SHAPING THE FUTURE OF CITIES - DESIGN FORECAST - Gensler
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INTRODUCING THE DESIGN FORECAST Gensler is working across the globe to help clients imagine and build their future. As a creative partner, our design teams help organizations unlock value and potential opportunity, while at the same time helping our clients solve their most pressing challenges. Through that experience, we’ve observed that when our clients thrive, so do the cities that they call home. That is why this year’s Design Forecast is focused on cities, diving deep into trends from the Gensler Research Institute about the role of design in creating the places where people live, work, and play in cities across the globe. Cities succeed and flourish because of their ability to attract diverse groups of people with a wide range of skills and perspectives. Today, urban areas contribute more than 80 percent of global GDP. That’s set to increase as the world’s urban population will more than double by mid-century. The changes taking place in urban areas are accelerating dramatic changes in the built environment of cities. The adoption of the driverless car is altering the design of future buildings and taking our streets back for people; coworking is changing how developers and businesses are looking at their real estate decisions; and technology is changing the definition of retail, shifting from a focus on transactions to customer experience. In response to these changes, design will need to put people back at the center: the human experience will be the driving force behind resilient, livable cities. In all of this we see enormous possibility—and responsibility. Gensler is committed to unlocking innovative solutions and strategies that will define the future of cities. Our drive to constantly innovate is why we identify and study the global trends shaping design. Design Forecast identifies more than 200 trends spanning our global practice. It is a dynamic tool to help clients make informed decisions. We invite you to use it as a platform for thinking about what’s next. Diane Hoskins Andy Cohen FAIA FAIA Co-CEO Co-CEO Shanghai Tower Shanghai 1
DESIGN FORECAST HOW TO NAVIGATE THIS DOCUMENT DESIGNING FOR THE HUMAN EXPERIENCE IS THE FUTURE OF DESIGN Design Forecast is a collection of more than 200 trends impacting design across the People are the one constant in this era of dramatic change. This historic confluence of change means that, as designers, globe. We have organized these trends into three main chapters: Work, Lifestyle, and we must rethink and reinvent how people experience every aspect of their lives and the places and spaces that they live Cities. Each of these chapters is further organized by specific industry, and includes in. The best experiences anticipate their needs, tap into their emotions, and engage the senses. More than ever before, examples of how these trends have impacted our work with clients. there is an opportunity to create a better world through people-centered design. We see five global forces that are impacting businesses, cities, and human experience around the globe: unprecedented demographic shifts, technology-driven disruption, rapid urbanization, climate change, and global volatility. WORK p. 4 WORKPLACE p. 6 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT p. 34 OFFICE BUILDINGS p. 38 Technology p. 8 Media p. 22 CONSULTING + REAL ESTATE Development p. 40 DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS Major changes to the world around us create new challenges, and design needs Legal Financial Services SERVICES p. 36 Build-to-Suit to evolve to be responsive to these pressures. Global migration, rising gender p. 12 p. 26 p. 42 equality movements, and an aging population are forcing civic and business Consumer Goods Energy Tall Buildings leaders to come together to improve the human experience. p. 14 p. 30 p. 46 Foundations, Associations + Sciences Landlord Services Organizations p. 31 p. 47 p. 20 Management Advisory TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN DISRUPTION Technology is playing a bigger role in our daily lives as it becomes increasingly Government + Defense p. 33 p. 20 pervasive in places of work and leisure, and embedded in our buildings and cities. New technology is also disrupting traditional business and city planning models. Putting people first is critical to unlocking tech’s potential. LIFESTYLE p. 48 RAPID URBANIZATION MIXED USE p. 50 HOSPITALITY p. 58 BRAND DESIGN p. 72 RETAIL CENTERS p. 78 With over half of the world’s seven billion people living in urban areas today, the trajectory of cities will determine the trend lines of human experience Entertainment Hospitality across the globe. Smart cities could help us finally find solutions to the most p. 52 p. 58 DIGITAL EXPERIENCE difficult aspects of urbanization: crime, homelessness, elder care, child care, Residential Integrated Resorts/Gaming DESIGN p. 76 RETAIL p. 82 transportation, unemployment, disease, CO2, inequality, and resilience. p. 54 p. 63 Consumer Products Senior Living SPORTS + CONVENTION p. 85 p. 56 CENTERS p. 64 Service Retail Environments CLIMATE CHANGE p. 86 Design has a tremendous capacity to help create sustainable, resilient, and Sports Facilities p. 68 Department Stores healthy communities. With more than two billion people poised to move to global p. 87 cities by 2050, the demand for new buildings will rise—and the way we design, Convention Centers Food + Beverage build, and operate them will be one of the determining factors in our global efforts p. 70 p. 88 to address climate change. CITIES p. 90 GLOBAL VOLATILITY The economic and political orders that defined the past era are under pressures of URBAN STRATEGIES + EDUCATION, CIVIC + HEALTH + WELLNESS CRITICAL FACIILITIES change and adaptation, and so are our clients. Emerging regional disparities, often DESIGN p. 92 CULTURE p. 96 p. 104 p. 108 reactions to globalization, will underscore the importance of local relationships and design strategies. But even as economic powers evolve, the global economy Cities + Communities Education Healthcare continues to concentrate in metropolitan areas. p. 94 p. 99 p. 106 AVIATION p. 110 Transportation Civic + Culture Wellness Airports p. 95 p. 102 p. 107 p. 112 Religious Airlines p. 103 p. 112 2 3
TOP TRENDS TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES REQUIRE COMPETITION FOR TALENT REMAINS EXPERIENCE WILL BE THE REASON IN WORK AN “ALWAYS IN BETA” APPROACH Technology is advancing faster than TOUGH; GETTING TOUGHER In the competition for talent, companies are PEOPLE COME TO THE OFFICE When mass adoption of laptops and mobile humanity’s ability to adapt to it. Office struggling to attract and retain skilled phones untethered people from their desks, buildings and workplaces must embrace employees. From 2017 to 2027, it’s predicted it also disrupted how and why people come the speed and continuity of change, the US will face a shortage of 8.2 million into the office. Today, people come to work experimenting and navigating uncertainties laborers—the most significant deficit in the for the experience. The Gensler Experience by piloting and testing. Organizations that past 50 years. To succeed, organizations must IndexSM cites that while nearly 80 percent of anticipate disruption will be a step ahead of put people first: investing in the individual, executives rate employee experience as very the competition, as they learn to leverage the diversifying work spaces, and reinforcing a important, only 22 percent reported their opportunities that change offers. shared culture and mission. own companies as excellent at delivering a The rising power of the individual and the ubiquity of differentiated experience. To engage talent, the workplace must prioritize experience— technology are dissolving the work-life divide. Purpose and it’s no longer just an option. connection are increasingly important. People are living integrated lives; the workplace of the future must incorporate experiences to reflect this mindset. Organizations that INCLUSIVITY PEOPLE WANT TO COWORKING IS understand what motivates their teams—what drives them to DRIVES BUSINESS BE WHERE THE IN—BUT NOT PERFORMANCE ACTION IS; THAT’S WITHOUT BRANDING succeed and engage—will have the competitive advantage. IN THE CITY AND CULTURE As part of a business strategy, diversity and Cities around the world are where the action Today’s businesses are adopting coworking inclusion are often driven by the interests is; and they’re growing at an unprecedented platforms to forge synergies, spur of customers and clients, but also by the rate. Contributing more than 80 percent innovation, and bring new ideas into play well-being of professionals and their of global GDP, urban areas are where the rapidly. As companies weigh the pros opportunities to achieve success. That innovation economy concentrates. They are and cons of coworking, there are some means organizations must foster an also where talent wants to be. Companies critical considerations. First, it’s crucial to environment where people feel comfortable are increasingly choosing to locate in differentiate. Second, there’s no one-size-fits- having a dialogue not just about their cities too. The best of their workplaces will all approach, and just offering generic space similarities, but about the differences and develop a synergistic relationship with their is not the answer. Third, design should be uniqueness they bring to the table. cities—leveraging existing assets for their a differentiator. Successful coworking employees, and providing amenities and spaces are branded, hyper-personalized, creating local partnerships that benefit their and experience-driven—making people bottom line and local communities. With the feel connected to the organization’s brand rise of the city, the workplace must integrate and culture. itself with its urban environment. WORK WORKPLACE p. 6 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT p. 34 OFFICE BUILDINGS p. 38 Technology Media Development p. 8 p. 22 CONSULTING + REAL ESTATE p. 40 Legal Financial Services SERVICES p. 36 Build-to-Suit p. 12 p. 26 p. 42 Consumer Goods Energy Tall Buildings p. 14 p. 30 p. 46 Foundations, Associations + Sciences Landlord Services Organizations p. 31 p. 47 p. 20 Management Advisory Government + Defense p. 33 p. 20 4 5
WORK SECTOR WORKPLACE INDUSTRIES WORKPLACE: Technology Legal Gusto, San Francisco Consumer Goods FORECAST Foundations, Associations + Organizations Government + Defense An office designed to feel like home Media Financial Services San Francisco’s Pier 70 was once home to one of North America’s Energy largest industrial complexes and has been used for shipbuilding Sciences since the Gold Rush. Today, it has undergone an extensive restoration and rehabilitation effort, bringing public event To establish the future of the workplace, we must think beyond Management Advisory spaces, residences, and corporations—including Gusto—to the former shipyard. where we are today, anticipating where the world is headed. We This San Francisco–based tech firm embraced its historical building, envision a future where workplace design is directly connected and the redesign celebrates the industrial scale, while capturing the company’s belief in interpersonal connections and entrepreneurial to outcomes for people, environmental performance, and energy. To start the design process, Gusto and Gensler worked together to obtain extensive employee input. Gusto’s culture speaks business intelligence. It begins and ends with your talent. through the space, with unique design elements to honor its people and its clients. Among the elements are a staff shoe cubby that supports the office’s no-shoes policy (and emulates a feature at the founder’s house where the company was conceived); a living plant wall; and a mural designed and painted by employees. The entire office is open, with a large central mezzanine. A combination of structural elements with natural materials and modern textiles 31B & creates a sense of friendliness and comfort germane to Gusto. CONNECTION TO “Organizations will not only need to MEANING MATTERS Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-1 redesign work—they will likely need to In the war for talent, connecting employees with the mission, redesign work environments to support purpose, and meanings behind 4.8B this new kind of work.” their work is imperative for —Deloitte Review, “Navigating the Future of Work” retaining and growing a world- class organization. TOP TALENT VALUES BEING A PART OF THE URBAN CORE By 2020, 31 billion devices As people, and work, continue to shift toward urban centers—and and 4.8 billion people will be development trends create more urban experiences everywhere—work- PRIORITIZE EMPLOYEE connected to the internet. EXPERIENCE & EFFICIENCY place and amenity strategies will shift accordingly. The best workplaces —Gartner, Inc. will develop a synergistic relationship with their local communities— Three factors influence employee leveraging assets that already exist for their employees to use, and experience at every organization: IoT: NO LONGER A NOVELTY providing amenities or creating local partnerships that can benefit culture, technology, and the We are entering an increasingly not just their workforce, but the local community too. physical workplace. Finding the complex technology landscape in sweet spot is paramount; people the workplace, and companies are come to work for the experience. 4x grappling with which technologies to integrate and how to integrate INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGY Experiential organiz- ations have 4 times them for maximum impact. The WILL YIELD BETTER higher average workforce is already accustomed to EMPLOYEE EXPERIENCES profits and 2 times interacting with internet-connected Technology continues to seep higher average revenues. devices: from their cars, to fitness into every aspect of our lives, —Gensler Experience equipment and vending machines. through the increased power and Index SM prevalence of personal technology Now, in a dizzying attempt to that continues to integrate into leverage the latest technology, spaces of all types. The Gensler COWORKING REQUIRES 3.7x companies are experimenting with Experience Index found that BRAND REINFORCEMENT connected screens, smart tables employees whose workplaces There’s no denying coworking with built-in connectivity, electrical have the latest technology report is on the rise. No longer a place systems, cameras, infrared sensors, a great experience 3.7 times reserved for small businesses, climate control, net-zero buildings, more often than those whose startups, and freelancers, and lighting controls, with new workplaces do not have the the perks of coworking spaces systems coming online nearly latest technology. Additionally, Employees whose workplaces appeal to more and more large have the latest technology report every day. Organizations that those who are empowered to a great experience 3.7 times more corporations that are moving harness this power—and are able “unplug” throughout the day are often than those without. their employees into those spaces. to use their data in real time and 1.5 times more likely to report a —Gensler Experience Index SM Although capital costs may seem without sacrificing the employee great experience. reduced if workspaces remain experience—will be more agile in as is, companies will risk losing our quickly changing world. strategic opportunities to reinforce their brand, culture, and corporate mission in their one-size-fits-all environments. 6 7
Gensler Design Forecast Adobe, San Jose, CA Work Sector > Workplace > A reimagined employee experience TECHNOLOGY Adobe’s newly reimagined headquarters highlights its creative, innovative, and collaborative culture with inspirational design and aesthetics. The workspaces transform the employee experience by encouraging interaction and reinforcing a sense of community that inspires exploration and participation. TECHNOLOGY WILL DEMAND DIVERSITY AND INCLUSIVITY COWORKING SERVES AS A THAT DESIGN RUN DEEPER ARE FUNDAMENTAL TOOL TO NAVIGATE CHANGE Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-2 We know that the technology sector Technology companies must foster In an industry where unpredictable will continue to break boundaries, an environment of authenticity and growth is the name of the game, creating new challenges as it solves openness, as teams perform better coworking has become an essential them. This time, tech will demand when individuals bring unique element to navigating constant that design run deeper through ideas to the table. Developing an change. People in tech spend less time its communities, buildings, and inclusive culture is important for at their assigned locations than non- experiences. Optimizing the physical any organization, particularly when tech workers, which correlates to the workplace to support new methods of business depends on the value high innovation of their companies. working, to attract and retain talent, created by the expertise of its people. In 2005, tech workplaces dedicated 89 and to enhance the human experience Dynamic workplaces that encourage percent of space to individual desks. are some of the strategies tech firms employees to move, adapt, and adjust Today it’s 25 percent, and by 2025, are doing to foster innovation. the space to suit their needs can individual desks may not exist. reinforce inclusive policies. Instagram Menlo Park, CA 8 9
Microsoft, Dublin, Ireland Neighborhood zones cater to all work models For its new headquarters, Microsoft wanted to break down barriers and find new ways of working to empower employees, optimize operations, and engage customers, while uniting 2,000 employees of 72 different nationalities into one integrated location. Taking a human-centric approach, Microsoft created a design concept called Microsoft Island, which maps out how employees—varying in roles from developers, who may gravitate to the caves and mountain to seek peace and quiet; to salespeople, who arrive at the harbor to engage with visitors; to business support professionals, who huddle around the campfire to share information in social hubs—interact with the space. With people, environment, technology, and curation as core principles, the space connects everyone and everything—to strengthen relationships, build community connections, and fuel innovation under the new “One Microsoft” vision. Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-3 10 11
Gensler Design Forecast Jackson Walker Dallas Hogan Lovells Philadelphia Work Sector > Workplace > LEGAL LAW FIRMS BECOMING MORE FOR LAWYERS, INNOVATION IS DOING MORE WITH LESS AGILE, FLEXIBLE ABOUT HAVING OPTIONS As rents and occupancy costs According to the Gensler Research Providing a balance of work settings continue to rise, law firms are Institute, offices in top law firms are within the office that gives employees focusing on becoming more efficient only 50 to 60 percent occupied on the choice of when and where to by adopting alternative workplace any given day as lawyers travel and focus, collaborate, and socialize as strategies. The challenge all law firm work remotely. Firms that implement needs dictate results in a high- leaders face is to thoughtfully balance office-sharing programs, or even free- performance workplace. The Gensler business (efficiency) decisions with addressing, realize a more dynamic 2016 US Workplace Survey shows cultural (experiential) drivers. and efficient working environment. a 12 percent increase in employee To do so, firms are typically leasing satisfaction when employers offer less space while accommodating this choice. more lawyers. Latham & Watkins Washington, DC 12 13
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Workplace > CONSUMER GOODS EXPERIENCE CENTERS TAKING CUES FROM RETAIL BUILDING A CUSTOMER- PROVIDE CONSUMER INSIGHTS Workplace design, particularly in the CENTRIC CULTURE Customer experience centers— consumer goods market, will learn Brands can only succeed by tapping increasingly embedded alongside from the retail sector, strengthening into the values and priorities of their corporate offices—serve as laborato- face-to-face product development and customers. Diversity, inclusivity, and ries, where companies refine their innovation. Analog is still extremely knowledge are consistently among brands and how they relate to their important for consumers and a the most valued qualities across target customers. According to Forbes, company’s employees. Although all generations. Workplace designs last year the top objective for 75 per- adopting a “mobile-first” strategy that promote these values, allowing cent of executives was to improve is key to connecting with future employees to live the brand, will customer experience. On-site experi- customers, an omnichannel strategy— better reinforce the corporate mission ence centers provide first-hand and one that bridges physical and digital and its contribution to the world. actionable consumer insights. worlds—is necessary to succeed. Red Bull Regional Headquarters Atlanta Edrington Spirits New York Joe’s Jeans Los Angeles 14 15
Gensler Design Forecast Hyatt Global Headquarters, Chicago A hospitality-infused headquarters Hyatt’s new global headquarters, the Hyatt Hub, brings the Chicago-based hospitality corporation’s colleagues together under one roof. With the creation of countless opportunities for connection and innovation in their workplace, the worldwide workforce more effectively integrates with Hyatt HQ—nurturing a shared culture. Just as Hyatt is unscripting their hotels, this new headquarters frees employees bound to a traditional work environment. The design ensures a new experience for Hyatt employees, in a way that meets their needs and supports the way they work. No more “one size fits all.” In customized WorkSuites, the best attributes of private offices—privacy, the ability to meet on demand, and a sense of ownership—combine with the best attributes of open plan environments—flexibility, camaraderie, and lateral awareness—in a new model workplace strategy. Connected with a monumental brick stair, the WorkSuite floors are paired with localized, social, and collaborative hubs that provide neighborhood-level interaction with sweeping views of the Chicago cityscape. Hyatt’s new headquarters— The Hyatt Hub—prioritizes interdisciplinary thinking and collaboration to invigorate its distinctive brands. Looking at the employee experience through the lens of the guest experience and inspired by the intertwined legacies of the Pritzker Architecture Prize and Chicago’s architectural heritage, Hyatt’s new headquarters floats above the confluence of two branches of the Chicago River as a new urban landmark. The buzzing, active coworking lounge, complete with customized food and beverages offerings, serves as a community hub—connecting the work floors above to the heart of the company’s culture. It’s the new, hospitality-infused front door for Hyatt. Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-4 16 17
Gensler Design Forecast Reebok Boston Headquarters Relocation, Boston Rediscovering the soul of a startup To reclaim its title as the premier fitness brand, Reebok made a transformative decision to relocate its suburban headquarters to a five-story, 220,000-square-foot urban location in Boston’s Seaport District. The new headquarters is a catapult for attracting top-tier design talent, energizing its innovation and maker culture, and amplifying its global brand visibility with a community focus. An activity-based workplace To support a stimulating creative culture and to fulfill its mission to become the fittest workplace in the nation, the new headquarters features a shift to an activity-based workplace with unassigned seating for all, including product design and development teams. Fostering product innovation Reebok’s workplace reflects the evolution of its brand, celebrating its heritage, laying the groundwork for its continuing success, and better positioning the brand for an even brighter future. Design studios and showrooms are directly adjacent to the maker space and labs, where products are prototyped, tested, reimagined, and customized to respond to the increasing speed to market. Drawing on the creative energy of the city and Reebok’s “craft” influence, this new workplace attracts talent to the innovation community by supporting next-generation design thinking. Living the brand Visible at street level, transparent garage doors showcase Reebok employees working out in the industrial two-story gym as brand-in-motion, offering Boston’s widest range of wellness programs. A gym membership costs $75 per month for Reebok employees, though the fee is cut by $7.50 each time an employee uses the facility—an incentive to work out at least 10 times per month. Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-5 18 19
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Workplace > FOUNDATIONS, ASSOCIATIONS + ORGANIZATIONS THE FUTURE WILL BE DRIVEN BY PURPOSE One of the key findings of the Gensler 2016 US Workplace Survey is that employees in this sector are four times more likely to attribute job satisfaction with organizational mission rather than compensation. Purpose-driven space ensures that users are practicing what they preach. Just as organizations seek to advance justice, create resources, and advocate for others, the people who do the work must feel advocated for and valued for their time and passion. It’s making sure mission is built into the everyday experience. FINDING MEANING IN EVERYTHING Employers—in every sector—must reimagine themselves not as enforcers of productivity, but enablers of meaning. Today, meaning is found in everything: from where products are sourced, to corporate positions on public conversation, and inclusive policies, to name a The Honor Foundation, Courtesy of few areas that employees and consumers value Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. when making a choice about engagement. San Diego Employers can use storytelling in brand, design details, and programming to reinforce meaning in the built environment. INSIGHTS FROM THE GENSLER RESEARCH INSTITUTE Meaningful Workplace Design Work Sector > Workplace > Employers must reimagine themselves not as GOVERNMENT + enforcers of productivity, but as enablers of purpose. Employees with a strong connection to their work DEFENSE are more innovative and find greater purpose. CELEBRATING CIVIC PRIDE THROUGH DESIGN Government buildings have long served as community anchors, stimulating development in surrounding areas and instilling a force of stability in the community. In disruptive times, look for government agencies to celebrate civic pride and a sense of place through design excellence. Reinforcing the mission of the agency through design excellence, environmental graphics, and digital displays boosts employee engagement and innovation. New Embassy of the State of Kuwait, Design Competition Download the white paper: gensler.com/DF18-6 Washington, DC 20 21
Work Sector > Workplace > MEDIA CREATING CONTENT 24/7 Content creation has been democratized. Thanks to smartphones, YouTube, and a host of other digital tools, now anyone can create content. Given this shake-up in media, media companies are looking to create content any time, any place, and any way they can. That means the entire workplace must be designed as a platform for content creation, where tailored material can be produced at a moment’s notice, The Culver Studios including for informal and open spaces. Culver City, CA INVITING THE AUDIENCE IN The competition for eyeballs is growing more Sony Entertainment Pictures intense. That’s why some media companies Los Angeles are looking beyond the screen to connect with audiences. They’re welcoming the public in, offering engaging environments and brand experiences. From innovation spaces to auditoriums, environments that tap into today’s culture of sharing and collaboration help to sustain key audience connections. LEGACIES WILL EVOLVE It’s easy for a media company to lose sight of its identity given today’s challenges: acquisitions are driving storied brands to change, the boundaries of media and technology are blurring, and shifts in audience behaviors and demographics are spurring new engagement strategies. But there’s real value in celebrating brand legacy. The most innovative media companies’ workplaces showcase their history even as they embrace 21st Century Fox a more digital and open mode. New York 22 23
Gensler Design Forecast Netflix, Hollywood, CA New media ushers in the next golden era Rapidly evolving business models and new technologies are facts of life in the media industry. That’s why it’s key that media workplaces are able to be easily re-tailored to accommodate whatever changes come over the horizon. No one wants to tackle an expensive renovation every few years because industry shifts continuously render a space obsolete. In its new space in the ICON building at Sunset Bronson Studios in Hollywood, Netflix worked with Gensler to design its workplaces to respond to its rapid growth, collaborative culture, and an unprecedented pace of change. Upon entering the 15-story campus, team members and visitors are greeted with floor-to-ceiling, wall- to-wall digital displays showcasing Netflix’s newest content. The constantly changing content celebrates the efforts of its production teams while reinforcing the company mission. The bright entry also hosts a large coffee bar that employees and guests are welcome to enjoy. The workplace is designed to directly support Netflix’s unique culture: one that is laser-focused on helping its people to achieve excellence. In work areas, measures such as adjustable workstations can be quickly reconfigured or moved, along with power outlets and AV that are equally mobile, to allow people to tailor their spaces as needed. A large central staircase spans the 2nd to 14th floors, creating a dynamic central axis of activity for the media giant. Along the stairs, individual small pantries are built into each floor, with every other floor housing an espresso machine, to promote casual collisions. The vertical campus responds to trends that are playing out across the media industry, and in the work sector at large. Collaboration is paramount. The increased focus on user engagement and experience, across all platforms and spaces, has opened up new design opportunities for media. 24 25
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Workplace > FINANCIAL SERVICES TECHNOLOGY REDEFINES MARKET SHIFTS DEMAND DISRUPTION LAUNCHING NEW FINANCIAL SERVICES ROLES MORE AGILE WORKPLACES ERA OF INNOVATION Artificial intelligence (AI) is Global economic power centers are Financial services firms are facing permeating the workplace, displacing shifting toward emerging markets. unprecedented competition from traditional financial services roles, Financial services firms must adapt to nontraditional competitors, unleashing while creating new tech-focused jobs. cultures, customer preferences, and disruption and innovation equally. This new and diverse talent pool consumer values in each local market. To meet this, firms are building values collaboration, transparency, Expect to see additional flexibility out innovation centers, incubation and a more casual environment. in the built environment in order to labs, and analytic centers to develop support a dynamic workforce. new products and services that meet consumer needs in new, seamless ways. NCR Atlanta Hudson River Trading New York 26 27
Gensler Design Forecast LoyaltyOne Toronto Mastercard LoyaltyOne Miami Toronto 28 29
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Workplace > FOCUSED ON CULTURE AMENITY SPACES REFLECT AND ENVIRONMENTAL NEW ENERGY ENERGY STEWARDSHIP To convey their commitment to leading Like all other sectors, energy technology and engineering, energy companies are feeling the squeeze companies need to be equipped with for top talent. Demographic shifts world-class facilities. Energy campuses mean that employees are expressing today are designed to provide all the concerns—and ideas—about the tools and resources to foster improved role of energy companies in society. employee collaboration, creativity, Energy companies stand to gain from innovation, and well-being. their people’s passion. Innovation and workplaces that support it are fundamental to attracting talent. Confidential Sciences Client Work Sector > Workplace > LOOKING BROADLY TO BUILD AI IS HERE TO AID—NOT COMMUNITY, INNOVATION REPLACE—RESEARCHERS SCIENCES To catalyze innovation, reduce overhead, The promise of AI is in recognizing and accelerate speed to market, research patterns within unfathomably large data organizations are developing new sets that could not possibly be processed types of partnerships. Technology has by a single scientist. But only people turn enabled multidisciplinary research and data into insight. Collaboration between development teams to be geographically bench scientists and computer scientists dispersed, and even outsourced. Space is accelerating the discovery process, types and ways of working are evolving as well as reconfiguring how employees to bring physical and virtual networks interact with space. Space design is together effectively. These partnerships anticipating advances in robotics and will help shape the next model of inno- automated scientific processes, and vation. For that, physical and digital integrating technology to communicate connections are essential. with collaborators around the globe. Electricity & Cogeneration Johnson & Johnson Center for Regulatory Authority Device Innovation Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Houston 30 31
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Workplace > MANAGEMENT ADVISORY INNOVATION IS THE TAILORED EXPERIENCES DIFFERENTIATION REQUIRES DELIVERABLE BUILD COMMUNITY, ENGAGED AN EMOTIONAL CONNECTION The drive to increase results through INDIVIDUALS The highly competitive nature of the innovation is directly tied to the To build a binding team that marketplace for talent drives the need work environment, as shown reinforces a strong client-focused to make the workplace a differentiator. by the Gensler 2016 US Workplace energy, the workplace must engage This creates an imperative for a Survey. Supporting a wide range directly, and on a more personal level. “wow” moment: a deliberate design of behaviors whose ebb and flow is Tailored client and staff experiences that evokes a visceral emotional not entirely predictable means design drive higher levels of service. Culture connection with both staff and clients. should be as agile as possible, adap- manifests itself through its people These moments may be graphic or table without requiring additional and can be reinforced and humanized a dramatic volume that inspires and hard construction or acquisition of by borrowing from the sensibilities, generates wonder. Creating a design new furniture. systems, and services often found in that communicates and infuses the hospitality environments rather than workplace will engage employees, corporate typologies. clients, and the community at large. The Boston Consulting Group New York Confidential Consulting Client 32 33
Gensler Design Forecast WORK SECTOR PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT: FORECAST Great products start with great insights, and great insights are powered by a broad perspective. Workspaces today need to empower the whole person, creating environments and product solutions that benefit the worker’s physical, emotional, and psychological well-being and support an organization’s success. QUIETING THE NOISE IN THE DESIGNING FOR AN OPEN OFFICE INCLUSIVE ENVIRONMENT “Because our design solutions are rooted As more workspaces adopt an Universally accessible spaces in our industry-leading global workplace open plan, they need to provide that respond to the needs of spaces for collaboration as well as the greatest range of users research, we can deliver designs that concentrated, heads-down work. will be thought through to the support how people do their best, most Sound is a big issue, but products smallest detail, and the best productive work at the office.” can work harder to mitigate design solutions will maximize —Andy Cohen, Co-CEO, Gensler Humanscale Summa noise in the open office, offering inclusivity with no sacrifice individuals respite from many of to aesthetics. Even pulls for the issues experienced in the open custom cabinetry can be MEETING THE NEEDS OF A CHANGING WORKPLACE ECOLOGY office, or allow people to quietly designed to be beautifully As the workplace continues to Residential Sensibility: A uni- collaborate among their peers. minimal while remaining shift to reflect the diversity of que combination of materials operable without pinching, ways people work, products offers choice of styles—from wrist twisting, and simultaneous need to address end users’ detailing to a spectrum of fabrics, hand and finger manipulation. changing needs in ways that textiles, and work surfaces. allow for customization of space. When we control for the factors Configurability: Configurable that are most important to components allow businesses to individual workplace perfor- design branching systems with PBA mance, any space type can be versatile work zones—as well as highly effective. reconfigure the same product suite ABOUT GENSLER PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT into traditional benching layouts There are four key elements to with ease. Product solutions to support consider for creating an optimal work environment: Enhancements: Integrated workplace innovation enhancements permit Our product development practice works Flexibility: Space planning customization such as free- with manufacturers and clients to create solutions should allow standing carrels that create zones products that respond to how workers work organizations and individuals for concentration, or height- to create environments for both adjustable work surfaces and now. By exploiting new materials, the latest concentrated work and cross- privacy screens that enable technologies, and evolving needs, we design functional collaboration. personalization of workstations. a variety of highly functional products that enable innovation. A COMMON LANGUAGE HELPS SPEED TO MARKET Project time frames are shrinking, and older properties are being refreshed to address newer ways of working and design trends. To reach the speed to market, bridges need to be formed between industries. Creating platforms that promote a common language will help designers make more effective decisions when specifying products and materials, without sacrificing design intent or adding lead times. Meet the practice: gensler.com/DF18-7 Stylex Umbra 34 35
CONSULTING + REAL ESTATE Gensler Design Forecast WORK SECTOR SERVICES INDUSTRIES CONSULTING + Consulting Real Estate Services ABOUT GENSLER CONSULTING + REAL ESTATE SERVICES REAL ESTATE Work Sector > Consulting Strategies for the Workplace in “Beta” + Real Estate Services > Intelligent systems, new types of building software, CONSULTING SERVICES: FORECAST and sensors are allowing for unprecedented connections between people and the places they STRATEGY live and work. Our Consulting and Real Estate practices integrate and apply software, data, and Research-driven thinking will help organizations improve intelligence to activate place and empower people COWORKING A PLUS—BUT ONLY WHEN DONE RIGHT performance and gain competitive advantage through thoughtful and organizations to innovate. Coworking is disrupting the real design. This process should embrace both physical environments Meet the practice: gensler.com/DF18-8 estate industry as the two primary players—developers and cowork- and human experiences, putting people at the center. In the digital ing providers—shape the landscape. age, data is the key to creating meaningful differentiation. Organizations that invest in creating Those who used standing desks 12% higher workstation customized coworking spaces will more responded more positively satisfaction for those with standing desks reap the benefits of having a more about their workstation. vs. those without. engaged workforce that is tied to its mission and purpose. SOCIAL NETWORKS DISRUPTION REQUIRES NIMBLE REAL ESTATE STRATEGIES PARTNERSHIP, INCREASINGLY CRITICAL TO The average life span of companies in the S&P 500 is expected to drop to TRANSPARENCY ESSENTIAL A GREAT WORK EXPERIENCE just 14 years by 2026, according to Innosight. With so many companies PARTS OF CHANGE DESIGN WILL FOCUS ON Culture and community are restructuring, shrinking, and merging, nearly every resource must MANAGEMENT Peak Utilization HUMAN CONNECTIONS important drivers of a positive become more flexible—including real estate. Most change management pro- The peak utilization of personal desks occurs between 11am and 2pm. We have all the tools and technology work experience. The Gensler grams fail, perhaps because they This kind of data allows design to match use patterns and save on space. to connect and collaborate efficiently, Global Workplace Survey focus primarily on communicating 100% yet we struggle to connect and col- finds that the most innovative information. Success is more likely laborate effectively. Has all this great employees report socializing at “Research suggests that more than 30 through initiatives that require 90% 80% technology begun to cost us valuable work up to three times as much percent of high-paying new jobs will be active co-creation and engagement. 70% human connections and interactions? Average Utilization social and ‘essentially human’ in nature.” 60% as other employees. To support Now, more than ever, work environ- 50% 60-70% building these connections, some —Deloitte, “Navigating the Future of Work” 40% ments play a critical role in fostering companies are experimenting 30% these human connections. with apps that enable colleagues 20% 10% to connect over shared interests. A SPIKE IN COWORKING SPACES 0% 9:15 AM 10:15 AM 11:15 AM 12:15 PM 1:15 PM 2:15 PM 3:15 PM 4:15 PM 5:15 PM Work Sector > Consulting + Real Estate Services > Global coworking spaces will grow from 14,411 in 2017 to over 30,000 Organizational change efforts fail 60 to in 2022. The number of worldwide coworking members will nearly triple to over 5 million. 70 percent of the time. Location within Office REAL ESTATE SERVICES —Harvard Business Review People who sit along the window are more satisfied with 77% 43.5 76.2 their workstation than those in the center of the office. 62.5 AVE 14,411 30,000 ENGAGED EMPLOYEES ARE CORE TO YOUR BUSINESS HARNESSING DATA Global clients are driven by an Having an engaged workforce is enormous influx of data to inform Of the most innovative people, a core business strategy. Yet only innovation and drive their businesses. 77 percent have fun at work. 32 percent of employees around According to Forbes, the world will —Gensler Workplace Survey, 2016 SM create 180 trillion gigabytes of data 2015 2020 2025 the world report that they are engaged at work. Organizations by 2025—an 18-fold increase from —Global Coworking Unconference Conference need to look beyond physical space 2015. To optimize their operations, to build a culture and provide companies will need to expand their opportunities for personal growth. capabilities to harness and interpret 65% SMART BUILDINGS CRITICAL TO WORKPLACE EXPERIENCE their internal workplace data. Workplaces are increasingly designed for how people connect to their Meeting by Size Conference rooms, huddle rooms, and informal meeting rooms environment through mobile and wearable technology, as well as the are used most often by groups of two to four people. intelligence gathered from the sensing and data that these technologies GRADED ON WELL-BEING enable. As more utilities in the built environment are connected to one Well-being is a key metric applied to another through the Internet of Things (IoT)—screens, sensors, mobile employers. Yet, the Global Wellness Of the most innovative people, 1 Person 65 percent socialize at work. phones, cameras, and elevators—the experience of place is increasingly 16% Institute reports that only 25 percent —Gensler Workplace Survey, 2016 SM about the ways that software services can tailor environments and of people believe their company offers empower people. The most successful places are immersive, connected, a wellness program out of a concern and intelligent. 2–4 People for staff well-being. The rest question 61% 5–6 People 11% their employer’s motives. To prove their support for the well-being of workers, employers need to show 7+ People how much they value the people, not 13% just the space they work in. 36 37
WORK SECTOR OFFICE BUILDINGS INDUSTRIES OFFICE Development Build-to-Suit Johnson Controls Headquarters Asia Pacific, Shanghai Tall Buildings BUILDINGS: Landlord Services Smart buildings essential to future of smart cities FORECAST The Johnson Controls Headquarters Asia Pacific in Shanghai is a leading example of design innovation, sustainability, and smart technology. The new headquarters helps break down silos for increased collaboration among departments, improves talent retention, and includes spaces that promote employee well-being. In an era when anything is possible, and change is certain—if The multidisciplinary design of the headquarters allows it to be a place where employees, engineers, product developers, and clients not ubiquitous—the office buildings sector has positioned collaborate and further Johnson Controls’ growth in China and the Asia-Pacific region. itself on the leading edge of responding to shifts in consumer Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-9 behavior, technology, and the power of urbanity. Developments that successfully navigate and plan for these shifts will come out on top. MAKE IT A DESTINATION GREEN BUILDINGS = HIGHER RETURNS INCORPORATING By crafting a tenant strategy that COWORKING mixes live/work/play, developers Green buildings have proven to be more Tomorrow’s talent demands are able to create walkable, 24/7 valuable assets than conventional buildings, connectivity. Large, open floor neighborhoods and increase land with a global average value that is up to 19 plates provide a more connected, value, no matter the location. percent greater than their peers. Sustainable collaborative environment that Day-to-night programming can buildings record a 19 percent increase in ROI reinforces a common culture and draw in the community, which in fosters innovation. The addition and a 24 percent faster lease-up rate. turn ups the cool factor—and of coworking space in office —Ernst & Young, 2017 and USGBC, US Green Building Council, 2015 value—of the building. buildings is one response to how organizations lease and use 24/7 19% corporate real estate. Average Building Value Increase 2x AN AMENITIES ARMS RACE Experience-rich, 24/7 development creates high-value neighborhoods. Lease-Up Rate 24% Developers are one-upping each other to find the latest amenity. Barbershops, concierge services, and pet-sitting EMBRACING DISRUPTIVE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES WILL TRANSFORM are just the beginning. Keep up or CHANGE OFFICE BUILDINGS lose the edge in attracting Owning a car may soon become a thing of the past. Though mass ambitious tenants—and their “The future is here– adoption of autonomous vehicles (AVs) is likely years away, developers talent. The Gensler 2016 it’s just not evenly should be thinking about and designing new projects with them in mind. US Workplace Survey found 10M distributed.” By 2020, there are predicted to be that innovators have two times —William Gibson, Novelist 10 million self-driving cars on the road. more access to amenities than —Forbes, 2017 non-innovators. For building owners and operators, rapid advances in technology have the power to The Gensler Research Institute predicts autonomous vehicles will WHY NOT MAKE IT transform portfolios. From AI completely change cities. Building form will change radically as design DYNAMIC, MIXED-USE? and IoT to no-rope elevators and is dictated less—or not at all—by parking requirements, which will Tenants favor buildings that autonomous vehicles, planning decrease dramatically. AVs don’t need to park, allowing garages and combine a mix of uses and make for and leveraging tech will be a parking lots to be repurposed. Additionally, developments will see more access to transit, food, retail, and differentiator in creating better expansive drop-off and pickup zones and more active pedestrian-oriented recharge easy. And there’s no human experiences. entry areas. The lobby design of the future will focus on delivering great reason to go homogeneous first impressions, welcoming visitors into a new age of interactive anymore. The dynamism of shared building design. space supports greater connection and convenience. 38 39
Riverwalk Tower Tampa, FL Work Sector > Office Buildings > DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATING THE RISE OF CUSTOMIZED TENANT BUILD IN THE THIRD PLACE DRIVERLESS EXPERIENCES ARE NOW AN FIRST Autonomous vehicles will drastically EXPECTATION The next generation office building change the urban landscape and With IoT, cloud-based apps, and will draw employees back to the developers are recognizing their human sensors, tenants can directly office. Mobility will remain an oncoming impacts. Convertible tell the building what they want, important part of work, but the value parking—parking that can be when they want it, and where they of face-to-face remains undisputed. converted to other purposes without want it. Not only does this lead On-site spaces that support a variety major design interventions—along to greater system efficiencies and of work modes—including social— with expansive drop-off and pickup reduced operating costs in buildings, create dynamic developments and zones are design solutions developers it can lead to improved well-being yield longer-term tenants. can implement in their buildings and productivity. today to prepare for these changes. 110 Park Avenue Burj Alshaya Florham Park, NJ Kuwait City, Kuwait 40 41
Work Sector > Office Buildings > BUILD-TO-SUIT OPTIMIZE MOMENTS TO REINFORCE THE BRAND Companies are adapting the changing nature of work by refocusing on what really drives talent: the opportunity to be part of something meaningful. To win the war for talent, a strong expression of organizational brand can help foster a strong culture of innovation that will attract employees and allow them to thrive. URBANITY ATTRACTS—AND RETAINS—TOP TALENT Today, urban dwellers outnumber rural dwellers worldwide for the first time in history. Companies are increasingly recognizing the importance of being where the talent wants to be—in cities. Shifting sites closer to transit hubs and urban areas brings corporations closer to top talent, universities, and business partners. HIGH-PERFORMANCE BUILDINGS = HIGHER-PERFORMING EMPLOYEES Planning for adaptable infrastructure and flexible design will enable continuous evolution in usage, purpose, and performance of custom buildings. Future corporate campuses should encourage occupants to be more physically, mentally, and socially engaged. The Gensler Workplace Survey shows that a healthy employee is three times more productive than an unhealthy one. Mercedes-Benz USA Headquarters Sandy Springs, GA E.& J. Gallo Winery Johnson Controls Headquarters Dry Creek Building Asia Pacific, Shanghai Modesto, Beijing CA 42 43
Gensler Design Forecast NVIDIA Headquarters, Santa Clara, CA Innovation requires bringing people together. How do you get 2,500 people to collaborate? Innovation is the lifeblood of the technology industry and depends on strong collaboration, including serendipitous collisions between unlike ideas. As companies become successful and expand, those collisions tend to become less frequent, because as the teams grow, so do their buildings, resulting in siloed work groups and less innovation. Tasked to capture the soul of the company and optimize the creative and collaborative work environment, the design team leveraged a triangular geometry—an iconic symbol for NVIDIA and the tech industry—that reinforced the fundamental building block of the company’s core technology. The new NVIDIA headquarters is a campus in one building. With only two work floors, connection between these floors is enhanced by a variety of oversized staircases that also can be used as places for spontaneous interaction and exchange of information. The central core of the building—its “heart”—is where all amenities, conference rooms, and restrooms are clustered, drawing together all the building’s inhabitants multiple times each day. Here, the main entrance and reception area greet people as they arrive from below-grade parking. High above this central core is a mezzanine of lounges and relaxation spaces—a social environment that doubles as an alternative workplace and another opportunity for natural collaboration. Designing for the “soul” of an organization starts with understanding its people. The new NVIDIA campus focuses squarely on the needs and habits of the people who use it, with a thoughtful design that enhances the working styles, personal experience, and culture of its industry- leading workforce. Learn more: gensler.com/DF18-10 44 45
Gensler Design Forecast Work Sector > Office Buildings > Work Sector > Office Buildings > TALL BUILDINGS LANDLORD MULTIPURPOSE BUILDINGS ARE SERVICES THE FUTURE Single-use office buildings are monoliths COWORKING INCREASES VALUE of the past. To maintain relevancy and high As real estate developers continue to occupancy, tall buildings must adapt to a battle for fully leased assets, landlords continually changing mix of uses. No longer are increasingly adding spec and is a tower a single use for the entirety of coworking suites to respond quickly its existence. to tenant demands. Turnkey solutions that support brand are critical to “always-on” agility. BREATHING NEW LIFE INTO OUTDATED BUILDINGS With large stocks of obsolete buildings in established urban centers, the potential to transform these into valuable revenue 1980 1990 2000 2010 2017 generators is limitless. Gensler Analytics 100 TALLEST BUILDINGS BY FUNCTION estimates there is more than 185 million Office Hotel Residential square feet of office space in the US alone Mixed Use Education that would qualify for repositioning. —Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat The Chicago Post Office Chicago ELEVATOR INNOVATIONS ADVANCE BUILDING HEIGHTS The future of tall buildings will rely on ropeless elevator technology that will enable limitless advances in height, direction, creativity, and flexibility. Moving up, down, side-to-side, and without height limitations, this technology enables unprecedented possibilities in the architecture and design of buildings, increasing rentable area of typical supertall towers by up to 20 percent. VS. One elevator Multiple cordless elevators per shaft KAFD World Trade Center 500 West 2nd Street Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Austin, TX 46 47
TOP TRENDS SINGLE-USE SPACES FRICTIONLESS, SEAMLESS DESIGN TRANSITIONING TRANSIT CREATES IN LIFESTYLE ARE BECOMING OBSOLETE As people live integrated lives, no one is using spaces in a single way. Single-use venues are BECOMES UBIQUITOUS Everything is becoming anytime, anywhere, anyplace—people want immediacy and OPPORTUNITY Demand for transit-oriented developments is increasing as transit-adjacent sites create being replaced with synergistic, hybrid unlimited access to products, content, and growth centers and maximize pedestrian destinations; multi-use districts; and places entertainment. As technology permeates activity. Autonomous vehicles and for 24/7, 365-day interaction. Great brand every aspect of our lives, it’s become ride-sharing services will transform how experiences respond to and engage with more ubiquitous and invisible, enabling we utilize real estate. There’s a big shift away people in multiple modes—whether they’re frictionless travel, food, and entertainment from parking to forecast what gets put in its completing a task, socializing, discovering, experiences. Cross-channel consistency is place—in the interim and the future. These or being entertained. All kinds of spaces key: spaces need to provide seamless changes will impact land use, security, A visibly compelling space is no longer enough to require ultimate flexibility. experiences that guide people through complexity with the same level of drop-offs, and lobby configuration, while yielding new sources of revenue. personalization across channels. contend with changing consumer habits and lifestyles. Experiential offerings can entice people to physical venues, but brands need to think beyond single-purpose spaces—and consider human needs and behaviors to CONVENIENCE DATA-DRIVEN CONSUMERS craft an engaging, holistic experience that extends across IS A INSIGHTS GAIN CONTROL, DIFFERENTIATOR YIELD HYPER- SHAPING BRANDS’ multiple touchpoints. PERSONALIZED IDENTITIES INTERACTIONS As time becomes an increasingly valued New technologies—from algorithms to big Social media and mobile platforms amplify asset, convenience is a differentiator: data—empower brands to treat customers as consumers’ voices and give them more consumers are willing to pay a premium for individuals. Digital technology provides control. The buying public now shapes places, products, and services that give them flexible, scalable, and more personalized a company, impacting how products are back their time. Clear navigation, easy-to-use experiences for multiple user groups, while created and brought to market, and technology, and value-added services support customer service is being transformed via influencing brands’ identities. From the people’s high-convenience lifestyles. AI-powered assistants and concierges. Data maker movement to crowd sourcing and Experiences no longer start on the property; analytics heighten interactions and provide user-generated content, consumers are engagement with consumers, guests, and greater insights into people’s preferences, co-creators. Digital technology and data fans starts outside the venue, anticipating allowing brands and businesses to target analytics provide a direct conduit between their needs by providing hospitality- with accuracy—giving users what they want, companies and consumers, accelerating like services, prebooking facilities, and when they want it. delivery, services, and transactions. programmed spaces at every step. LIFESTYLE MIXED USE p. 50 HOSPITALITY p. 58 BRAND DESIGN p. 72 RETAIL CENTERS p. 78 Entertainment Hospitality p. 52 p. 58 DIGITAL EXPERIENCE Residential Integrated Resorts/Gaming DESIGN p. 76 RETAIL p. 82 p. 54 p. 63 Consumer Products Senior Living SPORTS + CONVENTION p. 85 p. 56 CENTERS p. 64 Service Retail Environments p. 86 Sports Facilities p. 68 Department Stores p. 87 Convention Centers p. 70 Food + Beverage p. 88 48 49
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