Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence Sajeda Amin

 
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Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence Sajeda Amin
Schooling, Child Marriage and
     Workforce Participation in
Bangladesh: A scoping paper to
      identify gaps in evidence
                   Sajeda Amin
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                   Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                               Sajeda Amin

The findings, interpretations and conclusions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do
not necessarily reflect the views of UNICEF. Any part of this publication may be freely reproduced if
accompanied by the following citation: Amin (2021). Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce
Participation in Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence. Compendium Paper. UNICEF
Innocenti, Florence, Italy.

Correspondence should be addressed to: florence@unicef.org.

Cover image: Shehzad Noorani

© 2021
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                         Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                     Sajeda Amin

1. Introduction                                               frequently cited as a marker of Bangladesh’s
This scoping paper explores broad patterns in                 development achievements, along with
girls’ schooling, marriage and workforce                      improved health, economic growth and better
participation rates in Bangladesh, and how                    economic opportunities for women. Despite
these are interlinked. Through a review of the
                       1
                                                              these considerable advances, the practice of
literature and new analysis of existing data, it              child marriage in Bangladesh remains common
describes what is known about these linkages                  – nationally, nearly 60 per cent of girls are
and identifies gaps in the evidence, in order to              married before the age of 18. Child marriage
inform programmes and policy. As far as the                   potentially undermines investments in human
available data allow, the paper attempts to go                development. Overall, the levels of women’s
beyond evidence at the level of associations to               workforce participation remain relatively low,
explore the causal links and contextual factors               although participation rates have seen
that drive recent patterns and trends. Child                  moderate increases among women of all ages,
marriage is not common among boys and is                      but particularly for older women.
thus not explored in this paper. The analysis
                                                              Table 1 shows how Bangladesh compares with
focuses mostly on factors that can be
                                                              other countries of South Asia. Like India and
addressed through sectoral investments in
                                                              Nepal, the country has universal education:
education, which could help to reduce these
                                                              only 2.7 per cent of girls reported never having
vulnerabilities.
                                                              attended school. The corresponding figures are
Schooling rates for girls in Bangladesh have                  3.6 per cent in India, 3.7 per cent in Nepal and
increased rapidly in recent decades. The                      26.8 per cent in Pakistan. However, Bangladesh
pronounced gender gap that existed in                         has a lower median number of years of
schooling as recently as the 1990s has all but                schooling (among women aged 20–24 in the
disappeared (Asadullah and Choudhury, 2009),                  Demographic and Health Survey – DHS). It has
and the country has now reached gender parity                 higher labour force participation rates than
in education. Those programmes that                           India and Pakistan, but lower than Nepal – 22.3
particularly incentivized girls’ schooling,                   per cent of women aged 15–24 in Bangladesh
beginning in 1994, are credited with having                   report that they are currently working (as
brought about these changes, although rapid                   against 45.1 per cent in Nepal, 11.1 per cent in
economic growth and urbanization may also                     Pakistan and 14.9 per cent in India). It is in
have played a part by increasing the demand                   terms of age at marriage that Bangladesh is
for schooling. Gender equity in schools is                    truly an outlier: the median age at marriage is

1
 The author would like to acknowledge the contributions
of Irfan Hossain and Eashita Haque, Population Council,
Dhaka for research support

                                                          1
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                           Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                       Sajeda Amin

only 16.1 years in Bangladesh, compared with                         Nepal, India and Pakistan, the figures are 39.5
18.5 in Nepal, 19.6 in India and 21.3 in Pakistan.                   per cent, 25.3 per cent and 18.3 per cent,
Overall, 59 per cent of women aged 25–29 in                          respectively.
Bangladesh are married before the age of 18. In

Table 1: Girls’ education, work and marriage in selected South Asian countries, DHS, 2014–2015
                                                      Bangladesh            Nepal          Pakistan         India
                                                         2014               2016          2017–2018       2015–2016
    Percentage of girls aged 10–14
                                                                   2.7%         3.7%            26.8%              3.6%
    with no education
    Median years of schooling completed,
                                                                   6.4%         8.3%             3.8%              9.2%
    women aged 20–24
    Percentage of women aged 15–24
                                                               22.3%           45.1%            11.1%             14.9%
    who are economically active
    Median age at marriage for all women
                                                               16.1%           18.5%            21.3%             19.6%
    aged 15–49
    Percentage of women aged 25–29
                                                               58.6%           39.5%            18.3%             25.3%
    married before the age of 18

The DHS data suggest that, as a factor                               their early twenties, but the same is true for less
associated with schooling and work, early or                         than a third of men. Young men and women
child marriage is relevant for women, but not                        have similar levels of school completion rates
for men. Household roster data from the DHS                          and median years of schooling completed.
show the gender differences in the transition to                     However, there is a vast difference in workforce
adulthood indicators for men and women in                            participation: in the age group 20–24, 13.3 per
their twenties (see Table 2).2 The majority of                       cent of women are active in the workforce, as
women (85 per cent) are already married by                           against 72.6 per cent of men.

                                                                                               Men         Women
    Percentage of those aged 20–24 ever married                                                 29.3%          85.0%

    Percentage of those aged 25–29 who have completed secondary school or higher                53.9%             53.0%

    Median years of school completed at age 25–29                                                     6                6

    Percentage of those aged 20–24 who are currently working                                    72.6%             13.30%

Table 2: Marriage timing, schooling and work status, by gender, DHS, 2011

2
  As with most surveys, individual survey respondents
are selected from a listing of households in the sampling
frame for the DHS. The roster data are public access.

                                                               2
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                             Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                         Sajeda Amin
2. Trends in schooling, work and marriage                       2014, the proportion of women who had
Starting from a very low base, the schooling                    completed at least secondary schooling rose
levels in Bangladesh have risen considerably                    from 18 per cent to nearly 70 per cent (see
for girls and young women. Between 1993 and                     Figure 1).

Figure 1: Women who completed secondary/higher education, by select age groups and survey year

  100
   90
   80
   70
   60
   50
   40
   30
   20
   10
    0
               1993-94     1996-97      1999-2000   2004         2007           2011          2014   2017-18

                                 Age group 15-19     Age group 20-24            Age group 45-49

The labour force participation rates for women                  less likely than older women to report working
also rose during the same period, but the                       (see Figure 2). At younger ages – up to and
increase was less pronounced: from 22 per cent                  around the time of marriage – workforce
in 2004, the proportion of women who reported                   participation rates among girls are consistently
currently working for pay had risen to over one                 low. The rates increase steadily with age,
in three in 2014. In general, younger women are                 declining slightly among older women.

Figure 2: Percentage of women currently working, by age and survey year

                Bangladesh 2004
                Bangladesh 2007
                Bangladesh 2011
                Bangladesh 2014                                                          58
                Bangladesh 2017 to 2018                53.9             55.7                          55.2
                                           47.3
                                                       41.2
                                                        39              39.3            39.8
                          37.9                                          36.7            36.3          37.1
                                           34.3
                                           34.1                                                       33.2
                          26.6                         29               28.4            28.2
        24.1              26.1             25.2                                                       22.6
        17.8
        16.2              17.1                         15.6
                                           14.8                         14.4            13.6          14.2
        9.9               12.1
        6.2

    15-19                20-24            25-29       30-34             35-39          40-44         45-49

                                                            3
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                       Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                   Sajeda Amin
The increase in the proportion of women                    this sector while about one in four workers are
working is greatest among those who perform                single (Hossain et al, 2017; Haque and Bari,
skilled labour and those in the service sector. It         2021). Although many garment-factory workers
is known, however, that Bangladesh’s garment               are unable to continue factory work after
sector is the nation’s fastest-growing industry,           marriage, a significant proportion do remain in
suggesting that women’s employment in                      the workforce.
garment factories likely makes a substantial
                                                           In sharp contrast to the trends in women’s
contribution to the increase in women’s
                                                           education and employment, and to trends in
engagement in economic activities. Heath and
                                                           other settings, child marriage characterizes the
Mobarak (2015) estimate that 90 per cent of
                                                           majority of most marriages even though it
women working in the garment sector are aged
                                                           declined between 1994 and 2014, dropping
16–24, and many are concentrated in urban
                                                           from 73.3 per cent of 20–24-year-old women
areas. Work before marriage may be more
                                                           who reported marriage before the age of 18 in
common among garment workers than in other
                                                           1994 to 59 per cent in 2014 (Figure 3).
sectors. Several recent studies suggest that the
majority of workers enter the labour force in

Figure 3: Percentage of women aged 20–24 married by the age of 18, DHS, 1993–2018

 80       73.3
                       68.5                     68.7
                                    65.3                     66.2        64.9
 70
                                                                                      58.6           58.9
 60

 50

 40

 30

 20

 10

  0
       1993-1994    1996-1997    1999-2000      2004        2007         2011         2014      2017-2018

Grants to encourage enrolment and prevent                  narrowing of the wide gender gap in education
dropout                                                    that existed when the programme was
A national programme to incentivize girls’                 launched to certain components of the national
schooling has been in place since 1994 in rural            programme, such as the provision of female
Bangladesh. Asadullah and Choudhury (2015)                 secondary school scholarships. The credit they
attribute the rising education levels and the              give the national programme hinges on

                                                       4
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                        Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                    Sajeda Amin
evidence that gender gaps and lower levels of           employment opportunities and more desirable
female education persist in the urban areas of          marital partners? Does work improve the
Bangladesh, where the programme is not                  likelihood that children will finance and
available. In the Population Council’s rural            complete their education and get married? How
surveys, the majority of girls who are eligible         do these hypotheses vary by the contexts in
report being in receipt of a grant (although the        which young people live?
low levels of time actually spent in school
                                                        What are the causal pathways or intersecting
suggests that the precondition of regular
                                                        drivers of child labour, educational
attendance is probably not enforced).
                                                        access/outcomes and marriage?
Schooling and learning
                                                        Since waged work, schooling and child
Despite fairly high rates of enrolment,
                                                        marriage may all be reflections of common
schooling appears to do a poor job of imparting
                                                        drivers (such as economic and social
learning. A recent comparative analysis of
                                                        disadvantage), data on experimental studies
literacy and numeracy data in Bangladesh,
                                                        can offer important evidence on causal
Malawi and Zambia shows that the acquisition
                                                        pathways. A study by the Bangladeshi
and retention of specific skills is poor in all
                                                        Association for Life Skills, Income and
three settings and is sensitive to the competing
                                                        Knowledge for Adolescents (BALIKA)
demands on time and resources that arise from
                                                        represented a unique opportunity to examine
early marriage and childbearing (Psaki et al.,
                                                        the impact of three skill-building programme
2019). In their analysis of the correlation of
                                                        strategies on the prevalence of child marriage
learning outcomes, the authors find evidence of
                                                        (Amin, Saha and Ahmed, 2018). All three
loss of skills in numeracy and English,
                                                        approaches, which placed different emphases
associated with such events as child marriage,
                                                        on education, gender rights training and
pregnancy and childbirth. Skill loss is higher at
                                                        livelihoods training, showed a similarly strong
lower levels of schooling, and is not observed
                                                        impact on reducing child marriage prevalence.
once 8th grade education is achieved. There is
                                                        The skills programmes had several elements in
no evidence of skill loss in local language
                                                        common, such as a reliance on locally recruited
literacy.
                                                        mentors, an emphasis on access to digital
                                                        technology and remote learning, and strong
3. Evidence on causal pathways related to
                                                        engagement of the community through
education, work and child marriage
                                                        intensive community outreach. These common
How do variations in schooling and work
                                                        programme elements may have contributed to
pathways determine later transitions into
                                                        the impact across the board. The interventions
adulthood (employment, marriage,
                                                        were evaluated for impact at the community
childbearing)? Does schooling promote better

                                                    5
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                      Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                  Sajeda Amin
level, and the study documented a significant            training (Montalvao et al., 2017), and that such
decline in child marriage – both for girls who           soft skills related to gender rights awareness,
participated in the programme and for those              negotiating skills, etc. appear to be especially
who did not. This suggests that there is some            important in more strongly patriarchal contexts
diffusion of the impact of the programme                 that limit and circumscribe women’s economic
beyond the direct beneficiaries. While the               lives.
programme imparted learning across a range of
                                                         Mahmud and Amin (2006) analysed panel data
indicators and made an impact, the
                                                         from a survey of adolescent girls carried out in
interventions were only evaluated at two points
                                                         2001 and 2003 to understand variation in school
in time, and thus do not allow us to explore
                                                         dropout rates by economic status. They found
pathways of change or the sequence of events.
                                                         that poverty is an important correlate. At the
Thus, we are unable to say whether delayed
                                                         time of the first panel, about one girl in five had
marriage led to better schooling, or whether
                                                         never attended school. Poor girls were more
better schooling improved girls’ marriage
                                                         likely than wealthier ones either never to have
outcomes. Panel data with more than two
                                                         enrolled in school or to have dropped out
panels conducted in the context of intervention
                                                         before completing primary school. Girls from
research would help to explore some of these
                                                         the wealthiest households were more likely to
pathways.
                                                         have entered secondary school, but were also
A more recent analysis examined the impact of            more likely to report that a marriage proposal
the programme on economic indicators and                 (or actual marriage) had precipitated their
found a more differentiated impact (Makino and           dropout.
Amin, 2021). Exploring outcomes in terms of
labour force participation, wages earned and             4. Gaps in evidence: Suggestions for new areas
hours spent in paid work estimated from time             of investigation
use data, the analysis found that the gender             Why does workforce participation decline as the
rights awareness arm and the livelihoods                 level of education increases – and why does
intervention arm had the greatest impact; and            that trend go into reverse at the highest level of
only those two arms had any impact on school             education? An enduring puzzle for Bangladesh
dropout rates or increased workforce                     – and South Asia generally – is the U-shaped
participation. One interpretation of these               relationship between level of education and
findings resonates with another study of                 workforce participation; and more specifically,
women’s labour force participation                       the decline in the proportion of girls in the
programmes, which shows that programmes to               workforce as the level of schooling increases –
help with soft skills are more effective than            except for at the highest levels of education,
those that focus on hard skills or sector-specific       which relatively few girls attain (see Figure 4).

                                                     6
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                     Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                 Sajeda Amin
Figure 4: Percentage of women currently working, by educational attainment, various years

 45

 40

 35

 30

 25

 20

 15

 10

  5

  0
             2004 DHS                 2007 DHS                   2011 DHS                 2014 DHS

                                No education      Primary   Secondary    Higher

While surveys may help in understanding the                 education plays a role in the decision to work
interplay of work opportunities, schooling and              rather than to marry. However, it may also be
marriage, such work probably calls for mixed-               that at education levels lower than completed
methods research related to both the supply of              secondary, the workforce options and decisions
and the demand for labour. Workforce                        are associated with greater risk – perhaps the
participation is highest among women with no                need for mobility or the perceived risk
education, and declines as the level of                     associated with mobility is the problem. Or
completed schooling increases. The                          perhaps it is the financial returns available from
participation rates climb again for women with              work. Or could there be status trade-offs
higher than secondary schooling. Data on the                involved in joining the workforce that serve as a
reasons for school dropout suggest that girls’              deterrent?
families opt to marry them off rather than have
                                                            What factors drive dropout from secondary
them join the workforce, unless they have
                                                            school?
better than secondary education. Mahmud and
                                                            Surveys that focus on adolescents and children
Amin (2006) suggest that some schooling offers
                                                            routinely ask questions about the factors that
an advantage over no schooling on the
                                                            precipitate school dropout. The findings vary
marriage market, and that marriage may be
                                                            considerably by survey method, and experience
perceived as a better option than entering the
                                                            suggests that they are not very conclusive –
workforce. This dynamic changes once the girl
                                                            probably because the process is complex and
achieves better than secondary education. It is
                                                            the answers to categorical survey questions
possible that the status associated with the kind
                                                            often identify just the most proximate (and not
of work only available with a higher level of

                                                       7
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                       Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                   Sajeda Amin
necessarily the most important) determinant. A             on patterns of time use, learning outcomes and
longitudinal approach with a qualitative                   skill acquisition. As access to school improves
component could be more promising.                         and as demand for schooling increases, those
Important insights may come from studies                   more qualitative aspects of education are likely
aiming to understand positive deviance – i.e.              to emerge as determinants of labour force
looking at those who do continue their                     participation and child marriage that are more
schooling, despite adversity, rather than                  important than mere school attainment. There
considering the majority of cases.                         is ample recognition of gender inequality in
                                                           schooling, and official policy has addressed this
Urban children and adolescents: Efforts to
                                                           issue by reducing school fees and offering
address gender inequity in schooling focus
                                                           subsidies and scholarships to disadvantaged
largely on rural children and adolescents. The
                                                           groups: namely, the rural poor generally at
programmes have reduced school fees and
                                                           primary school and rural girls at secondary
offered subsidies and scholarships to
                                                           school.
disadvantaged groups. As mentioned above,
these programmes have been particularly                    Within urban areas, it is important to identify
effective in reducing gender gaps in schooling.            and address the needs of underprivileged
However, urban children and adolescents have               groups. To date, most urban service provision
not received the same support and attention.               efforts have focused on geo-spatial information
With a rapidly growing urban population, it is             identifying informal settlements and urban
important to consider the needs of the urban               slums. However, with increasing property
poor. One study shows that there continues to              values and urban development, underprivileged
be a gender gap in educational attainment in               groups are increasingly dispersed, and
urban areas, even while rural gaps have closed.            strategies other than spatial targeting are
Child marriage is as common in poor urban                  needed. This presents a challenge, since the
communities as it is in those rural districts with         placement of schools is a critical factor in
the highest incidence of child marriage (Amin,             ensuring access to them. In metropolitan areas,
2015).                                                     commuting absorbs a significant proportion of
                                                           time for urban adolescents, and this should be
There is adequate evidence from the DHS and
                                                           taken into account when designing policy.
various household-level surveys that can be
                                                           Access to schools can be particularly important
disaggregated by urban–rural residence to
                                                           in ensuring that girls stay at school.
explore correlates of school attendance, child
marriage and child labour, but there is relatively         Displacement due to conflict and climate
little evidence on the causal links between these          change: Another area of focus for new data and
indicators. There is also relatively little evidence       evidence should be the impact of migration and

                                                       8
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                       Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                   Sajeda Amin
displacement on schooling, work and the                 The evidence base on factors that are positively
marriage of young people. While migration               associated with the economic empowerment of
may be a critical element in any adaptation             women and girls points to the importance of
strategy, the experiences and concerns of               the development of ‘soft skills’. Much of what is
displaced populations are difficult to capture in       offered in life skills education could be
standard household surveys.                             construed as being in the domain of soft skills,
                                                        to the extent that such curricula promote voice
5. Gaps in the literature on what works                 and agency, critical thinking and negotiating
There is some evidence that the creation of safe        skills. The role of these skills imparted early in
spaces – providing girls with opportunities to          life has not been studied adequately. Further to
gather, build social networks and forge                 this point, we need research approaches that
relationships with trusted adults and mentors –         can identify specifically what it is about these
can offer important life skills (e.g. the BALIKA        soft skills interventions that connects them to
project; the Kishori Abhijan project). Further          the mechanisms of change. This evidence base
evidence suggests that cash transfers (e.g. the         calls for qualitative research to understand how
Kishori Kontho project) can reduce the rates of         community norms interact with household
child marriage; however, it is not yet clear what       decision making about young adolescents, and
the causal pathways are. Also, it is likely that        how that mechanism influences individual
what works is highly context dependent, and             developmental cycles.
that the models that work for rural adolescents
                                                        Challenges of transit and transport
may not work for adolescents living in urban
                                                        In settings such as Bangladesh, where there are
areas.
                                                        strong cultural prescriptions governing
There is emerging global evidence on the                women’s mobility, the location of educational
developmental importance of investing in girls          and work opportunities can present significant
during early adolescence: it is likely that             challenges. The restrictions on a girl’s mobility
experiences during this period shape and                increase around the time of puberty, and this
predict what is to come. Focusing on the period         coincides with the age at which school dropout
around puberty may be important in                      rates are at their highest. The high rates of
understanding and identifying both risk factors         school dropout among girls at and shortly after
for and protective factors against child                puberty suggest that concerns about girls’
marriage. Early intervention may help to pre-           sexuality may be driving child marriage. These
empt negative trajectories during adolescence           concerns may simultaneously affect decisions
that could have a long-term effect on mental            about schooling, work and marriage. Several
health, aspirations and sexual and reproductive         interesting local practices may be explored. For
health.                                                 instance, export processing zones outside

                                                    9
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                      Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                  Sajeda Amin
Dhaka offer transport to workers, and this is             and small towns to the large metropolitan areas
believed to be an important element in their              is becoming increasingly common.
success in recruiting workers (Heath and
Mobarak, 2015).                                           6. Conclusion
                                                          Our review of the evidence on the linkages
Higher-status jobs may be more about non-
                                                          between child labour, schooling and marriage
wage benefits and conditions of work: detailed
                                                          has included looking at the covariation with
labour force surveys show that job security
                                                          important background variables across time
(contracts), health and maternity benefits are all
                                                          and space. The dominant pattern over time can
important, while flexibility of work hours and
                                                          be seen in increased schooling for girls and
mobility requirements are key.
                                                          boys; but there is relatively little association
Evidence of what works to create positive                 with the prevalence of child marriage, which
pathways that build aspirations and allow girls           has remained high. The evidence base in terms
and women to venture into the uncharted world             of child labour – both in the DHS as well as in
of work outside the home would be an                      localized surveys – is weak.
important contribution – provided it is
                                                          It is worth exploring the existing national data
generated and understood in a manner that is
                                                          sets and comparing the findings from the DHS
informed by contextual barriers and
                                                          with those from labour and household surveys,
programmatic challenges. What are some of
                                                          in order to confirm patterns and variations.
the soft skills and how might they be delivered
                                                          However, these explorations can, at best, be
at scale either through schools or in the
                                                          only good descriptions of the correlations and
community?
                                                          intersecting drivers: they are unlikely to yield
Another considerable void in the evidence                 insights into causal pathways, for which there
space is the question of risk-free mobility and           needs to be investment in longitudinal data
migration – there is considerable evidence that           collection and focused investigations. This
while migration for work is on the increase, it           would address the gaps in the literature
can be treacherous and the risks can undermine            regarding such puzzles as the nonlinear
the benefits. In Bangladesh, rural to urban               association between schooling and workforce
migration by women for the purpose of work                entry, and with regard to emerging trends
has increased considerably, and the migration             associated with urbanization and climate
of young, unmarried women from rural villages             change.

                                                     10
Schooling, Child Marriage and Workforce Participation in
                                     Bangladesh: A scoping paper to identify gaps in evidence
                                                                                 Sajeda Amin
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