An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
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June 2019 Research Report An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) Artist’s Impression: Piermont Grand
June 2019 In this report, we will be covering the latest Executive Introduction to an Executive Condominium (EC) Condominium (EC), The Piermont Grand at Sumang Walk, The government unveiled the concept of Executive the various eligibility criteria to purchase an EC, the demand condominiums (ECs) in 1995 to cater to the aspirations and supply and why ECs are a valuable proposition. of Singaporeans to own affordable private housing. ECs are governed by the Executive Condominium Housing Scheme Act and they are strata-titled apartments. An EC is a hybrid between public and private housing. In order to acquire an EC, a set of eligibility criteria has to be fulfilled. Eligibility Criteria for purchasing an EC • Public Scheme • Fiancé/Fiancée Scheme Artist’s Impression: Piermont Grand Family nucleus • Orphans Scheme • Joint Singles Scheme Piermont Grand is the only EC that will be launched this • Must bea Singapore Citizen year. The project is situated right beside My Waterway @ • At least 1 other applicant must be a Singapore Punggol, a 4.2km long waterway offering a wide variety of Citizenship Citizen orSingapore Permanent Resident • All singles must be Singapore Citizens if recreational outdoor activities. The project overlooks applying under the Joint Singles Scheme Punggol Reservoir and Jewel Bridge at Punggol • At least 21 yearsold Waterway with scenic sunset views. • At least 35 years old, if applying under the Age Joint Singles Scheme The project has a total of 820 units in its development. It • Household income must not exceed the Income ceiling provides an eclectic mix of units, ranging from 3 Bedroom $14,000 income ceiling. to 5 Bedroom units. It is an estimated 10 minutes walk to • You do not own other property overseas or locally, the Punggol MRT Station, Bus Interchange and Waterway or have not disposed of any within the last 30 Property months Point Shopping Mall. The project is conveniently located ownership • You have not bought a new HDB/ DBSS flat or EC, and well-linked to Tampines Expressway (TPE) and or received a CPF Housing Grant before; or, have only bought 1 of these properties/ received 1 CPF Kallang Paya Lebar Expressway (KPE). Additionally, it is in Housing Grant thus far. close proximity to upcoming Punggol Town Hub with Source: HDB, *for detailed explanations on the schemes, please refer to the HDB website. hawker centre, regional library, childcare and healthcare facilities that are housed under one roof. In terms of Applicants purchasing an EC, have to form a family nearby schools, it is positioned closely to Punggol Cove nucleus, with a household income not exceeding Primary (< 1km), Punggol Green Primary (
June 2019 Supply and Demand of EC Top 5 Bids for Sumang Walk EC Units Launched Tenderers Tender Bid($) Bid Price Psf($) CDL Constellation Pte. Ltd. $509,370,000 $583 3,750 and TID Residential Pte. Ltd. 3,337 Qingjian Realty (Residential) $486,000,000 $556 Pte. Ltd. 2,749 Yanlord Singapore 2,505 Residential Pte. Ltd. and $450,000,888 $515 Soilbuild Group Holdings Ltd 1,555 628 Hoi Hup Realty Pte. Ltd. and Sunway Developments $446,600,000 $511 Pte. Ltd. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sing Development (Private) Source: PropNex Research,URA Limited, FEC Properties Pte. Ltd. And Changi Properties $431,688,338 $494 Pte. Ltd. EC Units Sold Source: PropNex Research,URA 4,011 Under the second half of the Government Land Sales 3,999 (GLS) Programme, the government announced that 3,588 there will be 2 EC sites. Both of these sites are expected 2,550 to yield an estimated 1,075units. 1,578 1,136 Upcoming EC Sites for GLS Programme (2H2019) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Expected Source: PropNex Research,URA Location Estimated Type Launch / Units Available Date Fernvale Lane 480 Confirmed Dec-19 List There has been a dwindling supply of EC units being launched Tampines Street 62 595 Reserve List Dec-19 in the past few years, as the government has been closely monitoring the supply of these units. The government considers Source: PropNex Research,URA varying aspects in the planning for the supply of ECs. Factors such as take-up rate of new EC units and the current market sentiments. In order to calibrate the supply, developers of EC sale sites from the GLS programme are only allowed to launch 01 As ECs are in low supply, it is well units for sale 15 months from the date of award of the sites or sought-after by buyers andinvestors. There is a strong demand for EC after the physical completion of foundation works, whichever is projects. earlier.There was only 1 new launch of EC project in 2018, which was Rivercove Residences. This development has completed selling close to 100% of its units, as per data retrieved from URA Realis on June 19, a total of 627 units out of the 628 units have been sold. The Sumang Walk land parcel was a highly contested site that attracted 17 land bids. 3
June 2019 Buyer’s Limitations A simplified example on the application 1. Minimum Occupancy Period (MOP) and Ownership of TDSR and MSR Restrictions for an EC Potential Scenario: 1 Potential Scenario: 2 Purchasing a private Purchasing an EC condominium Gross monthly income $10,000 Gross monthly $10,000 income TDSR MSR (60% of GrossIncome) $6,000 (30% of Gross Income) $3,000 Source: PropNex Research,HDB Source: PropNexResearch An EC is subjected to a similar restriction as a public housing Assuming in the above potential scenario 1, the buyer in the initial phase, as there are ownership restrictions in has zero debt obligations and is purchasing a private place. Owners are required to satisfy a 5-year Minimum property, the buyer would be required to abide by the Occupation Period (MOP) from the date of issue of the rules of the TDSR framework. Whereas, in scenario 2, Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP), before they can sell or a buyer with zero debt obligations as well and is rent their property, but only to Singapore Citizens and interested to purchase an EC, would be required to Permanent Residents. Infringement of the rule, will lead to the adhere to the rules of the MSR framework. Based on compulsory acquirement of the EC Unit by the HDB. the example given, there is a 50.0% drop in the loan quantum that can be taken to purchase an EC. The MSR framework limits buyer’s ability to acquire a However, after the 10-year period, the higher quantum of loan as compared to buying other 02 restrictions for ECs no longer apply, it private properties (excluding ECs). becomes fully privatised and it canbe sold to foreigners as well. Thus, increasing its capital gain potential. Unlike private properties, buyers are 03 restricted from securing a higher loan 2. Financing Framework: TDSR vsMSR quantum, hence, developers are mindful in setting their price sensitively for EC The Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) was introduced by developments. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in 2013, as a framework for all property loans granted by financial institutions to individuals. It was established to ensure financial prudence amongst borrowers, as financial Institutions are required to take into account of borrowers’ Why ECs are a Valuable Proposition? outstanding debt obligations when granting property loans. Any property loan issued by financial Institutions are required not to exceed a TDSR threshold of 60%. Hence, the TDSR limits the amount borrowers can spend on debt repayments Source: PropNexResearch to 60% of their gross monthlyincome. Amidst the restrictions and limitations imposed on the To further strengthen financial prudence amongst borrowers buyers of an EC, it does come with its set ofperks. and to moderate demand, the government additionally introduced the Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) for buyers who are purchasing ECs or HDB flats. The MSR granted by financial institutions are capped at 30% of a borrower’s gross monthly income. 4
June 2019 OCR Land Bid Prices for Private Quality Properties (Excluding EC) Firstly, in terms of design and quality, ECs are comparable in Bidprice nature with private condominiums. It possesses comparable Date Awarded Project Location $psfppr amenities with private condominiums as well. Common 7-Feb-18 The Essence Chong Kuo Road $681 facilities such as swimming pools, tennis courts, gyms etc. 7-Feb-18 Whistler Grand West Coast Vale $800 Price 3-Jul-18 Midwood Hillview Rise $1,068 Median Price 16-Aug-18 Sengkang Sengkang Central $924 Median Price of Private % Discount Central Project Launch of EC in the Property inthe in Price 7-Sept-18 Dairy Farm Dairy Farm Road $830 Year of EC Launch Year OCR Segment for EC Residences Rivercove 22-Mar-19 Pasir RisCentral Pasir Ris Central $684 2018 $973 $1,372 29.1% (Mixed-Use) Residences Average $848 psf ppr Inz Residence 2017 $791 $1,311 39.7% Northwave 2016 $751 $1,263 40.5% OCR Land Bid Prices for ECs Bidprice Date Project Location $psfppr Parc Life 2016 $780 $1,263 38.2% Awarded Piermont Grand 7-Mar-18 (EC) Sumang Walk $583 Treasure Crest 2016 $748 $1,263 40.8% CanberraLink 28-Jun-18 Canberra Link $558 (EC) Sol Acres 2015 $788 $1,169 32.6% 10-Aug-18 Anchorvale Anchorvale Crescent $576 Crescent(EC) Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis data retrieved as of June21 Tampines Ave 22-Jan-19 Tampines Ave 10 $578 10 (EC) Secondly, ECs are sold at a competitive price and has an Average $576 psf ppr edge over private condominiums in terms of pricing. They Source: PropNex Research, URA, HDB * Aver age PSF PPR is based on total transa cted price / total GFA of all sites are typically sold at a discount, compared to private condominiums. Based on our analysis, comparing against a private property in the OCR segment, it can be seen that the 05 EC sites are bidded at a lower price, prices of ECs have been lower as compared to other private hence, developers are able to pass on their savings in terms of alower price for properties over the years.The primary reason for the prices EC projects. of ECs to be lower as compared to other private properties, is due to developers being able to enjoy lower land bidcosts. Value EC is a valuable asset to hold, as over time it appreciates in value. One example, would be the EC, Bishan Loft. The median unit price during the launch 04 ECs are generally comparable in quality year was $418 psf. Based on the URA Realis data and is sold at a discounted price, on retrieved, its median resale unit price in 2019, was average at 36.8% discount, ascompared to other private condominiums. $1,154 psf, an 176.1% increase since its launch year. Based on our analysis of the sites awarded from 2018 to first half of 2019 in the OCR segment, we can observe the juxtaposition in land bid prices for private property sites and Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis data retrieved as of June 21,2019 for EC sites. Using the average land bid prices as a gauge, EC sites benefit from a 32.1% lower cost as compared to 06 Another upside of purchasing anEC is, Buyers are able to enjoy capital other private property sites in the OCR segment. appreciation over time. 5
Disclaimer: While every reasonable cause is taken to ensure the accuracy of information printed or presented here, no responsibility can be accepted for any loss of inconvenience caused by any error or omission. The ideas, suggestions, general principles, examples and other information presented here are for reference and educational purposes only. This publication is not in anyway intended to give investment advise or recommendations to buy, sell or lease properties or any form of property investment. PropNex shall have no liability for any loss or expense whatsoever, relating to investment decisions made by the audience. All copyrights reserved. 6
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