S Retraction in the South-East of England: A Snapshot of the Emergence of a Sound Change in Progress - Anglistik

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                                       ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING
                                               S Retraction in the South-East of England:
                                       A Snapshot of the Emergence of a Sound Change in Progress

                                          It is all very well for people to complain about the abuse hurled by fans at the England v
                                          Portugal match, but this is hardly surprising when one hears our spoken language under
                                          constant attack from the all-pervading virus of "London lad" speak – via the "meeja",
                                          including, alas, Radio 3. I am tired of hearing presenters – from weather girls to news
                                          readers – refer to "Chewsday" [Tuesday] [...] and to "Alec Shtewart" [Stewart] (who
                                          keeps wicket for England) [...] The insidious degradation of spoken English saddens me
                                          and someone ought to stand up and say "enough". (The Daily Telegraph 17 June 2000,
                                          qtd. in Kerswill 2001, 57; our emphasis)

                                   1. Introduction
                                   What the "London lad" pronunciations of Tuesday as "Chewsday" and of Alec Stewart
                                   as "Alec Shtewart" have in common is that they are presented here as new
                                   developments although they had already been present before as features of
                                   coarticulation in colloquial rather than formal styles. The former, termed 'yod
                                   coalescence' by Wells (1982, 207), was for example already described by Daniel Jones
                                   (1956) as an instance of "contextual assimilation" (§378; §402). The latter, now termed
                                   '/s/-retraction,' can also be explained in terms of assimilation (Lawrence 2000; Shapiro
                                   1995) but has only recently been mentioned in the literature (see below). At some point
                                   in time, these instances of coarticulation must have been phonologized into sound
                                   changes. We will argue that in the South-East of England, this process took place at the
                                   end of the last century when both features had acquired social meaning and started to
                                   attract the attention of language commentators (Rosewarne 1994, 4; Wells 1997, 21-
                                   22). Wells (1997, 21) explicitly classifies yod coalescence in stressed syllables, such as
                                   in Chewsday, as a "change in the late twentieth century" but does not mention /s/-
                                   retraction, which will be the topic of the present study.
                                        The term '/s/-retraction' refers to the retraction of the tongue away from the alveolar
                                   ridge to a posterior position approaching post-alveolar /ʃ/. It is primarily found in /str/-
                                   clusters in word-initial (street) and word-medial (Australia) contexts but also in other
                                   pre-consonantal contexts, such as in word-initial /stj/-clusters (student). In this study,
                                   we will explore the degree and distribution of /s/-retraction in /str/- and /stj/-clusters, in
                                   two genders, male and female, three locations, London, Colchester and Canterbury, and
                                   within London, in three classes, the working class (WC), the middle class (MC) and
                                   the upper middle class (UMC). 40 adolescent speakers were interviewed in 1998 and
                                   1999 by one co-author of this paper as part of her PhD project on Estuary English
                                   (Altendorf 2003). For the PhD project, only 10 of these 40 informants were taken into
                                   consideration and the data were analysed auditorily. For this paper, the remaining 30
                                   speakers were included in the sample and the data were analysed acoustically.

                                              Anglistik: International Journal of English Studies 32.1 (Spring 2021): 45-64.

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46             ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                                                   Theoretically, we will draw on a number of phonetic and social approaches to explain
                                                                   our findings and the ensuing development as we now know it. In accordance with the
                                                                   majority of researchers, we consider /s/-retraction as the result of "phonologization of
                                                                   coarticulation" (Baker et al. 2011, 348). With regard to what has actually triggered this
                                                                   process, we will discuss two different viewpoints, Shapiro's (1995) "non-local
                                                                   assimilation at a distance" as opposed to Lawrence's (2000) "affrication account." In
                                                                   order to explain the gradual increase in retraction, we will discuss Ohala's
                                                                   "accumulation-of-error" theory (Baker et al. 2011, 353) and Baker et al.'s (2011, 351)
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                                                                   "extreme coarticulatory" theory. As to the enregisterment of the retracted variants with
                                                                   social classes, we will refer to the often-cited effects of social mobility and the related
                                                                   changes in "language-ideological schemata" (Johnstone 2017, 23).

                                                                   2. Histories Meet Varieties
                                                                   In the South-East of England, /s/-retraction was – to the best of our knowledge – first
                              Winter Journals

                                                                   described by David Rosewarne in the context of Estuary English in 1994:
                                                                          Similarly, /st/ in initial and in postvocalic medial (but not in final) position is pronounced
                                                                          by a minority of EE-speakers as /ʃt/, for example, /'ʃtaɪʃən/ for station and /'eʃtʃueəri:/ for
                                                                          estuary. (Rosewarne 1994, 4)
                                                                   Since Rosewarne described /s/-retraction as a minor feature of Estuary English, it was
                                                                   included in the data sample of the PhD project mentioned above. In a pilot study, /s/-

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                                                                   retraction had been mainly observed in /str/ and /stj/ clusters in word-initial position
                                                                   and it is in these phonetic contexts in which it was targeted in the main study. During
                                                                   the process of data analysis, the following posting appeared on the Linguist LIST:
                                                                          One of the first things I noticed when I lived in Hawaii in the early seventies was the
                                                                          strong palatalisation of /(s)tr/ clusters e.g. street = [shchreet], tree = [chree]. I've recently
                                                                          observed a similar phenomenon in some thirty-something speakers from the northeast of
                                                                          the US, at least in the /str/ clusters. How widespread is this? (Harrison 1999)
                                                                   Harrison's question was answered by quite a few linguists from different parts of the
                                                                   English-speaking world, including Martin Ball, who reported to have observed /s/-
                                                                   retraction in the South-East of England, where it seemed to be on the increase. In 2003,
                                                                   Trudgill joined this group of linguists who had observed /s/-retraction informally.
                                                                          This pronunciation [/s/-retraction in /str/ clusters] is now also beginning to occur in
                                                                          England. I have observed it informally from a number of people, including broadcasters,
                                                                          all of them apparently under 30, during the course of 2001. (Trudgill 2003, 59)
                                                                   For the South-East of England, the 1990s seem to be the decisive years in which
                                                                   retracted /s/-variants had reached a degree of retraction and pervasiveness that lay and
                                                                   expert commentators felt that they were observing a new phenomenon rather than the
                                                                   familiar connected speech process. By presenting historical data from this period, this
                                                                   study will offer an insight into the state of affairs at this stage of development. What
                                                                   this study cannot offer is apparent-time or real-time data that will substantiate the

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S RETRACTION IN THE SOUTH-EAST OF ENGLAND                         47

                                   informal observations that this state of affairs really does constitute a change. This
                                   remains a desideratum to be explored in future research.

                                   3. State of the Art
                                   /s/-retraction is a sound change documented in various varieties of English. This sound
                                   change involves the palatalization of /s/, which in turn is similar to /ʃ/ as the tongue is
                                   retracted away from the alveolar ridge towards a more posterior position. /s/-retraction
                                   is primarily found in /str/-clusters in word-initial (street) and word-medial (Australia)
                                   contexts. As a result of this, the word street sounds more like shtreet. In British dialects
                                   /s/-retraction is also observed in /stj/ contexts (student) (Altendorf 2003; Nichols and
                                   Bailey 2018; Thielking 2019). Previous research reported /s/-retraction in dialects in
                                   the US (Baker et al. 2011; Durian 2007; Gylfadottir 2015; Labov 2001; Phillips and
                                   Resnick 2019; Rutter 2011; Shapiro 1995; Wilbanks 2017), the UK (Altendorf 2003;
                                   Bass 2009; Cruttenden 2014; Glain 2014; Nichols and Bailey 2018; Thielking 2019),
                                   Australia (Stevens and Harrington 2016), New Zealand (Lawrence 2000; Warren 2006)
                                   as well as in a large-scale cross-dialectal study (Stuart-Smith et al., 2019). Although
                                   /s/-retraction has been extensively studied in recent years, particularly in the US, /s/-
                                   retraction in South-Eastern British English remains rather understudied (Altendorf
                                   2003; Bass 2009). While most previous studies investigated /s/-retraction as a sound
                                   change in progress, the data analysed in the present contribution provides a unique
                                   opportunity to study the historical origins of this sound change in south-east England
                                   in the late 1990s.
                                       In terms of its historic trajectory and social stratification, /s/-retraction as a sound
                                   change in progress is generally found to be led by young as compared to older and
                                   female as compared to male speakers. One exception to this is a study conducted by
                                   Bass (2009) in Colchester. Using auditory analysis, Bass reported that while younger
                                   speakers showed greater rates of retracted /s/ than older speakers, men displayed higher
                                   use of the non-standard [ʃtr]-variant than women. Bass suggests that the increase in /s/-
                                   retraction might be the result of the increased mobility of speakers from London
                                   spreading the new retracted variants to its suburbs. Similarly, Durian (2007) also found
                                   speaker mobility and urbanisation to play an important role in the spread of /s/-
                                   retraction in Columbus, Ohio. Speakers from an urban origin i.e. born in Columbus
                                   showed significantly higher use of retracted /s/ than speakers from the suburbs. In
                                   addition, Durian (2007) found an influence of social class on retraction of /str/. The
                                   highest use of retracted variants was found in working-class speakers (39%). While
                                   middle-class speakers showed slightly lower use (26%), upper-middle-class speakers
                                   demonstrated significantly lower rates of retracted /s/ (8%).
                                       Early investigations into /s/-retraction largely relied on auditory analysis as well as
                                   descriptive evidence (Lawrence 2000; Shapiro 1995) to study this sound change. In
                                   recent years, research adopted new methodological approaches using acoustic analysis,
                                   experimental methods (Baker et al. 2011; Nichols and Bailey 2018; Thielking 2019;
                                   Rutter 2011) and large-scale corpus studies (Bailey et al. 2019; Gylfadottir 2015;

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48             ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   Stuart-Smith et al. 2019; Wilbanks 2017), as well as perceptual studies (Phillips and
                                   Resnick 2019; Steven and Harrington 2016).

                                   4. Linguistic Variable
                                   This study investigates sibilants in the word-initial consonant clusters /str/ and /stj/. The
                                   two sibilants /s/ and /ʃ/ can be described based on their articulation as well as their
                                   acoustics. Articulatorily, /s/ and /ʃ/ can be distinguished in terms of the placement of the
                                   tongue, the tongue shape and lip rounding. As an alveolar fricative, /s/ is produced with
                                   the tongue positioned close to the alveolar ridge. Furthermore, the tongue shape is
                                   grooved and there is no to minimal lip rounding. In contrast, /ʃ/ is a post-alveolar fricative,
                                   for which the tongue is held anterior to the alveolar ridge. It also shows a flat or slit tongue
                                   and strong lip rounding. These articulatory differences are also captured in the acoustic
                                   spectrum of the fricatives, and largely reflect the resonances of the cavity in front of the
                                   constriction resulting from the tongue position at the alveolar ridge. As a result of the
                                   retracted tongue position and stronger lip rounding, /ʃ/ has a larger front cavity than /s/.
                                       Several acoustic measures were shown to reliably distinguish /s/ and /ʃ/ (Forrest et
                                   al. 1988; Jongman et al. 2000). Firstly, the two sounds can be differentiated by their
                                   spectral peak, "i.e. the most prominent energy density maximum (peak) in each
                                   spectrum" (Hughes and Halle 1956, 306). Secondly, the spectral centre of gravity
                                   (CoG), i.e. the weighted mean of the spectral energy, was found to capture the
                                   differences between both fricatives. Both spectral peak and CoG show lower Hertz
                                   values for /ʃ/ compared to /s/.
                                       Acoustic studies conducted on /str stj/-retraction used one of these two measures to
                                   analyse the retraction of /s/ (Baker et al. 2011; Gylfadottir 2015; Nichols and Bailey 2018;
                                   Thielking 2019; Stuart-Smith et al. 2019; Wilbanks 2017; Steven and Harrington 2016;
                                   Rutter 2011). These studies found that retracted /s/ displays lower spectral peak and CoG
                                   than canonical /s/. As a consequence, retracted /s/ is acoustically shifted in the direction
                                   of /ʃ/.

                                   5. Data
                                   Forty speakers, 19 male and 21 female, were interviewed in – with one exception – same-
                                   sex pairs in dyadic interviews with the fieldworker. The fieldworker employed the
                                   Labovian method of the structured face-to-face interview to elicit three styles, an
                                   interview style, a reading style and a word-list style. All speakers were 16 to 17 years old,
                                   born and brought up in London and the south-east and still lived there at the time of the
                                   interviews (1998-1999). The two south-eastern localities chosen for this study were the
                                   two capitals of the counties north and south of London, Colchester (Essex) and
                                   Canterbury (Kent), both at a similar distance from London and likely to be under
                                   comparable linguistic influence. They also defined an area that Rosewarne (1984, 29)
                                   considered to be the "heartland" of Estuary English. Social stratification was based on the
                                   assumption that the English school system reflected – and may still reflect – social class
                                   differentiation in England. The choice of a particular school type was determined by
                                   parents' educational values as well as by their financial resources. As qualitative and

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                                   quantitative factors of class membership, they are in turn directly linked to the definition
                                   of social class. That this "link" was still valid in the 1990s can be seen from the title of a
                                   book on education in Britain, Class War: The State of British Education (2002), published
                                   by the former Chief Inspector of Schools, Chris Woodhead. Within London three
                                   different school types were chosen to stratify pupils as working class (comprehensive
                                   school), middle class (grammar school) and upper middle class (public school). On the
                                   basis of the hypothesis that native speakers of Estuary English are prototypically middle-
                                   class speakers, it was only the middle class as represented by grammar schools that was
                                   studied in all three locations. Table 1 provides an overview of the methodological design.

                                     Social                                   Regional Variation                      Stylistic
                                     Variation                                                                        Variation

                                         Class            Colchester         London                    Canterbury      Styles

                                     Upper Middle                        PUBLIC SCHOOL
                                     Class (UMC)                         4 male, 4 female                             Interview
                                                                         speakers                                     Style

                                                                                                                      Reading
                                     Middle           GRAMMAR SCHOOL     GRAMMAR SCHOOL            GRAMMAR SCHOOL     Style
                                     Class            4 male, 4 female   4 male, 4 female          5 male, 3 female
                                     (MC)             speakers           speakers                  speakers           Word List
                                                                                                                      Style

                                     Working                             COMPREHENSIVE SCHOOL
                                     Class                               4 male, 4 female
                                     (WC)                                speakers

                                   Table 1: Methodological Design

                                   6. Analysis
                                   6.1 Acoustic Analysis
                                   The acoustic analysis was carried out in Praat. All word-initial /str stj/ sibilant tokens
                                   were annotated manually by the researcher and extracted automatically with the help
                                   of a script. Annotation of the sibilants was based on the onset and offset of frication of
                                   the sibilant visible in the waveform. All recordings were digitized at 44.1 kHz. Spectra
                                   of each sibilant were extracted using the To spectrum function in Praat. After high- and
                                   low-pass filtering at 1kHz and 22kHz, the spectra were converted using the LTAS (1-
                                   to-1) function from which the spectral peak was calculated/measured automatically (see
                                   Figure 1). A number of tokens was also checked manually by two of the researchers.

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50             ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   Figure 1: Spectrum of sibilant in the word straight with a spectral peak of 5997 Hz

                                   6.2 Statistical Analysis
                                   In order to examine /s/-retraction in the sample, the spectral peak (Hz) of the sibilants was
                                   analysed as a function of the variables Context, Gender, Location, Class and Speaking
                                   Style using mixed-effects linear regression models with the lme4 and lmerTest packages
                                   in R (Bates et al. 2015; Kuznetsova et al. 2017; R Core Team 2018). A summary of the
                                   predictors used is given in Table 2, with reference levels shown in bold.

                                              Predictor          Type              Levels/Units

                                              Context            Factor            /str/, /stj/

                                              Gender             Factor            female, male

                                              Location           Factor            Canterbury, Colchester, London

                                              Class              Factor             Upper Middle Class (UMC), Middle
                                                                                    Class (MC), Working Class (WC)

                                              Style              Factor            Interview, reading, word list

                                   Table 2: A summary of predictors used to model /s/-retraction
                                       Due to the unbalanced sample, two models were run. The first examined the effect
                                   of location across the MC speakers only, as Canterbury and Colchester only had MC
                                   speakers (Nspeakers = 22, 11F; Nobs = 229). The second examined the effect of class
                                   in London only, as WC and UMC data were only available for London (Nspeakers =
                                   24, 12F; Nobs = 242). In order to decide which predictors and interactions to include
                                   in the models, all possible potential model terms were manually fitted (separately for
                                   the MC and London data) and then confirmed by using stepwise backwards model
                                   selection (Kuznetsova et al. 2017) with a model with random intercepts by-speaker and
                                   by-word and all possible two-way interactions as the starting point. Random intercepts

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                                   allow for a different baseline sibilant Hz for each speaker and each word (e.g. Winter
                                   and Wieling 2016). Degrees of freedom, F-values, and p-values are calculated using
                                   Satterthwaite's approximation (Kuznetsova et al. 2017). In both models, values below
                                   2500 Hz were omitted as these are unlikely to be sibilants.

                                   7. Results
                                   7.1 Results: Model 1 (MC Speakers)
                                   The final model table examining the effect of location across the MC speakers is shown
                                   in Table 3. The model includes effects of Location, Gender and Style and a
                                   Location*Style interaction. Context was not a significant predictor, suggesting no
                                   difference in spectral peaks in /str/ vs /stj/ contexts in this sample.

                                                          Estimate        Std. Error      df    t value        Pr(>|t|)

                                    (Intercept)           5145.88     756.25           60.49    6.804          5.2e-09 ***

                                    locationCanterbury -1015.56        883.30          83.14     -1.150        0.25355

                                    locationLondon        438.50          823.74       68.82     0.532        0.59621

                                    gendermale           -1112.13      446.32          17.90     -2.492       0.02275 *

                                    stylereading         -240.57      626.76           134.52    -0.384       0.70172

                                    styleword-list        110.66       670.47          142.80     0.165       0.86913

                                    locationCanterbury: 2410.79        779.90          194.68     3.091       0.00229 **
                                    stylereading

                                    locationLondon:      712.25           724.47       169.92     0.983       0.32694
                                    stylereading

                                    locationCanterbury    1837.34     837.36           200.43     2.194       0.02937 *
                                    styleword-list

                                    locationLondon:       -70.99      785.16           182.50     -0.090      0.92806
                                    styleword-list

                                   Table 3: Final model for MC speakers
                                      The modelled effect of gender is shown in Figure 2. As might be expected, the MC
                                   females are predicted to have higher spectral peaks than the MC males (t = 2.492, p =
                                   0.023). This is likely to be at least in part due to anatomical differences, correcting for

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52            ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   this in order to ascertain whether or not female /s/ is less retracted in this sample is
                                   discussed below.

                                   Figure 2: Estimated effect of gender for the MC speakers
                                       The interaction between location and style is illustrated in Figure 3. Within
                                   Canterbury, the spectral peaks for the interview style are predicted to be lower than
                                   both the Reading (t = -4.11, p < 0.001) and Word List (t = -3.492, p < 0.001) styles,
                                   which do not differ significantly from each other. Within location style differences are
                                   also not significant for London or Colchester, suggesting that the interview style may
                                   result in particularly low spectral peaks (i.e. more retracted, and perhaps more casual
                                   speech) in Canterbury. A caveat to this is the low n in the speaker sample (see
                                   discussion below).

                                   Figure 3: Location*style estimates for the MC speakers

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                                       The spectral peaks in the Canterbury interviews are also predicted to be lower than
                                   those in the London interviews (t = -1.886, p = 0.048). The predicted differences
                                   between London interviews and Colchester interviews and between Canterbury
                                   interviews and Colchester interviews are not significant.
                                       The spectral peaks in the Colchester reading style are lower than those in the
                                   Canterbury reading style (t = -2.219, p = 0.029) and marginally lower than those in the
                                   London reading style (t = -1.405, p = 0.064). This is suggestive of a more casual reading
                                   style in Colchester than elsewhere.
                                       Post-hoc comparisons were carried out using the difflsmeans test (Kuznetsova et al.
                                   2017), which does not correct for multiple comparisons. There is some debate about
                                   whether to correct for multiple comparisons in mixed models (e.g. Gelman et al. 2012).
                                   In the interests of also being maximally conservative, when a more conservative test is
                                   used (e.g. emmeans with the Bonferroni method specified (Lenth 2019)), the within-
                                   Canterbury style effects remain (along with the main effect of Gender). It can therefore
                                   be argued that these effects are more robust than the others described above.

                                   7.2 Results: Model 2 (London Speakers)
                                   The final model table examining the effect of class across the London speakers is shown
                                   in Table 4. The model only includes effects of Class and Gender, and no interactions.
                                   Context and Style were not significant predictors, suggesting no difference in spectral
                                   peaks in /str/ vs /stj/ contexts, or in interview vs. reading vs. word list in this sample.

                                                   Estimate        Std.Error     df         t value       Pr(>|t|)

                                     (Intercept)   6225.19         422.47       27.33       14.735         1.59e-14 ***

                                     classMC       -556.29         445.52       20.24       -1.249         0.226048

                                     classWC       -2055.88        447.54       20.59       -4.594         0.000165 ***

                                     gendermale -813.26            363.12       20.10       -2.240         0.036573 *

                                   Table 4: Final model for London speakers
                                      The modelled effect of gender is shown in Figure 4. The London females again have
                                   higher spectral peaks than the London males (t = 2.240, p = 0.036). As noted above,
                                   correcting for anatomical differences is discussed below.

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54             ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   Figure 4: Estimated effect of gender for the London speakers

                                       The effect of Class is illustrated in Figure 5. The WC speakers in London have
                                   lower spectral peaks than the MC (t = 3.390, p = 0.003) and the UMC (t = -4.593, p <
                                   0.001) speakers, whilst the MC and UMC speakers do not differ. It therefore appears
                                   that the sibilants of the WC speakers are more retracted. These Class differences remain
                                   when conservative post-hoc testing is used.

                                   Figure 5: Estimated effect of class for the London speakers

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                                   8. Discussion
                                   8.1 Synchronic Patterns of Variation
                                   Regional variation
                                   Spectral-peak differences among MC speakers from London, Colchester and
                                   Canterbury are not significant unless one includes Style. The problem of Style in this
                                   data sample will be discussed below. We can therefore confirm, at least on the basis of
                                   our data sample and only with regard to /s/-retraction, Rosewarne's (1984; 1994) claim
                                   that there was a great deal of local accent convergence in the South-East of England in
                                   the middle of the 20th century. Whether this was and is true for all the other features
                                   that he subsumed under the label of 'Estuary England' remains a matter of debate. To
                                   this day, Trudgill and Hannah (2017, 22) consider the term "unfortunate" because there
                                   is, in their opinion "plenty of regional variation within this area." Wells (2013) suggests
                                   that "rather, we have various sound changes emanating from working-class London
                                   speech, each spreading independently." On the other hand, Kerswill remarked in 2001
                                   that "in the south-east of England around London, it is quite difficult to tell where a
                                   person comes from" (45). Our results cannot settle this debate but constitute further
                                   evidence for those who argue in favour of accent convergence in the South-East, at
                                   least for individual features.

                                   Social variation
                                   Taken together, the models suggest that Gender, Class and an interaction between Style
                                   and Location are the best predictors of spectral peak. However, Gender and Style are
                                   not as reliable as these findings may suggest. The problems related to them will be
                                   discussed below.

                                   Stylistic variation
                                   The Labovian notion of contextual styles predicts the lowest peaks for the interview
                                   style, which is the least formal style, and higher peaks for the reading and the word list
                                   styles respectively because they are the more formal styles. We find this pattern partly
                                   in Canterbury, where the spectral peaks for the interview style are significantly lower
                                   than those for the two more formal styles, but we do not find it anywhere else. In
                                   Canterbury and in London the average peaks in the more formal word list style are
                                   lower, albeit not significantly so, than in the less formal reading style and in London
                                   and Colchester they are almost identical with those of the even less formal interview
                                   style. It is likely that the reason for the lack of a clear pattern of stylistic variation lies
                                   at least partly in the experimental design. To animate the interview, the investigator had
                                   combined the word list with an association test. The resulting entertainment exceeded
                                   her expectations, unfortunately also her intentions. Many interviewees were more
                                   relaxed and distracted during this activity than during the interview, hence the lower
                                   peak values in the word list style.

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56            ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   Gender variation
                                   In line with previous research on /s/-retraction, and sibilants more generally, female
                                   speakers show statistically higher spectral-peak values than male speakers. These
                                   results, however, should be viewed with caution. Peak frequency is related to the length
                                   of the cavity in front of the constriction and shorter front cavities produce higher peak
                                   frequencies (e.g. Stevens 1998, 398). Given that, on average, women have smaller
                                   vocal tracts than men, they also have smaller front cavities. Female speakers are
                                   therefore expected to display higher peak frequencies than their male counterparts.
                                   Many studies into sex-based differences of the articulation of /s/ have shown this to be
                                   the case (see e.g. summary in Flipsen et al. 1999). For the South-East of England, Levon
                                   and Holmes-Elliott (2013) report such sex-based differences in peak frequencies
                                   between male and female speakers in two scripted-reality shows set "in the greater
                                   London area" (111). Despite the problem of the interfering anatomical differences, they
                                   conclude that
                                          the quality or the magnitude of the difference found between men and women's sibilant
                                          production could not be accounted for by anatomical factors alone; in other words, /s/
                                          appeared to be doing something in terms of gender. (Levon and Holmes-Elliott 2013,
                                          112)
                                       Bass (2009, 17) also finds more retracted variants in the speech of both older and
                                   younger male speakers than in that of their female counterparts. He concludes that
                                   "perhaps it is the case that, in this situation, the linguistic change is being led by males"
                                   (15). Bass's results are based on auditory and not on acoustic analysis and are therefore
                                   not subject to the aforementioned anatomical sex bias.
                                       At this point of our research, we are tempted to agree with Levon and Holmes-
                                   Elliott in accepting the differences between male and female speakers as gender
                                   differences. A closer look at our results shows, for example, that the average peak
                                   values of our female London WC speakers are lower than those of the male MC
                                   speakers in all three locations and those of the Colchester female MC speakers and
                                   lower than those of the London male UMC speakers. In other words, despite anatomical
                                   differences, women can produce these retracted variants if they "want" to. On the other
                                   hand, we cannot make a firm statement before we have explored options of
                                   normalization for gender (for more information on ongoing work on this topic, see
                                   Outlook).

                                   Social class variation
                                   With regard to social class it was found that the WC speakers produce significantly
                                   lower-frequency peaks than the UMC and MC speakers. The MC speakers also produce
                                   lower-frequency peaks than the UMC speakers but the difference is not statistically
                                   significant. Still these differences constitute a trend that resembles the findings made
                                   by Stuart-Smith (2007) in Glasgow and Durian (2007) in Columbus, Ohio. Stuart-
                                   Smith (2007, 75) found significant differences between MC and WC speakers in
                                   Glasgow and Durian (2007, 68) between all three classes in Columbus. In both cases,

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                                   WC speakers were using more retracted variants than the higher social class(es). These
                                   findings are central to our study. They show that /s/-retraction in the South-East of
                                   England was a sociolinguistic marker in the 1990s and interestingly also around the
                                   same time elsewhere. 1 We can thus conclude that retracted /s/-variants had been
                                   enregistered with class by the late 1990s and were not only a phonetic reflex of
                                   coarticulation.

                                   8.2 Aspects of the Diachronic Development
                                   In order to be able to propose an explanation for our synchronic pattern of social
                                   variation in the 1990s, we also need to consider diachronic aspects of /s/-retraction. In
                                   addition, our data, although not diachronic in nature, can shed some light on the
                                   plausibility of competing theories of the origins of /s/-retraction.

                                   Social class variation interpreted in diachronic terms
                                   The social class stratification of /s/-retraction in our data is in keeping with previous
                                   sociolinguistic work suggesting that MC speakers are both geographically and socially
                                   more mobile than speakers at the other two ends of the social class continuum. If we
                                   accept Bass's (2009) findings and the informal observations that /s/-retraction is on the
                                   increase in the South-East of England, we can go even further and interpret the current
                                   data in such a way that MC speakers are beginning to change their pronunciation of
                                   /str/ and /stj/ towards a more retracted WC norm. Our data would then offer a snapshot
                                   of an incipient change in the MC speakers, who are beginning to retract their /s/ in /str/
                                   and /stj/ in the direction of /ʃ/.

                                   The trigger
                                   To date, most researchers agree that /s/-retraction is the result of processes of
                                   coarticulation. As to what may have triggered the retraction of /s/, two theories have
                                   been proposed. First, Shapiro (1995) argues for 'assimilation at a distance,' in which /s/
                                   in /str/ is assimilated to the following rhotic. In support of the change from /s/ to /ʃ/,
                                   Rutter (2011, 31) cites three phonetic characteristics shared by both /ʃ/ and /r/
                                   promoting assimilation. First, both /ʃ/ and /r/ share a more postalveolar place of
                                   articulation, as opposed to alveolar /s/. Secondly, the tongue shape of /s/ is grooved,
                                   while /ʃ/ has a flatter or slit tongue shape. Lastly, both /r/ and /ʃ/ display considerable
                                   lip rounding, whereas /s/ shows no or only minimal lip protrusion. In contrast,
                                   Lawrence (2000) proposes that the retraction of /s/ is a secondary effect of the previous
                                   affrication of /t/. In a first step, /tr/ in /str/ is affricated to /tʃr/. Only then /s/ is
                                   assimilated to /ʃ/, resulting in the following realisation of /str/ [ʃtʃr]. The same processes
                                   also hold true for /stj/ contexts. While Shapiro's 'assimilation at a distance' can only

                                   1   We must admit, however, that we can base this categorization of /s/-retraction only on our
                                       results for Class since the results for Style have turned out to be less reliable. They do show
                                       some stratification but not always in the expected direction.

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58             ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                   explain /s/-retraction in /str/, this theory can also account for retraction of /s/ found in
                                   /stj/ contexts.
                                        The fact that /str/ and /stj/ pattern together in the present data – they are not
                                   significantly different from each other in terms of spectral peak – is suggestive of a
                                   single underlying cause of retraction. Since Shapiro's 'assimilation at a distance' theory
                                   can only account for retraction found in /str/ but not in /stj/ contexts, affrication seems
                                   to be the most likely cause. This is supported by impressionistic auditory analysis as
                                   well as visual inspection of /str/ and /stj/ tokens, which displayed similar affrication in
                                   the waveform in some of the tokens. Furthermore, Bailey et al. (2019) found evidence
                                   of a concurrent apparent-time change of /str/ and /stj/ as well as affrication in
                                   Manchester English, as these contexts showed increased CoG lowering over time.
                                   However, investigation of other sibilant clusters containing a rhotic, such as /spr/ and
                                   /skr/, is necessary to rule out the 'assimilation at a distance' account of /s/-retraction in
                                   the South-East of England.

                                   From coarticulation to sound change
                                   In order to account for the phonologization of the retracted /s/-allophones, again two
                                   theories have been proposed. One group of theories views language change as a gradual
                                   process. Baker et al. (2011) call these theories "accumulation-of-error theories" (349).
                                   The term "error" refers to "minor changes in language" (349) that Ohala (2012), a major
                                   proponent of these theories, classifies as "mini-sound changes" (25). In the case of /s/-
                                   retraction, these errors would be /s/-variants that are increasingly more retracted than
                                   canonical /s/. Ohala's assumption is that listeners compensate for such fluctuations as
                                   long as they recognize the context that causes them (27). In our case, these would be
                                   phonetic environments that trigger the relevant CPSs, such as following /tr/ and /tj/. If
                                   speakers can no longer recognize these contexts as the origin of allophonic variation,
                                   they will interpret the allophonic variants as new production targets. Baker et al. (2011)
                                   contradict Ohala's theory. They argue that it overapplies because it "fails to predict
                                   cases where change does not occur" (349) although the relevant allophonic variants are
                                   present. Instead, Baker et al. follow Janda and Joseph (2003) in considering language
                                   change as abrupt and as the result of "the chance alignment of extreme coarticulation
                                   with extreme influence" (Baker et al. 2011, 351). In other words, a speaker with
                                   extreme social influence needs to produce an extreme variant that the listener notices
                                   and considers worthy of imitation. In our case, we would be looking for a speaker who
                                   was socially highly influential and produced an extremely retracted variant of /s/.
                                       The gradual nature of the synchronic pattern of social variation of our data suggests
                                   a gradual rather than an abrupt development.2 However, at some point before the 1990s

                                   2    This model receives further support by exemplar-based models of speech production and
                                        perception. They assume that abstract categories are represented by detail-rich exemplar
                                        clouds (Pierrehumbert 2001). These exemplar clouds consisting of previous phonetic
                                        experiences are updated constantly with new exemplars. As a consequence, these category
                                        representations are subject to change. Phonetic production targets are chosen based on
                                        sampling from these exemplar clouds (production-perception loop). With regard to /s/-

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                                   something must have happened that caused some listeners not "to correct for
                                   coarticulatory effects" (Ohala 2012, 28) anymore. Since the result is a socially stratified
                                   pattern of variation, it is likely that the coarticulatory allophones had acquired social
                                   meaning that had an impact on the speakers' "willingness" to compensate. Nolan and
                                   Kerswill (1990) posit that this stage is a necessary condition3 for a coarticulatory effect
                                   to become a sound change:
                                           [B]efore a CSP [connected speech process] becomes fossilised, there must be variation
                                           in the community with respect to that CSP. This being so, it is impossible for all
                                           languages and all dialects to have the same CSPs at the same time. (Nolan and Kerswill
                                           1990, 304)
                                      This pre-condition would also meet Baker et al.'s objection that theories of gradual
                                   change cannot account for the fact that "changes are rare, even though phonetic
                                   precursors are common" (350). Social conditions also have to be favourable.

                                   Social mobility and new language-ideological schemata
                                   A theory that is geared to describe and explain how a linguistic form is linked with
                                   social meaning is the theory of 'enregisterment' (Johnstone et al. 2006). Two of the five
                                   components of Johnstone's (2017) "enregisterment formula" are of particular interest
                                   in the context of this paper:
                                           (a) a set of social and historical exigencies that give rise to 'metapragmatic' practices, that
                                           is, practices by which people suggest how A [a linguistic sign] is to be enregistered
                                           (Johnstone 2017, 17)
                                           (b) the concept of language-ideological schema [which are] circulating ideas about how
                                           language works (Johnstone 2017, 22)

                                       The historical exigency in this case is in particular Margaret Thatcher's rise to power
                                   in 1979 and the ideological schema of meritocracy (in the positive sense of the term).
                                   In an interview for The Sun in 1983, Thatcher identifies and names her ideology:
                                           I again insisted on keeping the grammar schools because there were people like me who
                                           needed grammar schools to climb the ladder to be equal to the people who started in at
                                           the top […]. I believe in merit, I belong to meritocracy, and I don't care two hoots what
                                           your background is. (Thatcher 1983)

                                   As a result, the Thatcher era saw a great deal of upward social mobility, as Saalfeld
                                   points out:

                                       retraction, the perception of retracted variants can lead to a shift in the exemplar cloud of /s/
                                       in the direction of /ʃ/ in /str/ contexts, which in turn would also influence a speaker's
                                       production target. This is supported by agent-based modelling of /str/-retraction in Australian
                                       English (Stevens et al. 2019).
                                   3   It is, however, not a sufficient condition since sociolinguistic markers can also be stable.

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60            ULRIKE ALTENDORF, RACHEL MACDONALD, AND NIKLAS THIELKING

                                          Auch wenn man die jeweilige Klassenstruktur des jeweiligen Landes berücksichtigt,
                                          bleibt England im Vergleich mit anderen westlichen Industriegesellschaften ein durch
                                          hohe Auf- und Abstiegschancen gekennzeichnetes Land. Soziologische Untersuchungen
                                          zeigen auch, daß die Zahl der sozialen Aufsteiger in Großbritannien die Zahl der
                                          Absteiger überwiegt. (Saalfeld 1998, 32)
                                          [Even if one takes into account the respective class structure of the respective country,
                                          England remains in comparison with other western industrial societies a country
                                          characterized by many opportunities for social upward and downward mobility.
                                          Sociological studies have also shown that in Great Britain the number of those who are
                                          upwardly mobile exceeds the number of those who are downwardly mobile. (authors'
                                          translation)

                                   Speakers of lower social classes were now heard in "situations from which they would
                                   have been excluded only a few decades ago" (Trudgill 2001, 9) and with them their
                                   non-RP variants. Not everybody was impressed with the upwardly mobile, often
                                   embodied and ridiculed by the stereotypical "Essex man," but they also represented a
                                   success story. The Tory and life peer Norman Tebbit, a refined example of an upwardly
                                   mobile almost-Essex born speaker, called his autobiography exactly this, Upwardly
                                   Mobile (1988). In this climate, language-ideological schemata began to change, too.
                                   Non-RP accents became more acceptable while the undemocratic acrolect RP was
                                   losing prestige (e.g. Altendorf 2003, 34-36; Trudgill 2001, 7-8). The then editor of The
                                   Spectator and now Prime Minister Boris Johnson described how he, as a speaker of RP,
                                   had been discriminated against in those years:
                                          It's brilliant to be Brummie, super to be Scottish or anything else. But just try reading out
                                          a script in the received pronunciation of Queen's English on Radio Four at 11 a. m. on
                                          Saturday and pow – you're sacked by Jimmy Boyle. (Johnson 1999, 10)
                                   In England, in the years preceding our data sample, Baker et al.'s (2011) "speaker with
                                   extreme coarticulation" (351) must have been these upwardly mobile WC speakers,
                                   including those in the public eye like Norman Tebbit, who had if not extreme but at
                                   least great influence.

                                   9. Outlook
                                   We will continue the analysis of our data. Work is ongoing to normalize for sex-related
                                   differences. Spectral peak is often examined in conjunction with spectral centres of
                                   gravity, or CoG is often used as the preferred measure alone (e.g. Baker et al. 2011;
                                   Jongman et al. 2000; Stuart-Smith et al. 2019). CoG is representative both of the
                                   spectral shape as a whole and differing place of sibilant articulation (e.g. Chodroff and
                                   Wilson 2019). Work to add this measure to the analysis is ongoing. However, initial
                                   analysis of CoG in this sample suggests a similar pattern of results.
                                       In addition, the measurement of /s/ in /sV/ and /ʃ/ contexts is under way. This will
                                   allow examination of the degree of /str, stj/ retraction in relation to /s/ and /ʃ/ and will
                                   also allow calculation of an individual's /s/-retraction ratio to correct for anatomical
                                   gender differences (e.g. Baker et al. 2011; Stevens and Harrington 2016). For example,

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                                   Baker et al. (2011) express and analyse the position of a speaker's median /s/-cluster
                                   CoG in relation to the speaker's median /s/ CoG and their median /ʃ/ CoG where the
                                   median /s/ CoG is 0 and the median /ʃ/ CoG is 1. An /s/-cluster ratio closer to 1 is
                                   therefore more /ʃ/-like and more retracted.

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