Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) - Investor Presentation - Q2 2021 Results - Tadawul
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Growing a Saudi Global Mining Giant Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) Investor Presentation – Q2 2021 Results 10 th August 2021
Frederik Michaelsen Senior Investor Relations Advisor 2 of 40
Disclaimer This presentation contains statements that are, or may be deemed to be, forward looking statements, including statements about the beliefs and expectations of the Saudi Arabian Mining Company Ma’aden (the "Company"). These statements are based on the Company's current plans, estimates and projections, as well as its expectations of external conditions and events. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties and speak only as of the date they are made. As a result of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, a prospective investor should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. A number of important factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. The Company is not obliged to, and does not intend to, update or revise any forward- looking statements made in this presentation whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This communication has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of the Company. It has not been reviewed, approved or endorsed by any financial advisor, lead manager, selling agent, receiving bank or underwriter retained by the Company and is provided for information purposes only. In addition, because this communication is a summary only, it may not contain all material terms and in and of itself should not form the basis for any investment decision. The information and opinions herein are believed to be reliable and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made with respect to the fairness, correctness, accuracy, reasonableness, or completeness of the information and opinions. There is no obligation to update, modify or amend this communication or to otherwise notify you if any information, opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. You are strongly advised to seek your own independent advice in relation to any investment, financial, legal, tax, accounting, or regulatory issues discussed herein. Analyses and opinions contained herein may be based on assumptions that if altered can change the analyses or opinions expressed. Nothing contained herein shall constitute any representation or warranty as to future performance of any financial instrument, credit, currency, rate, or other market or economic measure. Furthermore, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The Company disclaims liability for any loss arising out of or in connection with your use of, or reliance on, this communication. These materials may not be published, distributed or transmitted and may not be reproduced in any manner whatsoever without the explicit consent of Ma’aden’s management. These materials do not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the securities in any jurisdiction. Non-IFRS financial measures Some of the financial information included in this presentation is derived from Ma’aden consolidated financial statements but are not terms defined within the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as applied In the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Such information is provided as the Company believes they are useful measures for investors. A reconciliation of this information with the consolidated financial statements is included in the presentation 3 of 40
Abdulaziz A. Al Harbi Chief Executive Officer (A) 4 of 40
Ma’aden outperformed both, peers and the market Relative Share Price Performance (indexed to 100) Ma’aden 2019 Equity increase (Debt for Annualized return since the IPO 300% Ma’aden 2014 Equity swap) (in percent) Rights issue 250 M Share Ma’aden 11.6% 250% Mining Giants1 9.5% 200% Pure Players2 8.2% 150% Saudi INDEX 4.1% Ma’aden IPO 100% Absolute return in Q2 2021 (in percent) 50% Ma’aden 24% Absolute return in H1 2021 0% (in percent) Ma’aden 75% TASI Mining Giants1 Pure players2 MAADEN 1 Includes Anglo American, BHP, Glencore, Rio Tinto, Vale, Vedanta 2 Includes Aluminum Corp of China, Rusal, Mosaic, Phosagro, Barrick, GoldFields, Newmont 5 of 40
Health, Safety, Security & Environment (HSSE) 6 of 40
EHSS Performance Ma’aden compares favorably with peers All Incidents Frequency Rate - AIFR Benchmarking 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.80 0.60 0.60 0.37 0.40 0.31 0.40 0.27 0.30 0.22 0.17 0.20 0.14 0.20 0.00 0.00 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021-Q1 2021-Q2 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 (Rolling) Ma'aden Contractor Combined Ma'aden ICMM Newmont Rio Tinto Barrick BHP AIFR: Recordable Injuries X 200,000 Manhours worked 7 of 40
Q2 2021 Update 8 of 40
Q2 2021 - Financial Performance Update Ma’aden recorded a net profit of SR1,349mn in Q2 • Sales was SR6.1bn Q2; up 12% q-o-q, due to higher commodity prices of all products, partially offset by the decrease in sales volumes of all products, except Phosphate and Alumina. Sales was up 52% y -o-y; due to higher prices of all products, partially brought down by lower volumes of Ammonia, Gold and Alumina. • EBITDA was SR2.8bn in Q2; up 25% q-o-q, mainly due to higher commodity prices despite lower volumes and higher operating expenses. EBITDA up 157% y-o-y, due to higher sales, lower G&A and exploration, despite higher raw material prices and selling & marketing expenses. • Net profit was SR1.35bn in Q2; up 59% q-o-q, mainly due to higher EBITDA combined with lower finance charges and depreciation. Compared to net loss of SR0.73bn in Q2-20, mainly due to higher EBITDA, higher share in JV net income and lower finance cost, partially offset by higher selling & marketing, zakat & income tax and lower income from time deposits. • Cash generated from operations was SR1.9bn; up 39% q-o-q. • Working capital was SR5.6bn at the end of Q2; up 10% q-o-q due to higher inventories and receivables, partially offset by higher payables. 9 of 40
Q2 2021 - Production Update Ammonia and Gold production down; Phosphate and Alumina production up • Ammonium Phosphate production was 1,407kt (up 31% q-o-q and up 16% y-o-y) • Ammonia production was 359kt (down 28% q-o-q and down 36% y-o-y) • Aluminum production was 249kt (down 3% q-o-q and down 1% y-o-y) • Alumina production was 489kt (up 11% q-o-q and up 14% y-o-y) • Flat Rolled Products production was 68kt (down 7% q-o-q and down 1% y-o-y) • Gold production was 80koz (down 18% q-o-q and down 30% y-o-y) • Copper production was 16.5kt (down 1% q-o-q and down 3% y-o-y) 10 of 40
Unplanned shutdowns in Q2 2021 Issues caused by the fire on May 2021 to be resolved in Q3 Unscheduled shutdown in Ammonia (MPC) • Leaking tubes in the reformer convections section • Duration was 18 days • Repairs completed on May 14th 2021 Fire at MPC on May 20th • Announced on the Tadawul stock exchange • Duration in Q2 was 41 days • Repairs ongoing; to be completed in Q3 11 of 40
Market Prices & Outlook 12 of 40
Phosphate & Ammonia Prices Both, Phosphate and Ammonia prices continued to rise $600 $600 $550 $500 $500 $400 $450 $400 $300 $350 $200 $300 $250 $100 $200 $0 $150 DAP Ammonia (Avg. KSA FOB) (Avg. ME FOB) 13 of 40
Aluminum & Alumina Prices The spread between Aluminum and Alumina widened further $2,500 $650 $600 $2,300 $550 $2,100 $500 $450 $1,900 $400 $1,700 $350 $300 $1,500 $250 $1,300 $200 LME Cash Aluminum Price Alumina Price Index (API) 14 of 40
Gold & Copper Prices Gold slightly up, the Copper rally came to an end $2,000 $11,000 $1,900 $10,000 $1,800 $1,700 $9,000 $1,600 $1,500 $8,000 $1,400 $7,000 $1,300 $1,200 $6,000 $1,100 $1,000 $5,000 Gold in $/oz Copper in $/kt 15 of 40
Yaser A. Barri SVP, Finance & Chief Financial Officer (A) 16 of 40
Q2 2021 - Financial Performance 17 of 40
Q2 2021 - Consolidated Key Financial Results 18 of 40
Q2 2021 Net Profit – Quarter on Quarter Comparison Net profit in Q2 2021 up 59%, mainly due to the price effect Movement in net profit by line items (q-o-q) Profit / (Loss) attributed to the shareholders’ of the parent company Profit / (Loss) attributed to minority interest -340 13 1,349 -163 992 848 1,105 761 245 87 Net profit Price Sales vol. Finance Others Net profit Q1-21 effect effect cost Q2-21 19 of 40
Q2 2021 Net Profit – Year on Year Comparison A net profit in Q2 2021, compared to net loss in Q2 2020 Movement in net profit by line items (y-o-y) Profit / (Loss) attributed to the shareholders’ of the parent company Profit / (Loss) attributed to minority interest -87 258 -266 1,349 1,105 2,172 245 -434 -293 -728 Net loss Price Sales vol. Finance Others Net profit Q2-20 effect effect cost Q2-21 20 of 40
Q2 2021 - Consolidated Sales and EBITDA by Segment Phosphate accounts for 52% of Group EBITDA, Aluminum for 39%, Gold for 9% Consolidated Phosphate vs. vs. vs. vs. Q2-21 LY Qtr. Prev. Qtr. Q2-21 LY Qtr. Prev. Qtr. Sales (SRmn) 6,101 52% 12% Sales (SRmn) 3,136 93% 16% EBITDA* (SRmn) 2,750 157% 25% EBITDA* (SRmn) 1,423 326% 42% EBITDA margin 45% 18% 5% EBITDA margin 45% 25% 8% 52% of Group EBITDA Aluminium Gold vs. vs. vs. vs. Q2-21 LY Qtr. Prev. Qtr. Q2-21 LY Qtr. Prev. Qtr. Sales (SRmn) 2,408 47% 14% Sales (SRmn) 557 -26% -13% EBITDA* (SRmn) 1,071 194% 24% EBITDA* (SRmn) 256 -31% -22% EBITDA margin 44% 22% 4% EBITDA margin 46% -3% -5% 39% of Group EBITDA 9% of Group EBITDA 21 of 40
Quarterly EBITDA and EBITDA margins Record EBITDA in Q2 2021 and margins continue to rise 55% 52% 53% 50% 51% 47% 44% 45% 43% 40% 36% 33% 33% 32% 30% 29% 27% 25% 2,750 2,193 1,966 2,003 1,815 1,727 1,681 1,428 1,504 1,345 1,541 1,392 1,310 1,439 1,416 1,470 1,091 1,069 EBITDA (mn SR) EBITDA Margin 22 of 40
Q2 2021 - Consolidated statement of cash flows Healthy cash flow from operating activities 23 of 40
Financial Ratios Net debt to EBITDA ratio continues to decrease 24 of 40
Q2 2021 - Operational Performance 25 of 40
Phosphate & Ammonia: Production & Sales in Q2 2021 The fire in May 2021 affected Ammonia production in Q2 2021 Ammonium Phosphate Fertilizer Ammonia 1,600 600 563 1,407 1,375 1,400 498 1,209 1,239 500 1,200 1,071 1,080 1,000 400 359 336 800 300 269 600 200 400 87 200 100 0 0 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) 26 of 40
Aluminum & Alumina: Production & Sales in Q2 2021 Alumina production increased; Aluminum production slightly down Aluminum Alumina 258 600 256 256 489 256 254 500 441 429 254 400 252 251 300 250 249 249 200 248 67 70 246 100 42 244 0 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Flat Rolled Products Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 90 Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) 80 81 Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) 80 73 72 68 69 70 60 50 40 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) 27 of 40
Gold & Copper: Production & Sales in Q2 2021 Gold production down, Copper production flat Gold Copper 140 17.5 116 17.0 115 120 17.0 97 16.6 96 16.5 100 16.5 80 82 16.2 80 16.0 16.0 60 15.4 15.5 40 15.0 20 0 14.5 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 Production (in koz) Sales (in koz) Production (in kmt) Sales (in kmt) 28 of 40
Updates on Ma’aden’s Projects 29 of 40
Fertilizer Projects Major capacity expansions are under way Ammonia 3 • Expected to produce 1,1kmt p.a. • US$1,113mn Budget • Completion: Q4 2021 (20kmt) and full operational Q1 2022 Phosphate 3 • Expected to produce 3,0kmt p.a. • US$4,219mn Budget • Completion: 2025 (Phase 1) 2027 (Phase 2) Remediation at Wa’ad Al-Shamal • Phosphate production to improve from 2.8kmt in 2021 to 3.1kmt in 2025 30 of 40
Gold & Base Metal Projects On track to achieve the long term target of producing 1mn ounces of gold MMGP • Expected to produce 250k ounces p.a. • US$880mn Budget • Completion: Q2 2022 Mahd Expansion • Expected to produce 250k ounces p.a. • US$761mn Budget • Completion: 2025 Ar-Rujum • Expected to produce 250k ounces p.a. • US$785mn Budget • Completion: 2026 31 of 40
Q&A 32 of 40
Growing a Saudi Global Mining Giant Thank You
Appendix 34 of 40
COVID-19 Update 100% of employees are now vaccinated 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.73 0.60 0.40 0.18 0.20 0.01 0.00 Overall Direct Contractors Infection rate is the percentage of the overall workforce with an active COVID-19 infection. This is calculated by the following formula: # of Active Infections X 100 = Rate of Infection Workforce (The provided data included all Maaden Affiliates Employees including contractor count. The total number is approx. 25,000) 35 of 40
Debt repayment profile Scheduled debt repayment profile (in USD millions) 2,000 MIC MGBM MWSPC MBAC MRC MAC MPC Pre-Refinance Repayment 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 - 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 36 of 40
Unplanned shutdowns in Q1 Q1 issues have been fully resolved Unscheduled shutdown in phosphate (MPC) • Reactor leak, but neither safety injuries or environmental damage • Duration was 26 days • Repairs completed on 15 March 2021 Unscheduled shutdown in Ammonia (MWSPC) • The roof lining was damaged. • Duration was 9 days • Repairs completed on 16 April 2021 37 of 40
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