Welcome to the IESO Regional Electricity Forum - We will get started in just a few moments Visit IESO Connects for all Forum materials
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Welcome to the IESO Regional Electricity Forum We will get started in just a few moments Visit IESO Connects for all Forum materials: www.iesoconnects.ca/content/ieso-regional-electricity-forum-january-20-2021
Tell us where you’re from Please select the region that you are joining us from today: • Northwest • Northeast • GTA/Centreal • Southwest • East 2
Tabatha Bull Director, IESO Board of Directors; President & CEO, Canadian Council of Aboriginal Business 3
Today’s Agenda Regional Electricity Forum Regional Electricity Network meetings 9:00 am Welcome 1:00 pm to 3:30 pm 9:20 am Aligning community priorities with Ontario’s electricity system Participate in one of the five regional network discussions to 9:50 am Ontario’s electricity system needs discuss how learnings and 10:20 am Break (10 minutes) insights can inform your 10:30 am The future of DERs Network’s priorities 11:00 am Panel: Strengthening communities through Visit www.iesoconnects.ca to join energy choices your Network discussion. 12:00 pm Wrap up 4
In conversation: Aligning community priorities with Ontario’s electricity system Terry Young, Interim President & CEO, IESO Tonja Leach, Executive Director, QUEST 5
JANUARY 20, 2021 Ontario’s Electricity System Needs Annual Planning Outlook (APO) Chuck Farmer, Senior Director, Power System Planning David Devereaux, Sr. Manager, Resource & Planning Assessments
Executive Summary • Demand has evolved, and while it returned close to pre-COVID levels, the demand mix of the various sectors is different • Electricity demand has become even more sensitive to weather • Consumption from large industrial customers returned to 2019 levels in September 2020 • Energy consumption in the local commercial and business sectors show persisting declines of 5-6% • Residential sector consumption drastically increased due to work- from-home (5-9% in energy consumption), especially in the summer due to increased use of residential air conditioning 8
Impact on Ontario Energy and Peak Demand • Demand dropped by more than 10% during peak COVID-19 closures • Largest increases in peak (7-10%) occurred in summer months, due to increased residential air conditioning load and changes to industrial incentive programs (ICI) • Peaks in electricity consumption and the amount of electricity consumed during the fall are close to pre-COVID levels 10
Impact on Local Industrial & Commercial Demand • Consumption in this sector decreased by 20% during closures in March and April • Rapid increase of 14% in electricity consumption as a result of provincial stage 2 and stage 3 re-opening • This sector was hardest hit in terms of reductions in electricity consumption associated with ongoing effects of the COVID such as business closures and work-from-home 11
Impact on Small Commercial Energy and Peak Demand • Energy consumption in this sector decreased by 14% and peak by 23% during closures in March and April • System recovery began in Stage 1 and continued through August • Energy increased by 12% and peak by 20% during this period • Persisting reductions of 2-3% in energy, due to COVID economic impacts • Full recovery expected by end of 2022 12
Impact on Large Industrial Sector • Major reductions of 15% in energy consumption during the two rounds of closures in March and April of 2020 • Recovered to 2019 consumption levels by September 2020 and has stayed constant since • Suspension of the ICI program on June 26, 2020 led to increased consumption throughout the summer as seen by the drastic increase of 35-40% in the minimum consumption levels 13
Impact on Residential Sector Energy & Peak Demand • Largest increase in peak consumption was in May (18%), when COVID measures were strictest • Significant increase in energy (5-9%) and peak consumption (by up to 18%) by the residential sector, associated with work-from-home • Increases during months with hot weather were comparatively larger (8- 9% for energy and 10 – 14% in peak), due to residential Air Conditioning load 14
Annual Planning Outlook (APO) 15
2020 Planning Outlook – Key Findings • In near term, capacity needs are lower than earlier forecast driven by lower demand, nuclear refurbishment, contract expiry, regional needs • In the longer term, needs are driven by increasing demand, contract expiry and the retirement of Pickering NGS • Needs continue to be for capacity, the system is expected to be energy adequate
Planning Scenarios Reflect Role of Pandemic in Power Planning • To address uncertainty given the nature of the pandemic, the 2020 Annual Planning Outlook (APO) forecasts demand using two scenarios based on assumptions about the pace of economic recovery during the outlook period (2022-2040) • Scenario 1 features an earlier recovery from the pandemic with demand returning to pre-COVID levels by end of 2022 • Scenario 2 anticipates a more significant economic downturn with demand recovering more slowly 17
Annual Energy Demand Drivers of increased long-term demand include: 1) growth in residential households; 2) growth in agricultural greenhouses; 3) growth in electric vehicles; and 4) decreasing electricity rates 18
Seasonal Peak Demand 19
Committed Summer Effective Capacity Supply forecast does not assume continued availability of existing resources 20
Existing Resources Post-Contract Expiry 21
Uncertainties to be Considered • Planning assessments consider uncertainty related to weather, resource performance and timing of resource additions • These uncertainties are reflected in the planning reserve margins • Other uncertainties are present that will impact the performance of the plan and should be considered when making commitments • Economic conditions, policy decisions, supplier decisions and program performance are variables to be considered • They result in changes to demand and to supply 22
Options Available to Meet Summer Needs Excludes new resources that may be in development. Continued availability of existing resources will be addressed through the Resource Adequacy engagement. 23
Options Available to Meet Winter Needs Excludes new resources that may be in development. Continued availability of existing resources will be addressed through the Resource Adequacy engagement. 24
Anticipated Transmission Projects 25
Capacity Needs including Locational Requirements Locational capacity needs shown does not assume continued availability of existing resources 26
Energy Needs 27
Surplus Baseload Generation 28
Meeting Future Needs – Resource Adequacy Engagement • As a result of stakeholder feedback on the limitations of having a one- size-fits-all procurement mechanism, the IESO will work with stakeholders through its Resource Adequacy engagement to enable a framework of competitive mechanisms to meet Ontario’s resource adequacy needs in the short, medium and long term • While capacity auctions will meet short-term needs, to keep off- contract services in the market and procure new capacity, the IESO is exploring other acquisition tools as part of this engagement – target capacities for these will be informed by this APO and future editions 29
Meeting Future Needs – Resource Adequacy Engagement • As a result of stakeholder feedback on the limitations of having a one- size-fits-all procurement mechanism, the IESO will work with stakeholders through its Resource Adequacy engagement to enable a framework of competitive mechanisms to meet Ontario’s resource adequacy needs in the short, medium and long term • While capacity auctions will meet short-term needs, the IESO is exploring other acquisition tools that will offer longer commitments as part of this engagement – target capacities for these will be informed by this APO and future editions 30
More information about Annual Planning Outlook • Posted on IESO website: • 2020 Annual Planning Outlook Report (PDF) • 2020 Annual Planning Outlook Data Tables (Excel) • Presentation at January 26, 2021 Stakeholder Engagement Meeting • Register here 31
MORNING BREAK See you back in 10 minutes 32
The future of distributed energy resources Candice Trickey, Director, Corporate Affairs, IESO Betty Watson, Senior Director, Policy and Market Design, Modern Energy; Board Member, Advanced Energy Management Alliance 33
IESO Regional Electricity Forum: Future of Distributed Energy Resources January 20, 2021 Betty W atson Sr. Director, Policy & Market Design Board Member, AEMA
Modern Energy is dedicated to providing affordable, reliable, sustainable energy to everyone. We are a holding company for outstanding clean energy businesses, driving various elements of the clean energy transition – from energy efficiency and distributed generation to demand response. 35
Advanced Energy Management Alliance (AEMA) advocates for policies that empower and compensate customers appropriately--to contribute energy or energy-related services or to manage their energy usage--in a manner which contributes to a more efficient, cost-effective, resilient, reliable, and environmentally sustainable grid. Our members are providers and supporters of distributed energy resources (DERs), including demand response (DR) and advanced energy management, united to overcome barriers to nationwide use of demand-side resources.
Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) “Any resource located on the distribution system… or behind a customer meter”
Why Distributed Energy Resources?
How Can We Use Distributed Energy Resources? See : (1) State of Massachusetts, “State of Charge,” https://www.mass.gov/doc/state-of-charge-report/download; (2) RMI, Economics of Battery Energy Storage, https://rmi.org/insight/economics-battery-energy-storage/
How to Enable Distributed Energy Resources?
FERC Order 2222 on DER
FERC Order 2222- Specifics
FERC Order 2222- Hot Topic
Non-Wires Alternatives ▪ ConEdison (New York) Non-Wires Solutions RFPs
Recommendations
Thank you. betty@modern.energy 46
Panel: Strengthening communities through energy choices Jordan Penic, Sr. Manager, Engagement & Indigenous Relations, IESO (Moderator) Matthew Day, Community Energy Program Manager, Waterloo Region Scott Vokey, Director Solutions Development, Canadian Municipal Sector, Ameresco Falguni Shah, Vice President, Technology and Innovation, Elexicon Energy Inc. 47
Strengthening Communities Through Energy
Why Community Energy w w w. w49r c o m m u n i t y e n e r g y. c a
Why Community Energy w w w. w r c o m m u n i t y e n e r g y. c a
Key Partnerships w w w. w51r c o m m u n i t y e n e r g y. c a
Current Projects w w w. w r c o m m u n i t y e n e r g y. c a
Moving Forward w w w. w r c o m m u n i t y e n e r g y. c a
Scott Vokey, Ameresco 54
Top 10 Clean Microgrid Lessons Learned 55
John Paul II Secondary School (JP II) Project Highlights London District Catholic School Board Solutions: London, ON Battery Energy Storage System; Efficiency Measures; Energy Analytics; Geothermal; EV Charging; Solar PV – Rooftop & 1100 kW / 2200 kWh BESS Carport; Microgrid; Operations & Maintenance made possible by Energy as carport solar + EV charging a Service (EaaS) stations Onsite Solar Generation: 825 kW AC 250 tonne geothermal field Onsite Geothermal System: 100 Borehole Heat Exchanger Ameresco maintains an on-site microgrid-controlled renewable generation (Remove fluid coolers & boilers) system including BESS, PV, and geothermal. These solutions decarbonized the school and enabled islanding capabilities and enhanced reliability of Battery Energy Storage System: electricity while enabling services to London Hydro (LDC). 1,100 kW / 2,200 kWh (Supports both school & utility) Contracting Model: 25-Year Carbon Free EaaS 56
Newmarket Battery Energy Storage • Ameresco owns, operates and maintains both facilities, with a total capacity of 4 MW / 16 MWh. • This project provides critical time- shifting of energy consumption and production and demonstrates the value of ancillary services. • Enables Peak load shaving • Provides ancillary services • Allows participation in the merchant energy market Ameresco worked with the IESO to design and build two battery energy storage systems (BESS) on Newmarket - Tay Power Distribution’s distribution grid. The facility absorbs power during periods of excess energy supply and provides it back to the grid when energy demand is high. The system also provides on-going grid reliability and stability as more renewable energy comes on-line in the area. 57
ameresco.com Scott Vokey Director Asset Solutions For more information on Ameresco Distributed Strategy & Outreach Energy Resources: svokey@ameresco.com https://www.ameresco.com/renewable-energy/ T: (905) 955-8095 www.Ameresco.com ©2020 Ameresco, Inc. All rights reserved. © 2020 Ameresco, Inc. All rights reserved.
Elexicon Energy Inc. Strengthening Communities Through Energy Choices Falguni Shah, M.Eng., P.Eng. Vice President, Technology and Innovation January 20, 2021 59 59
About Elexicon Energy Inc. • Fourth largest municipally owned electricity distributor in Ontario • 169,000 plus residential and business customers in parts of Durham Region and beyond • 787 km2 of service territory • 2,154 km of Overhead line, 1,766 km of Underground cable • Five shareholder communities: • Town of Whitby, City of Pickering, Town of Ajax, City of Belleville and Municipality of Clarington 60
Strengthening Communities: Renewable Energy & Smartgrid Development: 61
Progressing to provide community energy solutions Premise microgrid – A premise with Nested Community microgrid – Grid of Microgrids – coordinating energy management and backup representative of a community microgrids across the distribution grid power. Equipment includes a 10kW embedding a home microgrid, with with energy management tools, solar carport, 2 AC Level II electric community-level energy management including voltage profiles, two-way vehicle charging station, 1 DC Fast and backup power. Equipment to be power flow, loss profile, and Charger, 13.8 kWh of residential deployed includes a community-scale load/generation forecasting. This energy storage, and a residential 250kVA/500kWh battery energy enables microgrids to be “grid-aware” microgrid controller. Tie in 1 or 2 net- storage system (BESS), 25kW rooftop so that customers’ and community zero homes on different feeders to solar, 1 AC Level II EV charger and a power objectives are optimally aligned Elexicon Energy’s SCADA system community microgrid controller. The with utility distribution planning and community microgrid controller will be operational objectives. integrated with the residential microgrid controller. 62
Premise Microgrid Features: • 10 kW solar carport • 2 Level II EV Chargers and 1 Level III DCFC • 2 Battery Energy Storage (Powerwalls) = 3.3 kW/6.4 kWh • Future: • Development of Net-0 Homes • Integration of Net-0 Homes and Microgrid to Operation Centre • Privacy and Data Collection Benefits: • Renewables Integration • Conservation • EV Charging to reduce range anxiety • Visibility and Interconnection with SCADA 63
Canada’s first Pre-Planned Nested Community Microgrid Features: • Feeder Visibility on two different feeders using GridOS DERMS • Three Phase connection to community • 250 kW/500 kWh Battery Energy Storage (Tesla Powerpack) • 25 kW of Rooftop Solar • 1 X Level II EV Charger • Virtual Net Metering for community • Powerwall for a resident • Community Microgrid Controller • Premise Level Controller 64
Utility Billing Alternatives: Community Energy Solutions Utility Billing Alternatives of Community Energy Storage Systems 1. Consumption and generation data is sent back via the metering infrastructure into the centralize billing system. 2. Utility Billing System settles the bill by calculating the credits earned by the solar system and applying the divided credits to each customer. 3. Customer would expect to see a line item indicating the credit value and reduction to their total electricity cost. 65
Challenges in achieving goals • For better management of advanced energy solutions at community level • Need advanced Communication and Control Technology • Management of Energy Storage at Feeder Level and SCADA • Need ADMS and DERMS for real-time operation and control (when penetration level increases) • Using Energy Storage for Ancillary services • Dilemma for Utilities – manage fine balance between higher reliability, peak shaving and ancillary services (voltage and frequency regulation) • Renewable Generation and Integration into Distribution grid • Need microgrid setup – projects become expensive 66
Challenges in achieving goals • Turning the utility into a energy management & transactive role beyond “uptime” • New Approach to Regulatory approvals than traditional wired applications • O&M Cost and dealing with downtime • Traditional utility workforce – training 67
FERC Order No.: 2222 • This rule enables DERs to participate alongside traditional resources in the regional organized wholesale markets through aggregations • It will help provide a variety of benefits including: • lower costs for consumers through enhanced competition • more grid flexibility • Resilience • more innovation within the electric power industry • This rule allows several sources of distributed electricity to aggregate in order to satisfy minimum size and performance requirements that each may not be able to meet individually. 68
Strengthening Communities Through Energy Choices - A New Paradigm: • A customer/community, will go from having very minimal control of their energy bill to total control of their energy bill • That’s the (r)evolution • Customer/Community benefits will help driving policies 69
Elexicon Energy Inc. Falguni Shah Vice President, Technology and Innovation Email: fshah@elexiconenergy.com 70 70
How to get involved • Join a Regional Electricity Network at www.ieso.ca/subscribe • Visit IESO Connects at www.iesoconnects.ca - Our online community engagement platform to continue dialogue on important and emerging electricity matters • Visit www.ieso.ca/subscribe to receive: • IESO Weekly Bulletin • Regional planning updates for your region • Contact communityengagement@ieso.ca 71
Thank You ieso.ca @IESO_Tweets 1.888.448.7777 facebook.com/OntarioIESO customer.relations@ieso.ca linkedin.com/company/IESO engagement@ieso.ca
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