WELCOME 2018 CONTRIBUTORS MEETING - Forest Biometrics Research ...
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2 Our Mission The Mission of this Institute is to assist the forest industry in: Achieving maximum productivity potential and use from the forest land base; Integrating all silvicultural treatments, environmental impacts and economic constraints; Deliver and validate improved decision-support tools; and, Quantify treatment effects on biodiversity and landscape diversity.
3 What is the Forest Biometrics Research Institute? “Software & Services for the Forest Industry since 2003″ The Forest Biometrics Research Institute (FBRI) was founded on August 14, 2003 as an independent research corporation. Financial endowments, annual contributions and grants are the basis for its annual operating budget. The Forest Biometrics Research Institute is: Organized for advanced research, education and service in the field of forest biometrics; Devoted to the advancement of scientifically grounded and verified forest biometrics practices and procedures in the forest industry; and, Structured to serve the forestry profession and specifically forestry organizations in all Western States.
4 2018 Board of Directors and Staff Jim McWhorter - Terra Verde, Inc. Ken Borchert - BIA Marc Vomocil – Starker Forests Brian Sharer – Finite Carbon Don Wales – Hancock Forest Management Dr. James Arney – Senior Forest Biometrician/Executive Officer Dr. Daniel Opalach – Senior Forest Biometrician Brock Purvis – Technical Support Richard Zabel – Logistics and Administrative Support Services
6 REPRESENTING and WORKING FOR YOU Consultants Special Interests Academia Conservation Carbon FBRI Biomass Government Large Tribes Industry Federal TIMO State REIT County Small Closely Held Ownership A balanced team of decision makers with years of experience in forestry, biometrics, and business.
REPRESENTING and WORKING FOR YOU • The FBRI Board of Directors ▫ Active in their own Forestry Organization ▫ Often look beyond their own Business in a Professional Sense ▫ Do not need to be Biometricians to Direct the FBRI Mission ▫ They represent the Range of Forestry Organizational Structures ▫ They serve 3-Year Terms on a Voluntary Basis ▫ They share a Goal of Providing Better Decision-support Methods and Tools A balanced team of decision makers with years of experience in forestry, biometrics, and business.
8 National Research Council 2002 Committee on National Capacity in Forestry Research In brief, this report suggests that our current forestry research capacity is neither adequate now, nor poised for success in the coming years. “In the committee’s opinion forestry research capacity is at a crossroads, if not a precipice.” “If left unchanged, its future will entail a steady erosion of intellectual and institutional capacity, and dwindling capacity and impact. Alternatively, forestry research could renew its commitment to innovation, cooperation, relevance, and extension in order to prosper and enhance the practice of forestry in this century. This latter vision will require levels of cooperation, support, real exchange of financial and technical support, and stakeholder support that do not currently exist.” EXCEPT …
9 WHY does FBRI exist? WHY do we want to be involved? “To make great forestry decisions” Making reliable defensible management decisions with confidence is what it is all about…
10 Great decisions are made with the best possible information. Forest Projection and Planning System (FPS) “The most widely used, fully integrated forest management system.” An innovative, “cutting-edge”, robust, software suite that provides analytically and biometrically correct answers to forestry professionals and management teams.
11 How does FBRI deliver value for its stakeholders? • Non-profit organization - driven by our mission not profits • Time-tested and proven technology • Continuously updated and supported by a team of specialists • Utilizing the world’s largest proprietary database and a team of passionate biometricians and foresters like you.
What’s Happened Forester’s Forum, February 7 - 8, Coeur d’Alene, Idaho FBRI Forest Inventory, March 13 - 14, Portland, Oregon FBRI-BIA Forest Silviculture, April 30 – May 1, Nespelem, WA Forest Inventory Essentials, May 7, Moscow, Idaho Forest Inventory Essentials, May 9, Wilsonville, Oregon Intertribal Timber Conference, June 4 – 5, Ocean Shores, WA Western Mensurationists, June 17-19, Flagstaff, Arizona FBRI Forest Planning, September 17 - 18, Portland, Oregon SAF National Convention, October 3-7, Portland, Oregon FBRI Annual Meeting, November 13 - 14, Portland, Oregon
What’s Next? Forester’s Forum, February 7-8, Coeur d’Alene, Idaho FBRI Forest Inventory, March ???, Portland, Oregon FBRI-BIA Facilitated Webinar Series, January thru June FBRI SiteGrid Technology, May ??? FBRI Facilitated Webinar Series, Applying FPS Methods & Tools ??? Western Mensurationists, June ???, Moscow, Idaho FBRI Forest Planning, September ???, Portland, Oregon FBRI Annual Meeting, November 13, Portland, Oregon
What’s New? Better distinction between FBRI “Methods” and “Tools” FPS v7.55 will be become available on 1st Quarter, 2019. Known and Discovered errors and bugs will be erased Some 1-yr Growth Steps, Site estimates, Dead trees, Log Sorting Enhanced analyses and reporting of Revenue/Cost Cash Flows A series of topic-focused Web Notes and Webinars are Underway Major Focus on Cash Card Technology and Applications Major Focus on SiteGrid Technology and Applications Major Focus on LiDAR-Assisted Inventory Technology
15 THE NEW TECH SUPPORT ANSWER! Put your order in now A single push of the button guarantee… Contact: Brock@tropical_island_and_boat_drinks.slushfund
16 Forest Biometrics – Tech Support What is the purpose of this…? • Provide FPS Software Support (Version 7) to all contributing organizations ▫ From initial installation → year end reporting • Review field inventory processes and data collection techniques for integration into FPS • Cruise Design
2018 At A Glance • Over 180 Support Requests ▫ Email/Phone • 45 different FPS related topics • 5 New Webinars • 3 Workshops ▫ Fundamentals of Inventory ▫ 10 meter SiteGrid ▫ Forest Planning • 2 Lecture Courses ▫ Moscow, ID / Wilsonville, OR • Multiple on-site visits
Most Frequent Topics
Grow/Compile/Expand - Most Common “Issues” • Need to have SITE_PHY & SITE_SHP populated in Admin ▫ These are just estimates from SiteGrid until felled tree study is conducted • Need to have VEG_LBL associated with each stand • Stands grown to common RPT_YR ▫ For expanding or running lump/split routines
Most Common Q & A for Site Grid • Can I get the FBRI point per 5 acre site grid? ▫ Yes-If you are a contributing organization and it is for your land ▫ Yes-If you are a consultant who participates in FBRI and it is for a contributing organizations land ▫ No-If you are not a contributing organization ▫ No-If you are a consultant who participates in FBRI but it is not for a contributing organizations land
Tech Support – What’s New? • Webinars - available at www.forestbiometrics.org ▫ 2017 Excel into FPS Cruise and Compile Compile, Grow, Expand SiteGrid Methods 100% Cruise ▫ 2018 SVS Install SVS Visual Options Access Database and the 2GB Limit Installing FPS Windows 10 Stand Selection for Annual Inventory Cruising
Requests from Contributing Organizations • Webinar on Verifying Version 7.53 Install • Webinar on Harvest Scheduling ▫ Yield Table ▫ Silvics Table
Thank you for your time Questions? brock@forestbiometrics.org (406) 541-0054
24 WE ALL KNOW THIS STORY!
25 THE SUCCESSION PLAN ● FBRI, and its current value, is largely dependent on Dr. Jim Arney ○ Succession planning is key to long-term viability ○ Knowledge transfer is a necessity ○ FBRI must be able to sustain itself on its own.
26 Dr. Daniel Opalach FBRI Senior Forest Biometrician 28 years of experience • Forest biometrics • Management • Academia Past Professor at Humboldt State University Past Chairman of the Board – FBRI (7 years) Entrepreneurial spirit – independent contractor Passion • A true advocate for advancing the forestry profession • Strongly believes in the mission of FBRI • An understanding and commitment to the need for a FPS knowledge base transfer • A strong working relationship with Dr. Jim Arney
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10m SiteGrid Project In order to stratify a timberland property using Dr. Arney’s 10m SiteGrid protocol, the following environmental data are needed: • Growing season length • Annual precipitation • Soil depth
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Acres Within Each Environmental Factor Growing Season Annual Soil Length Precipitation Depth (acres) (acres) (acres) Low 65,586 67,088 33,138 Medium 87,054 80,473 108,217 High 76,798 81,877 88,084 Total Acres 229,438 229,438 229,438 Growing Season Annual Soil Length Precipitation Depth (days) (cm) (in) Low =39
The average stratum size is 8,500 acres
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39 2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources Goal – To develop and advance education in quantitative skills PhD or MS-level fellowships available Available to working foresters of participating FBRI organizations. Year One of the program we have Four recipients. All working toward a MS degree in quantitative sciences. An opportunity that benefits FBRI and “our” profession.
2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” Dr. Alistair Smith Professor of Wildland Fire Science and Combustion Physics, Director, Research and Graduate Studies University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources
2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” Dr. Charles Goebel Professor of Forest Ecosystems Restoration and Ecology, Department Head of Forest, Rangeland and Fire Science University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources
2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” Dr. Mark Kimsey Research Assistant Professor of Forest Resources Director, Inland Northwest Research Cooperative University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources
2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” Dr. Andrew Nelson Assistant Professor of Silviculture, Native Plant Regeneration Tom A. Albert and Judith Beck Endowed Chair University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources
2017 FBRI FELLOWSHIP PROGRAM “A partnership in continued education …” Dr. Robert Keefe Associate Professor, Forest Operations Director, University of Idaho Experimental Forest University of Idaho, College of Natural Resources
PATRICK WHALEN • 2017 FBRI College Fellowship Recipient • Emphasis in Early Silviculture – Cash Card Technology • Major Professor – Dr. Mark Kimsey • Bachelor of Science Forest Management 2004 University of Montana; Missoula, MT • FBRI participating organization: Inland Empire Paper Company
SHAWN de FRANCE • 2017 FBRI College Fellowship Recipient • Emphasis in Tree and Stand Density Measures • Major Professor – Dr. Andrew Nelson • Bachelor of Science in Forestry 06/2014 Salish Kootenai College; Pablo, MT • FBRI participating organization: Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes Division of Forestry
Stand and Individual Tree Competition Models in Heterogeneous Multi-Cohort Coniferous Forests By: Shawn de France Advisors: Andrew Nelson, Mark Kimsey, Dan Opalach
• Stand and Individual Trees • Distant Dependent vs Distant Independent • Emphasis will be placed on heterogeneous multi-cohort stands to verify the accuracy of competition indices in non- evenage forests. • Previous studies done in evenage, single species forests, or with data that was collected over a short period of time Competition Models
Competition Models
Wilcox Permanent Plots • Data from the Wilcox permanent plots on the Warm Springs Reservation • DBH & height for every tree measured approximately every 5 years since 1985 • 11 plots, each 2.5 acres • Stem-mapped Plots • Stands are multi-aged with variable densities
Unevenage Management • Current Emphasis on Unevenage Management • Wildlife Corridors, Extended SMZ, Public Input – Adverse Visual Effects of Clearcut Regimes • This research project will review and analyze competition models specifically in mixed species, multi-aged stands to specify how they perform under the growing trends of unevenage management
• Questions or Comments? • Thank You!!
HALLI HEMINGWAY • 2017 FBRI College Fellowship Recipient • Emphasis in Site Productivity – 10-meter Site Technology • Major Professor – Dr. Mark Kimsey • Bachelor of Science in Geography/GIS 2007 University of Idaho; Moscow, ID • FBRI participating organization: Bennett Lumber Products, Inc.
54 Jump over to Halli’s Tree Cutting Video
55 2018 Financial Performance To Date
56 Projected Performance of FBRI: $0.07/acre 2017 Projection – Pessimistic – Proposed New Fee Structure $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $- $(100,000) $(200,000) $(300,000) $(400,000) $(500,000) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Annual Contributions Contract Fees All Other Income Grants / Additional Organizations Contract FBRI Services All Other Expenses Graduate Studies Program Annual Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure Running Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure Annual Surplus / Deficit: New Fee Structure Running Surplus / Deficit: New Fee Structure
57 FBRI New Fee Structure • Proposed last year (starting in 2019): ▫ $0.07 / acre ▫ $3,500 minimum ▫ $50,000 maximum • Board passed new fee structure April 2018
58 2018 Projected Performance of FBRI: Baseline 2018 Projection - Baseline $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $- $(100,000) $(200,000) $(300,000) $(400,000) $(500,000) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Annual Contributions Contract Fees All Other Income Grants / Additional Organizations Contract FBRI Services All Other Expenses Graduate Studies Program Annual Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure Running Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure
59 2018 Projected Performance of FBRI: Baseline + Expected Grants and Partnership Work 2018 Projection - Baseline + Grants and Partnership Work $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $- $(100,000) $(200,000) $(300,000) $(400,000) $(500,000) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Annual Contributions Contract Fees All Other Income Grants / Additional Organizations Contract FBRI Services All Other Expenses Graduate Studies Program Annual Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure Running Surplus / Deficit: Current Fee Structure
Background into previous Grants • Forest Biometrics LLC has received five previous Grand Awards • U.S. Department of Agriculture, Small Business Innovative Research ▫ 1998 Integrated Software Utility for Forest Management and Planning SBIR Phase I – $ 69,200 ▫ 1999 Establishment of the Forest Biometrics Research Database SBIR Phase II – $ 198,455 • FBRI Exists due to Support from Contributors and from Grants • The SBIR Director called to inquire if we may participate in 2018? ▫ His question, “Have the previous grants help establish your Institute?”
Direction for Upcoming Grants • U.S. Department of Agriculture, Small Business Innovative Research ▫ Apply in 2018, Funding in 2019 for Phase I projects ( under $100,000) ▫ Growth & Yield is a named focus topic for funding • Applied for SBIR Grant “Calibrating Climate Change with 10mSite” ▫ Submitted October 25, Selection of Projects in 1st Quarter 2019 ▫ Select three locations with mixed-age Stands (multiple decades) • Applied for SBIR Grant “LiDAR-Assisted Forest Inventory” ▫ Submitted October 25, Selection of Projects in 1st Quarter 2019 ▫ Apply Aerial Stratification, Field Sampling, Polygon Generation
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Status of FBRI Research Database • FBRI Research Database is likely the largest, most diverse in the West
Status of FBRI Research Database • A Significant portion of the Research Database ▫ Is made up of Douglas-fir ▫ Is installed in Even-aged, Single-species Stands ▫ Are established as Small Plots ▫ Has reached mature to over-mature Age Classes ▫ Have ceased to be maintained by the Installation Land Owner • A New Permanent Plot Basis must be Initiated ▫ Future validation and calibration for all Species in all Regions ▫ The Nelder Plot Design as 2-Plot Installations offers the most Robust Plan ▫ Existing Progeny Trials offer Response Surface Mosaic analysis resources
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