Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla

 
CONTINUE READING
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
Technical and
Operational Management
         Forum
        7 November 2019

          Hosted by

                          bvrla.co.uk
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
Welcome and Agenda

 Technical and Operational Management
                Forum

                Hosted by

                                    bvrla.co.uk
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
Agenda
10:00   Welcome and Agenda                                                                                         Dave Tanner, Senior Operational Costs Manager,
                                                                                                                   Lex Autolease and TOM Committee Chairman

10:05   Session 1: Welcome from JLR & Electric Vehicles                                                            Jon Bull, UK National Technical Manager, Jaguar Land
        Overview on current products & future plans                                                                Rover

10:30   Session 2: Battery Technology                                                                              Gael Chouchelamane, Chief Engineer, Ricardo
        Developments in battery technology, predicted lifecycle, can they be re-conditioned and how BVRLA
        members can start to factor this into the total cost of ownership calculations going forward

11:00                                                                                 Coffee Break
11:25   Session 3: SMR and EVs                                                                                     Steve Chambers, Senior Editor – SMR, cap hpi
        General overview on the topic and also for an expert analysis on the SMR forecasts for EVs and give some
        predictions

11:45   Session 4: IMI insights into maintenance of EVs                                                            Chris Cotterill, UK Business Development Manager, IMI
        Chris will be speaking about competencies required for safe maintenance of EV Technologies and IMI
        TechSafe

12:15   Session 5: BVRLA Policy Update                                                                             Catherine Bowen, Senior Policy Advisor, BVRLA

12:35   Panel Session                                                                                              All speakers

13:05 Chairman’s Closing Comments                                                                                  Dave Tanner, Senior Operational Costs Manager,
                                                                                                                   Lex Autolease and TOM Committee Chairman
13:10                                                                           Close of Forum and Lunch

                                                                                                                                                        bvrla.co.uk
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
Session 1 – Jon Bull, Jaguar Land Rover

  Technical and Operational Management
                 Forum

                   Hosted by

                                          bvrla.co.uk
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
JAGUAR LAND ROVER ELECTRIC AND HYBRID VEHICLE OVERVIEW

                                                 Confidential ©2019
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
UK NATIONAL TECHNICAL MANAGER
    JONATHAN BULL CENG MIET RAF

•    Grew up in Chesterfield Derbyshire

•    Started working life as an Apprentice Joiner

•    Joined Royal Air Force 1988 at 17 as Aircraft Weapons Mechanic

•    27 Years Service Leaving as a Chartered Engineer, Wing Commander

•    Joined JLR as Project Leader within Body Engineering Oct 2014

•    Took post as UK National Technical Manager Feb 2017

                                                                        6
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
UK TECHNICAL SERVICES
ORGANISATION & RESONSIBILITIES

                                                                                  Jonathan Bull
                                                                          UK National Technical Manager

Stephanie Lucas &     Pav                      Steven Branston                   Claire Mallinson                        Ashley Hogan                                Nathan Adams
         Bharath                             Roadside Assistance               Roadside Assistance                 Retailer Technical Support                  Local Product Engineering
 UK Warranty & Campaigns                      Technical Manager                 Business Manager                            Manager                                     Manager
        Managers                                                                                                                                           Responsibilities:
                                       Responsibilities:                  Responsibilities:                    Responsibilities:                           Technical Assist (TA) Resolution:
Responsibilities                                                                                               Retailer Technical Assistance:              ✓ First level of Engineering support &
                                       ✓   Roadside Technical Training    ✓   Roadside Assistance Operations                                                   investigation for escalated TAs from
✓ Warranty assistance - All                                                                                    ✓   All requests for Technical                  LTS
  Warranty queries directed into                                          ✓   Mobility Solutions                   Assistance (TA) in order to assist
                                       ✓   Roadside Reporting
  the UKWA inbox.                                                                                                  root causing vehicle concerns.          ✓    Retailer / market visits for case
                                                                          ✓   Fleet management                                                                 resolution or critical
                                       ✓   Roadside Repair Process
✓   Audit scheduling – to notify the                                                                           ✓    Fixed Right Enhance                        data capture for UK Eng.
    network of any scheduled audits.   ✓   Roadside – Retailer handover   ✓   VOR Management                       Diagnostics (FRED)
                                                                                                                   Ensuring the correct level of repair    ✓   Ensure prevent recurrence
✓   Audit appeals – review and         ✓   Roadside Projects              ✓   Systems                              is carried out.                             ownership is assigned
    process audit appeals.
                                       ✓   Retailer interface             ✓   Business process                 Executive Office Technical                  Market Problem Definition (MPD):
✓    Campaign assistance - All                                                                                 complaint & FTE (Field Technical
                                       ✓   Engineering interface          ✓   Finance                          Engineering):                               ✓   Support MPD creation & issue
    Campaign queries directed
    through either UKWA or Factinfo                                                                                                                            investigation to deliver
                                       ✓   Manufacturing interface        ✓   Projects                         ✓   Any Technical aspect of Exec office         Market Service Fixes (MSFs)
    inboxes.
                                                                                                                   complaints.
✓   Completion rates – reviewed                                                                                                                            ✓    Independent MPD creation by LPE
                                                                                                               ✓   Scheduling and justifying Field             from TA case data
    and chased where required.                                                                                     Technical Engineer visits, to support
                                                                                                                   retailer diagnose on vehicle issues     ✓   Support UK Engineering with market
                                                                                                                   correctly.                                  data collection

                                                                                                                                                                                                    7
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
UK TECHNICAL SERVICES
CONTACTS & ESCALATIONS
                                                            UK TECHNICAL SERVICES CONTACTS

        Campaigns                     UK Warranty                 Roadside Technical             Roadside Business               Retailer Technical                   LPE

           Level 1                       Level 1                         Level 1                         Level 1                          Level 1

     General enquiries:            General enquiries:               General enquiries:             General enquiries:              General enquiries:
 factinfo@jaguarlandrover.com    ukwa@jaguarlandrover.com        ukrsa@jaguarlandrover.com      ukrsa@jaguarlandrover.com     E: rtsuk@jaguarlandrover.com

                                                                                                                                               TA
                                                                                                                                           Lloyd Leavis
                                                                                                                                E: lleavis1@jaguarlandrover.com
                                                                                                                                         M: 07384 244115

                                                                                                                                         Sebastian Clarke
                                                                                                                                E: sclark64@jaguarlandrover.com
                                                                                                                                         M: 07384 523741

                                                                                                                                             FRED
         Escalation                    Escalation                       Escalation                     Escalation                          Jon Jones
                                                                                                                                E: freduk@jaguarlandrover.com
                                                                                                                                       M: 07384 244114
        Pav Bharath                   Steph Lucas                    Steve Branston                 Claire Mallinson
 pbharat3@jaguarlandrover.com   slucas5@jaguarlandrover.com     sbranst2@jaguarlandrover.com   cmallin1@jaguarlandrover.com
                                                                                                                                        Escalation
       M: 07384 523779                M: 07384 539797                 M: 07392 103732                 M: 07468 715284
                                                                                                                                      Craig Duggan
                                                                                                                              E: cduggan2@jaguarlandrover.com
                                                                                                                                      M: 07384 244112
                                                                                                                                                                  8
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
CURRENT PRODUCT

                  Confidential ©2019
Technical and Operational Management Forum - 7 November 2019 Hosted by - bvrla
I PACE
BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLE (BEV)

•   No conventional engine
•   Powered solely by an electric motor
•   Recharged using a plug-in charge point
•   Delivers permanent pure electric vehicle driving
•   Using regenerative braking, to assist charging

                                                       10
RANGE ROVER & RANGE ROVER SPORT
PLUG-IN HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE(PHEV)
•   Combines:
      •       Conventional engine
      •       Electric motor & battery
•   Charged from an external power supply (as per BEV)
•   Using regenerative braking (as per BEV)
•   Seamlessly selects engine or electric motor drive:
          •     Delivers optimum performance and efficiency

                                                              11
EVOQUE / RR SPORT / DISCOVERY SPORT / EPACE
MILD HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE (MHEV)
•   Standard Engine.
•   Secondary Traction Battery
•   No Electric Motor
•   Stores energy lost during vehicle deceleration (F1 Car)
•   Redeploys it to assist the engine under high load
•   Enhanced stop start system:
      •   Enables engine shutdown during deceleration

                                                              12
FUTURE PRODUCT

                 Confidential ©2019
EV UPCOMING

•   Future products will continue with Internal Combustion
    Engine (ICE) options.
•   EV will continue to expand confirmed will be:

      •       BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLE (BEV)
          •    XJ
      •       PLUG-IN HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE(PHEV)
          •    Evoque, Discovery Sport, EPace

                                                             14
QUESTIONS & DISCUSSION
Session 2 – Gael Chouchelamane, Ricardo

  Technical and Operational Management
                 Forum

                  Hosted by

                                          bvrla.co.uk
Battery technology, end of life,
TCO and LCA
Dr Gael Chouchelamane
7th November 2019 – BVRLA TOM Forum
© Ricardo plc 2019
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   18
Battery roadmaps and potential future cell chemistry

                                                                                        •   Cheap and abundant
                                                                                        •   Can use same manufacturing line a Li-ion
                                                                                        •   No adverse effect from being stored at 0 V
                                                                               Na-ion
                                                                                        •   Lower energy density
                                                                                        •   Binder issue                        TRL 3

                                                                                        •   Increased safety
                                                                                        •   High energy density
                                                                               Solid
                                                                               state    •   Low power density
                                                                                        •   Low temperature operation        TRL 3/4

                              •   High theoretical energy density                       •   Potential lower cost
                                                                                        •   Non-flammable electrolyte can be used
                              •   Still very early development phase
                     Li-air   •   Complicated vehicle level system              Li-S
                                                                                        •   Several discharged material
                              •   Double cost of Li-ion system                          •   Sulfur is an insulator           TRL 3/4
                              •   Low cycle life                       TRL 1

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                            7th November 2019   19
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   20
Battery lifetime

                     https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1108840_2017-hyundai-ioniq-to-have-lifetime-battery-failure-warranty

                                         https://insideevs.com/bmw-batteries-have-15-year-life-in-cars/

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                      7th November 2019        21
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   22
Battery end of life - Recycling
                      Drivers
                      • Regulatory framework such as EU raw materials initiatives and directives
                      • Waste framework
                      • Environment and H&S
                                                          Process                       Pros                        Cons

                                     CRYOGENIC PROCESS    •   Freeze batteries
                                                          •   Crush batteries
                                                          •   Dissolve material using
                                                              liquid solvent
                                     HYDROMETALLURGICAL   •   Discharge batteries       •   Can recover more        •   Higher cost
                                     PROCESS              •   Crush batteries               materials               •   Affected by different
                                                          •   Dissolve material using   •   Can keep materials in       chemistries /
                                                              liquid solvent                more valuable forms         contaminates

                                     PYROMETALLURGICAL    •   Crush batteries           •   Lower cost              •   Low recovery rates
                                     PROCESS              •   Use heat and reagent      •   Can handle mixed        •   Focussed on valuable
                                                              to separate materials         chemistries better          metals only

                     • Current European Li-ion battery recycling companies
                        – G&P batteries (UK)
                        – A3 Ambiental SL (Spain)
                        – Umicore (Belgium)
                        – Separatec (Germany)
                        – Accurec (Germany)
                        – SNAM (France)

                                                          Cost of recycling is ~4 € / kg
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                              7th November 2019   23
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   24
Battery end of life – Second life
                                                                                                                                    Second life

                                                                                          Full battery used as is                                               Rework

                                                                                                                                            Repair          and          Remanufacturing of EV
                                                                          •       Battery history?
                                                                                                                                            refurbishment of EV          packs and modules for
                                                                          •       Access to BMS?
                                                                                                                                            modules/packs    for         deployment in non EV
                                                                          •       Battery assessment/grading?
                                                                                                                                            EV application               applications
                                                                          •       Liability?

                                                                                                                                                  •   Battery history?
                                                                                                                                                  •   Root cause analysis?
                                                                                                                                                  •   HV training?
                                                                                                                                                  •   Traceability?
                                                                                                                                                  •   Battery assessment/grading?
                                                                                                                                                  •   BMS/JB/TMS development?
                                                                                                                                                  •   Liability?

                                                                                                                                     Depending on application, lifetime
                     https://cleantechnica.com/2018/03/24/nissan-pushes-energy-storage-second-life-battery-initiative/                  should be at least 10 years
                     https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/bmw-is-turning-used-i3-batteries-into-home-energy-storage-units
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                                                               7th November 2019   25
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   26
New vehicle registration and vehicle parc uptake scenarios
                     • 2 scenarios assumed:
                         – High EV scenario has 100 % BEV sales by 2040 and 100% BEV parc by 2050
                       – Low carbon fuels scenario with high use of low carbon fuels and lower xEV uptake
                     • Carbon reduction trajectory (tailpipe gCO2/km) is consistent with the upper limit of %p.a. improvement indicated
                       for exploration of post-2020 targets by the European Commission to 2030
                       – The trajectory increases, exceeding this post-2030 with the transition to 100% BEVs in 2040 for High EV
                     • No change to biofuel share compared to BAU scenario up to 2030
                     • A higher level of efficiency improvement in ICE and Hybrids is required for lower EV uptake in Low carbon Fuels
                                   New Registrations                                 Vehicle Parc
                                   100%                                              100%
                                                                                                                                                       CNG
                                    80%                                               80%
                        High EV

                                                                                                                                                       LPG
                                    60%                                               60%
                                                                                                                                                 PIV
                                    40%                                               40%                                                              FCEV
                                    20%                                               20%
                                                                                                                                                       EV
                                     0%                                                0%
                                           2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050      2015    2020   2025   2030   2035   2040   2045   2050         PHEV Diesel
                                                                                                                                                       PHEV
                                    100%                                              100%                                                             Gasoline

                                    80%                                               80%                                                              HEV Diesel
                                                                                                                                                 PIV
                      Low carbon

                                    60%                                               60%                                                              HEV
                                                                                                                                                       Gasoline
                                    40%                                               40%
                      Fuels

                                                                                                                                                       Diesel
                                    20%                                               20%

                                     0%                                                0%                                                              Gasoline
                                           2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050       2015   2020   2025   2030   2035   2040   2045   2050

                     Source: Ricardo Energy & Environment
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                          7th November 2019   27
Total cost of ownership for end user (one owner in lifetime of the
                     vehicle)
                                                                                                                                                                 • Assumes lifetime 210,000 km
                       High EV                                                                                                                                     over 15 years, uplift of NEDC
                                                                                                                                                                   to real-world fuel consumption
                                                                                                                                                                   (~35 %/40 %)
                                                                                                                                                                 • End-user perspective
                                                                                                                                                                   (including all taxes) with future
                                                                                                                                                                   costs discounted to Net
                                                                                                                                                                   Present Value (with DR =
                                                                                                                                                                   10%)

                                                                                                                                                                 • TCO for BEV and PHEV is
                                                                                                                                                                   lower than ICE/HEV
                     Low carbon

                                                                                                                                                                   irrespective of the scenario by
                                                                                                                                                                   2025
                     Fuels

                          Source: Ricardo analysis. EV Infrastructure costs include only cost end-users are assumed to directly pay for – i.e. provision of on-/off-street charging units.   DR = Discount Ratec
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                                                                             7th November 2019   28
Total cost of ownership for end user (multiple owners)
                        1st user – 5 year TCO by powertrain

                                                                                                                                                         • BEV and PHEV have better TCO
                      High EV                                                                                                                              than ICE before 2025

                                                                                                                                                         • Difference in TCO for 1st and 2nd
                                                                                                                                                           user of ~£10k

                                                                                                                                                         • First end-users tend to be from
                                                                                                                                                           higher social strata, which are
                                                                                                                                                           more able to afford new vehicles
                        2nd user – 5 year TCO by powertrain
                                                                                                                                                         • Higher potential benefits for
                                                                                                                                                           second-hand electric vehicle
                                                                                                                                                           users, which are greater in lower
                      High EV

                                                                                                                                                           social strata
                                                                                                                                                               – Linked to higher depreciation
                                                                                                                                                                 rage od EV in the first 5 years

                         Source: Ricardo analysis. Assumes 65,000 km over second 5 years of life, end user perspective (including taxes) with future costs discounted to Net Present Value (with DR = 10%)
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                                                                           7th November 2019   29
GHG emissions

                                                     • Assumptions:
                                                       – Assumes production of material and
                       High EV

                                                         energy usage during vehicle production
                                                       – Using average electricity mix for BEV
                                                       – But increase in energy density, cathode
                                                         mix, most of vehicle is recycled and
                                                         some credit for recycling is fed back

                                                     • CO2 emissions are lower for BEV and
                                                       PHEV in both scenarios
                                                     • In high EV scenario, improvement of
                                                       ICE/HEV are modest
                     Low carbon

                                                     • In low carbon fuels scenario highlights the
                     Fuels

                                                       needs for improvement of non-EV to meet
                                                       regulatory CO2 targets

                          Source: Ricardo analysis
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                       7th November 2019   30
Contents

                     • Battery roadmap and potential future cell chemistry
                     • Battery lifetime
                     • Battery end of life – Recycling
                     • Battery end of life – Second life
                     • TCO and GHG of ICE/HEV vs BEV/PHEV
                     • Life cycle assessment

© Ricardo plc 2019                                                           7th November 2019   31
LCA

                                                                                                                                           Av. Car - Default
                                                                                                                                           •    210,000 km lifetime (EU Av.)
                                                                                                                                           •    Battery cell manuf. KR / JP
                                                                                                                                           •    Electricity EU av. 2015/2025
                                                                                                                                           •    ‘Real-world’ MJ/km
                                                                                                                                           •    EoL: recycling credits

                                                                                                                                           Av. Car - 2025 Alternative
                                                                                                                                           a)   Small battery, with replacement (cycle life)*
                                                                                                                                           b)   Larger (by 80%) battery, no replacement
                                                                                                                                                needed**
                                                                                                                                           c)   Credit for 2nd Life Battery (displacing a new
                                                                                                                                                battery)
                                                                                                                                           d)   20% Mass Reduction
                                                                                                                                          * Emissions for replacement battery are included within
                                                                                                                                          the overall Vehicle Embedded Emissions total.
                                                                                                                                          ** For a larger battery pack, fewer charge-discharge
                                                                                                                                          cycles are required for the same overall mileage.

                                                                                                                                      •   Enough batteries to meet kWh and kW of UPS
                                                                                                                                          application?
                                                                                                                                      •   Definition and level of credit?
                                                                                                                                      •   % recycling vs % disposed?
                                                                                                                                      •   Need to develop more accurate comparison models
                                                                                                                                      •   Currently performing a vehicle LCA for DG CLIMA –
                                                                                                                                          more in depth analysis considering a range of
                                                                                                                                          vehicle types, powertrain, fuel chains and impact
                     Source: Ricardo life cycle analysis, Dec’ 2018. Assumes NEDC to Real-World uplift of 35% for Gasoline ICE, and       categories – not just GHG
                              40% for BEV. 2015 BEV battery capacity ~24 kWh; 2025 ‘smaller/larger’ = 30 / 54 kWh.
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                                                    7th November 2019   32
Ricardo UK Ltd
                      Shoreham Technical Centre
                      Shoreham by Sea, BN43 5FG, England

                        Dr Gael Chouchelamane
                        Chief engineer battery systems
                        Ricardo Automotive and Industrial

                        Mobile:      +44 (0) 7860 938 573
                        gael.chouchelamane@‍ricardo.com

                                                                             www.ricardo.com

                     Ricardo UK (HQ)                  Ricardo UK                        Ricardo UK                   Ricardo - AEA
                     Shoreham Technical Centre        Midlands Technical Centre         Cambridge Technical Centre   Glengarnock

                     Ricardo – AEA                    Ricardo - AEA                     Ricardo – AEA                Ricardo US                 Ricardo US                 Ricardo Germany       Ricardo Czech Republic
                     Harwell                          London                            Cardiff                      Detroit Technical Centre   Chicago Technical Centre   Schwäbisch Gmünd      Prague

                     Ricardo in Italy                 Ricardo China                     Ricardo India                Ricardo Japan              Ricardo in Korea           Ricardo in Malaysia   Ricardo in Russia
                     Turin                            Shanghai                          Delhi                        Yokohama                   Seoul                      Kuala Lumpur          Moscow
© Ricardo plc 2019                                                                                                                                                                                           7th November 2019   33
Session 3 – Steve Chambers, cap hpi

  Technical and Operational Management
                 Forum

                   Hosted by

                                      bvrla.co.uk
Steve Chambers
Senior Editor - SMR

        36
Content

1. EV/ICE/Hybrid service parts content

2. EV brake disc & tyre usage

3. Unscheduled invoice spend items

4. SMR 36/60 cost comparison

                                 37
EV Brands
2019                               2011

➢   Audi          ➢   Nissan       ➢   Citroen
➢   BMW i         ➢   Peugeot      ➢   Mitsubishi
➢   DS            ➢   Porsche      ➢   Nissan
➢   Hyundai       ➢   Renault      ➢   Peugeot
➢   Jaguar        ➢   SEAT
➢   Kia           ➢   Smart
➢   Mercedes      ➢   Tesla
➢   MG Motor UK   ➢   Vauxhall
➢   Mini          ➢   Volkswagen

                             38
Running costs are
50% lower

Regenerative braking will
make a big difference to
brake wear

EV – “Reliability will
be better”

                            39
SMR Forecast & Actuals/BurnRate

 1.3M                 Invoices include
                        mileage, job
                     description, parts
                     cost, labour times
                                          37M         £2B
Vehicles monitored                          Jobs      Total invoice
                       & labour cost.     completed      value

                                                                      40
Service content
• Oil                        • Dynamic response   •   Pollen filter
• Oil filter                    reservoir         •   Key fob battery
• Sump plug washer           • Brake hoses        •   Washer fluid
• Air filter                 • Brake fluid        •   Brake fluid
• Fuel filter
• Pollen filter
• Key fob battery
• Washer fluid
• Spark plugs
• Core plug
• Transmission fluid/Transmission
  fluid filter
• Differential fluid
• Cam cover gasket
• Dynamic response filter
                                    41
Service count

   Service count at         Vehicles by % at common
      36/30,000                   mileage points
 Diesel        1.8                    30,000 60,000
 Petrol        1.8         Diesel       83%      45%
 EV            2.2         Hybrid       71%      29%
 Hybrid       2.9          Petrol       49%      11%
                           EV           33%       7%
   Service count at
                       •   Expect EV models to cover greater
      36/60,000            mileages as uptake increases.
 EV           3.4
 Diesel       3.4
 Petrol       3.5
 Hybrid       5.3
                      42
Average service costs
 36/60,000                          Oil                         Parts     Labour          Total
 EV                                 £0                          £104       £272*          £376
 Diesel                            £188                         £235       £340           £763
 Petrol                            £185                         £227       £386           £798
 Hybrid                            £204                         £249       £442           £895
                              SERVICE            Oil   Parts     Labour

                                                                                          Average
                                                                          Item             price
                      £340               £386
                                                         £442
                                                                          Oil               £48
                                                                          Oil filter        £13
                                                         £249
                                                                          Fuel filter       £49
                                                                          Air Filter        £28
                      £235               £227
           £272

                      £188               £185            £204             Pollen Filter     £34
           £104
            £0
           EV        DIESEL             PETROL          HYBRID

  * Excludes Tesla                                               43
Brake disc and tyre use
 Brake Discs Front at             Brake Discs Rear at            Average Tyre Count
        60,000                           60,000                        at 60,000
 Petrol      58.3%                EV          28.5%              EV            7.4
 Diesel      38.8%                Diesel      21.9%              Petrol        6.7
 Hybrid      18.4%                Petrol      17.7%              Diesel        5.8
 EV          11.5%                Hybrid      12.6%              Hybrid        5.8
                                  Low mileage = greater risk
                                  of corrosion

EV forecasts:
• Expect average instances of front disc and tyre wear to remain relatively
  static over the next 12 months
• Tyre usage should change as EV’s used for higher mileages

                                                44
Unscheduled jobs
ADAS Calibration                           Fan Belts              Sensor
      Adblue                        Final Drive and Prop Shafts         Shock Absorbers
Alarm Remotes                              Flywheel               Steering
      Brake Calipers - Front        Fuel System                         Suspension Front
Brake Calipers - Rear                      Gearbox Automatic      Suspension Rear
      Brakes Other                  Gearbox Oil                         Trim
Bulbs                                      Gearbox repair         Turbo Repairs
      Catalysts                     Gearbox replace                     Undertray
Clutch Other                               Glow Plugs             Wheel Alignment
      Cooling System                Headlamp Alignment                  Wheel Bearings
Cruise Control Repair                      Heating
      Driveshaft                    Ignition
ECU - Engine                               Intercooler
      ECU - Other                   Investigate report Tests
EGR                                        Keys                       48 key “industry” job
      Electrics                     Lights
                                                                      descriptions
Engine Management Fault Diagnosis          Locks
      Engine Repair                 Power Steering
Engine Replace                                   Radiators            23 likely to apply to EV
                                                                      models

                                                 45
SMR Averages
 36/60,000               Total       Service          Tyres   Brakes   Others
 EV                     £1943*        £376            £1102    £339     £126
 Diesel                 £2345         £769            £1013    £405     £158
 Petrol                 £2486         £813            £1037    £467     £169
 Hybrid                 £2717         £993            £1181    £377     £166

 • EV running costs 50% of models have 19” rims or larger

                                             46
Summary
1. Running costs 50% lower – No
   Service costs can be up to 50% lower
   Full SMR costs on average
48
Session 4 – Chris Cotterill, IMI

  Technical and Operational Management
                 Forum

                    Hosted by

                                     bvrla.co.uk
An update on progress
made to date…
…lots‍to‍talk‍about!
On‍the‍road‍and‍predictions…
Currently 220,000 plug in cars on UK roads (Pure EV, Plug in Hybrid, Hydrogen-fuel cell) 1
11m EVs on UK roads by 2030 and as many as 36m by 2040 2

       TOTAL NUMBER OF        EV QUALIFIED            THERE ARE C180,000         ABOUT 5% HAVE A
     REGISTRATIONS ON EV   TECHNICIANS ACROSS          TECHNICIANS‍‘OUT‍        LEVEL 3 OR 4, OR AN
        QUALS: 25,000+      ALL LEVELS: 21,000       THERE’‍(10%‍CHURN?)       IMI EV ACCREDITATION

                             1.   According to nextgreencar.com (cumulative registrations from 2011-18)
                             2.   National‍Grid’s‍Future Energy Scenario’s, 2018
Electric Vehicle Professional Register
       Certification & Retention

        Adaptable to support sector-agreed accredited
           learning & development of technicians to
                    be safe and make safe
        current and future safety critical technologies:
     Electric Vehicles, ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles.
Lobbying for EV technician registration

          ✓ Amendments made to Automated and Electric Vehicles Bill 2018 to attempt to
            secure statutory licensing and accreditation scheme for EV technicians

          ✓ IMI included as a collaborative body in DFT Road to Zero strategy, July 2018

          ✓ Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee Report of October
            2018 highlighted shortfall in skills, health and safety risks and calls for
            government and industry to work together to develop EV qualifications

          ✓ Dialogue with Health and Safety Executive on the applicability of Electricity at
            Work Regulations 1989

          ✓ Significant representation of industry on the Sector Advisory Group (SAG)

          ✓ SMMT support statement agreed!

          ✓ Office for Low Emission Vehicles (OLEV) support agreed!

          ✓ Minister for Transport announcement – released on 24th October 2019
SMMT Support

“TechSafe is a timely initiative that can encourage
EV uptake and aid others outside of the dealer
networks to understand some of the myths and
complexities of EV maintenance; safety and duty of
care should always be the priority of any initiative”.
OLEV Support – and ministerial support
Minister of State for the Future of Transport, George Freeman, MP said:

   “Electrification of vehicles is happening and we want to make sure that drivers have
   confidence that their vehicles can be maintained and serviced to the highest
   standard. Safety will always be our first priority and building a sector equipped to
   manage the increasing demand of electrified vehicles is key.

   “Today’s launch of the IMI TechSafe™ standards is a crucial step in providing electric
   car buyers with extra assurance and towards achieving a zero-emission future.”
Electrified Vehicle Professional Register
                         Certification & Retention

  Achieve EV        IMI Membership
                                     Complete general CPD   Retain Professional
  qualification           and
                                     and sector-agreed EV   Registration and EV
 or certification     Professional
                                     CPD and assessment          TechSafe
(level 2, 3 or 4)     Registration
IMI’s next steps

   •   Import all existing IMI EV qualification holders on to the professional register

   •   Monitor new qualifications issued and reports on when users need to complete CPD
       and assessment

   •   System to bring other qualification holders on to the system (C&G, EdExcel, ABC etc.)
       – free membership options for example

   •   Process for determining CPD content

   •   Searchable public database (work in progress)
       https://www.imiregister.org.uk/ (for example Electric Vehicle Experts near Thatcham)
Session 5 – Catherine Bowen, BVRLA

 Technical and Operational Management
                Forum

                Hosted by

                                     bvrla.co.uk
Electric Vehicle
Policy Update Q4 2019
          Catherine Bowen
     Senior Policy Advisor, BVRLA

                                    bvrla.co.uk
Road to Zero Report Card 2019
                          Released in June 2019, the Road to Zero Report Card offers an
Click to edit             assessment of the Government's progress on its Road to Zero
                          targets. The report card was launched at the BVRLA’s Summer
                          Parliamentary Reception.

                          The report’s contents were steered by the BVRLA’s EV Working
                          Group and produced by Ricardo.

                          Five key areas covered in report:

                          •   Policy measures
                          •   Tax benefits
                          •   New vehicles
                          •   Charge points
                          •   User sentiment
                                                                                  bvrla.co.uk
Road to Zero Report Card 2019

                        The report identified three clear support requirements for successful
Click to edit           EV uptake:
                        Demand, vehicle supply, and charging infrastructure.

                        Support demand
                        • Providing a five-year fiscal roadmap for future EV-related taxes and
                          incentives

                        Support charging infrastructure
                        • Committing to mandate universal methods of access and payment
        Brakes on
                          for public EV charging

                        Support vehicle supply
                        • There have been serious issues with vehicle supply which will only
                          be exacerbated post EU exit if our vehicle tariffs and EU carbon
                          targets are not addressed.                                    bvrla.co.uk
Political Party Commitments

                • Labour members voted for an “ambitious” plan to reach net-zero emissions by 2035.
                • Called for all business car fleets to be fully electric by 2025.
Click to edit   • Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell announced loans of up to £33,000 to allow low
                  income households to purchase electric vehicles.
                • Shadow Transport Secretary Andy McDonald said decarbonisation was the key
                  priority for Labour’s transport policy, superseding even nationalisation.

                • Transport Secretary Grant Shapps announced the government will aim for a 2035
                  target for banning the sales of new petrol and diesel vehicles.
                • Shapps has also written to Local Authorities encouraging them to utilise a variety of
                  available funds in a bid to make electric car ownership more accessible to the public.
                  These include the £5m on-street residential charge point scheme, the £10,000 per
                  business workplace charging scheme and £500 per point home charge scheme.

                                                                                                 bvrla.co.uk
BVRLA Manifesto 2019: Delivering
                   sustainable road transport

                        As Parliament shuts for a five-week general election campaign, the BVRLA is
Click to edit           calling for the next Government to back the fleet sector.

                        The BVRLA's plan of action for the next Government’s first 100 days includes:

                        • Extend the Plug-In Grant for pure electric vehicles until 2025. As the electric
                          vehicle market makes significant progress towards cost parity, funding can
                          be reduced and gradually phased out.
                        • Introduce a revised grant to reboot purchases of Plug-In hybrid cars and
                          reverse the dramatic falls in sales. This subsidy should taper off as the
                          market improves.
                        • Target additional funding for the fleet sector to help with the costs of
                          installing EV charging infrastructure.
                        • Adjust C02 related taxes to create a more stable environment for company
                          cars, incentivising large fleet buyers to invest in the lowest emitting vehicles.
                                                                                             bvrla.co.uk
Plug-In Grant Joint Letter
                • The BVRLA is leading a campaign to secure clarity from the next Government on the future
Click to edit     of the Plug-In Car and Van Grants, urging that any end to these grants should be gradual,
                  taking a phased approach in order to allow the market and manufacturers to respond.

                • Transition to electric vehicles is at a fragile stage, with BEVs responsible for just over 1% of
                  new vehicle sales in 2019. The 2018 changes to the Plug-In Car Grant for hybrid vehicles
                  came at short notice, leading to a surge in orders for BEVs and lots of disappointed
                  customers, many of whom chose a petrol or diesel car instead. The BVRLA is keen to ensure
                  this situation is not repeated if the grant for BEVs is suddenly stopped.

                • The association is gathering support for its calls from a wide array of businesses, transport
                  groups, and environmental bodies. At the end of the month a joint letter will be sent to
                  political party leaders, calling on whoever becomes Prime Minister after the election to back
                  the campaign through the actions of their new government.

                                                                                                     bvrla.co.uk
Further BVRLA activity

                   Energy Roundtable
Click to edit
                   The BVRLA is hosting a roundtable with representatives of the energy sector
                   to discuss members concerns about charging infrastructure and consider
                   possible solutions.

                   Consultation responses

                   The BVRLA has responded to consultations about:
                   • Building Regulations
                   • Clean Air Zones & diesel ban

                   And the association will be responding to consultations about:
                   • Green number plates
                   • UK Power Networks’ Electric Vehicle Strategy
                                                                                    bvrla.co.uk
Industry Outlook Conference,
                       December 2019
                         Session Two at this year’s Industry Outlook Conference considers the
Click to edit            future direction of Electric Vehicles, looking specifically at vehicle
                         supply, demand and charging infrastructure.

                         Chaired by Rachael Hewish, Public Affairs Manager, BVRLA

                         Delegates will hear presentations from:

                         • Dr Jamie Hamilton, Director, Deloitte LLP
                         • Matthew Walters, Head of Consultancy & Customer Data
                           Services, LeasePlan UK
                         • Dr Giulia Privitera, Low Carbon Technologies Delivery Manager,
                           UK Power Networks

                                                                                    bvrla.co.uk
Panel Session

  Technical and Operational Management
                 Forum

                 Hosted by

                                     bvrla.co.uk
Committee Update
Committee Discussions (27 June):

    Block exemption review, Air Quality, Electric Vehicles

    Next TOM Committee: 21 November 2019

    Next TOM Forum: 6 February 2020, Venue TBC

                                                             bvrla.co.uk
Final Thoughts
  Thank you to Jaguar Land Rover for hosting today’s forum

  Thank you to our speakers and you for participating in today’s forum

  TOM Feedback & Suggestions: Please spend a few minutes to complete the feedback survey
  when you receive the email

  Presentations: Fran will email the link to download these from the BVRLA website tomorrow

  See you next time! 6 February 2020

                                                                                     bvrla.co.uk
Technical and
Operational Management
         Forum

         Hosted by

                     bvrla.co.uk
You can also read