Summary of Investments 30 April 2022 - NSW Government
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Penrith City Council Summary of Investments 30 April 2022 Commentary The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) met on 03 May 2022 and the Board decided to increase the current cash rate to 0.35% – 25 basis points over the 0.10% of the former cash rate. The Board’s decision to raise the cash rate was attributed to the higher inflation rate result for the first quarter of this year (2022); and there have been signs of growth in wages. The resilience in Australia’s Economy has also been evident in the unemployment rate, which is the lowest result in almost 50 years. In this position, Governor Philip Lowe of the RBA decided to bring forward the cash rate increase in May 2022, a month earlier than what the Big4 banks initially predicted. It is almost unanimously believed, by economists, that further increase in cash rate is expected. The Australian Economy has continually shown signs of recovery as the impact of vaccination rate continues to increase; therefore, allowing businesses to trade, people to move around and travel as borders between States begin to open. Bank Bill Swap Rates (BBSW) has shown continued improvements in April 2022, resulting in higher term deposit rates being offered in the market. Inherent with the increase in term deposit rates being offered for reinvestments, the original budget estimated return of 0.45%, for 2021/22 Financial Year, has been favourably surpassed – April 2022 result is detailed in this report. At the time the current year’s budget was conceptualised, the average term deposit rate (between 1month to 1 year) being offered was 0.24%. Presently, the average term deposit rate (between 1month to 1 year) being offered is 1.37%. The 2022/23 Federal Budget delivered strategies that aim to drive resilience in the Australian Economy’s future. The budget focuses on: • delivering more jobs and working towards unemployment below 4 per cent, • investing in stronger defence, borders, and security, • continuing record investments in health, education, women’s safety, and other essential services, • delivering cost of living relief for Australians and supporting small businesses; and • investing in the roads, rail, dams, and renewable energy technology, that will build our future. Australia’s Long-term government bond yields have remained low, consistent with several countries. Bank funding costs in Australia have also declined, with money-market spreads having fully reversed the increases that took place last year. Borrowing rates for both businesses and households have started to rise, consistent with the RBA cash rate increase outlook, since November 2010. The Australian dollar is at the low end of its narrow range of recent times. The inflation rate at the first quarter of 2022 (January 2022-March 2022), being the most recent quarterly result, has increased to 5.1%, from 3.5% in the previous period - in both headline and underlying terms. The March 2022 unemployment rate is 4.0%, a consistent with the previous period. As at writing and completion of this report, the unemployment rate for April 2022 has not been released. The Council’s portfolio has continued to outperform the 90 Day Bank Bill Swap Rate (BBSW) benchmark during reportable month of April 2022. Investments will continue to be monitored closely, to ensure returns are maximised as opportunities become available. The investment returns versus the benchmark and annual budget as a percentage for April 2022 are: Council portfolio current yield (including FRNs) 0.66% 90-day Bank Bill Swap Rate (Benchmark) 0.39% Enhanced 90-day Bank Bill Swap Rate (Benchmark – BBSW + 20bps) 0.59% Original budget estimated return (2021/22 Financial Year) 0.45%
Penrith City Council Historical Investment Performance Table 1 Actual Portfolio Benchmark (BBSW) Enhanced Benchmark (BBSW+20bps) Current Portfolio Yield (including FRNs) 0.66% 0.39% 0.59% Past 12 Month Portfolio Performance 0.57% 0.08% 0.31% Portfolio Return for the Period 0.06% 0.032% 0.05% Portfolio Yield (Actual Versus Benchmark) The annual weighted average income return on investments, to 30 April 2022, was 0.66%. This graph tracks performance over time and shows that the yield was between 0.51% and 0.66% for the past year - still above the BBSW and Enhanced Benchmark, over the same period and economic climate. As at 9 August 2021 Policy Review Committee, the ‘Enhanced Benchmark’ has been reduced to 20 basis points (bps) from 45bps – post review of the current market spread offerings. Weighted yield has continued to drop due to current term deposits invested at lower rates - between 0.30% and 1.41%. Graph 1 Investment Portfolio as at 30 April 2022 Monthly Net Return Annualised 0.70% 0.60% 0.50% 0.40% 0.30% 0.20% 0.10% 0.00% May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 PCC Monthly Net Return Annualised BBSW Monthly Net Return Annualised Enhanced BBSW Monthly Net Return Annualised Annual Portfolio (Actual) The graph below illustrates the annual trend of the Council’s monthly Investment Portfolio balances. Graph 1.1 Historical Monthly Balance of Investment Portfolio as at 30 April 2022 $200,000,000 $190,000,000 $180,000,000 $170,000,000 $160,000,000 $150,000,000 $140,000,000 $130,000,000 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22
Penrith City Council Investment Summary by Asset Group and Monthly Movement Table 1.1 Asset Group Closing Value Closing Value (Face Value) (Face Value) 31 March 2022 30 April 2022 $ % $ % Current Cash on Call Group (excl General Fund balance) 14,162,450 7.61% 14,562,032 7.97% Term Deposit Group 152,500,000 81.85% 146,000,000 79.91% Floating Rate Notes 16,150,000 8.67% 16,150,000 8.84% Mortgage Backed Securities* 1,961,530 1.05% 1,961,530 1.08% Sub-Total 184,773,980 178,673,562 General Fund Bank Balance 1,535,193 0.82% 4,025,291 2.20% Total 186,309,173 100% 182,698,853 100% * MBS Purchased in 2006/2007 prior to the current Ministerial Investment Order. This product is being ‘Grandfathered’ – i.e., the Council will continue to actively manage these investments within the portfolio. However, the Council is not permitted to place further funds in this bank, due to its credit rating. April 2022 Investments % Allocation by Asset Groups The graph below illustrates the dissection of the Council’s Portfolio per investment products or categories. Graph 1.2 Floating Rate Notes, 8.84% Mortgage Backed Securities*, 1.08% General Fund Bank Balance, 2.20% Current Cash on Call Term Deposit Group, Group (excl bank 79.91% balance), 7.97%
Penrith City Council Reconciliation of Invested Funds and Monthly Movement Table 1.2 Period Ending Period Ending 31 March 2022 30 April 2022 $ $ Represented by: Externally Restricted Assets Section 7.11 Developer Contributions 53,926,301 53,884,260 Restricted Contributions for Works 3,623,101 3,922,506 Unexpended Grants* 12,813,505 12,198,137 Other Externally Restricted 36,286,289 40,466,022 Sub-Total 106,649,196 110,470,925 Internally Restricted Assets - Funding of Operations Internal Reserves 57,301,647 55,389,682 Security Bonds and Deposits 16,804,167 16,829,799 Sub-Total 74,105,814 72,219,481 Restricted Assets Utilised in Operations Unrestricted Invested Funds 5,554,163 8,448 Total Cash and Investments 186,309,173 182,698,853 *Balance may be in deficit when funds are spent in advance of grant payment date to the Council. NOTE: The above figures have been prepared under cash basis accounting. April 2022 Investments % Allocation by Cash Reserve Type This graph demonstrates the allocation of the Council’s cash reserves. Graph 1.3 Unrestricted Invested Security Bonds and Funds, 0.005% Deposits - Payable, 9.21% Section 7.11 Developer Contributions, 29.49% Internal Reserves, 30.32% Restricted Contributions for Works, 2.15% Unexpended Grants*, 6.68% Other Externally Restricted, 22.15%
Penrith City Council Investment Summary (Graphed to reflect fund ratings as % of portfolio) Table 1.3 30 April 2022 Credit Rating Bank/Financial Institution - Utilised Portfolio Policy Maximum (per Moody’s) $ % % Short Term Prime 1 CBA, NAB, Bankwest, Westpac, TCorp 107,587,323 58.88% 100% (40% per institution) Prime 1 Macquarie Bank 5,000,000 2.74% 100% (40% per institution) Prime 2 AMP Bank 5,000,000 2.74% 40% (20% per institution) Prime 1 & 2 117,587,323 64.36% Long Term Aa3 Term Deposit - Long Term (CBA,WBC & NAB) 46,000,000 25.19% 100% (40% per institution) Aa3 Floating Rate Note (WBC) 2,000,000 1.09% 100% (40% per institution) Aa3 Floating Rate Note (NAB) 2,400,000 1.31% 100% (40% per institution Aa3 Floating Rate Note (ING) 1,000,000 0.55% 100% (40% per institution A2 Floating Rate Note (Macquarie Bank) 3,000,000 1.64% 40% (20% per institution) A2 Term Deposit - Long Term (Macquarie Bank) 1,000,000 0.55% 40% (20% per institution) A3 Floating Rate Note (Bendigo & Adelaide Bank) 3,000,000 1.64% 20% (10% per institution) A3 Floating Rate Note (Bank of Queensland) 4,750,000 2.60% 20% (10% per institution) Baa2 Mortgage Backed Securities 1,961,530 1.07% Grandfathered (Barclays Capital) * Total Portfolio 182,698,853 100.00% *Investments placed prior to current Ministerial Order. This product is being ‘Grandfathered’ – i.e., the Council will continue to actively manage these investments within the portfolio. However, the Council is not permitted to place further funds in this bank, due to its credit rating. April 2022 Investments % Allocation by Moody’s Fund Rating Reflects Moody’s fund ratings as percentage (%) of the portfolio, to show compliance with the Council’s Investment Policy objectives of minimising risk. Graph 1.4 A2, 0.55% A3, 1.64% A3, 2.60% Baa2, 1.07% A2, 1.64% Aa3, 0.55% Aa3, 1.31% Aa3, 1.09% Aa3, 25.19% Prime 1, 64.36%
Penrith City Council Diversification of Portfolio (Graphed to reflect fund ratings as % of portfolio) Table 1.4 30 April 2022 Dealing Bank Short Term Long Term Investment ($) Allocation (%) TCorp Prime 1 Aaa 2,495,936 1.37% Commonwealth Bank of Australia Prime 1 Aa3 42,591,387 23.30% National Australia Bank Prime 1 Aa3 72,400,000 39.63% Westpac Banking Corporation Prime 1 Aa3 36,500,000 19.98% ING Bank (Australia) Prime 1 Aa3 1,000,000 0.55% Macquarie Bank Prime 1 A2 13,000,000 7.12% Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Prime 2 A3 3,000,000 1.64% Bank of Queensland Prime 2 A3 4,750,000 2.60% Barclays Bank Prime 2 Baa2 1,961,530 1.07% AMP Bank Prime 2 Baa2 5,000,000 2.74% Total Investment 182,698,853 100.00% April 2022 Investment % Allocation by Financial Institutions (per Moody’s Credit Ratings) Reflects the spread of investments amongst various Financial Institutions to show portfolio diversification in accordance with the Council’s Policy of risk aversion. Graph 1.5 Barclays Bank AMP Bank Bank of Queensland Tcorp 1.07% 2.74% 2.60% 1.37% Bendigo and Adelaide Bank 1.64% Commonwealth Bank of Macquarie Bank Australia 7.12% 23.30% ING Bank (Australia) 0.55% Westpac Banking Corporation 19.98% National Australia Bank 39.63%
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