"SALUS POPULI SUPREMA LEX": CONSIDERATIONS ON THE INITIAL RESPONSE OF THE UNITED KINGDOM TO THE SARS-COV-2 PANDEMIC - FRONTIERS
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PERSPECTIVE published: 30 September 2021 doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.646285 “Salus Populi Suprema Lex”: Considerations on the Initial Response of the United Kingdom to the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic Evaldo Favi 1,2*† , Francesca Leonardis 3† , Tommaso Maria Manzia 4 , Roberta Angelico 4 , Yousof Alalawi 5 , Carlo Alfieri 2,6 and Roberto Cacciola 4,5 1 Department of General Surgery, Renal Transplantation, Fondazione IRCCS Ca’ Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy, 2 Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy, 3 Intensive Care Unit, Department of Surgical Sciences, Università di Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy, 4 HPB Surgery and Transplantation, Department of Surgical Sciences, Università di Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy, 5 Department of Surgery, Kidney Transplantation, King Salman Armed Forces Hospital, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia, 6 Department of Internal Medicine, Nephrology, Dialysis and Renal Transplantation, Fondazione IRCCS Ca’ Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy Edited by: Lara Lengel, Bowling Green State University, In several countries worldwide, the initial response to coronavirus disease 2019 United States (COVID-19) has been heavily criticized by general public, media, and healthcare Reviewed by: Victoria Ann Newsom, professionals, as well as being an acrimonious topic in the political debate. The present Olympic College, United States article elaborates on some aspects of the United Kingdom (UK) primary reaction to Nora Abdul-Aziz, SARS-CoV-2 pandemic; specifically, from February to July 2020. The fact that the UK University of Toledo, United States showed the highest mortality rate in Western Europe following the first wave of COVID-19 *Correspondence: Evaldo Favi certainly has many contributing causes; each deserves an accurate analysis. We focused evaldofavi@gmail.com on three specific points that have been insofar not fully discussed in the UK and not † These authors share first authorship very well known outside the British border: clinical governance, access to hospital care or intensive care unit, and implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions. The Specialty section: considerations herein presented on these fundamental matters will likely contribute to a This article was submitted to Public Health Policy, wider and positive discussion on public health, in the context of an unprecedented crisis. a section of the journal Keywords: SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, coronavirus, pandemic, clinical governance, non-pharmaceutical Frontiers in Public Health intervention, modelling, public health Received: 25 December 2020 Accepted: 02 September 2021 Published: 30 September 2021 INTRODUCTION Citation: Favi E, Leonardis F, Manzia TM, “Salus populi suprema lex”: the quote from Cicero had undoubtedly a wider meaning, embracing Angelico R, Alalawi Y, Alfieri C and welfare, justice, economy; beyond the actual health of the people. Cacciola R (2021) “Salus Populi Since the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Suprema Lex”: Considerations on the Initial Response of the (COVID-19) a pandemic on 11th March 2020 (1), all governments across the globe have adopted United Kingdom to the SARS-CoV-2 emergency legislations aimed to contain the impact of the virus. However, in several countries, the Pandemic. legislative effort and the stringent measures implemented were not spared by criticism on their Front. Public Health 9:646285. efficacy and timing. In particular, one of the most debatable initial response to SARS-CoV-2 in doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.646285 Western Europe has occurred in the United Kingdom (UK). Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 1 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
Favi et al. UK Response to SARS-CoV-2 In this article, we discuss some relevant aspects of the TABLE 1 | Descriptive comparison (median with interquartile range or percentage) initial response (from February to July 2020) to the COVID- between Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre (ICNARC) and Tor Vergata University Hospital (TVUH) data on SARS-CoV-2 patients admitted to 19 pandemic in the UK. Such aspects were not fully considered intensive care unit (ICU) during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic. by the scientific community, as much as by the British and international Main Stream Media (MSM). ICNARC TVUH The domains we have identified for our considerations are: Variables Median (IQR) or % clinical governance, access to hospital and intensive care unit (ICU), non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI), and modelling. Age (years) 60 (52-68) 69.5 (59-78) Outcome at end of ICU stay Discharge 51.4 42.3 Death 48.6 57.7 Clinical Governance Length of ICU stay (Days) Governance is “de facto” engraved in the professional duties of Survivor 6 (3-13) 10 (5-28) any clinical or academic practice. We all know how inconceivable Non-Survivor 7 (4-13) 10 (1-33) it is in modern medicine suggesting an intervention, a clinical Mechanically ventilated within 65.7 100* protocol or a research trial that is not supported by substantial 24 h of ICU admission scientific evidence. The very basis of patient safety was built on *All patients were mechanically ventilated within 24 h of ICU admission according to “Primum non nocēre”. This is not just a motto. It is a fundamental ICNARC criteria: Intubated = 69.2%; BPAP = 30.8%. principle that protects who is vulnerable while guiding who is caring for them. The unprecedented challenges posed by the first wave of COVID-19 found the global healthcare communities Access to Hospital and Intensive Care unprepared. In the UK, such unpreparedness revealed very deep The analysis of the access to hospital and ICU has a pivotal fractures between the reality of the National Health Service importance in order to better understand the real impact that the (NHS) and the needs of both the population and healthcare COVID-19 had between February and July 2020 in the UK. Even professionals (2). Unexpectedly, the pandemic brought under though, almost every national healthcare providers have been public scrutiny the validity and the independence of the scientific admittedly overwhelmed by these unprecedented challenges, it advice received by the UK Government. has been suggested that this has not been the case for the NHS The regulations of medical practice are very clearly defined. (6). For instance, in Italy, the Servizio Sanitario Nazionale (SSN) Nevertheless, it appears that some crucial aspects of the medical was clearly under remarkable strain despite a lower number of profession, exercised through scientific advice, may not be cases and more hospital beds per capita than UK (7, 8). accurately determined; thus revealing possible regulatory gaps. We have reviewed the SARS-CoV-2 report of the Intensive This vacuum seems to be more pronounced when a formal Care National Audit and Research Centre (ICNARC). The scientific advice is needed by the executive authority, designing data presented by the ICNARC are highly reliable, following a the appropriate measures and strategies in the interests of the rigorous and consolidated governance process (9). Our attention health of a nation. focused on demographic characteristics of COVID-19 patients, Although, the specific advice offered to the UK Government type of ventilatory support required on ICU admission, length may slip through the net of current regulations of the General of ICU stay, and final outcome. Given the fact that we could Medical Council (GMC), it would be reasonable expecting that not find an equivalent source of information for national data as the advisors and advisory bodies to the Government would reliable as the ICNARC, with the aim of understanding whether abide to the same rules followed by any clinician and researcher our center would be comparable to UK average results, we operating in the country. The concerns caused by the profoundly decided to review the data from COVID-19 patients admitted disturbing announcement of a herd immunity strategy in to ICU at the Tor Vergata University Hospital (TVUH) in March 2020 (3) were worsened by the consideration that such Rome, Italy (Table 1). This analysis showed that our COVID ICU medical strategy might have been shaped without peer review had different patients’ demographics and outcomes compared to and adequate multidisciplinary input. This highly disputable UK averages. Specifically, the patients admitted to the TVUH decision supposedly was taken following the guidance of the COVID ICU appeared to be older and requiring more respiratory Scientific Advisory Group for Emergency (SAGE). The legitimate support on admission than their British counterpart. Probably, concerns were accrued by the perceived lack of transparency as for such very reasons our patients might have suffered longer ICU the members of the group remained secret for a considerable hospitalisation associated with a higher mortality rate compared length of time, being publicly revealed only in April 2020 (4). to those described in the ICNARC report. In this context, Unsurprisingly, the quality of the scientific advice to the British and bearing in mind the limitation of the above observations Executive Authority has been openly criticized by numerous linked to different epidemiology, demographics, and healthcare professionals holding international reputation; to the extent of organization, it may be highly relevant considering the activity being publicly challenged by the spontaneous constitution of of the NHS 111 telephone line that acted as “triage” system an alternative and independent advisory group (5). Such events for patients with SARS-CoV-2 symptoms. It is rather worrying remain unique to the UK. noticing that a number of concerns were raised regarding the Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 2 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
Favi et al. UK Response to SARS-CoV-2 process of clinical decisions. Such decisions have been leading basic NPI, such as social distancing and wearing a mask (19). to hospital admission or, conversely, to home management Davies and colleagues, in their mathematical modelling, have of subjects with documented symptomatic COVID-19. Such assumed a compliance of 95% of all the British population (15). concerns are currently being investigated (10). Furthermore, it This estimate sounds over optimistic when compared to current remains unclear how the status of “do not attempt resuscitation” evidence (20–22). Notably, it is not supported by any qualitative applied to the elderly and the most vulnerable members of our analysis neither any historical data endorse such extraordinarily society, might have affected their access to hospital care. Also, this high expected adherence. Instead, adherence is described in the issue is under investigation (11). appendix of the paper only as a “county to county” variation, The process through which the access to hospital care is with a regional compensation of adherence to NPI. It should determined inevitably reflects on the overall mortality (12) and be highlighted that an inferior adherence of only 1% of the specifically to the data accuracy on the impact from COVID- population may actually involve more than half million UK 19. Currently, there are two official sources of mortality data citizens. Hence, reasonably questioning the conclusion of the related to COVID-19 in the UK: The Department of Health study on number of cases, mortality, and resources of healthcare. and Social Care (DHSC) and The Office of National Statistics It is highly relevant that the authors indicate that their analysis (ONS). The first institution reports all deaths occurring within was part of the advice offered to the UK Government. 28 days of a positive test for SARS-CoV-2 whilst the second, a non-governmental authority, considers all deaths linked to SARS-CoV-2 as declared by the death certificates. Remarkably, DISCUSSION the mortality rate presented by the ONS is about 20% higher than DHSC with an out of hospital mortality representing The extraordinary difficulties of shaping a response to the approximately 40% of the overall mortality (5, 13). COVID-19 pandemic cannot be emphasised enough. The Certainly, providing accurate real-time data on the ongoing unprecedented medical and scientific challenges posed by an pandemic to the population and to professionals proved of unknown virus have mercilessly exposed our vulnerabilities being an immensely difficult task in any country. However, the as individuals, together with the weaknesses of the healthcare discrepancy of the mortality rates between official institutions, services we dedicated our life. It is certainly strenuous identifying inevitably, leads to subjective evaluation of the real impact of the a country that flawlessly responded to SARS-CoV-2, conciliating pandemic in the UK. the safeguard of the health of the nation with the scientific evidence and the inevitable increasing social pressures. On this regard, it is fundamental highlighting that major and Non-pharmaceutical Intervention and even marginal socio-cultural and political differences between Modelling countries have substantially affected the governments responses The announcement from pharmaceutical companies and some as much as the compliance of populations. However, the governments of the discovery of effective vaccines against peculiarities of the UK initial response to the pandemic deserve SARS-CoV-2 has raised hopes of an imminent end of the our attention for the consequences it had locally and outside the pandemic (14). Certainly, the necessary scientific validation and British borders. the implementation of a global mass vaccination program will It seems that the medical profession in the UK has witnessed require time. As such, the recent discoveries have not diminished during the first wave of COVID-19 what may be described as the value of NPI or the emphasis on reliable modelling to respond a continuous and progressive abandonment of the principles of to potential second or third waves of COVID-19. best available evidence and safe practice, projected at national The effects of NPI aimed to contain the pandemic have been scale. Such withdrawal from the fundamental concepts of evaluated in a mathematical modelling (15). In this study, the modern medicine, based on inclusiveness, multidisciplinary adherence of the population to NPI has been briefly addressed. contribution, and transparency, has inevitably contributed to the However, it deserves further discussion. Particularly, because highest mortality rate from SARS-CoV-2 in Europe, according it seems that the conclusions of the study have represented to the ONS (5). The dereliction of clinical governance during an important part of the scientific advice offered to the the current healthcare crisis has implications beyond the tragic UK Government. analysis we may perform today. Sadly, it represents a historical Demonstrably, adequate awareness leads to diligent setback not only professionally, but also socially, contributing to adherence. This depends on the quality of the information solidarity failures (23). divulged by public health officials, the scientific community, Considering the magnitude of the professional advice to and MSM. This concept applies to many health conditions, as the Executive Authority, it would be appropriate that also much as to the ongoing pandemic (16). The effects of NPI are the highest profile advice should follow the rigid processes of strongly influenced by the adherence generated by the collective professional governance, in line with the processes that any responsibility and public behavior (17). It has been reported individual clinician or institution regularly follows. Now more that adherence to NPI during the COVID-19 pandemic varied than ever, the GMC as a regulatory body independent from the substantially, depending on the single measure analyzed (18). It Government and accountable to the Parliament may safeguard raises further concern the observation that a considerable portion patients, doctors, and the health of the nation as stated by the of the population in the UK may not be prepared to follow simple GMC itself (24). The GMC could and should be involved by Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 3 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
Favi et al. UK Response to SARS-CoV-2 FIGURE 1 | Evolution of COVID-19 first wave of pandemic in the United Kingdom (UK), Italy, and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) indicating timing of initial response and impact: (A) new SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases (seven rolling days average); (B) new SARS-CoV-2 confirmed deaths (seven rolling days average). Diagrams generated and adapted from Our World in Data (https://ourworldindata.org); Data source: CDC Europe (https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en). Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 4 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
Favi et al. UK Response to SARS-CoV-2 the UK Parliament to ascertain that “due diligence” has been expected adherence to specific NPI will enhance the reliability applied to the process of advising the Government. Specifically, of mathematical modelling. Including also realistic adherence the GMC may be in the position to ensure that the principles variables will contribute to shape effective strategies and efficient of clinical governance would be applied to the whole process. response at both national and regional level (27–29). This safety and governance processes may be implemented The awareness on the risks and effects of SARS-CoV-2 and without interfering on the substance, merit, and confidentiality consequently the adherence to the NPI is jeopardized by the of the advice received by the Government. Unquestionably, the presentation of dubious information such as those on mortality health of an entire country, as well as the credibility and public rate. Haphazardly, the general public in the UK has been left confidence on the medical profession have been put at risk. We building its own knowledge on the impact of the pandemic, all are conscious that Government policies may be disputed and navigating between complacent official reports and tragically opposed. It is inevitable and it does not represent a matter for our correct non-governmental data (5, 13). It would have been professional community. On the contrary, the professional advice certainly beneficial if governments and MSM could have been to the Government from doctors registered in the GMC on public referring to a much stronger guidance or code of conduct by health issues of such relevance, must remain impeccable and the WHO on data analysis and a clearer standardized public untarnished. Certainly, the full understanding of the population presentation of the COVID-19 scenario. on the magnitude of the pandemic has been influenced by the A strong indicator of the benefit arising from prompt clarity of the information offered by the executive authorities, as implementation and diligent use of NPI, associated with much as their capacity of implementing restrictive measures. consistent and uncompromising information to the population, A clear evaluation of hospital or ICU admission and was observed in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) (30, 31). related mortality between countries will be complex and In the KSA, there was a gradual introduction of restrictions lengthy. It will be even more difficult analyzing the out of since the very early stages of the first wave of pandemic (6th hospital mortality, that in the UK it is particularly relevant. March 2020), despite a limited number of cases, regionally Also, attempting international comparisons would represent confined. In this country, a second wave of SARS-CoV-2 was an extremely challenging task. Although our observation has observed much earlier than Western Europe. It followed the numerous limitations, it is reasonable to postulate that the data Holy Month of Ramadan, coinciding with the easing of some from TVUH (one of the main COVID ICU of Central Italy) may restrictions and domestic flights resume on 31st May 2020 (32). actually reflect a national average; where the Northern regions The remarkable quick response of the Government linked with were remarkably more afflicted by the pandemic compared to an excellent compliance to NPI has undoubtedly contributed the Southern regions. The comparison between our local data to delay the first wave of pandemic; subsequently controlling and the report from ICNARC is merely indicative of possible the second wave effectively in less than two months, without different demographics and typology of admissions in the British reimposing strict public health measures. The national KSA ICUs. However, it certainly requires of being taken into account strategy has also been rewarded with a lower incidence of cases when an accurate assessment with a rigorous multivariate and mortality as indicated in Figures 1A,B, respectively. Other statistical model in the context of a properly designed study countries, following the same principles, have succeeded in will be performed. An in-depth analysis including serological limiting the impact of COVID-19, New Zealand and South Korea estimates in relation to hospitalizations and ICU admissions are the most cited examples (33, 34). (25) will remain scientifically and socially necessary in order Although the consideration on the implication of adherence to better understand the evolution of the pandemic in the UK in the study of Davies et al. may be of interest and debated, and elsewhere; thus implementing the adequate corrections to unequivocally, the authors indicate in their conclusions that the the healthcare services and increasing the compliance of the executive authority in the UK was fully aware of the risk posed by population to new stringent measures aimed to control further SARS-CoV-2, as much as of the unacceptable expected mortality waves of the pandemic. More importantly, it would be a valid of a “mitigation strategy”, very well before the UK lockdown date reassurance for the British population, clarifying whether any on 24th March 2020 (14). Crucially, it should be noted that on the selection bias has been applied to prevent the overwhelming of 6th of March 2020, in Italy thee was an average of 530 cases a week the NHS as it seems that might have happened (26). with 25 weekly deaths reported. In the UK, on the same date, The behavior of the population is of extraordinary relevance there were 18 cases and no deaths reported. In the KSA, there in modelling the actual response to a healthcare crisis of the were 17 cases and zero reported deaths on 16th March, which is proportion of the COVID-19 pandemic. Including adherence a week after the NPI measures were implemented incrementally, variation in a mathematical modelling may be complex but reaching a complete lockdown with 24 h curfew on 9th April. crucially important. Undoubtedly, the level of health education of Our critical analysis focuses on some relevant aspects of the population, associated with the level of trust on professional the initial UK response to the COVID-19 pandemic that or institutional advice, have played an important role on the have not been properly addressed despite being at the very adherence to NPI across regions of the same country and between core of highly controversial events and adverse outcomes. In different nations. Therefore, considering parameters predictive particular, messaging variables and constituent response, lack of of behavior of the population such as awareness, isolation transparency on scientific advices and political choices associated fatigue, and trust will be required in order to corroborate the with misinformation regarding the magnitude of the pandemic prediction of the effects of each NPI. In fact, stratifying the and the actual resources of the national healthcare provider, Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 5 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
Favi et al. UK Response to SARS-CoV-2 deserve scientific attention. In an attempt to support our as well as their ability to adhere to NPI. Nevertheless, addressing considerations improving the clarity of the message delivered, these elements in this specific context would be extremely we arbitrarily decided to compare specific elements of the early challenging and perhaps outside the primary objective of British response to those of the KSA and Italy. Certainly, it may be our considerations. argued that other countries could have been used for comparison. It may be strongly argued that the UK has suffered the In this regard, the most frequent terms of comparison presented highest mortality rate in Europe from the first wave of COVID- by MSM and professional publications have been South Korea 19 following a delayed response in implementing the adequate and New Zealand that proved particularly successful in managing measures, despite witnessing the tragic evolution of the pandemic the first wave of pandemic. However, the two examples we in other countries such as Italy and Spain. The public divulgation made, regarding the typology of ICU patients in Italy and of the impact of a “mitigation strategy” on 16th March 2020 promptness of the response in the KSA, represent in our opinion (35) has certainly contributed to a sudden change of direction a very pertinent choice as they gave us to the opportunity to of the British strategy. The modalities of such divulgation would highlight and explain specific and remarkable differences without deserve further reflection as to whether these modalities may necessarily attempting a formal comparison on all aspects of the reflect more a sense of urgency from a member of the SAGE response to SARS-CoV-2. Importantly, we decided to restrict rather than an academic contribution “per se” (35). the analysis to those specific nations reflected by our affiliations In the UK, beyond the organizational and medical and from where we could obtain meaningful comparable data. complexities of the management of SARS-CoV-2, unique events At present, there are very limited number of national studies influencing the scientific analysis and medical advice to the and/or data sources describing the typology of patients admitted Government, the access to hospital care, and the implementation to COVID ICU and their course during COVID ICU stay. of the necessary NPI have affected the health of a nation. Sadly, Therefore, we have chosen to use the most reliable information it would suggest that in current extraordinary times, the “Salus we could obtain comparing data extracted from the ICNARC populi” may not be a “suprema lex”. report with the ones directly collected from our COVID ICU in Italy. On the other hand, the KSA data were analysed because DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT of the striking difference with the UK in establishing the initial response. In fact, in the KSA the timing of the COVID response The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be has mirrored the implementation of countrywide restrictions made available by the authors, without undue reservation. in some European Countries including Italy; this was despite a lower number of cases compared to the UK. As mentioned above, ETHICS STATEMENT such observations and critical analysis were naturally done also because of the affiliations of the authors. Ethical review and approval was not required for the study on While remarking the perspective and narrative nature of our human participants in accordance with the local legislation and analysis, defending the genuine choices we made constructing institutional requirements. The patients/participants provided it, we recognise that its greatest limitation is the lack of a their written informed consent to participate in this study. formal discussion and in-depth analysis of the socio-cultural and political variables that distinguish the UK, Italy, and the KSA. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS Reasonably, such differences may represent a significant bias as they affect the strength of the restrictive measures endorsed EF and RC: conceptualization and writing—original draft by the authorities, the rights and freedom of the populations preparation. FL, TM, RA, and YA: data collection. FL, TM, RA, involved to criticise and resist the governments’ choices, the way and YA: data analysis. EF, RC, and CA: data interpretation. EF, the pandemic-related messaging is conceptualised, packaged, and RC, TM, RA, YA, and CA: literature review. EF, RC, and FL: presented to the citizens, and the actual possibility of the people writing—review and editing. RC and YA: supervision. 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(2020) 22:e21419. doi: 10.2196/21419 Publisher’s Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors 21. Coroiu A, Moran C, Campbell T, Geller AC. Barriers and facilitators and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of of adherence to social distancing recommendations during COVID- the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in 19 among a large international sample of adults. PLoS ONE. (2020) this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or 15:e0239795. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239795 22. Smith LE, Amlôt R, Lambert H, Oliver I, Robin C, Yardley L, et al. endorsed by the publisher. Factors associated with adherence to self-isolation and lockdown measures in the UK: a cross-sectional survey. Public Health. (2020) 187:41– Copyright © 2021 Favi, Leonardis, Manzia, Angelico, Alalawi, Alfieri and Cacciola. 52. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.07.024 This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons 23. West-Oram P. Solidarity is for other people: identifying derelictions Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums of solidarity in responses to COVID-19. J Med Ethics. (2021) 47:65– is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited 8. doi: 10.1136/medethics-2020-106522 and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted 24. General Medical Council. (2020). https://www.gmc-uk.org/ (accessed academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not December 12, 2020). comply with these terms. Frontiers in Public Health | www.frontiersin.org 7 September 2021 | Volume 9 | Article 646285
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