SHOPHOUSE PROPERTY REPORT - PropNex
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PropNex Research Q4 2021 Shophouse Report Shophouse Property Report Q4 2021 • Sales volume in the prime areas will likely be thin due to scarcity in the supply of shophouses available for sale, as a result of the surge in buying activity in 2021. Overview Nevertheless, sales in the secondary settlement Despite a slightly muted performance in Q4 2021 amid areas such as Jalan Besar (District 8) and Joo Chiat the festive season and reopening of borders, the (District 15) will make up for the slower sales in the shophouse market has had a remarkable year of prime districts due to their relatively smaller price sales, achieving all-time highs in transaction values tags and higher availability of units for sale. and prices. Over the past year, the surge in interest for shophouses was fuelled by the pandemic and Transaction Hotspots in 2021 instability in various parts of the world. While many • Of the 245 shophouse transactions in 2021, most are countries struggled to manage the pandemic, located in the city and city fringe area. District 8 (Little Singapore progressively rolled out its vaccination India, Jalan Besar) posted the highest sales at 72 units. programme and reopened its economy efficiently. This was followed by the shophouses in District 2 (36 This, coupled with the excess liquidity and low interest deals) and District 1 (32 deals) which were scooped up rates have helped to spur demand for shophouses by high net-worth foreigners and family offices. among investors. • In terms of transaction value, District 1 led the pack, On 16 December 2021, the government rolled out a achieving $493.8 million worth of deals in 2021, closely slew of property cooling measures, including the hike followed by District 2 which recorded $398 million in in the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates for deal value. foreigners and property investors buying residential property. In 2022, commercial properties such as shophouses will likely garner more attention from Shophouse Deals by District investors and foreigners who are looking to protect 2 D28 / Seletar and growth their wealth. 3 D27 / Yishun, Sembawang 1 2 D26 / Upper Thomson, Springleaf 1 2 Sales Transactions in 2021 D23 / Hillview, Dairy Farm, Bukit Panjang, Choa Chu Kang 1 0 • Based on caveats lodged, there were 55 shophouse 2 D21 / Upper Bukit Timah, Clementi Park, Ulu Pandan 2 2 D20 / Bishan, Ang Mo Kio transactions in Q4 2021, down by 11.3% from the 62 2 4 D19 / Serangoon Garden, Hougang, Ponggol 5 deals in Q3 2021, the decline in sales volume was due D16 / Bedok, Upper East Coast, Eastwood, Kew Drive 1 1 to the limited supply of shophouses that were D15 / Katong, Joo Chiat, Amber Road 17 30 available for sale. 21 D14 / Geylang, Eunos 26 D13 / Macpherson, Braddell 6 0 • For the whole 2021, the total number of transactions 7 D12 / Balestier, Toa Payoh, Serangoon 4 2 D10 / Ardmore, Bukit Timah, Holland Road, Tanglin stood at 245 units, surpassing that of the past eight 3 D09 / Orchard, Cairnhill, River Valley 4 1 years. D08 / Little India 35 72 12 D07 / Middle Road, Golden Mile 15 • The total transaction value of deals in 2021 stood at a D05 / Pasir Panjang, 0 2 Hong Leong Garden, Clementi New Town whopping $1.88 billion, an all-time record, surpassing D03 / Queenstown, Tiong Bahru 7 the last peak in 2018 which recorded $1.46 billion 3 36 D02 / Anson, Tanjong Pagar 13 worth of deals. D01 / Raffles Place, Cecil, Marina, People's Park 11 32 0 20 40 60 80 2021 2020 Shophouse Transaction Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis Volume and Value (in S$ millions) by year Top 5 Shophouse Transactions in 2021 450 $2,000 $1,800 • Based on caveats lodged, the top transaction of the 400 $1,600 fourth quarter and also the year was the $90-million 350 $1,400 acquisition of the Porcelain Hotel in Mosque Street - 300 250 $1,200 reflecting a unit price of $8,872 psf on land area. This 200 $1,000 deal is also one of the most expensive shophouse 150 $800 deals of all time in terms of price quantum - the last 100 $600 being The Rail Mall which sold for $63 million in April $400 50 2018. $200 0 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Top 5 Shophouse transactions in 2021 Txn Vol 392 298 291 205 106 104 109 150 170 123 145 245 Txn Value (in mils) $1,205 $1,143 $1,385 $1,266 $585 $657 $714 $1,033 $1,458 $916 $913 $1,881 Unit Price Txn Vol Txn Value (in mils) Transacted Area Location Sale Date District ($ PSF) on Tenure Price ($) (SQFT) Land Area Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis PORCELAIN HOTEL 99 yrs 46,47,48,49,50 26 Nov 2021 1 $89,999,999 10,144 $8,872 leasehold MOSQUE STREET 202,204 999 yrs • Shophouse deals in 2022 will likely be driven by SOUTH BRIDGE ROAD 11 Aug 2021 1 $35,000,000 2,455 $14,255 leasehold demand from investors who are looking at 30,32,34,36,38,40 16 Dec 2021 15 $31,800,000 13,996 $2,272 Freehold JOO CHIAT PLACE alternatives outside the residential market, which is 201 JOO CHIAT ROAD 29 Oct 2021 15 $31,500,000 6,031 $5,223 Freehold affected by new property curbs. 277, 279 NEW BRIDGE ROAD 30 Apr 2021 2 $28,000,000 2,541 $11,018 Freehold Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis 1
PropNex Research Q4 2021 Shophouse Report Shophouse Prices Rents • In terms of unit prices on land area ($psf), shophouse • In Q4 2021, the rental market cooled down slightly prices in the hotspots of Singapore (District 1, 2, 7, 8, 14, from the previous quarter, in part due to the festive 15) have increased to varying degrees this year. season where a number of decision makers were Shophouses in Districts 1 and 2, especially those away. 882 rental contracts were signed, down from located along Telok Ayer, Amoy Street, Boon Tat Street, 914 contracts signed in Q3 2021 while total rental enjoyed buoyant demand from buyers. While prices values fell slightly to $8.08 million from $8.3 million in for shophouses in the rest of Singapore remained Q3 2021. stable or declined slightly. • Shophouse rentals remained resilient in 2021, though • The average transacted unit price on land area* of there were some weak spots, especially in tourist freehold and 999-year leasehold shophouses in D1/D2 districts and consumer-facing business that were and D7/D8 grew by 6% to 10% YOY respectively in 2021. affected by the pandemic restrictions during the year. • Meanwhile, 99-year leasehold shophouses in D7/D8 saw the average unit price on land area in 2021 went • However, the shophouse leasing activity was still up by 11.6%, while it was by 44% in D1/D2 – the latter robust in 2021 despite the pandemic. There were 3,535 being the fastest pace of growth in average unit price rental contracts signed in the whole year 2021, making for shophouses in D1/D2. it the busiest year in terms of rental transactions. • Capital appreciation for shophouses will remain firm • Meanwhile, total leasing contract value for the whole as investors compete for the limited supply of year stood at $31.3 million, surpassing the last peak in properties available for sale; and with more owners 2019 with $28.9 million worth of rental transactions. reviewing their asking prices, especially for those in the prime districts. • Of the 55 shophouses sold in Q4 2021, about 20% or 11 Shophouse Leasing transactions were priced between $5 million and $10 Transactions and Contract Value 4,000 $35,000,000 million – falling from the 20 transacted in the previous $31,341,210 quarter. Based on caveats lodged, there were more 3,500 $28,911,951 $30,000,000 large quantum transactions of over $10 million in Q4 $27,080,792 $25,708,444 $27,106,511 $24,975,170 2021 at 18 deals compared with 10 deals in Q3. 3,000 Number of Contracts $23,795,237 $26,635,354 $25,000,000 $22,090,024 $24,190,791 2,500 $19,996,288 $20,000,000 $17,192,518 2,000 Average unit prices of shophouses by $15,000,000 1,500 tenure and district 1,000 $10,000,000 Unit Price D1 & D2 D7 & D8 D14 & D15 Rest of ($ PSF) on Year Raffles Place, Little India, Geylang, Joochiat, Singapore $5,000,000 500 3,094 3,535 land area 3,099 2,986 Tanjong Pagar Golden Mile East Coast (RCR, OCR) 2,893 3,087 2,892 2,929 3,027 2,937 3,041 2,977 2020 $4,723 $2,936 No transactions recorded $587 99-year 2021 $6,784 $3,277 $2,888 $571 - $0 leasehold 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 % YOY -2.7% change 43.6% 11.6% NA Number of Rental Contracts Total Value of Rental Contracts ($) 2020 $8,770 $3,619 $2,600 $3,131 Freehold & 999-year 2021 $9,640 $3,848 $2,797 $3,172 leasehold % YOY Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis change 9.9% 6.3% 7.6% 1.3% Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis Market Outlook *Average unit price is based on land area. Transacted prices tend to be Work-from-home is no longer the default mode of higher when they are based on gross floor area (which varies depending working from January 2022. Along with the relaxation on the number of storeys in the shophouse property). on dining-in rules and more tourists visiting Singapore, it will give a boost to shophouse tenants in the service sectors. Leasing demand for 2022 is projected to grow Price range on shophouses sold by quarter with the relaxation of restrictions and the steady rollout of vaccine boosters, barring a severe turn in the Price Range Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 pandemic situation. Under $2.5 million 7 6 3 1 For 2022, PropNex expects the shophouse market to $2.5 million to < $5 million 21 22 29 25 further rise in popularity as an investment class, with $5 million to < $10 million 18 26 20 11 more interest coming from foreigners and investors looking at alternatives outside residential properties, Above $10 million 11 17 10 18 to avoid the hefty new ABSD rates. This new demand Total Transactions 57 71 62 55 will boost confidence and prop up asking prices for shophouses. However, sales volume is not expected to Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis increase drastically due to the limited availability of shophouses for sale. 2
Author: Wong Siew Ying Head of Research and Content DID : (65) 6829 6669/ 9745 3035 Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600 Jean Choo (Ms) Research Analyst | Marketing & Communications Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600 Marketing and Communications: Carolyn Goh Director, Corporate Communications and Marketing PropNex Limited (SGX Mainboard Listed Company) DID : (65) 6829 6748 / 9828 7834 Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600 Fazilla Nordin Corporate Communications Manager DID : (65) 6829 6746 / 9188 5760 Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600 PropNex Realty (A subsidiary of PropNex Limited) 480 Lorong 6 Toa Payoh #10-01 HDB Hub East Wing Singapore 310480
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