VT GRAVIS UK LISTED PROPERTY FUND - UK LISTED PROPERTY CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE - Gravis Capital Management
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CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE UK LISTED PROPERTY VT GRAVIS UK LISTED PROPERTY FUND February 2020 1
Contents 4 The UK property sector 11 Introduction to The Fund 20 Characteristics of The Fund 27 Appendix 2
FUND INVESTMENT TEAM The investment advisers to the Fund Matthew Norris CFA - Director of Real Estate & Fund Adviser Nick Barker - Strategic Adviser to the Fund Matthew has more than two decades investment management Nick is a director of Gravis and is the lead manager of GCP experience and has a specialist focus on real estate securities. Student Living plc. He served as an Executive Director of Grosvenor Europe where he Nick joined Gravis from Schroders where he worked for eight was responsible for global real estate securities strategies. He years, ultimately as head of alternatives for the real estate joined Grosvenor following roles managing equity funds at Fulcrum business and a member of the fund management team for the Asset Management and Buttonwood Capital Partners. Prior to that Schroder UK Real Estate Fund. Nick has over sixteen years he worked within the equity research department for Credit Suisse. investment experience having previously also worked at Matthew holds a BA (Hons) degree in Economics & Politics from Cushman & Wakefield and JLL. the University of York, the Investment Management Certificate and Nick graduated from the University of Reading with a degree in is a CFA charterholder. Investment & Finance in Property. Nick is also a Member of the He also provides expert input to research projects run by EPRA, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. which focus on the importance of emergent real estate sectors. 020 3405 8553 020 3405 8521 matthew.norris@graviscapital.com nick.barker@graviscapital.com 3
THE UK PROPERTY SECTOR Key facts Size of the investible UK Property Market (£'bn) UK property market1 1400 • £8.7 trillion total value of UK property • £2.1 trillion value of the investible UK property 1200 • £512 billion of this was invested by professional investors and investment vehicles 1000 Institutional Quality Real Estate • The sector has grown in value by 6.0% per annum over the last 30 years Real Estate Stock 800 600 400 200 0 1. The Size & Structure of the UK Property Market: Year-End 2018 Update (December 2019) - IPF 5
ASSET CLASS RETURNS 10 year annualised return by asset class (31.12.09 – 31.12.19)1 12% 10% 9.73% 9.62% 8.28% 8% 7.39% 6% 5.37% 5.30% 4% 2.93% 2% UK Retail REITs 0% Corporate Bonds All UK REITs All 10y GBP Gilt UK Equities Gold (£) IA UK Direct Inflation UK BBB (incl retail) Property* -2% -2.61% -4% 1. Data (excl. IA UK Direct Property) – Bloomberg L.P. * IA UK Direct Property – FE Analytics 6
RETAIL A timeline of various retail companies that have faced administration over recent years Prior to 2015 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1. http://www.retailresearch.org/whosegonebust.php 7
CASE STUDY – FROM SHOPS TO WAREHOUSES Market Overview • Online retailing requires 3x more warehouse space than traditional retailing • In 2019 online sales accounted for 20% of all retail sales. • Between 2008 and 2019 the number of jobs in the retail sector has declined by 9% The decline of the retail sector1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 3,550,000 25% 3,500,000 Online Sales as % of All Retail Sales 3,450,000 20% Number of Retail Jobs (UK) 3,400,000 3,350,000 15% 3,300,000 3,250,000 10% 3,200,000 3,150,000 5% 3,100,000 3,050,000 3,000,000 0% Number of Retail Jobs (UK) Online Sales as % of Retail Sales (UK) 1. https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/timeseries/ms6y/ 8
LISTED PROPERTY SECURITY RETURNS Listed property securities have produced consistent, Share Price Total Return (%)1 150 attractive historic returns Over the last ten years, closed ended UK direct property funds have delivered1: 100 • total shareholder returns of 110% • an average dividend yield of 4.9% 50 Long-term performance has been driven by: • structural benefits (e.g. no or limited cash drag) 0 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years • superior quality assets Open Ended Funds Closed Ended Funds • expertise of managers Historic Yield • specialist and alternative property sectors 7 6 5 4 Yield % 3 2 1 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Open Ended yield Closed Ended yield 1.Source: AIC/Morningstar. Unweighted averages of all funds in relevant sectors (IA UK Direct Property vs AIC Commercial Property). Total return in % to 30/08/19. * Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance 9
BENEFITS OF REITS The benefits of investing in REITs: REITs are structurally suited to provide liquid access to an illiquid asset class. They are able to focus on long term portfolio returns rather than provision of short term liquidity. Real Estate Investment Trusts Open Ended Funds Structure Closed ended funds, listed on LSE Open ended funds, unlisted Investment focus Increasingly specialist Generalist Investor entry / exit Buy / sell shares on LSE Company issues / redeems units / gating / swing pricing / spread Impact of day to day investor entry / None Rising and falling cash balance and share capital exit on fund management Cash required to manage day to day Do not hold material cash balances – can Yes, c.20% to manage redemptions remain fully invested investor liquidity Impact of extreme investor exit Likely share price fall, potential to trade In event of insufficient cash, gating of below NAV investors, forced sale of assets at potentially unfavourable pricing Gearing c.20% - able to enhance returns through 0% appropriate leverage Appropriate for illiquid assets Yes, while offering daily liquidity Not according to the FCA1 1. https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/consultation/cp18-27.pdf 10
Introduction to The Fund 11
THE FUND Key Information Objectives • The VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund (the “Fund”) • To achieve capital appreciation over the course of is a NURS OEIC with PAIF status1. market cycles2. • Distributions are paid gross to ISA, SIPP and • Target cash yield of 4% p.a. after charges. Offshore Bond holders and are made net of the basic • Capped fund charges of 0.7% with no additional rate of income tax to individuals. ongoing charges3. • Corporate holders are entitled to receive gross • Charges taken from capital. distributions. • Provide inflation-linked characteristics. 1 Non UCITs Retail Scheme (NURS), which is an Open Ended Investment Company (OEIC) and has Property Authorised Investment Fund (PAIF) status 2 We expect this to be a period of 7 years 3 The OCF (Ongoing Charges Figure) for all share classes is capped at the AMC (Annual Management Charge) and any costs in excess of the OCF/AMC are paid by the Investment Adviser. 12
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY AND SECURITY SELECTION PROCESS FACTORS DRIVING INVESTMENT DECISIONS • The fund will invest in a broad range of GBP denominated, LSE listed property securities Yield sustainability • Focus on the stability and security of cashflows Cashflow Credibility of dependability/ management team • Diversification through exposure to all UK REIT visibility classifications, with the exception of retail • The fund is actively managed with a view to maximising Inflation hedging Low relative volatility returns whilst keeping costs to a minimum. The fund will characteristics offer daily liquidity Size/daily liquidity Valuation Minimal retail investment 13
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY AND SECURITY SELECTION PROCESS The Fund Adviser takes a holistic approach to investment process, combining sector know-how and risk awareness ensuring investors’ needs are prioritised. FUND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVE MANAGEMENT The fund is constructed to ensure & COST AWARENESS diversification across the UK Listed The fund does not require aggressive Real Estate sector. The Fund Adviser trading. The Fund Adviser seeks makes security selections based on opportunities to minimise the entry extensive knowledge of the price in each underlying holdings by investible universe. participating in appropriate capital raising opportunities. RISK MANAGEMENT Risk is mitigated by diversifying across real estate sub-sectors and focusing on higher quality companies with relatively low leverage. The Fund Adviser closely monitors sector developments and performance at an asset level utilising Gravis expertise. INVESTOR OUTCOMES The Fund Adviser seeks to deliver dependable and secure quarterly income and capital appreciation in real terms over the course of market cycles. 14
KEY TRENDS There are five key themes in the real estate sector; ageing population, digitisation, urbanisation, generation rent and changing consumer behaviour. PROPERTY TRENDS Changing Consumer Ageing Population Digitisation Urbanisation Generation Rent Behaviour Healthcare Alternative Industrial & Commercial Housing & Retail Logistics Accommodation GP Surgery Industrial PRS Shopping Centers Self Storage Office Pharmacies Logistics Student Department Stores Residential Care High Street 15
LIQUIDITY Provided below is a breakdown of the universe for the VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund UK Real Estate 80+ Listed Companies >£80bn combined market cap Excluding Retail 70+ Listed Companies >£70bn combined market cap Liquid & Tradable 45+ Listed Companies >£50bn combined market cap >£80mn average daily volume VT Gravis UK Listed Property 20+ Investments 16
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO - Sample The fund invests in multiple REITs, which own or invest in a diversified pool of properties VT GRAVIS UK LISTED PROPERTY FUND Portfolio of REITs & REOCs Primary Health Great Portland Impact Healthcare Segro Derwent London Unite Group Tritax Big Box Properties Estates 73 properties 131 properties 86 properties 125 properties 56 properties 484 properties 47 properties > 5,000 individual properties* > 100,000 individual tenants* * Gravis Advisory Limited/Company Data 17
LEASE LENGTHS AND RENT PROFILES - Sample Portfolio average WAULT 8.5yrs 100% 100% 65% 35% 54% 46% % of rent Open Market Income 100% Contractual Income RPI-linked Income 100% Hybrid 49% 51% 68% 7% 25% 37% 11% 45% 7% 98% 2% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 WAULT and rent profile data taken from Company Data Weighted Average Unexpired Lease Term (WAULT) and/or Investor Relations 18
ENERGY PERFORMANCE CERTIFICATE (EPC) ANALYSIS – Sample Obsolescence Risk Reduced 38% Commercial property rated EPC A-C (England and Wales)* 98% 2% 100% 61% 39% 72% 28% 46% 54% 51% 49% 68% 32% 73% 27% 76% 24% 80% 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% EPC A-C EPC D-G Asset EPC Data taken from Company Data and/or Investor Relations *England, Wales commercial property ratings sourced from HM Government 19
Characteristics of The Fund 20
FUND GUIDELINES AND CHARACTERISTICS Limits within which the Fund is managed • In line with the existing Gravis funds, the new fund is expected to deliver low volatility, dependable cashflows, regular income of 4% paid quarterly and capped charges to be taken from capital. • Investors can benefit from the tax efficient structure of REITs, as income is delivered in the form of Property Income Distributions (PIDs). • Exposure to best-in-class specialist managers selected by Gravis, the Investment Adviser Wider Limits − Minimum of 16 holdings − Subject to NURS / PAIF regulations − Maximum holding 9.5% − Minimal exposure to retail − No shorting of stock − No leverage at fund level − No stock lending 21
REAL ESTATE UNIVERSE 22
PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS & TOP 10 HOLDINGS Portfolio as at 31 January 2020 Company Holding Sector Breakdown SEGRO PLC 7.76% Tritax Big Box REIT PLC 7.57% Industrial & Logistics 25.2% Unite Group PLC 7.33% Housing & Accom 17.5% Healthcare 14.4% Workspace Group PLC 5.22% Office 12.4% Cash 8.0% Warehouse REIT PLC 5.10% Diversified 12.5% Safestore Holdings PLC 5.06% Self Storage 10.0% Assura PLC 5.05% Secure Income REIT Plc 4.99% Grainger PLC 4.96% Big Yellow Group PLC 4.92% 23
4 YEAR PERFORMANCE – SIMULATED PORTFOLIO 4yr performance from 31 October 2015 to 31 October 2019 Simulated Portfolio vs MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate vs MSCI UK (Total Return after charges) 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Oct 15 Apr 16 Oct 16 Apr 17 Oct 17 Apr 18 Oct 18 Apr 19 Oct 19 MSCI UK in GBP (Total Return) MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate in GBP (Total Return) Simulated Portfolio (Total Return) Hypothetical past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Simulated performance is after charges of 0.7% 24
4 YEAR RISK & REWARD – SIMULATED PORTFOLIO 4yr returns and volatility from 31 October 2015 to 31 October 2019 45 GULP (simulated Average 4yr Volatility – 14.60% portfolio) 40 35 MSCI UK GBP 30 Return (%) 25 20 Average 4yr Return – 18.94% 15 10 MSCI UK IMI Core Real 5 Estate GBP 0 iShares UK Property -5 ETF GBP 0 5 10 15 20 25 Volatility (%) Simulated Portfolio vs MSCI UK vs MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate vs iShares UK Property ETF 4yr Total Return 4yr Volatility 12 Month Yield Simulated Portfolio 41.65% 10.88% 3.73% MSCI UK GBP 33.01% 13.03% 4.43% iShares UK Property ETF GBP 0.31% 16.81% 3.02% MSCI UK IMI Core Real Estate GBP 0.79% 17.66% 0.93 Hypothetical past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Simulated performance is after charges of 0.7% 25
KEY TERMS VT Gravis UK Listed Property Fund Fund Size (31/1/2020) £24.81m Target Dividend Yield 4% Inflation Protection Yes Share Classes Income & Accumulation Minimum Investment £100 Capped fund operating charges 0.7% Launch Price (31/10/2019) £1 Valuation and trading Daily 12pm Investment Association Sector Property Other Holdings London Stock Exchange Listed Securities, Real Estate Investment Trusts, Bonds & Closed ended funds exposed to REITs Number of holdings 22 Distributions Quarterly (payable 1 month in arrears) Classification Non-complex £ ISINs & SEDOLs Main Share Class Feeder £ Acc GB00BK8VW755 / BK8VW75 £ Acc GB00BKDZ8Y17 / BKDZ8Y1 £ Inc GB00BK8VW532 / BK8VW53 £ Inc GB00BKDZ8V85 / BKDZ8V8 $ Acc GB00BK8VYN55 / BK8VYN5 $ Acc GB00BKDZ9049 / BKDZ904 $ Inc GB00BK8VMH57 / BK8VMH5 $ Inc GB00BKDZ8X00 / BKDZ8X0 € Acc GB00BK8VW862 / BK8VW86 € Acc GB00BKDZ8Z24 / BKDZ8Z2 € Inc GB00BK8VW649 / BK8VW64 € Inc GB00BKDZ8W92 / BKDZ8W9 *The OCF (Ongoing Charges Figure) for all share classes is capped at the AMC (Annual Management Charge) and any costs in excess of the OCF/AMC are paid by the Investment Adviser. 26
Appendix 27
CASE STUDY – STUDENT ACCOMMODATION Market Overview – London • Supply is constrained due to land availability, planning tax, infrastructure levy • Potential for development of new schemes in London remains low • London has the largest international student population in the UK with over 100,000 students1 • The total number of international students in the UK is currently at a high of c.450,0001 Demand and Supply for Student Accommodation in London1 450,000 400,000 350,000 International students 300,000 250,000 Domestic postgraduates 200,000 150,000 Domestic Pipeline 100,000 undergraduates Private halls 50,000 University halls of residence - Demand Supply 1. Higher Education Statistics Agency, KF Research 28
RESPONSE TO STRESS: FUNDS GATED 3 MONTHS POST EU REFERENDUM Open-ended direct UK property funds – September 2016 Fund still gated 59.9% (3 months after Referendum) Lifting of suspension pending 4.7% Price adjustment still in effect 12.3% Price adjustment now removed 21.1% No action taken 2.1% During Periods of Stress Directly Invested open-ended structures Closed-ended Structures (e.g. REITs) Trading May be suspended Continuous Price Pricing adjustments may be imposed Discount likely to widen Assets need not be sold (and assets can be Effect on Portfolio Assets need to be sold bought if attractive) AIC – September 2016 29
GRAVIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT - HISTORY Gravis Timeline • Since launching its first product (GCP Infra) in 2010, Gravis has grown to c.£3.2bn of AUM in three closed-ended funds and three open-ended funds. • Gravis has launched a range of funds focused on secure, dependable income and low volatility 2008-10 2013 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 • Gravis was • Launched the • Launched GCP • Launched first • GCP LLP • Phil Kent • Gravis launch founded in 2008 UK’s first REIT Asset Backed OEIC investing in becomes Gravis became lead third OEIC, by six partners. investing in listed Capital manager of Gravis UK Listed • 2010, launched student infrastructure, Management Ltd GCP Infra Property the first UK accommodation, Gravis UK Infra • William Argent listed fund, GCP Student • Phil Kent joined joined as a fund investing in UK • David Conlon as a Director manager for infrastructure joined Gravis as Gravis UK Infra £3187m • Nick Barker debt, GCP Infra a director and Gravis Clean joined as a Energy Director and Co- £2699m Lead Manager of • Launched second GCP Student OEIC at the end of 2017, Gravis Clean Energy £2157m £1677m £1053m £674m £522m £266m £111m £40m Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Dec-19 30
PLATFORMS & WRAPPERS Available on the following platforms Suitable for Aegon Direct investors AJ Bell SIPPs Ascentric ISAs Aviva Charities CoFunds Offshore bonds Fidelity Companies Funds Network Hargreaves Lansdown James Hay Novia Nucleus Old Mutual Pershing Raymond James Sanlam Standard Life Standard Life Elevate Transact Zurich 31
CONTACT INFORMATION Investment Manager and Dealing Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited Valu-Trac Dealing 01343 880217 01343 880344 Investment Adviser Matthew Norris Fund Adviser 020 3405 8553 matthew.norris@graviscapital.com Nick Barker Director & Fund Adviser 020 3405 8507 nick.barker@graviscapital.com Distribution William MacLeod Managing Director 07836 695442 william.macleod@graviscapital.com Ollie Matthews Sales Director 07787 415151 ollie.matthews@graviscapital.com Robin Shepherd Sales Director 07971 836433 robin.shepherd@graviscapital.com Nick Winder Sales Director 07548 614184 nick.winder@graviscapital.com Cameron Gardner Sales Manager 07835142763 cameron.gardner@graviscapital.com 32
INVESTMENT AND DISTRIBUTION Investment Manager Investment Advisor Distribution Valu-Trac Investment Management Ltd. Gravis Advisory Ltd. Gravis Advisory Ltd. i. Valu-Trac Investment Management i. Gravis Advisory Limited is owned i. The team of four consultants has Limited was established as an and managed by Gravis Capital assisted in raising over £2bn since authorised investment manager in Management Ltd (‘Gravis’). launch in 2009. 1989. ii. Gravis was established in May 2008 ii. The team has raised new capital for ii. Valu-Trac Investment Management as a specialist investor in IPOs, and further capital raising Limited launched Valu-Trac infrastructure and now manages c. through C share offerings and Administration Services in 2010, to £3.2bn of assets in the UK. Placing Programs, UCIS Funds, provide Authorised Corporate iii. Funds under management include UCITS funds, UK OEICs, VCTs and Director (ACD) and administration the FTSE 250 company GCP. Private Equity. services to UK regulated funds and Infrastructure Investments Limited, iii. The team has combined experience their delegated investment which has invested over £1bn in UK of over 80 years in the UK. managers. infrastructure, and GCP Student iii. Valu-Trac Investment Management Living Plc which has invested over Limited, as ACD, administers over £1bn in UK student accommodation. £6.57bn of assets under iv. Gravis Advisory Limited is a management. subsidiary of Gravis Capital iv. Valu-Trac Investment Management Management and is Investment Limited employs 55 staff and has Adviser to the Fund. offices in the North of Scotland and London. 33
IMPORTANT NOTICE WARNING: The information in this Report is presented by Valu-Trac using all The information provided is "as is" without any express or implied warranty of reasonable skill, care and diligence and has been obtained from or is based on any kind including warranties of merchantability, non-infringement of intellectual third party sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to its property, or fitness for any purpose. Because some jurisdictions prohibit the accuracy, completeness or timeliness, nor is it a complete statement or exclusion or limitation of liability for consequential or incidental damages, the summary of any securities, markets or developments referred to. The above limitation may not information within this Report should not be regarded by recipients as a apply to you. substitute for the exercise of their own judgement. Users are therefore warned not to rely exclusively on the comments or The information in this Report has no regard to the specific investment conclusions within the Report but to carry out their own due diligence before objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient and is making their own decisions. published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial Unless otherwise stated Equity Market price indices used within this publication instruments. In the absence of detailed information about you, your are sourced or derived from data supplied by MSCI Inc 2019. circumstances or your investment portfolio, the information does not in any way constitute investment advice. If you have any doubt about any of the Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited and its affiliated companies, information presented, please consult your stockbroker, accountant, bank employees of Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited and its affiliated manager or other independent financial advisor. companies, or individuals connected to them, may have or have had interests of long or short positions in, and may at any time make purchases and/or sales as Value of investments can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the principal or agent in, the relevant securities or related financial instruments amount you have invested. Income from an investment may fluctuate in money discussed in this Report. terms. If the investment involves exposure to a currency other than that in which acquisitions of the investments are invited, changes in the rates of © 2020 Valu-Trac Investment Management Limited. Authorised and regulated by exchange may cause the value of the investment to go up or down. Past the Financial Conduct Authority (UK), registration number 145168. This status performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. can be checked with the FCA on 0800 111 6768 or on the FCA website (UK). All rights reserved. No part of this Report may be reproduced or distributed in any The hypothetical performance measurements are illustrative only and offer no manner without the written permission of Valu-Trac Investment Management guarantee of future performance, profitable or unprofitable, actual or theoretical. Limited. Valu-Trac™ is a registered trademark. Since hypothetical performance measurements do not represent actual trading they may not reflect the impact that material economic or market factors might have made on a portfolio manager’s decisions were the portfolio manager actually managing a client’s money. Any opinions expressed in this Report are subject to change without notice and Valu-Trac is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Sources for all tables and graphs herein are Valu-Trac unless otherwise indicated. 34
INVESTMENT IDEAS FOR THE LONG RUN
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