STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation

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STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
MAGAZINE OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ASIA PACIFIC AIRLINES

                                                               VOL. 9 NO. 10 SEPTEMBER 2002

                                                   STRAIGHT
                                                   SHOOTER
                                                       Qantas chief Dixon defies
                                                       critics as carrier
                                                       bucks world trends

     Cargo boom: Asia                    SriLankan Airlines            Open skies
     leads world recovery                battling back                 split in Manila

                                                                                 A Wilson Press publication
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
Publisher
Wilson Press Ltd                                                                                                                         VOL. 9 NO. 10 SEPTEMBER 2002
GPO Box 11435 Hong Kong
Tel: Editorial (852) 2893 3676
Fax: Editorial (852) 2892 2846
E-mail: orientav@netvigator.com
Web Site: www.orientaviation.com
Chief Executive and Editor-in-Chief
Barry Grindrod
E-mail: orientav@netvigator.com
Publisher
Christine McGee
E-mail: cmcgee@netvigator.com
Chief Correspondent
Tom Ballantyne
                                                            COVER STORY
                                                                                                           MAGAZINE OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ASIA PACIFIC AIRLINES

Tel: (612) 9638 6895                                                                                                                                                      VOL. 9 NO. 10 SEPTEMBER 2002

Fax: (612) 9684 2776
E-mail: tomball@ozemail.com.au

                                                           STRAIGHT
Special Correspondent
Kitty McKinsey
Tel: (852) 2987 6116
E-mail: k.mckinsey@att.net
Hong Kong & China
Wellington Ng
Tel: (852) 2893 3676
                                                           SHOOTER                         Page 24
E-mail: orientav@netvigator.com
Japan
Daniel Baron                                               No-nonsense chief executive                                                                        STRAIGHT
Tel: (813) 3203 7106
E-mail: dbaron@gol.com                                     Geoff Dixon defies critics                                                                         SHOOTER
                                                           as Qantas Airways turns
                                                                                                                                                                  Qantas chief Dixon defies
Philippines                                                                                                                                                       critics as carrier
Rene Mallari                                                                                                                                                      bucks world trends
Tel: (632) 413 8726
E-mail: renemallari@hotmail.com
                                                           world trends upside down
Photographers
Patrick Dunne (chief photographer),
Rob Finlayson, Andrew Hunt, Hiro Murai                                                                          Cargo boom: Asia                    SriLankan Airlines            Open skies
                                                                                                                leads world recovery                battling back                 split in Manila
Design & Production
ü Design + Production                                                                     Cover photo:
                                                                                          Patrick Dunne                                                                                     A Wilson Press publication

Colour Separations
                                                                                                          COVER PHOTO: PATRICK DUNNE
Twinstar Graphic Arts Co.
Printing
Hop Sze Printing Company Ltd

Advertising                                                 NEWS
South East Asia and Pacific
Tankayhui Media, Tan Kay Hui
Tel: (65) 9790 6090                                        Cathay Pacific applies to fly to mainland China                                                                                                      10
Fax: (65) 6280 2823
E-mail: tkhmedia@singnet.com.sg                            Thai Airways may delay share sale again                                                                                                              10
The Americas/Canada
Barnes Media Associates                                    Malaysia Airlines re-invents itself as airline management entity                                                                                     10
Ray Barnes
Tel: (1) 434 927 5122                                      China Eastern brings in private company for Wuhan purchase                                                                                           10
Fax: (1) 434 927 5101
E-mail: rvbarnes@cablenet-va.com                           Air New Zealand, All Nippon order new aircraft                                                                                                       12
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REM International                                          Airlines bounce back to profit as recovery takes hold                                                                                                14
Stephane de Remusat
Tel: (33 5) 34 27 01 30                                    Carriers jostle for position in Japan as JAL/JAS merger nears                                                                                        23
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E-mail: sremusat@aol.com                                   Split views over Philippines open skies                                                                                                              26
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Leona Wong Wing Lam                                        Korean Air’s World Cup own goal                                                                                                                      27
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E-mail: leonawong@orientaviation.com                       SriLankan Airlines cashing in after year to forget                                                                                                   28
Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Secretariat
Suite 9.01, 9/F,
Kompleks Antarabangsa,                                      MAIN STORY
Jalan Sultan Ismail,
50250 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Director General: Richard Stirland                         Tonnes of optimism as Asia leads the world in cargo growth                                                                                           16
Commercial Director: Carlos Chua
Technical Director: Leroy Keith                            The freighter of the future? Rivals state their case                                                                                                 22
Tel: (603) 2145 5600
Fax: (603) 2145 7500
E-mail: ushav@aapa.org.my
Published 10 times a year                                   REGULAR FEATURES
February, March, April, May, June,
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November and December/January.                             Editor’s Letter                                                                                                                                               7
© All rights reserved
Wilson Press Ltd, Hong Kong, 2002.                         Perspective                                                                                                                                                   8
The views expressed in this magazine are not necessarily
those of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines.         Business Digest                                                                                                                                      30

                                                                                                                                                    September 2002, Orient Aviation 
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
FROM THE EDITOR’S DESK

NOW FOR THE GOOD NEWS

I
      t is said often enough that only bad news makes news.                   with the highest quarterly profit in its 61-year history.
      Well, we beg to differ.                                                     It is a fighting spirit that typifies many of Asia’s carriers.
           In this issue Orient Aviation is the carrier of good                   Our lead story, Tonnes of Optimism, outlines the cargo boom
      news from beginning to end. Page after page cites evi-                  in Asia, an aviation business that has exceeded all expectations
      dence that the Asia-Pacific is indeed leading the world                 in the region’s industry. Just about all of the Association of Asia
recovery after a recession and the unparalleled turmoil caused                Pacific Airlines member carriers have seen freight volumes rise,
by the September 11 terrorist attacks. The facts and figures                  in some cases dramatically, and double-digit growth is expected
in our stories support the forecasters’ views that this region                for calendar year 2002 for most of them.
will be aviation’s most industrious growth engine in the next                     However, let’s not get too carried away. Yields for both
20 years.                                                                     passenger and cargo traffic are still a major concern for air-
    In our business round-up there is news of dramatic turna-                 lines. In many a public statement, the CEOs of the best carriers
rounds by Cathay Pacific Airways, Korean carriers, Korean Air                 have said they are now focusing their attention on simply that
and Asiana Airlines, Thai Airways International and Philippine                – increasing yields.
Airlines (PAL). And then there is Qantas Airways, the subject of                  Looking back to the Asian economic crisis of 1997-1998,
our cover story. Last month no-nonsense chief executive, Geoff                a number of the region’s airlines were on their knees. Even
Dixon, described the airline’s 2001-2002 profit – the second                  those who were better equipped financially and managerially
biggest in its history – as a “creditable result”. An understate-             to handle the crisis needed some serious surgery to stay on
ment indeed.                                                                  their profit tracks. Many Asian carriers learned fast and learned
    And in answer to the critics who said Qantas was helped                   well. Those experiences of four years ago enabled them to cope
by the sad demise of Ansett Australia, particularly in the do-                better than most with the emotional and fiscal horrors of the
mestic market, it should be remembered that Qantas relies on                  last 12 months and to come out winning.
international routes for 80% of its revenue.
    And just for good measure, the Australian flag carrier is to
launch a low-cost subsidiary international carrier in October.
How’s that for confidence?
    In the Philippines, PAL nearly went out of business in 1999,
but under rehabilitation and a new management it recorded two
consecutive years of profits and would have made it three in                                                             BARRY GRINDROD
a row except for September 11. Now PAL has kicked off 2002                                                Chief Executive and Editor-in-Chief

The Association of Asia Pacific Airlines members and contact list:

        Air New Zealand                                 Dragonair                                            Philippine Airlines
        Chief Executive, Mr Ralph Norris                Chief Executive Officer, Mr Stanley Hui              President, Mr Avelino Zapanta
        General Manager Group Communications,           Corporate Communication Manager,                     VP Corporate Communications,
        Mr David Beatson                                Ms Laura Crampton                                    Mr Rolando Estabilio
                                                                                                             Tel: (632) 817 1234   Fax: (632) 817 8689
        Tel: (64 9) 336 2770 Fax: (64 9) 336 2759       Tel: (852) 3193 3193  Fax: (852) 3193 3194
                                                                                                             Qantas Airways
        All Nippon Airways                              EVA Air                                              Managing Director and CEO,
        President and CEO, Mr Yoji Ohashi               President, Ms Kitty Yen                              Mr Geoff Dixon
        Senior VP, Public Relations, Mr Koji Ohno       Deputy Senior Vice President,                        Group General Manager Public Affairs,
        Tel: (81 3) 5756 5675   Fax: (81 3) 5756 5679   Mr K. W. Nieh                                        Mr Michael Sharp
                                                        Tel: (8862) 8500 2585   Fax: (8862) 2501 7599        Tel: (612) 9691 3760   Fax: (612) 9691 4187
        Asiana Airlines
        President & Chief Executive,                    Garuda Indonesia                                     Royal Brunei Airlines
                                                                                                             Chairman, Pehin Dato Haji Yahya
        Mr Park Chan-bup                                President, Mr Indra Setiawan
                                                                                                             Executive Director, TBA
        Managing Director, PR,                          VP Corporate Affairs, Mr Pujobroto                   Tel: (673 2) 229 799   Fax: (673 2) 221 230
        Mr Hong Lae Kim                                 Tel: (6221) 380 0592   Fax: (6221) 368 031
        Tel: (822) 758 8161   Fax: (822) 758 8008                                                            Singapore Airlines
                                                        Japan Airlines                                       Deputy Chairman and CEO,
        Cathay Pacific Airways                          President, Mr Isao Kaneko                            Dr Cheong Choong Kong
        Chief Executive Officer, Mr David Turnbull      Director, Public Relations,                          VP Public Affairs, Mr Rick Clements
        Corporate Communications General                Mr Geoffrey Tudor                                    Tel: (65) 541 4030   Fax: (65) 545 6083
        Manager, Mr Alan Wong                           Tel: (813) 5460 3109   Fax: (813) 5460 5910
        Tel: (852) 2747 8868   Fax: (852) 2810 6563                                                          Thai Airways International
                                                                                                             President, Mr Kanok Abhiradee
                                                        Korean Air                                           Director, PR,
        China Airlines                                  Chairman and CEO, Mr Yang Ho Cho                     Mrs Sunathee Isvarphornchai
        President, Mr Philip Hsing-Hsiung Wei           Managing VP, Corporate Communications,               Tel: (662) 513 3364   Fax: (662) 545 3891
        VP, Corp Comms, Mr Roger Han                    Mr Jun Jip Choi
        Tel: (8862) 2514 5750   Fax: (8862) 2514 5754   Tel: (822) 656 7065   Fax: (822) 656 7288/89         Vietnam Airlines
                                                                                                             President and CEO,
                                                        Malaysia Airlines                                    Mr Nguyen Xuan Hien
                                                        Chairman, Tan Sri Azizan Zainul Abidin               Dep Director, Corp Affairs,
                                                                                                             Mr Nguyen Huy Hieu
                                                        Tel: (603) 2165 5154   Fax: (603) 2163 3178          Tel: (84-4) 873 0928   Fax: (84-4) 827 2291

                                                                                                                           September 2002, Orient Aviation 
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
DIARY

   PERSPECTIVE
                                                                                                                 Air Nuigini’s board, chaired
    Edited by                                                                                                    by Michael Bromley, has
    Christine McGee                                                                                              refused to confirm local media
                                                                                                                 reports that the airline lost 36
    FIASCO?                                                                                                      million kina (US$10 million)
         An August statement is-                                                                                 in the last 12 months. Until
    sued after private airport                                                                                   a permanent replacement
    o p e r a t o r, F r a p o r t A G                                                                           is appointed as chief execu-
    Frankfurt Airport Serv-                                                                                      tive, the general manager of
    ices Worldwide released its                                                                                  finance, Steve Wilks, and the
    encouraging half-year results                                                                                executive general manager
    revealed the Philippine Gov-                                                                                 operations, Captain Dave
    ernment “has signalled its                                                                                   Wiltshire, are running the
    willingness to discuss in detail                                                                             Port Moresby-based airline.
    the option of re-transferring
    the Manila Terminal project                 MAS, AIRASIA EQUITY DEAL?                                        UNREST
                                                                                                                      S i n g a p o r e A i r lines
    to the Philippine state”. The

                                           N
    Fraport executive board said                  ot so long ago, Tony Fernandez (pictured above)                (SIA) and its flight crew
    it “was optimistic about ne-                  was a businessman with a brave idea – setting up a             avoided a possible falling out
    gotiations with the Philippine                low-cost carrier in an Asian country. He was not a             last month after a row flared
    Government” after receiving            planespotter and he had never worked for an airline or a              up over seats for crew rest
    the letter. But the airport            related industry. But he did have a good idea – cheap do-             breaks on long-haul flights.
    operator remained insistent            mestic flights in Malaysia – a country where the flag carrier         Until the recent past, flight
    it would “continue to abstain          has always lost money on its local network. Only 10 months            crews took their breaks in
    from providing further fund-           into his launch of AirAsia, the Malaysian Government has              business class. However, now
    ing to Piatco (Philippine              had to accept he knows what the public wants. In August,              that SIA is fitting flat beds in
    International Air Trans-               the Malaysian transport minister, strongly hinted that young          its business class cabins, the
    port Company)”, its minority           blade Fernandez and Malaysia Airlines (MAS) could be-                 number of business class seats
    project partner in the new ter-        come equity partners with MAS keeping long-haul services              has to be reduced with the re-
    minal at Manila’s International        and AirAsia operating the nation’s domestic network.                  sulting loss of revenue. To al-
    Airport, “until an acceptable                                                                                leviate the revenue reduction,
    solution has been achieved                                                                                   SIA wanted its flight crews
    with both the government                                                                                     to rest in economy seats. The
    and Fraport’s Philippine part-       its gleaming and almost new       vinced of the arguments for           uproar from SIA’s collective
    ners”. In 1999, disgraced and        dedicated terminal to the new     privatisation of vital national       cockpits produced a com-
    presently imprisoned former          facility – scheduled to open      infrastructure and it is be-          promise in late August. SIA
    Philippines president, Joseph        in December. As well, duty        lieved the government feared          and the pilots’ union agreed
    Estrada, negotiated a US$600         free operators, concerned at      an electoral backlash if they         the airline would reserve one
    million deal with Fraport, a         both high rental costs and        allowed Qantas to increase            business class seat and two
    65% partner, and Chinese/            increased competition, have       its offshore equity. Don’t, for       economy class seats for pilot
    Filipino business interests to       demanded the terminal be          a minute, think however that          rest breaks. If additional seats
    build an international terminal      declared void. Over to you        the issue is dead and buried.         are available in business or
    at Ninoy Aquino Interna-             madam president.                  A single battle may have been         first class on specific flights,
    tional Airport. Unfortu-                                               lost, but Qantas is determined        SIA will upgrade the pilots
    nately the deal gave major-          BATTLE                            to win the war – at a time that       from economy. If the premium
    ity voting rights to the local       UNFOLDING                         will suit the interests of all par-   seats are not available and a
    partners while Fraport only              The Australian Govern-        ties, political and otherwise.        pilot has to take a rest break in
    gets to vote on 30% of its           ment decided last month to                                              economy, SIA will pay US$115
    equity in the project. It is now     preserve the 49% cap on for-      DISAPPEARED                           to each pilot who has to rest in
    revealed that Estrada also           eign ownership in the priva-          In a game decision, sea-          an economy seat.
    agreed that the government           tised national carrier, Qantas    soned Australian airline ex-               In July, SIA sacked the
    would assume responsibility          Airways. The decision, which      ecutive, Peter Roberts, ac-           pilot and co-pilot who were in-
    of the consortium’s loans if it      surprised some observers          cepted an offer to run troubled       volved in the crash of SQ006 in
    defaults on payments. Present        and participants in the lob-      Air Nuigini, but the job              Taiwan in October 2000. The
    Philippines president Gloria         bying process leading up to       seems to have got the better of       third member of the cockpit
    Arroyo is now grappling with         the decision in mid-August,       him. In June, it was revealed         crew, first officer Ng Kheng
    this possibility after Fraport       was taken in the context of an    that Roberts had departed             Leng, remains at SIA. The
    decided it would cease funding       intense national debate over      from the airline for good. Ac-        crash took the lives of 83
    the project when it had spent        the sale of a large portion of    cording to sources, he resigned       passengers and crew. The
    US$350 million in interim            the government’s former tel-      after completing only one year        announcement followed a de-
    financing. In the meantime,          ecommunications authority,        of his three year contract amid       cision by the Taiwan’s courts
    Philippine Airlines has              Telstra. A significant number     reports the carrier was con-          not to proceed with charges
    also baulked at moving from          of Australians remain uncon-      tinuing to suffer major losses.       against the two pilots.

 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
news

   REGIONAL ROUND-UP
    Cathay applies                                                                                           apply to the authorities for a
    for rights                                                                                               waiver from the rule that it bid
    to resume                                                                                                for the remainder of MAS’s
    flights to China                                                                                         shares because it held major-

    A
           t press time, the re-                                                                             ity equity in the carrier, the
           gional aviation indus-                                                                            MAS statement said.
           try expected Hong                                                                                     Additionally, the airline
   Kong-based Cathay Pacific                                                                                 is selling all its property to
   Airways to unveil plans to                                                                                another government created
   resume services to the main-                                                                              company, Global Network
   land China after a 12-year                                                                                Sdn Bhd, for 1.5 billion ring-
   absence. In mid-August, it                                                                                git, and would lease back
   was confirmed the airline                                                                                 facilities required for the
   had lodged an application                                                                                 airline’s operations. MAS
   to fly to the mainland with                                                                               already has sold its catering
   Hong Kong’s Air Trans-                                                                                    subsidiary to LSG SkyChefs
   port Licensing Authority                                                                                  for 175 million ringgit.
   (ATLA). The application was          Malaysia Airlines: major restructuring                                   MAS managing director,
   published in the government                                                                               Mohamed Nor Yusuf, said
   gazette in late August and a         who are using Hong Kong as         of arguments said THAI            the re-structuring would al-
   two-week consultation period         their gateway to and from the      should stick to its October       low MAS to predict a profit of
   has commenced to allow in-           Chinese mainland”. Callers         sale schedule as fears of         94.2 million ringgit by March
   terested parties to comment          to the hotline receive Cathay      escalating conflicts in the       31, 2003, compared to a loss
   on the Cathay application.           Pacific flight details and in-     Middle East are pushing           of 835.6 million ringgit for
   Regional carrier, Dragonair,         formation about the carrier’s      up crude oil prices, a price      the fiscal year to March 31 in
   is the only Hong Kong airline        global network.                    hike that would be reflected      2002. MAS would continue
   currently permitted to fly to                                           in THAI’s earnings in the         as operators of its interna-
   mainland cities. ATLA ap-            THAI considers                     first quarter of 2003. In July,   tional passenger and cargo
   proval to fly to China would         delaying share                     president Kanok said THAI         services with aircraft leased
   only be the first step in the        sale – again                       would sell 400 million shares     from PMB, Yusuf said, but
   process of re-entry into the             Off again? At press time,      – 300 million new shares and      all revenues from domestic
   mainland market for Cathay.          Thai Airways Internation-          100 million shares from the       flights would go to the new
   It also would need Beijing’s         al (THAI) was reported to be       government holding – in Oc-       government company.
   agreement to win designation         considering delaying its long-     tober in a Stock Exchange of          The new MAS structure
   to fly routes to China’s cities.     awaited share offering – set       Thailand initial public offer-    also marks a departure by
        Cathay operated services        down for this October – until      ing. It was later reported the    the Malaysian government of
   to China until it invested in a      next year. Recently appointed      shares would only be sold to      cross subsidising profitable
   majority share of Dragonair,         THAI president, Kanok Ab-          local investors.                  international services with the
   a purchase which prompted            hiradee, said his carrier had                                        loss-making MAS domestic
   its decision to leave the China      yet to decide if the sale of 23%   MAS reveals                       networks.
   market to its new “baby”. In         of the airline would proceed       survival
   the mid-90s, Cathay decided          next month or next February.       strategy                          Private company
   to sell its majority stake in        Analysts and factions within            Malaysia Airlines            joins CEA in
   Dragonair to the China Na-           THAI differ on the right time      (MAS) has announced plans         Wuhan purchase
   tional Aviation Corp. in a           to conduct the sale, which will    to sell off a majority of its         In yet another industry
   deal that neutered Chinese           reduce the Thai government’s       aircraft assets to a new state-   first Shanghai-based China
   aviation interests’ intention        equity in the carrier to 70%       owned company and re-cast         Eastern Airlines (CEA)
   to establish, in the then Brit-      and, hopefully, raise 10 billion   itself as an airline management   confirmed in late August
   ish colony, a rival carrier to       baht (US$239 million) for the      entity in a strategy aimed at     that it will bring in a private
   Cathay. In a recently negoti-        nation’s public coffers. Some      reducing debt and maintain-       company as the third partner
   ated air services agreement          analysts said a February sale      ing its operations as the coun-   in its takeover of regional
   between Hong Kong and Tai-           made more sense as there are       try’s proud flag carrier.         carrier, Wuhan Airlines.
   wan, Dragon-air was granted          several other Thai enterprises          In a statement delivered     The two other main partners
   rights, for the first time, to fly   lined up for IPOs in coming        to the Kuala Lumpur Stock         with CEA (40% equity) in the
   the Hong Kong-Taipei route,          weeks.                             Exchange, MAS said Pen-           deal, which is intended to re-
   a decision which brought to              This view is echoed by         er-bagan Malaysia Bhd.            launch the airline based in the
   an end the de facto one airline      the Thai Airways Employees         (PMB) would buy 73 of its         western heart of China, are
   one-route policy that had op-        Union, which also argues that      aircraft for 5.1 billion ring-    the Wuhan Municipal Gov-
   erated in Hong Kong.                 THAI should not buy any new        git (US$1.34 billion) as well     ernment (40%) and charter
        Last month Cathay launched      airplanes as it will add more      as take on MAS liabilities        operator, Junyao Group of
   a toll-free hotline on the Chi-      debt to the already heavily        of almost 7 billion ringgit in    Shanghai (18%). The fourth
   nese mainland “for the in-           committed national carrier.        exchange for equity in the        investor, with a 2% equity is
   creasing number of people                A separate collection          airline of 69.3%. PMB would       Wuhan High Technology

10 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
Holding Group Co. reported the Asian              China Southern Airlines, the
Wall Street Journal. The joint venture,       mainland’s largest carrier, took delivery
which will be known as China East-            of the first of its next generation B737-
ern Airlines Wuhan, is expected to            800s in August. The airline, based in
profit from CEA’s merger with regional        Guangzhou, has ordered 20 of the Boeing
carriers, Yunnan Airlnes and China            airplanes.
Northwest Airlines, a consolidation               Reuters news agency has reported
now in its final stages of negotiation        Shanghai Airlines has added a B737-
with Chinese industry regulator, the          800 and a Hawker 800 XP bizjet (manu-
Civil Aviation Administration of              factured by Raytheon) to its fleet and
China (CAAC). Meanwhile, in July, the         said the Shanghai carrier had leased two
CAAC approved plans to offer 200 mil-         other B737-800s and intended to sign for
lion A-shares in an initial public offering   another of the Boeing mid-sized jets.
of Shanghai Airlines on the Shanghai              In a press conference in France,
Stock Exchange. No date has been set          Russian Prime Minister, Vladimir Pu-
for the IPO.                                  tin, said Russian airline, Aeroflot, will
                                              acquire 18 Airbus airplanes, at this stage
Briefly ....                                  planned to be A320s, to upgrade the air-
    FLEETS . . . In July, Air New Zea-        line’s ageing fleet.
land said it would buy 15 new Airbus
A320s and had negotiated purchase                  INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY . .
rights for another 20 of the aircraft. De-    . Air China and Sabre have signed a
liveries will begin in October next year,     three-month consulting agreement to as-
in a reported US$400 million deal that        sist the airline in developing a long-term
involved both purchase and leaseback          IT strategy. Sabre will audit the Beijing-
arrangements for the new airplanes. A         based carrier’s present IT systems and
few weeks later, the airline confirmed it     offer options for new IT infrastructure
had added one more 66-seat ATR 72-500         and application requirements.
to the group’s fleet, bringing the total of        Air New Zealand (Air NZ) has
ATR 72-500s now flying with the Air New       renewed its contract with IBM Global
Zealand Group to nine.                        Services and extended the scope of the
    In an order confirmed at England’s        agreement. The IT company is now man-
Farnborough Air Show in the north-            aging Air NZ’s mainframe, mid-range,
ern Summer, All Nippon Airways                Web and Limux services. Additionally,
(ANA) announced plans to buy five             the New Zealand carrier has signed up
B777-300 and nine B767-300ER aircraft,        software provider, PeopleSoft, on
with deliveries due from fiscal years 2004    a two-month contract to upgrade its
to 2006. ANA will retire 25 Boeing airlin-    finance, human resources and payroll
ers by 2006 as part of its plan to reduce     IT systems; an infrastructure set-up de-
its aircraft types to four – B747-400s,       scribed as ageing by Air NZ CEO, Ralph
B777-300s, B777-200s and B767-300s – in       Norris.
the same period.                                   China Airlines has bought SITA’s
    Family-owned Bangkok Airways              Access Module baggage tracking sys-
has ordered three more ATR 72-500s,           tem to improve its service to passengers
bringing its ATR fleet to nine.               with lost and missing luggage.

China Eastern Airlines: brought in private company for Wuhan Airlines takeover

                                                                                           September 2002, Orient Aviation 11
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
news
        LEASING . . . Ansett           in late September when the         a waiver agreement with             bling city, Las Vegas, in mid-
    Worldwide has announced            group will introduce the inter-    EVA Air in July that allows         August, with a three times a
    that long-time customer, Vi-       nal network’s new low-cost,        Dragon-air passengers to            week service from Singapore
    etnam Airlines, has taken          Air New Zealand Express            fly with either airline out         to the city via Hong Kong.
    delivery of one of its B767-       as its domestic operator. The      of Taipei, without prior en-             SilkAir, Singapore Air-
    300ER freighters, which            new network marks a shift          dorsement of their tickets.         lines’ regional leisure air-
    brought the national carrier’s     in the national carrier’s op-      The agreement, in force from        line subsidiary, started twice
    fleet of B767s to six. At the      erations to new and low-cost       August, increases the number        a week services to China’s
    same time, the airline agreed      leisure services. In July, The     of flights available each week      Chengdu, the capital of Si-
    to extend its lease on a second    Air New Zealand Group              to Dragonair passengers from        chuan province, after China
    B767-300ER aircraft leased         announced it had ordered           22 to 62. EVA Air, Taiwan’s         and Singapore signed a new
    by the Australian headquar-        15 Airbus A320s, as part of        second international carrier,       air services agreement.
    tered lessor to the carrier in     its new strategy of operating      is now operating five daily              Thai Airways Interna-
    November 2000. Singapore           as a low-cost carrier in the       return trips on the Taipei-         tional (THAI) will add Xia-
    Aircraft Leasing Enter-            Pacific.                           Hong Kong route – plus two          men in China, Switzerland’s
    prise (SALE) signed a leas-             Cathay Pacific Airways        MD-11 cargo flights, as a re-       Geneva and Bahrain and Abu
    ing agreement with Brazil          will increase its flights from     sult of the new, expanded air       Dhabi in the Middle East to
    carrier, TAM, for two Airbus       Hong Kong to Auckland to           services agreement signed by        its network out of Bangkok
    A320s, with one delivery           double daily three times a         Hong Kong and Taiwan two            from October 27. The airline
    made in August and the sec-        week, on A340-300s, from           months ago.                         also will add one flight a week
    ond scheduled for November.        November. From September,               Japan Airlines (JAL)           to London, Frankfurt, Mel-
    The two airplanes, leased for                                                                             bourne, Cheng-du, Tokyo (via
    7.5 and five years respectively,                                                                          Phuket) and Busan services,
    have IAE V2500 engines. A                                                                                 increase its services to Beijing
    month earlier, SALE com-                                                                                  from seven to 10 and double
    pleted a sale and leaseback                                                                               its flights to Hanoi to twice
    deal with Asiana Airlines                                                                                 daily every day.
    for a new B747-400 freighter.
    SALE announced a pre-tax                                                                                      TRAINING. . . Air Macau
    profit of US$47.5 million for                                                                             has bought an Airbus A320
    the year to March 31.                                                                                     Maintenance/Flight Training
                                                                                                              device from Faros-Wicat.
        MAINTENANCE . . . Listed                                                                              Dragonair has installed an
    SIA Engineering Company                                                                                   A330-340 flight simulator
    Ltd (SIAEC) and Indonesia’s                                                                               at its Flight Training Centre
    PT JAS have signed a Memo-                                                                                at Hong Kong International
    randum of Understanding for                                                                               Airport, to increase its capac-
    a joint venture in aircraft line                                                                          ity to offer third party flight
    maintenance and technical          Air New Zealand: ordered 15 Airbus A320s as part of its new            training.
    ramp handling services at          strategy of operating as a low-cost carrier in the Pacific.
    Indonesia’s airports. If the                                                                              Clarification
    venture proceeds, SIAEC will       the Hong Kong-based car-           and Shanghai-based China                In the July/August issue
    have 49% in the company and        rier also will restore its five    Eastern Airlines (CEA)              of Orient Aviation we re-
    PT JAS will have 51%.              times daily flight schedule to     are operating an intensified        ported that China Airlines
                                       Bangkok.                           code-share agreement from           had requested a review of
         ROUTES . . . Zhang                Taiwan’s China Airlines        the first of September that will    the Hong Kong Civil Aviation
    Hong Ying, chief executive         (CAL) launched the first di-       increase the services offered       Department’s (CAD) findings
    of Air Macau, an 11-plane          rect Taiwan-Moscow service         to their passengers on the          into the August, 1999, crash
    carrier majority owned by          on August 24 with a charter        Narita-Shanghai and Kansai-         of an MD-11 at Hong Kong
    China National Aviation            flight to the Russian capital. A   Qingdao routes. Additionally,       International Airport.
    Corp., said the airline would      CAL spokesman said a regu-         JAL and CEA operate four                The CAD has pointed out
    expand its network, includ-        lar air link between Taipei and    freighter flights weekly and        the investigation report has
    ing more flights to Chinese        Moscow could be established,       have a joint sales agreement        not yet been made public.
    mainland cities, as Macau          but the decision depended on       for air cargo.                      It had, they said, only been
    progressed from a former           demand and endorsement of               Malaysia Airlines              served on the relevant parties
    Portuguese colony to a resort      the service by the Taiwanese       (MAS) inaugurated twice-            for comment. Two parties had
    city and conference centre.        and Russian governments.           weekly flights from Kuala           requested the findings and
         Air New Zealand said              China Northwest Air-           Lumpur to Colombo, with             conclusions in the report be
    its subsidiary, low-cost Free-     lines is now flying non-           a transit stop in Male in the       reviewed by a board of re-
    dom Air, will launch direct        stop each Saturday between         Maldives, from early August,        view. The board, as yet, has
    services from Auckland, Wel-       Lanzhou in China to Hong           using A330-300 aircraft. MAS        not been appointed.
    lington and Christchurch to        Kong, using an Airbus A320.        has code-shared the route               The CAD also said that
    Brisbane in Australia in Oc-       Lanzhou is the capital of Gan-     with Sri Lanka’s national car-      the U.S. National Transporta-
    tober as well as immediately       su Province and an important       rier, SriLankan Airlines,           tion Safety Board and Boeing
    expanding its services from        city on the famed Silk Road.       which operates five services        Commercial Airplane Group,
    New Zealand cities to the          The carrier also flies between     a week on the Malaysia-Sri          who assisted in the investiga-
    Australian resort destination,     Xian, home of the Terracotta       Lanka route.                        tion, had “confirmed to us that
    the Queensland Gold Coast.         Warriors, and Hong Kong.                Singapore Airlines             so far they have not made any
    Freedom Air will cease flying          Hong Kong Dragon Air-          (SIA) launched the region’s         statement as to the cause of
    New Zealand domestic routes        lines – Dragonair – signed         first direct flights to U.S. gam-   the accident”.

12 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
news

   BUSINESS ROUND-UP
    Strong first                                                                                                   (US$19.68 million) net profit
    half for                                                                                                       for the first quarter was more
    Cathay Pacific                                                                                                 than twice the 457.7 million

    C
           ATHAY PA C IFI C                                                                                        pesos net income PAL earned
           AIRWAYS signalled it                                                                                    for the same period last year.
           was well and truly on                                                                                   It also surpassed the airline’s
    the road to recovery when it                                                                                   internal budget target nearly
    announced a HK$1.412 billion                                                                                   nine times over.
    (US$109 million) profit for the                                                                                     PAL lost 1.6 billion pesos in
    first half of the financial year to                                                                            the last fiscal year, mainly after
    June 30. The figure was 7.1%                                                                                   the fallout from the September
    up on the same period last                                                                                     11 U.S. terror attacks.
    year, but, more importantly,                                                                                        “I could not have asked for
    was a dramatic reversal from          Philippine Airlines: a record breaking first quarter                     a better start to the fiscal year,”
    the HK$662 million loss in the                                                                                 said PAL president, Avelino L.
    second half of 2001-2002, that        bookings this year. Revenue          China market, a growth in           Zapanta. “The profit perform-
    followed the events of Sep-           up the front of the plane fell       passenger travel in the third       ance reflected PAL’s ability to
    tember 11.                            8%. Meanwhile, passenger             quarter following the World         adjust to the dynamics of the
         Turnover of HK$15.51             yield fell to HK45.4 cents from      Soccer Cup, when many peo-          volatile post-September 11
    billion was 2.1% down on              HK47.3 cents a year earlier.         ple stayed at home in June to       marketplace.”
    12 months earlier, but 6.3%               Weaker cargo yields were         watch the competition, and a             The airline reduced its
    higher than the second half of        compensated by an increase in        rebound in Japanese passen-         operating expenditure in the
    last year.                            tonnage. Cargo revenue grew          ger travel.                         quarter by nearly one billion
         “Subject to unforeseen           by HK$253 million in the six             Cargo is expected to show       pesos to 8.67 billion pesos.
    circumstances we anticipate           months to June 30.                   a year-on-year average in-          Although operating revenue
    continued demand in the com-                                               crease of 11% in the months         remained flat, operating in-
    ing months and an improved            Korean Air                           ahead.                              come, at 2.73 billion pesos,
    result in the traditionally           back in                                                                  was 45% higher than a year
    stronger second half [of the          the black                            ... and Asiana                      earlier. With an increased load
    year],” said the airline’s chair-          KOREAN AIR (KAL)                follows suit                        factor of 78.9% systemwide
    man, James Hughes-Hallett.            also has achieved a major                 South Korea’s second in-       (81.1% on international routes
    “Orders for new aircraft (three       reversal in its fortunes when it     ternational carrier, ASIANA         and 67.6% domestically), PAL
    A330-300s and three B777-             posted a profit of 195.39 billion    AIRLINES, also swung back           was “seriously studying” a
    300s for regional service to be       won (US$156.3 million) for the       into profit this year after heavy   case for adding capacity, said
    delivered in 2003 and 2004 to         first six months of the year, a      losses in 2001. It recorded a       Zapanta.
    add to three long-haul A340-          major improvement over last          preliminary net profit of 91.1           The carrier was on the
    600s ordered earlier) and our         year’s first half loss of 345.92     billion won (US$72.9 million)       brink of liquidation in 1999,
    commitment to create about            billion won.                         in the first half of the year,      but under rehabilitation it
    1,300 Hong Kong-based jobs                 Operating income was            compared to a loss of 156.3         posted two straight years of
    underline our confidence in           102.39 billion won compared          billion won a year earlier.         profit – 46 million pesos in
    the future of the airline and         to a loss of 149.37 billion won      Preliminary revenue rose 13%        1999-2000 and 419 million
    Hong Kong.”                           a year earlier. The airline said     to 1.19 trillion won. Operating     pesos in 2000-2001. It was well
         Hughes-Hallett listed a          the improvement was the              profit leapt to 64.1 billion won    on its way to a third profitable
    number of reasons for Ca-             result of steady growth in           from 26.4 billion won in 2001.      year when September 11 de-
    thay’s change in fortunes in          passenger and cargo traffic,              Asiana’s second quarter        railed its efforts.
    the half year: prompt action          restructuring in all airline divi-   net profit was 66.9 billion won
    in cutting costs following            sions, the stabilising of the jet    against a 53.8 billion loss a       Hainan expanding
    September 11, re-negotiat-            fuel price and interest rates        year earlier, a result gathered     at a pace
    ing terms with suppliers, the         and the strengthening of the         mainly through foreign ex-               While the spotlight in Chi-
    parking of aircraft following         won against the US dollar.           change gains and lower jet fuel     na has been on the merging of
    cutbacks in services and lower             KAL’s operating revenue         prices. Preliminary revenue for     its top 10 carriers, HAINAN
    fuel prices.                          rose 7% to 2.915 trillion won,       the quarter rose 16% to 619.7       AIRLINES has been estab-
         Load factors were up. Pas-       while operating expenses fell        billion won, a figure largely       lishing itself in a position of
    senger loads increased 6.2            1.4%, to 2.296 trillion won,         attributed to improved cargo        strength to handle the added
    percentage points to 78.1% in         over the first half of last year.    business.                           competition. It has been ex-
    the six months under review,               Given the better-than-ex-                                           panding its own portfolio by
    while cargo rose 5.1 percent-         pected results for the half year,    First quarter                       buying carriers like Changan
    age points to 70.2%. However,         KAL said its full year operating     record for PAL                      Airlines, Zhong-yuan Air-
    business travel remained soft         profit is expected to exceed the         PHILIPPINE AIRLINES             lines, Xinhua Airlines and
    and Cathay’s chief executive,         targeted 310 billion won.            (PAL) posted the largest            Shanxi Airlines.
    David Turnbull, said he did                In the second six months        quarterly profit in its 61-year          Now the carrier, in which
    not expect to see any improve-        KAL is expected to benefit           history between April and           international financier, George
    ment in first or business class       from a greater focus on the          June. The 983.9 million pesos       Soros, has a stake, says it is

14 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
planning to buy a U.S. airline.    compared to the same period          yuan (US$3.1 million) com-          cargo and mail, operating ex-
No details have been given.        in 2001. Turnover for the pe-        pared to the first six months       penses proved to be the bogey
     It also will be adding an-    riod was 8.55 billion yuan, up       in 2001. However, operating         man for the carrier. Expenses
other 21 planes to its 50 air-     5.9% on the previous year.           profit rose 29.8% to 491.17         rose 52.1% year-on-year com-
craft fleet. They will include         Foreign exchange losses          million yuan. CEA’s domestic        pared to the 45.9% rise in
three B767-300ERs, six B737-       - the airline has heavy yen bor-     operations recorded a loss of       operating revenue.
800s and 12 Dorniers.              rowings - and the absence of         132.4 million yuan.                     Shandong was a pioneer
     And Hainan is making          asset sales were seen as major            SHANDONG AIRLINES,             of the commuter market in
money too. It posted a 9.4%        contributors to the downturn,        the smallest of China’s four        China in the 1990s. Recently,
rise in first half net profit.     although a fall in jet fuel prices   listed carriers, posted a 43.5%     it announced it would invest
     Recently, AIR CHINA           boosted CSA’s bottom line.           drop in first half net profit to    100 million yuan to buy a stake
announced an unaudited 2.74            Meanwhile, CSA’s chair-          23.42 million yuan (US$2.86         in Jinan International Air-
million yuan (US$332,467)          man, Yan Zhuqing, expressed          million), compared to the same      port in Shandong province.
profit for the first six months    concern that Cathay’s entry          six months in 2001. Turnover,
of the year, compared to a         into the China market would          however, was up 45.9% to            THAI cashes in
631.7 million yuan loss a year     put key routes under further         823.1 million yuan for the          on forex gains
earlier. The airline said the      pressure. He said the lucrative      period.                                 THAI AIRWAYS IN-
reversal was due to increased      Hong Kong-Beijing route had               The carrier said in a state-   TERNATIONAL (THAI)
international passenger traffic,   already shown some decline.          ment to the Shenzhen Stock          capitalised on a weakening
up 17.2% year-on-year to 4.72          Yan said he expected prof-       Exchange that fierce price          US dollar with a third quar-
million, and cargo growth,         itability in the domestic market     competition had led to the          ter profit of 3.45 billion baht
a rise of 24.9% to 191,900         to improve in the second half        reversal in earnings in the         (US$82.8 million), up 366%
tonnes.                            of the year because of a crack-      first three months of the year,     on the same period to June
     Other Chinese airlines have   down on illegal ticket discount-     while crashes at Air China and      30 a year earlier. For the nine-
not been as fortunate. The coun-   ing by Beijing. Domestic traffic     China Northern Airlines in the      month period THAI posted
try’s largest carrier, CHINA       accounted for 78.7% of CSA’s         second quarter had softened         a profit of 9.23 billion baht
SOUTHERN AIRLINES                  total passenger revenue.             demand for tickets.                 compared to a 195 million baht
(CSA) reported a 38.8% drop            At press time CHINA                   Although Shandong re-          loss a year earlier.
in net profit to 123.2 million     EASTERN AIRLINES (CEA)               corded a 57.3% rise in pas-             QANTAS bucks the world
yuan (US$15 million) for the       reported a 63.7% drop in mid-        sengers for the half over 2001,     trend (see special report page
first six months of the year,      year net profit to 25.5 million      as well as a 61.6% increase in      24)

                                                                                                                 September 2002, Orient Aviation 15
STRAIGHT SHOOTER Qantas chief Dixon defies critics as carrier bucks world trends - Orient Aviation
MAIN Story

        Air freight is performing remarkably strongly and prospects for the future are even
        better. What is more Asia promises to be the powerhouse driving this prosperity.
        It’s timely news as thousands of delegates from the cargo industry prepare to at-
        tend the world’s biggest air cargo bi-annual forum and exhibition organised by the
        International Air Cargo Association (TIACA) in Hong Kong, in September.

        TONNES
                                                                                               By Tom Ballantyne

        OF OPTIMISM
        Asia’s air cargo market is exceeding all expectations,
        although yields remain a concern

    A
                 sian airlines’ air freight
                 business is making a dramatic
                 recovery with optimistic
                 projections of an early return
                 to pre-2001 growth levels.
    Rising exports of high-value, high
    technology goods from the Asia-Pacific
    region’s major manufacturing centres
    are fuelling the rebound, despite ongoing
    nervousness about the U.S. economy and
    global business confidence.
         The region’s major cargo players told
    Orient Aviation they believed the freight
    increases are sustainable although, like
    the air passenger business, there are
    continuing concerns about yields.
         But considering the depth of the
    2001 downturn, the revival has been lit-
    tle short of phenomenal. Last year was
    the worst in three decades for the air
    cargo industry, with a world-wide traffic
    decline of 9.7% year on year. The Gulf
    War provided the previous largest fall,
    but at 2.5% was tiny when compared to
    the recent crisis.
         Now, big airlines are reporting
    freight tonnage growth in excess of 10%
    for the first half of 2002 against the same
    period last year.
         There is also growing excitement
    about the acceleration of China’s econo-
    my – currently being assisted by substan-     Singapore Airlines: cargo alliance a quantum leap in the air freight business
    tial rises in foreign investment.
         China’s exports rose 14.1% in the            The Manila-based multilateral institu-       Long-term, cargo forecasts for the
    first six months of 2002, according to        tion said in a quarterly report a surge in   next 20 years are good. The latest predic-
    official figures.                             exports should help the gross domestic       tions from global aerospace company,
         The Asian Development Bank (ADB)         product of ASEAN countries, China and        Boeing, put expansion at 6.4% annually
    has predicted East Asian economies will       South Korea grow at an average of 5.8%       until 2021.
    grow more strongly this year than was         this year, compared to an April forecast         The International Air Transport As-
    earlier forecast, despite concerns about      of 5.2%. This is another good indicator      sociation (IATA) projects 5% increases
    the strength of the recovery in the U.S.      of cargo prospects.                          over each of the next five years, although

16 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
many Asian airline cargo executives                                                            to have had an effect. IATA said increased
believe both these figures could prove                                                         rates would not be introduced until late
conservative. For example, Japan Air-                                                          this year or early in 2003, rather than in
lines (JAL) senior vice-president cargo,                                                       October, as was originally planned.
Juntaro Shimizu, is one who believes                                                               The airlines need the rate rises to
long-term demand could extend beyond                                                           consolidate gains they are making in
the present healthy projections.                                                               cargo volume. Almost all Asian carriers
     Boeing has forecast the delivery of                                                       are making giant strides in making up
681 new freighters (349 large/260 me-                                                          last year’s losses.
dium/72 small) worth $116 billion, as                                                              Cargo traffic for the world’s third
well as more than 1,850 conversions by                                                         largest cargo carrier and the largest in
2021. This would mean a global freighter                                                       Asia, Korean Air (KAL), which earns
fleet of 3,078, compared with 1,775 at the                                                     about half its revenue from freight, rose
end of 2001. A number of Asian airlines                                                        8.4% in the first six months over the
are looking at expanding their freighter                                                       same period last year. But in June (the
fleet.                                                                                         latest month figures were available for
     Amid the optimism, the most critical                                                      most airlines at press time) cargo traffic
battle for all cargo operators remains                                                         was up 21%. “We’re expecting demand
yield improvement. Hwang Teng Aun,                                                             to steadily grow in the second half of this
president of Singapore Airlines Cargo,                                                         year,” said KAL spokesperson Crimson
told Orient Aviation the carrier remains                                                       Lee. The demand is led by the shipping
concerned about this issue, even though         Japan Airlines’ senior vice-president cargo,   of IT products, he said. KAL is one of
the decline in yields has stabilised, after     Juntaro Shimizu: believes cargo growth         the carriers planning to increase its 20-
falling significantly in recent months.         could extend beyond healthy projections        freighter fleet.
     However, there is a lot of price                                                              Korea’s second international carrier,
pressure from what he called “passen-                                                          Asiana Airlines, saw freight grow 10%
ger-centric” airlines that carry cargo in           A row is brewing between freight           in the same period. “We continue to
belly space.                                    forwarders and airlines about IATA’s           ship more semi-conductors, monitors
     The airlines that believe belly cargo is   plans to increase cargo rates from Octo-       and other IT products to the U.S. from
a marginal revenue product will always          ber. Forwarders complain they have been        Southeast Asian countries,” said Asiana
make it difficult for the major air cargo       given too little time to prepare. The move,    spokesman, Ahn Jae Hwan.
players who are investing in freighters,        they said, will effectively raise rates on         Estimates put Asiana’s freight sales
said Hwang.                                     low-density cargo by 20% and hit their         up 28% to around US$45 million in June.
     “You really have to get a return on        businesses by increasing their costs.          “We’re expecting shipments to grow
your investment. Freighters are very                The issue is to be discussed by IATA       at a faster pace from September as the
asset intensive. There has to be some           in September and by delegates at the           worldwide economy is likely to show a
risk-sharing vis-à-vis our customers,”          International Federation of Freight            recovery.”
he said.                                        Forwarders Association (FIATA) World               Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific Airways
     He said it was unsustainable for the       Congress. Both meetings will be held in        saw cargo volume increase 20.4% in June
serious cargo carriers to set marginal          Istanbul, Turkey.                              and cumulative figures for the first six
prices on their products.                           The forwarders’ protests already seem      months of the year show traffic increased

                                                                                                                September 2002, Orient Aviation 17
MAIN Story
    by 13.5% over 2001. Cargo load factor
    for June was 73.9% – up 6.6 percentage
    points on last year.
        Said Cathay’s general manager
    cargo, Kenny Tang: “Cargo traffic con-
    tinues to surge, driven by strong demand
    to and from North America. We’ve been
    particularly encouraged by a recent
    strengthening in cargo yields.”
        Tang added cumulative figures year-
    on-year to June show an approximate
    12.1% increase in traffic. “Cargo has al-
    ways been a good barometer for market
    conditions, and the recent cargo figures
    show positive signs,” he said.
        In June, SIA Cargo reported a 14.3%
    rise in cargo aboard freighters and in the
    holds of its passenger aircraft, with load
    factors up 6.5% to 71.2%.
        Hwang said the Asia-Pacific would be
    the critical area for the future of the air
    cargo business. “If you look across the
    whole region, from the Indian sub-Con-
    tinent to Japan, we (Singapore) are in the
    centre of this region. China could be the
    engine [that drives the cargo business],
    but the region, as a whole, will grow
    reasonably well.”
        Said JAL’s Shimizu: “In the first quar-
    ter of the 2002 financial year the signs
    of recovery are clear. Demand in Japan
    has grown more than 10% over the same
    period last year and is almost back at the
    level of the 2000 financial year. The first
    half of 2000 was running at peak levels
    [before the slump]. To date, inbound
    cargo has improved 2% over the 2001
    financial year and has been increasing
    further since July.”
        Shimizu added shipments to and from
    Asia are showing exceptional recovery.
    “Movements from Asia to the U.S. and          Korean Air: good results for Asia’s largest cargo carrier
    from Japan to Asia have vastly improved
    and we can put most of that down to in-       June, after the delivery of the second            With three new gateways in Beijing,
    creased demand in the IT and electronics      freighter.                                    Shanghai and Shenzhen, DHL expects to
    related commodities sectors.”                     New daily services to Taipei are sure     raise its network coverage to 43 stations,
        Malaysia Airlines’ (MAS) freight arm,     to see the boom continue.                     covering 1,000 towns and cities in China
    MASKargo, reflects the upturn. It finally         The optimistic region-wide results        by the end of the year. The expansion
    made a small profit in the first quarter      are backed by statistics from airport car-    into China is intended to capitalise on
    of 2002 after years of losses. Although       go handlers. Singapore Airport Terminal       the robust growth of China’s economy
    the events of September 11 had been a         Services (SATS), whose largest share-         and the opportunities presented by Chi-
    major worry to the industry, following        holder is SIA, handled 13% more cargo         na’s recent accession to the World Trade
    on from the recession that started at the     in June compared to the same month in         Organisation.
    beginning of 2001, MAS-Kargo was able         2001. A spokesman said the economic               FedEx is also looking to strong
    to concentrate “on putting things right”      recovery in the U.S. and Asia boosted         growth in the region with hub expan-
    and making improvements to increase           demand for cargo services. SATS handles       sions in Taiwan and the Philippines and
    cargo-handling efficiency on the ground,      about 80% of cargo traffic at Singapore       direct flights between Japan and China.
    said MAS senior general manager               Changi International Airport.                 FedEx’s Asia-Pacific president, David
    (cargo) J.J. Ong. MASKargo put greater            In Hong Kong, the Airport Authority       Cunningham, said the company is posi-
    efforts into tapping lucrative markets in     reported June cargo volume soared by          tioning itself to tap long-term growth in
    Asia and Europe as well as Australia in       25% year-on-year, due to the improved         the region through “very targeted invest-
    the post-September 11 period.                 economic environment. Exports, or             ments in the region based on existing and
        Hong Kong’s Dragonair launched            loaded cargo, to North America, Japan,        projected customer demand”.
    dedicated freighter operations in mid-        Taiwan and Europe were strong and                 While reluctant to discuss specific
    2000 and has never looked back. It has        surged 34% in the same month.                 targets, Cunningham said North Asia is
    two B747-300 freighters with a third join-        Big all-freight operators are also        the fastest growing sector of the Asian
    ing the fleet before the end of the year.     bullish. DHL Worldwide Express is using       air freight industry with outbound
    Its cargo volume grew more than 68%           China as its major Asian gateway. It also     growth forecasts averaging 6.5% a year
    in July from a year earlier, with jumps       has distribution hubs in Hong Kong and        over the next 20 years and intra-Asian
    of over 60% in March, April, May and          Singapore.                                    growth estimated to hit 8.5%.

18 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
MAIN Story
        While Asia is leading the way in car-
    go expansion there has been a recovery
    in North America, too.
        Data from the Air Transport Asso-
    ciation (ATA), representing U.S. airlines,
    showed U.S. air cargo traffic rose in June
    for the third straight month after 14
    months of decline. The 2% increase was
    the largest this year and the biggest since
    a rise of 2.1% in January, 2001.
        But the main game is now in Asia and
    many carriers are looking to spread their
    networks or lift capacity. Cathay Pacific
    launched a twice-weekly cargo service to
    Milan, Italy, in August.
        Italy is an important market for Hong
    Kong. It is the Special Administrative
    Region’s twelfth-largest trading partner
    with business last year worth almost          Cathay Pacific Airways: regional expansion in the pipeline. General manager cargo,
    US$5 billion.                                 Kenny Tang (inset) says the airline is evaluating medium-sized freighters
        The carrier, which has five B747-400
    and 6 B747-200 freighters in its 77-air-      press time a signing ceremony was ex-         on the Shenzhen-Chicago-Shanghai-
    craft fleet, serves a freighter network of    pected at the end of August.                  Shenzhen cargo route. A second is due
    23 destinations in Asia, the Middle East,          An official announcement on the          to be delivered in September and will
    Europe and North America.                     future of the Cathay-DHL joint venture        be used to operate to Europe and the
        Tang said consideration is being          is expected in the near future, according     Middle East.
    given to the purchase of medium-sized         to Cathay’s chief operating officer, Philip        MAS’s MASKargo is positioning
    freighters for use on regional routes,        Chen, who declined to comment further         itself for network expansion and is aim-
    but no decision had yet been made. The        on “rumour and speculation”.                  ing for new markets in Germany, Japan,
    new aircraft, it is believed, would be             DHL does not operate its own air-        Thailand, Bangladesh and Taiwan. It
    leased out to its wholly-owned subsidi-       craft in Asia. It has a number of partner     has a fleet of four B747-200 freighters,
    ary, Air Hong Kong, which until recently      airlines, including Cathay, which carry       in addition to the belly space in its 82
    operated three B747-200 freighters and        cargo in their belly space.                   passenger aircraft.
    a A300B4 converted passenger aircraft.             SIA has 11 B747-400 freighters and            Another significant development in
    Two of the B747s have since returned          firm orders for up to 17 more to be de-       recent times has been a move by JAL to
    to Cathay.                                    livered in the next three to four years.      join SIA, Lufthansa German Airlines and
        It is believed that Cathay is to extend   It also may convert some of its Airbus        Scandinavia’s SAS in the WOW cargo
    its present “Starlight Express” joint         A380 orders into the freighter version,       alliance.
    venture with DHL Worldwide Express            but the new very large aircraft will not           The alliance now boasts a combined
    when the current contract ends early          be available for several years.               fleet of 43 dedicated freighters, and a
    next year.                                         China Southern Airlines, China’s         belly hold capacity of more than 760
        DHL is to operate the franchise for       largest carrier, took delivery of the coun-   passenger aircraft, many of them wide-
    the new express cargo terminal at the         try’s first B747-400 freighter in June.       bodied jets.
    Hong Kong International Airport. At                It was immediately placed in service          “We believe by this strategic step we
                                                                                                are able to enhance the global approach
                                                                                                of JAL Cargo.
                                                                                                     “By adding to WOW’s harmonised
                                                                                                product portfolio and worldwide air
                                                                                                cargo network we will keep pace with
                                                                                                our customers’ demands and the trends
                                                                                                of globalisation,” said Shimizu.
                                                                                                     SIA’s Hwang said the development of
                                                                                                the cargo alliance was a quantum leap in
                                                                                                the business.
                                                                                                     More and more customers want to
                                                                                                deal with fewer and fewer suppliers and
                                                                                                they need a system that will overwhelm-
                                                                                                ingly meet most of their requirements
                                                                                                globally, he said.
                                                                                                     “Each of us, while we are strong in
                                                                                                certain regions, is clearly not global in
                                                                                                the sense that is required by the glo-
                                                                                                bal manufacturing chain and logistics
                                                                                                companies. The fundamental premise of
                                                                                                WOW is we want a loose consortium,
                                                                                                but a strong alliance to be able to offer
                                                                                                to our customers a network that is, by
                                                                                                far, much bigger than individually any
                                                                                                of us can offer.”
    FedEx: has expanded its hubs in Taiwan and the Philippines                                       Interlining is almost never done in the

20 Orient Aviation,   September 2002
cargo business. WOW aims to provide
interlining through IT interconnec-tivity.
“I need to be able to book cargo on any
flights of several airlines as easily as if I
was travelling myself as a passenger,”
said Hwang. “This kind of connectivity
requires a lot of project harmonisation
and much IT harmonisation. That’s where
a lot of time and effort has to be spent.”
    While the news is generally good on
the cargo front, commentators are still
urging caution, well aware some of the
world’s major economies remain frail
and that more terror incidents could
happen.
    Jim Edgar, head of Boeing’s cargo
interests in Asia, said an aspect of ‘9/11’,
particularly for Asia, was that a great
part of the decline in air cargo traffic in
the days soon after the U.S. terrorist at-
tacks came at the expense of belly cargo
on passenger jets. “While the freighter
traffic declined it was not as precipitous.
There were selective groundings of
freighter aircraft, but they were not of
the magnitude you saw on the passenger
side and most of those are back in service
now,” he said.
    There is some concern about over-
capacity, as grounded planes are brought
back on line. Hwang pointed out a
number of airlines with aircraft in the
desert are putting them back into service,
providing the market with a capacity
injection. “We will have to see whether
or not that will hit the demand. It could
well do so, but at the same time, short
of an extraordinary event, the economy
seems to be growing in the U.S. and con-
sumption in Asia seems to be expanding.
Hopefully, the growth in demand will be
met by the increasing capacity that will
surely be coming on stream in the next
couple of months.”
    Edgar, however, pointed out that fig-
ures are being compared with last year’s
low base. Boeing’s forecast is that by the
end of 2003 cargo traffic will be back to
the level it was at the end of 2000.
    “I don’t think many industrial firms
yet realise the potential leverage they
can have using air cargo, inventory
management, quick to market, flexibility,
reducing costs. I am very bullish about
the future of air cargo,” said Edgar.
    “Everything is happening in Asia in
air cargo. Europe-Asia or trans-Pacific,
these are the high growth areas and will
be for many years. At the end of 2000,
42% of all cargo touched somewhere in
Asia; it was either trans-Pacific, Europe-
Asia or intra-Asia. In 20 years, these
three markets will represent 52% of the
world’s total traffic. All the fundamentals
are still there: inexpensive labour, abun-
dant raw materials.
    “I think the future of cargo in Asia is
very, very bright indeed.”
    See cargo traffic on a charge. AAPA
statistics pages 30 to 38

                                                September 2002, Orient Aviation 21
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