Voice from China Quarterly update on the M&A market in China - 1ST EDITION 2019 - Oaklins
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Introduction Despite headwinds from low Chinese outbound M&A was a mixed Inbound deal volume also rose slightly growth and Sino-US trade bag in 2018. Although it continued compared with the prior year, as China’s to decline from its 2016 peak for the government continued to open the door tensions, China’s 2018 M&A second year in a row, the volume of further for foreign investment. activity remained reasonably activity increased a little over 2017 and strong. the value of the deals struck remained higher year-for-year than it was from 2009 through 2014. Outbound M&A, China 2009-2018¹ Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Number 136 181 183 176 145 194 283 361 311 256 Inbound M&A, China 2009-2018² Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Number 349 470 260 218 198 163 204 201 165 174 ¹ Factset ² Factset OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 3
HERE’S OUR TAKE ON THE KEY FACTORS THAT SHAPED OUTBOUND INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN 2018: ͽͽ Technology, brands and distribution market. were all central themes, as the ͽͽ The popularity of European assets Chinese government encouraged rose to new heights among Chinese acquisitions of a strategic nature. buyers, as the US-Sino trade war Underlying this was the authorities made them more cautious towards ongoing effort to restructure and investing in the US. Meanwhile, squeeze costs out of China’s attracted by the region’s low labor manufacturing sector, and more than costs and efforts to displace China half of the outbound transactions as the world's factory of choice, that took place involved high- Southeast Asia also emerged as a hot end manufacturing and smart spot for Chinese investors. manufacturing. Great Star Industries, ͽͽ The volume and value of Chinese for example, acquired a 100% stake in acquisitions along the route of China’s Lista Holding AG, a Swiss professional Belt and Road initiative increased workshop and warehouse furnishings significantly. Among these countries, manufacturer. India, Singapore and Israel were the ͽͽ Always inclined to chase after big most popular destinations.⁴ names, Chinese buyers also struck ͽͽ Making it more difficult for Chinese “During 2019, we expect some big deals to acquire companies firms to undertake acquisitions China’s outbound M&A with strong brand equity. Shandong abroad, the capital markets were activity to remain strong Ruyi, for instance, purchased a tighter than expected in 2018, as across-the-board, as the controlling stake in Bally, the highly the government responded to the regarded Swiss maker of luxury depreciation of the RMB by placing Chinese authorities continue shoes and accessories, in order stricter controls on foreign currency. to encourage strategic to improve its product lineup and China’s domestic capital market, acquisitions. Inbound M&A bolster its international image. Other meanwhile, experienced a severe should also increase, as the well-known Chinese clothing brands, slump in the second half of 2018, due such as Zhejiang Semir Garment and largely to structural deleveraging. government continues to woo Shanghai La Chapelle Fashion, made ͽͽ As opposed to state-owned entities, foreign investment. ” similar deals for apparel companies private enterprises were the main with international brand appeal. drivers of Chinese outbound M&A ANGELA CHEN ͽͽ Much of the overseas M&A activity activity for the year, accounting for MANAGING DIRECTOR, that took place in 2018 was 85.16% of the total.⁵ OAKLINS, CHINA aimed at extending the Chinese buyers' distribution reach to new geographies. One of the 10 largest transactions for which the terms were disclosed, for example, was Qingdao Haier’s acquisition of Candy, with the Chinese consumer electronics and home appliance giant purchasing a 100% stake in the Italian electronic appliance manufacturer to gain quick access to the Western European ³ http://www.sohu.com/a/285178151_618572 ⁴ https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MjM5MjczNjk1NQ==&mid=2650254431&idx=1&sn=551e5cfdb4c3704ab99be2b1882835c3&chksm=bea2bf8b89d5369d9a732e2b7306c- 61c51fe0674c16ae9f4046c8a7e2d7ee248c2981b12e713&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=0211R0typGld4VOaZLpaKfhl#rd ⁵ http://www.morningwhistle.com/info/48625.html
THESE ARE THE CHIEF FACTORS THAT WILL DRIVE OUTBOUND M&A THIS YEAR: ͽͽ We expect the RMB to stabilize in Inbound M&A is also likely to thrive, of manufacturers in the auto sector, and 2019, following last year’s decline. as the global supply chain continues once overseas investors become aware And with China’s financial authorities to be reorganized and multinationals, of these changes, there is liable to be relaxing their funding policies to especially in the manufacturing sector, a significant upswing in inbound M&A support the flagging economy, it seek to divest their Chinese operations. activity. should become easier for Chinese Multi-Fineline Electronix, a wholly- companies to obtain funding for owned subsidiary of Suzhou Dongshan With the authorities continuing outbound deals. Precision Manufacturing Co., for to liberalize the policies ͽͽ Alongside technology, the example, has recently entered into an governing foreign investment infrastructure sector will become a agreement with Flex’s Multek subsidiary major focus for outbound M&A, even to acquire the latter’s China-based in China, we expect inbound as distribution and brand-related operations.⁶ acquisitions to flourish in 2019. transactions continue to predominate. With growth slowing and trade More generally, with the authorities frictions with the US ongoing, the continuing to liberalize the policies Chinese authorities will do all they governing foreign investment in China, can to boost the economy. Given that we expect inbound acquisitions to infrastructure-related construction flourish in 2019 — especially in the has an outsized impact on GDP, we auto and financial sectors. A case in expect the government to strongly point is the latest policy adjustments endorse outbound investment in this issued last June, which further relaxed sector in the context of its Belt and foreign ownership restrictions in Road initiative. several industries, including finance, ͽͽ The flow of outbound M&A to auto and agriculture. For many types Southeast Asia will continue to of Chinese financial institutions, the accelerate due to the region’s government raised the limit on foreign cheaper labor, setup and operational ownership to 51%. Similarly, limits on costs. ownership were raised for many types CONCLUSION Despite a low-growth environment, From the standpoint of M&A, 2019 strongly supported by the Chinese a tight monetary policy and an is likely to live up to its reputation government. New outbound expanding trade war with the US, for optimism as the Year of the Pig. investments in the infrastructure Chinese M&A activity remained Foreign capital flows to China will be sector should receive a major boost reasonably strong throughout 2018. lured by a much friendlier investment from the authorities as well. Much of this was due to the Belt and environment and readier access Road initiative and other moves aimed to funds, while strategic outbound at reorganizing the global supply M&A focused on technology, brand chain. equity and distribution will also be ⁶ https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/flex-to-divest-multeks-china-operations-to-multi-fineline-electronix-inc-mflex-300619846.html OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 5
Recent M&A transactions Thirty-nine Chinese outbound The lion’s share of these deals took Among these transactions, 26 disclosed transactions closed in the fourth quarter place in Europe (46%), followed by Asia the deal’s value, with the largest pegged of 2018, compared with 35 during the Pacific (31%) and Latin America and the at US$1.6 billion (SINA Corp.; Yunfeng final quarter of 2017, as the country’s Caribbean (10%). Financial Group Ltd.; City-Scape Pte Ltd.; overseas M&A activity continued to Giant Investment (HK) Ltd.; Ant Financial thrive despite significant economic Services Group Co., Ltd. (Hong Kong); headwinds and regulatory hurdles. Transactions by region MassMutual Asia Ltd. /Private Group/; Meyu International Co., Ltd.; Sheen During the last quarter of the year, 46% Light Development Ltd.; Harvest Billion technology, media and telecom was International Ltd. - MassMutual Asia Ltd.). the top sector for Chinese outbound 5% investment (26%), followed by financial services (21%) and consumer & retail Q4 2018 26 disclosed transactions 8% (15%). by value 10% Transaction size Number of Transactions by industry (US$m) transactions 26% < 50 11 31% 3% 50 – 100 4 3% Europe 3% 100 – 250 4 Asia Pacific 5% Latin America and Caribbean 250 – 500 2 5% 21% United States and Canada 500 – 1,000 2 Africa/Middle East 8% 1,000 – 2,000 3 15% TMT Financial Services Consumer & Retail Energy Construction & Engineering Service Logistics Automobile Chemical Industrial, Machinery & Components
Four transactions disclosed valuation multiples Transaction Implied Implied Target Target Target Buyer companies value EV/ EV/ company country industry (US$m) revenue EBITDA Kidiliz Group Consumer Zhejiang Semir 131.52 0.26x N/A SAS & Retail Garment Co., Ltd. Dr. Panda Ltd. TMT TAL Education Group N/A 1.75x 8.98x Radisson Consumer City of Shanghai; Jin 342.23 0.64x 5.20x Hospitality AB & Retail Jiang International (Holdings) Co., Ltd.; Radisson Hospitality AB /Private Group/; SINO-CEE Fund CPFL Energias Energy CPFL Energia SA; 1,287.33 9.10x 14.01x Renováveis SA Government of China; State Grid International Development Co., Ltd.; State Grid Brazil Power Participações Ltda. OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 7
Spotlight on: Furnishing INDUSTRY OVERVIEW AND M&A DYNAMIC Benefitting from the rapid growth handful have a market capitalization in During 2018, the sector engaged in of new middle-class households excess of RMB 10 billion. These include frequent outbound M&A deals for which with greater purchasing power, the Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. financing was readily available, and the Chinese furnishing market is booming. (RMB 20,533.8 million) and expectation is that this will continue According to the National Bureau Suofeiya Home Collection Co., Ltd. – and even accelerate – over the next of Statistics, in 2017, total sales by (RMB 16,723.30 million).⁸ two years.⁹ These deals generally aim to furniture manufacturers grew 10.1% accomplish three things: year-over-year to RMB 905.6 billion, The next three years is seen as a critical while total profits grew 9.3% year-to- period for the industry. Tremendous 1) Raise brand awareness and grow year to RMB 56.52 billion.⁷ During the consolidation is expected to take place, market share by acquiring well-known past few years, new leading players and the companies that survive this foreign brands. have emerged in each segment of the free-for-all will come out the other side industry. Nine new Chinese furnishing as tier-1 players with over RMB 10 billion 2) Expand the buyers’ product portfolio companies were listed in 2017, and that in market capitalization. Any remaining and gain cross-selling opportunities number quadrupled during the second players will either be bought out or through vertical integration. half of 2018. will exit the market gradually. Under these circumstances, most Chinese 3) Reduce cost structures and improve Yet, despite the size of this furnishing companies, especially those profit margins through horizontal RMB 3 trillion-plus market, there are that are listed, are expected to resort integration. no truly dominant players. At the same to cross-border M&A to accelerate their time, among listed companies, only a expansion. ⁷ National Bureau of Statistics; https://en.kukahome.com/support/kuka-acquires-rolf-benz.html ⁸ As of 29 January 2019 ⁹ http://www.jia360.com/new/48586.html
This was reflected in deals struck by four of China’s leading furnishing companies last year: Markor International Home Furnishings Nature Home Holding Co., Ltd. Co., Ltd. Nature Home Holding Co., Ltd. is an Markor International Home Furnishings investment holding company engaged Co., Ltd. sells furniture-making materials in the manufacture and sale of high- and services, such as its solid wood end home decoration products. It also and sand collection, as well as retail operates a trademark and distribution household goods. In January 2018, network. In May 2018, it announced that Markor announced it had acquired a it had acquired Wellmann from Alno AG 60% stake in M.U.S.T. Holdings Ltd. for for an undisclosed amount. US$4.92 million in an all-cash deal. Company Strategy: Nature Home Company Strategy: Markor plans to targets the high-end of the furnishings optimize its supply chain by leveraging market through acquisitions, and M.U.S.T.’s Vietnamese manufacturing Wellmann is a maker of luxury kitchen facilities to lower its production costs. furnishings. In this case, Nature Home At the same time, it hopes to raise its and Wellmann already had a close brand awareness by adding M.U.S.T.’s business relationships since 2015. well-known Jonathan Charles furniture line to its product portfolio. ͽͽ Market cap: US$588.94m ͽͽ Revenue: US$607.17m ͽͽ Market cap: US$1,097.18m ͽͽ EBITDA: US$60.92m ͽͽ Revenue: US$607.85m ͽͽ EBITDA: US$104.81m Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. QuMei Home Furnishings Group Co., Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. Ltd. (“Kuka”) designs, manufactures and sells living room and bedroom furniture, QuMei Home Furnishings Group Co., including sofas, dining tables, beds, Ltd. designs, produces and sells home chairs and mattresses. In January 2018, furniture products made from a variety it announced a joint venture with Natuzzi of hardwoods. In August 2018, QuMei to expand Natuzzi’s retail network in Home announced a successful tender the Greater China region. Kuka invested offer for a 98.36% stake in Ekornes ASA EUR 65 million for a 51% share of the JV. for US$630 million. In March 2018, Kuka acquired all equity of another company, Rolf Benz AG, for Company Strategy: Taking advantage US$51 million. of Ekornes’ premium product line and strong brand awareness, QuMei plans to Company Strategy: Kuka seeks to help it quickly enter the Chinese market improve its international positioning and in order to capture additional market brand awareness through synergistic share. acquisitions. ͽͽ Market cap: US$474.57m ͽͽ Market cap: US$3,050.64m ͽͽ Revenue: US$306.91m ͽͽ Revenue: US$9676.31m ͽͽ EBITDA: US$49.24m ͽͽ EBITDA: US$133.28m OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 9
Case Study: Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. (“Kuka”) In March 2018, Jason Furniture EVALUATION (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd., trading On 28 February 2018, The Hong Kong as Kuka Home, agreed to unit, wholly owned by Kuka, signed acquire RB Management AG an equity acquisition agreement with and a 99.92% stake in Rolf Locomore GmbH, Rolf Benz’s underlying Benz AG & Co. KG from Locom shareholder. The dealʼs valuation is GmbH & Co. KG for EUR 41.6 based on 8.5 times the underlying companyʼs 2016 audited EBITDA of million (US$50.7 million). EUR 4.89 million, and net of disposal of its bedding business. In order to justify the price, Kuka Group Chairman Gu Jiangsheng noted that “Made in ABOUT THE TARGET Germany” represents a major asset to Kuka, which it plans to capitalize on Founded in 1964, Rolf Benz is the best- going forward. known upholstered furniture brand in “Kuka intends to increase Germany (GFK Brand Awareness Study On April 5 2018, the German Regulatory investment in the Rolf 2016), and the companyʼs three major Authority approved the transaction.11 Benz brand – and not just brands, Rolf Benz, Huelsta Sofa, and Freistil, offer consumers a wide range The acquisition complements Kuka’s financially. We can support of different styles and price points. Over existing portfolio of living room and them with our knowledge 80% of Rolf Benz’s sales are in Europe, bedroom furniture. and network of the Chinese and all of their sofas are produced by market. We are confident that their parent companyʼs plant in Nagold, in the southwest German state of this will enable Rolf Benz to Baden-Württemberg.10 grow more quickly and more profitably in the Chinese market as well as in other markets.” 12 GU JIANGSHENG CHAIRMAN, KUKA GROUP 10 Factset 11 Factset 12 https://press-en.rolf-benz.com/en/pressarchive/detail.html?unique_id=1228
APPENDIX: 39 OUTBOUND TRANSACTIONS CLOSED BETWEEN OCTOBER AND DECEMBER 2018 Target Transaction Date Acquirer Target country Industry value (US$m) 2-Oct-2018 Zhongneng Vehicle Group Co., Ltd. Moto Morini Srl Automobile 11.58 Consumer & 3-Oct-2018 Zhejiang Semir Garment Co., Ltd. Kidiliz Group SAS 131.52 Retail 9-Oct-2018 TAL Education Group Dr. Panda Ltd. TMT - QuMei Home Furnishings Group Consumer & 9-Oct-2018 Ekornes ASA 700.92 Co., Ltd. Retail China Singyes New Materials Financial 19-Oct-2018 Huabei Ltd. 7.24 Holdings Ltd. Services Americaʼs Advanced China Infrastructure Construction 22-Oct-2018 Wellness Centers Healthcare - Corp. LLC Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity WISAP Medical 26-Oct-2018 Healthcare - Endoscope Co., Ltd. Technology GmbH 30-Oct-2018 Highsun Holding Group Ltd. Fibrant BV Chemical 241.62 Temasek Capital Pte Ltd.; Beijing Benyfit Natural Pet Consumer & 1-Nov-2018 Hosen Investment Management - Food Ltd Retail LLP; Billy + Margot Ltd. Eastern Steel Sdn. Financial 1-Nov-2018 Shanxi Jianlong Industry Co., Ltd. 0.00 Bhd. Services 5-Nov-2018 Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. Sinclair Pharma Plc Healthcare 238.35 Guide Investimentos Fosun International Ltd.; Fosun Financial 5-Nov-2018 SA Corretora de 94.07 Property Holdings Ltd. Services Valores Norinco International Cooperation 5-Nov-2018 Energija Projekt dd Energy 38.14 Ltd. COFCO Bio-Chemical COFCO Biochemical (Anhui) Financial 9-Nov-2018 Investment Co., Ltd. 1,398.68 Co., Ltd. Services /3 Subsidiaries/ OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 11
Target Transaction Date Acquirer Target country Industry value (US$m) Elec-Tech Solid State 9-Nov-2018 NVC Lighting Holding Ltd. TMT 142.64 Lighting (HK) Ltd. Noblelift Intelligent Equipment 12-Nov-2018 Savoye SA TMT - Co., Ltd. Financial 12-Nov-2018 Patron Ltd. /Wang/ Patron Ltd. 15.13 Services City of Shanghai; Jin Jiang International (Holdings) Co., Ltd.; Radisson Hospitality Consumer & 13-Nov-2018 342.23 Radisson Hospitality AB /Private AB Retail Group/; SINO-CEE Fund SINA Corp.; Yunfeng Financial Group Ltd.; City-Scape Pte Ltd.; Giant Investment (HK) Ltd.; Ant Financial Services Group Co., Ltd. Financial 16-Nov-2018 MassMutual Asia Ltd. 1,641.01 (Hong kong); Massmutual Asia Ltd. Services /Private Group/; Meyu International Co., Ltd.; Sheen Light Development Ltd.; Harvest Billion International Ltd. Ruth Voith, 17-Nov-2018 Eurocrane (China) Co., Ltd. Beteiligungs- Logistics - gesellschaft mbH Ruth Voith 17-Nov-2018 Eurocrane (China) Co., Ltd. Logistics - Holding-GmbH EDP-Energias de Portugal SA; China Macquarie Construction 22-Nov-2018 Three Gorges Corp.; Hydro Global Development Corp / & Engineering - Investment Ltd. CO Subs (2)/ Service The Natural Pet Treat Consumer & 26-Nov-2018 Yantai China Pet Foods Co., Ltd. - Co., Ltd. Retail Zeal Pet Foods New Consumer & 26-Nov-2018 Yantai China Pet Foods Co., Ltd. - Zealand Ltd. Retail CPFL Energia SA; Government of China; State Grid International CPFL Energias 26-Nov-2018 Energy 1,287.33 Development Co., Ltd.; State Grid Renováveis SA Brazil Power Participações Ltda. Mingma Shanghai Biotechnology Genomics Medicine 27-Nov-2018 TMT - Co., Ltd. Ireland Ltd
Appendix Target Transaction Date Acquirer Target country Industry value (US$m) Benchmark Trade Financial 27-Nov-2018 Brighten Ocean International Ltd. 12.80 Ltd. Services Construction Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Wilbert TowerCranes 30-Nov-2018 & Engineering - Technology Co., Ltd. GmbH Service MMG Laos Holdings 30-Nov-2018 Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. Energy 274.97 Ltd. CDH Investments Management (Hong Kong) Ltd.; Hony Capital 3-Dec-2018 (Beijing) Co., Ltd.; Playtika Ltd.; Wooga GmbH TMT 100.00 Shanghai Yunfeng Investment Management Co., Ltd. Hakim Health Technology Co., Ltd.; Hakim International Development Golden State 4-Dec-2018 Healthcare 33.51 Co., Ltd.; Golden State Medicare Medicare Health Plan Health Plan/ Private Group/ Sequoia Capital India Advisors Pvt Ltd.; Zhejiang Ant Small & Micro Financial Services Group Co., Ltd.; TechEagle 5-Dec-2018 Zomato Media Pvt Ltd.; Vy Capital TMT - Innovations Pvt Ltd. Management Co., Ltd. (Venture Capital); Info Edge India Ltd. / Venture Capital/ CodeMonkey 5-Dec-2018 TAL Education Group TMT 20.00 Studios, Inc. Ezbuy Holding Co. 10-Dec-2018 LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. TMT 85.55 Ltd. KADI Technologies 15-Dec-2018 BORQS International Holding Corp. TMT 9.75 Ltd. Zhuzhou Cemented Carbides Group Industrial, 18-Dec-2018 Corp. Ltd.; Zhuzhou Cemented HPTec GmbH Machinery & 21.30 Carbide Cutting Tools Co., Ltd. Components 26-Dec-2018 Hangzhou Venus Medtech Co., Ltd. Keystone Heart Ltd. Healthcare 100.00 Technosoft Motion 26-Dec-2018 Shanghai Moonsʼ Electric Co., Ltd. TMT 31.54 AG China National Qingdao Tianhua Institute Financial 28-Dec-2018 Chemical Equipment 942.69 Chemistry Engineering Co., Ltd. Services Luxembourg SARL OAKLINS – Voice from China · March 2019 13
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