An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019

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An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
June 2019

Research Report
An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass,
Executive Condominiums (ECs)

                                        Artist’s Impression: Piermont Grand
An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
June 2019

In this report, we will be covering the latest Executive                  Introduction to an Executive Condominium (EC)
Condominium (EC), The Piermont Grand at Sumang Walk,                     The government unveiled the concept of Executive
the various eligibility criteria to purchase an EC, the demand           condominiums (ECs) in 1995 to cater to the aspirations
and supply and why ECs are a valuable proposition.                       of Singaporeans to own affordable private housing. ECs
                                                                         are governed by the Executive Condominium Housing
                                                                         Scheme Act and they are strata-titled apartments. An
                                                                         EC is a hybrid between public and private housing. In
                                                                         order to acquire an EC, a set of eligibility criteria has
                                                                         to be fulfilled.

                                                                                      Eligibility Criteria for purchasing an EC
                                                                                                       •   Public Scheme
                                                                                                       •   Fiancé/Fiancée Scheme
                                   Artist’s Impression: Piermont Grand
                                                                          Family nucleus
                                                                                                       •   Orphans Scheme
                                                                                                       •   Joint Singles Scheme
Piermont Grand is the only EC that will be launched this
                                                                                                       • Must bea Singapore Citizen
year. The project is situated right beside My Waterway @                                               • At least 1 other applicant must be a Singapore
Punggol, a 4.2km long waterway offering a wide variety of                     Citizenship                Citizen orSingapore Permanent Resident
                                                                                                       • All singles must be Singapore Citizens if
recreational outdoor activities. The project overlooks                                                   applying under the Joint Singles Scheme
Punggol Reservoir and Jewel Bridge at Punggol
                                                                                                       • At least 21 yearsold
Waterway with scenic sunset views.                                                                     • At least 35 years old, if applying under the
                                                                                   Age
                                                                                                         Joint Singles Scheme

The project has a total of 820 units in its development. It                                            • Household income must not exceed the
                                                                           Income ceiling
provides an eclectic mix of units, ranging from 3 Bedroom                                                $14,000 income ceiling.

to 5 Bedroom units. It is an estimated 10 minutes walk to                                              • You do not own other property overseas or locally,
the Punggol MRT Station, Bus Interchange and Waterway                                                    or have not disposed of any within the last 30
                                                                               Property                  months
Point Shopping Mall. The project is conveniently located                      ownership                • You have not bought a new HDB/ DBSS flat or EC,
and well-linked to Tampines Expressway (TPE) and                                                         or received a CPF Housing Grant before; or, have
                                                                                                         only bought 1 of these properties/ received 1 CPF
Kallang Paya Lebar Expressway (KPE). Additionally, it is in                                              Housing Grant thus far.
close proximity to upcoming Punggol Town Hub with                        Source: HDB, *for detailed explanations on the schemes, please refer to the HDB website.

hawker centre, regional library, childcare and healthcare
facilities that are housed under one roof. In terms of                   Applicants purchasing an EC, have to form a family
nearby schools, it is positioned closely to Punggol Cove                 nucleus, with a household income not exceeding
Primary (< 1km), Punggol Green Primary (
An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
June 2019

  Supply and Demand of EC
                                                                                   Top 5 Bids for Sumang Walk
                               EC Units Launched                                  Tenderers                     Tender Bid($)    Bid Price Psf($)

                                                                     CDL Constellation Pte. Ltd.                $509,370,000          $583
                                 3,750                              and TID Residential Pte. Ltd.
       3,337
                                                                     Qingjian Realty (Residential)
                                                                                                                $486,000,000          $556
                                                                               Pte. Ltd.
                                         2,749
                                                                         Yanlord Singapore
                       2,505
                                                                     Residential Pte. Ltd. and                  $450,000,888          $515
                                                                    Soilbuild Group Holdings Ltd
                                                   1,555
                                                           628         Hoi Hup Realty Pte. Ltd.
                                                                      and Sunway Developments                   $446,600,000          $511
                                                                              Pte. Ltd.

      2013             2014      2015    2016      2017    2018      Sing Development (Private)
Source: PropNex Research,URA
                                                                     Limited, FEC Properties Pte.
                                                                     Ltd. And Changi Properties                 $431,688,338          $494
                                                                               Pte. Ltd.

                                 EC Units Sold                      Source: PropNex Research,URA

                                                   4,011
                                                                    Under the second half of the Government Land Sales
                                         3,999
                                                                    (GLS) Programme, the government announced that
       3,588
                                                                    there will be 2 EC sites. Both of these sites are expected
                                 2,550
                                                                    to yield an estimated 1,075units.

                       1,578
                                                           1,136

                                                                     Upcoming EC Sites for GLS Programme
                                                                                  (2H2019)
      2013             2014      2015    2016      2017    2018
                                                                                                                                   Expected
Source: PropNex Research,URA                                               Location                 Estimated         Type         Launch /
                                                                                                      Units
                                                                                                                                 Available Date

                                                                        Fernvale Lane                 480         Confirmed          Dec-19
                                                                                                                     List
There has been a dwindling supply of EC units being launched
                                                                     Tampines Street 62               595         Reserve List       Dec-19
in the past few years, as the government has been closely
monitoring the supply of these units. The government considers      Source: PropNex Research,URA

varying aspects in the planning for the supply of ECs. Factors
such as take-up rate of new EC units and the current market
sentiments. In order to calibrate the supply, developers of EC
sale sites from the GLS programme are only allowed to launch

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                                                                                                   As ECs are in low supply, it is well
units for sale 15 months from the date of award of the sites or                                    sought-after by buyers andinvestors.
                                                                                                   There is a strong demand for EC
after the physical completion of foundation works, whichever is                                    projects.
earlier.There was only 1 new launch of EC project in 2018,
which was Rivercove Residences. This development has
completed selling close to 100% of its units, as per data
retrieved from URA Realis on June 19, a total of 627 units out of
the 628 units have been sold. The Sumang Walk land parcel
was a highly contested site that attracted 17 land bids.

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An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
June 2019

 Buyer’s Limitations                                                         A simplified example on the application
 1. Minimum Occupancy Period (MOP) and Ownership                                        of TDSR and MSR
    Restrictions for an EC
                                                                                     Potential Scenario: 1
                                                                                                                        Potential Scenario: 2
                                                                                     Purchasing a private
                                                                                                                         Purchasing an EC
                                                                                        condominium

                                                                             Gross monthly income         $10,000    Gross monthly          $10,000
                                                                                                                        income
                                                                                    TDSR                                    MSR
                                                                            (60% of GrossIncome)          $6,000    (30% of Gross Income)   $3,000

Source: PropNex Research,HDB                                               Source: PropNexResearch

An EC is subjected to a similar restriction as a public housing           Assuming in the above potential scenario 1, the buyer
in the initial phase, as there are ownership restrictions in              has zero debt obligations and is purchasing a private
place. Owners are required to satisfy a 5-year Minimum                    property, the buyer would be required to abide by the
Occupation Period (MOP) from the date of issue of the                     rules of the TDSR framework. Whereas, in scenario 2,
Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP), before they can sell or                a buyer with zero debt obligations as well and is
rent their property, but only to Singapore Citizens and                   interested to purchase an EC, would be required to
Permanent Residents. Infringement of the rule, will lead to the           adhere to the rules of the MSR framework. Based on
compulsory acquirement of the EC Unit by the HDB.                         the example given, there is a 50.0% drop in the loan
                                                                          quantum that can be taken to purchase an EC. The
                                                                          MSR framework limits buyer’s ability to acquire a
                               However, after the 10-year period, the     higher quantum of loan as compared to buying other

         02
                               restrictions for ECs no longer apply, it   private properties (excluding ECs).
                               becomes fully privatised and it canbe
                               sold to foreigners as well. Thus,
                               increasing its capital gain potential.

                                                                                                     Unlike private properties, buyers are

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                                                                                                     restricted from securing a higher loan
2. Financing Framework: TDSR vsMSR                                                                   quantum, hence, developers are mindful
                                                                                                     in setting their price sensitively for EC
The Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) was introduced by
                                                                                                     developments.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in 2013, as a
framework for all property loans granted by financial
institutions to individuals. It was established to ensure
financial prudence amongst borrowers, as financial
Institutions are required to take into account of borrowers’                          Why ECs are a Valuable Proposition?
outstanding debt obligations when granting property loans.
Any property loan issued by financial Institutions are required
not to exceed a TDSR threshold of 60%. Hence, the TDSR
limits the amount borrowers can spend on debt repayments
                                                                           Source: PropNexResearch
to 60% of their gross monthlyincome.
                                                                          Amidst the restrictions and limitations imposed on the
To further strengthen financial prudence amongst borrowers                buyers of an EC, it does come with its set ofperks.
and to moderate demand, the government additionally
introduced the Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) for buyers
who are purchasing ECs or HDB flats. The MSR granted by
financial institutions are capped at 30% of a borrower’s gross
monthly income.

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An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
June 2019

                                                                                                      OCR Land Bid Prices for Private
Quality
                                                                                                        Properties (Excluding EC)
Firstly, in terms of design and quality, ECs are comparable in
                                                                                                                                                                       Bidprice
nature with private condominiums. It possesses comparable                                                 Date
                                                                                                         Awarded
                                                                                                                            Project               Location             $psfppr

amenities with private condominiums as well. Common                                                      7-Feb-18       The Essence         Chong Kuo Road               $681
facilities such as swimming pools, tennis courts, gyms etc.
                                                                                                         7-Feb-18       Whistler Grand       West Coast Vale             $800

Price                                                                                                     3-Jul-18         Midwood             Hillview Rise            $1,068

                                                                   Median Price                         16-Aug-18         Sengkang          Sengkang Central             $924
                                             Median Price            of Private   % Discount                               Central
      Project             Launch             of EC in the          Property inthe  in Price              7-Sept-18        Dairy Farm         Dairy Farm Road             $830
                         Year of EC          Launch Year           OCR Segment     for EC                                 Residences
   Rivercove                                                                                             22-Mar-19     Pasir RisCentral
                                                                                                                                             Pasir Ris Central           $684
                             2018                $973                $1,372         29.1%                                (Mixed-Use)
  Residences
                                                                                                                     Average                           $848 psf ppr
 Inz Residence               2017                $791                $1,311         39.7%

   Northwave                 2016                $751                $1,263         40.5%                 OCR Land Bid Prices for ECs
                                                                                                                                                                        Bidprice
                                                                                                          Date              Project               Location              $psfppr
     Parc Life               2016                $780                $1,263         38.2%                Awarded
                                                                                                                        Piermont Grand
                                                                                                         7-Mar-18            (EC)              Sumang Walk                $583
Treasure Crest               2016                $748                $1,263         40.8%
                                                                                                                         CanberraLink
                                                                                                        28-Jun-18                              Canberra Link              $558
                                                                                                                             (EC)
    Sol Acres                2015                $788                $1,169         32.6%
                                                                                                        10-Aug-18         Anchorvale       Anchorvale Crescent            $576
                                                                                                                         Crescent(EC)
Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis data retrieved as of June21                                                         Tampines Ave
                                                                                                         22-Jan-19                           Tampines Ave 10              $578
                                                                                                                           10 (EC)

Secondly, ECs are sold at a competitive price and has an                                                             Average                           $576 psf ppr

edge over private condominiums in terms of pricing. They                                       Source: PropNex Research, URA, HDB
                                                                                               * Aver age   PSF PPR is based on total
                                                                                                       transa
                                                                                                                                          cted price / total GFA of all sites
are typically sold at a discount, compared to private
condominiums. Based on our analysis, comparing against a
private property in the OCR segment, it can be seen that the

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                                                                                                                       EC sites are bidded at a lower price,
prices of ECs have been lower as compared to other private                                                             hence, developers are able to pass on
                                                                                                                       their savings in terms of alower price for
properties over the years.The primary reason for the prices                                                            EC projects.

of ECs to be lower as compared to other private properties,
is due to developers being able to enjoy lower land bidcosts.                                  Value
                                                                                               EC is a valuable asset to hold, as over time it
                                                                                               appreciates in value. One example, would be the EC,
                                                                                               Bishan Loft. The median unit price during the launch

          04
                                ECs are generally comparable in quality                        year was $418 psf. Based on the URA Realis data
                                and is sold at a discounted price, on
                                                                                               retrieved, its median resale unit price in 2019, was
                                average at 36.8% discount, ascompared
                                to other private condominiums.                                 $1,154 psf, an 176.1% increase since its launch year.

Based on our analysis of the sites awarded from 2018 to first
half of 2019 in the OCR segment, we can observe the
juxtaposition in land bid prices for private property sites and                                Source: PropNex Research, URA Realis data retrieved as of June 21,2019

for EC sites. Using the average land bid prices as a gauge,
EC sites benefit from a 32.1% lower cost as compared to
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                                                                                                                       Another upside of purchasing anEC
                                                                                                                       is, Buyers are able to enjoy capital
other private property sites in the OCR segment.
                                                                                                                       appreciation over time.

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An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
Disclaimer:
While every reasonable cause is taken to ensure the accuracy of information printed or presented here, no responsibility can be accepted for any loss of inconvenience caused by any error or omission.
The ideas, suggestions, general principles, examples and other information presented here are for reference and educational purposes only. This publication is not in anyway intended to give investment
advise or recommendations to buy, sell or lease properties or any form of property investment. PropNex shall have no liability for any loss or expense whatsoever, relating to investment decisions made by
the audience. All copyrights reserved.

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An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019 An Analysis of a Valuable AssetClass, Executive Condominiums (ECs) - June 2019
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