"Subscribe with Caution" to Heranba Industries Ltd.

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"Subscribe with Caution" to Heranba Industries Ltd.
“Subscribe with Caution” to
  Heranba Industries Ltd.
"Subscribe with Caution" to Heranba Industries Ltd.
19th Feb. 2021

Salient features of the IPO:                                                   Recommendation                       Subscribe with Caution
• The Gujarat-based crop protection chemical manufacturer Heranba
                                                                               Price band                       Rs. 626 - 627 per share
    Industries Ltd. (Heranba), is planning to raise up to Rs. 6,250mn
    through an IPO, which opens on 23rd Feb. and closes on 25th Feb.           Face value                       Rs. 10
    2021. The price band is Rs. 626 - 627 per share.                           Shares for fresh issue           0.9569 - 0.9585mn shares
• The issue is a combination of fresh and OFS issue. The company will          Shares for OFS                   9.0150mn shares
    not receive any fund from the OFS portion. Of the net proceeds from        Fresh issue size                 Rs. 600mn
    the fresh issue, Rs. 500mn will be utilized to fund the working capital    OFS issue size                   Rs. 5,643.4 - 5,652.4mn
    requirement of the company. Residual amount will be used for
                                                                                                                9.9719 - 9.9735mn shares
    general corporate purposes.                                                Total issue size
                                                                                                                (Rs. 6,243.4 - 6,252.4mn)
Key competitive strengths:                                                     Bidding date                     23rd Feb. - 25th Feb. 2021
• Presence in a wide range of products across the entire value chain of        MCAP at higher
   synthetic pyrethroids                                                                                        Rs. 25,088mn
                                                                               price band
• Product registrations in the domestic and international markets
                                                                               Enterprise value at
   enabling global outreach                                                                                     Rs. 25,202mn
                                                                               higher price band
• Strong product portfolio and wide distribution network
• Diversified and stable customer base                                         Book running lead
                                                                                                                Emkay Global Financial
• Experienced promoters and management team                                                                     Services Ltd. and Batlivala &
                                                                               manager
                                                                                                                Karani Securities India Pvt. Ltd.
Risk and concerns:
                                                                               Registrar                        Bigshare Services Pvt. Ltd.
• Delay in new product approvals
• Dependence on China for raw material and sales of end products               Sector/Industry                  Agrochemicals
• Business seasonality                                                                                          Mr. Sadashiv K. Shetty and Mr.
                                                                               Promoters
• Unfavorable raw material prices                                                                               Raghuram K. Shetty
• Unfavorable forex movements                                                  Issue breakup
• Intense competition                                                                                Percent of
                                                                                   Category                              Number of shares (mn)
                                                                                                      issue (%)
Peer comparison and valuation: At higher price band of Rs. 627,
Heranba is demanding a TTM P/E multiple of 25.7x (to its restated TTM QIB portion                         50%        4.9860 - 4.9867mn shares
EPS of Rs. 24.4), as compared to the peer average of 27.4x.           Non institutional
                                                                                                          15%        1.4958 - 1.4960mn shares
                                                                               portion
Below are few key observations of the issue: (continued in next page)
                                                                               Retail portion             35%        3.4902 - 3.4907mn shares
•   Growing at 6.5% CAGR over 2014-2019, the Indian agrochemicals              Indicative IPO process time line
    market reached a value of USD 2.8nb in 2019. Going forward, it is
                                                                               Finalization of basis of
    expected to grow at 7.9% CAGR during 2020-2025, reaching a value                                                        2nd Mar. 2021
                                                                               allotment
    of USD 3.8bn by 2025. Insecticides represented the most popular
    product type of agrochemicals of India, accounting for 54.1% of the        Unblocking of
                                                                                                                            3rd Mar. 2021
    total market in India. This was followed by herbicides (23.3%),            ASBA account
    fungicides (18.7%) and others (3.9%) in 2019.                              Credit to demat accounts                     4th Mar. 2021
•   Heranba is a crop protection chemical manufacturer, exporter and           Commencement of trading                      5th Mar. 2021
    marketing company based in Vapi, Gujarat. It manufactures                  Pre and post - issue shareholding pattern
    intermediates, technicals and formulations. Majority of its current                                            Pre-issue         Post-issue
    intermediates production is utilized for captive consumption for the
                                                                               Promoter & promoter
    manufacturing of technicals products. Formulations are produced and                                             98.85%            74.15%
                                                                               group
    packaged in powder and liquid forms and sold to distributors for
    further sales to farmers. The company’s pesticides range includes          Public                               1.15%             25.85%
    insecticides, herbicides, fungicides and public health products for pest   Total                               100.00%           100.00%
    control.                                                                   Retail application money at higher cut-off price per lot
•   It holds registrations for 18 technicals for manufacture and sale in       Number of shares per lot                         23
    India, 103 technicals & formulations for manufacture and sale in the       Application money                         Rs. 14,421 per Lot
    export markets and 169 formulations registered for manufacturing
                                                                               Analyst
    and sale in India. Applications for registration of 14 technicals &
                                                                               Rajnath Yadav
    formulations for manufacture & sale in India and seven technicals and
    formulations to manufacture for the export markets have been filed         Research Analyst (022 - 6707 9999; Ext: 912)
    with the CIB&RC and are in the process of evaluation.                      Email: rajnath.yadav@choiceindia.com

                                                                                                                                       1
"Subscribe with Caution" to Heranba Industries Ltd.
Peer comparison and valuation (Contd…):

•   The company exported its products to more than 60 countries in Latin America, CIS, Middle East, Africa, Asia and South
    East Asia in FY20. As of 15th Nov. 2020, its international distribution partners (IDP) have successfully obtained 371
    registrations of technicals & formulations in 41 countries across Middle East, CIS, Asia, South East Asia and Africa. Further
    another 172 registration applications for technicals & formulations products are filed before the regulatory authorities in
    41 countries. It is in the process of developing two products of fungicides, two products of herbicides and one product of
    insecticides, for which R&D tests have been initiated, for exclusive sale to the European markets after registration with
    the regulatory authority in EU. The product pipeline of the company is further expected to expand upon receiving the
    regulatory approvals for the filed applications.
•   India has emerged as the largest pyrethroid manufacturer over the years. In terms of production value, the Pyrethroids
    market in India reached a value of USD 313mn in 2019, exhibiting a growth of 7.7% CAGR during 2014-2019. In the
    future, it is expected to rise by 12.5% CAGR to be at USD 462mn in 2025. Agriculture represented the largest end-use
    segment for Pyrethroids, accounting for 79.5% of the total market. This was followed by public health (17.1%) and animal
    health (3.4%). Based on production value, with 19.5% share - Heranba dominated the domestic pyrethroids market in
    2019.
•   More than half of the global demand for pyrethroids comes from China, after importing intermediates from India, which
    is used to produce pyrethroid. With China's adoption of the' Blue Sky' program to realize green GDP, led to the shutdown
    of several chemical plants, which in turn has resulted in higher volumes of pyrethroids being exported out of India.
•   Heranba has an extensive distribution network in India supported by a skilled sales force. It has more than 9,400 dealers
    having access to 21 depots across 16 states and one union territory in India supporting the distribution of its products.
    The company also educates farmers regarding the benefits of using its products by conducting farmer training camps,
    participating in village level programmes and exhibitions to establish a direct relationship with farmer communities all
    over India.
•   Various domestic and multinational agrochemical companies operating in and outside India are customers for the
    technicals manufactured by Heranba. These include companies like Sumitomo Chemical India Ltd., Sulphur Mills Ltd.,
    Biostadt India Ltd., Crystal Crop Protection Ltd., NACL Ltd., Sharda Cropchem Ltd., Meghmani Organics Ltd., PI Industries
    Ltd., Krishi Rasayan Group, Agro Life Science Corporation and Shanghai Agricare Chemical Co. Ltd. amongst others. This
    diverse and stable base of customers provide the necessary revenue stability to the company.
•   Though the company has reported a short financial history, there was a healthy business growth with improvement in
    the profitability over FY18-20. On the back of higher demand in the domestic and overseas markets, Heranba reported a
    13% CAGR rise in top-line to Rs. 9,513.7mn in FY20. Total operating expenditure increased by 11.8% CAGR (low than top-
    line growth), leading to a 21.4% CAGR rise in EBITDA to Rs. 1,293.5mn in FY20. EBITDA margin expanded by 181bps over
    the period to stood at 13.6% in FY20. Further, mainly with around 11ppts lower effective tax rate, reported PAT
    increased by 44.4% CAGR over FY18-20 to be at Rs. 977.5mn in FY20. PAT margin expanded by 398bps over the period to
    10.3% in FY20.
•   Heranba had a positive operating cash flow over FY18-20, which increased by 2.2% CAGR to Rs. 542.1mn in FY20. Average
    operating cash flow during the period was at around Rs. 646.2mn. Average RoIC and RoE stood at 35.6% and 31.1%,
    respectively, over FY18-20. The company has paid dividend in the last three years with an average dividend payout of
    around 6.7% over FY18-20.
•   For H1 FY21, the company has reported a 23.3% Y-o-Y higher top-line to Rs. 6,183.4mn. EBITDA and PAT margin stood at
    16.1% and 10.7%, respectively. We feel that the improvement in the profitability is not sustainable and is mainly linked to
    Covid-19 pandemic induced low cost structure. We forecast an 18.7% CAGR rise in top-line over FY20-23 to Rs. 15,915mn
    in FY23E. EBITDA and PAT margin are expected to contract by 60bps and 55bps, respectively, to 13% and 9.7% in FY23E
    as compared to a level of 13.6% and 10.3% in FY20.

At higher price band of Rs. 627, Heranba is demanding a TTM P/E multiple of 25.7x (to its restated TTM EPS of Rs. 24.4), as
compared to the peer average of 27.4x. We feel the demand valuation is too stretched and thus assign a “Subscribe with
Caution” rating for the issue.

                                                                                               © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
"Subscribe with Caution" to Heranba Industries Ltd.
About the issue:

•   Heranba is coming up with an initial public offering (IPO) with 9.9719 - 9.9735mn shares (fresh issue: 0.9569 - 0.9585mn
    shares; OFS shares: 9.0150mn shares) in offering. The offer represents around 24.92% of its post issue paid-up equity
    shares of the company. Total IPO size is Rs. 6,243.4 - 6,252.4mn.

•   The issue will open on 23rd Feb. 2021 and close on 25th Feb. 2021.

•   The issue is through book building process with a price band of Rs. 626 - 627 per share.

•   The issue is a combination of fresh and OFS issue. The company will not receive any fund from the OFS portion. Of the net
    proceeds from the fresh issue, Rs. 500mn will be utilized to fund the working capital requirement of the company.
    Residual amount will be used for general corporate purposes.

•   50% of the net issue shall be allocated on a proportionate basis to qualified institutional buyers, while rest 15% and 35%
    is reserved for non-institutional bidders and retail investors, respectively.

•   Promoter holds 98.85% stake in the company and post-IPO this will come down to 74.15%. Public holding will increase
    from current 1.15 to 25.85%.

                                                Pre and post issue shareholding pattern (%)
                                                                   Pre Issue              Post Issue (at higher price band)
           Promoter & Promoter Group (%)                            98.85%                             74.15%
           Public (%)                                               1.15%                              25.85%
             Source: Choice Equity Broking

Indicative IPO process time line:

                                                                        Unblocking of
                              Offer closes on
                                                                        ASBA account
                               25-Feb-2021
                                                                        3-Mar-2021

    Offer opens on                                 Finalization of                                                      Commencement
     23-Feb-2021                                   basis of allotment                         Credit to demat           of trading
                                                   2-Mar-2021                                 accounts                  5-Mar-2021
                                                                                              4-Mar-2021
Company introduction:

Heranba is a crop protection chemical manufacturer, exporter and marketing company based out of Vapi, Gujarat. It
manufactures intermediates, technicals and formulations. The company is one of the leading domestic producers of
synthetic pyrethroids like cypermethrin, alphacypermethrin, deltamethrin, permitherin, lambda cyhalothrin etc. Heranba’s
pesticides range includes insecticides, herbicides, fungicides and public health products for pest control. Its business verticals
includes manufacturing & sales of technicals and formulations in domestic & export markets; and public health -
manufacturing & selling of general insect control chemicals by participating in public health tenders issued by governmental
authorities and selling to pest management companies.

Heranba started its manufacturing activity in the year 1996 with production of an intermediate product CMAC. By FY02, the
company forward integrated the operations by the manufacturing of various technicals (like metametron, cypermethrin,
alpha, permethrin and deltamethrin). By the end of FY05, it further expanded the product range to formulations, which are
final products sold to farmers as pesticides, herbicides, fungicides for crop protection and into public health products in
FY11. Heranba is present in the entire product value chain of the agrochemicals industry i.e. intermediates, technicals &
formulations and holds registrations for 18 technicals for manufacture and sale in India, 103 technicals & formulations for
manufacture and sale in the export markets and 169 formulations registered for manufacturing and sale in India.
Applications for registration of 14 technicals & formulations for manufacture & sale in India and seven technicals and
formulations to manufacture for the export markets have been filed with the CIB&RC and are in the process of evaluation.
The company has diversified its business from manufacturing and selling of intermediates to manufacturing, marketing and
selling of technicals and formulations. Majority of its current intermediates production is utilized for captive consumption for
the manufacturing of technicals products. Formulations are produced and packaged in powder and liquid forms and sold to
distributors for further sales to farmers.

Heranba’s manufacturing process mainly includes chemical reactions of ammonolysis, esterification, hydrolysis,
condensation, favorski reaction, isomerization, cyanation, friedel crafts, methoxylation, cyclisation and halogenation. The
company has in-house R&D team for product development and improvisation, which is well supported by its product
registration team. R&D facilities at Unit I and II are recognized by the Department of Scientific and Industrial Research. A
new R&D facility at Unit III has become operational from Oct. 2020.

The company exported its products to more than 60 countries in Latin America, CIS, Middle East, Africa, Asia and South East
Asia in FY20. As of 15th Nov. 2020, its international distribution partners (IDP) have successfully obtained 371 registrations of
technicals & formulations in 41 countries across Middle East, CIS, Asia, South East Asia and Africa. Heranba’s IDPs have
presently filed 172 registration applications for technicals & formulations products, which are pending before the regulatory
authorities in 41 countries. It is in the process of developing two products of fungicides, two products of herbicides and one
product of insecticides, for which R&D tests have been initiated, for exclusive sale to the European markets after registration
with the regulatory authority in EU.

India has emerged as the largest pyrethroid manufacturer over the years. More than half of the global demand for
pyrethroids comes from China, after importing intermediates from India, which is used to produce pyrethroid. With China's
adoption of the' Blue Sky' program to realize green GDP, led to the shutdown of several chemical plants, which in turn has
resulted in higher volumes of pyrethroids being exported out of India.

Heranba has an extensive distribution network in India supported by a skilled sales force. It has more than 9,400 dealers
having access to 21 depots across 16 states and one union territory in India supporting the distribution of its products. The
company also educates farmers regarding the benefits of using its products by conducting farmer training camps,
participating in village level programmes and exhibitions to establish a direct relationship with farmer communities all over
India. Some of its branded formulations sold to farmers in the domestic markets are Jayam, Progress Plus, Param, Cypraplus,
Dyken, Mantra, Astron, Signor, Prompt, Cypra, Heraban, Sarag, Alpha Shakti, Henox, Glory, Chakde, Heraquat, Zinta, Glory
71, Shera, Pendant, Atria, Macamba, Sulphy, Mask, Silicon Plus, Propizole, Vintage, Exort, Tulip, Mandy, Silicon, Shado,
Heraphon, Temper and Rat Kill among others.
Company introduction (Contd…):

Heranba has three manufacturing and packaging facilities in and around the industrial belt of Vapi, Gujarat having 174
reactors with an aggregate manufacturing capacity of 0.014mn tonnes per annum. These facilities manufacture
intermediates (like cypermethric acid chloride, cypermethric acid and MPBD), technicals (like cypermethrin,
alphacypermethrin, deltamethrin, permitherin and lambda cyhalothrin amongst others) and a range of insecticides,
herbicides and fungicides formulations. From four facilities earlier, it has now integrated a facility with Unit I for operational
purposes, which will exclusively manufacture intermediates and technicals and Unit II will continue to manufacture
intermediates and technicals. Facilities, which has been mainly producing formulations in liquid and powder forms has being
dismantled and shifted to Unit III at Sarigam. As a part of its expansion plans, the company in the year 2018 acquired a land
on lease from GIDC at Sarigam, near Vapi, Gujarat, part of the land is being used for formulations facility, while a new R&D
facility has become operational from Oct. 2020. The remaining land shall be utilized at a later stage for the manufacturing of
intermediates, technicals and for establishing other administrative facilities. The Sarigam Unit III also has a rooftop solar
plant generating 0.27mn unit of power per annum for captive consumption.

Competition: The lndian agrochemicals market is highly fragmented in nature with many formulators. The competition is
fierce with large number of organized sector players and spurious pesticide manufacturers. In 2019, Heranba dominated the
India pyrethroids market, accounting for a share of 19.5% of the total production values. This is followed by Tagros
Chemicals India Ltd. (14.8%), Hemani Industries Ltd. (9.9%), Dhanuka Agritech Ltd. (8.7%), Insecticides (India) Ltd. (7.9%),
Syngenta India Ltd. (6.2%), Excel Crop Care Ltd. (5.8%), UPL Ltd. (4.2%), Bayer CropScience Ltd. (3.9%), Rallis India Ltd.
(3.6%), Sumitomo Chemical India Ltd. (3.4%) and others (12.1%).
Financial performance:

  Though the company has reported a short financial history, there was a healthy business growth with improvement in the
  profitability over FY18-20. On the back of higher demand in the domestic and overseas markets, Heranba reported a 13%
  CAGR rise in top-line to Rs. 9,513.7mn in FY20. With 23.3% Y-o-Y higher revenues in H1 FY21, TTM top-line stood at Rs.
  10,680.7mn.

  Net cost of raw materials (which on an average stood at 68% of the top-line) increased by 12.5% CAGR over FY18-20.
  Consequently, total operating expenditure increased by 11.8% CAGR (low than top-line growth), leading to a 21.4% CAGR
  rise in EBITDA to Rs. 1,293.5mn in FY20. EBITDA margin expanded by 181bps over the period to stood at 13.6% in FY20. In
  H1 FY21 and on TTM basis, EBITDA margin was at 16.1% and 14.3%, respectively.

 With rise in business, depreciation charge increased by 27.9% CAGR, while with decline in debt, finance cost declined by
 13.5% CAGR. Further with around 11ppts lower effective tax rate, reported PAT increased by 44.4% CAGR over FY18-20 to
 be at Rs. 977.5mn in FY20. PAT margin expanded by 398bps over the period to 10.3% in FY20. For H1 FY21 and on TTM
 basis, PAT margin stood at 10.7% and 10.4%, respectively.

  Heranba had a positive operating cash flow over FY18-20, which increased by 2.2% CAGR to Rs. 542.1mn in FY20. Average
  operating cash flow during the period was at around Rs. 646.2mn. Average RoIC and RoE stood at 35.6% and 31.1%,
  respectively, over FY18-20. The company has paid dividend in the last three years with an average dividend payout of
  around 6.7% over FY18-20.
                                                                                                                   Y-o-Y         Y-o-Y
      Financial snapshot (Rs. mn)      FY18      FY19       FY20     H1 FY20 H1 FY21     TTM      CAGR (%)
                                                                                                                (%, Annual) (%, Half yearly)
Technicals - Domestic                 1,963.6    3,314.6   3,010.0   1,557.4   2,040.2 3,492.9     23.8%           -9.2%         31.0%
Technicals - Export                   3,007.8    3,965.7   3,470.9   1,738.3   1,989.4 3,722.0      7.4%          -12.5%         14.4%
Formulations - Domestic               1,670.7    1,458.5   1,205.8    820.3    1,410.0 1,795.5     -15.0%         -17.3%         71.9%
Formulations - Export                  667.4      952.0    1,220.6    659.9     573.5   1,134.2     35.2%          28.2%        -13.1%
Public health                          141.5      353.7     606.4     240.7     170.4    536.1     107.0%          71.5%        -29.2%
Revenue from operations               7,451.0   10,044.4   9,513.7   5,016.5   6,183.4 10,680.7     13.0%          -5.3%         23.3%
EBITDA                                 878.1     1,314.1   1,293.5    757.1     992.8   1,529.2     21.4%          -1.6%         31.1%
Reported PAT                           468.8      754.0     977.5     532.4     663.1   1,108.2     44.4%          29.6%         24.5%

Restated reported EPS                  11.7      18.8       24.4      13.3      16.6     27.7       44.4%         29.6%          24.5%

Cash flow from operating activities   519.5      877.0     542.1      146.3    523.1    918.9        2.2%         -38.2%        257.5%
NOPLAT                                524.2      784.6     895.4      530.4    686.0   1,050.7      30.7%          14.1%        29.3%
FCF                                              198.5     115.0               (7.4)                              -42.1%

RoIC (%)                              37.9%      39.9%     29.0%     19.9%     19.0%    29.1%     (899) bps     (1,093) bps     (87) bps

Revenue growth rate (%)                          34.8%     -5.3%               23.3%
EBITDA growth rate (%)                           49.7%     -1.6%               31.1%
EBITDA margin (%)                     11.8%      13.1%     13.6%     15.1%     16.1%    14.3%      181 bps        51 bps         96 bps
EBIT growth rate (%)                             51.5%     -3.4%               28.5%
EBIT margin (%)                       11.1%      12.5%     12.7%     14.4%     15.0%    13.3%      162 bps        24 bps         62 bps
Restated PAT growth rate (%)                     60.9%     29.6%               24.5%
Restated PAT margin (%)                6.3%       7.5%     10.3%     10.6%     10.7%    10.4%      398 bps       277 bps         11 bps

Inventories turnover ratio (x)          7.9       9.7        7.3       3.8      3.6      6.2         -3.8%        -24.1%          -5.5%
Trade receivable turnover ratio (x)     3.7       4.4        3.7       1.9      1.7      2.9          0.7%        -15.5%         -11.4%
Accounts payable turnover ratio (x)     4.2       4.9        4.3       2.2      2.1      3.6          0.9%        -12.5%          -7.3%
Fixed asset turnover ratio (x)         15.7      15.0        7.1       4.6      4.6      8.0        -32.6%        -52.3%          -0.2%
Total asset turnover ratio (x)          1.7       1.8        1.5       0.8      0.8      1.4         -4.1%        -15.0%          -3.1%
Debt to equity (x)                      1.2       1.1        0.7       0.9      0.9      0.9        -22.7%        -34.7%          -3.3%
Net debt to EBITDA (x)                  2.0       1.8        1.8       3.0      3.1      2.0         -6.8%         0.4%           2.6%

RoE (%)                               29.8%      33.0%     30.5%     19.3%     17.4%    29.1%        67 bps      (258) bps     (189) bps
RoA (%)                               10.4%      13.5%     15.6%      8.6%      8.4%    14.1%       524 bps       219 bps       (18) bps
RoCE (%)                              49.7%      52.6%     36.8%     25.3%     23.7%    36.2%     (1,289) bps   (1,584) bps    (162) bps
  Source: Choice Equity Broking
Competitive strengths:
                                           •   Presence in a wide range of products across the entire value chain of
                                               synthetic pyrethroids
                                           •   Product registrations in the domestic and international markets enabling
                                               global outreach
                                           •   Strong product portfolio and wide distribution network
                                           •   Diversified and stable customer base
                                           •   Experienced promoters and management team

Business strategy:
•   Enhancing and streamlining production capacities and operations
•   Development of new products at R&D facility at Unit III (Sarigam unit)
•   Entering the highly regulated markets of the USA and Europe
•   Enhancing formulations & technicals business in the international markets
•   Branded formulations and public health products segment

                                                  Risk and concerns:
                                                  •   Delay in new product approvals
                                                  •   Dependence on China for raw material and sales of end products
                                                  •   Business seasonality
                                                  •   Unfavorable raw material prices
                                                  •   Unfavorable forex movements
                                                  •   Intense competition

                                                                                         © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
Financial statements:

                                                           Profit and loss statement (Rs. mn)
                                                                                                                  CAGR over Annual growth Half yearly
                                     FY18         FY19        FY20        H1 FY20 H1 FY21              TTM
                                                                                                                 FY18 - 20 (%) over FY19 (%) growth (%)
Revenue from operations              7,451.0 10,044.4 9,513.7 5,016.5 6,183.4 10,680.7                              13.0%          -5.3%       23.3%
Cost of materials consumed          (4,970.1) (7,083.6) (6,397.8) (3,373.8) (4,517.9) (7,541.9)                     13.5%          -9.7%        33.9%
Purchase of stock-in-trade             0.0      (64.7)   (153.1)    (34.4)   (138.2)   (256.9)                                    136.6%       301.9%
Changes in inventories of
finished goods and work-in-          (67.4)      170.7        176.5        140.2       461.6          498.0                        3.4%        229.3%
progress
Excise duty on finished goods         (38.5)     0.0       0.0              0.0         0.0          0.0
Employee benefits expense            (332.1) (380.1)     (464.7)          (224.5)     (228.6)      (468.7)           18.3%        22.3%         1.8%
Other expenses                      (1,164.8) (1,372.7) (1,381.3)         (766.8)     (767.7)     (1,382.1)           8.9%         0.6%         0.1%
EBITDA                                878.1    1,314.1 1,293.5             757.1       992.8       1,529.2           21.4%        -1.6%        31.1%
Depreciation and amortization
                                     (50.1)      (59.5)       (82.0)      (36.2)      (66.0)          (111.9)        27.9%        37.8%        82.6%
expenses
EBIT                                 828.0       1,254.6     1,211.5       721.0       926.7          1,417.2        21.0%         -3.4%       28.5%
Finance costs                       (118.1)      (107.3)      (88.4)       (38.1)      (34.6)          (84.9)        -13.5%       -17.7%       -9.2%
Other income                          53.2         73.9       165.3          5.8         8.7           168.2          76.4%       123.6%       48.5%
PBT                                  763.1       1,221.2     1,288.4       688.7       900.8          1,500.5        29.9%         5.5%        30.8%
Tax expenses                        (294.3)      (467.2)     (310.9)      (156.3)     (237.7)         (392.4)         2.8%        -33.4%       52.1%
Reported PAT                         468.8        754.0       977.5        532.4       663.1          1,108.2        44.4%        29.6%        24.5%

                                                           Balance sheet statement (Rs. mn)
                                                                                                                                    Annual
                                                                                                                    CAGR over                Half yearly
                                        FY18         FY19        FY20        H1 FY20      H1 FY21             TTM                growth over
                                                                                                                   FY18 - 20 (%)             growth (%)
                                                                                                                                   FY19 (%)
Equity share capital                     78.1       390.6        390.6        390.6        390.6            390.6    123.6%          0.0%       0.0%
Other equity                           1,495.1     1,891.2      2,817.9      2,370.4      3,422.0          3,422.0    37.3%         49.0%      44.4%
Long term borrowings                     4.1         0.1                                                     0.0
Long term financial liabilities          52.2       57.3         61.5          60.4            65.5         65.5      8.5%           7.3%       8.5%
Long term provisions                     1.8         4.2          6.5           9.4            12.7          12.7     89.4%         53.8%      34.9%
Non current net deferred tax
                                         36.0        41.3        16.1          15.6            19.8           19.8      -33.1%     -61.0%      27.3%
balances
Other long term liabilities                                        2.3          2.8          1.6              1.6                              -43.0%
Short term borrowings                   757.4       498.7        430.8        639.3        380.2            380.2       -24.6%     -13.6%      -40.5%
Other short term financial liabilities   68.5       121.8        139.3        203.2        299.3            299.3        42.6%     14.3%        47.3%
Trade payables                         1,784.2     2,352.1      2,124.7      2,239.6      2,976.4          2,976.4        9.1%      -9.7%       32.9%
Current net tax balances                129.5       101.7         37.5         67.0        115.5            115.5       -46.2%     -63.2%       72.4%
Short term provisions                    48.3        49.1         57.4         55.1         63.6             63.6        9.0%      17.0%        15.4%
Other short term liabilities             49.4        96.5        163.2        143.2        134.1            134.1        81.8%     69.2%        -6.4%
Total liabilities                      4,504.7     5,604.4      6,247.6      6,196.4      7,881.2          7,881.2      17.8%      11.5%       27.2%

Property, plant and equipment           462.4       511.4        954.4        978.2       1,306.6          1,306.6       43.7%      86.6%       33.6%
Capital work-in-progress                11.6        159.7        377.7        106.9         33.1             33.1       470.1%     136.5%      -69.0%
Long term investments                    0.2         0.2         37.3         36.1         124.5            124.5      1173.6%    15445.8%     245.1%
Other long term financial assets        62.4        71.0         84.3         81.9          98.5             98.5       16.2%      18.7%        20.3%
Non current net tax assets                           1.5                                                      0.0
Other long term assets                  223.5       344.6         80.7         62.9         80.5             80.5       -39.9%     -76.6%      28.0%
Inventories                             940.0      1,138.9      1,455.2      1,331.0      1,735.2          1,735.2       24.4%     27.8%       30.4%
Trade receivables                      2,030.8     2,532.7      2,584.7      2,678.1      3,727.8          3,727.8       12.8%      2.1%       39.2%
Short term loans                                                   9.0                                        0.0
Cash and cash balances                  117.8       209.7         31.9        207.0        252.8            252.8       -47.9%     -84.8%       22.1%
Other short term financial assets        14.9        15.4         17.2         16.6         19.8             19.8         7.3%     11.5%        19.6%
Other short term assets                 641.0       619.3        615.3        697.8        502.4            502.4        -2.0%      -0.6%      -28.0%
Total assets                           4,504.7     5,604.4      6,247.6      6,196.4      7,881.2          7,881.2      17.8%      11.5%       27.2%
  Source: Choice Equity Broking

                                                                                                                      © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
Financial statements:

                                                              Cash flow statement (Rs. mn)
                                                                                                                                 Annual
                                                                                                                 CAGR over                Half yearly
            Particulars (Rs. mn)                   FY18        FY19          FY20     H1 FY20 H1 FY21    TTM                  growth over
                                                                                                                FY18 - 20 (%)             growth (%)
                                                                                                                                FY19 (%)
Cash flow before working capital changes          1,024.6     1,385.7 1,453.7 775.2    997.9 1,676.4                19.1%          4.9%      28.7%
Change in working capital                         (332.0)      (17.5) (512.7) (413.7) (318.9) (417.9)               24.3%       2824.8%     -22.9%
Cash flow from operating activities                519.5       877.0   542.1   146.3 523.1 918.9                    2.2%         -38.2%     257.5%
Purchase of property , plant & equipment          (141.9)     (256.6) (398.2) (168.5) (73.6) (303.4)                67.5%         55.2%     -56.3%
Cash flow from investing activities               (246.9)     (373.8) (520.4) (206.2) (159.3) (473.5)              45.2%          39.2%     -22.8%
Cash flow from financing activities               (258.0)     (411.4) (199.4)   57.3 (142.9) (399.6)               -12.1%        -51.5%    -349.6%

Net cash flow                                      14.6         91.9        (177.7)    (2.6)   220.9     45.8                  -293.4%     -8561.7%
Opening balance of cash and bank
                                                   103.2       117.8        209.7      209.6   32.0     207.0      42.5%        78.1%       -84.8%
balances
Closing balance of cash and bank
                                                   117.8       209.6         32.0      207.0   252.8    252.8     -47.9%        -84.8%      22.1%
balances

                                                                       Financial ratios
Particulars (Rs. mn)                                               FY18            FY19           FY20          H1 FY20      H1 FY21        TTM
Revenue growth rate (%)                                                            34.8%          -5.3%                       23.3%
EBITDA growth rate (%)                                                             49.7%          -1.6%                       31.1%
EBITDA margin (%)                                                  11.8%           13.1%          13.6%          15.1%        16.1%        14.3%
EBIT growth rate (%)                                                               51.5%          -3.4%                       28.5%
EBIT margin (%)                                                    11.1%           12.5%          12.7%          14.4%        15.0%        13.3%
PAT growth rate (%)                                                                60.9%          29.6%                       24.5%
PAT margin (%)                                                     6.3%            7.5%           10.3%          10.6%        10.7%        10.4%
                                                                      Turnover ratios
Inventory days                                                      68.1            54.4          74.3           73.3           74.5         86.8
Debtor days                                                         99.5            82.9          98.2           96.1          108.5        127.4
Payable days                                                      (129.3)         (108.2)        (128.2)        (123.4)       (127.7)      (148.8)
Cash conversion cycle                                               38.3            29.1          44.3           46.1           55.3         65.3
Fixed asset turnover ratio (x)                                      15.7            15.0           7.1            4.6           4.6          8.0
Total asset turnover ratio (x)                                      1.7             1.8            1.5            0.8           0.8          1.4
                                                                        Return ratios
RoE (%)                                                            29.8%           33.0%          30.5%          19.3%        17.4%        29.1%
RoA (%)                                                            10.4%           13.5%          15.6%          8.6%         8.4%         14.1%
RoCE (%)                                                           49.7%           52.6%          36.8%          25.3%        23.7%        36.2%
                                                                       Per share data
Restated reported EPS (Rs.)                                         11.7            18.8          24.4            13.3         16.6         27.7
Restated DPS (Rs.)                                                  1.3             1.0            1.0            1.0           1.5         1.5
Restated BVPS (Rs.)                                                 39.3            57.0          80.2            69.0         95.3         95.3
Restated operating cash flow per share (Rs.)                        13.0            21.9          13.5            3.7          13.1         23.0
Restated free cash flow per share (Rs.)                                             5.0            2.9                         (0.2)
Dividend payout ratio                                              10.8%           5.2%           4.0%           7.3%          8.8%         5.3%
 Note: Ratios calculated on pre-issue data; Source: Choice Equity Broking

                                                                                                                  © CHOICE INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH
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