SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - RWANDA'S 2019/20 NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN JUNE 2019 - PWC
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In this bulletin… 1. Our Commentary 03 2. The Economy 07 3. Tax Amendments 18 4. East Africa Highlights 23 Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 2
Commentary “Transforming lives through industrialisation and job creation for shared prosperity” was the theme for the budgets of all East African Community countries - consistent with the previous year and the year before. This theme also aligns with Rwanda’s Vision 2050 (ensuring high standards of living for all Rwandans) and the seven year Government program (2017 to 2024)/National Strategy for Transformation 1 (which integrates far-sighted, long-range global and regional commitments that are geared towards transforming the well being of citizens). This is commendable as the budget talks to each of the three pillars of NST1. In his budget speech, the Minister for Finance highlighted numerous economic and social achievements, opportunities and well as challenges. Amongst the challenges highlighted were, higher than expected inflation from imported products following increased transport costs due to an increase in oil prices. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 Proprietary and confidential. Do not distribute. PwC 3
Commentary The Minister remains confident on Recently, there has been significant both the prospects for growth, and debate in the media in relation to for revenue collection. On growth, levels of Government debt; and the Budget assumes real GDP more debate might be triggered growth of 7.8% for 2019/2020 given a 2019/20 target for an Placeholder for image, which is consistent with the recent increased budget deficit (3% of chart or graph forecasts from the African GDP) as compared to 2018/19. Development Bank and the IMF. Whilst acknowledging that The 2019/20 budget is FRW2,876.9 government debt has been bn) which is an 11% increase on increasing, the Minister the 2018/19 revised budget emphasized that the latest Debt (FRW2,585.2 bn). The domestic Sustainability Analysis conducted in revenue (including domestic April 2019 confirmed the Placeholder for image, financing) is assumed to contribute sustainability of the debt in the chart or graph 68% of the budget which is still medium and long term. The focus consistent with 2018/19 domestic should continue to be on having the revenue contribution to budget debt ploughed in sectors that which is a good indication that in generate productive growth and coming years the budget will soon ensure its not only sustainable but be largely domestically funded. there is sufficient cash for repayment when it falls due. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 4
Commentary A number of measures were announced that sought to assist domestic local grown solutions, importantly, in an environment of tight liquidity and a constrained consumer pocket, for example the minister Placeholder for image, chart or graph stayed customs taxes on selected goods to facilitate local manufacturers and also ease inflationary pressures on some of the basic goods. On the tax front, the Minister did not announce any major tax changes apart from reaffirming the The Minister plans to spend about This also seems to align with the government’s commitment to roll out the Electronic Billing Machines (EBM 50% on recurrent expenditure and ‘Asian tigers’ who undertook the for all) to all persons engaged in 40% on development expenditure. Is journey before and embraced a commercial activities. This will require this the right expenditure mix given the disciplined and prudent approach of the affected businesses to reflect on country’s growth ambition? This borrowing for infrastructure projects how best to ready their processes for seems to be in line with the region’s while funding recurrent spending compliance. mix of recurrent and capital through domestic resources expenditure. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 5
Commentary Lastly we expected the Minister to For the taxman, the tax amnesty …given the announce a tax amnesty as part of will provide additional revenue and the ongoing measures to improved potentially widen the tax base in progress Rwanda tax compliance. cases of previously unregistered taxpayers. has made in Such initiatives have proved successful in a number of other This would certainly be an improving tax jurisdictions in bringing reluctant opportunity to wipe the slate clean, taxpayers in from the cold – and start afresh. We hope the compliance a tax creating a win-win for the taxpayer, Minister can consider such a move to able the tax payer formalize and in the near future amnesty is worth correct past errors or omissions without a cost of penalties. considering. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 6
The Economy Global Global Economic Growth Beyond 2020, global growth is set GDP for World Economies to settle at about 3.6% According to the IMF’s April 2019 World Economic Outlook (WEO), According to the IMF, growth 6 global growth momentum slackened across emerging markets and in 2018 to 3.6% from 3.8% in 2017, developing economies is projected 5 4.8 4.5 4.4 showing greater than expected to stabilize slightly below 5%. For weaker performance in some some regions, the outlook is 4 3.6 3.6 convoluted by a combination of 3.3 economies, notably Europe and Asia. structural bottlenecks, slower 3 The global economy is projected to advanced economy growth and, in 2.2 grow at an even a lower rate of 3.3% 2 1.8 1.7 some cases, high debt and tighter in 2019 compared to previous years. financial conditions. These factors, Global growth will start to level off in alongside subdued commodity 1 the second half of 2019 to achieve prices and civil strife or conflict in 0 3.6% in 2020 based on on-going some cases, contribute to Global Economy Advanced Emerging Markets build- up of policy stimulus in China, unresponsive medium-term Economies and Developing recent improvement in global financial prospects for Latin America; the Economies market and, stabilization of conditions Middle East, North Africa, and 2018 2019 2020 and declining pressures on growth in Pakistan region; and parts of Sub- the euro area and emerging markets. Saharan Africa Source: IMF 2019 World Economic Outlook Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 7
The Economy Africa Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) Some 21 countries are expected to 2019 GDP forecast for selected Sub-Saharan sustain growth at 5% or more in African Economies Sub-Saharan Africa’s (SSA) economic 2019. The remaining countries, recovery is set to continue, but along two mostly other resource-dependent tracks, after the region faced a decline in economies, including the largest - global commodities price between 2015 Nigeria and South Africa - are set to and 2016, tighter financial conditions and face slow growth in the near-term. Ethiopia a strong US dollar in 2018. 7% According to the IMF, addressing GDP growth in SSA was 3% in 2018 these growing challenges within compared to 2.9% in 2017 and is set to these countries requires building pick up to 3.5% in 2019 and stabilize at fiscal space and enhancing Nigeria Kenya slightly below 4% over the medium term. resilience to shocks by stepping up 2.7% 6.2% This is projected on diminished policy actions to mobilize revenues, Angola Rwanda 8.6% uncertainty and improved investment in alongside policies to boost 2.2% large economies together with continued productivity and private investment. robust growth in non-resource intensive countries. South Africa 1.8% Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 8
The Economy East Africa Community (EAC) According to the African Development GDP growth by region 2017 to 2020 significantly higher than the Bank’s 2019 African Economic continental average. Africa North Africa Outlook, East Africa is the fastest West Africa Central Africa growing region of the continent with a The Continental Free Trade Area robust GDP forecast of 5.9% from an East Africa Southern Africa (CFTA), launched in Kigali in March estimated 5.7% in 2018. However, 7 2018, is the latest regional integration the regional average is disguised by 6 initiative. The tripartite free trade area 5 substantial variation across countries. involving COMESA, EAC, and the 4 3 Southern African Development The countries with the highest 2 Community was an important economic growth are Rwanda, 1 motivation for the CFTA, especially in Tanzania and Kenya. The region 0 East and Southern Africa. 2017 2018 2019 2020 however continues to face various (EST) (EST) downside risks that could undermine Source: Africa development bank- East Africa These initiatives are believed to be Economic Outlook economic growth and development advancing regional integration in East prospects. Major risks are Further, international trade on the Africa and will accelerate inter- agriculture’s susceptibility to the continent remains low averaging at regional trade. impulses of nature, heavy reliance on about 14.5% and roughly unchanged primary commodity exports, rising oil over the past five years. Intra-EAC prices, persistent current account trade is the highest among all deficits and related increases in regional economic communities in external indebtedness. Africa - above 20% of exports and Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 9
The Economy Ease of doing business in the EAC Ease of doing business score EAC countries have continued to push the frontiers of reforms more REGIONAL AVERAGE (RANK 119) 56.94 broadly. The World Bank’s 2019 Doing Business report showed the SOUTH SUDAN (RANK 185) 35.34 progress made by sub-Saharan Africa among reforming economies. BURUNDI (RANK 168) 47.41 The 2019 report showed that the TANZANIA (RANK144) 53.63 EAC has continued to excel, accounting for one-third of all UGANDA (RANK 127) 57.06 business regulatory reforms. In fact, KENYA (RANK 61) 70.31 Rwanda and Kenya led the pack of reformers. RWANDA (RANK 29) 77.88 Despite these advancements 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 though, several EAC countries Source: World Bank Doing Business Report, 2019 continue to lag behind. Note: An economy’s ease of doing business score is reflected on a scale from 0 to 100, where 0 represents the lowest and 100 represents the best performance. The ease of doing business ranking ranges from 1 to 190. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 10
The Economy Rwanda’s Economic Performance Industry: The industry sector Services: The services sector Key Economic Indicators grew by 10%, much higher grew by 9% mainly driven by FY18/19 (est)FY19/20 than its 5 years’ average and a recovery in wholesale and GDP growth 8.6% 7.8% accounted for 16% of the total retail trade and continuing Total budget in FRW FRW FRW 2,876.9bn GDP. Growth in industry was expansion of the air transport 2,585.2bn Domestic Revenue % of GDP 16% 16.2% boosted particularly by the segment. Expenditure % of GDP 28.5% 28% recovery in the construction Headline Inflation 1.1 Est below 5% sector, which grew by 14%. Agriculture: The agriculture Public Debt in USD USD41bn ? sector grew by 6% following Domestic borrowing % of GDP 0.7% 1.7% The recovery in beverages & favorable weather conditions Fiscal Deficit % of GDP (incl. -4.5% -6.3% tobacco and continuing good and various government grants) performance in textile/ measures to increase food GDP Growth and its drivers clothing’s production also and other agricultural contributed to the positive production. Rwanda’s economy is estimated to grow by 8.6% growth of industry despite the by the end of the fiscal year FY18/19 which is poor performance of mining, 1.4% above the government’s initial projected target of 7.2%. Industry and services are the especially in the last quarter of main contributors to this GDP growth. 2018. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 11
The Economy Rwanda’s Economic Performance 5.5% Inflation Commercial bank lending and Rwanda’s annual headline inflation deposit rates for FY18/19 is projected to be below the 5% medium term inflation In FY18/19, commercial bank interest benchmark. As rising inflation is rates remained broadly stable and The main drivers of lending rates in generally associated with currency have been converging towards the Rwanda are operational costs, depreciation and exchange rate CBR as a result of improved liquidity provisioning for loan losses, the cost instability, the decline in headline management. Commercial Banks’ of holding statutory reserves and the inflation is a result of ease in lending rates and deposit rates National Bank Rate, currently at exchange rate pressures and the slightly reduced, respectively standing 5.5%. slowdown in annual food crops at 16.96% (lending rates) and 7.51% inflation due to increased agricultural (deposit rates) in 2018, from 17.17% production during the year. The stability of FRW contributed to ease (lending rates) and 7.72% recorded in the imported inflation despite the 2017 (deposit rates). increase recorded in transport costs. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 12
The Economy Rwanda’s Economic Performance The main reason for this Domestic debt is mainly increase in the additional composed of government external debt (3.9% of GDP), securities especially Treasury which was meant to scale up bills together with Treasury public investment projects that bonds (more than 75 percent support trade and tourism. of total public domestic debt at end FY2018/19). The majority of Rwanda’s debt is external (83.3%) and The country’s debt strategy is predominantly composed of to maximize concessional concessional loans (projected borrowing while restricting to be at 61.6% of the total commercial loans to the Public debt stock portfolio at June 2019) mostly financing of infrastructure and Rwanda’s external present value (PV) of debt-to- provided by multilateral self - financing projects. GDP stood at 32.9% as of end 2018, an increase institutions. of 5.2% from 27.7% PV of Debt to GDP as of end 2017. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 13
The Economy-Fiscal Performance Budget for FY19/20: Resource Envelope Budgeted Domestic revenues for 19/20 Domestic Revenue Loans Grants Domestic Financing Non-tax revenue 8% 11% 14% Taxes on The tax revenue of FRW1.535.8bn is international trade expected to come from, among 18% 60% 7% Direct taxes others, the continuing economic 38% growth momentum of 7.8% projected Indirect for the FY19/20, and increase in the taxes 44% taxable base that will be supported by The Government plans to increase new tax administrative measures and spending by 11% in the 2019/20 policies. fiscal year to FRW2,876bn. Donors Total domestic revenue collections will fund 14% of the budget (a 2% have been projected to reach FRW As regards economic growth, decrease in donor funding) with the 1,726.2bn in the fiscal year 2019/20. • the agriculture sector is expected rest coming from domestic revenue This is 9% above the estimated figure to get good performance in food and debt. The total resources of FRW1,571.4bn to be achieved in and export of crops. projected is made up of: the fiscal year 2018/19 by 9%. • The industry is expected to be • FRW 1,726bn of domestic tax boosted by good performance in and non-tax revenues (60%); Tax revenue will contribute 89% mining and construction activities • external grants and loans of (FRW1,535.8bn of the total domestic • the services sector is likely to FRW 409.8bn (14%) and FRW revenue [i.e. Indirect taxes (44%), maintain it performance at the rate 497bn (17%), respectively and Direct taxes (38%) and taxes on of 8% . • a total domestic financing of international trade (7%)], and the the budget deficit of FRW balance of 11% will be contributed by 237bn (8%).. non-tax revenue. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 14
The Economy-Government Spending With regard to the domestically 2018/19 2019/20 financed portion, the allocated amount Billion Billion %change from is to allow the implementation of previous year priority projects that will increase Recurrent Budget 1,310 1,424.5 9% access to electricity, water and Development Budget 1,041 1,152.1 11% sanitation as well as education and Net Lending 190 244.1 28% health. 00% Arrears payments 27.2 30 10% In the case of the foreign financed Accumulation of Deposits 16.96 25.5 50% portion, the allocated amount is to Total expenditure projected in the including creation of new structures in cover projects in the energy, roads and fiscal year 2019/20 is mainly made up the public sector. agriculture sectors. of FRW 1,424.5bn as recurrent expenditure, FRW 1,152.1bn as Specifically, the increase in the Net Lending allocated amount for wages will cater Outlays under net lending in the fiscal capital/development spending and FRW 244.1bn as net lending outlays. for restructuring of education and year 2019/20 have increased by 28% health sector salaries including new from the previous year’s budget Recurrent expenditure recruitments as well as increases in allocation. The increase in the The allocated amount of FRW allocated amount is mainly for two allowances of the security agencies. 1,424.5bn in fiscal year 2019/20 is significant spending areas: 9% higher than the allocated amount Capital expenditure i. funds for the recapitalization of in the fiscal year 2018/19. Total capital spending in the fiscal BRD – which is going to be done year 2019/20 has been estimated at over a three year period and The increase in recurrent expenditure FRW 1,152.1bn. This figure is made ii. funds to Rwandair to support its is mainly driven by increased up of FRW 694bn of domestically expansion strategy allocations for both wage and non- financed expenditure and BRD has been recapitalized to wage related items arising from on- FRW458.2bn of foreign financed promote accelerated private sector going restructuring exercises expenditure. growth. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 15
The Economy-Sector Allocation as per NST1 Resource allocation to NST1 As priority area one under the social quality education ranging from Pillars transformation pillar of the NST1, construction of classrooms Education has taken the second countrywide, to in-house text books The National Strategy for biggest share of the pie. Priorities production and distribution and Transformation (NST1) is a under the education sector are to promotion of STEM subjects in government strategy developed as an focus on improvement of access to primary and secondly schools. implementation instrument for the remainder of Vision 2020 and the first four years of the Vision 2050. The budget allocation to the three NST1 1,800 pillars is as follows. 1,600 57% 1,400 Sector allocation to NST1 1,200 Pillars 1,000 Once again, Public Finance 800 1,637 27% Management (PFM) has taken the 600 16% biggest piece of the pie (it has also 400 781 had the third largest increase in 200 457 budget allocation when compared to - Economic Transformation Social Transformation Transformational the FY18/19) as the Government Governance continues to ensure that both the external debt and project loans are within acceptable limits. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 16
The Economy-Sector Allocation as per NST1 % change from Water and Sanitation had the largest Sectors as per NST1 FY18/19* % share FY19/20 % share FY18/19 increase in the budget allocation to FRW'bn FRW‘bn the tune of 47% when compared to Public Finance Management (PFM) 657 27% 855 30% 30% Education 273 11% 311 11% 14% the current year. The increase is to Justice, Reconciliation, Law and Order 233 10% 268 9% 15% enable: Transport 238 10% 264 9% 11% • The finalisation of the construction Health 204 8% 234 8% 15% Governance and Decentralization 142 6% 165 6% 16% of two water treatment plants in Engergy 144 6% 161 6% 12% Kanzenze (Bugesera) and Gihira Private sector Development 123 5% 137 5% 11% Agriculture 123 5% 128 4% 4% (Rubavu). Social Proctection 104 4% 112 4% 8% • Connecting 109 productive use Water and Sanitation 49 2% 72 3% 47% areas to water including industrial Urbanization and Rural Settlement 51 2% 57 2% 12% Environment and Natural Resources 39 2% 53 2% 36% parks, commercial centres, schools Information Communication Technology 30 1% 32 1% 7% and Health Centres. Sports and Culture 19 1% 20 1% 5% • Undertake construction of Kigali Financial Sector Development 6 0% 6 0% 0% Total Original resource envelope 2,435 2,876 18% Centralized Sewerage System Revised 2,585 2,876 11% phase 1. for the economy. Key interventions to of new forest planted and 420 has of Environment and Natural Resources be implemented in 2019/2020 forest maintained; had the second largest increase in include: • Urban Forestry for Sustainable City budget allocation to the tune of 36% through beatification, landscaping when compared to the current year. • Rehabilitation of urban wetlands in and greening in urban areas; The increase is towards Rwanda’s Kigali City; • Increase the area covered by forests continued effort to preserve Natural • Re-afforestation and rehabilitation focusing on agroforestry; and resources and the environment in of the degraded area of Jali, Mount • Implementation of flood control order to promote the green economy, Kigali and Rebero with 30 ha measures. which presents multiple opportunities Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 17
Tax Amendments Tax reforms during FY18/19 During FY18/19, a number of tax progress in handling VAT refunds, investments and also reduce tax administrative measures have been a number of taxpayers still have compliance costs. implemented. These include: their VAT refund claims rejected. • Taxpayers can now carry forward This is mainly because of internal • Tax exempt entities (NGOs, tax losses for a period of more system configurations that are Schools, Churches etc.) are now than 5 years – on receiving geared toward improving efficiency approval from the Commissioner required to submit their financial within the tax administration, but General. This amendment to the statements using the online e-tax are becoming costly to taxpayers. law is commendable as it will go a platform. We however note that Taxpayers would want to see long way in incentivising capital generally taxpayers continue to automation that decreases their tax intensive businesses to claw back experience frequent system compliance costs and not their investments without the 5 outages which could be caused by increasing it. The RRA needs to year restriction. a lot of traffic on the platform find ways of minimising the tax during filing deadlines. The RRA • The threshold to have audited and cost to taxpayers as they continue needs to quickly resolve these certified financial statements was to roll-out these much needed issues. increased from Rwf400m to systems that are meant to reduce Rwf600m. This will reduce the tax • VAT claims are now refunded the time and cost of compliance. compliance cost for a majority of within 30 to 90 days because of the small and medium sized During the year the minister also enhanced capabilities of the EBM businesses because they would no issued two key ministerial orders that system and the tax filing portal. longer be required to engage are meant to facilitate taxpayers’ This is really commendable. auditors to certify their financial However, despite this major statements before filing them. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 18
Tax Amendments Proposed Tax Changes The Minister did not propose any • Revision of the consumption tax The draft law on tax procedures major tax changes apart from re- law aimed at increasing tax provides for a reduction in fines and EBM confirming that the increase in tax collection but at the same time penalties for non-payment of taxes as collection will be mainly supported by discouraging consumption of some follows; continued improvement in tax unhealthy products. administrative measures and policies. • 10% if the tax due is paid within 30 As regards the new law on tax days following the due date. Some of the measures to be procedures, the draft law – which is undertaken include: • Revision of the law on tax procedures requiring every person carrying out commercial activities to use the new “EBM for all” yet to be gazetted - introduces a number of remarkable tax administrative measures. Fines, penalties and interest • • for 20% if the tax due is paid after 30 days but before 60 days - following the due date. 50% if the tax due is paid after 60 days following the due date. all payments expanding coverage to non-VAT The draft law also recommends that registered persons. It is not clear Currently, Rwanda has one of the fines for non-payment and non- whether the “EBM for all” will also most punitive tax penalty regimes in declaration would not apply on a be rolled out to businesses with the region. Tax penalties for non-tax taxpayer who is not registered with voluminous transactions such as declaration/under-declaration and non the RRA, but makes a self-disclosure. Banks. payment of taxes can go as high as These revisions in the penalty regime 70%. are welcome as they will ease the tax burden taxpayers are currently facing. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 19
Tax Amendments Proposed Tax Changes • Payment in instalments: Currently taxpayers - with justified reasons – are allowed to pay their tax liabilities over a period of 12 months. The draft law now gives mandate to the Commissioner General to extend this period by another period not exceeding 24 months. This is also a welcome measure as it will go a long way to Placeholder for image, ease the cash flow pressures on businesses. chart or graph • Time limit for recovery of taxes: The draft law now provides for a time limit of 10 years - from the date the taxpayer received the notice of assessment – beyond which the tax authority cannot recover the taxes • Liability of shareholders: The current law on tax assessed. procedures provides that shareholders who become involved in the management of the company and/or • Ring-fencing of mining income and expenses: A misuse company’s funds are liable for any tax liability if mining company that exploits more than one concession they led to the company’s inability to meet its tax area will be required to declare and pay taxes separately obligations. A competent court would determine the on each concession. Losses incurred with respect to liability of the shareholder. However, the draft law now one mining concession cannot be used by another provides that in case the property of a company is not concession belonging to the same company. separated from that of a shareholder or of his/her relative to the second degree, they are jointly liable for any tax liabilities incurred by the company without a court decision. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 20
Tax Amendments Proposed Tax Changes Liability of shareholders Stayed customs Transportation sector • Import duty rate of 0% instead of We find that this would be a The minister has stayed customs 10% or 25% for road tractors for challenging provision to implement taxes on selected goods for another semi trailers, motor vehicles for and we recommend that the court year. transport of goods with gross decision in such matters should still weight exceeding 20 tons and be maintained. The minister’s decision to stay the buses for transportation of 50 increase of import duty on these persons and above. The Minister also noted that fiscal selected items is welcome as it will • Import duty of 10% instead of 25% incentives will continue be extended not only facilitate the “Made in for motor vehicles for transport of to some strategic sectors in a bid to Rwanda” initiative, but it will also goods with gross weight exceeding support “Made in Rwanda” initiatives address the issue of imported 5 tons but not exceeding 20 tons. and the development of a cashless inflations on the selected basic economy. goods. • Import duty of 10% instead of 25% on buses for transportation of more than 25 persons. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 21
Tax Amendments Proposed Tax Changes Promotion of “Made in Basic goods Information Technology Rwanda” initiative • Rice will continue to be taxed at • Telecommunication equipment will the rate of 45% or US$ 345/MT continue to attract import duty at a • All capital machinery used in the instead of 75% or US$ 345/MT. rate of 0% instead of 25%. textile and leather industry will continue attracting import duty of • Sugar will continue to be taxed at a Financial Sector 0% instead of 25%. rate of 25% instead of 100% or • As support towards a cashless US$ 460/MT whichever is higher. • Certain raw materials used in economy, electronic transaction devices (smart cards, ATM cards, industry will continue to be taxed at • Goods imported for use by Armed a rate of 0% instead of 10% or Point of Sale cards and their Forces Shop (AFOS) will continue 25%. operating machines) will continue to attract duty at 0% instead of to attract import duty at 0% instead 10% and 25%. • Import duty rates of US$ 4/Kg for of 25%. second hand clothes and US $5/kg for second hand shoes. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 22
East Africa highlights Kenya Summary of growth in 2019 Economic drivers in 2018 The identified key initiatives to achieve Kenya registered economic growth of • Increased agro-processing the agenda and accelerate economic 6.3% in 2018 compared to 4.9% in 2017. activities during the year; growth are: This growth is the highest recorded for • Favorable weather conditions for • Creating an enabling environment for the past 8 years. both crops and livestock business; The growth was anchored on relatively production due to long rains in • Prudent and efficient spending; stable macroeconomics and was 2018; and attributable to increased agricultural • Mobilization of domestic resources to production, accelerated manufacturing • Stable political environment, fund priority projects/programmes; withdrawal of travel advisories, activities, sustained growth in • Stabilizing and reducing debt; and improved security and investor transportation and vibrant service sector activities. confidence in the country. • Implementing reforms that will enhance efficiency and competitive Inflation remained low at 4.8% in 2018 compared to 8% in 2017 majorly as a Government priorities for the result of considerable decline in prices of year food. The government plans to prioritize Growth of economy is projected to remain its spending towards laying the strong in 2019 at almost same level as in foundation for the Big Four agenda. 2018, with 7% growth expected over the medium term. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 23
East Africa highlights Kenya Key Tax Highlights VAT Customs Income Tax • Adjustment of the VAT refund • Retention of the import duty rate on formula to ensure that inputs iron and steel products at 35% with • Increase of Capital Gains Tax rate relating to zero-rated supplies are the corresponding specific duty from 5% to 12.5%; factored in the refund process; rate for the products produced in • Exemption of CGT on gains arising • Reduction of the Withholding VAT Kenya; and from group re-organizations; rate from 6% to 2%; • Reduction of import duty on raw • Expansion of the scope of services • Introduction of VAT exemption for timber from 10% to 0%. attracting withholding taxes other locally manufactured motherboards than management and professional Excise Duty and all inputs used in their fees; manufacture; • Introduction of Excise duty on • Reduced corporate tax rate to 15% • VAT exemption on all services betting activities at a rate of 10% of in the first five years for companies the staked amount; offered to plastic recycling plants engaged in recycling plastics; and supply of machinery and • Reduction of the excise duty rate • Tax exemption on the income equipment used in the construction on motor vehicles which are purely earned from housing funds; and of the plants. electric from 20% to 10%; and • Tax exemption on income earned • Increase of excise duty on tobacco by individuals under the Ajira products, wines and spirits by 15%. Digital program. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 24
East Africa highlights Uganda Summary of growth in 2019 Economic drivers, 2019 VAT The economy recovered in 2018, The government has identified the • Introduction of 6% withholding VAT; growing by 6%. The economy is economic drivers to include: and projected to grow by 6.1% in 2019 and • Peace, security, good governance • VAT Exemption on agro-processing, continues to bounce from the low and an efficient judicial system; rice mills and agricultural sprayers. growth of 3.9% in 2017, mainly driven Income tax by growth across all sectors. • Reliable, efficient and affordable electronic supply; • Exemption of income derived from Inflation remained stable in 2018 at leasing or letting facilities in industrial 3.4%, due to the increased food • Water transport and communications parks for 10 years; supplies in the markets, relatively stable infrastructure; • Reduced withholding tax rate on long exchange rate and effective co – • A healthy, well educated and skilled term bonds from 20% to 10%; ordination of monetary and fiscal workforce; and Stamp duty policies. • An effective government machinery. • Proposed amendment to provide for Government priorities a uniform stamp duty payable on Key tax highlights bank guarantees, insurance • Expanding the industrial base of the performance bonds, indemnity bond economy; Excise Duty etc. • Exploiting Natural Resource • Amendment to provide registration of Customs duty Endowments with Environmental manufacturers, importers and • Increase in import tariffs on products Protection in mind; and providers of excisable goods and which are locally manufactured • Providing affordable financing for services. production and business. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 25
East Africa highlights Tanzania Summary of growth Government priorities Revenue policies Tanzania recorded real GDP growth The priority for 2018/19 will be on The Government is committed to rate in 2018 of 7.0% compared to flagship infrastructure projects and in increasing and strengthening 6.8% in 2017. The GDP growth was creating a conducive environment for domestic revenue collections by driven by increased investment investment and business by pursuing the following policies: especially in infrastructure, stable implementing the Blueprint for supply of electricity, improvement in Regulatory Reforms to improve the • Increase efficiency in transport services and favourable business environment. administration and collection of weather conditions that resulted in an domestic revenue; The focus will be on the following increased food harvest and other priority areas: • Widen the tax base through crops. identification and registration of • Agriculture: new tax payers and formalization • Industries: of the informal sector; • Livestock and fisheries: • Strengthen capacity for monitoring and controlling of transfer pricing; • Economic growth and human development • Enhance administration of tax exemptions; and • Improvement of enabling business environment and investment • Improve efficiency in domestic climate revenue collection; Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 26
East Africa highlights Tanzania tax highlights Value added tax • Changes in presumptive tax rates Customs and now applies to taxpayers with Exemptions proposed include: annual turnover up to TZS 100m. • To protect local industries, duties • Imported refrigeration boxes, grain have been increased on the drying equipment, aircraft following imported products: Withholding tax roasted coffee, flat-rolled products lubricants by domestic operators, National Air Force and Airlines Proposed changes includes: of iron or non-alloy steel ,flat-rolled products of iron or non-alloy steels, recognised under bilateral air • Exemptions on fees charged to reinforcement bars and hollow service agreement. Government on loans received profiles, horticultural products and Zero rating proposed: from non residential banks and monofilament. other international financial • Supply of electricity from Tanzania institutions. • Duties have been mainland to Zanzibar decreased/remitted on the Exemptions abolished: Sanitary pads following products: baby diapers, Excise duty equipment and appurtenant used Income tax Proposed impositions for polishing and heat treatment of • Reduction of the CIT rate for new • 10% on locally made artificial hair gemstones, papers used as raw investors in the production of materials for manufacturing of and 25% on imported ones. packaging materials for export of sanitary pads from 30% to 25%. • 10% on pipes and plastics horticulture products, agricultural • Increase in minimum turnover materials seeds packaging materials and required for a taxpayer to prepare aluminium alloys used as raw audited financial statements to TZS • Exemptions-Aircraft lubricants by materials to manufacture 100m. domestic operators, National Air aluminium pots. Force and airlines. Sustaining the Momentum: Rwanda’s 2019/20 National Budget Insights and Highlights June 2019 PwC 27
Contacts Rwanda Uganda Kenya Tanzania Nelson Ogara Moses Nyabanda Richard Marshall David Tarimo Associate Director Partner Associate Director Partner +254 (20) 285 5000 +250 (252) 588203/4/5/6 +256 (0) 312 354439 +255 (0) 22 219 2600 nelson.ogara@pwc.com moses.o.nyabanda@pwc.com richard.marshall@pwc.com david.tarimo@pwc.com Tom Kavoi Frobisher Mugambwa Dorothy Uzamukunda Rishit Shah Senior Manager Associate Director Manager Partner +254 (20) 285 5102 +250 (252) 588203/4/5/6 +256 (0) 312 354400 +255 (0) 22 219 2601 tom.kavoi@pwc.com frobisher.mugambwa@pwc.com dorothy.b.uzamukunda@pwc.com rishit.shah@pwc.com www.pwc.com/rw This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PwC does not accept or assume any liability,responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. © 2019 PricewaterhouseCoopers Limited. All rights reserved. In this document, “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers Limited which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm of which is a separate legal entity.
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