    establishment of additional stations especially in Africa, Pacific and Caribbean Islands and some
    parts of Latin America. Systematic Observation Financing Facility, SOFF

•   Boost for SDG 6 (Water) implementation: water-climate accelerator with ~10 UN agencies,
    private sector, NGOs with high level political support

•   New ways of working: more videoconferences, partial teleworking

•   Investments in “old” WMO building 2021-23: green energy solutions: heating/cooling, charging
    of electric vehicles, shower facilities for bikers/runners, new meeting & teamworking premises
New JIU Report on WMO Management and
Administration JIU/REP/2021/1 Formal recommendations
1 By the end of 2022, the Executive Council should commission an independent evaluation of the
constituent bodies reform to review the process used to implement the reform and its substantive
results, including the alignment of the restructured secretariat, as well as good practices and lessons
learned. Recommendation

2 By no later than the end of 2021, the Secretary-General should commission a joint review team,
comprised of management and staff who are familiar with each area of work, to conduct a structural
and process review, facilitated by an independent expert, to further refine and adjust the overall
secretariat restructuring in order to achieve the objectives of such restructuring.

3 By the end of 2021, the Secretary-General should prepare a comprehensive accountability and
internal control framework and submit it to the Executive Council for approval. Recommendation

4 By no later than the end of 2021, the Secretary-General should prepare a comprehensive human
resources strategy and submit it to the Executive Council for approval. Progress on the strategy
should be reported at least annually thereafter as a regular item on the Executive Council’s agenda.
WMO Extra Congress October 2021
1. Revised data policy, new Resolution 42 (weather, climate & water)
    - Definition of mandatory/essential data, inclusion of new datasets
    - Encouragement to deliver more data => improvement of NWP product accuracy
    - Potentially private sector data policy recommendation

2. Approval of Regional Reform and possible revision of the Cg-18 reform items
    - Higher value for money, enhanced two-way interaction RA-EC-Cg
    - Better integration of technical & regional activities: Observations, EWSs etc.

3. Approval of Global Basic Observation Networks and Strategic Observation Financing
   Facility

4. Hydrology assembly

5. Approval of SDG 6 water-climate accelerator program

ALL OF THOSE WILL BE ITEMS FOR DISCUSSIONS AT WMO TECHNICAL COMMISSION,
REGIONAL ASSOCIATION, EXECUTIVE COUNCIL AND ITS SUB-BODIES MEETINGS DURING
2021, YOUR PERSPECTIVES AND CONCERNS ARE WELCOME
WMO-Forerunner in the UN
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