TRATON Roadshow Presentation - Group Investor Relations - March 2023
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Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only. It does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE, or any company of the TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation, nor any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contractual commitment or investment decision in relation to the securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE, or any company of the TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding any such securities. It contains forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the TRATON GROUP. These statements and information are based on assumptions relating in particular to the TRATON GROUP’s business and operations and the development of the economies in the countries in which the TRATON GROUP is active. The TRATON GROUP has made such forward-looking statements on the basis of the information available to it and assumptions it believes to be reasonable. The forward-looking statements and information may involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those forecasts. If any of these or other risks or uncertainties materialize, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual results may significantly differ from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information. The TRATON GROUP will not update this presentation, particularly not the forward-looking statements. The presentation is valid on the date of publication only. Certain financial information and financial data included in this presentation are preliminary, unaudited, and may be subject to revision. Due to their preliminary nature, statements contained in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon, and past events or performance should not be taken as a guarantee or indication of future events or performance. Financial figures might be translated from different currencies, using the exchange rate prevailing at the relevant date or for the relevant period that the relevant financial figures relate to. All statements with regard to markets or market position(s) of TRATON SE or any affiliated company or any of its competitors are estimates based on data available to the TRATON GROUP. IHS Markit Data referenced herein are the copyrighted property of IHS Markit Ltd. and its subsidiaries (“IHS Markit”). The IHS Markit Data are from sources considered reliable; however, the accuracy and completeness thereof are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses published by IHS Markit representations of fact. The IHS Markit Data speak as of the original publication date thereof and are subject to change without notice. IHS Markit and other trademarks appearing in the IHS Markit Data are the property of IHS Markit or their respective owners. The percentage figures shown may be subject to rounding differences. Due to different proportions and scaling in graphs, data shown in different graphs are not comparable. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 2
Agenda 1. TRATON GROUP Overview 2. Strategy „TRATON Way Forward“ 3. Business Performance 2022 & Outlook Roadshow Presentation March 2023 3
Overview TRATON GROUP Four strong global brands under one roof 100,356 Employees worldwide1 “Transforming Transportation Together. €40.3 bn For a sustainable world.” Sustainability as a core Sales revenue principle and responsible behavior as a top priority in the Group’s strategy 28 production and 305,485 assembly sites worldwide Sales in 15 countries on (units trucks, buses & vans) 4 continents Note: Data based on Full Year 2022 results 1 As of December 31, 2022 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 4
Major milestones for TRATON GROUP 2015 2019 2021 2021+ Establishment of Successful IPO Acquisition New VW Truck & Bus of TRATON SE of Navistar TRATON Strategy 2018 2021 2021 2022 Re-branding/ Squeeze-Out MAN SE, Introduction Charging JV with new identity realignment MAN T&B of new Daimler Truck Group powertrain & Volvo Group Roadshow Presentation March 2023 6
Strong group of brands across key CV markets Home base Europe and Europe North America Brazil Brazil Unit sales (k) FY 2022 Trucks 254 80 58 69 47 Buses 30 5 5 13 7 Vans 22 - 22 - - Total 305 85 85 82 54 Trucks 83% Buses 10% Vans 7% Roadshow Presentation March 2023 7
Production sites around the globe 13 sites 8 sites 5 sites 2 sites Roadshow Presentation March 2023 8
Diversified by geography and by brand Unit sales FY 2022 (% of total) Sales revenue FY 2022 (% of total) Other Germany Financial Services regions Volkswagen 10% 3% 10% Truck & Bus Navistar 7% South Sales & America Services (excl. Brazil) 25% 5% EU27 +3 MAN Brazil (excl. Germany) Truck & Bus 20% 27% 28% North America 1 (excl. USA) Scania 5% Vehicles & TRATON Operations USA Services 97% 22% 37% 305 k units sold €40.3 bn sales revenue Note: TRATON including Financial Services, excl. consolidation and Corporate Items; rounding differences possible. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 9
Key figures development 2018 to 20221 Incoming orders (k units) Unit sales (k units) Book-to-bill (ratio in units) 360 335 1.33 305 272 1.14 1.10 244 1.05 227 233 242 0.94 216 190 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Sales revenue (€ bn) Adjusted operating result (€ bn) Adjusted return on sales (%) 2.1 40.3 1.9 7.0 1.7 1.6 6.4 30.6 5.2 5.1 25.9 26.9 22.6 0.1 0.6 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 1 2021 figures include Navistar only for second-half year due to consolidation from July 1, 2021. 10
Agenda 1. TRATON GROUP Overview 2. Strategy „TRATON Way Forward“ 3. Business Performance 2022 & Outlook Roadshow Presentation March 2023 11
TRATON Way Forward Full focus and commitment on execution along strategic framework Decarbonization & Circularity Responsible People & Diversity Company Governance & Ethics Performance-driven Value Navistar as part of TRATON family Creation TRATON goes China Business Model Expansion TRATON Partnership Culture Accelerated! Embrace Digital Strategy Execution & Governance Roadshow Presentation March 2023 12
Responsible Company Make responsible behavior a top priority in everything we do Responsible Company Decarbonization & Circularity People & Diversity Strategy Execution Governance & Ethics & Governance Value TRATON Creation Accelerated! Roadshow Presentation March 2023 13
Responsible Company We are fully committed to the Paris Agreement Truck and Bus Scope -50% -70% -28/-19% -20% 1+2 t CO2e t CO2e (2030 vs. 2019)1 Electricity/Gas usage (2022 vs. 2018)2 Energy intensity improvement (2025 vs. 2015)1 (2030 vs. 2018)3 Well to wheel Well to wheel Tank to wheel Scope 35 -20% -28% -24/-25% g CO2e/vkm g CO2e/vkm g CO2e/ton-mile (2025 vs. 2015)1 (2030 vs. 2019)1 (2027 vs. 2017)4 All our brands have validated science-based targets or are in the process on obtaining those 1 Science based approved target 2 Company specific target - energy efficiency targets with regards to electricity and natural gas usage at the Resende manufacturing plant 3 Company specific target - energy intensity is an energy efficiency metric modeled by the USDOE using its Energy Performance Indicator model at four US facilities 4 Regulatory target - based on EPA Phase 2 GHG emission reduction targets for tractor combinations (-25%) and for vocational vehicles (-24%) – reduction targets are industry targets and exact reduction need per OEM will depend on sold vehicle mix 5 Downstream Roadshow Presentation March 2023 14
Responsible Company Our CO2 impact stems almost exclusively from our products’ use phase – but will change in the future Combustion engine BEV BEV (electricity mix)1 (green electricity)2 Use Production Maintenance Recovery 1 Based on EU 2016 electricity mix 2 Based on prognosed EU 2030 electricity mix Source: Scania estimates Roadshow Presentation March 2023 15
Responsible Company Our strategic focus is underlined by a comparison of system efficiency between BEV and FEV Production Refueling Operation Electrical 100% energy distribution & inversion AC/DC mix of slow & fast charging DC-AC, engine & transmission 90% 90% 90% BEV efficiency efficiency efficiency 75% energy Chemical remaining energy Electrical 100% energy distribution DC-AC, engine & transmission FCEV 70% 80% 45% efficiency efficiency efficiency electrolysis Chemical energy transport & storage FC stack + compressor & DC-DC 25% energy remaining Roadshow Presentation March 2023 16
Responsible Company The cost distribution will change significantly with fully electric trucks Cost distribution electric long-haul Cost distribution of a typical heavy-duty truck ~2025-30 long-haul heavy-duty truck - today Savings potential Energy incl. infrastructure Overhead Electric trucks R&M Energy incl. yield strong infrastructure reduction in energy Driver consumption Vehicle Driver Cost increasing with e-mobility Cost decreasing with e-mobility R&M Energy is the most crucial cost driver – energy cost advantage is the key to quick market ramp-up of electric trucks Roadshow Presentation March 2023 17
Responsible Company We see battery electric vehicles become the majority technology for trucks and buses % ICE Additional alternative technologies competing with diesel BEV 2022 2030 2040 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 18
Responsible Company We boost our e-mobility investments Investment increase 2022 Investment increase 2021 €1.6 bn €2.6 bn €1.0 bn 2020 - 2025 2021 - 20261 1 Incl. Navistar Roadshow Presentation March 2023 19
Responsible Company TRATON’s electric vehicles business evolving Incoming orders of Unit sales of fully All TRATON brands with BEV products fully electric vehicles electric vehicles across major applications/weight classes (units) (units) FY 22 FY 22 2,366 1,740 744 586 554 542 526 487 Scania electric bus Navistar electric bus VWTB electric truck Scania electric truck 397 410 417 424 412 (Citywide LF) (IC Bus electric CE Series) (e-Delivery) (25 P BEV) 169 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Navistar electric truck MAN electric van MAN electric bus MAN electric truck 21 21 22 22 22 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 (International eMV) (eTGE) (Lion´s City E) (eTGM) Roadshow Presentation March 2023 20
Responsible Company High-performance charging network for Europe >1,700 public charging points €500 mn investment (jointly) Milence Joint Venture operational since Network will be open and accessible to July 2022 all brands Independent management team in place Intended to enhance customer confidence Core focus on heavy-duty long-haulage Supporting EU’s transformation to (45-minute charging window) climate-neutral transportation Roadshow Presentation March 2023 21
Responsible Company Electrification will impact how we do repair & maintenance but also will open new profit pools Win customers from 3rd party Shift business model Charging services providers for complex from product to service (e.g. eMSP, charging) repair/maintenance services Price based on value for the Battery recycling and Win repair/maintenance customer (e.g. pricing uptime) reuse for fleets done in-house Additional financing Connectivity based solutions Different maintenance but opportunities for >1 M connected vehicles similar repair requirements Increase 3 of ICE and BEV Do repair/maintenance service for new components portfolio 2 (e.g. battery system) Price customer solution Win volume for 1 e-mob repair/ maintenance Roadshow Presentation March 2023 22
Responsible Company TRATON to continue path to decarbonization in 2023 with tangible steps in product, supplies and infrastructure First Scania 40-ton regional- haulage eTruck deliveries to customers. Scania with start of production at battery assembly plant in Södertälje/Sweden. Construction of large series battery pack plant at MAN in Nuremberg/Germany. Charging JV Milence to take first charge points operational. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 23
Value Creation Focus on sustainable value creation for our stakeholders Responsible Company Performance-driven Navistar as part of TRATON family Strategy Execution TRATON goes China & Governance Value TRATON Creation Accelerated! Roadshow Presentation March 2023 24
Value Creation Creating value for our stakeholders 1 2 3 China important Successful integration growth market Performance-driven of Navistar Brand performance Integration of Navistar and China as important future profit programs, brand cooperation realization of its full potential pool and a growth market for and performance culture TRATON GROUP Roadshow Presentation March 2023 25
Value Creation Ambitious targets for each of our brands Strategic RoS target 12% 8% 8% 9% Fully committed Realignment program Volume growth and Deliver profitable to sustainability & topline strong products performance improvement More high-margin Higher margin by new Benefit from Group Focus services Leveraging new truck heavy-duty portfolio topics Dealer performance generation expansion Growing in China improvement Shift to zero- Continuous focus on emissions efficiency Expansion of vehicle services TRATON GROUP Modular System Captive Financial Services Roadshow Presentation March 2023 26
Value Creation MAN re-alignment on track with significant benefits from structural measures materializing throughout 2023 Full P&L benefit from sale of Steyr/Austria plant from June. Shift of production capacity to Krakow to be completed in Q4: 2/3 of MAN truck assembly in best-cost countries. Personnel measures on track. Reacting flexibly to changes in environment: Measures for profitability improvement in bus business initiated. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 27
Value Creation Successful integration of Navistar Accomplished since the merger … … and there is much more to come Strong progress in integrating Navistar into Unify our values and culture with TRATON TRATON’s operations to guide us every day Broadened management team with strong Create solutions that drive change towards a global experience more sustainable future Leveraged TRATON’s balance sheet to Improve profitability to increase company refinance debt with lower finance costs returns and shareholder value Established a basis for next-generation Leverage Group technology and expand mobility platforms business models to grow revenue streams Roadshow Presentation March 2023 28
Value Creation China is one of the most important profit pools Ca. 1 million trucks typically sold every year World’s largest single market for commercial vehicles Segment shift towards more sophisticated products First western truck manufacturer with license for fully independent production in China Roadshow Presentation March 2023 29
TRATON Accelerated! Shape our role in the future logistics ecosystem Responsible Company Business Model Expansion Partnership Culture Strategy Execution Embrace Digital & Governance Value TRATON Creation Accelerated! Roadshow Presentation March 2023 30
TRATON Accelerated! ACE1 platform elements critical for all ACE-related business models Autonomous vehicle Self-driving system Control Tower + service (SDS) (CT) ACE vehicle Virtual driver ensures Ensures basic dispatching control of vehicle of vehicles Maintenance & repair capabilities Autonomous routes Integrated in overarching systems Additional services Monitoring and remote maintenance function Need to develop ACE platform as key enabler 1 ACE = Autonomous Connected Electrified Roadshow Presentation March 2023 31
TRATON Accelerated! We build a solution ecosystem around our customer Administration Transport planning Charging Reports & analytics Transport facilities Real-time tracking management Route & flow optimization En-route Vehicle data & telematics Fleet Mobility Added services Cost optimization management Service Charge point reservation Vehicle data/alerts Provider Payment Platform Charging availability Destination Energy need planning Charging data/alerts Charging Fleet charging strategy/plan management Routing Depot Fleet manager En-route interface planning interface Truck driver interface Roadshow Presentation March 2023 32
TRATON Accelerated! TRATON FS – Global multi-brand captive finance business leveraging existing structures Brand specific front office Common back office Increased funding capabilities Roadshow Presentation March January 2023 2023 33
TRATON Accelerated! TRATON Financial Services to go live in 2023 Preparations for launch of TRATON FS nearly completed, Current setup most regulatory approvals TRATON SE received and decisions taken. MAN T&B Navistar VWTB Scania Successful global Scania FS operation will be building the FS via partner FS mostly via partner FS via partner Captive FS foundation and backbone of TRATON FS. Future setup Expansion of captive FS offering TRATON SE for Navistar from Q4 2023. Intention to also operate FS MAN T&B Navistar S&S VWTB Scania V&S TRATON FS for MAN and VWTB in future. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 34
TRATON Way Forward strategy guiding path towards the future – strong focus on execution Responsible Company Strategy Execution & Governance Value TRATON Creation Accelerated ! Roadshow Presentation March 2023 35
Strategy Execution & Governance Build-up of a TRATON Modular System based on Scania principles Scania Bygglåda TRATON Modular System TRATON Modular System We create standardized Group interfaces 2x Within Group: Same need – identical solution Enable profitable mass customization of broad variant offering & ensure long-term Differentiate via balanced performance steps competitive advantage Roadshow Presentation March 2023 36
Strategy Execution & Governance Common base engine (CBE) entering markets with strong benefits for customers and TRATON GROUP brands No.1 The world’s most sustainable powertrain with a 13L common base engine (CBE) 2022 2023 2024 … 2028 8% long-haulage Up to 15% gain 80% fuel savings1 in fuel efficiency2 Ready for Better efficiency, 60% Over tomorrow’s reliability and common components emissions sustainability in the engine standards of the truck costs Increased are attributable to Equipped for service and renewable fuels solution offerings the drivetrain 1 Figure based on vehicle validation. 2 Fuel economy comparison based on the first-generation International A26 engine to the new S13 Integrated Powertrain, together with the latest updates to the LT Series truck. Actual results may vary. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 37 .
Strategy Execution & Governance Key steps taken in 2022 in Group-wide implementation of the TRATON Modular System Highly competitive Scania Super launched based on Common Base Engine (CBE). Production ramp-up expected to accelerate throughout 2023. Key Group-wide development and major step to go common. Cross-brand Product Management and global Group R&D set up. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 38
Strategy Execution & Governance Roll-out of TRATON Modular System continues with particular focus on Navistar First deliveries of new International S13 Integrated Powertrain in H2 2023. New powertrain, based on CBE, combined with updated aerodynamics package. Offering up to 15% improved fuel efficiency1 and enhanced uptime and services. Expansion and technological upgrade of Huntsville/Alabama site. 1 Fuel economy comparison based on the first generation International A26 engine to the new S13 Integrated Powertrain, together with the latest updates to the LT Series truck. Actual results may vary. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 39
Strategy Execution & Governance Implementing new steering philosophy to support roll-out of TRATON Modular System Establishment of Truck Board reflecting Group responsibilities for Product Management, R&D, Procurement and Production. New steering structure to strengthen collaboration, coordination and governance crucial for roll-out of TRATON Modular System. Intersection between brands and industrial operations lays foundation for sustainable value creation and synergies. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 40
Strategy Execution & Governance Shared values across the TRATON GROUP supporting collaboration and execution One shared purpose: Transforming Transportation CUSTOMER FIRST Together. For a sustainable world. CORE VALUES ELIMINATION Updated five shared values OF WASTE RESPECT help us to create the desired PRINCIPLES results and ultimately achieve our goals. METHODS All employees to adopt and live the values within and RESULTS across the brands. RESPONSIBILITY TEAM SPIRIT Roadshow Presentation March 2023 41
Strategy Execution & Governance More performance steps Faster time to market, and more customer one integration, then value to all brands “plug & play” for brands One strong Group delivering outstanding customer value Lower product/component/ Afford necessary system cost as well as technology integration cost investments Roadshow Presentation March 2023 42
Stringent execution along clearly defined building blocks towards RoS target Volume 9% increase MAN T&B 5.1% realignment Improved Input cost price & mix inflation Efficiency gains R&D expenses across Group in future trends TRATON GROUP TRATON GROUP 2022 TARGET 2024 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 43
Building blocks driving margin upside and earnings resilience Volume, mix & pricing MAN T&B realignment program Highly competitive products & services Improved fixed cost structure and leading to volume increases and better increased productivity thanks to stringent price positioning & mix across the brands execution of realignment program; progressing according to plan Efficiency gains Earnings resilience Sharing R&D costs across the brands and Sales revenue streams and cash flow less leverage scale thanks to common key cyclical thanks to higher share of services components (e.g. CBE) reducing complexity business and financial services; diversified and cost per unit and improved customer share in global profit pools and improved value fix cost ratio Significant self-help potential with strong focus on efficiency & execution Roadshow Presentation March 2023 44
TRATON’s capital framework – Focus on optimizing pillars to deleverage Operating funding Effective use Structural sources of funds measures Improving Targeted, Strengthening cash conversion earnings future-oriented Strong capital momentum R&D and Capex commitment Improved structure to further deleveraging Optimized of TRATON Working Capital Dividend 30 to 40% balance sheet Management of earnings after tax No major M&A, but active portfolio management Roadshow Presentation March 2023 45
Why TRATON is an attractive investment Strong competitive position with a diversified regional and brand portfolio in an attractive global growth market and profit pool State-of-the-art products and services strongly geared towards future trends in order to capture the opportunities in our industry Substantial potential from leveraging know-how of brands and TRATON GROUP Modular System while driving the transformation towards a sustainable future Clear plan and commitment to execute towards ambitious 9% return on sales target and an efficient balance sheet to drive shareholder returns Roadshow Presentation March 2023 46
Agenda 1. TRATON GROUP Overview 2. Strategy „TRATON Way Forward“ 3. Business Performance 2022 & Outlook Roadshow Presentation March 2023 47
Robust performance in a challenging environment FY 2022 Order intake 335k (-25k) Unit sales 305k (+34k) Sales revenue €40.3 bn (+€10 bn) Vehicle Services €8.5 bn (+€2.1 bn) Adj. operating result €2.1 bn (+€0.5 bn) Adj. RoS 5.1% (-0.1 pp) Roadshow Presentation March 2023 48
Business environment 2022 Severe, yet gradually improving bottlenecks Robust truck markets defying in global supply chains high economic uncertainty War in Ukraine hitting Significant inflationary vulnerable economic pressures and resolute post-COVID-19 recovery action of central banks Roadshow Presentation March 2023 49
UPDATE Continued strong customer demand – restrictive order book management Incoming orders & Unit sales (k units) 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2019 2020 2021 2022 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 50
Strongly improved unit sales and very high order book Incoming orders Unit sales (k units) (k units) FY 22: 334.6 FY 22: 305.5 Incoming orders on high level with book- (-7%) (+12%) to-bill of 1.1x in FY 22: order acceptance -14% still restrictive, tightly managing supply +16% 95.6 chain and input costs. 91.7 92.0 88.3 78.4 79.8 High order backlog covering vast majority 76.2 68.6 67.8 69.5 of 2023 production. Unit sales picking up with strong quarterly trend, supported by increasing production levels due to gradual improvement of supply chain. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 21 22 22 22 22 21 22 22 22 22 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 51
Substantial top-line growth supported by all brands Sales revenue (€ bn) FY 22: 40.3 (+32%) Sales revenue increased by nearly one third to more than €40 bn for the first time. 32% 11.8 Dynamic quarterly revenue trend due to 10.6 9.5 higher unit sales, favorable price/mix and 8.9 8.5 strong Vehicle Services business across all brands. Vehicle Services with double-digit percentage growth, supported by high 1.9 22% 2.0 24% 2.1 23% 2.2 21% 2.2 19% utilization of customer vehicles and Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 increased fleet ages. Vehicle Services business Roadshow Presentation March 2023 52
Positive earnings trajectory throughout 2022 Adj. operating result Adj. RoS (€ mn) (%) FY 22: 2,071 FY 22: 5.1 Adjusted operating result significantly up (+472) (-0.1 pp) YoY, benefiting from higher volumes, +448 +3.1 pp price/mix compensating strong input cost 724 6.1 headwinds. 5.2 Profitability recovering in second half-year, 549 4.7 4.2 yet still held back by selective supply chain 402 396 3.1 disruptions as well as relatively low utilization 277 and fixed cost absorption. Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 21 22 22 22 22 21 22 22 22 22 Roadshow Presentation March 2023 53
Q4 2022 performance and key drivers by brands/segments Financial Services Sales revenue 4,645 3,511 2,861 654 361 (in € mn, YoY) (+26%) (+20%) (+53%) (+33%) (+28%) Adj. RoS 10.5% 1.8% 5.9% 9.3% 23.7% (YoY) (+2.0 pp) (+1.7 pp) (+5.9 pp) (+1.4 pp) (-5.1 pp) Key drivers + Strong unit sales + Price + Unit sales + Price + Portfolio growth improved + Growth in Vehicle + Unit sales + Exchange rate + Exchange rate Services business + Price effects effects + Growth in Vehicle + Exchange rate Services business + Higher – Lower unit sales – Higher funding effects production (preparation of costs – Higher cost for utilization new regulation) + Price/mix material and – Provisions for energy – Continued supply – Material prices bad debt – Material prices chain challenges – Headwinds from – Material prices selective supply disruptions/tight logistic capacities Roadshow Presentation March 2023 54
Earnings per share substantially increased Adjusted operating result to earnings after tax, FY 2022 (€ mn, change vs prior-year) 2,071 (+472) EPS at €2.28, up -477 1,564 1,560 (+1,171) (+912) from €0.91 in 2021. -30 -4 -419 1,141 (27%)1 (+684) Adjustments mainly related to sale of activities in Russia. Adj. Adjust- Other Operating Financial Earnings Income Earnings operating ments adjust- result result before tax taxes after tax 3 result Ukraine war ments 1 Income tax rate. 2 Proposed dividend per share, subject to approval by the 2023 Annual General Meeting on June 1, 2023. 3 Attributable to shareholders. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 55
UPDATE TRATON GROUP – Stringent capital allocation FY 2022 Primary R&D Capex Dividend per share TRATON Operations TRATON Operations for 20221 €1.9 bn €1.3 bn €0.70 Primary R&D costs up Investments primarily Increased dividend by 29%, largely due to in new products, incl. proposed to AGM, Navistar consolidation. CBE, facility expansions equivalent to 31% and electrification. payout ratio. Continued shift towards future technologies and Capex ratio reduced Dividend policy of growth. by -0.5 pp to 3.3%. 30 to 40% of earnings after tax confirmed. R&D ratio at 4.8% (-0.1 pp). 1 Proposed dividend per share, subject to approval by the 2023 Annual General Meeting on June 1, 2023. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 56
Strong net cash flow in final quarter 2022, yet with only small reversal of working capital Net cash flow TRATON Operations (€ mn) 709 Positive net cash flow trend towards year-end 2022 mainly due to improved operating performance. 139 61 -177 Lower than anticipated effect from release of working capital in Q4 22 due to continued supply chain headwinds and logistics -1,3571 shortages. €1.4 bn2 working capital build-up in FY 22: Continued focus on working capital -1,534 improvement and supply chain management. Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 1 €937 mn at Scania in connection with EU antitrust proceedings (incl. interest) and Navistar final payments totaling €420 mn following court approval of the “Profit Sharing Settlement Agreement” and “Krzysiak Action Settlement Agreement”. These payments negatively impacted cash tied up in working capital by a total of €1.4 bn in the change in provisions. 2 Total change in working capital excluding change in provisions of €1.4 bn due to payments related to legal proceedings/court approvals at Scania and Navistar. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 57
Net debt position increased due to working capital and cut-off date effects Net financial debt bridge, FY 2022 (€ mn) -2,847 4,171 Purchase price of -1,950 €0.4 bn received for -1,694 -571 sale of Scania FS -672 -3,563 -3,118 Russia following Debt related to closing in Jan 2023. Navistar acquisition -1,054 -4,172 -7,735 TRATON Gross Change in Net cash Other Changes TRATON Corporate TRATON Operations cash flow working flow from due to sale Operations Items Operations FY 2021 capital1 investing of Russian FY 2022 FY 2022 incl. CI activities entities FY 2022 1 Incl. payment of €937 mn at Scania in connection with EU antitrust proceedings and Navistar final payments totaling €420 mn following court approval of the “Profit Sharing Settlement Agreement” and “Krzysiak Action Settlement Agreement”. These payments negatively impacted cash tied up in working capital in the change in provisions. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 58
UPDATE Main themes in 2023 Global economic output expected to grow at slow pace; continued inflationary pressures and high interest rates drag. Resilient truck market based on high replacement demand and above-average fleet ages. Supply chains continue to gradually ease, while selected bottlenecks and lack of logistics capacity further affect deliveries. Continued input cost inflation, but with slowing dynamics and more driven by wages rather than raw materials. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 59
Key truck markets continue to be supportive, while economic uncertainties remain 400 337 371 k units, > 6t 300 320 Market expectations2 - Above-average fleet age & high pent-up demand EU27+31 200 2023e - Robust logistics demand 100 0 -5% – +10% and freight rates 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 600 k units, class 6-83 406 - Above-average fleet age 447 Market expectations2 North 400 386 & high pent-up demand 200 2023e - Robust logistics demand America -5% – +10% and freight rates 0 - New regulation from 2024 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 300 k units, > 6t - Risks in economic 183 Market expectations2 South 200 183 environment 100 156 2023e - Introduction of new America -15% – 0% CONAMA P8 emission 0 standard 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 EU27+3 region (EU27 countries without Malta, plus the United Kingdom, Norway, and Switzerland). 2 Includes estimates from different institutes, companies, and data/information services. 3 US and Canada class 6-8, Mexico class 4-8. Source: Historical data based on own calculations and estimates. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 60
Outlook 2023: TRATON striving to achieve significant performance improvement FY 2022 FY 2023 Outlook Unit sales 305.5 k +5 to +15% +12% Sales revenue €40.3 bn +5 to +15% +32% Operating RoS 5.1% 6.0 to 7.0% (incl. PPA, expected to be (adjusted) (incl. PPA of €317 mn) ~€300 mn) Net cash flow €-625 mn €1,300 to 1,800 mn (TRATON Operations) Roadshow Presentation March 2023 61
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TRATON GROUP – Sales revenue and adjusted operating result by segment Sales revenue, Q4 2022 (€ mn) Adj. operating result, Q4 2022 (€ mn) Adj. RoS (∆ YoY) 10.5% 1.8% 5.9% 9.3% 6.8% 23.7% 6.1% (+2.0 pp) (+1.7 pp) (+5.9 pp) (+1.4 pp) (+2.6 pp) (-5.1 pp) (+3.1 pp) 654 361 11,789 11,559 (+28%) 86 2,861 (+33%) (+31%) (+32%) (+53%) -111 -131 61 0 782 PPA 168 (€-90 mn) 7241 3,511 -144 (+20%) 64 489 4,645 (+26%) Scania MAN Navi- VWTB Con- Oper- FS Cor- Group Scania MAN Navi- VWTB Con- Oper- FS Cor- Group V&S T&B star soli- ations porate V&S T&B star soli- ations porate S&S dation Items S&S dation Items 1 Including earnings effects of the purchase price allocation (PPA). Excluding, adjusted operating result of €814 mn, adjusted return on sales of 6.9% (+2.4 pp). Note: Change calculated YoY, Q4 2022 vs. Q4 2021. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 63
TRATON GROUP – Outlook TRATON GROUP 2022 2023e Unit sales (units) 305,485 +5-15% Sales revenue (€ million) 40,335 +5-15% Adjusted RoS (in %) 5.1 6.0-7.0 TRATON Operations 2022 2023e Sales revenue (€ million) 39,554 +5-15% Adjusted RoS (in %) 5.7 6.5-7.5 Net cash flow (€ million) -625 1,300-1,800 Capex (€ million) 1,298 very sharp increase Primary R&D costs (€ million) 1,892 significant increase TRATON Financial Services1 2022 2023e Sales revenue (€ million) 1,294 +10-20% Adjusted RoS (in %) 23.5 10.0-15.0% 1 Including Scania Financial Services and Navistar Financial Services. Roadshow Presentation March 2023 64
TRATON Management Board TRATON SE EXECUTIVE BOARD MEMBERS Christian Levin Annette Danielski Bernd Osterloh CEO TRATON SE and Scania CFO TRATON SE CHRO TRATON SE Alexander Vlaskamp Antonio Roberto Cortes Mathias Carlbaum CEO MAN Truck & Bus CEO Volkswagen Truck & Bus CEO and President Navistar International Corporation Roadshow Presentation March 2023 65
TRATON Investor Relations Team Lars Korinth Thomas Paschen Head of Investor Relations Analysts and Investors, Consensus, Private Investors +49 152 313 73 138 +49 170 907 34 94 lars.korinth@traton.com thomas.paschen@traton.com Marie Fischhaber Fabian Schimpf Analysts and Investors +49 152 256 00 705 +49 172 744 86 99 marie.fischhaber@traton.com fabian.schimpf@traton.com Contact Navistar: Margit Hartmann Marvin Kalberlah Annual General Meeting, Events US Analysts and US Investors +49 160 369 29 84 +1 630 432 5179 margit.hartmann@traton.com marvin.kalberlah@navistar.com Michael Lankes TRATON SE Annual General Meeting, Events Hanauer Strasse 26 +49 89 360 98 328 80992 Munich michael.lankes@traton.com Germany www.traton.com LinkedIn | Twitter | YouTube | Instagram Roadshow Presentation March 2023 66
Useful links TRATON GROUP BRANDS TRATON Website Scania Newsroom Investor Relations Website MAN Newsroom Newsroom Navistar Newsroom Reports & Presentations VWTB Newsroom Shares & Financial Figures Events Debt & Rating Sustainability Corporate Governance Annual General Meeting Financial Calendar Contact & Services 2022 Annual Report Innovation Hub Roadshow Presentation March 2023 67
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