TD BANK GROUND LEASE 1190 Northeast 163rd Street North Miami Beach, FL 33162 - Offering Memorandum
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NON-ENDORSEMENT AND DISCLAIMER NOTICE Confidentiality and Disclaimer The information contained in the following Marketing Brochure is proprietary and strictly confidential. It is intended to be reviewed only by the party receiving it from Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services of Florida, Inc. ("Marcus & Millichap") and should not be made available to any other person or entity without the written consent of Marcus & Millichap. This Marketing Brochure has been prepared to provide summary, unverified information to prospective purchasers, and to establish only a preliminary level of interest in the subject property. The information contained herein is not a substitute for a thorough due diligence investigation. Marcus & Millichap has not made any investigation, and makes no warranty or representation, with respect to the income or expenses for the subject property, the future projected financial performance of the property, the size and square footage of the property and improvements, the presence or absence of contaminating substances, PCB's or asbestos, the compliance with State and Federal regulations, the physical condition of the improvements thereon, or the financial condition or business prospects of any tenant, or any tenant's plans or intentions to continue its occupancy of the subject property. The information contained in this Marketing Brochure has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however, Marcus & Millichap has not verified, and will not verify, any of the information contained herein, nor has Marcus & Millichap conducted any investigation regarding these matters and makes no warranty or representation whatsoever regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. All potential buyers must take appropriate measures to verify all of the information set forth herein. Marcus & Millichap is a service mark of Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, Inc. © 2018 Marcus & Millichap. All rights reserved. Non-Endorsement Notice Marcus & Millichap is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by any commercial tenant or lessee identified in this marketing package. The presence of any corporation's logo or name is not intended to indicate or imply affiliation with, or sponsorship or endorsement by, said corporation of Marcus & Millichap, its affiliates or subsidiaries, or any agent, product, service, or commercial listing of Marcus & Millichap, and is solely included for the purpose of providing tenant lessee information about this listing to prospective customers. ALL PROPERTY SHOWINGS ARE BY APPOINTMENT ONLY. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR MARCUS & MILLICHAP AGENT FOR MORE DETAILS. TD BANK North Miami Beach, FL ACT ID ZAA0390039 2
NET LEASED DISCLAIMER Marcus & Millichap hereby advises all prospective purchasers of Net Leased property as follows: The information contained in this Marketing Brochure has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable. However, Marcus & Millichap has not and will not verify any of this information, nor has Marcus & Millichap conducted any investigation regarding these matters. Marcus & Millichap makes no guarantee, warranty or representation whatsoever about the accuracy or completeness of any information provided. As the Buyer of a net leased property, it is the Buyer’s responsibility to independently confirm the accuracy and completeness of all material information before completing any purchase. This Marketing Brochure is not a substitute for your thorough due diligence investigation of this investment opportunity. Marcus & Millichap expressly denies any obligation to conduct a due diligence examination of this Property for Buyer. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used in this Marketing Brochure are for example only and do not represent the current or future performance of this property. The value of a net leased property to you depends on factors that should be evaluated by you and your tax, financial and legal advisors. Buyer and Buyer’s tax, financial, legal, and construction advisors should conduct a careful, independent investigation of any net leased property to determine to your satisfaction with the suitability of the property for your needs. Like all real estate investments, this investment carries significant risks. Buyer and Buyer’s legal and financial advisors must request and carefully review all legal and financial documents related to the property and tenant. While the tenant’s past performance at this or other locations is an important consideration, it is not a guarantee of future success. Similarly, the lease rate for some properties, including newly-constructed facilities or newly-acquired locations, may be set based on a tenant’s projected sales with little or no record of actual performance, or comparable rents for the area. Returns are not guaranteed; the tenant and any guarantors may fail to pay the lease rent or property taxes, or may fail to comply with other material terms of the lease; cash flow may be interrupted in part or in whole due to market, economic, environmental or other conditions. Regardless of tenant history and lease guarantees, Buyer is responsible for conducting his/her own investigation of all matters affecting the intrinsic value of the property and the value of any long-term lease, including the likelihood of locating a replacement tenant if the current tenant should default or abandon the property, and the lease terms that Buyer may be able to negotiate with a potential replacement tenant considering the location of the property, and Buyer’s legal ability to make alternate use of the property. By accepting this Marketing Brochure you agree to release Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services and hold it harmless from any kind of claim, cost, expense, or liability arising out of your investigation and/or purchase of this net leased property. 3
TD BANK TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 01 Executive Summary Property Summary Pricing Matrix INVESTMENT OVERVIEW 02 Offering Summary Regional Map Local Map Aerial Photo MARKET OVERVIEW 03 Market Analysis Demographic Analysis 4
TD BANK OFFERINGSUMMARY OFFERING SUMMARY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OFFERING SUMMARY Price $6,750,000 MAJOR EMPLOYERS Net Operating Income $308,000 Capitalization Rate – Current 4.56% Price / SF $1,443.54 # OF EMPLOYEES EMPLOYER * Rent / SF $65.87 Baker Norton US Inc 2,000 Lease Type Ground Lease Lanier-James Education Center 1,448 Gross Leasable Area 4,676 SF Barry University Inc 1,218 Year Built / Renovated 2012 St Marys Properties 1,152 Lot Size 0.96 acre(s) Aventura Hospital and Med Ctr 1,100 APN 07-2217-029-0010 Walmart 950 FINANCING Police Department 895 Down Payment $2,970,000 Mercedes Bens of Miami 866 Net Cash Flow 4.13% / $122,780 County of Miami-Dade 861 Cash on Cash Return 4.13% National Stores Inc 782 Total Return 4.13% / $122,780 Coca-Cola 716 Shopping Center MGT Corp 715 DEMOGRAPHICS 1-Miles 3-Miles 5-Miles 2017 Estimate Pop 29,729 211,904 483,552 2010 Census Pop 27,325 193,352 442,528 2017 Estimate HH 8,758 74,420 172,897 2010 Census HH 8,290 68,690 159,945 Median HH Income $36,913 $40,288 $42,035 Per Capita Income $14,981 $21,246 $23,773 Average HH Income $50,711 $59,932 $66,076 * # of Employees based on 5 mile radius # 6
TD BANK PROPERTY SUMMARY OFFERINGSUMMARY OFFERING SUMMARY THE OFFERING RENT SCHEDULE Property TD Bank YEAR ANNUAL RENT MONTHLY RENT RENT/SF CAP RATE Property Address 1190 NE 163rd Street North Miami Beach, FL 33180 Current $308,000 $25,667 $65.87 4.56% Price $6,750,000 Year 11 - 15 $338,800 $28,233 $72.46 5.02% Capitalization Rate 4.56% Price/SF $1,443.54 Year 16 - 20 $372,680 $31,057 $79.70 5.52% Year 21 - 25 $409,948 $34,162 $87.67 6.07% PROPERTY DESCRIPTION Year Built / Renovated 2012 Gross Leasable Area 4,676 SF Zoning B-2 Type of Ownership Fee Simple Lot Size 0.96 Acres LEASE SUMMARY Property Subtype Net Leased Bank Tenant TD Bank Rent Increases 10% each Five Year Period Guarantor Corporate Guarantee Lease Type Ground Lease Roof & Structure Tenant Responsibility Lease Effective August 18,2011 Lease Commencement October 13, 2012 Lease Expiration October 31, 2037 Lease Term 25 Term Remaining on Lease 18.8 (Years) Renewal Options Four Five-year Options Landlord Responsibility Zero Tenant Responsibility Yes NOTES - Lease Year : The period commencing on the Rent Commencement Date and expiring on the last day of the month in which the first (1st) anniversary of the Rent Commencement Date occurs, and each successful twelve (12) month period thereafter which falls within the initial Term or a Renewal Period. - Lease Expiration : Last day of the Twenty Fifth (25th) Lease Year. # 7
TD BANK PROPERTY SUMMARY OFFERINGSUMMARY OFFERING SUMMARY LEASE SUMMARY Lease Year 1 – 5: $280,000 Lease Year 6-10: $308,000 Tenant: TD Bank Annual Fixed Rent Rate: Lease Year 11-15: $333,800 Lease Year 16-20: $372,680 Guarantor: Corporate Guarantee Lease Year 21-25: $409,948 Credit Rating: S&P : AA- Rent Commencement: October 13, 2012 The Fair Market Value (“FMRV”) for each renewal period shall be the fair rental value of premises comparable to the Demised Initial Lease Term 25 Years Premises in the neighborhood. Landlord and tenant agree that FMRV shall be determined by landlord in its sole discretion. In no Renewal Period Rate: Lease Year 6 - 10 $308,000 event shall the Fixed rent for any Renewal period be less than the Fixed Rent for the immediately preceding prior five (5) year period, Lease Year 11 - 15 $338,800 nor greater than 110% of the Fixed Rent for the immediately Lease Year 16 - 20 $372,680 preceding prior five (5) year period. Options: Lease Year 21 - 25 $409,948 Tenant shall pay all charges, expenses, costs, and outlays of every Repairs and Maintenance nature and kind relating to the premises and the lease Lease Type: Ground Lease Taxes Tenant Pays all taxes n $65.87/SF Tenant pays all insurance costs and names landlord as an Base Rent: $5.49/SF/Month Insurance additional insured $308,000 Annual Rent Utilities Tenant pays all utilities Yes – Tenant has ten (10) days following the receipt of ROFR to Rent Increases: 10% each Five Year Period Right of First Refusal notify if Tenant will elect to purchase Estoppel Yes – Tenant shall provide an estoppel with ten (10) days of written n request NOTES # 8
TD BANK PRICING MATRIX OFFERINGSUMMARY OFFERING SUMMARY Initial CAP Rate Price Price/SF ANNUALIZED OPERATING INFORMATION Cash-on-Cash 4.56% $6,750,000 $1,443.54 4.13% INCOME Net Operating Income $308,000 Operating Information NOI as of 2019 $308,000 RENT SCHEDULE Rent/SF $65.87 MONTHLY YEAR ANNUAL RENT RENT/SF CAP RATE Gross Leasable Area 4,676 SF RENT Current $308,000 $25,667 $65.87 4.56% Year 11 - 15 $338,800 $28,233 $72.46 5.02% Financing Year 16 - 20 $372,680 $31,057 $79.70 5.52% New Acquisition Financing $3,780,000 Year 21 - 25 $409,948 $34,162 $87.67 6.07% Loan To Value 56.00% Interest Rate (Interest Only) 4.90% Term 10 Years Annual Debt Service Payment $185,220 Year 1 Debt Service Coverage 1.66 Year 1 Net Cash Flow After Debt Service $122,780 NOTES # 9
TD BANK ACQUISITION FINANCING MARCUS & MILLICHAP CAPITAL CORPORATION WHY MMCC? CAPABILITIES Optimum financing solutions to enhance value MMCC—our fully integrated, dedicated financing arm—is committed to providing superior capital market expertise, precisely managed execution, and unparalleled access to capital sources providing the most competitive rates and Our ability to enhance terms. buyer pool by expanding finance options We leverage our prominent capital market relationships with commercial banks, life insurance companies, CMBS, private and public debt/equity funds, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and HUD to provide our clients with the greatest range of Our ability to enhance financing options. seller control • Through buyer Our dedicated, knowledgeable experts understand the challenges of financing qualification support and work tirelessly to resolve all potential issues to the benefit of our clients. • Our ability to manage buyers finance expectations • Ability to monitor and manage buyer/lender progress, insuring timely, predictable closings • By relying on a world class Closed 1,707 National platform $5.63 billion Access to set of debt/equity sources debt and equity operating total national more capital financings within the firm’s volume in 2017 sources than and presenting a tightly in 2017 brokerage any other firm underwritten credit file offices in the industry 10
TD BANK INVESTMENT OVERVIEW 11
TD BANK INVESTMENT OVERVIEW OFFERING SUMMARY Marcus & Millichap is proud to present for sale the fee interest in a TD Bank ground lease, located in the heart of North Miami Beach, Florida. The subject property is located on a unique corner lot with direct frontage on 163rd Street and Northeast 12th Avenue, which offer high traffic counts of over 54,000 Vehicles Per Day (VPD) and 7,500 VPD, respectively. This property is situated on a signalized intersection across Bank of America and Chase Bank on a .96-acre lot of land and offers approximately 4,676 square feet of rentable area. TD Bank is located across the street from The Mall at 163rd Street which anchors The home Depot, Marshalls, Ross, and Wal-Mart Supercenter. Strategically located in between I-95 and Biscayne Blvd, the subject property experiences high traffic counts from both East and West directions and is easily accessible for foot traffic created by the Mall. Built in 2012, the property has been exceptionally maintained and provides professional curb appeal, high signage opportunity, and ample parking. This TD Bank includes a four-lane drive-through with approximately 30 parking spaces, providing for a healthy parking ratio of 6.42: 1,000 square feet of rentable space. The four-lane drive-through facilitates business flow as North Miami Beach is a densely populated area with robust demographics including a population of 29,000 in just a 1-mile radius from the property and a population of 483,500 in a 5-mile radius with 8% population growth since 2010. TD Banks signed a 25-year ground lease with approximately 18.8 years remaining and includes four five-year options and 10% rent increases every five years. This new construction NNN ground lease is secured by the 8th largest commercial bank in the U.S according to the Federal Reserve with an investment grade credit tenant of AA- by the S&P. This location has an excess of $82,089,000 in deposits. This asset requires zero landlord responsibilities and given its location, convenience, and condition of the property, this asset offers an investor to own a stress-free property with solid return. Plenty of high-rise buildings and mixed-use projects have been surging in the North Miami Beach area due to the new zoning code on and around Biscayne Boulevard, which allows for higher density projects. There are numerous condo and presale units in the planning and presale phase of development on and around the stretch of Northeast 151st Street and Northeast 176th Street. North Miami Beach has seven elementary schools, two middle schools, and three high schools. The attractive zoning, strong demographics, and rapid increase in redevelopment provides an investor the opportunity to purchase a stable asset in a growing local economy. TD Bank services more than 9 million customers, with over 26,000 employees in 1,300 convenient locations throughout the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Metric D.C, the Carolinas and Florida. INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS ▪ Investment Grade Credit Tenant with an AA- Rating by S&P ▪ Absolute Triple Net TD Bank Ground Lease with 18.8 Years Remaining ▪ Strong Rental Increases and Renewal Options ▪ Zero Landlord Responsibility ▪ Corner Lot located directly on 163rd Street and Northeast 12th Avenue, Which Combined Have High Traffic Counts of Over 61,500 VPD 12
TD BANK TENANT PROFILES America’s Most Convenient Bank © TD Bank 2018 Annual Report ABOUT TD BANK Total Assets $1.3 Trillion TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank is one of the 10 largest banks in Total Deposits $0.9 Trillion the U.S, with approximately 26,000 employees and deep roots in the community dating back more than 150 years. The Banks offers a broad Total Loans $666 Billion array of retail, small business, and commercial banking products and Commercial $2.6 Billion services to more than 9 million customers through its extensive network of approximately 1,300 convenient locations throughout the Northeast, Mid- Personal $952 Million Atlantic, Metro D.C, the Carolinas and Florida. Retail Stores ~ 1,300 In Addition to banking products, TD Bank and its subsidiaries offer ATM’s ~ 3,394 customize private banking and wealth management services through TD Customers 9 Million Wealth and vehicle financing and dealer commercial services through TD Auto Finance. Employees ~ 26,000 TD Bank is a member of TD Bank Group and a subsidiary of the Toronto- Dominion Bank of Toronto, Canada, a top 10 financial services company in Named Money magazine’s "Best Big Bank” in America North America. The Toronto-Dominion Bank trades on the New York and 2016 Toronto stock exchange under the ticker symbol TD. TD Bank was named one of Fortune's Best Workplaces in Financial Services & Insurance and one of the magazine's 40 Best Companies in Financial Moody’s S&P Fitch Services (2016) Outlook Stable Stable Stable TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank®, has the highest ranking in Florida for overall customer satisfaction in Retail Banking, according to Long-Term Issuer Rating Aa3 AA- AA- the 2016 J.D. Power U.S. Retail Ranking Study SM Short-term issuer rating P-1 A-1+ F1+ TD Bank ranked in the top 5 bank sites, according to the 2016 Temkin Web The Toronto-Dominion Bank Aa1 AA- AA- Experience Ratings. Based on a study of 10,000 U.S. consumers, the Temkin ratings ask consumers how satisfied they are with their most recent web interaction 12 13
TD BANK TENANT PROFILES General Information Tenant Name TD Bank FOURTH QUARTER FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS, compared with the fourth Website www.tdbank.com quarter a year ago: Parent Company Toronto - Dominion Bank • Reported diluted earnings per share were $1.58, compared with $1.42. Headquartered Toronto, ON, Canada • Adjusted diluted earning per share were $1.63, compared with $1.36. Rentable Square Feet 4,676 SF • Reported net income was $2,960 million, compared with $2,712 million. Percentage of RBA 100.00% • Adjusted net income was $3,048 million, compared with $2,603 million. Lease Commencement 10/13/2012 FULL YEAR FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS, compared with last year: Lease Expiration 10/31/2037 • Reported diluted earnings per share were $6.01,compared with $5.50. • Adjusted diluted earning per share were $6.47,compared with $5.54. No. of Locations ~ 1,300 • Reported net income was $11,334 million, compared with $10,517 million. • Adjusted net income was $12,183 million, compared with $10,587 million. TORONTO, Nov. 29, 2018 /CNW/ - TD Bank Group ("TD" or the "Bank") today announced its financial results for the fourth quarter ended October 31, 2018. Fourth quarter reported earnings were $3 billion, up 9% on a reported basis and up 17% on an adjusted basis, compared with the same quarter last year. "I am extremely pleased with our earnings performance in the fourth quarter, which capped a very strong year," said Bharat Masrani, Group President and Chief Executive Officer, TD Bank Group. "2018 represented a year of tremendous progress as we advanced key strategic priorities and continued to innovate to strengthen our competitive advantage." U.S Retail Conclusion U.S. Retail reported net income was $1,114 million (US$855 million) and adjusted net income "We enter 2019 from a position of strength. While there are a number of macro- was $1,139 million (US$874 million), an increase of 44% (38% in U.S. dollars) on a reported basis economic and geopolitical unknowns in the year ahead, the progress we made and 40% (34% in U.S. dollars) on an adjusted basis, compared with the same quarter last year. in 2018 gives me confidence in our future success. Our over 85,000 TD The U.S. Retail Bank, which excludes the Bank's investment in TD Ameritrade, reported net colleagues around the globe have delivered outstanding outcomes for our income of $886 million (US$680 million), up 32% (26% in U.S. dollars) on a reported basis and customers and our shareholders and I thank them for their passion and up 29% (23% in U.S. dollars) on an adjusted basis, from the same period last year. The U.S. commitment in 2018," concluded Masrani. The foregoing contains forward- Retail Bank continued to invest in enhancing its capabilities, products, and services, while looking statements. Please refer to the "Caution Regarding Forward-Looking achieving peer-leading growth in loan and deposit volumes. Earnings also reflect higher Statements". margins driven by a favorable rate environment and benefits from U.S. tax reform. TD Ameritrade contributed $228 million (US$175 million) in reported earnings to the segment and $253 million (US$194 million) in adjusted earnings. Wholesale Banking net income was $286 million this quarter, an increase of 24% compared with the fourth quarter last year, reflecting higher trading-related revenue, and fee and advisory revenue, partially offset by higher For full report: provisions for credit losses and expenses. The Wholesale Bank continues to invest in the global file:///Z:/Proposals/Office/1190%20NE%20163%20St.%20North%20Miami%20Beach,%2 0FL%20(TD%20Bank)/Due%20Dilligence/TD%20Bank%202018%20Annual%20Report.pdf expansion of its U.S. dollar business. 12 14
PROPERTY TD BANK NAME PRICING LOCATION PRICING AND AND TENANT SUMMARY OVERVIEW VALUATION VALUATION MATRIX MATRIX 1190 NE 163rd St, North Miami Beach, FL 33162 CLOSE PROXIMITY TO: 15#
PROPERTY TD BANK NAME PRICING PRICING LOCATION AND TENANT REGIONAL AND SUMMARY OVERVIEW VALUATION VALUATION MATRIX AND LOCAL MATRIX MAP 1190 NE 163rd St, North Miami Beach, FL 33162 16#
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TD BANK NATIONAL NET-LEASED RETAIL REPORT MARKET OVERVIEW 23
TD BANK NATIONAL NET-LEASED RETAIL REPORT Strong Tailwinds Continue to Propel Healthy Economy; New Tax Law May Encourage Investors to Refine Strategies Investment Highlights Tax reform powers economic acceleration. The new tax law has invigorated Over the past year, transaction velocity eased modestly as investors economic growth, boosting consumption and business investment. With optimism awaited details on the new tax law. With much of that uncertainty now running high, many companies have generated new jobs, dropping the national relieved, sales activity could accelerate. Furthermore, decreased taxes on unemployment rate below 4 percent. A tightening job market has supported pass-through entities could lead to repositioning efforts, bringing more increased wage growth, expanding personal disposable income more than 2 assets online and elevating market liquidity. percentage points above the 10-year average to 5.4 percent. Because of this, core The 1031 exchange was retained in the new tax law, remaining a retail sales have benefited, rising by an average of 5.6 percent in May and June. The commonly used practice for single-tenant net-leased investors. Investors convergence of these factors has resulted in accelerated economic growth that favor this tax provision to swap out management-intensive assets for climbed above 4 percent. properties that involve a more passive approach while deferring the Elevated Treasury rates placing upward pressure on yields. A booming economy capital gains tax. brings with it inflationary risk, prompting the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary Under the new tax law, sale-leasebacks have become an increasingly policy. The single-tenant net-leased retail sector may be substantively impacted by a popular tactic. With new restrictions on business interest deductibility, more disciplined monetary approach as assets are typically responsive to the 10- some retailers are selling the real estate in which they operate to year Treasury due to their bondlike parallels. This will coalesce with other investors, then leasing it back to maximize deductions. This process components such as brand, location and lease terms when determining going-in cap opens the door for reinvestment into existing assets and investment into rates. For example, dollar store yields can vastly differ as a number of these assets future plans as more capital would be available. are in rural locations, providing potential for higher returns. Conversely, yields for convenience stores and quick-service restaurants typically maintain a much smaller range due to their tempered sensitivity to key determinants of cap rates. * Forecast ** Through June 24
TD BANK NATIONAL NET-LEASED RETAIL REPORT New Tax Law Provides Spark to Investors; Sale-Leaseback Opportunities Could Increase New provisions, preservation of old ones may boost investor sentiment. Changes to the tax code, as well as the retention key provisions like tax-deferred exchanges, real estate depreciation and mortgage interest deduction should keep investor sentiment high for single-tenant net-leased retail assets. Additionally, new pieces to the tax code should further boost the appeal of these relatively passive investments. For example, the new 20 percent pass-through deduction enables some active investors using an entity such as an LLC to boost after-tax yields. However, this deduction comes with restrictions based on income and asset base but offers strong potential for those who qualify. Additionally, bonus depreciation is a temporary provision allowing investors to increase their current cash flow by immediately expensing personal property in real estate assets acquired after Sept. 27, 2017. Changes to tax law could inspire owner/users to seek sale-leasebacks. The most influential change to the tax code on the single-tenant net-leased retail sector may be new restrictions on business interest deductions. This provision could encourage companies to utilize sale-leasebacks as they shape their real estate strategies around lease expenses that remain fully deductible. For owner/users, selling the real estate in which they operate to investors and then leasing it back from them could maximize profitability, as well as unlock equity for reinvestment into current operations and funds for potential expansion plans. Also, the previous tax law allowed companies to deduct all of their interest expenses on their taxes, but the new provisions restrict the deductibility of business interest for companies with gross receipts in excess of $25 million. Now, interest totaling just 30 percent of earnings before taxes, depreciation and amortization can be deducted on taxes, further incentivizing companies to pursue sale-leasebacks. * Through July ** Forecast 25
TD BANK NATIONAL NET-LEASED RETAIL REPORT Solid Fundamentals Aided by New Concepts Rents benefit from thinned construction pipeline. Available space in the single-tenant net-leased sector will contract for the ninth consecutive year, pushing national vacancy down to 4.3 percent in 2018. Even though demand remains strong, construction will continue to taper this year, completing 36 million square feet. The percentage of single-tenant construction is reduced for the second year in a row as developers step back construction. With limited retail property completions, rent gains should be strong this year, advancing 4.2 percent to $21.18 per square foot. This increase well exceeds the previous five-year average of 3.2 percent. Retailer strategies change to match consumer needs. Convenience continues to emerge as a common theme in the single-tenant net-leased retail sector as several types of retailers have adopted this concept to drive foot traffic and sales. For example, drugstores have improved their product selection by including items historically purchased at convenience stores and grocery stores. This strategy has also helped these retailers improve front-store sales and hold a greater edge over online pharmacies. Additionally, dollar stores have added convenience to their affordable product mix by offering instant-consumption items, such as grab-and-go sandwiches and beverage bars. ** Forecast 26
TD BANK NATIONAL NET-LEASED RETAIL REPORT Capital Markets Lenders Pursue Deals as Capital Plentiful; Caution Enforcing Underwriting Fed watchful as economic surge raises inflationary pressure. Strengthened hiring amid exceptionally low unemployment levels have boosted wage growth, placing upward pressure on inflation. Amid this trend coupled with rising trade protectionism and tariffs, the Federal Reserve appears determined to head off inflation risk by continuing its quarterly increases of the overnight rate. These actions are lifting short-term interest rates while the 10-year Treasury rate remain range bound near 3.0 percent. Should the 10- year remain steadfast, Fed tightening could create an inverted yield curve in which short-term rates rise above long-term rates. Although this event has preceded every recession of the past 50 years, many economists suggest such an inversion this year could be an exception to the rule. Because of distortions caused by regulatory changes and quantitative easing, this inversion could be different. Nonetheless, the Fed’s stated path does raise recessionary risk levels because it could weigh on confidence levels and restrain spending by consumers and businesses, thus slowing economic growth. 2018 Capital Markets Outlook 10-Year Treasury still “sticky” at 3 percent. After surging at the beginning of the year, the 10-year Treasury has been range bound near 3.0 percent. To create some headroom for its escalation of short-term rates, the Fed has tried to exert upward pressure on long-term interest rates by unwinding its balance sheet. This quantitative tightening has had little influence, particularly as foreign investors have enjoyed a yield premium relative to their native 10-year rates. Potential rapid interest rate escalation a downside risk. Although capital remains plentiful, lending could tighten quickly for a short period if interest rates rise rapidly. As experienced in late 2016 when the 10-year rose by more than 80 basis points in 60 days, and again at the beginning of 2018 when there was a 60-basis-point surge, market liquidity could tighten if rates jump. Considering this has happened twice in the last two years, borrowers will likely benefit by taking a cautious approach with their lenders and lock in financing quickly. * Through July 20 ** As of Aug. 17 27
TD BANK NAME PROPERTY PRICING LOCATION PRICING AND AND TENANT SUMMARY OVERVIEW VALUATION VALUATION MATRIX DEMOGRAPHICS MARKETINGMATRIX TEAM CREATED ON JANUARY 16, 2019 1 Miles 3 Miles 5 Miles POPULATION 2022 Projection 28,880 215,493 493,115 2017 Estimate 29,729 211,904 483,552 2010 Census 27,325 193,352 442,528 2000 Census 27,849 186,059 414,979 INCOME Average $50,711 $59,932 $66,076 Median $36,913 $40,288 $42,035 Per Capita $14,981 $21,246 $23,773 HOUSEHOLDS 2022 Projection 8,810 78,179 182,020 2017 Estimate 8,758 74,420 172,897 2010 Census 8,290 68,690 159,945 2000 Census 8,595 67,489 151,806 HOUSING 2017 $174,899 $180,996 $196,529 EMPLOYMENT 2017 Daytime 26,196 176,187 401,158 Population 2017 7.28% 6.56% 6.43% Unemployment 2017 Median Time 33 33 32 Traveled RACE & ETHNICITY White 34.03% 41.67% 43.89% Native American 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% African American 54.50% 49.04% 48.00% Asian/Pacific 3.80% 2.32% 1.70% Islander Source: © 2015 Experian 28#
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