What's next for plant-based diets? - What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just ...
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What’s next for plant-based diets? What are the opportunities and challenges for producers in the plant-based space? For the mass market, just being plant-based will no longer be enough.
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Plant-based: key challenges at a glance TASTE NUTRITION OVER-PROCESSED 32% only 14% 31% of UK consumers agree of UK consumers agree that of French consumers agree that plant-based (ie plant-based (ie vegan) diets processed plant protein food vegan) diets are boring are highly nutritious (eg soy burgers) are just as bad for you as processed meat (eg beef burgers) Base: France: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, UK: 2,000 internet users aged 16+ Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
The plant-based trend is here to stay Europe: percentage of dairy Europe: percentage of processed category launches that feature select fish, meat and egg category plant-based claims, Nov 2014 to Oct products that feature select plant- 2019 based claims, Nov 2014 to Oct 2019 9% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7% 6% 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% Vegetarian Vegan/No Animal Dairy Free Vegan/No Animal Ingredients Dairy Free Ingredients Nov 2014 - Oct 2015 Nov 2015 - Oct 2016 Nov 2016 - Oct 2017 Nov 2014 - Oct 2015 Nov 2015 - Oct 2016 Nov 2016 - Oct 2017 Nov 2017 - Oct 2018 Nov 2018 - Oct 2019 Nov 2017 - Oct 2018 Nov 2018 - Oct 2019 Source: Mintel GNPD : Dairy, Processed meat, fish and egg
Vegan claims continue to grow across European countries Europe and select European countries: percentage of food and drink launches that feature VEGAN claims, Nov 2014 to Oct 2019 17% 15% 12% 11% 10% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% Europe France Germany Spain Denmark Italy Nov 2014 - Oct 2015 Nov 2015 - Oct 2016 Nov 2016 - Oct 2017 Nov 2017 - Oct 2018 Nov 2018 - Oct 2019 Source: Mintel GNPD: Europe, France, Germany, Spain, Denmark, Italy
Plant-protein ingredients have a number of roles in vegan food and drink Wheat gluten: base ingredient Pea protein: to deliver a '13g Rice protein: to deliver Sainsbury's Plant Pioneers Smoky of protein' claim technical characteristics Vacon Rashers Vega Protein Raspberry Cashewmilk Nescafé Gold Oat Latte First ingredients listed on-pack are: Yogurt Alternative This dairy alternative latte contains water, wheat gluten (19%), coconut First ingredients listed on-pack: hydrolysed rice protein. UK milk (14%) (coconut milk, water), cashewmilk (filtered water, cashews), rapeseed oil, vegetable suet (palm oil, pea protein, prebiotic (inulin (chicory rice flour), fortified wheat flour. UK root extract)), raspberries, coconut sugar, natural flavors. US Source: Mintel GNPD
Consumer interests in free-from dieting may threaten established proteins like soy Germany: foods/ingredients avoided by the individual or the household, % of consumers who agree, 2018 Q4 35 33 29 28 29 26 27 27 22 23 23 19 20 18 14 15 14 14 13 13 12 10 11 9 Dairy Wheat Gluten Soya All age groups Age 16-24 Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55+ Base: Germany: 1,000 internet users aged 16+ Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Consumer interest in free-from dieting and cleaner labels will drive demand for 'new' plant-protein ingredients Pea protein: 'no soy Oat protein: 'free from Potato protein: 'free from and no gluten' soy and wheat' gluten and lactose' Beyond Meat Beyond Sausage Gold&Green Nyhtökaura Pulled Oats Migros Coco Ice-Land Coconut & Plant-Based Sausages with Tomato Piña Colada Ice Cream Cones Ingredients include: water, pea protein First ingredients listed on-pack are: This coconut milk based product isolate (16%), coconut oil, sunflower water, oats (18%) (oat bran, contains potato protein. Switzerland oil, rice protein, faba bean protein. wholegrain oat flour, oat protein, oat UK extract), pea protein (18%), broad Source: Mintel GNPD bean protein (10%). Finland
Most consumers don't embrace extreme diets like veganism, opening opportunities for products for flexitarian consumers IN FRANCE IN ITALY IN SPAIN 26% just 7% 42% of consumers agree they of consumers agree of consumers would be are actively reducing their they are vegan interested in trying dairy milk consumption of, or that is blended with plant- avoiding, dairy based milk (eg almond milk, coconut milk). Base: France: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, Italy: 1,000 internet users aged 16+, Spain: 1,826 internet users aged 16+ who have used and bought milk/cream in the last 3 months Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
'Best of both' hybrid products are emerging in the dairy category Aug 2019, Dairy Farmers of America July 2019, Chobani announce a range of launched plant + dairy milk from Live Real dairy yogurts with nut butters Farms. US Source: Live Real Farms, Chiobani
Ingredient to watch: Fava bean protein is still niche but emerging As a vegan alternative As a functional ingredient As part of a protein blend Arctic Zero's Vanilla Flavor Non-Dairy Beyond Meat Hot Italian Plant-Based No Cow Chocolate Sea Salt Energy Bar. Dessert Bars Dipped in Chocolate Sausages. Fava bean protein is part of the brand's Liqueur. Fava bean protein, along with other signature superfood blend and is Uses fava bean protein concentrate ingredients, help with texture and blended with pea protein and brown rice with acacia gum, tara gum, guar gum moisture retention in this pea protein protein to provide 12g of protein per 50g and a prebiotic fiber to create their isolate-based meat alternative. US serving in this vegan energy bar. US non-dairy line of frozen desserts. US
Attention to 'ultra-processed foods' may drive further demand for clearer information about processing techniques Research published on 'processed foods' may start to draw further attention to 'processing' from consumers. Examples include 'The consumption of ultra-processed foods and cancer risk', published in the British Medical Journal, and 'Household availability of ultra- processed foods and obesity in nineteen European countries', published in the Public Health Nutrition journal. Source: ScanUp; Open Food Facts; Siga
Plant-based products must deliver consumer expectations for transparency and naturalness 44% 41% 31% of UK consumers agree that of UK consumers agree that of UK consumers agree that it is unclear what ingredients meat-free foods with a short meat-free foods are too are used in meat-free foods ingredients list are more processed to be healthier appealing than those with a than meat long ingredients list Base: 2,000 internet users aged 16+ Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Consumer interest in 'real' and 'whole' foods may threaten plant-proteins with a more processed image In the US, Lundberg Family Farms and Green Giant each highlight the high-protein content in their plant-based frozen meals, which are made without meat substitutes. These high-protein, plant-only meals could attract consumers who want to eat more plants, but also feel meals should be anchored in protein. Lundberg Grainspirations Beans & Green Giant Harvest Protein Bowls Greens Rice & Quinoa Bowl. US California Style. US
Although often linked to health, consumers are unsure about the nutritional benefits of plant-protein foods Select European countries: benefits of plant protein foods compared to animal protein foods, % of consumers who agree, 2018 50 46 47 39 34 23 25 16 17 15 Are generally better for your health Are more nutritious France Germany Italy Spain Poland Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Highlight nutritional qualities of plant-based products that are a match to their conventional counterparts 'Contains all essential 'A natural source of iron' 'Contains added vitamin B12' amino acids' Nestlé Kök Incredibly Meatless Lidl My Best Veggie Vegetarian Califia Farms Unsweetened Incredible Meatless Incredible Mince Meatballs Vanilla Übermilk This vegan soy mince is made from Based on soy and wheat protein. Contains 8g plant protein, all plant-based ingredients and is Contains added iron and vitamin B12, essential amino acids and a described as being high in protein and is rich in fibre, and high in protein. Spain complementary blend of oat, pea a natural source of iron. Sweden and sunflower proteins. US Source: Mintel GNPD
SUSTAINABILITY AND THE THREAT FROM 'CLEAN MEAT'
Younger consumers are often as concerned about planetary health as their own health UK: behaviours relating to processed poultry and red meat meal components, % of consumers who agree, July 2018 46% 46% 39% 38% 32% 26% Age 16-34 Age 35-54 Age 55+ Health concerns have caused me to limit/reduce the amount of processed meat I eat Environmental concerns have caused me to limit/reduce the amount of processed meat I eat Base: UK: 1,445 internet users aged 16+ who eat and buy processed meat main meal components Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Science and the media raise consumer awareness of how our food and drink impacts on the health of the planet The BDA Eating patterns for health and BBC News, Climate change: Which vegan environmental sustainability, Nov 2018 milk is best?, Feb 2019 Source: The BBC News, The British Dietetic Association,
Many consumers believe that plant-protein foods are better for the environment in comparison to animal proteins Select European countries: benefits of plant protein foods compared to animal protein foods, % of consumers who agree, 2018 34 35 30 31 31 22 23 19 20 17 Are better for the environment Are more ethical France Germany Italy Spain Poland - Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Plant-based foods can appeal to eco-dieters by promoting their eco credentials 'Health, sustainability, animal 'Generates less carbon-dioxide welfare benefits' than cows' Beyond Meat The Beyond Burger Alpro Sugar-Free Roasted Almond Milk Drink Plant-Based Patties The product is said to use less water and terrain 'We hope plant-based meats allow consumers to and generate less carbon-dioxide than cows, eat more not less, of traditional dishes while therefore being better for the planet. France feeling great about the health, sustainability and animal welfare benefits of plant protein'. US Source: Mintel GNPD
'Clean meat', often promoted as a sustainable alternative to farmed meat, could threaten plant-protein foods Cell-based meat, also known as 'clean meat', is an alternative to meat derived from live animals. In cell-based meat, animal cells are cultivated in-vitro. Cell-based meats do not have the issues associated with animal-grown meats such as animal welfare issues, antibiotic traces and environmental impact. Even though it will be a long time before 'clean meat' is commercialised, plant- based meat alternatives need to be ready for the competition. Source: Aleph Farms
'Clean meat' could be the answer for consumers who are not quite ready to give up meat Plant-based meat alternative brands need to focus on their message about the benefits of meat alternatives, especially proving the nutritional benefits of these products. 23% 67% 66% of Canadians think meat of US consumers agree of Chinese consumers aged alternatives have unclear meat is essential to a 20-49 think you can't get benefits balanced diet enough nutrition from eating only plant-based foods Base: Canada: 2,000 internet users aged 18+; US: 2,000 internet users aged 18+; China: 3,000 internet users aged 20-49 Source: Lightspeed/Mintel; KuRunData/Mintel
However, most consumers will show high levels of resistance to new technologies like 'clean meat' Select European countries: lab/cultured/synthetic meat appeals to me, % of consumers who agree, 2018 55 52 68 66 76 32 36 21 22 16 11 10 12 16 9 France Germany Italy Spain Poland Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Base: internet users aged 16+, 1,000 in each country Source: Lightspeed/Mintel
Cellular agriculture and synthetic biology are poised to advance into new and more complicated categories Sustainability is a clear Consider the market Develop more opportunity for lab-grown for ingredients premium proteins seafood US-based start-up Perfect Aleph Farms claims they have Finless Foods is using Day uses fermentation and produced the first cell-grown cellular agriculture to create genetically engineered yeast minute steak that has a similar affordable fish to produce animal-free dairy shape, texture and appearance and sustainable seafood proteins. The company has to beef muscle tissue. Minute that is healthy. changed focus from steak is described as a thinly launching branded products sliced meat that cooks within a to creating ingredients. minute.
The opportunity Prioritise taste, naturalness Focus on planetary health, Keep an eye on 'clean meat' and nutrition as well as human health and new technologies Major brands are launching Plant-based foods are well Prepare for future competition plant-based food and drink; positioned to rival their from 'clean meat‘ and other however, for these products conventional counterparts new technologies by to extend their appeal to where food sustainability is improving consumers' mainstream consumers, concerned, and should be perception of the taste and naturalness, nutrition and able to capture the attention other benefits of plant-based taste should be the focus. of eco-dieters. meat alternatives.
Meet the Expert Emma Schofield Senior Analyst - Global Food Science The world’s leading market intelligence agency Our expert analysis of the highest quality data and market research will help you grow your business.
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