USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM (V-LEEP)
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USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM (V-LEEP) Quarterly Report FY17 Q3 (April – June 2017) July 15, 2017 – Revised August 9, 2017 This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the sole responsibility of the Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. 1
USAID VIETNAM LOW EMISSION ENERGY PROGRAM (V-LEEP) Quarterly Report FY17 Q3 (April – June 2017) Prepared for: USAID/Vietnam, Environment and Social Development Office Prepared by: Contract No. AID-440-TO-15-00003 July 15, 2017 – Revised August 9, 2017 The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms and Abbreviations .................................................................................................. i Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. 1 Báo Cáo Tóm Tắt ..................................................................................................................... 2 V-LEEP Overview ..................................................................................................................... 3 Progress and Achievements ................................................................................................... 4 Component 1: Low Emission Strategy Development for the Energy Sector.............................4 Component 2: Enhance Capacity and Improve Enabling Environment for RE Development ... 4 Component 3: Increase Energy Efficiency Adoption and Compliance ....................................7 Cross-cutting Activities ............................................................................................................9 Project Management ...............................................................................................................9 Progress by Performance Indicators .....................................................................................11 Considerations and Challenges .............................................................................................12 FY17 Q4 Project Forecast .......................................................................................................13 Component 1: Low Emission Strategy Development for the Energy Sector........................... 13 Component 2: Enhance Capacity and Improve Enabling Environment for RE Development . 13 Component 3: Increase Energy Efficiency Adoption and Compliance .................................. 14 Cross-cutting Activities ..........................................................................................................14 Cooperation with Other USG and Donor Programs..............................................................15 USAID Vietnam Clean Energy Program ................................................................................15 Vietnam Central Province Green Growth Growth Action Plan ...............................................15 USAID Clean Power Asia ......................................................................................................15 Clean Energy Investment Accelerator ...................................................................................15 USAID Greening the Grid ......................................................................................................15 Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment and Resilience ............................. 15 Other International Donor Programs......................................................................................15
ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ADB Asian Development Bank AFD Agence Française de Développement CEIA Clean Energy Investment Accelerator CEADIR Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment and Resilience CMVP Certified Measurement and Verification Professional CPA Clean Power Asia DANIDA Danish International Development Agency DOIT Department of Industry and Trade DPPA Direct Power Purchase Agreement EE Energy Efficiency EIB European Investment Bank ERAV Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam ESCO Energy Service Company EU European Union EVN Electricity Vietnam FY Fiscal Year GDE General Directorate of Energy GIZ Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GVN Government of Vietnam HCMC Ho Chi Minh City IFC International Finance Corporation IZ Industrial Zone JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency KfW German Development Bank (Bank for Reconstruction) LASUCO Lam Son Sugar Joint Stock Company MOC Ministry of Construction MOF Ministry of Finance MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade MONRE Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment MPI Ministry of Planning and Investment NDC National Determined Contributions NDF Nordic Development Fund NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory PAD Project Assistance Document PGGAP Provincial Green Growth Action Plan PPC Peoples Provincial Committee PPP Public Private Partnership PV Photovoltaic RDMA Regional Development Mission for Asia RE Renewable Energy SECO Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SME Small and Medium Enterprise TBD To be determined UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization USAID United States Agency for International Development USG United States Government VASEP Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers VBMA Vietnam Building Material Association VCEP USAID Vietnam Clean Energy Program VICEM Vietnam National Cement Corporation VINATEX Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group VITAS Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association VNCA Vietnam Cement Association VNSteel Vietnam Steel Corporation VPPA Vietnam Pulp and Paper Association VSA Vietnam Steel Association VSSA Vietnam Sugar Cane and Sugar Association i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The primary focus of V-LEEP’s efforts in Q3 was advancing the US government’s (USG) priority of enabling foreign companies to meet their global renewable energy (RE) and sustainability commitments through Direct Power Purchase Agreements (DPPAs). Foreign direct investors have voiced a desire to use DPPAs as a method for achieving these goals. The Government of Vietnam (GVN) has engaged the Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam (ERAV) to work in close collaboration with V-LEEP to respond to this appeal from the private sector. In partnership with ERAV, and harnessing a whole-of-government approach that leverages key resources such as the Clean Energy Investment Accelerator (CEIA), V-LEEP is coordinating a multi-pronged approach that will specify the legal and institutional changes required to enable DPPA in Vietnam. The effort will assess how other markets have applied DPPAs and how Vietnam can learn from these experiences as well as develop a model for DPPA transactions in Vietnam, recruit leading firms as buyers and sellers for a set of pilot programs, examine their experiences, and ultimately enable and promote full-scale adoption of DPPA. V-LEEP initiated two supplemental initiatives during Q3 that will continue during for the remainder of Year 2 as well as into Year 3 and underpin the success of DPPA efforts. The first of these is a program, which will select a cluster of provinces to support RE planning and streamlined project approval, particularly for solar photovoltaic (PV) projects. In these provinces V-LEEP will focus support on advancing specific RE projects, through services such as independent investment appraisal among others. In Q3, V-LEEP conducted the initial set of in-person consultations that it will combine with its earlier detailed desk studies to inform this selection. The second initiative will channel V-LEEP support for EE through assistance to industrial associations and their member companies. To support this approach, V-LEEP has signed formal project assistance documents (PADs) with the Vietnam Sugar Cane and Sugar Association (VSSA), Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (VITAS), Vietnam Steel Association (VSA), and Vietnam Steel Corporation (VN Steel). Other key achievements in Q3 include conducting technical training for industrial companies and energy service providers on methods to measure the performance of energy efficiency projects; finalizing a forecast of electricity tariffs for industrial consumers, which the program will release in Q4; completing site assessment recommendations for a 30 MW solar PV project sponsored by Lam Son Sugar Joint Stock Company (LASUCO); and co-hosting a premier women-in-energy event with the USAID Vietnam Clean Energy Program (VCEP) and UN-Habitat. V-LEEP also assembled its final project team, with the deployment of its Chief of Party; selection of two remaining Component Leads; and on-boarding of its Operations Director. 1
BÁO CÁO TÓM TẮT Trong Q3, V-LEEP tập trung chủ yếu vào các ưu tiên hỗ trợ của Chính phủ Hoa Kỳ (USG) nhằm giúp các công ty nước ngoài thực hiện được được các cam kết của họ về tính bền vững và năng lượng tái tạo. Các nhà đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài đã thể hiện mong muốn sử dụng Hợp đồng Mua bán Điện Trực tiếp (DPPA) làm phương pháp đạt được các mục tiêu này. Chính phủ Việt Nam (GVN) đã giao Cục Điều tiết Điện lực (ERAV) phối hợp chặt chẽ với V-LEEP nhằm đáp ứng mong muốn này từ khối tư nhân. Để hợp tác với ERAV và triển khai các hoạt động phối hợp liên ngành, liên bộ giúp phát huy các nguồn lực chính, ví dụ như Quỹ Thúc đẩy Đầu tư Năng lượng Sạch (CEIA), V-LEEP đang sử dụng cách tiếp cận đa chiều để xác định các điểm cần thay đổi về pháp lý và thiết chế để triển khai DPPA ở Việt Nam. Cách tiếp cận này sẽ đánh giá cách DPPA phát huy tác dụng ở các thị trường khác và xem xét liệu Việt Nam có thể học hỏi gì từ kinh nghiệm của họ, cũng như xây dựng một mô hình để tiến hành các giao dịch DPPA, chọn lựa các công ty hàng đầu với vai trò là những người mua và người bán cho một loạt các chương trình thí điểm, kiểm tra kinh nghiệm của họ và nhất là áp dụng và xúc tiến rộng rãi việc áp dụng DPPA. Bước đầu V-LEEP đã triển khai hai sáng kiến bổ sung trong Q3 và sẽ tiếp tục thực hiện trong thời gian còn lại trong năm thứ 2 và đầu năm thứ 3 và tiếp tục củng cố các kết quả đạt được trong quá trình triển khai DPPA. Sáng kiến đầu tiên là một chương trình nhằm chọn lựa một nhóm các tỉnh nhằm hỗ trợ lập kế hoạch năng lượng thấp và phê duyệt dự án một cách bài bản, đặc biệt với các dự án điện mặt trời (PV). Tại các tỉnh đó, V-LEEP sẽ tập trung hỗ trợ đẩy mạnh các dự án năng lượng thấp cụ thể, thông qua các dịch vụ như thẩm định đầu tư độc lập. Trong Q3, V-LEEP đã tổ chức các hoạt động tham vấn trực tiếp ban đầu để sau đó sẽ kết hợp với các nghiên cứu tại bàn trước đó để thông báo việc chọn lựa này. Sáng kiến thứ hai là sẽ triển khai các hỗ trợ về sử dụng năng lượng tiết kiệm và hiệu quả (EE) của V-LEEP thông qua các hiệp hội công nghiệp hàng đầu và các các công ty thành viên của họ. Để hỗ trợ cách tiếp cận này, V-LEEP đã ký các Văn kiện Hỗ trợ Dự án (PAD) với Hiệp hội Mía đường Việt Nam (VSSA), Hiệp hội Dệt may Việt Nam (VITAS), Hiệp hội Thép Việt Nam (VSA) và Tổng công ty Thép Việt Nam (VN Steel). Các kết quả chính đã đạt được trong Q3 là đào tạo kỹ thuật cho các công ty công nghiệp và các nhà cung cấp dịch vụ năng lượng để đo lường hiệu quả thực tế của các dự án tiết kiệm năng lượng; hoàn thành dự báo giá điện cho người tiêu dùng trong lĩnh vực công nghiệp, sẽ được công bố vào Q4; hoàn thành các đề xuất đánh giá hiện trường cho dự án điện mặt trời 30MW do LASUCO đầu tư; và đồng tổ chức một sự kiện hàng đầu về “Phụ nữ với năng lượng” phối hợp cùng chương trình VCEP của USAID và UN-Habitat. V-LEEP cũng đã hoàn thiện đội ngũ dự án của mình, với việc một Giám đốc Dự án, hai Trưởng Hợp phần và một Trưởng bộ phận Hành chính tổng hợp chính thức nhận nhiệm vụ. 2
V-LEEP OVERVIEW The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Vietnam Low Emission Energy Program (V-LEEP) is designed to help the Government of Vietnam (GVN) establish an effective policy, regulatory, and incentive environment for low-emission growth in the energy sector, while simultaneously attracting public- and private-sector investment in renewable energy (RE) development and energy efficiency (EE). V-LEEP promotes the development of critical building blocks to scale up clean energy, such as accessible smart incentives for clean energy and EE investments, enabling a competitive environment for RE generation, enhancing renewable power grid integration, and ensuring locational concentration of clean energy generation facilities. Three components form the core tasks under the approved V-LEEP Year 2 Work Plan: Component 1: Low Emission Strategy Development for the Energy Sector Task 1.1: Enhance GVN capacity to analyze and develop clean energy strategies, and evaluate emission mitigation options for decision-making. Component 2: Enhance Capacity and Improve Enabling Environment for Renewable Energy Development Task 2.1: Enhance capacity of Vietnamese government institutions to improve the enabling environment for RE development. Task 2.2: Enhance capacity of RE developers and the private sector in large-scale RE development. Task 2.3: Increase adoption of RE in industry. Component 3: Increase Energy Efficiency Adoption and Compliance Task 3.1: Enhance government capacity to strengthen energy efficiency policy implementation. Task 3.2: Enhance energy efficiency in energy-intensive industry sectors. 3
PROGRESS AND ACHIEVEMENTS As a result of receiving approval from USAID at the end of the first quarter of Y2 to accelerate private sector activities, the program gained significant momentum in all areas during Q3. Component 1: Low Emission Strategy Development for the Energy Sector Component 1 activities during Q3 focused on informing the future selection of priority provinces for V-LEEP would support. V-LEEP drafted a summary and analysis of the Provincial Green Growth Action Plans (PGGAPs) which includes a summary of provincial commitments to clean energy, and associated targets. This report is currently under internal review and complements an earlier report delivered by the project in Year 2, which assesses overall RE potential at the provincial level. Based on these findings, and on the increasing level of interest in solar PV development in southern Vietnamese provinces with high solar resource potential, V-LEEP conducted a set of exploratory missions in June and July to An Giang, Bac Lieu, Soc Trang, and Tay Ninh. Project representatives met with senior officials in each province from the Departments of Industry and Trade (DOIT), Departments of Planning and Investment (DPI), Departments of Natural Resources and Environment (DONRE), and Provincial People’s Committees (PPC) to discuss the potential for collaboration. Component 1 is dependent on GVN Activity Approval and intensive engagement with relevant central government counterparts, and therefore most of V-LEEP’s other Component 1 work remained on hold in Q3. Component 1 Year 2 Deliverables 1 Deliverable Completion Date Final Characterization Report (Task 1.1, Activity 1) July 2017 Implementation plans for PGGAP (Task 1.1, Activity 3) July 2017 Strategy White Paper (Task 1.1, Activity 4) August 2017 Final Optimization Report (Task 1.1, Activity 2) September 2017 Workshops (Task 1.1, Activity1+2+4) September 2017 Component 2: Enhance Capacity and Improve Enabling Environment for RE Development During Q3, V-LEEP’s primary focus under Component 2 has been working with ERAV to chart a path for the introduction of Direct Power Purchase Agreements (DPPAs) in Vietnam. DPPAs are transactional mechanisms that aid large, multinational companies to procure grid-connected electricity from RE sources without having to establish their own captive power mechanisms. Major companies such as Nike, Coca Cola, Apple, and Intel have joined formal programs such as RE-100 that require such commitments. These players are also leading members of focused 1 Deliverable due dates from the Year 2 Work Plan, approved December 22, 2016, were set based on the assumption that GVN Activity Approval would be received by March 31, 2017. Approval is now anticipated by July 31, 2017. 4
working groups such as the Renewable Energy Buyers Alliance that explore specific approaches to corporate procurement of RE. In Vietnam, enabling and promoting a mechanism for DPPA is a high priority goal for USAID, the US Embassy, and the foreign business community. Furthermore, DPPA is the primary recommendation issued by the Vietnam Business Forum in its report on strengthening Vietnam’s energy systems. In Q3, V-LEEP worked closely with senior officials within the primary Vietnamese government counterpart organization for this effort, the Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam (ERAV), to design and implement a coordinated program of support to authorize DPPA in Vietnam. To leverage the full force of USG stakeholders, V-LEEP convened a consortium of other USG programs including the Clean Energy Investment Accelerator (CEIA), US Commercial Service (USCS), and USAID Greening the Grid (GtG) program. Legal and Institutional Review. In Q2, V-LEEP engaged a specialty legal subcontractor, DFDL, to assess the legal and institutional framework for DPPA in Vietnam, issue a report that identifies barriers to its adoption, and recommend specific actions required to enable it. DFDL completed this draft report in June. The V-LEEP team anticipates finalizing this report in July so that USAID and ERAV use it as the basis for specific legal and regulatory changes required to enable DPPA in Vietnam. V-LEEP anticipates that this will take the form of a formal Decision by the Prime Minister to authorize DPPA pilots and to ultimately authorize a full-scale adoption of DPPA. In Q3, V-LEEP co-sponsored the first of such business-oriented workshops with the US Commercial Service (USCS), a half-day event at Saigon Hi-Tech Park (SHTP) that featured a panel on DPPA and included senior representation from leading firms such as Intel and Coca Cola. DPPA Models Review and Proposal. To inform ERAV on international experience with DPPA, during Q3, V-LEEP engaged international experts from within Deloitte Consulting to work in collaboration with local experts on the V-LEEP team to assess international experience and best practices with DPPA application. This assessment will include a mapping of transactional and financial flows of DPPA within other markets with applicable contexts to Vietnam. V-LEEP anticipates completing this exercise in Q4, discussing it in detail with ERAV and other key stakeholders, and using it to prepare the template for a proposed DPPA model in Vietnam. V- LEEPs discussions with key counterparts and stakeholders, including ERAV and Electricity Vietnam (EVN), identified a key concern being the potential impairments to system reliability resulting from the innate intermittency of RE. In response to this, in Q3, the team began coordinating with USAID GtG to design a series of training and capacity building activities that provide reassurance on grid integration. DPPA Piloting and Roadmap. During Q3, V-LEEP began pursuing the goal of securing an announcement for DPPA pilots at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) meeting in November 2017 in Hanoi. To leverage existing relationships with the global companies that are already committed to RE-100 and are active in the Renewable Energy Buyers Alliance, V-LEEP began negotiating a strategic roadmap and outreach plan with the Clean Energy Investment Accelerator (CEIA) – an initiative supported by USAID and the Department of State that features the World Resources Institute (WRI), National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Allotrope Partners (a boutique investment and financial advisory firm). CEIA and its members 5
work actively with the global business community on corporate procurement of RE, and V-LEEP will coordinate their work to recruit companies to pilot DPPA in Vietnam in advance of November 2017 to allow for an announcement of this effort at the APEC meeting. This joint activity will continue through the next two fiscal years (FY18 and FY19) as V-LEEP continues to collaborate with ERAV and partners to facilitate the DPPA pilots, assess their results, formulate a suitable DPPA model and template, and seek its authorization in a Decision of the Prime Minister. Another key approach to leverage corporate commitments to RE is the support of captive power projects in Vietnam. In Q3, V-LEEP provided direct support to Coca-Cola, as a part of a broader approach being facilitated under CEIA. A Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with USAID on corporate sustainability signed in October 2016 formalized V-LEEP’s support to Coca-Cola. V- LEEP initiated a technical study requested by Coca-Cola to examine potential changes in the electricity tariff that EVN charges to large industrial customers. Such changes could have significant impact on decisions to procure RE. The V-LEEP team is currently preparing a study that summarizes the tariff forecasts of other organizations (e.g., the World Bank), and will be accompanying this with results of a new modeling exercise (using an approach similar to that used by ERAV and EVN to set tariffs) that examines the sensitivity of system costs to varying levels of RE penetration. V-LEEP prepared a draft tariff forecast report at the end of Q3. The draft is presently under review and V-LEEP will finalize and submit it in Q4. V-LEEP continued to support the Lam Son Sugar Joint Stock Company (LASUCO) during Q3, under a Project Assistance Document (PAD) executed in Q2. V-LEEP is assisting LASUCO in the design and implementation of a 30 MW grid-connected solar energy project in the province of Thanh Hoa. According to the PAD, during Q3 and Q4, V-LEEP will support LASUCO’s overall project planning, site selection, and pre-feasibility analysis. During Q3, V-LEEP collaborated with LASUCO to develop a project management system that includes a detailed action plan and timeline. To support site selection, V-LEEP deployed modeling tools to identify six potential sites, and then conducted two scoping missions to collect field data and make detailed recommendations on site selection. V-LEEP completed this work in Q3 and will help LASUCO finalize the site in Q4. V-LEEP’s support in Q3 for encouraging development of grid-connected solar projects also featured its engagement with a regional USAID program: Clean Power Asia (CPA). V-LEEP and CPA met in Manila at the Asia Clean Energy Forum (ACEF) to discuss potential collaboration to effectively connect solar project developers with financial institutions. In Q3, V-LEEP also executed a PAD with the Vietnam Sugar Cane and Sugar Association (VSSA) for joint activities to help its member companies assess, design, and implement both RE projects (under Component 2) and EE projects (under Component 3). V-LEEP worked with VSSA to prepare an action plan for this support, and also met with another key donor (GIZ) to ensure that its activities reinforce those planned under V-LEEP. Several additional activities listed in the approved Work Plan under Component 2 require intensive official interaction with GVN and thus remained on hold during Q3 due to delayed GVN Activity Approval. These include: stakeholder consultation with MOIT/GDE for feedback on the On-Grid RE Project Prospectus, further development of a Renewable Energy Supply Industry 6
Roadmap, stakeholder consultations and feedback on the Alternative Procurement Mechanisms Assessment, and stakeholder dialogue on the Industrial RE Adoption Analysis. Component 2 Year 2 Deliverables 2 Deliverable Completion Date Renewable Energy Portfolio Standard (Task 2.1, Activity 1) September 2017 RESI Roadmap (Task 2.1, Activity 2) July 2017 Direct Power Purchase Agreements Assessment Report April 2017 Alternative Procurement mechanisms Assessment (Task 2.1, Activity 3) July 2017 Net-Metering Circular (Task 2.1, Activity 4) September 2017 Project Development Training Workshops (Task 2.2, Activity1) August 2017 On-Grid RE Project Prospectus (Task 2.2, Activity 2) June 2017 Updated DCA Market Study( Task 2.2, Activity 3) July 2017 Renewable Energy Promotion Center Concept Note (Task 2.2, Activity 4) August 2017 Industry RE Adoption Analysis (Task 2.3, Activity 1) May 2017 Industry RE Adoption Capacity Building (Task 2.3, Activity 2) September 2017 RE Adoption Project Pre-Feasibility Analysis (Task 2.3 Activity 3) September 2017 Supporting Workshops, Trainings, Consultations (all) April – September 2017 Component 3: Increase Energy Efficiency Adoption and Compliance V-LEEP initiated a strategy in Q2 to channel its delivery of industrial EE support through collaboration with leading Vietnamese industrial associations and their member companies. In Q3, the program signed new PADs with the VSSA (as highlighted above) as well as with the Vietnam Steel Association (VSA) and Vietnam Steel Corporation (VNSteel). These are in addition to the PADs with LASUCO and the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (VITAS) that V-LEEP signed in Q2. Each PAD provides for a standard process of engagement aimed at helping associations and their member companies better appreciate the business case for clean energy, benchmark their energy performance, identify specific opportunities to deploy RE and EE, assess and design projects, secure financing, and implement actual activities. V-LEEP conducted a robust set of activities with VITAS in Q3. This included a meeting to finalize the action plan, initiation of an industry benchmarking exercise, and completion of walk-through audits of eleven textile and apparel facilities in both southern provinces (Binh Duong, Dong Nai, HCMC, and Tien Giang), and northern provinces (Ha Nam, Hai Phong, Hanoi, and Hung Yen) that yielded detailed recommendations for specific EE improvement projects. For the steel industry, V-LEEP negotiated and signed a PAD in Q3 with VNSteel, a leading state- owned enterprise that includes 12 subsidiaries and 14 joint ventures located throughout Vietnam that produce and trade in steel and steel products. In addition, V-LEEP executed a PAD with VSA, 2 Deliverable due dates from the Year 2 Work Plan, approved December 22, 2016 were set based on the assumption that GVN Activity Approval will be received by March 31, 2017. Approval is now anticipated by July 31, 2017. 7
an industry association co-located at the premises of VSC that represents the broader steel industry in Vietnam. A key area of interest for industrial companies that are considering investment in EE is how to measure the actual performance of their projects. In Q3, V-LEEP partnered with the Association of Energy Engineers (AEE) to conduct a world-class training course on protocols for measurement and verification of EE projects. This course, designed to certify practitioners with the internationally-recognized designation of Certified Measurement and Verification Professional® (CMVP®), V-LEEP convened 28 students from various industry sectors (e.g., three senior sustainability and facility team members from Coca-Cola) and specialized energy service providers for a three-day intensive training workshop in Hanoi. The course culminated in a half-day examination, of which 14 of the 28 students passed. Upon successfully demonstrated the requisite work experience to AEE, these 14 individuals will receive their CMVP® credential. Translation of the International Performance Measurement and Verification Protocol Based on discussions that V-LEEP conducted during the CMVP® training and on a review of MOIT requirements for training and certification of energy managers for Designated Energy Users, V-LEEP concluded that it was not an appropriate strategy for the program to support formation of an AEE chapter in Vietnam or to offer additional AEE certification programs such as its course for Certified Energy Managers. Due to delays in GVN Activity Approval, the Component 3 activities specified in the approved Work Plan that require intensive interaction with the central government (e.g., conclusion of stakeholder consultations and establishment of a working group, preparation of a final industry characterization) could not proceed. Component 3 Year 2 Deliverables 3 Deliverable Completion Date Stakeholder Consultations and Working Group Establishment Report (Task 3.1, Activity 1) June 2017 Industry Characterization Final report (Task 3.2, Activity 1) July 2017 Workshops proceedings (Task 3.1, Activity 1) September 2017 Report Recommendation for AEE chapter and Certification Program (Task 3.2, Activity 2) July 2017 3 Deliverable due dates from the Year 2 Work Plan, approved December 22, 2016 were set based on the assumption that GVN Activity Approval would be received by March 31, 2017. Approval is now anticipated by June 30, 2017. 8
Cross-cutting Activities Cross-cutting activities continued to mirror and complement core technical activities under each component. A full update on the status of progress against the Monitoring & Evaluation Plan indicator targets is below. V-LEEP teamed with the Vietnam Clean Energy Program (VCEP) and UN-Habitat to host a Women Champions in Green Urban Development, Clean Energy, and Green Growth event in Q3 at the UN building in Hanoi. V-LEEP collaborated with VCEP on planning and recruitment of a diverse group of relevant Women Champion panelists from the clean energy sector. V-LEEP also helped recruit potential participants, targeting young female professionals and students pursuing careers in clean energy in Vietnam. Coverage of the event included Nhân Dân Online TV, which featured an in-depth segment. This event will fulfill the spirt of the activity listed below as “Workshop at university counterpart institution for young women in energy management, entrepreneurship and engineering.” V-LEEP will gather data on female self-efficacy in this sector in accordance with Indicator 14. Other gender work that V-LEEP commenced in Q3 was the detailed planning to conduct a Gender and Energy Snapshot exercise in Q4. Cross-cutting Year 2 Deliverables 4 Deliverable Completion Date Gender Equality and Women’s Empowerment Gender parity analysis included in all technical reports Ongoing Statement of encouragement for women’s participation included in invitations for all training events, Ongoing seminars, and workshops Workshop at university counterpart institution for young women in energy management, June 2017 entrepreneurship and engineering Gender lens investing in clean energy seminar for investors, project developers, and regional impact August 2017 investing organizations Status of Gender and Energy in Vietnam Report September 2017 Monitoring and Evaluation M&E dashboard and database April 2017 Baseline tools preparation for indicators 2, 9, 11, and 14 April 2017 Reporting tools for indicators 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10, 12, 13 April 2017 M&E AIDTracker+, TraiNet, quarterly and annual reporting Ongoing Communications GVN Activity Approval Announcement Ceremony June 2017 Year 2 Communications Plan May 2017 Project Management Subcontracting and Key Personnel 4 Deliverable due dates from the Year 2 Work Plan, approved December 22, 2016 were set based on the assumption that GVN Activity Approval would be received by March 31, 2017. Approval is now anticipated by June 30, 2017. 9
V-LEEP continued to draw essential support from primary subcontractors RCEE and Deloitte Consulting Vietnam. V-LEEP also engaged AEE and DFDL as subcontractors during Q3. Reports & Deliverables V-LEEP submitted the FY17 Q2 Quarterly Report and the FY17 Q1 Accruals Report as contract deliverables during Q3. In addition, V-LEEP continued with the practice of regularly status reports to USAID on key milestones and achievements as well as team coverage and planned activities. Other Notes V-LEEP held several cross-cutting meetings and events as well as attended relevant events and workshops both in Vietnam and regionally, including: Women Champions in Green Urban Development, Clean Energy, and Green Growth, April 4, 2017 (Hanoi, Vietnam) DPPA Roundtable at the Saigon Hi-Tech Park, April 20, 2017 (Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam) International Solar Auction Experience and Implication to Vietnam, World Bank, May 18, 2017 (Hanoi, Vietnam) Development of Photovoltaics Sector in Vietnam: Current Situation and International Experiences, GIZ May 26, 2017 (Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam) Asia Clean Energy Forum, June 6-10, 2017 (Manila, Philippines) GIZ Solar Working Lunch and coordination meeting, June 13, 2017 (Hanoi, Vietnam) Meetings with southern provinces (An Giang, Bac Lieu, Soc Trang, Tay Ninh), June 19-23. Meetings with industry associations: VITAS, VSA, Vietnam Cement Association (VNCA), Vietnam Building Material Association (VBMA), VSSA, Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP), and Vietnam Pulp and Paper Association (VPPA) Meeting with large industry corporations: EVN, Vietnam National Cement Corporation (VICEM), VNSteel, Hatien Cement, and Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group (VINATEX) 10
PROGRESS BY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS The approved Monitoring & Evaluation Plan includes a set of 15 key performance indicators, which V-LEEP will track throughout its duration. A summary of relevant indicators and targets towards which the project is actively tracking is below. The Annual Report for Y2 and subsequent annual reports will visualize results per indicator in greater detail. Y2 Y2 Q3 Actual Q4 Indicator Notes Target Actual To- Plan Date Indicator 2: Number of Institutions with Driven by engagement with MOIT/GDE, ERAV, and EVN- increased capacity to conduct integrated, NDLC that cannot be implemented until receipt of GVN long-term energy analysis and forecasting 15 0 0 0 Activity Approval. Achievement of targets planned for Year and incorporate models into policy design 3. and decision making Indicator 3: Number of policies, regulations, or standards developed and promoted which improve the enabling The achievement of this indicator for Year 2 is being driven environment for RE/EE projects, including 2 0 0 0 by Direct Power Purchase Agreement efforts, which are through the incorporation of strategies to now anticipated for Year 3. finance, replicate and scale up these projects Indicator 8: Number of local project developers who have gained skills to Driven by project developer training on project financial analyze RE resource assessments and 5 0 0 5 feasibility scheduled for Q4. project documentation to meet financial community standards Driven by support to LASUCO, VITAS and other industrial associations anticipated for delivery in Q4 and beyond. Will Indicator 9: Number of facility managers have had several fuel switching projects identified in walk and / or ESCOs with increased capacity to 15 0 0 0 through audits of industry association members and develop technical and financial feasible shared with the companies through preliminary reporting; fuel-switching projects. will host two sessions on fuel switching projects in Q4; Results not anticipated until Year 3. Indicator 10: Number of economically viable RE industrial projects developed Driven by support to CCBV and update from DCA. Results 2 0 0 0 and financed through PPP models, DCA, not anticipated until Year 3. or with commercial banks While driven in part by energy efficiency reporting tool being delivered under Task 3.1, which cannot move forward until after Project Approval and further buy-in from Indicator 11: Number of industrial relevant MOIT/GDE counterparts has been obtained, the facilities with increased awareness and Component team achieved progress against this indicator 0 12 12 5 improved understanding of how to report during Q3 through the certification of facility managers energy efficiency compliance progress representing 12 different facilities as Certified Measurement and Verification Professionals (CMVP); 5 more are anticipated during Q4 as a result of a re- examination held on July 28. Indicator 12: Number of economically Driven by support to industrial associations via Project viable EE&C projects in key industries 10 0 0 0 Assistance Documents (PADs). Implementation in developed, implemented, and financed progress but projects not anticipated until Year 3. Indicator 14: Number of females who Driven by data collected during Women Champions event report increased self-efficacy at the 5 5 5 0 in April and women who participated in the CMVP training conclusion of USG supported training / in May. programming Indicator 15: Number of people receiving Q3 results driven by CMVP training. Q4 plan driven by training in energy fields supported by USG 110 28 28 190 VITAS Workshop (80), CPA Solar Workshop (80), and assistance CEM Training (30). 11
CONSIDERATIONS AND CHALLENGES V-LEEP continued working towards obtaining GVN Activity Approval during Q3. The team leading this effort has maintained relationships with the necessary contacts at MOIT/GDE and MPI, responding to requests for revising and updating the necessary approval application materials and following-up regularly on the status to ensure the process is moving forward. The approval materials are currently with the Office of the Government, pending final review and approval, which V-LEEP anticipates in Q4. The following activities are therefore still at risk of being delayed until Year 3, due to the delayed GVN Activity Approval: Task 1.1 Activity 1: Final Characterization Report Activity 3: Strategy White Paper Activity 4: Final Optimization Report Task 2.1 Activity 2: Renewable Energy Supply Industry (RESI) Roadmap Activity 3: Alternative Procurement Mechanisms Assessment Task 2.2 Activity 2: On-Grid RE Project Prospectus Activity 4: Renewable Energy Promotion Center Concept Note Task 3.1 Activity 1: Evaluate reporting requirements and frameworks for enhancing EE compliance. In addition to the delayed GVN Activity Approval, activities, and support following the signing of the technical assistance memorandum of understanding between USAID and Coca-Cola Beverages Vietnam (CCBV) remain on hold due to ongoing leasing issues at CCBV’s offices in HCMC. 12
FY17 Q4 PROJECT FORECAST V-LEEP anticipates the following activities for Q4 (July – September 2017). Component 1: Low Emission Strategy Development for the Energy Sector Under Component 1, V-LEEP will meet with additional provinces (e.g., Bến Tre), and synthesize the results of the provincial resource assessment, PPGAP assessment, and consultations to select a cluster of provinces for intensive support on RE planning and project streamlining. V- LEEP will seek to complement its government-level support in Component 1 with project-level support (e.g., investment readiness appraisal) in Components 2 and 3. Other Component 1 activities are dependent on timing of GVN Activity Approval and renewed consultations with the appropriate government counterparts. Component 2: Enhance Capacity and Improve Enabling Environment for RE Development Under Component 2, DPPA will continue to be V-LEEP’s highest priority. The team will finalize the legal and institutional analysis, share it with ERAV, and hold stakeholder workshops to maintain interest and momentum for this effort. In addition, the team will complete its detailed analysis of international DPPA models and meet with ERAV and key stakeholders to assess their application in Vietnam. In collaboration with CEIA, V-LEEP will seek to secure commitments for several DPPA pilots for announcement in November at the APEC Leaders meeting in Hanoi. V-LEEP will also begin work with CEIA to promote RE as a solution for captive power in industry, particularly in corporate parks and industrial zones. This will begin with consultations with relevant parties, including Saigon Hi-Tech Park and some of its current and prospective tenants. V-LEEP and CPA have agreed to co-sponsor a workshop in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) in Q4 which will feature detailed case studies of successful solar PV projects in Thailand that illustrate how these projects were successfully designed, permitted, financed, and commissioned. The workshop will feature presentations and opportunities for Q&A by individuals directly involved with these successful projects in Thailand (e.g., developers, government officials, the power systems operator, the electricity company, investors, and lenders). These speakers will present the entire process in detail from concept to commissioning, explaining the history, reviewing the various steps, showing a detailed financial analysis, drawing out the various lessons, introducing key steps and concepts, and helping the participants explore the relevance of these solutions to their countries. The workshop will also feature deep dive presentations on key financial issues and mechanisms that facilitate investment in grid-connected solar PV. V-LEEP will continue its support to LASUCO in Q4, assisting with site selection and design as well as the initiation of its formal pre-feasibility study for a 30 MW solar PV project. An international Deloitte expert, Mr. Jake Delphia, will conduct a field visit to Vietnam in Q4 to support VSSA and its members. Mr. Delphia will advise VSSA on its approach to participation in an upcoming exercise with GVN and GIZ to assess the feed-in-tariff rate for the sugar industry. Mr. Delphia’s trip will also explore structuring and promotion of a bundled loan guarantee by USAID’s Development Credit Authority; and will help a leading sugar company (TTC) integrate 13
clean energy into its decisions as it embarks on an industry-transforming merger and acquisition process. V-LEEP will conduct a rapid assessment of bio gasification technology and its application to Vietnam, as a short, sprint exercise requested by MOIT/GDE. Finally, V-LEEP will release the results of its forecasting study of EVN electricity tariffs. Component 3: Increase Energy Efficiency Adoption and Compliance V-LEEP will continue its work under PADs with the sugar industry (VSSA), textiles and apparel industry (VITAS), and steel industry (VNSteel and VSA) to complete its structured programs of support which include awareness building, benchmarking, selected walk-through audits, and initial recommendations. V-LEEP will provide mentoring to the 14 students who wish to re-take the CMVP® examination, and will conduct the examination in Q4. Cross-cutting Activities During Q4, V-LEEP will continue cross-cutting gender efforts with the implementation of a Young Women in Energy internship program for interested and eligible candidates during the months of August and September 2017. In addition, the team will begin work on a Work Plan deliverable: the Gender and Energy Snapshot of the status of women in energy in Vietnam. For all training events, seminars, and workshops conducted during the fourth quarter, the project will include a statement of encouragement for women’s participation and gender parity among participants nominated in all invitations. Upon receiving GVN Activity Approval, the project will ramp up both communications and M&E reporting tools as well as arrange for an Approval Announcement ceremony. 14
COOPERATION WITH OTHER USG AND DONOR PROGRAMS USAID Vietnam Clean Energy Program USAID VCEP supports the Ministry of Construction (MOC) in its implementation of the National Green Growth Strategy and promotion of EE in all civic buildings. Vietnam Central Province Green Growth Growth Action Plan The province of Thanh Hoa, and USAID, will enhance the exchange of information, knowledge and technology in the field of climate change, while jointly conducting surveys and collecting data on agriculture, forestry and aquaculture; energy; industry and waste treatment. V-LEEP will support Thanh Hoa in those areas of the GGAP, which our Work Plan covers. USAID Clean Power Asia Many of the activities under this regional initiative complement V-LEEP in the areas of RE development. V-LEEP participated in coordination meetings with USAID’s RDMA and the institutional contractor to ensure activity planning will be well coordinated. Clean Energy Investment Accelerator This National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) initiative seeks to employ an innovative Public Private Partnership (PPP) model to rapidly scale financial flows for meeting country- established RE National Determined Contribution (NDC) goals. The initiative will do this by addressing and resolving key barriers in the RE policy and finance sectors through country- specific activities focused on supporting effective policy and regulatory structures, a robust pipeline of “investment ready” clean energy projects, and RE purchasers and financiers that can leverage and deploy public and private finance. USAID Greening the Grid This USAID and NREL initiative provides training and capacity building on issues related to grid integration of intermittent renewable energy sources. Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment and Resilience Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment and Resilience (CEADIR) will accelerate private sector investment and finance for NDCs by connecting leading private sector entities, “early-mover” country governments, and donors around specific investment commitments, models of catalytic financing, investment-ready projects, and examples of enabling environment changes that are mobilizing private finance toward NDC priorities. Supporting this process in early-mover countries will help build the regional market for climate-friendly private investment, and encourage replication more broadly in the region. Other International Donor Programs V-LEEP actively coordinates with other donor programs in Vietnam that are concerned with promoting RE development and industrial EE. As a tangible example of donor coordination, V- 15
LEEP recently met with GIZ at its offices in Hanoi, and at a workshop that it hosted in the province of An Giang. The discussions revealed GIZ has already worked with VSSA to develop robust technical analysis of RE options for the industry. As a result of this discussion, V-LEEP refined its approach under Component 2 to focus on financial analysis and development of financial mechanisms that enable RE by the sugar industry. The table below contains a representative summary of other donor-funded programs in Vietnam. Local / Budget Program Timeline Agency Beneficiary Global ($M USD) Energy Efficiency Vietnam Clean Production and EE Project Local 2011 – 2016 MOIT Key industries, ESCOs Processing zones/ Vietnam Resource EE Local 2.6 2013 – 2017 IFC industrial zones Low Carbon Transition in the EE Sector Local 11.5 2013 – 2017 DANIDA MOIT/SMEs Vietnam Inclusive Innovation Project Local 58 2013 – 2018 World Bank Multiple Promotion of EE Industrial Boiler Adoption and Local 12 2015 – 2019 UNIDO MOIT Operating Practices in Vietnam Vietnam Energy Efficiency for Industrial Enterprises Local 200 2016 – 2021 World Bank Industrial enterprises Renewable Energy Clean Energy Financing Partnership Facility Global N/A 2007 – TBD ADB Multiple Vietnamese private Support for the Development of RE in Vietnam Local 3.4 2012 – 2015 GIZ sector actors World Bank/ Renewable Energy Development Project Local 202 2013 – 2021 RE developers SECO Support to the Up-Scaling of Wind Energy in Vietnam Local 7.8 2014 – 2018 GIZ MOIT Renewable Energy Resource Mapping Local 1.5 2015 – 2017 World Bank MOIT Pump Storage Hydropower Project (Pipeline) Local 800 2015 – 2017 World Bank MOIT/EVN Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (4E) Local 3.4 2015 – 2017 GIZ MOIT Vietnamese private PDP South-East Asia Regional 0.45 2015 – 2017 GIZ sector actors Renewable Energy Development Facility Global 17.4 2017 – TBD KfW RE developers Cross-cutting Support Program to Respond to Climate Change Local 895.15 2009 – 2020 AFD, JICA Multiple Nordic Development Fund Global N/A 2009 – TBD NDF Multiple Global Environment Facility Global 3 2010 – 2014 Multiple Multiple Vietnam Climate Change Global Loan Local 182 2011 – 2013 EIB MOF Global Climate Partnership Fund Global N/A 2011 – TBD Multiple Vietinbank Green Growth Strategy Facility Local 7.2 2013 – 2019 Belgium MPI Green Climate Fund Global 1,846 2013 – TBD Multiple Multiple Energy and Environment Partnership Program in the Regional 10.19 2014 – 2018 Finland MFA Multiple Mekong (Phase 2) EU Multiannual Indicative Program Local 420 2014 – 2020 EU GDE Implementation of Eco-Industrial Park Initiative for Local 53 2014 – 2017 UNIDO MPI/IZs Sustainable IZs in Vietnam MONRE, MPI, MOF, Partnership for Market Readiness Global 3.6 2016 – 2020 World Bank MOIT, MOC 16
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