TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA - BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020 - AWS
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TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA BRENDAN THOMAS-NOONE | JUNE 2020
The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney is a university-based research centre, dedicated to the rigorous analysis of American foreign policy, economics, politics and culture. The Centre is a national resource, that builds Australia’s awareness of the dynamics shaping America — and critically — their implications for Australia. The Foreign Policy and Defence Program is committed to providing policy-oriented research and analysis on American strategic policy and the United States-Australia alliance, with a focus on developments in the Indo-Pacific. Drawing on the expertise and networks of its researchers, the Program delivers insights and recommendations to a range of stakeholders through policy reports, dialogues, simulations, and outreach. It aims to deepen Australians’ understanding of American policy, analyse the alliance in an evolving strategic order, and shape Australian, allied, and partner responses to shared regional challenges. The Foreign Policy and Defence Program receives funding from the following partners: UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE Institute Building (H03), City Rd The University of Sydney NSW 2006 Australia +61 2 9351 7249 us-studies@sydney.edu.au USSC.EDU.AU Research conclusions are derived independently and authors represent their own view, not those of the United States Studies Centre. Reports published by the United States Studies Centre are anonymously peer-reviewed by both internal and external experts.
TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive summary 02 Introduction 03 The transformation of US-China relations 06 Continuous competition in innovation: The US policy response 07 Australia and the evolving US-China struggle for technological advantage 16 Endnotes 21 About the author 27 This report may be cited as: Brendan Thomas-Noone, “Tech wars: US-China technology competition and what it means for Australia,” United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney, June 2020. Cover photo: A “Mistral” supercomputer (Getty)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Technology is now the defining element of the Trump administration’s self-professed “strategic competition” with China: › Washington is highly attuned to the long-term consequences and links between scientific progress, technological adaptation and national power in burgeoning US-China competition. › Policymakers are attempting to balance efforts to maintain the open and global foundations of US and allied research and development systems, while deterring those that abuse its accessible and integrated nature. › While President Donald Trump has been highly inconsistent on technological issues, Congress and the executive branch have slowly moved forward in executing the 2017 National Security Strategy and protecting what it termed the US National Security Innovation Base. Congress and the Trump administration have embarked on a ponderous — and at times heavy- handed — effort to protect America’s technological advantage across multiple domains and through actions by several branches of government: › Congress has expanded the powers of the Committee of Foreign Investment to review non-controlling investments in technology companies. › New export controls are being rolled out which feature vastly more expansive definitions of “foundational” and “emerging” technologies, broadening their scope and potential reach. › The Department of Justice has launched a major criminal justice campaign labelled the “China Initiative”, with the goal of prosecuting technology theft and enforcing existing regulations in every US state. › Draft bills indicate the likely expansion of Congressional reform to halting the flow of US government funds flowing to overseas partners also involved in joint high-tech research and development (R&D) with China, affecting third parties like Australia. Australia will be significantly affected by Washington’s unravelling of the US-China technological relationship, owing to its deep enmeshment with America’s scientific infrastructure. To navigate these changes in the national interest, Canberra must consider the following: › Australia will face growing pressure to limit its science and technology interaction with China in critical dual-use fields in order to maintain technological collaboration with the United States in some emerging technologies, and may even be required to adopt restrictive export control policies. › Australian research by universities, defence industry, business and government agencies will be seriously impacted by the United States’ expanded export control reform. Canberra should continue to lobby US policymakers on solutions, such as providing exemptions under the National Technology and Industrial Base framework. › As the global technological ecosystem becomes more nationalised, securitised and difficult to navigate for industry and governments alike, Australia should implement a national research and development strategy that builds its own technological ‘counterweight.’ UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 2 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
INTRODUCTION Technology is the defining element of the United providing oversight of foreign direct investment States’ growing strategic competition with China in critical industries. Immigration controls have which Donald Trump first announced in 2017. The made it more difficult for foreign students study- slow disentangling of technological integration ing STEM subjects.4 Finally, a concerted criminal between the United States and China that this justice campaign has begun to better enforce competition entails will have significant conse- laws governing the disclosure of foreign ties in the quences for allies like Australia, who are closely science and technology industry. These elements coupled with the United States’ scientific and make up the initial stages of what Federal Bureau technological infrastructure. While many have of Investigation (FBI) Director Christopher Wray focused on the manufacturing and supply chain has labelled a “whole-of-society response” to aspects of this competition, the US Government protect the United States’ economic competi- has also set about expanding its definition of what tiveness and technological edge.5 constitutes the industries, individuals and knowl- edge of its national security innovation base. This While the eventual extent of these policies is not enlarged understanding, and the beginnings of a yet known, it is clear the way Australia’s science whole-of-government approach through various and technology ecosystem currently operates reforms and initiatives, will transform the terms will be increasingly under strain in a “world of of globalisation, international supply chains and technologically driven compe- even the US-Australia alliance.1 The likely result tition.”6 America’s policies are will be a further step in the transformation of the THE WAY AUSTRALIA’S aimed at its strategic rival. But SCIENCE AND alliance from a purely geopolitical arrangement they will nonetheless have TECHNOLOGY to a geoeconomic one as well.2 long-term global implications ECOSYSTEM CURRENTLY for close allies like Australia. OPERATES WILL BE Washington and, to a lesser extent, Canberra INCREASINGLY UNDER are attempting to tackle the same problem: Allies will face growing pres- STRAIN IN A “WORLD how to maintain the open and global founda- sure to limit their science and OF TECHNOLOGICALLY tions of the research and development and technological interaction with DRIVEN COMPETITION.” innovation systems that have ensured techno- China in critical dual-use fields logical competitiveness in the past, while at the and may be required to adopt restrictive export same time deterring Chinese efforts that seek to control policies in order to continue technologi- abuse their accessible and integrated nature. The cal collaboration with the United States in some United States has responded to this problem by emerging technologies. Australians on the fore- gradually implementing an updated regulatory front of strategic technology include compa- framework for its technological industrial base. nies, universities, scientists and entrepreneurs. Washington now considers actors like universi- In interacting with the United States they will be ties, academics and technology entrepreneurs confronted with new rules, regulations and barri- who contribute to the development of science ers erected around funding sources, international and technology essential to its national security. collaborations and further legal oversight. While New rules, regulations and policies have been competition-driven challenges to supply chains, crafted to guard against intellectual property (IP) intellectual property protection, foreign invest- theft and the exportation of critical technologies. ment and export controls will be spread widely in Some Chinese critical technology companies, the US economy; the impact will be more acute like Huawei, have been specifically targeted by for countries that are relative “takers” of technol- being placed on restrictive oversight lists.3 New ogy, such as Australia. powers have been given to bodies charged with UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 3
Australian universities are on the frontline of The Australian Government will need to incor- this shift. As the producer, partner and location porate the acceleration of these trends into its of much of Australia’s scientific, technological assessments and planning, consider the conse- and commercial intellectual property, research quences for Australia’s technology base and what universities are the most exposed to systemic avenues it can pursue to ameliorate them. The changes in the US-China economic and tech- government should continue to work on current nological relationship. This is due to both the frameworks that allow for exemptions for close nature of the security and economic relationship technological partners like Australia, such as the between Washington and Canberra as well as National Technology and Industrial Base (NTIB). Australia’s reliance on international students and Finally, Australia’s current approach to funding global research collaborations to cross-subsidise R&D will no longer be sufficient in a technolog- domestic R&D activity, a weakness which the fall- ical world that is more nationalised, securitised out of COVID-19 has exposed.7 The longer-term and competitive. Canberra must work to build its impact for Australia’s greater technology base own technological ‘counterweight’ as a bulwark will be new American rules redefining US export against global fragmentation allowing it to engage controls around technological “end use” from the with strategic competition on its own terms. ones currently based on specification.8 US President Donald Trump speaks on his national security strategy in Washington, DC, December 2017 (Getty) UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 4 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
QUICK REFERENCE GUIDE NATIONAL SECURITY INNOVATION BASE (NSIB) Agency: The White House Defined in the 2017 National Security Strategy, the NSIB expands the understanding of the US defence industrial base from large defence companies to include a wider network of stakeholders, including academia, National Laboratories, and the private sector. COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN THE UNITED STATES (CFIUS) Agency: US Department of the Treasury CFIUS is an interagency committee that reviews select foreign investment transactions in the United States. FOREIGN INVESTMENT RISK REVIEW MODERNIZATION ACT (FIRRMA) Agency: US Congress FIRRMA expanded CFIUS’s powers to review non-controlling foreign investments in technologies, companies and real estate that may have national security implications. EXPORT CONTROL REFORM ACT (ECRA) Agency: US Congress Passed as part of the 2019 National Defense Authorization Act, the ECRA expanded US export controls to cover “foundational” and “emerging technologies.” THE CHINA INITIATIVE Agency: US Department of Justice The China Initiative is the name for a Department of Justice program focused on increasing investigations and prosecutions of intellectual property theft and espionage. IMMIGRATION MEASURES Agencies: US Immigration and Citizenship Service (USICS) US Department of State USICS has introduced harsher consequences for foreign students overstaying their visas. Greater discretionary power has been granted to adjudicators processing foreign student visas, allowing them to deny applications or petitions without first notifying the applicant if necessary evidence is missing. The State Department has begun actively restricting the visa applications of Chinese graduate students studying “aviation, robotics and advanced manufacturing” in the United States. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 5
THE TRANSFORMATION OF US-CHINA RELATIONS The change in the United States’ China policy Chinese Communist Party, the militarisation of under President Trump has deep roots. As the South China Sea and the internment of the suggested in the administration’s 2017 National ethnic Uyghur minority in Xinjiang — has resulted Security Strategy (NSS), there is a broad — and in a broad bipartisan shift on China within the largely bipartisan — perception that China’s United States.13 Human rights, trade imbalances growing economic, military and technological and China’s growing military power have united power has to a degree been built on years of a diverse array of interests in the United States, intellectual property theft through cyber oper- including in Congress and the private sector, ations, exploitation of open scientific and tech- which has supported the administration’s shift to nological collaboration with the West, and unfair “great power competition” as laid out in the NSS trading practices with the United States and its and the 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS).14 allies.9 Numerous cyber operations targeting At their heart is the growing recognition within US companies, universi- Washington of the long-term consequences and THE 2017 NATIONAL ties and government agen- links between scientific progress, technological SECURITY STRATEGY, cies, attributed to Chinese AND SPEECHES adaptation and national power in its competi- national security agencies AND COMMENTS tion with Beijing.15 In other words, both Republi- and state-sponsored actors CONSISTENTLY MADE BY have been well documented, cans and Democrats increasingly place technol- SENIOR ADMINISTRATION ogy and its potential application at the centre of with the 2014 indictment of FIGURES SINCE, FRAME US-China competition.16 For instance, the Trump THE SOURCE OF five Chinese military officers Administration 2017 NSS, and speeches and NATIONAL POWER AND for cyber espionage. This ECONOMIC PROSPERITY comments consistently made by senior adminis- was the first time criminal AS BASED UPON tration figures since, frame the source of national charges were filed against MAINTAINING AMERICA’S known state actors and is a power and economic prosperity as based upon TECHNOLOGICAL maintaining America’s technological superiority.17 notable example.10 An agree- SUPERIORITY. While the strategies state the need for further ment between President Xi investment in R&D in emerging technologies as Jinping to President Barack a main element of this competition, no major Obama to halt economic cyber espionage in government initiatives have materialised since 2015 lasted only a short time, with cyber-attacks the previous administration’s 2014 Third Offset attributed to actors based in China growing in Strategy, which sought to leverage Department 2016 (Australia forged a similar agreement with of Defense (DoD) investments to offset the dete- China in 2017).11 Further, in contrast to Austral- riorating US military position in the Indo-Pa- ia’s sparse history of prosecutions for IP theft cific.18 Bipartisan draft legislation, The Endless and defence export control infringements, the Frontiers Act, has been introduced which could US Justice Department has documented a long invest up to $100 billion in the National Science history of economic espionage and targeted Foundation to “maintain US global leadership attempts to skirt defence export controls by indi- in innovation.”19 But until then, a more ponder- viduals and companies linked to the People’s ous and at times heavy-handed effort advanced Liberation Army (PLA) and the Chinese govern- by Congress and the Trump Administration has ment and has brought multiple cases to court.12 advanced across multiple departments and This history — along with targeted high-tech domains aimed at protecting the United States’ industrial policies such as ‘Made in China technological advantage. 2025’, the growing authoritarian nature of the UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 6 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
CONTINUOUS COMPETITION IN INNOVATION: THE US POLICY RESPONSE Since 2017, Congress and the Trump Administra- connected and financed universities, colleges tion have proceeded with a number of reforms and start-ups the NSS argues that protecting first hinted at in the NSS, including expanding the the NSIB will need to be both international and idea of what needs to be fostered and protected domestic.21 This, in part, laid the foundation concerning innovation networks and technology, for the US Government’s expansion of export foreign investment review, export controls and controls to entire fields of technology, Committee immigration. This collection of policy changes on Foreign Investment reform, renewed investi- and enforcement represents a halting, but gation and prosecution of IP theft and disclosure increasingly wholesale, effort to shield the United laws, as well as coordination with allies. States’ technology base from IP theft, industrial Committee on Foreign Investment in the intelligence collection and other threats: United States (CFIUS) reform: The first major National Security Innovation Base: As defined reform the NSS proposed to protect the NSIB by the NSS, the National Security Innovation Base was CFIUS reform. The equivalent to Austral- (NSIB) comprises all the inputs and actors critical ia’s Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB), to maintaining the United States’ technological CFIUS is an interagency committee that reviews qualitative edge and global competitiveness. This select foreign investment transactions in the definition laid the framework for the more all-en- United States. In early 2018, Congress passed compassing approach the Trump Administra- the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modern- tion has pursued in protecting the United States’ ization Act (FIRRMA), expanding the powers technological edge. Notably, the NSIB expanded of the Committee and the President to review the understanding of the US defence industrial non-controlling foreign investments in tech- base from large defence companies and more nologies, companies and real estate that may traditional industrial inputs to the “network of have national security implications. Principally, knowledge, capabilities, and people — including CFIUS’s expanded jurisdiction and review powers academia, National Laboratories, and the private focus on the technology sector, with filings now sector — that turns ideas into innovations, trans- required from foreign investors in “critical tech- forms discoveries into successful commercial nologies, critical infrastructure” and businesses products and companies, and protects and that may have access to “sensitive personal enhances the American way of life.”20 The NSIB data.”22 While investors from Australia, Canada effectively redefined universities — including and the United Kingdom are exempt from filing those that may be conducting basic research — with CFIUS in non-controlling transactions, they small start-ups and the individuals which make are still required if investing for a controlling stake up those organisations as part of the national in sensitive companies or real estate. security enterprise. Transactions will only be subject to CFIUS review The NSS argues that maintaining a technological if they meet the definition of a “covered invest- lead — critical to both US national security and ment.” To meet this requirement, the transaction economic advantage — requires a whole-of-gov- must afford a foreign person: ernment effort which is beyond the scope of › access to non-public technical information; any “individual company, industry, university or government agency.” Recognising many tech- › membership or observer rights on, or nologies which are beginning to form the basis the right to nominate an individual to of next-generation military systems and capabil- a position on the board of directors ities increasingly originate in inherently globally or equivalent governing body; or UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 7
› any involvement, other than through the purchase of hotel management software voting of shares, in substantive company StayNTouch after the group was decision making regarding sensitive acquired by China-based Beijing Shiji Information personal data of US citizens, critical Technology Co. in 2018.25 In other cases, CFIUS technologies, or critical infrastructure.23 has approved certain deals only after national Sensitive personal data has a broad scope, security issues were resolved. Officials report- encompassing such things as health-related edly recommended the Trump Administration data and financial data, and a business qualifies block German company Infineon Technologies for CFIUS review if it relates to US Government AG’s proposed acquisition of Cypress Semicon- personnel or maintains data on more than one ductor Corp. due to the companies large amount million individuals.24 The new FIRRMA rules also of revenue from Chinese sources.26 However, require mandatory CFIUS filings for transactions the decision was approved by CFIUS after the in which a foreign government would acquire German chipmaker entered a national security a “substantial interest” — or a voting interest of agreement with the US government.27 The case 25 per cent or more — in a relevant business. is an example of both the expanding range of FIRRMA also expanded CFIUS control over real factors CFIUS is considering when reviewing estate transactions when the property is located foreign investment, as well as the pressure it can within or in close proximity to military installa- bring to bear on companies seeking transac- tions or other government property related to tions in the United States. In addition, a number national security. of Chinese companies have withdrawn or sold their investments in the United States following As of April 2019, the Trump Administration has CFIUS recommendations, even before an official blocked three deals as a result of CFIUS recom- decision is announced from the Trump Admin- mendations. The administration reversed istration.28 IBM Q System One quantum computer (Getty) UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 8 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
The expansion of US export controls: The The second category of foundational technolo- second set of major policy reforms since the gies — potentially a broad list as it is understood NSS has been the passage of the Export Control as “existing technology already integrated into Reform Act (ECRA) of 2018.29 This set of policy commercial products’” — is still being formulated changes to US Government export controls will but could include basic research and impact filing likely have the biggest direct impact on Australia. for patents and transferring technology between Passed as part of the 2019 National Defense universities and industry.33 For instance, founda- Authorization Act, the ECRA modified the existing tional technology could range from semiconduc- US Export Administration Regulations to cover tors that form some of the basic components of “foundational” and “emerging technologies” as electronic circuits to the tech behind CRISPR, part of US export controls. These changes are a novel and powerful tool that can be used to significant in that they largely reframe and expand edit genomes. Reports indicate that ongoing US export controls from managing specific prod- debates within the Commerce Department ucts to entire technological fields, an idea first revolve around whether to define technologies flagged in an influential 2018 Defense Innovation by their specifications, as most export controls Unit report.30 These specially designated techno- are currently structured, or their applications, a logical dual-use fields include robotics, 3D print- much broader understanding and classification.34 ing, quantum computing, advanced materials, While the Bureau of Industry and Security within surveillance technologies, synthetic biology and the US Commerce Department is still working on machine learning among others.31 what exactly will be included in these new cate- While the US Commerce Department is still gories, the export controls will be extraterritorial formulating most of the rules laying out how in the same way as existing US export controls these new controls will work in practice, it could operate. This means technologies in these cate- mean that research and collaboration with, and gories are subject to US law, whether it is used within, any US-based organisation in many of by a US-based company or by “any company these emerging dual-use fields may now fall anywhere that is re-exporting American goods under US export controls. The level of control or technology; incorporating technology previ- and regulation on specific technological fields ously exported from the United States; and by may vary and can range from applying for a persons subject to the jurisdiction of the United license for any instance of export or retransfer States.”35 As an example, geospatial imagery soft- of controlled knowledge to requiring a complete ware, one of the first technologies to be classified separation of workforces if persons are from under the new rules, now requires companies an “embargoed” country, which includes China. who wish to export it to apply for a license with In effect, the way many defence companies the Commerce Department.36 have structured themselves and operated for Reportedly, the Bureau of Industry and Security decades — under the auspices of strict and vari- is still undertaking consultations with industry ous export control regulations — could potentially and is likely to release rules on other technol- be extended to other areas of the economy. In ogies in the coming months. In the meantime, anticipation of the roll-out of the new regula- the bureau is moving ahead in other areas. In tions, some US-based technology companies April 2020, the bureau amended existing export have begun to draw up plans that would separate control regulations, removing exemptions that their workforces based on nationality.32 UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 9
existed around some dual-use technologies like and espionage under what it terms the ‘China semiconductor equipment but also expanded Initiative,’ originally announced by then-Attor- the list of actors that would require licenses to ney General Jeff Sessions in 2018. Since the export to, such as civilian companies that can announcement of the Made in China 2025 indus- be linked to supporting military applications, trial policy, Attorney General William Barr noted in China, Russia and Venezuela.37 Critically, the department has brought trade-secret theft the changes also require US companies to “file cases “in eight of the 10 technologies that China declarations for all exports to China, Russia is aspiring to dominate.”39 As of February 2020, and Venezuela regardless of value,” giving the the FBI has “about a thousand” ongoing investi- administration substantial data into what exactly gations into the attempted theft of United States is being exported to strategic competitors.38 The intellectual property and technology; so far it rules state supporting the objectives of the NSS has also made 19 arrests. DoJ officials expect as the reason for their rollout. that number to increase over the course of the financial year.40 Compared to the 15 individuals The Department of Justice’s China Initia- arrested for intellectual property-related cases tive: Over the past three years the Department over the previous six years, the rise in prosecu- of Justice (DoJ) has stepped-up investigations tions reflects a concerted and focused criminal and prosecutions of intellectual property theft justice response to the rising threat of intellectual A TIMELINE OF THE US DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE’S CHINA INITIATIVE April 2019 — May 202041 23 APRIL 2019, NEW YORK 11 JULY 2019, ILLINOIS 21 AUGUST 2019, KANSAS Economic espionage Theft of trade secrets Wire fraud; program fraud Former engineer charged with Chicago software engineer at Kansas University associate stealing General Electric trade a locomotive manufacturer professor indicted for lying about secrets relating to its turbine charged with allegedly stealing his employment for China’s Fuzhou technology with intention of proprietary information University while receiving research passing information to China. and taking it to China. funding from the US government. 9 MAY 2019, INDIANA 23 JULY 2019, NEW JERSEY Conspiracy to commit fraud; conspiracy Violating the International Emergency Economic to commit wire fraud; intentional Powers Act (IEEPA); conspiracy to violate IEEPA damage to a protected computer and defraud the United States; conspiracy to launder monetary instruments; among other indictments Chinese national allegedly part of hacking group that targeted large Chinese company charged for obscuring illicit financial businesses in the United States. dealings on behalf of sanctioned North Korean entities. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 10 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
property theft presented by China.42 The goal, as projects, is an example of the department’s stated by DoJ officials in early 2020, is to have more aggressive stance on academic disclo- each of the country’s 94 US federal district attor- sure. Another recent fraud case in West Virginia neys to bring cases as part of the overarching involves a professor claiming time off to care initiative.43 for a newborn, when in fact he used the time to take part in China’s Thousand Talents program.45 New investigations seek to more strongly enforce The department has also brought cases against existing regulations and target actors not previ- Chinese-born faculty members at the Univer- ously of interest to the Department of Justice, sity of Kansas, University of Texas MD Anderson particularly in the higher education sector. For Cancer Center, and Emory University, in each instance, existing policies requiring research- case for failing to disclose foreign ties.46 Cases ers to declare all potential conflicts of interest involving universities, national laboratories and or foreign government affiliations are being even hospitals, reflects the department’s focus more stringently enforced.44 The recent high on prosecuting IP theft in every sector of the profile arrest of the head of Harvard’s Depart- NSIB.47 ment of Chemistry, Charles Lieber, for failing to disclose his links to Chinese research institutions The Pentagon and the defence industrial base: while also working on US government-funded The 2020 National Defense Authorization Act 16 SEPTEMBER 2019, OHIO 30 SEPTEMBER 2019, CALIFORNIA 1 NOVEMBER 2019, FLORIDA Theft of trade secrets Acting as an illegal agent Conspiring to violate of a foreign government firearms law Ohio researchers allegedly stole exosome- US citizen allegedly shared Four individuals charged related trade secrets classified information with on a conspiracy to smuggle while establishing a Chinese officials via dead military-style inflatable business in China. drops in the United States. boats to the PRC. 16 SEPTEMBER 2019, NEW YORK 14 NOVEMBER 2019, CALIFORNIA Conspiracy to commit visa fraud Conspiracy to violate the FCPA internal controls provisions; perjury; destruction Individual allegedly sought to of records in federal investigations illegally obtain US research visas for PRC government Two Chinese citizens allegedly offered bribes to employees seeking to recruit Chinese government officials to promote and US experts to China. expand their company’s business in China. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 11
(NDAA) includes provisions designed to protect base and manufacturing in the United States, the national security academic researchers from Department of Defense began to make strategic foreign interference, including measures aimed investments in critical national security compo- at streamlining gathering information on individ- nents.50 For instance, in recent years the Defense uals involved in defence research and develop- Microelectronics Activity has awarded contracts ment activities.48 The FY2020 NDAA introduces to semiconductor manufacturers IBM Global a new interagency group tasked with identifying Business Services and SkyWater Technology in potential cyberattack threats and vulnerabilities an attempt to make up for production shortages in relation to research. The group will also offer in certain commercially unviable chips.51 Through policy guidance and recommendations on how March 2019, seven Presidential Shortfall Deter- best to secure research information from attacks, minations were issued, identifying production and how United States science and technology shortfalls in lithium sea-water batteries, alane fuel researchers may better be able to assist in federal cell technology, sonobuoys production, and crit- missions.49 ical chemicals production for missiles and muni- tions, materials and technologies, all critical for The Pentagon has also been concerned about military operations.52 The determinations granted weaknesses in the US defence industrial base the DoD through the DPA Title III the authority to itself. Following a 2018 White House-directed expand the domestic industrial base capabilities study into the status of the defence industrial in these critical areas. 21 NOVEMBER 2019, MISSOURI 28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS Conspiracy to commit economic espionage; Making a materially false, fictitious economic espionage; conspiracy to commit and fraudulent statement theft of trade secrets; theft of trade secrets Harvard University professor Dr Monsanto employee allegedly recruited to Charles Lieber charged with making the Thousand Talents Plan and sought to false statements regarding the take proprietary farming software to China. Thousand Talents Plan and his work for Wuhan University of Technology. 28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS 28 JANUARY 2020, MASSACHUSETTS Smuggling goods from the Visa fraud; making false statements; United States; false statements acting as an agent of a foreign government; conspiracy Cancer researcher allegedly stole 21 vials of biological J-1 visa holder allegedly falsely identified research and attempted to as a student while lying about military smuggle them out of the service at the National University United States to China. of Defense Technology in China. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 12 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
Department of Justice’s China Imitative: The Arrest of Harvard Professor Dr Charles Lieber On 28 January 2020, the Department of Justice charged Dr Charles Lieber, Chair of the Department of Chemistry and Chemical Biology at Harvard University, on two counts of making false statements in relation to his involvement in the People’s Republic of China’s Thousand Talents Program.53 A world-renowned chemist, Lieber has been working at Harvard since 1991 and is the Principal Inves- tigator of the university’s Lieber Research Group.54 The group specialises in nanoscience technology and has received more than $15,000,000 in grant funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and Department of Defense since 2008.55 The Department of Justice alleges that Lieber had performed work as a “strategic scientist” for Wuhan University of Technology (WUT) as early as 2011. According to the details of a three-year contract intercepted by the FBI, Lieber was allegedly paid US$50,000 per month and was required to work for WUT for no less than nine months a year. Lieber was also awarded more than $1.5 million to establish a research lab at WUT.56 In order to secure NIH funding, non-NIH groups are required to disclose all foreign collaboration and foreign sources of research support, as well as potential financial conflicts of interest provided by foreign universities or governments. The Department of Justice alleges that Lieber repeatedly lied to both Harvard officials and federal investigators when asked about his connections to the Thousand Talents scheme, claiming that he had never been a participant in the program.57 If found guilty, Lieber could face up to five years in federal prison and a quarter-million-dollar fine.58 10 FEBRUARY 2020, GEORGIA 11 MAY 2020, GEORGIA 14 MAY 2020, OHIO Computer fraud conspiracy; Filing a false tax return False claims; wire fraud computer fraud and abuse; economic Emory University Ohio medical researcher espionage; among other indictments professor allegedly allegedly made false claims Members of the Chinese People’s worked at Chinese about his participation in Liberation Army charged with universities and did not Thousand Talents Program hacking into the computer systems report foreign income while receiving National of credit reporting agency Equifax. on federal tax returns. Institutes of Health funding. 13 FEBRUARY 2020, NEW YORK 27 FEBRUARY 2020, TENNESSEE 11 MAY 2020, ARKANSAS Conspiracy to steal Wire fraud; making Wire fraud trade secrets false statements University of Arkansas Huawei and subsidiaries University of Tennessee professor allegedly charged on a 16-count professor charged with hiding failed to disclose ties to indictment including a his relationship to Beijing Chinese government charge of conspiracy University of Technology while while accepting grant to steal trade secrets. receiving funding from NASA. money from NASA. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: WHY STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGY IS THE LATEST TECH WARS:FRONTIER US-CHINAINTECHNOLOGY US-CHINA COMPETITION AND COMPETITION WHAT AND THIS WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 13
Detrimental reform: Cracking down on to deny any application or petition without first “non-traditional intelligence collectors:” The notifying the applicant if “evidence in the record 2017 NSS also flagged immigration as another does not establish eligibility.” These expanded area requiring action to protect the NSIB. Specif- powers were eventually blocked by a court ically, it saw foreign students studying science, injunction but have since been added to public technology, engineering and mathematics regulatory agenda plans for September 2020.62 (STEM) subjects from “designated” countries as Even as aspects of the administration’s immi- potential “non-traditional intelligence collectors” gration efforts have been held up in court, early and foreshadowed the need to implement visa indications are that they have impacted the reviews, restrictions and other policies to deter number of foreign students seeking to study the transfer of IP to strategic competitors.59 The STEM subjects in the United States. A National first step the administration took occurred in Foundation for American Policy analysis found May 2018 when the US Immigration and Citi- denial rates for H-1B visa petitions had risen from zenship Service delivered a policy memoran- six per cent in FY2015 to 24 per cent in the third dum laying out new consequences for foreign quarter of 2019.63 Further, the total number of students overstaying their visas, with single-day foreign students studying in the United States also overstays resulting in three to ten-year bans.60 declined by 10 per cent during the same period.64 The following month the State Department In response, China’s Ministry of Education issued began actively restricting visa applications of a notice warning potential applicants that visas Chinese graduate students studying “aviation, had been restricted for Chinese students wish- robotics and advanced manufacturing” in the ing to study in the United States, as “the visa United States. Five-year visas for these programs review period has been extended, the validity were reduced to one year, with the requirement period has been shortened and the refusal rate to reapply every year.61 In July 2018 improved has increased.”65 These policies, while attempt- discretionary power was given to adjudicators ing to deter economic and technological espio- processing foreign student visas, allowing them Getty UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 14 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
nage, are likely to be highly detrimental to the US these programs.68 More specifically, identical research base.66 For instance, while the policies bills introduced in the Senate and House in May appear to be based on the assumption that these 2019 by Senator Tom Cotton and Representa- students return to China after completing their tive Mike Gallagher would ban the issuance of studies in the United States, the vast majority certain academic visas to researchers associated of students apply for further visa pathways to with the PLA.69 In May 2020 Republican Senators remain and work in the United States, primarily Tom Cotton and Marsha Blackburn went even in STEM fields.67 further and introduced the SECURE CAMPUS Act, a bill that would ban Chinese nationals from These efforts are likely not the last from the receiving any visas to student science and tech- Trump Administration. Additional policies nology subjects for graduate or post-graduate and Congressional bills have been proposed, studies.70 Later in the same month, the admin- including expanding the Department of Home- istration officially announced a more targeted land Security’s vetting of university and school policy: students affiliated with PLA-universities officials in charge of collating data on foreign studying in the United States would have their students and persons on exchange, which would visas cancelled, impacting an estimated 3000 “prevent potential criminal activities or threats students.71 to national security” that may result through China-Taiwan semiconductor joint venture indicted for economic espionage In November 2018 the Department of Justice brought indictments against the Chinese state-owned company Fujian Jinhua, the Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturer United Microelectronics Corpo- ration (UMC), and three Taiwan nationals. The Department of Justice accuses those involved of engag- ing in a conspiracy to steal trade secrets from Micron Technology, Inc. — a semiconductor company based in Boise, Idaho.72 Micron is the only producer of dynamic random access memory technology in the United States — a leading-edge memory storage device used in a wide range of computer electronics — and the company controls between 20 to 25 per cent of the DRAM industry.73 Until recently, China did not possess any DRAM technology, but in 2016, Fujian Jinhua and UMC signed a technology cooperation agreement under which UMC would produce DRAM technology for the Chinese firm. The DoJ alleges that two former Micron employees stole DRAM related intellectual property from the company prior to being hired by UMC.74 One defendant is accused of having downloaded more than 900 Micron confidential and proprietary files while working at Micron and storing them on USB external hard drives or personal cloud storage, which allowed him to access the information while working at UMC.75 Following the indictment and subsequent US government sanctions, Fujian Jinhua ceased operations in March of 2020. UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: WHY STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGY IS THE LATEST TECH WARS:FRONTIER US-CHINAINTECHNOLOGY US-CHINA COMPETITION AND COMPETITION WHAT AND THIS WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 15
AUSTRALIA AND THE EVOLVING US-CHINA STRUGGLE FOR TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANTAGE Washington’s initial policy changes constitute these bills are in draft form at present and may a significant shift in the structural nature of the not pass, senators and members continue to US-China technological relationship, which will introduce legislation — with more than 200 bills have consequences beyond one-off and highly reportedly in Congress relating in some way to public cases like Huawei or ZTE. The ongoing US-China economic decoupling — indicating the crackdown on Chinese technology theft along future direction the US legislature is likely to take with the raising of regulatory barriers will accel- in regulating America’s technological relationship erate the establishment of increasingly distinct with China.78 technological domains. As opposed to export controls, these meas- Australia is particularly exposed to this trans- ures would be intended to stop US government formation. Australian research universities — funding going to institutions also conducting often collaborating with both US and Chinese joint-research with certain Chinese government government agencies, state-owned enterprises organisations. For instance, the China Technol- and defence companies — could face significant ogy Transfer Control Act of 2019, which was disruption and limitation in who they partner introduced in the House and Senate last year, with, how they structure their laboratories and would expand the powers of the State and the way they source funding. In terms of national Commerce Departments to restrict the flow of security, Australia will face growing pressure from funds to foreign entities collaborating on projects the United States to go further in protecting IP, that aligned with Beijing’s Made in China 2025 particularly if Canberra continues to seek greater industry policy. In fact, the bill goes further to access to and collaboration with America’s also encompass agricultural machinery, loco- defence industrial base. Lastly, the largely open motives, advanced construction equipment and and laissez-faire way Australia has structured and civil aircraft. The US House version of the bill was invested in its science, technology and innovation introduced with both Democratic and Republi- ecosystem over the past decades will no longer can signatories, but the US Senate version has suffice in a more competitive world. only been backed by three Republican senators: Senators Josh Hawley, Rick Scott and Marco Rubio. Draft legislation an indication of things to come If passed, the bill would have significant implica- tions for Australian entities — primarily universi- A number of bills have been introduced in ties — who have projects funded by US govern- Congress that would, if passed in their present ment-linked grants and are simultaneously form, give substantial new powers to the US collaborating with Chinese state-owned enter- Commerce Department to directly regulate the prises. For example, Monash University, which collaborations between US government funding signed a $10 million research agreement with agencies and third parties involved in research China’ state-owned aerospace company, the on critical technologies with Chinese partners.76 Commercial Air Corporation of China (COMAC), With China recently overtaking the United States in October 2019 would likely come under scru- as Australia’s “leading international collaborator” tiny. The Monash-COMAC partnership report- of co-authored articles in peer-reviewed scien- edly focuses on joint R&D into the targeted fields tific journals, such legislation will present signifi- of robotics, advanced manufacturing, artificial cant consequences and dilemmas for Canberra intelligence and big data, all areas of priority and for Australia’s scientific ecosystem.77 While under Made in China 2025 and identified in the UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 16 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
draft US legislation.79 Existing funding Monash tions, but Australia and the United Kingdom receives from the US government would come were not. This irregular application of exemp- into question. In 2018 Monash reported that its tion rules to some members of the NTIB and academics contributed to 1,533 co-publications not others further undermines the framework, with US-based researchers and had $7.7 million creates growing opportunity costs for Australia in funding from the US National Institutes of and works against US interests to leverage Health and the US Defense Department.80 allied defence industries to bolster its own mili- tary-technological edge.87 As these bills have languished since being intro- duced to the House and Senate in mid-2019, For Australia, the expanded export control it is unlikely they will progress in their current reform now being implemented by the US form. However, they are indications of the legis- Commerce Department could have a serious lative direction Congress will take in protect- impact on universities, defence industry, busi- ing the NSIB.81 Republican senators have also ness and government. The NTIB could be a vehi- introduced bills targeting improved screen- cle for Australia to seek ing of visa applications for researchers linked exemptions from these to PLA-linked research institutes and universi- new regulations. Ameri- FOR AUSTRALIA, THE EXPANDED EXPORT ties and have called specifically on Australia to ca’s shift from ‘specifica- CONTROL REFORM NOW introduce similar legislation.82 Other introduced tion’ based export control BEING IMPLEMENTED bills increase the scope of the Department of standards (and currently BY THE US COMMERCE Commerce’s Export Control List to include all the way Australia writes DEPARTMENT COULD 10 of the ‘core technologies’ identified in China’s its own defence export HAVE SERIOUS IMPACT ON Made in China 2025 plan.83 Republican senators controls) to a system based UNIVERSITIES, DEFENCE INDUSTRY, BUSINESS have also proposed sanctions on foreign entities instead on the end-use of AND GOVERNMENT. THE and individuals that commit cyber-espionage.84 the technology, may begin NTIB COULD BE A VEHICLE to capture partnerships FOR AUSTRALIA TO SEEK and research that currently EXEMPTIONS FROM THESE Novel export controls, Australia NEW REGULATIONS. does not touch the export and the National Technology control system. For exam- and Industrial Base ple, specification export controls are based on For Australia, the issue of rising barriers around a technical signifier or characteristic of a certain America’s advanced technology industry and technology. A computer chip larger than a certain research institutes could be solved with a func- size can be exported, but not if it is smaller and tional National Technology and Industrial Base made of more durable material.88 However, the (NTIB).85 The NTIB is a legal framework that was looming regulations in the United States move expanded to include Australia and the United towards targeting general end-use or application Kingdom in addition to Canada in 2017. It is an of the technology such as the recently released ambitious legislative agenda in the United States rules on geospatial software that aims to control which aims to create a “defence free-trade area” any software “specifically designed” for training between America and its closest allies.86 It is neural networks to analyse satellite images for notable that in the rules issued so far, Canada specific purposes.89 — the longest-running member of the NTIB and Further, many of the technologies targeted under America’s most integrated defence industry these reforms — like artificial intelligence, big data partner — was exempt from the export restric- and some biotechnologies — are still in the early UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 17
stages of discovery. As basic or fundamental China is known to systemically exploit open- research — meaning they are not developed for source publications to reverse engineer products specific technological applications — they would and circumvent the cost and risk of indigenous usually not fall under export controls. Maintaining research. This adds to growing concern as to the the openness of the US basic research system effectiveness of the current export control and and not regulating the majority of fundamental classification system.91 scientific exploration has been a long-standing These broad changes in export policy will add to policy of the US government.90 But many of these the regulatory burden for businesses, research emerging technologies, like the inherently soft- institutes, start-ups and other organisations in ware-based development of machine-learning Australia wishing to import emerging technolo- algorithms, can blur the easy distinction between gies or collaborate on research with entities in the what is fundamental scientific research and what United States. With only one rule officially issued can be immediately applied to real-world capa- by the Department of Commerce on satellite bilities. The majority of computer-vision software imagery analysis software so far, it is difficult research, for instance, may still be considered to judge the full impact of these changes for exploratory. Australia.92 However, it is likely that companies, But the gap between the laboratory and applying defence contractors and researchers integrating it to real-world scenarios, potentially for security emerging technology into Australian defence or military capabilities, is increasingly narrow systems, experimenting with products or capa- in some fields. Basic research revolves around bilities in the Australian environment and market, the publication of discoveries in open and glob- or looking to collaborate on research projects, ally accessible scientific and technical journals, will need to eventually apply for approval with US Attorney General William Barr delivers a keynote address at the China Initiative Conference, Center for Strategic and International Studies (Photo: CSIS) UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE 18 TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA
the US Department of Commerce. Entities used revenue grew as an export market for Australia, to following an export regime that was relatively successive governments have tapered spend- clear in what was and was not allowed will have ing on domestic innovation. For instance, total to engage with a much wider and somewhat Australian research spending as a share of GDP more ambiguous system. With no exemption fell to 1.79 per cent in 2017-2018, down from a carved out for Australia, like there has been for historical high of 2.25 per cent in 2008-2009.93 Canada with satellite imagery analysis software, This is far below the OECD average of 2.37 per broad categories of technology including data cent. Similar results can be found in Australian science, robotics, and biomedical science will be business investment in R&D.94 While Australia more difficult to access in Australia. The regula- has pioneered several technologies that have tion may be particularly complex for the numer- had global impact, uninterrupted underinvest- ous start-ups, research labs and defence compa- ment in R&D spending — the basis of technolog- nies working on emerging technologies that have ical capability — has cemented the country as a offices and personnel located in both Australia relative “taker” of new technology rather than an and the United States. exporter.95 This decrease in national R&D funding has Building Australia’s occurred even as the global technology land- technological ‘weight’ scape has become more competitive and volatile for Australia. For instance, even the United States As the global technological ecosystem becomes as the source of much of Australia’s defence and increasingly nationalised, securitised and difficult national security IP and capability has found to navigate, even with close economic and secu- its traditional technological dominance chal- rity allies like the United States, Australia should lenged as its global share of R&D spending fell work to build its own technological ‘counter- from 40 per cent in 2000 to 27.9 in 2015.96 More weight.’ This should be done through both estab- importantly, the centre of global innovation and lishing new non-US and non-Chinese R&D and research spending has shifted to Australia’s region scientific partnerships throughout the region and while Canberra’s policy has remained static. In with other Five Eye partners, as well as rethink- 2015 R&D investment in East and Southeast Asia ing how domestic technological innovation accounted for 40.3 per cent of the worldwide and research is financed. A more self-sufficient total, while North America’s total was 27.9 per and dynamic R&D base will allow Australia to cent and Europe’s 21.6 per cent.97 better weather the growing fragmentation of the technological world, make Australian partners While there are lessons from several countries more attractive for both US tech companies and Australia could build upon, such as Israel or research while simultaneously providing more Germany, South Korea stands out as a nation that ballast for Canberra’s lobbying of Washington has applied industrial policy to its R&D capacity for export control exemptions. with notable success. Back in 1999, South Korea published a national scientific and R&D strategy Generally, for the past several decades, succes- with a vision to build the country into a techno- sive Australian governments have taken advan- logical powerhouse by the year 2025.98 Updated tage of the efficiencies globalisation has provided every five years, Vision 2025: Korea’s Long-term in terms of R&D. As R&D became more globalised Plan for Science and Technology Development, over the past thirty years, and foreign student UNITED STATES STUDIES CENTRE TECH WARS: US-CHINA TECHNOLOGY COMPETITION AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR AUSTRALIA 19
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