Webinar 16.09.2019 Warum Blockchain & Crypto Assets ein Bestandteil der auf die Zukunft ausgerichteten Asset Allokation eines Family Offices sein ...
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Webinar 16.09.2019 Warum Blockchain & Crypto Assets ein Bestandteil der auf die Zukunft ausgerichteten Asset Allokation eines Family Offices sein sollten
L1D introduction L1 Digital AG • Zurich based investment adviser for multi-manager solutions • Captures investment opportunities in disruptive blockchain industry • Operated by experienced investment team that built up $6bn Harcourt The Team • Started investing in the space in 2015 (tokens, directs, funds) via Bellegarde family office • Vast network of blockchain projects across the globe; 150 funds analysed • Highly complementary team with proven business building and investment track record >100 years of combined financial markets and crypto experience 2
Everyone talks about Bitcoin but there are 1000s of other projects Top 20 cryptos by market cap ($m) BTC USD price 1 Bitcoin 181’949 100,000.00 2 Ethereum 20’090 3 XRP 11’478 10,000.00 4 Bitcoin Cash 5’539 5 Litecoin 4’566 6 USD Tether 4’060 1,000.00 7 Binance Coin 3’953 8 EOS 3’282 100.00 9 Bitcoin SV 2’376 10 Stellar 1’371 10.00 11 Monero 1’366 12 Cardano 1’275 1.00 13 Unus Sed Leo 1’177 14 TRON 1’161 15 Dash 809 0.10 16 Ethereum Classic 781 17 Tezos 737 0.01 18 IOTA 722 19 Chainlink 719 20 NEO 670 Source: CoinMarketCap, Aug-19 Source: Bloomberg 3
Web 3.0: Internet of value, decentralized business models Web 1.0/2.0 Internet of information is about sharing information eg emails, docs, pictures; transactions involving value require a centralized party to validate buyer and seller, resulting in costs, delays and a central point of failure Web 3.0 Internet of value: Blockchain is engineered to enable direct peer-to-peer transactions between parties that don’t fully trust one another, and mathematically validate valuable and/or private transactions Decentralized internet of Disruption: value and trust, Which projects will interacting without be winners in this central authorities new, decentralized Two-way world? communication, cloud, sharing and social Web 3.0 economy One-way communication and email Web 2.0 Web 1.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 4
Digital assets will become a new asset class in the next 5 years 1. Capture long-term investment opportunities in the potentially most disruptive space globally • Blockchain space expected to create trillions of dollars in value • Still early in the innovation cycle • Dominated by the US and Asia, with Europe lagging behind 2. Capture huge knowledge & information asymmetry • Complex and vast space: >$200bn market size; >10,000 assets; inefficient retail-driven market • 90% of tokens will be worthless; but select projects built by strong teams will be revolutionizing • Only very limited number of investors with technical skills and informational advantage 3. Capture changing market structure with several catalysts • Blockchain technology improving rapidly (scalability, governance, privacy); space attracting talent • Institutional investors expected to accelerate once fiat on-ramps improved => fundamentals will become more important • Regulatory environment expected to become more accommodative • Mass UX adoption expected within the next three years, eg Telegram, Libra, Bakkt, Terra, Brave 5
A unique opportunity for family offices 1. L1 Digital originated out of Bellegarde Capital family office, because: • Unique opportunity, disruption • Information asymmetry can be exploited by sophisticated investor • Several catalysts (technology, investors, regulations, adoption) 0.4 2. Fits perfectly into asset allocation, because: Low to negative correlations 0.2 • Expected high returns • Low to negative correlations 0 • Recommended allocation of 1-5% -0.2 -0.4 3. Progressive investors entering the space: • Tech family offices (Bloomberg, Thiel, Sequoia Partners) • NextGens • First institutional investors (Yale, Harvard, pension funds) Forbes: “Crypto are becoming more popular globally and are attracting growing interest, but are not very well understood within the Survey by Fidelity Investments: “22% of family office space.” investors have some exposure to digital assets, while 40 percent say they are open to taking the plunge in the next five years.” 6
The blockchain universe: Six sub-sectors Private blockchains Services & Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization (enterprise, govmt) infrastructure Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 7 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
Layer 1 and Layer 2 protocols Private blockchains Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization Services (enterprise, govmt) • Store of value (BTC) • Scalability (lightning, • Payments (Flexa, • Art & collectibles • Private blockchains • Exchanges & OTC • Privacy (Monero, Plasma, state Terra) (Codex) (Hyperledger, Ripple, (BitStamp, GDAX, ZCash) channels, sidechains) • Remittances (Celo) • Real estate R3 Corda, Stellar) BitFinex, Kraken) • Smart contract • Inter-operability • DeFi (MakerDao) • IP & music • Supply chain mgt • Brokerage/lending/ platforms (ETH, EOS, (Polkadot, Cosmos) • Dec. exchanges • Securities, loans & • Insurance short-selling Dfinity, Tezos, NEO, • Privacy (zkp) (Binance, OmiseGo, other financial assets • Bank settlements (CryptoBroker, Concordium) • Decentralized 0x, Enigma) • Stable coins (USDT, • Trade finance Genesis, Circle, Bakkt) • DAG & IoT (IOTA, internet (NuCypher, • Gaming (CryptoKitties USDC, Dai, CHF) • Authentication • Storage & wallets Spacemesh) OasisLabs, Aragon) Pryze, DecentraLand) • Digital central bank • KYC & compliance & (CryptoStorage, Xapo, • Prediction markets currencies digital identity CoinBase, Kingdom (Augur, NEAR) • Autonomous cars Trust, Ledger, BitGo) • Storage & • Medical data • Mining & ASICs computation power • Distributed (BitMain, BitFury) (IPFS, Golem) electricity • Remittances (Abra, • P2P lending (Bloom, • E-Government & BitPesa, coins.ph) SALT) voting • Fiat on-ramps • Digital identity (Civic) • Asset mgt • Data/browser (Brave) • Staking • Fundmgt (Melonport) • Chain analytics • Video (Stream, LPeer) • Security tools • Music (BitTorrent) • KYC & compliance • Messaging (Telegram, • Advisory Kin) Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 8 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
The race to build the future Layer1 protocols Fat protocol theory The blockchain trilogy Unlike 1st generation of internet protocols like Achieving a blockchain trilogy represents the TCP/IP, blockchain enables investments in main challenge Web3.0 protocols & infrastructure Decen- tralized Store-of-value blockchain Blockchain trilemma Secure Scalable Smart contract platform Interoperable meta blockchain Once technology matures, many current business models will: • become more efficient • be disrupted and/or replaced by new decentralized business models 9
Decentralized Apps (dApps) Private blockchains Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization Services (enterprise, govmt) • Store of value (BTC) • Scalability (lightning, • Payments (Flexa, • Art & collectibles • Private blockchains • Exchanges & OTC • Payments Plasma, sharding, Terra) (Codex) (Hyperledger, Ripple, (BitStamp, GDAX, • Privacy (Monero, state channels, • Remittances (Celo) • Real estate R3 Corda, Stellar) BitFinex, Kraken) ZCash) sidechains) • DeFi (MakerDao) • IP & music • Supply chain mgt • Brokerage/lending/ • Smart contract • Inter-operability • Dec. exchanges • Securities, loans & • Insurance short-selling platforms (ETH, EOS, (Polkadot, Cosmos) (Binance, OmiseGo, other financial assets • Bank settlements (CryptoBroker, Dfinity, Tezos, NEO, • Privacy 0x, Enigma) • Stable coins (USDT, • Trade finance Genesis, Circle, Bakkt) Concordium) • Decentralized • Gaming (CryptoKitties USDC, Dai, CHF) • Authentication • Storage & wallets • DAG & IoT (IOTA, internet (NuCypher, Pryze, DecentraLand) • Digital central bank • KYC & compliance & (CryptoStorage, Xapo, Spacemesh) OasisLabs, Aragon) • Prediction markets currencies digital identity CoinBase, Kingdom (Augur, NEAR) • Autonomous cars Trust, Ledger, BitGo) • Storage & • Medical data • Mining & ASICs computation power • Distributed (BitMain, BitFury) (IPFS, Golem) electricity • Remittances (Abra, • P2P lending (Bloom, • E-Government & BitPesa, coins.ph) SALT) voting • Fiat on-ramps • Digital identity (Civic) • Asset mgt • Data/browser (Brave) • Staking • Fundmgt (Melonport) • Chain analytics • Video (Stream, LPeer) • Security tools • Music (BitTorrent) • KYC & compliance • Messaging (Telegram, • Advisory Kin) Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 10 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
dApps – Use cases dApps = decentralized business models run by utility tokens 1. Flexa (payments US): • 39,000 merchants in the US (Starbucks, McDonalds, Wholesale Foods), Gemini backed • Fiat at the merchant, fast settlement, low transaction fees • Powered by clients’ cryptos stored in SPEDN wallets or by Flexa coin (ERC20 based) • Flexa coin earns the transaction fees, can be valued at NPV; 8x at go-live 2. Celo (financial inclusion and remittances): • Phone number based money transfers and remittances • Celo Dollar stablecoin (cUSD); other currencies via decentralized exchange; ETH fork • Celo Gold coins earn PoS revenue, transfer fees • DeFi layer on top (lending, insurance etc) 3. Helium (decentralized IoT wireless): • Decentralized LP-WAN wireless networks powered by locals • Hotspot operators earn Helium from the data senders; Proof-of-Coverage based • Used for IoT, eg to track Lime scooters, dog tags, keys, agriculture sensors 4. Brave BAT (social media): • Browser protecting data, 11m users • Advertisement viewers are remunerated through BATs (keep 70% of add revenue) 5. Telegram (300m users)? Libra (2bn users)? 11
Asset tokenization and stable coins Private blockchains Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization Services (enterprise, govmt) • Store of value (BTC) • Scalability (lightning, • Payments (Flexa, • Art & collectibles • Private blockchains • Exchanges & OTC • Payments Plasma, sharding, Terra) (Codex) (Hyperledger, Ripple, (BitStamp, GDAX, • Privacy (Monero, state channels, • Remittances (Celo) • Real estate R3 Corda, Stellar) BitFinex, Kraken) ZCash) sidechains) • DeFi (MakerDao) • IP & music • Supply chain mgt • Brokerage/lending/ • Smart contract • Inter-operability • Dec. exchanges • Securities, loans & • Insurance short-selling platforms (ETH, EOS, (Polkadot, Cosmos) (Binance, OmiseGo, other financial assets • Bank settlements (CryptoBroker, Dfinity, Tezos, NEO, • Privacy 0x, Enigma) • Digital central bank • Trade finance Genesis, Circle, Bakkt) Concordium) • Decentralized • Gaming (CryptoKitties currencies • Authentication • Storage & wallets • DAG & IoT (IOTA, internet (NuCypher, Pryze, DecentraLand) • KYC & compliance & (CryptoStorage, Xapo, Spacemesh) OasisLabs, Aragon) • Prediction markets • Stable coins digital identity CoinBase, Kingdom (Augur, NEAR) (USDT, cUSD, USDC, • Autonomous cars Trust, Ledger, BitGo) • Storage & Dai, Libra) • Medical data • Mining & ASICs computation power • Distributed (BitMain, BitFury) (IPFS, Golem) electricity • Remittances (Abra, • P2P lending (Bloom, • E-Government & BitPesa, coins.ph) SALT) voting • Fiat on-ramps • Digital identity (Civic) • Asset mgt • Data/browser (Brave) • Staking • Fundmgt (Melonport) • Chain analytics • Video (Stream, LPeer) • Security tools • Music (BitTorrent) • KYC & compliance • Messaging (Telegram, • Advisory Kin) Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 12 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
Private blockchains; Services & infrastructure Private blockchains Services & Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization (enterprise, govmt) infrastructure • Store of value (BTC) • Scalability (lightning, • Payments (Flexa, • Art & collectibles • Private blockchains • Exchanges & OTC • Payments Plasma, sharding, Terra) (Codex) (Hyperledger, Ripple, (BitStamp, GDAX, • Privacy (Monero, state channels, • Remittances (Celo) • Real estate R3 Corda, Stellar) BitFinex, Kraken) ZCash) sidechains) • DeFi (MakerDao) • IP & music • Supply chain mgt • Brokerage/lending/ • Smart contract • Inter-operability • Dec. exchanges • Securities, loans & • Insurance short-selling platforms (ETH, EOS, (Polkadot, Cosmos) (Binance, OmiseGo, other financial assets • Bank settlements (CryptoBroker, Dfinity, Tezos, NEO, • Privacy 0x, Enigma) • Stable coins (USDT, • Trade finance Genesis, Circle, Bakkt) Concordium) • Decentralized • Gaming (CryptoKitties USDC, Dai, CHF) • Authentication • Storage & wallets • DAG & IoT (IOTA, internet (NuCypher, Pryze, DecentraLand) • Digital central bank • KYC & compliance & (CryptoStorage, Xapo, Spacemesh) OasisLabs, Aragon) • Prediction markets currencies digital identity CoinBase, Kingdom (Augur, NEAR) • Autonomous cars Trust, Ledger, BitGo) • Storage & • Medical data • Mining & ASICs computation power • Distributed (BitMain, BitFury) (IPFS, Golem) electricity • Remittances (Abra, • P2P lending (Bloom, • E-Government & BitPesa, coins.ph) SALT) voting • Fiat on-ramps • Digital identity (Civic) • Asset mgt • Data/browser (Brave) • Staking • Fundmgt (Melonport) • Chain analytics • Video (Stream, LPeer) • Security tools • Music (BitTorrent) • KYC & compliance • Messaging (Telegram, • Advisory Kin) Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 13 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
The blockchain universe: BTC only one application among many Private blockchains Services & Layer 1 protocols Layer 2 technologies Decentralized Apps Asset tokenization (enterprise, govmt) infrastructure • Store of value (BTC) • Scalability (lightning, • Payments (Flexa, • Art & collectibles • Private blockchains • Exchanges & OTC • Privacy (Monero, Plasma, sharding, Terra) (Codex) (Hyperledger, Ripple, (BitStamp, GDAX, ZCash) state channels, • Remittances (Celo) • Real estate R3 Corda, Stellar) BitFinex, Kraken) • Smart contract sidechains) • DeFi (MakerDao) • IP & music • Supply chain mgt • Brokerage/lending/ platforms (ETH, EOS, • Inter-operability • Dec. exchanges • Securities, loans & • Insurance short-selling Dfinity, Tezos, NEO, (Polkadot, Cosmos) (Binance, OmiseGo, other financial assets • Bank settlements (CryptoBroker, Concordium) • Privacy 0x, Enigma) • Digital central bank • Trade finance Genesis, Circle, Bakkt) • DAG & IoT (IOTA, • Decentralized • Gaming (CryptoKitties currencies • Authentication • Storage & wallets Spacemesh) internet (NuCypher, Pryze, DecentraLand) • KYC & compliance & (CryptoStorage, Xapo, OasisLabs, Aragon) • Prediction markets • Stable coins digital identity CoinBase, Kingdom (Augur, NEAR) (USDT, cUSD, USDC, • Autonomous cars Trust, Ledger, BitGo) • Storage & Dai, Libra) • Medical data • Mining & ASICs computation power • Distributed (BitMain, BitFury) (IPFS, Golem) electricity • Remittances (Abra, • P2P lending (Bloom, • E-Government & BitPesa, coins.ph) SALT) voting • Fiat on-ramps • Digital identity (Civic) • Asset mgt • Data/browser (Brave) • Staking • Fundmgt (Melonport) • Chain analytics • Video (Stream, LPeer) • Security tools • Music (BitTorrent) • KYC & compliance • Messaging (Telegram, • Advisory Kin) Payment Utility Utility Asset Tokens Private Venture Equity & Coins Tokens Tokens & Stable Coins Tokens Hybrids 14 Source: Developed by L1 Digital
Strategy framework – Fundamental vs Trading managers 15
Trading strategies: Long/short, arbitrage, CTAs, market making Arbitrage funds capture price inefficiencies: Arbitrage performs across market environments • Intra-exchange, inter-exchange, futures vs spot, basis 220 trades, forks 200 • Sophisticated technology stack, systematic investment 180 process, deep API connectivity 160 • Special arrangements with exchanges: higher order-per- 140 second limits, lower transaction fees 120 • Benefit from volatility and hyped market environments 100 80 60 11/2017 01/2018 03/2018 05/2018 07/2018 Crypto Arb Basket Hold10 Index Trend-followers able to decouple from the market Short term systematic funds capture trends: • Focused on short term momentum and trend following 130 strategies 120 • Long or short exposure executed via futures or spot 110 markets 100 • Short-selling via futures: CME, BitMEX, OKEx, LedgerX 90 • Short-selling via cash shorts: brokers (Genesis, DRW, 80 Jump) or exchanges (eg Binance, Huobi) @ 0.5%-1.5% 70 pm 60 01/2018 02/2018 03/2018 04/2018 05/2018 06/2018 07/2018 08/2018 Crypto ST CTA Fund Bitcoin 16
Fundamental strategies: Value, liquid venture, SAFTs Typical portfolio Fundamental manager’s typical profile: • Managers typically based in Silicon Valley; interdisciplinary teams 60-85% • Fundamental investment process: Liquid digital assets • VC like sourcing and due diligence: team, tech, market size, go- to market strategy, competition • Store of value • Crypto specific: network, platform, open source risk • Protocol layers • Token economics: protocol usage and velocity • Utility hypothesis • Valuation • Privacy • Long-biased, but some portfolios with dynamic net exposure, assuming idiosyncratic risks and hedging systematic ones • SAFTs, pre-token investing: high quality, disruptive projects 15-40% • Manager brand and technical expertise key in gaining access to high SAFTs quality projects • New technologies (scalability, privacy, infrastructure) • New themes (dApps etc) * SAFT = Simple Agreement for Future Tokens 17
Investment challenges 1. Access to best projects and/or best managers 2. Complexity 3. Operational risks: storage, counterparty risks, mark-to-market 4. Direct investments: cumbersome process, storage, volatility 5. Fund investments: sourcing, high min investments, legal structures, liquidity 18
Benefits of investing via multi-manager solutions 1. Diversification • Strategy diversification: liquid venture, long/short, event-driven, arbitrage, CTA, market making • Geographical diversification: US, Asia, Europe • Manager diversification: mitigating operational risks 2. Sourcing & access • 800 funds: sourcing and selecting the best managers globally • Access to closed/difficult-to-access brand name funds with high minimum investments • Access to high quality, capacity constrained projects • Preferred terms negotiated with the managers (lower fees, better liquidity) 3. Easy to invest • Institutional quality multi-manager fund structure, due diligence and monitoring • Low minimum investments • Knowledge transfer 19
Conclusion Cambridge Associates: "The crypto space has taken the investment world by surprise. Though liquid crypto prices have fallen sharply of late, investment activity in the space is booming. Investors interested in the industry need to spend a considerable amount of time learning about the space, getting comfortable with its very high risks, performing manager due diligence, and carefully implementing allocations. Despite the challenges, we believe that it is worthwhile for investors to begin exploring this area today with an eye toward the long term." By Marcos Veremis – February 2019 20
Contact L1 Digital AG Limmatquai 1 8001 Zurich Switzerland info@L1.digital Linkedin.com/company/l1digital Legal Disclaimer: This presentation is for informational purposes only. An investor should consult and review the appropriate offering memorandum before making any investment decisions. This presentation does not constitute an offer to any person to whom it would be unlawful to make such an offer. Prospective investors should inform themselves and take appropriate advice as to any applicable legal requirements and any applicable taxation and exchange control regulations in the countries of their citizenship, residence or domicile which might be relevant to the subscription, purchase, holding, exchange, redemption or disposal of any investments. Past performance is not a guide to future performance and the value of investments and the income derived from them can go down as well as up. Future returns are not guaranteed and a loss of principal may occur. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of the date appearing in this material only. No part of this material may be Copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form, by any means; or redistributed without L1 Digital AG‘s prior written consent. This information is intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is given and may not be reproduced or given to any other person (in Switzerland only suitable for qualified investors as defined in para. 10 of the Ordinance on Collective Investment Schemes). Please note that calls to L1 Digital AG may be monitored or recorded. This document does not constitute an issue prospectus. The contents of this document are for general information purposes only and should not be considered as recommendation or investment advice. The document has been prepared for the use of the recipient as qualified investor. It does not constitute an offer or an invitation by or on behalf of L1 Digital to any person to buy or sell any security. Any reference to past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future. The information and analysis contained in this publication have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but L1 Digital does not make any representation as to their accuracy or completeness and does not accept liability for any direct or indirect damages arising from the use hereof. The terms of the note product described in this document are indicative only. The right to remedy any shortcomings which may be present in this document remains reserved. The final terms of the note product will be set forth in the relevant offering document. An investment in L1 Digital Multi Manager Note shall entail substantial risks, including potentially the risk of loss of one’s entire investment and is appropriate only for qualified investors understanding the risks involved. Before entering into any transaction, you should consider the suitability of the note product with regard to your particular circumstances and independently review (with your professional advisers as necessary) the specific financial risks as well as legal, regulatory, credit, tax and accounting consequences. No investment should be made before having read very carefully the final note prospectus. This document is a personal copy addressed to you as qualified investor as defined above. This document may not be reproduced either in whole, or in part, and may not be passed to third parties without the written permission of L1 Digital. By accepting this handout or any of its pages you understand, accept and agree to the terms as set out above. This document was produced by and the opinions expressed are those of L1 Digital as of the date of writing and are subject to change. 21
Webinar 16.09.2019 Warum Blockchain & Crypto Assets ein Bestandteil der auf die Zukunft ausgerichteten Asset Allokation eines Family Offices sein sollten
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