Investor Roadshow January 27, 2022
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation that are not historical in nature may be considered “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and reflect management’s current views and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Factors which could cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to: (i) developments related to the COVID-19 pandemic, including the severity, magnitude and duration of the pandemic, the spread of new variants of the virus (including potential variants that may be more resistant to currently available vaccines and treatment), the effectiveness, acceptance and availability of vaccines, booster shots and medications, and associated levels of vaccination impacts of actions that may be taken by governmental authorities and private businesses in response to the pandemic, including vaccine mandates, impacts of the pandemic on global and domestic economic conditions, including with respect to commercial activity, our customers and business partners, consumer preferences and demand, supply chain shortages and disruptions, inflationary pressures and disruptions in the credit, capital or financial markets; (ii) risks with respect to climate change and global, regional, and local weather conditions, as well as risks related to our ability to meet targets and goals with respect to climate change and the emission of GHGs and other environmental, social and governance matters, (iii) the level of our indebtedness and changes in interest rates; (iv) industry conditions, including but not limited to changes in the cost or availability of raw materials, energy sources and transportation sources, the availability of labor and competitive labor market conditions, competition we face, cyclicality and changes in consumer preferences, demand and pricing for our products (including any such changes resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic); (v) domestic and global economic conditions and political changes, changes in currency exchange rates, trade protectionist policies, downgrades in our credit ratings, and/or the credit ratings of banks issuing certain letters of credit, issued by recognized credit rating organizations; (vi) the amount of our future pension funding obligations, and pension and healthcare costs; (vii) unanticipated expenditures or other adverse developments related to compliance with existing and new environmental, tax, labor and employment, privacy, anti-bribery and anti-corruption, and other U.S. and non-U.S. governmental laws and regulations (including new legal requirements arising from the COVID-19 pandemic); (viii) any material disruption at any of our manufacturing facilities or other adverse impact on our operations due to severe weather, natural disasters, climate change or other causes; (ix) risks inherent in conducting business through joint ventures; (x) our ability to achieve the benefits expected from, and other risks associated with, acquisitions, joint ventures, divestitures, spinoffs and other corporate transactions, (xi) cybersecurity and information technology risks; (xii) loss contingencies and pending, threatened or future litigation, including with respect to environmental related matters; (xiii) our exposure to claims from Sylvamo Corporation under our agreements with Sylvamo Corporation; (xiv) our failure to realize the anticipated benefits of the spin-off of Sylvamo Corporation and the qualification of such spin-off as a tax-free transaction for U.S. federal income tax purposes; and (xv) our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel. These and other factors that could cause or contribute to actual results differing materially from such forward-looking statements can be found in our press releases and SEC filings. In addition, other risks and uncertainties not presently known to the Company or that we currently believe to be immaterial could affect the accuracy of any forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Statements Relating to Non-U.S. GAAP Measures While the Company reports its financial results in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP), during the course of this presentation, certain non-GAAP financial measures are presented. Management believes non-GAAP financial measures, when used in conjunction with information presented in accordance with GAAP, can facilitate a better understanding of the impact of various factors and trends on the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. Management also uses these non-GAAP financial measures in making financial, operating and planning decisions and in evaluating the Company’s performance. The non-GAAP financial measures in this presentation have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for an analysis of our results calculated in accordance with GAAP. In addition, because not all companies use identical calculations, our presentation of non-GAAP financial measures in this presentation may not be comparable to similarly titled measures disclosed by other companies, including companies in our industry. A reconciliation of all presented non-GAAP measures (and their components) to GAAP financial measures is available on IP’s website at http://www.internationalpaper.com/performance/presentations-events/webcasts-presentations. Printing Papers Discontinued Operations As a result of the spin-off of our global Printing Papers business on October 1, 2021, the Printing Papers business segment has been eliminated. Amounts from 2019 to 2021 have been adjusted to reflect this business as a discontinued operation. Ilim JV and Sylvamo Corporation Investment Information All financial information and statistical measures regarding our 50/50 Ilim joint venture in Russia (“Ilim”), and our 19.9% ownership interest in Sylvamo Corporation, other than historical International Paper Equity Earnings and dividends received by International Paper, have been prepared by the management of Ilim and Sylvamo Corporation, respectively. Any projected financial information and statistical measures reflect the current views of Ilim and Sylvamo Corporation management and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such projections. See “Forward-Looking Statements” above. Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 2
Table of Contents Investment Thesis…………………………………………………………...4-19 Building a Better IP………………………………………………………...20-25 Business Overview………………………………………………………...26-29 Appendix………………………………………………………………………...30 Industrial Packaging …………………………………………………31-39 Global Cellulose Fibers……………………………………………...40-45 Ilim Joint Venture……………………………………………………..46-49 Other Financial Information………………………………………...50-65 Footnotes ………………………………………………………………66-69 Contact Information………………………………………………………70 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 3
IP Investment Thesis Our Vision is to be among the most successful, sustainable and responsible companies in the world. Our Mission is to improve people’s lives, the planet and our company’s performance by transforming renewable resources into products people depend on every day. Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 5
Investment Thesis | About Us Who We are one of the world’s leading producers of fiber-based We Are corrugated packaging and absorbent pulp We transform renewable resources into recyclable products What people depend on every day We Do How We do the right things, in the right ways, for the right reasons, We Do It all of the time Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 6
IP Investment Thesis | The IP Way Forward The IP Way Forward is our strategic framework for achieving our vision and creating value for all stakeholders for generations to come Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 7
Vision 2030 | Building a Better Future for People, the Planet and our Company Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 9
International Paper Awards & Recognitions International Paper Awards & Recognitions1 Ethisphere Institute Member of the Fortune Magazine 1 World’s Most Ethical FTSE4Good Index Series World’s Most Admired Companies® 2022 for for demonstrating strong Companies® 2022 for 16 consecutive years Environmental, Social 19 years and Governance (ESG) practices Women’s Choice Award® Forbes 2021 The 2021 Woman’s Choice Award Best Employers Best Companies to Work For for Diversity Diversity & Millennials Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 10
IP Investment Thesis | Strategic Framework Strategy Fiber-based Corrugated Packaging and Absorbent Pulp Advantaged Positions Attractive Markets Shareholder Value Low cost, competitive assets Good market growth rates Delivers strong and sustainable free cash flows Operational excellence Customers and markets that value our products and Increases intrinsic value with Availability and access to low cost, innovations return spreads above our sustainable fiber cost of capital (ROIC > Strong growing supply positions WACC) Capability to provide differentiated and innovative value propositions Access to the best global Supports policies to return customers and segments cash to shareholders Opportunity for optimization and productivity gains Maintain strong balance sheet Renewable Natural Resources Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 11
Capital Allocation Framework | Maximize Value Creation Debt / EBITDA1 (Target 2.5 – 2.8x) 2.8x 2.8x $1.8 $1.6 2.9x Investment Invest to Excellence $1.1 2.5x Strategic Fit | Compelling Value | Disciplined $10.7 $9.8 $8.1 $5.6 Cost reduction capex Strategic capex Return Cash to Shareholders 2018 2019 2020 2021 Selective M&A Balance Sheet Debt Pension Gap Op. Leases Sustainable dividend at 40 – 50% of FCF Share repurchases Cash to Shareowners ($ Billions) $0.7 $0.8 Maintain Strong Balance Sheet $0.5 1 Target debt to EBITDA 2.5x to 2.8x Pension plan fully funded $0.8 $0.8 $0.8 $0.8 2018 2019 2020 2021 Dividends Share Repurchase Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 12
Free Cash Flow1 | Strong, Sustainable Free Cash Flow 5-Year Average $2.0 $2.3 $2.3 $2.2 $2.1 $2.0 $1.8 $1.8 $1.9 $1.7 $1.7 $1.7 $1.7 $1.6 2 $1.5 Billion $1.0 22021 Free Cash Flow includes tax payments $0.7 of ~$0.5B related to monetization transactions and CARES Act payroll tax deferral 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 13
Expanded Spread of Adj. ROIC1 Above Cost of Capital 3-Year Average 8.9% 13.2% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.2% 8.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.4% 6.3% 6.5% 2021 WACC 5.0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Printing Papers business segment has been eliminated and amounts from 2019 to 2021 have been adjusted to reflect this business as a discontinued operation. Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 14
Full-Year 2021 Results 10% revenue growth and 50% earnings per share growth Adjusted Operating EPS1 Highly challenging operating environment Serviced strong customer demand while managing through significant operational and supply chain constraints $3.20 Substantial cost pressure from inputs and distribution 2021 Operated with sub-optimized system Strong Ilim JV performance with Adjusted EBITDA2 of $1.1B $2.14 Executed our capital allocation framework 2020 Focused our portfolio Reduced debt by $2.5B $3.09 Returned $1.6B to shareowners 2019 Initiated meaningful actions to materially lower cost structure and accelerate profitable growth Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 15
Full-Year 2021 Financials 2019 2020 2021 Adjusted EBITDA1 ($MM) Sales ($B) $18.4 $17.6 $19.4 2 Adjusted EBIT ($MM) $1.9 $1.5 $1.5 $2.6 3 2021 Adjusted Operating EPS $3.09 $2.14 $3.20 1 Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) $2.9 $2.6 $2.6 1 $2.6 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 16.0% 14.6% 13.4% 2020 Equity Earnings ($MM) $250 $77 $313 4 Free Cash Flow ($MM) $2.3 $2.3 $1.5 $2.9 2019 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 16
Fourth Quarter 2021 Financials 4Q21 Highlights Continued strong revenue growth in a 4Q20 3Q21 4Q21 solid demand environment Sales ($B) $4.4 $4.9 $5.1 Volume and operating costs impacted 1 by labor and supply chain constraints Adjusted EBIT ($MM) $301 $478 $368 related to Omicron 2 Adjusted Operating EPS $0.53 $1.10 $0.78 Input and distribution costs higher than Adjusted EBITDA 1 ($MM) $582 $758 $645 anticipated 1 Free cash flow impacted by cash taxes Adjusted EBITDA Margin 13.1% 15.4% 12.7% of ~$0.3B related to asset monetizations Equity Earnings ($MM) $64 $94 $66 and CARES Act 3 Capital allocation: Free Cash Flow ($MM) $695 $519 $(94) Debt reduction of $1.4B Dividends of $178MM Share repurchases of $413MM Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 17
2022 Outlook | Accelerating Value Creation $ Billions 2022 2021 Assumptions (Unless Noted Otherwise) Outlook Demand growth normalizes post-Omicron Adjusted EBITDA1 $2.6 $3.1 - $3.4 Includes only the impact of previously published price increases Capex $0.5 $1.1 Optimize mill and box system from 2021 disruptions $200 - $225MM gross benefits from Building a Better IP Input and distribution costs remain elevated 2 Free Cash Flow $1.5 $1.3 - $1.5 Maintenance outage expense of $572MM Targeting $1.1B capex contingent on equipment and Net Interest Expense $337MM $290MM labor availability Corporate Expense $134MM $80MM 2021 FCF includes ~$0.3B generated by Printing Papers Effective Tax Rate 19% 25% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 18
Select Financial Metrics1 $ Million 2020 2021 2022F Maintenance Outage Expense $378 $531 $572 Maintenance & Regulatory $430 $415 Capex Targeting Cost Reduction $30 $10 $1,100 Strategic $290 $125 Depreciation & Amortization $1,090 $1,097 $1,145 Net Interest Expense $447 $337 $290 Corporate Expense $62 $134 $80 Effective Tax Rate 25% 19% 25% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 19
Building a Better IP
Creating Value Through Focus HIGHLY ADVANTAGED POSITION IP TO BUILD FOUNDATION CORRUGATED PACKAGING ACCELERATE VALUE FOR LONG-TERM FOCUSED COMPANY CREATION SUCCESS – – – Tailored solutions delivered by our Building on strength of our Agile organizational and operating superior converting capabilities industrial packaging business model and the broadest geographic Taking meaningful actions Commitment to capital allocation reach in North America to grow earnings and cash framework and investment World-class, low-cost and flexible generation excellence mill system with unmatched suite of fiber, basis weight and print surface options Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 21
Building a Better IP | Creating Value Through Focus IP 2021 1st Global Russia Cellulose 1st 1st* Ilim JV Pulp Fibers 14% 14% Revenue by Business2 86% 86% Industrial Packaging North America EMEA Targeted Positions in Mediterranean Region $19.4B Sales1 4% 96% ~20,000 Customers 28 Mills | 221 Converting Facilities Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 22
IP | Highly Advantaged Corrugated Packaging Company Industrial Packaging – • Strong strategic profile • Unmatched capabilities and scale • Significant earnings growth catalysts • Low-cost and flexible mill system $16.3B Sales1 ~20,000 Customers 20 Mills | 219 Converting Facilities IP Containerboard Mill IP Converting Facility Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 23
IP | Building on Strength of Corrugated Packaging Business Unmatched capabilities and scale Low-cost and flexible mill system 219 converting facilities 20 mills with ~90% of capacity 1st quartile cost ~20,000 ~2 million ~350 ~1,000 ~3,500 active packaging formers at customers unique box designs designers innovation ideas customer locations Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 24
Building a Better IP | Accelerating Value Creation Incremental Annual Earnings Growth $ Millions Initiatives deliver a net ~$350 to $430MM incremental earnings in 2024 $150 to Streamline and simplify IP $125 Drive process optimization savings $150 to Scale new tools and approaches $125 Leverage advanced technology and data analytics $225 to Accelerate profitable growth $200 2023 2024 Build on strength of corrugated packaging -$95 business Dis-synergies 2022 Drive meaningful improvement in GCF Cumulative performance Earnings $105 to $130 $230 to $280 $350 to $430 Growth Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 25
Business Overview
International Paper | 2021 Sales in Packaging and Pulp Positioned in attractive markets with low-cost assets that generate strong free cash flow and returns above our cost-of-capital 14% Global $1.5B $2.7B1 Cellulose 86% Net Sales Fibers Total Sales 14% $17.7B EMEA Net Sales Ilim JV Revenue by 86% Business2 North America Industrial Packaging Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Full-year 2021 net sales data; does not reflect total company sales 27
IP N.A. Exports | Leveraging Strategic Export Opportunities Fluff Pulp1 ~40% (~90% of N.A. production) Asia ~45% EMEA ~15% Containerboard (~10% of N.A. production) ~45% Latin America ~15% ~40% % of export volume shipped to select regions Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 28
N.A. Industrial Packaging Weyco Packaging TIN Acquisition & Acquisition & Integration Integration 25% 24% 24% 23% Thousands 22% 22% 22% 22% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 18% 17% Adj. EBITDA1 ($B) 3.0 15% 15% 2.8 2.7 2.7 15% Business 13% 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 Adj. EBITDA1 % 2.3 2.0 10% 1.6 1.3 1.3 5% 0.8 0.4 0.5 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 29
Appendix
N.A. Containerboard | Supply Positions Stone 13% Others 26% IP Smurfit 30% 7% 1995 Producer GP 2022 Producer Others 9% Position Pratt Position 50% 4% WY 7% GP 9% IP WRK 7% PCA 21% TIN 10% 7% Source: 2022 estimated effective containerboard capacity based on RISI Capacity Reports, SEC Filings, and IP data and analysis Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 31
N.A. Industrial Packaging Channels IP’s channels to market provide choices for maximizing value N.A. Mill System Capacity Other Uses1 ~13.9 Million Tons ~0.4 Million Tons Containerboard ~13.5 Million Tons IP Box Plants Open Market ~80% ~20% U.S. Non-U.S. Domestic Export ~95% ~5% ~55% ~45% EMEA Lat Am Asia ~45% ~40% ~15% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: 2022 estimates based on IP data and analysis 32
Global Containerboard Industry | Total Containerboard Trade Flows Europe 8.5MM Europe 5.0MM Asia 6.2MM N America Estimated 2022 5.1MM Global Demand Africa Asia = 208MM tons C America 1.4MM 8.7MM Mid East 0.9MM 0.2MM Countries with Kraftliner Net Import Oceania S America or Export greater than 100M tons… S America 0.7MM 1.4MM Africa Net Export, Tons 0.2MM Net Import, Tons 0.2MM Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: 2022 RISI trade estimates and IP analysis 33
N.A. Containerboard Mill System | ~13.9MM Tons Capacity 1,800 1,600 Kraft Linerboard Mill Recycled Containerboard Mill 1,400 (#) Paper Machines (31) 1,200 Thousand Tons 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Rome (2) Prattville (2) Valliant (3) Pine Hill (2) Orange (2) Savannah (3) Vicksburg (1) Pensacola (1) Red River (2) Bogalusa (2) Springfield (1) Xalapa (1) Maysville (1) Newport (1) Henderson (1) Mansfield (3) Cedar River (2) Riverdale (1) Source: 2022 estimates based on IP data and analysis; Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 chart includes Saturating Kraft & Gypsum liner 34
Linerboard Global Cost Curve | 94% of Capacity in 1st Quartile $1,200 Kraft Linerboard Mill Cash Costs + Delivery to Chicago Recycled Containerboard Mill $1,000 Manufacturing Costs ($/Ton) $800 Bogalusa $600 Valliant Pine Hill Vicksburg Orange Savannah Prattville Rome Newport $400 Mansfield Springfield Xalapa Pensacola Henderson $200 Riverdale Red River Maysville Cedar River $0 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Cumulative Annual Production (Thousand Tons) Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: FisherSolve ™ 4Q20 data 35
Well-Positioned in Attractive Customer Segments Customer Segment Industry IP Food & Beverage ~45% Processed Food Fresh Produce Protein (Meat & Poultry) Beverage Other Non-Durables ~30% Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Paper, Towels & Tissue Other Non-Durables Durable Goods & Distribution ~25% E-commerce, Shipping & Distribution Durable Goods Fastest Growth Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 36
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Jan-06 $/short ton Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 $200 $300 $400 $600 $700 $800 $500 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Containerboard Pricing Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 U.S. Containerboard | Industry Statistics Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Source: RISI As of Jan 2022, RISI only reports, OMP = Open Market Price Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 $/short ton Medium (OMP) Linerboard (OMP) Medium (List Price) Linerboard (List Price) 37
Economic Indicators and U.S. Box Demand 160 150 Indexed 100 = 2001 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 US Box Shipments US Nondurable Industrial Production US GDP US Industrial Production Source: Oxford Economics; RISI North America Containerboard Historical Data Investor Investor Roadshow Roadshow I January I April 27, 2022 29, 2021 38
U.S. Corrugated Packaging Shipments RISI Forecast 457 448 Shipments (BSF) 439 430 418 423 405 401 407 390 396 391 391 395 390 386 392 394 373 378 380 379 380 374 376 369 357 359 360 360 364 345 Historical Data Source: Fibre Box Association Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 2022-2026: 1.9% CAGR (RISI – February 2022, 5-yr forecast) 39
Global Cellulose Fibers | Business Overview Grande Prairie, Alberta Franklin, VAVA Franklin, Market Pulp Mill Eastover SC NewNew Bern, NC NC Gdansk, Bern, Fluff Pulp Mill Poland Riegelwood, NC Riegelwood, NC Columbus, MSMS Columbus, Georgetown, Georgetown,SCSC Converting facilities Port Wentworth, GA Port Wentworth, GA Pensacola, FLFL Flint River, Flint GAGA River, Pensacola, Market Pulp ~20% Current Product Mix1 Total Capacity ~3.3MM MTPY Targeted Mix Fluff Pulp & Specialties 2.7MM 83% ~80% Fluff Pulp & Specialties Market Pulp 0.6MM 17% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 40
Absorbent Hygiene Products (AHP) Outlook | Demand & Growth AHP demand linked to disposable incomes in emerging markets 10,000 8,000 Disposable Incomes USD per capita 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2000 2010 2020 2024 2030 Middle East & Africa Latin America Asia Pacific China Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: Euromonitor 41
Global Market Pulp Demand Outlook | Bleached Softwood 2021 – 2025 25.1MM MTPY CAGR = 2.0% 27.2MM MTPY CAGR 30 Rest of World 3.3% 25 Rest of World 20 4.0% Asia Asia 15 Eastern Europe Eastern Europe 1.4% 10 (1.7)% Western Europe Western Europe 5 Latin America Latin America 0.9% North America North America 0.7% 0 2021 2025 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: PPPC November 2021 Chemical Market Pulp Forecast SRN 42
Global Cellulose Fibers | Advantaged Position in Attractive Markets Fluff Demand by Region and End Use Demand ~6MM MTPY 2020 - 2025 2020 - 2025 CAGR CAGR MEA and Airlaid 12% 1-2% 3 - 4% Other Asia Japan (4) – (3)% 1-2% Feminine Care China 5 - 6% 24% Well positioned to serve LatAm 1 - 2% Adult Incontinence 3-4% growing demand with global, 32% strategic customers Europe 1 - 2% Baby Diapers (1)-0% North America 0 - 1% 32% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: IP analysis, Hawkins Wright 43
IP Global Pulp Capacity | Total of 3.3MM MTPY1 Ilim JV 2.2 MM North America 3.3 MM Pulp mill Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 44
1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 0 200 400 600 800 Jan-06 USD/admt Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Pulp | Industry Statistics Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Source: RISI Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Units shown in metric tons Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Global Pulp Prices Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Global pulp prices delivered to Northern Europe; Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 NBSK (dne) Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 BEK (dne) Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Fluff (dne) Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 45
ILIM Joint Venture | Production Overview Well Positioned to Serve Target Markets Ilim JV Production tonnes1 2021 Bratsk Mill Total 1,294 Softwood bleached pulp 723 Koryazhma Hardwood bleached pulp 267 KLB 304 Ust-Ilimsk Bratsk Koryazhma Mill Total 1,368 Kazakhstan Mongolia PM7 paper 173 PM7 CFS 73 China Pulp (BHKP, UKP) 325 KLB and others 797 Ust-Ilimsk Mill Total 847 Pulp (BSKP, UKP) Total 847 Hardwood bleached pulp - Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 46
ILIM JV | Well Positioned to Serve Growing Pulp and Packaging Markets China will account for more than 38% of world’s incremental market pulp growth Cost positions with favorable access to China NBSK customers Ust-Ilimsk new kraftliner PM expected to start up 2H22 ~600,000 tonnes of containerboard capacity Access to significant Russian wood basket $1,000 Cash Cost + Delivery to Beijing, China $800 Manufacturing Costs $600 ($/Ton) Ust-Ilimsk $400 $200 Bratsk $0 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Cumulative Capacity (Thousand Tons) Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: FisherSolve™ 3Q20 data 47
ILIM Joint Venture | Full Year Financials 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sales Volume (Million metric tonnes) 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.4 Sales ($B) 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.7 Debt ($B) 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.5 Adj. Operating EBITDA ($MM) 203 459 694 680 695 1,207 706 519 1,091 F/X Gain (Loss)1 ($MM) (80) (674) (188) 63 37 (204) 79 (131) 22 EBITDA ($MM) 123 (215) 506 743 732 1,003 785 388 1,113 Depreciation ($MM) 176 188 128 121 151 156 134 161 173 EBIT ($MM) (53) (403) 378 622 581 847 651 227 822 Interest Expense ($MM) 39 69 52 81 88 70 82 85 118 Net Income / (Loss) ($MM) (72) (359) 237 385 362 571 424 113 613 IP Equity Earnings / (Loss) ($MM) (46) (194) 131 199 183 290 207 48 311 Dividends (to IP) ($MM) 0 56 35 60 134 128 246 141 154 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 48
ILIM Joint Venture | 4Q21 vs. 3Q21 $ Million 4Q20 3Q21 4Q21 2020 2021 Sales Volume 932 833 829 3,460 3,365 (thousand metric tonnes) Sales $541 $729 $699 $2,015 $2,692 1 EBITDA $201 $318 $273 $388 $1,113 F/X (Impact 2 of USD Net $50 $0 $0 $(131) $0 Debt) Adj. Operating Outstanding YoY earnings growth 3 $151 $318 $273 $519 $1,113 EBITDA 4Q21 volume and costs impacted by distribution IP Equity Earnings constraints 4 $53 $95 $66 $48 $311 (Loss) 4Q21 EBITDA margin 39% See footnote 5 for Ilim Group Net Debt at December 31, 2021 Received dividend of $10MM in 4Q21, bringing full-year dividends from Ilim to $154MM Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 49
Adj. Operating EPS1 1.65 1.56 1.27 1.19 1.10 1.01 .93 .91 .94 .88 .90 .91 .87 .87 .84 .82 .79 .82 .83 .81 .76 .77 .78 .77 .78 .78 .72 .74 .78 .72 .69 .67 .66 .67 .66 .58 .58 .59 .56 .56 .53 .49 .52 .50 .44 .46 .34 .05 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Printing Papers reflected as Discontinued Ops. 2019 - 2021 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 50
Free Cash Flow $ Million 2019 4Q20 2020 3Q21 4Q21 2021 Cash Provided by $3,610 $789 $3,063 $645 $1071 $2,0302 Operations Cash Invested in Capital Projects, Net of $(1,276) $(94) $(751) $(126) $(201) $(549) Insurance Recoveries Free Cash Flow $2,334 $695 $2,312 $519 $(94) $1,481 14Q21 cash provided by operations includes tax payments of ~$0.3B related to monetization transactions and CARES Act payroll tax deferral 22021 cash provided by operations includes tax payments of ~$0.5B related to monetization transactions and CARES Act payroll tax deferral Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 51
Balance Sheet | Financial Strength Debt / EBITDA1 (Target 2.5 – 2.8x) 2.8x 2.8x $2.0 2.9x 2021 Highlights $1.8 $1.6 Pension Gap 2.5x Reduced balance Pension Gapsheet debt by $2.5B $1.1 Pension Gap Pension Gap 2.5x Limited near-term maturities $11.2 $10.7 $9.8 Qualified Pension plan 105% funded status $8.1 $5.6 $1.3B cash balance Balance at year-end Balance Sheet Sheet Debt Debt 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Balance Sheet Debt Pension Gap Op. Leases Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 52
Debt Maturity Profile | Maturities as of December 31, 2021 $800 $700 $600 $500 $ Million $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 2037 2041 2045 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2038 2039 2040 2042 2043 2044 2046 2047 2048 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 53
Pension Plan Update1 | As of December 31, 2021 Key Variables 2019 2020 2021 Assumed Rate of 7.25% 7.00% 6.40% Annual Pension Expense2 Return 545 Discount Rate 3.40% 2.60% 2.90% 447 Average Annualized Returns3 387 364 2021 7.7% 290 Past Five Years 14.0% Million 209 Past Ten Years 11.3% 93 Portfolio Asset Allocation 32 2021 12-31-2021 12-31-2020 2021 Target Actual Actual 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Equity 14% - 25% 18% 40% (112) Bonds 62% - 78% 68% 48% Real Estate 4% - 10% 8% 7% Other 2% - 7% 6% 5% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 54
Capital Spending % of Depreciation $1,600 125% $1,400 $1,200 ~$1,100 100% $1,000 Million $800 75% $600 $400 50% $200 $0 25% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022E Maintenance Regulatory Strategic Cost Reduction % of Depreciation Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Reflects continuing operations 55
2022 Capital Investment Maintenance & Cost Reduction Strategic Regulatory Creating value through pipeline Maintaining world-class, Reinvesting in core businesses of high return projects low-cost, advantaged assets with higher growth profile ≥ 30% IRR $0.2B $0.4B $1,200 Cash Cost (Delivered to Chicago) IP N.A. Containerboard Mills $1,000 $800 $600 Pennsylvania $400 $200 $0 0 50,000 100,000 Existing IP Box Plants Cumulative Annual Containerboard Global Production (Thousand Tons) New IP Box Plant – Atglen, PA Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 Source: IP Analysis, FisherSolve™ 4Q20 data 56
Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2022 Forecast $ Million 1Q22F 2Q22F 3Q22F 4Q22F 2022F Industrial Packaging $165 $102 $59 $69 $395 North America $150 $102 $56 $68 $376 Riverdale Papers $15 - - - $15 EMEA - - $3 $1 $4 Global Cellulose Fibers $71 $41 $25 $40 $177 North America $56 $41 $25 $40 $162 Georgetown Papers $15 - - - $15 Total Impact $236 $143 $84 $109 $572 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 57
North America Downtime Containerboard Cellulose Fibers Thousand Tons Thousand Tons 47 66 9 83 3 270 60 63 104 123 15 41 50 48 45 2 1 117 86 105 68 70 18 7 36 63 14 1 15 Economic Maintenance Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 58
Total Cash Components | 2021 Energy 9% Fiber 40% Chemicals 6% Overhead 12% Labor Materials 13% 19% Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 North American mills only 59
U.S. Mill Wood Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q21 Average Cost Up 5% vs. 3Q21 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 90 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 IP data, cost Indexed to January 2007 values 60
U.S. OCC Delivered Cost Trend | 4Q21 Average Cost Up 2% vs. 3Q21 290 240 190 140 90 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 40 IP data, cost Indexed to January 2007 values Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 61
U.S. Natural Gas Cost Trend | 4Q21 Average Cost Up 26% vs. 3Q21 250 200 150 100 50 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 IP data, cost Indexed to January 2007 values Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices 62
U.S. Fuel Oil Cost Trend | 4Q21 Average Cost Up 9% vs. 3Q21 300 250 200 150 100 50 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 IP data, cost Indexed to January 2007 values Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 WTI Crude prices 63
U.S. Chemical Composite Cost Trend | 4Q21 Average Cost Up 6% vs. 3Q21 200 175 150 125 100 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 75 IP data, cost Indexed to January 2007 values Delivered cost to US facilities: includes Caustic Soda, Sodium Chlorate, Starch and Sulfuric Acid 2007 - 2008 excludes WY PKG Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 64
Global Consumption | Annual Purchases for Key Inputs Commodity North America Non – North America Natural Gas (MMBTUs) 90,000,000 1,700,000 Energy Fuel Oil (Barrels) 230,000 0 Coal (Tons) 60,000 0 Wood (Tons) 48,600,000 0 Fiber Old Corrugated Containers / DLK (Tons) 5,100,000 500,000 Caustic Soda (Tons) 370,000 2,000 Chemicals Starch (Tons) 240,000 30,000 Sodium Chlorate (Tons) 140,000 0 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 65
Footnotes Slide 10 1 ©2022 International Paper Company. All rights reserved. International Paper logo Is a registered trademarks of International Paper Company. From FORTUNE Magazine, February 2022, ©2022 Fortune pMedia IP Limited. FORTUNE and The World’s Most Admired Companies are registered trademarks of Fortune Media IP Limited and are used under license. FORTUNE and Fortune Media IP Limited are not affiliated with, and do not endorse the products or services of, International Paper Company. “World’s Most Ethical Companies” and “Ethisphere” names and marks are registered trademarks of Ethisphere LLC. FTSE Russell (the trading name of FTSE International Limited and Frank Russell Company) confirms that International Paper has been independently assessed according to the FTSE4Good criteria, and has satisfied the requirements to become a constituent of the FTSE4Good Index Series. Created by the global index provider FTSE Russell, the FTSE4Good Index Series is designed to measure the performance of companies demonstrating strong Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) practices. The FTSE4Good indices are used by a wide variety of market participants to create and assess responsible investment funds and other products. All product names, logos and brands are property of their respective owners. Slide 12 1 Moody’s methodology is used to calculate Adjusted Debt to EBITDA ratio. Moody’s adjusts debt to include balance sheet debt, operating leases/deferred tax liability and debt issuance expense, and pension gap. EBITDA is adjusted to include lease and pension adjustments (non-GAAP). Slide 13 Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, reflects cash provided by continuing operations for 2006 – 2011, based on data in the 10-K for each year at the time of filing. Free Cash Flow reflects cash provided by operations for 2012 onward. Excludes net cash pension contributions impacting 2006, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017, cash flows under European accounts receivable securitization beginning in 2009 and ending in 2011, and cash received from Black Liquor Tax Credits in 2009 and 2010. 2012 excludes $120MM cash paid for Temple-Inland change-in-control agreements, $251MM cash received from unwinding a timber monetization, $44MM cash paid for Temple-Inland pension plan contribution, and $80MM cash paid for Guaranty Bank settlement. 2013 excludes $30MM cash received from Guaranty Bank insurance reimbursements. 1 For 2019 onward, see slide #51 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure Slide 14 Years 2006-2012 are as reported in the 10-K for each year at time of filing. Years 2013-2017 restated to reflect N.A. Consumer Packaging and xpedx as discontinued operations. Years 2019-2021 restated to reflect Printing Papers as discontinued operations. 1 Adjusted ROIC, a non-GAAP financial measure, based on Adjusted Operating Earnings before Interest / Average Invested Capital [Equity (adjusted to remove pension related amounts in OCI, net of tax) + Interest- bearing Debt] Slide 15 1 Adjusted operating EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings Attributable to International Paper (GAAP) before special items and non-operating pension expense (income)) 2 Before special items and non-operating pension expense (income) (non-GAAP) Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 66
Footnotes Slide 16 1 Before special items and non-operating pension expense (income) (non-GAAP) 2 Adjusted EBIT is Business Segment Operating Profit defined as earnings (loss) before income taxes and equity earnings, but including the impact of non-controlling interests, and excluding interest expense, net, corporate expenses, net, corporate net special items, business net special items and non-operating pension expense. Business segment operating profit is a measure reported to our management for purposes of making decisions about allocating resources to our business segments and assessing the performance of our business segments and is presented in our financial statement footnotes in accordance with ASC 280. 3 Adjusted operating EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings Attributable to International Paper (GAAP) before special items and non-operating pension expense (income)) 4 See slide #51 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure Slide 17 1 Before special items and non-operating pension expense (income) (non-GAAP) 2 Adjusted operating EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings from Continuing Operations Attributable to International Paper (GAAP) before net special items and non operating pension expense (income)) 3 See slide #51 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure Slide 18 1 Before special items and non-operating pension expense (income) (non-GAAP) 2 See slide #51 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to Free Cash Flow, a non-GAAP financial measure Slide 19 1 Before special items Slide 22 1 Based on 2021 sales; excludes corporate and intercompany eliminations 2 Based on 2021 Adj. EBITDA; before special items and non-operating pension expense (income) (non-GAAP); does not reflect equity earnings from Ilim JV Slide 23 1 2021 full-year sales Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 67
Footnotes Slide 27 1 Ilim JV total sales are not consolidated (IP owns 50% of JV) 2 Based on 2021 sales, excludes corporate and intercompany eliminations Slide 28 1 Includes modified absorbent products Slide 29 Excludes the Recycling Business and revenue from trade volumes 1 IP Adjusted EBITDA margins based on North American Industrial Packaging operating profit before special items Slide 32 1 Includes Saturating Kraft /Gypsum Liner Slide 40 1 North American production. Combined businesses, with Riegelwood PM18 running SW market pulp. Slide 44 1 Does not include llim JV Slide 46 1 Volumes shown in thousand metric tons Slide 48 Ilim JV results are US GAAP basis 1 Represents F/X impact including amounts related to Ilim Group USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$0MM at year end 2021) Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 68
Footnotes Slide 49 Ilim JV results are on U.S. GAAP basis 1 A non-GAAP financial measure 2 Represents F/X impact primarily related to Ilim Group USD-denominated net debt balance; Ilim Group’s functional currency is the Ruble (RUB); Non-functional-denominated currency balances are measured monthly using the month-end exchange rate 3 Before F/X impact primarily related to USD-denominated net debt 4 IP Equity Earnings (Loss) for 4Q20 and FY2020 include after-tax F/X loss (primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of $22MM and $(50)MM, respectively 5 At December 31, 2021, Ilim Group had net debt of USD 2.1 billion. Substantially all of Ilim’s debt is in Rubles. The USD net debt is calculated using a RUB/USD exchange rate of 74.29 at December 31, 2021. Slide 50 2010-2011 adjusted for elimination of the Ilim JV reporting lag xpedx is reflected as a Discontinued Operation in all periods N.A. Consumer Packaging is reflected as a Discontinued Operation from 2013 onward Printing Papers is reflected as a Discontinued Operation from 2019 onward 1 Adjusted operating EPS, a non-GAAP financial measure based on Adjusted Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings from Continuing Operations Attributable to International Paper (GAAP) before net special items and non operating pension expense (income)) Slide 52 1 Moody’s methodology is used to calculate Adjusted Debt to EBITDA ratio. Moody’s adjusts debt to include balance sheet debt, operating leases/deferred tax liability and debt issuance expense, and pension gap. EBITDA is adjusted to include lease and pension adjustments (non-GAAP). Slide 54 Pension expense reflects service cost, interest cost, amortization of actuarial losses and expected return on plan assets For the past 10 years, IP Pension Plan performance ranked in the top decile of the State Street Bank Corporate and Public Master Trust Universe of approximately 200 observations 1 2013 and onward include Temple-Inland pension plan 2 Non-cash expense for U.S. plans only 3 Through December 2021 Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022 69
Contact Information Investor Relations • Guillermo Gutierrez +1-901-419-1731 guillermo.gutierrez@ipaper.com • Michele Vargas +1-901-419-7287 michele.vargas@ipaper.com Media • Amy Simpson +1-901-419-4964 amy.simpson@ipaper.com Investor Roadshow I January 27, 2022
You can also read