Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl

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Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl
Photo: Hollandse Hoogte/ANP Foto

Travel Trade Scan
United Kingdom
2022
Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl
Travel Trade Scan
United Kingdom
Table of contents

1        Snapshot of the UK travel market                3

2        Market position and market developments         6

2.1      Travel market size

2.2      Travel industry players

2.3      Travel industry figures
2.3.1    Number of travel businesses
2.3.2    The tour operator segment
2.3.3    The travel agency segment

2.4      Travel market developments and trends
2.4.1    The customer journey and booking behaviour
2.4.2    Supply development
2.4.3    Travel trends

2.5      Market position – Destination The Netherlands
2.5.1    The UK as a source market 2019–2021
2.5.2    Relevant target groups
2.5.3    The Netherlands product offer

2.6      SWOT UK-market

3        Summary                                         26

         Sources

                                                              2
Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl
1                Snapshot of the
                 UK travel market
The key events that impact the UK travel industry’s
supply and demand and shape the post pandemic
travel recovery, which is expected to reach 2019
levels by 2025.
                                                      3
Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl
Study
                                                                                                                  trip

Snapshot of the UK travel market

                                                                               €
                                                       55%             29%
                                                      53%              29%
                                                        58%           27%

                      €                        Beach
                                               holiday
                                                                Culture
                                                                holiday

                                  Family
                                  holiday

                            %
                                    8%
                                    7% Sightseeing
                                                                 %%
                                     9% holiday

                                                         41%
                                                                 %
                                                          45%

                                       €%
                                                 34%
                                            City

                                  %         holiday

                                  % €%                                                  Beach
                                                                                        holiday

                                      %               Culture
                                                      holiday        Adventure     Party
                                                                                            %
                                                                                   holiday

                                                                                           € €
                                                                     holiday

                        Party
                                            Study
                        holiday
                                            trip
                                                                                                            Family

                                                                          €                                 holiday

                                                                                   € %                          15%
                                                                                                               13%
                                                                                                                   21%
                                                                                                  Spa
                                                                                                                                Health
                                                                                   Spa            holiday
                                                                                                                                holiday

                                                                                            €
                                                                                   holiday
                                                                                                                                    41%

                                                                                           €
                                                                                  13%                                                45%
                                                                                  13%                                           34%
                                                                                                                                    Nature
                                                                                 12%                              8%                holiday
                                                                                                                  7%        13%

                                                                 €                          %€                     9%       13%
                                                                                                                           12%
                                                                                                                                                  €
                                                                                                                      €                   Adventure
                                                                                                                                          holiday
                                                                             Activity
                                                                             holiday
                                                                                                                       15%
                                                                                                                                                % %
                                                                                                                                 €
                                                                                                                      13%
                                                                                                                          21%

                                                           €
                                              Activity                        Sightseeing
                                              holiday                         holiday
                                                                                                                   55%
                                                                                                                  53%
                                                                                                                    58%          13%
                                                                                                                                 13%       Health
                                                                                                     29%                        11%        holiday
                                                                                                     29%                  13%

                                                                             %                      27%                   13%

                                                                   %
                                                                                                             City
                                                                                                                         11%
                                                                                                             holiday

                                       Nature
                                       holiday

                                                                                    Travel volume
                                                                                    Up and until 2019 UK citizens travelled extensively, and mostly for leisure. However, in 2020, due
                                                                                    to the (COVID-19) pandemic the number of overseas trips fell dramatically by 74 % to 24 million
                                                                                    trips (down from 66 million overseas trips in 2019). On these trips abroad, UK visitors spent
                                                                                    £13.8 billion, down 78 % from 2019 (£62.8 billion). 80 %, or 19 million, of these 24 million trips
                                                                                    were in Europe. In 2020 the most popular European destination was Spain, followed by France
                                                                                    and Italy. The Netherlands came sixth place. The number of UK visitors to the Netherlands
                                                                                    reflected the global decrease in travel volume; 595,000 UK residents visited the Netherlands, a
                                                                                    decline of 75 % compared to 2019, when 2.4 million visitors came to the Netherlands from the UK.

                                                                                    The impact of the pandemic
                                                                                    on travel businesses
                                                                                    The pandemic had a devastating effect on both tour operator and travel agent businesses.
                                                                                    According to Statista’s Industry Outlook, the estimated revenue of the industry was £25.7 billion
                                                                                    in 2020, dropping by over 70 percent compared to the previous year due to the (COVID-19)
                                                                                    pandemic. Revenue figures for 2021 are not yet available. In the course of 2020 and 2021 a few
                                                                                    longstanding travel businesses, e.g. tour operators like STA Travel and Shearings went into
                                                                                    administration and travel agent TUI closed more than 350 retail shops. However, despite all
                                                                                    odds, there were also new travel businesses starting up during the pandemic, such as the world’s
                                                                                    first non-flight tour operator, Byway Travel, who recognised the rising consumer demand for slow
                                                                                    and sustainable travel.

                                                                                                                                                                                         4
Travel Trade Scan United Kingdom 2022 - NBTC.nl
Snapshot of the UK travel market

                                   The impact of Brexit on travel
                                   Despite concerns surrounding the impact of Brexit, it seems that it had no considerable effects
                                   on the travel behaviour of UK residents. The number of holiday trips taken abroad until the
                                   pandemic hit had increased each year, and the positive travel sentiment towards overseas travel
                                   remains high. As a result of Brexit the UK is now classified as a third country, and that did have an
                                   effect during the pandemic as the EU-travel ban also applied to the UK. The ban resulted in strict
                                   COVID-19-related EU-entry rules and consequently made travel to the EU, and the Netherlands,
                                   impossible during certain periods during 2021 and 2022.

                                   Travel sentiment
                                   For travel businesses there is still a long way to go to recover from two years (March 2020 –
                                   March 2022) of lost revenue. Businesses are now confronted with the impact of current global
                                   events, especially the war in Ukraine, and the escalation of fuel prices. Various research shows
                                   that by and large holidaymakers are not deterred from travel. Holidays remain a spending priority
                                   and people say they would cut back on other things before their holiday spend. Since March
                                   2020, UK consumers have gone from not being able to travel at all to spending hundreds of
                                   pounds on COVID-tests each time they wanted to travel. It is believed that higher prices for airline
                                   tickets alone won’t stop consumers from travelling now. However, in combination with
                                   con­sider­able increases in the cost of living, particularly energy and fuel, and inflationary food and
                                   drink prices, it is likely to impact travel behaviour on the short term, keeping the appeal of a
                                   staycation or visiting close-by European destinations top of mind. In the future, rising concerns
                                   about the environment may push more UK consumers towards a staycation in the UK or European
                                   destinations that can be reached by road or rail. The Netherlands would undoubtedly benefit
                                   from such a development.

                                   Travel booking behaviour
                                   It is estimated that half of all UK holidaymakers across all age groups usually book their holidays
                                   themselves, either online with an Online Travel Agent (OTA), airline or hotel. OTA’s have been
                                   popular among all age groups and the pandemic has strengthened the trend for online
                                   bookings. Interestingly, during the pandemic tour operators and travel agents also increased in
                                   popularity due to the fact that travel bookings had become more complex with COVID-19 travel
                                   rules and measures. Concerns about safety and hygiene as well as booking flexibility and refund
                                   policies played out in favour of travel businesses that could advise and reassure their customers
                                   during the holiday planning and booking process. Many consumers opt for a multichannel
                                   approach when planning and booking their holidays – in the early stages they go online for
                                   search and inspiration; additionally they may contact a travel agent via phone, email or chat to get
                                   their questions answered. Then they tend to book confidently online, or with a tour operator that
                                   offers the best price, terms of booking or who they are loyal to. While OTA’s are a popular choice
                                   for city trips and short trips, special interest tour operators are firm favourite for consumers who
                                   are looking for something special, such as festivals, events, arts & cultural heritage, active
                                   holidays etc.

                                                                                                                                             5
2               Market position
                and market
                developments
A comprehensive overview of the state and
development of the UK travel industry, its main
players, consumer demand and trends, with a special
focus on travel from the UK to the Netherlands.
                                                      6
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                                       Photo: Liset Verberne
                                          2.1 Travel market size
                                          The UK travel market is one of the biggest globally, both in domestic and international terms.
                                          UK residents love to travel. In previous years and until 2019, the UK took fourth place in the
                                          ranking of a source market for global travel. However, in 2020 the UK dropped to fifth place
                                          behind France. This is largely due to the fact that since leaving the EU, the UK is classified as a
                                          third country and the EU-entry ban consequently applied to the UK during the pandemic. In
                                          terms of travel spending per head by European nations, the UK retains its second place, only
                                          narrowly behind Germany.

                                                                                                                                        Figure 1
                                          Countries with the highest international tourism expenditure
                                          worldwide in 2019 and 2020 (in billion U.S. dollars)
                                                                                              130.5
                                          China
                                                                                                                                          254.6
                                                                 39.3
                                          U.S.
                                                                                                134.6
                                                                 38.9
                                          Germany
                                                                                    93.2
                                                            27.8
                                          France
                                                                      50.5
                                                            21
                                          UK
                                                                             70.6
                                                          13
                                          Belgium
                                                          18.8
                                                            12.6
                                          India
                                                          22.9
                                                             12.1
                                          Canada
                                                          35.8
                                                            10.9
                                          Italy
                                                          30.3
                                                            9.1              2019
                                          Rus. Fed.
                                                               36.2          2020
                                          Source: UNWTO
                                          Source: UNWTO

                                                                                                                                                   7
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                      Figure 2
                                          Outbound travel and tourism expenditure in leading countries
                                          worldwide in 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars)
                                          China                                                                                          262.1

                                          U.S.                                                                  184.2

                                          Germany                                    104.8

                                          UK                                      90.2

                                          France                       56.2

                                          Australia               43.8

                                          Canada                 42.2

                                          Spain                 36.7

                                          Italy                36.4

                                          South Korea          33.5

                                          Source: WTTC

                                          The UK tourism industry is one of the largest worldwide. In 2019, there were 241,000 tourism-
                                          related businesses and 3.3m employees in the UK. In the same year, the turnover of enterprises
                                          operating in the industry, travel agencies, tour operators and other reservation services and
                                          related activities, was approximately £45.6 billion up from £33 billion in 2016, the highest
                                          turnover in the last decade (between 2008 and 2018).

                                          2.2 Travel industry players
                                          Tour Operator
                                          A Tour Operator is a company that thinks up and researches ideas for holidays, designs the
                                          holiday itinerary and content, contracts the services needed for the holiday (e.g. acco­mmo­
                                          dation, transport, guides, tour leaders or resort reps) and then markets the resultant package.
                                          They sell the package either directly to the consumer or use the services of a travel agent to do
                                          so. By law, a tour operator is referred to as a “principal”, meaning they take responsibility for the
                                          package that they create and cover that liability with (usually) an ATOL-license and/or some form
                                          of bonding to ensure that the consumer gets their money back or is flown home in case they are
                                          abroad at the time that the tour operator fails. There are different types of tour operators that
                                          specialise in one or various segments of the travel market. There are wholesalers, coach tour
                                          operators, cruise operators and specialized tour operators that focus on holiday types such as
                                          culture, arts & history, outdoor & active, cycling & hiking, gastronomy & wine, gardens & hor­ti­
                                          culture, and so on.

                                          (Travel) Wholesaler
                                          A wholesaler in the travel industry is a company that purchases and distributes travel products
                                          such as hotel rooms, transfers and tours & activities products to their network of clients. These
                                          clients can include for example tour operators, airlines and OTAs. There are wholesalers that
                                          focus on creating a wealth of travel packages for destinations, that would be distributed mostly
                                          to coach and group tour operators.

                                                                                                                                                  8
Market position and market developments

                                          (Retail) Travel Agent
                                          Travel agents sell holidays and other travel products to consumers through retail travel agents in
                                          stores, web-based agencies and/or call centres. They offer the consumer a range of holiday
                                          packages that have been put together by a tour operator. They do not, in theory, put together
                                          any of their own packages; they sell lots of different holidays put together by lots of different tour
                                          operators. They do not usually design or create the holidays they sell, and they do not act as a
                                          Principal; the tour operator whose product they sell takes the responsibility for the holiday; the
                                          travel agent does not. And therefore the agent usually does not have an ATOL-license or any
                                          bonding in place, but relies on the tour operator to cover this.

                                          Online Travel Agent (OTA)
                                          OTA’s provide online travel reservation and booking services, taking a percentage of the total
                                          transaction value booked through their websites to generate revenue. Their main activities
                                          include: booking flights, accommodation and activities online, selling travel package holidays
                                          online, organising travel arrangements online and providing travel information online.

                                          The Online Travel Agencies (OTA) industry consists of two primary operating models: an agency
                                          model and a merchant model. Under the agency model, the OTA acts as a distribution channel
                                          for tourism product providers, taking a commission on the total value of a booking. The hotel
                                          owner has the opportunity to decide the final sales price to the customer, which gives more
                                          control to the owner. The main characteristic of the Agency Model OTA is that the guest pays the
                                          Hotel directly when the stay occurs and the hotel pays the OTA commission after the stay has
                                          taken place.

                                          In this case a hotel provides the OTA a final sell rate, over which a commission is paid to the OTA
                                          by the hotel after the booking at the hotel has been consumed. Example: Booking.com.

                                          Under a merchant model, the OTA bulk purchase services such as flights, rooms and activity
                                          tickets from tourism providers such as airlines and hotels at a discount, and re-sells these
                                          products to consumers at a profit. In this case the contract is between the hotel and the OTA.
                                          The main characteristic of a Merchant Model OTA is that the guest pays the OTA at the time
                                          of booking a room, and the OTA afterwards pays the hotel when the actual stay occurs. In this
                                          case hotels give the OTA a net rate, to which a mark-up is applied to determine the sell rate to the
                                          end consumers. Example Expedia, Priceline, Agoda and Getaroom.com

                                          2.3 Travel industry figures
                                          2.3.1 Number of travel businesses
                                          As the graph below illustrates the number of businesses in the UK tour operator and travel agent
                                          segments both experienced growth between 2008 and 2019. In 2019, there were 2,089 tour
                                          operators, up from 2,040 the previous year and 4,879 travel agents, up from 4,756 respectively.
                                          The pandemic has had an adverse effect on the total number of travel businesses in the UK.
                                          According to figures from the BP Travel Marketing Report, around 68 travel businesses went into
                                          administration in 2020, and a further 82 during 2021. It goes without saying that the revenue
                                          decreased sharply as well between March 2020 and March 2022. Although it has recovered in
                                          recent months, it is still below pre-pandemic levels.

                                                                                                                                                   9
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                            Figure 3
                                          Number of travel agency and tour operator enterprises in the
                                          United Kingdom (UK) from 2008 to 2019

                                                                                                                                                4,879
                                                                                                                        4,691           4,756
                                                                                                                                4,566           2,089
                                                                                                                4,414   1,910           2,040
                                          4,205                                                                                 1,997
                                                                                                        4,070   1,860
                                          1,600       3,972                                     3,925
                                                                   3,828        3,847   3,814           1,852
                                                      1,670                                     1,822
                                                                   1,626        1,673   1,780

                                          2008         2009         2010         2011   2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

                                              Tour operators
                                              Travel agencies

                                          Source: Office for National Statistics (UK)

                                          2.3.2 The tour operator segment
                                          The tour operator segment entails a wide variety of different types and sizes of tour operator
                                          businesses. The sector is represented by specialist or niche tour operators, coach tour operators,
                                          group tour operators, cruise tour operators, school and study tour operators etc. The majority of
                                          tour operators that sell air travel would be ATOL protected and are legally required to hold such a
                                          license. ATOL stands for *Air Travel Organizers’ Licensing. ATOL is the Civil Aviation Authority’s
                                          licensing scheme to financially protect passengers that purchase package holidays and flights
                                          from a member tour operator. ATOL currently protects around 20 million holidaymakers each
                                          year. It is able to provide assistance by requiring ATOL holders to pay a fee of £2.50 for each
                                          traveler, which is held in a fund managed by the Air Travel Trust. The Civil Aviation Authority
                                          shows the top 25 operators based on the number of passengers they are authorized to carry
                                          by air travel.

                                          According to figures from the travel association ABTA (Association of British Travel Agents)
                                          published in December 2021, since the start of the pandemic the average turnover was just
                                          22 % of normal levels for tour operators. In particular, smaller businesses found it difficult to
                                          survive after two lost summer seasons in 2020 and 2021. Employment across the travel industry
                                          has halved since the beginning of the pandemic in March 2020, according to ABTA research.
                                          Booking volumes over summer and autumn 2021 were just 28% of that period in 2019, and
                                          reported turnover for the last financial year averaged only 22% of pre-pandemic levels.

                                          However, over the next five years, industry revenue is anticipated to be supported by demand,
                                          with pre-pandemic levels returning in the long term. For beach and long-haul holidays, people
                                          may opt for package holidays as they prioritize convenience and value for money during uncer­
                                          tain times. Tour operators and travel agents are expected to adjust their businesses towards more
                                          pro­f itable segments and developing their product offering, as holidaymakers in­creasing­ly shift
                                          to independent holidays in popular destinations.

                                                                                                                                                        10
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                     Figure 4
                                          List of the UK’s Top 50 Tour Operators, based on
                                          ATOL-authorized passenger levels
                                          TUI UK                                                                                   5,122.44
                                          Jet2holidays                                                                       3,750
                                          On the Beach                                             1,336.6
                                          We Love Holidays                                      1,065.4
                                          easyJet Holidays                                  855.7
                                          British Airways Holidays                        643.75
                                          Expedia                                      410.95
                                          BravoNext                                    409.96
                                          Booking.com                               285.29
                                          Southall Travel                           248.8
                                          easyJet airline Company                  180.11
                                          Gold Medal                               174.88
                                          Trailfinders                             161.97
                                          Hays Tour Operating                      160.67
                                          Thomas Cook Tourism (UK)                 145.92
                                          Virgin Holidays                         134.52
                                          Carnival plc                            126.46
                                          Travel Republic                         116.54
                                          Marella Cruises                         112.25
                                          Classic Package Holidays                103.26
                                          Cresta World Travel                     82.74
                                          Travel Up                               80
                                          Lotus Travel                            76.94
                                          James Villa Holidays                    75.1
                                          Broadway Travel Service                 72.4
                                          (Wimbledon)
                                          Source: Civil Aviation Authority (UK)

                                          Specialist/niche tour operators
                                          The core market for specialist travel has traditionally been the 55–75 age bracket. The 50plus
                                          market is growing further, with the number of births outweighing the number of deaths over the
                                          past 80 years. The 55–64 age group has the largest disposable income, accounting for 28 % of
                                          all media household wealth. This demographic has shown itself to prioritize their health, fitness
                                          and leisure time above all else – and they spend money easily on breaks away.

                                          Top 5-Specialist Activities
                                          1. Exploring culture, arts and history
                                          2. Walking and trekking
                                          3. Wildlife
                                          4. Safaris
                                          5. Gastronomy and Wine

                                          The profile of customers wishing to explore a destination’s culture, art and history as their primary
                                          activity whilst on holiday, is predominantly between 60 and 79, and is open to both tailor-made
                                          trips (FIT) and smaller group tours. 41% of travelers who wish to pursue this activity would spend
                                          more than £2000 per person on their main holiday, with 25 % of respondents willing to spend
                                          over £3000 per person. This is more than the majority of other activities on this list suggesting
                                          that they are willing to invest more for the expertise required to execute a well-informed cultural
                                          trip in return for valuable knowledge about a destination.

                                                                                                                                                  11
Market position and market developments

                                          Higher value trips traditionally have a longer lead time between booking and actual travel.
                                          The most common lead time is 6–12 months, followed by 3–6 months. Through marketing com­
                                          munications, an operator’s extensive and trusted product knowledge can help to en­courage
                                          bookings. The travelers who value an operator’s specialisms, tied with their personal service, are
                                          more likely to book over a year in advance. This echoes the need for investment in customers in
                                          order to ensure not only higher value bookings, but also building loyalty with repeat customers.
                                          The loyalty is reflected in the appreciation of a previous good experience with an operator,
                                          whether this be first or second hand. Customers with a longer lead time value customer reviews
                                          more than that with a shorter lead time. Good reviews increase a potential’s traveler’s confidence
                                          in an operator. Specialist travelers are not as price sensitive as mainstream holidaymakers, but
                                          price is still a concern. Impulse buyers with a shorter lead time of 1–4 weeks are more price
                                          sensitive than those booking in advance. For the majority, demonstrated knowledge and
                                          expertise, personal service, and tailored specialism is more likely to lead to early bookings.

                                          Coach tour operators
                                          According to research undertaken in 2017 by the CTC (Coach Tourism Council), about 18 million
                                          day trips are taken in the UK each year. It is estimated that well over 5 million UK residents go on a
                                          short break or longer holiday by coach, spending £1,4 billion a year. The survey was conducted
                                          amongst 25,000 people, of which the majority was 55–74 years old, which describes the core
                                          target market for coach tourism. From this demographic, 57% travel as a couple, 14% with
                                          friend/friends, 12.4% with immediate family, 11.4% alone.

                                          For 80% of the survey respondents, coach holidays are the most popular choice, followed by
                                          beach/sun holidays (52%), cruise (30 %) and train (13.5%). Their preferences are to take a break of
                                          4 nights or more in the UK (68%), followed by a short break in the UK of 1 to 3 nights (49%) and a
                                          longer break abroad of 4 nights or more (45%).

                                          The top five reasons for choosing travel by coach:
                                          1. They take the hassle out of travel,
                                          2. They’re a social way of travel,
                                          3. They offer good value for money,
                                          4. They’re comfortable,
                                          5. They offer a safe way of travel.

                                          And for 36% of over 65s they’re a luxury form of travel.
                                          Which coach holidays would you like to take in the future:
                                          1. All-inclusive travel (travel, accommodation, food & drink, and entry to attractions all included),
                                          2. Luxury coach tour (luxury coaches, premium hotels, and upmarket destinations),
                                          3. Special interest coach tour (e.g. history, food & wine, gardens),
                                          4. A mixed flight and coach tour (fly to a desti­na­tion and tour by coach),
                                          5. A mixed cruise and coach holiday (coach to a port then cruise from there).

                                          Others are interested in Battlefield Tours, low cost holidays, tours for singles and mystery tours,
                                          as well as family focused holidays. Coach tour operators need to introduce new products to
                                          appeal to both their repeat and new customers.

                                          2.3.3 The travel agency segment
                                          As of January 2022, the three biggest travel agents according to the number of retail travel shops
                                          are Hays Travel (the biggest), Advantage and TUI, who combined operate 1,350 travel shops
                                          across the UK. Advantage is part of Advantage Travel Partnership, the UK’s leading consortium of
                                          independent travel agencies. It overtook TUI as the second biggest travel agent after the closure
                                          of around 350 TUI retail outlets in March 2020. According to research figures from BP Travel
                                          Marketing, as a consequence of the pandemic the number of travel shops operated by retail
                                          travel agents declined by roughly 12% between March 2019 and March 2022, at which point
                                          there were 3,710 retail travel agent stores.

                                                                                                                                                   12
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                                      Figure 5
                                          Leading travel agencies in the United Kingdom (UK)
                                          as of January 2022, by number of travel shops

                                          Hays Travel Shops                                                                                              709

                                          Advantage                                                                                 324

                                          TUI                                                                                   317

                                          Independent ABTA Agents                                                             272

                                          Flight Centre                                                                 205

                                          Co-op Travel                                                                  191

                                          Global Travel Group                                                       178
                                          (The Travel Network)
                                          Travel Trust Association                                                152

                                          Worldchoice                                                             141
                                          (The Travel Network)
                                          Hays Travel Independent Group                                       106
                                          (The Travel Network)
                                          Barrhead Travel                                                   81

                                          STA Travel                                                   44

                                          Elite Travel Group                                          39
                                          (Advantage)
                                          Althams Travel Services                                     31
                                          (Advantage)
                                          Dawson & Sanderson                                          24
                                          (Advantage)

                                          Source: BP Travel Marketing

                                          Retail travel agencies vs Online Travel Agencies
                                          It is interesting to take a closer look at the market shares of retail travel agencies and OTA’s (online
                                          travel agencies). As the graph below shows, 2018 marked the year when the market value of
                                          on­line travel agents (OTA’s) overtook in-store travel agents. This is, of course, closely related to
                                          consumer booking behaviour and preferences.

                                                                                                                                                      Figure 6
                                          Market value of travel agents across the UK, 2017–2023

                                          24,000                                                                                                    5,555,145
                                          23,000                                                                                             4,804,809
                                                                                                           Online Travel agencies
                                          22,000

                                          21,000

                                          20,000                                                                    In-Store Travel Agents

                                          19,000

                                          18,000

                                                      2017                2018               2019                2020          2021          2022        2023

                                          Source: GlobalData Travel and Tourism Intelligence Center

                                                                                                                                                                 13
Market position and market developments

                                          According to GlobalData OTA’s are now the most typically booked provider with *39% of UK
                                          travelers using an OTA in 2019. Travelers can now generally handle all aspects of the booking
                                          themselves. Pre-booking, arranging accommodation, hotels, transport, in-destination navigation
                                          and post-holiday reviews highlight that the 21st century traveler is not only more independent,
                                          but also more powerful than ever before. Reasons for the popularity of OTA’s are that they are
                                          perceived to offer better prices and value, that the websites are very user-friendly and it enables
                                          holidaymakers to compare offers. GlobalData’s latest thematic report, ‘Impact of online travel’,
                                          reveals that evolving consumer attitudes are driving the increasing power behind the online
                                          travel industry. All destinations, whether identified as technologically advanced or still
                                          developing economically are gradually adapting to online travel trends.

                                          The major OTA’s (Online Travel Agents)
                                          In 2019 the turnover of the OTA segment came to £2 billion with about 882 OTA businesses who
                                          employ some 4,161 people. The OTA’s holding the largest market share include Booking
                                          Holdings Inc., eDreams ODIGEO, Expedia Group Inc., Hostelworld.com Ltd., MakeMyTrip Ltd.,
                                          Thomas Cook (India) Ltd., Trip.com Group Ltd., TripAdvisor LLC, and TUI AG. These are the top
                                          players in the market.

                                          OTA customers
                                          OTA customers are tech savvy. Most people do not just shop on the phone, they shop across
                                          devices (omnichannel) and Expedia data reveals that over half of all their customers transactions
                                          have touched more than one device prior to booking. Multi-device ownership is becoming the
                                          norm. Consumers are constantly connected to their phone, computer and tablet all at the same
                                          time, and their purchasing habits are reflecting this. Over a third of OTA customers (36%) are
                                          between the ages of 25–39 years. Travelers aged 25–34 are the generation most on the go, with
                                          82 % of this age group travelling for leisure in 2015; the second highest-travelling group are
                                          18–24 year-olds at 76% for leisure. Millennials now represent almost four in 10 leisure travelers.
                                          They are also the group who travel internationally more than any other age group, with half of
                                          18–34 year-olds travelling overseas (compared with 39% of 25–54 year-olds and 20 % of the
                                          55+ bracket). More than a third of 18–34 year olds (38%) typically use an OTA to book a hotel,
                                          while less than one fifth (18%) book on a hotel website. More than a third of 35–54 year olds also
                                          typically book their hotel on an OTA versus a quarter (26%) who book directly on a hotel website.

                                                                                                                                                 Photo: Iris van den Broek

                                                                                                                                                14
Market position and market developments

                                          2.4 Travel market developments
                                              and trends
                                          2.4.1 The customer journey and booking
                                                behaviour
                                          The customer journey during the pandemic
                                          During the (COVID-19) pandemic tour operators have gained in popularity. In most cases, mainly
                                          when they sell air travel either standalone or as part of a package, they are ATOL-protected and
                                          obliged to either issue a voucher or pay back the booking value amount if travel can not go
                                          ahead. Research suggests that flexible booking conditions and confidence in the availability of a
                                          refund if forced to cancel will be critical considerations for many UK holidaymakers.

                                          According to ABTA (Holiday Habits Report 2019), the customer journey of holidaymakers and the
                                          way they interact with travel professionals, continues to evolve. Phone bookings had already seen
                                          a slight increase of percentage points from 2018 (15%) to 2019 (17 %), with the biggest growth
                                          coming from the over 75s – almost doubling over the course of a year (44% vs 23% in 2018).
                                          While the travel sector has not been immune to the pressure on the British high street impacting
                                          many retailers in recent years, with in-store-bookings falling from 15% in 2018 to 12% in 2019, this
                                          masks some interesting trends. People are more than twice as likely to book a foreign holiday
                                          (only) rather than a domestic holiday (only) in store (13% vs 6%). Interestingly, 18–24 year olds are
                                          the age group booking most holidays in-store, with an 8% increase since 2018 (22% vs 14% in
                                          2018). Those with young families are also more likely than average to book in-store (17 %), while
                                          more than a quarter (26%) of affluent holidaymakers (social group A) book in-store.

                                          Online booking figures remained steady in 2018 and 2017 (83% vs 81%). Research shows that
                                          16% of people who book a holiday online now seek additional support – such as using a live chat
                                          service or speaking with a travel professional via social media. This suggests that people more
                                          frequently seeking a variety of ways to get travel insights and expertise to support their online
                                          experience. Whilst people are increasingly using social media as a method of interacting with
                                          travel professionals, the reliance of social media to provide holiday inspiration and information
                                          has fallen this year, with 13–10 % for social media posts of friends and family and 9–6% for brands
                                          and influencer posts. At the same time, when comparing 2018 to 2017, there were uplifts in
                                          the number of people preferring to consult travel company websites or travel pro­fessio­nals
                                          (36% vs 32% and 17 % vs 14% yoy respectively). This suggests a growing wariness of social media
                                          as a source of information, perhaps reflecting high awareness of fake news and fake reviews.

                                                                                                                                         Figure 7
                                          Likely way to book the next overseas holiday 2022

                                             37%
                                                Online
                                                 travel                                                               29%
                                                agency                                                                 Seperate
                                                                                                                       bookings
                                                                                                                       of airline /
                                                                           20%                                       accomodation

                                                                           High street
                                                                            agency
                                                                                                         14%                          15%
                                                                                                            Tour
                                                                                                          operator                    Don’t know

                                          Source: Travel Weekly; Service Science; Deloitte; Kantar, October 2021

                                                                                                                                                    15
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                                           Figure 8
                                          Likely way to book the next overseas holiday by age group
                                             OTA
                                             High street agency / tour operators
                                             Direct with airline / hotel
                                                                                                                                                             57%

                                                          44%                                                                        45%                      51%
                                                                         43%             43%
                                                                                                                   40%                                              41%
                                                                                                                           38%         39%                 38%
                                             35%              36%                  35%
                                                                                                                                           33% 32%
                                          31%                                 30%                         31%32%                                  31%
                                                                                                 29%
                                                                                              27%                        27%   27%                   26%
                                                                   25%

                                                    19%

                                             16-24           25-34           35-44           45-54           55-64         65+         Child    No child    Two-plus
                                                                                                                                                           hols a year
                                          % of UK adults intending to take overseas holiday in 2022                                                          abroad

                                                                       37% OTA
                                          Source: Travel Weekly; Service Science; Deloitte; Kantar, October 2021
                                                         20% High street agency
                                                     14% Tour operator
                                                               29% Separate bookings of airline/accommodation
                                                      15% Don’t know
                                          Responses exceed 100%

                                          2.4.2 Supply development
                                          Sustainability
                                          In 2019 the travel industry’s biggest challenge was the transformation towards sustainability.
                                          Offsetting emissions by paying for trees to be planted clearly was not enough, and the industry
                                          knew that it needed to shift from a business model based purely on profit to one in which more
                                          focus was put on social and environmental concerns. Sustainability and environmental protection
                                          has moved from simply being on the agenda to the heart of travel companies’business planning
                                          and deci­sion making. It has become more important for a business to show their serious efforts in
                                          this area, whether through certifications, donations (e.g. CO² levies) or within the framework of
                                          aid projects. This goes hand in hand with the fact that for many travelers, product quality includes
                                          sustainability in the sense of environmental and social compatibility of the offers. Consumers
                                          are clearly thinking about sustainability at some point during their holiday-making decisions.
                                          UK holidaymakers are becoming increasingly aware of the environmental and social impacts of
                                          their holidays and factor this into the travel buying process.

                                          Half (50 %) of people say now that the green credentials of a travel company are important or
                                          essential when choosing a holiday and this has been growing over recent years, up 5 % in one
                                          year alone from 2018 to 2019. The two areas of greatest concern for people are waste and plastic
                                          pollution and the treatment of animals. Businesses are introducing new approaches to waste
                                          management. In the survey 54% also stated that they were concerned about the impact of
                                          climate change with those aged 25–34 most likely to be concerned. Research by travel firm
                                          “travel counsellors” reveals that over three quarters of holidaymakers look for sustainable

                                                                                                                                                                          16
Market position and market developments

                                          credentials when making a booking. Results showed that 90 % of travelers said if they knew
                                          which companies specialised in sustainable travel, they’d be more likely to book their travel plans
                                          with them. Whilst sustainable travel may be a rising priority for holiday-goers, it is perhaps clear
                                          that not enough travel companies are meeting the demand in showcasing their sustainable travel
                                          offering. Despite sustainability being one of the factors considered when booking a holiday,
                                          66.8% of travellers said they couldn’t actually name a single company that promotes sus­tain­
                                          ability. Travel companies will have to embrace consumer attitudes towards sustainability and
                                          adapt their travel offer to meet consumers expectations.

                                          Tours and activities
                                          The tours and activities segment currently plays a considerable role in the travel market. After
                                          flights and accommodation it is the third-largest travel segment in the travel industry and it is
                                          estimated to be worth over $150 billion and represents 10 % of the global travel market. No
                                          won­der that tour operator businesses are looking closely at opportunities in this segment. TUI is
                                          a prime example of a business that transformed its business model from a traditional tour ope­
                                          rator towards a fully vertically integrated provider of holiday experiences. In 2018, TUI acquired
                                          Musement. The tours and activities platform TUI Musement was designed as a two-sided open
                                          platform, which offered not only its own products but also experiences from distribution partners
                                          and third parties to its own customers as well as external customers. Travolution reported in
                                          September 2021, that TUI also struck a deal with Eurostar to supply tours and activities via the
                                          high-speed international rail operators’ app. Since the collaboration between TUI and Eurostar
                                          began in 2018, the Eurostar platform has been developed and populated by TUI with
                                          5,000 experiences available to Eurostar customers in the UK, France, Belgium and The
                                          Netherlands.

                                          The tours and activities segment has clearly moved into the digital world, and OTA’s like
                                          Tripadvisor, Airbnb, and Expedia are currently all making significant investments in tours and
                                          activities either by purchasing companies or expanding their tour and activities offerings.

                                          2.4.3 Travel Trends
                                          More online bookings
                                          According to Mintel, and in line with earlier mentioned research, the share of those who booked
                                          their main holiday online is lower among older travellers; 76% of 55–64 year olds and 64% of
                                          over–65s booked their main holiday in the 12 months to February 2020 online versus 83% of all
                                          UK travellers. However, the pandemic is considered likely to boost online bookings among older
                                          generations. During the lockdown, consumers resorted more to online activities such as online
                                          grocery shopping and staying in touch with family and friends through video calls. Some of this
                                          behaviour is likely to stick post-pandemic. Making booking processes as easy as possible and
                                          offering options to get in touch for support easily will be important to encourage online bookings
                                          among older generations – especially as they perceive customer service as very valuable and
                                          important when choosing which company to book with.

                                          Smartphone overtakes tablet as second most popular booking method
                                          According to Mintel research 18% of travellers used a smartphone to book the main holiday they
                                          took in the 12 months to February 2020, up from 13% a year earlier. Younger audiences drove the
                                          increase in the share of travellers who booked their main holiday via a smartphone. The majority
                                          of holidaymakers, 60 %, booked online via a laptop or desktop computer.

                                                                                                                                                 17
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                          Figure 9
                                          Smartphone overtakes tablet as second most popular booking
                                          method – How the main holiday was booked

                                             60%

                                                                     18%                    13%                    12%
                                           Online on
                                            a laptop
                                                                                                                              8%
                                           or desktop                                                                                     2%
                                           computer

                                                                  online on a                 via               online on a
                                                                 smartphone               telephone               tablet                 another
                                                                                                                              In-store
                                                                                                                                           way

                                          Source: Mintel, UK Holiday Planning and Booking Process Market Report 2020

                                          Customer service through chat
                                          According to Mintel, 39% of UK holidaymakers would be interested in communicating with a
                                          travel agent via webchat when researching a holiday as of February 2020, rising to 49% among
                                          travelers aged 16–34. Consumers resorted to more online activities during the lockdown, which
                                          is expected to contribute to rising interest in communicating with companies online.

                                          Social Media in travel
                                          A recent AITO survey on social media in travel produced interesting insights. Social media
                                          marketing conventionally favours early adopters. The positive influence of social media
                                          on purchase decision is undebatable, especially in the travel industry. A recent survey 84% of
                                          Face­book users admitted in a poll that viewing their friend’s post influenced their future
                                          travel plans.

                                          Facebook is the social media platform of choice across the board, with Instagram following close
                                          behind. Pinterest and Snapchat account for a small number consistent with their current average
                                          age profiles of below 40 and 13–24 respectively. A staggering 30 % of respondents to AITO’s
                                          survey said they didn’t use any social media platforms.

                                          Specialist tour operators use What’s App for business and find it to be the most effective channel
                                          to target customers with a lesser lead time, triggering instant communications.

                                          The chart illustrates the leading eight travel booking brands on YouTube in the UK as of March
                                          2021. According to the number of subscribers on the YouTube channel, the most popular travel
                                          booking brand in the UK was Booking.com with approximately 38,100 thousand subscribers,
                                          followed by STA Travel with 12,100 subscribers.

                                                                                                                                                     18
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                    Figure 10
                                          Leading travel booking brands on You Tube in the UK,
                                          by number of subscribers as of March 2021

                                          Booking.com UK                                                                          38,100
                                                                                                                         4,804,809
                                          STA Travel                                        12,100

                                          Skyscanner                            5,580

                                          Trainline                         3,360

                                          On the Beach Holidays        1,290

                                          TravelRepublic              508

                                          LateRooms.com               465

                                          ebookers UK                242

                                          Source: Socialbakers

                                          Cryptocurrencies
                                          More travel suppliers are starting to accept bitcoin, dogecoin and other cryptocurrencies.
                                          Gen Z and younger Gen Alpha travelers will drive crypto acceptance going forward, say industry
                                          play­ers. For example, Travala.com accepts 50 cryptocurrencies, and has structured its new
                                          home-sharing network on a blockchain-like, decentralized platform. Founded as a UK based
                                          crypto-native startup in 2017, Travala.com is in a strong position to provide added value in the
                                          flourishing OTA market. Travala.com has recently agreed partnerships with Expedia.com
                                          and Viator.com.

                                          Google
                                          It was reported in January 2022, by Global Data and the FT, that the online travel industry is
                                          eyeing the rise of Google in the online travel industry with serious concern. For them, the world’s
                                          biggest search engine Google is an important partner in reaching customers. Google’s focus on
                                          online travel was triggered and intensified by the rapid growth rate and future growth potential
                                          of the OTA sector. Google launched its own travel services in 2019 such as its Travel Hub and it
                                          also added flight check-in and hotel booking abilities to Google Assistant, attached lodging
                                          listings to its Maps function and created a search site for hotel availability by destination. Google
                                          does not rank websites based on the quality of the service they offer, but rather promotes the
                                          suppliers that pay the most in auctions for adverts or its own travel products. Travel businesses
                                          feel it is unfair that they have to buy a paid slot if they want to appear above Google’s proprietary
                                          accommodation and flight search. If they do not do that they will appear much lower down the
                                          screen. OTA’s are predicted to rely more and more heavily on Google Search Traffic as they look
                                          to recover from the pandemic. According to Skift Research, the industry spent $16bn on
                                          adver­tising on Google. Expedia and Booking.com were the biggest spenders. Google is closely
                                          watched by regulators and the practice of prioritizing its own products above other suppliers in
                                          its search results may become a topic in the proposed EU proposed Digital Market Act.

                                                                                                                                                  19
Market position and market developments
                                                                             Solo and small group travel
                                                                             It has been reported in the travel trade media that other key trends being seen by various
                                                                             opera­tors include growing interest in solo travel and small group travel (as little as 12 and no
                                                                             bigger than 24), strong interest in festivals; and growing popularity of nature and wildlife trips.
                                                                             A newly introduced product in lesser-explored areas of mainstream European destinations,
                                                                             consisting of tours centered around one single ‘hotel-base’, matches the future trend towards
                                                                             short-haul travel and adds the peace of mind of staying in one hotel throughout. This offers
                                                                             potential for sending tourists to lesser-visited areas of well-known destinations and for the
                                                                             Netherlands this poses an opportunity to manifest the P2030 vision, strategy and objectives in
                                                                             the travel trade arena. An extension of the main travel season is also on the cards and offers
                                                                             destinations a better spreading of incoming tourism.
Photo: Hollandse Hoogte/ANP Foto

                                                                             2.5 Market position –
                                                                                 Destination The Netherlands
                                                                             2.5.1 The UK as a source market 2019–2021
                                                                             The UK ranks third in terms of visitors to the Netherlands, behind Germany and Belgium. In 2019,
                                                                             a record 2,4 million visitors were received, who collectively spent around € 5,1 billion. Two-thirds
                                                                             are leisure visitors and one-third are business travellers. The total number of UK visitors accoun­
                                                                             ted for 8% of all incoming tourists to the Netherlands (7,3 million). Interestingly, in terms of

                                                                                                                                                                                    20
Market position and market developments

                                          expenditure the UK ranks second closely behind Germany. In 2020, only 595,000 UK resi­dents
                                          visited the Netherlands. Due to COVID-19 and related travel restrictions the number of UK visitors
                                          declined by 75% compared to 2019. In terms of the total number of incoming visitors to the
                                          Netherlands, the United Kingdom remains the third most important source country behind
                                          Germany and Belgium. In the most positive scenario NBTC expects around 400,000 UK visitors
                                          to have visited the Netherlands in 2021. This still marks a decline of 33% compared to 2020.

                                                                                                                                      Figure 11
                                          Development of UK visitors to the Netherlands (x 1,000)
                                                        Guests                                                        2,401
                                                        Nights                                       2,229   2,212    5,136
                                          5,000                                            2,045     4,592   4,635
                                                                                   1,967   4,202
                                                                         1,857     3,958
                                          4,000       1,662      1,680   3,675
                                                      3,217      3,257
                                          3,000

                                          2,000                                                                                595
                                                                                                                              1,317
                                                                                                                                         209
                                          1,000
                                                                                                                                         513

                                                      2012       2013    2014      2015    2016      2017    2018      2019   2020       2021
                                          Source: CBS (2022)

                                          This table illustrates the importance of the UK as a source market for The Netherlands. UK-travelers
                                          mostly visit the main Dutch cities. Pre-pandemic, some 80 % of UK visitors stayed in one of the
                                          major cities when visiting the Netherlands. In 2020, approximately 69% of UK residents stayed in
                                          one of the five big cities. Amsterdam registered by far the most guests; 359,000 in 2020. In total,
                                          almost 60 % of all British overnight guests stayed in the capital city.

                                                                                                                                     Figure 12
                                          Numbers of UK overnight guests
                                          in the 5 big cities, 2019–2021
                                              UK overnight guests                                                             +/- compared
                                              in the 5 big cities           2019              2020                  2021        to 2020

                                              1. Amsterdam               1,430,000           359,000                93,000           -74%
                                              2. Rotterdam                 82,000                 19,000             9,000           -53%
                                              3. The Hague                 53,000                 17,000             5,000            -71%
                                              4. Utrecht                   36,000                 9,000              3,000           -67%
                                              5. Maastricht                 21,000                5,000              2,000           -60%
                                          Source: CBS (2022)

                                          Normally, as can be seen in the pie chart showing the visitors in 2019, UK guests visit the
                                          Netherlands all year around, but slightly more between April and September. This was different
                                          in 2020. Due to the COVID-19 travel restrictions most of the British travellers visited the
                                          Nether­lands between January and March, when the travel restrictions were not as extensive.
                                          Since city trips are not very dependent on the travel season, this may provide an opportunity to
                                          encourage UK visitors to consider The Netherlands as a year round destination.

                                                                                                                                                  21
Market position and market developments

                                                                                                                                       Figure 13
                                          Travel Seasons in the Netherlands
                                                                                                           Oct – Dec
                                                                                                                               Jan – Mar
                                             Oct – Dec                   Jan – Mar
                                                                                           Jul – Sep

                                                               2019                                            2020
                                                                                     Apr – Jun

                                           Jul – Sep

                                          Source: CBS (2021, 2022)

                                                                                                                                       Figure 14
                                          Overnight guests from the UK per region (x 1,000)

                                          Other regions
                                          (incl. big cities)

                                                                                                                                        2018
                                          Nature area
                                          (South Netherlands)                                                                           2019
                                                                                                                                        2020

                                          Coast

                                          Watersports
                                          areas

                                          Nature area
                                          (Central Netherlands)

                                          Nature area
                                          (North-East Netherlands)

                                          Source: CBS (2021)         0        500                      1,000           1,500               2,000

                                                                                                                                       Figure 15
                                          Overnight guests from the UK per province (x 1,000)

                                          North Holland
                                                                                                                                        2018
                                          South Holland                                                                                 2019
                                                                                                                                        2020
                                          North Brabant

                                          Limburg

                                          Utrecht

                                          Gelderland

                                          Overijssel

                                          Flevoland

                                          Groningen

                                          Zeeland

                                          Drenthe

                                          Friesland
                                          Source: CBS (2021)

                                                                     0           500                      1,000                1,500

                                                                                                                                                   22
Market position and market developments

                                          2.5.2 Relevant target groups
                                          Historically at NBTC, we have mainly focused on travellers from Greater and Central London and
                                          the South East of England. These account for around 25% of all UK travellers to the Netherlands.
                                          Londoners and residents of South-East England tend to be worldly, cosmopolitan, open-minded
                                          and modern. Other key areas in the UK are the City of Manchester and the Greater Manchester
                                          area, the Midlands and Scotland, mainly due to their connectivity and awareness of the Nether­
                                          lands and the potential to travel overseas. It is also to be expected, that in the regions mentioned
                                          above, the values and trends of eco-consciousness, sustainability, slow travel, etc. are of great
                                          importance to many inhabitants.

                                          The UK is well located with regard to sustainable travel. For example the Eurostar connection
                                          from London to Rotterdam and Amsterdam serves London and the South East. There are also
                                          ferry connections, namely Harwich (Essex) to Hook of Holland, Hull (Yorkshire) to Rotterdam,
                                          Newcastle (North of England) to Ijmuiden and flight connections into Amsterdam Airport
                                          Schiphol, Rotterdam/The Hague Airport and Eindhoven Airport across the country. Although
                                          ferries and planes are currently considered to be less sustainable compared to the train, these
                                          modes of transport have implemented sustainable initiatives and targets which they need to
                                          meet and they also play a key role in bringing the valuable visitor to the Netherlands.

                                          Key facts about the UK’s valuable visitor
                                          Age breakdown:
                                          · 25–54 years old = 55%
                                          · 55–70 years old = 25%
                                          · 18–24 years old = 20 %

                                          · 55% have children, 45 % are without children, 40 % are single
                                          · Highly educated; mid-high income
                                          · Working status: employed (full time 41% and part time 14%)

                                          The majority (over 50 %) of the target group are:
                                          · Active, innovative/entrepreneurial, confident, tolerant (inclusive), friendly world citizens
                                            and they believe in equality
                                          · they are internationally oriented and interested in different cultures and backgrounds
                                          · they value their freedom and independence, but are not selfish and they are socially minded.
                                          · their career and ambition are somewhat important, but the work context is not about wealth
                                            and status, it is about self-development

                                                                                                                                                  Photo: Iris van den Broek

                                                                                                                                                 23
Market position and market developments

                                          Conclusion
                                          Based on the valuable UK consumer and where they book, namely mostly independently with
                                          an OTA or at a specialist tour operators, NBTC will primarily focus on these two segments.
                                          Further­more, wholesalers still take an important role due to their reach among tour operators.
                                          Programme diversification and innovation at a wholesaler goes a long way and has a knock on
                                          effect in the tour operator segment.

                                          2.5.3 The Netherlands product offer
                                          The Netherlands is a very popular stand-alone destination or as a combination with Flanders or
                                          Germany. For the UK consumer it is one of the most popular European destinations and there are
                                          a lot of repeat visitors. The Netherlands is close by to the UK and easy to reach by plane, rail and
                                          road. The current Netherlands’ offer in the UK focuses on either city trips or special interest
                                          themes such as art and cultural heritage.

                                          Since travel businesses are extremely revenue focused post pandemic to cover their losses, in the
                                          immediate future, tour operators may be less open to take risks and offer product beyond
                                          Amsterdam and the other big cities that attract 80 % of all visitors from the UK. However, mid to
                                          longer term, they are more likely to combine well known product with lesser known destinations.

                                          OTA’s tend to have a large product portfolio and offer accommodation in these areas, which
                                          offers opportunities to increase awareness for the lesser known regions on their platforms.
                                          Wholesalers have started moving from the classic icons – cheese, tulip and windmills – to more
                                          diversified travel programmes, as the demand is growing. NBTC research has shown that repeat
                                          visitors from the UK are more open to experiencing new product and exploring lesser known
                                          areas of the Netherlands. Pre-pandemic, around one third of yearly UK visitors had been to the
                                          Netherlands on a leisure trip more than once in the past 3 years. Of this group, 55% had visited
                                          the Netherlands 3 times or more.

                                          We already see programmes that promote visiting the Dutch cities outside of high season, which
                                          are more competitively priced and promise a better customer experience. Extending the travel
                                          season is a real opportunity for city trips in general as the sights of a city are not bound to a
                                          particular season. The lower price, better availability and the promise of a less crowded city and
                                          hence a better customer experience is expected to strike a cord with both tour operators and
                                          their customers.

                                          Furthermore, in UK terms, the Netherlands is a very compact country with a great infrastructure,
                                          making it easy to travel around and providing the potential to spread UK tourists across the
                                          country. One way to encourage UK tourists to venture out of the cities is to offer accommodation
                                          in rural areas close to a Dutch city. This would offer lower accommodation prices, increased
                                          availability and may be a welcome change for the customer.

                                          Examples of cities and regions included in wholesalers
                                          and tour operators’ programmes are:
                                          · City trip focus: Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague, Utrecht, Delft, Maastricht
                                          · Battlefields/WWII: Gelderland, Arnhem
                                          · The Golden Age, Dutch Masters (Amsterdam, Delft and The Hague)
                                          · Spring season: Keukenhof, various flower parades
                                          · Holland Classics: Zaanse Schans, Kinderdijk, Volendam
                                          · River Cruises: Gelderland, Amsterdam
                                          · Christmas Markets: Maastricht/Valkenburg
                                          · Christmas Tours: Amsterdam, The Hague, Bergen op Zoom, Oudenbosch
                                          · Floriade (2022)
                                          · Dutch modern architecture tour (Utrecht, Hilversum, Rotterdam)
                                          · Art tour (Haarlem, Amsterdam, Utrecht, Otterlo, The Hague, Amsterdam, Leiden)
                                          · Gastronomy & the Golden Age (Yerseke, Dreischor, Utrecht, Rotterdam, Leiden, Amsterdam,
                                            Lunteren, Zwolle)

                                                                                                                                                 24
Market position and market developments

2.6 SWOT

      Strengths                                                                  Weaknesses

· Large and stable industry                                                · UK has third country status since Brexit
· Outbound travel into Europe is strong                                    · Preference for bestsellers/classics due to focus on revenue
                                                                             recovery
· Diverse variety of operators
                                                                           · Travel businesses short staffed/tight capacity following
· Strong demand of 50+ segment
                                                                             pandemic
· Positive travel sentiment and pent up demand
                                                                           · Preference for tourist hotspots due to focus on revenue recovery
· UK is close in distance to NL
                                                                           · Pre-pandemic, Amsterdam was the most visited place in NL by
· British people have a fondness for NL                                      UK travellers
· British people are aware of NL as a destination                          · Around 15% of UK population over the age of 12 still not fully
                                                                             vaccinated (2 doses) against COVID-19
· Well established direct travel network to NL, incl. train, air and sea
                                                                           · Country often referred to as Holland instead of NL
· Unemployment rate remains low at around 4.3%, similar to
  prepandemic level                                                        · NL is mainly known for its traditional icons in the UK
· Over 85% of Brits aged 12 and over have had 2 COVID vaccines             · British government currently unstable - next UK general election
  (April 2022)                                                               is in May 2024
                                                                           · Inflation jumped to 7 % in March 2022 and may reach 8% or
                                                                             higher this year

       Opportunities                                                             Risks

· Appetite for diversification of NL-programmes and tours                  · Strong competition from cheaper European destinations (Berlin,
                                                                             Prague, etc.)
· Diverse range of operators ready to extend existing programs
  and introduce new programs in line with P2030                            · Impact of Brexit; including tighter immigration controls in NL and
                                                                             3-month passport validity requirements
· British people are still keen to travel to Europe despite Brexit
  and COVID-19 worries                                                     · Presence of COVID-19 and Ukraine war
· Brits are interested in visiting less populated/busy areas in            · Potential for COVID-19 travel restrictions to tighten at any time in
  addition to cities while overseas                                          UK and/or NL
· GBP stronger than the euro                                               · By 2050, 1 in 4 people in the UK will be aged 65 years and over
· UK population is becoming more conscious of sustainability               · Potential weakening of GBP against the euro
  and its importance
· UK employment rate estimated at 75.4%, slightly lower than
  pre-pandemic level

                                                                                                                                                    25
3                Summary
A summary of the main topics presented in this
report relating to the status quo of the UK travel
industry and the UK as an important travel source
market for the Netherlands.
                                                     26
Summary

          A positive outlook for The Netherlands
          The global travel recovery (expected to reach pre-pandemic levels by 2025) is well under way
          and the travel enthusiasm of UK residents is as strong as ever. Despite initial concerns, Brexit did
          not have any considerable effect on consumer travel behaviour. While travel businesses are still
          recovering from the strains caused by the pandemic, they are now confronted with the impact of
          current global events: the war in Ukraine, inflation and the escalation of fuel prices. Meanwhile,
          by and large UK holidaymakers are not deterred from travel. Holidays remain a spending priority
          and people say they would cut back on other things before their holiday spend. Consumers’
          booking behaviour has changed throughout the pandemic giving shorter booking lead times
          and more online bookings across all age groups, masking a trend that is here to stay. The more
          favourable booking conditions offered by tour operators and travel agents alike are now being
          considered as a standard service by customers and will be difficult to reverse. Tech-savvy UK
          holidaymakers have even become more skilled in their booking behaviour. They have embraced
          the multichannel approach in the various stages of the booking process and may switch back
          and forth between various devices – tablet, smartphone, chat, phone, before they finally make
          the booking.

          For the UK consumer, the Netherlands is one of the most popular European destinations and
          there are many repeat visitors. The Netherlands is in close proximity to the UK and easy to reach
          by plane, rail and road. In UK terms, the Netherlands is a very compact country with a great
          infrastructure, making it easy to travel around and providing the potential to spread UK tourists
          across the country. The current Netherlands’ offer in the UK focuses on either city trips or special
          interest themes such as art and cultural heritage. Since travel businesses are extremely revenue
          focused post pandemic to cover their losses, in the immediate future, tour operators may be less
          open to take risks and offer product beyond Amsterdam and the other big cities that attract 80 %
          of all visitors from the UK. However, mid to longer term, they are more likely to combine well
          known product with lesser known destinations. OTA’s tend to have a large product portfolio and
          offer accommodation in areas outside the main cities, which offers opportunities to increase
          awareness for the lesser known regions on their platforms. Wholesalers have started moving
          from the classic icons – cheese, tulip and windmills – to more diversified travel programmes, as
          the demand is growing. Specialist tour operators are the perfect party to launch new product
          e.g. more sustainable-orientated programmes or innovative cultural itineraries.

          The travel trade concept 2022/23 published by NBTC gives insights into our travel trade strategy
          and planned activities for 2022 and beyond.

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Sources
ABTA Holiday Habits Research 2020 Survey Results
ABTA Holidays Habits Report 2019
AITO Travel Insights 2020
BBC.co.uk
Businesswire Global Data
europarl.europa.eu
deloitte.com
ft.com
Globaldata.com
Mintel UK Holiday Planning and Booking Process Market Report 2021
Office of National Statistics
The Coach Tourism Association (Coach Tourism Consumer Research Analysis)
Tourism Alliance UK Tourism Recovery December 2020
Travel Weekly Insight Annual Report 2019–2020
UNWTO World Tourism Barometer
WTM Industry Report

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