TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS

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TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
TECH WARS:
  US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY
COMPETITION AND WHAT IT
   MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
            BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020
TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney is a university-based research centre,
dedicated to the rigorous analysis of American foreign policy, economics, politics and culture. The
Centre is a national resource, that builds Australia’s awareness of the dynamics shaping America —
and critically — their implications for Australia.

The Foreign Policy and Defence Program is committed to providing policy-oriented research
and analysis on American strategic policy and the United States-Australia alliance, with a focus on
developments in the Indo-Pacific. Drawing on the expertise and networks of its researchers, the
Program delivers insights and recommendations to a range of stakeholders through policy reports,
dialogues, simulations, and outreach. It aims to deepen Australians’ understanding of American
policy, analyse the alliance in an evolving strategic order, and shape Australian, allied, and partner
responses to shared regional challenges.

The Foreign Policy and Defence Program receives funding from the following partners:

UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
Institute Building (H03), City Rd
The University of Sydney NSW 2006
Australia
+61 2 9351 7249
us-studies@sydney.edu.au
USSC.EDU.AU

Research conclusions are derived independently and authors represent their own view, not
those of the United States Studies Centre. Reports published by the United States Studies Centre
are anonymously peer-reviewed by both internal and external experts.
TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive summary                                                                          02

Introduction                                                                               03

The transformation of US-China relations                                                   06

Continuous competition in innovation: The US policy response                               07

Australia and the evolving US-China struggle for technological advantage                   16

Endnotes                                                                                   21

About the author                                                                           27

This report may be cited as:
Brendan Thomas-Noone, “Tech wars: US-China technology competition and what it means for Australia,”
United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney, June 2020.
Cover photo: A “Mistral” supercomputer (Getty)
TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

                   Technology is now the defining element of the Trump administration’s self-professed “strategic
                   competition” with China:

                   ›   Washington is highly attuned to the long-term consequences and links between scientific
                       progress, technological adaptation and national power in burgeoning US-China competition.

                   ›   Policymakers are attempting to balance efforts to maintain the open and
                       global foundations of US and allied research and development systems,
                       while deterring those that abuse its accessible and integrated nature.

                   ›   While President Donald Trump has been highly inconsistent on technological issues,
                       Congress and the executive branch have slowly moved forward in executing the 2017 National
                       Security Strategy and protecting what it termed the US National Security Innovation Base.

                   Congress and the Trump administration have embarked on a ponderous — and at times heavy-
                   handed — effort to protect America’s technological advantage across multiple domains and
                   through actions by several branches of government:

                   ›   Congress has expanded the powers of the Committee of Foreign Investment
                       to review non-controlling investments in technology companies.

                   ›   New export controls are being rolled out which feature vastly more expansive definitions of
                       “foundational” and “emerging” technologies, broadening their scope and potential reach.

                   ›   The Department of Justice has launched a major criminal justice campaign
                       labelled the “China Initiative”, with the goal of prosecuting technology
                       theft and enforcing existing regulations in every US state.

                   ›   Draft bills indicate the likely expansion of Congressional reform to halting the flow of
                       US government funds flowing to overseas partners also involved in joint high-tech
                       research and development (R&D) with China, affecting third parties like Australia.

                   Australia will be significantly affected by Washington’s unravelling of the US-China technological
                   relationship, owing to its deep enmeshment with America’s scientific infrastructure. To navigate
                   these changes in the national interest, Canberra must consider the following:

                   ›   Australia will face growing pressure to limit its science and technology
                       interaction with China in critical dual-use fields in order to maintain technological
                       collaboration with the United States in some emerging technologies, and
                       may even be required to adopt restrictive export control policies.

                   ›   Australian research by universities, defence industry, business and government agencies
                       will be seriously impacted by the United States’ expanded export control reform.
                       Canberra should continue to lobby US policymakers on solutions, such as providing
                       exemptions under the National Technology and Industrial Base framework.

                   ›   As the global technological ecosystem becomes more nationalised, securitised and difficult
                       to navigate for industry and governments alike, Australia should implement a national
                       research and development strategy that builds its own technological ‘counterweight.’

     UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
2    TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
INTRODUCTION

Technology is the defining element of the United      providing oversight of foreign direct investment
States’ growing strategic competition with China      in critical industries. Immigration controls have
which Donald Trump first announced in 2017. The       made it more difficult for foreign students study-
slow disentangling of technological integration       ing STEM subjects.4 Finally, a concerted criminal
between the United States and China that this         justice campaign has begun to better enforce
competition entails will have significant conse-      laws governing the disclosure of foreign ties in the
quences for allies like Australia, who are closely    science and technology industry. These elements
coupled with the United States’ scientific and        make up the initial stages of what Federal Bureau
technological infrastructure. While many have         of Investigation (FBI) Director Christopher Wray
focused on the manufacturing and supply chain         has labelled a “whole-of-society response” to
aspects of this competition, the US Government        protect the United States’ economic competi-
has also set about expanding its definition of what
                                                      tiveness and technological edge.5
constitutes the industries, individuals and knowl-
edge of its national security innovation base. This   While the eventual extent of these policies is not
enlarged understanding, and the beginnings of a       yet known, it is clear the way Australia’s science
whole-of-government approach through various          and technology ecosystem currently operates
reforms and initiatives, will transform the terms     will be increasingly under strain in a “world of
of globalisation, international supply chains and     technologically driven compe-
even the US-Australia alliance.1 The likely result    tition.”6 America’s policies are
will be a further step in the transformation of the
                                                                                           THE WAY AUSTRALIA’S
                                                      aimed at its strategic rival. But    SCIENCE AND
alliance from a purely geopolitical arrangement       they will nonetheless have           TECHNOLOGY
to a geoeconomic one as well.2                        long-term global implications        ECOSYSTEM CURRENTLY
                                                      for close allies like Australia.     OPERATES WILL BE
Washington and, to a lesser extent, Canberra                                               INCREASINGLY UNDER
are attempting to tackle the same problem:            Allies will face growing pres-
                                                                                           STRAIN IN A “WORLD
how to maintain the open and global founda-           sure to limit their science and      OF TECHNOLOGICALLY
tions of the research and development and             technological interaction with       DRIVEN COMPETITION.”
innovation systems that have ensured techno-          China in critical dual-use fields
logical competitiveness in the past, while at the     and may be required to adopt restrictive export
same time deterring Chinese efforts that seek to      control policies in order to continue technologi-
abuse their accessible and integrated nature. The     cal collaboration with the United States in some
United States has responded to this problem by        emerging technologies. Australians on the fore-
gradually implementing an updated regulatory          front of strategic technology include compa-
framework for its technological industrial base.      nies, universities, scientists and entrepreneurs.
Washington now considers actors like universi-        In interacting with the United States they will be
ties, academics and technology entrepreneurs          confronted with new rules, regulations and barri-
who contribute to the development of science          ers erected around funding sources, international
and technology essential to its national security.    collaborations and further legal oversight. While
New rules, regulations and policies have been         competition-driven challenges to supply chains,
crafted to guard against intellectual property (IP)   intellectual property protection, foreign invest-
theft and the exportation of critical technologies.   ment and export controls will be spread widely in
Some Chinese critical technology companies,           the US economy; the impact will be more acute
like Huawei, have been specifically targeted by
                                                      for countries that are relative “takers” of technol-
being placed on restrictive oversight lists.3 New
                                                      ogy, such as Australia.
powers have been given to bodies charged with

                                                                                              UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                              TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                             3
TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
Australian universities are on the frontline of         The Australian Government will need to incor-
                  this shift. As the producer, partner and location       porate the acceleration of these trends into its
                  of much of Australia’s scientific, technological        assessments and planning, consider the conse-
                  and commercial intellectual property, research          quences for Australia’s technology base and what
                  universities are the most exposed to systemic           avenues it can pursue to ameliorate them. The
                  changes in the US-China economic and tech-              government should continue to work on current
                  nological relationship. This is due to both the         frameworks that allow for exemptions for close
                  nature of the security and economic relationship        technological partners like Australia, such as the
                  between Washington and Canberra as well as              National Technology and Industrial Base (NTIB).
                  Australia’s reliance on international students and      Finally, Australia’s current approach to funding
                  global research collaborations to cross-subsidise       R&D will no longer be sufficient in a technolog-
                  domestic R&D activity, a weakness which the fall-       ical world that is more nationalised, securitised
                  out of COVID-19 has exposed.7 The longer-term           and competitive. Canberra must work to build its
                  impact for Australia’s greater technology base          own technological ‘counterweight’ as a bulwark
                  will be new American rules redefining US export         against global fragmentation allowing it to engage
                  controls around technological “end use” from the        with strategic competition on its own terms.
                  ones currently based on specification.8

                  US President Donald Trump speaks on his national security strategy in Washington, DC, December 2017 (Getty)

    UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
4   TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE

                        NATIONAL SECURITY INNOVATION BASE (NSIB)
                                          Agency: The White House

 Defined in the 2017 National Security Strategy, the NSIB expands the understanding of
 the US defence industrial base from large defence companies to include a wider network
 of stakeholders, including academia, National Laboratories, and the private sector.

        COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN THE UNITED STATES (CFIUS)
                                   Agency: US Department of the Treasury

 CFIUS is an interagency committee that reviews select foreign investment transactions
 in the United States.

         FOREIGN INVESTMENT RISK REVIEW MODERNIZATION ACT (FIRRMA)
                                             Agency: US Congress

 FIRRMA expanded CFIUS’s powers to review non-controlling foreign investments in
 technologies, companies and real estate that may have national security implications.

                             EXPORT CONTROL REFORM ACT (ECRA)
                                             Agency: US Congress

 Passed as part of the 2019 National Defense Authorization Act, the ECRA expanded US
 export controls to cover “foundational” and “emerging technologies.”

                                         THE CHINA INITIATIVE
                                      Agency: US Department of Justice

 The China Initiative is the name for a Department of Justice program focused on
 increasing investigations and prosecutions of intellectual property theft and espionage.

                                      IMMIGRATION MEASURES
                         Agencies: US Immigration and Citizenship Service (USICS)
                                            US Department of State

 USICS has introduced harsher consequences for foreign students overstaying their visas.

 Greater discretionary power has been granted to adjudicators processing foreign student
 visas, allowing them to deny applications or petitions without first notifying the applicant
 if necessary evidence is missing.

 The State Department has begun actively restricting the visa applications of Chinese
 graduate students studying “aviation, robotics and advanced manufacturing” in the United
 States.

                                                                                          UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                          TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                         5
THE TRANSFORMATION OF US-CHINA RELATIONS

                 The change in the United States’ China policy              Chinese Communist Party, the militarisation of
                 under President Trump has deep roots. As                   the South China Sea and the internment of the
                 suggested in the administration’s 2017 National            ethnic Uyghur minority in Xinjiang — has resulted
                 Security Strategy (NSS), there is a broad — and            in a broad bipartisan shift on China within the
                 largely bipartisan — perception that China’s               United States.13 Human rights, trade imbalances
                 growing economic, military and technological               and China’s growing military power have united
                 power has to a degree been built on years of               a diverse array of interests in the United States,
                 intellectual property theft through cyber oper-            including in Congress and the private sector,
                 ations, exploitation of open scientific and tech-          which has supported the administration’s shift to
                 nological collaboration with the West, and unfair          “great power competition” as laid out in the NSS
                 trading practices with the United States and its           and the 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS).14
                 allies.9 Numerous cyber operations targeting
                                                                            At their heart is the growing recognition within
                                      US companies, universi-
                                                                            Washington of the long-term consequences and
    THE 2017 NATIONAL                 ties and government agen-
                                                                            links between scientific progress, technological
    SECURITY STRATEGY,                cies, attributed to Chinese
    AND SPEECHES                                                            adaptation and national power in its competi-
                                      national security agencies
    AND COMMENTS                                                            tion with Beijing.15 In other words, both Republi-
                                      and state-sponsored actors
    CONSISTENTLY MADE BY              have been well documented,
                                                                            cans and Democrats increasingly place technol-
    SENIOR ADMINISTRATION                                                   ogy and its potential application at the centre of
                                      with the 2014 indictment of
    FIGURES SINCE, FRAME                                                    US-China competition.16 For instance, the Trump
    THE SOURCE OF                     five Chinese military officers
                                                                            Administration 2017 NSS, and speeches and
    NATIONAL POWER AND                for cyber espionage. This
    ECONOMIC PROSPERITY                                                     comments consistently made by senior adminis-
                                      was the first time criminal
    AS BASED UPON                                                           tration figures since, frame the source of national
                                      charges were filed against
    MAINTAINING AMERICA’S             known state actors and is a
                                                                            power and economic prosperity as based upon
    TECHNOLOGICAL                                                           maintaining America’s technological superiority.17
                                      notable example.10 An agree-
    SUPERIORITY.                                                            While the strategies state the need for further
                                      ment between President Xi
                                                                            investment in R&D in emerging technologies as
                                      Jinping to President Barack
                                                                            a main element of this competition, no major
                 Obama to halt economic cyber espionage in
                                                                            government initiatives have materialised since
                 2015 lasted only a short time, with cyber-attacks
                                                                            the previous administration’s 2014 Third Offset
                 attributed to actors based in China growing in
                                                                            Strategy, which sought to leverage Department
                 2016 (Australia forged a similar agreement with
                                                                            of Defense (DoD) investments to offset the dete-
                 China in 2017).11 Further, in contrast to Austral-
                                                                            riorating US military position in the Indo-Pa-
                 ia’s sparse history of prosecutions for IP theft
                                                                            cific.18 Bipartisan draft legislation, The Endless
                 and defence export control infringements, the
                                                                            Frontiers Act, has been introduced which could
                 US Justice Department has documented a long
                                                                            invest up to $100 billion in the National Science
                 history of economic espionage and targeted
                                                                            Foundation to “maintain US global leadership
                 attempts to skirt defence export controls by indi-
                                                                            in innovation.”19 But until then, a more ponder-
                 viduals and companies linked to the People’s
                                                                            ous and at times heavy-handed effort advanced
                 Liberation Army (PLA) and the Chinese govern-
                                                                            by Congress and the Trump Administration has
                 ment and has brought multiple cases to court.12
                                                                            advanced across multiple departments and
                     This history — along with targeted high-tech           domains aimed at protecting the United States’
                     industrial policies such as ‘Made in China             technological advantage.
                     2025’, the growing authoritarian nature of the

       UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
6      TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
CONTINUOUS COMPETITION IN INNOVATION:
THE US POLICY RESPONSE

Since 2017, Congress and the Trump Administra-        connected and financed universities, colleges
tion have proceeded with a number of reforms          and start-ups the NSS argues that protecting
first hinted at in the NSS, including expanding the   the NSIB will need to be both international and
idea of what needs to be fostered and protected       domestic.21 This, in part, laid the foundation
concerning innovation networks and technology,        for the US Government’s expansion of export
foreign investment review, export controls and        controls to entire fields of technology, Committee
immigration. This collection of policy changes        on Foreign Investment reform, renewed investi-
and enforcement represents a halting, but             gation and prosecution of IP theft and disclosure
increasingly wholesale, effort to shield the United   laws, as well as coordination with allies.
States’ technology base from IP theft, industrial
                                                      Committee on Foreign Investment in the
intelligence collection and other threats:
                                                      United States (CFIUS) reform: The first major
National Security Innovation Base: As defined         reform the NSS proposed to protect the NSIB
by the NSS, the National Security Innovation Base     was CFIUS reform. The equivalent to Austral-
(NSIB) comprises all the inputs and actors critical   ia’s Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB),
to maintaining the United States’ technological       CFIUS is an interagency committee that reviews
qualitative edge and global competitiveness. This     select foreign investment transactions in the
definition laid the framework for the more all-en-    United States. In early 2018, Congress passed
compassing approach the Trump Administra-             the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modern-
tion has pursued in protecting the United States’     ization Act (FIRRMA), expanding the powers
technological edge. Notably, the NSIB expanded        of the Committee and the President to review
the understanding of the US defence industrial        non-controlling foreign investments in tech-
base from large defence companies and more            nologies, companies and real estate that may
traditional industrial inputs to the “network of      have national security implications. Principally,
knowledge, capabilities, and people — including       CFIUS’s expanded jurisdiction and review powers
academia, National Laboratories, and the private      focus on the technology sector, with filings now
sector — that turns ideas into innovations, trans-    required from foreign investors in “critical tech-
forms discoveries into successful commercial          nologies, critical infrastructure” and businesses
products and companies, and protects and              that may have access to “sensitive personal
enhances the American way of life.”20 The NSIB        data.”22 While investors from Australia, Canada
effectively redefined universities — including        and the United Kingdom are exempt from filing
those that may be conducting basic research —         with CFIUS in non-controlling transactions, they
small start-ups and the individuals which make        are still required if investing for a controlling stake
up those organisations as part of the national        in sensitive companies or real estate.
security enterprise.
                                                      Transactions will only be subject to CFIUS review
The NSS argues that maintaining a technological       if they meet the definition of a “covered invest-
lead — critical to both US national security and      ment.” To meet this requirement, the transaction
economic advantage — requires a whole-of-gov-         must afford a foreign person:
ernment effort which is beyond the scope of
                                                      ›   access to non-public technical information;
any “individual company, industry, university or
government agency.” Recognising many tech-            ›   membership or observer rights on, or
nologies which are beginning to form the basis            the right to nominate an individual to
of next-generation military systems and capabil-          a position on the board of directors
ities increasingly originate in inherently globally       or equivalent governing body; or

                                                                                              UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                              TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                             7
›   any involvement, other than through                the purchase of hotel management software
                      voting of shares, in substantive                   company StayNTouch after the group was
                      decision making regarding sensitive                acquired by China-based Beijing Shiji Information
                      personal data of US citizens, critical             Technology Co. in 2018.25 In other cases, CFIUS
                      technologies, or critical infrastructure.23        has approved certain deals only after national
                  Sensitive personal data has a broad scope,             security issues were resolved. Officials report-
                  encompassing such things as health-related             edly recommended the Trump Administration
                  data and financial data, and a business qualifies      block German company Infineon Technologies
                  for CFIUS review if it relates to US Government        AG’s proposed acquisition of Cypress Semicon-
                  personnel or maintains data on more than one           ductor Corp. due to the companies large amount
                  million individuals.24 The new FIRRMA rules also       of revenue from Chinese sources.26 However,
                  require mandatory CFIUS filings for transactions       the decision was approved by CFIUS after the
                  in which a foreign government would acquire            German chipmaker entered a national security
                  a “substantial interest” — or a voting interest of     agreement with the US government.27 The case
                  25 per cent or more — in a relevant business.          is an example of both the expanding range of
                  FIRRMA also expanded CFIUS control over real           factors CFIUS is considering when reviewing
                  estate transactions when the property is located       foreign investment, as well as the pressure it can
                  within or in close proximity to military installa-     bring to bear on companies seeking transac-
                  tions or other government property related to          tions in the United States. In addition, a number
                  national security.                                     of Chinese companies have withdrawn or sold
                                                                         their investments in the United States following
                  As of April 2019, the Trump Administration has         CFIUS recommendations, even before an official
                  blocked three deals as a result of CFIUS recom-        decision is announced from the Trump Admin-
                  mendations. The administration reversed                istration.28

                  IBM Q System One quantum computer (Getty)

    UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
8   TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
The expansion of US export controls: The              The second category of foundational technolo-
second set of major policy reforms since the          gies — potentially a broad list as it is understood
NSS has been the passage of the Export Control        as “existing technology already integrated into
Reform Act (ECRA) of 2018.29 This set of policy       commercial products’” — is still being formulated
changes to US Government export controls will         but could include basic research and impact filing
likely have the biggest direct impact on Australia.   for patents and transferring technology between
Passed as part of the 2019 National Defense           universities and industry.33 For instance, founda-
Authorization Act, the ECRA modified the existing     tional technology could range from semiconduc-
US Export Administration Regulations to cover         tors that form some of the basic components of
“foundational” and “emerging technologies” as         electronic circuits to the tech behind CRISPR,
part of US export controls. These changes are         a novel and powerful tool that can be used to
significant in that they largely reframe and expand   edit genomes. Reports indicate that ongoing
US export controls from managing specific prod-       debates within the Commerce Department
ucts to entire technological fields, an idea first    revolve around whether to define technologies
flagged in an influential 2018 Defense Innovation     by their specifications, as most export controls
Unit report.30 These specially designated techno-     are currently structured, or their applications, a
logical dual-use fields include robotics, 3D print-   much broader understanding and classification.34
ing, quantum computing, advanced materials,
                                                      While the Bureau of Industry and Security within
surveillance technologies, synthetic biology and
                                                      the US Commerce Department is still working on
machine learning among others.31
                                                      what exactly will be included in these new cate-
While the US Commerce Department is still             gories, the export controls will be extraterritorial
formulating most of the rules laying out how          in the same way as existing US export controls
these new controls will work in practice, it could    operate. This means technologies in these cate-
mean that research and collaboration with, and        gories are subject to US law, whether it is used
within, any US-based organisation in many of          by a US-based company or by “any company
these emerging dual-use fields may now fall           anywhere that is re-exporting American goods
under US export controls. The level of control        or technology; incorporating technology previ-
and regulation on specific technological fields       ously exported from the United States; and by
may vary and can range from applying for a            persons subject to the jurisdiction of the United
license for any instance of export or retransfer      States.”35 As an example, geospatial imagery soft-
of controlled knowledge to requiring a complete       ware, one of the first technologies to be classified
separation of workforces if persons are from          under the new rules, now requires companies
an “embargoed” country, which includes China.         who wish to export it to apply for a license with
In effect, the way many defence companies             the Commerce Department.36
have structured themselves and operated for
                                                      Reportedly, the Bureau of Industry and Security
decades — under the auspices of strict and vari-
                                                      is still undertaking consultations with industry
ous export control regulations — could potentially
                                                      and is likely to release rules on other technol-
be extended to other areas of the economy. In
                                                      ogies in the coming months. In the meantime,
anticipation of the roll-out of the new regula-
                                                      the bureau is moving ahead in other areas. In
tions, some US-based technology companies
                                                      April 2020, the bureau amended existing export
have begun to draw up plans that would separate
                                                      control regulations, removing exemptions that
their workforces based on nationality.32

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                                              TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                             9
existed around some dual-use technologies like            and espionage under what it terms the ‘China
                         semiconductor equipment but also expanded                 Initiative,’ originally announced by then-Attor-
                         the list of actors that would require licenses to         ney General Jeff Sessions in 2018. Since the
                         export to, such as civilian companies that can            announcement of the Made in China 2025 indus-
                         be linked to supporting military applications,            trial policy, Attorney General William Barr noted
                         in China, Russia and Venezuela.37 Critically,             the department has brought trade-secret theft
                         the changes also require US companies to “file            cases “in eight of the 10 technologies that China
                         declarations for all exports to China, Russia             is aspiring to dominate.”39 As of February 2020,
                         and Venezuela regardless of value,” giving the            the FBI has “about a thousand” ongoing investi-
                         administration substantial data into what exactly         gations into the attempted theft of United States
                         is being exported to strategic competitors.38 The         intellectual property and technology; so far it
                         rules state supporting the objectives of the NSS          has also made 19 arrests. DoJ officials expect
                         as the reason for their rollout.                          that number to increase over the course of the
                                                                                   financial year.40 Compared to the 15 individuals
                         The Department of Justice’s China Initia-
                                                                                   arrested for intellectual property-related cases
                         tive: Over the past three years the Department
                                                                                   over the previous six years, the rise in prosecu-
                         of Justice (DoJ) has stepped-up investigations
                                                                                   tions reflects a concerted and focused criminal
                         and prosecutions of intellectual property theft
                                                                                   justice response to the rising threat of intellectual

     A TIMELINE OF THE US DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE’S CHINA INITIATIVE
     April 2019 — May 202041

       23 APRIL 2019, NEW YORK                    11 JULY 2019, ILLINOIS                         21 AUGUST 2019, KANSAS
      Economic espionage                          Theft of trade secrets                        Wire fraud; program fraud
      Former engineer charged with                Chicago software engineer at                  Kansas University associate
      stealing General Electric trade             a locomotive manufacturer                     professor indicted for lying about
      secrets relating to its turbine             charged with allegedly stealing               his employment for China’s Fuzhou
      technology with intention of                proprietary information                       University while receiving research
      passing information to China.               and taking it to China.                       funding from the US government.

                   9 MAY 2019, INDIANA                                     23 JULY 2019, NEW JERSEY
                  Conspiracy to commit fraud; conspiracy                   Violating the International Emergency Economic
                  to commit wire fraud; intentional                        Powers Act (IEEPA); conspiracy to violate IEEPA
                  damage to a protected computer                           and defraud the United States; conspiracy to launder
                                                                           monetary instruments; among other indictments
                  Chinese national allegedly part of
                  hacking group that targeted large                        Chinese company charged for obscuring illicit financial
                  businesses in the United States.                         dealings on behalf of sanctioned North Korean entities.

           UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
10         TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
property theft presented by China.42 The goal, as     projects, is an example of the department’s
 stated by DoJ officials in early 2020, is to have     more aggressive stance on academic disclo-
 each of the country’s 94 US federal district attor-   sure. Another recent fraud case in West Virginia
 neys to bring cases as part of the overarching        involves a professor claiming time off to care
 initiative.43                                         for a newborn, when in fact he used the time to
                                                       take part in China’s Thousand Talents program.45
 New investigations seek to more strongly enforce
                                                       The department has also brought cases against
 existing regulations and target actors not previ-
                                                       Chinese-born faculty members at the Univer-
 ously of interest to the Department of Justice,
                                                       sity of Kansas, University of Texas MD Anderson
 particularly in the higher education sector. For
                                                       Cancer Center, and Emory University, in each
 instance, existing policies requiring research-
                                                       case for failing to disclose foreign ties.46 Cases
 ers to declare all potential conflicts of interest
                                                       involving universities, national laboratories and
 or foreign government affiliations are being
                                                       even hospitals, reflects the department’s focus
 more stringently enforced.44 The recent high
                                                       on prosecuting IP theft in every sector of the
 profile arrest of the head of Harvard’s Depart-
                                                       NSIB.47
 ment of Chemistry, Charles Lieber, for failing to
 disclose his links to Chinese research institutions   The Pentagon and the defence industrial base:
 while also working on US government-funded            The 2020 National Defense Authorization Act

16 SEPTEMBER 2019, OHIO              30 SEPTEMBER 2019, CALIFORNIA           1 NOVEMBER 2019, FLORIDA
Theft of trade secrets              Acting as an illegal agent               Conspiring to violate
                                    of a foreign government                  firearms law
Ohio researchers
allegedly stole exosome-            US citizen allegedly shared              Four individuals charged
related trade secrets               classified information with              on a conspiracy to smuggle
while establishing a                Chinese officials via dead               military-style inflatable
business in China.                  drops in the United States.              boats to the PRC.

16 SEPTEMBER 2019, NEW YORK                                       14 NOVEMBER 2019, CALIFORNIA
Conspiracy to commit visa fraud                                   Conspiracy to violate the FCPA internal
                                                                  controls provisions; perjury; destruction
Individual allegedly sought to
                                                                  of records in federal investigations
illegally obtain US research
visas for PRC government                                          Two Chinese citizens allegedly offered bribes to
employees seeking to recruit                                      Chinese government officials to promote and
US experts to China.                                              expand their company’s business in China.

                                                                                               UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                               TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                              11
(NDAA) includes provisions designed to protect         base and manufacturing in the United States, the
                       national security academic researchers from            Department of Defense began to make strategic
                       foreign interference, including measures aimed         investments in critical national security compo-
                       at streamlining gathering information on individ-      nents.50 For instance, in recent years the Defense
                       uals involved in defence research and develop-         Microelectronics Activity has awarded contracts
                       ment activities.48 The FY2020 NDAA introduces          to semiconductor manufacturers IBM Global
                       a new interagency group tasked with identifying        Business Services and SkyWater Technology in
                       potential cyberattack threats and vulnerabilities      an attempt to make up for production shortages
                       in relation to research. The group will also offer     in certain commercially unviable chips.51 Through
                       policy guidance and recommendations on how             March 2019, seven Presidential Shortfall Deter-
                       best to secure research information from attacks,      minations were issued, identifying production
                       and how United States science and technology           shortfalls in lithium sea-water batteries, alane fuel
                       researchers may better be able to assist in federal    cell technology, sonobuoys production, and crit-
                       missions.49                                            ical chemicals production for missiles and muni-
                                                                              tions, materials and technologies, all critical for
                       The Pentagon has also been concerned about
                                                                              military operations.52 The determinations granted
                       weaknesses in the US defence industrial base
                                                                              the DoD through the DPA Title III the authority to
                       itself. Following a 2018 White House-directed
                                                                              expand the domestic industrial base capabilities
                       study into the status of the defence industrial
                                                                              in these critical areas.

     21 NOVEMBER 2019, MISSOURI                               28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS
     Conspiracy to commit economic espionage;                Making a materially false, fictitious
     economic espionage; conspiracy to commit                and fraudulent statement
     theft of trade secrets; theft of trade secrets
                                                             Harvard University professor Dr
     Monsanto employee allegedly recruited to                Charles Lieber charged with making
     the Thousand Talents Plan and sought to                 false statements regarding the
     take proprietary farming software to China.             Thousand Talents Plan and his work
                                                             for Wuhan University of Technology.

                                             28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS           28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS
                                            Smuggling goods from the                  Visa fraud; making false statements;
                                            United States; false statements           acting as an agent of a foreign
                                                                                      government; conspiracy
                                            Cancer researcher allegedly
                                            stole 21 vials of biological              J-1 visa holder allegedly falsely identified
                                            research and attempted to                 as a student while lying about military
                                            smuggle them out of the                   service at the National University
                                            United States to China.                   of Defense Technology in China.

         UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
12       TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
Department of Justice’s China Imitative:
          The Arrest of Harvard Professor Dr Charles Lieber
          On 28 January 2020, the Department of Justice charged Dr Charles Lieber, Chair of the Department
          of Chemistry and Chemical Biology at Harvard University, on two counts of making false statements
          in relation to his involvement in the People’s Republic of China’s Thousand Talents Program.53

          A world-renowned chemist, Lieber has been working at Harvard since 1991 and is the Principal Inves-
          tigator of the university’s Lieber Research Group.54 The group specialises in nanoscience technology
          and has received more than $15,000,000 in grant funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
          and Department of Defense since 2008.55

          The Department of Justice alleges that Lieber had performed work as a “strategic scientist” for Wuhan
          University of Technology (WUT) as early as 2011. According to the details of a three-year contract
          intercepted by the FBI, Lieber was allegedly paid US$50,000 per month and was required to work for
          WUT for no less than nine months a year. Lieber was also awarded more than $1.5 million to establish
          a research lab at WUT.56

          In order to secure NIH funding, non-NIH groups are required to disclose all foreign collaboration and
          foreign sources of research support, as well as potential financial conflicts of interest provided by
          foreign universities or governments. The Department of Justice alleges that Lieber repeatedly lied to
          both Harvard officials and federal investigators when asked about his connections to the Thousand
          Talents scheme, claiming that he had never been a participant in the program.57 If found guilty, Lieber
          could face up to five years in federal prison and a quarter-million-dollar fine.58

10 FEBRUARY 2020, GEORGIA                                 11 MAY 2020, GEORGIA                       14 MAY 2020, OHIO
Computer fraud conspiracy;                               Filing a false tax return                   False claims; wire fraud
computer fraud and abuse; economic
                                                         Emory University                            Ohio medical researcher
espionage; among other indictments
                                                         professor allegedly                         allegedly made false claims
Members of the Chinese People’s                          worked at Chinese                           about his participation in
Liberation Army charged with                             universities and did not                    Thousand Talents Program
hacking into the computer systems                        report foreign income                       while receiving National
of credit reporting agency Equifax.                      on federal tax returns.                     Institutes of Health funding.

         13 FEBRUARY 2020, NEW YORK             27 FEBRUARY 2020, TENNESSEE                  11 MAY 2020, ARKANSAS
         Conspiracy to steal                    Wire fraud; making                           Wire fraud
         trade secrets                          false statements
                                                                                             University of Arkansas
         Huawei and subsidiaries                University of Tennessee                      professor allegedly
         charged on a 16-count                  professor charged with hiding                failed to disclose ties to
         indictment including a                 his relationship to Beijing                  Chinese government
         charge of conspiracy                   University of Technology while               while accepting grant
         to steal trade secrets.                receiving funding from NASA.                 money from NASA.

                                                                                                  UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
        TECH WARS: WHY STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGY IS THE LATEST
                                                TECH WARS:FRONTIER
                                                           US-CHINAINTECHNOLOGY
                                                                      US-CHINA COMPETITION AND
                                                                                 COMPETITION   WHAT
                                                                                             AND    THIS
                                                                                                 WHAT  IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                                 13
Detrimental reform: Cracking down on                   to deny any application or petition without first
                   “non-traditional intelligence collectors:” The         notifying the applicant if “evidence in the record
                   2017 NSS also flagged immigration as another           does not establish eligibility.” These expanded
                   area requiring action to protect the NSIB. Specif-     powers were eventually blocked by a court
                   ically, it saw foreign students studying science,      injunction but have since been added to public
                   technology, engineering and mathematics                regulatory agenda plans for September 2020.62
                   (STEM) subjects from “designated” countries as
                                                                          Even as aspects of the administration’s immi-
                   potential “non-traditional intelligence collectors”
                                                                          gration efforts have been held up in court, early
                   and foreshadowed the need to implement visa
                                                                          indications are that they have impacted the
                   reviews, restrictions and other policies to deter
                                                                          number of foreign students seeking to study
                   the transfer of IP to strategic competitors.59 The
                                                                          STEM subjects in the United States. A National
                   first step the administration took occurred in
                                                                          Foundation for American Policy analysis found
                   May 2018 when the US Immigration and Citi-
                                                                          denial rates for H-1B visa petitions had risen from
                   zenship Service delivered a policy memoran-
                                                                          six per cent in FY2015 to 24 per cent in the third
                   dum laying out new consequences for foreign
                                                                          quarter of 2019.63 Further, the total number of
                   students overstaying their visas, with single-day
                                                                          foreign students studying in the United States also
                   overstays resulting in three to ten-year bans.60
                                                                          declined by 10 per cent during the same period.64
                   The following month the State Department
                                                                          In response, China’s Ministry of Education issued
                   began actively restricting visa applications of
                                                                          a notice warning potential applicants that visas
                   Chinese graduate students studying “aviation,
                                                                          had been restricted for Chinese students wish-
                   robotics and advanced manufacturing” in the
                                                                          ing to study in the United States, as “the visa
                   United States. Five-year visas for these programs
                                                                          review period has been extended, the validity
                   were reduced to one year, with the requirement
                                                                          period has been shortened and the refusal rate
                   to reapply every year.61 In July 2018 improved
                                                                          has increased.”65 These policies, while attempt-
                   discretionary power was given to adjudicators
                                                                          ing to deter economic and technological espio-
                   processing foreign student visas, allowing them

                   Getty

     UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
14   TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
nage, are likely to be highly detrimental to the US      these programs.68 More specifically, identical
 research base.66 For instance, while the policies        bills introduced in the Senate and House in May
 appear to be based on the assumption that these          2019 by Senator Tom Cotton and Representa-
 students return to China after completing their          tive Mike Gallagher would ban the issuance of
 studies in the United States, the vast majority          certain academic visas to researchers associated
 of students apply for further visa pathways to           with the PLA.69 In May 2020 Republican Senators
 remain and work in the United States, primarily          Tom Cotton and Marsha Blackburn went even
 in STEM fields.67                                        further and introduced the SECURE CAMPUS
                                                          Act, a bill that would ban Chinese nationals from
 These efforts are likely not the last from the
                                                          receiving any visas to student science and tech-
 Trump Administration. Additional policies
                                                          nology subjects for graduate or post-graduate
 and Congressional bills have been proposed,
                                                          studies.70 Later in the same month, the admin-
 including expanding the Department of Home-
                                                          istration officially announced a more targeted
 land Security’s vetting of university and school
                                                          policy: students affiliated with PLA-universities
 officials in charge of collating data on foreign
                                                          studying in the United States would have their
 students and persons on exchange, which would
                                                          visas cancelled, impacting an estimated 3000
 “prevent potential criminal activities or threats
                                                          students.71
 to national security” that may result through

 China-Taiwan semiconductor joint venture indicted for
 economic espionage
 In November 2018 the Department of Justice brought indictments against the Chinese state-owned
 company Fujian Jinhua, the Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturer United Microelectronics Corpo-
 ration (UMC), and three Taiwan nationals. The Department of Justice accuses those involved of engag-
 ing in a conspiracy to steal trade secrets from Micron Technology, Inc. — a semiconductor company
 based in Boise, Idaho.72

 Micron is the only producer of dynamic random access memory technology in the United States — a
 leading-edge memory storage device used in a wide range of computer electronics — and the company
 controls between 20 to 25 per cent of the DRAM industry.73

 Until recently, China did not possess any DRAM technology, but in 2016, Fujian Jinhua and UMC signed
 a technology cooperation agreement under which UMC would produce DRAM technology for the
 Chinese firm. The DoJ alleges that two former Micron employees stole DRAM related intellectual
 property from the company prior to being hired by UMC.74

 One defendant is accused of having downloaded more than 900 Micron confidential and proprietary
 files while working at Micron and storing them on USB external hard drives or personal cloud storage,
 which allowed him to access the information while working at UMC.75

 Following the indictment and subsequent US government sanctions, Fujian Jinhua ceased operations
 in March of 2020.

                                                                                          UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
TECH WARS: WHY STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGY IS THE LATEST
                                        TECH WARS:FRONTIER
                                                   US-CHINAINTECHNOLOGY
                                                              US-CHINA COMPETITION AND
                                                                         COMPETITION   WHAT
                                                                                     AND    THIS
                                                                                         WHAT  IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                         15
AUSTRALIA AND THE EVOLVING US-CHINA
     STRUGGLE FOR TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANTAGE

                    Washington’s initial policy changes constitute           these bills are in draft form at present and may
                    a significant shift in the structural nature of the      not pass, senators and members continue to
                    US-China technological relationship, which will          introduce legislation — with more than 200 bills
                    have consequences beyond one-off and highly              reportedly in Congress relating in some way to
                    public cases like Huawei or ZTE. The ongoing             US-China economic decoupling — indicating the
                    crackdown on Chinese technology theft along              future direction the US legislature is likely to take
                    with the raising of regulatory barriers will accel-      in regulating America’s technological relationship
                    erate the establishment of increasingly distinct         with China.78
                    technological domains.
                                                                             As opposed to export controls, these meas-
                    Australia is particularly exposed to this trans-         ures would be intended to stop US government
                    formation. Australian research universities —            funding going to institutions also conducting
                    often collaborating with both US and Chinese             joint-research with certain Chinese government
                    government agencies, state-owned enterprises             organisations. For instance, the China Technol-
                    and defence companies — could face significant           ogy Transfer Control Act of 2019, which was
                    disruption and limitation in who they partner            introduced in the House and Senate last year,
                    with, how they structure their laboratories and          would expand the powers of the State and
                    the way they source funding. In terms of national        Commerce Departments to restrict the flow of
                    security, Australia will face growing pressure from      funds to foreign entities collaborating on projects
                    the United States to go further in protecting IP,        that aligned with Beijing’s Made in China 2025
                    particularly if Canberra continues to seek greater       industry policy. In fact, the bill goes further to
                    access to and collaboration with America’s               also encompass agricultural machinery, loco-
                    defence industrial base. Lastly, the largely open        motives, advanced construction equipment and
                    and laissez-faire way Australia has structured and       civil aircraft. The US House version of the bill was
                    invested in its science, technology and innovation       introduced with both Democratic and Republi-
                    ecosystem over the past decades will no longer           can signatories, but the US Senate version has
                    suffice in a more competitive world.                     only been backed by three Republican senators:
                                                                             Senators Josh Hawley, Rick Scott and Marco
                                                                             Rubio.
                    Draft legislation an indication
                    of things to come                                        If passed, the bill would have significant implica-
                                                                             tions for Australian entities — primarily universi-
                    A number of bills have been introduced in
                                                                             ties — who have projects funded by US govern-
                    Congress that would, if passed in their present
                                                                             ment-linked grants and are simultaneously
                    form, give substantial new powers to the US
                                                                             collaborating with Chinese state-owned enter-
                    Commerce Department to directly regulate the
                                                                             prises. For example, Monash University, which
                    collaborations between US government funding
                                                                             signed a $10 million research agreement with
                    agencies and third parties involved in research
                                                                             China’ state-owned aerospace company, the
                    on critical technologies with Chinese partners.76
                                                                             Commercial Air Corporation of China (COMAC),
                    With China recently overtaking the United States
                                                                             in October 2019 would likely come under scru-
                    as Australia’s “leading international collaborator”
                                                                             tiny. The Monash-COMAC partnership report-
                    of co-authored articles in peer-reviewed scien-
                                                                             edly focuses on joint R&D into the targeted fields
                    tific journals, such legislation will present signifi-
                                                                             of robotics, advanced manufacturing, artificial
                    cant consequences and dilemmas for Canberra
                                                                             intelligence and big data, all areas of priority
                    and for Australia’s scientific ecosystem.77 While
                                                                             under Made in China 2025 and identified in the

      UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
16    TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
draft US legislation.79 Existing funding Monash       tions, but Australia and the United Kingdom
receives from the US government would come            were not. This irregular application of exemp-
into question. In 2018 Monash reported that its       tion rules to some members of the NTIB and
academics contributed to 1,533 co-publications        not others further undermines the framework,
with US-based researchers and had $7.7 million        creates growing opportunity costs for Australia
in funding from the US National Institutes of         and works against US interests to leverage
Health and the US Defense Department.80               allied defence industries to bolster its own mili-
                                                      tary-technological edge.87
As these bills have languished since being intro-
duced to the House and Senate in mid-2019,            For Australia, the expanded export control
it is unlikely they will progress in their current    reform now being implemented by the US
form. However, they are indications of the legis-     Commerce Department could have a serious
lative direction Congress will take in protect-       impact on universities, defence industry, busi-
ing the NSIB.81 Republican senators have also         ness and government. The NTIB could be a vehi-
introduced bills targeting improved screen-           cle for Australia to seek
ing of visa applications for researchers linked       exemptions from these
to PLA-linked research institutes and universi-       new regulations. Ameri-
                                                                                      FOR AUSTRALIA, THE
                                                                                      EXPANDED EXPORT
ties and have called specifically on Australia to     ca’s shift from ‘specifica-     CONTROL REFORM NOW
introduce similar legislation.82 Other introduced     tion’ based export control      BEING IMPLEMENTED
bills increase the scope of the Department of         standards (and currently        BY THE US COMMERCE
Commerce’s Export Control List to include all         the way Australia writes        DEPARTMENT COULD
10 of the ‘core technologies’ identified in China’s   its own defence export          HAVE SERIOUS IMPACT ON
Made in China 2025 plan.83 Republican senators        controls) to a system based
                                                                                      UNIVERSITIES, DEFENCE
                                                                                      INDUSTRY, BUSINESS
have also proposed sanctions on foreign entities      instead on the end-use of       AND GOVERNMENT. THE
and individuals that commit cyber-espionage.84        the technology, may begin       NTIB COULD BE A VEHICLE
                                                      to capture partnerships         FOR AUSTRALIA TO SEEK
                                                      and research that currently     EXEMPTIONS FROM THESE
Novel export controls, Australia                                                      NEW REGULATIONS.
                                                      does not touch the export
and the National Technology                           control system. For exam-
and Industrial Base                                   ple, specification export controls are based on
For Australia, the issue of rising barriers around    a technical signifier or characteristic of a certain
America’s advanced technology industry and            technology. A computer chip larger than a certain
research institutes could be solved with a func-      size can be exported, but not if it is smaller and
tional National Technology and Industrial Base        made of more durable material.88 However, the
(NTIB).85 The NTIB is a legal framework that was      looming regulations in the United States move
expanded to include Australia and the United          towards targeting general end-use or application
Kingdom in addition to Canada in 2017. It is an       of the technology such as the recently released
ambitious legislative agenda in the United States     rules on geospatial software that aims to control
which aims to create a “defence free-trade area”      any software “specifically designed” for training
between America and its closest allies.86 It is       neural networks to analyse satellite images for
notable that in the rules issued so far, Canada       specific purposes.89
— the longest-running member of the NTIB and          Further, many of the technologies targeted under
America’s most integrated defence industry            these reforms — like artificial intelligence, big data
partner — was exempt from the export restric-         and some biotechnologies — are still in the early

                                                                                              UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                              TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                             17
stages of discovery. As basic or fundamental              China is known to systemically exploit open-
                   research — meaning they are not developed for             source publications to reverse engineer products
                   specific technological applications — they would          and circumvent the cost and risk of indigenous
                   usually not fall under export controls. Maintaining       research. This adds to growing concern as to the
                   the openness of the US basic research system              effectiveness of the current export control and
                   and not regulating the majority of fundamental            classification system.91
                   scientific exploration has been a long-standing
                                                                             These broad changes in export policy will add to
                   policy of the US government.90 But many of these
                                                                             the regulatory burden for businesses, research
                   emerging technologies, like the inherently soft-
                                                                             institutes, start-ups and other organisations in
                   ware-based development of machine-learning
                                                                             Australia wishing to import emerging technolo-
                   algorithms, can blur the easy distinction between
                                                                             gies or collaborate on research with entities in the
                   what is fundamental scientific research and what
                                                                             United States. With only one rule officially issued
                   can be immediately applied to real-world capa-
                                                                             by the Department of Commerce on satellite
                   bilities. The majority of computer-vision software
                                                                             imagery analysis software so far, it is difficult
                   research, for instance, may still be considered
                                                                             to judge the full impact of these changes for
                   exploratory.
                                                                             Australia.92 However, it is likely that companies,
                   But the gap between the laboratory and applying           defence contractors and researchers integrating
                   it to real-world scenarios, potentially for security      emerging technology into Australian defence
                   or military capabilities, is increasingly narrow          systems, experimenting with products or capa-
                   in some fields. Basic research revolves around            bilities in the Australian environment and market,
                   the publication of discoveries in open and glob-          or looking to collaborate on research projects,
                   ally accessible scientific and technical journals,        will need to eventually apply for approval with

                   US Attorney General William Barr delivers a keynote address at the China Initiative Conference,
                   Center for Strategic and International Studies (Photo: CSIS)

     UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
18   TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
the US Department of Commerce. Entities used           revenue grew as an export market for Australia,
to following an export regime that was relatively      successive governments have tapered spend-
clear in what was and was not allowed will have        ing on domestic innovation. For instance, total
to engage with a much wider and somewhat               Australian research spending as a share of GDP
more ambiguous system. With no exemption               fell to 1.79 per cent in 2017-2018, down from a
carved out for Australia, like there has been for      historical high of 2.25 per cent in 2008-2009.93
Canada with satellite imagery analysis software,       This is far below the OECD average of 2.37 per
broad categories of technology including data          cent. Similar results can be found in Australian
science, robotics, and biomedical science will be      business investment in R&D.94 While Australia
more difficult to access in Australia. The regula-     has pioneered several technologies that have
tion may be particularly complex for the numer-        had global impact, uninterrupted underinvest-
ous start-ups, research labs and defence compa-        ment in R&D spending — the basis of technolog-
nies working on emerging technologies that have        ical capability — has cemented the country as a
offices and personnel located in both Australia        relative “taker” of new technology rather than an
and the United States.                                 exporter.95

                                                       This decrease in national R&D funding has
Building Australia’s                                   occurred even as the global technology land-
technological ‘weight’                                 scape has become more competitive and volatile
                                                       for Australia. For instance, even the United States
As the global technological ecosystem becomes          as the source of much of Australia’s defence and
increasingly nationalised, securitised and difficult   national security IP and capability has found
to navigate, even with close economic and secu-        its traditional technological dominance chal-
rity allies like the United States, Australia should   lenged as its global share of R&D spending fell
work to build its own technological ‘counter-          from 40 per cent in 2000 to 27.9 in 2015.96 More
weight.’ This should be done through both estab-       importantly, the centre of global innovation and
lishing new non-US and non-Chinese R&D and             research spending has shifted to Australia’s region
scientific partnerships throughout the region and      while Canberra’s policy has remained static. In
with other Five Eye partners, as well as rethink-      2015 R&D investment in East and Southeast Asia
ing how domestic technological innovation              accounted for 40.3 per cent of the worldwide
and research is financed. A more self-sufficient       total, while North America’s total was 27.9 per
and dynamic R&D base will allow Australia to           cent and Europe’s 21.6 per cent.97
better weather the growing fragmentation of the
technological world, make Australian partners          While there are lessons from several countries
more attractive for both US tech companies and         Australia could build upon, such as Israel or
research while simultaneously providing more           Germany, South Korea stands out as a nation that
ballast for Canberra’s lobbying of Washington          has applied industrial policy to its R&D capacity
for export control exemptions.                         with notable success. Back in 1999, South Korea
                                                       published a national scientific and R&D strategy
Generally, for the past several decades, succes-       with a vision to build the country into a techno-
sive Australian governments have taken advan-          logical powerhouse by the year 2025.98 Updated
tage of the efficiencies globalisation has provided    every five years, Vision 2025: Korea’s Long-term
in terms of R&D. As R&D became more globalised         Plan for Science and Technology Development,
over the past thirty years, and foreign student

                                                                                               UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE
                                               TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
                                                                                                                              19
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