VT GRAVIS UK LISTED PROPERTY FUND - UK LISTED PROPERTY - Gravis Capital
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FUND INVESTMENT TEAM The investment advisers to the Fund Matthew Norris CFA - Director of Real Estate & Fund Adviser Nick Barker - Strategic Adviser to the Fund Matthew has more than two decades investment management Nick is a director of Gravis and is the lead manager of GCP experience and has a specialist focus on real estate securities. Student Living plc. He served as an Executive Director of Grosvenor Europe where he Nick joined Gravis from Schroders where he worked for eight was responsible for global real estate securities strategies. He years, ultimately as head of alternatives for the real estate joined Grosvenor following roles managing equity funds at Fulcrum business and a member of the fund management team for the Asset Management and Buttonwood Capital Partners. Prior to that Schroder UK Real Estate Fund. Nick has over sixteen years he worked within the equity research department for Credit Suisse. investment experience having previously also worked at Matthew holds a BA (Hons) degree in Economics & Politics from Cushman & Wakefield and JLL. the University of York, the Investment Management Certificate and Nick graduated from the University of Reading with a degree in is a CFA charterholder. Investment & Finance in Property. Nick is also a Member of the He also provides expert input to research projects run by EPRA, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. which focus on the importance of emergent real estate sectors. 020 3405 8553 020 3405 8521 matthew.norris@graviscapital.com nick.barker@graviscapital.com 3
THE UK PROPERTY SECTOR Key facts Size of the investible UK Property Market (£'bn) UK property market1 1400 • £8.7 trillion total value of UK property • £2.1 trillion value of the investible UK property 1200 • £512 billion of this was invested by professional investors and investment vehicles 1000 Institutional Quality Real Estate • The sector has grown in value by 6.0% per annum over the last 30 years Real Estate Stock 800 600 400 200 0 1. The Size & Structure of the UK Property Market: Year-End 2018 Update (December 2019) - IPF 5
BENEFITS OF REITS The benefits of investing in REITs: REITs are structurally suited to provide liquid access to an illiquid asset class. They are able to focus on long term portfolio returns rather than provision of short term liquidity. Real Estate Investment Trusts Open Ended Funds Structure Closed ended funds, listed on LSE Open ended funds, unlisted Investment focus Increasingly specialist Generalist Investor entry / exit Buy / sell shares on LSE Company issues / redeems units / gating / swing pricing / spread Impact of day to day investor entry / exit None Rising and falling cash balance and share capital on fund management Cash required to manage day to day Do not hold material cash balances – can Yes, c.20% to manage redemptions remain fully invested investor liquidity Impact of extreme investor exit Likely share price fall, potential to trade In event of insufficient cash, gating of below NAV investors, forced sale of assets at potentially unfavourable pricing Gearing c.20% - able to enhance returns through 0% appropriate leverage Appropriate for illiquid assets Yes, while offering daily liquidity Not according to the FCA1 1. https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/consultation/cp18-27.pdf 6
ASSET CLASS RETURNS 10 year annualised return by asset class (30.06.2019 – 31.07.2020)1 15.00% 10.00% 9.16% 7.47% 7.21% 5.06% 5.00% 4.27% 2.73% UK Retail REITs 0.00% 10y GBP Gilt All UK REITs Gold (£) UK Equities IA UK Direct Inflation UK Property* -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% -15.98% -20.00% 1. Data (excl. IA UK Direct Property) – Bloomberg L.P. * IA UK Direct Property – FE Analytics 7
KEY TRENDS There are five key themes in the real estate sector; ageing population, digitisation, urbanisation, generation rent and changing consumer behaviour. PROPERTY TRENDS Changing Consumer Ageing Population Digitalisation Urbanisation Generation Rent Behaviour Healthcare Alternative Industrial & Commercial Housing & Retail Logistics Accommodation GP Surgery Industrial PRS Shopping Centers Self Storage Office Pharmacies Logistics Student Department Stores Residential Care High Street 8
RETAIL A timeline of various retail companies that have faced administration over recent years Prior to 2016 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1. http://www.retailresearch.org/whosegonebust.php 9
CASE STUDY – FROM SHOPS TO WAREHOUSES Market Overview • Online retailing requires 3x more warehouse space than traditional retailing • In May 2020 online sales accounted for 33.4% of all retail sales. • Between the peak in 2008 and 2019 the number of jobs in the retail sector has declined by 9% The decline of the retail sector1 3,700,000 1 35% 0.9 Online Sales as a % of All Retail Sales 3,600,000 30% 0.8 3,500,000 25% Number of Retail Jobs 0.7 0.6 3,400,000 20% 0.5 3,300,000 0.4 15% 10% 0.3 3,200,000 0.2 3,100,000 5% 0.1 3,000,000 0 0% Number of Retail Jobs Online Sales as a Percentage of Total Retail Sales 1. https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/timeseries/ms6y/ 10
CASE STUDY – STUDENT ACCOMMODATION Market Overview – London • New supply is constrained due to land scarcity and planning complexity • The total number of students in the UK is 2.3 million1 • London has the largest student population in the UK with c.400,000 students1 • The total number of international students in the UK is currently at a high of c.450,0001 Demand and Supply for Student Accommodation in London1 450,000 400,000 350,000 International students 300,000 250,000 Domestic postgraduates 200,000 150,000 Domestic Pipeline 100,000 undergraduates Private halls 50,000 University halls of residence - Demand Supply 1. Higher Education Statistics Agency, KF Research 11
CASE STUDY – GP SURGERIES Market Overview • In 2018, there were c.12m people over the age of 65 in the UK • This is expected to grow to c.14.9m by 20281 • 65+ year olds are 3x more likely to visit their local GP surgery than those under 35 Number of people in the UK over the age of 65 16,000 15,000 14,000 (000s) 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 1. Office for National Statistics 12
Introduction to The Fund 13
FUND OVERVIEW & OBJECTIVES Key Information Objectives • The VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund (the “Fund”) is • Deliver real estate like returns with daily liquidity. a NURS OEIC with PAIF status1. • Achieve capital appreciation over the course of • Distributions can be paid gross to ISA and SIPP market cycles2. holders and are made net of the basic rate of income • Target cash yield of 4% p.a. after charges. tax to individuals. • Inflation-linked characteristics. • Corporate holders are entitled to receive gross distributions. • Capped fund charges of 0.7% with no additional ongoing charges3. • Charges taken from capital. 1 Non UCITs Retail Scheme (NURS), which is an Open Ended Investment Company (OEIC) and has Property Authorised Investment Fund (PAIF) status 2 We expect this to be a period of 7 years 3 The OCF (Ongoing Charges Figure) for all share classes is capped at the AMC (Annual Management Charge) and any costs in excess of the OCF/AMC are paid by the Investment Adviser. 14
FUND GUIDELINES AND CHARACTERISTICS Limits within which the Fund is managed • In line with the existing Gravis funds, the new fund is expected to deliver low volatility, dependable cashflows, regular income of 4% paid quarterly and capped charges to be taken from capital. • Investors can benefit from the tax efficient structure of REITs, as income is delivered in the form of Property Income Distributions (PIDs). • Exposure to best-in-class specialist managers selected by Gravis, the Investment Adviser Wider Limits − Minimum of 16 holdings − Subject to NURS / PAIF regulations − Maximum holding 9.5% − Minimal exposure to retail − No shorting of stock − No leverage at fund level − No stock lending 15
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY AND SECURITY SELECTION PROCESS FACTORS DRIVING INVESTMENT DECISIONS • The fund will invest in a broad range of GBP denominated, LSE listed property securities Yield sustainability • Focus on the stability and security of cashflows Cashflow Credibility of dependability/ management team • Diversification through exposure to all UK REIT visibility classifications, with the exception of retail • The fund is actively managed with a view to maximising Inflation hedging Low relative volatility returns whilst keeping costs to a minimum. The fund will characteristics offer daily liquidity Size/daily liquidity Valuation Minimal retail investment 16
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY AND SECURITY SELECTION PROCESS The Fund Adviser takes a holistic approach to investment process, combining sector know-how and risk awareness ensuring investors’ needs are prioritised. FUND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVE MANAGEMENT The fund is constructed to ensure & COST AWARENESS diversification across the UK listed The fund avoids aggressive trading real estate sector. The Fund Adviser and seeks opportunities to minimise makes security selections based on the entry price in underlying extensive knowledge of the holdings by participating in investible universe. appropriate capital raising opportunities. RISK MANAGEMENT Risk is mitigated by diversifying across real estate sub-sectors and focusing on higher quality companies with relatively low leverage. The Fund Adviser closely monitors sector developments and performance at an asset level utilising Gravis expertise. INVESTOR OUTCOMES The Fund Adviser seeks to deliver dependable and secure quarterly income and capital appreciation in real terms over the course of market cycles. 17
LIQUIDITY Provided below is a breakdown of the universe for the VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund UK Real Estate 80+ Listed Companies >£80bn combined market cap Excluding Retail 70+ Listed Companies >£70bn combined market cap Liquid & Tradable 45+ Listed Companies >£50bn combined market cap >£80mn average daily volume VT Gravis UK Listed Property 20+ Investments 18
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO - SAMPLE The fund invests in multiple REITs, which own or invest in a diversified pool of properties VT GRAVIS UK LISTED PROPERTY FUND Portfolio of REITs & REOCs Primary Health Great Portland Impact Healthcare Segro Derwent London Unite Group Tritax Big Box Properties Estates 73 properties 131 properties 86 properties 125 properties 56 properties 484 properties 47 properties > 5,000 individual properties* > 100,000 individual tenants* * Gravis Advisory Limited/Company Data 19
LEASE LENGTHS AND RENT PROFILES - SAMPLE Portfolio average WAULT 8.5yrs 100% 100% 65% 35% 54% 46% % of rent Open Market Income 100% Contractual Income RPI-linked Income 100% Hybrid 49% 51% 68% 7% 25% 37% 11% 45% 7% 98% 2% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Weighted Average Unexpired Lease Term (WAULT) WAULT and rent profile data taken from Company Data and/or Investor Relations 20
ENERGY PERFORMANCE CERTIFICATE (EPC) ANALYSIS – SAMPLE Obsolescence Risk Reduced 38% Commercial property rated EPC A-C (England and Wales)* 98% 2% 100% 61% 39% 72% 28% 46% 54% 51% 49% 68% 32% 73% 27% 76% 24% 80% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% EPC A-C EPC D-G Asset EPC Data taken from Company Data and/or Investor Relations *England, Wales commercial property ratings sourced from HM Government 21
PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS & TOP 10 HOLDINGS Portfolio as at 31 July 2020 Company Holding Sector Breakdown Segro Plc 8.92% Industrial & Logistics 32.4% Unite Group Plc Housing & Accom 22.5% 7.60% Healthcare 17.0% Tritax Big Box REIT Plc 7.57% Office 10.6% Grainger Plc Self storage 10.0% 7.56% Diversified 5.0% Assura Plc 6.35% Cash 2.5% Primary Health Properties Plc 5.53% Safestore Holdings Plc 5.13% Londonmetric Property Plc 5.09% GCP Student Living Plc 4.99% Big Yellow Group Plc 4.88% 22
Appendix 23
REITS ARE REAL ESTATE REITs correlate more with real estate than equities over the medium-term The listed real estate “asset class does generally improve UK[aReal multi-asset] Estate portfolio’s risk-return characteristics.” 1 80+ Listed Companies >£80bn combined market cap The benefits of holding REITs within a multi-asset portfolio “tend to increase with longer holding periods”1 Excluding Retail The “correlation between listed and direct real estate 70+ increases with time horizon, Listed Companies while the correlation between listed real estate and>£70bn stocks declines” 2 combined market cap U.K. REITs versus direct real estate2 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Listed Unlevered Direct 1. ‘Listed real estate in a multi-asset portfolio: A European perspective’ ,Lloyd Barton, Michiel Tukker and Padmasai Varanasi, Oxford Economics and EPRA Research, September 2019 2. ‘Does listed real estate behave like direct real estate?’, Martin Hoesli and Elias Oikarinen, EPRA Research, December 2019. Direct real estate is MSCI index. Listed index is FTSE EPRA NAREIT. https://prodapp.epra.com/media/Does_listed_real_estate_behave_like_direct_real_estate_updated_and_broader_evidence_1579519010027.pdf 24
4 YEAR PERFORMANCE – SIMULATED PORTFOLIO 4yr performance from 31 October 2015 to 31 October 2019 Simulated Portfolio vs MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate vs MSCI UK (Total Return after charges) 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Oct 15 Apr 16 Oct 16 Apr 17 Oct 17 Apr 18 Oct 18 Apr 19 Oct 19 MSCI UK in GBP (Total Return) MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate in GBP (Total Return) Simulated Portfolio (Total Return) Hypothetical past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Simulated performance is after charges of 0.7% 25
4 YEAR RISK & REWARD – SIMULATED PORTFOLIO 4yr returns and volatility from 31 October 2015 to 31 October 2019 45 GULP (simulated Average 4yr Volatility – 14.60% portfolio) 40 35 MSCI UK GBP 30 Return (%) 25 20 Average 4yr Return – 18.94% 15 10 MSCI UK IMI Core Real 5 Estate GBP 0 iShares UK Property -5 ETF GBP 0 5 10 15 20 25 Volatility (%) Simulated Portfolio vs MSCI UK vs MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate vs iShares UK Property ETF 4yr Total Return 4yr Volatility 12 Month Yield Simulated Portfolio 41.65% 10.88% 3.73% MSCI UK GBP 33.01% 13.03% 4.43% iShares UK Property ETF GBP 0.31% 16.81% 3.02% MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate GBP 0.79% 17.66% 3.64% Hypothetical past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Simulated performance is after charges of 0.7% 26
ACTIVE MANAGEMENT- MINIMISING COSTS Since inception on 31 October 2019, the fund has made savings of 48bps by participating in placing programmes UK Real Estate 80+ Listed Companies % GULP Discount to Announcement Commission market cap Stamp duty Saving at fund invested>£80bn in combined undisturbed date saving saving level placing price Impact Healthcare 06/11/2019 1.5% 0.05% 0.50% -1.82% 0.04% REIT GCP Student 19/12/2019 3.1% 0.05% 0.50% -6.25% 0.21% Living Urban Logistics 10/02/2020 3.3% 0.05% 0.50% -4.96% 0.18% Unite Group 24/06/2020 0.4% 0.05% 0.50% -3.06% 0.01% Primary Health 09/07/2020 0.8% 0.05% 0.50% -5.23% 0.04% Properties Inception to date 0.48% Data as at 31 July 2020 27
GRAVIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT - HISTORY Gravis Timeline • Since launching its first product (GCP Infra) in 2010, Gravis has grown to c.£3.3bn of AUM in three closed-ended funds and three open-ended funds. • Gravis has launched a range of funds focused on secure, dependable income and low volatility 2008-10 2013 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 • Gravis was • Launched the • Launched GCP • Launched first • GCP LLP • Phil Kent • Matthew Norris founded in UK’s first REIT Asset Backed OEIC investing in becomes Gravis became lead joined as fund 2008 by six investing in listed Capital manager of manager for partners. student infrastructure, Management GCP Infra Gravis UK listed accommodation, Gravis UK Infra Ltd Property • 2010, launched the first UK GCP Student • Phil Kent joined • William Argent • Gravis launch listed fund, • David Conlon as a Director joined as a fund third OEIC, investing in UK joined Gravis as manager for Gravis UK Listed • Nick Barker Gravis UK Infra infrastructure a director Property £3262m joined as a and Gravis debt, GCP Infra 3098m Director and Co- Clean Energy Lead Manager of GCP Student • Launched £2699m second OEIC at the end of 2017, Gravis Clean Energy £2157m £1677m £1053m £674m £522m £266m £111m £40m Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 28
KEY TERMS VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund Fund Size (31/05/2020) £26.74m Target Dividend Yield 4% Inflation Protection Yes Share Classes Income & Accumulation Minimum Investment £100 Capped fund operating charges 0.7% Launch Price (31/10/2019) £1 Valuation and trading Daily 12pm Investment Association Sector Property Other Holdings London Stock Exchange Listed Securities, Real Estate Investment Trusts, Bonds & Closed ended funds exposed to REITs Number of holdings 22 Distributions Quarterly (payable 1 month in arrears) Classification Non-complex £ ISINs & SEDOLs Main Share Class Feeder £ Acc GB00BK8VW755 / BK8VW75 £ Acc GB00BKDZ8Y17 / BKDZ8Y1 £ Inc GB00BK8VW532 / BK8VW53 £ Inc GB00BKDZ8V85 / BKDZ8V8 $ Acc GB00BK8VYN55 / BK8VYN5 $ Acc GB00BKDZ9049 / BKDZ904 $ Inc GB00BK8VMH57 / BK8VMH5 $ Inc GB00BKDZ8X00 / BKDZ8X0 € Acc GB00BK8VW862 / BK8VW86 € Acc GB00BKDZ8Z24 / BKDZ8Z2 € Inc GB00BK8VW649 / BK8VW64 € Inc GB00BKDZ8W92 / BKDZ8W9 *The OCF (Ongoing Charges Figure) for all share classes is capped at the AMC (Annual Management Charge) and any costs in excess of the OCF/AMC are paid by the Investment Adviser. 29
PLATFORMS & WRAPPERS Available on the following platforms Suitable for Aegon Old Mutual Direct investors AJ Bell Pershing SIPPs Allfunds Raymond James ISAs Ascentric Sanlam Charities Aviva Standard Life Companies Barclays Standard Life / Elevate CoFunds Transact Fidelity Funds Network Zurich FNZ Hargreaves Lansdown Hubwise Interactive Investor James Hay Novia Nucleus 30
CONTACT INFORMATION Investment Manager and Dealing Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited Valu-Trac Dealing 01343 880217 01343 880344 Investment Adviser Matthew Norris Fund Adviser 020 3405 8553 matthew.norris@graviscapital.com Nick Barker Director & Fund Adviser 020 3405 8507 nick.barker@graviscapital.com Distribution William MacLeod Managing Director 07836 695442 william.macleod@graviscapital.com Ollie Matthews Sales Director 07787 415151 ollie.matthews@graviscapital.com Robin Shepherd Sales Director 07971 836433 robin.shepherd@graviscapital.com Nick Winder Sales Director 07548 614184 nick.winder@graviscapital.com Cameron Gardner Sales Manager 07835142763 cameron.gardner@graviscapital.com 31
INVESTMENT AND DISTRIBUTION Investment Manager Investment Advisor Distribution Valu-Trac Investment Management Ltd. Gravis Advisory Ltd. Gravis Advisory Ltd. i. Valu-Trac Investment Management i. Gravis Advisory Limited is owned and i. The team of four consultants has Limited was established as an managed by Gravis Capital assisted in raising over £3bn since authorised investment manager in Management Ltd (‘Gravis’). launch in 2009. 1989. ii. Gravis was established in May 2008 ii. The team has raised new capital for ii. Valu-Trac Investment Management as a specialist investor in IPOs, and further capital raising Limited launched Valu-Trac infrastructure and now manages c. through C share offerings and Administration Services in 2010, to £3.bn of assets in the UK. Placing Programs, UCIS Funds, provide Authorised Corporate iii. Funds under management include UCITS funds, UK OEICs, VCTs and Director (ACD) and administration the FTSE 250 company GCP. Private Equity. services to UK regulated funds and Infrastructure Investments Limited, iii. The team has combined experience their delegated investment which has invested over £1bn in UK of over 80 years in the UK. managers. infrastructure, and GCP Student iii. Valu-Trac Investment Management Living Plc which has invested over Limited, as ACD, administers over £1bn in UK student accommodation. £6.88bn of assets under iv. Gravis Advisory Limited is a management. subsidiary of Gravis Capital iv. Valu-Trac Investment Management Management and is Investment Limited employs 62 staff and has Adviser to the Fund. offices in the North of Scotland and London. 32
IMPORTANT NOTICE WARNING: The information in this Report is presented by Valu-Trac using all The information provided is "as is" without any express or implied warranty of reasonable skill, care and diligence and has been obtained from or is based on any kind including warranties of merchantability, non-infringement of intellectual third party sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to its property, or fitness for any purpose. Because some jurisdictions prohibit the accuracy, completeness or timeliness, nor is it a complete statement or exclusion or limitation of liability for consequential or incidental damages, the summary of any securities, markets or developments referred to. The above limitation may not information within this Report should not be regarded by recipients as a apply to you. substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. Users are therefore warned not to rely exclusively on the comments or The information in this Report has no regard to the specific investment conclusions within the Report but to carry out their own due diligence before objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient and is making their own decisions. published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial Unless otherwise stated Equity Market price indices used within this publication instruments. In the absence of detailed information about you, your are sourced or derived from data supplied by MSCI Inc 2020. circumstances or your investment portfolio, the information does not in any way constitute investment advice. If you have any doubt about any of the Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited and its affiliated companies, information presented, please consult your stockbroker, accountant, bank employees of Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited and its affiliated manager or other independent financial advisor. companies, or individuals connected to them, may have or have had interests of long or short positions in, and may at any time make purchases and/or sales as Value of investments can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the principal or agent in, the relevant securities or related financial instruments amount you have invested. Income from an investment may fluctuate in money discussed in this Report. terms. If the investment involves exposure to a currency other than that in which acquisitions of the investments are invited, changes in the rates of © 2020 Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited. Authorised and regulated by exchange may cause the value of the investment to go up or down. Past the Financial Conduct Authority (UK), registration number 145168. This status performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. can be checked with the FCA on 0800 111 6768 or on the FCA website (UK). All rights reserved. No part of this Report may be reproduced or distributed in any The hypothetical performance measurements are illustrative only and offer no manner without the written permission of Valu-Trac Investment Management guarantee of future performance, profitable or unprofitable, actual or Limited. Valu-Trac™ is a registered trademark. theoretical. Since hypothetical performance measurements do not represent actual trading they may not reflect the impact that material economic or market factors might have made on a portfolio manager’s decisions were the portfolio manager actually managing a client’s money. Any opinions expressed in this Report are subject to change without notice and Valu-Trac is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Sources for all tables and graphs herein are Valu-Trac unless otherwise indicated. 33
INVESTMENT IDEAS FOR THE LONG RUN
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