Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018

Page created by Adrian Figueroa
 
CONTINUE READING
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Trupanion Investor Presentation
May 2018
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Legal Disclaimers

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and
Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 relating to, among other things, expectations, plans, prospects and
financial results for Trupanion, including, but not limited to, its expectations regarding its ability to execute its business plans.
These forward-looking statements are based upon the current expectations and beliefs of Trupanion’s management as of
the date of this presentation, and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements made within this
presentation are based on information available to Trupanion as of the date hereof, and Trupanion has no obligation to
update these forward-looking statements.
In particular, the following factors, among others, could cause results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by
such forward-looking statements: the ability to achieve or maintain profitability and/or appropriate levels of cash flow in
future periods; the ability to keep growing our membership base and revenue; the accuracy of assumptions used in
determining appropriate member acquisition expenditures; the severity and frequency of claims; the ability to maintain high
retention rates; the accuracy of assumptions used in pricing medical plan subscriptions and the ability to accurately estimate
the impact of new products or offerings on claims frequency; actual claims expense exceeding estimates; regulatory and
other constraints on the ability to institute, or the decision to otherwise delay, pricing modifications in response to changes in
actual or estimated claims expense; the effectiveness and statutory or regulatory compliance of our Territory Partner model
and of our Territory Partners, veterinarians and other third parties in recommending medical plan subscriptions to potential
members; the ability to retain existing Territory Partners and increase the number of Territory Partners and active hospitals;
compliance by us and those referring us members with laws and regulations that apply to our business, including the sale of a
pet medical plan; the ability to maintain the security of our data; fluctuations in the Canadian currency exchange rate; the
ability to protect our proprietary and member information; the ability to maintain our culture and team; the ability to
maintain the requisite amount of risk-based capital; our ability to implement and maintain effective controls, including over
financial reporting; the ability to protect and enforce Trupanion’s intellectual property rights; the ability to continue key
contractual relationships with third parties; third-party claims including litigation and regulatory actions; the ability to
recognize benefits from investments in new solutions and enhancements to Trupanion’s technology platform and website;
and our ability to retain key personnel.
For a detailed discussion of these and other cautionary statements, please refer to the risk factors discussed in filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including but not limited to, Trupanion’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year
ended December 31, 2017 and any subsequently filed reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. All documents are available through
the SEC’s Electronic Data Gathering Analysis and Retrieval system at www.sec.gov or the Investor Relations section of
Trupanion’s website at http://investors.trupanion.com.
In addition to U.S. GAAP financials, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP
measures are in addition to, not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance
with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the corresponding GAAP measures is provided on our
Investor Relations website.                                                                                                             2
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Our Mission

              Our mission is to help
              the pets we all love
                receive the best
                veterinary care

                                       3
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Trupanion at a Glance

• Simple, fair & high-value medical insurance for pets                                                                                             Driving Category Growth

• Comprehensive, lifelong coverage for dogs and                                                                                                              42                                34%
    cats, including hereditary and congenital                                                                                                 Consecutive Quarters of
                                                                                                                                              25%+ Revenue Growth
                                                                                                                                                                                            Total Revenue
                                                                                                                                                                                            5-year CAGR 1
    conditions (i.e., the most likely conditions to occur)
                                                                                                                                                        Strong Member Loyalty
• Pet owners are free to choose any veterinarian,
    emergency care, or specialty hospital                                                                                                                              98.63%
                                                                                                                                                              Average Monthly Retention 2

• 90% of covered veterinary costs as invoiced, with
    no payout limits

• Individual pets are not penalized for needing
    treatment or getting older

• Veterinarians can be paid directly, and nearly
    instantaneously with Trupanion Express®

1   As of 12/31/17.
2   For the 12-month period ended 3/31/2018. Average monthly retention is calculated as the monthly retention rate of enrolled subscription pets for each applicable period averaged over the 12
    months prior to the period end date.                                                                                                                                                                    4
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Compelling Value Proposition
    For Both Pet Owners & Veterinarians

                For Pet Owners                                        For Veterinarians

•    Comprehensive coverage that gives                 •   Ability to practice at the highest level
     pet owners flexibility in choice of care
                                                       •   Freedom to be the most effective
•    Provides peace of mind                                advocate for the pet
•    Eliminates financial uncertainty and
                                                       •   Increased revenue growth & pet
     reduces financial burden
                                                           economics
•    Pays veterinarian invoices quickly &
     seamlessly

       Trupanion unites pet owners & veterinarians to provide the best care for the pets they love

                                                                                                      5
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
Predictable High Growth Subscription Model

                                             6
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
U.S. Pet Owners Spend Generously
      on Their Pets

                                 Total U.S. Pet Industry Spend 1

($ in billions)                                                                                                        $72
                                                                                                                 $70
                                                                                                           $67

                                                                                                     $60                     •   Total pet spend in U.S.
                                                                                               $58
                                                                                         $56                                     estimated at $72 billion in
                                                                                   $53
                                                                             $51                                                 2018
                                                                       $48
                                                              $46
                                                      $43
                                      $39
                                              $41
                                                                                                                             •   Consistent growth through
                              $36
                      $34                                                                                                        recessionary periods
              $32
$29 $30
                                                                                                                             •   Veterinarian industry spend
                                                                                                                                 has grown at a similar rate
                                                                                                                                 (totaling $17 billion in 2017)

1    Source: APPA US Pet Industry Spending Figures & Future Outlook.                                                                                              7
Trupanion Investor Presentation - May 2018
The Market for Medical Insurance for Pets
     is Underpenetrated in North America

                                                                                  1,2,3,4
           Massive Underpenetrated Market                                                                              Potential Market Size by Penetration Rate
                                                                                                                ($ in billions)
                200 Million Pets in U.S. & Canada

                                                                                            40%                                                                      $32.2
                                                                                                                  Pets in the U.S. and Canada              200M

                                                                                                                  Illustrative Monthly Average Revenue     $53.62
                                                                                                                  Per Pet(5)

                                                                                                                  Penetration in the UK                      25%

                                                                              25%                                 Total Addressable Market                 $32.2B

    United States and Canada
         are significantly
     underpenetrated when
                                                                  14%
    compared to many other                                                                                                                                    $9.7
       developed countries
                                                      8%                                                                                            $6.4
                             5%           5%                                                                                                 $3.2
                ~2%                                                                                                               $1.3
     1%

                                                                                                            % of Pets with        1.0%    2.5%      5.0%      7.5%   25.0%
                                                                                                             Insurance:

1    APPA, National Pet Owners Survey, 2017 – 2018.
2    Kynetec on behalf of the Canadian Animal Health Institute, CAHI Estimate of Canadian Dog and Cat Population Survey, 2016.
3    Packaged Facts, a division of Market Research Group, LLC, Pet Insurance in North America, 5th Edition, October 2013.
4    Munich RE, How to Unlock the Potential of Pet Health?, May 2013.
5    Represents our monthly average revenue per pet for the three month period ended March 31, 2018.                                                                         8
Penetration Driven by Product Value
 Proposition

                   United Kingdom

                     • 16 million cats & dogs
                     • 4,200 vet hospitals                          United States
                     • 25% market penetration
                                                 • 184 million cats & dogs
                     • First offered: 1970
                                                 • 28,000 vet hospitals
                                                 • 1% market penetration
                                                 • First offered: 1982

U.K. Product (the Trupanion approach)
                                                    Legacy U.S. Product (an insurance-minded approach)
 Sourced primarily from veterinary referrals;
                                                    х Sourced primarily direct to consumer
  appealed to new customers with vet-issued
  trial certificates                                х Provided limited coverage, excluding the conditions
                                                      most likely to occur
 Provided broad coverage
                                                    х Imposed pricing caps and fee schedules

 Generated high satisfaction rates with pet
                                                    х Generated low satisfaction rates with pet owners
  owners and veterinarians
                                                      and veterinarians

Trupanion’s product offering aligns with the U.K. value proposition and marketing strategy
                                                                                                         9
Attractive Trupanion Adoption & Economics
    in Relatively Established Markets

                 Trupanion issued first policy in Canada in 2000 and first policy in the U.S. in 2008

                              Regional Case Study                                                                    Analysis

      • Region of Western Canada (entered 2003)                                                  • High penetration rates:
                                                                                                    − 2/3rd active hospital base1,2
                                                                                                    − Quotes generated each month equal to
      • Territory Partner presence for >10 years
                                                                                                      ~25% of estimated number of pets acquired2
                                                                                                    − ~5% of new pets enrolling with TRUP each
      • Human population of ~2.7 million                                                              month1

                                                                                                 • Accelerated growth:
      • Cats & dogs population of ~1.3 million
                                                                                                    − Annual pet growth > 20%3
                                                                                                    − Annual revenue growth > 30%3
      • >18,000 Trupanion enrolled pets1
                                                                                                 • Attractive economics:
                                                                                                    − LVP to PAC > 5:11

               The above numbers are as of Q2 2015. For competitive reasons, we are not providing ongoing disclosure of this cohort.

1   For the period ended June 30, 2015.
2   Defined as a hospital to which we’ve attributed a new enrollment within the 90 days prior.
3   For the annual period ended December 31, 2014.                                                                                               10
Barriers Against Competition

1
        Superior Value
      Proposition for Pet
           Owners

2
       Established Deep
          Veterinarian
         Relationships

3
    Data Driven Advantage

4
      Proprietary Platform
    Enhanced by Trupanion
           Express™

                                   11
1    Superior Value Proposition for Pet Owners

    Key Categories                                            Better Providers            Legacy U.S. Providers

                         • Full coverage excl. pre-      • Full coverage excl. pre-   • Limited coverage excludes
    Coverage               existing conditions             existing conditions          congenital, hereditary &
                                                                                        pre-existing conditions
                         • Pays 90% of actual vet bill   • Pays 70-100% of actual
                                                           vet bill                   • Reimbursement based on
                                                                                        fee schedules & price caps

                         • No fee increases for          • Increases for age of pet   • Increases for age of pet,
    Pricing                treatment                       and cost of care             prior claims and/or cost of
                                                                                        care
                         • Cost adjusts with cost of     • Few deductible options
                           care for that specific pet                                 • Few deductible options
                           sub-category
                         • Pet owner may apply any
                           deductible ($0-$1,000) to
                           customize pricing
                         • Millions of pricing
                           categories
                         • Trupanion Express™            • Traditional                • Traditional reimbursement
    Direct Payment vs.     enables instantaneous,          reimbursement model          model
    Pet Owner              paper-free claims and
    Reimbursement          direct payment of
                           invoices at treatment                                                                      12
2 Established Deep Veterinary Relationships

        Territory Partner and Veterinary Footprint …                                                     …Drives Efficient Pet Acquisition Model

• Territory Partners represent long-term investment                                                   • Multi-faceted approach to driving sales
  in veterinary relationships                                                                           leads across channels

                                                                                                                    Pet Acquisition Channels 1
• 107 Territory Partners 1

    – Each cover on average                                                                                            New                        Existing
                                                                                                                      Members                    Members
      ~250 veterinary hospitals

    – Approximately 85,000 vet                                                                         Veterinary
                                                                                                                       Direct-to-   Point of      Add a
                                                                                                                       Consumer       Sale,        Pet,
                                                                                                         Leads
      hospital visits in 2017                                                                                            Leads      All Other     Friend

• Un-replicated within market                                                                             49%             7%          17%          27%

• Approximately 8,500 veterinary hospitals
  actively recommend Trupanion at the end of
  2017 with long-term target of 20,000 2
                                                                                                         Nearly 80% of leads from referral sources
                                                                                                            that are not directly compensated

1   As of December 31, 2017.
2   Defined as a hospital to which we’ve attributed a new enrollment within at least 90 days prior.                                                          13
3   Data Driven Advantage

       Extensive data amassed over 18 years provides significant competitive advantages

                                                                   Illustrative Pricing Examples

         •     Millions of pricing categories
                                                                                                                            $122.99

         •     Over 2 million claims received
                                                                                                     $80.08
                                                                                                                             $36.90
         •     Breed, postal code and age among
                                                                                                     $24.02
               the pricing categories used to
                                                                             $45.82
               measure risk
                                                                             $13.75
                                                      $28.88

                                                      $8.66                                                                  $86.09
                                                                                                     $56.06

                Comprehensive data helps us                                  $32.07
              understand the risk of each pet and     $20.22
                  add a reasonable margin

                                                        Cat                    Dog               English Bulldog      English Bulldog in NY
                                                    Expected Invoiced Amount per Pet per Month    Expected Profit per Pet per Month

1   All data as of December 31, 2017.                                                                                                 14
Proprietary Platform Enhanced by
4 Trupanion Express™

  Proprietary Platform Provides Cost Advantage                                 Value Proposition Enhanced by Trupanion Express™

• Business model designed to eliminate frictional                               • Eliminates paperwork and uncertainty of
   costs:                                                                         coverage
   – Own only N.A. insurance company focused on                                   – Customers avoid having to pay out of pocket
       medical care for pets
                                                                                  – Veterinarians streamline billing process and
   – In-house actuaries, claims & contact center for                                eliminate credit card fees
       quality control and speed
                                                                                  – Trupanion enhances data connectivity with
   – Dedicated national Territory Partner network                                   veterinarians
   – No brand licensing fees
                                                                                • Un-replicated in the market
   – Proprietary underwriting technology
             Illustrative Comparison of Cost Structure                                         Trupanion Express™

                     30%              30%        Strategic choice to
 ~20% in                                          provide customer
frictional           20%                          structural benefit
   cost                                            by paying ~20%
                                                   more on claims
                                      70%
                     50%
                                                  Profits Before Other Costs
                                                  Frictional Costs
               Illustrative Legacy   Trupanion    Fully-loaded Claim Payout
                       Model           Model
                                                                                                                                   15
Our Mission Driven Model Resonates with
Third Parties

                             “I had the opportunity to meet with a broad cross
                             section of Trupanion’s people in Seattle… What I
                             experienced was a group of people who are
                             confident, ambitious, energized and, above all,
                             purpose driven.”
                             – Robert Vinall, RV Capital, quote from his annual
                             investor letter

                             “In Trupanion’s case, it is easy to underestimate how
                             important trust will be in shaping the Industry… trust must
                             be continuously earned by being deserved…which is
                             expressed as a mission-driven culture.”
                             – Josh Tarasoff, Greenlea Lane Capital Partners, quote
                             from his annual investor letter

                                                                                      16
Financial Review
Compelling Financial Model

• High growth business capturing underpenetrated market

• Monthly subscription model with recurring and visible revenues

• Strong lifetime value and proven customer unit economics

• Attractive long-term margin profile

                                                                   18
Member-Centric Approach Driving Growth

                                    Total Enrolled Pets 1                                                                                                     Total Revenue 2

(in thousands)
                                                                                      23% YOY                           ($ in millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                            27% YOY
                                                                                       Growth                                                                                                                Growth
                                                                                                  447
                                                                          423                                                                                                              $243

                                                                                                                                                                                             $24
                                                                                      364
                                                               344
                                                                                                                                                                              $188
                                                   292                                                                                                                          $15

                                                                                                                                                                 $147
                                       232
                                                                                                                                                                   $14
                                                                                                                                                    $116
                          182
                                                                                                                                                      $12                                   $219
                                                                                                                                        $84
               128                                                                                                                                                             $173
                                                                                                                                          $7                                                                       $70

    89                                                                                                                    $56                                     $133                                   $55         $8
                                                                                                                                                     $104                                                  $5
                                                                                                                                          $77
                                                                                                                            $55                                                                                     $62
                                                                                                                                                                                                          $50

 2011          2012        2013        2014       2015        2016        2017      3/31/17 3/31/18                        2012           2013       2014         2015         2016         2017        3/31/17    3/31/18
                                                                                                                                                  Subscription Revenue              Other Revenue

1        Number of pets subscribed to either our plan or one of the insurance products offered in our other business segment at the end of the period presented.
2        Cumulative as of December 31st for each respective year from 2012 to 2017, and the three months ended March 31, 2017 and 2018. Includes subscription business segment and other business segment. Other          19
         business segment primarily includes revenue from plans not marketed directly to consumers.
Near Term Investment Drives Long Term
      Cash Flows

 Marketing costs are expensed up front while revenue is realized over the life of the member
          Annual Cash Flow from Illustrative Member 1                                                                       Cumulative Cash Flow from Illustrative Member 1

$150                                                                                                                $600
                                                         LVP
                                                                                                                    $500
$100

                                                                                                                    $400
                                                                                                                                      Breakeven in
    $50
                                                                                                                                       ~17 months
                                                                                                                    $300

    $0
           Year 0       Year 1      Year 2       Year 3      Year 4       Year 5      Year 6       Year 7           $200

 ($50)                                                                                                              $100

($100)                                                                                                                 $0
                                                                                            2, 3                                 Year 0       Year 1       Year 2       Year 3       Year 4       Year 5       Year 6       Year 7
                                                                                                                   ($100)
($150)                                                Q1 2018
           ($165)                                       4.4X                                                       ($200)
($200)                                               LVP to PAC
            PAC
                                                                                                                   ($300)

1     Based on lifetime value of a pet and average pet acquisition cost for the quarter ended March 31, 2018 in subscription business segment.
2     Lifetime value of a pet (LVP) is a business operating metric that we believe reflects the lifetime value we might expect from a new pet enrollment. We calculate LVP based on gross profit from our subscription
      business segment for the 12 months prior to the period end date excluding stock-based compensation expense related to cost of revenue from our subscription business segment, sign-up fee revenue and the
      change in deferred revenue between periods, multiplied by the implied average subscriber life in months.
3     Pet acquisition cost (PAC) is calculated as net acquisition cost divided by the total number of new subscription pets enrolled in that period. Net acquisition cost, a non-GAAP financial measure, is calculated in
      a reporting period as sales and marketing expense, excluding stock-based compensation expense and other business segment sales and marketing expense, offset by sign-up fee revenue.                                           20
Attractive Long Term Margin Profile(1)

1   The following table includes non-GAAP financial measures. For more information about our non-GAAP financial measures, see “Supplemental Financial Information” in the Investor Relations section of Trupanion’s
    website at http://investors.trupanion.com.
2   In 2017, the fixed expenses were comprised of 6% G&A and 2% Core IT. In 2016, the fixed expenses were comprised of 7% G&A and 3% Core IT. In 2015, the fixed expenses were comprised of 9% G&A, 4% Core IT
    and 2% related to our Direct Pay Initiative.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      21
Thank You
You can also read