Southern Grampians Shire - Retail Strategy - Southern ...
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We wish to acknowledge the support of Regional Development Victoria in the development of this strategy
Contents Executive Summary 3 6 Forecasts and Scenarios 37 1 Introduction 7 6.1 Background 37 1.1 The Project 7 6.2 Population Forecast 37 1.2 This Report 7 6.3 Retail demand 38 2 Trends in Retail Development 9 6.4 Current Retail Development 40 Proposals 2.1 The Australian Retail Industry 9 6.5 Retail Development Scenarios 41 2.2 Consumer Preferences 9 6.5.1 Base case 43 2.3 Retailer strategies 12 6.5.2 Low/no growth scenario 44 2.4 Retail Development Policy 15 6.5.3 High growth scenario 44 2.4.1 Activity Centres and 15 Planning Policy 6.5.4 Comparison of Scenarios 45 2.4.2 Council Planning Policy 18 7 Objectives 46 2.5 Outlook 19 8 Supporting activity centres 47 3 Retailing in the Southern Grampians 21 8.1 Objective 47 3.1 Retail Activity 22 8.2 Reasons 47 3.2 Activity Centres and the Retail 22 8.3 Strategies 47 Hierarchy 9 Support Existing Traders 53 3.3 Description of Centres 26 9.1 Objective 53 3.3.1 Hamilton Town Centre 26 9.2 Reason 54 3.3.2 Coleraine 26 9.3 Strategies 54 3.3.3 Penshurst 27 10 Retail planning framework 57 3.3.4 Dunkeld 27 10.1 Objective 57 3.3.5 Balmoral 27 10.2 Reason 58 3.3.6 Local and other centres 27 10.3 Strategies 58 3.4 Retail Floorspace 28 11 Priorities for Action 60 3.5 Retail Sales 29 12 References 61 4 Retail Demand 30 Appendix: Key Activity Centres 62 4.1 Population 30 4.2 Retail Spending 33 5 The Balance of Retail Supply 34 and Demand Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 1
This strategy is designed to guide Council action on retailing and the activity centre network in the Southern Grampians Shire. 2
Executive Summary This draft strategy has been 1. Council will support It is important to note that prepared by development investment in existing activity this retail strategy is part of a consultant Tim Nott in centres to deliver the best broader suite of strategies that conjunction with Geografia, possible service to residents Council is developing or has in which is preparing the and visitors place that will affect retailing concurrent economic and activity centres in the Shire. development strategy for the 2. Council will support These other documents include Shire. The strategy is guided by existing traders and their the Economic Development the following objectives: organisations to improve Strategy, the Municipal Strategic retail industry performance Statement and planning and the viability of activity strategies and urban design centres frameworks for Hamilton and other towns in the Shire. 3. Council will put in place The strategies and actions in a retail planning and the following table have been development framework suggested by Council and its that reinforces the activity consultants in conjunction centre network and allows with members of the business appropriate growth community who have been consulted throughout the development of this document. The actions highlighted in red are suggested as initial priorities for Council. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 3
Executive Summary cont. Objective/Strategy/Action Performance indicator Objective: Support activity centres 1 Work with investors to fill identified gaps in the retail mix and to improve the draw of existing centres 1.1 Work with land-holders and potential investors to secure a site Investment in DDS for a discount department store in the Hamilton town centre 1.2 Identify other sites in the Hamilton town centre and its fringes Investment in bulky goods/ for potential bulky goods/restricted retailing restricted retailing 1.3 Work with stakeholders to secure improved convenience retail Securing investment in facilities in small town centres commensurate with their role in the convenience retailing in retail hierarchy neighbourhood and local centres 1.4 Work with others to secure investment in entertainment and Increase in non-retail other service sector activities as well as an increase in the number investment in centres of dwellings in centres 2 Work with investors to improve services to visitors 2.1 Continue to implement the recommendations of the Southern Improved visitation and visitor Grampians Tourism Strategy and secure increased investment in yield tourism retail product 2.2 Ensure that urban design frameworks for town centres cater for Visitor services incorporated the needs of visitors into urban design frameworks 2.3 Encourage investment in a wider range of food service outlets in Improvement in dining options Hamilton and other centres 2.4 Investigate the provision of wi-fi services throughout Hamilton Feasibility assessment of town centre providing a free wi-fi service in Hamilton town centre 3 Work with stakeholders to improve the physical attractiveness of centres 3.1 Implement urban design strategies for centres Increase in pedestrian activity in centres 3.2 Work with stakeholders to improve the efficiency and access Increase in the number of to car-parking in the Hamilton town centre, and this may include parking spaces in the town provision and promotion of an all-day car park for city workers centre 3.3 Ensure that, wherever possible, Council locates its services in Increased proportion of Council activity centres in order to concentrate demand and generate new jobs located in activity centres activity 3.4 Ensure a rapid response to maintenance and safety issues Improvement in perception of within centres centres 3.5 Ensure that, wherever possible, new development creates active Reduction in “dead spots” in frontages in centres centres 4
Executive Summary cont. Objective/Strategy/Action Performance indicator 4 Work with stakeholders to reduce the adverse impact of vacant space in key centres 4.1 Identify vacant and under-used shop space in centres Data-base of shop use and ownership 4.2 Work with owners and community stakeholders to identify Reduction in vacancy rate and potential activities increased activity 4.3 Identify urban design treatments that can be used to Improvement in perception of differentiate former shops that are now homes from vacant shops. active streets 4.4 Consider promotion of vacant space as a whole to organisations Identification of potential large- that may take more than one shop-front scale customers for vacant space 5 Work with land-holders to ensure sufficient well-located property is available for key activities in centres 5.1 Convene a regular forum of land-holders in Hamilton town Regular meetings of land- centre to identify efficiencies in land provision and opportunities for holders in Hamilton town centre collaboration 5.2 Consider direct intervention (ie purchase of land) to secure Undertake rapid feasibility appropriate investment; this could involve the provision of a rolling assessment of land purchase property investment fund in Hamilton town centre to facilitate DDS development 5.3 Undertake a car-parking strategy for the Hamilton town centre Complete car parking strategy and identify areas that could accommodate new consolidated car parking including multi-storey parking 5.4 Further investigate institution of a rolling property development Feasibility assessment of rolling fund as a means of improving the physical fabric of town centres property fund 6 Dedicate resources to place management 6.1 Employ a place manager to coordinate Council investment in Employment of a place manager the Hamilton town centre and to implement and further develop Council policy 6.2 Coordinate and promote the calendar of events for the town Promotion of a calendar of centre events Objective: Support traders and their organisations 7 Support traders’ organisations in individual centres 7.1 Consider the provision of funds towards the development of Development of traders’ traders’ organisations in Hamilton and the neighbourhood activity organisations centres 7.2 Provide funds to traders’ groups for the development of a Business plans for centres business plan for each centre Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 5
Executive Summary cont. Objective/Strategy/Action Performance indicator 7.3 Consider the provision of funds to traders’ organisations to help Improved provision and take-up provide trader training (including hospitality, customer service, of trader training opportunities window displays and internet trading) 7.4 Provide funds towards promotional activities in individual Improved targeting of centres, targeting those key markets identified in business planning promotional expenditure 7.5 Ensure that each centre has a calendar of events and that these Improved coordination of events are coordinated across the Shire 7.6 Encourage the provision of a higher minimum level of service Longer opening hours on the in Hamilton town centre across the weekend for visitors and weekend residents, including opening of cafes and post office 7.7 Encourage existing and new traders to invest in internet trading Growth in internet trading and improved viability of businesses 7.8 Consider the introduction of a special charge scheme in Growth in funds available to Hamilton town centre to fund town centre development, trader implement Hamilton town training and promotion centre business plan 8 Support Shire-wide retail business promotion and development 8.1 Undertake coordination of regional promotion of the Shire’s Regional promotional campaign activity centres for the Shire’s activity centres 8.2 Coordinate and promote calendar of events in the Shire’s Shire-wide calendar of events activity centres 8.3 Seek to develop new and complementary events in activity Establishment of new events centres in conjunction with traders groups Objective: Develop retail planning framework 9 Ensure that the retail and activity centre policies are clear in Council’s land-use plan 9.1 Prepare a retail development framework that is based on, and Revision of the Municipal reinforces, the existing network of centres Strategic Statement in the planning scheme 9.2 Establish the criteria for assessing proposals for retail Adopt the retail development development, including new centres and out-of-centre retailing criteria 9.3 Ensure that the retail strategy and other relevant documents Reference the retail strategy in are referenced in the Southern Grampians Planning Scheme the planning scheme 6
1. Introduction 1.1 The Project 1.2 This Report An appendix provides the strategy as it applies to The Southern Grampians Shire This report is a draft retail individual centres. Council has commissioned strategy in two parts: Geografia to prepare an updated The strategy will be finalised Economic Development Strategy • The Background provides a following input from Council. for the Shire to guide Council’s summary of the existing retail efforts to attract investment situation in the Southern and to encourage sustainable Grampians Shire, the retail development. As part of this policy framework and retail project, Council requires a retail development scenarios for the strategy that provides guidance Shire. for retail development. This retail strategy is being prepared • The Strategy is based around by Tim Nott in conjunction with the principles of supporting Geografia. activity centres, supporting traders and their organisations and providing a clear retail development framework. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 7
2. Trends in Retail Development 2.1 The Australian Retail Industry In 2006, retailing was the largest industry in Australia, employing over one million people or 11% of the total work-force (ABS, Census of Population and Housing). In that year, the industry comprised around 217,000 firms which added $53 billion in value to the economy and had a turnover of $199 billion (ABS, Australian Year Book 2008). Retailing is shaped by the interplay between consumer demands, the competing strategies of retailers and development policies of government. These factors are explored in the following sections. 2.2 Consumer Preferences over many years. The hierarchy • Convenience of centres allows the provision Increased participation in the • Keen prices of the most often required paid workforce and longer Keen prices are a major, if goods and services in the most working hours in many not dominant concern of most numerous centres, with goods families has meant less time shoppers. However, most and services that are required for routine shopping. These also value their time and so less often in the larger and families are drawn to shops travel costs of the shopping less numerous centres. and shopping centres that trip are also taken into Internet sales are growing minimise time spent on routine account in the overall price largely as a result of being able shopping trips. This benefits analysis that is undertaken to access the lowest prices larger supermarkets, and consciously or unconsciously from Australia and around the one-stop shopping centres. by most shoppers. The world. For older people, convenience demand for keen prices has can also mean having shops created pressure on retailers within walking distance. And to reduce costs (property for people in small towns, development, logistics etc) and convenience means having a has also generated demand local corner shop rather than for an equitable and rational having to travel to a larger dispersal of retail facilities centre. Convenience is also a so that travel costs are factor in the growth of internet minimised. This is what has sales, as people can shop driven the development of a from home at a time of their hierarchy of shopping centres choosing. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 9
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.2 Consumer Preferences • Sustainable and healthy CONT. products Many individuals and families • High level of choice are increasingly concerned We live in a diverse community about health issues. Better in which market segments are information about the effects increasingly fragmented to of products on individual, reflect the choices of smaller social and environmental groups of people. This benefits health is in demand. This both larger stores that can information is being used by carry a wide variety of stock some consumers to direct their and stores that cater to the expenditure towards healthier needs of growing market products, with a growth in low niches. High levels of choice, in fat, low salt foods, organic individual stores and in activity foods, and products which have centres, allow shoppers to low carbon input (including compare product features and locally grown food that has low this drives innovation and the food miles). development of new products Farmers’ markets are one to service smaller and smaller consequence of the desire market niches. to support sustainable food production in particular. These allow direct contact between producers and consumers without the need for retail intermediaries. 10
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. • Increasing affluence The result has been a real In the Southern Grampians growth in retail sales per head context, the demand for Retail spending per person of population averaging around entertainment and “something has been increasing steadily in 1% per year since 1983, as different” generates real terms as a result of real detailed in the chart below. shopping trips by residents to increases in average incomes Warrnambool, Ballarat and across the community. More • Shopping as entertainment Melbourne. However, the and more products are being Shopping for non-essentials activity centres of the Shire commoditised; that is, things is part of a day out for attract shoppers from the that previous generations many people and may be wider region who are also made for themselves are now combined with other leisure or seeking “something different” sold as ready made goods recreational activities such as and who appreciate the (think of biscuits, jams and dining, visits to the cinema or attractive small town centres preserves, knitted jumpers, the art gallery, or a walk in the and the charm of Hamilton’s barbecues, toys and cubby countryside. This factor has Gray Street. houses, for example). In addition, the increasing supported the growth of tourist technological sophistication centres and sustained the of our society has generated demand for multi-functional a host of new products that activity centres that have are seen as necessary for a range of entertainment modern life (mobile phones, options. computers, video games etc). Figure 1: Real growth in sales per head of population, Victorian retailers, 1983 to 2010 ($2010) Source: ABS, 2011; ABS 2011a; Tim Nott Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 11
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.3 Retailer strategies development of franchises has seen the growth of shops and buying groups has been selling new products such as • Concentration used to create economies computer games, or micro- Strategies to compete on price of scale in purchasing and specialisation such as shops have driven the formation marketing whilst still allowing selling just tea or juice. of larger and larger entities individual operators to manage Specialisation can also involve with huge buying power. The their own business. These new juxtapositions of old larger retailers are able to kinds of businesses operate products – coffee with books or dictate terms to primary in most retail segments from music, women’s fashion with producers and manufacturers supermarkets (such as IGA) hair-dressing etc. on wholesale prices and to fast food (McDonalds) and Many highly specialist shops the precise specification of homewares (Harvey Norman can remain independent of goods. The supermarkets, and Mitre 10). location – their customers will for example, are backed by a These tendencies towards go to them no matter where large, complex and efficient concentration have led many they are. However, there is supply chain that enables chain stores to maximise a distinct advantage in being them to deliver low prices on their throughput by locating centrally placed in relation a very wide range of goods. in regional and sub-regional to the market, and that will The major chains are able shopping centres where the usually mean a location in a to obtain almost blanket flow of potential customers is larger shopping centre. coverage of the market – not the largest. The implication many people in Victoria are for the Southern Grampians • Cost reduction and big box very far from a Woolworths retail strategy is that, in order development or Coles supermarket (and to maximise sustainable retail The need to maximise sales this contributes to the parent investment, Hamilton should has prompted most traders to businesses of these chains develop as a sub-regional congregate in activity centres taking 25% of Australian retail shopping centre (and this where the potential customers turnover between them). includes attracting a full-line are. However, trends Price competition forces discount department store towards concentration and increased concentration and - see later sections of this specialisation have generated scale in comparison goods as report). larger retail formats (big box well as groceries. Clothing outlets) which sometimes have • Specialisation chains need more stores to difficulty finding space within improve their buying power As new goods are released and traditional centres, particularly and reduce unit costs. Book consumer tastes change, new given the desire for large areas stores have become larger to specialty shops are constantly of convenient car-parking. increase economies of scale, evolving. As a retail strategy, Many of these traders have with the result that the major specialisation can be used preferred locations on the chains were well on the way in market segments where edge of or outside traditional to displacing the smaller consumers are knowledgeable activity centres where property independent stores (at least or interested enough to development costs are until the parent of several of respond, and where sufficient cheaper. the larger book store chains economies of scale can be Originally big box outlets were got into financial difficulties). obtained to compete effectively concentrated in the hardware on price or service. In recent In some cases, the and bulky goods sectors. times, continued specialisation 12
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. Whilst these sectors still Coles or Woolworths) and a • Producer to consumer account for most of the big box full line discount department Some producers have always outlets, there is now a wider store (Target, Kmart or Big W) sold directly to the public variety of goods sold through are generally between 4,500 including bakers and craft these outlets including clothes, and 8,000 sq m. Providing workers. Latterly, factory sporting goods, electronic affordable space to develop outlets have become popular entertainment media and so or adjust these core retail as a means of off-loading on. The big box outlets have activities within centres is a surplus stock, discontinued evolved from single locations key function of activity centre lines and seconds. However, to collections of traders in planning. the power of the supermarkets large home-maker centres. • Increases in productivity and other major retail chains These may be on the edge of to dictate terms to producers existing activity centres or Reduction in the labour has prompted more producers in completely stand-alone intensity of big box outlets to establish direct connections locations. compared with traditional with the consumer. This Because of the expansion in smaller shops, and the process has been streamlined the types of goods sold, the introduction of new technology and made cheaper by the home-maker centres are such as scanners, eftpos, internet. Examples include competing more directly with reordering at the point of farmers who market and sell traditional activity centres than sale and so on has generated direct to the public via online hitherto. The benefits to the higher than average ordering systems and an consumer are wider choice improvements in labour extensive delivery network. of goods and increased price productivity in retailing. In the In other examples, farmers competition. However, there five years to 2009-10, average contract grow for groups of are also disbenefits of this annual growth in labour consumers who are keen to form of retail development productivity in retail was 2.8% reduce their environmental including an increase in compared with an average footprint and to support travel costs with the need to of 1.5% in a broad range of sustainable local agriculture. visit multiple centres, and a other industries (Productivity These examples deliver more decline in the agglomeration Commission, 2011). This of the product value to the benefits of more multi- increase in productivity, producers. They reduce the functional centres; that is, coupled with recent slow need for retailing but may where many different activities growth in retail sales has provide net benefits to regional are clustered together (as resulted in a slight decline in economies that get a large part in a traditional town centre) the share of retail employment of their external income from the customers of one activity in the general economy. “After primary production. become customers of another, a decade of relative stability, infrastructure used by one the retail industry’s share activity can also be used by of total employment in the others, and so on. economy has fallen from a peak of 11.8 per cent in 2005 On the other hand, some big to 10.8 per cent in 2010” retail boxes form the core (Productivity Commission, function of most significant 2011). activity centres. Branded supermarkets are generally from 2,500 to 5,000 sq m (for Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 13
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. • Impacts on strip shopping • The internet The internet provides a high centres level of choice, although many The Internet has been heralded people still prefer face-to-face Many of the trends outlined here as a major breakthrough explanation of product features. have benefitted large corporate in providing choice and Shoppers may use the internet centres which are able to convenience for consumers. to undertake research but buy accommodate the bigger stores New entrants to the market their products from a person that have regional markets and (mainly US based such as who can explain the alternatives. which can control the overall Amazon and eBay) have built Conversely, shoppers may also retail mix and presentation very strong global sales and use the knowledgeable sales to meet and shape customer many established retailers have person in a bricks and mortar needs. The home-maker centres scrambled to get into the on-line shop to explain the products to have also benefitted from the sales market. The Internet has them and then buy online where drive for low cost locations. also allowed small specialist the price is lower. Many strip shopping centres manufacturers and retailers to have found it hard to compete reach a wider market. Currently, The growth of internet and have suffered a decline many larger retailers have shopping is seen by many as a in trade. Many small local both bricks and mortar shops fundamental challenge to the centres without a significant and an online presence. The viability of retailing in Australia. supermarket have closed online presence may be used Certainly, at the present time, altogether. to provide potential customers when the Australian dollar is with information only, although, relatively high and imports Nevertheless, in recent times, increasingly, the online function are therefore relatively cheap, some strip centres have may allow direct purchase. buying online from overseas is experienced a resurgence, very price competitive. particularly where new housing has been encouraged in town centres. The resurgent strips have been able to contribute to the lifestyle of urban residents by providing food service ...debate continues to rage over from breakfast until late and encouraging niche retailers the role online shopping has in the such as bookshops, quirky homewares, organic food downfall of Australian retail, with sellers and independent fashion outlets. This phenomenon has head of the National Retailers’ certainly extended beyond the metropolitan inner city to strips Association Gary Black saying that in provincial centres (such as Pakington Street in Geelong) and 50,000 jobs are at risk over the next to some smaller town centres few years due to online shopping. which may also benefit from visitor expenditure (including www.smartcompany.com.au, 29 April 2011 Kyneton and Torquay, for example). 14
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. The scale of online retail sales This does have profound 2.4 Retail Development remains unknown. There are implications for shops. Retailers Policy no reliable statistics about how selling goods with known much is sold via the internet. properties (books, music, 2.4.1 Activity Centres Recent estimates quoted by the films etc) are at a particular and Planning Policy Productivity Commission appear disadvantage. Those retailers to indicate that the internet that have a high level of service For the State Government, accounts for around 6% of total are likely to survive best; that activity centres are “the focus non-food sales and around 1% is, retailers who can create an of major urban change over of food and grocery sales. These attractive experience for their the next 30 years” (see www. shares appear to be slightly customers, who are able to dpcd.vic.gov.au/planning). lower than sales in the UK and capture and use information Concentration of development the USA, partly as a result of the about the preferences of their in and around activity centres strong activity centre network customers, and who are able to creates efficiency in the in Australia and higher levels close a deal. Of course, some provision of urban infrastructure, of concern about the security retail outlets will be largely reducing the take-up of rural and effectiveness of online unaffected by the internet land and generating improved transactions. – hairdressers, cafes and viability for services such as restaurants for example. public transport and a higher It does appear that the internet level of privately provided will account for a growing share It will become more important services including retailing and of retail sales as: than ever that activity centres entertainment. Concentration are attractive and multi- of activity also generates more • transaction security is functional and that they multi-purpose trips, reducing improved can cater to many different transport energy use and constituencies. carbon emissions. This focus is • internet connection speed expressed in the State Planning and reliability are improved Policy Framework, as outlined (especially through the on the next page. National Broadband Network), allowing more elaborate In particular the State product displays and faster Government’s planning policy ordering is clear that activity centres are important focal points for the • the proliferation of internet- community and for economic capable phones and other development. mobile devices on which more and more people are becoming reliant for their communication needs and which are used as sales devices by companies such as Apple Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 15
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.4 Retail Development Policy cont. Activity Centres in the State Planning Policy Framework 11. SETTLEMENT Planning is to anticipate and respond to the needs of existing and future communities through provision of zoned and serviced land for housing, employment, recreation and open space, commercial and community facilities and infrastructure. Planning is to recognise the need for, and as far as practicable contribute towards: Health and safety. Diversity of choice. Adaptation in response to changing technology. Economic viability. A high standard of urban design and amenity. Energy efficiency. Prevention of pollution to land, water and air. Protection of environmentally sensitive areas and natural resources. Accessibility. Land use and transport integration. Planning is to prevent environmental problems created by siting incompatible land uses close together. Planning is to facilitate sustainable development that takes full advantage of existing settlement patterns, and investment in transport and communication, water and sewerage and social facilities. 11.01 Activity Centres 11.01-1 Activity centre network Objective To build up activity centres as a focus for high-quality development, activity and living for the whole community by developing a network of activity centres. Strategies • Develop a network of activity centres that: • Comprises a range of centres that differ in size and function • Is a focus for business, shopping, working, leisure and community facilities • Provides different types of housing, including forms of higher density housing Is connected by public transport and cycling networks • Maximises choices in services, employment and social interaction Support the role and function of the centre given its classification, the policies for housing intensification, and development of the public transport network. 16
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.4 Retail Development Policy cont. Activity Centres in the State Planning Policy Framework CONT. 17. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Planning is to provide for a strong and innovative economy, where all sectors of the economy are critical to economic prosperity. Planning is to contribute to the economic well-being of communities and the State as a whole by supporting and fostering economic growth and development by providing land, facilitating decisions, and resolving land use conflicts, so that each district may build on its strengths and achieve its economic potential. 17.01 Commercial 17.01-1 Business Objective To encourage development which meet the communities’ needs for retail, entertainment, office and other commercial services and provides net community benefit in relation to accessibility, efficient infrastructure use and the aggregation and sustainability of commercial facilities. Strategies • Locate commercial facilities in existing or planned activity centres. • Provide new convenience shopping facilities to provide for the needs of the local population in new residential areas and within, or immediately adjacent to, existing commercial centres. • Provide outlets of trade-related goods or services directly serving or ancillary to industry and which have adequate on-site car parking. • Locate cinema based entertainment facilities within or on the periphery of existing or planned activity centres. Such facilities should not require a permit for use within activity centres and are not encouraged on freestanding sites. • A five year time limit for commencement should be attached to the planning approval for all shopping centres or expansions of over 1,000 square metres in floorspace. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 17
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.4.2 Council Planning Policy Council’s planning policy does not include a specific direction on retailing or activity centres. However, it is very clear about the role of the Hamilton town centre which is to be supported as the major regional retail and business area, as indicated below. Hamilton Town Centre in the Local Planning Policy Framework 22.01 Settlement 22.01-1 Hamilton This policy applies to all use and development of land for residential, business and retail purposes in Hamilton. Policy Basis The Hamilton central business district is the major regional retail and business area. Substantial community and private investment has been undertaken in the central business district. This investment needs to be supported. Possible future proposals for freestanding retail development isolated from the central business district could prejudice that private and community investment. [....] Objectives • To support and promote the role of Hamilton as a leading regional centre. • To support the primacy of the existing central business district. • To provide a living environment with a high level of amenity with access to a full range of infrastructure and services. • To encourage and provide for investment and employment opportunities in Hamilton. [....] Implementation It is policy that: • Land use and development in Hamilton should be in accordance with the Hamilton strategic framework plan forming part of this policy; • New uses and development of land in the Business Zones are supported which are attractive, well designed and in character with their locality. • The development and redevelopment of retail premises other than local neighbourhood facilities outside the Hamilton central business district are discouraged to reinforce and take advantage of the level of community and private investment already made in the CBD. [....] 18
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.5 Outlook “Households’ greater preference for saving, a high Australian dollar, the deflation of prices in many sectors, along with other demands for the consumer’s dollar, appear to have adversely affected the Australian retail sector. In addition, it is likely that the growth of orders placed with offshore online retailers has had some impact, although the extent of this is not yet clear.” Productivity Commission, 2011 Given the factors outlined by Figure 2: Confidence index, small and medium retailers in Australia, the Productivity Commission, 2007 to 2010 above, the general outlook for shop-front retailing in Australia in the short and medium term is rather difficult. This gloomy picture is reinforced by the lack of confidence by retailers, particularly amongst small and medium sized businesses. The chart below looks at the confidence index prepared by the Australian Retailers Association over the period to June 2010. Source: Australian retailers Association, various dates Note: the Confidence index measures the difference between the percentage of survey respondents who are confident about the next 12 months and those who are worried about the next 12 months. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 19
2. Trends in Retail Development cont. 2.5 Outlook CONT. Retailers likely to do best From a public policy viewpoint, include: Council must be concerned This chart shows that, following with the health and success of a rebound in confidence after the • those that can meet the the activity centre network as a Global Financial Crisis in 2008- customer’s needs for whole, and its ability to deliver 09, the expectations of small convenience, low prices, high quality and sustainable and medium-sized retailers have choice, sustainability and services to residents. Activity slumped once again. contribution to their lifestyle centres are likely to be most healthy where: In fact though, there are also • those that are large enough to some reasons to be cheerful exercise control over the cost • the catchment is growing and/ about retail prospects: of goods and create economies or where new residents are of scale and scope moving in • real retail spending per person is likely to continue to rise with • those that can control the cost • they are the focus of growth in incomes per person of goods by being vertically Government policy and (and at least until now, this has integrated expenditure (including where been the historical trend) Government chooses to • those with a sales presence on safeguard the existing and • population in Australia will the internet – either internet planned hierarchy of activity continue to grow, generating only or as part of a physical centres) stronger demand and virtual retail presence • property prices are sufficiently • innovation continues to • those providing services competitive to allow new generate new products at an – cafes, restaurants and entrants accelerating rate hairdressers etc • land-owners are willing • those that have a high level participants in the continual of service embedded in their redevelopment of the centre goods, including bespoke clothes, bicycles and so on • there are sufficient land-holders to prevent • those that can provide monopolistic/oligopolistic an attractive experience, behaviour particularly where they are clustered with like shops (and • the land-use planning regime this clearly encompasses is flexible and consistent urban design issues) All these factors are more or less relevant to retailing in the Southern Grampians Shire, as discussed in the following sections. 20
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians This section of the report identifies the existing retail activity in the Shire and provides estimates of retail sales and the spending of residents and visitors. These estimates are used as the basis for retail development scenarios. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 21
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. For the Food and groceries – supermarkets, general • Other goods –, chemists, florists, jewellers, second purposes of stores, liquor outlets, specialty food outlets hand goods etc this report, (butchers, bakers, Food service – cafes, restaurants and take-away greengrocers etc) retail activity food outlets Non-food goods, comprising comprises Retail services – • Clothing – clothes, shoes, hairdressers, beauty the following manchester parlours, video rental categories: • Household goods – For the purposes of the homeware, hardware, analysis presented here, furniture, floor coverings, retailing excludes selling curtains and blinds, of motor vehicles, auto electronic goods etc accessories and fuel. It also excludes outlets which are • Recreational goods - mainly engaged in wholesale sporting goods, toys, sales (that is, sales of goods bookshops, newsagents to other businesses). This includes some hardware outlets. 3.1 Retail Activity • Total value added – 3.2 Activity Centres and approximately $40 million the Retail Hierarchy The following statistics tell the broad picture of retailing in the • Total retail turnover – Retailers most often congregate Southern Grampians in 2006 at approximately $200 million with other retailers and service the time of the last Census of providers in activity centres. Population and Housing. Retailing is the largest of the This concentration provides service industries in the Shire advantages to consumers, who • Number of retail businesses – and the mainstay of the Shire’s are able to access different approximately 250 activity centres. It provides services in one trip; to retailers, services to residents and visitors who are able to take advantage • Number of people employed in and is a key part of the Shire’s of a larger customer base; and retailing – 1,170 or 16% of the tourism industry. to the community as a whole, people working in the Shire, which can enjoy infrastructure making it the second largest cost savings. employer after the agriculture and forestry sector 22
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. Most communities in Victoria regional level services and offer The following table sets out the are served by a network of a more complete range of retail activity centre hierarchy used in activity centres, with each goods; smaller, more numerous this report. centre performing a different centres offer localised services role and providing a different, and a smaller range of retail albeit overlapping, set of goods goods usually providing day-to- and services. This network is day groceries and convenience usually described as a hierarchy: items. larger, fewer centres deliver Hierarchy of retail activity centres Level in the Retail role Relevant example Typical Indicative hierarchy catchment share population of retail spending in its catchment Capital City Extensive comparison goods and Melbourne 1 million 5 to 10% Central services; culture, entertainment; Central Activities plus Activities dining. Includes department District District stores and many specialty stores Regional Extensive comparison goods Ballarat 100,000 30% to 40% centre and entertainment. Includes plus Geelong department store, discount department store, supermarkets and many specialty stores. Also applies to some large specialty centres that cater to an extensive catchment Sub-regional Routine comparison goods as Warrnambool 30,000 plus 30% to 40% centre well as food and groceries. CBD Includes discount department Warrnambool store, supermarkets and specialty Eastern Activity stores. Also applies to some Precinct specialty centres that cater to a significant catchment Mt Gambier Horsham Community Food and some comparison goods. Hamilton 10,000 to 30% to 40% centre Includes supermarkets and 30,000 Portland specialty stores Ararat
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. 3.2 Activity Centres and the Retail Hierarchy CONT. Hierarchy of retail activity centres Level in the Retail role Relevant example Typical Indicative hierarchy catchment share population of retail spending in its catchment Neighbour- Mainly food and groceries and Coleraine 1,500 - 20% to 35% hood centre other convenience goods and 15,000 Dunkeld services. Includes supermarket(s) and specialty stores Balmoral Penshurst Local centre Convenience goods. Usually Cavendish Up to 1,500 2% to 5% comprises a corner grocery store Branxholme and may include take-away food and local services Tarrington Glen Thompson Not every area is served by each level of centre in this hierarchy. In Hamilton, for example, there is no substantial neighbourhood centre. This means that the Hamilton CBD plays a larger than average role in retail provision for its catchment. This includes some aspects of regional retailing – particularly extensive specialty shopping - because of the distance to regional or sub-regional centres. 24
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. The key activity centres in the Southern Grampians are shown in the map below. Figure 3: Network of activity centres in the Southern Grampians Shire Source: Base map from ABS and Google Maps Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 25
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. 3.3 Description of Centres Other notable features of the flexible but consistent planning centre include: regime. Nevertheless, future 3.3.1 Hamilton Town Centre development will rely on willing • the large areas of vacant land land-holders. Hamilton town centre provides a and car-parking in the centre wide range of retail, professional of city blocks 3.3.2 Coleraine and community services to the town and the Shire of Southern • the magnificent Botanic Coleraine is a rural service Grampians. It consists of a Gardens in the most south centre with some small grid of streets in the heart west of the city blocks manufacturing, wholesale and of Hamilton, bounded by tourism activities. The town established residential areas, by • the railway station at the south centre sits astride the wide the railway line and by arterial eastern edge of the CBD, which Glenelg Highway and provides roads taking traffic through the acts as a coach stop but is neighbourhood convenience town. not operating as a passenger goods and services as well as station since the railway only sales to travellers. Key activities Within the town centre, Grey carries freight in the town centre are the Street is the principal shopping chocolate factory, the Eucalyptus street and the section of Grey The town centre has Discovery Centre (soon to be Street between Brown Street approximately 102,000 sq m of replaced by an expansion of and Thompson Street might non-residential floorspace of the hospital), several large be considered the heart of the which 40,000 sq m is retail and hotels, professional services, centre. Grey Street is rather nearly 5,000 sq m (5% of the wholesalers and the retail narrow compared with the total) is vacant. This is rather outlets. The retail offer includes typical main street in other high vacancy rate but is largely a small IGA supermarket, country towns. This provides due to two or three large vacant convenience stores and cafes. for a more intimate experience, premises, including the former and is reminiscent of a British or Mitre 10 building on Lonsdale Coleraine town centre has other European town centre. Street. several heritage buildings but many are vacant. The centre Key retail magnets within Property in the town centre is has a total of around 15,800 sq the centre include three mid rather tightly held by relatively m of activity space, of which to full-sized supermarkets few property owners. In 2,900 is retail and 2,200 (14% of (Woolworths, Coles and addition, the interpretation of the total) appears to be vacant. IGA), ALDI, Target Country building heritage and design This very high vacancy rate gives and Permewens Hardware. by Council has been rather the centre a rather run-down Other attractors include the restrictive in the past. These feel. However, this appearance performing arts centre and factors have led to some may be misleading since it is library, several clubs and a difficulty in undertaking likely that some of the vacant number of large hotels. redevelopment within the centre premises are being used for low (that is, land has been expensive intensity storage or residential and planning controls have been purposes. inflexible). Council is presently undertaking a structure plan for the centre which will identify potential development pathways for the centre and create a 26
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. 3.3.3 Penshurst judged Victoria’s best Country and cafe. There is no pharmacist restaurant by The Age Good Food or separate butcher or baker. Penshurst, in the south of the Guide. Shire, is a rural service centre. 3.3.6 Local and other centres The town centre is located The retail offer in the centre is around a crossroads on the geared mainly to visitors. There Local centres, often comprising Hamilton Highway. The civic is a grocer but no branded a single shop such as a milk-bar and commercial buildings have supermarket; there is a second- or general store, are present a strong heritage character and hand bookshop but no pharmacy. in many smaller settlements many have been refurbished There are no vacant commercial and in suburban locations recently. Key activities in the buildings in the centre, around Hamilton. These stores centre are the Penshurst hotel indicating a strong demand for provide an important function and the Volcano Discovery commercial space. Total non- in providing “emergency” or Centre as well as the civic residential floorspace in the last minute supplies for people infrastructure and the retail and town centre is approximately in smaller towns and outlying rural supplies outlets. Total 3,500 sq m, of which 1,100 sq m districts, as well as providing a activity space in the centre is in retailing. community focal point. Centres amounts to around 4,800 sq m, with a local retail function of which 1,200 is in retailing Currently, the road from Dunkeld include Branxholme, Byaduc, and 1,100 (or 23%) is apparently to Halls Gap through the Cavendish, Glen Thompson and vacant. This is a very high Grampians is closed as a result Tarrington. vacancy rate and includes of landslides at the beginning of several recently refurbished 2011. This situation is expected Hamilton also has a large format buildings. The centre has a milk to continue for some time, retail precinct on the Glenelg bar and grocer but no branded with adverse consequences on Highway to the north west of supermarket. Other retail tourism revenues for the town. town containing Mitre 10 and outlets include a hardware store, Retravision as well as various pharmacy, cafe and several 3.3.5 Balmoral automotive and trade supplies second-hand goods shops. outlets. Balmoral is a rural service 3.3.4 Dunkeld centre in the north of the Shire. The town also acts as Dunkeld is a rural service a service centre for visitors to and tourist centre located the Rocklands Reservoir which at the foot of Mt Sturgeon, recent rainfall inflows have the southernmost tip of the taken from 10% to 50% capacity. Grampians. The attractive town The small but historic town centre sits astride the Glenelg centre, located on Glendenning Highway and contains a mix of Street, has a mix of convenience visitor services, rural supplies retailing, rural supplies and and civic infrastructure. The civic infrastructure. Activity key attraction is the Royal floorspace in the centre amounts Mail Hotel which has been to around 2,600 sq m, of which extensively refurbished to around 800 sq m is in retailing. provide conference centre, The retail offer includes a accommodation and a small unbranded supermarket, restaurant which was recently clothes, toys, second hand goods Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 27
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. 3.4 Retail Floorspace The following table provides an estimate of retail floorspace in the activity centres throughout the Shire. centre sqm Grampians remainder Penshurst Coleraine Balmoral Southern Hamilton Hamilton Dunkeld Centres Retail type Local Total town sq m sq m sq m sq m sq m sq m sq m sq m Food and 11,830 350 880 450 80 200 660 14,450 groceries Non-food 23,030 4,340 1,530 560 480 420 0 30,370 goods Food service 3,670 110 370 160 550 170 370 5,400 Other retail 1,420 0 160 60 0 0 0 1,640 services Total retail 39,950 4,800 2,940 1,230 1,120 790 1,030 51,850 Proportion of 77% 9% 6% 2% 2% 2% 2% 100% total Source: Hansen Partnership, 2010; consultant surveys, 2011 Notes: “Hamilton remainder” consists of several corner stores scattered around Hamilton as well as the large Mitre 10 and Retravision on the Henty Highway at the north-west edge of town. An allowance has been made for a proportion of the floorspace of some hardware stores to cater for wholesale rather than retail sales. “Local centres” comprise Branxholme, Byaduk, Cavendish, Glenthompson and Tarrington. Total retail floorspace in the Shire is approximately 52,000 sq m, of which 40,000 (77%) is in the Hamilton town centre. Coleraine has the largest retail sector of the smaller towns. 28
3. Retailing in the Southern Grampians cont. 3.5 Retail Sales Given the retail floorspace it is possible to make an estimate of total retail sales in the Shire using estimates of sales per sq m for the various retail types. A figure for average sales per sq m is estimated from industry sources and adjusted for local conditions. Estimate of annual retail sales, Southern Grampians Shire, 2010 Hamilton town centre Remainder of Shire Retail Average Retail Retail Average Retail Total Retail type floorspace sales per sales floorspace sales per sales sales sq m sq m Food and 11,830 $7,900 $93.5 2,620 $5,500 $14.4 $107.9 groceries Non-food 23,040 $3,700 $85.2 7,340 $2,200 $16.1 $101.4 goods Food 3,670 $4,200 $15.4 1,730 $3,400 $5.9 $21.3 service Retail 1,420 $2,900 $4.1 220 $2,300 $0.5 $4.6 services Total retail 39,960 $5,000 $198.2 11,910 $3,100 $36.9 $235.2 Source: Hansen Partnership, 2010; Tim Nott Note: Different sales per sq m have been applied to Hamilton and the remainder of the Shire. This allows for the lower sales per sq m typically found in smaller centres and in independently owned stores. The calculation here provides estimated annual retail sales in the Southern Grampians Shire of $235 million in 2010. Of this, $198 million or 84% is expended in the Hamilton town centre. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 29
4. Retail Demand 4.1 Population The retail demand in an area is determined by the spending of residents and visitors. In most areas, the number of residents and their spending power is the key determinant of demand. 30
4. Retail Demand cont. In 2010, the estimated resident population of the Southern Grampians Shire was 17,531 according to the ABS (ABS, 2011). If this estimate is accurate, it marks a slight decline on the previous year and a change in the recent trend for population growth in the Shire, as shown in the figure below. Figure 4: Estimated resident population in the Southern Grampians Shire, 1996 to 2010 Source: ABS Regional Population Growth Australia Note: Figure for 2010 is provisional The following table provides the estimated resident population for each of the three Statistical Local Areas comprising the Shire (and these are shown in the adjacent map). SLAs in Southern Grampians Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 31
4. Retail Demand cont. 4.1 Population CONT. Table 4: Estimated resident population, SLAs in the Southern Grampians Shire, 1996 to 2010 S. Grampians S. Grampians S. Grampians Southern (S) - Hamilton (S) - Wannon (S) Bal Grampians Shire 1996 9,461 2,670 5,417 17,548 1997 9,468 2,630 5,393 17,491 1998 9,442 2,600 5,359 17,401 1999 9,441 2,556 5,313 17,310 2000 9,366 2,482 5,245 17,093 2001 9,413 2,461 5,258 17,132 2002 9,397 2,437 5,253 17,087 2003 9,387 2,422 5,269 17,078 2004 9,415 2,402 5,274 17,091 2005 9,453 2,397 5,323 17,173 2006 9,436 2,396 5,377 17,209 2007 9,573 2,382 5,438 17,393 2008 9,634 2,372 5,489 17,495 2009 9,670 2,369 5,525 17,564 2010 9,645 2,346 5,540 17,531 Average annual growth 1996 to 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 2010 Average annual growth 2006 to 0.5% -0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 2010 These figures show a relatively and Balmoral) has declined by slow growth in the Shire as a 0.5% per year, continuing longer whole over the period since term decline in the area; and the 2006. The township of Hamilton balance of the Shire, including has grown at the same rate the surrounds of Hamilton, and as the Shire over the period; the towns of Penshurst, Dunkeld however, Wannon (the west of and Cavendish, has grown at the Shire including Coleraine 0.7% per year. 32
4. Retail Demand cont. 4.2 RETAIL SPENDING is based on the Market Info provide estimates of small area micro-simulation model which spending patterns. Market Info An estimate of current retail uses the ABS Household figures have been updated using spending per person in the Expenditure Survey, Census recent estimates of State-wide Southern Grampians is provided of Population and Housing retail sales provided by the ABS. in the table below. The estimate and other data sources to Table 5: Annual retail spending per person, Southern Grampians and Victoria, 20101 Retail type Southern Grampians Victoria Southern Grampians $ $ compared with Victoria % Food and groceries $5,000 $5,200 96% Non food goods $4,900 $5,500 89% Food service $1,500 $1,800 83% Retail services $300 $300 100% Total retail spending $11,700 $12,800 91% Source: MDS Market Data Systems, 2002 and 2006; Australian Retail Trade, 2011; Tim Nott Table 6: Annual retail spending, Southern Grampians residents, 2010 Retail type Annual Retail spending Total spending by trade Share of total spending per person area residents % $ $m Food and groceries $5,000 $87.7 43% Non food goods $4,900 $85.9 42% Food service $1,500 $26.3 13% Retail services $300 $5.3 3% Total retail spending $11,700 $205.1 100% Source: MDS Market Data Systems, 2002; Australian Retail Trade, 2011; Tim Nott Total retail spending by the This figure constitutes the total The following section looks at residents of the Southern retail demand by residents. the balance of spending in the Grampians Shire is estimated at However, not all of that spending Shire made by residents and $205 million in 2010. is made in the Shire. visitors. 1 The figures in this table and subsequent tables have been adjusted compared with figures in the original background report to reflect new information available to the author. Southern Grampians Retail Strategy 33
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