FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION - As of July 31, 2020 - National Bank
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CAUTION REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS From time to time, the Bank makes written and oral forward-looking statements such as those contained in this document, in other filings with Canadian securities regulators, and in other communications. All such statements are made in accordance with applicable securities legislation in Canada and the United States. Forward- looking statements in this document may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the economy—particularly the Canadian and U.S. economies—market changes, the Bank’s objectives, outlook and priorities for fiscal year 2020 and beyond, its strategies or future actions for achieving them, expectations for the Bank’s financial condition, the regulatory environment in which it operates, the impacts of — and the Bank’s response to — the COVID-19 pandemic, and certain risks it faces. These forward-looking statements are typically identified by future or conditional verbs or words such as “outlook”, “believe”, “foresee”, “forecast”, “anticipate”, “estimate”, “project”, “expect”, “intend”, “plan”, and similar terms and expressions. Such forward-looking statements are made for the purpose of assisting the holders of the Bank’s securities in understanding the Bank’s financial position and results of operations as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented, as well as the Bank’s financial performance objectives, vision and strategic goals, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. By their very nature, these forward-looking statements require assumptions to be made and involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific. Assumptions about the performance of the Canadian and U.S. economies in 2020, including in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, and how that will affect the Bank’s business are among the main factors considered in setting the Bank’s strategic priorities and objectives, including provisions for credit losses. In determining its expectations for economic conditions, both broadly and in the financial services sector in particular, the Bank primarily considers historical economic data provided by the governments of Canada, the United States and certain other countries in which the Bank conducts business, as well as their agencies. There is a strong possibility that the Bank’s express or implied predictions, forecasts, projections, expectations or conclusions will not prove to be accurate, that its assumptions may not be correct and that its financial performance objectives, vision and strategic goals will not be achieved. The Bank recommends that readers not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as a number of factors, many of which are beyond the Bank’s control, including the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, could cause actual results to differ significantly from the expectations, estimates or intentions expressed in these statements. These factors include credit risk, market risk, liquidity and funding risk, operational risk, regulatory compliance risk, reputation risk, strategic risk and environmental risk, all of which are described in more detail in the Risk Management section beginning on page 58 of the Bank’s 2019 Annual Report, and more specifically, general economic environment and financial market conditions in Canada, the United States and certain other countries in which the Bank conducts business; regulatory changes affecting the Bank’s business; geopolitical and sociopolitical uncertainty; important changes in consumer behaviour; the housing and household indebtedness situation and real estate market in Canada; changes in the Bank’s customers’ and counterparties’ performance and creditworthiness; changes in the accounting policies the Bank uses to report its financial condition, including uncertainties associated with assumptions and critical accounting estimates; tax laws in the countries in which the Bank operates, primarily Canada and the United States (including the U.S. Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA)); changes to capital and liquidity guidelines and to the manner in which they are to be presented and interpreted; changes to the credit ratings assigned to the Bank; potential disruption to key suppliers of goods and services to the Bank; potential disruptions to the Bank’s information technology systems, including evolving cyberattack risk as well as identity theft and theft of personal information; and possible impacts of catastrophic events affecting local and global economies, including natural disasters and public health emergencies such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Statements about the expected impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Bank’s business, results of operations, corporate reputation, financial position and liquidity, and on the global economy may be inaccurate and differ, possibly materially, from what is currently expected as they depend on future developments that are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted. The foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information about these factors can be found in the Risk Management section of the Bank’s 2019 Annual Report and in the COVID-19 Pandemic section of the Report to Shareholders for the Third Quarter of 2020. Investors and others who rely on the Bank’s forward-looking statements should carefully consider the above factors as well as the uncertainties they represent and the risks they entail. Except as required by law, the Bank does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, by it or on its behalf. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 2
OVERVIEW NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA
HIGHLIGHTS - YTD 2020 PTPP(1) Total PCL ▪ Well positioned in a challenging environment: $2.9B $736 MM - Strong balance sheet +12% YoY +185% YoY - Defensive positioning - Diversified earnings stream ▪ Good business performance with PTPP up 12% YoY Net Income EPS - Positive operating leverage $1.6B $4.37 -7% YoY -6% YoY ▪ Proactive and prudent provisioning - Total reserves: $1.3B - Performing ACL coverage: 2.8x CET1 ROE 11.4% 15.4% ▪ Industry-leading ROE Note: 9M-2019 comparative figures to compute YoY growth are excluding specified items. Please refer to page 13 of the Bank’s Third Quarter 2020 Report to Shareholders for additional information. (1) Pre-tax pre-provision earnings, presented on a taxable equivalent basis (TEB), excluding specified items. 4
OVERVIEW – YTD 2020 RESULTS Total Bank Summary Results ($MM, TEB) 9M 20 9M 19 YoY ▪ Revenue up by 9%, led by Financial Markets, Revenues 6,143 5,658 9% Wealth Management and USSF&I Non-Interest Expenses 3,273 3,094 6% ▪ Pre-tax pre-provision earnings up 12% YoY Pre-Tax / Pre-Provisions 2,870 2,564 12% PCL 736 258 185% ▪ Prudent provisioning with PCL up 185% YoY Net Income 1,601 1,716 (7%) Diluted EPS $4.37 $4.67 (6%) Key Metrics 9M 20 9M 19 YoY Avg Loans & BAs - Total 158,329 147,547 7% Avg Deposits - Total 203,831 181,093 13% Efficiency Ratio 53.3% 54.7% -140 bps Return on Equity 15.4% 17.9% CET1 Ratio 11.4% 11.7% (1) Excluding Specified Items. All Specified Items are accounted for under the “Other” heading of segment results (the Gain on disposal of Fiera Capital shares, the Gain on disposal of head office building and the Remeasurement of NSIA at fair value are reflected in “Non-interest income”; the Impairment losses on premises and equipment and on intangible assets, the Provisions for onerous contracts and Severance pay are reflected in “Non-interest expenses”). Please refer to page 13 of National Bank's Q3-2020 Report to shareholders for additional information. 5
SEGMENT HIGHLIGHTS - YTD 2020 P&C Banking ▪ Revenue growth impacted by lower interest-rate environment and lower client activity due PTPP: $1.2B to COVID-19 Flat YoY ▪ Strong growth in mortgage and deposit volumes ▪ Value of retail loans under deferral down 60% since Q2 Wealth Management ▪ Strong transaction volumes, partly offset by lower interest rates PTPP: $555 MM ▪ AUA and AUM returned to their pre COVID levels +12% YoY Financial Markets ▪ Strong 9-month revenues up 24% from 2019 PTPP: $934 MM ▪ Solid growth in Global Markets +32% YoY ▪ Supporting our clients through the crisis while maintaining a sound risk profile USSF&I ▪ Resilient businesses, well positioned to perform through the crisis PTPP: $349 MM ▪ ABA: Net income grew 62% YoY, capitalizing on its strong brand in uncertain times +12% YoY ▪ Credigy: Revenue growth and credit losses impacted by COVID-19 6
PERSONAL AND COMMERCIAL BANKING P&C Summary Results ($MM) ▪ Revenues flat YoY, mainly driven by: 9M 20 9M 19 YoY - Lower margin Revenues 2,580 2,576 0% - Lower client activity Personal 1,607 1,618 (1%) - Offset by good mortgage and deposit volumes Commercial 973 958 2% Non-Interest Expenses 1,384 1,382 0% ▪ Commercial lending impacted by COVID Pre-Tax / Pre-Provisions 1,196 1,194 0% ▪ Continued disciplined cost management PCL 450 178 153% Net Income 549 746 (26%) Key Metrics 9M 20 9M 19 YoY P&C Net Interest Margin(1) Avg Loans & BAs - Personal 78,381 75,614 4% Avg Loans & BAs - Commercial 37,733 35,938 5% 2.23% 2.19% Avg Loans & BAs - Total 116,114 111,552 4% Avg Deposits - Personal 33,113 30,389 9% Avg Deposits - Commercial 32,644 31,177 5% 9M 19 9M 20 Avg Deposits - Total 65,757 61,566 7% NIM (%) 2.19% 2.23% (0.04%) Efficiency Ratio (%) 53.6% 53.6% - PCL Ratio 0.52% 0.21% 0.31% (1) NIM is on Earning Assets. 7
WEALTH MANAGEMENT Wealth Management Summary Results ($MM) ▪ Transaction volumes remained elevated 9M 20 9M 19 YoY ▪ Fee-based are up 7% YoY due to strong Revenues 1,389 1,297 7% net sales Fee-Based 806 750 7% ▪ AUA and AUM back to pre-COVID levels Transaction & Others 248 203 22% ▪ Lower net interest income as strong Net Interest Income 335 344 (3%) deposits were more than offset by lower Non-Interest Expenses 834 802 4% interest rates Pre-Tax / Pre-Provisions 555 495 12% PCL 6 - Net Income 404 365 11% Assets Under Management ($MM) Key Metrics ($B) 9M 20 9M 19 YoY 86,014 86,742 78,740 80,760 82,548 Avg Loans & BAs 4.7 4.9 (3%) Avg Deposits 38,776 39,177 34.1 32.5 5% 36,353 36,819 36,324 Asset Under Administration 500.3 479.1 4% Asset Under Management 86.7 78.7 10% 42,387 43,941 47,238 46,224 47,565 Efficiency Ratio (%) 60.0% 61.8% -180 bps Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Individual Mutual funds 8
FINANCIAL MARKETS Financial Markets Summary Results ($MM, TEB) ▪ Solid growth in Global Markets, mainly due to higher revenues in fixed income 9M 20 9M 19 YoY - Higher volumes in fixed income secured Revenues 1,559 1,256 24% funding Global Markets 987 733 35% - Lower volatility and trading volumes in equity C&IB 572 523 9% ▪ C&IB up 9% YoY driven by DCM and ECM, Non-Interest Expenses 625 547 14% and strong loan and deposit volumes Pre-Tax / Pre-Provisions 934 709 32% - Partly offset by lower M&A activity PCL 212 20 960% Net Income 531 505 5% Other Metrics 9M 20 9M 19 YoY Global Markets Revenues (1) Avg Loans & BAs 18,847 16,448 15% ($MM) Efficiency Ratio (%) 40.1% 43.6% -350 bps 987 733 558 424 316 207 102 113 9M 19 9M 20 Commodity and Foreign exchange Fixed income Equity (1) Corporate Banking only. 9
US SPECIALTY FINANCE & INTERNATIONAL USSF&I Summary Results ABA Bank ($MM) ▪ Strong growth with earnings up 62% YoY, 9M 20 9M 19 YoY loans up 50% and deposits up 47% Revenues 588 523 12% Credigy ▪ Solid credit position: well-diversified 284 307 (7%) portfolio, 98% secured ABA 299 213 40% - Loan deferrals representing 17% of portfolio Other 5 3 67% (interest paid on 92% of deferrals; LTV of Non-Interest Expenses 239 211 13% 36% on deferrals) Credigy 106 114 (7%) ABA 130 95 37% ▪ Expecting strong earnings growth for F2020 Other 3 2 50% PCL 63 60 5% Credigy Credigy 47 50 (6%) ▪ Lower earnings due to COVID-19 impact ABA 16 10 60% Net Income 246 201 22% ▪ Expecting ~ flat earnings in F2020 Credigy 103 113 (9%) ▪ Maintaining disciplined growth strategy ABA 141 87 62% going forward Other 2 1 100% Other Metrics 9M 20 9M 19 YoY Avg Loans - Credigy 7,309 6,180 18% Avg Loans - ABA 3,868 2,583 50% Avg Deposits - ABA 4,742 3,220 47% Efficiency Ratio (%) 40.6% 40.3% +30 bps ABA Bank - Branches 77 68 13% 10
PROVISIONS FOR CREDIT LOSSES PCL Q3 2020 Total PCL $143M (35bps); 70% lower QoQ ($MM) $81 $143 ▪ Conditions benefited from significant support programs and re-opening of economy PCL on Performing Loans Impaired Non-Retail $74 ▪ Key drivers: revision of macroeconomic $88 factors/scenario weights; portfolio growth, migration, and increase in management overlay $62 ▪ Retail: $18M, reflects prudent provisioning Non-Retail POCI ($7) Retail despite temporarily low delinquencies $27 $48 ▪ Non-retail: $27M, reflecting macro update, Retail $18 portfolio growth and migration USSF&I USSF&I ▪ USSF&I: $17M, additional provisions to reflect $17 $21 economic uncertainties Performing Impaired & POCI (1) Total PCL PCL on Impaired Loans Personal 17 29 46 Commercial 13 20 33 ▪ Material reduction in both Retail and Non- FM 14 27 41 Retail Impaired PCLs QoQ reflecting WM 1 1 2 government programs, moratoriums and Total PCL x-USSF&I 45 77 122 improved credit conditions USSF&I(1) 17 4 21 ▪ Strong performance in USSF&I reflecting Total PCL ($MM) 62 81 143 Total PCL (bps) 15 20 35 portfolio quality (1) Impaired PCL includes ($7M) from Purchased or Originated Credit Impaired (POCI), representing better collection performance than expected. 11
ALLOWANCE FOR CREDIT LOSSES ACL Q3 20 Total Allowances: ($MM) ▪ Continued to prudently build allowances in the third quarter 70% increase in allowances since Q1 20 ▪ Since Q1 2020, Total Allowances for Credit Losses increased from $769M to $1.3B $1,305 ($43) ▪ 109% increase in allowances for non-retail $1,211 $143 portfolios since Q1 and a 35% increase in Non- Performing allowances for retail portfolios reflecting our $342 product and geographic mix Non-Retail Non-Retail $720 $656 (1 Performing Allowances: $769 ) ▪ Performing ACLs increased by 76% since Non-Retail Q1 2020, reaching $1,036M $345 Performing ▪ Represents 2.8 times coverage $1,036 Retail Retail of LTM impaired PCLs $490 $509 Retail $378 Non-Performing Allowances: USSF&I USSF&I ▪ Increased to $342M or 43% of USSF&I $104 $134 $149 POCI ($58) POCI ($69) POCI ($73) POCI ($73) GIL vs 39% of GIL last quarter ACL Q1 20 ACL Q2 20 PCL Q3 20 NCO Q3 20 ACL Q3ACL 20 Q3 20(1)(2)Q3 20 ACL (1) Performing ACL includes allowances on drawn ($840M), undrawn ($159M) and other assets ($37M). (2) Total ACL in Q3 20 includes -$6M of FX variation. 12
PRUDENT PROVISIONING IN UNCERTAIN ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT Strong Performing ACL Coverage Total ACL Consistent with Portfolio Positioning Performing ACL / LTM PCL on Impaired Loans Total ACL / Total Loans excl. FVTPL Q3 20 Q2 20 Q3 19 Q3 20 Q2 20 Q3 19 Total Bank 2.8x 2.8x 1.8x Total Bank 0.84% 0.77% 0.53% Total Bank x-USSF&I 2.9x 3.0x 2.3x Retail x-USSF&I 0.60% 0.59% 0.44% Non-Retail x-USSF&I 1.23% 1.07% 0.64% Consistent Reserve Build Total Allowances Cover 4.7X NCOs Total PCL – Net Charge-Off ($MM) Total ACL / LTM Net Charge-Off YTD F2020 F2019 F2018 Q3 20 Q2 20 Q3 19 Total Bank $555 $48 $5 Total Bank 4.7x 4.1x 2.5x Total Bank x-USSF&I $528 $61 $28 Total Bank x-USSF&I 5.5x 4.9x 3.4x Note: Performing ACL includes allowances on drawn ($840M), undrawn ($159M) and other assets ($37M). 13
GROSS IMPAIRED LOANS AND FORMATIONS Gross Impaired Loans(1) (GIL) ($MM) 48 49 ▪ Gross impaired loan ratio increased 1bp to 44 44 43 $794 49bps ($794M) $780 $674 $684 $677 ▪ Net formations declined by $108M from last quarter reflecting: $462 $444 - Net repayments in Commercial - $384 $387 $374 Lower formations in FM $264 $273 $300 $254 $261 $36 $36 $39 $45 $50 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 USSF&I Retail Non-Retail GIL ratio (bps) Net Formations(2) by Business Segment ($MM) Q3 20 Q2 20 Q1 20 Q4 19 Q3 19 Personal 56 53 48 54 34 Commercial (15) 64 (21) 47 31 Financial Markets 5 37 30 (4) 36 Wealth Management 6 1 − 1 (1) Credigy 11 16 17 20 23 ABA Bank 6 6 4 0 2 Total GIL Net Formations 69 177 78 118 125 (1) Under IFRS 9, impaired loans are all loans classified in stage 3 of the expected credit loss model. Those loans do not take into account purchased or originated credit-impaired loans. (2) Formations include new accounts, disbursements, principal repayments, and exchange rate fluctuation; net of write-offs. 14
STRONG CAPITAL POSITION CET1 Ratio ▪ Strong CET1 ratio of 11.4%(2) ▪ Strong pre-tax pre-provision earnings supported by favorable business mix 0.45% (0.11%) 0.03% ▪ Total PCL of $143M (11 bps after-tax) (0.25%) (0.08%) ▪ RWA growth absorbed 25 bps 11.39% 11.43% (see Appendix 6) Q2 20 Net Income Total PCL RWA ECL Other Q3 20 Ex. PCL (After-tax) Transitional (Net of Div.) Add-Back(1) (1) Transitional measure applicable to expected credit loss provisioning. (2) Ratio takes into account the transitional relief measures granted by OSFI in the context of COVID-19 (11.2% excluding these measures). For additional details regarding relief measures introduced by the regulatory authorities, please refer to pages 7-8 of the Bank’s Q3-2020 Report to Shareholders. 15
STRONG CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY POSITIONS Capital and Capital Ratios ($MM) ▪ Our capital levels remain strong Q3 20 Q2 20 Q1 20 Capital ▪ Total capital ratio of 15.1% CET1 $10,840 $10,568 $10,046 ▪ Strong liquidity coverage ratio of 161% Tier 1 $13,290 $13,368 $12,846 Total $14,336 $14,370 $13,755 Capital ratios CET1 11.4% 11.4% 11.7% Tier 1 14.0% 14.4% 14.9% Total 15.1% 15.5% 16.0% Leverage 4.3% 4.4% 4.0% Liquidity Coverage Ratio 161% 149% 144% 16
LIQUIDITY AND FUNDING
FUNDING STRATEGY The main objective of the funding strategy is to support the Bank's organic growth while also enabling it to survive potentially severe and prolonged crises and to meet its regulatory obligations and financial targets. The funding framework consists of 3 pillars: 1. Pursue a diversified deposit strategy to fund core banking activities through stable deposits coming from the networks of each of the Bank’s major business segments; 2. Maintain a sound liquidity risk management through centralized expertise and management of liquidity metrics within predefined risk appetite; 3. Maintain active access to various markets to ensure diversification of institutional funding in terms of source, geographic location, currency, instrument and maturity, whether secured or unsecured. The funding strategy is implemented in accordance with the overall objectives of strengthening the Bank's franchise among market participants and consolidating its excellent reputation. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 18
DIVERSIFIED DEPOSIT STRATEGY Pursue a diversified deposit strategy to fund core banking activities through stable deposits coming from the networks of each of the Bank’s major business segments NBC TOTAL DEPOSITS ($BN) NBC PERSONAL DEPOSITS ($BN) $169 $66 $159 $64 $152 $61 1Y CAGR = 18% $60 1Y CAGR = 12% $145 $143 $59 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 NBC BUSINESS & GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS ($BN) $103 ▪ Resulting from the steady execution of the Bank’s successful deposit strategy, Total $95 Deposits increased to $169B as of Q3 2020. $91 1Y CAGR = 22% $85 $84 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 19
SOUND LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Maintain a sound liquidity risk management through centralized expertise and management of liquidity metrics within predefined risk appetite, with 4 main principles: Efficient Risk & Reward Balance through a Risk Appetite Framework, Decision-making processes based on clear and complete understanding of liquidity risk and liquidity risk contributors, support to NBC’s credit ratings and liquidity position maintained above regulatory minimum requirements. Unsecured Wholesale Funding Liquidity Coverage Ratio vs. Unencumbered Liquid Assets Liquidity Approach to Wholesale Funding Regulatory Liquidity ▪ High-quality liquidity portfolio more than offsets ▪ Ongoing well-positioned LCR reliance on Unsecured Wholesale Funding ▪ The Bank currently monitors the NSFR and will be ▪ Continued disciplined approach to Unsecured compliant in time for the implementation (as of the Wholesale Funding effective date of January 1, 2021) Additional information on the Bank’s liquidity position can be found in pp. 35-43 of the Q3 2020 Quarterly Report. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 20
MATURITY PROFILE Maintain active access to various markets to ensure diversification of institutional funding in terms of source, geographic location, currency, instrument and maturity, whether secured or unsecured. Term Funding (C$ millions) Term Funding Canada (selected issuances) Currency Principal (in millions) Tenor Product Coupon Maturity CAD 1,000 5Y Senior Unsecured (BID) 2.545% 24-Jul CAD 750 5Y Senior Unsecured (BID) 2.580% 25-Feb CAD 750 6NC5 Senior Unsecured (BID) 1.573% 26-Aug Foreign (selected issuances) Currency Principal (in millions) Tenor Product Coupon Maturity EUR 750 5Y Covered Bonds 0.375% 24-Jan USD 750 3Y Sustainable Senior Unsecured (BID) 2.150% 22-Oct USD 1,000 3Y Senior Unsecured (BID) 2.100% 23-Feb USD 500 3NC2 Senior Unsecured (BID) 0.900% 23-Aug Note: The Term Funding Ladder includes all negotiable products with terms at issuance greater than or equal to 1 year, excluding Bank of Canada facilities usage. For details on the Bank of Canada facilities, please refer to Q320 Report to Shareholders (pp. 9 and 49). Excludes capital issuances. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 21
DIVERSIFIED FUNDING PLATFORMS Maintain active access to various markets to ensure diversification of institutional funding in terms of source, geographic location, currency, instrument and maturity, whether secured or unsecured Unsecured Wholesale Funding Platforms Securitization and Covered Bond Programs ▪ Benchmark C$ Senior Unsecured ▪ Canadian Mortgage Bonds ▪ US$ Senior Unsecured MTN programs ▪ Canadian Credit Card Trust II (Structured Notes and Senior Bail-in) ▪ Legislative Global Covered Bond Program ▪ Euro MTN program (EMTN) ▪ US$ Commercial Paper programs and Yankee CDs ▪ C$ MTN shelf In addition to benchmark deals, we also have capacity to: ✓ act on Reverse enquiries ✓ execute Private Placements and Club Deals, ✓ tailor Sustainability Bonds (ESG) and Structured Notes (incl. Step-ups, Callables, CMS) Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 22
TLAC RATIOS The Bank does not anticipate any challenges in fully meeting the minimum TLAC requirements by November 1, 2021. ▪ Q320 NBC TLAC RWA Ratio = 22.8% ▪ Q320 NBC TLAC Leverage Ratio = 7% ▪ NBC will comply with both TLAC regulatory requirements by Q1 2022 Starting Q1 2022, all Canadian D-SIBs will be required to maintain a TLAC risk-weighted ratio of at least 21.5%. In addition, all D-SIBs will be expected to hold buffers above the minimum TLAC Ratio, including the Domestic Stability Buffer (“DSB”, adjusted to 1.00% of total RWA on March 13, 2020, to be effective April 30, 2020). Inclusive of the DSB as currently set, the D-SIBs’ supervisory target risk-based TLAC Ratio would stand at 22.5% when into effect on Nov. 1, 2021. Starting Q1 2022, all D-SIBs will also be required to maintain a TLAC leverage ratio of at least 6.75%. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 23
NBC SUSTAINABILITY BOND FRAMEWORK AND REPORTING February 2018, NBC published its Sustainability Bond Framework and obtained Second Party Opinion from VigeoEiris: https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/a-propos-de-nous/relations-investisseurs/fonds-propres-et-dette/nbc-sustainability-bond-framework.pdf February 2020, NBC published its Sustainability Bond Report and obtained Independent Opinion from VigeoEiris: https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/a-propos-de-nous/relations-investisseurs/fonds-propres-et-dette/2020/na-sustainability-bond-report-2019.pdf https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/a-propos-de-nous/relations-investisseurs/fonds-propres-et-dette/2020/na-vigeo-eiris-post-issuance-review-2020.pdf In line with the ICMA Green Bond Principles and Social Bond Principles, NBC’s Sustainability Bonds will be allocated to financing of projects and organizations that credibly contribute to the environmental objectives or seek to achieve positive socioeconomic outcomes for target populations. Therefore, these are likely to contribute to United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (listed below), by having a focus on: Renewable Energy / Sustainable Buildings / Low-Carbon Transportation / Affordable Housing / Access to Basic and Essential Services In FY2019, NBC completed four sustainability bond issuances, including the first international issuance of USD Sustainability Bonds by a North American bank, as well as Sustainable Structured Bonds issued via tailored private placements: NACN USD 750,000,000 3Y 2.15% Senior Notes Due October 2022 NACN EUR 40,000,000 12y CMS1010 Senior Notes Due February 2031 NACN EUR 50,000,000 15y CMS1010 Senior Notes Due April 2034 NACN EUR 40,000,000 15y Steepener Senior Notes Due May 2034 Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 24
NBC SUSTAINABILITY BOND FRAMEWORK For the purpose of issuing Sustainability Bonds, NBC has developed its framework, which addresses the four core components of the ICMA Sustainability Bond Guidelines and its recommendations on the use of external reviews and impact reporting: 1. Use of proceeds 2. Project selection and evaluation process 3. Management of proceeds 4. Reporting As per the ICMA Sustainability Bond Guidelines: “Sustainability Bonds are bonds where the proceeds will be exclusively applied to finance or re-finance a combination of both Green and Social Projects. Sustainability Bonds are aligned with the four core components of both the GBP [Green Bond Principles or “GBP”] and the SBP [Social Bond Principles or “SBP”] with the former being especially relevant to underlying Green Projects and the latter to underlying Social Projects. It is understood that certain Social Projects may also have environmental co-benefits, and that certain Green Projects may have social co-benefits. The classification of a use of proceeds bond as a Green Bond, Social Bond, or Sustainability Bond should be determined by the issuer based on its primary objectives for the underlying projects.” https://www.icmagroup.org/green-social-and-sustainability-bonds/sustainability-bond-guidelines-sbg/ Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 25
APPENDICES
APPENDIX 1 │ TOTAL LOAN PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW Loan Distribution by Borrower Category ($B) ▪ Secured lending accounts for 94% As at of Retail loans July 31, 2020 % of Total Retail ▪ Indirect auto loans represent 1.8% of total Secured - Mortgage & HELOC 78.8 48% loans ($2.9B) (1) Secured - Other 9.0 5% Unsecured 4.3 3% ▪ Limited exposure to unsecured retail and Credit Cards 1.8 1% cards (4% of total loans) Total Retail 93.9 57% ▪ Non-Retail portfolio is well-diversified Non-Retail across industries Real Estate and Construction RE 13.3 8% Agriculture 6.6 4% Manufacturing 6.1 4% Other Services 5.3 3% Oil & Gas and Pipeline 5.2 3% Oil & Gas 2.8 2% Pipeline & Other 2.4 1% Retail & Wholesale trade 5.1 3% Finance and Insurance 4.8 3% Other(2) 21.7 14% Total Non-Retail 68.1 42% Purchased or Originated Credit-Impaired 0.9 1% Total Gross Loans and Acceptances 162.9 100% (1) Includes indirect lending and other lending secured by assets other than real estate. (2) Includes Mining, Utilities, Transportation, Professional Services, Construction, Communication, Government and Education & Health Care. 27
APPENDIX 2 │ REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF CANADIAN LOANS Portfolios Prudently Positioned to Face the Crisis As at July 31, 2020 Within the Canadian loan portfolio: Maritimes(2) ▪ Limited exposure to unsecured consumer Oil and loans (3.7%) Quebec Ontario Regions(1) BC/MB Territories Total Retail ▪ Modest exposure to unsecured consumer Secured 27.4% 13.3% 4.8% 3.6% 1.1% 50.2% loans outside Quebec (0.8%) Mortgage & HELOC Secured 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 5.6% ▪ RESL exposure predominantly in Quebec Other Unsecured 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 3.7% and Credit Cards Total Retail 33.2% 15.0% 5.4% 4.3% 1.6% 59.5% Non-Retail Commercial 17.5% 4.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 25.5% Corporate Banking 4.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 15.0% and Other(3) Total Non-Retail 22.2% 9.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 40.5% Total 55.4% 24.0% 10.7% 7.1% 2.8% 100.0% (1) Oil regions include Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland (2) Maritimes include New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and P.E.I. (3) Includes Corporate, Other FM and Government portfolios 28
APPENDIX 3 │ RETAIL MORTGAGE AND HELOC PORTFOLIO Canadian Distribution by Province As at July 31, 2020 ▪ Insured mortgages account for 38% of the 55% Uninsured & HELOC total RESL portfolio (70% in Alberta) Insured ▪ Distribution across product and geography remained stable 68% ▪ Uninsured mortgages and HELOC in GTA 26% and GVA represent 10% and 2% of the total portfolio and have an average LTV(1) of 50% and 51% respectively for 62% each segment 32% 8% 6% 5% 38% 30% 56% Canadian Distribution by Mortgage Type 70% 39% 44% 61% QC ON AB BC Other Provinces 59% 51% 70% 52% 56% Average LTV - Uninsured and HELOC(1) HELOC $23.6B(2) Insured Canadian Uninsured and HELOC Portfolio / 32% $28.4B $73.7B / 38% HELOC Uninsured (1) Average LTV 56% 59% Average Credit Bureau Score 794 775 Uninsured 90+ Days Past Due (bps) 16 34 $21.7B / 30% (1) LTV are based on authorized limit for HELOCs and outstanding amount for Uninsured Mortgages. They are updated using Teranet-National Bank sub-indices by area and property type. (2) Of which $14.5B are amortizing HELOC. 29
APPENDIX 4 │ LIMITED EXPOSURE TO COVID-19 MOST IMPACTED INDUSTRIES ▪ Limited exposure to COVID-19 most impacted industries (down 9% QoQ) Gross Loans % of ($MM) Book Non-Food / Non-Pharmacy Retailers Essential Services Retailers $379 0.2% n Decrease of 51% in drawings (QoQ) Other Retailers $554 0.3% n Decrease of 17% QoQ / Diversified customer base / Less than 25% in apparel Car Dealerships $580 0.4% n Decrease of 9% QoQ / Typically secured by real estate / Strong recovery in car sales Hospitality and Entertainment Entertainment $511 0.3% n 54% in professional sports teams which are 74% IG Hotels $338 0.2% n Remained disciplined in sector / Secured portfolio with conservative LTV and branded assets Restaurants $244 0.1% n Maintained a low risk appetite for the sector throughout the years / 52% IG Air Transportation and Aeronautics Aviation $642 0.4% n 55% IG / 1/3 in airports and airport operations Aeronautics $83 0.1% n mainly IG (91%) and all Secured (99%) Auto and Auto Parts Manufacturing $236 0.1% n Record sales in July Retail Real Estate n Constrained portfolio growth in recent years Diversified REITs $709 0.4% n Primarily IG REITs with good liquidity and continued access to capital markets Commercial Retail $1,964 1.2% n More than 90% with street access / about 50% of leases with essential services tenants 30
APPENDIX 5 │ OIL & GAS AND PIPELINES SECTOR O&G Producers and Services Exposure Gross Loans in $MM and % of Total Loans ▪ O&G producers and services exposure $3,956 significantly reduced - 29% reduction in outstanding loans: down from $4B in Q1/15 to $2.8B in Q3/20 $2,798 - Reduction as a % of total loans: down from 3.7% in Q1/15 to 1.8% in Q3/20 3.7% - Canadian focused strategy, minimal direct 1.8% US exposure ▪ Overall O&G and Pipeline portfolio refocused from mid-cap to large cap Q1 15 Q3 20 - Producers share declined from 82% in Q1/15 to 49% in Q3/20 O&G and Pipeline sector - Following the bi-annual revision, 56% of Total Gross Loans of $5.2B the portfolio is Investment Grade 4% (as of Q3/20) 5% 11% IG: 100% 9% 4% IG: 49% ▪ Very modest indirect exposure to 36% IG: 69% unsecured retail loans in the oil regions (~0.1% of total loans) 82% 49% IG: 38% Q1 15 Q3 20 Producers Midstream Services Refinery & Integrated 31
APPENDIX 6 │ RWA GROWTH Risk-Weighted Assets ($MM) ▪ RWA growth primarily driven by Credit Risk ▪ Limited impact from rating migration: 2 bps $603 - 8 bps of CET1 from non-retail portfolio $1,287 $169 $94,814 - Partly offset by 6 bps improvement in retail (low delinquency due to government programs) $92,755 Q2 20 Credit Risk Operational Market Risk Q3 20 Risk 32
APPENDIX 7 │ OVERVIEW OF SELECTED BANK OF CANADA MEASURES In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of Canada has taken various measures since March 2020, including: ▪ Added 6- and 12-month Term Repo operations (bi-weekly operations, March 12, 2020), later enhanced to permit up to 24-month funding (April 15, 2020); ▪ Introduced a Bankers’ Acceptance Purchase Facility (BAPF), started the week of March 23, secondary market purchases of 1-month BAs issued and guaranteed by any Canadian bank and of sufficiently high quality (minimum short-term credit rating of R-1 (low)), subsequently expanded with longer-tenor BAs (March 13, 2020); ▪ Launch of the Standing Term Liquidity Facility (STLF), first announced in November 2019. Under the STLF, the Bank could provide loans to eligible financial institutions in need of temporary liquidity support and where the Bank has no concerns about their financial soundness. The STLF complements the Bank’s current tools for the provision of liquidity and will strengthen the Bank’s role as lender of last resort. The facility launched on March 30, 2020. ▪ Announced intention to broaden eligible collateral for its Term Repo facility to include the full range of collateral eligible under the Standing Liquidity Facility, to expand beyond Government of Canada securities and those explicitly guaranteed by the crown, this list includes provincial bonds, municipal bonds, government-sponsored pension bonds, commercial paper, ABS, BAs, corporates and US treasury bills/bonds, among others. However, each of these securities must meet minimum acceptable quality requirements and each security type is subject to rating thresholds. Scope subsequently broadened a few times, to include also own-name covered bonds, term ABS, ABCP and BDNs (On June 3, BDNs have been removed). ▪ Provincial Bond Purchase Program (PBPP), capacity to buy up to $50B in CAD-denominated provincial and provincial agency debt (maturities of ten years and under). The program launched in May, may continue for 12 months. ▪ Corporate Bond Purchase Program (CBPP) which will allow the Bank to buy up to $10B investment-grade (BBB and above), CAD-denominated corporate bonds with maturities of up to 5 years. ▪ Other measures include frequency of operations, adjustments to scope of securities eligible to the various facilities and programs, CMBs buyback program, LVTS participants being granted more flexibility as to assets to be pledged (for example: non-mortgage loan portfolios). ▪ Additional coordinated measures from other Canadian regulators such as CMHC (for example: IMPP and Commercial rents support) and OSFI (for example: DSB lowered). For greater details (reference updated as of August 21, 2020): https://www.nbc.ca/content/dam/bnc/en/rates-and-analysis/economic-analysis/policy-update.pdf Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 33
APPENDIX 8 │ NBC CREDIT RATINGS Long-Term Non Covered Counterparty Short-term Bail-inable Senior Debt(2) Outlook Credit Rating Bonds risk(3) Senior Debt(1) Agency S&P A-1 A BBB+ Stable ---- ---- Moody’s P-1 Aa3 A3 Stable Aaa Aa3 DBRS R-1 (mid) AA (low) A (high) Stable AAA ---- Fitch F1+ AA- A+ Negative AAA AA- ▪ Strong short-term ratings ▪ Solid Deposit / Non Bail-inable Senior Debt ratings ▪ “A” Long-Term Senior Bail-in Debt ratings, Indices composite A* and A-** (1) Includes Senior Debt issued prior to Sept. 23, 2018 and Senior Debt issued on or after Sept. 23, 2018 which is excluded from the Bank Recapitalization (Bail-in) Regime. (2) Subject to conversion under the Bank Recapitalization (Bail-in) Regime. (3) Moody's terminology is Counterparty Risk Rating (CRR) while Fitch's terminology is Derivative Counterparty Rating (DCR). * FTSE Russell (as of April 30, 2019) ** Bloomberg Index (as of April 30, 2019) Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 34
APPENDIX 9 │ LEGISLATIVE COVERED BOND PROGRAMME Programme size ▪ CAD$ 15,000,000,000 Outstanding benchmark covered bonds ▪ €1B 1.5% 03/21; €1B 0.5% 01/22; £250M 3M£LIBOR+37 09/21; €750M 0.0% 09/23; €750M 0.750% 03/25; €750M 0.250% 07/23; €750M 0.375% 01/24 and USD1,000M 2.05% 06/22 Ratings ▪ Aaa / AAA / AAA by Moody’s, Fitch and DBRS Asset percentage minimum and maximum ▪ 80-93% Currency ▪ Any Guarantor ▪ NBC Covered Bond (Legislative) Guarantor L.P. Listing ▪ London, U.K. Law ▪ Canadian Legislative Framework (National Housing Act) LTV ▪ 80% Maximum Collateral pool eligibility ▪ Canadian uninsured residential mortgage loans Tenor ▪ Any Allowed Coupon ▪ Fixed / Float Bullet Type ▪ Soft Bullet Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 35
APPENDIX 10 │ OTHER Other Segment Summary Results ($MM, TEB) ▪ Incremental expenses of $44M YTD for health and safety measures in the Adjusted Results 9M 20 9M 19 context of the pandemic Revenues 27 6 Non-Interest Expenses 191 152 ▪ Decrease in variable compensation Pre-Tax / Pre-Provisions provision (164) (146) PCL 5 - Pre-Tax Income (169) (146) Net Income (129) (101) Reported Results Specified Items (10) 2 Net Income (139) (99) (1) Results for the third quarter of 2019 exclude a $79 million gain related to the disposal of Fiera Capital shares, a $50 million gain on disposal of head office building, a Remeasurement of NSIA at fair value for ($33) million and charges of $112 related to Impairment losses, Provisions for onerous contracts and Severance pay. Please refer to page 13 of the Bank’s Third Quarter 2020 Report to Shareholders for additional information. 36
DISCLAIMER This Document has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Any such offer would be made only after a prospective participant had completed its own independent investigation of the securities, instruments or transactions and received all information it required to make its own investment decision, including a review of the final prospectus and the final terms describing such security or instrument, which would contain material information not contained herein and to which prospective participants are referred. THE COVERED BONDS WILL NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. IF ISSUED, THE COVERED BONDS WILL BE SUITABLE ONLY FOR SOPHISTICATED INVESTORS WHO ARE WILLING TO TAKE CONSIDERABLE RISKS AND CAN ABSORB A PARTIAL OR COMPLETE LOSS ON THEIR INVESTMENT. THE PRESENTATION HAS BEEN PREPARED FOR PRESENTATION TO MARKET PROFESSIONALS AND INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS ONLY. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS WILL BE REQUIRED TO ACKNOWLEDGE OR WILL HAVE BEEN DEEMED TO HAVE ACKNOWLEDGED THAT THEY UNDERSTAND THE RISKS AND POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE PURCHASE OF THE COVERED BONDS AND THAT THEY HAVE MADE SUCH INDEPENDENT APPRAISAL OF THE NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA (THE "BANK") AND THE ASSETS COMPRISING THE COLLATERAL POOL AND THEIR RESPECTIVE ECONOMIC CIRCUMSTANCES AS THEY THINK APPROPRIATE, AND HAVE CONSULTED WITH THEIR OWN LEGAL, INVESTMENT, ACCOUNTING AND TAX ADVISORS TO THE EXTENT THEY BELIEVE IS APPROPRIATE TO ASSIST THEM IN UNDERSTANDING AND EVALUATING THE RISKS INVOLVED AND THE CONSEQUENCES OF PURCHASING THE COVERED BONDS. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL BE SUPERSEDED AND AMENDED IN FULL BY THE PROSPECTUS FOR THE COVERED BOND PROGRAM AND THE FINAL TERMS FOR THE RELEVANT ISSUANCE WHICH SHALL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA. IF ISSUED, THE COVERED BONDS WILL NOT BE REGISTERED UNDER THE U.S. SECURITIES ACT OF 1933, AS AMENDED (THE "SECURITIES ACT") OR THE SECURITIES LAWS OF ANY STATE IN THE UNITED STATES AND WILL BE SUBJECT TO U.S. TAX REQUIREMENTS. THE COVERED BONDS MAY BE OFFERED, SOLD OR DELIVERED ONLY TO (i) QUALIFIED INSTITUTIONAL BUYERS (“QIBs”) IN RELIANCE ON THE EXEMPTION FROM REGISTRATION PROVIDED BY RULE 144A UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT (“RULE 144A”) OR (ii) INSTITUTIONAL “ACCREDITED INVESTORS” (AS DEFINED IN RULE 501(A)(1), (2), (3) OR (7) UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT) (“INSTITUTIONAL ACCREDITED INVESTORS”); OR (iii) OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES TO NON-U.S. PERSONS IN RELIANCE UPON REGULATION S UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT (“REGULATION S”). These materials have been prepared solely for informational purposes and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information herein, or that any future offer of securities, instruments or transactions will conform to the terms hereof. Please refer to the important information and qualifications on the last page hereof when reviewing this information. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information herein, or that any future offer of securities, instruments or transactions will conform to the terms hereof. The National Bank of Canada (the “Bank”) and National Bank Financial Inc. (“NBF”) and each of their respective affiliates disclaim any and all liability relating to this information. The Bank, NBF, their respective affiliates and others associated with them may have positions in, and may effect transactions in, securities and instruments mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of such securities and instruments or similar securities and instruments. The information herein may contain general, summary discussions of certain tax, regulatory, accounting and/or legal issues relevant to the Covered Bonds. Any such discussion is necessarily generic and may not be applicable to, or complete for, any particular recipient’s specific facts and circumstances. The Bank is not offering and does not purport to offer tax, regulatory, accounting or legal advice and this information should not be relied upon as such. Prior to making any proposed investment in the Covered Bonds, recipients should determine, in consultation with their own legal, tax, regulatory and accounting advisors, the economic risks and merits, as well as the legal, tax, regulatory and accounting characteristics and consequences, of the investment. Q3|20 Fixed Income Presentation 37
QUESTIONS? Mr. Jean Dagenais, Senior Vice-President, Finance Jean.Dagenais@nbc.ca Mr. Jean-Sébastien Gagné, Treasurer JeanSebastien.Gagne@nbc.ca Additional information can be found via these web links: https://www.nbc.ca/investor-relations.html https://www.nbc.ca/capital-debt-information.html
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