Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare - From Technologies to Market - Yole Développement
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SENSORS FOR WEARABLE ELECTRONICS AND MOBILE HEALTHCARE Table of Contents • Executive Summary 13 • Forecasts on Global Wearable Market 149 • Introduction, Definitions & Methodology 14 • Forecasts by Device 156 • About Wearables 31 • Forecasts by Sensor 195 • Applications and Market Segmentation 44 • Sensor for Consumer • Sensors for wearables 52 • Sensor for Healthcare • Key Attributes and Mapping of a Wearable Device 59 • Sensor for Industrial/Defense • Devices & Sensors for Consumer Market 68 • Technical Challenges 213 • Inertial Sensors • Sensor Fusion 226 • Microphone • Packaging 238 • Gas/Environmental • FDA Regulation and Supervision 256 • Pressure • Consumer Market Analysis 274 • NFC • Conclusion & Perspectives 286 • Devices & Sensors for Healthcare 96 • Yole’s Presentation 291 • Devices & Sensors for Industrial/Defense 135 @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 2
WHO SHOULD BE INTERESTED IN THIS REPORT? Integrators Government agencies Understand the system level technology trends and Find the best technologies to integrate and the best suppliers requirements for each application depending on your target markets Evaluate market potential for your components depending on Understand what will be the future applications to develop performance and technology and benefit from the recent advances in inertial technologies Understand the differentiated value of your products and Define technology roadmap / evaluate the benefits of using technologies new technologies in end systems, design architectures for the Identify new business opportunities and partners next generation of systems Monitor and benchmark your competitor’s advancements Screen potential new suppliers able to provide new functionalities, or cost and size savings OEM, integrators R&D centers Evaluate the market potential of your product portfolio Evaluate market potential of future technologies and Define diversification strategies on new applications products for new applicative markets Find the best technologies to integrate and the best suppliers Identify the best candidates for technology transfer depending on your target markets Identify new business opportunities and partners Financial & strategic investors Have an exhaustive analysis of the competition on a broad Understand the structure and value chain of the high-end range of IMU field inertial industry Estimate the potential of new technologies (tactical/inertial Material supplier, manufacturing service companies navigation MEMS, navigation-grade HRG…) Spot new business opportunities and prospects Get the list of main key players and emerging start-ups of this Understand the level of activity of your customers industry worldwide Understand what are the applications that will drive the volumes in 2017 @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 3
COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT Adidas, AiQ, Apple, Atmel, Basis, Beurer, Bosch, Cambridge CMOS Sensors, CEA Liten, China Mobile, Cisco, Darpa, Fitbit, Fraunhofer, Garmin, Google, Hillcrest Labs, Honeywell, HTC, Huawei, IBM, Imec, Infomotion Sports Technologies, Intel, InvenSense, ITL, Jabra, Jawbone, Johnson & Johnson, Kionix, Knowles Electronics, LG, LumoBack, MC10 Inc., Marlow Industries, Medtronic, MEMSIC, Micropelt, Microsoft, Misfit, Motorola, Murata, Mio, Navisens, Nike, Nintendo, Nokia, NXP Semiconductors, OMRON, Philips, Polar, Pebble, Proteus, Raytheon, Samsung, SemTech, Sensirion, Sharp, Si Time, SiLabs, SmartThings, Sony, STMicroelectronics, Synkera Technologies, Teledyne DALSA, Texas Instruments, Tronics MicroSystems, TSMC,Variable Technologies,Vital Connect, Withings, Xiaomi, X-Fab MEMS Foundry, Zephyr… @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 4
INTRODUCTION 2015, starting year for wearable ? This document is an all new report of Yole Développement, about current trends in wearable and mobile care devices. This report will cover technology trends, applications This report trends, and will provide all the data and insights required to understand the market of synthetizes wearable and mobile care. the status of the 2015 sensor Applications are described in a synthetic way in order to provide rapid access to key information (functions, industry for specification, technical solution, geography, trends, and market evolution) and graphical representation of the wearable and industrial chain mobile care and also future trends This report combines the best of Yole’s knowledge in the consumer sensor industry and in the medical sector. Yole regularly participates in industry conferences and tradeshows worldwide, and has close relations with most market leaders. This report synthetizes the status of the 2015 sensor industry for wearable and mobile care and also future trends. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 5
THE RISE OF THE WEARABLE ELECTRONIC Recent advances in telecommunications, microelectronics, sensor manufacturing and data analysis techniques have opened up new opportunities for using wearable technology in daily life to achieve a range of health outcomes. Why do we note such interest in wearable technologies and why do we see now such interest on the consumer market and not before? Many factors are converging to ease wearable technology integration including expanded wireless capacity (Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, WiMAX, and LTE), cellular market expansion who slows down and the need for technological companies to establish new revenue streams, in the continuously decreasing cost of data, and the significant backing from huge companies including Google, Apple, and others. Technologies However, in the past, the size of sensors and front-end electronics made it too difficult and offered are now inaccuracy data to use them in wearable tech to gather physiological and inertial data. ready… With the advent of sensors integrated in smartphones initiated in 2007, wearable simply benefits from the smooth evolution of accurate technologies already integrated in smartphones. Today, with smaller circuits, microcontroller functions, sensor fusion and wireless data transmission, wearable sensors are now ready to flood the market... @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 6
DRIVERS FOR WEARABLE AND MOBILE CARE APPLICATIONS Level of integration Time Wearable Everywhere Care and Mobile Care Point of Care Smartphone & Two markets Tablet revolution are mature to perform well Hospital Care Feature Phones @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 7
MEMS & SENSORS ROADMAP From More than Moore towards Beyond Law TODAY Industry competition Industry competition Industry Competition Moore More than Moore Beyond Moore Processing Sensing Actuating Information age Interaction age Enhancement age MEMS & Sensors Telekinesis enable key functionalities … Robotic Servants Current Autonomous battleground vehicles of the Drones industry Smart Quantified homes self Smartphones Personal Computers Laptop Tablets 1980 2010 2030 2040 Acceleration @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 8
WEARABLE: PART OF INTERNET OF THINGS WAVE The human is a connected object Sense Collect and transmit (& store) Analyze + Services Applications Devices … An industrial chain similar … Secured Data to IoT Biometrics chain… … Measurements Video conference, Email, SMS, Mail, Phone Feedback @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 9
MEMS & SENSORS : THE 5 SENSES… Sight CMOS Image microbolometers sensor Smell Gas sensors MEMS & Hearing Taste sensors Humidity sensors devices bring microphones increased functionalities … Touch Force & touch sensors @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 10
MARKET SEGMENTATION THREE PURPOSES Manage Illness Healthcare/Medical Patient monitoring Manage Health … - Manage Illness Wellness Soldier/Worker … … safety - … Professional Manage … sport Productivity Manage Infotainment … Soldier/Worker Manage Life style Health Workload productivity Productivity management Consumer Industrial / Defense @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 11
ADOPTION ON THE CONSUMER MARKET Google Glass didn’t cross the small chasm… Pre-chasm : requires an ambidextrous approach to product development alongside marketing to achieve product-market fit Fitness making the transition between trackers will visionaries (early adopters) and experiment the big chasm very pragmatists (early majority) soon… whereas smartwatches are expected to cross the Google Glass big chasm thanks to smartphones Innovators Early adopters Early majority Late majority Laggards @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 12
MEMS AND SENSORS LIFE CYCLE Many growing MEMS and sensors could benefit to wearable Many sensors are growing, and even more are emerging… Emerging Growing Mature Declining @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 13
KEY ATTRIBUTES OF WEARABLE TECH PRODUCTS Voice/Gesture recognition Low Power consumption Hands- Instant wake Free Background working/sensing Development Platform Always-On 3th party apps API partners Accelerometer 6 key Accessories Gyroscope IMU attributes that Compass make a big Camera difference Microphone Environmental sensor Attention- Environment Getting -Aware Less distracting with notifications Short interaction Connected Wi-Fi Cellular Bluetooth NFC Source: MIT, KPCB @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 14
MAPPING OF A TYPICAL 2015 SMARTWATCH 2015 Golden rule: Smaller sensors for a bigger battery IMU HRM 9DOF Power Circuit MCU/AP Management Heart Rate IMU Monitoring Wi-Fi Bluetooth Available GPS space and Average component size: battery size 6-Axis IMU : 3x3x0.8 mm3 limit sensor’s Battery 9DOF : 3x3x1 mm3 integration… Pictures courtesy of Apple Inc. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 15
APPLICATIONS BREAKDOWN – 2012/2020 Until 2014, healthcare application has mainly driven the wearable market with more than 10Munits in 2013 and reaching 16Munits in 2014. The consumer has taken the lead in 2014 with the emergence of smart Consumer bands and smartwatches. We expect market will a nice growth in 2015 with more exceed than 60Munits. Especially in China, 200Munits by with a new entrant, Xiaomi, selling 2020 smart bands at low price, $15. Industrial market is in its infancy, applications require reliability and efficiency, which is not the case for now. We expect an early growth in 2018/2019. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 16
SMARTWATCHES MARKET IN 2013, 2014 & 2015 2013 Smartwatches market share (Munits) 2014 Smartwatches market share (Munits) Samsung Samsung 26% 22% Others, Others, Counterfeit & Counterfeit & Unlicenced Unlicenced 48% 33% Total: Total: 3.5Munits 5.7Munits Sony Sony 18% 15% And Apple Pebble 12% disrupted the Pebble 11% 2015 Smartwatches market share (Munits) (Forecast) Motorola (Google) market… Others, Counterfeit & Unlicenced 15% 7% Pebble 4% Sony 4% Motorola (Google) 5% Samsung Total: 8% 26Munits Apple 72% @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 17
FITNESS/ACTIVITY TRACKER MARKET IN THE PAST AND NOW 2015 Fitness tracker market share (Munits) (Forecasts) Others, Counterfeit & Unlicenced 8% Xiaomi 5% Misfit 9% Total: 39.1Munits Fibtit Jawbone 63% Fitness 15% tracker is a fragmented 2013 Fitness tracker market share (Munits) 2014 Fitness tracker market share (Munits) and Others, Counterfeit & Unlicenced 5% Others, Counterfeit & Unlicenced 6% competitive Misfit 5% Nike 3% market Misfit 9% Jawbone 14% Total: Total: 7.4Munits 17.1Munits Jawbone 18% Fibtit Nike 61% Fibtit 15% 64% @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 18
GOLDEN RULE: SMALLER CHIPS, BIGGER BATTERY We already highlighted the similarities between the wearables and the smartphones, but they also shared technical challenges, with an additional challenge for the wearable : allocated space is much smaller than ever. Four challenges: - Size Smaller chips, - Power consumption Size bigger battery - Connectivity - Accuracy Power consumption Connecti Accuracy vty @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 19
APPLE WATCH TEARDOWN Broadcom Wi-Fi/Bluetooth/NFC/FM BCM43342 AMS NFC Signal Booster AS3923 Skyworks Wi-Fi LNA + switch and PA NXP NFC controller STM IMU LSM6DS3 Elpida 512Mb SRAM Memory Wearable F440AAC devices are Dialog very close to Power Management Unit D2238A smartphones CPU Apple APL0778 … ADI Touch Controller AD7149 Toshiba/SanDisk 8Gb Flash Memory Maxim Integrated Audio Codec STM µC Audio Amp STM32 IDT Wireless charger P9022 NXP Interface device Source: ABI Research/Chipworks Pictures courtesy of Apple Inc. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 20
ACCELEROMETER Typical package footprint for inertial sensors used in mobile devices The market is still dominated by IDMs: STMicroelectronics and Bosch Sensortec Internal dev. Many newcomers choose a fabless business model. They follow the success of InvenSense Growth of MEMS product portfolio is also driving new strategies MEMS players are still very specialized in one type of device Only few players have been able to be more diversified Sensor STMicroelectronics and Bosch mainly New vendors Others are very focused. Indeed the expertise is very different from one sensor business MEMS device to another. All players are trying to get market share with model is new sensors but industrial processes are very complex Strategic Acquisition evolving… Some large MEMS players claim that their objective is to become large and partnership diversify MEMS vendors. But it will not be easy, as each type of sensor / actuator is very different to another and as it takes time to bring it to the commercialization level (with good quality and good yield to offer low prices…). There are different strategies that are employed by MEMS players: Internal development. But it takes time and it is not easy for a new component Partnership with a specialist. e.g., STMicroelectronics with Omron for microphone Acquisition of existing development and expertise; e.g., InvenSense purchased the MEMS microphone business line of Analog Devices Inc. (ADI) for $100M. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 21
STMICROELECTRONICS IMU LSM6DS3 STMicroelectr onics reduced the footprint of their latest IMU by 50% to fit with wearable requirements Source: Reverse Costing Analysis – STMicroelectronics LSM6DS3 6-AXIS MEMS IMU – June 2015 - System Plus Consulting @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 22
RELATED REPORTS More reports on www. i-micronews .com @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 23
Market & Technology Report Wearable Electronics Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare Consumer, healthcare, and industrial will drive the rapidly-expanding wearable industry to a potential value of $90B by 2020. But how it will evolve, and who will succeed? Three markets will drive the wearable industry Wearable electronics is one of the consumer Until recently, wearable electronics were market’s hottest topics. Giants like Apple, often associated with the healthcare Samsung, Xiaomi, and Huawei are now market - typically, bulky medical devices competing for a slice of a very promising pie. with only a few features and not optimized Regarding our report’s analysis, we estimate for “customer-friendly” usage. Often times, that the wearable industry will reach 295M these devices (i.e. hearing aids and blood units by 2020, with a market value of $90B. pressure monitors) perform a single task and Three markets will drive this impressive are solely dedicated to patient monitoring growth: consumer, healthcare, and industrial. and/or well-being. They are not “smart Wearable technology is expected to be devices” - their only mission is to accurately part of the IoT revolution, bringing useful complete a single task. We believe that information directly to the user in a more a large part of the healthcare market will KEY FEATURES OF THE REPORT •U nderstanding of the wearable natural and friendly way than with traditional evolve in association with the consumer landscape, applications, and electronic devices. We expect the consumer market, eventually blurring the lines between market drivers market, which is mostly comprised of fitness healthcare and consumer devices. In fact, we • Wearable and healthcare bands and smart watches to grow faster think that the healthcare market will slowly intermingling than the other two. The healthcare market, merge with the consumer one, resulting in • Consumer, healthcare, and which covers devices like hearing aids, blood personalized medicine that involves self- industrial market landscape pressure monitors, and back monitor sensors, monitoring of one’s health with smart and • Sensors portfolio for the wearable is expected to grow at a lower rate, since this reliable devices. However, these kind of market (inertial, pressure, market has already been growing for many devices, which require a highly accurate, biosensor, environmental, etc.) years. Regarding the industrial market, we highly reliable tracking of biological signs in • Market forecasts 2015-2020 expected slow, steady growth through 2019, a non-invasive fashion, are not expected for • Technology trends and roadmap • Analysis of business models with a significant uptick commencing in 2020. another few years. REPORT OUTLINE Wearable Applications Breakdown - 2012/2020 • Sensors for Wearable 300 Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 100 •P DF & Excel file Volume (Munits) 250 •€ 5,990 – Multi user license 80 (300+ slides) 200 Value ($B) 60 • €4,990 – One user license 150 (300+ slides) 40 100 • July 2015 20 •3 00+ slides 50 - 0 Related reports 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 •6 -9 Axis Sensors Consumer Inertial Combos Sensors Consumer Healthcare • STMicroelectronics LSM6DS3 6-Axis IMU Industrial Total Value ($M) • Sensors for Home Health Care Applications (Yole Développement, July 2015) • MEMS & Sensors for Mobile Phones and Tablets • Bosch Sensortec BME280 - The “three horses of the wearable industry” have been Integrated Environmental released… Sensor •T echnologies & Sensors for the Three device types are expected to evolved with two device types. The first Internet of Things: Businesses successfully reach the market: smartwatch, type are wrist-worn devices that target the & Market Trends 2014-2024 smart glasses/HUD, and smart clothing. healthcare and consumer markets. It started Smart glasses and HUD are expected to many years ago, with wrist-worn devices Find all our reports hit the market with high volumes around from players like Polar, Suunto, and Garmin, on www.i-micronews.com 2019. Specific to the consumer market, it’s operating in a niche market: sports. Another
Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare wave of smart bands appeared in 2008, fueled Moreover, some technical and reliability issues by new players like Fitbit and Jawbone; this new led to a chaotic experience for the first batch of generation mimics the smartphone approach customers. Recently, a new tech wave occurred in that they use MEMS technologies to reduce three years ago with players like Samsung and size, increase performance and decrease power Pebble pushing the smartwatch market, but consumption. These smart devices were only they failed to reach a mass market due to a able to track and digitalize the body’s real- one-sided technological approach. Apple, the time activity via an accelerometer, which latest entrant in the wearable landscape with delivered little added value to the customer. its Apple watch, is expected to sell 16 - 20M units this year, which would quadruple the total number of devices that its competitors sold last 250 year (4.7M units in 2014). Why could the Apple Wearable Applications Breakdown - 2012/2020 watch achieve success? This report discusses Volume (Munits) 200 250 three factors: mature technology, ecosystem, and marketing. 150 Volume (Munits) 200 Regarding the industrial market, we believe 100 150 that smart glasses/HUD and smart clothing 50 100 will be well-suited for industrial and military applications. Virtual reality HUD and smart 050 clothing will enhance workers’ and soldiers’ 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 capabilities, increasing productivity and 0 Head-worn 2012 2013 Wrist-worn 2014 2015 2016 Clothing 2017 2018 Body-worn 2019 2020 security. Such a market is evaluated at around $4B by 2020. Head-worn Wrist-worn Clothing Body-worn Wearable is certainly a promising industry – but who will profit? Wearable electronics’ market Smartwatches vs Fitness Bands - Market Evolution (Munits) value is likely to grow from $22B in 2015 to more than $90B by 2020, with a CAGR of 28%. 350 All these evolutions will probably lead to a mass- 300 market adoption, here we expect more than Volume (Munits) 350 250 134M, smartwatches by 2020, along with 1.3M 300 Volume (Munits) 200 smart glasses/HUD by 2018. In this report, we’ll 250 analyze the current wearable industry, what the 150 200 landscape is like, who the key players, and how 100 150 the industry will evolve. 50 100 0 The wearable industry greatly interests big 502012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 companies seeking a new revenue source once 0 the smartphone business levels off. This report Smartwatches 2012 2013 2014 Sport/Fitness 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020bands 2021 2022 2023 2024 highlights the expected sensors as of today, and Smartwatches Sport/Fitness bands the upcoming technologies which can sustain (Yole Développement, July 2015) such developments. MEMS enabler for smart devices with sensor fusion and context awareness Today, the MEMS sensors industry has Moreover, battery limitation is pushing the acquired from the smartphone market a strong industry towards more optimization, even on experience in inertial sensors, microphones, the hardware side, through either packaging and pressure or environmental sensors. Based innovation or new designs with lower power on this experience, the MEMS players have consumption. pushed the boundaries of performance and size. Sensors are now small enough, reliable enough, Software is another area that’s acquiring value, and accurate enough to be included in a pocket- with sensor fusion creating smarter sensors. sized device of only 9cm3, while delivering a Such improvements have led to sublime new performance comparable to a smartphone features like context awareness or “always-on” from 2013! These sensors are the ones that sensors, which has increased device intelligence. we’ll find in our wearable devices until 2018. All these improvements will lead the global The integration of biosensors (HRM, sweat sensors market for wearable from 112M units in sensor, skin temperature) is more difficult due 2014, to 835M units by 2020, which is proof that to lack of experience, and technical challenges. this market is still in its infancy.
Market & Technology report aPPlE WaTcH TEardoWn Broadcom Wi-Fi/Bluetooth/NFC AMS FM BCM43342 NFC Signal Booster AS3923 Skyworks Wi-Fi LNA + switch and PA NXP NFC controller STM IMU LSM6DS3 Elpida 512Mb SRAM Memory F440AAC Dialog Power Management Unit D2238A CPU Apple APL0778 ADI Touch Controller AD7149 Toshiba/SanDisk 8Gb Flash Memory Maxim Integrated Audio Codec STM C Audio Amp IDT STM32 auTHorS Wireless charger Guillaume Girardin works as a Market P9022 NXP & Technology Analyst for MEMS devices Interface device and technologies at Yole développement. (Yole Développement, July 2015) Guillaume holds a Ph.d. In Physics and objEcTivES of THE rEPorT Nanotechnology from Claude Bernard University Lyon 1 and a M.Sc. in 300+ slides, providing: Technology and Innovation Management • Market data on sensors dedicated to wearable and mobile healthcare from EM Lyon School of Business. • Unit shipments and revenue by sensor type • Average selling price analysis and expected evolution • Application focus on key existing markets and the most promising emerging ones • Functions used, critical specification requirements, assembly level, and technology choices • What are the major drivers? What will the market look like in 2020? • An analysis of the major technology trends Evolution expected for current technologies: efficiency, price, etc. • A deep understanding of sensors for the wearable industry, infrastructure, and players for the different business benjamin roussel oversees MedTech • An extensive list of sensor manufacturers worldwide, and their technology offer activity (microfluidic and medical • A list of key integrators worldwide technologies) at Yole développement. Benjamin has supported many coMPaniES ciTEd in THE rEPorT (non exhaustive list) companies in their innovation and Adidas, AiQ, Apple, Atmel, Basis, Beurer, Bosch, Cambridge CMOS Sensors, CEA Liten, product development strategy, in making China Mobile, Cisco, Darpa, Fitbit, Fraunhofer, Garmin, Google, Hillcrest Labs, Honeywell, the bridge between micro systems HTC, Huawei, IBM, Imec, Infomotion Sports Technologies, Intel, InvenSense, ITL, Jabra, technologies and their applications in Jawbone, Johnson & Johnson, Kionix, Knowles Electronics, LG, LumoBack, MC10 Inc., diagnostics, pharmaceutical life science Marlow Industries, Medtronic, MEMSIC, Micropelt, Microsoft, Misfit, Motorola, Murata, and medical devices industries. He holds a Pharmacy diploma from the University Mio, Navisens, Nike, Nintendo, Nokia, NXP Semiconductors, OMRON, Philips, Polar, Pebble, Claude Bernard Lyon, complemented by Proteus, Raytheon, Samsung, SemTech, Sensirion, Sharp, SiTime, SiLabs, SmartThings, a master’s degree in Technology and Sony, STMicroelectronics, Synkera Technologies, Teledyne dALSA, Texas Instruments, Innovation Management from EM Lyon Tronics Microsystems, TSMC, Variable Technologies, Vital Connect, Withings, Xiaomi, X-Fab Business School. MEMS Foundry, Zephyr, and many more! TablE of conTEnTS • Executive Summary 13 • Forecasts on Global Wearable Market 149 • Introduction, Definitions & Methodology 14 • Forecasts by Device 156 • About Wearables 31 • Forecasts by Sensor 195 • Applications and Market Segmentation 44 > Sensor for Consumer • Sensors for Wearables 52 > Sensor for Healthcare • Key Attributes and Mapping of a Wearable > Sensor for Industrial/defense device 59 • Technical Challenges 213 Sébastien clerc is a Medical Technologies • Devices & Sensors for Consumer Market 68 • Sensor Fusion 226 Analyst at Yole développement. After > Inertial Sensors • Packaging 238 graduating from Grenoble INP with > Microphone > Gas/Environmental a Biomedical Technologies degree, • FDA Regulation and Supervision 256 > Pressure he completed his training with a > NFC • Consumer Market Analysis 274 semester of Innovation and Technology • Devices & Sensors for Healthcare 96 • Conclusion & Perspectives 286 Management, during which he oversaw • Devices & Sensors for Industrial/Defense 135 • Yole’s Presentation 291 strategy and marketing.
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Joint-Ventures are not included. any local area network); Branch code: 00170 “Products”: Depending on the purchase order, reports or • Use in any timesharing, service bureau, bulletin board or Account n°: 0170 200 1565 87 database on MEMS, CSC, Optics/MOEMS, Nano, bio… to be bought similar arrangement or public display; BIC or SWIFT code: CCFRFRPP either on a unit basis or as an annual subscription. (i.e. subscription • Posting any Product to any other online service (including IBAN: FR76 3005 6001 7001 7020 0156 587 for a period of 12 calendar months). The annual subscription to a bulletin boards or the Internet); To ensure the payments, the Seller reserves the right to request package (i.e. a global discount based on the number of reports • Licensing, leasing, selling, offering for sale or assigning the down payments from the Buyer. In this case, the need of down that the Buyer orders or accesses via the service, a global search Product. payments will be mentioned on the order. service on line on I-micronews and a consulting approach), is 6.3 T he Buyer shall be solely responsible towards the Seller of 3.4 P ayment is due by the Buyer to the Seller within 30 days defined in the order. Reports are established in PowerPoint and all infringements of this obligation, whether this infringement from invoice date, except in the case of a particular written delivered on a PDF format and the database may include Excel comes from its employees or any person to whom the Buyer agreement. If the Buyer fails to pay within this time and fails files. has sent the Products and shall personally take care of any to contact the Seller, the latter shall be entitled to invoice related proceedings, and the Buyer shall bear related financial “Seller”: Based in Lyon (France headquarters), Yole interest in arrears based on the annual rate Refi of the «BCE» consequences in their entirety. Développement is a market research and business development + 7 points, in accordance with article L. 441-6 of the French 6.4 T he Buyer shall define within its company point of contact for consultancy company, facilitating market access for advanced Commercial Code. Our publications (report, database, tool...) the needs of the contract. This person will be the recipient technology industrial projects. With more than 20 market are delivered only after reception of the payment. of each new report in PDF format. This person shall also be analysts, Yole works worldwide with the key industrial companies, 3.5 In the event of termination of the contract, or of misconduct, responsible for respect of the copyrights and will guaranty that R&D institutes and investors to help them understand the markets during the contract, the Seller will have the right to invoice at the Products are not disseminated out of the company. and technology trends. the stage in progress, and to take legal action for damages. 6.5 I n the context of annual subscriptions, the person of contact 1. Scope shall decide who within the Buyer, shall be entitled to access 1.1 T he Contracting Parties undertake to observe the following 4. Liabilities on line the reports on I-micronews.com. In this respect, the general conditions when agreed by the Buyer and the Seller. 4.1 T he Buyer or any other individual or legal person acting on Seller will give the Buyer a maximum of 10 password, unless ANY ADDITIONAL, DIFFERENT, OR CONFLICTING TERMS its behalf, being a business user buying the Products for its the multiple sites organization of the Buyer requires more AND CONDITIONS IN ANY OTHER DOCUMENTS ISSUED BY business activities, shall be solely responsible for choosing the passwords. The Seller reserves the right to check from time to THE BUYER AT ANY TIME ARE HEREBY OBJECTED TO BY THE Products and for the use and interpretations he makes of the time the correct use of this password. SELLER, SHALL BE WHOLLY INAPPLICABLE TO ANY SALE documents it purchases, of the results he obtains, and of the 6.6 I n the case of a multisite, multi license, only the employee MADE HEREUNDER AND SHALL NOT BE BINDING IN ANY WAY advice and acts it deduces thereof. of the buyer can access the report or the employee of the ON THE SELLER. 4.2 T he Seller shall only be liable for (i) direct and (ii) foreseeable companies in which the buyer have 100% shares. As a matter 1.2 This agreement becomes valid and enforceable between the pecuniary loss, caused by the Products or arising from a of fact the investor of a company, the joint venture done with Contracting Parties after clear and non-equivocal consent material breach of this agreement a third party etc..cannot access the report and should pay a by any duly authorized person representing the Buyer. For 4.3 In no event shall the Seller be liable for: full license price. these purposes, the Buyer accepts these conditions of sales a) damages of any kind, including without limitation, incidental when signing the purchase order which mentions “I hereby or consequential damages (including, but not limited to, 7. Termination accept Yole’s Terms and Conditions of Sale”. This results in damages for loss of profits, business interruption and loss of 7.1 I f the Buyer cancels the order in whole or in part or postpones acceptance by the Buyer. programs or information) arising out of the use of or inability the date of mailing, the Buyer shall indemnify the Seller for 1.3 Orders are deemed to be accepted only upon written to use the Seller’s website or the Products, or any information the entire costs that have been incurred as at the date of acceptance and confirmation by the Seller, within [7 days] provided on the website, or in the Products; notification by the Buyer of such delay or cancellation. This from the date of order, to be sent either by email or to the b) any claim attributable to errors, omissions or other may also apply for any other direct or indirect consequential Buyer’s address. In the absence of any confirmation in writing, inaccuracies in the Product or interpretations thereof. loss that may be borne by the Seller, following this decision. orders shall be deemed to have been accepted. 4.4 A ll the information contained in the Products has been 7.2 In the event of breach by one Party under these conditions 2. Mailing of the Products obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The Seller does or the order, the non-breaching Party may send a notification 2.1 P roducts are sent by email to the Buyer: not warrant the accuracy, completeness adequacy or reliability to the other by recorded delivery letter upon which, after a • within [1] month from the order for Products already released; of such information, which cannot be guaranteed to be free period of thirty (30) days without solving the problem, the non- or from errors. breaching Party shall be entitled to terminate all the pending • within a reasonable time for Products ordered prior to their 4.5 A ll the Products that the Seller sells may, upon prior notice orders, without being liable for any compensation. effective release. In this case, the Seller shall use its best to the Buyer from time to time be modified by or substituted endeavours to inform the Buyer of an indicative release date with similar Products meeting the needs of the Buyer. This 8. Miscellaneous and the evolution of the work in progress. modification shall not lead to the liability of the Seller, provided All the provisions of these Terms and Conditions are for the benefit 2.2 Some weeks prior to the release date the Seller can propose a that the Seller ensures the substituted Product is similar to the of the Seller itself, but also for its licensors, employees and agents. pre-release discount to the Buyer Product initially ordered. Each of them is entitled to assert and enforce those provisions The Seller shall by no means be responsible for any delay in 4.6 In the case where, after inspection, it is acknowledged that against the Buyer. respect of article 2.2 above, and including incases where a the Products contain defects, the Seller undertakes to replace Any notices under these Terms and Conditions shall be given in new event or access to new contradictory information would the defective products as far as the supplies allow and without writing. They shall be effective upon receipt by the other Party. require for the analyst extra time to compute or compare indemnities or compensation of any kind for labor costs, The Seller may, from time to time, update these Terms and the data in order to enable the Seller to deliver a high quality delays, loss caused or any other reason. The replacement is Conditions and the Buyer, is deemed to have accepted the latest Products. guaranteed for a maximum of two months starting from the version of these terms and conditions, provided they have been 2.3 The mailing of the Product will occur only upon payment delivery date. Any replacement is excluded for any event as communicated to him in due time. by the Buyer, in accordance with the conditions contained set out in article 5 below. in article 3. 4.7 T he deadlines that the Seller is asked to state for the mailing 9. Governing law and jurisdiction 2.4. The mailing is operated through electronic means either by of the Products are given for information only and are not 9.1 A ny dispute arising out or linked to these Terms and Conditions email via the sales department or automatically online via an guaranteed. If such deadlines are not met, it shall not lead or to any contract (orders) entered into in application of email/password. If the Product’s electronic delivery format to any damages or cancellation of the orders, except for non these Terms and Conditions shall be settled by the French is defective, the Seller undertakes to replace it at no charge acceptable delays exceeding [4] months from the stated Commercial Courts of Lyon, which shall have exclusive to the Buyer provided that it is informed of the defective deadline, without information from the Seller. In such case jurisdiction upon such issues. formatting within 90 days from the date of the original only, the Buyer shall be entitled to ask for a reimbursement of 9.2 French law shall govern the relation between the Buyer and the download or receipt of the Product. its first down payment to the exclusion of any further damages. Seller, in accordance with these Terms and Conditions.
Yole Développement From Technologies to Market @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare © 2015
FIELDS OF EXPERTISE Yole Développement’s 30 analysts operate in the following areas Imaging Photonics MEMS & Sensors MedTech Compound Semi. Manufacturing LED Power Advanced Electronics Packaging PV @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 25
4 BUSINESS MODELS o Consulting and Analysis o Financial services • Market data & research, marketing analysis • M&A (buying and selling) • Technology analysis • Due diligence • Strategy consulting • Fundraising • Reverse engineering & costing • Maturation of companies • Patent analysis • IP portfolio management & optimization www.yole.fr www.yolefinance.com www.bmorpho.com o Reports o Media • Market & Technology reports • i-Micronews.com website • Patent Investigation and patent infringement risk • @Micronews e-newsletter analysis • Technology magazines • Teardowns & Reverse Costing Analysis • Communication & webcast services • Cost Simulation Tool • Events www.i-Micronews.com/reports www.i-Micronews.com @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 26
A GROUP OF COMPANIES M&A operations Due diligences www.yolefinance.com Fundraising Maturation of companies IP portfolio management & optimization Market, www.bmorpho.com technology and strategy Manufacturing costs analysis Teardown and reverse engineering consulting Cost simulation tools www.systemplus.fr www.yole.fr IP analysis Patent assessment www.knowmade.fr @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 27
OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 28
RESEARCH PRODUCTS - CONTENT COMPARISON Breadth of the analysis Standard Reports Workshops Depth of the analysis Custom Analysis Custom analysis scope is defined with you to meet your information and budget needs @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 29
SERVING THE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN Integrators and end-users Device Our analysts makers provide market analysis, technology evaluation, Suppliers: material, and business equipment, OSAT, plan along the foundries… entire supply chain Financial investors, R&D centers @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 30
SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS Industrial and Medical defense systems We are working across multiples industries to understand the Energy Automotive impact of More- than-Moore technologies from device to system Mobile phone Transportation and consumer makers electronics From A to Z… @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 31
REPORTS COLLECTION • Yole Développement publishes a comprehensive collection of market & technology reports and patent analysis in: MEMS & Sensors Imaging Medical technologies (MedTech) Advanced packaging Power electronics Compound semiconductors OLED, LED & Laser diode Semiconductor Manufacturing Photovoltaics Batteries • Our reports are unmatched in quality and technology depth and typically include: Technology trends and evolution: costs, barriers, roadmaps, etc. Supply & value chain analysis: business models, relationships, value flows, etc. In-depth analysis of applications and market drivers: challenges, inflection points, etc. Market data ($, units, wafer starts, etc.) www.i-Micronews.com • Every year, Yole Développement, System Plus Consulting and KnowMade publish +60 reports. • Take the full benefit from our Bundle and Annual Subscription offers. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 32
OUR 2015 MARKET & TECHNOLOGY REPORTS PLANNING o MEMS & SENSORS o LED − Sensors and Data Management for Autonomous Vehicles − LED Module − AlN Thin Film Markets And Applications − OLED for Lighting − Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare − UV LED − Status of the MEMS Industry − LED Phosphors Market − Uncooled IR Imagers − IR Detectors o POWER ELECTRONICS − High End Gyro, Accelerometers and IMU − Power Packaging − Non-Volatile Memory − Thermal Management for LED and Power − MEMS for RF filters and Antena Switches - BAW / SAW − Power Electronics for Renewable Energy − Energy Management For Smart Grid And Smart Cities o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS − Status of Chinese Power Electronics Industry − Camera Module Packaging (Vol 1 : Market & Technology Trends / Vol 2 Teardowns & − New Technologies For Data Center Reverse Engineering) − Inverter Market Trends For 2013 – 2020 And Major Technology Changes* − Uncooled IR Imagers − IGBT Markets And Application Trends − Wafer Level Optics − Power Electronics for HEV/EV* − Status of the CMOS Image Sensors − Status of Power Electronics Industry − Machine Vision o ADVANCED PACKAGING o MEDTECH − Advanced Packaging in Emerging Markets in China − Microfluidic for Sample Preparation − Status of the Advanced Packaging Industry − Microfluidic Applications − Supply Chain Readiness for Panel Manufacturing in Packaging − Sensors for Wearable Electronics And Mobile Healthcare − WLCSP* − Flip Chip Business Update o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS − 2.5D & 3DIC Business Update − High Purity Alumina (HPA) − Fan-Out and Embedded Business Update − Sapphire − Wide Bandgap Materials For Power Electronics: SiC, GaN (and also Ga2O3, AlN, o MANUFACTURING Diamond, Graphene… as a trend) − Lithography for MEMS, Advanced Packaging and LED − Thinning & Dicing Equipment for Advanced Packaging, MEMS, Photovoltaics, LED, CMOS Image Sensors • Reports to be decided within 2015 − Non-Volatile Memory @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 33
OUR 2015 REPORTS PLANNING PATENT ANALYSIS by KnowMade o Patent Infringement (crossed analysis based on KnowMade and System Plus Consulting analysis expertise) − MEMS Microphone Applications − Infrared Imaging o Patent Investigation (crossed analysis based on KnowMade & Yole Développement expertise) − Power GaN − MEMS Gyroscope − 6-axis & 9-axis Inertial MEMS IMUs − Microbatteries − Embedded Active & Passive Packages − Interposer − Phosphors for LED TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING by System Plus Consulting More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2015. @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 34
OUR 2014 PUBLISHED REPORTS LIST MARKET & TECHNOLOGY REPORTS o POWER ELECTRONICS by Yole Développement − Power Electronics for HEV/EV − Inverters o MEMS & SENSORS − Gate Driver Unit Market for Power Transistors − Technologies & Sensors for the Internet of Things: Businesses & Market Trends 2014-2024 − MEMS Microphone: Market, Applications and Business Trends 2014 o PHOTOVOLTAICS − Status of the MEMS industry − Emerging and Innovative Technology Approaches in the Solar Industry − MEMS & Sensors for Mobile Phones and Tablets − High End Gyroscopes and Accelerometer Applications o ADVANCED PACKAGING − Inertial MEMS Manufacturing Technical Trends − 3DIC Equipment and Materials − New Detection Principles & Technical Evolution for MEMS & NEMS − 3DIC & 2.5D TSV Interconnect for Advanced Packaging - 2014 Business Update − 6/9 DOF Applications in Consumer Electronics o IMAGING & OPTOELECTRONICS o MANUFACTURING − Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry − Market & Technology Trends in Materials & Equipment for Printed & Flexible Electronics − Uncooled Infrared Imaging Technology & Market Trends − Permanent Wafer Bonding for Semiconductor: Application Trends & Technology − Silicon Photonics o MEDTECH − Point of Care Testing: Applications for Microfluidic Technologies PATENT ANALYSIS − Solid State Medical Imaging: X-ray and Endoscopy by Knowmade o COMPOUND SEMICONDUCTORS − LED Based on Nano-wires Patent Investigation − RF GaN Technology & Market Analysis: Applications, Players, Devices & Substrates 2010- − GaN on Si Patent Investigation (LED, Power devices and RF Devices) 2020 − New MEMS Devices Patent Investigation − SiC Modules, Devices and Substrates for Power Electronics Market − Non Volatile Memory Patent Investigation − GaN-on-Si Substrate Technology and Market for LED and Power Electronics − Power GaN Market − Graphene Materials for Opto & Electronic Applications TEARDOWN & REVERSE COSTING − Sapphire Applications and Market: from LED to Consumer Electronics by System Plus Consulting o LED More than 30 teardowns and reverse costing analysis and cost simulation tools to be published in 2014. − LED Packaging − LED Front-End Manufacturing Trends − LED Front-End Equipment Market @2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Wearable Electronics & Mobile Healthcare 35
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