STATE OF THE - Sweets and Snacks Expo
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Initially, the offering was largely Magazines – with some Confection https://stacker.com/stories/3984/history- supermarket-industry-america
The first retail self-checkout system was installed in the 90’s Dr Howard Schneider developed the first retail self-checkout system - called “the service robot” which was installed in 1992 at a Price Chopper Supermarket in New York https://www.progressivegrocer.com/grocery-tech-look-past-centurys-innovations https://qikserve.com/self-service-tech-a-history/Aug 6, 2018
But our lives have changed significantly Prioritizing Convenience: • 45% of consumers claim to eat snacks instead of eating meals at home • 72% do not plan when they will eat snacks during the day, but grab one as needed (+5pts vs 5yrs ago) • Consumers average 2.7 snacks per day Source: IRI : Seesaw State of the US Snack Industry 2022
And, COVID has impacted shopping behaviors Prioritizing Convenience … in a different way • Personal space and safety • Fast transaction • Increase in online / mobile shopping
Inflation is also impacting how & where people shop Changes in Shopping Behavior Have you changed your shopping choices recently due to increased grocery prices? (among those who noticed higher prices) 45% Looking for sales/deals more often 33% Cutting back on non-essentials 21% Switching to store brand/private label 20% Switching to lower cost brands 13% Switching to lower cost retailer Source: IRI OmniConsumer™ Survey Solutions, December 2021, n=1,069 total respondents, fielded 12/3-8/2021
While sales are growing online, consumers intend to shop in store more in the next year Less consumers have purchased or are planning to purchase groceries online in 2022 Online Grocery Purchased & Purchase Intent 62.5% 59.0% 54.3% 52.0% 49.5% 46.9% 39.5% 36.8% 25.8% 23.1% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Have purchased in the last 12m Expect to buy in the next 12m Source: Supermarket News: Share of US Shoppers buying groceries online stabilizes 5/16/22
The checkout has evolved to become a very important part of the in-store experience
Reducing friction for shoppers at checkout has become paramount retail
Checkout is important to the shopper 85% of shoppers say checkout is important or very important to their shopping experience 58% of shoppers are likely to change stores if the primary difference was a better checkout experience Source: Forrester Research, “The State of Global Online Grocery Retail 2018”, March 2018
Checkout has been one of the biggest pain points for shoppers Top 5 in-store Pain Points Product availability 69% Lines in store 49% COVID safety in store 47% Wrong prices 36% Lack of staff 29% Source: IHL Group/Intel Consumer Study 01/22
Shoppers desire an efficient transaction • Minimal Wait Time • Multiple transaction choices in-store • Efficient process – but immediate help when needed
And, Checkout is the one place in-store to satisfy the “me-moments” • Typical need states at checkout include: • Hunger Satisfaction • Reward • Forgotten Items / Convenience • Impulse purchases are less price sensitive • Items are consumed within 30 minutes after leaving the store • Open to discovering something new
The balance of time and effort at self-checkout has proportionally been on the efficiency side at the expense of the shopper need states Technology Operations Efficiency Shopper Personal Need States
Self-Checkout installations accelerated due to COVID Global shipments of self-checkout machines increased by 25% in 2020 Source: Retail Customer Experience, Self-Checkout Machine Systems Jump 25% in 2020; December 2, 2021
Self-checkout usage has grown over the last few years • On average, 59% of shoppers used cashiered lanes and 41% used self-checkout • Some stores report as high as 70% of transaction now occurring at self-checkout depending on demographics, training, # registers, open cashier lanes, etc. Source: IMC Proprietary Retailer Research 2021-2022
Self-checkout also helps retailers address labor challenges “Every 1-percent shift to self-checkout is $1 million in labor expense that could go back into the store for other purposes" Dave Wilkinson, President NCR Source: Convenience Store News: Technology Experts Decode the Year’s Top C-store Trends
But, availability and labor issues persist - impact sales
Shoppers’ interest in Non-Traditional checkout is growing All groups also say they desire non- traditional checkout experiences – the highest being Gen Z at 86% and Millennials 80% Source: PYMNTS.com Today’s Self-Service Shopping Journey Grocery Results
Self-checkout and POS improvements are among top retailer technology investments Top Grocery technology priorities in 2022 67% Inventory visibility 49% Adding self- checkout 1 out of 5 grocers plan POS infrastructure upgrades – both in hardware and software Source: IHL/Intel Consumer Survey 2021 of FDCM retailers https://progressivegrocer.com/6th-annual-grocery-tech-trends-study
Retailers are responding with new investments in cashier less innovation
The Checkout Category is a big, growing category for retailers Annual US Supermarket Sales* = $804 Billion X .77%** of Sales Total Checkout Sales $ = ~$6.2 Billion Total Checkout Sales 0.87% $6.16 0.77% $5.54 % of Store Sales % of Store Profit 2017 2021 Checkout is almost 1% of total store sales equaling Category has increased 11.2% since 2017 $6.2B in total category sales driven by gains over the 5 years Source: IMC Checkout Update 2022
And, Front-End items are in 21% of grocery baskets Product Trips 89.2 88.5 17.8 18.6 Total Store Checkout 2020 2021 Source: IRI Front-End Food 52 w/e 12/26/21
The key principles of checkout category merchandising are Allocation Visibility Availability Location
Shopper need states don’t necessarily change based on how they transact Shopper desires or need state no not change based upon transaction point ? Friction is added when shoppers can’t find what they want at checkout
Availability is a big issue at self-checkout • Self-checkout areas tend to be optimized for transaction efficiency • Terminals positioned so that candy, snacks, gum and beverages are not at arms length • Terminals not positioned in a way to enhance customer flow, queuing and impulse sales
Consider the shopper’s experience
Without effective merchandising, conversion drops an average of 50% On average, the conversion difference between cashiered and self-checkout lanes is 50% across all categories % Average Conversion Difference by Segment 10 0% 9 -10% 8 -20% 7 -29.3% -30% 6 -41.4% -40% 5 -48.7% -50% 9.3 -55.5% 4 7.8 -60% 3 6.5 -70% -73.7% 2 3.8 -80% 3.5 3.1 1 -91.3% -90% 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.4 0 -100% Beverage Candy Gum & Mints Magazines Snacks GM Cashiered Lanes SCO Lanes SCO % Difference *Source: IMC Proprietary Retailer Research 2021 – 6 retailers total
This is devastating for Confections in particular % Total Category $ Sold in Checkout 86% 28% 22% 3% Total Candy Gum/Mints Snacks Confections Source: IRI Front-End 52 w/e 12/26/21
Losses for retailers are significant % Transactions Average Conversion Difference 20 18 Average transactions per day 16 14 1,868 37.1% 12 10 $1.90 average price 8 Conversion gap worth $116 per 62.9% 4 6 17.3 8.8 day per store 2 0 Conversion Cashiered SCO Cashiered SCO $4.3M Based on an average 100-store chain, this is per year in profitable impulse purchases *Source: IMC Proprietary Retailer Research 2021 – 6 retailers
This is a $1.5 billion dollar risk to a top 10 center store category Rank 2021 Top Categories Dollar Sales $ % Chg All Categories $374,036,572,770 -2.5% 1 BEER/ALE/ALCOHOLIC CIDER $13,617,732,092 -4.4% 2 CARBONATED BEVERAGES $13,142,560,145 4.6% 3 SALTY SNACKS $13,023,946,932 1.2% 4 NATURAL CHEESE $10,858,592,350 -3.7% 5 WINE $10,123,383,305 -5.6% 6 FRESH BREAD & ROLLS $10,118,006,049 -2.5% 7 BOTTLED WATER $8,585,257,234 6.2% 8 DAIRY MILK $8,203,821,819 -4.2% 9 DINNERS/ENTREES - FZ $6,683,116,331 2.5% 10 CHECKOUT $6,156,727,642 2.7% 11 COFFEE $5,844,808,669 -3.4% 12 YOGURT $5,367,870,129 1.0% 13 BREAKFAST MEATS $5,316,519,195 -3.1% 14 ICE CREAM/SHERBET $5,027,315,114 -8.6% 15 COLD CEREAL $4,952,709,777 -9.6% *Source: IMC Checkout Update 2022 **IRI Total US Food Calendar Year Ending 12-27-21
Yet, it could be a big opportunity for growth If retailers can increase Self Checkout conversion to that of cashiered lanes, this is a$3.1B opportunity for the immediate consumption category! *Source: IMC Proprietary Research 2021 & IRI Category size Calendar Year Ending 12/26/21
How can retailers balance the need for efficiency while solving for shopper needs?
What leading retailers do to optimize checkout category sales and profitability Establish a checkout category with a dedicated manager Develop a checkout category plan by pay point Evaluate each pay point and the entire checkout category annually Have on-going test and learn project plan
Analyze current business performance to identify gaps Category Conversion by Pay Point % of Checkout Category Space 26% 26.6% 23.4% 20% 22.7% 19%19% 19% 20.5% 18% 19.5% 16% 16% 15% 17.8% 15% 13% 14.8% 14.1% 12.4% 8% 9.4% 10.0% 8% 7% 8.7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 2% Candy Snacks Gum & Mints Magazines GM Regular Self-Checkout Average Top Merchandising Productivity Category Space Analysis Source: IMC Proprietary Research 2021
Create merchandising solutions that offer top sellers at all pay points
Impulse Marketing Co can help achieve success Analyze Track 26% 20% 19% 19% 18% 19% 16% 16%15% 15% 13% Strategize 8% 6% 7% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% Design 2% Candy Snacks Gum & Magazines GM Mints
Thank You! impulsemarketingco.com
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