THE US' VIEW ON JUST WAR - DIVA
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The US’ view on Just War ____________________________________________________________________________ A content analysis of the Trump administration’s justification of the attack on general Soleimani Anna Wallerå Uppsala University Department of Government Bachelor's thesis in Political Science Autumn 2020 Supervisor: Joakim Kreutz Word count: 13 260
Abstract On January 3, 2020, Iranian major general Qasem Soleimani was killed through a targeted drone strike at the authorisation of the US President Donald Trump (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). This thesis examines if, and in that case how, the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the killing of general Soleimani are in line with the principles of Just War theory. By conducting a case study, through a qualitative content analysis, analysing four official statements made by the Trump administration during a two months period after the killing, this thesis will examine the moral discourses in the arguments presented. Drawing on insights from studies regarding the justification of War on Terror, preemptive war, and targeted killings according to the Just War theory, lays the foundation for a deeper reasoning of the legality of the argumentation based on the principles of Just War. This thesis will show that in some aspects, the arguments presented by the Trump administration can be interpreted to be in accordance with one of the principles, but none of the statements satisfy the criteria in all of the principles. Therefore, the overall conclusion of this analysis is that the Trump administration has the intention of justifying the attack, but the arguments used are not rooted in Just War theory. Further, this thesis will also show an inconsistency over time in the arguments presented. The contribution from this study lays in the analysis of the arguments on the basis of the principles of Just War theory, not from the perspective of international law. The intention from this thesis is not to analyse if the attack itself can be seen as just according to Just War theory but looking at the argumentation presented by the Trump administration. Keywords: Just War theory, jus ad bellum, targeted killing, imminent threat, Trump administration, Soleimani, content analysis. 1
Table of Contents 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1. Aim and Research Question ..................................................................................................... 4 1.2. Contribution ............................................................................................................................. 5 1.3. Disposition ............................................................................................................................... 5 2. Background..................................................................................................................................... 6 3. Theoretical Framework and Previous Research ......................................................................... 7 3.1. Just War Theory ....................................................................................................................... 7 3.2. Previous Research .................................................................................................................. 10 4. Research Design ........................................................................................................................... 14 3.1. Content analysis ..................................................................................................................... 15 3.2. Selection of material .............................................................................................................. 16 3.3. Operationalisation .................................................................................................................. 18 5. Results and Analysis .................................................................................................................... 19 4.1. Remarks by President Trump on the Killing of Qasem Soleimani ........................................ 19 4.2. United States Mission to the United Nations ......................................................................... 22 4.3. United States Military Action Against Qassem Soleimani .................................................... 24 4.4. Opening Remarks by Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo Before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs .............................................................................................................................. 26 4.5. Summary ................................................................................................................................ 27 6. Conclusion..................................................................................................................................... 29 7. Further discussion ........................................................................................................................ 31 8. Bibliography ................................................................................................................................. 32 2
1. Introduction On September 20, 2001, days after the terrorist attack on September 11, 2001, the former President of the United States, George W. Bush, declared during an address to a joint session of Congress and to the nation, the War on Terror. Bush stated that: “Our war on terror begins with Al Qaeda, but it does not end there. It will not end until every terrorist group of global reach has been found, stopped, and defeated” (President George W. Bush, 2001). The War on Terror is the international military campaign targeting groups and individuals designated as terrorists. Ever since the attack on September 11, 2001, it has been the US’ primary focus and main political and military purpose in both domestic and foreign policymaking. The Bush administration claimed the right to use military force not only against terrorist organisations but also against states that support these groups. Bush stated that: “Every nation, in every region, now has a decision to make: Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists. From this day forward, any nation that continues to harbor or support terrorism will be regarded by the United States as a hostile regime.” (President George W. Bush, 2001). Further, it is in the United States´ 2002 National Security Strategy stated that the US after the September 11 attacks has asserted a right of preemptive self-defence against threats posed by a terrorist organisation, even if these are non-imminent (United States, 2002). A strategy in the War on Terror is the usage of targeted killings, the intentional use of lethal force with deliberation to kill, targeting individuals. The phenomenon of targeted killing has throughout history been present but is viewed as very restricted. However, today, targeted killings are gaining legitimacy as a method of counterterrorism as some states, including the US, have acknowledged their usage of targeted killings in an effort to avert terrorist actions (Melzer, 2008). One recent targeted killing conducted at the authorisation of the US President Donald Trump is the killing of Iranian major general Qasem Soleimani on January 3, 2020 (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). The targeted killing of a high-level state official is extraordinal and cannot be compared with the killing of a leader of a non-state terrorist organisation (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). In an immediate release after the attack on general Soleimani, the Department of Defence 3
stated that the action was defensive and that Soleimani was “actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members” in the region. The Department states that “This strike was aimed at deterring future Iranian attack plans.” and that “The United States will continue to take all necessary action to protect our people and our interests wherever they are around the world.” (Department of Defense, 2020). Whether or not the usage of targeted killings can be justified within international law is heavily discussed. In a recently presented report, the Special Rapporteur on extrajudicial, summary or arbitrary executions, Agnes Callamard, concluded that “the course of action taken by the US was unlawful” according to international law (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). However, instead of looking at the legality for the killing of general Soleimani from the perspective of international law as in the report by the Special Rapporteur, this thesis will take another perspective and focus on the moral use of military force. The theory of Just War will be used for the conduction of the analysis for this thesis. It approaches the ethics of using military force and argues that war can be morally defensible only under certain conditions when principles that justify the right to resort to armed force are met (Silverstone 2011). 1.1. Aim and Research Question The aim of this thesis is to investigate if, and in that case how, the Trump administration justifies the killing of general Soleimani and, by analysing four official statements made by the Trump administration in a two months period after the killing, examine the moral discourses in the arguments presented. This thesis intends to give a deeper understanding of how the Trump administration views and respects the principles of Just War theory and how it justifies the killing of general Soleimani in relation to these principles. Therefore, the research question this thesis aims to answer is: If, and in that case how, are the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the killing of major general Qasem Soleimani in line with the principles of Just War theory? Further, this thesis will also analyse if and how the arguments may change over time and depending on to whom they are addressed, thus the consistency of these arguments over time and regardless of the recipient is to be examined. However, this thesis will not be able to determine if differences in the arguments presented depend on different authors or sources, the recipient, or if the argumentation changes over time as new information arises. Thus, the four 4
official statements will be analysed according to the same principles of Just War theory. The research question will be answered through a content analysis where the four official statements are analysed by actively searching for wordings and expressions presented by the Trump administration that could indicate an argument to be just in accordance or not in accordance with Just War theory. This thesis will show that in some aspects, the arguments presented in the official documents can be interpreted to be in accordance with the principles of Just War theory, but none of the statements satisfy the criteria’s in all of the principles. Therefore, the conclusion of this thesis is that the Trump administration has the intention of justifying the attack but does not seek to justify the killing om general Soleimani with an argumentation rooted in Just war theory. Further, the analysis also shows an inconsistency in arguments presented. 1.2. Contribution Whether the killing of major general Qasem Soleimani was in accordance with international law or not has been evaluated by Special Rapporteur Callamard (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). The contribution from this study lays in the analysis of the argumentation presented by the Trump administration, whose arguments used to justify the killing of general Soleimani are analysed to see if those are in line with the principles of Just War theory. Thus, this thesis does not intend to analyse if the attack itself can be seen as just according to Just War theory, but to look at the argumentation presented by the Trump administration. The killing of general Soleimani is an extraordinary killing as it concerns a state official. Therefore, it is of greatest interest to analyse how the Trump administration justify this killing from the moral perspective of Just War theory. The Jus War theory has not been used in any scientific paper analysing the killing of Soleimani, despite being used in the analysis regarding other terrorist leaders, thus hoping to fill this void within the research area. 1.3. Disposition Following this introduction, the thesis begins to present a background on the case and the history behind the US and Iran’s relationship. Further, a theoretical framework will be accounted for, the Just War theory and previous research. This is followed by a section for research design whereas the methodology, material and operationalisation will be presented to explain how this study has been conducted, together with limitations. Next is a section for the result where the empirical findings of this study are presented and analysed. The two final 5
sections will conclude the results and its implications and suggest future questions to be researched, and also bring out a broader discussion about the topic of this thesis. 2. Background On January 3, 2020, Iranian major general Qasem Soleimani of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) was killed together with nine other persons through a targeted drone strike near Baghdad International Airport in Iraq at the authorisation of the US President Donald Trump (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). Thus, thee attack took place in a third state, Iraq. However, this thesis will not take this fact into account while analysing as the scope of this study is limited. General Soleimani was considered the second most powerful person of Iran, subordinate to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and was commander of the IRGC’ Quds Force, which has been designated a terrorist organisation by the United States, Canada, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain (Crowley, Hassan, and Schmitt, 2020). The attack sharply escalated tension between the US and Iran, with rising fear of a military conflict between the countries. Five days after the attack, on 8 January 2020, Iran launched numerous precision ballistic missiles at the Ain al-Assad airbase in Iraq, from where the US drone strike against Soleimani was launched, where American personnel were located (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). The US and Iran have a long history, with roots that can be traced back to at least 1979 and the Islamic revolution when Iran’s US-backed Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlevi was overthrown by secular and religious opponents. The Islamic religious leader Ayatollah Khomeini returned from exile and the country was proclaimed an Islamic republic. The same year, the US embassy in Tehran was seized and American personnel were held hostage for 444 days, where the last hostages not were released until January 1981, thus leading to frosty relationships between the two countries. In 2013, an opening in the diplomatic relationship was seen after Iran’s more moderate President Hassan Rouhani took office and had contact with the US President Barack Obama by phone. In 2015, Iran agreed to limit its nuclear programme in a deal with the P5+1, the US, UK, France, China, Russia and Germany. In the deal, Iran agreed to limit its nuclear activities and allow international inspectors in return for the lifting of economic sanctions. However, in 2018 the US President Trump abandoned the nuclear deal and reinstalled economic sanctions leading to Iran’s economy falling into a deep recession. Relations between the US and Iran further worsened in May 2019 when President Trump tightened sanctions on Iran’s oil 6
export. The relations deteriorated when explosions hit six oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman in May and June 2019, to which Iran denied Washington’s accusations. In December 2019, the US accused Iran-backed militia for a rocket attack killing an American contractor, to which the US retaliated with bombing bases in Iraq and Syria associated to that militia, killing at least 15 servicemen (US-Iran relations: A brief history, 2020 and The US, Iran and Qasem Soleimani story explained in 400 words, 2020). The attack on general Soleimani led to Iran reducing its commitments to the 2015 international nuclear deal, saying it will no longer abide by its enrichment limits (Soleimani killing: Iran abandons nuclear deal limits, 2020). 3. Theoretical Framework and Previous Research This section aims to present the Just War theory, followed by a review of the previous research regarding the War on Terror, preemptive war and targeted killings. 3.1. Just War Theory The Just War theory approach to the ethics of the use of military force and is based on the claim that war can be morally defensible only under certain conditions. With roots in both secular and religious sources, the theory can be traced back to the fourth-century writings of St. Augustine, in ideas by Thomas Aquinas during the thirteenth century, to Immanuel Kant and Michael Walzer (Silverstone 2011). Elements of the Just War framework have today been incorporated in both treaties and international law. While agreement over important questions or whether a particular war is just have not always been met, they share the approach to argue around the justice of war. Discussions regarding the Just War theory does not treat it as a theory per se, rather, the Just War tradition is a “framework for ethical reasoning grounded on the belief in human dignity”, intended for dialogue about the just causes and conducts for war (Crawford, 2003). The Just War theory is usually divided into two categories – jus ad bellum and jus in bello, which are defined as “the conditions that justify engaging in war” versus “the rules governing how war should be fought once it has started”, the moral conduct within war (Silverstone 2011). James Turner Johnson (1999) presents the seven principles that according to jus ad bellum justify the right to resort to armed force in Just War theory. These are just cause, legitimate authority, right intention, reasonable hope, proportionality of good over harm, last resort, and the aim of peace, where the three first has priority over the rest (Johnson, 1999). The principles 7
for jus in bello are the protection of non-combatants and proportionality of means, wherein the first refers to the defining of non-combatants, the avoidance of direct, intentional harm and the efforts to protect them, while the second refers to that the violence must be in proportion to the aims (Crawford, 2003). This thesis will analyse the official documents regarding the killing of major general Qasem Soleimani based on the principles of jus ad bellum, and thus, not include an analysis for the principles of jus in bello. This because the UN, including Special Rapporteur Callamard, does not consider there to be an ongoing International Armed Conflict (IAC) between the US and Iran (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). Callamard states that “The existence of previous attacks could be a legal argument for the legality of the use of force under international humanitarian law [IHL] – if an international armed conflict between the states existed prior to the strike.”. However, the US and Iran cannot be considered to be involved in an IAC, and, thus, the principles of jus ad bellum should apply. Callamard continues to say that “the strike itself cannot be justified on the basis of retaliation/reprisal/degrading forces under jus ad bellum.” (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). However, today we are moving in a grey area which lacks clear distinction of what is an IAC and what is not, thus, the question arises of in what situations the principles for jus ad bellum respective jus in bello should apply. This problem will be further reviewed at the end of this thesis. The following section builds on Wallerå (2019) but have been added to. Pursuant to international law, wars waged of aggression are unjust (Crawford, 2003), and according to Johnson, self-defence is the only unambiguously legitimate justification to resort to force under the contemporary definition (Johnson, 1999). However, the fundamental concept of just cause is that it “justifies the use of force not out of self-interest but for the sake of others: those who are in need of defence or who have suffered wrongs needing to be righted” (Johnson, 1999). Legitimate authority on the other hand means that “the person or body authorizing the use of force must be the duty authorized representative of a sovereign political entity, the authorization to use force implies the ability to control and cease that use” (Johnson, 1999). This because only a competent authority can make the other determinations required by the Just War theory (Crawford, 2003). The third principle of right intention states that the intention must be in accordance with the just cause and not with the aim of territorial expansion, intimidation or coercion, thus the pursuit of peace and reconciliation. Reasonable hope means that the calculation of the likelihood that the means used will bring the justified ends sought. Proportionality of good over harm that the levels and means of using force must be appropriate to the just end sought and it must be calculated to produce more good than the harm it 8
necessarily causes. Last resort means that “Determination at the time of the decision to employ force that no other means will achieve the justified ends sought”. Finally, the aim of peace means that the aim must be to establish international stability, security, and peaceful interaction, rather than for the intervening state to gain power (Johnson, 1999). The second principle regarding right authority implies that both national governments and the UN Security Council can be the right authority to justify the use of force, provided they both have a sovereign political entity and the ability to control that use. Contemporary interpretations of the principle leans toward the UN Security Council being the right body to authorize military intervention, and not individual states (Johnson, 1999). All principles of jus ad bellum have to be met for engaging in war within the Just War theory to be seen as just. Since the three first principles of just cause, legitimate authority and right intention have priority over the rest (Johnson, 1999), only the three first principles will be used for the analysis of this thesis. Outcomes In this thesis, the arguments presented by the Trump administration in the four official statements will be applied to the three first principles of jus ad bellum, to analyse if, and in that case how, the argumentation correspond with the principles. Thus, if the cause, authority and intention argued for are in line with Just War theory. This thesis sees several possible outcomes for the research question asked, derived from the theory. The possible outcome for the arguments presented by the Trump administration to justify the killing of general Soleimani are: 1. The argumentation does not intend to justify the attack. 2. The argumentation does intend to justify the killing, but not based on the principles of Just War theory. 3. The arguments are in some aspects in accordance with the principles of Just War Theory but does not satisfies all the criteria’s. 4. The arguments are entirely in accordance with the principles of Just War theory 5. The arguments reflect a perspective of retaliation. 6. The arguments reflect a situation of jus in bello, where different principles for justification applies. These possible outcomes will be further discussed in the analysis. 9
3.2. Previous Research Firstly, the US has waged a far-reaching war against terrorism, and since Soleimani is argued to be a terrorist, this thesis needs to examine the background to how the US argues in this case. Further, it will be discussed when under Just War theory it is just to use self-defence. Self- defence is a key code word in the legitimation of attacks, which is why this discussion on the limits of self-defence is conducted. It is also of importance to examine the limits of preemptive actions under Just War theory when analysing arguments regarding the justification of preemptive actions. Lastly, central from the background on the attack on general Soleimani is also the fact that the attack was a targeted killing (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). Thus, it is of the highest importance to evaluate the legality of targeted killings under Just War theory. The War on Terror Ever since the US declared its War on Terror, there has been an intense debate about the legality of this “war”, the right to use force extraterritorially against terrorism, and where to draw the line for self-defence. We can see that, since 9/11, the US has asserted and exercised the right to use military force against both terrorist actors and governments that harbour them (Weiner, 2007). According to Allen S. Weiner (2007), the US “characterizes the war against terrorism as a real war, a war in the legal sense, and it is exercising many of the extraordinary authorities that are available only during wartime”. The US has also claimed the right to, not only treating the conflicts with one terrorist group as a war but also to extend the “war regime” to all terrorist organisations. Thus, the means by which the US has conducted, and still is conducting, the War on Terror does not “satisfy the formal international law definition of war” and “undermines the justification for threatening the conflict as ‘war’” (Weiner, 2007). Following this approach, according to Rittberger et al., (2019), the US has suspended the role of international law. The US is “placing itself outside the rules, norms and institutions of international society in its prosecution of its war on terrorism” (Rittberger et al., 2019). However, Christian J. Tams (2009) states that during the last two decades, the international community has “increasingly recognized a right of states to use unilateral force against terrorists. This new practice is justified under an expanded doctrine of self-defence”. However, he argues that the long-term use of a broader defined right to self-defence has led to their use of force regularly served non-defensive purposes, but that of retaliation. It has “turned into a 10
self-perpetuating military campaign serving a range of objectives. It is submitted that that campaign has clearly overstretched the boundaries of even the broadest understanding of self- defence.” (Tams, 2009). Under Just War theory, the only anticipatory force allowed is preemption as a response to an imminent attack (Dais, 2007). Following Tams´ (2009) statement on a wider definition of self- defence, Eugene E. Dais (2007) argues that “The difficulty with waging a counterwar on terrorism is that the war against terrorist networks has to be waged in states from whom no imminent armed attack would be observable or even forthcoming. Such use of force clearly goes beyond the preemptive self-defense that JWT […] permit.”. Thus, even with the justification of the use of a wider definition of self-defence when attacks are carried out by non- state actors, difficulties arise. Weiner (2007) continues that “There can be no question that governments that harbour terrorists act in violation of international law.”, and, thus, can be the subject of an attack under the use of self-defence. Weiner asserts that “Nevertheless, unless terrorists engage in forcible acts that are legally attributable to the supporting state under principles of state responsibility – that is, unless the terrorists are acting on the instructions or under the control of the supporting state – such violations do not justify the use of force against the supporting state.” (Weiner, 2007). Preemptive war Under international law, states can refer to self-defence for using preemptive actions when an act of aggression by another state is imminent (Rittberger et al., 2019). The same applies to jus ad bellum criterion, where preemptive actions to prevent a credible threat of an imminent attack from being realised is seen as just. However, to wage a preemptive war to defeat a potential adversary before it poses a direct threat or before its military power can grow to rival your own, is not just (Crawford, 2003). In many ways, the commonplace of non-state actors operating transnational terrorism has transformed the concept of war. The traditional methods for warfare and self-defence has been challenged and has changed the preconditions for war (Hunter, 2009). Terrorist organisations can be in the constant state of mobilization and preparedness, thus putting pressure on leaders to make immediate decisions (Crawford, 2003). Since the terrorist attacks of 9/11, the US has greatly increased the use of military preemption (Hunter, 2009). The Secretary of Defence during the Bush administration, Donald Rumsfeld, argued that “The only way to deal with the terrorists that has all the advantage of offense is to take the battle to them, and find them, and root them out. And that is self-defense.” (Rumsfeld, D. 2001a), and that “I 11
will say this, there is no question but that the United States of America has every right, as every country does, of self-defense, and the problem with terrorism is that there is no way to defend against the terrorists at every place and every time against every conceivable technique. Therefore, the only way to deal with the terrorist network is to take the battle to them. That is in fact what we're doing. That is in effect self-defense of a preemptive nature.” (Rumsfeld, D. 2001b). According to Crawford (2003), the Bush administration’s preemptive strategy is in large a preventive war strategy seeking to “maintain U.S. preeminence by reducing or eliminating the military capabilities of potential adversaries even before potential rivals have acquired that capabilities – and in the absence of a clear intention and plan to use weapons against the United States.”, where preventive war strategies are considered unjust (Crawford, 2003). Even so, the 2002 US National Security Strategy states that “The greater the threat, the greater is the risk of inaction – and the more compelling the case for taking anticipatory action to defend ourselves, even if uncertainty remains as to the time and place of the enemy's attack. To forestall or prevent such hostile acts by our adversaries, the United States will, if necessary, act preemptively." (United States, 2002). The Bush administration argued that a terrorist attack will give little evidence in advance, and, thus, the requirement for evidence should be reduced to the fear of means and motive for an assault (Crawford, 2003). However, the Bush administration still claimed that the preemptive war doctrine is legitimate and in accordance with international law (President George W. Bush, 2002). Targeted killings According to Melzer (2008), targeted killings are the intentional use of lethal force, used with “intent, premeditation and deliberation to kill”, targeting an individual or individuals specially selected in advance, with the specific goal of the operation to kill the targeted individual or individuals. Targeted killings are according to Thomas Byron Hunter (2009) a form of preemption, where the “goal is to proactively eliminate terrorists before they have a chance to inflict harm on the affected state’s citizens and or homeland.”, and can, according to Hunter (2009), since the tradition of war has changed, in some cases be just, and even necessary in the war against terrorism, in order to prevent an imminent attack. The US´ killing of major general Qasem Soleimani is regarded as a targeted killing. If a targeted killing is legal depends on the context; whether it is conducted outside of an armed conflict (jus ad bellum) or in an armed conflict (jus in bello). According to the UN report by the Special Rapporteur on 12
extrajudicial, summary or arbitrary executions, Philip Alston, the legal framework for a targeted killing outside an armed conflict is that “A State killing is legal only if it is required to protect life […] and there is no other means, such as capture or nonlethal incapacitation, of preventing that threat to life” (United Nations, General Assembly, 2010). However, targeted killings “cannot be legal because, unlike in armed conflict, it is never permissible for killing to be the sole objective of an operation”. Nonetheless, states have under humanitarian rights law “an obligation to exercise “due diligence” to protect the lives of individuals from attacks by […] terrorists.” Thus, lethal force is legal under human rights law if it is “strictly and directly necessary to save life” (United Nations, General Assembly, 2010). Since the attacks of 9/11, targeted killings have become an accepted part of the American foreign policy (Hunter, 2009). According to the Legal Adviser to the Department of State during the Obama administration, Harold Hongju Koh (2010), the Government’s legal justifications for targeted killings is the country’s inherent right to self-defence. Koh stated in 2010 that “the United States is in an armed conflict with al-Qaeda, as well as the Taliban and associated forces, in response to the horrific 9/11 attacks, and may use force consistent with its inherent right to self-defense under international law”. Thus, the justification for targeted killings comes from the US claim that the country has been and still are involved in an ongoing armed attack. Koh (2010) refers to the US as “continue to fight a war” and that “in this ongoing armed conflict, the United States has the authority under international law, and the responsibility to its citizens, to use force, including lethal force, to defend itself, including by targeting persons such as high-level al-Qaeda leaders who are planning attacks.”. The US justifies the approach of targeted killings as a part of the War on Terror, where terrorists are seen as combatants and not civilians, thus, legitimising them as targets (Hunter, 2009). Following this, this thesis would in its analysis have to take its stance from the principles of jus in bello, and the statement of an ongoing war should also apply to the killing of general Soleimani. An important question is what constitutes as an armed attack, and thus, justifies the use of extraterritorial force within the framework of self-defence. Alston (United Nations, General Assembly, 2010) states that the International Court of Justice (ICJ) has “established a high threshold for the kinds of attacks that would justify the extraterritorial use of force in self- defence”. From this view, the occasional and discrete attacks do not constitute an armed attack to which the use of extraterritorial force in self-defence is justified. However, Robert D. Sloane 13
(2008) argues that the legality of a defensive response in contemporary jus ad bellum instead should be judged by the “accumulation of discrete attacks […] – even if no one of these attacks would, in isolation, justify force against that state – may in the aggregate be deemed an "armed attack" under Article 51 of the U.N. Charter, giving rise to a right of self-defense.” (Sloane, 2008). Other, as the US scholar Kenneth Anderson (2009), advocates a broader view of the legality regarding self-defence sees that the self-defence doctrine can “justify the use of force against an individual.”. Thus, as Alston (United Nations, General Assembly, 2010) states, this would mean that “once the doctrine is invoked, no other legal frameworks or limiting principles – such as IHL – would apply to targeted killings”. This, according to Alston, shows a trend where the broadening view of self-defence justifies the extraterritorial use of force in targeted killings that leads to a further blurring of the line between jus ad bellum and jus ad bello (United Nations, General Assembly, 2010). To conclude, as Tams (2009) states, the developments that have been made in the practice of international law during the two last decades illustrates that the law of jus ad bellum is capable of adaptation. Unlike international law, “jus ad bellum is not deducted from some legal principle but borne out by actual practice of states” (Tams, 2009). 4. Research Design The following section will present the methodology, the material used along with source criticism, and the operationalisation, thus how this study is implemented. The section will also present the limitations for this study, the possible problems which need to be taken into account. The research question posed compels for the design of a case study in order to provide a “detailed and intensive analysis” of the issue (Bryman, 2012). Bryman (2012) writes that “case study research is concerned with the complexity and particular nature of the case in question.”, where the case is an object of interest in its own. The criticism of the case study concerns restricted extern validity. As Bryman (2012) says, a case study does not have the purpose of being generalizable to other cases, but rather the aim is to “generate an intensive examination of a single case, in relation to which they then engage in a theoretical analysis”. However, the choice of a single case study as a research design is motivated by the ambition to contribute to the understanding of how the Trump administration justifies its actions. According to Bryman (2012) a case study often includes a longitudinal element, when “a case that has been studied is returned to at a later stage.”. This study examines if the arguments presented by the Trump 14
administration are consistent over a time period of two months, thus using a longitudinal element. 3.1. Content analysis This thesis originates from the moral principles of Just War theory and seeks to analyse if, and in that case how, the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the killing of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani, is in line with this theory. In order to interpret the arguments given in the official statements made by the Trump administration to justify the killing of general Soleimani, an analytical tool for the language-based approach is the qualitative content analysis, a study of documents to examine patterns in the communication in a replicable and systematic manner (Bryman, 2012). Qualitative content analysis allows for an analysis that focuses on some selected aspects of the material and, thus, providing a substantial and relevant discussion of the research problem. The method involves the search of underlying themes in the material, which divides the material into different categories. The initial categories are taken from the theory guide of the study, with the operationalisation emerging during the reading of the material. Thus, the method provides for flexibility in the analysis that is useful in the search for different arguments in the material. However, this leads to a risk of certain themes being missed to be categorized (Bryman, 2012). A further critique against the use of qualitative content analysis is that the processes through which the themes are obtained are not particularly detailed. While conducting a qualitative content analysis, it is vital for this thesis to take into account the problem with reliability. Good reliability is the lack of unsystematic errors, whether the results would be replicable. To avoid possible problems with reliability in this thesis, transparency becomes crucial. To avoid misinterpretations, the statements have been analysed several times and quotations of the material and discussions regarded the interpretation of the quoted paragraphs hopes to show how the analysis has been conducted. The method of qualitative content analysis enables a focus on the core of the material valuable for the research question, namely the arguments presented for the justification of the killing of general Soleimani. Thus, a qualitative content analysis is considered the most applicable method for this study. 15
3.2. Selection of material In order to analyse if, and in that case how, the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the killing of general Soleimani are in line with Just War theory, this thesis will analyse statements from the Trump administration in the time period of just under two month after the attack. The analysis will build upon four official statements containing discussions regarding the aims justifying this attack from the perspective of the US. Starting from the afternoon after the attack, the first official statement that this thesis will build its analysis upon is the “Remarks by President Trump on the Killing of Qasem Soleimani” issued by the White House on January 3, 2020. The remark analysed is a transcribed speech by President Trump from his private resort in Mar-a-lago and is to a large extent directed to the American public. The second official statement is a statement to the President of the UN Security Council, Ambassador Dang Dinh Quy, by the Permanent Representative, Ambassador Kelly Craft. The statement was sent on January 8, 2020, five days after the attack. Third, a “United States Military Action Against Qassem Soleimani”, by the Trump administration sent to the Committee of Foreign Affairs on February 14, 2020 was analysed. Lastly, the fourth statement analysed is a transcribed speech from a hearing in the Committee of Foreign Affairs by the US Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, on February 28, 2020. The statements have been found on the White House’s and the Committee of Foreign Affairs’ website. The materials used for this thesis are concluded in Table 1. Title Source Date Remarks by President Trump on the US President Donald Trump January 3, 2020 Killing of Qasem Soleimani United States Mission to the United United States Mission to the January 8, 20202 Nations United Nations by the Permanent Representative, Ambassador Kelly Craft United States Military Action Against The Trump administration February 14, 2020 Qassem Soleimani 16
Opening Remarks by Secretary of State US Secretary of State Mike February 28, 2020 Michael R. Pompeo Before the House Pompeo Committee on Foreign Affairs Table 1: Materials These four statements are central statements from the Trump administration. While other statements exist, as the initial statement from the Department of Defense (Department of Defense, 2020) and comments made to the press, these have not been included in the analysis as they are too concise or not touching on the justification of the attack. Thus, it is possible that another selection of materials would yield a different conclusion. The first and the last statements, by President Trump and Secretary Pompeo, are more rhetorical, and thus, does not have as their main purpose to justify the attack based on international law. However, the other two statements aim to seek legitimacy from the UN Security Council and the Congress, more specifically the Committee of Foreign Affairs. The speech by President Trump is of importance to this thesis as is the first statement from the President and the initial justification presented to the American people. The letter to the UN is the US obliged to send according to Article 51 of the UN Charter (United Nations. 1945). Thus, this statement shows the justification presented to an actor as the UN. Further, the statement to the Congress is included as the President has responsibilities under the Congress, and thus, the Trump administration must answer to them. Lastly, the speech by Secretary Pompeo is of importance as it is a complement to the notice to Congress, as Secretary Pompeo after his speech where to answer questions from the representatives on the Committee of Foreign Affairs. The materials used for this thesis are subjective in nature, they are chosen because they speak for how the Trump administration justifies the killing of general Soleimani to the American people, to the Congress and the UN, not because they capture the actual intended motives behind the attack, as this is not the aim om this thesis. The view in the statement are not meant to represent the US as a whole and they have been criticised for example by the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, representative Eliot Engel (2020). Justifications for the attack presented before the event occurred are either non-existent or not open to the public, which is why no such statements are included in the material. The usage of statements from only after the attack leads to a risk of the arguments presented to justify the attack being reconstructed after the event, which this thesis is aware of and will discuss in the analysis. 17
3.3. Operationalisation In order to analyse if, and in that case how, the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the US’s action are in line with the principles of Just War theory through a qualitative content analysis, we need to look at the definitions of the principles of jus ad bellum, and how these should be interpreted. First and foremost, this thesis will search for if there is, or is not, an attempt made to justify the killing of general Soleimani based on the Just War theory in the statements analysed. Thus, this thesis will also acknowledge what is not stated. Further, this thesis will, if there is an attempt to justify the killing of general Soleimani based on the Just War theory, search for how these arguments are used. This thesis will firstly search for the phrases cause, legitimate authority or intention. However, as we cannot expect the statements to be structured in the way of cause, authority and intention, we further need to actively search for wordings and expressions that can be interpreted to express these principles. In Table 2 below, wordings and expressions that can be interpreted to express the cause, the authority and the intention, are presented. The analysis is not based on the literal phrases given in Table 2, but the broader interpretation of these phrases that indicates justifying arguments to the respective principles. Definition of principle (Johnson, Could indicate a Could indicate a 1999) justification in line with justification not in line Just War theory with Just War theory Just Cause Justifies the use of force not out of § Protect civilians § Response to previous self-interest but for the sake of § Inherent right to self- attacks others: those who are in need of defence § Fight against defence or who have suffered § Imminent threat terrorists wrongs needing to be righted § International peace § War on Terror and security Legitimate The person or body authorizing the § According to UN § Unilaterally Authority use of force must be the duty Charter authorized representative of a § International law sovereign political entity, the § President authority authorization to use force implies § Authority from the ability to control and cease that Congress use 18
Right The intention must be in § Restore international § Regime change intention accordance with the just cause and peace and security § Protect national not with the aim of territorial § End hostilities interests expansion, intimidation or coercion Table 2: Operationalisation These phrases are decided on by the author of this thesis and build on the definition of the principles defined above in the section for theory. As the operationalisation is constructed by the author of this thesis, another author might interpret the definition differently and thus chose other key wordings to build their analysis upon, thus creating problems of validity. Validity is the lack of systematic errors, that the operationalisation corresponds accurately with the theoretical definition, that we analyse what we intend to analyse (Esaiasson et al., 2017). The operationalisation builds upon the definition and discussion regarding the principles made by Johnson (1999) and uses wordings and expressions that could indicate a justification in line with or not in line, the antonyms of these wordings and expressions, with the Just War theory. 5. Results and Analysis In this section, the empirical findings of this study will be presented and analysed. The section will begin by analysing each of the four official statements structured after the principles of just cause, legitimate authority and right intention, according to the wordings and expressions presented in the operationalisation. Lastly, this analysis will conduct a summarising discussion comparing the similarities and differences in the arguments presented. Examples of arguments from the material will be presented in forms of quotations and discussed. Each part of this section will be explored in the light of the selected theory and argue in accordance with the research question - if, and in that case how, are the arguments presented by the Trump administration used to justify the killing of major general Qasem Soleimani in line with the principles of Just War theory? 4.1. Remarks by President Trump on the Killing of Qasem Soleimani Just Cause In his speech on the afternoon on January 3, 2020, President Donald Trump opens with calling general Soleimani the “number-one terrorist anywhere in the world” and refers to Soleimani through the IRGC´ Quds Force for years being leading in attacks against “American civilians 19
and servicemen”, contributed in the planning of terror plots around the world, and that Soleimani “has been perpetrating acts of terror to destabilize the Middle East for the last 20 years.”. By labelling Soleimani a top terrorist, one could say that Trump justifies the killing as part of the US´ War on Terror doctrine, where Soleimani on the basis of being a designated terrorist becomes a legitimate target, although not mentioning the War on Terror explicitly. Trump refers to protecting American civilians in the Middle East region and on American ground from terrorist attacks in the future. In a broader perspective, Trump also speaks of the protection of civilians around the world from future terrorist attacks. In the remarks, it is also said that Soleimani recently led the “repression of protestors in Iran” were “civilians were tortured and killed by their own government”. Referring to the protection of civilians, not only American civilians in the region but also Iranian civilians, is an argument seeking to justify the US´ action on humanitarian ground with references to the Iranian state committing crimes to their own people. The definition for just cause states that force should not be used out of self- interest but for the sake of others. Thus, the use of military force based on humanitarian ground is to be seen as just according to the Just War theory. However, this argument is not brought up as the reason for the attack, but rather seems to be a reconstruction after the attack in an attempt to justify it. What is of deepest interest is the statement is that “Soleimani was plotting imminent and sinister attacks on American diplomats and military personnel, but we caught him in the act and terminated him.”. The cause here becomes clear, it is to stop an imminent attack and protect American diplomats and military personnel. However, looking at the other official statements from the Trump administration analysed in this thesis, this is the only notion of an imminent attack. With the knowledge in present time, no evidence of an imminent attack planned by Iran exists, which is also affirmed by the UN report regarding the killing of Soleimani from June 2020 (United Nations, General Assembly, 2020). Instead, we look at the previous attacks mentioned to find the arguments justifying the attack killing Soleimani. The preceding attacks mentioned extend over a long period of time and cannot be seen as an imminent threat which constitutes the ground for self-defence. Trump also does not explicitly state that the US acted in self-defence, only that as President “my highest and most solemn duty is the defense of our nation and its citizens.”. Thus, the underlying motive for the attack can be interpreted as retaliation, which cannot be said to be in line with the principle of just cause. 20
Legitimate Authority Throughout the statement, Trump points to his responsibility and authority as President to take action. He starts by referring to the duty as a president and uses the language of “at my direction” and “Under my leadership”. The US has the military power to and the ability to "control and cease that use” of force, as stated in the definition of legitimate authority. However, never once in this remark he lifts the topic of international law, if this attack is authorised by the Charter of the UN, if this lies within his mandate as the President or if he has obligations under the Congress. Towards the end of the speech, Trump states that “I am ready and prepared to take whatever action is necessary.”, meaning that his administration unilaterally is prepared to use military power to answer threats or attacks. Thus, it can be questioned if President Trump was an authorized representative under the UN and Congress. Right Intention In this statement, the intention can be interpreted to be bisectional. Trump says that “We do not seek regime change.” and that he has the deepest “respect for the Iranian people. They are a remarkable people, with an incredible heritage and unlimited potential.”. However, he also states that “The future belongs to the people of Iran – those who seek peaceful coexistence and cooperation – not the terrorist warlords who plunder their nation to finance bloodshed abroad.” and that “the Iranian regime´s aggression in the region, […] must end, and it must end now.”. Thus, implying he wants to see another government, even though he claims the opposite. The last quote might indicate the intention to prevent attacks on American citizens in the region, but, however, it also breaths that the intention is to deter Iran from carrying out further attacks, thus, going against the definition for the right intention for using deterrence. In his statement, Trump also uses intimidation when he declares that “To terrorists who harm or intend to harm any American, we will find you; we will eliminate you.”. This quote is not specifically addressed to Soleimani, the IRGC´ Quds Force, or Iran, but constitutes a threat to the regime. By using intimidation, the argumentation goes against the principle for the right intention. The speech is a rhetorical statement that could be seen as self-confident and which does not see the need to justify the killing according to moral principles of Just war or to international law. 21
4.2. United States Mission to the United Nations Just Cause The arguments presented to justify the cause of the attack on Soleimani in the letter to the UN differs from President Trump's remarks. The letter, published on January 8, takes its stance on the US´s “exercise of its inherent right of self-defense.”, pointing to Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations. The letter states that “These actions were in response to an escalating series of armed attacks in recent months by the Islamic Republic of Iran and Iran-supported militias on U.S. forces and interests in the Middle East region” implemented in order to maintain “international peace and security”. The letter brings up several examples of attacks, and even threats of attacks, which all can be seen as rather moderate and, thus, not in proportion of killing a high-ranking military leader of a state. What is notable is the change in what arguments are used depending on whom is the recipient. References to international peace and security or the UN-Charter did not occur in the remarks by the President on the morning after the attack, but is of importance in this letter, given the recipient is the Security Council. What is further notable is the absence of any reference to an imminent threat. This can be interpreted as the Trump administration lacks substantial evidence for the imminent threat brought up in the remarks by the President and haven't found such evidence at the time of publishing this letter. As the existence of an imminent threat is a key vindication for an act of self-defence, it is remarkable. The principle of self-defence can, thus, be questioned. As in the remarks from the President, the underlying motive for the attack can be understood as retaliation, which does not go in line with just cause. This letter also addresses the importance of diplomacy, in the quote “we remain committed to a diplomatic resolution. We stand ready to engage without preconditions in serious negotiations with Iran, with the goal of preventing further endangerment of international peace and security or escalation by the Iranian regime.”. The mentioning of diplomacy and the usage of words such as negotiations are new and is in line with the more moderate appearance of this letter and demonstrates the change in how the arguments used to justify the attack are presented. However, this does not change the stance that the arguments presented in this letter are not in line with Just War theory. In contrast to the remarks by the President, there is no mention at all of Soleimani´s name and no claims of him being a terrorist or the IRGC´ Quds Force being a terrorist organisation, which may come from the UN not having designated the IRGC´ Quds 22
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