Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
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Guide to this document This document contains the evidence base to support the Commission's recommendations relating to NHS estates in London This analysis has been undertaken through the Call for Evidence period and engaged on with stakeholders throughout the Commission The contents of this document include: • Overview of narrative • Analysis in the following areas: – Acute estate – Mental health estate – Community care estate – Primary care estate 2
There is a need to improve the use of NHS estates across London to enable better health and healthcare across London London is facing a huge ▪ The city does not have enough land to meet the current and future needs of the land challenge population. ▪ The quality and efficiency of usage of London’s NHS estate is highly variable and Large amount of estate much does not meet evolving needs. There is significant scope to transform the which is of high value and way that estate is used across London. varying quality ▪ London’s NHS estate is of high value, variable quality with some unsuitable for purpose and overall, NHS assets are under-utilised. ▪ Poor utilisation and unsuitable types of estate has been a result of: A proportion of estate is – Perverse incentives, insufficient investment and fragmented decision-making under-utilised on primary and out-of-hospital estate; and – A lack of incentives for trusts to rationalise the use of estate. There is a need to unlock ▪ The NHS does not have any new money to spend on fixing these problems and therefore must look at how to unlock value from the current estate and capital value regime to address the issues within the system. There are opportunities ▪ This represents a huge opportunity for health and care in London; but also for public/social sector use in London where there is a need for 550,000 new homes across the public sector by 2021 and 118,000 new school places by 2016/17. 3
There is a need to improve the use of NHS estates across London to enable better health and healthcare across London ▪ Support improvements in quality of general practice estate by moving to capitation for estates costs. Primary & ▪ Ensure collaboration between NHS and other public and social sector bodies to facilitate OOH estate disposal of surplus NHS estates for alternative social uses such that the NHS gets a good deal and disposal supports London’s broader land issues. ▪ Changes in retention of capital receipts for FTs (Monitor) and non-FTs (HMT). ▪ Actively encourage DH, NHS England and Monitor to develop a national proposition to Hospital increase the cost of capital to a fair market rate and alter the valuation process. estate ▪ Create a vehicle under a new management agreement for development or disposal of surplus estate (especially trusts and community estate). ▪ Provide measures to trusts to help them out of the “estates trap”. ▪ Set and rigorously enforce quality standards for NHS estates (Hospital Trusts and Primary and Community Care). ▪ Develop Strategic Planning Capital Boards at local health economy level (with central co-ordination) to: – Provide a single point of review for local health economy capital business cases to Governance national regulators; and & – Use proceeds of exiting surplus estate to invest in various programmes that support capabilities the local health economy including new community/primary care hubs. ▪ Ensure commissioners have a voice in estates strategy for providers in the local health economy and input into Strategic Planning Capital Board(s). ▪ Develop an asset register of estate and property across London to allow a single, transparent view. 4
Contents ▪ Analysis of London challenges ▪ Acute estate ▪ Mental health estate ▪ Community care estate ▪ Primary care estate 5
The NHS allocates highest capital spend on buildings and least on medical equipment in the Beveridge1 peer group yet underspends its capital budget Spend on sophisticated medical Spend on health buildings2 DH Capital Budget Outturn equipment %, 2010 Equipment per million population, 2011 CDEL (£bn) xx% Underspend Computerised Radiation therapy as a % of tomography equipment plans UK 4.0 Australia 44.4 Denmark 12.9 2009/10 2.8 0.6 3.5 18 Portugal 4.0 Italy 32.1 Finland 9.7 Finland 3.1 Denmark 29.3 Australia 9.2 2010/11 2.8 0.6 3.4 18 Ireland 2.4 Finland 21.3 Denmark 0.9 Ireland 9.2 Spain 17.3 Norway 0.8 2011/12 2.3 0.8 3.1 25 Italy 7.0 Ireland 15.7 Italy 0.7 UK 5.2 Canada 14.6 Spain 0.7 2012/13 2.5 1.3 3.7 34 Sweden 0.3 UK 8.9 Spain 4.9 Ø 1.9 Ø 22.9 Ø 8.3 1 Countries in which the majority of healthcare is provided through public bodies, and financed through taxation, as in the UK. 2 New construction (public, private and PFI build cost) including medical schools, clinics, welfare centres, adult training centres and nursing homes. SOURCE: Euroconstruct, 2011 and Eurostat (health buildings data); OECD (healthcare expenditure); EC Harris, 2012 (construction cost data) 6
Overview of footprint of NHS estate across London Total number of NHS sites and premises Total split of gross internal area of NHS estate across London across London, m2 (‘000s)1 ▪ 27 Trusts (11 FTs and 16 non- FTs) Acute Specialist ▪ 65 sites of which 330 Acute – 24 Teaching Hospital sites – 21 Large Hospital sites – 20 all other 3,222 Mental 781 Health ▪ 9 Trusts (6 FTs and 3 non-FTs) Mental health ▪ 85 sites (59 part of FTs and 26 non-FTs) ▪ Roughly ~700-800 sites across London (based on extrapolation 817 Commun- of mapping exercises and 91 Primary care ity NHSPS data) including 193 170 (i.e., former PCT) housing general practice Ambulance Trust/ Community Healthcare/ NHS Direct Care Trust/Social ▪ 1,433 practices (of which 193 General Enterprise are owned by NHSPS) Practice – Average list: 6,287 1 Analysis done by London Health Board by HUDU SOURCE: HUDU, London Health Board, ERIC, CQC, NHS Property Services 7
Overview of value and opportunity in NHS Estate in London Size of Estate and Surplus Estate ▪ Total book value of land and buildings across all trusts Surplus equal to ~£7.2bn £1-1.2bn Acute ▪ Estimated opportunity of £1-1.2bn1 across all trusts: – FTs: ~£380-510m £5.8-6bn Utilised – Non-FTs: ~£660-730m ▪ Total book value of land and buildings across all trusts Surplus equal to ~£1.5bn (or ~£1.2bn excluding WLMHT due to ~£230m Mental Broadmoor Hospital) Health ▪ Estimated opportunity of ~£230m1 across all estates2: ~£970m Utilised – FTs: ~£65m – Non-FTs: ~£164m ▪ Triangulated estimates (from local mappings and data from NHS PS and CHP/LIFT) show likely book value of Utilised Community ~£100m community care estate is between £860m and £1,040m ~£940m Care Surplus ▪ Opportunity is at least ~£60-100m but likely greater ▪ Estimated market value in region of ~£1.56bn (1,433 Does not practices across London) of which ~£260m is included in meet 34% NHSPS (193 premises) and £32m in CHP (30 premises) disabled Compliant Primary Care access ▪ Investment required to make estate meet disability 66% access requirements of at least ~£200m to reach requirements minimum standards (currently extrapolation from NWL) 1 Calculated based on capital/revenue ratio assuming all trusts can reach median 2 Does not include West London Mental Health Trust due to large asset (Broadmoor Hospital) which skews data heavily SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, CQC, Zoopla, Team Analysis 8
Overview of ownership models of NHS estate across London Ownership Model Funding Sources Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) Trusts (PFI) Trusts (non-PFI) ▪ Trust re-investment £bn ▪ Trust development Acute authority (TDA) from 0.32 2.85 1.33 2.69 DH ▪ Private sector (PFIs) Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) Non-FTs (non-PFI) ▪ Trust re-investment Mental £bn ▪ Trust development 0.06 0.76 0.66 authority (TDA) from Health DH ▪ Private sector (PFIs) Number of PropCo (GP) PropCo (Other) CHP/LIFT (GP) CHP/LIFT (Other) Community premises, ▪ Capital investment from very rough 193 142 30 25 NHS England Care estimates Number of PropCo CHP/LIFT Privately Held Unknown ▪ Rent reimbursed (if GP premises, leases property) Primary Care very rough 193 30 931 279 ▪ Interest reimbursed on estimates loan until re-paid then notional rent (if GP owns property) Estimates for ownership split for community and primary care should be viewed as directional and not be heavily relied upon given definitional differences, data gaps and no recent picture of privately held GP practices in London (estimate is UK based in 2006) Number recorded under both primary care and community care; however accounted for in community care when sizing opportunity SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, Web Searches, Team Analysis 9
More than 40% of NHS hospitals are more than 30 years old and 28% pre- date the founding of the NHS in 1948, which leads to variance in condition Age Profile of Acute Estate across London Quality of Estate Some of the acute estate is new and high quality (e.g., UCLH)… Age Profile – 1948 to 1974 15% Age Profile – 40% 1975 to 2004 17% ...other trusts are poor quality and have lacked proper investment (e.g., Age Profile – Northwick Park) 2005 to present 28% Age Profile - pre 1948 SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Website Review 10
GP premises are in poor condition, typically in converted residential buildings – 34% need to be rebuilt and 44% are in need of repair Assessment of GP Practice Premises in Example of GP Practice needing re-build to North West London meet disabled access requirements Total of 34% Good needs 0% rebuild Acceptable 22% Unacceptable 25% Very Poor8% Total of 44% 44% needs repair Poor SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future 11
The approval process for primary care estates investment is overly complex Decision NWL-wide step CCG-wide step NHSE scheme specific step Proposed CCG decides Develop CCG submits NHSE com- Identify Sign-off from schemes whether to Strategic PID (draft municates Clarify potential NHS PC and prioritised at 0 1 proceed 2 Service 3 SOC) to NHSE 4 5 outcomes of requirements investment NHSE London NHSE regional Delivery Plan for preferred decisions to requirement PC team governance (SSID) site CCGS forums ▪ Schemes captured in ▪ Schemes that have revenue ▪ Demonstrates strategic ▪ Uses evidence base of SSDP ▪ NHSE prioritise NWL OOH estates impact but do not require OOH need for CCG ▪ Sets out options appraisal to propose schemes across investment pipeline capital funding still require ▪ Includes locality, specific scheme for a locality London against ▪ Pipeline communicated business case development type, ▪ Focus on affordability agreed criteria to NHSE London ▪ NHSE London team assess potential funding route, ▪ Includes high level capital and primary care team these revenue business services revenue funding for all options cases and may approve them ▪ NHSE London primary care team locally sign-off agreed approach to cover increased rental costs CCG Handover to NHSE manages NHSE national team to review CCG Site options, decision to Develop site delivery of business case through decision to development 10 proceed to 9 8 Develop OBC 7 6 service approved appropriate approval proceed and FBC specification business authority (subject to assessment case option financial value) Financial value NHSE approvals process ▪ Sign-off by ▪ Articulates strategic, economic, < £ 3m ▪ NHSE chair/CEO/CFO NHS PC and commercial, financial and < £ 3-10m ▪ NHSE Finance and Investment Committee (FIC) NHSE London management cases < £ 10-35m ▪ NHSE FIC recommends approval PC team ▪ Financial case including capital ▪ NHSE Board approval and revenue funding requirements with latter based on < £ 35-50m ▪ Consultation with HMT via DH district valuer assessment ▪ NHSE FIC recommends approval ▪ NHSE Board approves < £ > 50m ▪ As above, plus ▪ Approval from: NHSE Board, DH then HMT SOURCE: Based on NWL General Practice Estate, v2.1 12
Contents ▪ Analysis of London challenges ▪ Acute estate ▪ Mental health estate ▪ Community care estate ▪ Primary care estate 13
The total book value of land and buildings of acute estate in London is £7.2bn, of which over half is non-FTs Book value of total estate in London, £m Land Buildings Acute - Large 420 1,828 FTs Acute - Teaching 797 2,365 Acute - Small 98 324 £3.17bn £4.02bn 32 65 Acute - Multi-service Acute - Specialist 572 151 Non-FTs Acute - Medium 123 411 SOURCE: Eric Database 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 14
This estate has a total running cost of ~£1.2bn each year… Annual running costs (£m) Total running cost (£m) Barking, Havering and Redbridge Hospitals 3 13 18 34 Barnet and Chase Farm Hospitals 6 11 19 36 1 50 73 Barts Health 124 Chelsea and Westminster Hospital (FT) 10 10 21 41 Croydon Health Services 5 5 11 21 Ealing Hospital 33 15 21 Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals 6 9 14 30 Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children (FT) 6 18 25 49 Guy’s and St Thomas’ (FT) 20 36 72 129 Homerton University Hospital (FT) 3 5 29 38 Imperial College Healthcare 21 37 40 98 King’s College Hospital (FT) 8 14 31 53 3 6 17 Kingston Hospital 26 2 5 14 Moorfields Eye Hospital (FT) 21 0 7 13 North Middlesex University Hospital 20 North West London Hospitals 5 9 16 30 Royal Brompton and Harefield (FT) 6 17 10 33 Royal Free London (FT) 7 14 18 39 2 3 5 Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital 10 South London Healthcare 9 13 40 63 St George’s Healthcare 7 18 40 65 The Hillingdon Hospitals (FT) 4 7 8 19 The Lewisham Healthcare 4 10 20 34 The Royal Marsden (FT) 5 11 11 27 3 8 13 The Whittington Hospital 24 University College London Hospitals (FT) 8 23 85 115 West Middlesex University Hospital 5 9 16 2 Public dividend capital (PDC) represents DH’s equity interest in defined public assets across the NHS 15 SOURCE: Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
…and these costs are highly variable across trusts as a proportion of book value and revenue Running costs as a proportion Running costs as a proportion of book value, % of revenue, % Barking, Havering and Redbridge University Hospitals 11 8 Barnet and Chase Farm Hospitals 17 11 Barts Health 14 12 Chelsea and Westminster Hospital (FT) 13 13 Croydon Health Services 15 9 Ealing Hospital 29 10 Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals 21 9 Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children (FT) 18 16 Guy’s and St Thomas’ (FT) 17 14 Homerton University Hospital (FT) 30 16 Imperial College Healthcare 15 13 King’s College Hospital (FT) 17 9 Kingston Hospital 26 14 Moorfields Eye Hospital (FT) 29 16 North Middlesex University Hospital 15 12 North West London Hospitals 12 9 Royal Brompton and Harefield (FT) 18 12 Royal Free London (FT) 13 8 Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital 23 8 South London Healthcare 14 16 St George’s Healthcare 27 12 The Hillingdon Hospitals (FT) 19 11 The Lewisham Healthcare 19 16 The Royal Marsden (FT) 17 11 The Whittington Hospital 20 9 University College London Hospitals (FT) 20 18 West Middlesex University Hospital 17 11 SOURCE: Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 16
London has some of the best acute hospital buildings in the country… Example: University College Hospital Recent modernisation ▪ As of late 2005, the UK was building more new large hospitals than all other G7 nations combined ▪ Furthermore, ~18% of the stock of hospitals in London was built after 2005 17
…as well as some of the worst: ~40% is older than 30 years – and ~30% pre-dates the NHS… Age Profile - 2005 to present ( %) Age Profile - 1948 to 1974 ( %) Age Profile - 1975 to 2004 ( %) Age Profile - pre 1948 ( %) Acute - Large 17 43 16 24 Acute - Teaching 20 36 11 33 Acute - Small 16 55 19 9 Northwick Park Hospital Acute - Multi-service 6 33 45 16 Acute - Specialist 14 26 17 42 Acute - Medium 10 58 12 19 TOTAL 17 40 15 28 Hillingdon Hospital SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Website Review 18
…which goes some way to explain the ~£600m of estates work backlog in London’s acute hospitals Cost to eradicate Cost to eradicate Cost to eradicate High Risk Backlog Significant Risk Backlog Moderate Risk Backlog (£m) (£m) (£m) Acute - Large 65 76 75 Acute - Teaching 12 50 102 Acute - Small 10 14 10 Acute - Multi-service 4 12 35 Acute - Specialist 17 15 46 Acute - Medium 5 23 23 Total £114m £190m £290m SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Team Analysis 19
Despite the total level of work backlog declining, the proportion of high need has grown from 8 to 15% from 2006-2011 Low Significant Total work backlog by type and percentage split Medium High Cost to eradicate work backlog (£m) Cost to eradicate work backlog (%) 2011 234 343 248 140 966 24 36 26 15 2010 274 413 290 128 1,104 25 37 26 12 2009 247 403 304 115 1,069 23 38 28 11 2008 286 393 304 104 1,088 26 36 28 10 2007 306 371 299 108 1,085 28 34 28 10 2006 336 399 296 84 1,115 30 36 27 8 SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Team Analysis 20
Capital revenue ratios comparing book value of land and buildings to total clinical income Book value of land Trust Capital/Revenue ratio (%) and buildings (£m) Opportunity1 (£m) South London Healthcare NHS Trust 1.10 442 182 Chelsea And Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 1.03 315 118 Great Ormond Street Hospital For Children NHS Foundation 0.89 273 74 Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust 0.88 662 174 University College London NHS Foundation Trust 0.87 570 146 Barts Health NHS Trust 0.87 905 229 Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust 0.84 747 170 North Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust 0.82 140 30 The Lewisham Healthcare NHS Trust 0.81 176 34 Barking, Havering And Redbridge University Hospitals NHS 0.75 306 41 North West London Hospitals NHS Trust 0.74 238 30 Barnet And Chase Farm Hospitals NHS Trust 0.67 219 8 West Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust 0.65 92 1 Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust 0.65 312 0 The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust 0.65 159 0 Royal Brompton And Harefield NHS Foundation Trust 0.63 177 0 Croydon Health Services Nhs Trust 0.58 134 0 The Hillingdon Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust 0.57 98 0 King’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 0.54 320 0 Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 0.54 71 0 Homerton University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust 0.54 126 0 Kingston Hospital NHS Trust 0.53 100 0 The Whittington Hospital NHS Trust 0.47 117 0 Epsom And St Helier University Hospitals NHS Trust 0.44 139 0 St George’s Healthcare NHS Trust 0.42 236 0 Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital NHS Trust 0.37 42 0 Ealing Hospital NHS Trust 0.35 73 0 TOTAL 7,189 1,237 1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio 21 SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
If each acute trust were able to achieve the same capital/revenue ratio as the median, ~£1bn – 1.2bn could be realised Approach Total opportunity1 Total opportunity1 (based on total trust (based on total clinical ▪ Determined book income) £m income) £m value (land and buildings) for acute estate across from ACUTE - LARGE 489 459 accounts. ▪ Calculated capital to revenue ratio for ACUTE - TEACHING 608 433 each trust across London2. ACUTE - SMALL 31 43 ▪ Determined median value for all acute trusts. ACUTE - MULTI-SERVICE 0 0 ▪ Determined movement needed by individual trusts ACUTE - SPECIALIST 74 66 to reach the median. ▪ Calculated level of capital needed for ACUTE - MEDIUM 34 41 release to reach median capital to revenue ratio. TOTAL £1.24bn £1.04bn 1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio. 2 Ratio only includes capital that sits on the Trust balance sheet and not on balance sheets of other entities (e.g., charities of Trusts). SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 22
Looking at the split between FT and non-FT and where the highest opportunities appear to be… Split of capital/revenue ratio opportunity based on total clinical income, £m Approximately 60% of …with large opportunities sitting within a range of different acute opportunity sits with non-FT acute trusts across London including some larger ones in non-FT acute trusts… trusts. Barts Health 229 South London Healthcare 182 Imperial College Healthcare 174 Guy’s And St Thomas’ 170 University College London 146 ~380 Chelsea And Westminster Hospital 118 Great Ormond Street Hospital 74 Barking, Havering And ~660 41 Redbridge University Hospitals Lewisham Healthcare NHS Trust 34 North Middlesex University Hospital 30 North West London Hospitals 30 Barnet And Chase Farm Hospitals 8 Non-FTs West Middlesex University Hospital 1 FTs SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 23
…as well as how the opportunity would break down across different local health economies Opportunity by local health economy, £m and % split Remaining Estate Opportunity Total Current Percentage of Size of Opportunity (£m) Estate (£m) Opportunity (%) Barking, Havering and Redbridge 306 13.4 265 41 North Central London 1,487 258 1,745 14.7 Waltham Forest, East London and the City 802 229 1,030 22.2 North West London 1,492 323 1,815 17.8 South West London 608 0 608 0 South East London 1,298 387 1,685 23.0 £5.95bn £1.24bn £7.19bn 17.2 SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 24
Only a proportion of the opportunity will be possible to realise rapidly in the form of unused buildings Taxonomy of opportunity for releasing capital amongst trusts Unused buildings Can release straight away as land is truly surplus – or pieces of land only small number of trusts are reporting available and ready to sell land on DH database Unused parts of Will require investment to support moving services in buildings (e.g., other parts of the building to new locations to empty wards) release building and affiliated land Under-utilised Will require service re-design and enhancements to space in used consolidate and move services to release capital space (e.g., 50% used ward) Undervalued Could be relocated but would need a significant buildings or land business case to be developed to achieve this and (e.g., in Chelsea) strong case for large investment in re-build SOURCE: Team Analysis 25
Trusts report ~£375m book-value of under-utilised floor space – some of which will represent the two ‘unused’ parts of the taxonomy Book value of total estate in London, £m Book value (land and Unused floor Book value (land and Type of Trust buildings), £m space (%) buildings), £m ACUTE - LARGE 2,248 8.2 185 ACUTE - TEACHING 3,162 2.7 87 ACUTE - SMALL 422 5.2 22 ACUTE - MULTI-SERVICE 98 10.3 10 ACUTE - SPECIALIST 723 4.2 30 ACUTE - MEDIUM 535 7.7 41 TOTAL £7,188m 4.8 ~£375m SOURCE: ERIC Database 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 26
At least 50-70% of the opportunity is likely tied up in buildings that need re-configuration to release capital, this figure could be even higher Illustrative split of opportunity, % Under-utilised space in used space Illustrative analysis Unused parts based on a of buildings previous audit by Grant Thornton ~15-30% ~35-40% which looked at inefficient use of land and of buildings, shows that just over a third of the opportunity is in inefficient use of land whilst the majority is in buildings that need Unused buildings ~35-45% reconfiguration to or pieces of land realise. SOURCE: NHS London (former SHA); Team Analysis 27
Case studies suggest that reconfiguration could vary significantly and will need careful consideration to optimise expenditure Example case study examples of site reconfiguration Example One Example Two Example Three Entire site (000m2) 4.3 11.5 16.5 Required new Required new investment, £m £5 £5 £5 investment Net required new investment, £m 15 60 88 Land area sold for redevelopment (acre) 9.1 7.9 7.9 Land sale Sell price for per acre, £m £27 £27 £27 receipts Land sale receipts, £m 245 215 215 Net capital gain, £m 230 165 127 Proportion of sale receipts needed for reconfiguration, 9 28 41 % Allowing Trusts to retain 50% of capital receipts should ensure that a sufficient level of money is available to the trusts to re-configure services SOURCE: Team Analysis 28
Based on conservative assessments of acute opportunity, it is estimated that the following would be available to local health economies Opportunity by local health economy, £m Funds for local health Funds for local health economies based on economies based on Total size of 50% from non-FTs 50% from non-FTs and Opportunity (£m) and 0% from FTs (£m) 50% from FTs (£m) Barking, Havering and Redbridge 41 21 21 North Central London 258 19 129 Waltham Forest, East London and the City 229 114 114 North West London 323 103 162 South West London 0 0 0 South East London 387 108 193 £1.24bn £0.36bn £0.62bn If FTs gave up 50% of capital receipts to local health economy capital receipts, then an additional £260m would be the opportunity SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 29
Contents ▪ Analysis of London challenges ▪ Acute estate ▪ Mental health estate ▪ Community care estate ▪ Primary care estate 30
There are nine mental health trusts in London spread out across 85 sites... Occupied floor area (m2) Number of Total floor space (%) Unoccupied floor space (m2) sites BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY 64.900 8.100 6 MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST 78.700 1.020 14 LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 65.900 1.360 8 NORTH EAST LONDON 57.500 11.600 17 NHS FOUNDATION TRUST OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 62.800 3.710 9 SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY 164.000 880 10 NHS FOUNDATION TRUST SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST GEORGE’S 71.200 22.600 6 MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN 1.970 1 NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 6.730 WEST LONDON MENTAL 125.000 32.900 14 HEALTH NHS TRUST1 TOTAL 85 1 West London Mental Health NHS Trust result could be skewed due to Broadmoor Hospital SOURCE: ERIC, 2013 31
…with a total land and buildings book value of ~£1.5bn Book value of total estate in London, £m Buildings BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY 67 104 171 MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST 61 122 184 LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST FTs EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 29 111 140 NORTH EAST LONDON NHS 41 77 118 FOUNDATION TRUST £660m OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 25 65 90 £820m SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY 71 204 276 NHS FOUNDATION TRUST SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST 70 105 175 GEORGE’S MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS Non-FTs TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN 8 14 NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 6 WEST LONDON MENTAL 98 213 311 HEALTH NHS TRUST1 1 Includes Broadmoor Hospital SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 32
The trusts are highly fragmented with a long tail of small sites Gross internal site floor area (m²) – Mental Health and Learning Disability Facilities 75,000 60,000 45,000 30,000 15,000 0 Individual sites ordered by amount of floor space SOURCE: ERIC 2013 33
A comparison of the capital/revenue ratios demonstrates an efficiency opportunity of ~£230m and over 10% unused floor space Unused floor Indicative Capital/Revenue ratios2 space (%) Opportunity1 BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY 11% ~£66m MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST 0.90 CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST 0.49 1% - LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 0.54 2% ~£3m NORTH EAST LONDON 0.37 17% - NHS FOUNDATION TRUST OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 0.45 6% - SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 0.74 1% ~£63m SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST GEORGE’S MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS 1.07 24% ~£98m TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN NHS FOUNDATION TRUST 0.38 23% - TOTAL 11% ~£230m 1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio. 2 Analysis does not include West London Mental Health Trust as unable to separate out the impact of capital of Broadmoor Hospital. SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13 34
Contents ▪ Analysis of London challenges ▪ Acute estate ▪ Mental health estate ▪ Community care estate ▪ Primary care estate 35
Roughly half of the community care estate in London is owned by NHS Property Services which has a total book value of £478m Limitations of data Total Gross Internal Total Net Book Total Running ▪ Only data from Area1, m2 Value, £ ‘000s costs, £ ‘000s NHS Property Services and does Health centre/GP 229,204 289,755 51,444 not include surgery/Clinic community Residential (other premises from 2,518 440 100 than nursing/care home) CHP (LIFT premises). Unknown 2,378 471 1,880 ▪ Data also includes general practices Offices 59,069 19,064 33,603 owned by NHS Property Services and has been Other 4,313 0 182 included here and not in primary care Hospital/hospital related 117,876 139,793 37,561 analysis. ▪ Some data is Nursing/care home 13,601 20,709 2,353 incomplete on utilisation and therefore reported Land with buildings 3,799 8,034 264 under-utilisation could be higher. 433,000 £478m £127m TOTAL 1 Does not include all premises where data was incomplete; roughly includes 90% or more. SOURCE: NHS Property Services, Team Analysis 36
Reported data shows £43m of unutilised space amongst NHS Property Services properties; though this figure will likely be higher Utilised Total Net Book Value split by Utilised and Percentage Unutilised Unutilised space1, £ ‘000s Unutilised space, % Health centre/GP 256,296 33,459 12% surgery/Clinic Residential (other 440 0 0% than nursing/care home) 467 4 1% Unknown 18,802 263 1% Offices Other 00 - Hospital/hospital related 134,328 5,465 4% Nursing/care home 20,327 382 2% Land with buildings 4,073 51% 3,961 TOTAL £478m £43m 9% 1 Data does not include premises that showed as 100% unutilised as discrepancy could be due to data inaccuracies; relates to 5-10% of premises. SOURCE: NHS Property Services, Team Analysis 37
The other portion of the community estate is owned by CHP whose properties are valued at just under £500m Total Gross Internal Void Property Value, Area, m2 Property Value, £m £m Barking Dagenham Havering 18,753 68 2 Community Ventures Ltd Bexley, Bromley & 12,779 39 1 Greenwich LIFTCo Ltd Brent Harrow and 6,260 18 1 Hillingdon LIFT Co Ltd Building Better Health - Lambeth, 19,384 52 1 Southwark & Lewisham L Building Better Health - 18,060 65 4 West London Limited Camden & Islington Community 8,067 23 1 Solutions Limited East London LIFT Accommodation 28,822 91 7 Services Limited North London Estate 29,103 72 9 Partnerships Ltd (NLEP) Redbridge Waltham Forest Health 7,249 15 0 and Community Developers South West London Health 11,104 30 0 Partnerships Limited TOTAL 160,000 £474m £27m SOURCE: CHP, Team Analysis 38
Triangulating community estate analysis in South and NWL suggests there is between £60-100m surplus community estate across London Analysis in South London Analysis in NWL1 Triangulation for London Number of 141 148 722 Sites Net Book 211.7 - 1,041 Value (£m) Premise 29.3 - 144 Costs (£m) Backlog (£m) 7.0 - 34.5 Identified 60- disposals 20.4 12.9 (£m)2 100 1 Analysis in North West London only considered NBV of disposals, not entire estate, premise costs or back-log 2 Different approaches used to determine disposals; South London focused on identifying disposals whereas NWL was self-reported SOURCE: TSA; NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future; Team Analysis 39
Contents ▪ Analysis of London challenges ▪ Acute estate ▪ Mental health estate ▪ Community care estate ▪ Primary care estate 40
There are 1,433 primary care practices across London, 193 are located in community care centres leaving 1,240 general practice premises Number of practices1 Average list size Range of list NHS Barking And Dagenham CCG 39 5,144 sizes across NHS Barnet CCG 62 5,653 London NHS Bexley CCG 25 8,390 NHS Brent CCG 63 5,229 Lowest NHS Bromley CCG 43 7,038 NHS Camden CCG 35 6,381 848 NHS Central London (Westminster) CCG 30 5,793 NHS City And Hackney CCG 23 5,266 NHS Croydon CCG 54 6,448 NHS Ealing CCG 75 5,110 NHS Enfield CCG 50 5,603 Lower quartile NHS Greenwich CCG 38 5,906 NHS Hammersmith And Fulham CCG 24 7,123 3,335 NHS Haringey CCG 47 5,168 NHS Harrow CCG 30 7,061 NHS Havering CCG 50 5,103 NHS Hillingdon CCG 39 5,905 NHS Hounslow CCG 34 5,323 Median NHS Islington CCG 36 6,205 5,351 NHS Kingston CCG 27 6,718 NHS Lambeth CCG 42 7,160 NHS Lewisham CCG 37 7,213 NHS Merton CCG 23 8,201 NHS Newham CCG 49 5,854 NHS Redbridge CCG 40 5,854 Upper quartile NHS Richmond CCG 26 6,509 7,945 NHS Southwark CCG 34 6,984 NHS Sutton CCG 21 6,532 NHS Tower Hamlets CCG 24 7,530 NHS Waltham Forest CCG 43 6,457 NHS Wandsworth CCG 34 8,251 NHS West London (K&C & QPP) CCG 43 4,086 Highest 27,564 TOTAL – LONDON 1,240 6,287 1 Does not include 193 properties that contain GPs (as per HSCIC list) but owned by NHS Property Services SOURCE: HSCIC, NHSPS, Team Analysis 41
Of those practices not in community care centres, very indicative assessments of the market value suggest it could be worth in the region of ~£1.3bn Indicative market value of practices1, £m Number of practices NHS West London CCG 147 43 NHS Central London CCG 122 30 NHS Camden CCG 88 35 NHS Wandsworth CCG 59 34 NHS Islington CCG 72 36 NHS Lambeth CCG 59 42 NHS Barnet CCG 62 62 NHS Hammersmith And Fulham CCG 44 24 NHS City And Hackney CCG 25 23 NHS Brent CCG 50 63 NHS Ealing CCG 51 75 NHS Southwark CCG 46 34 NHS Richmond CCG 38 26 NHS Tower Hamlets CCG 30 24 NHS Haringey CCG 32 47 NHS Hounslow CCG 23 34 NHS Bromley CCG 34 43 NHS Croydon CCG 29 54 NHS Lewisham CCG 29 37 NHS Enfield CCG 27 50 NHS Merton CCG 29 23 NHS Greenwich CCG 22 38 NHS Hillingdon CCG 21 39 NHS Newham CCG 21 49 NHS Redbridge CCG 22 40 NHS Harrow CCG 21 30 NHS Waltham Forest CCG 23 43 NHS Kingston CCG 23 27 NHS Havering CCG 20 50 NHS Sutton CCG 11 21 NHS Barking And Dagenham CCG 14 39 NHS Bexley CCG 12 25 1 Does not include 193 properties that contain GPs (as per HSCIC list) but owned by NHS Property Services 42
Using indicative numbers, ~13% of primary care estate is in such poor condition it requires significant refurbishment or rebuild… Proportion of GP premises in poor Examples of GP premises in poor condition condition Terrible Excellent Very Poor Poor 6.4% 6.8% 2.4% 3.7% Total = ~13% Good rebuild 29.5% 51.2% Average Total = ~51% refurbish Buildings in poor condition need renovating to meet minimum standards and buildings in very poor or terrible condition need to be completely rebuilt SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future 43
…and ~34% does not meet disability access requirements and needs rebuilding Proportion of GP premises that do not Examples of GP premises that do not meet meet disability access requirements disability access requirements Total = Excellent ~34% 0% rebuild Good 21.8% 25.5% Terrible 8.5% Very Poor 0% Poor Total = 44.2% ~44% refurbish Average Buildings in poor condition need renovating to meet minimum standards and buildings in very poor or terrible condition need to be completely rebuilt 44
An investment of at least ~£200m would be needed just to bring practices up to minimum standards NWL’s ‘Shaping a Healthier Future’ …extrapolating this across London programme estimated the number of non- suggests that ensuring compliance of compliant DDA practices across the area… all GP premises in London will cost £200m Estimated Average cost per Estimated number Total estimated proportion of premise to make of practices cost for London practices1 compliant (£ ‘000s) across London (£m) Compliant 39% - 560 - practices Practices 30.5% 40 470 £18.8 needing updating Practices 30.5% 380 470 £179 needing rebuilding Total 940 ~£200 1 Based on estimates from North West London SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future; ONS 45
Assumptions on what rebuild and refurbishment would cost to extrapolate for London Building related costs Land costs Estimated cost – for premises Estimated cost – extrapolated Key assumptions surveyed and in database1 to all CCGs2 Upgraded / Make compliant: ▪ Cost to upgrade based on survey and estimates of work needed by DJD (for surveyed premises). 40 ▪ Projection scaled based on list size. Rebuild / Reprovision: 74 ▪ GP premises assumed to occupy reduced 17 footprint due to improved utilisation and 32 29 opening hours5. 13 ▪ Cost to build per sq.m is half that of hubs (£2.6k). 2 5 ▪ Some premises modelled to co-locate to hubs Upgrade/ Rebuild/ Total Upgrade/ Rebuild/ Total (smaller premises and Dx rated)3,4. make reprovision make reprovision ▪ Average cost of land/sqm of built space varies compliant compliant by CCG depending on typical plot sizes for 100 Non-DX DX Non-DX DX sq.m of built space (plot sizes do not necessarily scale to building space). 1 Excludes Brent. 2 For all 7 CCGs participating in survey, extrapolated based on participating practices; Brent CCG estimated based on Ealing figures. 3 Some of the smaller practices (i.e., less than 3k patients) will co-locate in the process of re-provision. 4 Where the hub modelling involves co-location of GP practices, these are assumed to be DX practices where possible and cost is not double-counted across the hub and the GP practice estimates. 5 approx. 30m2 per 1000 patients on the list size. Source: DJD database of surveyed GP practices; estimates 46
For primary care, property improvements could be incentivised ▪ The existing primary care estate is fragmented and in ~60% of cases is not fit for purpose ▪ However, GPs are currently not incentivised to re-locate from existing premises to more appropriate premises: – GP practices receive reimbursement of rent at market rates, meaning no incentive to move. – Where GPs own their premises, they receive capital gains on estate, creating incentives to maximise value at point of sale rather than value as a healthcare asset. – GPs cannot sell goodwill in their practice and so there is a lessened incentive to build better facilities to serve patients better. 47
A simpler framework for making investment decisions in primary care is needed with more ownership for Strategic Planning Capital Boards Guiding principles for change ▪ Overall process needs to be simplified to reduce the current barriers for driving change: – Clearer sign-off; – Less steps; and – Better link to commissioning of care. ▪ Decision making needs to shift closer to the ground with local health economies: – Decisions regarding high cost/ price by NHSE London region, not DH or NHSE; – Lower cost/ price decisions by Strategic Planning Capital Boards not NHSE London region. ▪ Consistent framework across London but with local ownership for Individual Strategic Planning Capital Boards (defined and application of framework and described later in document) will need to understand their own processes and NHSE London region should co-ordinate overseeing process via local health design of a framework to drive local ownership of decisions. economy Capital Boards. SOURCE: Team Analysis 48
Estates strategic planning should be integrated into commissioning of care Current Situation: Estates strategic Future Situation: providers to submit planning de-coupled from estates strategic plan co-ordinated Issue commissioning and fragmented with commissioning plans ▪ Estates strategies are set on a ▪ Estates strategies to be co-ordinated via Fragmented provider-by-provider basis and strategic planning groups (local health strategic approved via separate processes and economies) and incorporate necessary planning organisations (e.g., TDA for acute estates requirements. providers, NHS England for primary care). ▪ Different processes for different ▪ Strengthen and co-ordinate decision Complexity providers and lack of clarity for some making across providers and bring of decision providers on requirements for approval greater coherence and clarity to sign-offs making of capital investment in estates. and approvals. ▪ Estates strategy de-coupled from ▪ Incorporate setting estates strategy into Separation commissioning which is focused purely strategic planning to ensure that CCGs from com- on clinical care but not how clinical care and local health economies submit basic missioning is enabled via buildings. estates strategies demonstrating support to commissioning of care. SOURCE: Team Analysis 49
The development of Strategic Planning Capital Boards would support capital investment including re-investment of released capital ▪ Develop governance to oversee and manage effective use of capital including disbursement of released capital. ▪ Include representatives from CCGs, Providers and local authorities. ▪ Purpose of Boards could include investing in: – Out of hospital transformation; – Primary care improvements; – Investment in new care innovations; – Workforce; and – Information and data. ▪ Framework with clear evaluation criteria and assessment process would need developing to ensure most efficient re-deployment of capital. Description Advantages Disadvantages ▪ Capital receipts all ▪ Enables full ▪ Neglects any pan- repurposed in local health empowerment of London Strategic economies. clusters where transformational Planning Capital ▪ Criteria for re-investing implementation investments. capital would be made set occurs. ▪ Siloed mentality and Boards at local health economy approach. level. 50
Examples of good collaboration between health and social/public sector exist in London, and more should be possible Description Earl's Court ▪ Site provides the following services for population: Health and – NHS GP practice and walk-in service; Wellbeing – NHS dental practice; This proposal Centre – Free sexual health and contraception clinics; should put more – A varied set of wellbeing services including wellbeing emphasis on coaching; and Local Authorities – Community resources including Centre Champions and and NHS bodies rooms for community use. supporting this ▪ Health and Wellbeing Centre is funded by the NHS and type of service operated by Turning Point, Greenbrook Healthcare, reconfiguration Terrence Higgins Trust and NHS Dentist. which not only benefits health ▪ Purchased additional land via BBC site disposal and local and care Imperial West services; but deal to reconfigure to meet growing needs. also the broader ▪ Current plans for site: health economy – £150 million Research and Translation Hub, with and public and facilities for 1,000 scientists and engineers and space social sector for 50+ spin out companies. goals across – Accommodation for students and early-career London. researchers. – In addition, include homes, publicly accessible green space, pedestrian subways and leisure and retail facilities, alongside the creation of thousands of jobs. SOURCE: Team Analysis 51
The Metropolitan Police have worked with the Mayor’s office to support service redesign and efficiency savings Situation The Metropolitan Police’s estate has not been efficiently used in the past. The director of the Metropolitan Police Property Service revealed in 2013 that only 60% of desks were occupied at any one time. Other facilities such as the Metropolitan Police’s training centre at Hendon has even lower utilisation of around 20%. Mayoral involvement Coordination Impact ▪ the Mayor’s office for policing and ▪ The police service ▪ Disposing of inefficient buildings: crime (MOPAC) was set up in together with MOPAC – Dozens of police stations will be closed, mainly in January 2012 and is led by the published the most Victorian buildings with high running costs. Mayor of London. recent estate strategy for the Metropolitan – the Police Training Centre at Hendon is being ▪ MOPAC is the owner of the Police in 2013 outlining disposed through the Mayor’s London Metropolitan Police Services’ Development Panel. The panel allows for the fast how the estate will be estate and has extensive financial tracking of the disposal of public land to boost overhauled and running responsibilities including ensuring construction and housing. Estimates suggest that costs reduced. the estate is run efficiently and the redevelopment of the site will halve running effectively given the limited ▪ Under the strategy the costs at the training centre. resources available. Metropolitan police is – The Metropolitan police headquarters is planned committing to get rid of to be moved from one of London’s most famous ▪ Estate management is handled inefficient buildings, and by the Metropolitan Police landmarks to a new smaller site on the to use the money saved Embankment. Property Service, which is towards investing in new responsible for achieving ▪ Co-locating with other public organisations: modern facilities. efficiency, and has moved to a more corporate approach to the – Closed stations will be replaced by “access points”. These access points could be sites in co- planning. located premises with other public service providers such as in community centres. SOURCE: Greater London Authority, MOPAC/MPS Estate Strategy 2013-2016, Property Week 52
London fire brigade has disposed of many under-utilised properties and is now investing in station improvements Situation Major challenges that face the fire brigade are age of properties, and how fit for purpose their buildings are. Today 40% of the estate is over 60 years old, and many of them were originally designed for horse-drawn engines, and not for modern day fire fighting. Historically, investments in fire station improvements have been inconsistent. Mayoral involvement Coordination Impact ▪ London Fire Brigade is run by the ▪ The London Fire brigade ▪ Disposing of inefficient buildings: LFB holds London Fire and Emergency has pro-actively very little property or land that is not required for Planning Authority (LFEPA), reviewed their entire operational purposes, but some buildings are still whose members are appointed estate, and has used this being disposed of: by the Mayor. The organisation to prioritise their – Plans are in place to sell the former belongs to the Greater London property improvement. Headquarters site at Albert Embankment and Authority (GLA) that set the enter into a contract with the re-provision of a budget requirement for LFEPA. fire station on the site. ▪ The Fire Brigade has to make – Under the new savings targets 10 stations are savings worth £28.8m up until being closed. 2016. As part of this, property services will be reviewed, options ▪ Improving the fire station estate will be explored for further – The brigade will receive £51.5 million in private shared services, and cuts will be finance initiative (PFI) credits from central made to the stations. government to rebuild 9 stations, and build 9 new fire stations as part of the PFI project. The new fire stations will replace buildings that are in a poor condition and no longer meet modern requirements. SOURCE: London Fire Brigade Asset Management report 1011, LFEPA 53
Given the lack and fragmentation of data across estates in London, an asset register is needed to create a shared understanding Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) Trusts (PFI) Trusts (non-PFI) £bn Need for Asset Register given Acute 0.32 2.85 1.33 2.69 fragmented and incomplete data ▪ Purpose of asset register: – Give London one single view Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) of property across different Non-FTs (non-PFI) £bn settings of care. Mental – Create greater transparency of Health 0.06 0.76 0.66 data and information to drive awareness of issues. – Build data driven platform to make decisions via Strategic Number of PropCo CHP/LIFT Planning Capital Boards premises, Community very rough ▪ Information to include in asset estimates ??? ??? register: Care1 – Size of estate; – Value of estate; – Condition; and Number of premises, PropCo CHP/LIFT Privately Held Unknown – Usage. Primary very rough ▪ Information to be made publically Care estimates available and audited. 193 ??? 931 ??? 1 Estimates for ownership split for community and primary care should be viewed as directional and not be heavily relied upon given definitional differences, data gaps and no recent picture of privately held GP practices in London (estimate is UK based in 2006). SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, Web Searches, Team Analysis 54
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