Viewpoint A STRONGER FUTURE - GROWING MORE DIVERSE TRUSTEE BOARDS
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Viewpoint A STRONGER FUTURE The official journal of the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association Issue 1 2020 GROWING MORE DIVERSE TRUSTEE BOARDS THE OUTLOOK FOR EMERGING MARKETS IN 2020 STEPPING UP TO NEW STEWARDSHIP STANDARDS DEMOCRACY IN THE DIGITAL AGE
For professional clients only Cashflows: built to see you through Enjoy the benefits of a well-crafted portfolio Paying members’ benefits as they arise can be a major challenge for pension trustees. With our 20-year heritage of investing to meet complex cashflow requirements, we work with you to build and maintain a portfolio that aims to provide the certainty you need to deliver on your scheme’s long-term objectives. Investments involve risks, including loss of capital. Find out more about AXA IM’s sustainable cashflow strategies: INSTITUTIONAL.AXA-IM.CO.UK/EN/CASH-FLOW-DRIVEN-INVESTING For Professional Clients only. Not to be relied upon by retail clients. This communication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any investments, products or services and should not be considered as a solicitation or as investment advice. This communication is issued in the UK by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England and Wales No: 01431068. Registered Office: 7 Newgate Street, London EC1A 7NX. © AXA Investment Managers 2019.
Contents C CONTENTS 04 06 08 CEO’S VIEWPOINT JAMIE BARTLETT SUPPORTING STEWARDSHIP DEMOCRACY IN THE NEW VOTING GUIDELINES DIGITAL AGE 10 14 17 INVESTMENT CONFERENCE A CHANGED MEET THE BOARD: MIND OVER MARKETS INVESTMENT CLIMATE JOHN DEMBITZ 23 25 PLSA Team: THE PENSIONS BUSTING MYTHS ABOUT Maggie Williams, Editor REGULATOR: DIVERSITY AND Tel: 07876 823 716 TRUSTEE DIVERSITY INCLUSION Email: maggie.j.williams@googlemail.com Twitter: @mrsmaggiew Edward Bogira Tel: +44 (0)20 7601 1733 Email: edward.bogira@plsa.co.uk 31 35 Design arc-cs ltd www.arc-cs.com Advertising Adrian Messina CLIMATE RISK COST TRANSPARENCY Tel: +44 (0)20 7601 1722 A TRUSTEE PRIORITY INITIATIVE Email: adrian.messina@plsa.co.uk CASE STUDIES Ben Harwood Tel: +44 (0)20 7601 1752 Email: ben.harwood@plsa.co.uk 40 42 45 ISSN 2398-7626 © Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association 2020. All rights reserved. Published by the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association, a company registered RETIREMENT LIVING SAVING FOR LATER LIFE GENTLE GUIDANCE: in England and Wales. Company number STANDARDS A FUTURE STRATEGY MENTORING IN PENSIONS 1130269. INDUSTRY RESPONSES 24 Chiswell Street London EC1Y 4TY The views expressed in this publication are not necessarily the views of the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association. Viewpoint Issue 1 2020 3
C CEO’s Viewpoint CEO’S Viewpoint Julian Mund reflects on another big year for the PLSA and looks ahead to 2020. WELCOME TO THE FIRST place and are in the early stages of developing programmes to address VIEWPOINT OF 2020 AND THE the issues you tell us about most FIRST OF A DECADE IN WHICH when we go out and meet you. In THE PLSA WILL CELEBRATE ITS the last month or so we’ve been in Belfast, Didcot, Essex, Coventry, CENTENARY. Shropshire, Norfolk, Edinburgh and Now we’re into the new year, things many other places hearing what are starting to take shape as we make matters to you. progress on our major initiatives And of course, as Viewpoint reaches for 2020. The biggest of these is you, we’ll be back in Edinburgh for the new PLSA Pensions Technology this year’s Investment Conference, Conference, which will take place on the first major milestone of the 26 November at the Hilton London PLSA year. We’re looking at Mind Tower Bridge. There are some over Markets, considering how we fantastic developments in tech going approach some of the biggest risks on in our industry, and the PLSA has and opportunities for pension funds a crucial role to play – what we call today – with a strong climate risk our captaincy role – in bringing them theme to the event. That’s been one together so that more of our members of Guy Opperman’s key challenges can benefit from tech innovation recently, and the Minister will be and we can make sure our policy back with us once again to speak work supports tech developments. about the Pension Schemes Bill. He The programme is coming soon but joins a fantastic line-up of speakers, you can book your place now on and I’m very pleased that you can our website and join people from read some of their thoughts inside. schemes, consultancies and tech Anyone who can’t make the event can providers who’ve already signed up sign up for live web-streaming, see to attend. interviews with key speakers on social Meanwhile planning for our other media and catch up on our YouTube four conferences is underway or channel. getting underway soon. Our Local Enjoy reading the first edition of Authority Conference will focus on Viewpoint of 2020. And if you have those perennial LGPS challenges such a story to tell – get in touch with our as governance, data and investment team on viewpoint@plsa.co.uk. that shift in nature with the evolution of the scheme, the asset pools and the scheme’s unique public sector operating environment. The Annual Conference – back in Liverpool this year – and the Trustee Conference in London are a little further off, but Julian Mund we’re putting their infrastructure in Chief Executive 4 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
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A Article IS DEMOCRACY SAFE IN THE Jamie Bartlett, author and plenary speaker at this year’s PLSA Investment Conference, sounds the alarm. ANY SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT NEEDS Perhaps worst of all is how democracy no longer fit for the day’s challenges. A TO BE IN TUNE WITH THE TIME – THOSE feels out of sync with people’s expectations whimper rather than a bang. THAT DON’T ARE DESTINED TO BE of how the world works. Democracy Fortunately, democracy – just like artificial OVERTHROWN, DEGENERATE, OR has barely changed since the advent of intelligence – is multi-purpose and has OTHERWISE FIZZLE OUT. DEMOCRACY universal suffrage, while everything else always reinvented itself to match its time. REMAINS, AS CHURCHILL ONCE SAID, is unrecognisable. Online is life instant, It must do so again. Election laws must be “THE WORST KIND OF GOVERNMENT, copiable, digitised, ranked. People expect rewritten to ensure all digital ads follow EXCEPT FOR ALL THE OTHERS THAT HAVE speed, convenience, personalised perfection. the same code as their analogue equivalent. BEEN TRIED” BUT IT INCREASINGLY FEELS Democracy can’t do that – you rarely get Police forces need to reconsider their DATED, INCOMPATIBLE WITH THE WAY what you want, and certainly not right away. geographic set-up. Even the vote itself THE WORLD WORKS. In boring old democracies things take time should change – a single tick-in-a-box once and are imperfect – the very things that every five years is anaemic at a time where All democracies depend on certain Silicon Valley has waged war on, and that everyone reviews their restaurant, taxi, and institutions to function. Voting is just one many people have come to expect. The result friends’ holiday snaps. piece of the kit. It also needs elections is frustration. people can trust, citizens who are capable These things aren’t impossible. That All indications suggest this incompatibility of moral judgement, a free and fair press, a democracy is unsafe isn’t necessarily a bad will grow. Imagine an election in 20 years strong middle class, a functioning criminal thing, because it’s the necessary stimulus from now, with smart fridges, 40 years of justice system and so on. Here is the core for change. Democracy’s greatest strength, user data and bot-generated ads. Or a hacker problem: all of these things were created as opposed to “all the others that have been breaking into your pacemaker. Or perfectly in an analogue age, but now operate in a tried”, is its ability for constant reinvention faked video footage. Are our democracies digital one where the old rules don’t quite and renewal. ready for this? We’ve barely come to terms work. Examples: online drugs markets that with the television. the UK police can’t shut down, because dealers are using powerful encryption; Democracy’s decline is not a matter of millions of people’s data stolen by hackers opinion, either. Empirical studies find the who operate openly outside our jurisdiction; world has gotten less democratic in the last Jamie Bartlett will be wildly misleading election adverts that 20 years; and a survey released earlier this speaking at the PLSA’s the authorities can’t seem to monitor; a year found record levels of dissatisfaction. Investment Conference on collapsing local press. Once you start looking The great risk to democracy is not from an for examples of where analogue systems are arm-waving demagogue, nor from rogue Friday 13 March struggling with digital life, you’ll find them artificial intelligence taking over. It is, everywhere. rather, the slow and sad decline of a system 6 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
Advertising Feature MEETING THE CHALLENGE: FIXED INCOME INVESTING IN 2020 With Europe characterised by negative rates and subdued bond yields, Nick Maroutsos, Co-Manager of the Absolute Return Income strategy, explains how the team seeks to meet the objectives of an absolute return fixed income portfolio. Do negative rates in Europe present a challenge for Some of the large risks that we see also pertain to the credit space so it’s not a matter of just blindly buying credit and riding the credit wave investors? because valuations in credit are very rich. It doesn’t mean that there’s not There are many ways that we can stay positive in a negative interest rate value to be had there. But ultimately we believe that investors need to be environment. The first case, I think the best case, is that we just avoid a lot more realistic about the asset that they’re buying and the value of negative interest rate debt. To us, I think it sort of flies in the face of every the asset that they’re buying. textbook that we’ve read. Now it doesn’t mean that negative interest rate debt or negative-yielding debt can’t move more negative. The feeling is Are there areas that you particularly like? that there are better opportunities that are out there, whether it’s looking One of the key sectors that we like is financials so we tend to be a large at a variety of different sectors or a variety of different countries for owner of Australian financials as well as monopolistic type entities investment opportunities and looking to hedge those back to the base in Singapore, Hong Kong, etc. Furthermore, we like the US financial currencies in ways that you can still achieve positive returns in a low markets, particularly the major deposit-taking institutions or the “Too interest rate environment. Big to Fail” type banks in the US. Some of the asset classes that we don’t like within the credit sector are energy and autos which don’t make Is it important to avoid a home-country bias when up a large portion of our portfolios. We think that given the economic investing? backdrop, particularly as the economy leads to more of a slowdown for Our belief is that you do not need to adopt a home-country bias 2020, those assets will likely underperform over the next 12 months. when it comes to investing in debt. I believe that there are numerous opportunities that exist around the world whether it be in a variety of What is focusing your mind in early 2020? different countries or sectors. So when populating or investing in a euro- One of the long-term indicators that we tend to focus on year in year out based portfolio you don’t have to own only European assets. You can is the path of interest rates. What are central bank expectations for a year own European issuers in other currencies or you can try to find proxies for a particular country? But also what’s priced into the market in terms of for those assets and identify sectors that are attractive in other regions the directionality of interest rates over the course of that year? That tends that still spin off positive income and positive yields. to be a focus because ultimately, as bond investors, we need to take a view either for or against that in order to outperform the market. More near How does an idea first come to you? term some of the issues that we’re looking at for 2020 centre around the Given our open mandate ideas come more on the macro level to start US election, the trade tensions between the US and China, as well as Fed with. We take a very long-term view of the market but then we ultimately policy because ultimately we believe that Fed policy is going to be one of filter that down to what we expect is going to happen in markets over the things that dictates future policy for other central banks for 2020. the next six to 12 months. It’s a function of interest rates globally. It’s a function of central bank policy, employment and other economic data Why should investors consider absolute return income? that ultimately leads us to where we want to be positioned on a duration In our view, the rationale for owning absolute return income over other perspective as well as on a credit perspective. So from that point we asset classes within the fixed income landscape is very simple and that ultimately filter down the universe to a much more micro level where is that we start with a clean sheet of paper. We are benchmark-agnostic we are able to identify what we believe to be the best risk-adjusted meaning that we look to identify the best risk-adjusted opportunity for the opportunities. level of risk that we’re taking. Ultimately trying to achieve a positive return regardless of what the market is doing but still trying to maintain the Where are you finding opportunities and risks? same key characteristics of traditional fixed income: those being capital We are typically very optimistic about 2020 and the investment protection, income generation, low levels of volatility, and diversification. opportunities that are around; largely because of the US Federal Reserve Similarly, absolute return income can fall within numerous buckets within (Fed) and other central banks looking to backstop markets and provide the fixed income class. It doesn’t actually fall in one particular bucket. the liquidity and ultimately keep the party going but also because we’re The first is that we aim to enhance cash and by accepting a modest also faced with an environment where rates are likely to continue to move amount of more volatility we can look to achieve a higher return than lower. So therefore we are looking for the best opportunities in countries what your investors are getting in the cash portfolios. Secondly we where rates are going to be moving lower but also in countries and in can serve as a complement to core fixed income. Typically, core fixed sectors where credit spreads are priced for the best return potential. And income has much longer duration than we have had historically and in our belief is that it is in monopolistic-type entities and in Australia as well an environment where there is a lot of uncertainty around the path of as various opportunities in the US corporate debt markets. interest rates we can serve as a risk mitigator against that core portfolio. For promotional purposes. This article is intended solely for the use of professionals, defined as Eligible Counterparties or Professional Clients, and is not for general public distribution. Janus Henderson Investors is the name under which investment products and services are provided by Janus Capital International Limited (reg no. 3594615), Henderson Global Investors Limited (reg. no. 906355), Henderson Investment Funds Limited (reg. no. 2678531), AlphaGen Capital Limited (reg. no. 962757), Henderson Equity Partners Limited (reg. no.2606646), (each registered in England and Wales at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3AE and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority) and Henderson Management S.A. (reg no. B22848 at 2 Rue de Bitbourg, L-1273, Luxembourg and regulated by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier). Janus Henderson, Janus, Henderson, Perkins, Intech, Alphagen, VelocityShares, Knowledge. Shared and Knowledge Labs are trademarks of Janus Henderson Group plc or one of its subsidiaries. © Janus Henderson Group plc. CCAT1241/0220
F Feature SUPPORTING STEWARDSHIP As good stewardship comes under renewed focus, Caroline Escott introduces the annual PLSA Voting Guidelines. FOR THE AUTUMN 2019 EDITION OF Less well reported, but no less important VIEWPOINT, WE COVERED ‘THE RISE AND for schemes and their members, is the renewed focus on how schemes act as good RISE OF ESG’, DISCUSSING THE PLETHORA OF stewards of their assets. The Financial POLICY INITIATIVES AIMED AT ENCOURAGING Reporting Council – the UK’s stewardship TRUSTEES TO CONSIDER FINANCIALLY and corporate governance watchdog – MATERIAL ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND defines stewardship as “the responsible GOVERNANCE FACTORS. allocation, management and oversight of capital to create long-term value for clients How schemes act as responsible investors and beneficiaries leading to sustainable is not an issue that is going to go away benefits for the economy, the environment now that 2020 is here. This will be the and society.” At the PLSA, we believe that year that schemes face increased scrutiny schemes’ fiduciary duty to protect and and pressure from policymakers and the enhance the value of individuals’ retirement public on two related but distinct issues. savings requires them to take an active Firstly, with British MPs declaring an role – either directly or through their asset “environmental and climate emergency” managers – to monitor, engage and (if and the growing prominence of groups necessary) intervene on matters affecting such as Extinction Rebellion and activists investee companies’ long-term value. like Greta Thunberg, investing to mitigate Although such issues could include ESG climate change1 will be increasingly high- factors – and the best stewardship usually profile in the run up to the UK hosting the takes place alongside a thoughtful ESG UN’s COP26 climate change conference in approach – schemes should be willing to November. exercise their stewardship responsibilities on any issue of concern. 8 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
Feature F THE PLSA HAS PRODUCED ITS ANNUAL VOTING GUIDELINES SINCE 2013, TO SUPPORT INVESTORS IN CONSIDERING HOW AND ON WHAT ISSUES TO CAST THEIR VOTE DURING COMPANY AGMS 2020 will see a whole swathe of different Guidelines. The PLSA has produced its Secondly, that even though many schemes policy initiatives aimed at stewardship annual Voting Guidelines since 2013, to may not have their own dedicated specifically: support investors in considering how and on stewardship resource, this does not abdicate what issues to cast their vote during company them from their responsibility to act as 4 The second stage of the 2018 changes AGMs. This year’s document is bigger stewards nor does it mean they cannot do to the Occupational Pension Schemes and better than ever, as we have worked anything. A key objective of our guidance is (Investment) Regulations 2005. with members to update our guidance in to ensure schemes are better informed about These will see new public disclosure response to policy developments to ensure what activities managers are taking on their requirements for schemes on their that it provides practical and step-by-step behalf, and what questions and expectations ‘implementation statements’, where they help for all schemes when thinking about schemes should be setting. The entire will have to state how they implemented stewardship, engagement and how exercising document should be used as a tool with the policies which they set out in their their vote sits within broader considerations. which to hold not just asset managers, but Statement of Investment Principles the also consultants and custodians, to account previous year. The PLSA believes that there are certain on their stewardship activities. steps that schemes need to take if they 4 The 2019 changes to the Investment are to produce a considered and effective Our usual Voting Guidelines have also been Regulations. These changes implemented stewardship approach. updated to reflect our views and regulatory the European Union’s Second and market developments on key issues Shareholder Rights Directive (SRD II) of concern – including audit, executive and require further detail on trustee remuneration and dividend payments – and stewardship policies to be publicly 1) Work through the scheme’s explaining how, on which resolutions and disclosed by various deadlines in 2020 investment strategy, policy and under which circumstances investors should and 2021. For DB schemes in particular – objectives vote. We also dig down further this year into which had been exempt from this element key issues such as: 2) Develop and agree trustee of the 2018 changes – this will mean they investment beliefs need to do so on the relevant issues. 4 How to assess a shareholder resolution on 3) Decide the role both stewardship climate change 4 The 2020 Stewardship Code. The Code is and the integration of ESG factors a voluntary comply-or-explain initiative play within this framework 4 The implications of securities lending on a run by the FRC and “aims to enhance the scheme’s portfolio 4) Consider what constitutes an quality of engagement between investors appropriate engagement strategy and companies to help improve long-term 4 The importance of using a vote to hold and plan directors individually accountable risk-adjusted returns to shareholders.” Since 2010, all UK-authorised asset 5) Formulate an approach or policy 4 The issues around voting in pooled funds. managers must produce a statement of for voting decisions commitment to the UK Stewardship Code 6) Communicate expectations to Being a good steward is an intrinsic or explain why it is not appropriate for service providers part of being a responsible investor and them to do so. The Code was updated in fundamental to fulfilling schemes’ fiduciary 7) Monitor and hold asset managers 2020 to include explicit references to ESG duties to members. We hope that our new to account factors, a shift towards more outcome- annual Stewardship Guide and Voting focused reporting, a new set of Principles Guidelines will support schemes of all for service providers and a broader focus shapes, sizes and types in doing so. on good stewardship beyond equities. INCREASED STEWARDSHIP SUPPORT Our guidance covers the issues above in THE ENTIRE DOCUMENT much more detail, but a few things are worth emphasising. Firstly, that a key way to put SHOULD BE USED AS A TOOL Although the PLSA has always provided stewardship into practice is engagement – by WITH WHICH TO HOLD NOT significant practical support to schemes on stewardship – with a particular emphasis on which we mean purposeful dialogue with JUST ASSET MANAGERS, BUT how they ensure asset managers, consultants investee companies – and not just voting. ALSO CONSULTANTS AND and custodians are undertaking stewardship Engagement can take a number of different forms, from working with other investors or CUSTODIANS, TO ACCOUNT on their behalf – we will be stepping up our bodies, to direct meetings with companies, or ON THEIR STEWARDSHIP support this year. from adding your voice to a collective letter, ACTIVITIES One of the most popular strands of our to lobbying policymakers on key issues. stewardship support is the recently published Schemes should consider how best they can annual Stewardship Guide and Voting use all the stewardship tools at their disposal. 1. Explored in this edition of Viewpoint Viewpoint Issue 1 2020 9
A Article PLSA INVESTMENT CONFERENCE 2020: MIND OVER MARKETS Rachel Pine looks forward to a diverse and compelling event in Edinburgh. WHAT DO AMERICAN RAPPER Investment Conference 2020, SNOOP DOGG, BRITISH titled ‘Mind over markets’, looks to empower the voices around JOURNALIST AND NOVELIST the trustee and management RUDYARD KIPLING AND THE UK’S tables of the UK’s schemes to PENSIONS INDUSTRY HAVE IN meet coming opportunities and COMMON? NOT ALL THAT MUCH, challenges head on, including ACTUALLY, BUT IN BUILDING new legislation included in the THIS YEAR’S INVESTMENT Pension Schemes Bill, potential CONFERENCE PROGRAMME, changes arising from the 2020 Budget and new, stricter WE FOUND OURSELVES TAKING guidelines that will result in INSPIRATION FROM A WIDE schemes having to model their RANGE OF SOURCES. portfolios to reflect future climate scenarios. In mid-2019, with the world experiencing a good amount of Clearly our industry has much to geopolitical upheaval, interest consider, which is why we built a programme that pulls together We have new streams this year: reporting to the role of gold in a rates on life support and commentary that looks not just as well as our hugely popular pension portfolio. various recession indicators at the UK, but at economies DB and DC Investing streams, flirting with their red zones, we As signatories to HMT’s around the world, with speakers we’ve added Global Markets and looked over the many topics Women in Finance Charter, we from not just the pensions Climate streams – both geared we hoped to cover at IV20. It endeavour to even up the gender industry, but from technology, to helping schemes understand became clear that no matter balance on our programme, and government, central banking and new areas of potential risk and which subjects and speakers the this year we’ve gone one step journalism, among other fields. reward. conference programme would further, with a speaker cohort eventually include, trustees Over the three days we’re In response to requests from that is perhaps more diverse than would need to have the courage bringing lots of content to help our members, who let us know we’ve ever presented in the past, of their convictions to steer their attendees keep their ‘mind over they wanted more time and in terms of experience as well schemes toward the best possible markets’ – noted economist opportunity for peer networking, as characteristics. We’ll also be outcome. They would need to Gerard Lyons who’ll speak on we’ve added a new type of looking at diversity in a special believe in their own decision- the UK’s evolving economy, session to the programme – plenary session that starts with making capabilities, as well as Guy Opperman, our Pensions Discussions in the Round, Baroness Sayeeda Warsi talking those of the decision-makers Minister, who’ll discuss the which are participatory, small about her own experience of they employ to give advice, and Pension Schemes Bill, the group discussions on a variety being a first, and in many cases those who invest on their behalf. Budget and his new emphasis on of topics from the materiality of an only woman/Asian/Muslim/ To be confident, while being climate, and noted technology ESG to fiduciary management, young person in various roles, aware of all the potential risks big thinker Jamie Bartlett, who’ll operational governance and and continues with a panel and pitfalls. As Kipling wrote in show us how the dark net may be more. Look for these in the new, of industry leaders debating his immortal poem ‘If’: threatening our very democracy. extended afternoon breaks on if any one area of diversity is Wednesday and Thursday. more important to promote ‘If you can keep your head We’ve even gone as far as a than others – it’s sure to be a when all about you Nevada brothel for this year’s And, as so many of you told us contentious session that will be programme, with economist you wanted to have even more Are losing theirs and utterly compelling to watch. and retirement expert content, we’ve changed up our blaming it on you’. Allison Schrager, author of famous fishbowl – the Learning We hope that Investment This line of thinking also brought An Economist Walks Into a Hub – to include ‘Lightning Conference 2020 will leave to mind Snoop Dogg’s perhaps Brothel, a book that describes Rounds’, short sessions that you with lots to think about, more mortal, but no less apropos how various non-financial explain specific investment lots to discuss with colleagues line, “With my mind on my sectors evaluate their own risks, themes, from portfolio and peers, and above all, an money and my money on my including racehorse breeders, robustness to a workshop on understanding of how to keep mind”. restaurants and big wave surfers. climate measurement and your mind over markets. 10 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
The Governance Gap Nick Horsfall, What might trustees and advisors be missing? Managing Director, AMX Good governance of a pension scheme is important. A good starting 3. Effective treasury management. Excess cash in a portfolio may point for looking at governance is the framework offered by The often be left in a custody account, garnering little or no interest. Pensions Regulator (TPR) which states that good governance requires By using an efficient automated cash management strategy, trustees to set up a process to identify, evaluate and manage risks on an trustees can ensure that assets held within portfolios are ongoing basis. By establishing and operating adequate internal controls, maximising financial returns for scheme members, resulting trustees are able to manage the risks associated with their scheme. in a 0.10%–0.20% p.a. increase in return for some funds.* In essence, good governance means that trustees are aware of the 4. Cost and tax management. Managing costs and reclaiming tax hazards associated with a pension scheme and take actions to is clearly important. However, these steps are not always taken, reduce those risks in line with TPR’s best-practice framework. leading to a drag on returns. For example, despite the UK/USA joint tax treaty, US fund managers using OEIC and SICAV structures Managers, trustees and pension scheme advisors have to manage can be subject to tax of 30% on returns paid out in dividends. multiple demands and guard against a range of risks cited by TPR. Using tax transparent fund structures like Irish-domiciled Common Yet hazards under the category of operational procedures and Contractual Funds (CCFs), allows for ‘looking through’ the tax technical systems can contain ‘hidden risks’ which are often status of investors, in order to maximise the value of tax treaties neglected, creating what we describe as ‘the governance gap’. and minimise costs. Below are five key areas where AMX believe that improving 5. Working with counterparties. Managing counterparty risk is operational capabilities can avoid hazards and support good vital because some of a fund’s assets can be held in the accounts pension scheme governance: of third parties. If these entities go into administration, such assets 1. Mitigating trade errors. Errors made while buying and selling can be extremely hard to reclaim. Each counterparty should be assets can reduce investment returns and cost investors significant robust. They need to have a strong credit score, be fit-for-purpose amounts over time. A standardised process, formally set out with and have good process management. portfolio managers, can be valuable in spotting trade errors early. When a scheme is well-governed, it mitigates risk more effectively 2. Fund liquidity management. As many as four in ten European and is agile enough to take advantage of opportunities. But good high-yield bond funds would not have enough liquid assets governance cannot take a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach – it is not a set- immediately available to meet investor withdrawals in the event and-forget exercise, but rather a frequently evolving paradigm. Funds of a market shock, according to the European Securities and must monitor the emergence of new risks in order to develop the robust Markets Authority. Ongoing monitoring of fund liquidity is vital to operational infrastructure and independent risk oversight to properly ensure that the liquidity of underlying assets matches that of the manage them. Because ultimately, good management of risk in pension fund and its redemption terms. schemes greatly improves the likelihood of providing savers with a good retirement. *Source AMX Five key areas where operational capability can support scheme 1 2 3 4 5 governance: Mitigating Fund liquidity Cost and tax Working with trade errors management management management counterparties If you would like to discuss any of the issues raised in this synopsis or read the full report, please contact us using the details below. Email: clients@theAmx.com | Website: https://theAMX.com/Governance The Asset Management Exchange and AMX are trading names of The Asset Management Exchange (Ireland) Limited, The Asset Management Exchange (UK) Limited and The Asset Management Exchange (IP Co.) Limited.
Article A THE BIG SHIFT Experts from the PLSA’s Investment Conference panel discuss the implications for trustees of a potential move from RPI to CPIH. THE OFFICE FOR Q NATIONAL STATISTICS WHAT ACTIONS SHOULD BE ON EVERY TRUSTEE BOARD’S TO-DO LIST WHEN PREPARING FOR THE POTENTIAL SHIFT FROM RPI TO CPIH? (ONS) HAS SAID THAT IT WANTS TO PHASE A A Every trustee should understand the The topic of RPI reform is an extremely OUT THE RPI FORMULAE implications of any shift for their scheme complex matter with positive and negative AND USE CPIH INSTEAD, especially those with CPI-linked liabilities, outcomes and for their members. For some schemes – for different pensions schemes. Before making any change I strongly advise NO LATER THAN 2030. forced by necessity to hedge with RPI- linked assets – the impact of the current trustee boards to ensure that they have conducted appropriate scenario analysis ALTHOUGH DETAILS AND be very negative. In other cases it would be tofunding proposal, to align the RPI with CPIH, could understand how their pension scheme’s level and deficit would be impacted TIMESCALES ARE STILL members’ benefits that will be impacted (e.g. a fall in transfer values, cash lump sums, along with any risks introduced by making changes to their hedging strategy. Once IN FLUX, THE POTENTIAL future pension increases). We have published considered, I encourage trustee boards to information on the proposals and their respond to the RPI reform consultation due MOVE COULD HAVE A potential implications at www.rpireform. to be issued in March 2020. SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON for those considering what to do. com, and hope this will be a useful resource Paras Shah PENSION SCHEMES. We would encourage every trustee board Head of Liability Driven Investment, Cardano to consider responding to the government consultation on the changes. Given the likely negative effects, we believe it is preferable to avoid creating winners and losers by aligning the RPI with CPIH plus a margin. Jos Vermeulen Head of Solutions Design, Client Solutions Group, Insight Investments Viewpoint Issue 1 2020 13
A Article A CHANGED INVESTMENT CLIMATE Pensions Minister Guy Opperman explains why the climate crisis should be the number one issue for every scheme. AS THE SECOND LONGEST SERVING POST- I realise the TCFD recommendations are When the Bill completes its passage, we will WAR MINISTER FOR PENSIONS I HAVE unfamiliar to many and can be daunting formally consult on how we move towards to apply to pension schemes. That’s why mandatory TCFD reporting for large NOW STEERED A NUMBER OF POLICIES my officials and I have been delighted pension schemes. I will use the evidence FROM RECOMMENDATION THROUGH TO to support Stuart O’Brien of Sackers, to assess what schemes also need from LEGISLATION. ONE OF MY PROUDEST and others on the Pensions Climate Risk asset managers and insurers as we need ACHIEVEMENTS IN POST IS TO INTRODUCE Industry Group (see page 31), developing disclosures along the whole length of the NEW POLICIES THAT TACKLE THE GREATEST the first pension scheme-specific guidance. chain. CHALLENGE TO OUR FUTURE – CLIMATE This will be launched on Thursday 12 March Climate change is a risk more profound and at the PLSA Investment Conference. Stuart From the Law Commission’s report in June far-reaching to pension savers’ finances and his team have done excellent work in 2017 to the introduction of new regulations than the more immediate concerns of integrating TCFD into the trustee decision- in October 2019, my officials and I have interest rates, inflation, individual company making process and ensuring it is relevant worked at pace to deliver a sea change in the performance or the market cycle. The very for governance bodies. way that pension schemes consider ESG and fact that it is not a cyclical risk, and that we – especially – climate risk. Building on this, are well into unknown territory without a we recently amended the Pension Schemes map, does not give us permission to ignore it. Bill, taking powers to require schemes to We all know the tools to manage climate report in line with the recommendations risk, and we should embrace the of the Taskforce on Climate-related opportunities of the low-carbon Financial Disclosures. transition. Working with pension schemes, I would like to thank the PLSA, civil society and organisations like Stuart, and everyone else who has the PLSA, we can take control of helped to deliver the Pensions our response to climate change Climate Risk Industry Group and change our future. guidance. I encourage you to But government cannot do respond to that consultation. this alone. Our amendments And if you go, I hope you to the Pension Schemes Bill have a very enjoyable and are a clear steer that this is enlightening conference. everyone’s problem. We need to make sure that every financial decision takes climate change into account. That means all of us. No pension scheme is too small to make a difference. I appreciate the new provisions in the Bill have caused consternation in some quarters, but that is unwarranted. The legislation places duties on trustees to review and assess the exposure of the scheme to climate change, and to determine investment strategies and targets. It does WE ALL KNOW THE TOOLS TO MANAGE CLIMATE not give government a power to determine investment strategies or targets. These will RISK, AND WE SHOULD EMBRACE THE OPPORTUNITIES remain matters for trustees alone. OF THE LOW-CARBON TRANSITION 14 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
Feature F ESG IS IN EVERY STEP WE TAKE In every investment we make. In every view we take. ESG factors are integral to everything we do. Why? Because we believe they can impact your investment outcomes. To learn more search: Franklin ESG. For Professional Investor Use Only. Not for Distribution to Retail Investors. The value of investments and any income received from them can go down as well as up, and you may get back less than you invested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Issued by Franklin Templeton Investment Management Limited, Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N 6HL. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. © 2020 Franklin Templeton. All rights reserved. Viewpoint Issue 3 2019 15
THE MEMBER BACKING PENSIONS AND LIFETIME SAVINGS ASSOCIATION TRUSTEE TRAINING PROGRAMME LEARN THE THEORY AND PRACTICE OF BEING A PENSION SCHEME TRUSTEE ON OUR POPULAR COURSES. 100% OF DELEGATES WOULD RECOMMEND THE COURSES TO A The most important ingredient of COLLEAGUE good pension scheme governance is the people who provide it: pension scheme trustees. They play an important, complex and rewarding role in delivering good outcomes for scheme members. Our trustee training programme PART 1 - THE THEORY 5 May | 22 Sept | 7 Oct | 4 Nov helps new trustees, people interested in becoming a trustee, and more PART 2 - THE PRACTICE experienced trustees to understand 25 Mar | 10 June | 22 Oct | 17 Nov their role and responsibilities and the PART 3 - THE EXPERT issues they’ll deal with. 14 May | 24 Sept | 1 Dec For more information please visit www.plsa.co.uk
Article A MEET THE BOARD: JOHN DEMBITZ Maggie Williams talks to experienced NED and business consultant John Dembitz about his work on the PLSA board. Q Q but I then rapidly said “Hang on a moment, I think this could pensions. Change is being driven by technology (especially related COULD YOU TELL ME A be really interesting given the to the dashboard), legislation LITTLE ABOUT YOUR CAREER magnitude of changes taking (related to tax, freedom of TO DATE, AND HOW YOU place. So, yes, but with whom?” choice, and DC) and competition STARTED WORKING WITH THE (multi-trusts, funds and IFAs). To be frank I had never heard of PLSA AS A NED? the NAPF (National Association of Pension Funds – prior to Q A rebranding as the PLSA), but why would I have? The NAPF WHAT DO YOU ENJOY ABOUT My career divides into three was looking for someone WORKING WITH THE PLSA distinct stages: professional, from outside the sector, with accessible, easy to understand AND THE PENSIONS SECTOR? entrepreneurial and plural. and all-encompassing. Thirdly, good NED experience and The first of these (professional) commenced with McKinsey the some ‘relevant’ professional simplicity and clarity of communication as to what A background. I seemed to tick Just about everything! The global management consultancy, is going on within pensions most of the boxes, and was board is very inclusive, and progressed to a FTSE 100, then and how it is impacting on invited to join the board as the open dialogue and debate is a merchant bank, and in 1985 everyone’s lives is essential. first selected NED from outside encouraged and welcomed. I to being appointed as CEO the sector. I have argued for some time that value hugely the interaction not of a corporate and financial communications consultancy. we need a pensions equivalent only with my board colleagues My entrepreneurial career Q of the ‘Tell Sid’ advertising campaign, launched to get the but with PLSA staff as well. I have never been made to started just after the collapse AS A VERY EXPERIENCED UK population engaged with feel like an outsider, quite of the Berlin Wall. My brother NED WITH WIDE-RANGING the privatisation of previously the opposite, my non-sector and I joined forces and created BUSINESS EXPERIENCE, nationalised industries in experience has been welcomed our own business that morphed WHAT DO YOU THINK ARE THE the 1980s, which was hugely as is evidenced by the fact that into an IT consultancy focused MAIN CHALLENGES FOR THE successful! We need to another independent director on Central and Eastern Europe. PENSIONS INDUSTRY? communicate with the general has been appointed. We grew this from zero to 350 public much more effectively people and $40 million of revenue in four years and sold it A about possibly the most critical I value the opportunity to partake in the key conferences The sector is going through huge financial decision of their lives: to Deloitte. how they will be able to afford – something the PLSA excels in, change. From my perspective, always fascinating and always of In 1998 I gave myself six the industry has three key their retirement and especially how they will be able to afford real value. It’s a privilege to be months to establish a number challenges. Firstly, the shift to involved with what is, without of advisory/non-executive roles DC and the implications for care in retirement. doubt, a highly professional with SMEs, which heralded the (a) the service providers such organisation that punches way beginning of my plural career. It happened much faster than as multi-trust, IFAs and fund managers; (b) the pensioner/ Q above its weight. I had anticipated – that was 22 beneficiaries and their decision- ARE THESE CHALLENGES A years ago and I’ve loved virtually making; and (c) government MIRRORED IN OTHER every day! regulation in respect of tax/ INDUSTRY SECTORS? freedom of choice/retirement Five years ago, I received a call from a head-hunter asking adequacy et al. A whether I’d be interested in a The second challenge is Only to some degree. Yes change Non-Executive Directorship the establishment and is impacting all sectors, but not (NED) in the pensions sector? implementation of a pensions quite to the same degree as what My knee-jerk reaction was ‘no’, dashboard that is readily is currently happening within Viewpoint Issue 1 2020 17
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Feature F EMERGING MARKETS – OUTLOOK FOR 2020 Charlotte Moore considers how the coronavirus and other factors may affect emerging markets in the year to come. WHILE THERE ARE MANY Bokor-Ingram adds: “Emerging coronavirus. Bokor-Ingram says: BEYOND CORONAVIRUS REASONS TO BE CHEERFUL market currencies were weak “Companies still have to make Once the impact of the over the last three to four years, their interest payments even if ABOUT THE OUTLOOK FOR BOTH coronavirus fades, however, which has reduced currency profitability slumps.” EMERGING MARKET DEBT AND the fundamental invest case risk.” EQUITY, INVESTORS WILL NEED If companies have a cash flow for emerging markets will re- TO SEE WHETHER THE IMPACT OF The pandemic is, however, crunch and are unable to make emerge. proving economically disruptive. their debt repayments, they’re THE CORONAVIRUS IS CONFINED The outlook for the two asset It’s also hard to predict the at risk of not being around to TO THE START OF THE YEAR OR classes – equities and debt – impact it will have on the benefit from the post-virus WHETHER ITS EFFECTS LAST differs. It will be shaped by emerging markets as we don’t recovery. LONGER. how each performed last year, know how long it will last. Should the impact of coronavirus the impact of the economic Andrey Kuznetsov, senior Rupert Watson, head of asset last long enough, companies environment and the relative portfolio manager at Federated allocation at Mercer, says: “Over could be unable to make their value of each asset class to Hermes, says: “Before the short term, coronavirus will debt repayments and could go developed markets. coronavirus emerged, the slow growth and be negative for bust, adds Bokor-Ingram. outlook for 2020 was positive Last year was a particularly the Chinese economy and other for emerging corporate credit But the corporate credit markets strong year for emerging emerging market economies.” markets.” should be better able to shrug corporate debt markets. Tapan Certain sectors will bear the off any short-term downturn Datta, head of asset allocation Dominic Bokor-Ingram, chief brunt of the impact, such caused by the coronavirus as at Aon, says: “This was driven investment officer at i Capital, as retail, hospitality and most are investment grade and by the fall in US Treasury yields agrees: “On 1 January, things entertainment. Bokor-Ingram have strong balance sheets, says and the chain of rate cuts at were looking upbeat for these says: “Any business which relies Kuznetsov. emerging market central banks.” asset classes.” on significant numbers of people At the moment, most investors Not only did the US Federal being at a particular location will A number of factors contributed think the impact of the Reserve cut the cost of borrowing be affected.” to that optimistic assessment. pandemic will be most acute three times last year but around Kuznetsov says: “Economic In theory, the impact could be during the first three months of 60 emerging market central growth looked positive and the felt in both corporate debt and the year and then start to fade, banks also cut interest rates. low number of local elections equity markets as a dramatic fall with growth recovering as the meant political risk in economic output could affect year progresses. is constrained.” a company’s profitability and Watson says: “The big question financial health. is whether the slowdown caused Companies with high levels by coronavirus is confined to the of debt are more likely to be first quarter of the year or if it negatively impacted by the lasts for longer.” economic downturn of the Viewpoint Issue 1 2020 19
F Feature Datta says: “This was an even should also benefit equities as it stronger spree of rate cutting will provide economic stimulus. than after the global financial Manufacturing should also crisis.” Almost three-quarters improve in 2020 after a THE BENEFIT OF INVESTING IN EMERGING of the world’s leading developed moderate inventory cycle MARKETS FOR PENSION SCHEMES and emerging market central when stocks were run down. banks cut rates last year, he While the outlook for emerging markets may be Watson says: “Consumption adds. This created a significant positive – once the threat from the coronavirus has has remained strong which tail wind for emerging market subsided – pension schemes will only invest in this will provide the incentive for debt corporate credit as asset class if it matches their investment goals. manufacturing to pick up once investors chased the pickup in again.” Those targets vary whether it is a closed private sector yield in emerging market debt. defined benefit (DB) pension scheme, an open LGPS Emerging market equities Datta says: “Both dollar- fund or a defined contribution (DC) scheme. The latter also look good value. Actively denominated and local currency two have more similar targets than the former. managed global equity funds debt benefit because interest currently have one of the most A closed DB scheme is trying to generate sufficient rates were cut in both the US significant underweighting to growth to narrow its funding gap while not adding too and the emerging markets.” this region since 2008, says much risk. As LGPS funds are open and DC schemes In 2020, however, the impact of Bokor-Ingram. have no specific benefit payments to match, they can interest rate cuts will be more afford a more relaxed attitude to risk. muted for dollar-denominated “EM equities are also more undervalued relative to As a result, emerging market corporate debt is a better debt as the US Federal Reserve developed markets than they match for closed DB schemes as these assets are less is unlikely to cut further. Some have been for a decade,” he risky than equity. That’s partly because bonds are emerging market central banks adds. always less risky than equities, and also most EM are, however, still cutting rates, corporate bonds tend to be investment grade. such as India and Russia. The outlook for corporate profitability and cash flow Unlike other asset classes, where the number of Datta says: “This should generation looks strong. investors outweighs the potential supply, the number provide further support to local Over the last five years, many of corporate credit investments is increasing as new currency emerging market debt emerging market companies countries and companies start to issue more bonds. but it will depend on how these currencies perform relative to have improved the strength of Datta says: “This increase in supply allows investors to the US dollar.” their balance sheets, reducing diversify as well ensuring better returns for investors their debt and starting to pay though they will remain riskier than developed market In historical terms, the better dividends, says Bokor- equivalents.” greenback is looking expensive Ingram. relatively to virtually every The increase in the number of issues from this region other currency. Datta says: “As The negative impact of the trade of the world makes it hard for investors to ignore this the Federal Reserve is unlikely wars should lessen in 2020. asset class. Kuznetsov says: “Not investing in EMD to raise rates, there is no There is likely to be a pause would be to ignore a growing proportion of the credit reason to expect the dollar to in the current trade wars as universe.” strengthen further.” President Trump is unlikely to upset the apple cart during an While closed private sector schemes would be more As a result, local currency election year, says Watson. interested in emerging-market debt, emerging-market emerging market debt should equities could be part of the portfolio for both LGPS perform relatively well in 2020 There is always a chance the and DC schemes. and could outperform dollar- US elections could affect the denominated fixed income performance of emerging Bokor-Ingram says: “An allocation to emerging market if emerging market rate cuts markets later this year. equities gives investors the ability to translate excess continue and currencies hold Kuznetsov says: “Political growth into excess earnings and greater returns than their own against the dollar, he uncertainty in the world’s developed markets.” adds. largest economy has the ability Until recently, emerging markets have lagged the US’ to impact all other markets.” ability to generate higher returns. Earnings growth in In addition, the European Central Bank’s continued Volatility could start with the that market has been higher in the last three or four corporate bond programme will Democratic primaries and years because of share buybacks and higher dividends. suppress yields in this market, reach a peak in November. Bokor-Ingram says: “These factors have masked continuing to make returns in Kuznetsov says: “The elections the higher underlying corporate earnings growth of emerging credit markets look are unlikely, however, to emerging markets.” But now the number of US buy- attractive, says Kuznetsov. The derail emerging market backs is falling, emerging market growth will outstrip bids from the ECB also lower performance.” the US. volatility in European credit That’s because Trump looks markets which allows asset likely to win, there should be allocators to take more risk better year-on-year growth and in other asset classes, such as a tailwind of monetary policy emerging market credit, he adds. stimulus from last year. All Last year’s rate cutting spree by these factors should support emerging market central banks emerging markets, he adds. 20 Viewpoint Issue 1 2020
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