EUROPEAN MARKET VIEW - LASALLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
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European Market View July 2020 EU RECOVERY FUND LIFTS ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR THE BLOCK, BUT RISKS AROUND SECOND COVID-19 WAVE REMAIN CONFIDENTIAL | FOR INTENDED RECIPIENTS ONLY & NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 1
Overview ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS • After months of discussion, EU leaders struck a deal on the Covid-19 recovery plan worth €750bn financed via EU-wide borrowing. The plan includes €390bn in grants alongside loans aimed to help suffering member states. • The move came on top of less negative readings of the economic sentiment indicator in June, which keeps rebounding from its April low. • Financial markets reacted positively to the announcement. Equity stocks rose in line with Southern European bond prices, resulting in the narrowest gap between 10-year Italian and German bond yields since March. • Growing confidence in the Eurozone economy aided by the recovery fund is also reflected in more positive GDP outlooks for member states from 2021 onwards. • Despite more positive news, risks around a second Covid-19 wave remain. The annualised EU-28 retail sales growth index turned negative for the first time since May 2010, highlighting ongoing difficulties experienced particularly in the retail and hospitality industry. REAL ESTATE • Q2 20 European rolling annual office take-up was down 19% y/y and 13% down q/q. This means that the vacancy rate increased for the first time in seven years to 5.4%, even though it is coming from a very low level of 5.2% in Q1 2020. At a regional level, demand suffered most in the UK and in Southern Europe and least in CEE countries. • Prime office rents across European countries held surprisingly steady in Q2 2020. Some exceptions were Paris, Hamburg and Stuttgart, where rents went up q/q, while London City and Oslo both saw rents decline. • Q2 2020 European prime property yields moved out most for retail warehouses (+31bps), followed by shopping centres and retail shops (each +20bps & +22bps). Industrial yields moved out by +8bps, while office yields were relatively stable. Much of the movement was driven by the UK, which saw the biggest q/q yield shift of +35bps. The outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) was declared by the World Health Organisation as a “global health emergency” on the 30th January 2020 and was then characterised as a pandemic in March 2020. COVID-19 has impacted global financial markets, severely restricted international trade and travel, disrupted business operations (in part or in their entirety) and negatively impacted most investment asset classes (including real estate (whether held directly or indirectly, or whether as a result of being a lender to owners of real estate)). As a result, conditions exist in the real estate markets that may result in value uncertainty and valuations are reported on the basis of significant valuation uncertainty or extraordinary assumptions related to the impact of COVID-19. This communication contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not descriptions of historical facts and include statements regarding management’s intentions, beliefs, expectations, research, market analysis, plans or predictions of the future. Because such statements include risks, uncertainties and contingencies, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 2
MACRO NEWS FLOW Europe is preparing for a second wave of Covid-19 EUROPEAN MACRO ENVIRONMENT Major News Real Estate Impact Upcoming Events - Europe is seeing an uptick in Coronavirus In a move to comply The Brexit cases, which many attribute to the easing of with the Paris negotiations between lockdown measures and to the start of the Agreement, France is the EU and the UK summer tourist season. preparing for a ban of are ongoing. The two - The UK and Germany introduced quarantine outdoor terrace pressure points measures on tourists returning from Spain heaters. The move remain fishing rights after renewed lockdown measures in several comes at a difficult and state subsidies. cities. Spain disapproved of the move fearing time for the Despite no real for its tourism sector. hospitality industry, agreement in sight, - Belgium announced curbs on social contact, during which most both parties are after cases had increased again this month. turnover is generated hopeful that they can - Poland ramped up its testing after a mining outdoors as people strike a deal by end region in the south was behind a record spike try to social distance. of October. in the country's confirmed coronavirus cases. Since mid-May the number of departures in European gateway Particularly in Spain, where more than 1mn people have lost cities turned from almost 0 to ~130 flights per day in Milan up to their jobs in Q2 2020, hopes were high that a surge in tourism ~300 flights in Paris. While this is good progress, it still only would spur an economic rebound during the summer months. reflects 30-50% relative to the 2019 avg. at max. Source: LaSalle (07/20), Oxford Economics (07/20), Financial Times (07/20), Reuters (07/20), Flight Tracker (07/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 3
ECONOMY GDP outlook lifted by EU recovery fund, but risks of second wave remain ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECASTS Forecast chg since 6m ago Upgraded Unchanged GDP growth [% p.a.] Downgraded 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 1.2 3.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.2 1.7 1.0 -3.0 -2.3 -4.0 -3.5 -5.0 -6.0 -4.7 -7.0 -6.1 -8.0 -9.0 -10.0 -9.3 -11.0 -10.2 -10.6 -10.9 -12.0 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 19 20 21 22 Sweden Poland Netherlands Germany Italy France Spain United Kingdom Source: Oxford Economics (01/20, 07/20), LaSalle (07/20) Note: Green boxes indicate upgraded forecast for the current year from 6 months earlier, grey unchanged within 10bps, red downgraded LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 4
ECONOMY Economic sentiment gradually recovering from its low in April ECONOMIC CLIMATE & SENTIMENT INDICATORS Economic sentiment indicator Eurozone business climate indicator [Monthly index] [Monthly index] Neutral = 100 Neutral = 100 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 Germany France Spain Netherlands UK Eurozone Source: Thomson Reuters (06/20), LaSalle (07/20) The business climate indicator indicates the phase of the business cycle LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 5
ECONOMY Sweden sees highest m/m rise in unemployment due to fewer summer jobs LABOUR MARKET Unemployment rate [%, as at May 2020] 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 Spain Sweden France Italy Eurozone Germany UK Netherlands Poland Czech Rep 12 months ago Current Low High Source: Thomson Reuters (05/19), LaSalle (07/20) High/low since January 2006; Spain’s highest unemployment rate @ 26.3% LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 6
ECONOMY Headline inflation picked up slightly from its four-year low to 0.3% INFLATION Eurozone CPI inflation CPI inflation forecasts [% y/y] [Avg 2020-21 % p.a. (as at July 2020)] 2.5 Italy 2.0 Spain Eurozone 1.5 United Kingdom 1.0 France 0.5 Sweden 0.0 Germany Netherlands -0.5 Poland -1.0 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 Headline Inflation Core Inflation Source: Eurostat (06/20), Oxford Economics (07/20), LaSalle (07/20) *Core inflation excludes certain items that face volatile price movements (energy, food, alcohol and tobacco) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 7
ECONOMY EU retail sales growth index negative in May for first time since 2010 CONSUMER CLIMATE Real private consumption growth forecasts EU-28 retail sales growth Avg 2020-23, % p.a. (as at July 2020) Annualised turnover index, % y/y 5 Czech Republic 4 Poland 3 Germany 2 United Kingdom 1 Sweden 0 Eurozone -1 France -2 Netherlands -3 Spain -4 Italy -5 May 08 May 10 May 12 May 14 May 16 May 18 May 20 0.0 1.0 2.0 Source: Eurostat (05/20), Oxford Economics (07/20), LaSalle (07/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 8
REAL ESTATE OCCUPIERS Cities with stronger E-REGI Index scores to see lesser rental declines E-REGI INDEX AND EUROPEAN PRIME OFFICE OUTLOOK E-REGI Rental Vacancy Rate 2019 Growth current vs Rank** 2020-24 2024* London WE 1 0.1% 6.2% (+56) 4 Paris Central 2 0.4%*** 6.3% (+110) Stockholm 4 0.4% 6.9% (+23) Munich 5 0.9% 1.9% (+304) Madrid 10 -0.3% 8.3% (+56) 32 Berlin 13 0.2% 2.0% (+362) 16 13 1 Barcelona 15 -0.6% 6.7% (+342) Amsterdam 16 0.2% 5.8% (+650) 19 2 Frankfurt 19 -0.1% 7.2% (+196) 5 Hamburg 32 0.1% 3.2% (+176) Milan 54 -0.3% 13.2% (+269) 54 *2024 vacancy number represented in bps change **Rank of 100 main European cities ***Paris CBD 10 15 Legend Weak Strong Map - E-REGI 2019 scores Tables – rent and vacancy E-REGI Ranking of selected cities Source: LaSalle (07/20), PMA (07/20) LaSalle’s E-REGI scores measure future potential of occupier demand based on various regional economic indicators. Current vacancy rate as at Q2 2020 where available, Q1 otherwise Colour coding for vacancy rates refers to current level relative to both own history and rest of Europe Current vacancy rates subject to revision LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 9
REAL ESTATE OCCUPIERS Prime All Property rental growth outlook -0.9% pa, dragged down by retail PRIME EUROPEAN ALL PROPERTY RENTAL GROWTH FORECASTS European prime rental growth forecasts [Avg 2020-24, % p.a.] 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 Offices Logistics Retail Germany France Netherlands Poland Spain Sweden Avg All Europe (ex UK) Source: LaSalle (05/20) Note: Segments are weighted by LaSalle/IPD estimates of investable universe Retail includes High Street Shops, Shopping Centres and Retail Warehouses, Logistics includes Urban Logistics and Motorway Logistics LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 10
CAPITAL MARKETS Policy rates expected to remain at current low at least until Q3 2022 INTEREST RATE FORECASTS Central bank policy rates Forecasts [%] 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 United States Eurozone United Kingdom Source: Oxford Economics (07/20), LaSalle (07/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 11
CAPITAL MARKETS Recovery fund deal boosts confidence in Southern European debt 10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS 10-Year Government Bond Yields [%] 2.5 2 10-year Government Bond Yields (%) 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 UK Germany France Italy Spain USA Source: LaSalle (07/20) Thomson Reuters (07/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 12
CAPITAL MARKETS European bank CDS spreads calm further in July CDS SPREADS OF KEY TRADITIONAL LENDERS IN EUROPE 5-year credit default swaps on European banks [Spread (basis points)] 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10 Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13 Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19 Jul 20 HSBC Bank PLC Barclays Bank PLC Deutsche Bank AG BNP Paribas SA UniCredit SpA Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream (07/20), LaSalle (07/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 13
CAPITAL MARKETS Senior lending terms unchanged in July EURO SWAP RATES REMAIN IN NEGATIVE TERRITORY Debt terms for 5-year senior loan on prime office 5-year 3-month swap Euribor / Loan Margin range over Euribor Arrangement rate Libor Maximum Maximum LTV amortization if (EUR loans) fees as % of senior LTV with no Euro -0.36% -0.44% LTV>threshold and over Libor (GBP loans) loan amount available amortization (% p.a.) Bps (up front) UK 0.21 0.09% Up to 60-70% 50% LTV LTV Germany 50%-55% 50% 1.00%-3.00% 125-165 170-250 0.00%-0.50% Top 6 Cities France Debt terms shown 50%-55% 50% 1.50%-3.00% 125-170 180-270 0.40%-0.80% here are based on Top 2/3 Cities our best estimates, acknowledging the current high level of market uncertainty UK 50%-55% 50% 1.00%-2.00% 175-250 250-350 0.70%-1.00% Top 2 Cities Spain 45%-50% 45% 1.50%-2.00% 155-220 230-350 0.80%-1.00% Top 2 Cities Source: LaSalle (07/20), Thomson Reuters Datastream (07/20) Swap rates & Euribor/Libor spreads are month averages Changed data from last month is highlighted in boxes Green indicates decrease of margins/increase in LTV, red indicates increase of margins/decrease in LTV, blue indicates widening of margins/LTV LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 14
CAPITAL MARKETS Senior bank lenders adopt risk-off positioning as uncertainty still high SWAP RATES LOWER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS MONTH 5-year senior loan on prime office [Implied All-In Cost of CRE Debt (50% LTV)] 6.0% Debt terms shown here are based on our best estimates, 5.0% acknowledging the current high level of market uncertainty 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Feb 14 Jul 14 Dec 14 May 15 Oct 15 Mar 16 Aug 16 Jan 17 Jun 17 Nov 17 Apr 18 Sep 18 Feb 19 Jul 19 Dec 19 May 20 UK Germany France Spain Source: LaSalle (07/20) Implied all-in cost of debt = annualised up-front fee + 5Y swap + margin for 50% LTV CRE = commercial real estate LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 15
CAPITAL MARKETS France: real estate pricing relative to history and other asset classes ASSET CLASS PRICING WEB Asset Class Pricing Web Asset Class Pricing Web [compared to history] [compared to 10-year government bonds] CAC All Tradeable CAC All Tradeable JLL Prime Yield FTSE EPRA Nareit France JLL Prime Yield FTSE EPRA Nareit France BBB Corporate Bonds 10 Year Bonds BBB Corporate Bonds 10 Year Bonds AAA Corporate Bonds Index-linked Bonds AAA Corporate Bonds Index-linked Bonds 5 Year Swap 3m Treasury Bill 5 Year Swap 3m Treasury Bill EURIBOR EURIBOR Latest 12 Months Ago Latest 12 Months Ago The closer the line is to the centre of the web, the more expensive it is on that measure Source: LaSalle (05/20) MSCI (07/20) Thomson Reuters (09/19), JLL(Q2 20). LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 16
CAPITAL MARKETS Germany: real estate pricing relative to history and other asset classes ASSET CLASS PRICING WEB Asset Class Pricing Web Asset Class Pricing Web [compared to history] [compared to 10-year government bonds] DAX DAX FTSE EPRA Nareit Germany JLL Prime Yield FTSE EPRA Nareit Germany JLL Prime Yield BBB Corporate Bonds 10 Year Bonds BBB Corporate Bonds 10 Year Bonds AAA Corporate Bonds Index-linked Bonds AAA Corporate Bonds Index-linked Bonds 5 Year Swap 3m Treasury Bill 5 Year Swap 3m Treasury Bill EURIBOR EURIBOR Latest 12 Months Ago Latest 12 Months Ago The closer the line is to the centre of the web, the more expensive it is on that measure Source: LaSalle (05/20) MSCI (07/20) Thomson Reuters (09/19), JLL(Q2 20). LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 17
REAL ESTATE OCCUPIERS Q2 20 European rolling annual take-up down -19% y/y and -13% q/q EUROPEAN OFFICE TAKE-UP & VACANCY OF EUROPEAN MARKETS Rolling annual office take-up & Vacancy rate Share of rolling annual office take-up 12 100% 15 -8% q/q -14% y/y 10 80% 12 -19% q/q -27% y/y 8 Take up (mil sqm) -11% q/q Vacancy rate (%) 60% -9% y/y 9 -18% q/q 6 -27% y/y 40% 6 -17% q/q 4 -18% y/y 3 20% 2 -11% q/q -19% y/y 0 0 0% Q2 10 Q2 11 Q2 12 Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 18 Q2 19 Q2 20 Q2 20 Germany France Take-up (LHS) Vacancy Rate (RHS) UK CEE South Europe Rest Source: LaSalle (07/20), JLL (Q2 20) Take-up based on 31 major office markets across Europe and vacancy rate based on 34 major office markets CEE covers Prague, Warsaw and Budapest; South Europe covers Milan, Rome, Lisbon, Barcelona and Madrid LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 18
REAL ESTATE OCCUPIERS Q2 data shows weaker or no rental growth in most European markets PRIME OFFICE RENTAL GROWTH; Q2 2020 Prime office rental growth [Q2 2020, y/y & q/q] 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% Rental growth YOY Rental growth QOQ Source: LaSalle (07/20), JLL (Q2 2020) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 19
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT Investment volumes resilient in Germany but slowed elsewhere EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT VOLUMES (CUMULATIVE YEAR -TO-DATE, EUR BILLION) UK Germany 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 France Spain & Italy 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 Source: RCA (06/20), LaSalle (07/20) lncludes office, retail, industrial, hotels, multifamily (apartments) and portfolios. 2020 figures are preliminary and subject to revisions LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 20
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT Office yields stable in Q2 2020, retail yields moved out further EUROPEAN PRIME YIELDS BY SECTOR AND REGION European prime yield by sector Prime All Property yield by region [%] [%] 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 All Property Offices United Kingdom Eurozone Industrial Shopping Centres CEE Nordics Retail Shops Retail Warehouses South Europe Source: JLL (Q2 20), LaSalle (07/20) Note: Segments are weighted by LaSalle/MSCI estimates of investable universe. CEE includes Czech Republic, Hungary & Poland. South Europe includes Italy, Portugal & Spain LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 21
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT Prime Europe (excl. UK) yields expected to move out in the short term YIELD FORECASTS Prime Europe (excl. UK) All Property yield Prime UK All Property yield* [%] [%] 7.00 7.00 LaSalle LaSalle Forecast Forecast 6.50 6.50 6.00 6.00 5.50 5.50 5.00 5.00 4.50 4.50 4.00 4.00 3.50 3.50 3.00 3.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 History H1 20 Forecast History H1 20 Forecast Source: JLL/LaSalle (05/20) Note: European segments are weighted by LaSalle/MSCI estimates of investable universe *For the UK, total returns are weighted by UK MSCI segments LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 22
RETURNS & RECOMMENDATIONS Total returns to suffer in 2020-21, before returning to positive values ALL PROPERTY TOTAL RETURNS FORECASTS; AVERAGE 2020 -24 P.A. Prime Europe (excl. UK) All Property total returns Prime UK All Property total returns* [% p.a.] [% p.a.] 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 -5 -5 -10 -10 -15 -15 -20 -20 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Income Return Rental Growth Yield Impact Capex / Depreciation Total Return Source: LaSalle (05/20) Note: European segments are weighted by LaSalle/MSCI estimates of investable universe *For the UK, total returns are weighted by UK MSCI segments LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 23
RETURNS & RECOMMENDATIONS Prime Europe (excl. UK) total returns 2020-24: 1.4% pa PRIME TOTAL RETURNS FORECASTS BY COUNTRY & SEGMENT Prime total returns forecasts* [Avg 2020-24, % p.a.] 9 By country By sector All markets 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 3.3% - 2.1% 2.0% - 0.0% > 0.0% -9 Income Return Yield Impact Rental Growth Capex Total Return Source: LaSalle (05/20) Note: European segments are weighted by LaSalle/MSCI estimates of investable universe LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 24
UK: Investment recommendations NEW ACQUISITIONS MUST HAVE STRONG ESG CREDENTIALS Core Value-Add Opportunistic Defensive Income Mezzanine debt & whole loans Residential London & key regional Development city offices refurb/build- UK Residential Regional Offices prime in key centres only to-core incl. discounted pooled funds & REITs Best Inflation-linked with Opportunities high site value Income-producing assets with high site value incl. urban retail parks & distressed retail Ground leases & income strips Long hold Urban logistics & multi-let industrial irreplaceable assets incl. income producing & development Special situations incl. pref equity, development finance, recaps & distressed loans Affordable housing, retirement housing, healthcare, educational facilities incl. for Social Impact The only active strategies until market liquidity returns. Other strategies on hold Source: LaSalle (05/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 25
Continental Europe: Investment Recommendations VIEW FOR THE NEXT 18 MONTHS AS OF MAY 2020 Core Value-Add Opportunistic Defensive Income Secure long term Income producing offices Full reconstruction office projects income offices Low vacancy asset in strong DTU+E In markets with strong occupier Top DTU+E locations with strong micromarket fundamentals locations in DE, FR, NL, Nordics fundamentals Distressed retail Income producing assets with high site value with alternative use Retail warehousing in locations such as DE, FR, PO, Nordics Markets with outstanding connectivity and low supply Logistics Best Urban logistics & Modern motorway logistics incl. sites with potential future e-commerce use (no planning risk). developments Opportunities Well connected big box focus on highly productive locations Residential Repriced hotels Residential Urban build-to-rent, urban for sale & family housing in FR, DE, NL, ES developments with strong covenant and/or predominantly build-to-rent operational manager Senior loans Special situations FR, DE, Benelux Mezzanine debt & Whole loans incl. pref equity, development finance, recaps The only active strategies until market liquidity returns. Other strategies on hold Source: LaSalle (05/20) LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 26
Contacts Simon Marx Petra Blazkova Dominic Silman Investment Strategist - UK Senior Strategist – Continental Europe Data Strategist London London London +44 207 852 4492 +44 20 7399 5568 +44 207 852 4119 simon.marx@lasalle.com petra.blazkova@lasalle.com dominic.silman@lasalle.com Zuhaib Butt Chris Psaras Tobias Lindqvist Associate Strategist - UK Associate Strategist – Continental Europe Research Associate London London London +44 207 852 4066 +44 207 852 4016 +44 207 852 4027 zuhaib.butt@lasalle.com chris.psaras@lasalle.com tobias.lindqvist@lasalle.com Katie Taylor Sabrina Zimmermann (author) Associate Strategist - UK Research Associate - Continental Europe London London +44 20 7399 5117 +44 207 087 5414 sabrina.zimmermann@lasalle.com katie.taylor@lasalle.com Ryan Daily Research Associate - UK London +44 207 852 4107 ryan.daily@lasalle.com Important Notice and Disclaimer This publication does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities or any interests in any investment products advised by, or the advisory services of, LaSalle Investment Management (together with its global investment advisory affiliates, “LaSalle”). This publication has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of recipients and under no circumstances is this publication on its own intended to be, or serve as, investment advice. The discussions set forth in this publication are intended for informational purposes only, do not constitute investment advice and are subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice. Further, nothing herein constitutes legal or tax advice. Prior to making any investment, an investor should consult with its own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to independently evaluate the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment. LaSalle has taken reasonable care to ensure that the information contained in this publication is accurate and has been obtained from reliable sources. Any opinions, forecasts, projections or other statements that are made in this publication are forward- looking statements. Although LaSalle believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, they do involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, LaSalle does not make any express or implied representation or warranty, and no responsibility is accepted with respect to the adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the facts, opinions, estimates, forecasts, or other information set out in this publication or any further information, written or oral notice, or other document at any time supplied in connection with this publication. LaSalle does not undertake and is under no obligation to update or keep current the information or content contained in this publication for future events. LaSalle does not accept any liability in negligence or otherwise for any loss or damage suffered by any party resulting from reliance on this publication and nothing contained herein shall be relied upon as a promise or guarantee regarding any future events or performance. By accepting receipt of this publication, the recipient agrees not to distribute, offer or sell this publication or copies of it and agrees not to make use of the publication other than for its own general information purposes. Copyright © LaSalle Investment Management 2019. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced by any means, whether graphically, electronically, mechanically or otherwise howsoever, including without limitation photocopying and recording on magnetic tape, or included in any information store and/or retrieval system without prior written permission of LaSalle Investment Management. LaSalle Investment Management | LaSalle European Market View 27
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