Voices of Central and Eastern Europe - Country report Austria Paul Schmidt, Stefan Schaller, Susan Milford - Faber - Österreichische ...
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Voices of Central and Eastern Europe Country report Austria Paul Schmidt, Stefan Schaller, Susan Milford - Faber www.globsec.org
About this report Key findings Introduction Key findings Over the past few years, the European A new report by the GLOBSEC think tank As the Austrian partner within the project, 1 Union has coped with far-reaching political, (www.globsec.org) based in Bratislava the Austrian Society for European economic and social changes and a string of successive and sometimes overlapping provides comprehensive insight into public satisfaction with the functioning Politics (Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik / ÖGfE) helped to analyse Considerable support for liberal democratic crises. The financial and economic crisis, refugee and migration flows and the of democracy and governance, trust in political actors and the media and Austrian specific results and has compiled the present country report that focuses on system but sobering view on everyday politics Covid-19 pandemic all underscore both the predispositions towards conspiracy theories public opinion in the alpine country.2 extent to which our world is interconnected and misinformation in ten Central and and the vulnerabilities of modern societies. Eastern European countries: Austria, Bulgaria, Following the Second World War, Austria 2 Globalization, digitalization and an all- Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, developed into a stable liberal democracy encompassing information age are indeed Poland, Romania and Slovakia. dominated over decades by two political Austrians see the domestic media landscape providing an unending challenge to all. parties – the Conservatives and the Social These major upheavals have particularly put The surveys were conducted on a sample ranging from 1,000 to 1,047 respondents Democrats. In the late 1980s though, this traditional political structure grew more as largely free but trust is still only modest open and liberal democratic societies to the using stratified multistage random sampling fragile with new contenders arising and test. Questions about or relating to identity in the form of computer assisted personal shaping the public sphere – especially on the are becoming more pronounced as many interviewing (CAPI) or computer-assisted right wing of the political spectrum. These 3 perceive threats to (traditional) values. These telephone interviewing (CATI). In all movements have drawn support from those concerns have been reinforced by political forces advocating for the reinvigoration of countries, the profiles of the respondents were representative of the country by uncomfortable with societal developments and apprehensive about their own place Migration and Islam remain controversial issues the nation state and alternative models to the liberal democratic system. gender, age, education, place of residence and size of settlement. in society. Compared to other surveyed countries, Austrians, in fact, express high in the societal and value discourse esteem for liberal democracy. There are some Central and Eastern Europe has been The GLOBSEC Report “Voices of Central warning signs, nevertheless, that need to be particularly affected by these developments. Europe: Perceptions of democracy and further scrutinized. 4 In the case of Austria, objections to ongoing governance in 10 EU countries“ 1 contains a changes in society find voice especially in the Freedom Party (FPÖ), which has seen its detailed comparative analysis of all country results. 1 https://www.globsec.org/publications/voices-of-central-and- Ambivalent relationship with support rise, culminating in its participation in government from 2017 until May 2019. 2 eastern-europe/ The collection of opinion polls in each country was coordinated by FOCUS, s.r.o. the European Union 5 Misinformation and conspiracy theories resonate within certain groups of society – Report Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Austria especially among those who are dissatisfied Country Slovakia report with how democracy works in Austria Voices of Voices Central and of Central Europe: Country Eastern Europe: and Eastern 2 33
Satisfaction Satisfaction with democracy Satisfaction with democracy with democracy Satisfaction with the way democracy works in the country * “very/rather satisfied” ** Rest to 100% = “Very/rather dissatisfied” or Don’t know/No answer” A clear majority of Austrians (92 %) are leader who does not have to bother with those in rural regions are the only groups in favor of “having a liberal democracy parliament or elections”. Support for liberal who are somewhat more inclined to support 86% with regular elections and a multi-party democracy can be found in practically all a system centered around a “strong leader” system”. On the other hand, 7 % would rather segments of the population. Respondents (and even then only around 10 % do so). be governed by a “strong and decisive with a lower level of formal education and Among the ten countries surveyed, Austrians are the strongest supporters of the liberal democratic system. 47% 47% 45% Liberal democracy or strong, decisive leader? 42% 38% 36% 32% Liberal democracy Strong and decisive leader *Rest to 100 % = “Don’t know/No answer” 30% 92% 18% 81% Austria Czechia Poland Hungary Estonia Slovakia Latvia Lithuania Romania Bulgaria 66% 65% 60% What are the reasons for Austrians’ 50% 49% 49% 45% strong support for democracy? Respondents in Bulgaria (59%) 43% and Slovakia (56%) are most likely 38% Austrians’ considerable satisfaction with of the people” than elected parliamentarians to agree with the statement 34% 35% 35% democracy is shared among nearly all as mere representatives of the elite.3 The ”Who holds the power in the demographic groups. It is based on the “illiberal system” like favoured by the Hungarian government does not matter, 26% 27% 24% historical experiences of the 20th century government has been cited as a role model nothing will change”. and perceptions of Austria as a stable, by FPÖ representatives. However, turning 17% secure, socially and economically strong away from the multi-party system and free 84% believe that “Oligarchs 12% country with a generally high living standard, elections is not an option for Austrians - even if and strong financial groups 7% a reliable public administration and a system discontent with daily politics often runs high. have a strong control over the that supports the reconciliation of interests government in Austria” (“strongly A total of 43% of those surveyed agree with and a robust social partnership. agree”: 49% | “rather agree”: 35%). the statement ”Who holds the power in Only in Slovakia do slightly more Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Austria Hungary Poland Estonia Czechia Romania Slovakia Lithuania Latvia Bulgaria Democracy has been on the move in Austria the government does not matter, nothing since the late 1980s; the predominance of will change” (“strongly agree”: 15% | “rather people believe that oligarchs and the conservative ÖVP and Social Democrats agree”: 28%). financial groups exert a strong (SPÖ), who at that time were able to influence on the government (85%). A further 95% of Austrians are convinced that This opinion is weakest in Hungary Satisfaction with the way democracy Satisfaction with democracy in the other surveyed countries is gain up to 90% of the vote, led to a rigid political structure. The status quo has been “people with contacts to political elites” are (39%). given preferential treatment in society and in Austria works is strong: 86% say that significantly lower and ranges from between 47% in Czechia dismantled by the rise of the Freedom Party (FPÖ) and new political groups like the 80% think that this is also true for “people who earn more”. they are “very” (35%) or “rather” (51%) and Poland and 18% in Bulgaria. Greens and the liberal NEOS. The number of those who trust political satisfied. Only 13% are “very” or “rather” Besides Malta, Austria is the only country in the EU where 16-year-olds are entitled to vote. In parties (50%), meanwhile, is slightly higher than those who express distrust (43%). dissatisfied. recent years, however, the FPÖ has regularly called for more direct democracy, arguing 3 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/23745118.201 that it would “better represent the interests 9.1632577 4 5
Independence “ There is a Independence of the media Independence of the media of the media remarkable Eight in ten respondents think that “standard mainstream media” in Austria is “completely free” (18%) or “rather free” (62%). A total of actors such as the church, NGOs, the United States, Russia and “influential groups from abroad” are mentioned much less often. What they all have in common is that they are co-owned by domestic media tycoons, a phenomenon subject to broad interplay in the relationship 17%, meanwhile, are sceptical and doubt that public debate and media research. This domestic media is free. In general, there is moderate trust in the media concentration is exacerbated by the media. While 45% of respondents say that influence of major companies (e.g. Raiffeisen Traditionally, freedom of the press in Austria they trust “standard mainstream media” in the case of daily “KURIER”) and large ranks high compared with international peers. (“completely”: 6%| “rather”: 39%), a majority publisher groups (e.g. Styria Verlag) that between politics In recent years, however, a steady decline of 51% expresses distrust (“rather”: 42% | own several dailies and weekly and monthly has been observed, as the annual ranking “completely”: 9%). magazines. of Reporters Without Borders shows.4 Since 2018, Austria has dropped seven spots and is There is a remarkable interplay in the In Austria, the role of high- and tabloid media: now in 18th place. relationship between politics and tabloid circulation tabloid media is media: Tabloid media in particular are When asked which actors exert the greatest somewhat special regularly fed government ads, with the influence on the domestic media, 57% expectation of more benevolent reporting. of respondents name “oligarchs and Austria’s print media market is among those There is conversely the fear of falling victim Tabloid media strong financial groups” and 47% “the with the highest media concentration in to a targeted negative media campaign government”. Among those who consider Europe. The Austrian daily “Kronen Zeitung” should these ads disappear. Critical media, the domestic media landscape to be “rather has a reach of 27% according to a 2019 on the other hand, are much less likely to free” or “not free”, these percentages are analysis of Austrian media5 followed by receive this kind of government support. significantly higher: 72% see influence on the the free newspaper “HEUTE” with 12% and in particular are part of oligarchs and financial groups and another tabloid, “ÖSTERREICH”, partly 4 http://www.rog.at/press-freedom-index/ 60% from the government. Other potential published in a free version, at nearly 10%. 5 https://media-analyse.at/table/3349 Assessment of the media landscape Those who trust in standard mainstream media Those who think that media are either rather or completely free regularly fed government 80% 77% 79% 75% 73% ads, with the 64% 59% 58% Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria expectation of 50% 48% 45% 46% 45% 46% 44% 44% more benevolent 39% 38% 38% 37% 37% 33% 25% reporting”. Lithuanua Romania Hungary Slovakia Bulgaria Czechia Estonia Austria Poland Latvia 0% 6 7
Values began to seep in with respect to the capacity of Do the United States Values and identity Values and identity Austrian society to integrate a large number of people, primarily arriving from Muslim countries. and Western societies In all other surveyed countries, the respective numbers are threaten the values and significantly higher: In Slovakia, and identity Since December 2017, Austrian government policy has been characterized by a sceptical identity of Austria? Bulgaria, and Estonia, a total of 39%, 36%, and 35% of respondents, stance towards migration, notwithstanding respectively, see those with a the participation of the Greens in government This perception is partly rooted in history. In different sexual orientation as a beginning from January 2020. The fact that the post-war period, Austria always regarded threat to domestic values and asylum seekers are generally referred to as itself as part of the West but also as a neutral identity. Czechs come closest to economic migrants, rather than refugees, country in equidistance to the US and the the Austrian view on the issue, Alongside an increasingly globalizing world, questions of identity and values have become “Migrants are a threat to our in the political discourse has left a notable impact on public opinion. Austrians‘ attitudes Soviet Union. Among those on the left-wing of the political spectrum, scepticism towards the meanwhile, with only 12% of respondents identifying different more prevalent in Austria, with certain groups like migrants depicted as potential threats to country’s identity and values” toward refugees and migrants have also been influenced by tabloids and FPÖ and right-wing US, including “anti-Americanism”, has always been present, especially with regard to the sexual orientations as a threat. traditions and the “Austrian way of life”. social media platforms that regularly incite fury country’s global ambitions. by disseminating reports that asylum seekers are receiving more than their fair share of the American popular culture, however, has Perceptions of the Perceptions of migrants 75 % 72 % 72 % always found a receptive audience in Austria. public purse in the form of social and housing benefits and free mobile phones. Its omnipresence is, nevertheless, viewed European Union Four in ten respondents (42 %) are convinced by some, including particularly the elderly, that migrants threaten Austrian identity and Though 21 % of Austrians perceive the as a threat to local traditions rather than values while 53 % do not recognize any such 56 % 52 % Perceptions of the United an enriching contribution. The same is true European Union as a threat to their values 50 % and identity, three in four (74 %) respondents threat. 50 % 45 % 43 % 42 % States and the West with respect to the many Americanisms and do not agree with this notion, putting Austria 41 % Anglicisms that have found their way into Another 41 % believe that migrants “are favoured in the middle of the 10 surveyed countries. The United States of America is perceived as the German language. In general, the image in our society” (53 % say “not favoured”). a threat by 36 % of Austrian respondents with of the United States has, moreover, suffered Austrians have had an ambivalent relationship 59 % not identifying the US as a threat. significantly since Donald Trump took office In the 10 countries surveyed, Austria ranks 25 % with the European Union. Since Austria joined 25 % as US president. eighth, with only Romanian and Polish the EU in 1995, a consistent majority has been Only 24 % of Austrian respondents, meanwhile, respondents more vigorously rejecting the in favour of remaining a member. Moves to say that “Western societies and their way of The debate about whether Austria’s identity “migrants as threats” framing. In six survey deepen integration, however, are eyed with is threatened by the Western way of life Lithuania living” are a threat to their country’s identity Romania Hungary Bulgaria Slovakia Czechia concern, apprehension fuelled by politicians Estonia Austria Poland countries, meanwhile, buy-in to this anti- Latvia while 73 % do not share this view. has been again reignited in recent years, migrant sentiment was significantly higher. and tabloid mass media that turn to the spearheaded particularly by the Freedom In light of the fact that Austria has been 0% EU as a scapegoat for domestic problems. While Hungarians (21%) and Poles Party that has turned to denouncing overly significantly more impacted by migration and The EU is often portrayed as a complicated (12%) are less likely to consider the US liberal and decadent patterns in society refugee flows than other countries polled, bureaucratic construct that provides a as a threat to their identity and values, and culture. As an alternative model, the this is a particularly pertinent finding.6 space for large member states to dominate Slovaks (53%) and Bulgarians (43%) FPÖ has suggested looking to the Visegrád business. And decisions at the European are the most likely to do. Group countries and to Russia, leading to level are argued to often not reflect national How are migrants being the signing of a friendship treaty with United interests. The European Union is, furthermore, Slovakia (50%) and Bulgaria (34%) Russia, the political party of Russian President portrayed in the political First instance decisions on asylum are also the two countries with the Vladimir Putin. seen as a motor and not a protection against the negative repercussions of globalization, discourse? applications - Total positive greatest concern regarding Western underlined by migration challenges that have influence on their values and identity. On LGBT+ rights, only 4 % of Austrians further stoked fears in recent years. Four in ten respondents believe that migrants “are favoured in our society”. This decisions 2015 - 2019 In other countries surveyed, these worries are much less pronounced. believe that “people with different sexual orientations” threaten domestic identity and 6 https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show. values. do?dataset=migr_asydcfsta&lang=en perception is not a novel phenomenon 100 000 because migration was already met with consternation in the 1990s, especially among 93 060 socio-economically disadvantaged groups, as people fled from a Yugoslavia that was Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria 75 000 50 % 45 then collapsing. These fears were particularly fuelled by the Freedom Party under Jörg „ The European Haider. Current attitudes, however, largely reflect attitudes towards the 2015 refugee and migration flows that saw Austria become 50 000 Union is a threat 35 31 28 one of the largest host countries (as a to our country‘s 25 % 22 22 21 2085 9780 2570 1330 3710 percentage of its population) across the EU. 17 17 430 790 485 16 370 Initially, public opinion had been rather inclined identity and Lithuania Romania Hungary Bulgaria values“ Slovakia Lithuania Czechia Austria Estonia 25 000 Romania Hungary Slovakia Poland Bulgaria Czechia Estonia Latvia Austria towards accepting refugees, particularly Poland Latvia those fleeing the Syrian civil war. The political 0% landscape, however, changed as concerns regarding a perceived uncontrolled influx of 0 migrants became more paramount. Doubts also 8 9
Conspiracy Conspiracy theories & misinformation Conspiracy theories & misinformation theories and misinformation A lack of trust, insufficient transparency and support at only around 15%, many more and its portrayal as one of the most pressing considerable levels of life dissatisfaction identify Islamization as a threat. While public domestic “problems”, which in turn has had provide a conducive breeding ground for data indicates that, from 2001 to 2016, the notable consequences on Austrian public The acceptance of the spread of conspiracy theories and number of Muslims in Austria doubled from opinion. conspiracy theories and can also increase the susceptibility of a 4% to 8%, this “threat scenario” framing is Other theories find far less of a receptive given population to disinformation. When indubitably overstated.8 audience: misinformation rises with accompanied with turmoil, it is all too easy age and decreases with to identify and galvanize the public against Since 2015, refugee and migration flows have Although 22% of respondents agree with perceived threats. seen the arrival of predominantly Muslim the statement that “World affairs are not level of formal education. A total of 43% of the survey sample indeed migrants to Austria, some from regions home to particularly conservative religious views decided by elected leaders but by secret groups aiming to establish a totalitarian The rural population “strongly” (12%) or “rather” (31%) believe that (e.g. Afghanistan) and social attitudes that world order” (7% “strongly agree” | is also more likely to the “EU and Brussels dictate to Austria what to do without Austria having a chance deviate from Austrian practices (especially with regard to gender roles and the position 15% “rather agree”), nearly seven in ten respondents find this unfathomable (26% find them credible than to influence” its own policy direction. Just of religion in society). “rather disagree” | 43% “strongly disagree”). urbanites. over half of respondents “rather” (28%) or “strongly” (26%) disagree. Worries of Islamization are particularly prevalent in rural regions despite lower Judged credible by 60% of Slovak Conspiracy theories and Four in ten Austrians, meanwhile, believe that proportions of Muslim residents and asylum respondents, highest in the ten misinformation are more “Austrian society is undergoing a slow and seeks more generally. Adherents to the countries surveyed, Austrians, secret Islamization” (17% “strongly agree” Islamization conspiracy theory express conversely, expressed the least common among those | 24% “rather agree”) while about six in ten concern that Muslims are given preferential amount of buy-in to this claim. who: hold opposing views (28% “rather disagree” | treatment by politicians in an attempt to lure 26% “strongly disagree”). them as future voters. Associations between • want a decisive and terrorist attacks and Islamic fundamentalist Similarly, 21 % believe that “Jews have strong leader, The survey findings indicate that these backgrounds have fundamentally shaped too much power and secretly control two conspiratorial claims held the greatest public discussions and contributed to further governments and institutions around the • doubt that it makes a preponderance of buy-in among those muddle. world” (7 % “strongly agree” | 15 % “rather difference who holds tested. This can be explained by the fact that agree”) while three in four respondents power in government, these sentiments are already prevalent and Over the past few years, debate has disagree (25 % “rather disagree” | 49 % widely rehearsed in the political discourse. increasingly concentrated on the subject “strongly disagree”). • are not satisfied with of Islam in general and the “fight against the way democracy Why do people believe political Islam” more concretely. Exchanges This conspiracy theory is also not works in Austria. on the challenges of long-term integration that Austrian society is have only further fanned the flames with prevalent in Austria when compared politicians seeking to demonstrate strength to the other nine countries. Only in undergoing a slow and by pursuing a “symbolic policy”. In autumn Estonia are there fewer adherents Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria secret Islamization? 2019, the Austrian parliament approved a (16%). This belief, nonetheless, finds ban on headscarves for girls in elementary a more receptive audience in Slovakia The FPÖ, in particular, regularly campaigns school and an extension of this ban to also (60%) and Hungary (49%). on this issue, stoking fears of an Islamization include teachers and the public sector has of Austrian society (and Europe more been broached. In recent months, the ÖVP broadly).7 Under this narrative, society has, moreover, proposed the introduction of is encouraged to be irate in the face of protective custody, a move widely believed supposed developments that will see both to be politically targeted towards elevating the native Austrian population and adherents the issue of radical political Islam. This 7 https://de.reuters.com/article/us-austria-immigration- idUSKCN1SB0C2 of Christianity become minorities in the emphasis has led to an overrepresentation 8 https://www.diepresse.com/5263601/zahl-der-muslime-in- future. Although polls currently record FPÖ of the topic of “Islam” in the public sphere osterreich-seit-2001-verdoppelt 10 11
Conclusions Conspiracy theories & misinformation Conspiracy theories & misinformation Conclusions Austria takes a special A series of crises and upheavals have position among the ten contributed to the rise of populist Authors surveyed countries in movements and fostered social Central and Eastern Europe polarization, a pattern that continues to owing to its distinct political this day. Five years following the start and social history in the of the refugee and migration crisis, this decades following World issue is still highly charged in Austria. War II. Commitment to liberal democracy is, consequently, Paul Schmidt, Stefan Schaller, Susan Milford-Faber comparatively strong. That said, there are concerns Austrian Society for European Politics within the population on the degree to which external influences shape politics and on the perceived preferential treatment of certain groups in society. Conspiracy theories and misinformation More information about the research GLOBSEC and the National fall on fertile ground in Austria, albeit to can be found in the comparative Endowment for Democracy assume a lesser extent than in other surveyed Austrians’ relationship English version Voices of Central no responsibility for facts or opinions countries. Certain demographic groups, with the European Union though, are more susceptible than others. and Eastern Europe. expressed in this publication or their remains ambivalent: subsequent use. Sole responsibility Despite 25 years of Austrian This analysis was financially lies with the authors of this membership, the number of supported by the National publication. those who believe that the Endowment for Democracy as a country has no say in the part of the project Strengthening www.globsec.org Union is considerable. Public Diplomacy in Central Europe, implemented by GLOBSEC. © Austrian Society for European Politics, 2020 www.oegfe.at Political leaders must react proactively europa@oegfe.at to developments and seek common dialogue. A robust civil society must be Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria Voices of Central and Eastern Europe: Country report Austria an indispensable partner in this process. Original creative concept 12 13
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