Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources

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Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
Uranium Report 2020
 Everything you need to know about uranium!
Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
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    Dear reader,                                           tions of Swiss Resource Capital AG involve risks               All publications of Swiss Resource Capital AG             Investments in securities with low liquidity and        advice (e. g. from the principle bank or a trusted ad-    other factors that could cause actual events to differ
                                                           which could lead to total a loss of the invested capi-     are exclusively for information purposes only. All        small market cap are extremely speculative as well          visor) before any investment decision. To reduce risk     materially from those indicated in the forward-look-
   Please read the complete disclaimer in the fol-         tal and – depending on the investment – to further         information and data in all publications of Swiss Re-     as a high risk. Due to the speculative nature of the        investors should largely diversify their investments.     ing statements. Such factors include but are not li-
lowing pages carefully before you start reading            obligations for example additional payment liabili-        source Capital AG are obtained from sources which         presented companies their securities or other finan-                                                                  mited to the following: risks regarding the inac-
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using this Swiss Resource Capital Publication              ways be limited for your own protection.                   source Capital AG and the respective authors at the       can lead to a capital reduction or to a total loss and      mes and supports the journalistic principles of con-      estimates, fluctuations of the gold price, risks and
you agree that you have completely understood                                                                         time of preparation. Swiss Resource Capital AG            – depending on the investment – to further obliga-          duct and recommendations of the German press              dangers in connection with mineral exploration, de-
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tely with this disclaimer. If at least one of these        the small and micro cap sector and especially to ex-       gaged persons have worked for the preparation of          investment in warrants, leveraged certificates or           ting and within the scope of its responsibility will      worthiness or the financial situation of the supplier,
point does not agree with you than reading and             ploration and resource companies which are discus-         all of the published contents with the greatest pos-      other financial products bears an extremely high            look out that these principles and recommendations        the refineries and other parties that are doing busi-
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the Swiss Resource Capital AG directly own and/            Resource Capital AG do not replace an on individual        tially result from use of the information for one’s       lity claim for foreign share recommendations, deri-            Information and statements in all publications of      pulation; political risks; the availability and rising
or indirectly own shares of following Companies            needs geared professional investment advice. In spi-       own investment decision.                                  vatives and fund recommendations are in principle           Swiss Resource Capital AG especially in (translated)      costs in connection with the mining contributions
which are described in this publication: GoviEx            te of careful research, neither the respective author                                                                ruled out by Swiss Resource Capital AG and the re-          press releases that are not historical facts are for-     and workforce; the speculative nature of mineral ex-
Uranium, IsoEnergy, Skyharbour Resources,                  nor Swiss Resource Capital AG will neither guaran-             All information published in publications of Swiss    spective authors. Between the readers as well as the        ward-looking information within the meaning of ap-        ploration and development including risks of recei-
Uranium Energy.                                            tee nor assume liability for actuality, correctness,       Resource Capital AG reflects the opinion of the res-      subscribers and the authors as well as Swiss Re-            plicable securities laws. They contain risks and un-      ving and maintaining the necessary licences and
                                                           mistakes, accuracy, completeness, adequacy or              pective author or third parties at the time of repara-    source Capital AG no consultancy agreement is clo-          certainties but not limited to current expectations of    permits, the decreasing quantities and grades of
   Swiss Resource Capital AG has closed IR                 quality of the presented information. For pecuniary        tion of the publication. Neither Swiss Resource Ca-       sed by subscription of a publication of Swiss Re-           the company concerned, the stock concerned or             mineral reserves during mining; the global financial
consultant contracts with the following compa-             losses resulting from investments in securities for        pital AG nor the respective authors can be held res-      source Capital AG because all information cont-             the respective security as well as intentions, plans      situation, current results of the current exploration
nies which are mentioned in this publication:              which information was available in all publications of     ponsible for any resulting pecuniary losses. All          ained in such a publication refer to the respective         and opinions. Forward-looking information can of-         activities, changes in the final results of the econo-
IsoEnergy und Uranium Energy.                              Swiss Resource Capital AG liability will be assumed        information is subject to change. Swiss Resource          company but not to the investment decision. Publi-          ten contain words like “expect”, “believe”, “assu-        mic assessments and changes of the project para-
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   Swiss Resource Capital AG receives compen-              spective author neither explicitly nor implicitly.         that only sources which are deemed reliable and           direct or indirect an offer to buy or for the sale of the   “can”, “should”, “may” and “will” or the negative         other factors, risks of increased capital and opera-
sation expenses from the following companies                                                                          trustworthy by Swiss Resource Capital AG and the          discussed security (securities), nor an invitation for      forms of these expressions or similar words sugge-        ting costs, environmental, security and authority ris-
mentioned in this publication: GoviEx Uranium,                Any investment in securities involves risks. Politi-    respective authors at the time of preparation are         the purchase or sale of securities in general. An in-       sting future events or expectations, ideas, plans,        ks, expropriation, the tenure of the company to pro-
IsoEnergy, Skyharbour Resources, Uranium                   cal, economical or other changes can lead to signi-        used. Although the assessments and statements in          vestment decision regarding any security should not         objectives, intentions or statements of future events     perties including their ownership, increase in com-
Energy.                                                    ficant stock price losses and in the worst case to a       all publications of Swiss Resource Capital AG were        be based on any publication of Swiss Resource Ca-           or performances. Examples for forward-looking in-         petition in the mining industry for properties,
                                                           total loss of the invested capital and – depending on      prepared with due diligence, neither Swiss Resour-        pital AG.                                                   formation in all publications of Swiss Resource Ca-       equipment, qualified personal and its costs, risks
   Therefore, all mentioned companies are                  the investment – to further obligations for example        ce Capital AG nor the respective authors take any                                                                     pital AG include: production guidelines, estimates of     regarding the uncertainty of the timing of events in-
sponsors of this publication.                              additional payment liabilities. Especially invest-         responsibility or liability for the actuality, correct-      Publications of Swiss Resource Capital AG must           future/targeted production rates as well as plans         cluding the increase of the targeted production rates
                                                           ments in (foreign) second-line-stocks, in the small        ness, mistakes, accuracy, completeness, adequacy          not, either in whole or in part be used as a base for       and timing regarding further exploration, drill and       and fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. The
                                                           and micro cap sector, and especially in the explora-       or quality of the presented facts or for omissions or     a binding contract of all kinds or used as reliable in      development activities. This forward-looking infor-       shareholders are cautioned not to place undue reli-
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service provider according to WpHG (Germany) and           harbours danger of a total loss of the invested capi-                                                                the application of the views and conclusions in the         successes to differ materially from those stated or       general and specific that contribute to the possibility
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cluding all the publications published on the website      due to an often better pricing at the respective do-       the used and underlying data, facts, as well as in the                                                                from the estimates, the success of future explorati-      obligation to update publicly otherwise revise any
http://www.resource-capital.ch and all sub-websi-          mestic exchange, should be traded there. An inves-         estimates could have an impact on the forecasted             The reader is strongly encouraged to examine all         on and drill programs, the reliability of the drill,      forward-looking information whether as a result of
tes (like http://www.resource-capital.ch/de) and the       tment in securities with low liquidity and small mar-      share price development or the overall estimate of        assertions him/herself. An investment, presented by         sample and analytical data, the assumptions regar-        new information, future events or other such factors
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the opinion of the respective author. They are neither     shares of small and micro cap companies and low            publication will result in an investment advice cont-     Capital AG nor the respective authors will guarantee        other factors.                                            tive authors of all publications of Swiss Resource
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oned financial instruments or as a trading invitation.     possible total loss, the deposit will only marginally      and the subscriber of this publication.                   nor the respective authors are professional invest-         should be aware that these statements are subject         the preparation, the electronic distribution and pub-
Every investment in securities mentioned in publica-       lose in value.                                                                                                       ment or financial advisors. The reader should take          to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and             lication of the respective publication and for other

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Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
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Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
Commodity-TV                                                                   Preface
                     The whole world of commodities
                     in one App!                                                                    Dear Readers,

                                                                                                    With this new edition of the Uranium Report           ded to buy domestic uranium for US$150 mil-
                                                                                                    2020 we are already entering the fourth year          lion per year! This could be the ignition point
                                                                                                    of this special report series. Uranium is a „hot      for rising uranium prices in the future. Supply
                                                                                                    potato“ and we see major imbalances in sup-           is still falling, and demand is rising slightly.
                                                                                                    ply and demand coming to the markets. We
                                                                                                    expected this to happen in 2019 and have              Of course, we also present some interesting
                                                                                                    been proven wrong, as there is probably still         companies in the industry with facts and figu-
                                                                                                    enough to buy on the spot market. However,            res. This is to be understood as a suggestion
                                                                                                    without uranium power generation, i.e. nucle-         and not as a buy recommendation since there
                                                                                                    ar power plants, we will not only have a huge         are only very few listed companies left.
                                                                                                    global problem in stable basic energy supply,
                                                                                                    but also a real power supply problem in itself        Raw materials are the basis of our entire eco-     Jochen Staiger is founder and CEO
                                                                                                    due to the electromobility revolution. The de-        nomic coexistence. Without raw materials           of Swiss Resource Capital AG,
                                                                                                    velopment of the charging infrastructure is           there are no products, no technical innova-        located in Herisau, Switzerland. As
                                                                                                    progressing much more rapidly in Europe and           tions and no real economic life. We need a         chief-editor and founder of the first
                                                                                                    electricity consumption continues to rise.            reliable and constant basic energy supply for      two resource IP-TV-channels
                                                                                                    Even I now drive a hybrid and diligently char-        our highly industrialised world.                   Commodity-TV and its German
                                                                                                    ge electricity car for short trips in the city. The                                                      counterpart Rohstoff-TV, he reports
                                                                                                    question is rather where does all the electrici-      Swiss Resource Capital AG has set itself the       about companies, experts, fund
                                                                                                    ty come from, and that without pollutant              task of providing interested people with com-      managers and various themes
                                                                                                    emissions? Nuclear power is the only viable           prehensive information about metals, raw ma-       around the international mining
                                                                                                    solution here for many years to come, as the          terials and various listed mining companies.       business and the correspondent
                                                                                                    sun and wind cannot be relied upon and they           On our website www.resource-capital.ch you         metals.
                                                                                                    can only be suppliers. Especially in Germany          will find 20 companies from various commo-
                                                                                                    this question is even more important, as nuc-         dity sectors as well as a lot of information and
                                                                                   Download         lear power is being switched off and coal is          articles on the subject of commodities.
                                                                                                    being made to disappear. Here it is once
                                                                                   our unique App   again worthwhile to look at China because             With our special reports we want to give you
                                                                                   for free!        here they are also switching to solar, hydro-         insights and provide you with comprehensive
                                                                                                    electric, wind and above all nuclear power.           information. In addition you have the opportuni-
                                                                                                    China has understood that one suffocates at           ty to inform yourself through our two raw mate-
                                                                                                    the own smog but also needs a reliable and            rial IPTV channels www.Commodity-TV.net &
                                                                                                    cheap power supply. Nuclear power is the              www.Rohstoff-TV.net free of charge. For your
                                                                                                    perfect solution.                                     mobile everyday life, you can download our
                                                                                                                                                          newly developed Commodity-TV App for
                                                                                                    Closely related to Battery Metals (main com-          iPhone and Android on your smartphone.
                                                                                                    ponents of lithium-ion batteries, the heart of        Here you get real-time charts, stock prices,       Tim Rödel is Manager Newsletter,
                                                                                                    every electric vehicle) is the base-load capab-       indices and the latest videos automatically on     Threads & Special Reports at SRC
                                                                                                    le power supply (charging) of the batteries,          your mobile phone no matter where you are.         AG. He has been active in the
    Watch Management & Expert Interviews, Site-Visit-Videos, News Shows                             and thus either the burning of coal, gas or oil       My team and I hope you enjoy reading the           commodities sector for more than
    and receive top and up to date Mining Information on your mobile device                         or the use of uranium as a fuel element in            Special Report Uranium and we hope to pro-         twelve years and accompanied
                                                                                                    nuclear power plants. There are no other ba-          vide you with a lot of new information, im-        several chief-editor positions, e.g. at
    worldwide!                                                                                      se-load-capable energy production methods             pressions and ideas. Only those who inform         Rohstoff-Spiegel, Rohstoff-Woche,
                                                                                                    as long as no adequate storage possibilities          themselves in a versatile way will be able to      Rohstoffraketen, the publications
                                                                                                    for electricity from renewable energy sources         win and preserve their wealth in these difficult   Wahrer Wohlstand and First Mover.
    Amazing features:                                                                               have been created. This report is intended to         times.                                             He owns an enormous commodity
    • Company Facts                                                                                 give the reader an overview of the uranium                                                               expertise and a wide-spread
                                                                                                    industry and the real facts, as well as of the        Yours, Jochen Staiger                              network within the whole resource
    • Global Mining News                                                                            world‘s energy supply from nuclear power.                                                                sector.
    • Push Notofications                                                                            The petition 232 in the USA last year and the
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Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
„Thanks to“ Corona:
The uranium sector is really picking up speed again!
– Spot price at four-year high!

                                   The Corona crisis continues to have a firm
                                   grip on the globe. The massive interventions
                                                                                    (such as France, Great Britain and China),
                                                                                    urgently need a supply of fuel. Whatever the
                                                                                                                                      What is uranium?                                  uranium contents of 0.3 to 20 %. The highest
                                                                                                                                                                                        grades are over 60% U3O8!
                                   in the development of the free economy have      cost, one might almost think so, at least if      One of only two elements where                    According to the International Atomic Energy
                                   left deep scars. Mass unemployment and           one takes a look at the uranium spot price. It    nuclear fission chain reactions                   Agency (IAEA), the largest uranium ore reser-
                                   economic hardship have suddenly become           has gone up from US$ 24 to US$ 33.30 per          are possible                                      ves are in the USA, Niger, Australia, Kazakh-
                                   part of everyday life again. But every crisis    pound in just 5 weeks. A plus of almost 40%                                                         stan, Namibia, South Africa, Canada, Brazil,
                                   also has its winners. In the case of Corona,     and a four-year high at the same time!            Let us come to the element uranium itself.        Russia, Ukraine and Uzbekistan.
                                   one big winner is already emerging: the ura-                                                       Uranium is named after the planet Uranus
                                   nium sector! While many large mines have                                                           and is a chemical element with the element
                                   had to temporarily shut down or even com-        Nuclear energy is currently the                   symbol U and atomic number 92. Uranium is
                                   pletely shut down due to possible infections     only base-load capable energy                     a metal whose all isotopes are radioactive.       Uranium mining
                                   of the personnel, at the same time the syste-    source that can manage the                        Uranium, which occurs naturally in minerals,
                                   mically important nuclear power plants must      balancing act between an                          consists of about 99.3% of the isotope 238U       Uranium mining is basically divided into two
                                   continue to operate in order not to allow the    enormously increasing electricity                 and 0.7% of 235U.                                 processes: Conventional extraction and ext-
                                   social system to fall apart completely. The      demand and clean energy                                                                             raction by means of in-situ leaching or in-situ
Uranium price development          USA in particular, but also other nations whe-   generation!                                                                                         recovery (ISR). The exact extraction method
                                   re nuclear energy plays an important role        Uranium is irreplaceable for this!                          [RN] 5f36d17s 2        92               depends on the properties of the ore body,

                                                                                                                                                          U
over the last 5 years
(Source: own representation)                                                                                                                                                            such as depth, shape, ore content, tectonics,
                                                                                    Global energy demand has multiplied since                                                           type of host rock and other factors.
                                                                                    the end of the 1980s. About 11% of the total
                                                                                    energy demand worldwide is currently co-
                                                                                    vered by nuclear power. However, it is still                   Melting Point 1406 K                 Conventional production
                                                                                    mainly fossil fuels such as coal and crude oil                 Boiling Point 4203 K
                                                                                    that are burned to generate energy. The in-                        URANIUM                          Most of the uranium is extracted by underg-
                                                                                    creasing demand for a reduction of CO²                                                              round mining. The deposits are accessed via
                                                                                    emissions and the ever more noticeable                                                              shafts, galleries, ramps or spirals. Problems
                                                                                    phenomenon of „global warming“ are cau-                                                             are often caused by the ingress of mine water
                                                                                    sing above all energy-guzzling industrial na-     The uranium isotope 235U is fissionable by        and so-called ventilation (technical measures
                                                                                    tions and emerging markets to increase their      thermal neutrons and is therefore, apart from     to supply mines with fresh air). The exact mi-
                                                                                    energy efficiency and improve their CO²           the extremely rare plutonium isotope 239Pu,       ning method is chosen according to the cha-
                                                                                    budgets. The second important point is the        the only known naturally occurring nuclide        racteristics of the deposit. Above all, the sha-
                                                                                    ongoing electrical revolution, which in a few     with which nuclear fission chain reactions are    pe of the ore bodies and the distribution of
                                                                                    years‘ time will not only make us almost          possible. For this reason, it is used as a pri-   the uranium in them are decisive. In underg-
                                                                                    100% electrically mobile but will also bring      mary energy source in nuclear power plants        round mining, an ore body can be mined in a
                                                                                    with it a huge additional surge in demand for     and nuclear weapons.                              targeted manner, resulting in much less over-
   Base load capability, what is that?                                              clean energy.                                                                                       burden than in open-pit mining.

     Base load capability is the ability of a power plant to provide continuous,    Burning coal and oil cannot achieve both at       Occurrence                                        Near-surface or very large ore bodies are
     reliable electrical energy. This includes nuclear power plants, coal-fired     the same time. The alternative is renewable                                                         preferably extracted by open pit mining. This
     power plants, gas-fired power plants, oil-fired power plants and steam         energies, which however require an enor-          Uranium does not occur in nature in solid         enables the use of cost-effective large-scale
     power plants fired with substitute fuels. Combined heat and power              mous amount of time and money and are not         form, but always in minerals containing oxy-      technology. Modern open-pit mines can be
     plants, biomass and biogas power plants can also be base load capab-           even close to being able to supply base load      gen. There is a total of about 230 uranium mi-    from a few metres to over 1,000 metres deep
     le under certain conditions, although fossil or renewable raw materials        without the lack of larger electricity storage    nerals which can be of local economic im-         and can reach a diameter of several kilomet-
     must also be burned. The only base-load-capable electricity generation         facilities, or nuclear power, which can provi-    portance.                                         res. Open-pit mining often produces large
     from renewable energy sources is by means of hydroelectric power               de a great deal of energy in a CO²-neutral        There is a wide range of uranium deposits         quantities of overburden. As in civil enginee-
     plants, although this often requires a major intervention in nature.           way. Some countries have long since recog-        from magmatic hydrothermal to sedimentary         ring, large quantities of water may have to be
     Photovoltaic and wind power plants are not suitable for base load due          nized this possibility of fast and almost clean   types.                                            excavated for an open-pit mine, but ventilati-
     to their often strongly fluctuating generation and thus feed-in.               energy generation and are now pushing the         The highest uranium contents are found in         on is less of a problem.
                                                                                    construction of new nuclear power plants.         unconformity-related deposits with average

10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         11
Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
ISR Mining                                       The current status of                              therefore enormous and is proceeding at bre-
                                                                                                                                        athtaking speed! Nevertheless, more than
                                    In the ISR method, water and small amounts       the uranium market                                 two thirds of China‘s energy consumption is
                                    of CO2 and oxygen are injected into the                                                             still generated by coal-fired power plants.
                                    sandstone layers with the help of so-called                                                         And although China itself is mining its own
                                    injection wells, the uranium is dissolved out    But what about the uranium market today? It        coal deposits on a large scale, it is one of the
                                    and pumped back to the surface for further       is clear that the lack of investment in the pro-   world‘s largest coal importers alongside In-
                                    processing with the help of so-called reco-      curement structure - i.e. in the infrastructure    dia. 30% of the coal mined worldwide is im-
                                    very wells. The whole process is therefore       of mines and processing plants - over the          ported into these two countries alone. A cer-
                                    completely underground. The advantages of        last 45 years will most likely prove to be a       tain dependence on these same coal imports
                                    this process are therefore obvious: no major     stroke of luck for uranium investors in the fu-    is obvious. And this is exactly something that
                                    earth movements as in open-pit operation,        ture!                                              the leadership of the People‘s Republic is
                                    no overburden dumps or run-off basins for        For despite the fact that, at the latest since     trying to avoid. The obligation to establish
                                    heavy metals and cyanides have to be carri-      the Chernobyl disaster and even more so af-        climate-friendly and clean energy generation
                                    ed out. Only the wells are visible on the sur-   ter the events surrounding the nuclear facili-     options is almost a secondary consideration.
                                    face, the areas around the wells can continue    ties in Fukushima, Japan, the number of nuc-       The state-owned power plant manufacturer
                                    to be farmed without restrictions. The ISR       lear power plants worldwide is already at a        Power Construction Corporation of China
                                    process makes even low-grade deposits            record level. Just 30 countries currently (as of   (Beijing) predicted in autumn 2015 that its
                                    economically mineable, the capital costs for     1 April 2020) operate 442 reactors with a to-      country would rise among the world‘s largest       India massively expands civil                     Overview of reactors currently under
                                    mine development are greatly reduced. In         tal net electrical capacity of around 390.7 gi-    users of nuclear power after the Chinese go-       nuclear program                                   construction per country
                                    addition, the whole process can be carried       gawatts.                                           vernment planned to build more than 80 new                                                           (Source: www.iaea.org/PRIS)
                                    out with a minimum of manpower, which also                                                          nuclear reactors in the next 15 years and          India is following a similar path. The world‘s
                                    drastically reduces operating costs. Accor-      The current leading nuclear power nation           more than 230 new nuclear reactors by 2050.        second most populous country plans to ex-
                                    ding to a study by the World Nuclear Associ-     with 96 reactors in operation is the USA. Ho-      According to information from China Power,         pand its nuclear energy capacity by 70 giga-
Overview of reactors currently in   ation, 25% of the uranium mined outside Ka-      wever, emerging markets such as China and          the new five-year plan for the energy indust-      watts. In contrast, India‘s current total net
operation per country               zakhstan recently came from ISR mines.           India in particular are requiring more and         ry, which is scheduled for adoption by the         electrical capacity of about 6.2 gigawatts
(Source: www.iaea.org/PRIS)                                                          more energy and have been focusing on a            National People‘s Congress in March 2016,          seems downright ridiculous.
                                                                                     massive expansion of their nuclear power           envisages a faster expansion of nuclear ca-
                                                                                     capacities for some time. It is therefore not      pacity than has been the case to date: previ-      However, India has literally slept through its
                                                                                     surprising that 53 additional nuclear reactors     ously, capacity was expected to rise to 58         entry into nuclear energy and is now despe-
                                                                                     with a total net electrical capacity of around     gigawatts in the coming years, but now more        rately searching for recoverable deposits, but
                                                                                     56.3 gigawatts are currently under construc-       than 90 gigawatts are under discussion. In         also has to expand its overloaded power
                                                                                     tion. Plans for 110 additional ones have al-       2005, the plan was still based on a mere 40        grid. A tenfold increase in nuclear energy ca-
                                                                                     ready been completed and 330 more are in           gigawatts by 2020. By 2030, 110 reactors           pacities seems not only sensible, but also
                                                                                     the pipeline.                                      should be on the grid. A total of 10 nuclear       urgently necessary.
                                                                                                                                        reactors are currently under construction. In
                                                                                                                                        a further step, China‘s nuclear power genera-      India itself has hardly any significant uranium
                                                                                     The demand situation                               tion is to be expanded to 120 to 160 giga-         deposits. An expansion of its own nuclear
                                                                                                                                        watts by 2030!                                     energy capacities by a factor of ten would at
                                                                                     China is only at the beginning of                                                                     the same time mean a 10% increase in total
                                                                                     the nuclear age                                    While in Germany the abolition of nuclear          global nuclear power generation.
                                                                                                                                        power generation was sealed shortly after
                                                                                     While many self-proclaimed experts had al-         the events in Fukushima, China has decided         But where is the additionally required urani-
                                                                                     ready prophesied the end of the nuclear age,       exactly the opposite and is making every ef-       um going to come from? Currently, only a few
                                                                                     this is still in its infancy in the world‘s most   fort to produce cheap electricity by means of      of India‘s 22 nuclear reactors are running at
                                                                                     populous country. 48 reactors with a total net     a chain reaction. In view of an ever-increa-       full load. While Japan, China, Russia and
                                                                                     electrical capacity of 45.5 gigawatts are ope-     sing energy demand - mainly due to rising          South Korea in particular have been able to
                                                                                     rated in the Middle Kingdom, which has so          prosperity - and a catastrophic CO2 balance,       secure uranium resources worldwide in
                                                                                     far mainly used coal to generate electricity.      China‘s path in this direction seems only lo-      recent years, India has completely missed
                                                                                     Of these, 9 new reactors alone have been put       gical.                                             this opportunity. Only recently, several
                                                                                     into operation since the beginning of 2018.                                                           purchase agreements have been concluded
                                                                                     The expansion of nuclear power in China is                                                            with companies from the USA, Canada, Na-

12                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              13
Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
mibia, Kazakhstan, Russia, Great Britain and       Emirates, entered nuclear power production.        ar power. Because, given the amount of ad-
                                          South Korea.                                       Another 3 reactors are under construction          ditional electricity required over the next two
                                                                                             there.                                             to three decades, renewable energies can
                                          At present, 7 nuclear reactors are under con-                                                         only serve as an admixture to the overall
                                          struction in India, with another 42 to follow by                                                      energy mix.
                                          2050.                                              The USA in particular is threate-
                                                                                             ned by the energy collapse                         For this very reason, a law to increase and
                                                                                                                                                promote energy production using nuclear
                                          Russia with increasing nuclear                     With 96 reactors, the USA has by far the lar-      power has already been created as part of
                                          capacity                                           gest active nuclear power plant fleet in the       the „Clean Energy Act of 2009“, a program-
                                                                                             world. Nevertheless, the USA is threatened         me for the provision of carbon-free energy.
                                          Russia and Brazil have also announced a            with a collapse in energy supply. The United       Both US government parties have drawn up
                                          massive expansion of their nuclear power           States is still the country with the highest per   an $18.5 billion plan to double nuclear power
                                          plants. Russia currently operates 38 nuclear       capita consumption of electricity in the wor-      capacity by 2030. At the beginning of 2010,
                                          reactors with about 29.2 gigawatts. 4 plants       ld. And the Americans‘ hunger for energy is        President Obama announced that the US go-
                                          are in the construction phase. In addition,        growing. Many of the coal-fired power plants       vernment would include in the 2011 federal
                                          Russia plans to build 46 more nuclear power        that still date from the 1950s and 1960s ope-      budget additional funds of $36 billion for sta-
                                          plants, which should increase the share of         rate inefficiently and uneconomically. Sooner      te guarantees for the construction of a new       the same time, more than 75% of the expec-        Overview of the age of the currently
                                          nuclear energy in the Russian energy mix           rather than later they have to be taken off the    generation of nuclear reactors. This meant a      ted reactor demand until 2025 is not contrac-     running reactors. Many will (have to) be
                                          from currently 15% to over 20%. In a further       grid. Electricity consumption, on the other        tripling of the originally planned budget         tually secured. For a commodity such as ura-      replaced by more powerful ones in the
                                          step, Russia wants to increase this quota          hand, is rising steadily. So, the USA has no       funds.                                            nium, which is only marginally traded, this       coming years.
                                          again to 25%.                                      choice but to increase the number of its nuc-                                                        return to more „normal“ long-term contracts       (Source: www.iaea.org/PRIS)
                                                                                             lear reactors in the coming years. Of course,      In recent years, an application has been          is likely to put enormous pressure on both
                                                                                             climate-friendly energy is also provided by        made for an extension of the operating lives      long-term prices and spot prices. Internatio-
                                          Rising global expansion of nucle-                  photovoltaic systems, wind farms, hydro-           of more than 60 US nuclear reactors to 60         nal plant operators are therefore now increa-
                                          ar energy                                          electric power plants or geothermal energy,        years of total operating time. In addition, 42    singly showing signs of increased buying ac-
                                                                                             but these energy producers can only solve          applications have been submitted for the          tivity.
                                          In addition to the 30 nations that already         acute energy problems to a limited extent, as      construction of new nuclear power plants. So
                                          have nuclear reactors online, another 17           they are very costly on the one hand and their     far, however, only 4 plants are under const-
                                          countries are planning to install nuclear pow-     output fluctuates according to the time of         ruction, another 21 are in the concrete plan-     Summary
                                          er plants. Among them are Egypt, Jordan,           day and weather conditions on the other.           ning phase.
                                          Turkey and Indonesia. At the beginning of          What therefore remains as the only clima-                                                            The fact is that 442 reactors are currently in
                                          March 2020, the 31st nation, the United Arab       te-friendly energy production option is nucle-                                                       operation and at least 330 more are to be ad-
                                                                                                                                                Long-term supply contracts to                     ded by 2040. 53 plants are already under
Overview of currently running reactors                                                                                                          expire shortly                                    construction, another 110 are in the concrete
(blue), currently shut down reactors                                                                                                                                                              planning phase. Even if half of the old reac-
(grey), reactors under construction                                                                                                             The previous cycle of contracts, dominated        tors were to be taken off the grid by then, 500
(green) and permanently shut down                                                                                                               by the uranium price peaks of 2007 and            to 600 reactors would be active in 2040.
reactors (red). Above all China, India,                                                                                                         2010, has led plant operators to enter into
South Korea, Russia, the United Arab                                                                                                            higher-priced contracts with very long dura-      Furthermore, about 90% of all long-term
Emirates and the USA are currently                                                                                                              tions of about 8 to 10 years. On the one hand,    supply contracts between the uranium pro-
working on expanding their reactor                                                                                                              these old contracts are expiring, but on the      ducers and the power generation companies
fleets.                                                                                                                                         other hand the plant operators have not yet       expire by the end of 2020, which is likely to
(Source: www.iaea.org/PRIS)                                                                                                                     made any effort to replace these supply volu-     put established nuclear power nations such
                                                                                                                                                mes. Forward transactions by plant opera-         as the USA in particular in a predicament.
                                                                                                                                                tors are therefore declining sharply, which
                                                                                                                                                means that the quantities required for which
                                                                                                                                                there is no contractual obligation yet, but
                                                                                                                                                which must be contractually secured in fu-
                                                                                                                                                ture, are also increasing. Uncovered demand
                                                                                                                                                is expected to be just under one billion
                                                                                                                                                pounds of U3O8 over the next 10 years. At

14                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         15
Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
The supply situation                                29,000 tonnes of uranium were extracted
                                                         from the ground. After the end of the Cold
                                                                                                            production cuts and closed its McArthur Ri-
                                                                                                            ver mine and Key Lake facilities indefinitely in
                                                                                                                                                                 which is mined as a by-product in other mi-
                                                                                                                                                                 nes, has also recently seen a decline in sup-
                                                         War, disarmed nuclear weapons in particular        January 2018. The Rabbit Lake mine was               ply due to various mine closures.
     Established producers are                           became the most important source for US            also closed, both of which are among the ten
     running out of air                                  uranium demand. This led to a decline in           largest uranium mines in the world. McArthur
                                                         American uranium production to less than           River is the mine with the second highest            Huge supply gap already existing
     The established uranium producing nations           500 tons of uranium per year at the end of the     uranium production worldwide. With the tem-          before Corona
     Australia, Canada, Russia and Niger were al-        war. As a direct consequence, much of the          porary closure, 10% of the total world pro-
     ready having problems expanding their pro-          infrastructure and approved production faci-       duction was taken off the market at a stroke.        Overall, uranium production has declined by
     duction before the Corona crisis. All four          lities were simply closed or completely dis-       In addition, Cameco has for some time been           about 60% since about the beginning of
     countries together produced almost 19,333           mantled. Currently, only a few mines remain        acting as a uranium buyer itself in order to         March 2020 due to corona alone, although it
     tonnes of uranium in 2018. In 2009 the figure       in Texas, Arizona and Wyoming.                     supply long-term, higher-priced supply cont-         should be noted that the supply shortfall was
     was 28,000 tonnes of uranium. Australia has                                                            racts with corresponding uranium volumes at          already about 40 million pounds of uranium
     experienced recurring problems at BHP Billi-                                                           spot prices.                                         per year before that. The current demand is
     ton‘s Olympic Dam Mine, by far the country‘s        Kazakhstan – the new uranium                                                                            thus largely covered by stocks, which are
     highest-yielding uranium mine. In Canada,           superpower                                         Since 2017 Kazatomprom has reduced its               thus rapidly dwindling. So, in fact, there is al-
     the start of production at Cameco‘s McArthur                                                           uranium production by about 15% and Ca-              ready a supply shortfall. At the current level
     River Mine had to be postponed tens of times        While almost all established uranium pro-          nada by about 45%. Furthermore, Cameco               of 442 nuclear reactors worldwide, consump-
     due to repeated ingress of large amounts of         ducers are experiencing difficulties in rebuil-    closed its Cigar Lake mine in March 2020 for         tion is about 183 million pounds of U3O8, of
     groundwater. In Niger, mine openings that           ding or expanding their uranium production,        four weeks due to corona, which was subse-           which only about 139 million pounds are co-
     had also been planned had to be postponed.          one region has now moved past all other            quently extended. In addition, Orano‘s McC-          vered by global uranium production (exclu-
     In some cases, however, mines were also             countries to the forefront of uranium produc-      lean Lake processing plant also had to close.        ding the special effect of corona). The Inter-
     shut down due to the weak uranium spot              tion: Central Asia. In the last ten years, Ka-     Other closures include Moab Khotseng in              national Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) esti-
     price.                                              zakhstan in particular has multiplied its urani-   South Africa and the Chinese-owned mines             mates that the construction of new nuclear
                                                         um production there. Uranium production in         Husab and Rössing in Namibia, to name but            power plants will increase global uranium
                                                         the former Soviet Republic rose from 1,870         the most important. The spot market, whose           demand to up to 300 million pounds of U3O8
     US uranium production is down                       to over 24,586 tonnes between 2000 and             supply is mainly composed of uranium,                in 2030.
                                                         2016. In 2009, Kazakhstan thus also over-
     The situation in the USA is even more threa-        took the previous leader Canada and is now
     tening. Although the Obama administration           responsible for almost 40% of total global
     has decided on a US$ 54 billion programme           uranium production.
     to promote the nuclear power industry in
     2010, it is still far from clear where the urani-
     um needed to operate the reactors will come         Massive production cuts have
     from. The uranium industry in the USA is only       already been initiated
     a shadow of the past. In the last 45 years,
     practically nothing has been invested in the        But although Kazakhstan is one of the na-
     development of new deposits and almost              tions that can currently mine uranium at the                                                                                                                 Uranium spot price (blue) and long term
     95% of the uranium required has been ob-            lowest cost, the country has long since cea-                                                                                                                 price (red) including major events for
     tained from disarmament programmes. US              sed to be prepared to sell its uranium depo-                                                                                                                 the sector
     nuclear reactors already consume about              sits at rock-bottom prices. In early 2017, the                                                                                                               (Source: Company presentation
     21,300 tonnes of uranium annually. An in-           state-owned Kazatomprom announced that                                                                                                                       Laramide Resources)
     crease in capacity would therefore also re-         its own uranium production would be cut by
     quire an increase in the amount of uranium          at least 20% in 2017. In May 2018 Kazatom-
     needed. The World Nuclear Association               prom announced further production cuts. In
     (WNA) estimates that by 2035, the USA alone         addition, production had to be further re-          1. early 2000s: major mine disruptions after U3O8    cutbacks (Cameco, Kazatomprom); US
     will need about 40,000 tonnes of uranium an-        duced due to corona.                                    price was at all-time low                        government support and global demand for
     nually. Even in the heyday of US uranium pro-                                                           2. mid to late 2000s: new supply contracts           nuclear power generation; new financial players
     duction in the 1960s and 1970s, it would not        However, Kazatomprom is not the only urani-             concluded                                        (Yellow Cake, Uranium Participation, Uranium
     have been possible to extract such a quantity       um producer that has been relying on pro-           3. March, 2011: Fukushima                            Royalty, etc.); long-term contracts expiring; new
     from their own plants. US uranium producti-         duction cuts in view of the weak uranium            4. in the past 12 months: Major production           construction of nuclear reactors.
     on reached its peak in 1980, when about             price. Uranium major Cameco announced

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Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources Uranium Report 2020 Everything you need to know about uranium! - Skyharbour Resources
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