RELY ON THE SAFE HAVEN - KFW
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Haftungsausschluss / Disclaimer Die in diesem Dokument enthaltenen Informationen stellen kein Angebot zum Kauf von Wertpapieren in den USA dar. Wertpapiere dürfen in den USA nur mit vorheriger Registrierung oder ohne vorherige Registrierung nur aufgrund einer Ausnahmeregelung verkauft oder zum Kauf angeboten werden. Ein Angebot zum Kauf von Wertpapieren wird in den USA nur auf Grundlage eines Prospekts erfolgen, der von der KfW zur Verfügung gestellt wird und detaillierte Informationen über KfW, ihre Geschäftsleitung, ihre Jahresabschlüsse sowie Informationen über die Bundesrepublik Deutschland enthalten wird. The information contained in this document does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. Any offering of securities in the United States will be made by means of a prospectus that may be obtained from KfW and will contain detailed information about KfW and its management, financial statements and information about the Federal Republic of Germany. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 2
KfW in brief Germanyʼs Shareholders Professionally flagship German credit supervised and German development federal regulated states 20% agency Federal › The promotional bank of the Federal Republic of Rating(1) Republic of Germany Germany, established in 1948 as a public law 80% institution. Credit › Benefits from explicit and direct statutory guarantee and institutional liability by the Aaa Moody‘s Federal Republic of Germany. Headquarters: Frankfurt am Main AAA Scope Branches: Berlin, Bonn › Regulated by the "Law concerning KfW" and exempt from corporate taxes. AAA S&P › Zero risk weighting of KfW’s bonds.(2) Sustainability › Supervision by the German Federal Ministry of out of Finance and the German Financial Supervisory TOP 2 19 imug Frankfurt Berlin Authority "BaFin". ISS ESG "Prime" › Subject to certain provisions of German and out of # 1 342 Sustainalytics European bank regulatory laws by analogy, in large part with effect from January 1, 2016. AAA MSCI (1) A rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by Bonn Cologne (DEG) the assigning rating organization. Each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating. (2) According to the standardized approach of the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 4
Worldwide presence Number of KfW employees 6,376 About 80 representative offices 1948 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2016 2017 2018 Bonn Cologne Moscow London Berlin Brussels Chişinău Kyiv Frankfurt Belgrad Mazar-e-Sharif Ulan Bator Sarajevo Priština Tiflis Istanbul Taschkent Bishkek New York Podgorica Baku Beijing Tirana Skopje Ankara Yerevan Dushanbe Tunis Islamabad Rabat Beirut Kabul Ramallah-Al-Bireh Amman New Delhi Kathmandu Cairo Abu Dhabi Dhaka Hanoi Mexiko City Mumbai Rangoon Vientiane Tegucigalpa Niamey Sanaa Guatemala City Dakar Bamako Manila Abidjan Bangkok San Salvador Managua Ouagadougou Phnom Penh Addis Abeba Ho Chi Minh City Cotonou Bogotá Lomé Yaoundé Kampala Singapore Accra Quito Kigali Nairobi Kinshasa Bujumbura Daressalam Jakarta Lima Lusaka Lilongwe La Paz Brasilia Windhoek São Paulo Pretoria Maputo Johannesburg KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 5
KfW Group’s business activities New business 2018: EUR 75.5bn (2017: EUR 76.5bn) SME Bank & Private Clients Customized Finance & Public Clients KfW Capital Standardized financing products for SMEs, Individual financings for municipal & social Subsidiary (100%, est. 2018) to carry out KfW’s Domestic business founders, start-ups, self-employed infrastructure, customized financing for FI & entire private equity & venture capital business professionals and private individuals promotional institutes of German federal states 48% 13%
Proven and successful business model KfW involves commercial banks in its domestic activities Backed by Understanding II reached with EU Commission KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 7
Allocation of the economic capital for credit risk Strong focus on Germany and financial industry due to business model 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% Germany 4% Financial sector 4% Euro-area countries (excl. Financial Germany) 5% investment/funds EU countries (excl. euro-area Consumer countries and Germany) By region Europe outside EU By sector Energy/environment Africa Commodities Asia (incl. Australia and New Transport infrastructure Zealand) 82% 81% Latin America Essential goods North America Other Exposure to Exposure to 82% 81% Germany: financial sector: Credit risk of EUR 11,346mn at year-end 2018 includes loans, securities, investments and derivates. Based on year-end 2018 data. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 8
KfWʼs business activities focus on four megatrends A contribution to all of the United Nationsʼ Sustainable Development Goals The heart of KfWʼs business activities: SDG-MAPPING of entire KfW Groupʼs new business 2018 PROMOTION Focal SDGs are: 7, 8, 11, 13 40% Climate Change & Environment 5% Digitalisation & Innovation SDG 13: Climate 22% Action Globalisation SDG 11: SDG 7: Affordable 12% Sustainable Cities and Communities and Clean Energy SDG 8: Decent Work and Social Change Economic Growth Numbers represent the share of new commitments in 2018 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 9
Sustainability has been and remains one of KfWʼs top priorities Manifold activities to improve sustainabilty and to act as vocal advocate - examples Setting new corporate targets: KfW shall remain among top-performer in ESG ratings by renowned int’l ESG rating agencies Improving lending business: Development of a group-wide KfW Roadmap Sustainable Finance by 2020: ‒ Improvement of impact evaluation of KfW’s business (e.g. SDG mapping) ‒ Assessment of sustainability control elements in bank steering ‒ Consideration of ESG and climate risks in internal risk management process "Sustainability has always been an important part of our DNA. KfW is Financing landmark projects: sustainable in a holistic sense, Clean Ocean Initiative (KfW, EIB and AFD; 2018) i.e. our understanding of sustainability goes far beyond – EUR 2bn for sustainable projects to reduce the pollution environment and climate protection. " in the world’s ocean within the next 5 years Dr. Günther Bräunig, CEO – Focus on river and costal areas of developing countries in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East Engaging in global initiatives: ‒ PRI – Principles for Responsible Investments signatory ‒ Green Bond Principles Executive Committee member – TCFD – Task-Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosure supporter KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 10
Business performance 75.5 bn EUR 486 bn EUR 1.6 bn EUR Total promotional business Total assets at end-2018 Consolidated profit 2018 volume 2018 • About 60% domestic and 40% international • Germany’s 3rd largest credit institution in • Better than expected, due to extremely low business. terms of total assets. risk provisioning and positive valuation • In 2018/19 shift towards int’l business. effects. 81.0 507 519 79,3 76.5 75.5 503 472 486 2.2 2.0 1.6 in bn EUR 1.4 in bn EUR in bn EUR 33.6 0.9 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019 Strategic target (before IFRS effects) Capital Ratio (Tier 1) in % 22.3 21.2 20.6 20.1 • BaFin approval as advanced IRBA institution 18.3 since 6/2017. preliminary IRBA IRBA approval • The increase of the Tier 1 capital ratio of KfW CRSA as of June 30, 2019, was mainly due to IRBA approved methodical adjustments of the evaluation 16.1 16.8 BaFin minimum requirement procedure. 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H 2019 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 11
Economic risk-bearing capacity of KfW Large share of tier 1 capital reflects high quality of KfW’s financial resources. Very sound capital basis. Credit Risk Market Project risk & Op-Risk (inkl. SLI) price risk hidden burdens 18,369 Economic capital (18,228) requirements 11,346 5,403 1,441 179 (11,255) (5,242) (1,598) (132) Tier 1 capital Tier 2 capital 28,297 Available financial (27,347) resources 28,278 19 (27,347) (0) 9,928 Excess coverage in EUR million (9,119) confidence level 99.99% figures as of 31.12.2018 (figures as of 31.12.2017) Tier 1 ratio: 20.1% Total capital ratio: 20.1% Based on year-end 2018 data. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 12
Key financial figures of KfW Group (IFRS) Solid business performance 2017 2018 1H 2019 Business activities (in EUR bn) – for the period Promotional business volume 76.5 75.5 33.6 Income statement key figures (in EUR mn) – for the period Operating result before valuation & promotional activities 1,661 1,387 843 Consolidated profit 1,427 1,636 904 Consolidated profit before IFRS effects from hedging 1,192 1,311 805 Balance sheet (in EUR bn) – at the end of the period Total assets 472.3 485.8 519.1 Equity 28.7 30.3 30.9 Volume of business 572.2 590.7 618.4 Key regulatory figures (in %)(1) – at the end of the period Tier 1 capital ratio 20.6% 20.1% 21.2% Total capital ratio 20.6% 20.1% 21.2% (1) Since 2017 calculations based on the IRBA approach for a large part of the portfolio. For the remaining sub-portfolios KfW applies the CRSA approach until full IRBA approval. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 13
Highlights in 2018 and 1H2019 In 2018, KfW Group achieved a total volume of EUR 75.5bn in its promotional activity (-1.3% vs 2017). While KfW’s international business increased significantly, this was offset by a substantial decrease in its domestic business sectors. In light of the robust economic growth and good financing conditions for private and commercial investors, KfW scaled back its domestic promotion to EUR 46.0bn (2017: EUR 51.8bn). However, segments that provide impetus for the future were expanded, e.g. digitalisation and innovation. Also, there is great demand for the new Baukindergeld, a grant-based government-sponsored program launched in 09/2018, which helps families buy their own homes. International business grew by 20% to EUR 28.3bn. It was marked by a 29% increase in commitments in export and project finance (EUR 17.7bn) driven by an increase in almost all sectors. The promotion of developing countries and emerging economies grew by 8% to EUR 10.6bn, of which 82% were accounted for by KfW Development Bank and 18% by DEG. Focus areas are Africa and the Middle East. KfW Capital was founded in 08/2018 as a wholly owned subsidiary of KfW for the purpose of bundling its venture capital activities in one entity. Its business objective is to invest in German and European venture capital and venture debt funds with the aim to improve access to capital for innovative technology-oriented growth companies in Germany. While commitments in 2018 amounted to EUR 141m, KfW Capital aims to invest roughly EUR 2 billion within the next ten years. In the Financial markets business sector KfW invested a total of around EUR 1.1bn in securitisation transactions to promote SMEs (2019e: EUR 1bn). In addition, KfW supported climate change mitigation and environmental protection by investing EUR 0.4bn in green bonds (2019e: EUR 0.3bn). With a consolidated profit of EUR 1.6bn, KfW’s earnings position developed very well overall in 2018, significantly exceeding expectations. KfW expects a consolidated result 2019 before IFRS effects from hedging of approx. EUR 0.8bn, and therefore below its strategic target of EUR 1bn. In 1H2019, KfW Group committed EUR 33.6bn (-7% yoy) with 64% resulting from domestic and 36% from int’l business. Decreasing domestic commitments were only partially offset by increasing int’l commitments. Profit evolved very well (EUR 904m, +10% yoy) primarily due to persistently low need for credit risk provisions. Total assets are up 7% to EUR 519bn vs year-end 2018 mainly because of an increase in liquidity held due to the high funding volume in 1H2019. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 14
Funding at KfW KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 15
KfW’s funding highlights in 9M 2019 Most Impressive Government of Government Agency Green/SRI Bond Issuer Asia-Pcific Award - Greater China Currencies Uridashi Award - Deal of the Year JPY, ZAR CAD, CNY, HKD EUR 73.1bn 11 currencies 63% AUD or 90% of the funding via 126 transactions Via 10 highly liquid bench- 12% programme for 2019 underpin KfW ’s global mark transactions (plus 4 NOK (~EUR 80bn) completed. approach in DCM. taps) in EUR and USD. SEK 27% EUR Benchmarks USD Global Bonds Green Bonds GBP dominate (EUR 27bn) amid KfW’s excellent access to New framework scaled-up rapidly falling yields. $-market allows to borrow green issuances to Ongoing high investor demand. $20bn with excellent investor diversification. EUR 6.9bn. Landmark transactions in 7 ccy ytd. USD Sterling Back in CAD Emerging Markets 52% Run on #3 funding currency despite Brexit discussions. £1.25bn 2021 is the largest Successful return to the CAD market after almost 4 years of absence with a 3y Remarkable very fine tailor-made placements in CNY (6.4bn = €830m) and EUR ever SSA £ issuance. C$1bn 2022 bond. HK$ (3.4bn = €380m). KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 16
Explicit and direct guarantee from the Federal Republic of Germany Basis of KfW’s funding Guarantee established in 1998 Defined by law Direct, explicit and unconditional §1a of the Law concerning KfW: The Federal Republic guarantees all obligations of KfW in respect of loans extended to and debt securities issued by KfW, fixed forward transactions or options entered into by KfW and other credits extended to KfW as well as credits extended to third parties inasmuch as they are expressly guaranteed by KfW. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 17
Top notch financial ratings from leading rating agencies Moody's, Scope Ratings and Standard&Poor's have assigned triple-A ratings to KfW Solicited Ratings Unsolicited Ratings KfW’s strength Largest public Strong and explicit Germany’s Flagship Direct and unlimited statutory development bank with linkages between KfW and Development Bank guarantee and maintenance stable core operating the Federal Republic of obligation drives ratings. performance and solid Germany Solid asset quality benefits from risk profile on-lending. Strong funding based on ‘safe- Aaa Outlook stable AAA Outlook stable AAA Outlook stable haven‘-status. Short-term: P-1 Short-term: S-1+ Short-term: A-1+ AAA Outlook stable Last update: Jul 2019 KfW’s strengths KfW’s strengths KfW’s strengths Strong ownership support in the Explicit and direct statutory Timely and sufficient extraordinary form of a direct guarantee from the guarantee and institutional liability support from German government. KfW’s strength German goverment. from the Federal Republic of Integral link with the government. Maintenance obligation of the Germany. German government. Low liquidity risk, given the good Explicit guarantee from the market access & fallback options. KfW operates in a prudent manner Federal Republic & institutional High asset quality & low default Conservative risk postion, which & complies with capital and risk liability. rates. benefits from on-lending. management requirements. Low-risk assets, comprising Stable annual net income. Mandatory profit retention predominately secured loans. Diversified, low-interest funding. Access to capital markets is very safeguards strong capitalization. good and sustainable. Last update: Aug 2019 Last update: Aug 2019 Last update: Aug 2019 AAA Outlook stable Last update: Aug 2018 Top credit standing is recognized by the three mandated rating agencies and by further unsolicited agencies A rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating organization. Each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 18
Top ESG ratings confirm KfW’s holistic sustainability approach Renown international rating agencies assign KfW to be among top-performers in ESG AAA A+ 10 100 KfW is among KfW is among KfW’s rating is KfW is #1 out 93 7.9 the 2 best out Leader the best-rated at the highest of 343 listed of 19 develop- BB institutions in Leader level possible and non-listed Industry ment banks its peer group Industry C+ banks BB D Prime D- AAA 0 Leader 0 KfW’s strengths KfW’s strengths KfW’s strengths KfW’s strengths Profound measures regarding the Comprehensive policy regarding In 2018, KfW received a rating of KfW is rated as leader in management of ESG issues. the respect for human rights. AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in sustainability aspects within its Development and implementation the MSCI ESG Ratings peer group and all banks Performance regarding assessment. worldwide. environmental and governance of an approach to calculate GHG criteria is above average and on emissions in the corp. value chain. KfW continues with strong average regarding social criteria. sustainability performance and Code of conduct covering impor- even outperforms its excellent Specifically striking is the positive tant aspects of business ethics. results from last year in all three performance in the area of Reasonable integration of environ- ESG categories. environmental business mental and social aspects into the operations. own investment portfolio. Last update: March 1, 2019 Last update: Sep 23, 2018 Last update: Sep 4, 2018 Last update: March 18, 2019 KfW has set a new strategic objective of achieving top sustainability rankings among its peers. A rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating organization. Each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 19
Increasing importance of of debt capital markets for KfW Share of funds from debt capital markets In % of total sources of funds 99% 88% 78% KfW’s funding volumes 50% at debt capital markets In euros in billions KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 20
How do we issue a benchmark bond in a responsible manner? Preparation Issuance Price Basic terms Timing Syndicate Allocation determination − Currency: EUR or − Approx. once per − Choose 3 banks / − EUR: − Equal treatment USD month lead arrangers announcement and within each investor − Maturity: − Short issuance criteria: pricing in general type KfW Issuance 2 to 10 years windows − Expert knowledge within a day − Central banks in issuance − USD: − Banks activities announcement and − Asset manager − Diversification with pricing in general over two days − Insurance regard to investor first indicative companies access / relationship orderbook − Internal: − Internal: liquidity − Business − Pricing depends on − Buy-and-hold Influencing Factors duration on needs, Black-out relationship final issuance investors preferred credit/asset side periods − Secondary trading volume − Early orders − External: − External: event risks of KfW bonds − Safeguarding preferred investor demand − regular: − Quality of performance on e.g. interest rate consulting secondary market decisions ECB − Other business − singular: relationship Brexit KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 21
Wide selection of products addressing investor needs KfW Benchmark Programmes Green Bonds – Made by KfW − Large and highly liquid bonds, − Liquid green bonds, diversified highly diversified investor base SRI investor base − Regular offerings and taps − Focus: € and $ − Size: 3–5bn (6bn incl. taps, euro only) − Regular offerings and taps − 3, 5, 7 and 10y − Private placements possible Format: EMTN, Global Format: EMTN, Global, Kangaroo, US-MTN Target ’19 €$ €80bn € $ ₤ A$ SEK HK$ … €73.1bn Additional Public Bonds Sep 30’19 Tailor-made Placements − Large and liquid bonds, − Customized products for diversified investor base investor needs − Tenors from 1 to 30y − Flexible in currency, structure − Liquid curves and strategic and maturity approach in ₤ and A$ − Uridashi transactions − Regular offerings and taps Format: EMTN, US-MTN, NSV, SSD Format: EMTN, Global, Kangaroo, Kauri € $ ₤ A$ NZ$ C$ SEK NOK € $ ¥ HK$ Mex$ CN¥ ZAR … KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 22
Strong presence in debt capital markets Relying on debt capital markets KfW is one of the largest issuers of bonds and notes Funding volume (EUR in billions) Capitalization (at end-1H2019) 90,00 78.2 6% 80,00 76.1 72.8 EUR 4% 70,00 4.3 3.4 73.1bn 62.6 15.8 17.0 issued as per 10% Sep 30, 2019 60,00 4.3 16.0 16.9 3.7 50,00 15.8 2.8 6.9 Total 40,00 3.7 €502bn 30,00 55.4 55.4 49.8 45.9 20,00 38.8 80% 10,00 0,00 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 KfW Benchmark Programmes Green Bonds – Made by KfW Capital Markets Money Markets Additional Public Bonds Tailor-made Placements Other Liabilities Equity (primarily collateral from derivative transactions) KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 23
KfW’s funding by currencies and instruments Benchmark bonds are key – core currencies euro and US dollar Instruments Currencies (in %) (in %) 80 70 14 70 60 12 60 10 50 50 40 8 40 30 6 30 20 4 20 10 10 2 0 0 0 Benchmark Green Additional Tailor-made EUR USD GBP AUD JPY Others Programmes Bonds Public Bonds Placements 2016 (EUR 72.8bn) 2017 (EUR 78.2bn) 2018 (EUR 76.1bn) 2019 H1 (EUR 73.1bn) Highlights in 9M 2019 − 10 benchmark bonds (plus 4 taps) issued in EUR (2x 5y, 3y, 10y, 7y) and USD (2y, 2x 3y, 2x 5y) accounting for EUR 45.9bn raised. − 7 “Green Bonds – Made by KfW” issuances in EUR, SEK, AUD, GBP, HKD, NOK, and USD with an equivalent of EUR 6.9bn. The SEK 7bn issuance in 3s and USD 2bn in 10s mark the largest green bonds of their kind at the time. − Ongoing strong demand for large and liquid benchmark bonds: 63% of total funding by September 2019. − The challenging market environment led to yield all-time lows and a particularly flexible funding strategy. − EUR remains by far #1 funding currency (approx. EUR 38bn, 52% of total funding). Decreasing share of USD funding as EUR funding levels are very competitive vs USD (after hedging into EUR). Strong investor demand for Sterling pushes the share of GBP as funding currency #3. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 24
KfW’s global investor base Distribution of KfW’s EUR-Benchmark investor base in % Geographic Distribution in % Investor Distribution 70 70 Europe ex 60 Germany 60 50 50 40 40 Banks 30 30 Central Banks Asset Mgt. 20 Germany 20 Asia 10 10 Other Other Ins. & Pension 0 Americas 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep 2019 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sep 2019 Europe ex Germany Germany Central Banks Banks Asia Americas Asset Mgt. Ins. & Pension Other Other Based on allocations KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 25
KfW’s global investor base Distribution of KfW’s USD-Benchmark investor base in % Geographic Distribution in % Investor Distribution 60 60 Central Banks* 50 50 40 40 Europe Banks Asia 30 30 Americas 20 20 10 10 Asset Mgt. MEA Ins. & Pension Other Other 0 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Aug 2019 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Aug 2019 Asia MEA Europe Americas Other Central Banks Banks Asset Mgt. Ins. & Pension Other * The category „Central Banks“ includes also Official Institutions since April 2019 Based on allocations KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 26
KfW’s Benchmark-Programmes in EUR and USD Outstanding bonds and notes Amount Outstanding Amount Outstanding in EUR mn 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Amount 6000 outstanding in USD mn 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Issued in 2019 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 27
KfW EUR-Benchmark-Programme Highlights 9M 2019 − Established in 2001, KfW’s EUR benchmark programme is the backbone of KfW’s funding strategy. Up to the middle of 2019, KfW issued a total of 79 EUR benchmark bonds with an issuance volume of more than EUR 373bn. Current outstanding volume: EUR 167bn. − KfW is strongly committed to liquidity and regular issuance across all benchmark maturities each year. In 2019, KfW was able to issue two benchmark bonds in 5y and one each in 3y, 7y and 10y respectively. KfW closely monitors secondary market liquidity. The 3y benchmark marks KfW’s first EUR 3-year benchmark since 2015. − KfW’s EUR benchmark programme has become a true “benchmark” in the market for many other issuers as well. − In 2019, all new lines were oversubscribed with excellent investor diversification, priced at the tighter end of guidance and showed good performance in secondary markets. − In H1 2019, EUR currency dominated amounting to EUR 38bn making up 52% of KfW’s total funding target by September 2019. This is remarkable especially in an environment of less PSPP support and ultra low interest rates. bn EUR Settlement Tenor in yrs Coupon in % Lead Managers KfW-EUR-Benchmark I/2019 5.0 Jan 15, 2019 10 0.750 BoA Merrill Lynch, Commerzbank, Société Général KfW-EUR-Benchmark II/2019 5.0 Feb 5, 2019 5 0.00 Credit Agricole, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs KfW-EUR-Benchmark III/2019 5.0 Mar 19, 2019 3 0.00 BNP Paribas, JP Morgan, Toronto Dominion KfW-EUR-Benchmark IV/2019 5.0 Jun 13, 2019 5 0.00 JP Morgan, LBBW, NatWest Markets KfW-EUR-Benchmark IV/2019 4.0 Sep 24, 2019 7 0.00 Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Merrill Lynch 4 Re-openings of 2016&2018 lines 4.0 various various various DZ, Goldman Sachs, JPM, BoA ML, Citi, SocGen, Barclays, Coba 28.0 0,000 0,000 0,000 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 28
KfW USD-Global-Programme Highlights 9M 2019 − Established in 2002, KfW’s USD-Global-Programme strategically complements KfW benchmark programmes. Up to the middle of 2019, KfW issued a total of 90 USD global bonds with an issuance volume of more than USD 340bn. Current outstanding: USD 112bn. − KfW is strongly committed to liquidity and regular issuance across all benchmark maturities each year. KfW closely monitors secondary market liquidity. − KfW’s USD global programme has become a true “benchmark” in the market for many other issuers as well. − In 9M 2019, KfW has been issuing five bonds amounting to USD 18.0bn. This is especially remarkable in an environment with very competitive funding levels in the EUR-market. − In 9M 2019, all new lines were oversubscribed with excellent investor diversification, priced at the tighter end of guidance and showed good performance in secondary markets. bn USD Settlement Tenor in yrs Coupon in % Lead Managers KfW-USD-Benchmark I/2019 5.0 Jan 23, 2019 5 2.625 Barclays, Bank of Montreal, Citigroup KfW-USD-Benchmark II/2019 3.0 Feb 27, 2019 3 2.500 Citigroup, Toronto Dominion, RBC CM KfW-USD-Benchmark III/2019 3.0 Apr 24, 2019 2 0.075 HSBC, Morgan Stanley, Nomura KfW-USD-Benchmark IV/2019 4.0 July 11, 2019 3 1.75 Barclays, Morgan Stanley, RBC KfW-USD-Benchmark V/2019 3.0 Sep 5, 2019 5 1.375 Goldman Sachs, Nomura, HSBC 18.0 0,000 0,000 0,000 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 29
The liquidity of KfW’s benchmark bonds Characteristics, HQLA assessment & turnover statistics Characteristics that support the liquidity in KfW Turnover in KfW benchmark bonds in secondary markets: benchmark bonds: − Public sector entity in the EU Total turnover in KfW benchmark bonds is shown in relation to the − Risk weight: 0% according to CRR/Basel III total outstandings and the new issues of EUR and USD benchmark bonds of each funding year, respectively. − PSPP eligibility: 33% limit in billion EUR − Frequent issuer of benchmark bonds in core currencies EUR and 144 147 160 USD Total 140 113 € Outstandings − Three lead managers for each benchmark bond 120 97 (aggregate 100 124 principal) − Large-volume benchmark bonds 80 96 96 98 New Issuance (sizes of 3 – 6 bn EUR/USD) 60 37,5 (aggregate 32,5 40 19 principal) − Traded by approx. 30-40 banks OTC and at various stock 20 16,5 exchanges 0 Total Turnover* 2015 2016 2017 2018 − Broad order book diversification (Ø more than 100 investors) in billion USD 194 Bonds and notes issued by KfW are in principle eligible 200 146 $ in the EU as level 1 assets pursuant to Article 10 para. 1 160 138 118 lit. (c)(v) of the Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 120 2015/61 of October 10, 2014. 120 80 106 96 92 KfW’s bonds and notes have been assessed as "HQLA 25 34 25 40 21,5 US Eligible Assets" by Bloomberg, see Bloomberg, 0 KFW Corp , DES , 12 , 58 2015 2016 2017 2018 *No warranty is given as to the completeness or accuracy of the total turnover data which has been supplied by 15-20 different banks and accumulated but not verified by KfW. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 30
Green Bonds – Made by KfW Highlights of KfW’s footprint in the green bond market Currency Split of all KfW Green Bonds issued by September 30, 2019 High Quality Liquidity Credibility HKD NOK 5% AUD Aligned with GBP & Harmoni- Large sizes in benchmark Top ESG ratings and a strong 7% zed Framework for Reporting, maturities make KfW green focus on green finance make SEK SPO from CICERO, external bonds among the most liquid KfW one of the most credible 9% impact evaluation. green bonds in the market. issuers of green bonds. GBP #1 in Germany Contribution to SDGs Green Indices €21.4bn of „Green Bonds – Made by KfW“ since 2014 7: Affordable & Clean Energy, 11: Sustainable Cities & Com- Eligible for many green indices like “The BofA Merrill 30% USD make KfW one of the largest munities, 13: Climate Action. Lynch GB Index”, “Barclays issuers globally and by far the MSCI GB Index”, “S&P GB largest issuer in Germany. Index”, “Solactive GB Index”. Green Bond Investor Vocal Advocate Global Engagement Since 2015 runs a dedicated green bond investment portfolio of €2bn (target) As member (since 2015) of the Exec. Committee of the Grren Bond Principles, KfW is Engaging in and suppoting of int‘l and national initiatives to promote sustainability in 47% EUR mandated by the Federal highly committed to foster capital markets (e.g. PRI, Ministry of Environment. green bond market standards. TCFD, EU TechExpert-Group). KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 31
Green Bonds – Made by KfW Green Bond issuances EUR in billions 6.9 7 6 EUR 5 USD 4 3.7 3.7 AUD 3 2.7 2.8 GBP SEK 2 1.6 HKD 1 NOK 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019ytd Volume of green bonds issued by September 30, 2019: EUR 21.4bn EUR equivalent; based on ECB reference rate on the pricing date KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 32
How do “Green Bonds – Made by KfW“ work? Liquidity management Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency 2 Loan Programmes 36,268 loans 2018 Socially Lender On-lending bank Final borrower responsible investors Other SEK1bn 5y France Solar renewables Other OECD €1bn 8y Wind countries Funding energy 16% Residential buildings SEK5bn 10y €1.6bn €9.3bn 2018 2018 96% Germany 82% Green Bonds – Made by KfW Underlying assets* * For illustration purpose only, may be subject to adjustments. Energy efficiency projects (construction and acquisition of new energy efficient residential buildings) were newly included in eligible underlying assets for KfW Green Bonds. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 33
A comparison of green and conventional KfW Bonds Pricing Green vs. Conventional Bonds Green Bonds – Made by KfW Conventional KfW Bonds (EUR, April 2019) Issuer Maturity Sep.2017 17 2020 Jun. 20 2023 Mrz. 23 202525 Dez. 2028 Sep. 28 2031 Jun. 31 Guarantor The Federal Republic of Germany 0 -5 Rating Moody‘s: Aaa Scope Ratings: AAA Standard & Poor‘s: AAA -10 -15 Risk weight 0% according to CRR/Basel III Spread -20 -25 General business, however, amount General business Use of -30 equal to net proceeds for climate friend- Proceeds ly projects accord. to KfW Framework -35 -40 Reporting Allocation report & Impact report None o -45 Green Bonds Conventional Bonds Target Institutional investors, especially green Institutional investors investors or socially responsible investors (SRI) Currency Flexible, primarily EUR, USD, GBP, AUD, SEK, JPY. Up to 20 currencies possible. “Green Bonds – Made by KfW” Determined by underlying green assets, Flexible, primarily 2 to 15 year achieve currently tighter spread levels Term primarily 5 to 10 years in comparison with KfW’s conventional Repayment Bullet bonds for the corresponding maturity. EMTN, Global, Kangaroo, US-MTN EMTN, Global, Kangaroo, US-MTN, Format Kauri, NSV, SSD KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 34
Additional public transactions Diversification of investor base Issues outside Benchmark-Programmes EUR Non-benchmark maturities USD Callables, floaters AUD BRL CNH Complementary currencies to cover different capital markets GBP INR Complete yield curve with the aim to enhance liquidity through taps JPY MXN Expand the programme to new currencies/markets NOK NZD Institutional and retail as well as local investor base SEK SGD TRY ZAR … KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 35
KfW in GBP KfW is one of the leading SSA issuers in the Sterling market Amount KfW’s GBP curve across the maturity spectrum outstanding in (only fixed rate lines outstanding) GBP million 6000 4800 5000 4000 Green 2650 2650 2537 3035 3000 2500 Green Bond 1550 1750 1550 1600 Bond 2000 1500 1000 750 800 650 700 1000 200 300 0 New lines issued in 2019 Characteristics Highlights − 18 fixed rate lines outstanding over the entire curve up to 2037. − A run on our Sterling bonds 2019 (£8.5bn ytd; +90% yoy) made us #1 − Fixed rate issuance is complemented by lightly structured SSA issuer in GBP despite Brexit discussions. transactions (primarily Step-ups, Callables, FRNs). − GBP remains the 3rd most important currency after EUR and USD in KfW currency mix in 9M 2019 with a current share of around 12%. − Listing Luxembourg possible. − 3 new bond lines (with maturities in 2021, 2024 and 2025) as well as fulminant return to the GBP green bond market after the KfW debut in 2015. − KfW GBP 650mn 7-year Green Bond due 2026 was the largest and longest SSA Green Bond transaction at that time. − Our £1.25bn 2021 bond issued in January 2019 is the largest ever SSA £ issuance. Pitch presentation – IFR Awards 2019 / October 2019 36
KfW in AUD KfW is the largest SSA Kangaroo issuer KfW’s AUD curve across the maturity spectrum Amount (fixed rate lines outstanding) outstanding in AUD million 3000 Amount Outstanding 3000 2650 2500 2450 2100 2150 1950 2000 Green 1550 Bond 1200 1250 1000 Green 1000 Bond 600 450 450 0 Taps issued KFW 6 1/4 KFW 2 3/4 KFW 2.4 KFW 6 KFW 2.8 KFW 6 1/4 KFW 5 1/2 KFW 2.9 KFW 2.8 KFW 5 KFW 1 1/2 KFW 4 KFW 3.2 KFW 3.2 in 2019 12/04/19 04/16/20 07/02/20 08/20/20 02/17/21 05/19/21 02/09/22 06/06/22 03/07/23 03/19/24 07/24/24 02/27/25 09/11/26 03/15/28 Characteristics Highlights − KfW maintains strategic approach to the Kangaroo market and is − In 9M 2019, AUD 2.45bn issued vs. AUD 1bn in 2018 a regular issuer. − 5th most important funding currency in 1H 2019 (2.2%). − With 14 fixed rate lines outstanding, KfW offers the widest choice − Remarkable return to AUD green bond market with new KfW AUD of maturities in the Kangaroo market. 450mn Green Kangaroo after KfW debut in 2015. − KfW is the largest SSA issuer in terms of issued and outstanding − KfW is a constant provider of liquidity via taps across the curve. volume (AUD 23.1bn). − KfW Kangaroo bonds are RBA repo eligible. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 37
KfW in NOK A strong addition to KfW’s funding programme Amount KfW’s NOK curve across the maturity spectrum FRN outstanding in New issues in 2019 NOK million VPS 7000 Green 6000 Bond 6000 VPS 5000 4000 4000 4000 VPS VPS 3000 2500 VPS VPS VPS 1750 2000 2000 1500 1500 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 900 750 1100 1000 200 500 250 400 0 Characteristics Highlights − Flexibility in deal/tap size. − NOK funding for KfW totals NOK 17bn in 9M 2019 (total in 2018: − Fixed and floating rate notes possible. NOK 4.75bn). − Listing Luxembourg. − In 9M 2019 five new lines have been added including the inaugural − Issuance targeting domestic (via VPS-Clearing with KfW NOK4bn Green Bond due in August 2023. stand-alone documentation) and retail/other institutional accounts − In total 20 fixed and FRN lines. (documentation under KfW EMTN programme). KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 38
KfW in SEK Expanding green activities into Nordic region Amount KfW’s SEK curve across the maturity spectrum outstanding in SEK million 8000 7000 6600 7000 5600 6000 5000 5000 4000 SGB 3000 SGB 3000 2350 2000 1600 2000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 0 Issued in 2019 Characteristics Highlights − Flexibility in deal/tap size. − In 2018 and 9M 2019, KfW evolved its SEK funding activities − Fixed and floating rate notes possible. further into Green Bonds – Made by KfW in public format and − Swedish Government Bonds 1047, 1051, 1052, 1054 matches issued further private placements. already in place. − The SEK 7bn green bond with a maturity of 3 years was the fifth − Listing Luxembourg. "Green Bond - Made by KfW" denominated in SEK since 2015. With its SEK 7bn green bond with a maturity of 3 years KfW expanded its SEK Green Bond curve, it is the largest ever issued SEK green bond. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 39
KfW in JPY Uridashi Award - Deal of the Year Public Issues Outstanding: − Global JPY 125bn 2.05%, due February 2026 − Global JPY 50bn 2.60%, due June 2037 Japanese retail (Uridashi) Private placements (MTNs) Predominantly structured JPY Mostly structured issues, Nikkei-linked and PRDCs (Nikkei-Linked and Dual Currency), are predominant; Available also in other currencies e.g. AUD, USD Minimum issue size JPY 100m › EUR 253mn equivalent raised 9M 2019 › JPY 800mn raised via 4 trades via 8 transactions › EUR 1.471bn equivalent raised 2018 › JPY 1.00bn raised via 4 trades via 28 transactions › EUR 1.796bn equivalent raised 2017 › No issuance via 24 transactions › EUR 1.481bn equivalent raised 2016 › JPY 1.00bn raised via 2 trades via 36 transactions › EUR 1.405bn equivalent raised 2015 › JPY 7.65bn raised via 35 trades via 41 transactions KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 40
KfW in CNH (Offshore CNY) KfW’s long-term goal is to enter the Panda bond market KfW is convinced of the increasing global importance of the Renminbi. KfW has by now established itself in the RMB Offshore market. In addition, KfW supported the financial centre Frankfurt to be a Renminbi centre in Europe. KfW's strategic goal is the issuance of its inaugural Panda Bond. While intensely monitoring the developments in Chinese capital markets, KfW is making internal preparations for a first Panda bond. KfW’s new issues in CNY since 2012 Issuance volume Total in CNY million October 2019: trades In 2019 KfW 6404 7000 20 launches 18 CNY 2012: trades (incl. one tap) 18 18 6000 KfW’s inaugural ytd with maturity of 1- 16 Offshore CNY bond 4 years with a size 5000 14 2014: between 200 to 700m 4000 CNY each 12 First KfW CNY bond ever listed in 10 2850 3000 Frankfurt 8 1830 2000 1500 6 6 1068 1000 4 4 1000 620 200 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 - 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 41
Tailor-made placements (1) Current product development Customized products for investor needs Targets Flexible approach Broad investor diversification in various currencies Currencies 1H 2019 and structures 5% 1% EUR 2.2bn 16% Key figures H1 2019 34 transactions 6 currencies (CNY, EUR GBP, HKD, JPY, ZAR) EUR 2.2bn 52% 26% KfW satisfies current investor’s requirements: Demand for CNY and HKD bonds has increased significantly EUR CNY HKD Current product GBP Other developement Greater number of transactions in total KfW satisfies investor’s preferences for yield enhancing products in combination with an AAA credit quality KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 42
Tailor-made placements (2) Characteristics Highlights Highly diversified: Minimum size: − Step-up callables − EUR, USD 10m − Range accruals − USMTN 5m − Zeros − JPY 100m (MTN) − CMS-linked structures − JPY 1bn (Uridashi) − FX-linked structures Minimum non call 6 months, multi-callable KfW offers − etc. structures can be quarterly callable for tailor-made − 50m (EMTN) structures to Redemption profile: − 10m (US-MTN) − Bullet investors − Callable Minimum non call 3 months and quarterly − TARN callable for − Trigger − JPY-MTN and Uridashi Method of distribution: − Underwriting KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 43
“Namensschuldverschreibungen” Issuance volume1 (in EUR million) 2018 276 Due to increased investor demand, KfW offers 2017 414 "Namensschuldverschreibungen" since August 2016 755 2009 2015 183 Solid investor demand and constant broadening 2014 335 of investor base 2013 800 "Schuldscheindarlehen" remain available 2012 190 2011 1900 2010 900 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Characteristics − Investor base: German insurances and pension funds − Product variations: fixed rate with step-up and zero structures with optional issuer call options as well as double-/triple-or-quit structures − Stand-alone KfW documentation − Assignments possible of EUR 1m − Minimum issuance volume of EUR 10m 1 Issuance volume comprises “Namensschuldverschreibungen“ and “Schuldscheindarlehen“ KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 44
Money market Its CP programmes make KfW an important issuer in the money market as well Issuer KfW Federal Republic of Guarantor EUR / USD-CP Germany P-1 (Moody’s) / S-1+ (Scope Programme Rating Ratings) / A-1+ (S&P) EUR-CP: multicurrency Currencies USD-CP: USD Maturities Up to 1 year As of 30 June 2019 EUR-CP (in million) USD-CP (in million) Programme volume EUR 70,000 USD 10,000 Issue volume EUR 56,026 USD 24,831 Number of transactions 416 210 Average ticket volume EUR 135 USD 118 Average maturity 143 days 59 days Outstanding volume EUR 36,749 USD 8,310 (at the end of period) Targeted outstanding +/- EUR 35,000 +/- USD 7,800 volume KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 45
KfW in the capital markets in 2019 Strong presence in the capital markets with funding target of EUR 80 billion. KfW’s outstanding access to the capital markets, including in USD, facilitates the issue of liquid global bonds. KfW relies on its proven strategy of diversification and therefore continues to offer a wide selection of products addressing investors’ needs. EUR & USD remain key currencies in 2019 (2018: 88%). The KfW Benchmark Programmes remain the most important funding source. GBP, AUD and JPY are important for KfW’s funding mix. Increasing commitment to green bonds. KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 46
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Contacts Treasurer of KfW: Ext. KfW Bankengruppe Dr. Frank Czichowski - 2165 Palmengartenstrasse 5–9 60325 Frankfurt am Main Treasury: Markus Schmidtchen - 4783 Phone +49 69 7431 - Ext. Fax +49 69 7431 - 3986 Capital Markets: Petra Wehlert - 4650 investor.relations@kfw.de Otto Weyhausen-Brinkmann - 4652 Alexander Liebethal - 4656 Bloomberg: KfW Investor Relations: www.kfw.de/investor-relations Jürgen Köstner - 3536 Dorota Reiter - 8537 Serviceline - 2222 Sign up here for our newsletter service KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 48
Notes KfW Bonds - Rely on the safe haven / October 2019 49
Back-up Folien www.kfw.de/investor-relations Disclaimer This document is provided for information purposes only. This document may not be reproduced either in full or in part, nor may it be passed on to another party. It constitutes neither an offer nor an invitation to subscribe or to purchase securities, nor is this document or the information contained herein meant to serve as a basis for any kind of obligation, contractual or otherwise. In all legal systems this document may only be distributed in compliance with the respective applicable law, and persons obtaining possession of this document should familiarise themselves with and adhere to the relevant applicable legal provisions. A breach of these restrictions may constitute a violation of US securities law regulations or of the law applicable in other legal systems. The information contained in this document is historical and speaks only as of its date. KfW disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise the information contained in this document. By accessing this documentKfW you Bonds acknowledge - Relyacceptance of haven on the safe these terms. / October 2019 50
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