SHOPHOUSE PROPERTY REPORT - PropNex

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SHOPHOUSE PROPERTY REPORT - PropNex

    

   SHOPHOUSE
PROPERTY REPORT
SHOPHOUSE PROPERTY REPORT - PropNex
PropNex Research Q4 2021 Shophouse Report

Shophouse Property Report Q4 2021                                                                                       •        Sales volume in the prime areas will likely be thin due
                                                                                                                                 to scarcity in the supply of shophouses available for
                                                                                                                                 sale, as a result of the surge in buying activity in 2021.
Overview
                                                                                                                                 Nevertheless, sales in the secondary settlement
Despite a slightly muted performance in Q4 2021 amid                                                                             areas such as Jalan Besar (District 8) and Joo Chiat
the festive season and reopening of borders, the                                                                                 (District 15) will make up for the slower sales in the
shophouse market has had a remarkable year of                                                                                    prime districts due to their relatively smaller price
sales, achieving all-time highs in transaction values                                                                            tags and higher availability of units for sale.
and prices. Over the past year, the surge in interest for
shophouses was fuelled by the pandemic and                                                                              Transaction Hotspots in 2021
instability in various parts of the world. While many
                                                                                                                        •         Of the 245 shophouse transactions in 2021, most are
countries struggled to manage the pandemic,
                                                                                                                                 located in the city and city fringe area. District 8 (Little
Singapore progressively rolled out its vaccination
                                                                                                                                 India, Jalan Besar) posted the highest sales at 72 units.
programme and reopened its economy efficiently.
                                                                                                                                 This was followed by the shophouses in District 2 (36
This, coupled with the excess liquidity and low interest
                                                                                                                                 deals) and District 1 (32 deals) which were scooped up
rates have helped to spur demand for shophouses
                                                                                                                                 by high net-worth foreigners and family offices.
among investors.
                                                                                                                        •        In terms of transaction value, District 1 led the pack,
On 16 December 2021, the government rolled out a                                                                                 achieving $493.8 million worth of deals in 2021, closely
slew of property cooling measures, including the hike                                                                            followed by District 2 which recorded $398 million in
in the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates for                                                                            deal value.
foreigners and property investors buying residential
property. In 2022, commercial properties such as
shophouses will likely garner more attention from                                                                                                    Shophouse Deals by District
investors and foreigners who are looking to protect                                                                                                                                        2
                                                                                                                                                                  D28 / Seletar
and growth their wealth.
                                                                                                                                                                                               3

                                                                                                                                                    D27 / Yishun, Sembawang            1
                                                                                                                                                                                           2

                                                                                                                                            D26 / Upper Thomson, Springleaf            1
                                                                                                                                                                                           2

Sales Transactions in 2021                                                                                                                           D23 / Hillview, Dairy Farm,
                                                                                                                                               Bukit Panjang, Choa Chu Kang
                                                                                                                                                                                       1
                                                                                                                                                                                       0

•    Based on caveats lodged, there were 55 shophouse
                                                                                                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                        D21 / Upper Bukit Timah, Clementi Park, Ulu Pandan                 2
                                                                                                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                                                     D20 / Bishan, Ang Mo Kio
     transactions in Q4 2021, down by 11.3% from the 62
                                                                                                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                                                                                               4
                                                                                                                                 D19 / Serangoon Garden, Hougang, Ponggol                          5

     deals in Q3 2021, the decline in sales volume was due                                                              D16 / Bedok, Upper East Coast, Eastwood, Kew Drive             1
                                                                                                                                                                                       1

     to the limited supply of shophouses that were                                                                                       D15 / Katong, Joo Chiat, Amber Road                                         17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      30

     available for sale.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           21
                                                                                                                                                          D14 / Geylang, Eunos                                                  26

                                                                                                                                                   D13 / Macpherson, Braddell                      6
                                                                                                                                                                                       0

•    For the whole 2021, the total number of transactions
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7
                                                                                                                                        D12 / Balestier, Toa Payoh, Serangoon                  4
                                                                                                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                            D10 / Ardmore, Bukit Timah, Holland Road, Tanglin
     stood at 245 units, surpassing that of the past eight
                                                                                                                                                                                               3

                                                                                                                                         D09 / Orchard, Cairnhill, River Valley                4
                                                                                                                                                                                       1

     years.                                                                                                                                                   D08 / Little India                                                                35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                72

                                                                                                                                                                                                           12
                                                                                                                                               D07 / Middle Road, Golden Mile                                    15

•    The total transaction value of deals in 2021 stood at a                                                                                         D05 / Pasir Panjang,              0
                                                                                                                                                                                        2
                                                                                                                                   Hong Leong Garden, Clementi New Town
     whopping $1.88 billion, an all-time record, surpassing                                                                                   D03 / Queenstown, Tiong Bahru                            7

     the last peak in 2018 which recorded $1.46 billion
                                                                                                                                                                                               3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 36
                                                                                                                                                  D02 / Anson, Tanjong Pagar                                    13

     worth of deals.                                                                                                           D01 / Raffles Place, Cecil, Marina, People's Park                           11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           32

                                                                                                                                                                                   0                                  20                             40               60               80
                                                                                                                                                                                2021           2020

              Shophouse Transaction                                                                                     Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis

       Volume and Value (in S$ millions) by year                                                                        Top 5 Shophouse Transactions in 2021
         450                                                                                                   $2,000
                                                                                                               $1,800
                                                                                                                        •        Based on caveats lodged, the top transaction of the
         400
                                                                                                               $1,600
                                                                                                                                 fourth quarter and also the year was the $90-million
         350
                                                                                                               $1,400            acquisition of the Porcelain Hotel in Mosque Street -
         300

         250
                                                                                                               $1,200            reflecting a unit price of $8,872 psf on land area. This
         200
                                                                                                               $1,000            deal is also one of the most expensive shophouse
         150
                                                                                                               $800              deals of all time in terms of price quantum - the last
         100
                                                                                                               $600
                                                                                                                                 being The Rail Mall which sold for $63 million in April
                                                                                                               $400
           50
                                                                                                                                 2018.
                                                                                                               $200
               0                                                                                               $0
                   2010   2011   2012     2013    2014   2015   2016    2017   2018     2019   2020   2021

                                                                                                                                        Top 5 Shophouse transactions in 2021
     Txn Vol       392    298     291     205     106     104    109     150    170     123    145    245
     Txn Value
     (in mils) $1,205 $1,143     $1,385 $1,266    $585   $657    $714   $1,033 $1,458   $916   $913   $1,881

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Unit Price
                                        Txn Vol          Txn Value (in mils)                                                                                                           Transacted                                 Area
                                                                                                                            Location                    Sale Date       District                                                                          ($ PSF) on        Tenure
                                                                                                                                                                                         Price ($)                               (SQFT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Land Area
Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis
                                                                                                                            PORCELAIN HOTEL                                                                                                                                  99 yrs
                                                                                                                            46,47,48,49,50             26 Nov 2021          1          $89,999,999                                   10,144                 $8,872         leasehold
                                                                                                                            MOSQUE STREET
                                                                                                                            202,204                                                                                                                                          999 yrs
•    Shophouse deals in 2022 will likely be driven by                                                                       SOUTH BRIDGE ROAD
                                                                                                                                                       11 Aug 2021          1          $35,000,000                                   2,455                 $14,255
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           leasehold

     demand from investors who are looking at                                                                               30,32,34,36,38,40          16 Dec 2021         15          $31,800,000                               13,996                     $2,272         Freehold
                                                                                                                            JOO CHIAT PLACE
     alternatives outside the residential market, which is                                                                  201 JOO CHIAT ROAD         29 Oct 2021         15          $31,500,000                                   6,031                 $5,223          Freehold
     affected by new property curbs.                                                                                        277, 279
                                                                                                                            NEW BRIDGE ROAD
                                                                                                                                                       30 Apr 2021          2          $28,000,000                                   2,541                  $11,018        Freehold

                                                                                                                        Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1
PropNex Research Q4 2021 Shophouse Report

Shophouse Prices                                                                                          Rents
•        In terms of unit prices on land area ($psf), shophouse                                           •                    In Q4 2021, the rental market cooled down slightly
        prices in the hotspots of Singapore (District 1, 2, 7, 8, 14,                                                          from the previous quarter, in part due to the festive
        15) have increased to varying degrees this year.                                                                       season where a number of decision makers were
        Shophouses in Districts 1 and 2, especially those                                                                      away. 882 rental contracts were signed, down from
        located along Telok Ayer, Amoy Street, Boon Tat Street,                                                                914 contracts signed in Q3 2021 while total rental
        enjoyed buoyant demand from buyers. While prices                                                                       values fell slightly to $8.08 million from $8.3 million in
        for shophouses in the rest of Singapore remained                                                                       Q3 2021.
        stable or declined slightly.
                                                                                                          •                    Shophouse rentals remained resilient in 2021, though
•       The average transacted unit price on land area* of                                                                     there were some weak spots, especially in tourist
        freehold and 999-year leasehold shophouses in D1/D2                                                                    districts and consumer-facing business that were
        and D7/D8 grew by 6% to 10% YOY respectively in 2021.                                                                  affected by the pandemic restrictions during the
                                                                                                                               year.
•       Meanwhile, 99-year leasehold shophouses in D7/D8
        saw the average unit price on land area in 2021 went                                              •                     However, the shophouse leasing activity was still
        up by 11.6%, while it was by 44% in D1/D2 – the latter                                                                 robust in 2021 despite the pandemic. There were 3,535
        being the fastest pace of growth in average unit price                                                                 rental contracts signed in the whole year 2021, making
        for shophouses in D1/D2.                                                                                               it the busiest year in terms of rental transactions.

•       Capital appreciation for shophouses will remain firm                                              •                    Meanwhile, total leasing contract value for the whole
        as investors compete for the limited supply of                                                                         year stood at $31.3 million, surpassing the last peak in
        properties available for sale; and with more owners                                                                    2019 with $28.9 million worth of rental transactions.
        reviewing their asking prices, especially for those in
        the prime districts.

•        Of the 55 shophouses sold in Q4 2021, about 20% or 11
                                                                                                                                                         Shophouse Leasing
        transactions were priced between $5 million and $10                                                                                        Transactions and Contract Value
                                                                                                                            4,000                                                                                                                                     $35,000,000
        million – falling from the 20 transacted in the previous                                                                                                                                                                                        $31,341,210
        quarter. Based on caveats lodged, there were more                                                                   3,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $28,911,951
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $30,000,000
        large quantum transactions of over $10 million in Q4                                                                                                                  $27,080,792
                                                                                                                                                                                      $25,708,444
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       $27,106,511

                                                                                                                                                                 $24,975,170
        2021 at 18 deals compared with 10 deals in Q3.                                                                      3,000
                                                                                                      Number of Contracts

                                                                                                                                                                                                 $23,795,237                                  $26,635,354             $25,000,000
                                                                                                                                                       $22,090,024
                                                                                                                                                                                                            $24,190,791
                                                                                                                            2,500              $19,996,288
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $20,000,000
                                                                                                                                    $17,192,518
                                                                                                                            2,000

          Average unit prices of shophouses by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $15,000,000
                                                                                                                            1,500

                  tenure and district                                                                                       1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $10,000,000

    Unit Price                D1 & D2          D7 & D8                  D14 & D15          Rest of
    ($ PSF) on    Year     Raffles Place,    Little India,          Geylang, Joochiat,   Singapore                                                                                                                                                                    $5,000,000
                                                                                                                             500
                                                                                                                                                                                 3,094

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3,535
    land area
                                                                                                                                                                      3,099
                                                                                                                                                   2,986

                          Tanjong Pagar      Golden Mile               East Coast        (RCR, OCR)
                                                                                                                                        2,893

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3,087
                                                                                                                                                                                                    2,892

                                                                                                                                                                                                               2,929
                                                                                                                                                             3,027

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2,937
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3,041
                                                                                                                                                                                         2,977

                 2020        $4,723             $2,936        No transactions recorded     $587
    99-year      2021        $6,784             $3,277                 $2,888              $571                                -                                                                                                                                      $0
    leasehold                                                                                                                           2010      2011       2012    2013        2014    2015      2016        2017       2018        2019       2020      2021
                  % YOY                                                                    -2.7%
                 change       43.6%               11.6%                     NA
                                                                                                                                                           Number of Rental Contracts                   Total Value of Rental Contracts ($)
                 2020        $8,770             $3,619                   $2,600           $3,131
    Freehold &
    999-year     2021        $9,640             $3,848                   $2,797           $3,172
    leasehold     % YOY
                                                                                                         Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis
                 change       9.9%                6.3%                    7.6%                 1.3%

Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis                                                                      Market Outlook
*Average unit price is based on land area. Transacted prices tend to be
                                                                                                          Work-from-home is no longer the default mode of
higher when they are based on gross floor area (which varies depending                                    working from January 2022. Along with the relaxation
on the number of storeys in the shophouse property).                                                      on dining-in rules and more tourists visiting Singapore,
                                                                                                          it will give a boost to shophouse tenants in the service
                                                                                                          sectors. Leasing demand for 2022 is projected to grow
       Price range on shophouses sold by quarter                                                          with the relaxation of restrictions and the steady
                                                                                                          rollout of vaccine boosters, barring a severe turn in the
    Price Range                             Q1 2021          Q2 2021         Q3 2021     Q4 2021          pandemic situation.
    Under $2.5 million                          7               6                 3        1
                                                                                                          For 2022, PropNex expects the shophouse market to
    $2.5 million to < $5 million               21              22                 29      25
                                                                                                          further rise in popularity as an investment class, with
    $5 million to < $10 million                18              26                 20      11              more interest coming from foreigners and investors
                                                                                                          looking at alternatives outside residential properties,
    Above $10 million                          11              17                 10      18              to avoid the hefty new ABSD rates. This new demand
    Total Transactions                        57               71                 62     55               will boost confidence and prop up asking prices for
                                                                                                          shophouses. However, sales volume is not expected to
Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis                                                                      increase drastically due to the limited availability of
                                                                                                          shophouses for sale.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2
Author:

Wong Siew Ying
Head of Research and Content
DID : (65) 6829 6669/ 9745 3035
Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600

Jean Choo (Ms)
Research Analyst | Marketing & Communications
Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600

Marketing and Communications:

Carolyn Goh
Director, Corporate Communications and Marketing
PropNex Limited (SGX Mainboard Listed Company)
DID : (65) 6829 6748 / 9828 7834
Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600

Fazilla Nordin
Corporate Communications Manager
DID : (65) 6829 6746 / 9188 5760
Main : (65) 6820 8000 | Fax : (65) 6829 6600

PropNex Realty
(A subsidiary of PropNex Limited)
480 Lorong 6 Toa Payoh #10-01 HDB Hub East Wing Singapore 310480
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