The influence of residential wood combustion on the concentrations of PM2.5 in four Nordic cities - ACP
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Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-4333-2020 © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. The influence of residential wood combustion on the concentrations of PM2.5 in four Nordic cities Jaakko Kukkonen1 , Susana López-Aparicio2 , David Segersson3 , Camilla Geels4 , Leena Kangas1 , Mari Kauhaniemi1 , Androniki Maragkidou1 , Anne Jensen4 , Timo Assmuth5 , Ari Karppinen1 , Mikhail Sofiev1 , Heidi Hellén1 , Kari Riikonen1 , Juha Nikmo1 , Anu Kousa6 , Jarkko V. Niemi6 , Niko Karvosenoja5 , Gabriela Sousa Santos2 , Ingrid Sundvor7 , Ulas Im4 , Jesper H. Christensen4 , Ole-Kenneth Nielsen4 , Marlene S. Plejdrup4 , Jacob Klenø Nøjgaard4 , Gunnar Omstedt3 , Camilla Andersson3 , Bertil Forsberg8 , and Jørgen Brandt4 1 Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin aukio 1, P.O. Box 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland 2 Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Instituttveien 18, P.O. Box 100, 2027 Kjeller, Norway 3 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, 60176 Norrköping, Sweden 4 Department of Environmental Science – Atmospheric modeling, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark 5 Finnish Environment Institute, Latokartanonkaari 11, 00790 Helsinki, Finland 6 Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority, Ilmalantori 1, 00240 Helsinki, Finland 7 Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalléen 21, 0349 Oslo, Norway 8 Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, 90187 Umeå, Sweden Correspondence: Jaakko Kukkonen (jaakko.kukkonen@fmi.fi) Received: 14 June 2019 – Discussion started: 12 July 2019 Revised: 19 February 2020 – Accepted: 4 March 2020 – Published: 15 April 2020 Abstract. Residential wood combustion (RWC) is an impor- erage fractions of PM2.5 concentrations attributed to RWC tant contributor to air quality in numerous regions world- within the considered urban regions ranged spatially from wide. This study is the first extensive evaluation of the influ- 0 % to 15 %, from 0 % to 20 %, from 8 % to 22 % and from ence of RWC on ambient air quality in several Nordic cities. 0 % to 60 % in Helsinki, Copenhagen, Umeå and Oslo, re- We have analysed the emissions and concentrations of PM2.5 spectively. In particular, the contributions of RWC in cen- in cities within four Nordic countries: in the metropolitan tral Oslo were larger than 40 % as annual averages. In Oslo, areas of Copenhagen, Oslo, and Helsinki and in the city wood combustion was used mainly for the heating of larger of Umeå. We have evaluated the emissions for the relevant blocks of flats. In contrast, in Helsinki, RWC was solely used urban source categories and modelled atmospheric disper- in smaller detached houses. In Copenhagen and Helsinki, the sion on regional and urban scales. The emission inventories highest fractions occurred outside the city centre in the sub- for RWC were based on local surveys, the amount of wood urban areas. In Umeå, the highest fractions occurred both in combusted, combustion technologies and other relevant fac- the city centre and its surroundings. tors. The accuracy of the predicted concentrations was eval- uated based on urban concentration measurements. The pre- dicted annual average concentrations ranged spatially from 4 to 7 µg m−3 (2011), from 6 to 10 µg m−3 (2013), from 4 1 Introduction to more than 13 µg m−3 (2013) and from 9 to more than 13 µg m−3 (2014), in Umeå, Helsinki, Oslo and Copenhagen, The combustion of wood or other kinds of biomass for resi- respectively. The higher concentrations in Copenhagen were dential heating and cooking is a significant source of atmo- mainly caused by the relatively high regionally and continen- spheric pollution, both in developed and developing coun- tally transported background contributions. The annual av- tries (e.g. Patel et al., 2013; Sigsgaard et al., 2015; Butt et al., 2016). Biomass combustion and the combustion of res- Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.
4334 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 idential solid fuels (RSF), such as wood crop residue, ani- responsible for 22 %, 15 %, 32 % and 12 % of the concen- mal waste, coal and charcoal (Butt et al., 2016; Capistrano et trations, respectively. In another study conducted by Butt et al., 2017), have been found to contribute significantly to par- al. (2016), their computations showed that the largest resi- ticulate matter emissions in numerous countries worldwide dential emissions of PM2.5 occurred in East Asia, South Asia (e.g. Karagulian et al., 2015; Butt et al., 2016; Vicente and and eastern Europe. Alves, 2018; Im et al., 2019). In addition, such combustion Regarding RWC findings in Europe, Brandt et al. (2013), results in emissions of harmful or toxic gaseous pollutants, based on emissions for 2000 and the Economic Valuation such as CO, CO2 , NOx , heavy metals (i.e. Pb, Cu, Fe, Zn, of Air pollution (EVA) system, estimated that non-industrial and Hg, etc.), polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and combustion (dominated by RWC) contributed to approxi- other toxic compounds (Patel et al., 2013; Capistrano et al., mately 10 % of the total health costs due to air pollution in 2017). Europe. Two studies for major cities in the UK indicated Epidemiological studies have documented that both short- that the contributions of RWC to particulate matter were and long-term exposure to smoke from biomass and RSF clearly lower than those observed for Nordic cities and part combustion are responsible for chronic obstructive pul- of the cities in continental Europe (Fuller et al., 2014; Har- monary disease (COPD), acute lower respiratory and cardio- rison et al., 2012). Fuller et al. (2014) reported that 9 % of vascular disease, pneumonia, tuberculosis, asthma, and even ambient PM10 in London in 2010 was attributed to RWC. lung cancer (Patel et al., 2013; Sigsgaard et al., 2015; Capis- Harrison et al. (2012) reported RWC contributions, which trano et al., 2017). Several studies have pointed out the strong were below 1 % of ambient PM2.5 concentrations in Lon- relationship between particulate matter from biomass burn- don and Birmingham. Cordell et al. (2016) evaluated the im- ing and severe consequences on health, including hospital- pacts of biomass burning in the UK, the Netherlands, Bel- isations, cardiovascular and respiratory problems, and pre- gium and France. Their findings indicated that the contribu- mature mortality (McGowan et al., 2002; Pope and Dockery, tion of biomass combustion to PM10 concentrations during 2006; Sanhueza et al., 2009; Brook et al., 2010). According the winter ranged from 2.7 % to 11.6 %. Lanz et al. (2010) to WHO (2011, 2014), approximately 4 million deaths can reported that wood-burning emissions accounted for 17 %– be attributed to RSF combustion every year worldwide. Butt 49 % of organic aerosol in winter across the greater Alpine et al. (2016) evaluated that the global annual excess adult region during 2002–2009. Yttri et al. (2019) analysed the car- premature mortality attributed to residential emissions was bonaceous particle fraction at nine European locations dur- 308 000. In Europe and North America, 29 000 premature ing winter, spring and autumn. The contribution of RWC was deaths have been estimated to be ascribed annually to resi- substantial, accounting for 30 %–50 % of the total carbon in dential biomass burning (Chafe et al., 2015). particles at most sites. For simplicity, in this article we mainly use the term resi- There are also several publications on RWC in Nordic dential wood combustion (RWC), which includes the com- countries. Im et al. (2019) evaluated that the largest domestic bustion of various wood products. The concept of RWC emission sector of PM2.5 in Denmark, Finland and Norway refers here to either detached residential houses, row (ter- was non-industrial combustion. Non-industrial combustion raced) houses or medium-sized blocks of flats. The term and industry in Sweden were found to contribute to PM2.5 “small-scale combustion” (SSC) has also been used in the emissions a comparable amount. Im et al. (2019) also es- literature to refer to combustion from stationary small-scale timated that the total premature mortality cases due to air appliances. Such appliances can be used, e.g. in homes, in pollution were approximately 4000 in Denmark and Sweden small- and medium-scale industry, and in heat and energy and approximately 2000 in Finland and Norway. Markers production. However, this definition does not include small- of processes and abundant sources of particles were appor- scale combustion in traffic. Clearly, the concept SSC is more tioned based on measurements during a summer campaign comprehensive and includes more fuels and sources com- at four Norwegian rural background sites in 2009 by Yttri et pared to RWC. al. (2011). In late summer, biomass burning contributed only With respect to RWC globally, Vicente and Alves (2018) 3 %–7 % to the carbonaceous aerosol. According to Hedberg evaluated that residential fuel burning is responsible for et al. (2006), RWC was responsible for 70 % of the fine par- a substantial share of particulate matter concentrations in ticle mass in a small city in northern Sweden in 2002. In Africa (34 %), central and eastern Europe (32 %), northwest- addition, Glasius et al. (2006) reported that PM2.5 concen- ern Europe (22 %), southern China (21 %), Southeast Asia trations in a small Danish rural village were approximately (19 %), and India (16 %). According to the review of Karag- 4 µg m−3 higher than at a nearby background monitoring site ulian et al. (2015), 25 % of urban ambient air pollution from during the winter period. Their findings regarding the obser- PM2.5 was attributed to traffic, 15 % to industrial activities, vation of high PM2.5 concentrations during the evening and 20 % to domestic fuel burning, 22 % to unspecified anthro- at night were consistent with a local heating source. In a later pogenic sources, and 18 % to natural dust and salt. Regarding study, RWC was analysed in a similar village and season in northwestern, western, central and eastern, and southwest- the same region (Glasius et al., 2008). The local contribution ern Europe, they reported that domestic wood burning was of RWC to PM2.5 corresponded to 10 % of ambient PM2.5 . Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4335 Moreover, Saarnio et al. (2012) reported that the average 2.1 The considered cities, regions and measurement contributions of RWC to ambient PM2.5 concentrations in networks the Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA) ranged from 18 % to 29 % at two urban sites and from 31 % to 66 % at two The locations of the selected cities and the domains are pre- suburban sites during various periods within the colder half sented in Fig. 1. The considered domain sizes were selected of the year. Local wood combustion sources were reported mainly based on the sizes of the cities and their surround- to be especially responsible for the increased concentrations ing metropolitan areas; the domain is therefore largest for at suburban sites. Hellén et al. (2017) observed that the lo- Copenhagen and smallest for Umeå. cal emissions from residential wood combustion caused high The geographical locations and the air quality measure- benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) and levoglucosan concentrations in ment stations addressed in this study are presented in the HMA. The BaP concentrations exceeded the European Figs. 2a–d. All the considered cities are located either on the Union target value for the annual average concentrations coast or in the immediate vicinity of the coast of the Baltic (1 ng m−3 ) in certain suburban detached-house areas. Sea. Characterisations of the geographical regions and cli- Some studies have also specifically addressed particulate mates of the cities have been presented in Appendix A. carbonaceous matter from wood burning (Genberg et al., 2011; Yttri et al., 2011; Szidat et al., 2009; Helin et al., 2018; 2.1.1 Concentration measurement networks Aurela et al., 2015). The overarching aim of this article is to evaluate the in- Concentration measurements for Umeå fluence of RWC within urban regions on air quality in four Nordic cities, i.e. Copenhagen, Helsinki, Oslo and Umeå. For Umeå, we took into consideration both long-term mea- The more specific objectives include, first, to present and surements and the results of a measurement campaign. The inter-compare the methodologies for evaluating the emis- long-term measurements were conducted from 2006 to 2011 sions and dispersion of fine particulate matter originating at two sites in the city of Umeå (Västra Esplanaden and Bib- from RWC in four Nordic cities. Second, we aim to com- lioteket). The site of Västra Esplanaden is classified as an pare the predicted concentrations with the available air qual- urban traffic site; it is a roadside station located in a street ity measurements. Third, we intend to present and analyse canyon with relatively dense traffic. The site of Biblioteket numerical results on the PM2.5 concentrations. In particu- is classified as an urban background site; it is located on a lar, we will quantify the influence of RWC in urban regions rooftop in central Umeå. The long-term measurements were on the PM2.5 concentrations. We will also report and evalu- conducted using TEOM 1400A (Thermo Fisher Scientific, ate the current regulations regarding the emissions and con- Waltham, MA, USA). centrations from RWC. This article presents a systematic as- A monitoring campaign was also carried out to evaluate sessment of the influences of RWC on air quality in several the performance of the modelling approach (Omstedt et al., Nordic cities for the first time. 2014). The measurements were carried out in the villages of Sävar, Vännäs, and Vännäsby, situated in the vicinity of Umeå, and at Tavleliden, located in the southernmost out- 2 Methods skirts of the city. The stations of Sävar, Vännäs, Vännäsby and Tavleliden are classified as residential sites. This study focuses on three Nordic capital regions, Oslo, All monitoring campaign measurements of PM2.5 were Helsinki, and Copenhagen, and one smaller city, including its carried out using filter collection. For Sävar and Vännäsby, neighbouring area, Umeå. Our aim was to investigate greater the filters were changed on a daily basis, and for Tavleliden capital or urban areas, instead of solely focusing on the areas and Vännäs they were changed at weekly intervals. The anal- of the cities. For instance, we address the Helsinki Metropoli- ysis of the filters was gravimetric (weighting before and after tan Area, which contains four separate cities. However, for measurements under standardised conditions). simplicity, we chose to refer in the following to the capital regions simply as Oslo, Helsinki and Copenhagen. Concentration measurements for Helsinki Umeå was selected instead of the Swedish capital due to lack of detailed information about the influence of RWC in For this study, we have selected three measurement stations Stockholm. This article presents the results for 1 year for that mainly represent the influence of RWC in residential ar- each city. The target years are 2011 for Umeå, 2013 for eas (Vartiokylä, Tapanila and Kauniainen) and three stations Helsinki and Oslo, and 2014 for Copenhagen. that represent either pollution originating from vehicular traf- We have addressed the contributions of RWC originating fic in the centre of Helsinki (Mannerheimintie) or at smaller from sources within the target urban regions. Clearly, a frac- regional urban centres within the Helsinki Metropolitan Area tion of the regional background is also originated from RWC (Leppävaara and Tikkurila). In addition, we have selected that is located outside the considered urban regions. two stations that represent urban (Kallio2) and regional back- ground (Luukki). All the PM2.5 monitors were equivalent ref- www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
4336 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 Figure 1. The locations of the selected cities and domains. The physical sizes of the domains have been indicated in the inserted smaller maps. erence instruments (i.e. TEOM 1400AB, SHARP 5030, FH Inter-comparison of the measurement networks in the 62 I-R and Grimm 180). target cities Concentration measurements for Oslo Generally, the locations of the stations in the target cities have been selected using similar or the same criteria (accord- All the available monitoring stations in Oslo in 2013 were ing to the European Union directives and guidance). For each classified as either urban or suburban traffic, or urban back- target city, we have selected regional and urban background ground. There were no stations originally designed to mea- stations and urban traffic and RWC stations. Stations repre- sure the influence of residential combustion; however, sev- senting all of these categories were available for all the cities. eral stations were influenced by pollution from RWC. However, in the case of Oslo, the official categorisation of At all the considered monitoring stations in Oslo, PM2.5 the stations did not include any RWC stations. We have there- is measured by continuous monitors and logged with a time fore selected a few urban stations in Oslo, which we consid- resolution of 1 h. All monitors are equivalent reference in- ered to be most representative for the pollution attributed to struments (i.e. TEOM 1400A, TEOM 1405DF-FDMS and RWC, to stand for RWC in this study. Grimm-EDM180). 2.2 Emission inventories for the target cities Concentration measurements for Copenhagen The assessment of emissions located within the target cities The Danish Air Quality Monitoring Network includes five is addressed in this section. The regional- and continental- measuring sites in close vicinity of Copenhagen. There are scale emissions are discussed in the context of regional dis- three sites in central Copenhagen: two street sites and one persion modelling. We first present an overview and sum- urban background site. We have also used data measured at mary of the emission modelling both for RWC and for all a suburban site of Hvidovre, located outside of Copenhagen, the other urban sources. More detailed descriptions of the as- and at a regional background site in a rural area at Risø. The sessment of RWC emissions are presented in the following PM2.5 observations were performed using the Low-Volume section. Sampling reference method. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4337 Figure 2. The geographical locations of the cities and the air quality measurement stations for (a) Umeå, (b) Helsinki, (c) Oslo and (d) Copen- hagen. The panels represent the locations of the stations in 2011 for Umeå, 2013 for Helsinki and Oslo, and 2014 for Copenhagen, respec- tively. The most densely populated central areas of the cities are shown with a light mauve colour. Notation for the stations is as follows. (a) Umeå: (1) Biblioteket, (2) Västra Esplanaden, (3) Sävar, (4) Tavleliden, (5) Vännäsby, (6) Vännäs. (b) Helsinki: (1) Kallio, (2) Tikkurila, (3) Mannerheimintie, (4) Leppävaara, (5) Vartiokylä, (6) Tapanila, (7) Kauniainen, (8) Luukki. (c) Oslo: (1) Sofienbergparken, (2) Grøn- land, (3) Skøyen, (4) Bekkestua, (5) Vigernes, (6) Alnabru, (7) Rv4 Aker Sykehus, (8) Manglerud, (9) Kirkeveien, (10) Bygdøy Alle, (11) Hjortnes, (12) Smestad, (13) Eilif Dues vei. (d) Copenhagen: (1) HCØ, (2) HCAB, (3) JGTV, (4) Hvidovre, (5) Risø. © OpenStreetMap contributors 2019. Distributed under a Creative Commons BY-SA License. 2.2.1 Overview of the emission inventories (iii) the spatial distribution of the emissions. In the case of Umeå, Helsinki and Copenhagen, various national or local register data have also been used. An overview of the emission inventories regarding RWC is Information about the combusted wood is subsequently presented in Table 1. In all the cities, the emissions inventory combined with the corresponding emission factors. The from RWC was based on (i) surveys regarding the amounts assessment of emission factors has been based on either and use of wood stoves, boilers, and other relevant appli- on national measurements (Oslo) or a combination of na- ances; (ii) national or literature-based emission factors; and www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
4338 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 Table 1. Assessment of the emissions of PM2.5 that originated from RWC and their spatial resolution in the target cities. Umeå Helsinki Oslo Copenhagen Data and information (i) Survey on the (i) Survey concern- (i) Survey regarding (i) Survey of unit sources regarding the amounts of ing the amount the amount and consumption use of wood for com- wood stoves and of wood com- temporal vari- and age for dif- bustion as well as com- boilers and the busted, types ability of wood ferent types of bustion appliances habits of wood and amounts of combusted com- residences combustion. fireplaces, and piled by Statistics (ii) Register data (ii) Register data habits of wood Norway of the location gathered by chim- combustion for of appliances ney sweepers detached and from chimney semi-detached sweepers houses (iii) Danish energy (ii) Regional ba- statistics and sic register for building and dwellings dwelling register (iv) Spatial distribu- tion is evaluated by the SPREAD model (Plejdrup et al., 2016) Assessment of emis- Combination of results Combination of results National measurements Combination of results sion factors from national mea- from national mea- reported by Haakonsen from the EMEP/EEA surement programmes surement programmes and Kvingedal (2001) Guidebook (European and available literature and available literature Environment Agency, (Omstedt et al., 2014) (Kaski et al., 2016; 2016) and national Savolahti et al., 2016) measurements Spatial resolution of the Appliances were 100 × 100 m2 1 × 1 km2 1 × 1 km2 predicted emissions of treated as point sources. PM2.5 Basis for spatial alloca- Geocoded addresses of Average wood use for The amount of wood Average wood con- tion of emissions, i.e. combustion appliances houses with different consumed in the dis- sumption in different gridding based on a survey and primary heating meth- tricts in Oslo based on types of houses and chimney sweeper regis- ods; the location of the a survey carried out by the location of the ter houses is taken from Statistics Norway appliances based on the local building and chimney sweepers reg- dwelling register ister; the locations of houses are taken from the Danish building and dwelling register Basis for temporal allo- Measured local contri- Information gathered in Based on a survey car- Temporal profile eval- cation of emissions butions of the concen- questionnaires (Kaski ried out by Statistics uated by Friedrich and trations of PM2.5 as a et al., 2016) Norway Reis (2004) proxy variable tional measurements and results from the available literature on the ambient temperature. In the case of Oslo, the varia- (Umeå, Helsinki and Copenhagen). All measurements that tion in emissions on the ambient temperature has also been were used for the assessment of emission factors were based taken into account, based on measured weekly average am- on methodologies using cooled flue gases and dilution cham- bient temperatures. bers. In the inventory for Umeå, the individual RWC sources Clearly, the RWC emissions are dependent on the tem- were treated separately. For the other cities, the computed poral variation in the meteorological conditions, especially RWC emissions have been gridded on various spatial resolu- Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4339 tions from 100 × 100 m2 (Helsinki) to 1 × 1 km2 (Oslo and The survey included also an air quality monitoring campaign. Copenhagen). Based on the register data gathered by the chimney sweep- An overview of the emission inventories for the other rele- ers, we selected a representative sample of 178 houses with vant source categories is presented in Table 2. Vehicular traf- a stove or a boiler. A total of 176 houses were willing to par- fic exhaust emissions have been included for all the cities. ticipate in the survey; these households were subsequently The suspension emissions originating from vehicular traffic visited. The residents were interviewed using a form with have been included for Umeå, Helsinki and Oslo. The emis- questions mainly regarding the type of stove or boiler, the sions from shipping have been included for Umeå, Oslo and principal type of heating, biofuel consumption, biofuel type, Copenhagen. In the case of Helsinki, Kukkonen et al. (2018) combustion habits, and the actions taken to reduce energy presented a detailed analysis regarding the contribution of consumption. shipping on the PM2.5 concentrations based on computations A bottom-up inventory was made of the amounts of wood for a 3-year period. They found that the contribution of ship- stoves and boilers based on (i) the above-mentioned sur- ping, including harbour activities, to the ambient air PM2.5 vey on the habits of wood consumption and combustion and concentrations varied from 10 % to 20 % near major har- (ii) register data that had been gathered by the local chimney bours to a negligible contribution in most other parts of the sweepers. In combining these two information sources, we metropolitan area. have extended the information of the above-mentioned sur- However, the emission inventories for source categories vey to the whole building stock, i.e. we have assumed that the other than RWC were not the main focus of this article. Their habits of wood consumption and combustion are the same in more detailed descriptions have therefore been presented in the households that were not included in the survey as well. Appendix B. The inventory was compiled in Västerbotten county in 2009. This dataset includes information about the types of 2.2.2 Detailed descriptions of the assessment of equipment, such as boilers (wood or oil), stoves, pellet boiler, emissions from RWC and open fireplaces, and their geocoded addresses. A total of more than 54 thousand appliances were identified within the For the estimation of the emissions of wood combustion, county. About 23 % of them were wood boilers, 10 % pellet one needs to know numerous factors, including (i) the spa- boilers, 64 % stoves and 3 % oil boilers. tial distributions of the various categories of buildings using We estimated the amounts of combusted wood and the wood combustion; (ii) the amounts and distribution of fire- emission factors based on dilution chamber experiments by wood used; (iii) the shares of primary and secondary heating Omstedt et al. (2014). Separate emission factors were used sources; (iv) the amounts of wood used and the numbers of for (i) wood-, (ii) pellet-, and (iii) oil-fuelled boilers; (iv) fire- boilers, stoves, fireplaces, sauna stoves, and other heating de- places and stoves; and (v) summer houses and cottages. vices; and (v) the emission factors for the different types of The temporal variations in the emissions originating from heating devices (Kukkonen et al., 2018). wood combustion were evaluated using the measured local The information about the use of wood and the heating contributions of the concentrations of PM2.5 as a proxy vari- device technologies is mostly based on surveys. Moreover, able. The local contributions of the PM2.5 concentrations in cases where the survey year and the study year are not were estimated by subtracting the modelled regional back- the same, the information about the changes of technologies ground concentration from the local measurements. All mea- and fuels in time is also needed. There are also other factors surement stations used for these estimations were located in that may have a substantial influence on the assessment of areas with a substantial amount of RWC. RWC emissions, which are commonly estimated in a simpli- fied manner, or even neglected in evaluating the emissions of The assessment of emissions from RWC for Helsinki RWC (e.g. Savolahti et al., 2016). These include (i) the com- positions of wood fuels, e.g. their humidity, the tree species, and the pre-processing and storage of wood, and (ii) the vari- Emissions from RWC were based on an emission inventory ations in the habits and procedures of combustion (Kukko- for the years 2013–2014, including the spatial and tempo- nen et al., 2018). For these reasons, the uncertainties in the ral variation in emissions. We estimated the amount of wood RWC emission estimates of PM2.5 are commonly higher than combusted in 12 different fireplace types and the procedures those for most other major emission source sectors (e.g. Kar- and habits for the combustion by using a questionnaire. Its re- vosenoja et al., 2018). sults were applied for all detached and semi-detached houses in the area. The assessment of emissions from RWC for Umeå The spatial distribution of the emissions was based on average wood use per combustion appliance type for each A survey regarding the habits of wood consumption and main heating method of a house based on the questionnaires combustion was carried out in four areas in 2013, which in- (Kaski et al., 2016). The emissions were allocated to the loca- cluded a recently constructed suburb and three small towns. tion of the houses available in the local building and dwelling www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
4340 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 Table 2. Assessment of the traffic flows and emissions from vehicular traffic and other source categories (except for RWC) in the target cities. Umeå Helsinki Oslo Copenhagen Vehicular traffic flows Vehicular traf- Traffic flow model Traffic flow model Traffic flow model National GIS-based and emissions fic flows EMME/2 and mea- EMME/2 and mea- RTM23+ road network and traffic sured data sured data database. The spatial distribution is done by the SPREAD model Vehicular ex- Emission factors The LIPASTO emis- NILUs traffic emission The SPREAD emission haust emissions by Hausberger et sion model model model (for the Danish al. (2009) area) Vehicular Resuspension model by The FORE traffic The NORTRIP traffic Not included suspension Omstedt et al. (2005) suspension emission suspension emission emissions model (Kauhaniemi et model (Denby et al., al., 2011) 2013) Shipping emissions Modelled using Not included in the Based on López- An updated version of SHIPAIR (Segers- modelling Aparicio et al. (2017b) the AIS-based inven- son, 2014) and US EPA (2009) tory for Denmark (Ole- sen et al., 2009) Other sources National compilation of Not included in the Industrial emissions Fugitive emissions emissions originating modelling and emissions from from fuels and emis- from off-road machin- off-road mobile com- sions from industrial ery and major point bustion processes, agriculture, sources in Sweden and waste modelled by SPREAD register, and the emissions were allocated to the 100×100 m2 amount of wood combusted was collected based on the sur- grid. vey in terms of the type of technology, i.e. open fireplace, The temporal variation (monthly, weekly, hourly) of emis- wood stove produced before 1998 and wood stove produced sions was estimated based on the information gathered in after 1998. questionnaires (Kaski et al., 2016). The temporal variation The emission factors were extracted from Haakonsen and was estimated separately for three different source cate- Kvingedal (2001), which were based on a review of the re- gories: heating boilers, sauna stoves, and other fireplaces. sults from different tests for various fireplaces in Norway. However, the information was not sufficient to quantitatively Separate emission factors were used for conventional wood model the influence of meteorological variables on the emis- stoves, certified wood stoves and open fireplaces. sions. The seasonal variations in emissions were taken into ac- The emission factors for different types of fireplaces were count by modelling their variation using their dependency adopted based on the results of national measurement pro- on the ambient temperature based on observed weekly av- grammes and the literature (Kaski et al., 2016; Savolahti erage ambient temperatures. The weekly mean temperatures et al., 2016). The spatial distribution of RWC emissions measured at the station of Blindern in 2013 were used in the was based on the regional basic register for dwellings, pro- parameterisation. vided by the Helsinki Region Environmental Services Au- thority; this register contains information about primary heat- The assessment of emissions from RWC for Copenhagen ing methods. A survey was conducted regarding the unit consumption of wood and age of different types of residences by the Danish The assessment of emissions from RWC for Oslo Technological Institute in 2015. A distinction was made be- tween villas, apartments and allotments that were either con- The RWC emissions were estimated based on a bottom-up nected or unconnected to district heating. The survey also in- approach by using the data of a dedicated survey. The survey cluded information about the age of the appliance, distributed was carried out by Statistics Norway; its aim was to assess into four age categories. For RWC in the Copenhagen area, the use of wood combustion and heating habits in Oslo. The detailed data were also used on the location of the appliances results of the survey include information about the amount based on the chimney sweeper register data for Copenhagen of wood consumed in the districts in Oslo, and informa- in 2015. tion on how the wood combustion varies temporally in terms of weeks, days and hours of the day. Information about the Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4341 The assessment of the emissions for the Danish area were 2.3.1 Overview of dispersion modelling based on the SPREAD model. The SPREAD model is an in- tegrated database system for high-resolution (1 km × 1 km) An overview of the dispersion modelling has been presented spatial distribution of emissions (Plejdrup et al., 2016). The in Table 3. The assessment of the regional background con- SPREAD model includes emission distributions for each sec- centrations was based on chemical transport modelling in all tor in the Danish emission inventory system. In this study, the cities, except for Umeå, for which the assessment of the the emission factors included in this national inventory were regional background was based on a combination of mea- used (Nielsen et al., 2017). These were based on emission sured data and the results of regional background modelling. factors of the EMEP/EEA Guidebook (European Environ- For the urban-scale assessments, multiple-source Gaussian ment Agency, 2016) and national measurements. modelling systems were used for all the cities. As the focus The emission inventory for RWC was also based on on this study was on RWC, the dispersion in street canyons wood consumption information taken from the Danish en- was modelled only for one street canyon measurement sta- ergy statistics. The spatial distribution of RWC emissions tion in Umeå. The spatial resolutions of the modelling of the was based on the Danish building and dwelling register, dispersion originating from RWC ranged from a couple or which includes information about building use and on pri- a few tens of metres (Oslo, Umeå) to 100 m (Helsinki) and mary and secondary heating installations. 1 km (Copenhagen). Chemical reactions were included in the regional-scale computations for all the cities. However, chemical reactions 2.2.3 Inter-comparison of the emission inventories in and aerosol transformation processes were not included in the target cities the urban-scale computations. However, it has previously been shown that gas-to-particle transformation reactions do For all target cities, we have included the most important not have a major influence on the annual average PM2.5 con- emission source categories. The emissions from vehicular centrations in Nordic cities on urban distance scales (Kukko- traffic exhausts and RWC have been included for all the nen et al., 2016; Karl et al., 2016). The impacts of aerosol cities, and the suspension emissions originating from vehicu- processes (such as nucleation, condensation and evaporation, lar traffic were included for all cities except for Copenhagen. and coagulation) on the annually averaged PM2.5 concentra- In the case of Copenhagen, traffic suspension emissions have tions have been found to be minor, although these can be only a minor importance, mainly due to the fact that stud- significant in specific dispersion conditions and for the finer ded tires are not used, in contrast with the other target cities. aerosol modes (Karl et al., 2016; Pohjola et al., 2007). The emissions from shipping have been included for all cities except for Helsinki, as the contribution of shipping has previ- 2.3.2 Detailed descriptions of dispersion modelling ously been found to have a relatively minor influence on con- centrations of PM2.5 in that city (Kukkonen et al., 2018). In For each domain, we first address the assessment of the re- summary, we can evaluate that these omissions in the emis- gional background concentrations and, second, the disper- sion inventories will result only in minor uncertainties in the sion of urban contributions to concentrations. final results of this study. Based on previous studies, the uncertainties related to the Atmospheric dispersion modelling for Umeå estimation of RWC emissions were expected to be relatively large compared to those for the other included source cat- The regional background contribution was estimated based egories. However, detailed high-resolution emission inven- on the measured data from two regional background sta- tories of RWC were available for all target cities. The emis- tions (Bredkälen and Vindeln) and on the modelled spatial sion inventories for RWC were based on similar, although not concentration distributions. The stations of Bredkälen and identical, methodologies in the target cities. In all the cities, Vindeln are situated approximately 350 km to the west and the inventories were based on surveys regarding the amounts 50 km northwest of Umeå, respectively. For the year 2013, and use of relevant appliances, national or literature-based to account for the influence of concentration gradients be- emission factors, and the evaluations of the spatial distribu- tween Umeå and the station of Bredkälen, we have added tion of emissions. a contribution of 1.28 µg m−3 to the measured concentra- tions at Bredkälen, based on the computations by Omstedt et al. (2014). Similar yearly adjustments were also made for 2.3 Atmospheric dispersion modelling for the target the years 2006–2011, based on results from the atmospheric cities chemistry transport model MATCH and corrections using earlier measurements at the closer Vindeln station (Segers- First, we present an overview and summary of the dispersion son et al., 2017). modelling, and, second, we present a more detailed descrip- The larger spatial-scale meteorological values were ex- tion of dispersion modelling in the target cities. tracted from the predictions of the Swedish version of the www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
4342 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 Table 3. Atmospheric dispersion modelling and its spatial resolution in the target cities. Umeå Helsinki Oslo Copenhagen Assessment of regional background Measured values at a Predictions of the Predictions of model Predictions of the hemi- concentrations regional background regional- and global- ensemble using seven spheric chemical trans- station scale chemical trans- regional-scale chemical port model DEHM port model SILAM transport models Urban-scale dispersion Residential Multiple-source Gaus- Multiple-source Gaus- Multiple-source Eule- Gaussian plume-in grid modelling wood combus- sian model DISPER- sian model UDM-FMI rian model EPISODE model – Urban Back- tion SION ground Model (UBM) Vehicular Multiple-source Gaus- Roadside dispersion Multiple-source Eule- Gaussian plume-in grid traffic for the sian model DISPER- model CAR-FMI rian model EPISODE, model – Urban Back- whole city SION including sub-grid ground Model (UBM) Gaussian line source modelling Vehicular traf- Street canyon disper- Street canyon mod- Street canyon mod- Street canyon mod- fic in street sion model OSPM elling (OSPM) is elling was not included elling (OSPM) was canyons included in the mod- in the modelling system included in the mod- elling system but was elling system but was not used in this study not used in this study Spatial resolution Near the sources Vehicular traffic: from For the entire For the entire mod- 50 × 50 m2 at substan- 20 m in the vicinity modelling domain elling domain 1×1 km2 tial distances from the of traffic sources to 20 × 20 m2 sources 3 km2 500 m on the outskirts of the area; RWC: 100 × 100 m2 numerical weather prediction model HIRLAM with a hori- as friction velocity, sensible heat flux, and boundary layer zontal resolution of 22 km. The finer, mesoscale meteorolog- height. The model also includes a detailed description of ical data for dispersion modelling was provided by the oper- plume rise and building downwash effects. The OML model ational mesoscale analysis system Mesan (Häggmark et al., has previously been used to investigate the influence of wood 2000), which is based on an optimal interpolation technique. combustion on particulate matter concentrations in residen- All available measurements from synoptic and automatic sta- tial areas in Denmark (Glasius et al., 2008) and in the north- tions, radars, and satellites were analysed with hourly time ern part of Sweden (Omstedt et al., 2011). In cases where resolution on an 11 × 11 km2 grid across northern Europe. sources are described using spatially gridded emissions, a The following meteorological parameters were used: wind Gaussian model included in the Airviro air quality man- speed and direction at a height of 10 m, ambient temperature agement system was applied (SMHI, 2017). Segersson et and humidity at a height of 2 m, cloud cover, global radiation, al. (2017) presented a more detailed description of dispersion and precipitation. Boundary layer parameters, such as fric- modelling methodology for other sources than RWC. tion velocity, sensible heat flux and boundary layer height, The chimney height for RWC was set to 5 m and the effec- were calculated using methods from van Ulden and Holtslag tive plume rise was then evaluated by the model depending (1985), Holtslag et al. (1995) and Zilitinkevich and Mironov on meteorological conditions. The concentrations were com- (1996). puted on a receptor grid that was different for the contribu- The dispersion of pollutants from RWC and vehicular traf- tions from RWC and vehicular traffic. fic were modelled using the Gaussian multiple-source disper- The OSPM model (Operational Street Pollution Model; sion model DISPERSION (Omstedt, 1988). The DISPER- Berkowicz, 2000) can be used to estimate the dispersion and SION model contains a Gaussian finite-length line source transformation of vehicular and urban background pollution dispersion model. For point sources, the DISPERSION in a street canyon. In this study, the model was used to esti- model includes a revised version of the Gaussian OML (Op- mate the concentrations at the considered street canyon mea- erational Meteorological Air Quality model) point source surement station. The OSPM model was run twice, both with model (Omstedt et al., 2011). For a more detailed description and without the influence of the surrounding buildings. The of the model and its evaluation against experimental data, the difference between these two model computations is a mea- reader is referred to Omstedt et al. (2011) and Gidhagen et sure for the concentration increment caused by the buildings. al. (2013). This concentration difference was subsequently added to the The dispersion parameters of the DISPERSION model values obtained by the urban background computations. are continuous functions of boundary-layer parameters, such Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4343 Atmospheric dispersion modelling for Helsinki Overall, the model performance for predicting the PM2.5 concentrations has been either fairly good or good. For in- stance, for the predicted and measured hourly concentrations The regional background concentrations were computed us- at 18 sites in London, the medians of correlation, index of ing the SILAM model (Sofiev et al., 2006, 2015) for the agreement and factor of two of all stations were 0.80 %, European domain. A detailed description of these compu- 0.86 % and 74 %, respectively (Singh et al., 2014). tations has been presented by Kukkonen et al. (2018). For The dispersion of RWC emissions was evaluated with the this study, we selected four grid points of the SILAM com- Urban Dispersion Model of the Finnish Meteorological In- putations that were closest to the Helsinki Metropolitan Area stitute UDM-FMI (Karppinen et al., 2000c). The model is a (HMA) but outside the urban domain. We then computed an multiple-source Gaussian dispersion model for various sta- hourly average of the concentration values at these four lo- tionary source categories (point, area and volume sources). cations and used that value as the regional background for The modelling system has been evaluated against measure- all the chemical components of particulate matter, except for ment data of urban measurement networks (e.g. Karppinen mineral dust. In the case of mineral dust, we used the low- et al., 2000c; Kousa et al., 2001). est hourly value within the four selected points. The latter In this study, the RWC emissions were treated as area procedure was adopted to avoid potential double counting of sources of the size 100 m × 100 m. The height of the sources occasional releases of dust originating from the considered was assumed to be equal to 7.5 m, including the initial plume urban area. rise. This altitude was assumed to be the combined average The meteorological input variables for the urban-scale height of detached and semi-detached houses and chimneys modelling were based on synoptic weather observations from in the area. the stations of Helsinki-Vantaa airport (18 km north of the city centre) and Harmaja (marine station south of Helsinki), Atmospheric dispersion modelling for Oslo radiation measurements of Helsinki-Vantaa, and sounding observations from Jokioinen (90 km northwest of Helsinki) The regional background concentrations were extracted for the year 2013. Measured meteorological data were anal- from the ensemble reanalysis that was comprised of seven ysed using the meteorological pre-processing model of the regional-scale chemical transport models (Marécal et al., Finnish Meteorological Institute (MPP-FMI) adapted for ur- 2015): CHIMERE, EMEP, EURAD-IM, LOTOS-EUROS, ban environment (Karppinen et al., 2000a). The MPP-FMI MATCH, MOCAGE and SILAM. Within this ensemble, the model is based on the energy budget method of van Ulden models had a common framework in terms of meteorology, and Holtslag (1985), and its output consists of hourly time se- chemical boundary conditions and emissions. However, the ries of meteorological data needed for dispersion modelling, models have differences in terms of their aerosol represen- including temperature, wind speed, wind direction, Monin– tations, chemistry schemes, physical parameterisations, and Obukhov length, friction velocity, and boundary layer height. different implementations for use of the input data. The same meteorological parameters were used for the whole The meteorological variables used as modelling input HMA. were hourly measurements extracted from the data of the For urban dispersion modelling, we used a roadside dis- meteorological stations in the simulated domain (the stations persion model and a multiple-source Gaussian model. We did of Valle Hovin, Blindern, Alna, Tryvannshøgda and Kjeller). not model dispersion in street canyons. All these stations are located within the Oslo municipality, The urban-scale dispersion of vehicular emissions was except for the station of Kjeller, which is located at a dis- evaluated with the CAR-FMI model (Contaminants in the tance of approximately 25 km to the northeast. The variables Air from a Road – Finnish Meteorological Institute; e.g. related to wind and atmospheric stability were used as input Kukkonen et al., 2001). The model is a Gaussian finite-length in a preprocessing diagnostic wind field model. The hourly line source model, which computes an hourly time series of wind field data produced by the wind field model were input the pollutant dispersion. The dispersion parameters are mod- to the urban-scale dispersion modelling. elled as a function of Monin–Obukhov length, friction ve- The atmospheric dispersion modelling was done with locity and boundary layer height. The modelling system con- the EPISODE model. This model is a combined three- taining the CAR-FMI model has been evaluated against the dimensional Eulerian and Lagrangian air pollution disper- measured data of urban measurement networks for gaseous sion model, which has been developed for urban- and local- pollutants and particulate matter in the HMA, London and scale applications (Slørdal et al., 2003, 2008). The Eule- Birmingham, UK (e.g. Karppinen et al., 2000b; Kousa et al., rian part of the model consists of a numerical solution of 2001; Kauhaniemi et al., 2008; Aarnio et al., 2016; Sokhi the atmospheric mass conservation equation of the pollutant et al., 2008; Singh et al., 2014; Srimath et al., 2017), and species in a three-dimensional grid. The Lagrangian part con- for gaseous pollutants against the results of a field measure- sists of separate sub-grid models for line and point sources. ment campaign and other roadside dispersion models as well Topography has been included as input data in the regional- (Kukkonen et al., 2001; Ottl et al., 2001; Levitin et al., 2005). scale modelling for the Oslo domain. The topography within www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
4344 J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 the domain is defined on the Eulerian grid in terms of the Umeå, for which these were assessed based on both mea- elevation above sea level. sured data and the results of chemical transport models. All The line source model is an integrated Gaussian type of the applied chemical transport models for Copenhagen, model, whereas the point source model is a Gaussian puff Helsinki and Umeå (DEHM, SILAM and MATCH) have trajectory model. The EPISODE model has been used for previously been extensively evaluated against experimen- a large number of applications, including the assessment of tal data. The regional background assessment for Oslo was air quality and air pollution control measures in urban areas based on an ensemble of seven European models. The uncer- (e.g. Sundvor and López-Aparicio, 2014), and in a forecast- tainties of the estimates on regional background are therefore ing system for seven city regions in Norway. not expected to have a major influence on the results and con- clusions of this study. Atmospheric dispersion modelling for Copenhagen Multiple-source Gaussian modelling systems were used for the urban-scale assessments in all target cities. All of The Danish multiscale integrated model system THOR these modelling systems (DISPERSION, UDM-FMI and (Brandt et al., 2001, 2003) has for this study been set up for a CAR-FMI, EPISODE and UBM) have previously been domain over Greater Copenhagen. The system combines the widely used and analysed against measured data. However, Danish Eulerian Hemispheric model (DEHM) and the Urban the spatial resolutions of the modelling of the dispersion var- Background Model (UBM). ied between the cities, from tens of metres (in Helsinki and The DEHM model (Christensen, 1997) is a chemistry Oslo) to 1 km (Copenhagen). These differences in resolution transport model describing the concentration fields of 73 have to be taken into account in the interpretation of the re- photochemical compounds (NOx , SOx , volatile organic com- sults. pounds, NHx , CO, etc.) and nine classes of particulate matter (e.g. PM2.5 , PM10 , TSP, sea salt, and fresh and aged black 2.4 Statistical model performance parameters carbon). The regional model covers the Northern Hemi- sphere, with higher resolution over Europe (50 km × 50 km), For simplicity, we have mainly considered two selected sta- northern Europe (16.7 km×16.7 km) and Denmark (5.6 km× tistical model performance parameters: the index of agree- 5.6 km). The DEHM model has been extensively evalu- ment (IA) and the fractional bias (FB). The IA is a measure ated (Brandt et al., 2012; Zare et al., 2014; Solazzo et al., of the agreement of the measured and predicted time series 2012a, b). of concentrations, and the FB is a measure of the agreement The regional background concentrations were extracted of the longer-term (e.g. annual) average concentrations. on a 5.6 × 5.6 km2 grid. The meteorological fields were The index of agreement is defined as follows (Willmott, provided by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) 1981): Model (Skamarock et al., 2008) using the same do- Pn 2 i=1 (Pi − Oi ) mains as the DEHM model. The anthropogenic emissions IA = 1 − P 2 , (1) n for the regional modelling were based on a combina- i=1 Pi − Ō + Oi − Ō tion of a number of emission inventories including the where n is the number of data points, and P and O refer EMEP emissions for Europe in particular (http://www.ceip. to predicted and observed pollutant concentrations, respec- at/webdab_emepdatabase/emissions_emepmodels/, last ac- tively. The overbar refers to an average value. Factor of 2 is cess: 2 April 2020). Within the Danish area, the emissions defined as the fraction of data for which 0.5 ≤ P /O ≤ 2. were based on the SPREAD emissions model. Temporal pro- Fractional bias is given by the following equation: files of emissions, depending on the emission type, were in- cluded. 2 P̄ − Ō FB = , (2) The Urban Background Model (UBM) is a Gaussian P̄ + Ō plume model, including a simplified description of photo- where P and O are the mean values of the predicted and chemical reactions of NOx and ozone. The model was set up observed values, respectively. for the selected urban domain on a resolution of 1 × 1 km2 , and hourly background concentrations were provided by the DEHM model. The UBM model has been used for assess- 3 Results ments of air pollution in Denmark, e.g. as part of the Danish AirGis system (Hvidtfeldt et al., 2018; Khan et al., 2019). First, the numerical predictions will be evaluated against measured urban-scale data regarding the PM2.5 concentra- 2.3.3 Inter-comparison of the dispersion modelling in tions in the four target cities. Second, the predicted emissions the target cities originating from RWC will be presented and analysed. Third, the ambient air concentrations of PM2.5 and the contributions The regional background concentrations were computed us- from RWC to these concentrations will be presented and dis- ing chemical transport models for all the cities, except for cussed. We have also presented an overview of the regulatory Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/
J. Kukkonen et al.: Influence of residential wood combustion on PM2.5 4345 frameworks regarding RWC in four Nordic countries in Ap- tends to result in an under-prediction of the local influence of pendix E. vehicular traffic. A better model performance was obtained in a previous study for the street stations in Copenhagen, 3.1 Evaluation of the predicted concentrations against when the street pollution model OSPM was used (Khan et al., measured data 2019). For the finer-resolution computations for Helsinki and Oslo, there is no substantial systematic difference between The results of the model evaluation are summarised and re- the model performance at traffic stations compared with the viewed in this section. The detailed model evaluation results corresponding RWC stations. have been presented in Appendix C. The measured and predicted annual average concentra- The ranges of values of two statistical parameters, index tions have been summarised in Fig. 4. Both the measured of agreement (IA) and fractional bias (FB), for the daily av- and predicted concentration values are highest for Copen- erage concentration values of PM2.5 values are presented in hagen, caused mainly by the relatively high regional back- Fig. 3a–b. The IA is a measure of the agreement of the mea- ground contributions, compared with the other three cities. sured and predicted time series of concentrations, whereas The concentrations are second highest for Oslo, mainly due FB is a measure of the agreement of the average (annual or to substantial urban contributions. In the case of the compu- during several months) values of the concentrations. In the tations for Denmark, the predicted regional background has case of regional and urban background stations, we have se- been evaluated at the station of RISO; however, this station lected one station for each city, whereas for traffic and RWC is not optimally representative for the regional-scale back- stations, the range of values is shown by a vertical line, and ground of Copenhagen. the value for each station is shown by short horizontal lines. In the case of Umeå, the distributions of the temporal vari- 3.2 Emissions of PM2.5 originating from RWC ations in the emissions originating from wood combustion were evaluated using the measured concentrations of PM2.5 . The results of the emission inventories regarding RWC for It was therefore not reasonable to perform an evaluation of PM2.5 have been presented in Fig. 5a–d. the temporal variation in the predicted values for Umeå; this The results show that the emission values originating would have required evaluating modelling that is partly based from RWC were the highest for the domains of Copenhagen on the same experimental values. The IA values have there- and Oslo; these range from negligible to more than 5.0 or fore not been presented for that city. 6.0 t (yr km2 )−1 in some limited areas in Oslo and Copen- In the case of Oslo, there were no measurement stations hagen, respectively. The emission values within the domains that would have been officially nominated by the local au- of Helsinki and Umeå reach up to a few tons per square kilo- thorities as measuring the influence of RWC. We have there- metre per year. fore selected the three stations that we considered to be most In the case of Helsinki and Copenhagen, the highest emis- influenced by RWC. sion values of RWC were mainly located outside the city cen- The results in Fig. 3a–b facilitate an assessment of model tres. In particular, in the Helsinki region, the highest emis- performance in terms of the cities and the categories of the sions were detected in detached and semi-detached-house ar- stations. The FB values are reasonably good, considered here eas; these were situated to the west, east and north of the as the range from −0.20 to +0.20, for all the regional and centre of Helsinki. The detailed locations of these areas were urban background values and for most of the traffic and RWC reported by Hellén et al. (2017). For Copenhagen, the high- stations. However, for some of the traffic and RWC sites, the est emission strengths were also slightly outside the most FB values are substantial, especially for two traffic stations densely built city centre; the highest concentrations were ob- in Copenhagen (substantial under-prediction of the model), served in the suburban areas of Copenhagen. one traffic station in Umeå (over-prediction), and two traffic In the Helsinki area, the buildings are mainly kept warm and one RWC station in Oslo (under-prediction). In the case using an extensive district heating system, electricity heat- of the stations in Copenhagen, the under-prediction is to be ing and/or geothermal heat pumps. However, these systems expected, as we have applied an urban background model on have only a minor impact on the local air quality. The district a spatial resolution of 1 × 1 km2 . heating is mainly produced in energy plants burning fossil fu- The IA values are also fairly good, considered here as els; most of these plants have very high stacks. On the other IA > 0.55, in most cases. The agreement of the time series hand, wood combustion is mainly used as a secondary heat- of daily measured and modelled values is worse for the re- ing system in detached or semi-detached houses. In addition, gional background values in Oslo and for one traffic station it is common to use fireplaces and sauna stoves in suburban in Copenhagen. In particular, the IA values for the traffic detached houses. Wood combustion appliances were used in stations are lower for Copenhagen, compared with the cor- approximately 90 % of the detached houses in the Helsinki responding values in Helsinki and Oslo. This is due to the area in 2013. Helsinki was the only target city in which sauna coarser spatial model resolution (1 × 1 km2 ) in Copenhagen, stoves were an important source of PM2.5 emissions. There is compared with those in the other three target cities, which a high correlation between the spatial density of the detached www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/4333/2020/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 4333–4365, 2020
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