Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer

Page created by Gabriel Jackson
 
CONTINUE READING
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
Implementation of Group Finance and             Finance Magazine | November 10, 2016
Investor Relations at Uniper SE
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
Table of contents

1. Overview
2. Uniper spin-off
3. Organizational structure
4. Rating and funding
5. Banking relationships
6. Investor story
7. Key challenges and outlook

                                2
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
1. Overview – General information
We are an experienced international energy company with a new name.

 We are Uniper: An international energy
  company with about 14,000 employees
  and active in more than 40 countries.
 Headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany,
  Uniper ranks among large generation and
  trading companies in Europe, which is one
  of the world’s most important energy
  markets. Through our commodity-trading
  and technology-services businesses, we
  are also active in energy markets from the
  Americas to Asia.
 Our core markets are Germany,
  the United Kingdom, Sweden,
  France, the Benelux countries
  and Russia.

                                                                      3
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio
We are well positioned to play a key role in ensuring energy security.

                                         •   One of the largest European generators with 31 GW of
                                             own, mostly dispatchable generation capacity
                European                 •   Diversified base across technologies and main NWE
                Generation                   markets
                                         •   Strong capabilities in construction, operations and
                                             maintenance

                                         •   A leading physical energy trader with global footprint
                                         •   Large gas midstream business in Europe with more than
                 Global                      400 TWh gas LTC portfolio, own storage capacity of
               Commodities                   8.8 bcm and pipeline shareholdings
                                         •   Participation in giant Russian gas field
                                         •   Optimization of European Generation portfolio

                                         •   Number 3 privately-owned Russian generation company
               International
                                         •   ~30% capacity increase since 2010
                  Power
                                         •   11 GW of generation assets

                                                                                                      4
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio
Well-diversified European generation portfolio with strong market position.

 Net capacity by country and fuel type (GW)1,2                                                                          Net capacity by fuel type (GW)1,3

                                                                      Sweden (# 2)                                                                4.2
                                                                                                                                              4.2 Other               4.2 Hydro
                                                                                                                                                                     4.2

                                                                           5.7                                                                                              2.5
                                                                                                                                                                              2.5 Nuclear
                                                                                                                                                            31.6
                                                                                                                                                            GW
                         UK (# 4)                                                                                                11.7 Gas
                                                                                                                                       11.7                                  9.0 Hard coal
                                          Benelux(#     2)4                                                                                                                 9.0
                                7.0                        Germany (# 3)
                                                3.7
                                                                 12.0

                                                                                   Hungary (#5)                         Electricity production (TWh)1,3
                                      France (# 3)
                                                                                           0.4                                                     7.37.3
                                                                                                                                                       Other
                                          2.1                                                                                                                           15.3
                                                                                                                                                                         15.3 Hydro
                                                                                                                                  15.2 Gas
                                                                                                                                       15.2

                                                                                                                                                          83.8                  12.2 Nuclear
                                                                                                                                                          TWh6                   12.2

        Hydro               Nuclear                  Hard Coal               Gas               Other
                                                                                                                                               34.0
                                                                          # Market position5                                                          34.0 Hard Coal

Source: IHS (market position)

                      1. Net capacity for 2015 (accounting view); net generation capacity is reported for a power plant if it has been in operation within a year 2. Excluding Hydro LTCs 3.
                      Including Hydro LTCs with net capacities of 0.6 GW and production volume of 0.75 TWh in Austria and Switzerland 4. For Benelux: Market position for Netherlands
                      only 5. Market positions based on IHS figures for peers vs. actual numbers for Uniper; figures refer to 2014 (Hungary and France refer to 2013) 6. Deviation due to
                      rounding                                                                                                                                                                 5
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio
Diversified portfolio with a strong midstream gas footprint.

             Gas                    Yuzhno Russkoye                  Coal & freight / LNG                 Power

                                25% stake in giant, producing   Global physical coal trading and
  Long-term supply portfolio                                                                        Portfolio de-risking
                                      natural gas field         marketing and freight business

    Portfolio optimization        Stable production profile       Contracted regas capacity        Portfolio optimization

                                                                Ongoing build-up of global LNG
    Gas storage capacity                                                                           Asset-backed trading
                                                                      arbitrage portfolio

       Wholesale sales                                                                               Wholesale sales

  Gas pipeline participations                                                                           Origination

                                                                                                                            6
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
1. Overview - Uniper‘s business portfolio
International Power driven by majority stake in one of the leading
Russian energy players.
Russia

         Pricing zone 1

         Pricing zone 2

                                        Smolenskaya

                                         Shaturskaya

                                                                Yaivinskaya
                                                                            Surgutskaya               Berezovskaya

10.7 GW net capacity (GW)¹
                                                                                                              83.7% stake4 in one of the largest private Russian generators
 Smolenskaya                0.6

  Yaivinskaya                     1.0

  Shaturskaya                           1.4                                                                                    ~5% of Russian electricity production
                2
 Berezovskaya                                     2.3

  Surgutskaya                                                                           5.5
                                              3
                                                                                                                                ~30% capacity increase since 2010
                         Old capacities                   New capacities

                    1. Net generation capacity for 2015 (accounting view); net generation capacity is reported for a power plant if it has been in operation within a year - excludes 20
                    MW of capacity in the Czech Republic which is held by E.ON Russia 2. Block 3 currently not operational after fire incident 3. Old capacities defined as capacities
                    commissioned prior to 2007 4. Stake in E.ON Russia JSC as of 31 December 2015                                                                                          7
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
2. Uniper spin-off – Process and timeline
The spin-off project has been announced in Nov 14 and finalized in Sep 16.

       Summer                                                Day 1               AGM                Day 2
        2014            Nov 2014          Q2 2015           Jan 2016            June 9             Sept. 12

     Management
                          Public                          Start of Uniper     E.ON AGM
      decision to                        Blueprints                                                Spin-off +
                      announcement                           as new          agrees to spin-
        spin-off                         specified                                                  listing
                        of spin-off                         company            off Uniper
     business units

 Phase 1 (Nov 14 – April 15)  Strong conceptual focus
      Design and detailing of Governance & Steering principles for NewCo and Future E.ON
      Issue identification and measure definition for Carve-Out
      Development of initial capital and transaction structure for Transaction
      Announcement of new Management, Locations, and NewCo brand

 Phase 2 (May 15 – Jan 16)  Strong implementation focus
      Transaction preparation and Carve-out implementation
      Uniper and its Management as new stakeholder in the project
      More operational topics and decisions
      Implementation of Uniper on Day 1 (1 January 2016)

 Phase 3 (from Jan 16 – Sep 16)  Strong capital market focus
  After achieving Day 1, the focus of the project was on the preparation and execution of the Uniper listing
  Uniper organization required a new stakeholder concept
  Phase 3 and the whole One2two project ended with the successful listing of Uniper (Day 2)

                                                                                                                8
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
2. Uniper spin-off – Process and timeline
Day 2 marked an end to a 2-year period from announcement to spin-off.

 Listing window in 16Q3

    Day 1                                 AGM                                                                            Day 2
    Jan 1           April 26             June 9          June 10           Sept. 2         Sept. 5-9      Sept. 9       Sept. 12

 Uniper starts                      E.ON AGM              Start of       Securities                      Entry into
                 Capital Markets                                                         International                Uniper shares
  as a new                           agrees to           technical       prospectus                      corporate
                       Day                                                                road show                   listed at FSE
  company                          Uniper spin-off    listing project     published                       register

                                     Listing and settlement process
                                     •    Entry into corporate register on 09/09
                                     •    Successful flow-back management
                                     •    Problems with communication from depository banks
                                          (WM-Mitteilungen)
                                     •    Fractional shares settlement with perfect match of
                                          numbers (98% settled until Oct 4)
                                     •    Risk of deviation from prospectus during settlement
                                          process with regard to fractional shares handling by banks

                                                                                                                                      9
Udo Giegerich, Executive of Group Finance and Investor Relations - Implementation of Group Finance and Investor Relations at Uniper SE - DerTreasurer
2. Uniper spin-off – Activities and challenges
Several milestones had to be reached throughout the spin-off process.
 Key activities until spin-off
 Prospectus: Finalize prospectus and get approval by BaFin
 Management presentation: Prepare management presentation + Q&As and executive interviews
 Spin-off report: Receive audited spin-off report and get approval by the Annual General Meeting
 Combined financials: Compile Combined Financials for 2015
 Final capital structure: Set-up final capital structure
 Equity story: Finalize equity story for E.ON/Uniper + roadshows
 AGM process: Prepare shareholders’ vote at Annual General Meeting
 Transaction documents: Finalize transaction documents (Listing agreement, comfort letters, etc.)
 Rating: Get final rating from rating agency
 Financing: Ensure financing of Uniper; set-up syndicated loan facilities
 Technical transaction: Ensure all technical listing preconditions were met
 Flowback management: Mitigate stock selling pressure from institutional investors

                                                                                                     10
3. Organizational structure
Group Finance functions as the main point of contact for finance-topics.
 Targets and responsibilities
 Funding and refinancing of the Uniper Group and provision of sufficient liquidity on group and local
  level Group (incl. market capitalization)
 Managing the relationship to the banks as well as leading all financing discussions with banks
 Managing all financial assets of the group and coordinating and administrating the pension vehicles
 Pooling of all available liquidity on Uniper SE level through cash pooling or deposit agreements and
  continuously improving the Working Capital management
 Arranging the provision of collaterals (incl. covenants) and guarantees
 Managing the currency and the interest rate position for the Uniper Group
 Assuring an investment grade rating and generally improving the rating over time
 Optimizing processes and systems/WSS
 Investor Relations (after Q3/2016 presentation/quarterly notification)

                                                                                                         11
3. Organizational structure
Group Finance consists of 4 highly dedicated, specialized sub-divisions.

 The organization structure of Group Finance had to be set-up entirely anew (“blueprint structure”)
 Around 2/3 of the current Group Finance & Investor Relations staff are former E.ON employees

                              Group Finance & Investor Relations (3.5 FTE)

     Corporate Finance                     Asset Management                    Treasury         Investor Relations
          (5 FTE)                              (5.3 FTE)1                     (12.1 FTE)            (4.0 FTE)

    Core activities:                       Core activities:              Core activities:       Core activities:

     Group funding                         Investment trust             Cash and liquidity    Investor
     Banking                                management                    management             relationship/
      relationships                         Pension fund                 Working capital        communication
     Group rating                           management                    management            Investor meetings/
     Project/Structured                    Derivatives                  FX Management          Roadshows
      Financing

           1. Medium term FTE target after implementation of structure                                                 12
4. Rating and funding – Rating
Uniper obtained its first rating from S&P on May 10.
                       Rating Anchor – Combination of business and financial risk profile

                                uniper                         Business risk: Fair
                        Standard Volatility Table              Financial risk: Intermediate (S&P’s did not
                                                                consider disposals in their base case leading to
                                                        1       FFO/Debt in the 40s)
                                                               Anchor: bb+
                                                               Modifier: One notch uplift for credit metrics at high
                                                                end of the range
                                                               Rating: BBB- (stable outlook)
                                                               Target Ratios: BBB-: area of 40% | BBB: >55%

         1. Note: Debt/EBITDA based on S&P definition

                                                                                                                        13
4. Rating and funding – Rating
Uniper obtained an investment grade rating by S&P with a stable outlook.
 Outcome from S&P rating committee
 Business risk “very well positioned” in ‘Fair’ category / “upper side of ‘Fair’ helped by prudent and
  sound financial policy” (business risk long discussed in committee)
 S&P did not consider any divestments in their base case
 This leads to rating ratios in the area of 40% in line with a ‘intermediate’ financial risk profile (FRP)
  and in combination with the business risk profile results in an bb+ anchor rating
 Given that achieved ratios in S&P’s base case are in the upper end of the ‘intermediate’ FRP
  (range: 30-45%), S&P assigns a comparable rating modifier (+1 notch) bringing the rating to BBB-
 Accordingly, S&P sets the target ratio for the BBB- rating “in the 40% area” (exact wording tbc)
 Stable outlook reflects S&P’s view that rating is “fairly robust” in current market environment
  (but clearly a continuation/acceleration of recent developments would have an impact)
 If disposals come and financial projections improve to a stable sustainable “at or above 55%” a
  BBB (flat) rating is possible (rating ratios would need to be at the high end of ‘modest’ FRP and
  usage of funds would be monitored (financial policy))
 In addition to the rating of S&P, Uniper currently analyses the benefits/risks to get another rating
  from an additional rating agency

                                                                                                              14
4. Rating and Funding – Syndicated loan facility
First independent facilities agreement of 4.5 billion Euro agreed upon.

 Ambitious timeline before AGM

     Day 1                                                             AGM                                                  Day 2
     16Q1           April        May 10          June 1               June 9             July             July 27          Sept. 12

  Relationship     Kick-off                   €5bn Facilities      E.ON AGM            Facilities      Syndication         Spin-off +
                              S&P publishes
   meetings +     financing                    Agreement            agrees to         reduced by      completed with        financial
                               BBB- rating
 rating process    process                       signed           Uniper spin-off       €500m           15 banks         independence

                                                               Tight timeline for signing from April until AGM
         Underwriting                                          Beauty contest with 6 banks; 4 selected; 3 signed
                                                               Challenges in the signing process for all participants

                                                               Club deal targeted with 14-18 banks (incl. underwriters)
         Banking group                                         Finally 15 national and international banks signed

                                                               €5.0bn Facilities Agreement initially underwritten
         Size                                                  After loan size reduction to €4.5bn, the agreement consists of a term
                                                                loan facility of €2.0bn and a revolving credit facility of €2.5bn

                                                               Facilities Agreement reduced by €500mn at an early stage
         Communication                                         Required targeted communication to banks and general public
4. Rating and Funding – Syndicated loan facility
Uniper’s inaugural financing consists of two separate loan facilities.

           Refinancing                                                          Drawn shortly
              E.ON                                Term Loan                   post listing and to
       Intercompany Loan                            €2.0bn                      be repaid from
         (repaid post Listing)                       (3y)                     both cash flow and
                                                                              disposal proceeds

                                                                                 Will be drawn
                                               Revolving Credit
       Backup liquidity &                                                      from time to time
                                                Facility (RCF)
        Working Capital                                                         (~50/50 working
                                                   2.5bn €
         (as of Listing)                                                      capital and backup
                                                  (3y+1+1)
                                                                                    facility)

             Deutsche Bank, J.P. Morgan and UniCredit have underwritten (guaranteed) this facility

                                                                                                     16
5. Banking relationships
Syndication of inaugural financing as “ticket” to join the banking group.
 Core banking group               Main business relationships
 Barclays                        The participation in Uniper’s inaugural syndicated
 BayernLB                         financing offers the relationship banks the opportunity
                                   to be invited for Uniper’s side business going forward:
 BNP Paribas
 CITI                             1.   Strategic advise (M&A, equity, etc.)
                                   2.   Funding (DCM, project finance)
 Commerzbank
                                   3.   Working capital & commodity/trade finance
 Deutsche Bank
                                   4.   Risk management (FX, interest, etc.)
 Goldman Sachs                    5.   Cash and transaction business
 Helaba                           6.   Asset management (e.g. pensions)
 ING
                                  Side business will be exclusively distributed within
 J.P. Morgan                      the banking group (except in case another bank has a
 Lloyds Bank                      unique angle towards a specific topic)
 Morgan Stanley                  Relationship meetings on a regular basis
 SEB
 Société Générale
 UniCredit

                                                                                             17
6. Investor story – Stock listing
Public perception of Uniper has been rather negative prior to the listing.

                                                    Initial set-up
                                                •    Management team announced in 2015
                                                •    Separation of companies on Jan 1, 2016
                                                •    General outlook on business given
                                                •    Government decision on nuclear liabilities

                                                    16H1: Headwind from markets
                                                •    Commodity market downturn in 16Q1
                                                •    Negative outlook for utilities in general
                                                •    Write-downs after impairment test in 16Q2

                                                    Before listing day
                                                •    Wide range of forecast market capitalization
                                                     ranging from €2bn to €5bn+
                                                •    Featuring considerable market uncertainty

                                                                                                  18
6. Investor story – Stock listing
Markets see Uniper as a solid investment with upside potential.

    Stock market reception                           Facts & figures
•    Around 25% of all Uniper shares             •    Initial price: 10.015 Euro
     traded in the first week of trading         •    First close: 10.30 Euro
•    High trading volumes achieved               •    First month: c.+15%
     (daily volume between €10-20m)              •    First 30 days: c.+25%
•    Stable share price in week 1
•    Strong performance in first weeks
                                                 Source: ir.uniper.energy

    Selected analysts’ opinions on Uniper SE
•    Oct 13: Merill Lynch launches Uniper stocks with “Buy” – target price at 14.90€.
•    Oct 19: Morgan Stanley suggest to “Overweight” Uniper – target price at 13.50€.
•    Oct 20: Commerbank keeps Uniper at “Buy” with a target price of 11.80€.
•    Oct 26: HSBC suggests to “Reduce” Uniper stocks – target price at 11.60€.
•    Oct 28: Société Générale “Raises“ Uniper‘s target price to 13,40€.

                                                                                        Source: ir.uniper.energy

                                                                                                                   19
6. Investor story – Dividend policy
Our commitment to shareholders: Attractive FCF based dividend policy.

New dividend policy                                                                        Illustration of dividend base

   Proposed 2016 dividend payment of c.
   €200m (implicit €0.55 / share)1
                                                                                                  Adjusted Funds from Operations (Adj. FFO)

                                                                                                                         Maintenance / replacement
                                                                                                    –
   For subsequent years, payout based on Free                                                                                  investments
   Cash from Operations

                                                                                                          Free Cash from Operations (FCfO)
   Total free cash post-dividends to be neutral
   or positive

                                                                                                                               Dividends

           1. Based on number of shares of 365,960,000 shares; dependent on distribution capacity of Uniper SE (based on German GAAP) as well as AGM and Supervisory
           Board consent                                                                                                                                               20
6. Investor story – Dividend policy
Adjusted FFO as key KPI for future dividend base.

 Adjusted Funds from Operations1 over time (€bn)                                                       From OCF to adjusted FFO
  %   Cash conversion 2
                                                                                                                               Operating Cash Flow
         Cash conversion strongly impacted by gas LTC
                                                                                                        +/–                        Working capital effects3
                                                                    105%
                                                                                                         –                         Dividends to minorities
                                      79%
        67%                                                                                              –           Contributions to Swedish nuclear fund

                                                                                                         –              Pension service cost contributions

                                                                                                           Adjusted Funds from Operations (Adj. FFO)
        1.5                           1.5                             1.8

                                                                                                       Putting historic FFO cash conversion into context

                                                                                                       In terms of conversion rate to EBITDA gas LTC situation
                                                                                                        has to be taken into account
                                                                                                            Reported 2013-2015 EBITDA burdened by provisions
                                                                                                            Adj. FFO benefitted from not yet renegotiated LTC
                                                                                                             contracts
       2013                          2014                            2015                              2016 Adj. FFO also to be special year as strongly impacted
                                                                                                        by gas LTC settlement

              1. Adj. FFO 2. Defined as Adj. FFO / Adj. EBITDA 3. Changes in operating assets and liabilities and in income taxes adjusted by derivatives            21
7. Key challenges and outlook
We are currently tackling a couple of groundbreaking challenges.
 Next challenges                       Financial target ratios              Safeguarding rating
 Integrate Investor Relations into
  Group Finance                                                              Disposals

 Further improve cash pooling                                               At least €2bn of potential
   Only one EUR bank/even only                                              disposal proceeds identified
    one account
   Analyse to include GBP, SEK,          Comfortably
    RUB into cash pooling                  below 2.0x
                                                                             Positive FCF post dividend
 Replace clearing banks
                                                                             Sufficient cash to be retained in
 Working capital measures                               Corresponding
                                                                             initial years
                                                        to leverage ratio
   Optimize liquidity forecasting /                       below 1.0x
    management
   Streamlining procurement
    activities                                                              Safeguarding necessary market
 Reduce IT system (WSS)                                                     access through comfortable
  complexity                                                                   investment grade rating
                                            Target         Target net
                                           economic         financial
                                           net debt /      debt / Adj.
                                          Adj. EBITDA        EBITDA

                                                                                                                 22
7. Key challenges and outlook
Three-tiered action plan aimed at “sustaining value in challenging times“.

 Uniper’s starting block in 16H1
 High pro-forma economic net debt of                                        Unfavourable market
                                                                                                                                      Political pressure and exit from coal
           €4.7bn at FYE15                                                  environment in 16H1

                                                                       Action plan announced in
                                                                               April 2016

   Cost                                                       Cash                                                               Portfolio
  Targeted total cost reductions                              Group investments (€bn)                                           Disposal volume

                                                                                                                                                         >€2bn

           2015                    2018                                   2015                       2018                                               By 2018

    Radical reduction of direct and                            Optimisation of working capital                                   At least €2bn of potential disposal
     indirect costs across the Group                                                                                                proceeds identified
                                                                Ambition to reduce investments to
    Offset loss of earnings due to                              maintenance level                                                 Used for deleveraging and funding
     commodity price collapse1                                                                                                      of growth projects

              1. Referring to annualised foregone earnings from price declines of €8 - €10/MWh in continental Europe and the Nordics since 26/04/2015 and a total outright
              volume of 25-27TWh in an unhedged scenario
Uniper disclaimer:
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current assumptions and forecasts made by Uniper AG
   Closing statement
management and other information currently available to Uniper. Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other
factors could lead to material differences between the actual future results, financial situation, development or performance of
the company and the estimates given here. Uniper AG does not intend, and does not assume any liability whatsoever, to
update these forward-looking statements or to conform them to future events or developments.

If you need any further information, please contact us:
Uniper AG
E.ON-Platz 1
40479 Düsseldorf
www.uniper.energy
You can also read