TRV Statistical Annex - ESMA Report on Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities No.1, 2023
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
9 February 2023 ESMA50-164-2406 TRV Statistical Annex ESMA Report on Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities No.1, 2023
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 2 ESMA Report on Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities – Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 © European Securities and Markets Authority, Paris, 2023. All rights reserved. Brief excerpts may be reproduced or translated provided the source is cited adequately. The reporting period for this Report is 1 July 2022 to 31 December 2022, unless otherwise indicated. Legal reference for this Report: Regulation (EU) No. 1095/2010 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 November 2010 establishing a European Supervisory Authority (European Securities and Markets Authority), amending Decision No 716/2009/EC and repealing Commission Decision 2009/77/EC, Article 32 ‘Assessment of market developments, including stress tests’, ‘1. The Authority shall monitor and assess market developments in the area of its competence and, where necessary, inform the European Supervisory Authority (European Banking Authority), and the European Supervisory Authority (European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority), the European Systemic Risk Board, and the European Parliament, the Council and the Commission about the relevant micro- prudential trends, potential risks and vulnerabilities. The Authority shall include in its assessments an analysis of the markets in which financial market participants operate and an assessment of the impact of potential market developments on such financial market participants.’ The information contained in this publication, including text, charts and data, exclusively serves analytical purposes. It does not provide forecasts or investment advice, nor does it prejudice, preclude or influence in any way past, existing or future regulatory or supervisory obligations by market participants. The charts and analyses in this report are, fully or in part, based on data not proprietary to ESMA, including from commercial data providers and public authorities. ESMA uses these data in good faith and does not take responsibility for their accuracy or completeness. ESMA is committed to constantly improving its data sources and reserves the right to alter data sources at any time. The third-party data used in this publication may be subject to provider-specific disclaimers, especially regarding their ownership, their reuse by non-customers and, in particular, their accuracy, completeness or timeliness, and the provider’s liability related thereto. Please consult the websites of the individual data providers, whose names are given throughout this report, for more details on these disclaimers. Where third-party data are used to create a chart or table or to undertake an analysis, the third party is identified and credited as the source. In each case, ESMA is cited by default as a source, reflecting any data management or cleaning, processing, matching, analytical, editorial or other adjustments to raw data undertaken. ISBN 978-92-95202-69-6, doi:10.2856/66589, ISSN 2599-8749, EK-AC-23-001-EN-N European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) Economics, Financial Stability and Risk Department 201-203 Rue de Bercy FR-75012 Paris risk.analysis@esma.europa.eu ESMA - 201-203 rue de Bercy - CS 80910 - 75589 Paris Cedex 12 - France - www.esma.europa.eu
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 3 Table of contents 1. Market environment............................................................................................4 2. Securities markets ..............................................................................................5 2.1. Equity markets ...................................................................................................................... 5 2.2. Sovereign-bond markets....................................................................................................... 6 2.3. Corporate-bond markets ....................................................................................................... 9 2.4. Credit quality ....................................................................................................................... 10 2.5. Securities lending ............................................................................................................... 12 2.6. Short selling ........................................................................................................................ 12 2.7. Money markets ................................................................................................................... 13 2.8. Commodities ....................................................................................................................... 14 3. Asset management ..........................................................................................15 3.1. Fund industry ...................................................................................................................... 15 3.2. Money market funds ........................................................................................................... 17 3.3. Alternative funds ................................................................................................................. 18 3.4. Exchange-traded funds....................................................................................................... 20 4. Consumers .......................................................................................................22 4.1. Investment resources available to households................................................................... 22 4.2. Asset allocation by retail investors ..................................................................................... 22 4.3. Costs and performance ...................................................................................................... 24 4.4. Complaints .......................................................................................................................... 26 5. Infrastructures and services .............................................................................27 5.1. Trading venues and MiFID entities ..................................................................................... 27 5.2. Central counterparties ........................................................................................................ 28 5.3. Central securities depositories ........................................................................................... 29 5.4. Credit rating agencies ......................................................................................................... 30 5.5. Financial benchmarks ......................................................................................................... 31 6. Market based finance .......................................................................................32 6.1. Capital markets financing ................................................................................................... 32 6.2. SMEs .................................................................................................................................. 34 6.3. Market-based credit intermediation .................................................................................... 34 7. Sustainable finance ..........................................................................................36 7.1. ESG investing ..................................................................................................................... 36 7.2. Sustainable debt ................................................................................................................. 37 7.3. Carbon markets .................................................................................................................. 38 8. Financial innovation..........................................................................................40 8.1. Financial innovation ............................................................................................................ 40
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 4 Market environment A.1 A.2 EU market price performance EU market volatilities 300 80 70 250 60 200 50 40 150 30 20 100 10 50 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Equities Commodities Equities Commodities Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Note: Return indices on EA equities (Datastream regional index), global Note: Annualised 40D volatility of return indices on EA equities (Datastream commodities (S&P GSCI) converted to EUR, EA corporate and sovereign regional index), global commodities (S&P GSCI) converted to EUR, EA bonds (iBoxx EUR, all maturities). 01/04/2020=100. corporate and sovereign bonds (iBoxx EUR, all maturities), in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.3 A.4 Economic policy uncertainty EU market confidence 525 50 40 450 20 40 375 0 300 30 -20 225 20 -40 150 -60 10 75 -80 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 0 0 Auxiliary activities Fin. intermediation Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Ins. and pension Overall fin. sector Europe US Global VSTOXX (rhs) 1Y-MA overall Note: Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU), developed by Baker et al. Note: European Commission survey of EU27 financial services sector and (www.policyuncertainty.com), based on the frequency of articles in European subsectors (NACE Rev.2 64, 65, 66). Confidence indicators are averages of newspapers that contain the following triple: "economic" or "economy", the net balance of responses to questions on development of the business "uncertain" or "uncertainty" and one or more policy-relevant terms. Global situation over the past three months, evolution of demand over the past three aggregation based on PPP-adjusted GDP weights. Implied volatility of EURO months and expectation of demand over the next three months, in % of STOXX 50 (VSTOXX), monthly average, on the right-hand side. answers received. Fin.=financial. Ins.=insurance. Sources: Baker, Bloom, and Davis 2015; Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: European Commission, ESMA. A.5 A.6 EUR exchange rates ESMA composite indicator of systemic stress 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 USD JPY GBP CHF Emerging 1Y-MA USD Note: Spot exchange rates to EUR. Emerging is an average of spot exchange rates for CNY, BRL, RUB, INR, MXN, IDR and TRY weighted by GDP as of start date year. 01/04/2020=100. Increases in value represent an appreciation of EUR. 1Y-MA USD=one-year moving average of the USD exchange rate. Sources: ECB, IMF, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 5 Securities markets Equity markets A.7 A.8 Global equity price performance by region EU equity price performance of national indices 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 70 80 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 CSI 300 EURO STOXX 50 EURO STOXX 50 CAC 40 NIKKEI 225 S&P 500 DAX FTSE 100 Global FTSE MIB IBEX Note: Regional equity return indices. 01/04/2020=100. Note: European equity return indices. 01/04/2020=100. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.9 A.10 EU equity price performance by sector US and EU equity price-earnings ratios 160 40 35 140 30 25 120 20 15 100 10 5 0 80 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 EA US Banks Financial services 10Y-AVG EA 10Y-AVG US Insurance Non-financials Note: Price-earning ratios based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years (cyclically adjusted price-earning ratios). Averages Note: STOXX Europe 600 sectoral return indices. 01/04/2020=100. computed from the most recent data point up to 10 years before. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.11 A.12 EU implied equity volatility EU implied equity volatility by option maturity 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 VSTOXX 1M VSTOXX 3M VIX VSTOXX 5Y-MA VSTOXX VSTOXX 12M VSTOXX 24M Note: Implied volatility of EURO STOXX 50 (VSTOXX) and S&P 500 (VIX), in Note: EURO STOXX 50 implied volatilities, measured as price indices, in %. %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 6 A.13 A.14 EU equity bid-ask spread ESMA composite equity illiquidity index 14 0.48 0.47 12 0.46 10 0.45 8 0.44 0.43 6 0.42 4 0.41 0.40 2 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Illiquidity index 1Y-MA 0 Note: Composite indicator of illiquidity in the equity market for the current Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 STOXX Europe Large 200 constituents, computed by applying the principal component methodology to six input liquidity measures (Amihud illiquidity Bid-ask spread 40D-MA 5Y-MA coefficient, bid-ask spread, Hui-Heubel ratio, turnover value, inverse turnover ratio and market efficiency coefficient). The indicator range is between 0 Note: Liquidity measure as median of the bid-ask price percentage difference (higher liquidity) and 1 (lower liquidity). for the current EEA30 constituents of STOXX Europe Large 200, in bps. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sovereign-bond markets A.15 A.16 EU sovereign bond issuance and outstanding EU sovereign bond issuance by credit rating 9 450 450 AAA 8 400 400 350 7 350 300 AA 6 300 250 5 250 200 4 200 150 A+ 3 150 100 50 2 100 A- 0 1 50 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 0 0 AAA AA+ to AA- 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 Below AA- NR Outstanding non-EA Outstanding EA Avg. rating (rhs) Non-EA issuance (rhs) EA issuance (rhs) Note: Sovereign bond gross issuance in the EEA30 by rating bucket, EUR bn. 5Y-MA issuance (rhs) Avg. rating=weighted average rating computed as a one-year moving average of ratings converted to a numerical scale (AAA=1, AA+=2, etc.) excluding non- Note: Sovereign bond gross issuance in the EEA30 (rhs), EUR bn, and rated bonds. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. outstanding amounts, EUR tn. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. A.17 A.18 EU sovereign bond rating distribution Net EU sovereign bond issuance by country 100 50 100 0 0 80 -50 -100 60 -100 -200 40 -150 -300 20 -200 -400 IS IE IT BE BG EE ES MT PL PT SE SK EEA30 AT NL SI CY CZ HR HU DE DK LT LU LV NO RO FI FR GR 0 1Y high 1Y low 4Q22 Note: Quarterly net issuance of EEA30 sovereign debt by country, EUR bn. 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 Net issuance calculated as the difference between new issuance over the AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR quarter and outstanding debt maturing over the quarter. Highest and lowest quarterly net issuance in the past year are reported. EEA30 total on right- Note: Outstanding amount of sovereign bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance hand scale. All maturities are included. date by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 7 A.19 A.20 EU and US 10Y sovereign yields EU 10Y sovereign spreads 9 4 8 7 3 6 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 0 -1 0 -2 Dec-02 Dec-06 Dec-10 Dec-14 Dec-18 Dec-22 BE DE ES -1 FR IT SE Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 US 1Y-MA ES GR IE IT PT Note: Yields on 10Y sovereign bonds, selected countries, in %. 1Y-MA = one- Note: Selected 10Y EA sovereign bond risk premia (vs. DE Bunds), in %. year moving average of EA 10Y bond indices computed by Datastream. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.21 A.22 EU sovereign yield correlation dispersion EU equity-sovereign bond returns correlation dispersion 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 -1.0 Top 25% Core 50% Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Top 25% Core 50% Bottom 25% Median Bottom 25% Median Note: Dispersion of the correlation between daily returns of national equity indices and national sovereign debt return index, for 16 countries in the EU27, Note: Dispersion of correlations between 10Y DE Bunds and 15 other EU27 over a 60-day rolling window. countries' sovereign bond redemption yields over a 60-day rolling window. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.23 A.24 EU 10Y sovereign bond volatility Global sovereign CDS spreads 30 40 25 30 20 15 20 10 5 10 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 BE DE ES Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 FR IT SE US 1Y-MA Europe JP Note: Annualised 40-day volatility of 10Y sovereign bonds, selected countries, US 1Y-MA Europe in %. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average of EA 10Y bond indices computed by Note: Datastream CDS sovereign indices (5 years, mid-spread), in bps. Datastream. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 8 A.25 A.26 EU sovereign bid-ask spread ESMA composite sovereign bond liquidity index 0.10 1.0 0.8 0.08 0.6 0.06 0.4 0.04 0.2 0.02 0.0 Dec-20 Apr -21 Aug -21 Dec-21 Apr -22 Aug -22 Dec-22 Eur o MTS Domestic MTS 0.00 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 1Y- MA Domestic 1Y- MA Eur o MTS Note: Composite indicator of market liquidity in the sov ereign bond Bid-ask spread 1Y-MA market for the domestic and Eur o MTS platforms, computed by applying Note: Bid-ask spread as a monthly average of bid-ask spreads weighted by the principal c omponent methodology to four input liquidity measures trading volumes for bonds both traded on one of 12 EU27 domestic markets (Amihud illiqui dity coefficient, Bid-ask spread, Roll illiquidity meas ure and (AT, BE, DE, ES, FI, FR, GR, IE, IT, NL, PT and SI) and Euro MTS, in EUR. Turnover). T he indic ator range is between 0 (higher liquidity) and 1 Sources: MTS, ESMA. (lower liquidity). Sources: MTS, ESMA. A.27 A.28 EU sovereign bond liquidity EU sovereign bond liquidity dispersion 12 50 10 40 8 30 6 20 4 10 2 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 Top 25% Core 50% Dec-07 Dec-10 Dec-13 Dec-16 Dec-19 Dec-22 Bottom 25% Median Liquidity indicator 40D-MA 5Y-MA Note: Dispersion of liquidity measured as median across countries of the bid- Note: Liquidity measured as median across countries of the bid—ask yields ask yields difference for 10Y sovereign bonds, in bps. Lower figures mean difference for 10Y sovereign bonds, in bps. Lower figures mean more liquidity more liquidity and vice-versa. 22 EEA30 countries are included. and vice versa. 22 EEA30 countries are included. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. A.29 A.30 EU sovereign bond futures liquidity EU sovereign bond redenomination risk 1.50 100 90 1.25 80 70 1.00 60 50 0.75 40 30 0.50 20 0.25 10 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0.00 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 BE DE ES FR DE FR IT IE IT PT Note: Difference between 5Y CDS spreads under the 2014 ISDA definition Note: One-month moving averages of the Hui-Heubel illiquidity indicator for (where debt redenomination is a credit event), and under the 2003 ISDA selected 10Y sovereign bond futures, in %. Lower figures mean more liquidity definition (where it is not), in bps. and vice-versa. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 9 Corporate-bond markets A.31 A.32 EU corporate yields by credit rating EU corporate spreads by credit rating 5.0 300 4.5 4.0 250 3.5 200 3.0 2.5 150 2.0 1.5 100 1.0 0.5 50 0.0 0 -0.5 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 AAA AA A AAA AA A BBB 1Y-MA BBB 1Y-MA Note: ICE BofAML EA corporate bond option-adjusted spreads by rating, in Note: : ICE BofAML EA corporate bond redemption yields by rating, in %. 1Y- bps. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average of all indices. MA=one-year moving average of all indices. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.33 A.34 EU corporate rating distribution EU corporate bid-ask spread and Amihud indicator 100 70 0.25 60 80 0.20 50 40 0.15 60 30 0.10 40 20 0.05 10 20 0 0.00 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 Bid—ask 1Y-MA Amihud (rhs) AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR Note: Markit iBoxx EUR Corporate Bond Index bid—ask spread, in bps, computed as a one-month moving average of the constituents bid—ask Note: Outstanding amount of corporate bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance spread. 1Y-MA = one-year moving average of the bid—ask spread. Amihud date by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. liquidity coefficient index between 0 and 1. Highest value indicates less Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. liquidity. A.35 A.36 EU corporate debt redemption profile by sector EU sovereign-corporate yield correlation 600 300 1.0 500 200 0.5 400 100 300 0 0.0 200 -100 100 -200 -0.5 0 -300 4Q22 4Q23 4Q24 4Q25 4Q26 4Q27 Non-financials Financials -1.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 1Y-change fin (rhs) 1Y-change non-fin (rhs) Top 25% Core 50% Note: Quarterly redemptions over 5Y-horizon by EEA30 private financial and Bottom 25% Median non-financial corporates, EUR bn. 1Y-change=difference between the sum of Note: Dispersion of correlation between Barclays Aggregate for corporate and this year's (four last quarters) and last year's (8th to 5th last quarters) 10Y sovereign bond redemption yields for AT, BE, ES, FI, FR, IT and NL. redemptions. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 10 A.37 A.38 EU covered bond spreads EU hybrid capital instruments issuance 25 900 140 750 120 20 600 100 15 80 450 10 60 300 40 5 150 20 0 0 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 0 Outstanding (rhs) Issuance Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 5Y-MA issuance Note: Hybrid capital instruments gross issuance in the EEA30, EUR bn, and AAA AA A 1Y-MA outstanding amounts (rhs), EUR tn. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Note: iBoxx EUR covered bond option-adjusted spreads by rating, in bps. 1Y- According to Refinitiv EIKON classification, hybrid capital refers to bonds MA=one-year moving average of all indices. having the qualities of both an interest-bearing security (debt) and equity. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Credit quality A.39 A.40 EU SFI ratings issued by collateral type EU SFI ratings outstanding by collateral type 10,000 500 100% 8,000 400 80% 6,000 300 60% 4,000 200 40% 2,000 100 20% 0 0 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 0% ABS CDO Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 RMBS CMBS (rhs) OTH (rhs) RMBS OTH CMBS CDO ABS Note: Outstanding ratings of EEA30 structured finance instruments by Note: Number of rated EEA30 structured finance instruments by asset asset class, in % of total. ABS=Asset-backed securities; class. ABS=Asset-backed securities (r.h.axis); CDO=Collateralised debt CDO=Collateralised debt obligations; CMBS=Commercial mortgage- obligations; CMBS=Commercial mortgage-backed securities; backed securities; OTH=other; RMBS=Residential mortgage-backed OTH=Other; RMBS=Residential mortgage-backed securities. Asset securities. Asset backed commercial paper omitted due to very small backed commercial paper omitted due to very small sample size. sample size. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.41 A.42 Credit rating distribution of EU covered bonds EU SFI rating changes 100 500 80 400 60 300 40 200 20 100 0 0 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Downgrades Upgrades AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR 3M-MA downgrades 3M-MA upgrades Note: Outstanding amount of covered bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance date Note: Aggregate number of notch changes on securitised assets issued in the by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. EEA30 with long-term ratings, for upgrades and downgrades. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 11 A.43 A.44 EU non-financial corporate rating changes Size of EU credit rating changes 40 100 2 1.5 60 20 1 20 0.5 0 -20 0 -20 -0.5 -60 -1 -40 -100 -1.5 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 ES IE IT PT GR rhs Non-financials Covered bonds Financials Note: Number of upgrades minus downgrades of non-financial corporate Insurance Sovereigns Structured Finance issuers for ES, GR, IE, IT and PT, in % of outstanding ratings. Ratings from Note: Average change in notches for long-term EEA30 ratings for issuers and Fitch Ratings, Moody's and S&P's. instruments (excl. ICAP and CERVED). Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR. ESMA A.45 A.46 EU credit ratings drift by asset class EU credit ratings volatility by asset class 6 8 3 6 0 4 -3 2 -6 0 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Corporate (Fin) Corporate (Ins) Corporate (Fin) Corporate (Ins) Corporate (NFC) Sovereign Corporate (NFC) Sovereign Structured Finance Structured Finance Note: 3-month moving average of net rating changes in EEA30 Note: 3-month moving average of net rating changes in EEA30 outstanding ratings from all credit rating agencies, excluding CERVED outstanding ratings from all credit rating agencies, excluding CERVED and ICAP, by asset class, computed as the percentage of upgrades and ICAP, by asset class, computed as the percentage of upgrades minus the percentage of downgrades. EEA30 ratings. Fin - Financials, minus the percentage of downgrades. EEA30 ratings. Fin - Financials, Ins - Insurance, NFC - non-financials. Ins - Insurance, NFC - non-financials. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.47 A.48 EU corporate issuer downgrades EU credit rating outlook by rating category 100% 30% 80 100% 25% 80% 80% 60 20% 60% 60% 40 15% 40% 40% 10% 20 20% 20% 5% 0 0% 0% 0% Jan-20 May-20 Nov-20 Apr-21 Sep-21 Feb-22 Jul-22 Dec-22 AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC Unique issuers downgraded Negative Outlook Positive Outlook Downgrades share of rating changes (rhs) 3-wk moving average downgrade share (rhs) Stable Outlook % with outlook (r.h.s) Note: Distribution of outlooks for EEA30 corporate non financial instruments Note: Number of EEA30 corporate issuers with at least one bond downgraded, (ISINs) with outlook rated by the Big 5 (Fitch, Moody's, S&P, Scope and and ratio of dowgraded corporate issues over upgrades and downgrades (3 DBRS) by category value over the total ratings per category value. Cutoff date week moving average). 31/12/2022. Sources:ESMA, RADAR Sources: RADAR, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 12 Securities lending A.49 A.50 EU securities lending market value by asset type EU securities utilisation rate 200 30 180 25 160 140 20 120 100 15 80 10 60 40 5 20 - - Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Equities Note: Utilisation rate of securities issued in the EEA, by asset class. Note: value on loan of securities issued in the EEA by asset class, in Utilisation rate in percent: the ratio of the market value of securities lent EUR bn. over the market value of securities available for lending. Sources: FIS Astec, Quandl, ESMA. Sources: FIS Astec, Quandl, ESMA. A.51 A.52 EU securities lending with open maturity Global sovereign bond utilisation rate by region 100 45 90 40 80 35 70 30 60 25 50 20 40 15 30 20 10 10 5 - - Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds EEA30 US UK Equities Note: Utilisation rate of sovereign bonds issued in EEA countries, in the Note: value of open-ended lending over total lending by asset class, in US and in the UK. Utilisation rate in percent: the ratio of the market value percentage. of securities lent over the market value of securities available for lending. Sources: FIS Astec, Quandl, ESMA. Sources: FIS Astec, Quandl, ESMA. Short selling A.53 A.54 Dispersion of net short positions in EU shares Value of net short positions in EU shares by sector 10 2.0 9 1.8 8 1.6 7 1.4 6 1.2 5 1.0 4 0.8 3 0.6 2 0.4 1 0.2 0 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 0.0 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 Top 25% Core 50% Energy Financials Healthcare Bottom 25% Median Industrials Technology Telecom Note: Dispersion of net short selling positions by country in the EEA30 as Note: Market value of net short selling positions in EA shares as percentage percentage of market value of those positions relative to each country's blue- of market value of selected EA sectoral indices. The 0.1% reporting threshold chip index market value. The 0.1% threshold entered into force on 31 January entered into force on 31 January 2022 for all EU countries. NO, IS and LI will 2022 for all EU countries. NO, IS and LI continue to use the 0.2% threshold continue to use the 0.2% reporting threshold until their national legislation is until the CDR 2022/27 is incorporated in their national legislation. Partially or amended. Partially or fully missing data for the following countries: DK, GR, fully missing data for the following countries: DK, GR, NL, PL and RO. NL, PL and RO. Sources: NCAs, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: NCAs, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 13 A.55 A.56 Net short positions in industrial shares and equity prices Net short positions in EU financial shares and equity prices 1.8 150 1.2 180 1.6 140 160 1.0 1.4 130 140 1.2 120 0.8 120 1.0 110 100 0.6 0.8 100 80 0.6 90 0.4 60 0.4 80 40 0.2 0.2 70 20 0.0 60 0.0 0 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 Industrials Sectoral equity index (rhs) Financials Sectoral equity index (rhs) Note: Market value of net short selling positions in EA industrial shares as Note: Market value of net short selling positions in EA financial shares as percentage of market value of EA industrial sectoral indice. 01/03/2020=100. percentage of market value of EA financial sectoral indice. 01/03/2020=100. The 0.1% threshold entered into force on 31 January 2022 for all EU The 0.1% threshold entered into force on 31 January 2022 for all EU countries. NO, IS and LI continue to use the 0.2% threshold until the CDR countries. NO, IS and LI continue to use the 0.2% threshold until the CDR 2022/27 is incorporated in their national legislation. Partially or fully missing 2022/27 is incorporated in their national legislation. Partially or fully missing data for the following countries: DK, GR, NL, PL and RO. data for the following countries: DK, GR, NL, PL and RO. Sources: NCAs, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: NCAs, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Money markets A.57 A.58 Euro area interest rates Euribor rates by maturity 3.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 1W 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3M Euribor ECB rate EONIA ESTR Note: Euribor interest rates by maturity, in %. Note: EA money market interest rates, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.59 A.60 Interbank rate spreads to overnight index swap Interbank overnight activity 50 90 80 70 25 60 50 40 0 30 20 10 -25 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Euribor GBP Libor ESTR SONIA USD Libor 5Y-MA Euribor Note: 1M-MA of daily lending volumes on Euro short-term rate (€STR), EUR Note: Spreads between 3M interbank interest rates and 3M overnight index bn, and Sterling Overnight Index Average (SONIA), GBP bn. swaps, in bps. Sources: ECB, Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 14 Commodities A.61 A.62 Dutch Natural Gas Futures open interest Dutch Natural Gas Futures net positions 2,500 500 Millions Millions 400 2,000 300 200 100 1,500 0 -100 1,000 -200 -300 500 -400 -500 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 0 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 Commercials (hedging) Financials (other use) Commercials Financials Investment Firms Commercials (other use) Note: Net number of positions (long minus short) on Dutch Natural Gas Future Note: Open interests on Dutch Natural Gas Futures by commercial, financials held by commercial traders and financials traders (funds and other financial traders (funds and other financial institutions) and investment firms, in mn. institutions) in mn. Spikes might reflect data quality issues. Sources: ESMA Weekly Commodity Derivatives Positions Reporting, ESMA. Sources: ESMA Weekly Commodity Derivatives Positions Reporting, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 15 Asset management Fund industry A.63 A.64 EU fund performance Volatility of EU fund returns 4.0 40 3.0 30 2.0 1.0 20 0.0 10 -1.0 -2.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 Alternatives Equity Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Bond Commodity Alternative Equity Bond Mixed Assets Real Estate Commodity Mixed Real Estate Note: EU27-domiciled investment funds' annual average monthly returns, Note: Annualised 40D historical return volatility of EU27 domiciled mutual asset weighted, in %. funds, in %. Sources: Thomson Reuters Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Thomson Reuters Lipper, ESMA. A.65 A.66 EU fund assets by market segment EU fund NAV by legal form 6 20 18 5 16 14 4 12 10 3 8 2 6 4 1 2 0 0 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 AIFs UCITS Alternative Bond Equity Mixed Other Real estate Note: NAV of EEA30 funds, EUR tn. Sources: EFAMA, ESMA. Note: AuM of EA funds by fund type, EUR tn. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.67 A.68 EU fund NAV by market segment EU fund leverage by market segment 6 1.35 1.30 5 1.25 4 1.20 3 1.15 2 1.10 1.05 1 1.00 0 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 Alternative Bond Equity Alternative Bond Equity Mixed Other Real estate Mixed Other Real estate Note: Leverage of EA investment funds by fund type computed as the AuM/NAV ratio. Note: NAV of EA investment funds by fund type, EUR tn. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 16 A.69 A.70 EU fund flows by fund type EU fund flows by regional investment focus 12 12 10 8 6 6 4 0 2 0 -6 -2 -4 -12 -6 -8 -10 -18 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 -12 Emerging markets BF Global BF 4Q20 2Q21 4Q21 2Q22 4Q22 North America BF Europe BF Alternative Bond Commodity Equity Mixed MMF Emerging markets EF Global EF Note: EU27 fund quarterly net flows, in % of NAV. Note: EU27 bond and equity funds (BF and EF) montlhy flows over time Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. since 2004 by regional investment focus, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.71 A.72 EU bond fund flows by regional investment focus EU equity fund flows by regional investment focus 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 -2 -4 -2 -6 -4 -8 -6 -10 -12 -8 -14 -10 -16 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Western Europe North America Europe BF North America BF Global Emerging markets Global BF Emerging markets BF Note: EU27 Equity fund monthly flows by regional investment focus, in % Note: EU27 bond fund montlhy flows by regional investment focus, in % of of NAV. NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.73 A.74 Net flows in EU bond funds Net asset valuation of EU funds 1,000 18 16 500 14 12 0 10 8 -500 6 -1,000 4 2 -1,500 0 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Capital flows Valuation effect AuM (rhs) Note: Net valuation effect related to the AuM of EA investment funds, computed as the intraperiod change in AuM, net of flows received in the T , R respective period. Capital flows and valuation effects in EUR bn. AuM expressed in EUR tn. Sources: ECB, ESMA. ) S R , S
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 17 A.75 A.76 Liquidity risk profile of EU bond funds Cash held by EU corporate bond funds 9 0 5 8 5 7 10 4 15 6 20 5 3 25 4 30 3 2 35 2 40 1 45 1 0 50 Dec-17 Oct-18 Aug-19 Jun-20 Apr-21 Feb-22 Dec-22 0 BF maturity HY maturity Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 corridor 1st/3rd quart. Median BF liquidity ratio (rhs) HY liquidity ratio (rhs) Note: Median and difference between the first and 3rd quartile of the value of Note: Quarterly effective average maturity of EU27 fund assets, in years; cash held by EU27 corporate bond funds, in % of portfolio holdings (%). Short positions can have a negative value. ESMA liquidity ratio (rhs, in reverse order). Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.77 A.78 Credit quality of EU bond funds’ assets Maturity of EU bond funds’ assets 6.0 10.0 5.5 9.5 5.0 9.0 4.5 8.5 BBB 4.0 8.0 3.5 7.5 3.0 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 7.0 BF HY 2Q17 2Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Note: Weighted average effective maturity of EU bond funds' assets, data in Note: Quarterly average credit quality (S&P ratings; 1= AAA; 4= BBB; years. 10 = D) for EU27-domiciled funds . Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Money market funds A.79 A.80 EU MMF performance MMF flows by domicile 2 10 8 1 6 4 0 2 0 -2 -1 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 -4 2nd/98th perc. Weighted average Median -6 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Note: EU27-domiciled MMFs' average yearly returns by month, asset- weighted, in %. The graph shows the median and average asset-weighted EU US returns and the difference between the returns corresponding to the 98th and the 2nd percentile (light blue corridor). Note: Monthly net flows for MMFs by domicile, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 18 A.81 A.82 EU MMF flows by geographical focus EU MMF assets and leverage 10 1.6 1.05 8 1.4 1.04 6 1.2 4 1.0 1.03 2 0.8 0.6 1.02 0 -2 0.4 1.01 -4 0.2 -6 0.0 1.00 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 AuM NAV -8 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Leverage (rhs) 5Y-MA (rhs) Note: NAV and AuM of EA MMFs, EUR tn. Leverage computed as the Emerging markets Global AuM/NAV ratio. 5Y-MA=five-year moving average of the leverage ratio. North America Western Europe Sources: ECB, ESMA. Note: EU27 MMF monthly net flows by geographical focus, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.83 A.84 EU MMF maturity EU MMF liquidity 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 0 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 Daily liquidity Weekly liquidity WAM WAL Note: Daily and weekly liquidity includes all assets maturing overnight and Note: Weighted average maturity (WAM) and weighted average life (WAL) of shares by AAA MMFs, securities issued by highly rated sovereigns with a Europe-domiciled MMFs, in days. Aggregation carried out by weighting maturity of less than one year, in % of total assets. Aggregation carried out individual MMFs' WAM and WAL by AuM. using individual Europe-domiciled MMF data weighted by AuM. Alternative funds A.85 A.86 EU hedge fund returns EU alternative fund performance by strategy 15 24 14 10 4 -6 5 -16 -26 0 -36 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 Jun-22 Dec-22 -5 Corridor 2nd/98th perc. HF CTA Event LS Multi Corridor 1st/3rd quart. Median 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 Note: EU27-domiciled hedge funds' monthly returns, %. The graph Note: Growth in hedge fund performance indices by strategy: Hedge fund index (Total), arbitrage, Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA), distressed debt, shows the returns' median, the difference between the returns event driven, fixed income, long/short equity, macro, multi-strategy, relative corresponding to the 98th and 25th percentiles (light blue corridor) and value (RV), in %. the difference between the returns corresponding to the 1st and 3rd Sources: Eurekahedge, ESMA. quartiles (dotted line corridor). Sources: Lipper Tass, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 19 A.87 A.88 EU alternative fund flows by domicile EU alternative fund assets and leverage 3 700 1.5 600 2 1.4 500 1 1.3 400 0 300 1.2 -1 200 1.1 100 -2 0 1.0 -3 Oct-20 Feb-21 Jun-21 Oct-21 Feb-22 Jun-22 Oct-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 AuM NAV Leverage (rhs) 1Y-MA (rhs) EU27 US Note: NAV and AuM of EA alternative funds, EUR bn. Leverage computed as Note: Alternative mutual fund monthly net flows by domicile, in % of NAV. the AuM/NAV ratio. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average for the leverage ratio. Data on alternative mutual funds represent only a subset of the entire Sources: ECB, ESMA. alternative fund industry. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.89 A.90 Alternative fund flows by geographical focus Direct and indirect EU property fund flows 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 -2 0 -4 -2 -6 -8 -4 -10 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 -6 Apr-20 Oct-20 Apr-21 Oct-21 Apr-22 Emerging markets Global North America Western Europe Direct Indirect Note: EU27-domiciled alternative mutual funds net flows by geographical Note: Two-month cumulative flows for direct and indirect EU27-domiciled investment focus, in % of NAV. Data on alternative mutual funds represent property funds. Indirect property funds invest in securities of real estate only a subset of the entire alternative fund industry. companies, inlcuding Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), in EUR bn. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Morningstar, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 20 Exchange-traded funds A.91 A.92 EU ETF returns EU ETF returns volatility 8 18 16 6 14 4 12 10 2 8 0 6 4 -2 2 -4 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 2nd/98th perc. Weighted average Volatility Median Note: EU27-domiciled ETFs' average yearly returns by month, asset- Note: Annualised 40-day historical return volatility of EU27-domiciled ETFs, in %. weighted, in %. The graph shows the median and average asset-weighted Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. returns and the difference between the returns corresponding to the 98th and the 2nd percentile (light blue corridor). Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.93 A.94 EU ETF and NAV by domicile EU ETF NAV by asset type 3,500 10 1,600 9 1,400 3,000 8 1,200 2,500 7 1,000 6 2,000 800 5 1,500 600 4 1,000 3 400 2 200 500 1 0 0 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Alternative Bond Commodity Equity EU27 ETF NAV (rhs) US ETF NAV (rhs) Mixed assets Money market Other EU27 ETFs US ETFs Note: NAV of EU27 ETFs by asset type, EUR bn. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Note: NAV, EUR tn, and number of ETFs by domicile. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.95 A.96 EU ETF tracking error EU and US ETF flows by domicile 1.4 2.5 1.2 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 -0.5 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 ETF MF index trackers Non-UCITS EU27 US Note: Tracking error defined as standard deviation of mutual fund excess Note: ETF net flows by domicile, in % of NAV. returns compared with benchmark. The graph shows the tracking error for Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA EU27 ETFs and mutual funds both UCITS and non-UCITS. Yearly standard deviation reported on monthly frequency. End-of-month data. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 21 A.97 A.98 Assets of leveraged EU ETFs Average beta values for EU ETFs 10 80 3.0 2.0 8 60 1.0 0.0 6 40 -1.0 4 -2.0 -3.0 20 2 -4.0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Unleveraged (Short) Unleveraged (long) 0 0 Leveraged (short) Leveraged (long) 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Leveraged (short) - assets Note: Annual average beta for leveraged and unleveraged EU27 ETFs. Leveraged (long) - assets Leveraged ETFs are self-reported. The annual average monthly beta is Number of leveraged ETFs measured as the volatility of a fund return in comparison to its Note: Total assets of leveraged long and leveraged short ETFs with benchmark. An unleveraged ETF replicating its benchmark will typically primary listings in Europe, in EUR bn and total number of products (rhs), have a beta close to 1.0. in thousand. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.99 A.100 Assets of EU ETFs by replication method Flows into EU ETFs by replication method 1500 2000 200 160 1500 1000 120 1000 80 500 40 500 0 0 0 -40 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Physical - assets Synthetic - assets Physical - number (rhs) Synthetic - number (rhs) Physical net flows Synthetic net flows Note: Total assets of physical and synthetic ETFs with primary listings in Note: Net flows of physical and synthetic ETFs with primary listings in Europe, in EUR bn and total number of products (rhs). Europe, in EUR bn. Sources: ETFGI, ESMA Sources: ETFGI, ESMA
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 22 Consumers Investment resources available to households A.101 A.102 EU household disposable income growth EU household saving and investment rates 7 25 6 5 20 4 15 3 2 10 1 0 5 -1 -2 0 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 -3 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 Saving rate Investment rate 5Y-MA saving 5Y-MA investment Disposable income 5Y-MA Note: EA household annual saving and investment rates, based on four- Note: Annualised growth rate of household gross disposable income adjusted quarter cumulated transactions, in %. 5Y-MA saving=five-year moving for changes in pension entitlements for EU27 countries, in %. 5Y-MA=five- average of the saving rate. 5Y-MA investment=five-year moving average of year moving average of the growth rate. the investment rate. Sources: Eurostat, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.103 A.104 EU investor sentiment EU household asset growth 60 12 40 10 20 8 0 6 -20 4 -40 2 -60 0 -2 -80 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 EA institutional current EA retail current Financial assets Real assets EA institutional future EA retail future 5Y-MA fin. assets 5Y-MA real assets Note: Sentix Sentiment Indicators for the EA retail and institutional investors Note: Annualised growth rate real and financial assets of EA households, in on a ten-year horizon. The zero benchmark is a risk-neutral position. %. 5Y-MA=five-year moving average of the growth rates. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Asset allocation by retail investors A.105 A.106 EU household growth rates in financial assets EU household financial assets by class 40 40 35 35 30 34 30 20 25 33 10 20 15 32 0 10 31 -10 5 -20 0 30 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 Other assets Pensions Currency and deposits Debt securities Insurances IF shares Equities Debt securities Equities IF shares Currency and deposits Securities (rhs) Note: Financial assets of EU27 households, EUR tn, and share of securities Note: Average annualised growth rates of financial asset classes held by investments (debt securities, equities and IF shares) in total, in %. IF EU27 households, in %. IF shares=investment fund shares. Ins.=insurance shares=investment fund shares. Other financial assets=Insurance technical companies, Other assets=other accounts receivable/payable. reserves, financial derivatives, loans granted and other accounts receivable. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 23 A.107 A.108 Share of securities investments in EU household assets EU household net financial asset flows 25 18 15 12 20 9 6 15 3 0 -3 10 -6 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 Net financial liabilities Equity and IF shares 5 Other financial assets Debt securities Currency and deposits Net financial flows Note: Net acquisition of financial assets and net incurrence of liabilities for EA households as a share of their gross disposable income adjusted for changes 0 in pension entitlements, based on a one-year rolling period, in %. IF 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 shares=investment fund shares. Other financial assets=Insurance technical reserves, financial derivatives, loans granted and other accounts receivable. Debt securities Equities IF shares Net financial flows=Net household lending (positive values) or borrowing Note: Share of debt securities, equities and IF shares into the financial assets (negative values) to/from sectoral financial accounts. Liabilities multiplied by - of EU27 households, in %. IF shares=investment fund shares. 1 to present as outflows. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.109 A.110 UCITS net flows by asset class for retail investors Equity UCITS market size by management type 200 4 40 150 3 30 100 2 20 50 1 10 0 0 0 -50 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Passive (excl. ETFs) -100 ETFs 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Active Alternative Bond Equity Share passive and ETFs (rhs) Note: EU27 equity UCITS market size, retail and institutional investors, by Mixed Money market management type. All observations for which information on fund value, Note: EU27 UCITS annual net flows, retail investors only, at quarterly performance, net flows, subscription and redemption fees are available, in frequency by asset class, EUR bn. EUR tn. Share of passive and ETFs, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.111 A.112 Equity UCITS net flows by management type Bond UCITS market size by management type 250 2.5 25 200 2 20 150 1.5 15 100 1 10 50 0.5 5 0 0 0 -50 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Passive (excl. ETFs) -100 ETFs 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Active Share passive and ETFs (rhs) Active ETFs Passive (excl. ETFs) Note: EU27 bond UCITS market size, retail and institutional investors, by management type. All observations for which information on fund value, Note: EU27 equity UCITS annual net flows from retail and institutional performance, net flows, subscription and redemption fees are available, in investors at quarterly frequency by management type, EUR bn. EUR tn. Share of passive and ETFs, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 24 A.113 A.114 Bond UCITS net flows by management type Equity active funds closet index indicator 250 12 200 10 8 150 6 100 4 50 2 0 0 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 2Q21 2Q22 -50 AS
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 25 A.119 A.120 Equity UCITS total costs by management type Equity UCITS net performance by management type 175 50 150 40 125 30 100 20 75 10 50 0 25 -10 0 -20 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Active ETFs Passive (excl. ETFs) Active ETFs Passive (excl. ETFs) Note: Evolution of total costs (ongoing costs (TER), subscription and Note: Evolution of net annual performance (net of ongoing costs (TER), redemption fees) of EU27 equity UCITS, retail and institutional investors, by subscription and redemption fees) of EU27 equity UCITS, retail and management type, in bps. institutional investors, by management type, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.121 A.122 Bond UCITS total costs by management type Bond UCITS net performance by management type 125 12 8 100 4 75 0 50 -4 25 -8 0 -12 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 3Q21 3Q22 Active ETFs Passive (excl. ETFs) Active ETFs Passive (excl. ETFs) Note: Evolution of total costs (ongoing costs (TER), subscription and Note: Evolution of net annual performance (net of ongoing costs (TER), redemption fees) of EU27 bond UCITS, retail and institutional investors, by subscription and redemption fees) of EU27 bond UCITS, retail and management type, in bps. institutional investors, by management type, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 26 Complaints A.123 A.124 EU complaints EU complaints by type of firm involved 12,000 100 4,000 10,000 80 3,000 60 8,000 2,000 40 6,000 1,000 20 4,000 0 0 3Q20 1Q21 3Q21 1Q22 3Q22 2,000 Art3-exempt firm UCITS Manco MiFID IF 0 Note: Share of complaints for quarterly-reporting NCAs (n=14) received 3Q20 1Q21 3Q21 1Q22 3Q22 direct from consumers and via firms by type of firm involved, excluding NCA Firms (rhs) Average total (rhs) complaints with firm type recorded, %. 'Total with firm type reported'=Number of complaints via these reporting channels excluding Note: Number of complaints recorded by quarterly-reporting NCAs (n=14) those with no firm type recorded. 'MiFID IF'=MiFID investment firm. 'UCITS via given reporting channels. "NCA"=Reports lodged directly by consumers Manco'=UCITS management company. 'Art3-exempt firm'=Firm exempt with NCAs. "Firms"=Complaints recorded by NCAs via firms. "Average under Article 3 of MiFID. total"=average total number from 3Q20 to 3Q22. Sources: ESMA complaints database. Sources: ESMA complaints database. A.125 A.126 EU complaints by underlying cause EU complaints by type of financial instrument 100 12,000 100 8,000 80 10,000 80 6,000 8,000 60 60 6,000 4,000 40 40 4,000 2,000 20 2,000 20 0 0 0 0 3Q20 1Q21 3Q21 1Q22 3Q22 3Q20 1Q21 3Q21 1Q22 3Q22 Withdrawals Equities CFDs Unauth. bus. Options/futures/swaps UCITS/AIFs Structured securities Debt securities General admin Total with instrument cited Fees/terms Note: Share of complaints from quarterly-reporting NCAs (n=14) received Note: Share of complaints for quarterly-reporting NCAs (n=14) received direct from consumers and via firms by type of financial instrument, where direct from consumers and via firms by underlying cause, excluding none of the instruments listed was reported. 'Total with instrument complaints with no cause recorded, %. 'Unauth. bus.'=Unauthorised cited'=number of complaints via these reporting channels excluding those business. 'Appr/suit'=Appropriateness or suitability assessment. 'Info with instrument type not reported or reported as 'other' or 'N/A'. 'Total quality'=Quality or lack of information. 'Total with cause reported'=Number complaints'=number of complaints via these reporting channel whether or of complaints via these reporting channels including those with none of the not further categorisation possible. 'CFDs''=Contracts for Differences. listed causes recorded. Sources: ESMA complaints database. Sources: ESMA complaints database. A.127 EU complaints by MiFID II service category 100 2,000 80 1,600 60 1,200 40 800 20 400 0 0 3Q20 1Q21 3Q21 1Q22 3Q22 Investment advice Portfolio management Execution of orders Total with MiFID service reported Note: Share of complaints for quarterly-reporting NCAs (n=14) received direct from consumers and via firms recorded as associated with a given MiFID service, excluding complaints with no such category recorded, all reporting channels, %. 'Total with MiFID service reported'=Total complaints received via these reporting channels recorded as associated with a MiFID service. Sources: ESMA complaints database.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2023 27 Infrastructures and services Trading venues and MiFID entities A.128 A.129 EU equity trading by trading type EU trading turnover by type of assets 100% 3.0 1,400 2.5 1,200 80% 2.0 1,000 60% 1.5 800 40% 1.0 600 20% 0.5 400 0% 0.0 200 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Lit Systematic internaliser 0 Dark pool Periodic auction Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 OTC Total volumes (rhs) Bonds Equities ETFs UCITS Note: Monthly turnover on EEA30 trading venues by type of assets, in EUR Note: Type of equity trading in the EEA as a percentage of total equity bn. Data for Aquis Exchange, CBOE Europe Equities, Equiduct, London Stock turnover. Total equity trading turnover in EUR trillion (rhs). Last available data Exchange and Turquoise are not reported for bonds, ETFs and UCITS. point is October 2022. Poland data included from 2021 onwards. Sources: FESE, ESMA. Sources: FIRDS, FITRS, ESMA. A.130 A.131 EU circuit breaker occurrences by market capitalisation EU circuit breaker trigger events by sector 700 100 600 80 500 60 400 40 300 200 20 100 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Basic materials, industrials and energy 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Financials Healthcare, consumer cyclicals and non-cyclicals Large caps Mid caps Small caps ETFs Technology, utilities and telecommunications services Note: Weekly number of circuit-breaker trigger events by type of financial instrument and by market cap registered on 29 EEA30 trading venues for all Note: Percentage of circuit-breaker trigger events by economic sector constituents of the STOXX Europe Large/Mid/Small 200 and a large sample registered on 29 EEA30 trading venues for all constituents of the STOXX Europe Large/Mid/Small 200. Results displayed as weekly aggregates. of ETFs tracking these indices or some of their subindices. Sources: Morningstar Real-Time Data, ESMA. Sources: Morningstar Real-Time Data, ESMA. A.132 A.133 EU trading system capacity proxy EU equity market concentration 40 60 50 35 50 40 30 40 25 30 20 30 15 20 20 10 10 10 5 0 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 0 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Trading volume 3M-MA Volume Top 25% Core 50% Capacity (rhs) All-time high (rhs) Bottom 25% Median Note: Daily and 3M-MA of trading volumes on 29 EEA30 trading venues for all Note: Concentration of notional value of equity trading by national indices constituents of the STOXX Europe Large/Mid/Small 200 and a large sample computed as a 1M-MA of the Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index, in %. Cboe of ETFs tracking these indices or some of their subindices, in EUR bn. indices included are AT 20, BE 20, DE 30, DK 25, ES 35, FI 25, FR 40, IE 20, Capacity computed as the average across trading venues of the ratio of daily IT 40, NL 25, PT 20 and SE 30. trading volume over maximum volume observed since 31/03/2016, in %. Sources: Cboe, ESMA. Sources: Morningstar Real-Time Data, ESMA.
You can also read