The Research Monitor Is the Australian economy turning the corner? Buy Now Pay Later in a Fin-Tech World Healthcare sector diagnosis US Future ...
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The Research Monitor September Quarter 2019 inside this issue Is the Australian economy turning the corner? Buy Now Pay Later in a Fin-Tech World Healthcare sector diagnosis US Future Leaders Portfolio + stock picks
Q2 2019 Performance The Australian Share Market, as measured by the S&P/ASX 300 Index, recorded another strong quarter following in the footsteps of a 9.5% in price terms (10.92% including dividends) return in the March quarter. The June quarter saw returns of 7.2% in price terms and 8.0% including dividends, making up almost 20% returns since the start of the year. The Australian market was driven lower the stress test interest rates on markets in the June quarter, with especially by the surprise Federal loans signalled more accommodative the MSCI World ex Australia Index Election result which saw the return macroprudential controls on credit in Australian dollars up only 2.5%. of the “market friendly” coalition. This growth. The second largest sector, World share markets reversed sharply in saw Australian shares rise 2% in Materials (18.9% index weight) May due to concerns about the outcome the month of May, when global rose a more modest 7.2% including of trade talks between the United States shares fell 6% in $US terms due to dividends, with bellwether BHP up and China. Bond markets rallied on concerns about global growth and 6.9%. Energy sector returns retreated the back of lower long-term interest trade. Bond yields continued to fall to following a fall in the oil price. West rates with the Bloomberg AusBond record lows, with the Australian 10-year Texas Intermediate oil prices fell 3.3% Composite (0+Y) index up 3.1% and bond ending the quarter at 1.32%, in the quarter and this pushed the Bank Bills returning 0.4%. The spread down from 1.78% at the end of March sector down 0.2% after dividends, but between 90-day bank bills and cash and a full 1% below where they were at it was coal stocks such as New Hope fell from 27 basis points at the end of the start of the year. Among Australian (NHC) and Whitehaven (WHC) which March to negative 5 points at the end equity sectors, all sectors except dragged the index lower. There were of June – a strong sign of easing credit Energy posted positive returns some spectacular returns amongst conditions and expectations that the during the quarter. Leading the small companies, even as the broader RBA will continue to cut rates. Long charge were the Healthcare Equipment, Small Ordinaries Index rose only 3.75% term interest rates in Australia hit a Telecommunication Services, Media with medical device company Polynovo record low of 1.26%. Market measures and Entertainment, Banks, Transport (PNV) and diversified financial Eclipse of risk or volatility, rose sharply in May and Pharmaceuticals sectors which all Group (ECX) both up over 100% in three and have subsequently retreated to rose double-digits for the quarter. These months! March levels, suggesting investors have sectors comprise 48% of the Australian become comfortable with the likely path share market and collectively added 5% Global equity markets performed of inflation, interest rates, growth and of the 8% return. Given the dramatic much more modestly that Australian trade. fall in 10-year government bond yields and also the easing stance of the Sector Performance Market Cap Reserve Bank, it was not surprising to see those stocks considered “bond Banks 13.4% 410,712 proxies” continue to do well. Real Estate Health Care Equipment & Services 13.4% 53,946 Investment Trusts that are exposed to Telecommunication Services 12.3% 53,365 residential real estate were the best Media & Entertainment 11.9% 16,352 performers (Mirvac (MGR) up 13.8% Transportation 11.0% 86,079 for example), whereas those Trusts Pharmaceuticals, Biotech & Life Sciences 10.5% 100,635 focussed on retail malls did poorest (Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW) down Food & Staples Retailing 9.6% 61,115 11.2%). Commercial & Professional Services 8.9% 47,021 Consumer Services 8.8% 52,311 The largest component of the S&P/ Materials 7.2% 340,871 ASX 300 Index is the Banks Sector Insurance 5.4% 69,272 (22.8% index weight), which rose 11.1% in price terms and 13.4% Software & Services 5.1% 43,352 including dividends, reversing Real Estate 4.1% 129,320 the period over which banks have Retailing 4.0% 55,641 underperformed the index. Most of this Diversified Financials 3.6% 87,246 performance came immediately post the Utilities 1.9% 34,052 Federal Election outcome as both clarity Capital Goods 0.6% 15,687 around the treatment of franking credits and a move by bank regulator APRA to Food Beverage & Tobacco 0.6% 35,481 Energy -0.2% 94,748 2 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Shaw and Partners is one of Australia’s preeminent investment and wealth management firms. With a national presence and $17 billion of assets under advice, Shaw and Partners offers the intimacy of a boutique investment firm, backed by the resources and scale of a major financial group, EFG International. WATCH OUR CORPORATE VIDEO 30+ YEARS $17bn 6 OF ASSETS UNDER OFFICES IN IN THE MAKING ADVICE SYDNEY MELBOURNE 280 160+ BRISBANE ADELAIDE CANBERRA PERTH STAFF INVESTMENT ADVISERS AUSTRALIA WIDE & FINANCIAL PLANNERS IN AUSTRALIA Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 3
Martin Crabb Chief Investment Officer Is the Australian economy turning the corner? 4 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Following the surprise Coalition election victory in May, Australian share markets have performed well, somewhat due to greater certainty around the tax treatment of various investments, but also due to a number of post- election developments. Specifically, we refer here Secondly, APRA have left it up to the Collectively, these measures are likely banks to determine the rate that they to see a bottoming of house prices, an to the shift in stance by the use to “stress test” new borrowers. It improvement in auction clearance rates RBA in regard to monetary is no longer set a 7.00-7.25% so this and an overall improvement in sentiment is likely to mean more home buyers will toward residential real estate. policy and also a relaxation qualify for a loan. Thirdly, the Federal of “macroprudential” Government is due to implement a policy that will provide up to $500m to measures engineered by first home buyers to help them with a the Australian Prudential deposit for their first home. Regulatory Authority (APRA) to slow down the housing market. RBA Cash Rate (1990-2019) Australian’s are generally obsessed by 18% residential property values as it remains our greatest store of wealth despite the 16% exponential growth in superannuation. The most recent data suggests 14% Australian households own $6.4 trillion worth of land and dwellings out of a total 12% net worth of $10.2 trillion. Considering the residential population is 25.18 10% million, that’s over $250,000 worth of property for every Aussie. 8% A combination of policy changes are 6% likely to boost demand for new property and make it easier for Australians to 4% enter the market. Firstly, interest rates are on the way down – maybe as low 2% as 0.5% if futures markets are right. This could bring mortgage interest rates 0% 2011 2013 2015 2010 2016 2018 1991 1993 1995 1990 1996 1998 2001 2003 2005 2000 2006 2008 down into the twos. Source: FactSet and Shaw and Partners
Is the Australian economy turning the corner? Consumption remains the largest component of Australia’s Gross Domestic Product, at 56.5%. CONSUMPTION Consumption % of GDP Consumption remains the largest 64% component of Australia’s Gross Domestic Product, at 56.5%. Although this has been as high as 63% and as low as 54% over 62% the past several decades, it’s influence on changes in GDP has been critical. Recently, 60% consumption has waned as a combination of weak wages growth, falling real estate 58% values, tax bracket creep and generally low consumer confidence have impacted household budgets. Lower interest rates 56% and potential tax cuts should provide some boost to consumer spending in the near 54% term. Sep 62 Sep 65 Sep 68 Sep 92 Sep 95 Sep 98 Sep 80 Sep 83 Sep 86 Sep 89 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 59 Sep 71 Sep 74 Sep 77 Sep 01 Sep 04 Sep 07 INVESTMENT Investment is the second largest component of Australia’s GDP after consumption Investment % of GDP and currently comprises 23.9% of GDP. Historically investment spending has 29% oscillated around 19% of GDP, but then shot up in the 2000’s in response to the 27% industrial development of China and its need for Australian resources of steel-making raw 25% materials and energy. 23% This “boom” in mining investment came to an end in March 2013 when investment 21% spending peaked at 29.1% of GDP. The 19% outlook is for a stabilisation of investment as a proportion of GDP more in line with 17% historical norms and for real estate and Sep 62 Sep 65 Sep 68 Sep 92 Sep 95 Sep 98 Sep 80 Sep 83 Sep 86 Sep 89 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 59 Sep 71 Sep 74 Sep 77 Sep 01 Sep 04 Sep 07 infrastructure spending in line with the constituent increase in population. Source: FactSet and Shaw and Partners 6 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
GOVERNMENT SPENDING Government spending % of GDP Government spending is the third largest component of GDP at 19.1% and has 21% tended to be “counter-cyclical” as 21% governments seek to boost activity when the economy is weak and pare back 20% spending when growth is strong. Politically, 20% the Liberal/National Party coalition is 19% generally in favour of “smaller” government 19% and the ALP in favour of larger tax and social welfare spending. As a result, 18% government spending share of GDP has 18% been quite variable over time. The strong 17% revenue boost from Australia’s mining exports (mining GDP is now 7.7% of overall 17% Sep 62 Sep 65 Sep 68 Sep 92 Sep 95 Sep 98 Sep 80 Sep 83 Sep 86 Sep 89 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 59 Sep 71 Sep 74 Sep 77 Sep 01 Sep 04 Sep 07 GDP) is likely to see the Federal Budget move into surplus sooner than expected and some of this windfall will be passed on in tax cuts and some in the form of higher government spending and investment. Exports vs Imports % of GDP The final component of GDP 25% -25% is net exports. Australia has a largely open economy with 20% -20% limited barriers to trade and thus exports comprise 21.6% of GDP 15% -15% and imports comprise -21.2% of 10% -10% GDP (imports are considered a negative item as they comprise 5% -5% the GDP of other countries). Net exports are thus 0.4% of GDP. 0% 0% Sep 62 Sep 65 Sep 68 Sep 92 Sep 95 Sep 98 Sep 80 Sep 83 Sep 86 Sep 89 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 59 Sep 71 Sep 74 Sep 77 Sep 01 Sep 04 Sep 07 Again, this is a very volatile component. Exports % of GDP Imports % of GDP (RHS, inverted) Source: FactSet and Shaw and Partners Overall, with lower interest rates, tax cuts and an improving fiscal picture, the Australian economy is set to improve going forward. We expect households to use any income windfall to first reduce mortgage debt, but those on lower incomes and without housing debt are likely to spend a large proportion of any extra income. Investors should look to selectively add exposure to companies exposed to improved consumer spending and residential construction activity as signs of an improvement in consumer sentiment validate this thesis. Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 7
Jonathon Higgins Research Analyst Buy Now Pay Later in a Fin-Tech World “If you don’t jump on the new, you don’t survive” Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO 8 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
In CY18 there was over US$50bn in funding across fin-tech and alternative payment investments in the Americas; up 100% YoY. The Fintech Ecosystem There is a structural shift underway in payment and lending channels across the world. This structural change is associated with the shift towards digital payments/wallets, mobile transactions, a discerning consumer that demands more and alternative well-funded companies. These emerging tailwinds are These channels and acquisition Over 35% of the US generating a huge opportunity methodologies are overlaid against a across the traditional finance and complex and typically time consuming personal loan market is payments ecosystem. Within a process. Compare these traditional now originated by fin- short period of time category killing channels and products with a BNPL tech lending, alternative lending entrants have emerged, company such as Afterpay (APT) or including well-known names Zip Co (Z1P) who acquire a customer payment and platform Afterpay, Zip Co, Klarna and Affirm at a checkout within real time through companies - up 6 fold in as well as business fin-techs such smarter, more transparent ways and less than 5 years. as Kabbage, OnDeck and Prospa. across a trusted amortising product. Banks and traditional channels will find There are now hundreds of well-funded it difficult to keep up. Banks have an payment and lending companies across origination issue. the world with hundreds of billions dollars of shareholder value and funding. This is particularly the case for millennials and newer generations who utilise digital Banks and traditional financial institutions transaction channels at a rate over 100x globally are threatened by the rise of to that of branches. these companies and should sit up and take notice. Traditional customer US bank branch changes - Net closures since 2008 acquisition channels are broken and 3,000 these banks are no longer top of funnel for a consumer. Traditional channels of 2,000 customer acquisition typically centre around: 1,000 Financial arrangements through familial connections; 0 Fixed branch network; -1,000 Brand; and -2,000 Product led and brokers. -3,000 1997 1995 1999 2001 2003 2007 2005 2009 2011 2013 2017 2015 Source: FactSet and Shaw and Partners Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 9
Buy Now Pay Later in a Fin-Tech World Retail bank branch traffic in the US is forecasted by CACI to decline by 36% over the next 4 years. WHAT SHOULD BANKS DO? Relative performances of BNPL versus Small Ordinaries We see banks getting back to their core competitive advantage. That 1000% is sitting as the wholesale lender partner and channel to customer 900% facing fin-tech organisations 800% that have material competitive advantages in this space. 700% Meanwhile a host of various Australian 600% and global companies have created 500% a large amount of value within a short period of time. The combined market 400% cap of just the three fin-tech BNPL 300% players listed on the ASX (APT, Z1P, SPT) is over $7bn. 200% BNPL is one of the hottest sectors 100% within the Australian market having 0% seen extraordinary returns during the Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 last 3-5 years since new entrants have APT Z1P ASX 300 listed and notibly year to date, with both APT and particularly Zip spectacularly outperforming the market. Zip alone That is that they’re best meeting Shaw and Partners estimates that is in the top 3 best performers for ASX iterations of consumer expectations over 10% of Australians have an tech companies year to date. in the digital age and are increasingly account with APT and Zip combined; Whilst Z1P and APT are vastly different becoming a force within the Australian From a standing start within 5 years at product revenue and returns levels, and overseas payments landscape. these businesses are generating both products are fulfilling a similar value The scale and immediacy of the sector $6bn+ of transaction volume a year proposition. and why banks and investors should sit and growing exponentially; and up and take note include: Over 10% of Australian e-commerce is generated by these companies. 10 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Number of customers (m) Transaction volume ($m) 4.5 1,200 4.0 1,000 3.5 3.0 800 2.5 600 2.0 1.5 400 1.0 200 0.5 0.0 0 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 APT Z1P APT Z1P GROWTH Now sustainable cash flow It’s commonly thought that the majority Whilst already large, both of Australia’s breakeven, with operating leverage of value in Qantas is within the frequent major players have a material emerging across the business at an flyer program and we note that on a opportunity to grow customers, sales increasing scale; market cap to customers basis Zip is and earnings both domestically and Trades at a discount to major ASX worth ~$200 when it costs $150+ for globally. Their model is one of a platform listed tech with the highest gross profit a major bank to acquire a transactional wherein increasing scale, attractive growth trajectory; customer, $700+ for a car loan and operating leverage characteristics and significantly more for mortgage leads. and Potential to structurally alter the intelligent customer acquisition provides face of lending and alternative payments significant advantages over traditional in Australia. It took Qantas significant players. Longer term the value for both the infrastructure and over Although Shaw and Partners doesn’t major BNPL companies is outside of 15 years to get to 4m cover APT, we see significant growth lending and is through utilising active potential for the business in terms and engaged customers. This could members and it took Zip of sales, transaction volumes and be geared towards further product and APT combined only 3 iteration, lead generation, co-branded expansion in years to come. Our banking, data mining, personal financial years to do the same. preferred vehicle through current coverage is Zip Co (ASX:Z1P), with management, insurance and a whole an understanding that as a whole we host of other business models. see the sector as winning with strong structural tailwinds driving the adoption Sales multiples ASX popular tech of independent and alternative payment 60 players. 50 ZIP CO We feature Zip in our stock picks section 40 9later in the issue). Broadly we like Zip 30 for the following reasons: 20 Zip is growing at record rates, with sales up 100% year on year. The 10 company is accelerating adding over 28 0 merchants and 1,500 customers a day; NEA WTC APX ALU APT Z1P XRO PME TNE Westpac owns a material stake in the business. With Zip having what we Mkt cap/sales (FY19) Median consider to be a sustainable, profitable and increasingly valuable operating Source: FactSet and Shaw and Partners model; Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 11
Buy Now Pay Later in a Fin-Tech World Interesting payments, tech and lending businesses around the world. Code Company Description Size ($m) APT Afterpay Buy Now Pay Later Provider across Australia, US and UK 5,900 Z1P Zip Co Buy Now Pay Later Provider across Australia and New Zealand 1,090 PPH Pushpay Faith giving application and software globally (particularly USA) 1,060 EML EML Payments Fin-tech provider of payment solutions, financial services and 750 payment disbursement HSN Hansen Support, software and utility solutions globally 750 PGL Prospa Fin-tech business lender servicing SME businesses within 590 Australia GTK Gentrack Support, software and utility solutions globally 550 CRD Credible Dominant and growing US platform for student payments and 450 loans MNY Money 3 Alternative provider of non-conforming automotive and longer 390 term loans within Australia and New Zealand PBH Pointsbet Expanding platform for betting solutions with leverage into 270 opening up of US markets RMC Resimac Alternative and one of the largest providers of mortgage 250 backed securities end to end within Australia SPT SplitIt Buy Now Pay Later Provider globally, particularly US 210 WZR Wizr Alternative provider of personal finance solutions within 110 Australia with peer to peer roots BBC Banking Smallest listed ADI within Australia with an integrated broking 50 Corporation and mortgage backed securities business RZI Raiz Invest Innovative financial investment platform connected to everyday 30 spend MNW Mint Payments Omni-channel payment solution provider 20 CCA Change Financial Provides innovative mobile digital banking services globally 5 The alternative payments and lending space on the ASX is still an emerging sector. A number of new participants and the structural shift is growing towards independence across all of these companies within Australia. We remain positively disposed to the overall thematic and have various investment opportunities that are available for you to discuss with your Shaw and Partners adviser. 12 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Future Leaders Panel EFG International Healthcare sector diagnosis: a dose of disruption needed. Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 13
Healthcare sector diagnosis: a dose of disruption needed Since the ‘Big Pharma’ boom in the 1990s, innovation in healthcare, primarily pharmaceuticals, has stalled and the market has faced increasing competition from generics and biogenerics, hurting incumbents. Public vs. Private health expenditure as % of GDP 18% 16% Public Private 14% 8.8 12% % of GDP 10% 2.3 1.7 4.5 2.5 2.4 3.1 2.0 In 2017 the US 8% 3.1 6% spent 17% of GDP 8.7 9.5 8.5 4% 6.5 7.8 8 7.4 7.9 7.7 on healthcare 2% compared to just 5% 0% 50 years ago. Source: OECD Health Statistics Other sectors have already Although countries have varying degrees services inflation in the US is around of healthcare provisions, one thing four times greater than that of the overall seen disruption which they have in common is the growing inflation level. has helped to overcome costs of healthcare expenditure. We Despite all of the spending and are seeing ageing populations and also inefficiencies and improved technology on offer; both are resources dedicated, there is mounting drive innovation. These positives but contribute to higher levels concern that many of the services provided are not strictly necessary. disruptive forces are now of spending. The US National Academy of Medicine becoming more prevalent Amongst OECD countries, the US estimates that the US healthcare system in healthcare. We expect spends the greatest proportion of wastes US$765bn per year, one quarter GDP on healthcare. In 2017 it spent of all the money spent, on unnecessary this trend to start in the 17% of GDP, compared to just 5% 50 or needlessly expensive care. US, where there is most years ago. Furthermore, the sector has Warren Buffett regards such a high become the largest US employer, with need, but then spread to more people employed in it than in level of healthcare spending as a other regions. manufacturing or retail trade, with this serious impediment to US companies’ growth set to continue. Nevertheless, competitiveness in world markets. even with vast numbers of employees, Furthermore, system inefficiencies are healthcare systems are under strain. highlighted by stalling life expectancy growth which declined in the US in 2016 Over the last 20 years the price of as the nation battles its obesity and healthcare has also ballooned. Hospital opioid addiction crisis. 14 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Healthcare has become the largest employer in the US. 22,500 20,000 Thousands of persons 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2018 2013 2015 2011 1994 1996 1999 1991 1984 1986 1989 1982 2006 2008 1970 1974 1979 2003 2001 1972 1977 Manufacturing Retail Trade Healthcare Source: FRED, US Bureau of Labor Statistics Due to the combination of these and medical conditions); and digital developed world, informed by AI-based factors, this historically staid industry is transformation. Within this field, Australia tools using standardised data collection now, more than ever, open to change rolled out “My Health Record”, linking and near-constant monitoring. and new ways of caring for patients. patient data to form a personalised Historically, innovation was restricted record. Other countries are also taking We think we are just at the start of from healthcare but fortunately, we measures to increase the availability of exciting new developments in the have a whole host of new technologies digital records. healthcare sector and are actively to address requirements within the seeking ways of gaining exposure. sector, with innovation spanning Robotics also offers interesting prospects, and rather than coming This will be a key theme for the next few across genomics, new treatment in to take jobs it allows workers to years and beyond. Looking at the three modalities including gene therapy and focus on more meaningful tasks. For key stakeholders in healthcare, patients, immunotherapy, machine learning and example robots are able to fill out digital physicians and payers, it is clear that miniaturisation. paperwork, take vital stats and even they will always choose the products There has been an increase in act as companion bots to the elderly or and services which best fit their needs; the number of companies outside mentally disabled. Despite the potential, those that provide better outcomes/ of the sector, in particular within robotics is still at the early adoption fewer side-effects for patients, enhanced technology, forming partnerships stage, and the uptake will depend on revenues for the efficient practice and to innovate, drive down costs and how much costs can be taken out as cheaper for payers. These goals are lofty provide a more efficient service. In well as improved accuracy. but attainable in the long run. 2018 for example, Amazon acquired PillPack for close to $1bn, and in EFG Future Leaders Panellist Dr Neal Southeast Asia ride-hailing app Grab has Bangerter believes that over the next partnered with Ping An Good Doctor to 20 years, Artificial Intelligence and deep deliver online healthcare services. learning will make healthcare more accessible and more accurate, helping Digitisation within healthcare helps contain costs in the developing world. competition and covers making Throughout this phase of development, healthcare records available in digital Neal points out that wearables and form; using digital technologies in very active involvement by individuals See more insights from the management of that information in monitoring and addressing their EFG’s Future Leaders Panel at (for example, in identifying diseases health will become commonplace in the www.efgfutureleaderspanel.com Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 15
US Future Leaders Portfolio now available on Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw and Partners is Shaw and Partners Chief Investment “At EFG, we believe that Officer, Martin Crabb said “We are pleased to have launched excited to be bringing this strategy great management is a key the first of EFG Asset to our clients. One of our greatest driver behind successful challenges is helping investors gain Management’s (EFGAM) exposure to the new and disruptive companies and their ability New Capital Funds, giving businesses that are poised to challenge to continually innovate or those companies that typically Australian investors comprise Australian share portfolios, disrupt the status quo.” increased access to global such as banks, supermarkets and telecommunications companies. The Measuring successful management is equity markets. EFGAM US Future Leaders strategy is a not easily quantifiable or apparent from union of academic research, investment traditional company analysis – something From Monday 1st July 2019, the US management and security selection that which EFGAM seeks to accomplish Future Leaders strategy will be available is unique in the market and one that with the panel. “We believe this is a to Shaw and Partners clients as a provides an excellent portfolio diversifier truly unique initiative as the panel’s Separately Managed Account (SMA) via for our clients.” input is directly linked to the investment Praemium. process,” Donald Klotter, Global Head EFGAM’s New Capital Funds are a series Portfolio construction is rooted in of Institutional Sales at EFG International of high-conviction strategies designed EFG’s fundamentally based investment said. to produce long-term and sustainable philosophy and process – with a focus on four primary growth sectors of the The new EFGAM investment solution alpha opportunities for clients. The goal economy; technology, healthcare, is the thirteenth addition to Shaw and of the US Future Leaders Strategy is consumer discretionary, and financial Partners’ successful SMA offering and to identify the next Facebook, Apple services. has been earmarked as the “first of or Starbucks; discovering companies a number of international investment that are poised to dominate multi-billion The Future Leaders Panel is comprised solutions” that Shaw and Partners dollar markets over the next decade. It is of industry and academic experts who intends on bringing to market over the a concentrated US stock model portfolio help develop a proprietary framework next 12-18 months. that is designed to provide direct equity that enables EFGAM to enhance its exposure to rapidly-growing businesses research process by being able to better with significant opportunity to develop identify visionary leaders in company into future mid or large-cap companies, management teams. primarily via organic growth. 16 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Since its inception in April 2016, the US Future Leaders Strategy has returned 23.12% annualised, as at May 2019. Data as at 31 March 2019 2018 unless otherwise stated INFACT Donald Klotter, Global Head Shaw Managed Accounts INFACT U S F U T U R E L E A D E R S ST R AT EGY US FORFUTURE USE IN Q2 LEADERS 2019 STRATEGY of Institutional Sales at EFG FOR USE IN Q2 2019 International, will present the Data as at 31 March 2018 unless otherwise stated ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO EFG US Future Leaders US Future Leaders Portfolio, AD D alongside Shaw and Partners OA Investment objective The investment framework is defined by a Model Portfolio Details To provide a return exceeding the MSCI disciplined investment process consisting O US Mid Cap Growth TR index over rolling of several checklists. This ensures that Model Portfolio Manager NL PY L CIO, Martin Crabb at the end 10-year periods. the investment process used by the EFG Asset Management team is consistent and repeatable. The N W OPY investment process has four key inputs Benchmark Index Investment Description MSCI US Mid Cap Growth TR The US Future Leaders Model is a that determine a company’s overall W concentrated US stock portfolio, designed ranking and can be applied across all Indicative Number of Stocks sectors to facilitate stock selection: O to provide direct equity exposure to 20–35 DO A C DO A C of July. rapidly growing businesses with significant 1. Company Quality Grade opportunity to develop into future mid- Minimum Suggested 2. Stock Technical Timing Grade Investment Time Frame or large-cap companies, primarily via organic growth. Stocks are selected 3. Short Term Earnings Growth Grade 10 years through a proprietary in-house systematic 4. Long Term Earnings Growth Grade Asset Allocation Ranges International Equities 85%–99% framework. The team’s objective is The team’s investment framework is Cash 1%–15% to identify the highest quality, fastest US FUTURE growing companies and trade them at the basis for portfolio construction. Minimum Model Investment the right time by adhering to a structured This regimented process helps to $100,000 L E A D ER S investment process. By identifying consistently find and own the best quality companies. Value is added through active Risk level Sydney, Tuesday 23rd July these Future Leaders early, they believe Very High. S T R AT EG Y the portfolio will afford investors with management by identifying the best Negative return 6 years in every 20 years. the opportunity to earn superior long- companies in the growth universe, then owning (or adding to) them when they are Management Fee Discovering companies that are term returns. Portfolio construction will Investment Fee 0.55% p.a. be rooted in our fundamentally based timely and selling (or trimming) them when Indirect Cost Ratio 0.00% p.a. poised to dominate multi-billion dollar they are not. investment philosophy and process – Performance Fee Nil markets over the next decade. with a focus on the four primary growth Adelaide, Wednesday 24th July The US Future Leaders Strategy is a sectors of the economy (technology, Designed for investors who healthcare, consumer discretionary, and Are interested in emerging leader concentrated US stock model portfolio, financial services). growth stocks; designed to provide direct equity Are sophisticated investors with long- exposure to rapidly-growing businesses Investment Strategy and Approach term investment horizons (5+ years); with significant opportunity to develop The US Growth Equity team employs Have a high tolerance for risk; and into future mid- or large-cap companies, a rigorous, disciplined, and repeatable Seek capital appreciation. Melbourne, Wednesday 24th July primarily via organic growth. Stocks are process that is a combination of both selected through a proprietary in-house qualitative and quantitative inputs. The basis of the process starts with industry MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE systematic framework. 1 centric research performed by the sector experts on the team. SP0200 Melbourne, Thursday 25th July EFGAM InFACT brochure US Future Leaders Portfolio Factsheet Canberra, Thursday 25th July Brisbane, Friday 26th July Perth, Monday 29th July If you would like to attend the presentation at one of our offices, please register at the link below. REGISTER TO ATTEND THE US FUTURE LEADERS ROADSHOW An introduction to the Future Leaders Panel. Interview with Moz Afzal, Global CIO, EFG International Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 17
Shaw Managed Accounts Portfolio Performances – May 2019 1 Mth 3 Mth 6 Mth 1yr Inception Shaw Income Goal Portfolio Total Portfolio Return 0.54% 3.74% 8.08% 8.03% 7.71% Objective: RBA Cash +3% Portfolio Objective 0.38% 1.12% 2.23% 4.50% 4.48% Inception: Sep-17 Excess v Objective 0.16% 2.61% 5.85% 3.53% 3.24% Shaw Balanced Goal Portfolio Total Portfolio Return 0.37% 3.15% 8.93% 7.77% 9.11% Objective: RBA Cash +4% Portfolio Objective 0.46% 1.36% 2.71% 5.50% 5.51% Inception: Sep-17 Excess v Objective -0.08% 1.80% 6.22% 2.27% 3.61% Shaw Growth Goal Portfolio Total Portfolio Return -1.46% 3.31% 10.54% 6.09% 12.04% Objective: RBA Cash +5% Portfolio Objective 0.54% 1.61% 3.21% 6.50% 6.46% Inception: Sep-17 Excess v Objective -2.00% 1.69% 7.33% -0.41% 5.58% Total Portfolio Return 0.90% 2.09% 4.13% 6.08% 4.49% Debt Securities Income Portfolio Inception: Sep-17 Total Portfolio Return 1.03% 3.07% 4.60% 8.40% 7.22% Hybrid Income Portfolio Inception: Sep-16 Total Portfolio Return 3.11% 8.16% 17.88% 13.58% 11.41% Australian Equity (Large Cap) - Income Inception: Sep-17 Total Portfolio Return -1.22% 5.41% 18.08% 9.18% 16.12% Australian Equity (Large Cap) - Growth Inception: Sep-17 Total Portfolio Return 4.32% 5.37% 18.08% 12.71% 13.96% Australian Equity (Large Cap) - Core Inception: Sep-16 Total Portfolio Return -0.71% 5.26% 10.59% 2.66% 9.05% Australian Equity - Small and Mid Cap Inception: Sep-17 Total Portfolio Return -1.90% -0.67% 2.00% n/a -1.28% Shaw Liquid Alternatives Portfolio Inception: Aug-18 AB Concentrated Global Growth Total Portfolio Return -3.27% 5.99% 13.96% 13.98% 9.99% Inception: Jan-15 18 | Research Monitor | Sept 2019
Shaw Managed Accounts Click on the images below to download the marketing brochure and SMA Portfolio Factsheets Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts GOAL BASED PORTFOLIO GOAL BASED PORTFOLIO GOAL BASED PORTFOLIO Shaw Income Goal Portfolio Shaw Balanced Portfolio Shaw Growth Goal Portfolio Investment objective Asset classes and strategies may include Investment objective Asset classes and strategies may include Investment objective Asset classes and strategies may include Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details The primary objective of the Shaw Income cash, Australian debt securities, and The primary objective of the Shaw cash, Australian debt securities, and The primary objective of the Shaw Growth cash, Australian debt securities, and Goal Portfolio is to provide a regular Australian equities including property Model Portfolio Manager Balanced Portfolio is to provide a regular Australian equities including property Model Portfolio Manager Goal Portfolio is to provide regular and Australian equities including property Model Portfolio Manager and sustainable income stream over the securities, international equities and Shaw and Partners Limited and sustainable income stream and securities, international equities and Shaw and Partners Limited sustainable capital growth over the longer securities, international equities and Shaw and Partners Limited medium term (3–5 years) whilst minimising alternative strategies (ETF and or capital growth over the medium term alternative strategies (accessed via ASX term (5–7 years). It achieves this by alternative strategies (ETF and or risk to capital. It achieves this by investing managed funds). Benchmark Index (4–6 years), together with some capital listed ETFs and or managed funds). Benchmark Index investing in a diversified portfolio of asset managed funds). Benchmark Index RBA Cash rate +3% RBA Cash rate +4% RBA Cash rate +5% in a diversified portfolio of asset classes growth whilst minimising risk to capital. It classes and strategies. The strategy is Continual assessment and risk (Gross Income and Total Return) Continual assessment and risk (Gross Income and Total Return) Continual assessment and risk and strategies. achieves this by investing in a diversified designed to have a high level of risk. It management of bottom-up and top- Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks management of bottom-up and topdown Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks management of bottom-up and top- Indicative Number of Stocks per portfolio of asset classes and strategies. achieves this by investing in a diversified Asset Class Based Portfolio The strategy is designed to have a down parameters is a core component and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) parameters is a core component of the and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) down parameters is a core component portfolio of asset classes and strategies. 30–100 medium level of risk. of the model. Changes to the portfolio 40–100 The strategy is designed to have a model. Changes to the portfolio will be 60–140 of the model. Changes to the portfolio will be made as deemed appropriate Minimum Suggested moderate level of risk. made as deemed appropriate by the Minimum Suggested The strategy is designed to have a high will be made as deemed appropriate Minimum Suggested Investment Time Frame Investment Time Frame Investment Time Frame Investment Strategy and Approach by the investment team in order for investment team in order for the portfolio level of risk. by the investment team in order for 3 years 4 years 5 years The investment process combines the portfolio to have a high probability Investment Strategy and Approach to have a high probability of meeting the portfolio to have a high probability Asset Allocation Ranges Asset Allocation Ranges Asset Allocation Ranges quantitative and qualitative criteria and of meeting its objectives in all market Investment Strategy and Approach The its objectives in all market conditions. Investment Strategy and Approach of meeting its objectives in all market Shaw Debt Securities Income 0%–30% Shaw Debt Securities Income 0%–50% Shaw Australian Equity Growth analysis to identify asset classes, markets, conditions. The investment process takes investment process combines quantitative The investment process takes into The investment process combines conditions. The investment process takes (Large Cap) 0%–80% Shaw Hybrid Income 0%–35% Shaw Hybrid Income 0%–50% securities and strategies which have into consideration the risk around asset and qualitative criteria and analysis to consideration the risk around asset quantitative and qualitative criteria and into consideration the risk around asset Shaw Australian Equity Growth Shaw Australian Equity Income Shaw Australian Equity Core a focus toward producing sustainable classes and the underlying securities, (Large Cap) 0%–60% identify asset classes, markets, securities classes and the underlying securities (Large Cap) 0%–60% analysis to identify asset classes, markets, classes and the underlying securities (Small and Mid-Cap) 0%–40% income as opposed to capital growth. maintaining their income characteristics International Equity 0%–40% and strategies which have a focus toward maintaining their income and growth Shaw Australian Equity Growth securities and strategies which have a maintaining their growth characteristics International Equity 0%–40% whilst ensuring that the risk of a Liquid Alternatives 0%–40% characteristics whilst ensuring that the risk (Small and Mid-Cap) 0%–30% whilst ensuring that the risk of a Liquid Alternatives 0%–40% producing sustainable income and capital focus toward producing capital growth Cash 0%–100% The portfolio construction is based on drawdown is adequately managed. The Cash 0%–100% of a drawdown is adequately managed. International Equity 0%–40% drawdown is adequately managed. The growth. over and above income. macro-economic and thematic views of Portfolio Managers however manage the Indicative Cash Holding The Portfolio Managers however manage Liquid Alternatives 0%–40% Portfolio Managers however manage the Indicative Cash Holding Cash 0%–100% 3% Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw’s Research in order to best meet capital value of the portfolio to minimise 3% The portfolio construction is based on the capital value of the portfolio to The portfolio construction is based on capital value of the portfolio to minimise the risk and return objectives of the the risk of the portfolio failing to achieve macro-economic and thematic views of minimise the risk of the portfolio failing to Indicative Cash Holding macro-economic and thematic views of the risk of the portfolio failing to achieve Minimum Model Investment 3% Minimum Model Investment investment strategy. its risk and return objectives. Shaw’s Research in order to best meet achieve its risk and return objectives. Shaw’s Research in order to best meet its risk and return objectives. $100,000 $100,000 the risk and return objectives of the the risk and return objectives of the Minimum Model Investment Managing your portfolio just got easier The portfolio is a blend of the Shaw and Designed for investors who Management Fee investment strategy. Designed for investors who $100,000 investment strategy. Designed for investors who Management Fee Partners SMA strategic portfolios based Investment Fee Nil Seek income as the primary objective Investment Fee Nil Seek a balance of income and capital Seek capital growth as the primary on their suitability to the income objective. The portfolio is a blend of the Shaw The portfolio is a blend of the Shaw and Indirect Cost Ratio 0.36% p.a. and some capital appreciation from a Indirect Cost Ratio 0.34% p.a. growth as the primary objective from Management Fee objective and some income from a Each goals based portfolio has effectively Performance Fee Nil and Partners SMA strategic portfolios Investment Fee Nil Partners SMA strategic portfolios based Performance Fee Nil broad range of Australian and Global a broad range of Australian and global broad range of Australian and global its own asset and risk allocation managed based on their suitability to the Balanced asset classes and strategies Indirect Cost Ratio 0.37% p.a. on their suitability to the growth objective. asset classes and strategies asset classes and strategies by the Shaw Portfolio Strategies Team. portfolio objective. Each goals based Performance Fee Nil Each goals based portfolio has effectively Have an investment horizon of three Have an investment horizon of four Have an investment horizon of five portfolio has effectively its own asset and its own asset and risk allocation managed years or more years or more years or more risk allocation managed by the Shaw by the Shaw Portfolio Strategies Team. Accept the risk of volatility in their Portfolio Strategies Team. Accept a moderate risk of volatility in Accept the risk of volatility in their investment return. their investment return. investment return. MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE SP0009 SP0008 SP0010 SMA Marketing brochure Shaw Income Goal Shaw Balanced Goal Shaw Growth Goal Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO Shaw Debt Securities Income Portfolio Shaw Hybrid Income Portfolio Shaw Australian Equity (Large Cap) Income Shaw Australian Equity (Large Cap) Core Investment objective The portfolio will be diversified across the Investment objective The portfolio will be diversified across Investment objective Continual assessment and risk Investment objective The Investment Process takes into Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details The model invests in a portfolio of ASX above criteria. A key focus of the portfolio The model aims to invest in a portfolio of the above criteria. The portfolio will The primary objective of the Shaw management of bottom-up and top- The objective of the Shaw Australian consideration the yield and capital growth listed debt and shorter dated hybrid will be the mix of fixed and floating rate Model Portfolio Manager ASX listed debt and preference securities be monitored against the manager’s Model Portfolio Manager Australian Equity Income (Large Cap) down parameters is a core component Model Portfolio Manager Equity (Large Cap) Core Portfolio is objectives of the portfolio and ensures Model Portfolio Manager securities, debt based ETFs and debt exposure in order to meet the portfolios’ Shaw and Partners Limited that offer diversification benefits to both expectations of equity returns, credit Shaw and Partners Limited Portfolio is to provide a regular and of the model. Changes to the portfolio Shaw and Partners Limited to provide regular income, capital that both are managed simultaneously Shaw and Partners Limited specialist managed funds. These objectives. The portfolio will be monitored Australian equities and cash or term market implied volatilities and underlying sustainable fully franked dividend income will be made as deemed appropriate appreciation and out performance of the to ensure that the portfolio is not overly products offer potential diversification against the manager’s expectations of Benchmark Index deposits. interest rates in order to ensure it is Benchmark Index stream over the medium term (3–5 years). by the investment team in order for the Benchmark Index S&P/ASX 100 Accumulation Index over skewed to any style or thematic that Benchmark Index RBA Cash rate +1.5% RBA Cash rate +3% S&P/ASX 100 Accumulation Index S&P/ASX 100 Accumulation Index benefits to both Australian equities and equity returns, credit market implied invested across a range of market It achieves this by investing in a portfolio portfolio to have a high probability of the medium term (3–5 years) through would increase the risk of the portfolio The model’s return will be generated from (inclusive of franking credits) cash or term deposits. volatilities and underlying interest rates cycles to meet its return objective, while of large-cap Australian listed companies meeting its objectives. The investment investment in large cap shares listed in failing to meet its objectives. Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks a combination of cash (interest payments Indicative Number of Stocks Indicative Number of Stocks Indicative Number of Stocks in order to ensure it is invested across and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) adhering to the risk tolerances set. and managed funds. Although the process takes into consideration the risk 15–25 Australia. 15–25 The model’s return will be generated from and dividends), franking credits and 10–30 a range of market cycles to meet its 15–25 focus is yield generation, the investment around companies growing/maintaining Designed for investors who a combination of interest payments and return objective, while adhering to the risk capital growth (realised and unrealised) The model manager has access to new process and risk management aims to their dividend characteristics with the Minimum Suggested Minimum Suggested Minimum Suggested Investment Strategy and Approach Seek exposure to an Australian share Minimum Suggested capital growth (realised and unrealised) tolerances set. from an actively managed portfolio issues of debt and preference securities ensure that risk to capital is minimised result that this portfolio aims for a higher Investment Time Frame Investment Time Frame Investment Time Frame Investment Time Frame Shaw and Partners’ Investment Process portfolio that provides a franked income from an actively managed portfolio 3 years strategy. and is able to include in the portfolio as it 3 years with the goal of some capital appreciation dividend yield than that of the broader 3 years 3 years strategy. The model manager has access to new deems appropriate. combines quantitative and qualitative stream and capital appreciation Asset Allocation Ranges Asset Allocation Ranges via both longer term price appreciation market. The portfolio managers however Asset Allocation Ranges criteria and analysis to identify stocks Asset Allocation Ranges issues of listed debt securities and is The Shaw Hybrid Income Portfolio seeks Have an investment horizon of three Debt and hybrid securities 70%–100% Listed Australian hybrid securities 70%–100% and actively locking in gains as deemed manage the capital value of the portfolio Australian Equities 80%–100% likely to produce above average Australian Equities 90%–100% The Shaw Debt Income Portfolio seeks to able to include these in the portfolio as it to provide investors with a predictable The model manager’s institutional Cash 0%–20% years or more Cash 0%–10% Cash 0%–100% Listed debt securities 0%–80% appropriate to the objectives. to minimise the risk of the portfolio failing earnings growth with positive valuation provide investors with a predictable level deems appropriate. level of income whilst minimising risk to market experience with this asset class Accept the risk of share price volatility. Indicative Cash Holding Cash 0%–20% to achieve its risk and return objectives. Indicative Cash Holding characteristics. Indicative Cash Holding of income whilst minimising risk to capital. capital. brings specialist knowledge to pricing 2% Indicative Cash Holding 2% 2% and liquidity. Active management of the Investment Strategy and Approach Designed for investors who 2% The investment process combines Designed for investors who The portfolio construction is based on Investment Strategy and Approach Investment Strategy and Approach portfolio will take advantage of relative Minimum Model Investment Minimum Model Investment Seek a sustainable income stream over Minimum Model Investment macro-economic and thematic views of mispricing between securities and the quantitative and qualitative criteria and Seek franked dividend income as the $5,000 $5,000 The model manager aims to achieve the a 3 year + time frame, with a lower risk $5,000 The model manager aims to achieve the Minimum Model Investment Shaw and Partners’ Research in order to asset class as a whole, while taking into $5,000 analysis to identify stocks and strategies primary objective from an Australian investment objectives via a qualitative of loss than equities, and a higher rate investment objectives via a qualitative best meet the risk and return objectives Management Fee consideration the impact of any micro which have a relatively high dividend equities portfolio and some capital Management Fee Management Fee and quantitative investment process. Key of return than cash like investments and quantitative investment process. Key of the investment strategy. Continual Investment Fee Nil and macroeconomic factors. The ability Management Fee paying capability, and are likely to appreciation Investment Fee Nil Investment Fee Nil criteria and areas of focus are: criteria and areas of focus are: Indirect Cost Ratio 0.25% p.a. assessment and risk management of Indirect Cost Ratio 0.00% p.a. Focus on minimising risk to capital and Indirect Cost Ratio 0.28% p.a. to lock in gains will be a key feature of the Investment Fee Nil produce above average earnings growth Have an investment horizon of three Credit quality of the issuer low volatility of returns. Performance Fee Nil Credit quality of the issuer Indirect Cost Ratio 0.00% p.a. with positive valuation characteristics. Performance Fee Nil bottom-up and top-down parameters is a Performance Fee Nil strategy in achieving its objectives. years or more Sector/Industry Sector/Industry Performance Fee Nil core component of the Model. Changes The portfolio construction is based on Accept the risk of share price volatility. to the portfolio will be made as deemed Call dates and final maturity details Call date, conversion dates and final Designed for investors who macro-economic and thematic views of appropriate by the investment team in Structure of instrument maturity details Seek a sustainable income stream Shaw and Partners’ Research in order to order for the portfolio to have a high Timing and composition of cash flows Structure of instrument (inclusive of franking credits) over a 3 year best meet the risk and return objectives of probability of meeting its objectives. Timing and composition of cash flows + time frame, with a lower risk of loss the investment strategy. Relative valuation of sector as a whole than equities, and a higher rate of return and between relevant securities, Relative valuation of sector as a whole than cash like investments. including the inclusion of new issues and between relevant securities, Liquidity and potential changes in including the inclusion of new issues liquidity. Liquidity and potential changes in MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE liquidity. MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE SP0003 SP0002 SP0004 SP0001 Shaw Debt Securities Income Shaw Hybrid Income Shaw Australian Equity Shaw Australian Equity (Large Cap) Income (Large Cap) Core Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts Shaw Managed Accounts ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO Shaw Australian Equity (Large Cap) Growth Shaw Australian Equity (Small and Mid-Cap) Growth Shaw Liquid Alternatives Portfolio AllianceBernstein Concentrated Global Growth Investment objective The investment process takes into Investment objective The investment process takes into Investment objective research into alternative strategies and Investment objective Designed for investors who Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details Model Portfolio Details The primary objective of the Shaw consideration the primary objective of The primary objective of the Shaw consideration the primary objective The primary objective of the Shaw Liquid return streams is a core component The portfolio seeks long term growth Are considered longer term investors (5 Australian Equity (Large Cap) Growth capital growth. Although the portfolio will Model Portfolio Manager Australian Equity (Small and Mid-Cap) of capital growth. It aims to invest in Model Portfolio Manager Alternatives Portfolio is to provide regular of the model. Changes to the portfolio Model Portfolio Manager of capital by investing in an actively years +) Model Portfolio Manager Portfolio is to provide a level of capital generate income, income focused stocks Shaw and Partners Limited Growth Portfolio is to provide a level of companies where the share price does Shaw and Partners Limited and sustainable income and capital will be made as deemed appropriate Shaw and Partners Limited managed concentrated portfolio of listed Seek exposure to a concentrated AllianceBernstein appreciation over the longer term will be included if their total return criteria capital appreciation over the longer term not fully reflect the potential value of the growth over the medium term (3–5 years) by the investment team in order for securities considered by the portfolio portfolio of high quality global equities (5–7 years). The portfolio is tilted towards fits the portfolios objective. Benchmark Index (5–7 years). The portfolio is tilted towards underlying business of the company. Benchmark Index whilst minimising risk to capital. It the portfolio to have a high probability Benchmark Index manager to be of very high quality issued Benchmark Index S&P/ASX 100 Accumulation Index S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index RBA Cash rate +3% with superior return potential with MSCI World Index stocks that have superior earning growth small and mid-sized stocks that have achieves this by investing in a diversified of meeting its objectives in all market by companies with predictable growth. generally low turnover capacity and focus is on the total return Volatility of returns will be managed with superior earning growth capacity and portfolio of asset classes and strategies conditions. The investment process takes Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks Designed for investors who Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks Indicative Number of Stocks per of each stock rather than the dividend the objective of a lower standard deviation focus is on the total return of each stock Indicative Number of Securities, Stocks that have low correlation with traditional into consideration the risk around asset and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) Seek long term capital growth as the and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) and/or Funds (ETF and Managed) Investment Strategy and Approach Asset Class Based Portfolio income as the prime objective. of returns than the benchmark index. rather than the dividend income as the equity and debt asset classes. This classes and the underlying securities 15–25 primary objective from and Australian 15–30 3–20 The portfolio manager seeks to achieve 25–35 prime objective. equities portfolio and some income portfolio is designed to act as a volatility maintaining their growth characteristics the investment objective by composing a Minimum Suggested Minimum Suggested Minimum Suggested Minimum Suggested Investment Strategy and Approach Designed for investors who Investment Time Frame dampener and diversifier to an existing whilst ensuring that the risk of a Investment Time Frame portfolio of highly liquid, listed securities of Investment Time Frame Those investors in the accumulation Investment Time Frame The investment process combines Seek long term capital growth as the 5 years Investment Strategy and Approach 5 years portfolio of liquid assets. drawdown is adequately managed. The 3 years quality companies from the MSCI World 5 years phase portfolio managers however manage the quantitative and qualitative criteria and primary objective from an Australian Asset Allocation Ranges The investment process combines Asset Allocation Ranges universe. These companies are chosen Asset Allocation Ranges Have an investment horizon of five Asset Allocation Ranges analysis to identify stocks which have a equities portfolio and some income Australian Equities 80%–100% quantitative and qualitative criteria and Investment Strategy and Approach capital value of the portfolio to minimise Liquid alternative assets 80%–100% for their specific growth and business International Equities 90%–100% Australian Equities 80%–100% Cash 0%–20% years or more the risk of the portfolio failing to achieve Cash 0%–20% Cash 0%–10% favourable outlook are likely to produce Those investors in the accumulation analysis to identify stocks which have a Cash 0%–20% The portfolio is a blend of strategies and characteristics, earnings development, above average earnings growth with phase Indicative Cash Holding relatively high dividend paying capability Accept the risk of share price volatility. investments that can be expected to have its risk and return objectives. Indicative Cash Holding financial position and experienced Indicative Cash Holding Indicative Cash Holding positive valuation characteristics. 2% are likely to produce above average 2% a lower correlation to equities, bonds and 2% management. 2% Have an investment horizon of five years or more earnings growth with positive valuation other traditional beta style investments. Designed for investors who The portfolio construction is based on Minimum Model Investment Minimum Model Investment Minimum Model Investment Minimum Model Investment characteristics. The portfolio was designed primarily Investors seeking sustainable and lower macro-economic and thematic views of Accept the risk of share price volatility. $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $65,000 to lower the downside variance of an volatility returns (mix of income and Shaw and Partners’ Research in order to The portfolio construction is based on income, balanced or growth portfolio that capital growth) as the primary objective Management Fee Management Fee Management Fee Management Fee best meet the risk and return objectives of macro-economic and thematic views of uses a mixture of bonds and equities that will be less impacted by large Investment Fee Nil Investment Fee Nil Investment Fee Nil Investment Fee 0.55% p.a. the investment strategy. Indirect Cost Ratio 0.00% p.a. Shaw and Partners’ Research in order to to derive a given long term return. The moves in underlying asset prices in Indirect Cost Ratio 0.95% p.a. Indirect Cost Ratio 0.00% p.a. Indirect Cost Ratio 0.61% p.a. Performance Fee Nil best meet the risk and return objectives of strategies and managers chosen for traditional investments such as Equities Performance Fee Nil Performance Fee Nil Continual assessment and risk Performance Fee Nil the investment strategy. the portfolio have a demonstrable track and Bonds management of bottom-up and top-down record of minimising risk to capital during As a standalone investment option, parameters is a core component of the Continual assessment and risk downturns and when blended in the suitable for investors looking for a lower model. Changes to the portfolio will be management of bottom-up and top-down appropriate weights can significantly risk/lower return exposure that is not made as deemed appropriate by the parameters is a core component of the reduce the downside potential of a bond correlated with traditional asset class investment team in order for the portfolio model. Changes to the portfolio will be and equity portfolio. returns to have a high probability of meeting its made as deemed appropriate by the objectives. investment team in order for the portfolio Asset classes and strategies may Blended with a traditional income, to have a high probability of meeting its include Global Macro, Managed Futures balanced or growth portfolio to reduce objectives. (Trends), Long/Short and Market Neutral, drawdown and smooth returns MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE Commodities and Dynamic Markets. Investors should have an investment MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE MODEL PORTFOLIO CODE horizon of three years or more SP0005 SP0006 Only managers/investments that have daily pricing and liquidity can be Accept the risk of volatility in their investment return. SP0011 SP0012 considered. Continual assessment and Shaw Australian Equity Shaw Australian Equity Shaw Liquid Alternatives AllianceBernstein Concentrated (Large Cap) Growth (Small and Mid-Cap) Growth Global Growth Research Monitor | Sept 2019 | 19
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