The transition to good fashion - report - authors Sophie Buchel Chris Roorda Karlijn Schipper Derk Loorbach - Dutch Research Institute for ...

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The transition to good fashion - report - authors Sophie Buchel Chris Roorda Karlijn Schipper Derk Loorbach - Dutch Research Institute for ...
report

The transition
to good fashion

date            authors
November 2018   Sophie Buchel
                Chris Roorda
                Karlijn Schipper
                Derk Loorbach

                design & graphics
                Ruiter Janssen

                                    1
The transition to good fashion - report - authors Sophie Buchel Chris Roorda Karlijn Schipper Derk Loorbach - Dutch Research Institute for ...
Contents

p. 3    Foreword

p. 6    Introduction

p. 10   1. A systems analysis of global fashion

p. 17   2. Dynamics in the fashion transition

p. 24   3. Fashion as a force for good

p. 29   4. Moving towards good fashion

p. 39   5. Fostering the transition towards good fashion

p. 43   Endnotes

                                                           2
Foreword

The deeply rooted issues in the global fashion      But, this report has also raised further
industry need solutions and collaboration that      questions:
can disrupt the status quo. Significant positive
momentum has emerged, for example, in               1. How can we strengthen our collaboration
innovative materials with lower environmental       with other actors to create the conditions for
footprints, in small-medium sized companies         transformational alternatives to scale?
breaking the traditional mold of linear business
models and in multi-stakeholder collaboration       2. What positive dynamics of change are
to improve working conditions.                      happening outside of the European context
                                                    that we can learn from and utilise?
We all share a desire to create a fashion
industry that allows people and ecosystems          3. How can circular economy promote equity
to thrive. But, what pathways have the most         and inclusion in the fashion industry?
power to disrupt and transform, and does this
include circular fashion?                           All of these questions have a common theme
                                                    - additionality. We have an opportunity to
We posed this question to the systems change        build bridges between different areas of
research institute, DRIFT, because we wanted        sustainability, in different geographies and in
to stress test our hypothesis that a transition     different parts of the value chain. We hope
to circular fashion is indeed necessary and that    that this report provides inspiration to find
we have the right strategies in place to foster     more ways to work together to accelerate the
this transition.                                    transition to good fashion.

The analysis by DRIFT shows that circular
fashion does have a critical role in transforming   Katrin Ley
the sector, but it also shows that there is room    Managing Director Fashion for Good
to improve our strategies. C&A Foundation
has responded by increasingly focusing on           Douwe Jan Joustra
facilitating the implementation of circular         Head of Circular Transformation,
business models, as well as by thinking beyond      C&A Foundation
the apparel sector in policy advocacy. In
addition, Fashion for Good will build more
processes that connect mainstream and niche
players, so that innovation has a better chance
of moving beyond experimentation in the
margins.

                                                                                                      3
About DRIFT                                        About C&A Foundation

DRIFT is a leading research institute in           C&A Foundation is here to transform the
the field of sustainability transitions. We        fashion industry. We give our partners the
develop and share transformative knowledge         financial support, expertise and networks
to support people, cities, sectors and             so they can make the fashion industry work
organizations to engage proactively with           better for every person it touches. We do this
transitions. DRIFT has four main activities that   because we believe that despite the vast and
complement, ground and inspire each other:         complex challenges we face, we can work
academic research, consultancy, education          together to make fashion a force for good.
and public dialogue. Together with the many
people and institutes we collaborate with, we      www.candafoundation.org
aim to accelerate transitions towards more
just, sustainable and resilient societies.

www.drift.eur.nl

About Fashion for Good

Fashion for Good is the global initiative that
is here to make all fashion good. It’s a global
platform for innovation, made possible
through collaboration and community. With
an open invitation to the entire apparel
industry, Fashion for Good convenes brands,
producers, retailers, suppliers, non-profit
organisations, innovators and funders united
in their shared ambition.

www.fashionforgood.com

                                                                                                    4
“ We  built our
  business
  models based
  on infinite
  growth. There
  needs to be a
  new model that
  sells something
  different.
                        ”
Edwin Keh, Hong Kong Institute of
Textile and Apparel

                                    5
Introduction

The global fashion industry has developed        levers for change and suggested interventions
into a highly complex system entrenched in       (see Chapters 5 and 6). The transition
economic and physical structures, cultures       pathways build on the dynamics of change
and practices that enable fast and large-        that already exist in the industry (and other
scale production of apparel and provides         sectors), and by convening actors around
employment to millions across the world.         these pathways this energy can be leveraged
Within this system, a myriad of persistent       to accelerate the transition.
challenges has emerged over the last few
decades resulting in negative environmental
impacts and severe social issues. Private,
public and civil society actors have             APPLYING A TRANSITIONS
condemned these issues, and the movement         PERSPECTIVE
towards a more sustainable fashion industry
is growing with increasing pre-competitive       Transitions are large-scale shifts in societal
collaboration and a broadening variety of        systems that emerge over decades. They
alternative practices, materials and business    occur in societal systems that face complex
models that pave the way for the fashion         and persistent problems due to historical
industry of the future.                          path dependencies and lock-ins. Based on
                                                 scientific research on transitions, we can
So far, however, sustainability efforts in the   see transitions as non-linear and relatively
industry have not yet managed to add up to       uncontrolled structural shifts resulting from
a transformation of the fashion system, and      the interaction between increasing societal
the fashion industry shows signs of initiative   pressures, internal crises and competing
fatigue and slow progress. There is a need to    alternatives. It usually takes decades for such
understand how initiatives are reinforcing or    pressures to build, after which, in a relatively
challenging the status quo and how collective    short period of time (a few years), the status
efforts in the industry can more effectively     quo is disrupted, a fundamentally different
add up to transformative change.                 way of thinking, doing and organizing
                                                 becomes dominant and the system reaches a
The deeply-rooted issues in the global           new equilibrium.
fashion industry call for solutions that
fundamentally challenge the current status       A current and well-known example of this
quo. For this reason, C&A Foundation and         is the energy transition, which has been
Fashion for Good asked DRIFT to develop a        gradually building momentum since the
systems change map to better understand          1970s in countries in the global north. Only
the dynamics of change from a transitions        with the large-scale diffusion of renewable
perspective and to provide recommendations       energy technologies and the pressures of
for transformative change towards a              climate mitigation policies of the last decade
regenerative and restorative fashion industry.   has real acceleration started to take place.
This report provides a number of strategic       Understanding how such transitions evolve
perspectives to accelerate the fashion           and develop offers possibilities for achieving
transition in the form of transition pathways,   the desired large- scale societal changes

                                                                                                    6
more quickly than following business-as-usual      • The ‘X-curve’ of transition dynamics
scenarios does. From the study of past and           (transition curve): this model of transitions
ongoing transitions, insights have been gained       shows that transformative change requires
into how actors can make use of the dynamics         not only the breakdown of existing
in transitions to influence their direction          structures, cultures and practices but also
and speed. From these insights, methods              building up a new system. It allows for a
of transition management and transition              more nuanced understanding of different
governance have been formulated, elements            phases of systems change and how the
of which we used for this study.                     patterns of build- up and break-down co-
                                                     evolve. It allows more specific and targeted
Transitions cannot be predicted, planned or          interventions to be developed throughout
managed with management approaches,                  desired transitions.
as they emerge from complex adaptive
societal systems. However, it is possible to       • Envisioning and back-casting transition
anticipate upcoming opportunities, create            pathways: a collaborative method to
fruitful conditions for change and reinforce         envision narrative pathways towards
developments that together can influence             an alternative future by back-casting
the direction and speed of a transition. In          from a guiding vision and shaping
order to do this successfully, we have to be         principles, through paths to breakthrough
careful not to isolate or over-simplify either       interventions.
the persistent problems the fashion industry
faces or the strategies used to address them.      • Actor analysis: collaborative mapping of
To understand where and how to intervene             relevant actors and their position on the
to foster transformative change, we must first       transition curve and the transition pathways
acknowledge the complexity of the system.            as developed using the previous tools.
This was the starting point of our analysis.
                                                   The systems analysis using these tools was
                                                   done in three steps, each enriching the
                                                   findings of the previous step: desk study,
APPROACH                                           interviews and participatory sessions. The
                                                   literature review mainly used primary and
A systems analysis needs to address the root       secondary sources (see references) to inform
causes of persistent problems and identify the     the analysis of the current system. Eight
potential patterns, pressures and levers related   semi-structured interviews were conducted
to transformative change. Therefore, we have       with experts from different parts of the world
used transition tools to map, explore, analyze     and different types of organizations. We
and strategize ‘elements of transition’: those     facilitated three participatory sessions for
dynamics, actors, innovations, opportunities       which we invited small but diverse groups of
and contexts that when combined could              change agents, both from within and outside
build towards a desired future of the fashion      the fashion industry, who are committed
industry. We used four mapping tools based         to a transition in the industry. The sessions
on the scientific theory of transformative         focused on describing the current situation
change (transition studies):                       and developing ways forward to increase the
                                                   transformative power of the fashion industry
• The Multilevel Perspective: the multilevel       (using the tools mentioned above). In total, 15
  perspective allows a snapshot mapping            external participants joined our collaborative
  of macro-trends, meso-level industry             sessions, and another 14 external people
  change (or lack of it) and micro-level           provided feedback during a presentation
  initiatives (niches). This provides a better     of preliminary results. We want to thank
  understanding of the interactions between
  these different levels of change.

                                                                                                     7
everybody who participated and provided
input throughout the process (including all
the people at C&A Foundation and Fashion
for Good); this report is the result of our
collaborative efforts.

We recognize the myriad of single- and
multi-actor initiatives in the fashion sector
working towards a more sustainable future. In
developing this report, we built upon various
recent publications regarding circular fashion
including (but not limited to) A new textiles
economy by the Ellen MacArthur Foundation
and the Pulse of Fashion reports and CEO
Agenda by the Global Fashion Agenda. We
built upon these efforts and placed emphasis
on transformative change from a transitions
perspective.

STRUCTURE OF THE REPORT

In the next chapter, we analyze the three
levels of the current fashion system: the
landscape, the regime and the niches. In
Chapter 3, the dynamics of build-up and
breakdown of the fashion transition are
described. We explore the guiding vision
and shaping principles underlying the desired
future in which fashion is a force for good
in Chapter 4. In Chapter 5, we introduce
six transition pathways that inspire moving
from the current system to a good fashion
future, including an exploration of levers
of change, milestones and interventions
for each pathway. Finally in Chapter 6, we
highlight some of the key interventions from
all pathways that we feel are essential for
fostering transformative change in the
fashion industry.

                                                 8
“   The fashion
    system leaves
    capacities
    of people
    underutilized
    while exhausting
    natural resources.
    Humanity is
    smart enough
    to change this.
                          ”
Femke Groothuis, Ex’Tax

                              9
1. A systems analysis of
global fashion

This chapter outlines the analysis of the                        problems; landscape influences that reinforce
current global fashion system from a                             or challenge the status quo; and niche
transitions perspective. The fashion system                      developments experimenting with alternative
is analyzed on three levels: the regime or                       ways of doing, thinking and organizing. The
dominant culture, structure and practices,                       relations are summarized in Figure 1.
including the root causes of persistent

                                        The  current
                                         The current   fashion
                                                     fashion      system
                                                             system

  Landscape

                                                             Reinforcing:
                                                             Consumerism
                                                             Population & GDP growth

                                                             Challenging:
                                                             Environmental & climate policies
                                                             Resource volatility
                                                             Public attention to social issues

                                      Disconnected                     Uncontrollable

  Regime                                                                                            Reinforcing:
                                                                                                    Platform economy
                             Extractive & growth driven                   Disposable
                                                                                                    Revival of cooperatives
                                                                                                   Information technology
                                                                                                   & blockchain
                                                      The regime                                  Fourth industrial revolution
                                                     sustains itself
                                                                                                 Responsible consumption
                                                                                                 Natural capital paradigm

  Niches

Figure 1: The landscape, regime and niches of the current fashion system

                                                                                                                                 10
DOMINANT CULTURE, STRUCTURE                          Many brands and retailers argue that the
AND PRACTICES (REGIME)                               inertia of the industry is due to the lack of
                                                     consumer willingness to pay for sustainable
The fashion industry is a huge economic              products, and the rising demand for
engine and its supply networks span the              affordable clothing supports this claim².
globe. It is the third biggest manufacturing         On the other hand, some observe a latent
industry (after automotive and electronics)1,        demand for guilt-free consumption, and
generates over 1.5 trillion euros annually2          international surveys report that 55% of
and employs an estimated 60 million people           people are willing to pay more for more
worldwide. Furthermore, over 100 million             sustainable clothing4. However, research
households depend on the cotton industry for         also shows that there is a considerable
their livelihoods3. If the textile industry were a   gap between sustainability intentions and
country, it would be the seventh largest based       behavior6.
on GDP.4 Because the industry is relatively
easily accessible to low-income countries and        From a consumer perspective, clothing
generates employment opportunities and               transcended its function as a basic need
income, it is often described as ‘an engine for      centuries ago. The way we dress and where
global development’². Furthermore, global            we shop both signify and shape personal
clothing production and sales have doubled           and group identity and culture. At the same
between 2000 and 2015, with the number of            time, consumer choices are influenced by
garments produced annually surpassing 100            marketing images that brands and retailers
billion in 20145. In other words, the fashion        publish across a wide variety of media and in
industry is not only large, it is also growing       public spaces, promoting new products and
rapidly.                                             trends. The short time horizon of trends and
                                                     style-driven purchases leads to the consumer
The dominant regime can be broken down               ‘need’ to continuously renew products.
into three elements: culture, structure and          Producers and consumers treat garments as
practices. These three aspects of the regime         disposable products, which is shown by the
include institutions, social conventions,            trend of declining clothing utilization5.
socially accepted behavior, laws, policies and
infrastructures, which together compose and
define the fashion system.                           Structure

                                                     The fashion industry is characterized by
Culture                                              mature production technologies¹ and its
                                                     physical infrastructure is based on a linear
The fashion market is highly competitive and         production and consumption process. The
demand is growing for increasingly low-cost          industry extracts a large amount of natural
products in large quantities. This results in        resources, and products mostly end up in
a continuous and accelerated race to the             landfill or incineration after use. Less than 1%
bottom. Yet company profits must grow,               of apparel waste is recycled into material for
which for a large part of the industry, means        new apparel5.
the number of items sold must increase. To
meet these demands, a significant part of            The fashion industry is highly fragmented,
the industry has developed and perfected             anonymous and globalized. The 10 biggest
the ‘fast fashion’ model over the last decade,       brands and retailers have a joint 10% global
which has transformed the seasonal turnover          market share, and the top 10 suppliers in
in fashion into a constantly changing stream         China have 8% national market share7. The
of trends and new products. The dominant             fashion industry involves numerous small and
business model builds on the assumption of           medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) throughout
infinite growth.                                     the value chain. This fragmentation

                                                                                                        11
problematizes collective action. Furthermore,       Practices
traditional retailers are increasingly struggling
to compete in the current market (especially        The short-term business strategy in much of
compared to online retailers8), leading to an       the industry is one of lower prices and higher
estimated closing of almost 10,000 stores in        turnover. As a result, manufacturers have to
20179.                                              be increasingly flexible in switching from one
                                                    product to another. The traditional design-
Power imbalances exist within the supply            to-sales process needs almost two years, but
chain, between governments and companies,           the fast fashion model needs four months12.
and between the global north and the global         This leads to manufacturers subcontracting
south. However, the levels of consumption           and making excessive overtime. This business
in the global south are soon expected               model is prone to the exploitation of
to outgrow those in the global north10.             manufacturing workers resulting in issues like
In other words, the north-south divide of           poverty-line wages, severe health and safety
consumers versus producers no longer holds.         issues and worker repression.
Nevertheless, the knowledge-intensive part
of the value chain is still largely concentrated    The production of garments depends
in the global north, while the labor-intensive      heavily on the intense use of non-renewable
part is based in the global south4. In recent       resources (e.g. fossil fuels) and intensive
years, manufacturers and suppliers in Asia have     farming practices (e.g. using GMOs, fertilizers,
consolidated (especially in China), thereby         pesticides and high volumes of water).
growing more powerful within supply chains.         There are also many externalities produced
According to one of our interviewees, most          throughout the value chain (e.g. greenhouse
Asian manufacturing entities are multinationals     gas emissions, freshwater contamination,
that manufacture in very large volumes. They        over-extraction of groundwater) that are partly
are in a position to invest and differentiate       a result of meeting the prices demanded by
themselves. Some manufacturers even                 much of the market.
purchased their customers and are selecting
who they do business with.

However, some other nations in the global
south – such as Bangladesh and Cambodia –           THE FASHION REGIME IN
depend largely on the garment industry for          CONTEXT (LANDSCAPE)
employment and economic opportunities.
There is lack of regulation on environmental        The fashion industry does not operate
standards and little enforcement of labor           in isolation. The system is subjected to
regulation of the industry in most (consuming       global and autonomous developments
and producing) countries. Although there            and trends. These macro-developments
is increasing EU regulation in the health           are either reinforcing or putting pressure
and safety domain, such as in the use of            on the regime. Some trends strengthen
chemicals².                                         the persistency, contributing to a further
                                                    ‘lock-in’ of the system. However, these
In response to the lack of enforcement              landscape developments could also, as
or regulation, the private sector and civil         counter-movements, offer opportunities for
society are working more closely to create,         transformation and provide the building
non-binding and in some cases, binding              blocks for pathways to a better future.
agreements to address the issues. The most
notable example followed the Tazreen and            Demographic developments such as
Rana Plaza factory tragedies where brands and       population growth and increasing global
local trade unions formed the legally binding       wealth are global trends that lead to a
‘Accord on Fire and Safety in Bangladesh’11.        growing demand for clothing and increased

                                                                                                       12
consumption and thus further reinforce
the current regime. As a result of these            EMERGING FASHION ALTERNATIVES
demographic trends, geopolitics and the             (NICHES)
global economy, the power dynamics in the
industry are shifting. The market shares of         The term ‘niches’ refers to initiatives that
brands and retailers in the global north are        experiment with new and/or alternative
declining as competitors in other parts of the      ways of doing, thinking and organizing. The
world grow7, and SMEs and online retailers          experimentation that is happening in the
gain momentum8. At the same time, they              fashion industry is very diverse, but can be
are losing their leadership role as suppliers       broadly characterized into three categories:
grow and consolidate, pulling power in their
direction.                                          • Technology and Fibers
                                                      Recycling innovations (e.g. automated
Due to the global consumption increase, the           sorting, chemical recycling); 3D-printing;
strain on resources has also increased. The           virtual prototyping; robotic or AI
modes of production in the fashion industry           automation; design for circularity; use of
contribute to the depletion and pollution of          new materials (e.g. fruit leather or algae);
natural resources, thereby posing a threat            rediscovery of existing materials (e.g. hemp,
to the natural capital on which it depends13.         flax); innovations that reduce the impact
The increasing global urgency to deal with            of the dyeing process and water, energy
environmental issues and climate change is            and chemical use (e.g. with enzymes and
pushing governments to take measures to               nanotechnology)
minimize the emissions of greenhouse gasses
(symbolized by the Paris Agreement)14 and           • Business Models and Customer Relations
implement strict environmental regulations,           Fashion as a service and longer-term or
including policies that integrate measures            personalized relationships with customers
related to circular economy (e.g. waste               (e.g. lease/rent models, reuse, remake,
management legislation in the EU15, China16           repair, resell, personalization, on-demand
and India17). These policies increase the             production); customer behavior and social
pressure on the industry to address its               media customer trends (e.g. minimalism,
environmental footprint.                              capsule wardrobes, zero waste, slow
                                                      fashion, sharing initiatives, vintage20)
Consumerist culture is also expanding
around the globe18. The values and behavior         • Value Chain Models and Partnerships
of most people feed the current business              Ethical brands working closely with
model of the fashion industry because they            manufacturers; short supply chains; local for
demand high quantities of new products and            local (or regional) production and reshoring;
affordability drives purchasing decisions more        radical transparency initiatives; IT-based
than durability. This trend is not limited to the     traceability initiatives using blockchain (e.g.
fashion industry, but apparel takes a central         Bext360); environmental profit and loss
place in consumer culture. On the other hand,         accounting (e.g. Kering)
there is also growing attention to social and
environmental injustices19, not just in the         The 2018 Pulse of Fashion report21 contains an
fashion industry, but across industries and         overview of disruptive innovations throughout
consumer goods. This public attention puts a        the fashion supply chain, including many of
spotlight on the issues of the fashion industry     the ones listed above. The report Service-
and creates pressure for change.                    based Business Models & Circular Strategies
                                                    for Textiles by SITRA and Circle Economy22
                                                    showcases case studies of a wide variety of
                                                    niche innovations and initiatives, including
                                                    many (SME) companies working on new
                                                    business models or circular products.
                                                                                                        13
Often niche initiatives also encompass new          manufacturers and suppliers carrying a
and/or alternative (power) relations, roles,        disproportionate amount of social and
narratives and words. This becomes especially       environmental risk).
clear in niches on the consumer side. Vintage
clothing and the use of alternative natural         • Uncontrollable
fibers show that niches are not a synonym           The industry operates in an unregulated
to new, in that alternatives could also be old      global market where negative externalities
solutions reinvented. Niches (or upcoming           can be produced freely, becoming a
alternatives) harbor the arguments for              ‘footloose’ industry that moves production to
change and thus offer the building blocks for       wherever it is cheapest, with strong vested
pathways (see Chapter 5).                           interests to keep practices opaque.

                                                    • Extractive & growth-driven
                                                    When price is the major point of competition
UNSUSTAINABILITY OF THE                             between companies in the supply chain,
CURRENT FASHION REGIME                              margins and externalities are squeezed to
                                                    maximize profits, and sustainability is often
In spite of improvement efforts to turn             considered a costly additional feature. The
the fashion industry into a force for good,         supply chain relies heavily on non-renewable
it seems that the mainstream industry’s             fossil resources and virgin resource inputs.
development pathways remain along the
lines of expansion, optimization, growth,           • Disposable
low-cost production and high consumption.           The culture in the global north and
This is largely due to the industry’s path          increasingly in the global south values
dependency: the established structures,             consumption and individualism and often at
networks, routines, technologies and                the expense of durability. Customers demand
production processes keep the fashion               quantity and novelty and they dispose of
industry locked in. Rather than looking at          items quickly.
the symptoms of unsustainability of these
processes, we need to look at the underlying        These four characteristics combined help
structural characteristics of the fashion           explain both the relatively marginal effect of
industry that keep it locked in. Only when          many attempts to move towards sustainability
these fundamental persistent problems are           and the longer-term inevitability of structural
structurally addressed (e.g. in a transition) can   change. The marginal effects of interventions
the fashion industry secure a future where          and sustainability efforts relate to the
people can thrive.                                  complexity and incumbent nature of the
                                                    fashion regime: small changes are absorbed
Emerging from the transition perspective and        by the regime as it continuously adapts to
our analysis of the fashion regime, we have         changing contexts through, for example, the
identified the following four characteristics at    geographical movement of manufacturing,
the root of the unsustainability of the fashion     the invention of new materials and chemicals
system. These characteristics of the regime         that are not yet regulated or illegal practices
– combined with some of the landscape               (e.g. forced labor or discarding untreated
pressures – reinforce each other and create a       wastewater into the environment). However,
cycle of persistency:                               a lock-in is also the early phase of a future
                                                    transition: society will increasingly push for
• Disconnected                                      structural changes and provide a fruitful
The transactional relationships, fragmentation      context for it, and entrepreneurial actors will
and unequal power relations that characterize       develop new alternatives. We have described
the industry lead to collective irresponsibility,   a number of the niches, but we can also
conservatism and risk aversion (with                point to a number of broader landscape

                                                                                                      14
developments that gradually increase               An emerging policy and academic discourse
pressures for transition.                          on natural capital solutions27 is trying to
                                                   develop assessment and reporting standards
While the above landscape trends influence         for ecosystems and natural resources to aid
the regime, other landscape influences can         the limitation of environmental degradation.
offer inspiration for niche developments in        On top of this, geo-political developments
fashion. The growing importance of social          – such as the currently strained China-USA
media and digitalization are changing the          relations and ‘trade war’28 – affect economic
face of the fashion industry23, pushing retail     policies (i.e. increased protectionism) and
online and creating new interactive platforms      trade relations within markets or industries.
for communication and interaction between          Should this trend continue, it will likely
consumers and producers and within the             change the geography of production and
supply chain. The emerging availability of IT      consumption as well as the resources used
innovations, for example data tracking and         (and wasted) in the fashion industry.
sharing technologies such as blockchain, has
the potential to change traceability in the
industry. The growth of the platform economy
and the sharing/renting economy in other
industries (including fast-growing service
platforms such as Uber, AirBnB and Deliveroo)
is transforming the way value chains operate
and how customers find suppliers.

Other innovations such as 3D-printing and
automation could change the nature of
manufacturing. Besides the opportunities
that the ‘fourth industrial revolution’ has from
a business perspective (to lower production
costs and change the quality of work, for
example), it could also mean the loss of many
jobs in textile and garment manufacturing if
the disruption is unmanaged24.

There is a revival in cooperatives and other
structures of decentralized local ownership
and governance25. These cooperatives
are popping up in agriculture, energy,
healthcare and manufacturing. It could offer
opportunities for the circular fashion industry,
for instance through worker-owned factories
or local closed-loop systems. This trend ties
in with a growing undercurrent of unsatisfied
citizens who are disillusioned by the capitalist
structures and use bottom-up organization
and social media to explore alternative,
more sustainable ways of living, producing
and consuming, including the ‘prosumer’
movement26 in renewable energy and
agriculture.

                                                                                                   15
“ Money   doesn’t
  buy the lead.
  A lot of
  bottom-up,
  unexpected
  companies
  will make the
  change.
                       ”
Orsola de Castro, Fashion Revolution

                                       16
2. Transition dynamics in
   the fashion system

   The analytical framework used in Chapter 2                             emergence, institutionalization and
   provides an overview of the multiple levels                            stabilization. Simultaneously, the existing
   that together constitute the fashion system.                           regime moves along a downward curve from
   In this chapter, we will focus on the dynamics                         a first optimization stage to destabilization,
   displayed in the current system by looking                             chaos, breakdown and phase-out. The
   at the change efforts in the sector using                              transition curve represents the patterns
   the x-curve model of transition dynamics                               of build-up and breakdown that coincide
   (represented in Figure 2).                                             and interact in a transition, and they can
                                                                          reinforce or counteract each other. In reality,
   In a transition, the flaws in the current regime                       these transition dynamics are chaotic and
   are challenged by niche developments and                               non-linear, with actors moving in different
   exacerbated by landscape pressures, usually                            or opposing directions and developments
   over a period of several decades. During this                          in the system occurring at different points
   time, an alternative system gradually matures                          of the transition curve simultaneously.
   in the margins. This alternative regime                                Furthermore, these dynamics are not
   emerges from the niches during a period                                necessarily a conscious process in which
   of acceleration in which it is scaled up until                         actors are aware of the ongoing transition30.
   it reaches a tipping point and replaces the                            Transition dynamics can be mapped along
   old regime. These transition dynamics are                              (roughly) ten stages of transition, five on the
   visualized using a transition curve29.                                 downwards “established” curve and five on
                                                                          the upwards “emerging” curve31 (see Figure
   In this simplified model of a transition,                              2). This chapter is a snapshot of the transition
   niches develop along an upwards curve                                  dynamics in the current fashion system.
   from experimentation to acceleration,

                                                 Snapshot transition dynamics
                                                    Transition dynamics

                         Optimization
                                            Destabilization
       OLD REGIME

                                                                                                      Stabilization
                                                              Chaos
                                                                                   Institutionalization

                                                                                   Breakdown
                                                              Emergence
                                                                                                      Phase out

      NEW REGIME
                                            Acceleration
                         Experimentation

Figure 2: The ten stages of a transition, mapped on a transition curve (adapted from Avelino, Frantzeskaki & Loorbach, 201732)

                                                                                                                                 17
OPTIMIZATION                                                    specific issues, such as chemical discharge
                                                                or child labor, or to stimulate improvements
The fashion system shows the dynamics                           across themes by promoting continuous
of the early stages of transition because                       improvement and reporting with standardized
many activities focus on optimization of the                    tools. While some of these have the ambition
current system. This means actors are mainly                    to make radical changes in the industry, their
focused on improving the status quo through                     focus is not to inspire fundamental change in
efficiency measures and efforts to minimize                     the way the system functions34. In some buying
flaws in the regime.                                            countries, governments are trying to take the
                                                                reins. The Netherlands35 and Germany36 have
Many forms of compliance fall into this                         drawn up agreements with industry players,
category – from company Codes of                                but they mimic performance standards. This
Conduct to workplace safety standards–                          compliance dynamic has led to a situation
though research has shown that industry-                        where sustainability is mostly dependent on the
led compliance and auditing have limited                        willingness of leading companies to improve
results as tools for scalable change33. Multi-                  their practices. This does not create a level
stakeholder initiatives have been cropping                      playing field that pushes the laggards forward.
up for over two decades to either tackle

                                       Snapshot transition dynamics

                                           Snapshot transition dynamics

         amount
         of effort

                      Optimization

   OLD REGIME                             Destabilization

                                                                                    Stabilization
                                                    Chaos

                                                                     Institutionalization

                                                                     Breakdown

                                                    Emergence
                                                                                    Phase out

  NEW REGIME                              Acceleration

                     Experimentation

Figure 3: Snapshot of the transition dynamics in the current fashion system

                                                                                                                  18
Furthermore, actors are talking about               scarce. The past shows that unless the sector
circularity as a new model for fashion37,           fundamentally changes, the supply chain
and there are many experiments that are             will continue to be fluid, chaotic and ever-
developing safe production alternatives.            changing.
However, most established companies direct
very few resources to producing for closed          These dynamics show that the sustainability
loop systems (within and across industries),        efforts of the industry are largely reactive
which is underscored by the data that shows         because they focus on reducing risks to
that less than 1% of fibers are upcycled5           business as usual. The fashion industry
and the fact that only 23% of targets set by        remains one of the most polluting industries
the signatories of the 2020 Circular Fashion        in the world producing 8% of global
System Commitment relate to using recycled          greenhouse gas emissions42. Production and
inputs38,39.                                        business as usual continues to grow, and this
                                                    will eclipse sustainability efforts that focus on
Products that are made from recycled content        optimization.
are often produced with synthetic (polyester)
fibers that rely on other waste streams,
like plastic bottles. This is not so much an        Experimentation
example of an upcycled or circular product,
but rather delayed discharge of single-use          While this analysis has categorized most
plastics, especially since these polyester          efforts as optimization, others (people,
garments cannot be recycled into new, high-         companies and initiatives) are experimenting
quality fibers with the current technology.         in the margins with radically different visions,
This issue is not helped by current waste           structures and practices. Niches in the fashion
management policies that often contribute           industry are often entrepreneurs, SMEs and
to the lack of high-quality recycling of textiles   innovators who choose to opt out of the
because it promotes low value recycling like        regime, operate independently and try to
energy recovery or down-cycling textiles to         build something new from the ground up. For
insulation materials, contributing to a lock-in     instance, many fashion entrepreneurs from
of the linear supply chain model40.                 the global north directly hire (and sometimes
                                                    train) workers and artisans for fair wages
Governments and businesses are investing            to sell small-scale lines of products (e.g.
in improving the recycling capacities               Mayamiko). In many of these niches, small
of current waste management systems.                companies and entrepreneurs are pioneering
While investment in material management             alternative business models, technologies
technologies is much-needed and valuable,           and value chain models. However,
focusing attention on the current (linear)          experimentation also takes place within more
waste system without tackling issues at the         established companies. Examples include the
beginning of the product lifecycle reinforces       Gold level Cradle to Cradle Certified™ t-shirt
the waste management regime.                        and jeans developed by C&A in partnership
                                                    with Fashion for Good, IKEA partnering with
Meanwhile, while a variety of actors try to         Industree in India, and in-store retake and
tackle persistent sustainability problems with      resale initiatives by companies such as Eileen
optimization, the industry keeps growing and        Fisher and The North Face.
operating within the same model it has been
for decades. For instance, as government            Although experimentation is happening
oversight increases in China, there are             across the value chain and in many different
instances of Chinese companies setting              organizations, most experiments lack the
up apparel factories in Ethiopia41, where           transformative capacity needed to make
regulation is less conducive to a sustainable
industry. Labor is cheap and regulations

                                                                                                        19
an impact on the status quo. It is difficult       retailers10, SMEs and individual designers
to disrupt the regime and move beyond              also have a leg up in the market because they
optimization and experimentation if niches         can reach consumers directly and without
do not find their way into the mainstream.         needing retail space. Online platforms such as
There is a lack of adoptive capacity by larger     Amazon, eBay, Zalando and AliExpress make
brands, limited industry-wide collaboration        it possible for any manufacturer – whether a
and insufficient investment to bring disruptive    large Chinese company or an amateur tailor
innovations and niches to scale. Some              at home – to sell their products online and
successful innovations are forced to take a        reach numerous potential customers. This
backseat to second-best alternatives due to        trend is disrupting the traditional status of
risk aversion, lack of investment and a general    brands and retailers.
reluctance to move away from business as
usual43.
                                                   Acceleration

Destabilization                                    As mentioned above, most of the activity
                                                   in the emerging regime is still in the
Incidents in the destabilization phase make        experimentation stages and is not yet
the unsustainable nature of the dominant           accelerating. Many of the niches in the
structures and practices explicit and increase     fashion industry are still in the early stages of
the urgency for change. These events or            development and find only a limited market,
changes can lead to disruption of the status       especially compared to players in the global
quo if they build on each other, which pushes      industry. There are, however, a few initial signs
the system into chaos and breakdown. It is         of acceleration.
difficult to judge these events objectively,
because their interpretation depends on            Increasingly, brands and retailers have
the position and ambitions of the actor            more invested and long-term relationships
experiencing them.                                 with their suppliers, making it possible to
                                                   negotiate on more than price and speed of
In the fashion industry, signs of disruption in    product delivery. Transparency efforts are
the current system have been adding up over        also gaining support throughout the industry,
the years. The sweatshop controversies were        although the transformative capacity of these
among the first, but other factory disasters,      initiatives lies in what is publicly disclosed.
most notably the tragedy of Rana Plaza,
forced many actors and citizens to confront        Actors such as Fashion for Good, Patagonia,
some of the unsustainable practices of the         Levi’s and Nike are trying to accelerate
industry. Public pressure on brands has also       niches through funding, innovation labs and
increased due to consumer-facing campaigns         accelerator programs. In a few niche markets,
focusing on the social and environmental           like the Dutch workwear industry, circular
issues in the industry, such as the Greenpeace     production has accelerated over the last few
Detox campaign. Climate mitigation policies        years44, leading to new supply chain coalitions
shake the industry from the outside in, as do      and creating space for the development of
more localized policies regarding hazardous        recycling technologies and radical traceability
chemical use or discharge and waste                initiatives45. However, this effect still sits
production.                                        between the niche and regime space, as
                                                   only a few players are providing innovative
A disruptive force that has already changed        alternatives.
the face of the industry over the last few years
is the rapid rise of online retail. In recent      Overall, policies and investments in the
years, not only have consumers bought more         circular economy and clean energy are
clothing online from existing brands and           increasing across sectors. Climate and energy

                                                                                                       20
policy is more mature, but circular economy         Influencing transition dynamics
policy is gaining traction and reaching the
acceleration phase. This will also have an          After the transition tipping point, old
effect on the linear production (and waste)         structures are abolished and practices
model of the fashion industry because these         unlearned in the breakdown stage. Certain
transitions overlap. On top of this, awareness-     routines, professions, connections and
raising initiatives such as Fashion Revolution      patterns disappear. At the same time,
and NGO campaigns are getting attention             institutionalization renders the change to
in mainstream media. Both in traditional            the new system irreversible; new rules and
media and on social media, there is more            structures emerge and new power relations
attention on sustainable fashion, which seems       form. In this phase, the change becomes
to be going hand in hand with increasing            self-evident and gradually a new stability is
customer support for sustainability. People         created. Afterwards, the last remnants of the
are increasingly looking for bigger ethical         old system are removed in the phase-out
statements from brands and retailers, and           stage and the new system is broadly accepted
brands in turn are realizing the importance of      as the ‘new normal’, around which institutions
values-based business.                              and structures form and processes are
                                                    optimized (stabilization). The fashion system
                                                    still has a long way to go before actors can
Chaos                                               work on these stages of the transition.

At this stage, the dominant structures,             A high-level mapping we did of over 200
patterns and routines become unstable or            non-profit initiatives from the fashion industry
even partly disappear. It is apparent that          in this model indicates that most are active
change is necessary, but the resistance             within the optimization or experimentation
hardens against the threatening degradation         spheres with signs of moving towards
of the status quo. There is not much activity       acceleration. Only some are making efforts
in the chaos stages of the fashion transition       in the destabilization space of transition. The
yet, although the problems with waste and           high-level mapping did, however, reveal that
the volatility of cotton46 and fossil fuel prices   many initiatives have the potential to move
are pushing into this category. However, these      towards destabilizing the current system and
span industries. A sign of increasing chaos in      even working on the emergence of a just and
the fashion industry is the ban on the import       regenerative fashion system. In other words,
of second-hand clothes that the East African        if they can be inspired to take on these roles,
Community is enforcing by 201947.                   especially in collaboration and distributed
                                                    over build-up/breakdown and the various
                                                    levers and pathways, they can have more
Emergence                                           transformative power.

In this phase, new solutions and structures         This transition perspective helps to
surface. The direction of change becomes            understand how momentum for deep
clearer, though there are opposing interests        systemic change develops and thereby
and views on the future. In the fashion             provides a basis for governance, policy and
industry, a few initiatives have emerged as         strategic intervention. However, it also points
new industry standards, such as forced labor        to the inevitability of such changes in the
regulations, eco-labelling and standards for        long term: if a system is unsustainable, its
organic and non-toxic materials (e.g. the           future demise is inevitable. When niches and
Global Organic Textile Standard). Public            regimes do not interact systematically, as in
disclosure of supply chains, gender justice         this industry, it is very difficult to disrupt the
and circular fashion are also emerging as a         regime and move beyond optimization and
shared vision for the largest players in the        experimentation. But with enough pressure
industry.                                           from the landscape level, the regime will
                                                                                                         21
eventually destabilize. At this point, if there
are enough tried and tested alternatives,
regime actors can reach out and adopt
these to avoid collapse. Therefore, it is in
the best long-term interest of all actors to
work on accelerating niches. The future
course and outcomes of a transition are,
however, inherently uncertain. Following the
perspective on increasing systemic pressures,
emerging niches and the growing willingness
of regime actors to help accelerate and guide
systemic change, the question arises: what
type of industry would we like to transition to?

The challenge now is how to play into the
emerging transition dynamics and mobilize
the transformative power of maturing
alternative discourses, business models,
technologies and practices to help guide and
accelerate the fashion industry’s sustainability
transition in this direction.

                                                   22
“ We  need  a
  large company
  to disrupt
  the market
  with rental,
  triggering
  others to move
  to new business
  models.
                    ”
Andrew Morlet,
Ellen MacArthur Foundation

                             23
3. Fashion as a force for
good

As described in Chapter 2, the fashion
industry has had a major impact on the                         GUIDING VISION FOR THE
world and has contributed to shaping our                       TRANSITION TO GOOD FASHION
economies, communities and cultures. The
industry has brought obvious benefits to                       The search for a broader transition of
many workers and economies around the                          the industry has been emerging from
globe. Apparel touches the life of every                       sustainability initiatives in the industry for
single person on the planet and many people                    some time. From previous envisioning
experience joy in self-expression through                      done by the C&A Foundation48, Fashion for
clothing. At the same time, the industry has                   Good49 and the Ellen MacArthur Foundation
caused or exacerbated environmental and                        a number of recurring elements arise.
social problems on a grand scale, most of                      Together these values represent an inspiring
which are only increasing. Efforts to mitigate                 vision to help guide and accelerate the
such negative impacts have so far only                         fashion transition. While such an enormous
resulted in marginal improvements and have                     and complex transition will take decades
not led to the increasingly urgent structural                  to materialize, this guiding vision can help
transformation of the industry. How can the                    facilitate, stimulate and connect short-
fashion industry transition to becoming a                      term transformative actions. This vision can
force for good?                                                therefore inform short-term decision making,
                                                               investment and action. Fashion can only be
                                                               a force for good when it meets the following
                                                               five conditions.

                                          Fashion as a force for good
                                               Fashion as a force for good

                                                Regenerates ecosystems

                     Strengthens                                                  Provides safe
                  economies and                                                   and just working
                    communities                           GOOD
                                                          GOOD
                                                                                  conditions
                                                         FASHION
                                                        FASHION

                            Enhances                                          Captures
                            customer                                          full value
                            wellbeing                                         of materials

Figure 4: A vision of fashion as a force for good

                                                                                                                24
• Workers of every gender and background are
Enhances customer wellbeing
                                                       treated with respect and dignity in their (work)
                                                       environments;
The fashion industry enhances the wellbeing
of people by providing them with clothing              • Every worker in the industry can support a family on
that is accessible, of good quality, functional,       their wages;
safe and healthy. The industry enables
customers to thrive because the products               • Every worker has the ability to use their voice and
and services are tailored to their needs and           influence working conditions (through unions or other
wishes, and they in turn act as agents using           forms of participation);
their purchasing power for good fashion.
                                                       • Working conditions in the industry are safe, healthy
                                                       and free from environmental or constructional
                                                       hazards.
Examples of milestones:

• Fashion provides comfort, functionality and
protection;
                                                       Captures the full value of materials
• Fashion enables people to express themselves,
shape their identity and feel good;
                                                       The fashion industry captures the full value of
• Fashion is accessible to everyone (diversity,        garments. They are designed for circular use
affordability);                                        and the materials flow from one product to the
                                                       next. The price of fashion reflects the true cost
• Fashion is safe and does not negatively impact       of the production process and resource use.
health;

• Customers feel good about contributing to the
                                                       Examples of milestones:
fashion industry, because they trust that the supply
chain has not harmed people or the environment
                                                       • The majority of apparel items go through several
and has positively contributed to people’s lives and
                                                       use cycles before returning to the materials flow;
even the planet.
                                                       • The majority of materials used come from recycled
                                                       sources, the rest is from renewable resources;

                                                       • All fashion products are designed for technical and
Provides safe and just working conditions              biological product cycles;

The fashion industry provides workers with             • No use of substances of concern;
good livelihoods through fair wages and just
                                                       • Zero waste in production processes, no overstock;
working conditions. The industry enables
workers to thrive, because they live and work          • End of use is a new beginning for the raw
in safe and dignified conditions in which they         materials through redesign, recycling/upcycling and
are respected, and able to make changes in             biodegradation;
their work and lives.
                                                       • Infrastructures and systems are in place to enable
                                                       take-back.
Examples of milestones:

• There are no human rights violations, no child
labor, no slavery and no emotional or physical
harassment from farm through to retail;

                                                                                                                25
• Artisan skills are conserved, taught and valued;
Regenerates ecosystems
                                                          • The fashion industry contributes to services for
The fashion industry only uses renewable                  the communities of their workers (education, child
energy and materials as inputs, and treats                care, health services, housing).
‘waste’ as resource streams in materials
management. It regenerates natural
ecosystems by cleaning the water, air and soil.

Examples of milestones:
                                                          SHAPING PRINCIPLES THAT ENABLE
• Production facilities are located and designed in       A GOOD FASHION FUTURE
harmony with surroundings and are regenerative
where possible;                                           The vision above describes the aspired
                                                          functioning of the fashion industry. But
• Production facilities run on renewable energy and
                                                          which underlying conditions have to
support clean energy systems in the surrounding
                                                          change to enable the industry to transition?
communities;
                                                          By definition, this transition implies a
• Water and soil are conserved, used sparingly,           fundamental change in the underlying
purified and regenerated;                                 structural relations and the economic
                                                          exchanges of the industry. Incumbent
• No negative environmental impacts are produced          interests and power dynamics sustain the
locally or globally.                                      status quo, and the prevalent economic
                                                          model based on profit growth and efficiency
                                                          works against internalizing environmental
                                                          costs and social justice.

Strengthens economies and communities                     The necessary fashion transition needs to shift
                                                          the systemic power relations and the value
The fashion industry promotes strong and                  model of the industry. We identified four
diverse economies that generate benefits                  shaping principles as underlying conditions
for all parties involved, while every party               that enable the fashion system to transform
adds value. Benefits are distributed between              into a force for good. They are the reverse
partners in the supply chain and within                   of the four root causes of the persistent
communities.                                              problems in the industry, as described in
                                                          Chapter 2. The first two – connected and
                                                          accountable – are linked to power; the other
Examples of milestones:                                   two – internalized and valued – are linked to
                                                          value.
• The fashion industry contributes to the
diversification of economies in production regions
by deploying business activities with higher added
value, educating workers and enabling them to
develop within or beyond fashion production;

• The fashion industry deals with automation
with workers in mind – through proper mitigation
processes, retraining, reskilling – so that ultimately,
everyone benefits;

                                                                                                               26
Shaping principles
                                                     Shaping principles

                                      CONNECTED                                       ACCOUNTABLE
        Power         The value chains in the industry are             Governments, NGOs, citizens and companies
                      transparent and traceable. Value chain           create transformative change through
                      partners share ownership of risks and            legislation, taxation, financing and advocacy.
                      benefits.

                                     INTERNALIZED                                         VALUED
        Value
                      Fashion production considers and cherishes       The industry appreciates materials by
                      the ecosystems and communities they rely         designing for circular product cycles.
                      on. All impacts, costs and benefits are          Customers treat products like valuable
                      internalized.                                    resources.

Figure 5: Shaping principles for a future in which fashion is a force for good

Connected                                                          Internalized

The value chains in the industry are                               The activities, processes and products that
transparent and traceable. They are                                make up the fashion industry consider and
characterized by reciprocal and long-term                          cherish their context: the ecosystems and
relationships between value chain actors,                          communities they interact with and rely on.
who treat each other as partners, and across                       ‘Externalities’ are something of the past as all
geographical regions. Value chain partners                         impacts, costs and benefits are internalized in
share ownership of risks and benefits in their                     design, decision-making and price setting.
value chain.

Accountable                                                        Valued

The industry is less free to seek the path of                      Society values the materials that go into
least resistance in environmental and social                       making fashion. The industry appreciates
issues because it is held accountable by other                     these materials, by designing for technically
actors. Governments, NGOs, customers and                           and biologically circular product cycles,
companies create transformative change                             whether long-lasting or quickly dissolving.
through legislation, taxation, advocacy                            Customers respectfully use the fashion
and financing. Workers are emancipated                             products, by maximizing their use and treat
through living wages, equality, education and                      the materials as the valuable resources that
freedom of association. Their communities are                      they are.
equipped with the skills to stand up for their
wellbeing and for the environment.

                                                                                                                        27
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