What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...

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What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
What’s next for
plant-based diets?
What are the opportunities and challenges for
producers in the plant-based space? For the mass
market, just being plant-based will no longer be
enough.
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
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What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Agenda

 1   BEING PLANT-BASED IS NO LONGER ENOUGH

 2   SUSTAINABILITY AND THE THREAT FROM ‘CLEAN MEAT’
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
BEING PLANT-BASED IS
NO LONGER ENOUGH
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Plant-based: key challenges at a glance

                      TASTE                                                      NUTRITION            OVER-PROCESSED

              32%                                            only 14%                                    31%
        of UK consumers agree                                      of UK consumers agree that     of French consumers agree
           that plant-based (ie                                     plant-based (ie vegan) diets   processed plant protein food
        vegan) diets are boring                                        are highly nutritious       (eg soy burgers) are just as
                                                                                                   bad for you as processed
                                                                                                     meat (eg beef burgers)

Base: France: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, UK: 2,000 internet users aged 16+

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
The plant-based trend is here to stay

              Europe: percentage of dairy                                             Europe: percentage of processed
          category launches that feature select                                          fish, meat and egg category
          plant-based claims, Nov 2014 to Oct                                         products that feature select plant-
                          2019                                                       based claims, Nov 2014 to Oct 2019
                                  9%                                                       5% 5% 5%                        5%
                                                                                   4% 4%                           4% 4%
                            7%
                      6%                                                                                      3%                             3% 3%
                5%                                                                                       2%                             2%
          4%                                                        4% 4%
                                                               3%                                                               1% 1%
                                                 2% 2%

                                                                                     Vegetarian          Vegan/No Animal            Dairy Free
      Vegan/No Animal Ingredients                        Dairy Free                                        Ingredients

         Nov 2014 - Oct 2015      Nov 2015 - Oct 2016        Nov 2016 - Oct 2017   Nov 2014 - Oct 2015   Nov 2015 - Oct 2016    Nov 2016 - Oct 2017
         Nov 2017 - Oct 2018      Nov 2018 - Oct 2019                              Nov 2017 - Oct 2018   Nov 2018 - Oct 2019

Source: Mintel GNPD : Dairy, Processed meat, fish and egg
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Vegan claims continue to grow across European countries
                            Europe and select European countries: percentage of food and drink
                                launches that feature VEGAN claims, Nov 2014 to Oct 2019
                                                                                17%
                                                                                                   15%

                                                                                                                           12%
                       11%
                                                              10%

                                                    6%                                                                                            6%
       5%
                                                                                                            4%
                                                                                                                                   3%
                                   2%                                                 2%

             Europe                      France                       Germany              Spain                 Denmark                 Italy

                Nov 2014 - Oct 2015           Nov 2015 - Oct 2016          Nov 2016 - Oct 2017     Nov 2017 - Oct 2018      Nov 2018 - Oct 2019

Source: Mintel GNPD: Europe, France, Germany, Spain, Denmark, Italy
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Plant-protein ingredients have a number of roles in vegan
food and drink

Wheat gluten: base ingredient             Pea protein: to deliver a '13g            Rice protein: to deliver
Sainsbury's Plant Pioneers Smoky          of protein' claim                         technical characteristics
Vacon Rashers                             Vega Protein Raspberry Cashewmilk         Nescafé Gold Oat Latte
First ingredients listed on-pack are:     Yogurt Alternative                        This dairy alternative latte contains
water, wheat gluten (19%), coconut        First ingredients listed on-pack:         hydrolysed rice protein. UK
milk (14%) (coconut milk, water),         cashewmilk (filtered water, cashews),
rapeseed oil, vegetable suet (palm oil,   pea protein, prebiotic (inulin (chicory
rice flour), fortified wheat flour. UK    root extract)), raspberries, coconut
                                          sugar, natural flavors. US
Source: Mintel GNPD
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Consumer interests in free-from dieting may threaten
established proteins like soy

                   Germany: foods/ingredients avoided by the individual or the household, %
                                     of consumers who agree, 2018 Q4
                                                                                                                          35
              33
                   29                                                                                                28             29
                                                                                                                               26        27 27
                        22                          23                                  23
        19                                               20
                                                                                             18
                              14               15                       14         14
                                                              13                                        13 12
                                   10                                                             11
                                                                   9

                    Dairy                                Wheat                               Gluten                            Soya

                                   All age groups    Age 16-24         Age 25-34    Age 35-44          Age 45-54   Age 55+

Base: Germany: 1,000 internet users aged 16+

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
Consumer interest in free-from dieting and cleaner labels will
drive demand for 'new' plant-protein ingredients

Pea protein: 'no soy                      Oat protein: 'free from                  Potato protein: 'free from
and no gluten'                            soy and wheat'                           gluten and lactose'
Beyond Meat Beyond Sausage                Gold&Green Nyhtökaura Pulled Oats        Migros Coco Ice-Land Coconut &
Plant-Based Sausages                     with Tomato                              Piña Colada Ice Cream Cones
Ingredients include: water, pea protein   First ingredients listed on-pack are:    This coconut milk based product
isolate (16%), coconut oil, sunflower     water, oats (18%) (oat bran,             contains potato protein. Switzerland
oil, rice protein, faba bean protein.     wholegrain oat flour, oat protein, oat
UK                                       extract), pea protein (18%), broad
Source: Mintel GNPD                       bean protein (10%). Finland
Most consumers don't embrace extreme diets like veganism,
opening opportunities for products for flexitarian consumers

                  IN FRANCE                                                        IN ITALY                                               IN SPAIN

              26%                                                 just 7%                                                               42%
      of consumers agree they                                             of consumers agree                                       of consumers would be
      are actively reducing their                                            they are vegan                                     interested in trying dairy milk
          consumption of, or                                                                                                      that is blended with plant-
            avoiding, dairy                                                                                                      based milk (eg almond milk,
                                                                                                                                         coconut milk).

Base: France: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, Italy: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, Spain: 1,826 internet users aged 16+ who have used
and bought milk/cream in the last 3 months

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
'Best of both' hybrid products are emerging in the
dairy category

Aug 2019, Dairy Farmers of America           July 2019, Chobani announce a range of
launched plant + dairy milk from Live Real    dairy yogurts with nut butters
Farms. US

Source: Live Real Farms, Chiobani
Ingredient to watch: Fava bean protein is still niche but emerging

As a vegan alternative                   As a functional ingredient               As part of a protein blend
Arctic Zero's Vanilla Flavor Non-Dairy   Beyond Meat Hot Italian Plant-Based     No Cow Chocolate Sea Salt Energy Bar.
Dessert Bars Dipped in Chocolate          Sausages.
                                                                                  Fava bean protein is part of the brand's
Liqueur.
                                         Fava bean protein, along with other      signature superfood blend and is
Uses fava bean protein concentrate       ingredients, help with texture and       blended with pea protein and brown rice
with acacia gum, tara gum, guar gum      moisture retention in this pea protein   protein to provide 12g of protein per 50g
and a prebiotic fiber to create their    isolate-based meat alternative. US       serving in this vegan energy bar. US
non-dairy line of frozen desserts. US
Attention to 'ultra-processed foods' may drive further
demand for clearer information about processing techniques
Research published on 'processed foods'
may start to draw further attention to
'processing' from consumers.

Examples include 'The consumption of
ultra-processed foods and cancer risk',
published in the British Medical Journal,
and 'Household availability of ultra-
processed foods and obesity in nineteen
European countries', published in the
Public Health Nutrition journal.

Source: ScanUp; Open Food Facts; Siga
Plant-based products must deliver consumer expectations for
transparency and naturalness

              44%                          41%                            31%
    of UK consumers agree that        of UK consumers agree that     of UK consumers agree that
    it is unclear what ingredients    meat-free foods with a short      meat-free foods are too
     are used in meat-free foods        ingredients list are more     processed to be healthier
                                      appealing than those with a             than meat
                                          long ingredients list

Base: 2,000 internet users aged 16+

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Consumer interest in 'real' and 'whole' foods may threaten
plant-proteins with a more processed image
                                                                       In the US, Lundberg Family
                                                                       Farms and Green Giant each
                                                                       highlight the high-protein
                                                                       content in their plant-based
                                                                       frozen meals, which are made
                                                                       without meat substitutes.

                                                                       These high-protein, plant-only
                                                                       meals could attract consumers
                                                                       who want to eat more plants,
                                                                       but also feel meals should be
                                                                       anchored in protein.

Lundberg Grainspirations Beans &   Green Giant Harvest Protein Bowls
Greens Rice & Quinoa Bowl. US     California Style. US
Although often linked to health, consumers are unsure about
the nutritional benefits of plant-protein foods

                            Select European countries: benefits of plant protein foods compared to
                                    animal protein foods, % of consumers who agree, 2018

                                              50
                                                       46            47
                    39
                                 34

                                                                                                                                   23   25

                                                                                               16       17           15

                            Are generally better for your health                                             Are more nutritious

                                                            France        Germany   Italy   Spain   Poland

Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Highlight nutritional qualities of plant-based products that
are a match to their conventional counterparts

'Contains all essential           'A natural source of iron'               'Contains added vitamin B12'
amino acids'                      Nestlé Kök Incredibly Meatless           Lidl My Best Veggie Vegetarian
Califia Farms Unsweetened         Incredible Meatless Incredible Mince     Meatballs
Vanilla Übermilk                  This vegan soy mince is made from        Based on soy and wheat protein.
Contains 8g plant protein, all    plant-based ingredients and is           Contains added iron and vitamin B12,
essential amino acids and a       described as being high in protein and   is rich in fibre, and high in protein. Spain
complementary blend of oat, pea   a natural source of iron. Sweden
and sunflower proteins. US
Source: Mintel GNPD
SUSTAINABILITY AND THE
THREAT FROM 'CLEAN MEAT'
Younger consumers are often as concerned about planetary
health as their own health

                                  UK: behaviours relating to processed poultry and red meat meal
                                       components, % of consumers who agree, July 2018
                            46%         46%
                                                                            39%                                  38%
                                                                                          32%
                                                                                                                               26%

                              Age 16-34                                         Age 35-54                               Age 55+

                                    Health concerns have caused me to limit/reduce the amount of processed meat I eat
                                    Environmental concerns have caused me to limit/reduce the amount of processed meat I eat

Base: UK: 1,445 internet users aged 16+ who eat and buy processed meat main meal components

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Science and the media raise consumer awareness of how our
food and drink impacts on the health of the planet

The BDA Eating patterns for health and                     BBC News, Climate change: Which vegan
environmental sustainability, Nov 2018                     milk is best?, Feb 2019

Source: The BBC News, The British Dietetic Association,
Many consumers believe that plant-protein foods are better
for the environment in comparison to animal proteins

                       Select European countries: benefits of plant protein foods compared to
                               animal protein foods, % of consumers who agree, 2018

                     34           35
                                               30      31         31

                                                                                                 22                             23
                                                                                        19                    20
                                                                                                                           17

                               Are better for the environment                                           Are more ethical

                                                         France    Germany   Italy   Spain   Poland -

Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Plant-based foods can appeal to eco-dieters by promoting
their eco credentials

'Health, sustainability, animal                      'Generates less carbon-dioxide
welfare benefits'                                    than cows'
Beyond Meat The Beyond Burger                        Alpro Sugar-Free Roasted Almond Milk Drink
Plant-Based Patties
                                                     The product is said to use less water and terrain
'We hope plant-based meats allow consumers to        and generate less carbon-dioxide than cows,
eat more not less, of traditional dishes while       therefore being better for the planet. France
feeling great about the health, sustainability and
animal welfare benefits of plant protein'. US
Source: Mintel GNPD
'Clean meat', often promoted as a sustainable alternative to
farmed meat, could threaten plant-protein foods
                                      Cell-based meat, also known as 'clean
                                      meat', is an alternative to meat derived
                                      from live animals. In cell-based meat,
                                      animal cells are cultivated in-vitro.

                                      Cell-based meats do not have the issues
                                      associated with animal-grown meats such
                                      as animal welfare issues, antibiotic traces
                                      and environmental impact.

                                      Even though it will be a long time before
                                      'clean meat' is commercialised, plant-
                                      based meat alternatives need to be ready
                                      for the competition.

Source: Aleph Farms
'Clean meat' could be the answer for consumers who are not
quite ready to give up meat

Plant-based meat alternative brands need to focus on their message about the benefits of meat
alternatives, especially proving the nutritional benefits of these products.

              23%                                                           67%                                               66%
       of Canadians think meat                                      of US consumers agree                              of Chinese consumers aged
       alternatives have unclear                                      meat is essential to a                               20-49 think you can't get
                benefits                                                   balanced diet                                 enough nutrition from eating
                                                                                                                             only plant-based foods

Base: Canada: 2,000 internet users aged 18+; US: 2,000 internet users aged 18+; China: 3,000 internet users aged 20-49

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel; KuRunData/Mintel
However, most consumers will show high levels of
resistance to new technologies like 'clean meat' 
                      Select European countries: lab/cultured/synthetic meat appeals to me, % of
                                            consumers who agree, 2018

                                                       55                                                         52
                    68                                                                                      66
                                                                                76

                                                                                                                  32
                                                       36
                    21                                                                                      22
                                                                                16
                    11                                 10                                                   12    16
                                                                                9
                 France                           Germany                      Italy                   Spain     Poland
                                                            Agree   Neither agree nor disagree   Disagree

Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country

Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Cellular agriculture and synthetic biology are poised to
advance into new and more complicated categories

Sustainability is a clear        Consider the market            Develop more
opportunity for lab-grown        for ingredients                premium proteins
seafood
                                 US-based start-up Perfect      Aleph Farms claims they have
Finless Foods is using           Day uses fermentation and      produced the first cell-grown
cellular agriculture to create   genetically engineered yeast   minute steak that has a similar
affordable fish                  to produce animal-free dairy   shape, texture and appearance
and sustainable seafood         proteins. The company has      to beef muscle tissue. Minute
that is healthy.                 changed focus from             steak is described as a thinly
                                 launching branded products     sliced meat that cooks within a
                                 to creating ingredients.       minute.
The opportunity

Prioritise taste, naturalness   Focus on planetary health,      Keep an eye on 'clean meat'
and nutrition                   as well as human health         and new technologies

Major brands are launching      Plant-based foods are well      Prepare for future competition
plant-based food and drink;     positioned to rival their       from 'clean meat‘ and other
however, for these products     conventional counterparts       new technologies by
to extend their appeal to       where food sustainability is    improving consumers'
mainstream consumers,           concerned, and should be        perception of the taste and
naturalness, nutrition and      able to capture the attention   other benefits of plant-based
taste should be the focus.      of eco-dieters.                 meat alternatives.
Meet the Expert

Emma Schofield
Senior Analyst - Global Food Science

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intelligence agency
Our expert analysis of the highest quality data and
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