Trends & Takeaways in the Still Hot Protein Product Marketplace - Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight May 22-23, 2018
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Trends & Takeaways in the [Still] Hot Protein Product Marketplace Presented by: Lynn Dornblaser, Director, Innovation & Insight © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel. May 22-23, 2018
Agenda Consumers: What we see: Inspiration What’s ahead What they Product from outside want, and what activity, key the US market they don’t product examples
Consumers: What they want, and what they don’t Consumers are conflicted: They want animal-based protein AND they want plant-based protein They see the benefits and advantages of both For plant protein, they choose it for taste and health But their preferences on what they say they would buy differ depending on the category 3
What US consumers say about protein Say meat is essential to a balanced diet. Men are 67% more likely than women to agree. 70% Say plant-based protein is healthy Say plant-based foods are more expensive than other 57% foods Say plant based foods are better for the environment 53% than animal based options 51% Say a meal is not complete without meat 4 Source: Mintel
Looking closer: What consumers say about plant-based protein Reasons for plant-based food consumption, US Taste 52% Health concerns 39% Avoiding processed foods 39% Weight management 31% Save money 16% Muscle growth 16% Environmental concerns 13% Animal protection 11% Eating a vegetarian diet 10% Other, please specify 2% None of the above 10% 5 Source: Mintel
Consumer preferences differ by category, for many reasons Looking at what consumers say they would buy, we see patterns differ from one product subcategory to another. A look at the five most active subcategories regarding protein claims: Snack/cereal/energy bars: Purchase intent, selected subcategories, US • High protein struggles regarding flavor, price, and brand trust 46% 41% 43% Meal replacement drinks: • Women and consumers 55+ 34% 34% 31% don’t want high protein 29% 28% Yogurt: 19% 19% • Strength of Greek yogurt; women 55+ prefer high protein Meat snacks: • High protein most favored by men and 18-34s Snack/ Meal Yogurt Meat Prepared cereal/ replacement snacks meals Prepared meals: energy bars drinks • High protein meals chosen as High protein All other an addition to their repertoire; most chosen by 35-54 year olds 6 Source: Mintel Purchase Intelligence
What we see: Product activity, key product examples Overall introductions of products making a protein claim continue to grow, but North America has the greatest percentage of all intros Not all categories or subcategories are created equal: Snacks drive introductions While some plant-based categories show drops, plant based yogurt expands Mainstream restaurants expand their plant-based offerings 7
Products making a protein claim continues to grow New food and beverage product introductions, global, making a protein claim, 2013-May 2018 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 8 Source: Mintel GNPD
But the pattern is different depending on region Food and beverage introductions with a protein claim, 2013- May 2018, by region, as % of all introductions 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Middle East & Latin America North America Europe Asia Pacific Africa 9 Source: Mintel GNPD
A closer look at the US market: Protein continues to grow US new product introductions with a protein claim, 2013-May 2018, as % of all introductions 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 10 Source: Mintel GNPD
The most active categories are the ones you would expect US product introductions with a protein claim, by most active categories and all other, 2013-May 2018 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Snacks Other Dairy Other Beverages Processed Fish, Meat & Egg Products Meals & Meal Centers 11 Source: Mintel GNPD
Just over half of all products come from only five subcategories US product introductions with a protein claim, most active subcategories, 2013-May 2018 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Snack/Cereal/Energy Bars Meal Replacements & Other Drinks Spoonable Yogurt Meat Snacks Prepared Meals 12 Source: Mintel GNPD
Most active categories: A few examples Kind Protein From Real Food Chobani Hint of Madagascar Ancient Nutrition Pure Bone Double Dark Chocolate Nut Vanilla & Cinnamon Low-Fat Broth Protein Powder Bar Blended Greek Yogurt Sweet Earth Enlightened Oberto All Natural Pepperoni Foods Korean Japchae Jerky 13
Innovation from other subcategories Vegetables: Focus on Side dishes: Growth of Drinking yogurts: inherent goodness Amaranth Paired with probiotics Seapoint Farms Organic Bob's Red Mill Grains-Of- Lifeway Probiotic Plain Edamame Soybeans in Discovery Organic Whole Unsweetened Kefir Pods Grain Amaranth Cultured Lowfat Milk Smoothie 14
Innovation from other subcategories Baking mixes: Adding Meal kits: All about the Meat substitutes: health to indulgence plant protein Growing in popularity Kodiak Cakes Power Pero Family Farms Beyond Meat Beast Burger Cakes Protein Packed Southwest Plant-Based 2.0 Buttermilk Flapjack and Protein Salad Kit Waffle Mix 15
A closer look: Three subcategories all about plant protein US new product introductions, selected subcategories, 2013- May 2018 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Plant Based Drinks (Dairy Alternatives) Meat Substitutes Plant Based Spoonable Yogurts (Dairy Alternatives) 16 Source: Mintel GNPD
Innovation in plant-based products Plant based drinks: Meat substitutes: Plant based yogurt: Growth from private Growth from private Unique base label label ingredients Walmart’s Great Value True Goodness by Meijer Ripple Blueberry Greek Original Unsweetened Beet Burger Yogurt Alternative Almondmilk 17
What we’ve seen on restaurant menus Pecan +18% Quinoa +25% Black bean burger +32% Menu incidence Menu incidence Menu incidence Q2 2015-Q2 2017 Q2 2015-Q2 2017 Q2 2015-Q2 2017 Panera Bread Chick-fil-A TGI Friday’s Roasted Beet, Quinoa & Harvest Kale & Grain Bowl Black Bean & Avocado Citrus Salad Red quinoa, white quinoa, farro, Burger Arugula, romaine, kale, and radicchio roasted butternut squash, and diced With spicy mayo made with blend and pickled red onions tossed apples on a bed of chopped kale Tabasco chipotle pepper sauce, in apple cider vinaigrette and topped topped with a goat and feta cheese Monterey Jack, white cheddar, and with quinoa, Gorgonzola, roasted blend and tart dried cherries. Served cola onions. beets, mandarin oranges, and with a blend of roasted nuts and Image via TGI Friday’s toasted pecan pieces. light balsamic vinaigrette. Image via Panera Bread Image via Chick-fil-A 18 Source: Mintel Menu Insights
Inspiration from outside the US market While many product types and forms that make a protein claim are similar to what we see in the US, there are some standouts that are different. Each of the products that follow can help inspire your US product development. And all but the last one are here for you to taste! 19
Unexpected categories for protein claims Chocolate Shelf stable dessert Potato snacks confectionery mixes Snickers Protein Milk Easis Sour Cream & Onion LighterLife Fast Raspberry Chocolate High Protein Bar Chips, Denmark Mousse, UK with Caramel Filling and Peanuts, Switzerland 20
Unexpected formats (for the US) for high protein products Snack in a “ball” format—eat Common in the UK market, one or all in the package unknown here Bounce Apple & Cinnamon Protein Bovril High Protein Beef Paste, UK Punch Energy Ball, Netherlands 21
Unexpected (for the US) base ingredients Soy based drink, a major Oat-based drink, a common European seller format in Northern Europe Danone/Wave’s Alpro Unsweetened Soy Orkla’s Get Started by Nutrilett Drink, Europe Raspberry & Oat Shake, Finland 22
What’s ahead Look for continued growth in the protein claim Also expect more plant-based offerings, especially those that use new types of base ingredients Where protein may be coming from in the future: • Drinks made from egg protein • Protein from insects (ICK!) • Meat from the lab 23
Peck - a new high-protein drink for busy consumers A new egg-based, dairy-free drink, containing 20g of protein from 5 egg whites per bottle, with no artificial colours, flavours, sweeteners and preservatives, made using eggs that don’t make it to store shelves because of size or shell discolorations. © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel. Source: Peck 24 24 Read on mintel.com
Lab-grown meat has come a long way, but has a long way to go 2016 2017 2021 Memphis Meat (US) Memphis Meat (US) Memphis $18,000 per lb $9,000 per lb Meat) Lab-grown meatball Meatless duck Goal: and chicken tenders Commercially available Mosa Meat (NL) Working on fat tissue development Integriculture Integriculture (JP) Goal: Lab- Cultured chicken grown pancreas, liver, foie gras muscle and commercially intestine cells available Maastricht University (NL) Hampton €250,000 ($330,000) for 5oz burger Creek (US) from cow shoulder stem cells Goal: Lab- grown meat to market 2013 2018 25 Image source: Memphis Meat
Insect protein: Ick factor high in US, but there’s a good message Consumers in Canada are simply not interested in insect protein to date; we can assume the data would be similar to the US market. However, companies are finding a way to make the idea more palatable. A way in with insect protein would be to use Canada: 'what foods/ingredients do them in a way less visible to consumers. In you use or are you interested in using China, Real Nutriceutical Shun launched a instead of meat protein?', Nov 2017 range of nutritional drinks that contains 100% 12% silkworm protein, but this is not overtly 12% 30% 33% 75% 49% 50% promoted on-pack to the consumer. % agree 66% 23% 24% 85% 50% 76% 20% 31% 25% 47% 42% 26% 31% 19% 12% 0% 8% 4% Real Nutriceutical Shun amino acid drink contains silkworm powder Don't use and not interested Don't use but am interested in using Currently use 26 Source: Mintel
What’s ahead Look for continued growth in the protein claim Also expect more plant-based offerings, especially those that use new types of base ingredients Where protein may be coming from in the future: • Drinks made from egg protein • Protein from insects (ICK!) • Meat from the lab 27
Thank you Lynn Dornblaser Director, Innovation & Insight 312 450 6117 lynnd@mintel.com @LynnMintel © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel. THE WORLD’S LEADING MARKET INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Our expert analysis of the highest quality data and market research will help you grow your business. mintel.com
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