Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Implementation of Group Finance and Finance Magazine | November 10, 2016 Investor Relations at Uniper SE Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations
Table of contents 1. Overview 2. Uniper spin-off 3. Organizational structure 4. Rating and funding 5. Banking relationships 6. Investor story 7. Key challenges and outlook 2
1. Overview – General information We are an experienced international energy company with a new name. We are Uniper: An international energy company with about 14,000 employees and active in more than 40 countries. Headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany, Uniper ranks among large generation and trading companies in Europe, which is one of the world’s most important energy markets. Through our commodity-trading and technology-services businesses, we are also active in energy markets from the Americas to Asia. Our core markets are Germany, the United Kingdom, Sweden, France, the Benelux countries and Russia. 3
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio We are well positioned to play a key role in ensuring energy security. • One of the largest European generators with 31 GW of own, mostly dispatchable generation capacity European • Diversified base across technologies and main NWE Generation markets • Strong capabilities in construction, operations and maintenance • A leading physical energy trader with global footprint • Large gas midstream business in Europe with more than Global 400 TWh gas LTC portfolio, own storage capacity of Commodities 8.8 bcm and pipeline shareholdings • Participation in giant Russian gas field • Optimization of European Generation portfolio • Number 3 privately-owned Russian generation company International • ~30% capacity increase since 2010 Power • 11 GW of generation assets 4
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio Well-diversified European generation portfolio with strong market position. Net capacity by country and fuel type (GW)1,2 Net capacity by fuel type (GW)1,3 Sweden (# 2) 4.2 4.2 Other 4.2 Hydro 4.2 5.7 2.5 2.5 Nuclear 31.6 GW UK (# 4) 11.7 Gas 11.7 9.0 Hard coal Benelux(# 2)4 9.0 7.0 Germany (# 3) 3.7 12.0 Hungary (#5) Electricity production (TWh)1,3 France (# 3) 0.4 7.37.3 Other 2.1 15.3 15.3 Hydro 15.2 Gas 15.2 83.8 12.2 Nuclear TWh6 12.2 Hydro Nuclear Hard Coal Gas Other 34.0 # Market position5 34.0 Hard Coal Source: IHS (market position) 1. Net capacity for 2015 (accounting view); net generation capacity is reported for a power plant if it has been in operation within a year 2. Excluding Hydro LTCs 3. Including Hydro LTCs with net capacities of 0.6 GW and production volume of 0.75 TWh in Austria and Switzerland 4. For Benelux: Market position for Netherlands only 5. Market positions based on IHS figures for peers vs. actual numbers for Uniper; figures refer to 2014 (Hungary and France refer to 2013) 6. Deviation due to rounding 5
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio Diversified portfolio with a strong midstream gas footprint. Gas Yuzhno Russkoye Coal & freight / LNG Power 25% stake in giant, producing Global physical coal trading and Long-term supply portfolio Portfolio de-risking natural gas field marketing and freight business Portfolio optimization Stable production profile Contracted regas capacity Portfolio optimization Ongoing build-up of global LNG Gas storage capacity Asset-backed trading arbitrage portfolio Wholesale sales Wholesale sales Gas pipeline participations Origination 6
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio International Power driven by majority stake in one of the leading Russian energy players. Russia Pricing zone 1 Pricing zone 2 Smolenskaya Shaturskaya Yaivinskaya Surgutskaya Berezovskaya 10.7 GW net capacity (GW)¹ 83.7% stake4 in one of the largest private Russian generators Smolenskaya 0.6 Yaivinskaya 1.0 Shaturskaya 1.4 ~5% of Russian electricity production 2 Berezovskaya 2.3 Surgutskaya 5.5 3 ~30% capacity increase since 2010 Old capacities New capacities 1. Net generation capacity for 2015 (accounting view); net generation capacity is reported for a power plant if it has been in operation within a year - excludes 20 MW of capacity in the Czech Republic which is held by E.ON Russia 2. Block 3 currently not operational after fire incident 3. Old capacities defined as capacities commissioned prior to 2007 4. Stake in E.ON Russia JSC as of 31 December 2015 7
2. Uniper spin-off – Process and timeline The spin-off project has been announced in Nov 14 and finalized in Sep 16. Summer Day 1 AGM Day 2 2014 Nov 2014 Q2 2015 Jan 2016 June 9 Sept. 12 Management Public Start of Uniper E.ON AGM decision to Blueprints Spin-off + announcement as new agrees to spin- spin-off specified listing of spin-off company off Uniper business units Phase 1 (Nov 14 – April 15) Strong conceptual focus Design and detailing of Governance & Steering principles for NewCo and Future E.ON Issue identification and measure definition for Carve-Out Development of initial capital and transaction structure for Transaction Announcement of new Management, Locations, and NewCo brand Phase 2 (May 15 – Jan 16) Strong implementation focus Transaction preparation and Carve-out implementation Uniper and its Management as new stakeholder in the project More operational topics and decisions Implementation of Uniper on Day 1 (1 January 2016) Phase 3 (from Jan 16 – Sep 16) Strong capital market focus After achieving Day 1, the focus of the project was on the preparation and execution of the Uniper listing Uniper organization required a new stakeholder concept Phase 3 and the whole One2two project ended with the successful listing of Uniper (Day 2) 8
2. Uniper spin-off – Process and timeline Day 2 marked an end to a 2-year period from announcement to spin-off. Listing window in 16Q3 Day 1 AGM Day 2 Jan 1 April 26 June 9 June 10 Sept. 2 Sept. 5-9 Sept. 9 Sept. 12 Uniper starts E.ON AGM Start of Securities Entry into Capital Markets International Uniper shares as a new agrees to technical prospectus corporate Day road show listed at FSE company Uniper spin-off listing project published register Listing and settlement process • Entry into corporate register on 09/09 • Successful flow-back management • Problems with communication from depository banks (WM-Mitteilungen) • Fractional shares settlement with perfect match of numbers (98% settled until Oct 4) • Risk of deviation from prospectus during settlement process with regard to fractional shares handling by banks 9
2. Uniper spin-off – Activities and challenges Several milestones had to be reached throughout the spin-off process. Key activities until spin-off Prospectus: Finalize prospectus and get approval by BaFin Management presentation: Prepare management presentation + Q&As and executive interviews Spin-off report: Receive audited spin-off report and get approval by the Annual General Meeting Combined financials: Compile Combined Financials for 2015 Final capital structure: Set-up final capital structure Equity story: Finalize equity story for E.ON/Uniper + roadshows AGM process: Prepare shareholders’ vote at Annual General Meeting Transaction documents: Finalize transaction documents (Listing agreement, comfort letters, etc.) Rating: Get final rating from rating agency Financing: Ensure financing of Uniper; set-up syndicated loan facilities Technical transaction: Ensure all technical listing preconditions were met Flowback management: Mitigate stock selling pressure from institutional investors 10
3. Organizational structure Group Finance functions as the main point of contact for finance-topics. Targets and responsibilities Funding and refinancing of the Uniper Group and provision of sufficient liquidity on group and local level Group (incl. market capitalization) Managing the relationship to the banks as well as leading all financing discussions with banks Managing all financial assets of the group and coordinating and administrating the pension vehicles Pooling of all available liquidity on Uniper SE level through cash pooling or deposit agreements and continuously improving the Working Capital management Arranging the provision of collaterals (incl. covenants) and guarantees Managing the currency and the interest rate position for the Uniper Group Assuring an investment grade rating and generally improving the rating over time Optimizing processes and systems/WSS Investor Relations (after Q3/2016 presentation/quarterly notification) 11
3. Organizational structure Group Finance consists of 4 highly dedicated, specialized sub-divisions. The organization structure of Group Finance had to be set-up entirely anew (“blueprint structure”) Around 2/3 of the current Group Finance & Investor Relations staff are former E.ON employees Group Finance & Investor Relations (3.5 FTE) Corporate Finance Asset Management Treasury Investor Relations (5 FTE) (5.3 FTE)1 (12.1 FTE) (4.0 FTE) Core activities: Core activities: Core activities: Core activities: Group funding Investment trust Cash and liquidity Investor Banking management management relationship/ relationships Pension fund Working capital communication Group rating management management Investor meetings/ Project/Structured Derivatives FX Management Roadshows Financing 1. Medium term FTE target after implementation of structure 12
4. Rating and funding – Rating Uniper obtained its first rating from S&P on May 10. Rating Anchor – Combination of business and financial risk profile uniper Business risk: Fair Standard Volatility Table Financial risk: Intermediate (S&P’s did not consider disposals in their base case leading to 1 FFO/Debt in the 40s) Anchor: bb+ Modifier: One notch uplift for credit metrics at high end of the range Rating: BBB- (stable outlook) Target Ratios: BBB-: area of 40% | BBB: >55% 1. Note: Debt/EBITDA based on S&P definition 13
4. Rating and funding – Rating Uniper obtained an investment grade rating by S&P with a stable outlook. Outcome from S&P rating committee Business risk “very well positioned” in ‘Fair’ category / “upper side of ‘Fair’ helped by prudent and sound financial policy” (business risk long discussed in committee) S&P did not consider any divestments in their base case This leads to rating ratios in the area of 40% in line with a ‘intermediate’ financial risk profile (FRP) and in combination with the business risk profile results in an bb+ anchor rating Given that achieved ratios in S&P’s base case are in the upper end of the ‘intermediate’ FRP (range: 30-45%), S&P assigns a comparable rating modifier (+1 notch) bringing the rating to BBB- Accordingly, S&P sets the target ratio for the BBB- rating “in the 40% area” (exact wording tbc) Stable outlook reflects S&P’s view that rating is “fairly robust” in current market environment (but clearly a continuation/acceleration of recent developments would have an impact) If disposals come and financial projections improve to a stable sustainable “at or above 55%” a BBB (flat) rating is possible (rating ratios would need to be at the high end of ‘modest’ FRP and usage of funds would be monitored (financial policy)) In addition to the rating of S&P, Uniper currently analyses the benefits/risks to get another rating from an additional rating agency 14
4. Rating and Funding – Syndicated loan facility First independent facilities agreement of 4.5 billion Euro agreed upon. Ambitious timeline before AGM Day 1 AGM Day 2 16Q1 April May 10 June 1 June 9 July July 27 Sept. 12 Relationship Kick-off €5bn Facilities E.ON AGM Facilities Syndication Spin-off + S&P publishes meetings + financing Agreement agrees to reduced by completed with financial BBB- rating rating process process signed Uniper spin-off €500m 15 banks independence Tight timeline for signing from April until AGM Underwriting Beauty contest with 6 banks; 4 selected; 3 signed Challenges in the signing process for all participants Club deal targeted with 14-18 banks (incl. underwriters) Banking group Finally 15 national and international banks signed €5.0bn Facilities Agreement initially underwritten Size After loan size reduction to €4.5bn, the agreement consists of a term loan facility of €2.0bn and a revolving credit facility of €2.5bn Facilities Agreement reduced by €500mn at an early stage Communication Required targeted communication to banks and general public
4. Rating and Funding – Syndicated loan facility Uniper’s inaugural financing consists of two separate loan facilities. Refinancing Drawn shortly E.ON Term Loan post listing and to Intercompany Loan €2.0bn be repaid from (repaid post Listing) (3y) both cash flow and disposal proceeds Will be drawn Revolving Credit Backup liquidity & from time to time Facility (RCF) Working Capital (~50/50 working 2.5bn € (as of Listing) capital and backup (3y+1+1) facility) Deutsche Bank, J.P. Morgan and UniCredit have underwritten (guaranteed) this facility 16
5. Banking relationships Syndication of inaugural financing as “ticket” to join the banking group. Core banking group Main business relationships Barclays The participation in Uniper’s inaugural syndicated BayernLB financing offers the relationship banks the opportunity to be invited for Uniper’s side business going forward: BNP Paribas CITI 1. Strategic advise (M&A, equity, etc.) 2. Funding (DCM, project finance) Commerzbank 3. Working capital & commodity/trade finance Deutsche Bank 4. Risk management (FX, interest, etc.) Goldman Sachs 5. Cash and transaction business Helaba 6. Asset management (e.g. pensions) ING Side business will be exclusively distributed within J.P. Morgan the banking group (except in case another bank has a Lloyds Bank unique angle towards a specific topic) Morgan Stanley Relationship meetings on a regular basis SEB Société Générale UniCredit 17
6. Investor story – Stock listing Public perception of Uniper has been rather negative prior to the listing. Initial set-up • Management team announced in 2015 • Separation of companies on Jan 1, 2016 • General outlook on business given • Government decision on nuclear liabilities 16H1: Headwind from markets • Commodity market downturn in 16Q1 • Negative outlook for utilities in general • Write-downs after impairment test in 16Q2 Before listing day • Wide range of forecast market capitalization ranging from €2bn to €5bn+ • Featuring considerable market uncertainty 18
6. Investor story – Stock listing Markets see Uniper as a solid investment with upside potential. Stock market reception Facts & figures • Around 25% of all Uniper shares • Initial price: 10.015 Euro traded in the first week of trading • First close: 10.30 Euro • High trading volumes achieved • First month: c.+15% (daily volume between €10-20m) • First 30 days: c.+25% • Stable share price in week 1 • Strong performance in first weeks Source: ir.uniper.energy Selected analysts’ opinions on Uniper SE • Oct 13: Merill Lynch launches Uniper stocks with “Buy” – target price at 14.90€. • Oct 19: Morgan Stanley suggest to “Overweight” Uniper – target price at 13.50€. • Oct 20: Commerbank keeps Uniper at “Buy” with a target price of 11.80€. • Oct 26: HSBC suggests to “Reduce” Uniper stocks – target price at 11.60€. • Oct 28: Société Générale “Raises“ Uniper‘s target price to 13,40€. Source: ir.uniper.energy 19
6. Investor story – Dividend policy Our commitment to shareholders: Attractive FCF based dividend policy. New dividend policy Illustration of dividend base Proposed 2016 dividend payment of c. €200m (implicit €0.55 / share)1 Adjusted Funds from Operations (Adj. FFO) Maintenance / replacement – For subsequent years, payout based on Free investments Cash from Operations Free Cash from Operations (FCfO) Total free cash post-dividends to be neutral or positive Dividends 1. Based on number of shares of 365,960,000 shares; dependent on distribution capacity of Uniper SE (based on German GAAP) as well as AGM and Supervisory Board consent 20
6. Investor story – Dividend policy Adjusted FFO as key KPI for future dividend base. Adjusted Funds from Operations1 over time (€bn) From OCF to adjusted FFO % Cash conversion 2 Operating Cash Flow Cash conversion strongly impacted by gas LTC +/– Working capital effects3 105% – Dividends to minorities 79% 67% – Contributions to Swedish nuclear fund – Pension service cost contributions Adjusted Funds from Operations (Adj. FFO) 1.5 1.5 1.8 Putting historic FFO cash conversion into context In terms of conversion rate to EBITDA gas LTC situation has to be taken into account Reported 2013-2015 EBITDA burdened by provisions Adj. FFO benefitted from not yet renegotiated LTC contracts 2013 2014 2015 2016 Adj. FFO also to be special year as strongly impacted by gas LTC settlement 1. Adj. FFO 2. Defined as Adj. FFO / Adj. EBITDA 3. Changes in operating assets and liabilities and in income taxes adjusted by derivatives 21
7. Key challenges and outlook We are currently tackling a couple of groundbreaking challenges. Next challenges Financial target ratios Safeguarding rating Integrate Investor Relations into Group Finance Disposals Further improve cash pooling At least €2bn of potential Only one EUR bank/even only disposal proceeds identified one account Analyse to include GBP, SEK, Comfortably RUB into cash pooling below 2.0x Positive FCF post dividend Replace clearing banks Sufficient cash to be retained in Working capital measures Corresponding initial years to leverage ratio Optimize liquidity forecasting / below 1.0x management Streamlining procurement activities Safeguarding necessary market Reduce IT system (WSS) access through comfortable complexity investment grade rating Target Target net economic financial net debt / debt / Adj. Adj. EBITDA EBITDA 22
7. Key challenges and outlook Three-tiered action plan aimed at “sustaining value in challenging times“. Uniper’s starting block in 16H1 High pro-forma economic net debt of Unfavourable market Political pressure and exit from coal €4.7bn at FYE15 environment in 16H1 Action plan announced in April 2016 Cost Cash Portfolio Targeted total cost reductions Group investments (€bn) Disposal volume >€2bn 2015 2018 2015 2018 By 2018 Radical reduction of direct and Optimisation of working capital At least €2bn of potential disposal indirect costs across the Group proceeds identified Ambition to reduce investments to Offset loss of earnings due to maintenance level Used for deleveraging and funding commodity price collapse1 of growth projects 1. Referring to annualised foregone earnings from price declines of €8 - €10/MWh in continental Europe and the Nordics since 26/04/2015 and a total outright volume of 25-27TWh in an unhedged scenario
Uniper disclaimer: This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by Uniper AG Closing statement management and other information currently available to Uniper. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the actual future results, financial situation, development or performance of the company and the estimates given here. Uniper AG does not intend, and does not assume any liability whatsoever, to update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments. If you need any further information, please contact us: Uniper AG E.ON-Platz 1 40479 Düsseldorf www.uniper.energy
You can also read